3rd QTR 2020 Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu. The Oahu luxury home market report is listed into four single-family home categories and two condominium price segments. Single-family home sales for Q3 2020 priced from $1 to $2 million increased 20.5% compared to Q3 2019, with 282 homes sold in the quarter. With the increase in sales, months’ supply of inventory decreased 25.1% compared to 5.1 months last year. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales increased from 31 in Q3 2019 to 32 for Q3 2020, an increase of 3.2% from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 20.8% to 11.1 months for the quarter.

sold in the third quarter. Months’ supply of inventory declined to 15.1 months from 19.3 months in Q3 2019. Seven single-family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q3 which includes four Windward Oahu homes, two Kahala homes, and one Sunset Area home. The top sale was at $10,488,000 for a home in Beachside. As for condominiums, four units closed in Q3 at or above $5 million which includes three units at Park Lane and one unit at The Ritz-Carlson Residences. The top sale was at $8,300,000 for a unit at Park Lane. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range for Q3 2020 declined 53.4 percent from Q3 2019, falling to just 34 closed sales in Q3 from 73 closed sales in the third quarter last year. Months’ supply of inventory was up 22.7% to 10.4 months.

Twenty-three single-family home sales priced from $3 to $5 million sold in Q3 2020, a near-doubling compared to last year’s twelve homes

Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through June 2020.

2020

#

$

JAPAN

5

CANADA

3

KOREA

2019

#

$

$8,400,000

JAPAN

68

$98,359,775

$3,689,000

KOREA

10

$14,187,000

2

$3,030,000

HONG KONG

5

UNITED KINGDOM

1

$1,803,100

CANADA

SINGAPORE

1

$1,150,000

TAIWAN

2018

#

$

JAPAN

133

KOREA

9

$8,809,000

TAIWAN

4

$6,106,000

CANADA

2

$2,443,000

2017

#

$

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

$13,176,500

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

$2 MILLION + 2020

#

$

JAPAN

8

SINGAPORE

2

CANADA HONG KONG NEW ZEALAND

2019

#

$

$36,141,333

JAPAN

33

$116,429,433

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

$11,800,000

KOREA

4

$10,220,900

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

2

$4,575,000

SINGAORE

2

$6,802,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

1

$5,850,000

CANADA

1

$3,635,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

1

$2,800,000

MALAYSIA

1

$2,400,000

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY Metric

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019

832

98

40

23

261

310

2020 YTD

641

72

36

16

121

141

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019

$1.25

$2.30

$3.70

$5.80

$0.89

$1.50

2020 YTD

$1.28

$2.38

$3.47

$6.88

$0.88

$1.44

Q3 2015

7.3

14.0

25.1

37.5

8.9

16.8

Q3 2016

7.0

11.7

27.2

26.5

7.0

16.0

Q3 2017

6.0

9.2

15.5

41.1

5.4

7.0

Q3 2018

6.7

12.5

18.9

21.3

5.4

6.3

Q3 2019

6.8

14.0

19.3

40.9

8.5

13.1

Q3 2020

5.1

11.1

15.1

26.0

10.4

17.3

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q2 2017

Q2 2018

Q2 2019

Q2 2020

Q2 2018

Q2 2019

Q2 2020

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q2 2017

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher dropped 41.5% compared to last year at this time, from 82 sales during Q3 2019 to just 48 during Q3 2020. Months’ supply of inventory increased 32.6% compared to Q3 2019, to 17.3 months. Remember every home and situation is unique. Feel free to contact us for guidance with your current or future home sale or purchase, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest updates. Sign up for our monthly market newsletter and more at: www.ListSothebysRealty.com or www.ListHawaii-mls.com

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL FOR SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

THROUGH THIRD QUARTER 2020

2020 YTD Median Sales Price

2019 Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

$1,174,444

$1,222,000

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

Beachside

$3,600,000

$2,00,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

Black Point

-

$4,025,000

$2,500,000

-

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

Diamond Head

$2,900,000

$2,530,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,888

Dowsett

$1,300,000

$1,134,000

$1,745,000

$1,622,000

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$1,980,000

$2,100,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

Hillcrest

$1,477,000

$1,236,250

$1,272,500

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

Kahala Area

$2,850,000

$2,617,500

$2,600,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

-

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

Kamehame Ridge

$1,865,000

$1,495,000

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

Koko Kai

$1,800,000

$2,392,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

Lanikai

$1,925,000

$2,200,000

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

Makiki Heights

$1,295,000

$1,300,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

Manoa Area

$1,405,000

$1,249,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,301,500

$1,093,750

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

Maunalani Heights

$1,211,000

$1,275,300

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

Napali Haweo

$2,428,500

$1,414,500

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

Niu Beach

$2,144,500

$3,770,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

$910,000

$785,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

Pacific Heights

$1,257,500

$1,060,000

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

$998,500

Paiko Lagoon

$1,302,000

$1,075,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

Portlock

$3,150,000

$2,500,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

Puupanini

$1,206,250

$1,075,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

Tantalus

-

$1,020,000

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

Triangle

$930,000

$1,457,625

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

Waialae Golf Course

$2,153,750

$1,950,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

Waialae Iki

$1,479,500

$1,650,000

$1,725,000

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,375,000

$1,347,000

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

Wailupe Area

$1,875,000

$1,582,500

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

Neighborhoods

Kakaako

North Shore

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$3 - $5 MILLION

$5 MILLION +

$1 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2020 ShowingTime.

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