Hinsdale Real Estate Guide (Q3 2024)

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Q2 2022

LOCAL REAL ESTATE GUIDE Q3 2024

HINSDALE

HINSDALE LOCAL REAL ESTATE GUIDE

METHODOLOGY

Overview of Terms and Hinsdale Submarkets

CLOSED:closed transaction reflecting the final sales price (does not include any seller credits)

CONTRACTED:contingent or pending transaction reflecting the latest asking price

CONTRACT TIME:number of days between the first list date and the contracted date (does not include time from contract to close)

HOME INVENTORY:number of homes currently available for sale

MEDIAN:middle value of a given dataset (all report values are medians, which are less impacted by outliers than averages)

PRICE DISCOUNTS:percentage difference between the initial list and recorded sale price

PRICE PER SQ. FT:ratio of the median price to the median sq. footage of a closed transaction as a relative price measure

NORTHWEST

(Rte. 83 to N. York Rd. / N. Garfield St. and Ogden Ave. to W. Chicago Ave.)

CENTRAL WEST

(Rte. 83 to S. Garfield St. and W. Chicago Ave. to W. 55th St.)

NORTHEAST

(Hwy. 294 to N. York Rd. / N. Garfield St. and Ogden Ave. to E. Chicago Ave.)

CENTRAL EAST

Hwy. 294 to S. Garfield St. and E. Chicago Ave. to E. 55th St.

SOUTH

(South of 55th St.)

MARKET SUMMARY

“Seller’s Market” Continues into the Fall with Very Low Home Inventory

NEW LISTINGS

 Listings decreased nearly 30% in Q3; only homes under $500K increased (1 more listing)

 July and September listings were down 15% or more with August very soft (down ~50%) compared to prior year

Listing activity expected to be limited with seasonal trends going into year end

Jul. –Sept. (YoY%)

Price Range'24'23%

<$500K 3250%

$500K - $999K 1423-39%

$1M - $1.49M 1725-32%

$1.5M - $1.99M 2332-28%

$2M - $2.99M 79-22%

$3M+ 770%

Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

By Submarket

 Hinsdale submarkets were also mostly lower during the quarter (South was up from a small amount last year)

 Only Central East area remains higher over the last 12 months

 South listings are less than half of other submarkets during the last 12 months

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

CONTRACTED HOMES

By Price Range

 Contracts were 25%+ higher during the quarter supported by most price ranges ($3M+ flat)

 Lower end of the Hinsdale market (below $1M) continues to show contract declines over the last 12 months

Contracts expected to soften due to low listing activity and a shortage of inventory

Price Range'24'23% <$500K 30N/A

By Submarket Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

 Contract activity was mixed across submarkets in Q3 (3 up / 2 down)

 Central East had a strong quarter (more than doubling) and is now 50%+ higher over the last 12 months

 Central West chart-topping increases began in 2019 and continued to mid-2021 before large declines (now flattening)

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

CLOSED HOMES

By Price Range

 Closed homes increased nearly 45% in Q3 with more activity across all price ranges

 Consistent with contracts, lower end of the market continues to show closing declines over the last 12 months

Closing activity anticipated to slow without more inventory

–Sept. (YoY%)

Price Range'24'23% <$500K 52150% $500K - $999K 191712% $1M - $1.49M 171242%

By Submarket

 Closed activity was higher across all submarkets during the quarter

 Northwest and Central East had a very strong quarter; these areas are also up 30%+ over the last 12 months

 South area is lower than other submarkets, but closed in Q3 nearly half of the homes comprising the last 12 months

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

HOME INVENTORY

By Price Range

 Available homes declined nearly 50% on already very low inventory

 Overall home inventory across price ranges is down almost 90% from September 2019

Limited inventory expected to continue driving “seller’s market” conditions

Sept. Trends (Relative%)

Sept. Quarter End (YoY%)

By Submarket

 Home inventory is down materially across submarkets; only South is higher (1 house)

 All submarkets currently have only a handful or so homes available

coming

CONTRACT TIME

By Price Range

 Days between listing date and contract signing varied by price range, but overall time was faster

 Homes priced $500K –$1M and $3M+ took a little longer in Q3, but all prices ranges are down over the last 12 months Overall contract times shortened more in an already fast-moving market

Jul. –Sept. (YoY%)

Price Range'24'23%

<$500K 1369-81%

$500K - $999K 7540%

$1M - $1.49M 59-44% $1.5M - $1.99M 10100% $2M - $2.99M 1122-50%

$3M+ 262313%

Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

By Submarket

 Contract times were more mixed in Q3 across Hinsdale submarkets (2 shorter / 2 longer / 1 flat)

 West areas and South were all under 10 days to contract during the quarter

 Most areas have shorter contract times over the last 12 months (Northwest flat)

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

PRICE DISCOUNTS

Price Range

 Closed price discounts widened slightly overall in Q3 (despite some variability)

 Homes priced $500K –$2M showed more negotiability during the quarter; only homes priced $1M –$1.5M sold at full price over the last 12 months

Price discounts expected to remain narrow due to limited home availability

Jul. –Sept. (YoY%)

Price Range'24'23%

<$500K 92%84%8%

$500K - $999K 97%100%-3%

$1M - $1.49M 98%100%-2%

$1.5M - $1.99M 95%101%-5%

$2M - $2.99M 98%95%3%

$3M+ 93%92%2%

Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

By Submarket

 Price discounts widened during the quarter in most areas (Northwest flat)

 Northeast and Central areas had the most discount in Q3; South was full price in the quarter and narrowest in the last 12 months

 Transactions mostly closing with a small discount (but some cases full asking price)

Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

PRICE PER SQ. FT.

By Price Range

 Relative prices increased slightly overall during the quarter with meaningful variability

 Price ranges with the most closings in Q3 ($500K –$1M and $1.5M –$2M) were the only areas that declined

Relative pricing has been supported by limited home inventory and buyer demand

Jul. –Sept. (YoY%)

Price Range'24'23%

<$500K $281$23122%

$500K - $999K $312$314-1%

$1M - $1.49M $343$3149%

$1.5M - $1.99M $311$338-8%

$2M - $2.99M $427$36019%

$3M+ $549$5294%

Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

By Submarket Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)

 Hinsdale submarkets experienced mixed relative price trends in Q3 (2 higher / 2 lower / 1 flat)

 Northwest was down during the quarter and is the only area that declined over the last 12 months

 South area normalizing some over the last 12 months with more closings

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

CLOSED SALE PRICES

Submarket

 Overall sale prices were up over 5% across Hinsdale submarkets; Northwest growth more than offset other declines

 Central areas showed sale price decreases (due to mix) despite relative price per sq. ft. increases in the quarter

Closed sale prices should be reviewed with price per sq. ft. to gauge overall trends

Jul. –Sept. (YoY%)

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

CLOSED SALE VOLUME

By Submarket

 Overall closed sale volume for single-family homes increased 50%+ in Q3 and is now up more than 25% over the last 12 months

 Central East was up tremendously for the quarter and last 12 months; Northwest also jumped in both timeframes

Central East has surpassed Central West as the largest closed sale volume area

Jul. –Sept. (YoY%)

Northwest Northeast Central West Central East South

COMPARING HOME TYPES

Analyzing Hinsdale Home Types for Q3 2024

COMPARING SUBURBS

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