113/
The Background is Oil by
Dale Alien Pfeiffer [For many it is difficult to accept the truth about the events of September 11th
Wnr!rt l'rim ..'fV t:11':f'IY ~"1'I11y hy ,: '''~ 1911路20~O
without seeing the context of an unavoidable global crisis that cannot be
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postponed or evaded. The myth of perpetual American prosperity is destroyed by this layman-friendly analysis of the global oil picture and the hard choices facing the planet. Enron employees are only adding to a list of
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innocent American victims that is going
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to increase rapidly. Many thanks to Dale Alien Pfeiffer for this cogent and ominous analysis. - MCR]
FTW, December 18,2001 - The past year has seen events unprecedented in the history of this country,
understand not only what has transpired in the past year, but also the events to come. And we need this
from the installment of George W. Bush as president due to an extremely controversial 5 to 4 decision of the
knowledge in order to consider what actions we should take to assure a positive future for all.
Supreme Court to the horrific terrorist attacks of 9-11. These events seem unreal and beyond
Oil Dependency
comprehension. Many people have been left wondering why the presidential coup and why the terrorist attacks.
The civilization we live in today is based entirely on
Many people have assumed that the last presidential election simply resulted in a political squabble due to
natural gas). The energy which runs our technology is derived from hydrocarbons. The energy which does our work is derived from hydrocarbons. The energy which powers our homes, our transportation and which
the close vote. A few have opined that this squabble resulted in a power grab by one segment of the elite in this country. As for the events of 9-11, the established line is that this was due to evil people who hate freedom and democracy. However, many people have sought to explain that these terrorists were bred by decades of imperialist intervention undertaken by this country in order to keep secure the privileged position of US corporations and the US public in general. There are a small few who have wondered whether the events of 9-11 were the work of Islamic terrorists at all, just as there are a few who believe that the Bush regime staged a coup in every sense of the word. The wisest and best informed say all of this is about oil.
hydrocarbons (by which term I mean both oil and
generates our electricity is all largely derived from hydrocarbons. All of the plastics which surround us with consumer goods are derived from hydrocarbons. Our produce is fed with hydrocarbon-based fertilizers and sprayed with hydrocarbon-based pesticides. Every person in the US has the energy equivalent of a dozen slaves working for him or her. Why this dependency on oil? Simply put, there is no other energy source which holds as much energy per unit. The only exception to this is uranium, which is dangerous, difficult to work with, and far too rare an element to ever provide for more than a small percentage of our energy needs.j
Even the highest
To understand the events of the past year, it is first necessary to set the scene. And the scene in which all
grade of coal only holds about 50% as much energy as
of these events have played out is the approaching end
energy resources can provide nowhere near enough energy to meet our current needs.~ Fusion remains, as
of the oil age. This background has not been talked about in the mass media, or even in the alternative media. However, this knowledge is essential in order to
an equivalent quantity of hydrocarbons.l
Renewable
ever, just beyond our grasp. The highly touted
{73dhydrogen fuel cells are not an energy source but a form of energy storage; the energy contained in the fuel cell
Production & Demand
must be generated from another source.-1 In short, there is no other source which can provide for the energy needs of our present civilization.
Nonrenewable Resources Hydrocarbons are considered a nonrenewable resource. Many millions of years ago, atmospheric carbon was absorbed by ocean waters and ultimately processed into living matter. Millions of years ago the oceans abounded in microorganisms. Life forms similar
0L.-
o Years 40 After Colin J. Cat11Jbell& Jean H.laherrere, THE END OF CHEAP Oil, Sd Am, March 1998
to plankton were far more abundant than they are even at the present time. As these organisms died their bodies settled on the ocean floor, forming an organic ooze. It is interesting to note that the planet was incapable of supporting terrestrial life until much ofthe carbon had been leeched from the atmosphere. Atmospheric carbon is a poison which had to be locked into sediment by ocean life before land-dwelling life forms could evolve.
The production of oil from any given field follows a bell curve. After discovery of the field, production increases as more and more wells are opened. A team of exploration geologists and engineers will quickly map out the field and develop a pattem of well placement so as to maximize production. Each well has a cone of production which, when well placed, will cover the entire field. If placed too closely, the cones of
Once this organic ooze was deposited, it had to be
production will overlap and the overlapping wells will
buried in sediment and subjected to just the right combination of conditions in order to transform it into
each wind up producing less. So, to increase
energy rich hydrocarbons. The combination of
field is covered, beyond which point adding more wells
pressure, heat and time is very precise. Too much pressure will transform the carbon to graphite. Too much heat will overcook it.
only leads to diminishing retums. Because of this, there is a point where the production
Finally, once the ooze has been transformed into
of any particular field is maximized. This is the peak of the production curve. The peak can be narrow or
hydrocarbons, they will migrate through the Earth's crust until captured by the "trap." A trap is a non-
broad, short or long in duration, but production will never be increased beyond this point.
production by drilling more wells only works until the
permeable geological formation which holds the hydrocarbons and prevents them from escaping.
In the earth, oil moves at a very slow rate. The classic
Without a trap, the hydrocarbons will migrate to the
gusher effect is due to the fact that oil at depth is held
Earth's surface and dissipate into the atmosphere.
under pressure. When a hole is drilled, the oil in the area immediately around the hole is ejected by this
All of the conditions for hydrocarbon generation have only been met once in the history of the Earth. It is
pressure. Once this oil has been pumped, the well
arguable that the process of transforming atmospheric carbon into hydrocarbon deposits itself altered
impetus, oil travels at a very slow rate, the same rate as damp spreading through a stone foundation. Once a
atmospheric, oceanic and earth chemistry, as well as the biosphere, in such a way that the process will never
well has pumped all of the oil in its immediate vicinity, the rate of production must drop. We have techniques
be repeated, it would take millions of years for hydrocarbon deposits to be replenished.
for boosting the draw of a well, such as pumping in water under pressure at other sites to drive oil to the
must draw oil from farther away. Under its own
well. But production will inevitably decrease. And so hydrocarbons are a nonrenewable resource which we are using up at an alarming rate.
This is the downward side of the production curve. On this downward slope more and more energy is required to pump oil from a field, until a point is reached where it takes as much or more energy to pump the oil than can be extracted from the oil. At this point the wells are closed and the field ceases production, forever.
/733 This is the trend for every oil field ever discovered: increasing production, peak production, and declining production. Even fields as immense as those in Saudi Arabia follow this pattem.
More could be said about natural gas, which is also expected to decline in production in the next decade.ยง. , ~ Likewise, the coal resources within the US will be exhausted in another fifty years at most. 10 And coal alone will never meet our current, much less projected,
combine production from several different wells to
energy demand. Nor can salvation be expected from the Athabaskan (Alaskan) oil sands, which require a
develop production profiles for regions, nations, and
major energy investment to harvest and process.ll
In the 1950s and 1960s, Dr. King Hubbert managed to
even the entire planet. These regional oil production plots also have the form of a bell curve, known now as the Hubbert curve. Such curves can be used to predict
Number of Years to Peak for Various Nations, 1998
peak production and decline, both nationally and globally. Using this technique, Dr. Hubbert was able to surmise that US oil production would peak in the early 1970s and then fall into decline. Dr. Hubbert was ridiculed by other scientists who relied on differing, erroneous methodologies ..1 US oil production did peak in the early 1970s. To meet its rising energy needs after this point the US became
Against This Backdrop
increasingly dependent on foreign oil. This paved the way for the Arab oil embargo. By the end of the
Now that we have this background in place, let's reflect
decade, US oil production had begun to decrease
on the events of the past year.
irreversibly. Whatever anyone tries to say to the contrary, our dependence on foreign oil is permanent and increasing all the time. Dr. Hubbert was vindicated, and his is now the standard methodology for projecting oil production. Global production curves have also been in existence since the 1960s. They have been refined as data on
/
;'
oil resources is revised; yet the timing and length of
--- ---- _""--c:o.~""" โ ข. ;:::;: the peak have varied little through the years, Global oil production
peaked sometime in this past year and will begin to decline within another five years. Production will peak at a maximum of 90 million barrels per day; however, demand stands at 75 million barrels per day currently and will rise by 2.5 % per year to 100 million barrels per day by 2010.~
The 2000 presidential election has been referred to as a coup, and there is good reason for this. Never mind the widespread corruption and voter fraud. Never mind the disenfranchisement of black voters and the outright destruction of untallied ballots in minority voting precincts. Never mind the manipulations of James Baker, Govemor Jeb Bush and various other Florida officials. The Supreme Court decision was itself unheard of, and probably unconstitutional. The selfdescribed job of the Supreme Court is to decide questions of constitutional law and set precedents. Yet in this one case and no other in the history of the US the Supreme Court stated that itwas rendering a special decision which cannot be used as a precedent in any other case. 12 So we have a president put into office by a 5 to 4 vote of the Supreme Court, in direct opposition to the popular vote. What about the background of this pres'ident and his cabinet? The Bush cabinet is a virtual who's who of oil, defense and pharmaceutical bigwigs.
This is the composite global picture. To better understand what is happening, we have to compare various oil producing regions. In doing this we see that, except for the Middle East and the Caspian Sea Basin, the rest of the world has already peaked, and most oil producing regions are now in decline. The Middle East
13 The Bush family is itself closely tied financially to the bin Ladens.14 , 15 Both families are involved in the Carlyle Group.jยง Bush Sr. sits on the board of Carlyle, a 12 billion Equity company with oil holdings and defense contracts.j1 Dick Cheney was the former
and Caspian Sea regions are not expected to peak for
CEO of Halliburton Oil. Colin Powell is a major stockholder in several defense contractors. National
at least several years to come. With the passage of time, all countries will vie with each other for the oil of
Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice sat on the board of Chevron. Andrew Card, the Chief of Staff is from
these regions, vying for the survival of their civilization. And whoever controls the oil production of the Middle
General Motors. Donald Rumsfeld, Secretary of Defense, was CEO of Searle Pharmaceuticals. Dick
East and Caspian Sea regions will control the world.]
Armitage, the Deputy Secretary of Defense, has ties to
the Russian mafia and is a board member of Cartyle. Robert Jordan, the Saudi ambassador, was a member of Baker Botts, a legal firm specializing in oil and defense (the Baker in Baker Botts is James Baker). Tony Principi, Secretary of Foreign Affairs, comes from Lockheed Martin. Gordan England, Secretary of the Navy, is tied to General Dynamics. James Roche, Secretary of the Air Force, is from Northrop Grumman. Gen. Thomas White, retired, Secretary of the Army, is from Enron Energy. Donald Evans, the Commerce Secretary, owns Colorado Oil Company. National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice sat on the board of Exxon. And Mr. Cartucci, the Chief of Cartyle, sits on
Likewise, at home, he was highly reviled by many US citizens. There was even some talk of impeachment. All of this changed after 9-11, and it is to be wondered how the Bush administration would have survived without the terrorist attacks. 911
It is now earty summer of 2001, and the Bush administration informs Pakistan and India that it will launch a military mission against Afghanistan before the end of October.19 , 20 This is the same
the Middle East Policy Council. 18
Afghanistan to which the US gave 43 million dollars just a couple months before to aid them in destroying their
One of the first acts of the Bush administration was to
poppy crops; that on top of 132 million given to the Taliban in the previous year路ll, 22 At the time
declare an energy crisis and delineate a controversial set of measures for solving this problem. On the
Secretary of State Colin Powell informs Pakistan and India of US intentions there is no animosity between
surface, the Bush energy package called for increased
the US govemment and the Taliban, despite the fact
domestic production. This is the favored solution of certain mainstream, free-market economists, who
that the Taliban is openly harboring wanted terrorist Osama bin Laden.
believe that increased production is the answer to current energy woes while research and development of new technology will take care of the future. Most mainstream economists refuse to realize that hydrocarbons are the underpinning of our technological civilization, instead of just another commodity. And, of
In July, while seeking treatment for a kidney infection at an American hospital in Dubai, Osama bin Laden is visited by a CIA operative who later brags about the
course, increasing production has great appeal to
meeting.23 Shortly after this meeting came to light in late October, the CIA issued a statement insisting that it has never had contact with Osama bin Laden. Yet it
businesspeople whose prime concem is maximizing
is very well known that the CIA originally trained and
short-term profit.
supported bin Laden during the Taliban's fight against Soviet invasion. 24 , 25 , 26
Under the surface, however, the Bush energy package is a give away for the oil industry, and a strengthening
After 9-11 there has been a great deal of investigation
of US commitment to support corporate oil interests.
to see who profited from the attack on the Wortd Trade
The energy package sought to give away drilling rights in the Alaskan National Wildlife Arctic Reserve
Center. Investigators have tumed up a list of financial institutions in the US which profited from short-selling
(ANWAR) and other remaining wildemess areas, open up our continental shelves to full exploitation, role back environmental and health regulations, and subsidize
and put options on the WTC, airtine companies and the companies housed in the WTC. Short selling and put
the oil industry with major tax breaks. One controversial measure which received very little attention was an
to lose its value. The list of brokers handling the insider
item allowing energy corporations to extract resources
investment bank. "Buzzy" Krongard, the current
from public land without paying for the right to do so.
Executive Director of the Central Intelligence Agency is the former Chairman of the investment bank A.B.
The Bush energy plan was a giveaway for energy corporations. It met with stiff opposition in congress and certain prized measures such as drilling in ANWAR were defeated. Related to the energy package was President Bush's withdrawal from the Kyoto Treaty on global warming, which action was reviled around the wortd.
options indicate prior knowledge that an asset is about trading connected to 911 includes A.B. Brown, an
Brown.27 , 28 In the months prior to the terrorist attacks, there were many warning passed around various levels of the government and elsewhere. David Schippers the Republican lawyer who pressed impeachment against President Clinton, clairns he spent rnonths before 9/11
In his first months in office, Bush managed to alienate
trying to get information to Attorney General Ashcroft
almost every country on the planet in one arrogant move after another. When asked what he would do
from FBI agents who claim they were told not to
should Canada seek to limit natural gas flow to the United States, Bush said he would do whatever was
Manhattan was imminent. 29 The New York Daily News stated that some Middle-Easterners in New York
necessary to protect our right to Canada's natural gas.
were forewarned of the attacks.30 Bin Laden had
investigate leads that suggested a terrorist attack on
Jigswamed a few months previously that he and his followers would undertake an unprecedented attack on
President Bush quickly established a new cabinet level Office of Homeland Security, to be headed by former
US interests.l1
Pennsylvania Govemor Tom Ridge. This office is to stand over and coordinate among all existing domestic
Finally, on Friday, Sept 7, the State
Dept issued a worldwide terrorist alert to Americans abroad.32 It is hard to believe that no one in the US
police on national, state and local levels. And it is to be
intelligence community had knowledge of the pending attacks.
given its own special security forces with practically unlimited powers. Among their duties will be monitoring interstate travel at checkpoints and policing protests.
Between 7:45 and 8:10 EST, the moming of
Security forces will reserve the right to kill anyone who resists them. Bush and Ridge are pushing for national
September 11th, four US passenger jets were hijacked simultaneously. This was an event unprecedented in US history and should have set off all sorts of alarms
ID cards, and it is rumored that checkpoints will be equipped with face recognition technology. 33
by itself. Nothing was done. The FM had all four planes on radar the whole time. 35 minutes later,
In congress, unpopular legislation which had previously
American Airlines flight 11 crashed into the World Trade Center. The air force was not scrambled.
limped along was rammed through with patriotic fervor. Lobbyists lined up in a feeding frenzy. Where only a
President Bush was not even informed. After another
month before budget surpluses had dried up and
18 minutes, United Airlines flight 175 struck the second tower of the WTC. Bush is briefly informed of these events as he attends a 2nd grade class in Florida.
congress people were arguing for defense cuts, now practically the entire budget was given over to defense
Instead of taking emergency actions, Bush continues with his lessons. Another excruciating 37 minutes pass during which nothing is done. Radar tracks American Airlines flight 77 as it flies by Washington D.C., makes a tight spiraling descent, descending 7,000 feet in 2.5 minutes, and levels off to fly straight into the Pentagon
spending. And finally, congress passed a new antiterrorism act which granted police and the military vast new powers, ended habeas corpus and the posse comitatus act, and severely hamstrung the Bill of Rights. 34 , 35 All the while, the public is being kept in a state of alert
at 640 knots, clipping power lines along the way.
with threats of anthrax exposure and other vague terrorist alarms. The anthrax attacks are themselves
Some time later, United Airlines flight 93 crashes in
extremely peculiar. The Bush administration wants to
Pennsylvania. Witnesses report debris falling from the plane many miles before it hit ground. There has been a lot of speculation about the intended target of this 4th plane. Some say the target was Camp David, some the White House. It has also been speculated that this craft sought a midair coJlision with Air Force One. We will
point the blame at Iraq, while the FBI and other investigators believe them to be the work of homegrown, probably rightwing, terrorists. Yet all the leads seem to evaporate into thin air. The main targets, media and Democratic Senator Tom Daschle, make little sense if the perpetrators are Islamic extremists. Those who would benefit the most from these attacks
probably never know its intended target. However, it is interesting to consider if the target of flight 93 had
are President Bush and his administration, as the
actually been the Capitol Building. Had this jet struck
attacks only serve to scare the media and his political
congress, President Bush might have temporarily
opposition further into his protective arms. Finally there
assumed the powers of congress.
is the ineffective nature of the attacks; for the most part,
Subsequent Events
the exposures are easily treated with antibiotics. It would be easier and more effective to use letter bombs. That is, unless your goal was to instill fear in
After 9-11, President Bush's approval rating rose to 80%. A wave of patriotic hysteria has washed over the
the media, the political opposition and the general public without massive casualties.
entire country, giving Bush the mandate he so desperately desired. Instead of seeking out the
Lastiy, the assault on Afghanistan began just as
perpetrators and bringing them to justice through legal channels, Bush declared war on all terrorists and on
planned. And the US now has the excuse to attack any other nation it pleases. All that is required is to first label them as terrorists.
any country which harbors or supports terrorists. This is to be a very long and open-ended war, without specific goals against which its success and eventual resolution
Oil, Again
can be measured. Operation "Infinite Justice" as it was originally called. The US public must prepare themselves to suffer and sacrifice while the war itself will be fought largely in secret.
