Q1 2022
LOMBARD
LOCAL REAL ESTATE GUIDE
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OPENING NOTE
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As a leading real estate team, we typically focus on just that and related areas of interest; however, there are some topics beyond this scope we are compelled to address. We felt this way about the pandemic and encouraged digging deep to support local like never before. Now, we hope Lombard will continue to rally behind the people of/from Ukraine. Please consider donating to relief efforts! In developing this quarterly report, we wanted to provide a unique depth of local analysis with current insights and historical context. Now may be the best time in many years to consider selling your home. Please reach out if a customized home evaluation would be helpful. For the cover we chose an image of our Paradise Bay Water Park. We can’t wait to enjoy the warm weather! The facility plans to open on Saturday, May 28. All my best,
630.750.9551 kelly.stetler@compass.com www.kellystetlerrealestate.com 2
METHODOLOGY Overview of Terms and Lombard Submarkets CLOSED: closed transaction reflecting the final sales price (does not include any seller credits) NORTH
CONTRACTED: contingent or pending transaction reflecting the latest asking price CONTRACT TIME: number of days between the first list date and the contracted date (does not include time from contract to close) HOME INVENTORY: number of homes currently available for sale MEDIAN: middle value of a given dataset (all report values are medians, which are less impacted by outliers than averages) PRICE DISCOUNTS: percentage difference between the initial list and recorded sale price PRICE PER SQ. FT: ratio of the price to the square footage of a closed transaction as a relative price measure (factors in home size)
(North Ave. to St. Charles Rd. and Rte. 53 to Grace Ave.)
WEST
EAST
(St. Charles Rd. to Roosevelt Rd. and Hwy. 355 to Main St.)
(North Ave. to Roosevelt Rd. and Grace Ave. / Fairview Ave. to Villa Park)
CENTRAL (St. Charles Rd. to Roosevelt Rd. and Main St. to Grace Ave. / Fairview Ave.
SOUTH (South of Roosevelt Rd. to Butterfield Rd.)
Note: All figures represent detached single-family homes unless otherwise specified. Price range data based on the village of Lombard. Submarket figures based on the approximate areas identified on map above.
3
MARKET SUMMARY “Seller’s Market” Remains During Strong Spring Market
Lower Activity
Fewer Available Homes
New Home Listings (Q1)
Home Inventory (March)
Short Market Times
List to Contract Days (Q1)
Narrow Price Discounts
Sale Price Discounts (Q1)
Higher Sale Prices
Sale Price / Price Per Sq. Ft. (Q1)
26%
Contracted Homes (Q1)
33%
“Seller’s market” with 15+ year low of available homes this time of year
33%
Closed Homes (Q1)
24%
Mostly less than 3 weeks across submarkets and price points; some homes much quicker
Tight discounts of less than 2%; houses selling near or above full price
Higher prices across submarkets and price ranges 4
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Led by the Brightest Minds in Technology Compass is led by experts across engineering, design, and strategy with backgrounds at Amazon, Airbnb, McKinsey, Microsoft, Twitter and others
Brokerage of Unparalleled Agents Compass Chicagoland agents were the most productive agents of any of the top 5 brokerages
$6.6M
Highest average volume produced by agent**
11.9
Highest average volume units per agent**
$554K
Highest average sales price**
**Broker Metrics, MRED LLC, 1-1-21 through 12-31-21, all property types when compared to @properties, Baird & Warner, Jameson Sotheby’s Intl Realty, Coldwell Banker Realty, Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Chicago in all MLS.
