1st QTR 2020 Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu. Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four single-family home and two condominium price segments. Single-family home sales for Q1 2020 priced from $1 to $2 million increased 4.7% compared to Q1 2019, with 180 homes sold in the quarter. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 8.9% compared to last year at this time to 5.5 months. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales were up a healthy 9 sales to a total of 25 sales for the quarter, an increase of 56.3% from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 4.5% to 11.7 months for the quarter.

Just six single-family home sales priced from $3 to $5 million sold in Q1 2020, a decrease of 33.3% compared to last year’s 9 homes sold in the first quarter. Months’ supply of inventory had a year-over-year increase of 14.3% to 19.8 months. Six single-family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q1 2020, an increase of 20% from Q1 2019. Months’ supply of inventory had a 10.4% year-over-year increase to 33.9 months. This included three East Oahu homes, one Windward Oahu home and two North Shore homes. The top sale was at $8,485,000 for a home in Diamond Head. As for condominiums, three units closed in Q1 at or above $5 million. All three were at Park Lane with the top sale at $10,880,000. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range for Q1 2020 were down 17 units, from 60 in Q1 2019 to 43 in Q1 2020.

Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION 2020

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through March 2020.

#

$

2019

#

$

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

JAPAN

3

$4,950,000

JAPAN

68

$98,359,775

JAPAN

133

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

KOREA

2

$3,030,000

KOREA

10

$14,187,000

KOREA

9

$13,176,500

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

5

$8,809,000

CANADA

2

$2,525,000

HONG KONG

TAIWAN

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

SINGAPORE

1

$1,803,100

CANADA

4

$6,106,000

CANADA

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

TAIWAN

2

$2,443,000

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

$2 MILLION + 2020

#

$

JAPAN

2

$19,225,000

SINGAPORE

2

$11,800,000

NEW ZEALAND

1

$2,800,000

2019

#

$

JAPAN

33

$116,429,433

KOREA

4

$10,220,900

SINGAPORE

2

$6,802,000

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

CANADA

1

$3,635,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

MALAYSIA

1

$2,400,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

MARIANA ISLANDS

1

$2,500,000

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY Metric

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019

832

98

40

23

261

310

2020 YTD

180

25

6

6

43

65

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019

$1.25

$2.30

$3.70

$5.80

$0.89

$1.50

2020 YTD

$1.28

$2.30

$3.28

$6.88

$0.88

$1.43

Q1 2015

7.1

12.6

24.6

33.0

7.5

13.5

Q1 2016

6.7

14.9

22.2

37.3

7.8

18.6

Q1 2017

5.7

10.1

23.4

32.3

5.9

9.2

Q1 2018

5.3

11.6

12.8

27.8

5.6

6.2

Q1 2019

6.0

12.2

17.3

30.7

8.9

13.6

Q1 2020

5.5

11.4

19.8

33.9

9.0

11.3

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q1 2017

Q1 2018

Q1 2019

Q1 2020

Q1 2018

Q1 2019

Q1 2020

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q1 2017

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

This represents a decline in sales of 28.3%. Months’ supply of inventory was up 1.9% to 9 months. Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher increased by 6.6% compared to last year at this time, from 61 sales during Q1 2019 to 65 during Q1 2020. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 16.7% compared to Q1 2019, to 11.4 months. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL Neighborhoods Aina Haina Beach

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THROUGH FIRST QUARTER 2020

2020 YTD Median Sales Price

2019 Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

-

$1,222,000

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

Beachside

$2,795,000

$2,00,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

Black Point

-

$4,025,000

$2,500,000

-

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

Diamond Head

$3,962,500

$2,530,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,888

Dowsett

$1,250,000

$1,134,000

$1,745,000

$1,622,000

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$1,980,000

$2,100,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

-

$1,236,250

$1,272,500

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,130,000

$2,617,500

$2,600,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

-

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

Hillcrest Kahala Area Kakaako Kamehame Ridge

-

$1,495,000

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

Koko Kai

$1,975,000

$2,392,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

Lanikai

$2,091,500

$2,200,000

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

Makiki Heights

$1,300,000

$1,300,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

Manoa Area

$1,407,142

$1,249,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,062,500

$1,093,750

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

Maunalani Heights

$1,211,000

$1,275,300

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

-

$1,414,500

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$2,537,500

$3,770,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

Napali Haweo Niu Beach North Shore

$920,000

$785,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

Pacific Heights

$1,810,000

$1,060,000

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

$998,500

Paiko Lagoon

$1,273,500

$1,075,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

Portlock

$3,450,000

$2,500,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

$987,500

$1,075,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

Tantalus

-

$1,020,000

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

Triangle

$784,500

$1,457,625

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

Waialae Golf Course

$2,750,000

$1,950,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

Waialae Iki

$1,500,000

$1,650,000

$1,725,000

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,300,000

$1,347,000

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

-

$1,582,500

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

Puupanini

Wailupe Area dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$3 - $5 MILLION

$5 MILLION +

$1 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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