Just what was the planned purpose of the assault on Afghanistan? You could say it was a pipe dream. US oil interests have their eye on large untapped hydrocarbon resources in the Caspian Sea region. Just
as the Bosnian conflict was part of an effort to secure
this country, who will soon be faced by starvation and
the Balkan states for an oil and gas pipeline to the
extreme impoverishment, can be held in check through the establishment of a police state.
European energy market, so the US is seeking secure passage for a pipeline through Afghanistan to feed the Asian energy markets and __~' \2"1
",;,:;:"-"r _
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:
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the US itself.36 , 37 Beyond this, the War on Terrorism, gives the US a perfect excuse to seize control of major oil deposits in other countries such as
All the while, people are being diverted from seeing that we have just enough energy resources left that we could build a true ectopian democracy where all of us could lead freer, healthier, more fulfilling lives. We need bottom up democracy. We need small-scale economies, and small-scale technologies powered by renewable energy. We need smaller communities, structured to be self-sufficient, all tied together by high
Iran and Colombia. Likewise, it legitimates a police state within the US so that the elite can prepare for the
speed monorails. We need gardens and parks in our cities instead of cars. We need social halls, not
day when the common people of this country are impoverished and starving due to the collapse of oilbased civilization. The Elite will maintain their own
shopping malls. And we have enough energy remaining to do this, if we act now.
comfort and their average of twelve energy slaves per
The oil elites, however, want to use our remaining
person.
energy resources to establish a security state where
Here then, is the scenario. Wary of the peak and
they can enjoy the remaining riches while the rest of us suffer, starve and slave for them.
approaching decline of hydrocarbon production, the oil and defense elite in this country back a political coup to
Yet they are not the ones pulling the triggers and
put their people in the White House. However, this oil administration can do very little toward achieving their
enforcing the rules. We are. And that's what they fear most. So tell me, what do you think we should let
ends because of unpopularity at home and abroad. In
happen now?
growing desperation, this regime provokes and permits, if not outright planning the enterprise on its own, a massive terrorist attack against the US
ENDNOTES:
homeland, striking at the very symbols of globalization
1 ENERGY FOR TOMORROW'S
WORLD;
World Energy
and US imperialist military might. Perhaps failing in an
Council, p. 90, 1993
attempt to attack congress which would then give the
2 Energy Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001-
president the opportunity to "temporarily" suspend the constitution and assume sole power. This terrorist act
http://www.dieoff.orq
negates all opposition to the regime and gives them the authority to do whatever they wish intemationally and domestically to protect the interests and the positions ofthe oil elite.
3 Environmental Accounting: Energy and Environmental Decision Making, Howard 1. Odium, WHey, 1996. From page 314, we find that in 1993 total USA fuel use was 4.78 x 10e24 sej (increasing about 2% per year ever since). From page 187 we find that total net solar radiation absorption for Alaska and the lower 48 was 4.48 x 10e22 sej. In other words, the USA is presently using fossil fuels more than 100
This scenario may seem farfetched but no other theory can explain as adequately all the events of the past year, given the facts that are known and the background of the approaching end of the oil age.
times greater than the total absorption of solar radiation across the entire USA! 4 ENERGETIC
LIMITS TO GROWTH,
Jay Hanson; Energy
Magazine, Spring, 1999; http://dieoff.com/paqe175.htm 5 http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbertl
Even if you don't believe the events of the past year were intentional, that does not change the picture of the future before us. We stand at the dusk of oil-based civilization, and the US is preparing for the approaching night by extending its military might throughout the world and instituting a police state at home.
6 Energy Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001 http://www.dieoff.orq 7 The Hubbert Peak for World Oil, http://www.hubbertpeak.com/summary.hlm 8 Energy Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001 http://www.dieoff.orq 9 http://dieoff.com/naqas.hlm 10 BEYOND OIL, by John Gever et al., pp. 65-68, Univ. Pr.
Ending on a Positive Note
Colorado, 1991. 11 GeoDestinies, by Waiter Youngquist; National Book Company, 1997.
Global oil is peaking; in five years we will no longer be
See http://dieoff.com/paqe132.htm
able to produce enough oil to meet the needs of our oil
12 The Betrayal of America: How the Supreme Court
civilization. The oil elite wants to grab the remaining supplies and dictate their use. Likewise, the people of
Undermined the Constitution and Chose Our President, Vincent Bugliosi, Thunder's Mouth Press/Nation Books,
by
1?-3"}2001.
27 Suppressed Details of Criminal Insider Trading lead
13 The Oil behind Bush and Son's Campaigns by Ranjit
directly into the CIA's Highest Ranks, CIA Executive Director
Devraj, Inter Press Services, 5 October 2001; Posted at
"Buzzy" Krongard managed Firm that handled "put" Options
globalresearch.ca
on UAL , by Michael C. Ruppert , FTW Publications, 9 October 2001. Centre for Research on Globalisation,
15 October 2001.
http://www.qlobalresearch.calarticles/DEV110Ahtmi
globalresearch.ca,
14 George W. Bush's Dubious Friends, Intelligence Newsletter, 2 March 2000; Posted at globalresearch.ca
20 October 2001.
October 2001. http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/INL110A.html
http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/RUP110Ahtml 28 The CIA's Wall Street connections, Transcript of interview
15 BUSH LADEN by Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes; 8 October 2001.
with Michael C. Ruppert. Guns and Butter, The Economy Watch with Kellia Ramares and Bonnie Faulkner Aired on
http://emperors-clothes.com/news/bushladen.htm 16 Judicial Watch: Bush/bin Laden Connection "has now
Centre for Research on Globalisation (CRG), Montreal,
tumed into a scandal!", Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes;
globalresearch.ca
posted 6 October 2001. http://emperors-
http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/RUP111Ahtml
clothes.com/newsflw.
29 David Shippers Interview, Alex Jones Radio Show;
1
KPF A 94.1 FM, Berkeley, CA Friday, October 12, 2001.
htm
3 November 2001.
October 10, 2001.
17 The Carlyle Group, Alfred Mendes, Spectrezine. http://www.spectrezine.orq/qlobal/carlvle.htm
http://www.infowars.com/transcriptschippers.html
18 You've got to be Up Front, Mike McCormick, transcription
30 Some Got Warning: Don't Go Downtown on Sept. 11, By
of an interview with Stan Goff; October 24, 2001.
GREG B. SMITH, Daily News; 10/12/2001.
http://narconews.com/qoffrnccormick1.html&
http://www.nvdailvnews.com/2001-10-
http://www.radi04all.netlproqinfo.php?id=3795
12/News
19 US Planned Attack on Afghanistan,
31 Who Did It? U.S. Searches for Terror Clues; Analysts See
George Amey, BBC;
and Views/City
Beatla-128273.asp
Signs of Osama Bin Laden, By David Ruppe, ABC News,
18 September, 2001. http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/enqlish/world/south 50000/1550366.stm
asialnewsid
15
Sept 11, 2001. http://abcnews.qo.com/sections/world/DailvNews
20 India in Anti-Taliban Military Plan, Indiareacts.com; June, 2001.
26
/wtc terrorsuspects
010911.html
32 David Ruppe, ibid.
http://www.indiareacts.com/archivefeatures/nat2.asp?recno=
http://abcnews.qo.com/sections/world/DailvNews/wtc
10&ctq=
uspects
terrors
010911.html
21 Bush sends Money to Taliban while Planning War,
33 Citizen, Can I See Your ID , by AI Martin, AI Martin Raw.
TASHKENT, Aug 08, 2001 (Itar-Tass via COMTEX).
http://www.almartinraw.com/column37.html
22 The Washington Post, 25 May 2001. 23 CIA AGENT ALLEGEDLY MET BIN LADEN IN JULY,
34 ATTACK ON THE BILL OF RIGHTS,
From 'Le Figaro' [1 November 2001], Translated by Tiphaine
by Marty Jezer,
Brattleboro (VT) Reformer; 10/19/01. 35 From the United States of America to the National
Dickson, By Alexandra Richard; Page 2, October 31st, 2001.
Security States of America, by AI Martin, AI Martin Raw.
http://emperors-clothes.com/misc/lefiqaro.htm
http://www.almartinraw.com/column36.html 36 Turkmenistan: China Plans To Aid Construction Of
24 Washington: Parent of the Taliban and Colombian Death Squads, by Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes; Posted 5 June
Iranian Pipeline, By Michael Lelyveld, Radio Free Europe-
2001. http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/iared/mis.htm
Radio Liberty; 17 November 1997.
25 "OSAMAGATE",
Economics, University of Ottawa; Centre for Research on
http://www.rferl.orq/ncalfeatures/1997/11/F.RU.97111713031 3.html
Globalisation (CRG), Montreal. Posted at globalresearch.ca 9 October 2001.
Profits, H. Michael Sweeney, Noilwar.
http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/CH011
http://www.proparanoid.com/priorknowledqe.htm#merqe
by Michel Chossudovsky,
Professor of
OAhtml
26 GAPING HOLES IN THE 'CIA VS. BIN LADEN' STORY,
37 Same Investors, Oil Companies Merge, Poised for War
by Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes; Posted 8 November
[Dale Alien Pfeiffer is a Michigan structural geologist, activist, and novelist. He can be reached at
2001. http://emperors-clothes.com/news/probestop-i.htm
enerqv editor@copvcia.coml
Page 1 of 12
CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
I
..Sqerct -~ t'~ 77·10U7 Merth
NATIONAL
1977
SECURITY INFORMATION
Unouthorizcd m~dosure Subject
to CriminQI SanctiOns
CIAn~rI•.d ~
hro. (I.",~I ::::oH'e: •• I'ln::IlI-aft S-ch.du!. of !.O_tll-..c;3 •• Ii.-'Olie. .•• 1:9J:1~'yt
, .• oemp1
,n:I/. (21.
"nd 1]1 ~I:,gUlI 1.'It cn,: ....,~ '...,... •• '01. #f) otI.I."W ..••
----~----------------_._----""IJ·eorPoo:J;III:.:d,
•....•.
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
l11C'
Impending
Sovlef
Oil Cri~i:s
. The $avkt oil jnd~lstry Is in (!ouble. S,wiet; oil productjon wil1 SOU;) peak, . pos.~ibly liS early as next .'~ear Elnd 'certalnly not I,,(cr tl1"n the ~:ar1y I980s, The maximum
level of output
tCIl~hed Is likely to be I~[wccn
I I nnd 12 mmlon b:Jrrcls
per day Cb/d)-up from the ]976 Icvci of 10.4 rtimlon bid. , noi: Hkcly (0 be mnJnta]J1cd for long, !howcver, will be ~h.arp_ . j
MnxJrml111
Ilhd the decline,
when
! i
levels tiro
ii co 1111;5.
I
The Soviets have t••••. o baslc problems: or,e orrescrves .md
Onc
of production .
unHkcl~' discoverY of a mnssi\'e r.cw field dose to 1.1n existing j·apidly er-on;:!! W ma::It;tJn ;;;ccep(;)blc !1:SC['i';::S-(o-productior\ ra"ios, Md Iho5U fjcld~ that' p.ccount for th~ bulk of $ovi;:; t
. B:J·rring an extremely
ftdd. ncw dej}Qsi[s will not be fowid
pmducliQn nr-e expericncing seVere wntcr encrollchmcl1.t. As {~ rcsutt. ir;<;~nstJ\!.:1y qmmtltlcs of Water mU!:t be lifted for cllch. b1lrrcl of oil p!tJd~j(;cd. and high-cJJ.pacity submersihJe pumps-ob!.nirmblc pnly from th~ Unih:~ Statcs-wi!l he IIl,gc
rtq:.Ji~J
dcdim::; ~re to. be st<!ved·off cn;n tcmpo[;Jri!y.
if production
DurJng
the
l1..:xt d~c(jc!o. the
USS R :rmy
well
find
tt!
itself not <)Ill,' ~.nublc
sU;lply oi] to E.r:stcrn Europe !1tH' the West o;~ the rr~scnl sCi:lk. bu: ;I(SO 11;Jvinr, fo wmpete for OPEC {liI for its own ~!se.·nlis wOll!d be :! miJrkcd dla:ll;c frol11 in which
the Current situ;Jtion, ~tccat
of toflll
cou] and !Il1tuml
Soviet S"I$,
;tP: cast of tlte Umh,
hJfd
c:>:.port:; of {)il to the West rJnnu:1!ly provide-
currency
er.rnill!;5. The USSH hilS l:trg{: rescn'cs
but. those scheduled
fur exploitation
40 of •
eve: the n(')( t dec:tde:
far rrom con~<Jming ccotcrs in the W{'stcln USSR. Distance:,
;md tntfiSport dif,jr;ult ant! cXPCnSi\'l', dir~:!tt:, omJ h: Il\irt win rrmkc exploitation EXI)Orts l1f gas ·••• ·ill jncrcll~<:. ellr will I1C! f;ompc!J!i:HC for the loss or c;lrIli:J,!,. ••• from thr: eXj10rt of oil. Although somc wbstitution of \;(1(!1 und ~:Js for oil in. C01Tlc,tlc U~~ .•••. 111bIJ 1J()~s:blc It! the ~loJ1R nw,
--"-------
tile ('ffel:t of sllch
51~b:stH,,(jor:
will bc rlli~1mltl
-
NUldirected •..: C(}mm~11 t·· '''''I qucrlc5 rct~(lrdlng lIII" menw~nndllm ;!re wl'koll1c. Tlw)' IUt" !()
J~,
rite
Office
of
EC(;:llImk:
Re!>'.:J:c])
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
~ tn the
short
mo.
Neither
I
hydrool~ctrtc
power
trcnsmlHcd
from
th.e ellst
nor
corutrtlction of nuclear electric plant5 (mainly In thl: Western USSR) can be expected to nfford rnuch ~Jicf in the Soviet energy !;ttuation for r\'iorc th:tn :1 d!:cadc •.
The Problem I.
Unlike the United Stotcs. whkh has long rcstricted production for reasons
of cOllservation IInd profit. the USSR f~vors ,I forced draft nppro::lch. Short-term ",...... •.f'sl •.•'~"""
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n __
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
1r""""'I."'''U I<VUp., I1U~ {':1:IIIIlI!!i, uno rcwar<Js are given lor with I1ttJe regard to productl.·Jty over the longer I..:nn. Und,'r lhcse
I••"' •••••••••.••• .l:\V'''''' '"''
eKcccdir1!; them
conditions, Sovi('t production has expanded much morc rapidly in the last 20 years thlln that of the United States.
Soviet and US Crude 011 Production IIlllID.
fiGURE
1
BID
12
D
80
19!!1I
2.
The
7G 70
70
Soviet stakh:!nollite
approach
80
815
J---.-- proJKtf'd---i
has led to (a) :m empha!ils
on
development drHling over explorntion. with the rcsult that new discoveries atc feiling to keep pl'CC with output growlh; Cb) Q\'crproductlon of existing wells and nclds throush rapid WilIer injection find other methods. with the result that less of the Dil In place is ultimntely recovered; and (c) new capacit}lo; requiremcnts that SOOn will run for beyond the Soviet 011 industry's capobility, Erfo!"ts to further im;rcilsc
flrod~lctlon-!lH:h plan-can
Il! oIlrc dcmllndJ:d by the 80:lls of the rcc~ntly annfJllnccd S~ycor only Worsen the :illuatlon und mllke tho CVcJ1lUoJ downward slide marc
rttpld.
I ~T
Urnls
1910
19~O_
-.
...:
USSR: I"u,duclicn of Crud~ Oil,' by Rrghm
O.S 4.9 4.1 3.5 5.6 NA 11.8 Goal Q.69 O,r. S.71 Low. , 11.0 9.82 0.81 1975 6.00 .12,W 1:I.!ih
of Puk Out~ CiA F.s(£m;]tu
. - --
LS 0.70 0.81 ; :4.17 2.9'2.01 5.80 ; 1.06
2.85 !