5
NEW LISTINGS By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
New listings were down YoY for the quarter, except homes priced $400K – $500K Each month in the quarter showed declines ranging from approx. 15% – 30% Listings less than $300K continue to decrease significantly from 2015 / 2016
700
Mixed listing activity with most price ranges currently trending lower
600
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
500
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
400 343 (+11%)
Price Range
'22
'21
%
300
<$300K
31
58
-47%
200
$300K - $399K
58
77
-25%
$400K - $499K
24
20
20%
$500K+
17
20
-15%
237 (-32%) 124 (+75%) 101 (+28%)
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
100
6
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Q1 showed mostly lower listing activity across submarkets, except in the East West and Central experienced significant declines (~50% each) for the quarter
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%) Submarket
'22
'21
%
North
27
32
-16%
West
15
30
-50%
Central
21
40
-48%
East
41
36
14%
South
18
21
-14%
West
Central
East
South
300
200
192 (+7%) 154 (+24%) 148 (-2%) 135 (-11%)
100
103 (-7%)
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
West and East are the only submarkets with more listings over the last 12 months
North
7
CONTRACTED HOMES By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Contracted homes were down 30%+ YoY driven by homes priced below $400K While contracts were up slightly in February, they were down 30%+ in January and ~50% in March Declining contracted homes are trending consistently with lower listing activity
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
450 375 300
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
262 (+7%) 225
'22
'21
%
<$300K
28
58
-52%
$300K - $399K
54
79
-32%
$400K - $499K
16
16
0%
$500K+
15
13
15%
197 (-31%)
150 85 (+67%) 51 (+19%)
75 0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Price Range
8
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Contracted activity was lower across submarkets in Q1 West and Central submarkets experienced the largest declines for the quarter Eastern Lombard has the most contract activity generally over the last decade
North
West
Central
East
South
200
150
145 (+3%)
100
115 (-1%) 107 (+15%) 96 (-14%) 82 (-9%)
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%) '22
'21
%
North
27
33
-18%
West
13
23
-43%
Central
19
35
-46%
East
30
34
-12%
South
17
23
-26%
50
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Submarket
9
CLOSED HOME SALES By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Closed homes were down 24% YoY driven mostly by homes priced below $400K Closing activity continued to grow for homes priced $400K – $500K during the quarter and the last 12 months Closed homes likely to continue declines with lower listings and fewer contracts
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
500
400
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
300
'22
'21
%
<$300K
24
52
-54%
$300K - $399K
38
54
-30%
$400K - $499K
15
8
88%
$500K+
8
10
-20%
215 (-28%)
200
100
0
87 (+98%) 53 (+43%) '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Price Range
282 (+32%)
10
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Closed activity was lower across submarkets in Q1 West and East submarkets were down the most for the quarter, but have increased the most over the last 12 months Closed home sales remain higher generally than pre-pandemic levels
North
West
Central
East
South
200
150
151 (+14%)
100
123 (+5%) 110 (+18%) 103 (-1%) 86 (0%)
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%) '22
'21
%
North
21
22
-5%
West
11
20
-45%
Central
18
23
-22%
East
16
24
-33%
South
15
22
-32%
50
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Submarket
11
COMPASS CONTRACTED Selected Compass Lombard Listings Under Contract
119 South Edgewood Ave.
1127 East Division St.
$615K
~2,900
4 / 2.1
2
$227K
~1,000
2/1
2
LIST PRICE
SQ. FT.
BEDS / BATHS
CAR GARAGE
LIST PRICE
SQ. FT.
BEDS / BATHS
CAR GARAGE
18W234 West 16th St. $155K
~1,200
3 / 1.1
1
LIST PRICE
SQ. FT.
BEDS / BATHS
CAR SPACE
12
HIGHLIGHTED HOME Recently Closed East Lombard Transaction
Bought By: $412,100 SALE PRICE
100%+ SALE / LIST PRICE
$292 PRICE PER SQ. FT.
4/2 BEDS / BATHS
1,412 SQ. FT.
Beautifully updated home with open floor plan in great location near Lombard Commons. Helped buyer win in competitive multiple offer scenario 13
HIGHLIGHTED HOME Recently Closed Central Lombard Transaction
Bought By: $354,000 SALE PRICE
96% SALE / LIST PRICE
$254 PRICE PER SQ. FT.
4/3 BEDS / BATHS
1,396 SQ. FT.
Adorable cottage home close to Hammerschmidt Elementary with charming features throughout and great outdoor entertaining area 14
HIGHLIGHTED HOME Recently Closed East Lombard Transaction
Bought By: $325,000 SALE PRICE
100%+ SALE / LIST PRICE
$183 PRICE PER SQ. FT.
