Oahu Luxury Real Estate - Q4 2016

Page 1

Aloha and welcome to The Quarterly Luxury Market Report from LIST Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu. Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four single-family home and two condominium price segments. At the close of 2016, single-family home sales priced from $1 to $2 million are up by 16.4% compared to 2015 sales, with 708 homes sold. There have now been seven straight years of sales increases in this price category. The continued high sales totals have caused a decrease in months’ supply of inventory for this price point, which now stands at 5.8 months, 8.1% lower than last year at this time.

For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales increased by 17.9% to 99 homes sold, up from 84 in 2015, and almost even with the lofty 100 sold in 2014. Months’ supply of inventory was down by 36.9% to 11.2 months for the quarter.

market as reported by the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. During 2016, 3,678 single-family homes were sold on Oahu, up 6.5% compared to 2015. The median sales price for single-family homes closed 2016 at $735,000, up 5.0% over 2015.

Single-family homes priced from $3 to $5 million decreased by 14.0% compared to last year, with 37 homes sold compared to 43 homes in 2015. Months’ supply of inventory increased by 14.6% to 24.9 months.

Meanwhile, 5,449 condominiums were sold in 2016, an increase of 8.4%, with the median sales price for condominiums closing at $390,000, representing an 8.3 increase.

In the fourth quarter of 2016, there were two sales over $5 million, both in the Windward Oahu neighborhood of Lanikai that closed in late December. Before we look at luxury condos, here’s a quick view of Oahu’s overall

Both segments continue to report 2.9 months or less of inventory. The luxury condo market in 2016 showcases the fact that condominium sales had a banner year. In the $800 thousand to $1 million range, sales were up 13.1% over 2015. As with the CONTINUED ON PAGE 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, November 30, 2016

2016

#

$

2015

#

$

2014

#

$

2013

#

$

JAPAN

300

$160,518,454

JAPAN

31

$43,456,250

JAPAN

47

$63,383,000

JAPAN

28

$39,859,700

CHINA

13

$6,601,700

HONG KONG

4

$5,183,725

KOREA

5

$8,050,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,320,000

CANADA

18

$5,402,266

CANADA

4

$4,643,750

CHINA

4

$5,312,566

CHINA

3

$5,120,000

3

$3,795,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,045,600

CANADA

2

$2,601,708

CANADA

3

$4,079,000

SINGAPORE

2

$2,460,000

HONG KONG

9

$3,630,800

CHINA

TAIWAN

4

$3,010,280

KOREA

2

$2,370,000

2016

#

$

2015

#

$

2014

#

$

2013

#

$

JAPAN

49

$165,283,981

JAPAN

18

$50,565,500

JAPAN

38

$113,876,299

JAPAN

21

$56,616,300

HONG KONG

3

$10,068,494

CHINA

2

$7,400,000

SINGAPORE

7

$45,290,355

HONG KONG

4

$9,575,000

CHINA

2

$9,329,600

HONG KONG

3

$7,340,000

CHINA

4

$17,238,890

AUSTRALIA

2

$8,450,000

AUSTRALIA

4

$14,498,800

SINGAPORE

1

$3,300,000

VIRGIN IS.

2

$4,798,600

CANADA

2

$6,183,750

HONG KONG

1

$2,350,000

BRAZIL

1

$3,000,000

$2 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY Metric

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2011

320

39

28

9

75

113

2012

348

64

34

10

85

117

2013

471

64

32

14

120

150

2014

496

100

46

16

165

182

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

708

99

37

16

241

335

2011

$1.25

$2.35

$3.40

$6.10

$0.90

$1.55

2012

$1.26

$2.25

$3.51

$6.73

$0.90

$1.35

2013

$1.28

$2.35

$3.48

$9.00

$0.88

$1.31

2014

$1.26

$2.30

$3.86

$6.40

$0.88

$1.43

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2011

8.4

19.1

18.6

37.6

10.3

15.7

2012

4.2

9.3

15.2

20.0

7.1

9.2

2013

7.0

14.8

20.2

21.0

7.7

14.2

2014

6.4

9.4

17.0

33.2

7.5

13.8

2015

6.3

17.8

21.8

37.2

8.3

18.6

2016

5.8

11.2

24.9

24.9

5.8

10.8

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

CONDO

HISTORICAL GRAPH

Q4 2007

Q4 2010

Q4 2013

Q4 2016

Q4 2010

Q4 2013

Q4 2016

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH

Q4 2007

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

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CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1

single-family $1 to $2 million price range, this was the seventh straight year of sales increases. With higher demand, months’ supply of inventory was down 30.1% to 5.8 months. Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher added many sales in Q4 to round out 2016 at 335, a steep increase above 2015 and the highest mark in this category on record. Months’ of inventory decreased by 41.8% to 10.8 months compared to Q4 2015.

