07 The Weekly Punt

NUMBER 07

The scratch

Premier League Sunderland, the hottest team in England

2-3/

PREMIER LEAGUE

Unpredictable Gunners (and Reds)

T

op class match in Anfield: Liverpool-Arsenal. And if the Gunners want to get the Premier, they have to sum

points against Suarez and company. We

Liverpool-Arsenal X2 at 1.75 TonyBet

know that Liverpool has a poorer defense than the Londoneers: but at the same time, a fantastic attack. Arsenal is growing up and maybe will try to slow the pace of the match; and score a goal with a counter attack, thanks to Ozil, Cazorla and so on.

Turning 3-points

A

ctually, we didn't expect such an astonishing derby in

Sunderland-Hull 1 at 2.05 William Hill

St James' Park last weekend. Sunderland has definitely changed his mind (more than players) and is now ready

to upgrade. Ok, Hull City is a good team, but looking at the trend (and the sportsbook) it will be perfect to invest in the Black Cats.

by Mister Y

Arsenal to score first 2.20 Bet365

Stop the loss with the new boss

I

t was quite a shock, to know that Swansea has sacked

Swansea-Cardiff under 2,5 goals at 1.80 TonyBet

Michael Laudrup: the Danish didn't make so bad until now, buy maybe the management wants more. Cardiff too changed

recently his trainer, but still lies on relegation zone. We don't expect so many goals in this crucial game for both teams.

4-5 /

serie A

Rising form

U

dinese is having the worst

the Cup. At the end they are one game away

year in a decade, but now

to conquest Europe again this year, if they

they are starting to show

are able to win or draw against Fiorentina

that luck is a part of football.

in the Coppa Italia. In the league Guidolin’s

Maybe unlucky before with some absurd

team lost too many times and now they can

losses, probably a little lucky now, with

return to victory with a win against Chievo.

important wins against Inter and Milan in

Price is good, Punt of the Week.

Udinese-Chievo 1 at 1.90 BetVictor

On fire

I

f Serie A started 8 games ago, Doria would be in sixth place. And this with a loss in Juventus stadium. Mihajlović did an awesome

Sampdoria-Cagliari 1 at 2.10 William Hill

job and turn around a season that was close to be problematic. Last

week they won the derby and the enthusiasm of the team was impossible not to notice. I suspect this will go on for some times and we have a good opportunity this week against Cagliari, a good team but much better when they play at home.

by StatsMen

What a run

A

mazing run for this Parma squad, with 4 wins in a row and 10 games without losses. This week at home they

Parma-Catania 1 (-1 Asian) at 2.00 Bet365

meet Catania, the worst team in the league, that last week

fail to win their essential game against rivals of Livorno. They might throw the towel soon and certainly this week seems a task too high for the sicilian squad. Let’s take the asian handicap for this match.

6-7 /

liga

Coming back

T

What a Valencia in Barcelona last week. Camp Nou was astonished watching Messi and company knocked down. Betis

won a match after months, but it wat at

Valencia-Betis 1 (handicap) at 1.98 Bet365

home: now they are traveling to Mestalla.

Will they resist? I don't think so.

No mercy in Pamplona

V

ery important game for the relegation zone: Osasuna must keep his "temple" clean, and Getafe doesn't get any point far from home since a couple of months. This could be a

great opportunity for the Basque team to lift up.

Osasuna-Getafe 1 at 2.10 Pinnacle Bet

by Francesco Delle Femmine

Different goals

B

oth Celta and Athletic Bilbao are having a good season.

Celta-Athletic over 2,5 goals at 1.90 TonyBet

But the Galicianos can't be considered safe yet; the relegation zone is very crowded. Bilbao has just blocked Real

Madrid in San Mamès and wants to earn more points to reach the next Champions League. Statistics give me an idea: lots of goals!

