1st QTR 2019 Oahu Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu.

the 11 homes sold in Q1 2018 and eight homes sold in Q1 2017. Months’ supply of inventory had a year-over-year increase of 33.9% to 17.1 months.

Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four singlefamily home and two condominium price segments.

Five single family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q1 2019 including four East Oahu homes and one Windward Oahu homes. The top sale was at $12,000,000 for a beachfront residence in Diamond Head.

Single-family home sales for Q1 2019 priced from $1 to $2 million decreased 1.1% compared to Q1 2018, with 172 homes sold. Months’ supply of inventory increased 20.0% compared to last year at this time to 6.3 months. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales decreased by 11.1% to 16 homes sold, nearly even with the mark of 18 from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory increased 8.6% to 12.6 months for the quarter. Single-family home sales priced from $3 to $5 million decreased by 18.2% compared to last year’s nine homes sold, closely resembling

As for condominiums, two units closed in the first quarter at or above $5 million. One unit sold at Park Lane and one unit sold at Waiea, which was the highest sale at $7,287,500. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range for Q1 2019 were down 14.3% compared to Q1 2018. The 60 closed sales landed behind last year’s 70 sales. Months’ supply of inventory was up 65.0% to 9.2 months.

Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION 2018 JAPAN

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through December 2018.

2017

#

$

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

JAPAN

10

$14,214,165

#

$

133

2016

#

$

2015

#

$

135

$203,375,491

JAPAN

31

$43,456,250

KOREA

9

$13,176,500

CHINA

CANADA

8

$10,419,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,183,725

TAIWAN

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

CHINA

6

$8,275,100

CANADA

4

$4,643,750

CANADA

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

KOREA

3

$6,118,900

CHINA

3

$3,795,000

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

HONG KONG

4

$5,241,800

KOREA

2

$2,370,000

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

2016

#

$

2015

#

$

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

JAPAN

78

$333,303,959

JAPAN

18

$50,565,500

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

HONG KONG

6

$22,209,744

CHINA

2

$7,400,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

CHINA

5

$20,949,835

HONG KONG

3

$7,340,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

SINGAPORE

4

$14,649,871

CANADA

2

$6,183,750

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

AUSTRALIA

2

$11,627,100

HONG KONG

1

$2,350,000

$2 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2019 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2014

496

100

46

16

165

182

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019 YTD

172

16

9

5

60

61

2014

$1.26

$2.30

$3.86

$6.40

$0.88

$1.43

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019 YTD

$1.25

$2.30

$3.50

$5.30

$0.90

$1.37

Q1 2014

7.4

14.9

16.2

30.9

8.3

16.9

Q1 2015

7.1

12.6

24.6

33.0

7.5

13.5

Q1 2016

6.7

14.9

22.2

37.3

7.8

18.6

Q1 2017

5.7

10.1

23.4

32.3

5.9

9.2

Q1 2018

5.3

11.6

12.8

26.3

5.6

6.2

Q1 2019

6.3

12.6

17.1

30.7

9.2

14.6

Metric

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q1 2016

Q1 2017

Q1 2018

Q1 2019

Q1 2017

Q1 2018

Q1 2019

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q1 2016

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2019 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher decreased by 23.8% compared to last year at this time, representing a drop from 80 sales during Q1 2018 to 61 during Q1 2019. Months’ supply of inventory increased by triple-digit figures for the second quarter in a row at 134.7% compared to Q1 2018, rising to 14.6 months. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL Neighborhoods Aina Haina Beach

2019 YTD Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

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THROUGH FIRST QUARTER 2019

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

2014 Median Sales Price

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

$2,700,000

Beachside

$2,810,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

$1,922,500

Black Point

$2,500,000

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

$1,800,000

$8,650,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,000

$2,288,888

Diamond Head Dowsett

$1,745,000

$1,622,500

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

$1,333,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,060,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

$2,540,000

Hillcrest

$1,222,500

$1,272,500

$1,269,000

$1,050,000

$1,061,000

$1,000,000

Kahala Area

$3,250,000

$2,600,000

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

Kakaako Kamehame Ridge

$1,828,888

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

$830,000

Koko Kai

$2,992,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

$2,520,000

Lanikai

$1,644,500

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

$2,745,750

Makiki Heights

$1,368,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

$1,590,000

Manoa Area

$1,404,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

$999,000

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,450,000

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

$1,126,500

Maunalani Heights

$1,212,500

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

$981,500

Napali Haweo

$1,450,000

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$1,660,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$2,408,000

Niu Beach North Shore

$840,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

$637,000

Pacific Heights

$1,057,500

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

$999,000

$1,499,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

$2,400,000

Portlock

$2,525,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

Puupanini

Paiko Lagoon

$1,450,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

$1,299,000

Tantalus

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

$1,050,000

Triangle

$1,700,000

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

$1,225,000

Waialae Golf Course

$2,050,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

$2,125,000

Waialae Iki

$1,692,500

$1,725,000

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

$1,625,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

$1,248,888

Wailupe Area

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

$2,200,000

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2019 ShowingTime.

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LIST Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXTRAORDINARY HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES®

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

710

795

848

100

99

111

84

608

319

96 213

496

165

172

2014

+22.6%

+16.8%

+12.0%

+6.7%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019 YTD

$3 - $5 MILLION

46

51 43

60

16 2014

-16.0%

+17.9%

+12.1%

-13.5%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019 YTD

$5 MILLION +

2014

+29.1%

+13.6%

+31.8%

-10.7%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019 YTD

$1 MILLION + 662

28 46

37

16

18

16

182 -6.5%

-14.0%

+37.8%

-9.8%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019 YTD

5

2014

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2019 ShowingTime.

352

336

14

9 2014

285

242

+12.5%

-11.1%

-12.5%

+100.0%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019 YTD

164 61

2014

-9.9%

+104.9%

+97.0%

-46.8%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019 YTD

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