Oahu Luxury Real Estate - Q3 2017

Page 1

3RD Quarter 2017

Aloha

compared to 22 last year. Months’ supply of inventory decreased by 33.1% to 17.7 months.

Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four singlefamily home and two condominium price segments.

Sales of single-family homes priced at $5 million or more decreased by 21.4%, with 11 homes sold year to date compared to 14 last year. Months’ supply of inventory increased by 28.4% to 41.7 months.

Single-family home sales year to date priced from $1 to $2 million increased 9.4% compared to the same period in 2016, with 580 homes sold. This price point has 6.3 months’ supply of inventory, a decrease of 14.0 percent compared to last year at this time.

There were four single-family homes sold over $5 million in Q3, including homes in Diamond Head ($7,080,000), Kahala ($5,600,000), Hawaii Loa Ridge ($6,900,000) and Lanikai ($5,950,000).

For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales increased by 15.8% to 88 homes sold, up from 76 for the same time period in 2016. Months’ supply of inventory decreased by 31.0% to 9.4 months.

And, thanks to the bulk closing of Park Lane Ala Moana, an astounding 28 additional luxury condominiums were recorded over $5 million in Q3 with prices ranging from $5,083,000 to $22,000,000.

Sales of single-family homes priced from $3 to $5 million increased by 59.1% compared to last year, with 35 homes sold year-to-date

The luxury condo market continues to have a strong year into the third quarter, as year-to-date figures show healthy increases.

and welcome to The Quarterly Luxury Market Report from LIST Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu.

Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through August 31, 2017.

2016

2017

#

$

JAPAN

35

$46,539,145

JAPAN

#

$

135 8

2015

#

$

2014

#

$

$203,375,491

JAPAN

31

$10,419,000

$43,456,250

JAPAN

47

$63,383,000 $8,050,000

CHINA

3

$4,870,000

CANADA

HONG KONG

4

$5,183,725

KOREA

5

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

CHINA

6

$8,275,100

CANADA

4

$4,643,750

CHINA

4

$5,312,566

HONG KONG

2

$2,840,000

KOREA

3

$6,118,900

CHINA

3

$3,795,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,045,600

KOREA

1

$1,590,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,241,800

KOREA

2

$2,370,000

CANADA

3

$4,079,000

$2 MILLION +

Correction: 2017 $2 Million + figures were incorrectly overstated in the 2nd Quarter 2017 report.

2015

#

$

$333,303,959

JAPAN

18

$50,565,500

6

$22,209,744

CHINA

2

$7,400,000

CHINA

5

$20,949,835

HONG KONG

3

$14,159,050

SINGAPORE

4

$14,649,871

CANADA

$8,900,000

AUSTRALIA

2

$11,627,100

HONG KONG

2017

#

$

2016

#

$

JAPAN

26

$111,720,489

JAPAN

78

HONG KONG

4

$24,938,000

HONG KONG

SINGAPORE

3

$16,806,000

CHINA

3

CANADA

2

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

2014

#

$

JAPAN

38

$113,876,299

SINGAPORE

7

$45,290,355

$7,340,000

CHINA

4

$17,238,890

2

$6,183,750

AUSTRALIA

4

$14,498,800

1

$2,350,000

HONG KONG

1

$2,350,000

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2012 YTD

249

35

27

2

58

75

2013 YTD

331

46

24

12

95

122

2014 YTD

368

65

32

9

121

139

2015 YTD

471

61

31

14

153

129

2016 YTD

530

76

22

14

175

165

2017 YTD

580

88

35

11

223

357

2012 YTD

$1.25

$2.35

$3.60

$5.98

$0.88

$1.38

2013 YTD

$1.26

$2.25

$3.40

$7.19

$0.88

$1.46

2014 YTD

$1.26

$2.30

$3.87

$6.00

$0.89

$1.31

2015 YTD

$1.27

$2.30

$3.50

$7.95

$0.87

$1.38

2016 YTD

$1.25

$2.34

$3.50

$6.53

$0.88

$1.76

2017 YTD

$1.25

$2.38

$3.60

$6.21

$0.88

$1.76

Q3 2012

7.6

17.0

12.5

24.2

9.8

11.1

Q3 2013

8.2

11.1

24.1

20.4

7.4

11.9

Q3 2014

7.1

12.3

16.7

35.5

10.7

13.5

Q3 2015

7.6

13.8

27.5

31.0

9.0

17.3

Q3 2016

7.3

13.6

26.4

32.5

7.0

18.1

Q3 2017

6.3

9.4

17.7

41.7

5.9

7.3

Metric

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO

HISTORICAL GRAPH

$1 Million +

Q3 2008

Q3 2011

Q3 2014

Q3 2017

Q3 2011

Q3 2014

Q3 2017

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q3 2008

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range were up 27.4% over 2016, while months’ supply of inventory was down 16.1% to 5.9 months. Sales for condos priced at $1 million-plus increased by 116.4% compared to last year at this time. There have been 357 closed sales, year to date, which is more than double last year’s 165 and any recent year prior. Months’ supply of inventory dropped to 7.3 months, a decrease of 59.6%. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For specific guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL

