Oahu Luxury Real Estate - Q4 2017

Page 1

4TH Quarter 2017

Aloha

37 sold in 2016. Months’ supply of inventory decreased by 44.0% to 14.8 months.

Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four singlefamily home and two condominium price segments.

Sales of single-family homes priced at $5 million or more decreased by 12.5%, with 14 homes sold compared to 16 last year. Months’ supply of inventory increased by 17.3% to 38.1 months.

and welcome to The Quarterly Luxury Market Report from LIST Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu.

Single-family home sales priced from $1 to $2 million increased 11.8% in 2017 compared to 2016, with 794 homes sold. This price point finished the year at 4.8 months’ supply of inventory, a decrease of 34.8 percent from last year. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales increased by 13.1% to 112 homes sold, up from 99 in 2016. Months’ supply of inventory decreased by 19.3% to 11.0 months. Sales of single-family homes priced from $3 to $5 million increased by 37.8% compared to last year, with 51 homes sold in 2017 versus

Three single-family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q4, including three Kahala / Diamond Head residences that sold between $6,388,000 and $11,500,000. As for condominiums, thanks to bulk closings in two new Honolulu condominiums – Park Lane and Anaha – 31 other sales closed between $5,025,000 and $8,049,000. The luxury condo market had a strong year, with closed sales achieving a sustained surge that carried through all the way to the end of 2017. Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through November 30, 2017.

2016

#

$

135

CANADA

$4,430,000

CHINA

2017

#

$

JAPAN

71

$95,891,729

JAPAN

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

KOREA

3

2015

#

$

2014

#

$

$203,375,491

JAPAN

31

8

$10,419,000

HONG KONG

4

$43,456,250

JAPAN

47

$63,383,000

$5,183,725

KOREA

5

6

$8,275,100

CANADA

4

$8,050,000

$4,643,750

CHINA

4

$5,312,566

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

KOREA

3

$6,118,900

CHINA

3

$3,795,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,045,600

HONG KONG

2

$2,840,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,241,800

KOREA

2

$2,370,000

CANADA

3

$4,079,000

2016

#

$

2015

#

$

2014

#

$

JAPAN

78

$333,303,959

JAPAN

18

$50,565,500

JAPAN

38

$113,876,299

$2 MILLION + 2017

#

$

JAPAN

49

$200,751,006

HONG KONG

9

$46,128,353

HONG KONG

6

$22,209,744

CHINA

2

$7,400,000

SINGAPORE

7

$45,290,355

SINGAPORE

6

$28,722,786

CHINA

5

$20,949,835

HONG KONG

3

$7,340,000

CHINA

4

$17,238,890

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

SINGAPORE

4

$14,649,871

CANADA

2

$6,183,750

AUSTRALIA

4

$14,498,800

CANADA

3

$11,528,150

AUSTRALIA

2

$11,627,100

HONG KONG

1

$2,350,000

HONG KONG

1

$2,350,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2018 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2012

348

64

34

10

85

117

2013

471

64

32

14

120

150

2014

496

100

46

16

165

182

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

241

336

2017

794

112

51

14

318

662

2012

$1.26

$2.25

$3.51

$6.73

$0.90

$1.35

2013

$1.28

$2.35

$3.48

$9.00

$0.88

$1.31

2014

$1.26

$2.30

$3.86

$6.40

$0.88

$1.43

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

Q4 2012

7.6

17.0

12.5

24.2

7.1

9.2

Q4 2013

8.2

11.1

24.1

20.4

7.7

14.2

Q4 2014

7.1

12.3

16.7

35.5

7.5

13.8

Q4 2015

7.6

13.8

27.5

31.0

8.3

17.5

Q4 2016

7.3

13.6

26.4

32.5

5.8

10.1

Q4 2017

4.8

11.0

14.8

38.1

5.4

5.9

Metric

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO

HISTORICAL GRAPH

$1 Million +

Q4 2008

Q4 2011

Q4 2014

Q4 2017

Q4 2011

Q4 2014

Q4 2017

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q4 2008

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2018 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range were up 32.0% over 2016, while months’ supply of inventory was down 6.9% to 5.4 months. There were 662 closed sales for condos priced at $1 million-plus, an increase of 97.0% compared to 2016 and a 303.7% increase from 2015. Months’ supply of inventory dropped to 5.9 months, a decrease of 41.1% compared to last year. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For specific guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL

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THROUGH FOURTH QUARTER 2017

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

2014 Median Sales Price

2013 Median Sales Price

2012 Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

$2,700,000

$900,000

--

Beachside

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

$1,922,500

$1,807,500

$1,615,000

Black Point

--

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

$1,800,000

$6,200,000

$2,400,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,000

$2,288,888

$2,200,000

$2,150,000

Neighborhoods

Diamond Head Dowsett

$1,622,500

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

$1,333,000

$1,015,000

$977,500

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

$2,540,000

$1,946,500

$1,781,000

Hillcrest

$1,269,000

$1,050,000

$1,061,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$917,875

Kahala Area

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

$1,940,000

$1,925,000

Kamehame Ridge

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

$830,000

$1,268,888

$1,250,000

Koko Kai

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

$2,520,000

$1,990,000

$2,200,000

Lanikai

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

$2,745,750

$1,665,000

$1,525,000

Makiki Heights

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

$1,590,000

$1,125,000

$1,078,578

Manoa Area

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

$999,000

$1,150,000

$999,999

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

$1,126,500

$1,049,500

$949,000

Maunalani Heights

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

$981,500

$1,150,000

$950,000

Napali Haweo

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$1,660,000

$1,670,000

$1,900,000

Niu Beach

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$2,408,000

$4,050,000

$1,850,000

North Shore

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

$637,000

$595,000

$587,500

Pacific Heights

$968,000

$1,002,260

$999,000

$1,499,000

$752,500

$950,000

Paiko Lagoon

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

$2,400,000

$1,050,000

$2,270,000

Portlock

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

--

$2,875,000

$3,100,000

Puupanini

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

$1,299,000

$872,000

$970,000

Tantalus

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

$1,050,000

$1,108,000

$770,000

Triangle

$860,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

$1,225,000

$1,215,000

$1,059,500

Waialae Golf Course

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

$2,125,000

$3,350,000

$1,530,000

Waialae Iki

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

$1,625,000

$1,487,500

$1,294,375

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

$1,248,888

$1,220,000

$1,040,000

Wailupe Area

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

$2,200,000

$1,775,000

$1,900,000

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2018 ShowingTime.

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LIST Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXTRAORDINARY HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES®

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

710

794

318

99 84

608 471

112

100

496

64

213

64

165

348

85

2012

+35.3%

+5.3%

+22.6%

+16.8%

+11.8%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

$3 - $5 MILLION

2012

241

0.0%

+56.3%

-16.0%

+17.9%

+13.1%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

$5 MILLION +

2012

120

+41.2%

+37.5%

+29.1%

+13.1%

+32.0%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

$1 MILLION + 662

46 34

18

51

16

43 37

32

16

14

14

336

10

117

2012

-5.9%

+43.8%

-6.5%

-14.0%

+37.8%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

+40.0%

+14.3%

+12.5%

-11.1%

-12.5%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2012

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2018 ShowingTime.

2012

150

182

164

+28.2%

+21.3%

-9.9%

+104.9%

+97.0%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

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