Million Dnrn!! P<" 0111
~:~~ )
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11.0 U.J;;: 0.45 05 0.14 O.oJ 0.69 0.08 0.6 3.82 0.03 0,41 O.JS O.R2 0.9 0.22 S.l 0.4 6.1 0.8 0.1 7.09 0.28 004 :).2 O.2t 0.01 0.41 a.1S 0.58 1.26 0.23 0.04 5.2 0,08 Nil 0.07 2.Q6 .0.03 0.15 0.05 0.27 0.0.1 0.63 0.62 6.1 0.31 0.24 CIA FOIA - THE 0.6 0.4': 0.05 SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147) Q.SO .0.29 Negl 6.16 N~g1 ;!';..::r . IMPENDING Ncgl 0.14 1.74 0.2 0.54 0.1 ) i
Page 6 of 12
j
0.40 0.11 }}
"
on~n"'u~. O.OJ
1
OJ j 1743
0.16 J
, L
,
3.:
As th~ ratio of rc~o~~! to output
hit!!.
f{lUen, the bulk or Sovlct output
has COITI~ Increasingly from nl.:id!l. npproadling cKhnus.tlon. Tho rcsult hus Ixcn no ect:clerntlon of drilling requirement:!:. which will level off or <Jcelim: only wht:rl-and If-v~ry 'lm~c n~w L1I.hlitiotl~ ure mude to the producing rC$~rv'c basc. llw Sovil!B 111 terms 6r thc dcplction 10 ofr",ct (kpft'1ioll of old ('ul'm:ity !
~W.:':lk of this problem
n:qllit1:d
orf~ct-thc umouot In each
of new cllPllcity
S-ycllr plan
period.
'2
rr'-~
4. During the 196+65 plan period. ot'lly 1.3 milUon bId {67 mmion tnns per ~eaT) of capocily had to be replaced. In 1971·75, 5.1 million bid (254 million tOI1~
per ycur) of rcl!ltl(:~mcnt
cnpndry
WII,,'I
required
bCCIUl'lC
of mplll dcplct.l(m.
Viewed in. Linother WLlY. about 72 pcn:crn or 1970 cOIpm.:Hy h:l<I to be replaced by the end of 1975. 11~e target fot th~ 1976·80 plan is 10.6-; 0.8 million bId {S30-540 million. tOrts pet ycarLoI new. capacity; 7.8 million b/~-cquIIJ to about gD .percent of the C(lfladty on lin(! In .L97S.-iS:lo 9rfscI dcpTctioll.lr" deph:tioT\ is more repld th:m the Soviets expcct-nnd.
based on-·thcli--past
record. it may
wcl~ bc-c-onsidcrabl>' more' of the 1975 capacity will have to be replaced. RescrvC$
S. There is uncertainty about the Si7-C [)f the USSR's reserves. becausc of deOnition~1 problems as well as Soviet scclY"~y. Our best estimatc is that Soviet proved rescrves are 3Q..)S, billion barTeI~. roughly comparable with those of the United States. There is 110 doubt that Russinn proved rcscrw:s have been ramng in r~ccnt Years, and there is very little chance that enough ncw oil will 00 di~co~rcd during toe next few y"ars to appreci:!bly improve tbe rescf\·cs.to·production ratio. Indeed. d(~piCe rtm.Jor cffort~ it will probably detcriotrl!l: further. 6.
Although
Sjhcri31n, IInd offshore
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USSR has :Ibund.tnt potcotial tCserves in Arctic. East :maS. development of such reserves iS:lt least a decade away •
the
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
Thu~" during the !lCx.! 8·10 years. almost :tll Soviet output will have cxistlng fields cnd from new fields in c~ ~s[ing prodm:ing rCj!iol'ls,
EO
come from
Th~ Outlook fur Output rromF.:x.~tin!J ProductiDn Regiuns , 7•. From World Wj),~U through 1970, the fU'owlh In Soviet oH output climeeither from the Caspian ficlds Of. nftor the mid-19Scrs, front Inr~1,)fields in the Ural$·Volg:l (t!gion. Since ,1970, neart~ :311output growth has come (tom Wcst Siberia, primarily from the jpant Samotlor field. Current Soviet plans eaU for holding !lAAtcgatc output
l1eLlrly constLlnt
west
~f
the Urnl~. while doubling
production
~t'
West SlbNiu, 8IJcuuse of a variety of 'problems. we Iwl!~ve thltt output w('.~! of the, Urals will decline, while that of West Slberin :wll1 [nil fat short of dOllblln~.
! 8.
from llo1ds in the wc5tcrn purt of the country I:,>comlnR ftom weater depths nnd from In-OU drilling which nnOW!! mo~ Inlcnsl ••• ~
Production
Increasingly .
!;
eX(3lolta!lon
of alNady
tapped r~ervolrs.
All growth '
.. I
in O\ltput
USSR: Additions to on Producing Capacity
through
FIGURE
1 ~80 will
2
10.8
,
;-
.,' :-'-
.3.0--
GROY/TH
MtLUON BARRELS OF OIL PER DA.,
1.8 .
,.1' J,
'
,.,.
'
~ J,jjtf'!I"t '(' ,.I. '.;' ,I
! ,I'
I
:'
,
f;:
:,;; .
r •.
4.0
, .~
.
1.11
DEPI.Elh1~OmtT
5.1
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
..
i
, , I, ...
~ ~.'. 1.3:
,-:~~4 ;
'" :
.."";: !,I..•.
.' "
,
:!, •.", i • 'I) '",, ,:" ;I!I ".:t: ," I ••: "
t
','
:
i
I
:
.
1070·80
pi .• "
", •.•. l I ~I
c(lm~ from West Siberh"
wlll'rc Ill\.' il1h!l~pitl1blc dimntt.:. dlflkult
distances
grently
complicltt4.:' opcrntions.
Siberian
output
:md toughly
onc-fifth
[n 1976. n!'lproxitn:Jt~ly of ulltionnl
productit'u
terrain.
ntHl Vllst
60 pCl\:clil
of West
cam" frOln the gi:!!It
Sumotlor field on the middle Ob'.Sovict soure\1S indicate that this field will rc;!ch peak production In the nl.:xt year Of SO and will hold pcnk II.:\'~I~ for no ",orc than 4 years.
It .Is already CXJ11.'~~ocJ"grupid watef IncursIon.
The _water ~ut rcachcd
47, percent In 1915. and; iru:rcasingqu::ItHitics "Ofl1u.id (W<itCf plus ~oil)- must bc, lifted to recover any givcn:qu:mtity of oil. Although ne\~tf'k'ltts arc bci'ng discovered in West Slb~rla, no gianl: ne!!.!:> comparable to Snmotlor have been found.
The Drilling Problem : 9.
The USSR does not have Ihe drilling cupability 10 pursue adequ:ltc
dcvelopment lIod cxploroUol\ progrurnsslmultl.incously. The Sovich hnve some 1,600 active rigs, abo\lt .he sam~!ls the Untied States. In terms of metcrs drilled, however, the Soviet dfort amounts to only about one·fifth U13t of the United St3tes. In IQ71-75. the Soviet Ministry of the Oil Industry drilled a total ofaboul 52 million meters. 1n t 975 alonc, the United Sltttes drilled S3 million meters with about 1.700 rigs. We estimate that. even wHh !I maximum effort. the Soviets will not be: able to come close to drilling by 1980 the 7S million meters called fOf by their current S-year plan .
. 10.
'
The poor Soyiel' drilllng
record
Is in part thc fC!;UIt of the fact thut 80
percent of their drilling is done with turbodrilling rigs that arc highly inefficient for deep drilling or for use in soft formatians. Greater access to advanced Western t~hnology und rotary drilllna equipment could help allcvlntu the Soviet drilHn!! ' problem. The Fluid Urtlng Problem
. 11.
i
,
In the 1950-". when well!! In thc Umls-Volg:1 region began to stop flowing
ft
nntufal1y, tho Soviets were forced to begin pu~plng. thnt time, howcyer. pumping equipment was In short supply. To forestall 11 slowdown 1n th.J growth I or 011 output. the Soviets ndoptl:!d the; practice of RUlsslve wnter Injection withIn , aM I110ng the edge~ of ellch field. If: enough \Y~ter i! forced into 11.formnllon, , Lt rniSl:!5 ~crvoir
pressures
so that W~115once I1sUin now without
, Soviet sys.tem differs from thc standard W~stcrn secondary
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
?G.R€r- i j
i
Much
more
w~ter
il\.itded
1.0;
th1l11
oil rroduced. ,
12•• c'icntuv.Ur
,
ill thut the QbJc-::t Is 10 inclcll~c f:\lhcr t:um Just to malrHlJln premlf('.
wDtcrf100ding
,
Althoul::h mL1<;slvc WdN InjectIon c~n; boo~t ~rodllctlon for a time. tho watc: wiH find Cl channel of lcn~t r('sl~ta"c~ nnd brcnk throllghto
the oU-producing well, a procu.s that leaves bc~ind much ~U 111 the IcS$ rCj:Jnr.:n];!lt,; portlons of the (.cirmat!.;In. When the w~lts beg/ri to show ·wa'tel' in large quantitlcs.
I
I
_.~,
the natural now will w>lIlll1y !top and the wells must be 'p\lmp~d. In thb ea~. however. conventlono] pumpIng equipment cannot be used; spcclnl hll':h·coj)Qcily submersible pumps are needed bcc:msc much ~atc~r volucncs of nuid (water plus oil) must be lifted. .. ,
,
I
\3. Such pumpJ\ began to bc, used extensive!}' 10 the USSR 10 the l>itc 1960s. In ] 973, tha.o;cpumps provided 2:5 million bid of the So~ct total of 8.6 million
i
j
USSR: Fluid Lifting Requlrements1
FIGUP. E 3
!I ttH 0~ UET~lt fDH 3.Y.:II
t.C~ WATER
Olt o107~ J ...
:' ,i
~ ;
I,
'
~~ l... !JOO
t
I
-I
1DTe -/ 7 11U' >
I
~ ,
,
i B~I.!28
r-
UI78
: ling
19f1D
pia" '.V. •.'.ftM'
u••m.'.1 n j:,..,.II"
}lIoIl4I
u •.t·,"'~I~ t., nren. ~ UI1Ic3J "". 1I~5 ..r..•till !!II U .f.~n'"• nu.
.~I ••
,I ""-iftl k
~I.'!••fld,.
I•• e,.!, ••• 1 III1IU.
b ,.,.'
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
bId. The Su ••• icts h;.td ~omc 12.00U or thcs~ pumps in 1975, ::md their need ror sllch cquirmlcnl is lncrenslng rJpidly as water encroachmcnt becomes 11 prohlem in more urld mure fields., Allhou~h some WI;$.! E~lroflcun lI;ltion~ und the USSR itJir:lr manuractuft< D JOWCI: capacity nun the only pumps I:Idcqu1ItC' to
versiou of tho:sc pumps, Ihe Soviets recoimi1.c with their UfUng problem IIfC made hI the
del11
Uni!cd States. The 1.000,pump$ alrcady purchased from the UnHcd Slates have toted lifting cnpoclty 'lhsn the Il,oaO-{JUmps of domesticl>nr;ln. Even In the United States, such pumps lire nuin'ufacturod 'bY-onl~two compl1nlc:.s and' are' in short supply. As un' alh:rnntive to high·capaclty submcrsible pumps, lit least in sOtn~ fields, the Soviets are considering wider, use of gas·lift equipment. Thc kInd of projects they hQVC In mind :woutd rcI;J.ulre Inrgc-sc1Ilc imports of US technology nod lang Ictld times.' i n higher
Tltr: Longer
Tenn
01.1
Uook ,
The Jnitlol fallorr. wh~rI,1t comes. will almost 4;crtalnly he s.hl1rp; th!:!t"Dn~r
14.
output may continue to faU sharply, level off, or pcrhap~ even Increase a.~new fjc!d~ are brought into prodl1ctlon in frontier areas. There Is 110 quc-stiO[1 that new f1elds-some quite large-win eventuoHy be di1icovered. Givclt the rnpid ratc of dcpletlo[1 of exl!tlng ficld$ Dnd the technical difficulties nssocll1f,::d with exp1oratlon Dnd cx'ploitatlorl In fronth:r nrcns, howcycr, we doubt thllt the new discovcrics will come on stream rapidly enough to do mqre thur.. temporarily um:st the rapid slide 'of Soviet output. ict production during 15. A'J WC :o>tlltcd earlier, only small nmounts of So ••.. the. next decade will come from outside e~istjng proc!t1di'\g nreas. In the early 19805 new offshore Cuspla.n reserves mar mJ.ke somo small contribution to Qutput. as WIll neW dlscovcriC!l on th~ MangyshlBK Peninsula on the cn!f shore ('\1 the Caspian and in the PcchClm region west of the Urnl$. The Soviets. IIlso h\1pc to find oil in deep structures in the northern part of West Slberia.'s Tyumcn' Oblnst Limilt::d c~plorl1Uon In this rcgJon. how('vcr. ha..<; so far yielded 'mainly naturol gas pod condensate. I ~ ! ~ ,
i
16.
Geo!ogleal condItions favumblc to II!r~ future disCQveric!\ cxi$t over much
of the Arctic
offshore: rdglons
East SlbQrlan
lowland!!,
Klllw.:hrlt1HI
IInd
:1fCn::, however.
in the Barcnts
and
KDrn
SeD!:),
11'1
In the Ca~phm tJrca, IIr:tI l1~rhups.
the
orr
the Scn or Okhotsk. Production from most of these lenst 11 decade away. 11'1 tha: ofr~horo Arctic, environmental
8akhlln Is ut
(especially
In deep structure~ in
7
conditions
lire much Illore ~cvr.:rl:! th:H1 In the North Set!: l4:dmo]o~y
for I,.'XplOf(lIiotl
nOli prodm:lIcf\ In this fc!-,oion 'does l1ul y!:!t ,c!(lst, ~V()n in till: Wesl. AllhulI,!,:h conditions ftlore fao,'orablc "CDr S:JkJU1lin and in the Eas' Sibo..'riall lowhuuJs, [l1"C
production ~ __ J .. _IL·I
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."
tran:o;portatio[J! •••
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make
it
doubtrul
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
proullcuon cOUla uucc place un ~iI 10 YC:Jf$j)rtcr a mu.lor discovery-which hn~ yi:t to be ltl;tgc. The Icad time would b~_~.hortcr for production from dc<;r wcll.s in
the Caspian region; the USSR; however. lac.k.5 thc· ~Lljpr!1cnt ana i:xpi"ricnce· to undcrt"kc 11 deep :drilling program witbOJut cx.fchsivc-Wcslcrri help.
ni:ccss;tr)'
Economic Impliclttlom ,
17. When oil pmduction SI()ps growing, and perhaps eVCn before. profQl.lnd rcper~ussions will bc fclt on th~ domestic. economy of the USSR and on Its intcrnalionw economic relations. The extent of such rcpNcu!t~ion~ can be only guessed at without further research. AlII minimum. the USSR will find it extremely meet its (\wn rcquircrm:nts and (husc of ,difficult to continuc t1) simultaneou!:1y Enstern Europe while cxporting:to
non·Communist
More pcs.o;iml!\tically, the USSR. wJII
18.
i!~drbecome
countries on Ihc prcsent scalc. un 011 importer.
are Import::!n! considcrntion'1 for the Sm1ct Union. IllloW supplies of the oil required by the Cummunist counlrics of Eastern Europe,
I These
three-fourths
and It undoubtedly
wishes to I"Otuln th~ political
a!1d economic
leverage tllnt goes.
being' thi:lr prJncipnl !Oupp1ier, For mOlriy ycnl'S (he export of oil to nOIl-'Comtnunist countries, mllinly in Western Europe. hus I:P-CI1 01t' USSR's l:1r~cst single sOUrce of hard currency.· with
19. I In the dom~UcBlIv And
long
run,
n.pl"hnl'¥: in
con~ideruble
substitution
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transmission must be s.olved before such resources can be fully c;otploited. Th":' Soviets consider nuclear power to b<: the best source of lIew electric pO''''l'r in European area.s. A program for constructing nuclcllr ),JOwerplllnts Is under WilY, but it will be quite! somo time boro..., the,,, plana ca~;havc.Qn important effcct on
the: power base. In 1975 nuclear power n:pr~sen.t~d2
perct'!nt.
of total power
prod..uction. and .It will reach Qply abOut 6 percent In ·1980.
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THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF
-',,.
WASHINGTON
25, D.C.
Ij
I i
. 13 l\1arch 1962,
t t
,
,
,
MEMORANDUMFOR THE SECRETARY 9F DEFENSE
:
Subject;
Justification for US Military Intervention
in Cuba (TS)
,', /. ,
1. The Joint Chiefs of Staff have considered the attached Memorandum'~or .the Chief 'of Operations, Cuba Project, which responds to a'·~equest of that office for brief but precise description of pretexts ,which would prOVide justification for US military intervention in Cuba. (
,
..