3/2 BEDS / BATHS
1,773 SQ. FT.
Light and bright home updated throughout with a large great room addition. Helped buyer win in competitive multiple offer scenario. 15
HOME INVENTORY By Price Range
Mar. Quarter End (YoY%)
Available homes declined overall 33% and remains at 15+ year lows Inventory is particularly limited for homes priced <$300K Homes priced $500K+ are 35% of inventory
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
200
Scarce inventory expected to continue driving “seller’s market” conditions 150
Mar. Trends (Relative%) 100 23% 11% 30%
22% 14%
50%
16% 14% 27%
31%
27% 13% 25%
25%
43%
36%
33%
35%
'18 '19 <$300K $400K – $499K
'20
75%
0%
35% 24%
50
24% 16%
'21 '22 $300K – $399K $500K+
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
100%
13 (-13%) 9 (-36%) 9 (+29%) 6 (-68%) 16
By Submarket
Mar. Quarter End (YoY%)
Home inventory is meaningfully lower All submarkets have less than a dozen homes available
North
North and West comprise slightly more relative inventory compared to years prior to the pandemic
75
Mar. Trends (Relative%)
50
75% 50% 25% 0% North
12% 26%
16% 17%
11% 15%
27%
28% 20%
12% 18% 15% 21%
18% 19%
16% 18% 18% 18%
26%
30%
22% 18%
26%
33%
'18
'19
'20
'21
'22
West
Central
East
South
Central
East
South
25
0
11 (-8%) 7 (-22%) 6 (-14%) 5 (-62%) 4 (-20%) '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
100%
West
17
CONTRACT TIME By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Days between listing date and contract signing have been low (mostly less than a month) for several years Homes went under contract in less than two weeks generally over the last 12 months Expect contract times to remain short given buyer demand and limited inventory
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
225
150
Price Range
'22
'21
%
<$300K
13
9
44%
$300K - $399K
19
21
-10%
$400K - $499K
8
23
-65%
$500K+
8
34
-76%
75
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
11 (+10%) 10 (0%) 8 (0%) 6 (-25%) 18
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Contract time in Q1 remained fast, although the North and West saw meaningful increases from a low number of days in the prior quarter
North
West
Central
East
South
Buyers are reviewing new listings quickly Homes on the market for 3 weeks or longer are likely overpriced or have other factors impacting time / interest
100
75
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%) 50 '22
'21
%
North
38
13
192%
West
16
11
45%
Central
7
9
-22%
East
6
12
-50%
South
23
23
0%
25
0
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Submarket
11 (0%) 8 (+14%) 8 (+14%) 8 (-27%) 5 (-38%) 19
PRICE DISCOUNTS By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Sales closed at 98% – 99% of original list price for Q1 as homes continued to sell for near and above ask Multiple offers should be expected for properties priced fairly and in good condition Price discounts are narrow and expected to remain that way near-term
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
100%
100% (+1%) 99% (+2%) 99% (0%) 98% (+1%)
95%
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
90%
'22
'21
%
<$300K
98%
98%
0%
$300K - $399K
99%
98%
1%
$400K - $499K
98%
97%
1%
$500K+
98%
97%
1%
85%
80%
75%
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Price Range
20
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Price discounts have been mostly consistent across submarkets Limited differences reflect appeal of Lombard overall Discounts remain tight across submarkets
North
West
Central
East
South 100% (+2%) 100% (+1%) 100% (+1%) 100% (+2%) 99% (+1%)
100%
Buyers and sellers mostly meeting at 1% – 2% discount to original price 95%
Submarket
'22
'21
%
North
98%
98%
0%
West
97%
98%
-1%
Central
100%
98%
