ENERGY COMMITTEE – ENERGY TALKING POINTS (ETP) SERIES
ETP 7: USED FUEL AND DEPLETED URANIUM WORTH TRILLIONS Issue: Since the 1940’s we have mined millions of tons of uranium ores. More than 90 percent of the uranium extracted from those ores remains as used nuclear fuel and depleted uranium. In the US, these materials have an energy content equivalent to 12 trillion barrels of oil and have a monetary value of $1,200 trillion when compared to oil at $100 per barrel. This resource can be used to fuel new nuclear power reactors, known as fast reactors. The asset value of these materials can be used as a basis for financing the development of the fast reactors and associated fuel cycle facilities. HISTORY Since the 1940’s, the US has obtained millions of tons of uranium which has been extracted from ores mined at many locations around the world. Extracting enriched uranium from this material has left 775,000 metric tons (MT) of depleted uranium (DU), and, the nuclear fuel cycle has left us with 65,000 metric tons of uranium in the form of used fuel (UF). Today, this material is considered “waste” and is awaiting permanent disposal.1 The mining of uranium ore containing 1% uranium oxide (U3O8) yields about 8.4 kg of uranium per metric ton of ore. The current fuel cycle for light water reactors consumes less that 0.5% of that uranium, leaving the remainder in UF from the reactors and the DU from the enrichment process. URANIUM VALUE In order to find a value for the UF and DU fuel assets, the energy content is calculated using the factor that 1 gram of uranium yields 1 megawatt day of energy. The calculated energy content of the resource is compared to crude oil using a value of $100 per barrel. The result gives a value for the uranium exceeding $1,000 trillion. UF
DU
Amount
MT
65,000
775,000
Energy Content
Btu
5.32E+18
6.35E+19
Oil Equivalent
Bbl
923 Billion
11,000 Billion
$92.3 Trillion
$1,100 Trillion
Value Base - Oil = $100/bbl
Argument can be made that since uranium is not used as a transportation energy source, determining its value based on comparing its Btu content to petroleum, as shown in the table above, may not be a valid way to assess its value. Uranium is used in nuclear power plants to generate electricity and, therefore, as a fuel for power generation it is more akin to coal and natural gas. For Public Release, 1/31/2013
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When comparing uranium to coal and natural gas, the following assumptions are made: • • • • •
•
Coal cost is $2.40 per million Btu (EIA.gov 2011 average) Natural gas cost $3.67 per million Btu (EIA.gov 2011 average) Depleted uranium and used nuclear fuel asset value are devalued by a factor of 10% to cover fuel processing losses. Conversion efficiency of uranium to electricity is 33%. Conversion efficiency of coal to electricity is 35%. Conversion efficiency of natural gas to electricity
is 45%. The result, shown in the table below, shows a value for the uranium in excess of $100 trillion. UF
DU
Amount
MT
65,000
775,000
Energy Content
Btu
5.32E+18
6.35E+19
Value Base - Coal = $2.40/106 Btu
$10.8 Trillion
$129 Trillion
Value Base - Natural Gas = $3.67/106 Btu
$12.9 Trillion
$154 Trillion
The value of the UF and DU has been demonstrated in the previous tables. These materials are treated as waste that will undergo permanent disposal. URANIUM UTILIZATION The effective use of the UF and DU would provide the US with electric power for more than 1000 years. The light water reactor technology currently planned or in operation uses less than 0.5% of the metallic uranium. While it is possible to burn reprocessed fuel in the light water reactors used for power generation today, the generation of power from these uranium resources will require the development and application of fast reactor technology for power generation. An effective fast reactor fuel cycle will eliminate the need for uranium enrichment and will effectively keep all of the generated transuranic