2. The ,Joint Chiefs of~Staff recommend that the proposed memorandum be forwarded as a preliminary submission suitable for planning purposes. It is assumed that there will be similar submissions from other agencies and that these inputs will be used as a basis for aeveloping a t~e-phas~d plan. Individual projects can then be considered on a case-by-case basis .
,I
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I
.,,
3. Further, it is assumed that a single agency will be given th~ 'primary respon~ibility for developing milit~ and para-military aspects of the basic plan. It is recommended that this responsibility for both overt and ,covert military operat+ons be assigned the Joint Chiefs of Staff. For the Joint Chiefs
of
staff:
..
~-a!
-
BY JCS ON __ S'(gTEMATICA.'lLU~IEW~ ~LA~SIFICAI!mi, 9.l!Il!'!!LEll .... " ...• _----"'--.~
--:lr:i~ - GeL ,
L.
L. LEMNITZER Chairman Joint" Chiefs pr St
I.Enclosure Memo for Chier of Ope~at1ons, Cuba Project EXCLUDED REGRADING;
EXCLUDED
FROM GDS
FROM AijTOMATrc DOD DIR 5200.10
, DOES NOT APPLY
"I
_ ••v In •• '.•..
The ?ourses
submission
suitable
arranged
neither
Together
w2th
intended
to provide
of a aingle, permit
of action wp~ch
only for planning
ohronologioally
of cumulative,
are a preliminary They
nor in ascend2ng
time-phased
order. they are
Such a plan
projects
actions designed
of adequate
are
for the development
plan.
of individual
correlated
to the objective
justification
within
would
the context
to lead inexorably for US military
in CUba).
1. Since it would seem desirable provooation
to use legitimate
as the basis for US military
a cover and deception
plan, to include
~uch as has been developed
Qould be exeouted reactions. Cubans
~~tt~~~'Htk
purposes:
a point of departure
integrated,
intervention
follow
u Itn
IN OUBA
similar inputs from other agencies,
the evaluation
actions
11ur
AmffiX TO APPENDIX TO ENCLOSURE A TO JUSTIFY US MILIT!lliY INTERVENTION
PRETEXTS
(Note:
nit n U Llt\..A
LVI" L
as an initial
Harassment
intervention
requisite
in response
effort
plus deceptive
prel1minary
to Task
to provoke actions
in Cuba
33
CUban
.'
to convince
of imminent 'invasion would be emphasized.
c,
the
OUr military -
posture change
throughout
exeoution
from exercise
2. A series
of the plan will allow
to intervention
of well o~rdinated
if CUban reBponB~
appearance
r
in and around Guantanamo't3
of being done by hostile
a. In~identa
to establish
j~Bt~£ies.
incidents ,will be planned _
to take place
a rapid
'
give genuine
Cuban forces.
a credible
attack
(not in
ohronologicalorder): (1) Start rumors (2) Land friendly
(many).
Use clandestine
Cubans in uniform
radio.
lIover-the-fence"
to stage attack on base.
(3)
Capture
Ouban
(friendly)
saboteurs
inside
the
base. (4) start riots near the base main gate
(friendly
Cubans) •
7
Annex to Appendix to Enclosure A
u~tl~~~\Ht~ ---:r..~J-.-&P'~~UJ.R.t.f.NL-JlJU~.O.MI~.
.')
-. -_...~~N~U ~Itlr--uvnnrn-' fires.
(5) Blow up ammunition inside the basei start (6)
Burn
airoraft
(7) Lob
on air
base
(sabotage).
mortar shells from outside of base into base.
Some "damage to installations.
(8) Capture assault
approaching
tea.rns
:f.'romthe sea
or vicini"ty of GUantanamoCity. militia
(9) Capture
grOUl)
which stornlS the base.
(10) Sabotage Ship 1n harbor i large fires (11) Sink ship near tlaI'bor entrance. for mock-vlct~
(may be lieu of (10».
b. United
would
states
resl)ond
by
-- napthalene.
Conduct funerals
e~ecuting
offensive
ol)erations to secure water and power supplies, destroying artillery
and mortar emplaoements
c. Commence
large
3. A )lRemember several forms:
scale
the Maine
11
which threaten the base.
United
states
military
inoident
oould
operations.
be a:I':t'anged in
a. We could blow up a US ship in Guantanamo Bay ahd
"'1:'0"'.
blame CUba.
,,"
b. He could blow up a d,rone (unmanned) vessel in
th~
Ouban
in
the
vicinity
waters.
We
could
of Havana
of Cuban attack from
arrange
or Santiago
to
oause
such
.•.~
incident
as a spectacular
air or sea, or b·oth.
tJ;le
anywhere
result
The presence
of OUbanplanes or Ships merely inVe';&gating the intent of
",' >"
the
vessel
was
taken
woUld
add
could 'under
be
fairly
attack.
credibility
compelling
The
nearnesa
espeoially
evidenoe to Havana
to those
up with
fighters orew.
to
an air/sea
I!evaouatell
Casualty
wave of na~ional
Miami
a:rea~ in
operation
remaining members
lists in US newspapers
ship
that
might
The UScould covered
by
US
of the non-existent
would
ca.use a helpful
indignation.
4. We CO~~d develop a
the
rescue
the
or Santiago
people
have heard the blast or ha.ve Been the fire. f'ollow
that
other
C01lD1lun:tst. Florida
8
Cuban -cerror campaign in
oities
and
even
in Washington.
Annex to Appendix to Enolosure A
:~ "
., ..-,.-'--
_ ... -.--."
--_.-
.-
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"L "':n (.
I \.....)r e.1I ••••.•••••••..•••
n ....
The terror oampaign oould be p01!t~lll~~{)~~refugee .... king
haven in the United states. enroute to Florida
Wecould sink a boatload o~ Cubans
(real or simulated).
we could foster attempts
on lives of Cuban refugees in the United states
even to the
extent of wounding in instanoes to be widely publicized. Exploding a few plastio bombsin carefully chosen spots, the arrest of CUbanagents and the ~elease of prepared documents substantiating
Cuban invo1veznerltalso would 'be helpful in
projecting the idea of an irresponsible government. 5. A IICuban-based, Oastro-supportedll filibuste:t' could be s~lated against a ne1ghboring Oaribbean nation (in the vein of the 14th of June invasion of the Dominican RepUblic). We know that Castro ia backing subversive efforts
clandestinely
against Haiti, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, and Nicaragua at present and possible others. additional
These efforts
ones cOrltrived for e~osure.
can be magnified and
For example, advantage
oan be taken of the sensitivity of the Dominioan Air Force to intrusions within their national air space. "Cubanl1 B-26 or 0-46 'type airorat't
oould make cane-burning raids at. night.
Soviet Bloc inaendlarles
oould be found.
This cquld be aoupled
with !lCuban"messages to the Communist UIldersround in the Domin;l..can Republio and CUban shipments- of arms which \'iould , • '"I be found, 03:' intercepted, on the beach.' 'I
6.
Use of
additional
MIG
11
type airoraft
provocatiorl.
by
US pilots
coUld provide
Harassment of civil air, a.ttacks on
sur.t'ace shipping and dest:t'uction of USmilitary
drone airoraft
by .MIGtype planes would be useful a.s oomplementary actions. An F-86 properly painted would convince air passengers that they saw a Cuban MIG, especially to announce suoh fa.ct.
if the pilot
01' the transport were
The pr.:t.ma.rydrawback to this suggestion
appears to be the secUJ:'ity risk 1nhe:t'ent in obtaining or modifying an aircraft.
However, reasonable copies or the MIGcould
be produced from US resour.ces in about three months. 9
Annex to Appendix to Enclosure A
-'.
--- - -
l163 nUl unA , \ ~t~ ~~~lA~"" '~.. ~I,!";
2"
..
7. Hijacking attempts aga.ins~ civil air and surface craft should
appear
government
to
continue
of Cuba.
as harassing
Ooncurrently,
measures
genuine
oondoned
defections
by the
of Cuban
civil and mill tary aix' and surfaoe oraft ahould be encouraged. 8. It is possible
oonvincingly
to create
an incident
that a Cuban'aircraft
which
will
demonst!'ate
has attacked and shot do~~
I i-'
a ohartered civil airliner enroute from the United states to
Jamaioa,
Guatemala, Panama or Venezuela.
The de6t:Lnation would
be chosen only to oause the flight plan The passengers
,
holiday
route to cross Cuba.
oould be a grOUP of oOllege students off on a
or any grouping of persons with a common interest to
support chartering a non~scheduled
a. An aircraft
a.t
flight.
Eglin .I\FB would be pail1ted
and
numberE(! as an exact duplicate tor a oivil registered aircraft
belonging
to a CIA
proprietary
organization
in the
M:1.ami area.. At a designated time the duplicate would be substituted for the a~tual civil aircraft and would be loaded with the selected passengers, carefully aircraft
prepared aliases. would
be
converted
all boarded under .â&#x20AC;˘..
The actual registered
'
to a drone.
b. Take of!' times of the drone aircraft
,
and the aotual
,
aircraft will be soheduled .to allow -a rendezvous
,
south or
I' '-/
Florida. aircraft
into
an
From the rendezvous point the passenger-oarrying will descend
to minimum
altitude
and
go directly
aUXiliary field at Eglin AF.B where arrangements
have been made to evacuate the paasengers
airora.!'t to its original meanwhile will oontinue
will
and return the
status. The drone a:Lrcra.!'t to fly the filed flight plan. When
over Cuba the drone will being transmitting
on the inter-
national dlstrBs6 frequency a "MAYDAY"message stating he is under attack by CUbanMIGa.ircraft. The transmission vdll
be
interrupted
be triggered
by destruction
by radio signal. 10
of the
airoraft
which
will
This will allow ICAOradio Annex to Appendix to Enclosure A
,,' 'I, , J,
, ~,
nUlunn stations
in
the US what
has happened IIse11"
9.
to the airoraft' instead of the US trying to
the incident.
It is possible
appear
to create an incident which win
that Communist
over international
CUban MIGs have destroyed
waters
in an unprovoked
it
make
a USAF
aircraft
attack. 1
.,
.
'1',:
in trail from Homestead Florida, to the of CUba. \' a. Approximately 4 orAF.B, :5 F-IOl ai3:'craft路 willvicinity be dispatched Their mission
will be to reverse
!.
course and s:1.mU1atefakir
\
aircraft These
for an air defanse
aircraft
frequent
would conduct variations
least 12 miies
actions
to carry live ammunition were
\
at \. r"
at
.
they would be
in the event that hostile
taken by the Cuban MIGs.
b. On one such flight, tail-end
to remain
off the Cuban ooast; however,
I
Florida.
of these rl~ghts
Crews would be briefed
intervals.
required
exercise in southern
Charley
a pre-briefed
at considerable
pilot would fly
interval
betwe?D
aircraft.
lihile near the Cuban Island this pilot would broadoast he had been
jumped by MIGs and was going down.
calls would
be made.
that
No other """.
west
at extremely
Eglin
auxiliary.
people, pilot resume
quiokly
The pilot would
low altitude
and land at a secure base,
an
The ..airoraft would be met by the proper stored and given a
who had performed hiB proper
of business.
then fly direotly
number.
The
the mission under 'an alias, would
identity
The pilot
~~wtail
and return
to his nor.mal place
and aircraft wou19
then have
d:tsappeared.
c. At preoisely presumably would
the same time that the aircraft was
shot down a submarine
or small surface craft
disbl.tt'se F-IOl parts, paraohute,
15 to 20 miles returning they knew. and parts
etc., at a.pproximately
off the Ctl.bancoast and depart.
to Homestead Search
would have a true story as far as
Ships and aircraft
of aircraft
The pilots
could be dispatched
found.
11
Annex to Appendix
to EhclosUI'e A
~
~
-
.•• _
'"".'""
•••
...,..,
••••.
"Inl..~
•• W'.
~4
1':
!' J
ENCLOSURE
B
FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM
1. The Joint Chiefs that US unilateral undertaken
military
upon'which
or property
efforts
unsuccessful
stated
to foster
commits
which would
hostile
serve as an "
action in the event that current
an internal
was ind1cated**
*
in CUba can be
to base overt intervention.
2. The need for positive covert
inte~vention
in the event that the Cuban regime
acts against US forces incident
of Staff have previously
Cuban rebellion
by the Joint Chiefs
are
of Staff
on 7 March 1962J as follows: determination
n
revolt
is impossible
that a credible
of attainment
internal
during
the next
9-10 months will reqMire a decision by the United
States
to develop
for
a Cuban
posl tive US military
3. It is underst90d
IIprovocationl1as justification action.
11
that the Department
.. ~ of State
also is
,~., "
preparing
suggested
for US military
* **
JCB JCB
courses
intervention
of action to develop
justification
'1-
,',
in Cuba.
1969/303 1969/313
12
EnolosUI'e B
.. <~ •
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.
WHAT IS PROMIS AND WHAT DOES IT DO? PROMIS stands for Prosecutor's Management Information System. In the late 1970s the legal system of the United
Court imposed a compulsory license on the 44
States Department of Justice (DoJ) was comprised
largest U.S. ~ttome~s Offices for ~heperp.etualuse
of more than thirty semi-autonomous regional U.S. Attorne s (USA) offices. Each had a computer
of the 32-blt. v.ersl~n of Pro~IS and Iss~edh a permanent InJunctr~n against any urt er
systemy to track case man~g.e~~nt. for prosecutions, investigations, and CIVil IItrgatlons.
dissem.ination of Promls by the government except under license from Inslaw.
The problem was that they used as many as seven
Subsequent appeals by the government saw the
different programming languages. This made the transmission and sharing of information between offices virtually impossible. The computers in the
original rulings overturned on legal, ~ot factu~1, grounds. Legal actions in the case continue to thiS day.
USA's office in Sa~ Francisco could not read files
Hamilton told FTW that none of the uses described
sent from the USA In New York.
above had anything to do with any licensing
The genius of Hamilton and Inslaw was to c~eatea software program that could access files In any number of databases and programming languages
agreements for the software's use to tr~ck terrorists, intelligence matters or worldWide financial transactions.
and translate and then unify them into one consistent file. Promis was the Rosetta stone of computer languages. Inslaw won a $10 million, three-year contract in March 1982 to install a 16-bit architecture version of Promis, which the govemment had the right to use but not the right to modify without paying license fees to Inslaw, on government computers in the 22 largest U.S. Attorneys' Offices. In April 1983, the second year of the three-year contract, the government modified Inslaw's contract in order to obtain delivery of a 32-bit architecture version of Promis, which the government could not even use without paying license fees. In modifying the contract, the government promised to pay license fees if it decided to substitute the 32-bit version for the 16-bit version. In May 1983, the month following Inslaw's delivery of the 32-bit version of
The paper tracking of the refinements in Promis after the legal dispute erupted between INSLAW and the Reagan administration, verifies that at least one version of Promis was given to Martin Marietta, now Lockheed-Martin, which is now the nation's second largest defense contractor. Until late 2000, Lynne Cheney, the wife of Vice President Dick Cheney sat on Lockheed's board of directors. Research conducted by many investigative joumalists has indicated that Promis has spread widely throughout the defense contractor network. FTW has received multiple reports of Promis use by companies and institutions like DynCorp, Raytheon, Boeing, SAIC and the Harvard Endowment as well as by government agencies such as the Financial Criminal Enforcement Network (FINCEN) and the U.S. Treasury.
