1st QTR 2021 Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market

Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu. The Oahu luxury home market report is broken down into four single-family home categories and two condominium price segments. Single-family home sales for Q1 2021 priced from $1 to $2 million increased 70.6% compared to Q1 2020, with 307 homes sold in the quarter versus 180 homes sold during the same period a year ago. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 50% compared to last year, to just 3 months. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales increased from 25 homes sold in Q1 2020 to 55 homes in Q1 2021, an increase of 120% from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 45.9% to 6.6 months for the quarter.

In the $3 to $5 million range, 24 single-family homes sold in Q1 2021, an astounding 300% increase compared to the same quarter last year. Months’ supply of inventory declined 44.3% to 9.8 months in Q1 2021. Seven single-family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q1, which includes three in Kahala, two in Diamond Head, one North Shore home, and one Beachside home. The top sale was at $10,400,000 for a home in Diamond Head. Months’ supply of inventory fell from 30.3 months in Q1 2020 to 23.3 months in the first quarter of 2021. As for condominiums, there were three sales in Q1 at or above $5 million, which includes two units at Park Lane and one unit at Anaha. The unit at Anaha was the top sale at $10,250,000. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range increased 88.4% in Q1 2021 from Q1 2020, with 81 closed sales in Q1 2021 versus 43 closed sales in the first quarter last year. Months’ supply of inventory was down 28.1% to 6.4 months. Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through December 2020.

2020

#

$

JAPAN

9

CANADA

3

KOREA

2019

#

$

$14,331,133

JAPAN

68

$98,359,775

$3,689,000

KOREA

10

$14,187,000

2

$3,030,000

HONG KONG

5

UNITED KINGDOM

1

$1,925,000

CANADA

SINGAPORE

1

$1,803,100

TAIWAN

2018

#

$

JAPAN

133

KOREA

9

$8,809,000

TAIWAN

4

$6,106,000

CANADA

2

$2,443,000

2017

#

$

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

$13,176,500

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

$2 MILLION + 2020

#

$

JAPAN

13

CANADA

4

SINGAPORE GUAM NEW ZEALAND

2019

#

$

$48,241,333

JAPAN

33

$116,429,433

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

$11,755,000

KOREA

4

$10,220,900

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

2

$11,800,000

SINGAORE

2

$6,802,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

2

$6,925,000

CANADA

1

$3,635,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

2

$5,800,000

MALAYSIA

1

$2,400,000

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY Metric

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2016

710

99

37

17

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019

832

98

40

23

261

311

2020

970

114

55

26

179

186

2021 YTD

307

55

24

7

81

79

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.59

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019

$1.25

$2.30

$3.70

$5.80

$0.89

$1.50

2020

$1.27

$2.33

$3.50

$6.80

$0.88

$1.32

2021 YTD

$1.25

$2.38

$3.51

$6.55

$0.88

$1.25

Q1 2016

6.7

14.9

22.2

37.3

7.8

18.6

Q1 2017

5.7

10.1

23.4

32.3

5.9

9.2

Q1 2018

5.3

11.6

12.8

27.8

5.6

6.2

Q1 2019

5.3

11.6

13.0

27.4

8.9

13.6

Q1 2020

6.0

12.2

17.6

30.3

8.9

11.3

Q1 2021

3.0

6.6

9.8

23.3

6.4

16.0

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q1 2018

Q1 2019

Q1 2020

Q1 2021

Q1 2019

Q1 2020

Q1 2021

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q1 2018

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher increased 21.5% in Q1 2021 compared to Q1 2020, from 65 sales reported in Q1 2020 to 79 sales reported in Q1 2021. Months’ supply of inventory increased 41.6% compared to Q1 2020, to 16 months. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest. Sign up for our monthly market newsletter and more at: www.ListSothebysRealty.com or www.ListHawaii-mls.com

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL FOR SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

THROUGH FIRST QUARTER 2021

2021 YTD Median Sales Price

2020 Median Sales Price

2019 Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

--

$1,225,000

$1,222,000

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

Beachside

$3,000,000

$3,200,000

$2,000,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

Black Point

$6,325,000

$1,360,000

$4,025,000

$2,500,000

--

$2,175,000

Diamond Head

$2,318,390

$2,900,000

$2,530,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

Dowsett

$1,507,500

$1,350,000

$1,134,000

$1,745,000

$1,622,500

$1,350,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,569,000

$2,084,000

$2,100,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

--

$1,330,000

$1,236,250

$1,272,500

$1,269,000

$1,050,000

$3,206,500

$2,600,000

$2,617,500

$2,600,000

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

--

--

--

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

--

Kamehame Ridge

$1,205,000

$1,930,000

$1,495,000

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

Koko Kai

$3,600,000

$2,325,000

$2,392,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

Lanikai

$1,862,500

$2,183,000

$2,200,000

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

Makiki Heights

$1,472,500

$1,300,000

$1,300,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

Manoa Area

$1,545,000

$1,322,500

$1,249,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,600,000

$1,314,000

$1,093,750

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

Maunalani Heights

$1,230,000

$1,275,000

$1,275,300

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

Napali Haweo

$2,285,000

$1,957,000

$1,414,500

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

Niu Beach

$3,250,000

$2,357,000

$3,770,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$812,500

$1,005,000

$785,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

Pacific Heights

$1,650,000

$1,580,500

$1,060,000

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

Paiko Lagoon

$3,112,500

$1,302,000

$1,075,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

Portlock

$2,425,000

$3,000,000

$2,500,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

--

$1,425,000

$1,075,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

Tantalus

$1,055,000

$1,950,000

$1,020,000

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

Triangle

$1,275,000

$1,195,000

$1,457,625

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

Waialae Golf Course

$2,400,000

$2,153,750

$1,950,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

Waialae Iki

$2,408,750

$1,532,500

$1,650,000

$1,725,000

$1,656,250

$1,685,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,165,000

$1,450,000

$1,347,000

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

Wailupe Area

$3,000,000

$2,200,000

$1,582,500

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

Neighborhoods Aina Haina Beach

Hillcrest Kahala Area Kakaako

North Shore

Puupanini

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$3 - $5 MILLION

$5 MILLION +

$1 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 4


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