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THROUGH THIRD QUARTER 2017

2017 YTD Median Sales Price

2016 YTD Median Sales Price

2015 YTD Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

$2,097,500

$900,000

Beachside

$1,920,000

$2,875,000

$2,217,500

$2,498,000

$1,790,000

$2,097,500

Black Point

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

$2,579,068

$6,200,000

$2,719,000

Diamond Head

$2,450,000

$2,934,000

$2,485,000

$2,288,888

$2,497,500

$2,150,000

Dowsett

$1,747,500

$1,350,000

$927,000

$1,280,000

$1,182,500

$925,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,430,000

$2,150,000

$2,100,000

$2,546,250

$1,887,500

$1,700,000

Hillcrest

$1,200,000

$1,030,000

$1,148,500

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$942,000

Kahala Area

$2,435,000

$2,600,000

$2,539,000

$2,175,000

$1,700,000

$1,902,500

Kamehame Ridge

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,180,000

$830,000

$1,268,888

Neighborhoods

2014 YTD Median Sales Price

2013 YTD Median Sales Price

2012 YTD Median Sales Price

Koko Kai

$2,412,000

$2,271,500

$2,007,500

$2,472,500

$1,990,000

$2,450,000

Lanikai

$2,137,500

$2,295,000

$1,950,000

$2,022,500

$1,680,000

$1,500,000

Makiki Heights

$1,317,500

$1,385,000

$1,350,000

$1,590,000

$1,087,500

$1,078,578

Manoa Area

$1,230,000

$1,110,000

$1,175,000

$987,500

$1,210,000

$995,000

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,331,250

$1,245,500

$1,140,000

$1,108,000

$999,999

$949,000

Maunalani Heights

$1,295,000

$1,279,000

$1,100,000

$1,054,200

$1,185,000

$889,000

Napali Haweo

$1,887,500

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$2,050,000

$1,672,500

$1,900,000

Niu Beach

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$1,532,710

$4,050,000

$1,850,000

$745,000

$709,000

$727,500

$660,928

$550,000

$542,450

North Shore Pacific Heights

$984,000

$1,000,630

$1,062,000

$1,888,888

$731,500

$880,000

Paiko Lagoon

$3,660,000

$1,742,500

$1,300,000

$2,400,000

$1,050,000

$2,270,000

Portlock

$2,625,000

$2,035,000

$2,973,150

$2,100,000

$2,700,000

Puupanini

$1,092,500

$987,000

$1,200,000

$4,338,000

$815,000

$970,000

$700,000

$1,350,000

$1,700,000

$1,050,000

$1,108,000

Tantalus Triangle

$1,067,500

$1,462,500

$1,435,000

$1,267,500

$1,250,000

$1,069,000

Waialae Golf Course

$3,165,000

$1,853,500

$2,410,000

$2,125,000

$2,435,000

$1,530,000

Waialae Iki

$1,650,000

$1,685,000

$1,630,000

$1,550,000

$1,487,500

$1,335,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,490,000

$1,472,500

$1,552,000

$1,279,444

$1,210,000

$1,025,000

Wailupe Area

$3,200,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

$2,125,000

$1,775,000

$1,972,500

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

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LIST Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXTRAORDINARY HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES®

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

471 331

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

530

223

88

580

76 65

368

61

153 121

46

249

175

95

35 58

2012 YTD

+32.9%

+11.2%

+28.0%

+12.5%

+9.4%

2013 YTD

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

2016 YTD

2017 YTD

$3 - $5 MILLION

+31.4%

+41.3%

-6.2%

+24.6%

+15.8%

2013 YTD

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

2016 YTD

2017 YTD

$5 MILLION +

32 27

2012 YTD

14

31

+63.8%

+27.4%

+26.4%

+14.4%

+27.4%

2013 YTD

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

2016 YTD

2017 YTD

$1 MILLION +

35

24

2012 YTD

357

14

12

11 9

22

122

-11.1%

+33.3%

-3.1%

-29.0%

+59.1%

2013 YTD

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

2016 YTD

2017 YTD

2012 YTD

165 129

75

2 2012 YTD

139

+500.0%

-25.0%

+55.6%

0.0%

-21.4%

2013 YTD

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

2016 YTD

2017 YTD

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2017 ShowingTime.

2012 YTD

+62.7%

+13.9%

-7.2%

+27.9%

+116.4%

2013 YTD

2014 YTD

2015 YTD

2016 YTD

2017 YTD

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