Promis, the govem~ent reneged on i.tscontractual agreement to pay license fees and Simultaneously began to find fault with Inslaw's implementation services as justification for withholding services payments. . T~~ Ju~tice D~partment thereaft~r Withheld $1.77 million In services payments forcln.g In.slaw to file
Here's how owerful the software is. . p ApproXimately two weeks after the September 11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, the History Channel aired a documentary entitled "The History of Terrorism." In that documentary, a law enforcement officer described some of the methods used to track
for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection In February 1985. In January 1988, following several we~ks of trial in 1987, the U.S. Bankruptcy Cou~ Issued fully litigated findings of fact that the Justice Department "took, converted, stole" the 32-bit version of Promis :'through trickery,. fra~d and .. deceit," Implemented the 32-blt version of Promls In the 44 largest U.S. Attorneys Office~, and ~hen tried to force INSLAW out of bUSiness In order to incapacitate INSLAW from litigating the Justice Department's theft of Promis. The Bankruptcy
terrorist movements. He stated that "computers" were able to track such things as credit card purchases, entry and exits visas, telephone and utility usage etc. It was implied that these diverse data base files could be integrated into one unified table. He gave an example that through the use of such a system it would be possible to determine that if a suspected terrorist entered the country and was going to hide out, that by monitoring the water and electrical consumption of all possible suspects in a given cell, it would be possible to determine
where the terrorist was hiding out by seeing whose utility use increased. Conversely, it would be possible to determine if a terrorist was on the move if his utility consumption declined or his local shopping patterns were interrupted. Aren't those "club" cards from your supermarket handy? This is but the barest glimpse of what Promis can do. Mated with artificial intelligence it is capable of analyzing not only an individual's, but also a community's entire life, in real time. It is also capable of issuing warnings when irregularities appear and of predicting future movements based upon past behavior. In the financial arena Promis is even more formidable. Not only is it capable of predicting movements in financial markets and tracking trades in real time. It has been reported, on a number of occasions, to have been used, via the "back door" to enter secret bank accounts, including accounts in Switzerland and then remove the money in those accounts without being traced. Court documents filed in the various INSLAW trials include documentation of this ability as well as affidavits and declarations from Israeli intelligence officers and assets. The one essential weakness of Promis is that it must be physically installed on a targeted computer for it to be effective. Hence, if Osama bin Laden is able to penetrate a U.S. Government system it must mean that Promis is there. FTW has previously reported that the CIA uses Promis to track stock trades in real time. Thus, as described in FTW stories on insider trading directly connected to the September 11 attacks, the Agency had the ability to determine that immediate impending attacks were planned against both American and United Air Lines. The Israeli Herzliyya Institute for Counter terrorism was able to publish a detailed accounting of the trades within days of the attacks and their report underscores the connection between counter terrorist efforts and the monitoring of financial markets. [See FTW Vol. IV, No 7 - Oct. 15, 2001] Suspicions of CIA advance knowledge of the attacks were heightened when FTW disclosed that the current Executive Director of the CIA, A.B. "Buzzy" Krongard was, until 1998, the CEO of A.B. Brown, the company which handled many of the suspicious trades. All of these abilities were a given when this writer met with members of the RCMP National Security Investigation Section in the summer of 2000. Our meetings were reported in the Toronto Star and are described in the previously referenced issue of FTW. A key question that lingered after the
meetings with the RCMP was how many versions of the software had the CIA and the U.S. government given out and might they not have been also using a back door against "friendly" nations for economic motives to give advantage to U.S. companies. It was not a question that the RCMP dismissed as unlikely. In another mind boggling development, on November 10 The Calgary Sun reported: U.S. police said many of the suspected al-Qaida terrorists were nabbed through the use of a stateof-the-art computer software program called Promis The system interfaces with any database and can provide information on credit card, banking, pension, tax, criminal and immigration records. Police can input an alleged terrorist name or credit card and the software will provide details of the person's movements through purchases or phone records." After so many years of denials these public confirmations that Promis is widely in use must come as a relief to Hamilton who now can walk into court and reopen his case. But they also indicate that newer generations of software have likely replaced the legendary program that has been connected with so much death, intrigue and mystery. The FOX story reported that Osama bin Laden once boasted that his youth "knew the wrinkles of the world's financial markets like the back of their hands and that his money would never be frozen." He may be right. And an administration so lost in covering up criminal conduct - no less than the conduct of the ones which preceded it -- while trying to fight a war at the same time -- might find itself doubly wounded by the software of Bill Hamilton and Inslaw. PROMIS & ETHNO-SPECIFIC BIO-WARFARE WEAPONS: The Last Circle describes in detail how Promis software was modified by Riconosciuto to allegedly include the back door "eavesdropping" capability but also enhanced with one form of AI and subsequently applied to the development of new weapons systems including "ethnospecific" biowarfare compounds capable of attacking specific races. PROMIS
&
MICROSOFTIWINDOWS SYSTEMS:
In the winter of 94-95, Inslaw's investigator into Promis, a former green beret named McCoy, reveled to FTW, that he was using former Green Berets to conduct physical surveillance of the Washington, D.C. offices of Microsoft in connection with the Promis case. Subsequent thereto FTW received information indicating that piracy of Microsoft products at the GE Aerospace Herndon facility were likely tied to larger objectives, possibly the total compromise of any Windows based
product. It is not by chance that most of the military and all of the intelligence agencies in the U.S. now operate on Macintosh systems. PROMIS & FINANCIAL MARKETS: The Tyree diagrams laid out in detail how Promis, after improvement with AI, had allegedly been mated with the software of Jackson Stephens' firm Systematics. In the late seventies and early eighties, Systematics handled some 60-70% of all electronic banking transactions in the U.S. The goal, according to the diagrams which laid out (subsequently verified) relationships between Stephens, Worthen Bank, the Lippo Group and the drug/intelligence bank BCCI was to penetrate every banking system in the world. This "cabal" could then use Promis both to predict and to influence the movement of financial markets worldwide. Tyree informed FTW that just before McCoy's death, he had given McCoy information on "Elbit" flash memory chips, allegedly designed at Kir YatGat south of Tel Aviv. The unique feature of the Elbit chips was that they worked on ambient electricity in a computer. In other words, they worked when the computer was turned off. When combined with another newly developed chip, the "Petrie," which was capable of storing up to six . months worth of key strokes, it was now possible to burst transmit all of a computer's activity in the middle of the night to a nearby receiver - say in a passing truck or even a low flying SIGINT (Signals Intelligence) satellite. According to Tyree this was the methodology used by Jonathan Pollard and the Israeli Mossad to compromise many foreign embassies in Washington. PROMIS & BIG PICTURE: Tyree described how Promis progeny, having inspired four new computer languages had made possible the positioning of satellites so far out in space that they were untouchable. At the same time the progeny had improved video quality to the point where the same satellite could focus on a single human hair. The ultimate big picture. PROMIS & MECHANICAL HUMANS: Tyree explained that Promis progeny had also evolved to the point where neural pads could be attached to plugs in the back of the human head and thought could be translated into electrical impulses that would be equally capable of flying a plane or wire transferring money. Names like Sandia, Cal-Tech, Micron, Tech University of Graz, Oded Leventer and Massimo Grimaldi were mentioned. Data, such as satellite reconnaissance, could also now be downloaded from a satellite directly into a human brain. The evolution of the artificial intelligence had progressed to a point where animal behavior and
thought were being decoded. Mechanical humans were being tested. Animals were being controlled by computer. PROMIS & THE NAGASAKI SYNDROME: Then, placing the evolutions of Promis in context with the Canadian story Tyree asked a question as to why one would really now need to go to all the trouble of monitoring all of a foreign country's intelligence operations. "There's an easier way to get what I want," he said. "I access their banks. I access their banks and I know who does what and who's getting ready to do what," he said. He described how Canada had been provided with modified Promis software which Canada then modified, or thought they had modified, again to eliminate the trap door. That software turned loose in the financial and scientific communities then became Canada's means of believing that they were securing the trap door information from the entities to whom they provided their versions of Promis. But, unknown, to the Canadians the Elbit chips in the systems bypassed the trap doors and permitted the transmission of data when everyone thought the computers were turned off and secure. A weapon is only good if someone knows what its capability is. Prior to using the atomic bomb it was irrelevant." He continued, "They refer to it as the Nagasaki Syndrome." Suggested Reading: - The Washington Times - Search Archives for "Promis" - Insight Magazine - a four part series by investigative reporter Kelly O'Meara located at http://www.insightmag.com/archive/200101307.sh tm!. If the link is broken, do an archive search from their main web page at www.insjghtmagazine.com. - "The Last Circle" - An online e-book by Carol Marshalllocated at http://www .1ycaeum.org/books/books/last
cire le/.
"Trail of The Octopus" - by Lester Coleman, 1993, Bloomsbury Publishing, London. - The Inslaw Affair http://www. webeom.eom/~pinknoiz!covert/jnslaw. html. Includes Congressional testimony supporting Inslaw and a record of court proceedings. - FTW: Vo!. IV, No 7 - Oct. 15,2001 http://www.fromthewilderness.com/fTee/pandora/O 52401 promis.html.
world scientific community is waming us that we must
A Planet in Crisis
deal with these problems now, while there is still time, By Dale Alien Pfeiffer The world's
scientific
unprecedented
community
or these problems will deal with us. Yet few of these
has issued
series of wamings
an
over the past
scientists know how very little time we have to deal with these problems. We do not have a generation or
decade.1 They have worked feverishly to assess the
two. In all likelihood, we have at most a few years.
state of the planet, and have found that all of the Earth's ecosystems are suffering, with many near the
Within the next 5 to 10 years, our energy base will begin to contract irreversibly. This shrinking energy base will be due to the inevitable peak and decline of
point of collapse. They wam us that we have one generation, or at most two, to remedy this situation.2 Yet even they do not understand how little time we
of the oil age. Each of us has the energy equivalent of
have left. They tell us that business as usual cannot
some fifty slaves to do our work for us, and to pamper
go on. And their assessment goes unheeded.
us with all of the latest technological
We are wamed that the planet is threatened by global
Hydrocarbons
climate change and by ozone depletion. Ice masses
500,000
global oil production. We currently live in the opulence
are
different
used
as
products:
feedstock fertilizers,
comforts. for
over
medicines,
in the Arctic and Antarctic are beginning to break up,
plastics, insulation, computers, asphalt, inks & toners,
and species vulnerable to increased UV penetration are diminishing. Skin cancers and eye cataracts are on the increase, as is desertification the world over.
trash bags, nail polish, detergents, and chewing gum - to name but a few. 10 And virtually all of our industrial
Northem
processes are run by the energy of hydrocarbons.
species
are
retreating
as
warm-loving
species expand from equatorial regions to high latitudes, bringing with them diseases once termed
paints, glues, solvents, antiseptics, golf balls, COs,
Hydrocarbons have provided us with a treasure trove of high-quality, easily obtainable energy, from which
tropical. And plant species the world over, including
we could draw at an unlimited rate for so long as the
many of our important crop species, are stressed by increased ultraviolet penetration.3
supply lasted. And it is that abundant energy store
We are already in the middle of the third greatest
which has powered all of our technological advances, including the green revolution, making possible a
extinction event in the history of the planet. The extinction rate is from 100 to 1,000 times in excess of
it comes to the bang for the buck, there is nothing to
the natural rate of extinction.4 The diversity of life on this planet, which is a clear indication of the health of
equal oil. One liter of petrol holds as much energy as 1,000 liters of natural gas, 3 kilograms of firewood, or
the biosphere and its ability to adapt to change, is severely diminished. Humankind has appropriated
24 solar panels working all day in sunny Brisbane.11 Oil provides 1.3 to 2.45 times more economic value
fully half of the incipient
per kilocalorie than coal.12
sunlight on this planet
available for photosynthesis, and has put into cultivation virtually all of the arable land on this planet.s The rest of the biota is forced to make due with the marginal lands which are left, or to scavenge from our refuse.
nearly logarithmic growth in human population. When
Yet we are fast approaching the day when we will have produced all the easily obtainable oil.13 From here on out we must invest increasing amounts of energy to produce oil. In short order, we will reach a day when it will take as much energy to produce (Le.,
Modem agriculture is draining the soil of nutrients far faster than they can be replaced, while soils are being eroded wherever they are exposed. Surface water is being diverted to the point that in many riverbeds
extract and, ultimately, refine and bring to market) a barrel of oil as we will get out of that barrel of oil. Past this point, the net energy of oil production will fall into the negative range. We will never run out of oil; there
barely a trickle remains, and groundwater is being pumped out for agricultural and industrial use at rates
will always be some oil in the ground. Oil wells are not
exceeding the recharge rates many times over.6 The
abandoned because the net energy production has reached zero.
world's
fisheries
are
collapsing.?
Everywhere,
supplies of vital resources are being depleted.8 At the other end of the entropy scale, garbage dumps are
overflowing.
Pollution,
heavy
metals
and
manufactured chemicals are tainting the atmosphere, the water, and the ground, entering into food chains everywhere. It is doubtful that there is a person alive today who is not storing manufactured poisons in her or his body.9 This is but a sampling from a myriad of problems associated with conducting business as usual. The
abandoned
because
they
dry
up
-
they
are
Nothing has the bang for the buck of oil, and nothing can replace it - either separately or in combination. Ethanol has a net energy value of zero (not accounting for soil and water damage and other costs due to unsustainable
agricultural
practices) - it is
subsidized as a boon to agribusiness.14 Solar energy produces marginal net energy, and solar photovoltaic cells (PVC) are built from hydrocarbon feed stocks. Wind turbines do have an appreciable net energy profile - but the wind is intermittent at best.1s
It60 The highly touted hydrogen fuel cells are not an
we
energy source at all, but are more properly termed a
which might restrict economic growth. They have no
must avoid
any impetus
towards
regulations
form of energy storage. Free hydrogen does not exist
clue how economic growth can be maintained with a
on this planet. It requires more energy to break a
shrinking energy
hydrogen bond than will ever be garnered from that
possibility of the latter.
free hydrogen. The current source of hydrogen is natural gas - that is, a hydrocarbon. In the envisioned
base, so they blithely deny any
The neo-classical economists believe that free market
system of solar PVC & hydrogen fuel cells, every
capitalism has proven its supremacy through the collapse of authoritarian communism. Globalization is
major component of the system, from the PVC to the
the endgame of capitalism, pushing for open access
fuel cells themselves will require hydrocarbon energy
to resources throughout the globe while driving down
and feedstocks. The oil age will never be replaced by
labor costs to provide cheap products and maximum
a hydrogen fuel-cell economy.16
profits. All we have to do to share in the benefits of
Coal is abundant, but its net energy profile is poor compared to oil, and will continue to diminish fast.
this supposedly benevolent system is to consume, consume, and consume more.
Coal production is extremely harmful to the environment, and burning coal is far dirtier than oil.17
Yet the power disparity upon which this system is
Nuclear power plants are simply too expensive to build, uranium
is rare, and the wastes
decommissioned
(including
plants) must be stored and guarded
virtually forever. 18 Industrial,
green
revolution-style
agriculture
based has been exaggerated to the breaking point. The royalty and the robber-barons of previous eras never dreamed of such a concentration of wealth as that experienced now by the Waltons, the Gates, and the Eisners of the world. In the United States as of
is
2002, the average CEO made 282 times as much as
particularly energy intensive. Every calorie of food
the average worker.21 And the average worker today in the US is actually making comparatively less than 30 years ago, though worker productivity has increased.22
produced today requires 10 calories of hydrocarbon energy.19 This includes the energy of packaging and shipping to the store, but not the energy of consumers traveling to and from the store, nor the home energy costs of cooking the food. Without hydrocarbons, this planet can only produce enough food to sustain a population of 2.5 billion. The current world population is in excess of 6 billion. In the US, without industrial agriculture, we will only be able to feed 2/3's of our current population.2o Our energy base will soon begin to contract. The planet's resources are being depleted, and we are being faced with a planet in crisis. Business as usual cannot go on. Business as Usual Instead of focusing on these critical problems, which threaten to undermine the quality of life on this planet,
Outsourcing
has given corporations
the ability to
move jobs to wherever workers can be paid the least, and where their operations will be subjected to the least regulation and the least taxation. White collar workers are no less vulnerable to outsourcing. Even service
sector jobs
are moving
out
of the
US
whenever possible. And to fill the poor paying jobs that remain, corporations are bringing in tens of thousands more immigrants every year. As a result, globalization has become a race to the bottom for the working class, for communities, and for ecosystems throughout the world. Not only are people in the working class working harder for less pay, they are also receiving fewer
we have chosen to ignore them. Instead of looking for and implementing answers, we put the bulk of our
benefits than comparatively
efforts
of these
personal debt, and personal bankruptcy now exceeds
problems or, failing that, denying that anything needs to be done about them. At most, we shake our heads
the divorce rate. Meanwhile, our social safety net is
into denying
the very existence
before continuing with our conspicuous consumption and our push for a global free market. Neo-classical economists tell us that the market will solve
all of our problems.
pollution,
resource
They
depletion,
assure
the
us that
collapse
of
ecosystems and the failure of agriculture will produce economic stimulus which will spur the discovery of new resources and the development of new
US, consumers
30 years ago.23 In the
are maintaining
a record level of
being dismantled and our infrastructure is being allowed to decay, where it is not being privatized. Public education has to go begging while the prison industry is one of the fastest growing industries in the country.24 Rugged individualism is the standard of the day, forcing all of us into direct competition. The basic human instinct toward cooperation has been all but forgotten in the mad rush to push everyone else
The market, they say, will maintain
aside. Our society has become atomized; the village
equilibrium no matter how much people and the environment have to suffer as a consequence. But
green has been replaced by the shopping mall. Open debate and the free communication of ideas and
technologies.
news can now only be found in cyberspace.
/16( Yet, at the same time, true individuality and originality
Here lies the reason for the failure of democracy in
has become
to
the US. And here is the secret of why our founding
conform. Cultural distinctions are being lost in the
fathers chose a system of representative democracy,
homogenization of the cultures of the globe - what Benjamin Barber called "McWorfd."
and why the ratification of the US Constitution was
suspect.
