2nd QTR Luxury Market Report

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu. Our report breaks the Oahu luxury home market into four single-family home and two condominium price segments. Closed sales for the second quarter of 2020 were down in almost every segment due to the impact from COVID-19. Single-family home sales for Q2 2020 priced from $1 to $2 million decreased 12.7% compared to Q2 2019, with 179 homes sold in the quarter. Even with lower sales, months’ supply of inventory decreased 14.5% compared to last year at this time to 5.9 months.

For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales declined from 25 sales in Q2 2019 to 15 sales for Q2 2020, a decrease of 40% from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory increased 13.6% to 14.2 months for the quarter. Seven single-family home sales priced from $3 to $5 million sold in Q2 2020, a slight increase compared to last year’s six homes sold in the second quarter. Months’ supply of inventory declined slightly from 19.8 months in Q2 2019 to 19.4 months in Q2 2020. Three single-family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q2 2020, two fewer than in Q2 2019, including two Beachside homes and one Sunset Area home. The top sale was at $18,700,000 for a home in Beachside. Months’ supply of inventory declined from 36.5 months in Q2 2019 to 30.4 months in the most recent quarter. As for condominiums, there was one sale in Q2 at or above $5 million, a unit in Park Lane that sold for $5,850,000. Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through March 2020.

2020

#

$

JAPAN

3

$4,950,000

KOREA

2

$3,030,000

2019

#

$

JAPAN

68

$98,359,775

KOREA

10

$14,187,000

5

2018

#

$

JAPAN

133

KOREA

9

$8,809,000

2017

#

$

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

$13,176,500

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

CANADA

2

$2,525,000

HONG KONG

TAIWAN

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

SINGAPORE

1

$1,803,100

CANADA

4

$6,106,000

CANADA

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

TAIWAN

2

$2,443,000

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

$2 MILLION + 2020

#

$

JAPAN

2

$19,225,000

SINGAPORE

2

$11,800,000

NEW ZEALAND

1

$2,800,000

2019

#

$

JAPAN

33

$116,429,433

KOREA

4

$10,220,900

SINGAPORE

2

$6,802,000

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

CANADA

1

$3,635,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

MALAYSIA

1

$2,400,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

MARIANA ISLANDS

1

$2,500,000

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY Metric

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019

832

98

40

23

261

310

2020 YTD

359

40

13

9

87

93

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019

$1.25

$2.30

$3.70

$5.80

$0.89

$1.50

2020 YTD

$1.28

$2.33

$3.45

$6.80

$0.88

$1.43

Q2 2015

7.1

12.6

24.6

33.0

7.5

13.5

Q2 2016

6.7

14.9

22.2

37.3

7.8

18.6

Q2 2017

5.7

10.1

23.4

32.3

5.9

9.2

Q2 2018

5.3

11.6

12.8

27.8

5.6

6.2

Q2 2019

6.0

12.2

17.3

30.7

8.9

13.6

Q2 2020

5.9

14.2

19.4

30.4

9.5

14.4

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q2 2017

Q2 2018

Q2 2019

Q2 2020

Q2 2018

Q2 2019

Q2 2020

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q2 2017

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range for Q2 2020 were down 34 units from a year ago, declining 43.6% to 44 units in Q2 2020. Months’ supply of inventory was up 20.3% to 9.5 months. Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher dropped 67.1% compared to last year at this time, from 85 sales during Q2 2019 to 28 sales during Q2 2020. Months’ supply of inventory increased 10.8% compared to Q2 2019, to 14.4 months. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL Neighborhoods Aina Haina Beach

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THROUGH SECOND QUARTER 2020

2020 YTD Median Sales Price

2019 Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

-

$1,222,000

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

Beachside

$3,100,000

$2,00,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

Black Point

-

$4,025,000

$2,500,000

-

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

Diamond Head

$2,950,000

$2,530,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,888

Dowsett

$1,300,000

$1,134,000

$1,745,000

$1,622,000

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$1,927,500

$2,100,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

Hillcrest

$1,500,000

$1,236,250

$1,272,500

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

Kahala Area

$2,430,000

$2,617,500

$2,600,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

-

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

Kamehame Ridge

$1,930,000

$1,495,000

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

Koko Kai

$1,975,000

$2,392,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

Lanikai

$1,856,500

$2,200,000

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

Makiki Heights

$1,295,000

$1,300,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

Manoa Area

$1,322,500

$1,249,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,200,000

$1,093,750

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

Maunalani Heights

$1,211,000

$1,275,300

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

Kakaako

Napali Haweo

-

$1,414,500

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

$2,000,000

$3,770,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$845,000

$785,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

Pacific Heights

$1,310,000

$1,060,000

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

$998,500

Paiko Lagoon

$1,273,500

$1,075,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

Portlock

$3,150,000

$2,500,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

$948,750

$1,075,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

Tantalus

-

$1,020,000

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

Triangle

$734,000

$1,457,625

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

Waialae Golf Course

$2,281,250

$1,950,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

Waialae Iki

$1,430,673

$1,650,000

$1,725,000

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,375,000

$1,347,000

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

Wailupe Area

$1,900,000

$1,582,500

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

Niu Beach North Shore

Puupanini

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$3 - $5 MILLION

$5 MILLION +

$1 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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