2%
East
100%
100%
0%
South
99%
96%
2%
90%
85%
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
21
PRICE PER SQ. FT. By Price Range
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Price per sq. ft. trend was significantly higher across all prices ranges in Q1 Price ranges below $400K set new records over the last 12 months Pricing continues to be strong based on low home inventory and continued buyer demand
<$300K
$300K – $399K
$400K – $499K
$500K+
$250
$205 (+6%) $202 (+12%) $200 (+6%) $187 (-4%)
$200
Price Range
'22
'21
%
<$300K
$210
$177
19%
$300K - $399K
$217
$193
12%
$400K - $499K
$223
$186
20%
$500K+
$210
$179
17%
$150
$100
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
22
By Submarket
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%)
Submarkets saw higher prices for the quarter with all areas increasing Each submarket was $200+ price per sq. ft. in Q1 and values for the last 12 months have returned to pre-recession levels With continued increases in South Lombard, this region is catching up to others after trailing since 2017
North
West
Central
East
South
$250
$212 (+5%) $205 (+3%) $202 (+5%) $197 (0%) $191 (+9%)
$200
Submarket
'22
'21
%
North
$210
$205
2%
West
$240
$183
31%
Central
$222
$204
9%
East
$223
$182
23%
South
$204
$176
16%
$150
$100
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
23
CLOSED SALE PRICES By Submarket Sale prices were higher during Q1 (these values are influenced by relative prices and the size of the homes sold) Tight band of closed sale prices for the last 12 months with a range across all areas of only ~$30K Limited homes available and remodeled homes expected to push prices higher
Rolling Last 12 Months (YoY%) North
West
Central
East
$400K $350K $300K
Jan. – Mar. (YoY%)
South
$356 K (+9%) $331 K (+3%) $325 K (+8%) $325 K (+14%) $323K (+13%)
$250K '22
'21
%
North
$390K
$292K
34%
West
$350K
$327K
7%
Central
$339K
$333K
2%
East
$325K
$300K
9%
South
$348K
$323K
8%
$200K $150K $100K
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Submarket
24
COMPARING HOME TYPES Analyzing Lombard Home Types
Home Type
Single Family
Town Houses
Condos
New Listings
130
22
63
Contracted Homes
113
21
60
Closed Homes
85
14
49
Home Inventory
37
5
15
Contract Time
14 days
4 days
7 days
Price Discounts
98.2%
100.0%
98.5%
Price per. Sq. Ft.
$216
$184
$151
Closed Sale Price
$348K
$269K
$170K 25
SEEN AROUND LOMBARD Our Recent and Upcoming Lombard Community Involvement in Q2
Saturday, April 9 (Under Age 3 Begins at 10:40am)
Saturday, May 14 (Races Begin at 8am)
Event Sponsor
Event Sponsor
Saturday, June 11 (9 – 11am)
Movie: Wednesday, June 15 (Sunset): Raya and The Last Dragon (PG)
Premier Event Sponsor
Concert: Wednesday, June 29 (7pm): Wild Daisy Premier Event Sponsor
26
COMPARING SUBURBS Analyzing Western Suburb Markets
Suburb
Median Price
Q1 YoY%
Price / Sq. Ft.
Q1 YoY% Contract Time Q1 YoY%
Clarendon Hills
$720K
31%
$281
10%
9
-67%
Downers Grove
$445K
11%
$233
14%
9
-25%
Elmhurst
$497K
5%
$263
7%
13
-35%
Glen Ellyn
$508K
12%
$238
10%
12
-33%
Hinsdale
$1,060K
19%
$283
4%
24
-31%
La Grange
$535K
-5%
$254
3%
7
-50%
Lombard
$349K
12%
$216
17%
13
-19%
Oak Brook
$800K
2%
$220
8%
47
-15%
Western Springs
$600K
-11%
$312
13%
23
15%
Wheaton
$423K
6%
$217
7%
15
15% 27
Compass is a licensed real estate broker and abides by federal, state and local equal housing opportunity laws. All material presented herein is intended for informational purposes only, is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors, omissions, and changes without notice. Sources include Midwest Real Estate Data LLC. This is not intended to solicit property already listed.
www.compass.com 630.750.9551 kelly.stetler@compass.com www.kellystetlerrealestate.com