People are encouraged
Much of the public is becoming increasingly bovine,
resisted by the public in its day. The framers of the constitution were, without exception, rich white males
following authority. Critical thinking
worried about a popular uprising. Under the draperies
has been replaced by reactionary impulses, response to emotional appeals, and other substitutes for rational debate. Atomized and removed from direct
of democracy, they designed a political system where
interaction
with
and powerful. This disparity was later heightened by
overworked
populace are largely dependent on the
unquestioningly
the
world
around
them,
the
decision
making
power
was
insulated
from
the
general population and easily controlled by the rich granting
a
protected
status
and
legal
rights
to
corporations.25
cultural fodder which is tendered to them by the marketplace. It's a diet of mental junk food, blended of
As a result, every war the US has ever fought, every
anxious fantasy, appeals to consume, fear mongering and quietism, promoted by media industry whose
of foreign
paying advertisers
prefer an audience
spectators, addicted to entertainment unable to govem their own affairs.
of passive and largely
intervention the US has ever sponsored, and every bit aid
the
US
has ever
supplied
was
undertaken to support the right of the upper class to exploit labor and resources, all under the guise of democracy.
The Result of Business as Usual
An End to Business as Usual
None of this should come as a surprise. This is all a natural and foreseeable result of business as usual in
Business as usual can no longer be allowed to proceed. To go on with business as usual is to
a capitalist system. In that system, capital generates profit through the exploitation of labor and resources.
promote the collapse of civilization, the destruction of
So, as capitalism approaches its climax on a global scale, it has to result in an unstable power disparity with the concentration of wealth among a small and exclusive upper class, an impoverished and
ecosystems, the death of billions of human beings, untold suffering and impoverishment for those who survive, and just possibly the extinction of life on this planet at a level to match or exceed the end of the Permian Era.26 And all this to ease our consciences,
disempowered working class, bankrupt communities, overstressed ecosystems and a depleted resource
as we allow the end play of unbridled greed and ignorance.
base. The only way to avoid this is to do away with capitalism.
We cannot trust our elected leaders to do the right
Capitalism
cannot
be reformed.
Any
attempt
to
regulate it more fairfy, any attempt to reform capitalism - be it monetary reform or any other sort of reform - is destined to fail due to the basic unalterable nature of capitalism. Regulations and reforms may help to level out the playing field for a time, but in the long run capitalism will find a way to circumvent or deregulate any attempt to temper it. Capitalism is a system of exploitation unsustainable.
which
is
ultimately
As such, capitalism is antithetical to democracy. A system is democratic only to the extent that its citizens are equal - in their political rights; in their access
to
participatory
social
space;
in
their
opportunities to secure purchasing power without the threat of poverty or asset seizure; and in their recourse to the law, whose equal protection must be
thing, much less our corporations. There is very little time left, and it could very well be impossible at this point to redesign our entire civilization. But we can possibly restructure our own lives and our local communities to survive the transition. This is our duty to generations to come, and to the rest of the biosphere. 1 For the story of these warnings see The End ofthe Oil Age, Chapter 15, Imminent Peril, Part 1, by this author; http://www.lulu.com/allenadale). The individual warnings can be found online: Population Growth, Resource Management and a Sustainable World. Joint Statement of the Royal Society of London and the US National Academy of Sciences, 1992. Archived at http://www.dieoff.comlpage7.htm World Scientists' Warning to Humanity. Union of . Concerned Scientists, 11/18/1992. http://www.ucsusa.org/ucs/aboutipage.cfin?pagel 0=
guaranteed to everyone if the term "democracy" is to
1009
meaningfully apply. Genuine popular sovereignty (the
Joint Statement by 58 ofthe World's Scientific Academies. US National Academy of Sciences, 10/27/1993.
literal meaning of democracy)
is sustained
by an
informed citizenry. Yet capitalism is based upon the exploitation of power disparities, and its smooth operation is maintained uninformed working class.
by
a
disempowered,
http://www4.nas.eduiiap/iaphome.nsflweblinks/SAl N-4XVKHY?OpenDocument Joint National Academy of Sciences and Royal
Society Resolution: Towards Sustainable Consumption. US National Academy of Sciences, 1997. http://www4.nas.edu/NAS/nashome.nsf/Multi+Datab ase+ Search/65F4E52642745F 1485256709006FBD9 I 70 pen Document World Scientists' Call for Action. Union of Concerned Scientists, December, 1997. http://www.ucsusa.org/ucs/aboutlpage.cfin ?pa!?-el0= 1007 Transition to Sustainability in the 21st Century: The Contribution of Science & Technology. InterAcademy Panel, May 2000. http://www4 .nas.eduliap/iaphome.nsf/webl inks/SAl N-4XVLCT?OpenDocument An overview ofthese global assessment studies can be found in The End of the Oil Age, Chapter 15, Imminent Peril, Part 1, by this author; (http://www.lulu.comlallenadale). The actual assessment studies can be accessed via these links: Guide to World Resources, 2000-2001: People & Ecosystems; The Fraying Web of Life. World Resources Institute, April 2000. http://wri. igc.org/wri/wrr2000/ Global Environmental Outlook-3. United Nations Environment Programme, May 22 2002. http://www.grida.no/geo/ge03/ State of the World 2003. Worldwatch Institute, June 2003. http://www .worldwatch.org/pubs/sow/2003/ 2
3The story of industry-induced global climate change is presented in my ongoing series Global Climate Change and Peak Oil, which can be found at http://www.fromthewilderness.com. The scientific case for industry-induced climate change, and its impact, are discussed in full detail at Climate Change 2001, The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, 2001. http://www.grida.no/cI imate/ipcc tar/ And a statement ofthe world's scientific academies supporting this study can be found at The Science of Climate Change. 5/17/2001. http://www.rovalsoc.ac. uk/fi les/statfiles/document138.pdf Some web sites with information about ozone depletion are: http://www .epa.gov/ozone/ http://www.igc.org/envreview/blaustei.htm I http://www.arn.org/cun-page/uvhealth.htm Sites with additional information about global climate change are: http://www.climatehotmap.org/ http://www.ucsusa.org/warmingJ 4 An excellent website for information on the current mass extinction is: http://www.well.comluser/davidulextinction.htm I Human appropriation ofthe products of photosynthesis, Vitousek,
5
P.M. et al. Bioscience 36, 1986. http://www.science.duq.edulesmlun it2-3 Land, Energy and Water: the constraints governing Ideal VS Population Size, Pimental, David and Pimental, Marcia. Focus, Spring 1991. NPG Forum, 1990. http://www.dieoff.com/pageI36.htm For information about the effects of modern agriculture, see The End of the Oil Age, Chapter 17, Eating Fossil Fuels, by this author; (http://www.lulu.com/allenadale). Or find in the archives at www.fromthewilderness.com. Food, Land, Population and the V.S. Economy, Executive Summary, Pimentel, David and Giampietro, Mario. Carrying Capacity Network, 11/21/1994. http://www.dieoff.com/page40.htm 6
Collapse of Wild Fisheries, Western Canada Wilderness Committee. Co-published by Wilderness Committee and the Union ofB.C. Indian Chiefs, Vo!. 21. No. 5; Fall, 2002.
7
http://www.wildemesscommittee.org/campaigns Imarine/policy/fish_farms/ reports/fal12002lcollapse Why Fisheries Collapse and What To Do About It, Roughgarden, Jonathan, & Smith Fraser. Proceedings ofthe National Academy of Sciences, Vo!. 93, pp. 5078-5083; May, 1996. http://www .pnas.or~cgi/reprintl93/1 0/5078 .pdf 8 The Limits to Growth, Meadows, Dennis, et a!. Universe Books, 2nd Edition. Limits to Growth: the 30 year global update, Meadows, Dennis, Randers, Jorgen, & Meadows, Donella. Chelsea Green Publishing Company, June 2004. Influence of Capital Inertia on Renewable Resource Depletion, Weisbuch, Gerard, et a!. Labratorie de Physique Statistique de I'Ecole Normale Superieure; February, 1997.
http://www.lps.ens.fr/~weisbuch/inertlp3/p3.html 9
http://www.pbs.org/tradesecrets/
The Oil Crash and You, Thomson, Bruce. Look in the RunningOnEmpty2 Yahoo Group's files section. Document name: !CONVINCE SHEET v 19.doc. 9/2/2001. http://groups.yahoo.coml group/RunningOnEmpty2/fi les/ 10
11Oil Crisis Powerpoint Presentation, Stasse, Mike. Look in the RunningOnEmpty2 yahoo group's files section. Document name: oil crisis.ppt. 2/14/2004. http://groups.yahoo.com/ group/RunningOn Empty2/fi les/ 12 Synopsis, edited by Hanson, Jay. March 8, 2001. http://www.dieoff.comlsvnopsis.htm
13npetroleumexperts Colin Campbell, Jean Laherrere, Brian Fleay, Roger Blanchard, Richard Duncan, Waiter Youngquist, and Albert Bartlett (using various methodologies) have all estimated a
"peak" in "conventional oil" around 2005. Moreover, the CEOs of Agip, EN! SpA, (Italian oil companies) and Arco have all published estimates of peak in 2005. So it seems like a reliable estimate." Synopsis, edited by Hanson, Jay. March 8, 2001. http://www.dieoffcom/synopsis.htm For more information on the peak of global oil production, see The End ofthe Oil Age, by this author. Lulu Press, April, 2004. http://www.lulu.com/allenadale. Or The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate ofIndustrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. New Society Publishers, 2003. The Energy Information Administration and the US Geological Survey estimate peak world oil production around 2025 to 2030. But their methodologies have been highly criticized, and members of both agencies have privately expressed doubts concerning these estimates. 14 Ethanol from Corn: clean renewable fuel for the future, or drain on our resources and pockets?, Patzek, Tad W. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, June 14,2003. http://www.ce.berkeley.edu/Courses/EII/PatzekEtha nolPaper.pdf Ethanol from Corn: just how unsustainable is it?, Patzek, Tad W. Seminar at Stanford University. http://pangea.stanford.edulESY S/Energy'>1o 20seminars/patzek ethanol.pdf 15 The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. New Society Publishers, 2003; pp. 139-146. 16 For a critical look at some of the problems associated with hydrogen fuel cell technology, see The End of the Oil Age, Chapter 8, Much Ado about Nothing, by this author. Lulu Press, April, 2004. http://www.lulu.com/allenadale Or see The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. New Society Publishers, 2003; pp. 146-149. 17 The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. New Society Publishers, 2003; pp. 129-132. Beyond Oil, Gever, John, et a1.Univ. Pr. Colorado, 1991. pp. 6568. 18 The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. New Society Publishers, 2003; pp. 132-139. 19 The Tightening Conflict: Population, Energy Use, and the Ecology of Agriculture, Giampietro, Mario and Pimentel, David, 1994. http://www.dieoff.com/page69.htm 20 The End of the Oil Age, Chapter 17, Eating Fossil Fuels, Pfeiffer, Dale AlIen. Lulu Press, April, 2004. http://www.1uIu.com/allenadale
Executive Excess 2002, Anderson, Sarah, et a1. Institute for Policy Studies & United for a Fair Economy, August 26th, 2003. http://www.ufenet.org/press/2003/EE2003.pdf 21
State of Working America 2002-2003: Executive Summary and Introduction. Economic Policy Institute. http://www.epinet.org/press/em bargoed/swa2002. pdf 23 Ibid. 22
The Prison Industry. http://www.cofPwatch.org/issues/PII.isp?topicid=119
24
Toward an American Revolution: Exposing the Constitution and other llIusions, Fresia, Jerry. South End Press, 1988.A People's History ofthe United States: 1492 to present, Zinn Howard. Perennial, 2003 (latest edition). 25
26 The Permian Era ended approximately 250 million Years Ago, in an extinction event which killed off 95% of all marine life on the planet, and 70% of all land families. It was much worse than the end of the dinosaurs, which ranks a distant second on the list of extinction events (the current extinction event ranks third). It is now most widely accepted that the Permian Extinction began with volcanic outgassing leading to global warming, which in turn sparked off massive methane venting from permafrost and from the ocean floor, resulting in runaway global warming. The implications for modem global warming are frightening. For more on the Permian Extinction, a good starting place is: http://palaeo. !?:ly.bris.ac. uklPalaeofiles/Permian/intro
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06/06/12
/1/ÂŁ A Career In Microbiology Can Be Harmful To Your
- On Dec, 11, Set Van Nguyen, 44, was found dead in the
Health
airlock entrance to a walk-in refrigerator in the laboratory where he worked in Victoria State, Australia.
DEATH TOLL MOUNTING AS CONNECTIONS TO DYNCORP, HADRON, PROMIS SOFTWARE AND DISEASE RESEARCH EMERGE
- On Feb. 8, Vladimir Korshunov, 56, was found dead on a
by Michael Davidson, FTW staff writer
- And on Feb. 11, lan Langford, 40, was found dead in his
Moscow street.
home in Norwich, England.
and Michael C. Ruppert [Copyright
2002,
From
The
OOPS!
Wilderness
http://www.fromthewirlderness.com/.
All
Publications,
rights
reserved.
discussions
serious
by legitimate scientists and academics on the
possible necessity
of reducing
more
billion
than
four
circumstances
since
Sept.
no
11 adds
possibility than the suspicious many as 14 world-class
the world's population
people,
stranger credibility
set to
by of this
deaths of what may be as
microbiologists.
on Oct. 4, a commercial
jetliner
traveling from Israel to Novosibirsk, Siberia was shot down over the Black Sea by an "errant" Ukrainian surface-to-air
May be recopied, distributed for non-profit purposes only. [EO. NOTE: As FTW has begun to investigate
Prior to these deaths,
Following on the
missile, killing all on board. The missile was over 100 miles off-course.
Despite early news stories
reporting
it as a
charter, the flight, Air Sibir 1812, was a regularly scheduled flight. According
to several
press reports,
including
a Dec. 5
article by Barry Chamish and one on Jan. 13 by Jim Rarey (both
available
at http://wwwJense.comQ,
the plane
is
heels of our two-part series on the coming world oil crisis,
believed by many in Israel to have had as many as five
this story by Michael Davidson, a graduate of the Syracuse
passengers
who
University School of Journalism,
Novosibirsk
are homes
is one, which takes on a
were microbiologists.
Both
for cutting-edge
Israel and
microbiological
unique significance. The newest connections to DynCorp, Hadron and PROMIS software are leads an amateur would
research. Novosibirsk
not miss. How else would any microbiologists
universities for a population of only 2.5 million people.
an ultra secret government
threatening
biological weapons program be
identified than by secretly scanning their databases to see what
they
were
working
on?
-
MCR]
is known as the scientific capital of
Siberia, and home to over 50 research facilities and 13 full
At the time of the Black Sea crash, Israeli journalists been sounding
had
the alarm that two Israeli microbiologists
had been recently
murdered,
allegedly
by terrorists.
On
Nov. 24 a Crossair flight from Berlin to Zurich crashed on its FTW -- Feb. 28, 2002 - In the four-month period from Nov.
landing approach.
12 through Feb. 11, seven world-class
killed, including the head of the hematology
microbiologists
in
Of the 33 persons on board, 24 were department
at
different parts of the world were reported dead. Six died of
Israel's Ichilov Hospital, as well as directors of the Tel Aviv
"unnatural" causes, while the cause of the seventh's death
Public Health Department and Hebrew University School of
is questionable.
Medicine.
government
Also
on
contractor
operations
Nov.
for
and intelligence
12, DynCorp,
data
a major
processing,
military
work, was awarded
a $322
million contract to develop, produce and store vaccines for the Department of Defense. DynCorp and Hadron, both defense contractors connected to classified research programs
on communicable
linked to a software
program
diseases,
have also been
known as PROM IS, which
may have helped identify and target the victims. In the six weeks prior to Nov. 12, two additional microbiologists
were reported
They were the only Israelis on the flight. The
names of those killed, as reported in a subsequent
Israeli
news story but not matched to their job titles, were Avishai Berkman, Amiramp Eldor and Yaacov Matzner. Besides all being microbiologists, six of the seven scientists who died within weeks of each other died from "unnatural" causes. And four of the seven were doing virtually identical research -- research that has global, political and financial significance.
foreign
QUE PASA?
dead. Some believe there
were as many as five more microbiologists
killed during the
period, bringing the total as high as 14. These two to seven
The
public
Medical
relations
office
at the University
School said only that
Benito
of Miami
Que was a cell
additional deaths, however, are not the focus of this story.
biologist, involved in oncology research in the hematology
This same period also saw the deaths of three persons
department.
involved in medical research or public health.
sequencing
- On Nov. 12, Benito Que, 52, was found comatose in the street
near
the
laboratory
where
he
worked
at
the
This
research
relies
studies. The circumstances
heavily
on
DNA
of his death raise
more questions than they answer. Que had left his job at a research
laboratory
at the
University of Miami Medical School. He died on Dec. 6.
University of Miami Medical School, apparently heading for
- On Nov. 16, Don C. WHey, 57, vanished, and his abandoned rental car was found on the Hernando de Soto
Herald, referring to the death as an "incident," reported he
Bridge outside Dec. 20.