8-9/

bundesliga

Nurnberg-Bayern 1 X at 4.50 Bet365

Nurnberg to score 1.72 Bet365

by Francesco Delle Femmine

Stop the rock

K

Bayern Munich is having a normal season, looking at the squad. But what about Nurnberg? They are getting a surprising trend, and at home they still haven't lost a game. This will be a fantastic game against Pep Guardiola's guys: Bayern could relax a bit, thinking about the Champions League and

knowing that they are dominating the Bundesliga.

Face to face

G

reat start for Mainz in this

Wolfsburg-Mainz both teams to score at 1.66 - Bet365

Wolfsburg-Mainz over 2,5 goalsat 1.72 TonyBet

2014: Wolfsburg is in an opposite situation. Furthermore during the

market the "wolves" have lost their commander, the Brazilian Diego (who went to Atletico Madrid). I see more value in the option "goal", because Mainz' forwards are hot in this period.

10-11/

ligue 1

Don't kill the championship

M

aybe this match is the most important of the year; at Stade Louis, Monaco has the great chance to get closer,

at only 2 points, but at the opposite Psg has a sort of match point. It would be very difficult to reach Paris Saint Germain with 8 points of separation. Although without Falcao, I think that it's very difficoult to

Monaco - Psg 1X at 1.70 Bet365

win at Monaco home: only Valenciennes has done that in an incredible match, and Paris doesn't seem in a great shape in the last appearences. I hope that league 1 can be open until the last match, and I trust in coach Claudio Ranieri

For the Champions

N

ot a good season for Marseille : bad luck in Europe, only 5th in Ligue1; but thanks to the Lille's bad period, now the

Marseille - Bastia 1 at 1.57 Bet365

Champions League zone is far only 5 points. To reach the

qualification, is essential to defeat Bastia at Velodrome; the away team is in a good position, very far from the relegation zone, but all the good results have come at home : away only 4 points in eleven mathces. Marseille can't miss this oportunity!

by Matteo Sbrana

A draw is ok

G

uingamp - Reims: everyone thought at the beginnig of season that both the teams would have play to evitate the

Guingamp - Reims X at 3.00 Bet365

relegation; instead of this, they're both are in a quite good

position, the local 8 points over dangerous zone, the away team even looking for an incredible European Cup zone. I think that either are solid teams, and maybe a draw in a boring match can be useful for the table of both. We make this try.

12-13 /

2014 Winter Olympics

Run to the (down)hill

E

Innerhofer on the podium 3.60 - Bet365

very Olympic Game is just like a lottery. Sometimes the real values sink because of tension, motivation and things like that.

How many olympic champions have won as a surprise? First of all in the most exciting competition, as it is the downhill race. Looking at this season, regarding men, the favorite is Aksel Lund Svindal: the Norwegian has 3-4 races to attend (downhill, giant slalom, super-g and supercombined) and 3-4 medals to catch.

Maybe he will be disoriented by all this pressure. I don't think he is going to win: maybe he'll be on the podium. The track will be more freezed than the normal tracks of the World Cup, remember. So, I'll search for another faster skiers to jump on the podium. For example, the Italian Christoph Innerhofer, who loves this weather conditions; and, why not, the Swiss Patrick Kueng, who has already won a downhill in this season. Let's try these two. The race starts on Sunday, at 11 a.m.

Kueng on the podium 4.60 - Bet365

by Mister Y

A

nd now let's have a look at the supercombined event, the first

Maze on the podium 2.00 - Bet365

Gagnon on the podium 4.00 - Bet365

race that will give a medal to the

women. I don't understand the bookies. Ok, Maria Riesch is dominating the World Cup, but many other girls can catch a medal. For example, Tina Maze: the Slovenian is not running like last year (when she won the overall World Cup), but in 2011 and in 2013 she won two consecutive golden medals in supercombined in the World Championship. So keep her in mind. Better quotes for Marie-Michèle Gagnon, the Canadian who has won the only supercombined event during this World Cup. The race starts on Monday, at 11 a.m.