Remember that every home and situation is unique. For specific guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest. Sign up for our monthly market newsletter and more at www.ListSothebysRealty.com. 日本語 www.ListHawaii-mls.com.

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL

THROUGH THIRD QUARTER 2016

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

2014 Median Sales Price

2013 Median Sales Price

2012 Median Sales Price

2011 Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

$2,700,000

$900,000

$2,000,000

Beachside

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

$1,922,500

$1,807,500

$1,615,000

$1,687,500

Black Point

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

$1,800,000

$6,200,000

$2,400,000

$2,210,000

Diamond Head

$3,200,000

$2,875,000

$2,288,888

$2,200,000

$2,150,000

$2,062,500

Dowsett

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

$1,333,000

$1,015,000

$977,500

$1,155,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

$2,540,000

$1,946,500

$1,781,000

$1,590,000

Hillcrest

$1,050,000

$1,061,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$917,875

$980,000

Kahala Area

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

$1,940,000

$1,925,000

$1,790,000

Kamehame Ridge

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

$830,000

$1,268,888

$1,250,000

$1,000,300

Koko Kai

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

$2,520,000

$1,990,000

$2,200,000

$1,701,250

Lanikai

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

$2,745,750

$1,665,000

$1,525,000

$1,295,000

Makiki Heights

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

$1,590,000

$1,125,000

$1,078,578

$1,875,000

Manoa Area

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

$999,000

$1,150,000

$999,999

$975,000

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

$1,126,500

$1,049,500

$949,000

$815,000

Maunalani Heights

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

$981,500

$1,150,000

$950,000

$1,425,000

Napali Haweo

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$1,660,000

$1,670,000

$1,900,000

$1,407,500

Niu Beach

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$2,408,000

$4,050,000

$1,850,000

$2,400,000

Pacific Heights

$1,002,260

$999,000

$1,499,000

$752,500

$950,000

$720,000

Paiko Lagoon

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

$2,400,000

$1,050,000

$2,270,000

$3,150,000

Portlock

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

$2,875,000

$3,100,000

$3,175,000

Puupanini

$1,025,000

$998,500

$1,299,000

$872,000

$970,000

$1,162,500

Tantalus

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

$1,050,000

$1,108,000

$770,000

$1,200,000

Triangle

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

$1,225,000

$1,215,000

$1,059,500

$919,500

Waialae Golf Course

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

$2,125,000

$3,350,000

$1,530,000

$4,650,000

Waialae Iki

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

$1,625,000

$1,487,500

$1,294,375

$1,250,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

$1,248,888

$1,220,000

$1,040,000

$940,000

Wailupe Area

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

$2,200,000

$1,775,000

$1,900,000

$1,350,000

Neighborhoods

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

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LIST Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXTRAORDINARY HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES®

CLOSED SALES SINGLE FAMILY

CONDOMINIUM

$1 - $2 MILLION 708

100

608 471 320

2011

496

64

213

+35.3%

+5.3%

+22.6%

+16.4%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

$3 - $5 MILLION

2011

120 75 +64.1%

0.0%

+56.3%

-16.0%

+17.9%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

$5 MILLION + 46

43 37

32

14 9

2011

+21.4%

-5.9%

+43.8%

-6.5%

-14.0%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2011

85 +13.3%

+41.2%

+37.5%

+29.1%

+13.1%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

$1 MILLION +

16

18

335

16

10 113

2011

241

165

64

39

+8.7%

34

99 84

348

28

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

+11.1%

+40.0%

+14.3%

+12.5%

-11.1%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

2011

117

150

182

164

+3.5%

+28.2%

+21.3%

-9.9%

+104.3%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

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