Memphis,
Tenn. His body was found on
his Ford Explorer parked on NW 10th Avenue. The Miami had no wallet on him, and quoted Miami police as saying his death may have been the result of a mugging. made this statement
- On Nov. 23, Vladimir Pasechnik,
64, was found dead in
Wiltshire, England, not far from his home. - On Dec. 10, Robert Schwartz, 57, was found murdered in his rural home in Loudoun County, Va.
Police
while at the same time saying there
was a lack of visible trauma to Que's body. There is firm belief among Que's friends and family that the PhD was attacked by four men, at least one of whom had a baseball bat. Que's death has now been officially ruled "natural,"
Smith theorizes that Wiley pulled over to the outermost lane
caused by cardiac arrest. Both the Dade County medical examiner and the Miami Police would not comment on the
of the bridge (that lane being closed at the time) to inspect
case, saying only that it is closed.
the damage to his car. Smith's subsequent the fall requires
A MEMPHIS MYSTERY
several
other things
explanation for
to have occurred
simultaneously:
- Wiley had to have had one of the two or
Don C. Wiley of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute at
three seizures
he has per year due to a rare disorder
Harvard
known only to family and close friends, that seizure being
University,
microbiologists
was
one
of
the
most
prominent
in the world. He had won many of the field's
brought on by use of alcohol earlier that evening; - passing
most prestigious awards, including the 1995 Albert Lasker Basic Medical Research Award for work that could make
truck creating a huge blast of wind and/or roadway bounce due to heavy traffic; and, - WHey had to be standing on the
anti-viral
curb next to the guardrail which, because of WHey's 6-foot-
vaccines
a reality. He was heavily
involved
in
research on DNA sequencing. Wiley was last seen around midnight
on Nov. 15, leaving
Research
Advisory
Memphis,
Tenn. Associates
the St. Jude's Children's
dinner held at the Peabody
Hotel in
attending the dinner said he
showed no signs of intoxication, and no one has admitted to drinking with him. His rented Mitsubishi later, abandoned
Galant was found about four hours
on a bridge across the Mississippi River,
headed towards Arkansas.
Keys were in the ignition, the
3-inch height, would have come only to his mid-thigh. These conditions would have put WHey's center of gravity above the rail, and the seizure would have caused him to lose his balance as the truck created the bounce and blast of wind, thus causing him to fall off the bridge. SCIENCE IS MIGHTIER THAN THE SWORD? Robert M. Schwartz was a founding member of the Virginia Biotechnology
Association,
and
and the Executive
Research
on. Wiley's body was found on Dec. 20, snagged on a tree
Innovative Technology. He was extremely well respected in
along the Mississippi River in Vidalia, La., 300 miles south
biophysics,
of Memphis.
sequencing.
Until his body was found, Dr. WHey's death
was handled as a missing person case, and police did no forensic examinations. Early
reports
about
Wiley's
disappearance
made
no
mention of paint marks on his car or a missing hubcap, which
tumed
up
accident
needed
complete
wheel
in subsequent
reports.
cover)
used on recent
and
regarded
at as
Virginia's
an
Center
authority
on
for DNA
Co-workers became concemed when he didn't show up at his office on Dec. 10. He was later found dead at his home. Loudoun County Sheriffs officials said Schwartz was stabbed on Dec. 8 with a sword, and had an "X" cut into the
type
of
back of his neck. Schwartz's daughter Clara, 19, and three
(actually
a
others have been charged in the case.
The
to knock off the hubcaps
Development
Director of
gas tank full, and the hazard flashers had not been tumed
model
Galants
BREATHE DEEPLY, AND CARRY A BIG STICK
would have caused noticeable damage to the sheet metal on either side of the wheel, and probably the wheel itself. No damage to the car s body or wheel has been reported. Wiley's car was found about a five-minute
drive from the
hotel where he was last seen. There is a four-hour period in his evening that cannot be accounted for. There is also no explanation Arkansas
as to why he would have been headed into late at night. Wiley was staying at his father's
home in Memphis. The Hemando
Set Van Nguyen was found dead on Dec. 11 at the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization's
diseases
facility
article on http://www.rense.com/by 2001 the magazine scientists
in
Geelong,
lan Gumey,
in Jan.
Nature published information that two
at this facility, using genetic
manipulation
and
DNA sequencing, had created an incredibly virulent form of mousepox,
de Soto Bridge carries Interstate 40 out of
animal
Australia. He had worked there 15 years. According to an
a cousin of smallpox.
extremely concemed
The researchers
that if similar manipulation
were
could be
Memphis, across the Mississippi River into Arkansas. The
done to smallpox, a terrifying weapon could be unleashed.
traffic on the bridge was reduced to a single lane in each direction. This would have caused westbound traffic out of
According to Victoria Police, Nguyen died after entering a
Memphis to slow down and travel in one lane. Anything in the other two closed lanes would have been plainly obvious to every passing person. There are no known witnesses to Wiley stopping his car on the bridge.
Shelby County Medical Examiner O.C. Smith announced his department
had
ruled
WHey s death
to
be
"accidental;" the result of massive injuries suffered in a fall from the Hemando de Soto Bridge. Smith said there were paint marks on WHey's rental car similar to the paint used on construction signs on the bridge, and that the car's right front hubcap was missing. There has been no report as to which
construction
explanation Memphis
signs
WHey hit. There
as to why this evidence police
"missing person."
to consider
is also
no
did not move the
possibilities
other
than
cooling system. Unable to breathe, Mr. Nguyen collapsed and died," is the official report. Nitrogen is not a "deadly" gas, and is a part of air. An
On Jan. 14, almost two months after his disappearance, that
refrigerated storage facility. "He did not know the room was full of deadly gas which had leaked from a liquid nitrogen
a
extreme
over-abundance
atmosphere
would
lightheadedness,
of nitrogen cause
in one's immediate
shortness
of
breath,
and fatigue - conditions a biologist would
certainly recognize. Additionally,
a leak sufficient to fill the
room with nitrogen would set off alerts, and would be so massive as to cause a complete loss of cooling, causing the temperature
to rise, which would also set off alerts
these systems are routinely equipped with. A RUSSIAN, CORPSES
BRITISH
In 1989, Vladimir
INTELLIGENCE
Pasechnik
defected
AND
OLD
from the Former
Soviet Union (FSU) to Great Britain while on a trip to Paris.
He had been the top scientist in the FSU's bioweapons
the Eastern Daily Press says police believe Langford died
program,
after suffering
sequencing.
which
is
heavily
Pasechnik's
dependent
upon
DNA
death was reported in the New
York Times as having occurred on Nov. 23. The Times obituary Pasechnik's
indicated
that the announcement
of
death was made in the United States by Or.
Christopher Davis of Virginia, who stated that the cause of death was a stroke. Davis was the member of British intelligence who de-briefed Or. Pasechnik at the time of his defection.
Davis says he left the intelligence
service
1996, but when asked why a former member intelligence would be the person announcing Pasechnik
in
of British
the death of
to the US media, he replied that it had come
about during a conversation
with a reporter he had had a
long relationship with. The reporter Davis named is not the
"one or more falls." They say this would
account for his head injuries and large amount of blood found at the death scene.
THE HOWARD HUGHES MEDICAL INSTITUTE -ANOTHER LINK? There is another intriguing connection between three of the five American
scientists that have died. WHey, Schwartz,
and Benito Que worked for medical research facilities that received
grants
from
Howard
Hughes
(HHMI). HHMI funds a tremendous
Medical
Institute
number of research
programs at schools, hospitals and research facilities, and has long
been
alleged
to be conducting
"black
ops"
biomedical research for intelligence organizations, including the CIA.
author of the Times' obituary, and Davis declined to say which branch of British intelligence he served in. No reports
Long-time
of Pasechnik's
reports that there is a history of people connected to HHMI
death appeared in Britain for more than a
month, until Dec. 29, when his obituary appeared
in the
London Telegraph, which did not include a date of death. Pasechnik spent the 10 years after his defection working at the Centre for Applied Microbiology UK Department
and Research
at the
of Health, Salisbury. On Feb. 20, 2000, it
was announced that, along with partner Caisey Harlingten, Pasechnik
had
Biotechnologies company
formed
a
company
called
Regma
Ltd. Regma describes itself as "a new drug
working
to
provide
powerful
altematives
antibiotics." Like three other microbiologists
to
detailed in this
article, Pasechnik was heavily involved in DNA sequencing research.
During
the
anthrax
panic
of this
past
to
help in any way possible. Despite Regma having a public that has released many items to the
press over the past two years, the company announced the death of one of its two founders.
has not
was head of the microbiology Medical
University.
Pravdaru
sub-facility
Doyle,
PhD.
In 1994, Jose Trias met with a friend in
Houston,
Texas and was planning to go public with his
personal
knowledge
of HHMI
"front door"
grants being
diverted to "back door" black ops bioresearch.
The next
day, Trias and his wife were found dead in their Chevy Chase,
Md.
home.
headquartered.
Chevy
Police
Chase
described
is where the
HHMI
is
as
a
killings
professional hit. Tsunao Saitoh, who formerly worked at an HHMI-funded lab at Columbia University, was shot to death on May 7, 1996 while sitting in his car outside his home in La Jolla, Calif. Police also described this as a professional hit.
BEYOND THE BIZARRE Early-October
saw
reports
that
British
scientists
were
planning to exhume the bodies of 10 London victims of the 1918 type-A flu epidemic
known as the Spanish Flu. An UK said that victims
of the Spanish Flu had been victims of "the world's most reported that
Victor Korshunov had been killed. At the time, Korshunov State
Patricia
October 7 report In The Independent,
FEBRUARY,BLOODYFEBRUARY On Feb. 9 the news publication
being murdered.
investigator
fall,
Pasechnik offered his services to the British govemment relations department
biowarfare
deadly virus." British scientists, according to the story, hope to uncover the genetic makeup of the virus, making it easier to combat.
at the Russian
He was found
dead
in the
Professor John Oxford of London's Queen Mary's School
entrance to his home with a cranial injury. Pravda reports
of
that Korshunov had probably invented either a vaccine to
acknowledges that the exhumations and subsequent studies will have to be done with extreme caution so the
protect against biological weapons, or a weapon itself. On Feb. 12 a newspaper in Norwich, England reported the previous day's death of lan Langford, a senior researcher at the University of East Anglia. The story went on to say that police "were not treating the death as suspicious." The next day, Britain's The Times reported that Langford was found wedged under a chair "at his blood-spattered
and
12 story, from
the Eastern
Daily
Press,
reports that clerks at a store near Langford's home claim he came in on a daily basis to buy "a big bottle of vodka"
Two
of the store's staff also claim Langford had come into the store a few days earlier wearing "just a jumper and a pair of shoes." None of the store's staff would give their name. It is hard to understand levels of achievement
the
British
virus is not unleashed uncovering
govemmenfs
how a man can reach the highest in a scientific field while drinking "a
big bottle of vodka" on a daily basis, and strolling around his hometown nearly nude. A Feb. 14 follow-up story from
adviser,
to cause another epidemic.
of a pathogen's
The
genetic structure is the exact
work Pasechnik was doing at Regma weeks
flu
after the planned exhumations
Pasechnik died six were announced.
The need to exhume the bodies assumes
no Type-A flu
virus sample exists in any lab anywhere in the world. A piece on MSNBC that aired September
apparently ransacked home." The February
Medicine,
British exhumation
6 makes the
plans seem odd. The story refers to an
article that was to be published
the following day in the
weekly magazine Science, reporting the 1918 flu virus had recently been RNA sequenced.
Researchers
had traced
down and obtained virus samples from archived lung tissue of WWI soldiers, and from an Inuit woman who had been buried in the Alaskan permafrost.
HELP WANTED, SPIES, AND A LINK TO PROMIS Almost immediately
at the outset of the anthrax scare, the
Bush administration contracted with Bayer Pharmaceuticals for millions of doses of Cipro, an antibiotic to treat anthrax.
This was done despite many in the medical
wide variety of databases.
community
been
stating that there were several cheaper, better altematives to Cipro, which
has never been shown
mated
in recent
The software
years
with
has reportedly
artificial
intelligence.
PROMIS has long been known to have been modified by
to be effective
against inhaled anthrax. The Center for Disease Control's
intelligence
(COG) own website states a preference
surreptitious retrieval of stored data. [For more information on what PROMIS can do and its history, please use the
doxycycline
over
Cipro
for
for the antibiotic
inhalation
anthrax.
CDC
search
expresses concerns that widespread Cipro use could cause other bacteria to become immune to antibiotics. It was announced
agencies
engine
with a back door
at http://www.fromthewilderness.com/
Given
Jan. 21 that the director of the CDC,
this
unique
capability,
by tapping
into databases
to compromise
acting director. The recent resignations
sinister covert operation.
government simultaneously
positions
leave the three in
the
Hadron's
prior
used by each of the victims,
could have identified any lines of research that threatened
for the National Institutes of Health - NIH is being run by an
medical
and
connections to PROM IS, it is a possibility that the software,
Satcher is also resigning. And there is currently no director
significant
.â&#x20AC;˘ or
further below a brief description of PROMIS is given.]
Jeffrey Koplan, is resigning effective March 31. Six days earlier it was announced that Surgeon General David
most
that allows for
federal
a larger, and as yet unidentified,
more
A PATTERN?
vacant. The
After three months of conflicting reports it is now official that the anthrax that has killed several Americans since October 5 is from US military sources connected
DNA
sequencing
microbiologists
work
discussed
drugs that will fight pathogens
to CIA research.
genetic
The FBI has stated that only 10 people could have had
profile.
developing
The
drugs
by
several
of
the
earlier is aimed at developing
work
based on the pathogen's
is also aimed
that will work
at eventually
in cooperation
with a
access, yet at the same time they are reporting astounding
person's genetic makeup. Theoretically,
security breaches at the biowarfare facility at Fort Detrick, Md. -- breaches such as unauthorized nighttime
developed for one specific person. That being the case, it's
experiments and lab specimens gone missing.
could be developed
The militarized anthrax used by the US was developed
a drug could be
obvious that one could go down the ladder, and a drug
by
class
of people
to effectively
sharing
treat a much broader
a genetic
marker.
The
entire
William C. Patrick Ill, who holds five classified patents on
process can also be tumed around to develop a pathogen
the process. He has worked at both Fort Detrick, and the
that will affect a broad class of people sharing a genetic
Dugway Proving Grounds in Utah. Patrick is now a private
marker. A broad class of people sharing a genetic marker
bio-warfare
could be a group such as a race, or people with brown
consultant
to the military
and
CIA.
Patrick
developed the process by which anthrax spores could be concentrated at the level of one trillion spores per gram. No other country has been able to get concentrations
eyes. Suspicious Death of David Kelly
above
500 billion per gram. The anthrax that was sent around the
On Thursday,
eastem US last fall was concentrated
per gram, according to a Jan. 31 report by Barbara Hatch
3:30pm, Or. David Kelly started out on his usual afternoon walk. About 18 hours later, searchers found his body, left
Rosenberg of the Federation of American Scientists.
wrist slit, in a secluded lane on Harrowdown
at one trillion spores
"Ken Alibek", he defected
to the US in 1992. Currently, Ken Alibek is President of Hadron Advanced Hadron,
company
specializing
Inc. Hadron in the
describes
development
solutions for the intelligence community.
itself
as
3 and
Hill. Kelly, the
maelstrom information
having been identified as the "leak" in about the "dossier" Prime Minister Tony Blair
had used to justify the war against Iraq.
Biosystems, a subsidiary of Alexandria,
Va.-based
between
U.K.'s premier microbiologist, was in the center of a political
In recent years Patrick has worked with Kanaijan Alibekov. Now known by the Americanized
July 17ft! 2003, sometime
a
of technical
In 1984 Or. Kelly was invited by the Ministry of Defense (MoD) to take the position
of chief microbiologist
at its
As chief scientist
secret facility at Porton Down. Kelly had been working in
at Hadron, Alibek gave extensive testimony to the House
the NERC Institute of Virology in Oxford. He brought a number of scientists with him from there to Porton Down.
Armed
Services Committee
Oct. 20,
1999, and again
announced
about biological weapons on May 23, 2000.
on
Hadron
on Dec. 20 that as of that date, the company
had received $12 million in funding for medical biodefense research from the Defense Advanced Agency,
the US Army
Medical
Research
Research
Projects
and Materiel
Command, and the NIH. Hadron said it was working in the field of non-specific immunity.
At the Hutton inquiry, Brian Jones testified as to Kelly's involvement, analyzing weapons
(DIS). That involvement,
Iraq.
General
clearance,
regarding
in
biological Jones was
on the Defence Intelligence Staff beginning
in 1987, presumably
Hadron and Brian have been closely associated
in court
documents and numerous credible reports, confirmed since Sept. 11, with the theft of enhanced PROM IS software from its owner, the INSLAW Corporation.
"inspector"
in Russia and (for UNSCOM)
in
Edwin Meese.
Brian was convicted in the 1980s on fraud charges. Both
computer
security
continued until his death and through his several other jobs as weapons
sophisticated
highest information
of the U.K. and other governments.
In the 1980s Hadron was founded and headed by Or. Earl of former Attorney
the
director of a department
Brian, a medical doctor and crony of Ronald Reagan and an associate
with
top-secret
PROMIS is a highly
program capable of integrating
a
It was before and during Kelly's tenure at Porton Down that it became involved with South Africa's bioweapon program named
Project
Coast,
headed
by cardiologist,
Wouter
Basson. Basson was said to have had entree not only to Porton Down but the U.S. Army facility at Fort Detrick, Maryland (the U.S. counterpart
of Porton Down). The two
main thrusts of Project Coast were developing genetically
For several months, Kelly had been communicating
altered diseases that would affect only groups with similar
Victoria
DNA characteristics, in assassination scientists
e.g. blacks, and weapons to be used
of individuals.
working
consultants
at
Two (as yet unidentified)
Porton
to Basson's
Down
projects.
were
also
paid
The CIA in the U.S.
contributed to Basson's efforts through Dr. Larry Ford. Ford was set up as co-president developing
of a laboratory
supposedly
a feminine birth control device that would also
protect against AIDS. The company never had a product or any sales. According to an undercover FBI informant, Ford did develop
an "anti-black"
product
he delivered
to an
attache of the South African govemment in Califomia.
Roddam,
Publications
a commissioning
with
editor for Oneworld
based in Oxford. One week
before
Kelly's
death, she had sent him an e-mail that said in part, "I think' the time is ripe now more than ever for a titie which addresses the relationship between government, policy and war-I'm sure you would agree." They had been discussing Kelly
authoring
a book
to be published
by Victoria's
company. Another document found among Kelly's effects at his home was an undated hand-written note from Roddam with a list of suggested
topics to be included in the book. One such
topic was the ethics of biological warfare, a sticking point
In 1991, a team of U.S. and U.K scientists, including Kelly
that could be responsible
and Davis, made a trip to the USSR to inspect Biopreparat
dass micro biologists
facilities at four locations. Their host was deputy chief of the
was the involvement of corporations in biological warfare. A
program, Kanaijan Alibekov, who would later "defecf' to the
third was
U.S. and change
industries in bio-warfare containment. Yet another
his name to Ken Alibek.
Kelly made
several inspection trips to Russia.
for a string of deaths of world-
in various countries.
A second one
the role of the pharmaceutical
and
biotech
as well as prevention and was the connection between
Russia and Iraq with WMD, and a look at the proliferation in the arms trade. It would have been in character for him to
KEN ALfBEK got a medical
degree
at the
military
discuss the project with Judith Miller and perhaps seek her
medical institute
at Tomsk. In 1982, at the age of 31, he
advice as she had authored several books on topic. At any
became
acting
of
rate, now David Kelly has joined the growing list of world-
the
director
the
bioweapons-production
plant,
a
Kirov region of Russia.
Before
defecting,
major
Omutninsk
facility
in the
he ended up
working in Biopreparat headquarters, a large building Moscow. His boss was Vladimir Pasechnik.
in
is
class microbiologists who have met mysterious andlor been murdered.
deaths
PROMIS & PTECH: the
PROMIS software and its evolutions were the lynch pin of
creation of genetically altered viruses and bacteria in order
every new military, scientific and financial advance being
to enhance
pursued
He explains: Genetic engineering,
in military terms,
their power as weapons.
done by altering an organisms
This work can be
DNA, which
is the
ribbonlike
by the US government
PROMIS
progeny
molecule that contains the organism's genetic code and is
underlying
found in every cell and in every virus particle.
major technology
"Russia has researched the genetic alteration of smallpox, " Alibek told Richard Preston, author of The Hot Zone. "In 1990 and 1991, we engineered
a smallpox
at Vector. It was
found that several areas of the smallpox genome" DNA - "can be used for the introduction genetic material. The first development
of some foreign
was smallpox and
is a
VEE. VEE, or Venezuelan equine encephalitis,
a severe
virus. It causes
- the
brain
headache and near-{;oma, but it is
generally not lethal. Alibek said that the researchers spliced VEE into smallpox. The result was
a recombinant
virus. In ancient Greek myth, the chimera was
chimera
a
monster
have become
data management under
technological
advance
surveillance,
to
Communications
and corporate
battlefield
system"
and data mining for every
development from
sector.
the "operating
in all arenas
medicine,
to
Command,
of
finance, Control
to and
or C3. By definition, PROMIS progeny are
the backbone of a current DoD plan to develop a "Godlike" view of all human (or battlefield) activity from space. They are also inherently envisioned
for
a part of the data processing
advanced
space
weapons
being
requiring
machines to think as they share data in virtual real time. MIT
in
a
recent
scientific
publication
titled
"Space
Weapons: Crossinq the US Rubicon" described a number of capabilities to which FTW referred in our October 2000 story on PROMIS, including a statement that space is "the
of different animals. Recombination means the mixing of genes from different organisms. "It is
ultimate high ground."
called smallpox-VEE
As time passes it is beginning to appear that PROMIS is
made
from
called
parts
Veepox.
chimera," Alibek said. It could also be
Under
a
microscope,
Alibek
said,
the
Veepox looks like smallpox, but it isnY. According to A1ibek, the Vector researchers
found more than one place in the
literally what made possible not only 9/11, but everything that has followed since and what is being planned. TIA has been renamed several times. We know that the first
smallpox DNA where you could insert new genes without
software was delivered to the Defense Advanced Research
decreasing
More
Projects Agency (DARPA) in 2003. Its latest nom de guerre
a
is TIE or Trusted Information Environment. According to the San Francisco Chronicle last October TIE now allows the
recently,
smallpox's the
ability
to cause
Vector researchers
recombinant Ebola-smallpox
may
chimera.
disease. have
created
Ebola virus uses the
molecule RNA for its genetic code, whereas smallpox uses DNA. Alibek believes that the Russian researchers made a
government to access private databases without a warrant.
DNA copy of the disease-{;8using
private databases
parts of Ebola, then
grafted them into smallpox.
FTW go one step further to assert that TIE allows access to without the knowledge of the database
owners, provided only one condition exists: the database can be accessed through the internet.
A possible motive for the death of Dr. Kelly?
In
this
electrifying
whistleblower
Indira
timeline-driven Singh
lays
report, out
the
Wall
Street
connections
between the providers of this advanced software (derived from the PROMIS software stolen from the Inslaw corporation in the 1980s by the US Justice Department and others)
and the network of terrorist financing
Hamilton told FTW that none of the uses described above had anything to do with any licensing agreements for the software's use to track terrorists, intelligence matters or worldwide financial transactions.
(sustained
with US blessing) that has pervaded U.S covert operations
The paper tracking of the refinements
for years.
legal dispute erupted between INSLAW and the Reagan administration, verifies that at least one version of Promis
WHAT IS PROMIS AND WHAT DOES IT DO?
was given to Martin Marietta, now Lockheed-Martin, which is now the nation's second largest defense contractor. Research conducted
PROMIS stands for Prosecutor's Management
Information
indicated
System.
defense
by many investigative journalists has
that Prom is has spread widely throughout contractor
network.
FTW has received
In the late 1970s the legal system of the United States
reports of Prom is use by companies
Department
DynCorp,
thirty
of Justice (DoJ) was comprised
semi-autonomous
offices.
Each
had
management
for
regional
U.S.
a computer prosecutions,
of more than
Attorneys
system
(USA)
to track
investigations,
case
and
civil
litigations. The problem was that they used as many as seven different transmission
programming
languages.
and sharing of information
Raytheon,
Endowment
Boeing,
the
multiple
and institutions
SAIC
and
as well as by government
the
like
Harvard
agencies such as
the Financial Criminal Enforcement Network (FINCEN) and the U.S. Treasury. Here's how powerful the software is.
This made the between
offices
virtually impossible. The computers in the USA's office in San Francisco could not read files sent from the USA in
Approximately two weeks after the September 11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, the History Channel
aired a documentary
entitled
"The
History
of
Terrorism." In that documentary, a law enforcement officer described some of the methods used to track terrorist
New York. The
in Prom is after the
genius
of Hamilton
and
Inslaw
was
to create
a
software program that could access files in any number of databases
and programming
languages and translate and
then unify them into one consistent file. Prom is was the Rosetta stone of computer languages.
movements. He stated that "computers" were able to track such things as credit card purchases, entry and exits visas, telephone
and utility usage etc. It was implied that these
diverse data base files could be integrated into one unified table. He gave an example that through the use of such a
Inslaw won a $10 million, three-year contract in March 1982 to install a 16-bit architecture version of Prom is, which the
system it would be possible to determine that if a suspected
government
by monitoring
without
had the right to use but not the right to modify
paying
license
fees
to
Inslaw,
on government
terrorist entered the country and was going to hide out, that
computers in the 22 largest U.S. Attorneys' Offices. In April
determine
1983, the second
whose
government
year of the three-year
modified
Inslaw's
contract
obtain delivery of a 32-bit architecture which the government
contract, in
the
order
to
version of Promis,
could not even use without paying
license fees. In modifying
the contract,
the government
promised to pay license fees if it decided to substitute the 32-bit version for the 16-bit version. In May 1983, the month following Promis,
the
Inslaw's delivery of the 32-bit version of
government
reneged
on
its
contractual
agreement to pay license fees and simultaneously began to find fault with Inslaw's implementation services as justification for withholding services payments.
the water and electrical consumption
of all
possible suspects in a given cell, it would be possible to where the terrorist was hiding out by seeing
utility
use
increased.
Conversely,
it would
be
possible to determine if a terrorist was on the move if his utility consumption
declined or his local shopping patterns
were
Aren't
interrupted.
those
"club"
cards
from
your
supermarket handy? This is but the barest glimpse
of what Promis can do.
Mated with artificial intelligence
it is capable of analyzing
not only an individual's, but also a community's entire life, in real time.
It is also capable
irregularities
appear
of issuing
and of predicting
warnings
when
future movements
based upon past behavior. In the financial arena Prom is is even more formidable. Not
In January 1988, following several weeks of trial in 1987, the U.S. Bankruptcy
Court issued fully litigated findings of
fact that the Justice Department "took, converted, stole" the 32-bit version of Promis "through trickery, fraud and deceit," implemented the 32-bit version of Prom is in the 44 largest U.S. Attorneys Offices, and then tried to force INSLAW out of business in order to incapacitate the Justice Department's
INSLAW from litigating
theft of Prom is. The Bankruptcy
Court imposed a compulsory license on the 44 largest U.S. Attorneys Offices for the perpetual use of the 32-bit version of Promis and issued a permanent
injunction against any
further dissemination of Prom is by the government under license from Inslaw. Subsequent
appeals by the government
rulings overturned
on legal, not factual,
actions in the case continue to this day.
except
markets
Legal
of predicting
and tracking
trades
movements
in real time.
in financial It has been
reported, on a number of occasions, to have been used, via the "back door" to enter secret bank accounts, including accounts
in Switzerland
and then remove the money in
those accounts without being traced. Court documents filed in the various INSLAW trials include documentation of this ability as well as affidavits and declarations
from Israeli
intelligence officers and assets. FTW has previously reported that the CIA uses Promis to track stock trades in real time. Thus, as described in FTW stories
saw the original grounds.
only is it capable
on
September
insider
trading
11 attacks,
directly
the Agency
connected
to
had the ability
the to
determine that immediate impending attacks were planned against both American
and United Air Lines. The Israeli
Herzliyya Institute for Counter terrorism was able to publish
11?1 a detailed attacks
accounting
and
between
their
counter
of the trades within
report terrorist
underscores
days of the
the
connection
efforts and the monitoring
of
SIGINT (Signals Intelligence) satellite. According to Tyree this was the methodology
used by Jonathan
the Israeli Mossad to compromise
Pollard and
many foreign embassies
financial markets. [See FTW Vol. IV, No 7 - Oct. 15,2001]
in Washington.
Suspicions of CIA advance knowledge of the attacks were
PROM IS & BIG PICTURE: Tyree described
heightened when FTW disclosed that the current Executive
progeny, having inspired four new computer languages had
Director of the CIA, AB. "Buzzy" Krongard was, unti/1998, the CEO of AB. Brown, the company which handled many of the suspicious trades. The
of satellites so far out in
space that they were untouchable.
At the same time the
progeny had improved video quality to the point where the
FOX story reported
that Osama
bin Laden once
boasted that his youth "knew the wrinkles of the world's financial markets like the back of their hands and that his money would never be frozen." He may be right. And an administration
made possible the positioning
how Prom is
so lost in covering up criminal conduct - no
less than the conduct of the ones which preceded it - while
same satellite could focus on a single human hair. The ultimate big picture. PROMIS
& MECHANICAL
HUMANS:
Tyree
explained
that Promis progeny had also evolved to the point where neural pads could be attached to plugs in the back of the human head and thought could be translated into electrical
trying to fight a war at the same time -- might find itself
impulses that would be equally capable of flying a plane or
doubly wounded Inslaw.
by the software
wire transferring
PROMIS
ETHNO-SPECIFIC
&
of Bill Hamilton
BIO-WARFARE
The Last Circle describes
WEAPONS:
and
in detail
how
money.
Names
like Sandia,
Cal-Tech,
Micron, Tech University of Graz, Octed Leventer and Massimo Grimaldi were mentioned. Data, such as satellite reconnaissance,
could also now be downloaded
from a
Promis software was modified by Riconosciuto to allegedly
satellite directly into a human brain. The evolution of the
include the back door "eavesdropping"
artificial
intelligence
animal
behavior
capability but also
enhanced with one form of AI and subsequently the
development
"ethnospecific"
of new
weapons
biowarfare compounds
applied to
systems
including
capable of attacking
specific races. PROMIS
Mechanical
had and
humans
progressed thought
were
being
SYSTEMS:
being
tested.
decoded.
Animals
were
being controlled by computer. PROMIS & THE NAGASAKI
& MICROSOFTIWINDOWS
to a point where
were
SYNDROME:
Then, placing
In the
the evolutions of Promis in context with the Canadian story
winter of 94-95, Inslaw's investigator into Promis, a former
Tyree asked a question as to why one would really now
green beret named McCoy, reveled to FTW, that he was
need to go to all the trouble of monitoring all of a foreign
using former Green Berets to conduct physical surveillance
country's intelligence operations. "There's an easier way to
of the Washington,
D.C. offices of Microsoft in connection
get what I want," he said. "I access their banks. I access
thereto FTW received
their banks and I know who does what and who's getting
with the Prom is case. Subsequent information
indicating that piracy of Microsoft products at
ready to do what," he said. He described how Canada had
the GE Aerospace Herndon facility were likely tied to larger
been
objectives, possibly the total compromise
of any Windows
Canada then modified, or thought they had modified, again
provided
with
modified
Promis
based product. It is not by chance that most of the military
to eliminate the trap door. But, unknown, to the Canadians
and all of the intelligence agencies in the U.S. now operate
the Elbit chips in the systems bypassed the trap doors and
on Macintosh systems.
permitted the transmission
PROM IS & FINANCIAL
the computers were turned off and secure.
MARKETS:
The Tyree diagrams
laid out in detail how Promis, after improvement had allegedly been mated with the software Stephens' firm Systematics. eighties,
Systematics
electronic
banking
to the diagrams
verified) relationships
In the late seventies and early
handled
according
transactions
some
60-70%
in the
U.S.
every
of
The
all
goal,
which laid out (subsequently
between
Stephens,
the Lippo Group and the drugfrntelligence to penetrate
with AI,
of Jackson
banking
system
Worthen
Bank,
bank BCCI was
in the world.
This
A weapon capability
is only
good
software
which
of data when everyone thought
if someone
is. Prior to using
the
knows
atomic
what
bomb
its
it was
irrelevant." He continued, "They refer to it as the Nagasaki Syndrome."
Suggested Reading: - The Washington Times - Search Archives for "Promis" - Insight Magazine - a by investigative reporter K. O'Meara at http://www.insightmag.com/archivel200 10 1307.shtml.
"cabal" could then use Promis both to predict and to influence the movement of financial markets worldwide.
- "The Last Circle" - An online e-book by Carol Marshall at http://www.lvcaeum.org/books/books/last circle/.
Tyree informed FTW that just before McCoy's death, he
"Trail of The Octopus" - by Lester Coleman, 1993.
had given
- The lnslaw Affair http://www.webcom.coml-pinknoi7Jcovert/inslaw. html. Includes Congressional testimony supporting Inslaw and a record of court proceedings.
McCoy
information
on "Elbif'
flash memory
chips, allegedly designed at Kir Yat-Gat south of Tel Aviv. The unique feature of the Elbit chips was that they worked on ambient electricity in a computer. worked
when
the
computer
was
In other words, they turned
off.
When
combined with another newly developed chip, the "Petrie,"
- FfW: Vol.
N, No
7 - Oct 15,2001 -
http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/pand
which was capable of storing up to six months worth of key strokes,
it was now possible
computer's receiver
to burst transmit
all of a
activity in the middle of the night to a nearby
- say in a passing
truck or even a low flying
ora/052401
oromis.html.