4th QTR 2020 Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu.

Nineteen single-family home sales priced from $3 to $5 million sold in Q4 2020, up 46.2% from the same quarter last year. Months’ supply of inventory declined to 12.2 months from 18.8 months in Q4 2019.

The Oahu luxury home market report is listed into four single-family home categories and two condominium price segments.

Nine single-family homes sold at or above $5 million in Q4 which includes 3 Windward Oahu homes and 6 East Oahu homes. The top sale was at $12,500,000 for a home in Lanikai.

Single-family home sales for Q4 2020 priced from $1 to $2 million increased 48.9% compared to Q4 2019, with 329 homes sold in the quarter versus 221 homes in the same period a year ago. With the increase in sales, months’ supply of inventory decreased 34.6% compared to last year to 3.7 months. For single-family homes in the $2 to $3 million range, sales increased from 26 in Q4 2019 to 42 for Q4 2020, an increase of 61.5% from the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 31.6% to 8.7 months for the quarter.

As for condominiums, there was one sale in Q4 at or above $5 million which was a unit at Park Lane that sold for $7,300,000. Sales in the $800 thousand to $1 million range increased 20% in Q4 2020 from Q4 2019, with 60 closed sales in Q4 2020 versus 50 closed sales in the fourth quarter last year. Months’ supply of inventory was down 6.3% to 7.8 months.

Continued on Page 3

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through September 2020.

2020

#

$

JAPAN

9

CANADA

3

KOREA

2019

#

$

$14,331,133

JAPAN

68

$98,359,775

$3,689,000

KOREA

10

$14,187,000

2

$3,030,000

HONG KONG

5

UNITED KINGDOM

1

$1,925,000

CANADA

SINGAPORE

1

$1,803,100

TAIWAN

2018

#

$

JAPAN

133

KOREA

9

$8,809,000

TAIWAN

4

$6,106,000

CANADA

2

$2,443,000

2017

#

$

$188,796,404

JAPAN

82

$111,518,829

$13,176,500

CHINA

10

$14,214,165

8

$10,728,600

KOREA

3

$4,430,000

8

$10,575,100

TAIWAN

3

$3,466,758

CHINA

5

$6,057,400

CANADA

2

$2,875,000

2018

#

$

2017

#

$

$2 MILLION + 2020

#

$

JAPAN

11

SINGAPORE

2

CANADA NEW ZEALAND HONG KONG

2019

#

$

$44,041,333

JAPAN

33

$116,429,433

JAPAN

57

$220,699,504

JAPAN

63

$268,891,006

$11,800,000

KOREA

4

$10,220,900

KOREA

5

$24,808,800

HONG KONG

11

$66,957,353

2

$4,575,000

SINGAORE

2

$6,802,000

HONG KONG

3

$12,145,800

SINGAPORE

7

$33,980,786

2

$5,800,000

CANADA

1

$3,635,000

SINGAPORE

2

$18,403,800

CHINA

4

$16,244,754

1

$5,850,000

MALAYSIA

1

$2,400,000

CANADA

2

$5,848,800

KOREA

5

$15,740,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY Metric

CONDO

Year

$1 - 2 Million

$2 - 3 Million

$3 - 5 Million

$5 Million +

$800,000 $1 Million

$1 Million +

2015

608

84

43

18

213

164

2016

710

99

37

16

242

336

2017

795

111

51

14

319

662

2018

848

96

46

28

285

352

2019

832

98

40

23

261

310

2020 YTD

970

114

55

26

181

186

2015

$1.28

$2.37

$3.50

$7.95

$0.88

$1.32

2016

$1.25

$2.30

$3.65

$6.57

$0.87

$1.70

2017

$1.25

$2.37

$3.55

$6.59

$0.88

$1.78

2018

$1.26

$2.36

$3.66

$7.35

$0.89

$1.55

2019

$1.25

$2.30

$3.70

$5.80

$0.89

$1.50

2020 YTD

$1.28

$2.33

$3.50

$6.80

$0.88

$1.32

Q4 2015

7.1

12.3

16.7

35.5

35.5

13.8

Q4 2016

7.6

13.8

27.5

31.0

31.0

17.5

Q4 2017

7.3

13.6

26.4

32.5

32.5

10.1

Q4 2018

5.8

12.6

16.4

23.4

6.9

11.8

Q4 2019

5.7

12.8

18.8

37.5

8.3

11.4

Q4 2020

3.7

8.7

12.4

26.6

7.8

20.0

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q4 2017

Q4 2018

Q4 2019

Q4 2020

Q4 2018

Q4 2019

Q4 2020

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM $1 Million +

HISTORICAL GRAPH Q4 2017

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Sales for condos priced at $1 million and higher fell 45.8% in Q4 2020 compared to Q4 2019, from 83 sales during Q4 2019 to 45 during Q4 2020. Months’ supply of inventory increased a 76.5% compared to Q4 2019, to 20.2 months. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

Sign up for our monthly market newsletter and more at: www.ListSothebysRealty.com or www.ListHawaii-mls.com

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL FOR SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

THROUGH FOURTH QUARTER 2020

2020 YTD Median Sales Price

2019 Median Sales Price

2018 Median Sales Price

2017 Median Sales Price

2016 Median Sales Price

2015 Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

$1,225,000

$1,222,000

$10,772,500

$1,400,000

$1,200,000

$1,395,000

Beachside

$3,200,000

$2,00,000

$2,800,000

$2,094,000

$2,537,500

$2,217,500

Black Point

$1,360,000

$4,025,000

$2,500,000

-

$2,175,000

$3,350,000

Diamond Head

$2,900,000

$2,530,000

$2,990,000

$2,375,000

$3,200,000

$2,875,888

Dowsett

$1,350,000

$1,134,000

$1,745,000

$1,622,000

$1,350,000

$1,255,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$2,084,000

$2,100,000

$2,175,000

$2,430,000

$2,200,000

$2,100,000

Hillcrest

$1,330,000

$1,236,250

$1,272,500

$2,435,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

Kahala Area

$2,600,000

$2,617,500

$2,600,000

$2,648,050

$2,200,000

$2,200,000

-

$1,437,500

$1,050,000

Kamehame Ridge

$1,930,000

$1,495,000

$1,750,000

$1,114,000

$1,587,500

$1,152,500

Koko Kai

$2,325,000

$2,392,500

$2,025,000

$2,660,000

$2,041,500

$2,425,000

Lanikai

$2,183,000

$2,200,000

$3,200,000

$2,297,826

$2,272,500

$1,807,500

Makiki Heights

$1,300,000

$1,300,000

$1,125,000

$1,393,000

$1,360,000

$1,575,000

Manoa Area

$1,322,500

$1,249,000

$1,262,500

$1,279,500

$1,180,000

$1,214,617

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,314,000

$1,093,750

$1,312,500

$1,288,000

$1,245,500

$1,134,750

Maunalani Heights

$1,275,000

$1,275,300

$1,276,500

$1,295,000

$1,282,000

$1,100,000

Napali Haweo

$1,957,000

$1,414,500

$1,710,000

$1,900,000

$1,445,000

$1,650,000

Niu Beach

$2,357,000

$3,770,000

$1,325,000

$4,300,000

$2,200,000

$3,420,000

North Shore

$1,005,000

$785,000

$889,500

$755,000

$750,000

$747,500

Pacific Heights

$1,580,500

$1,060,000

$1,140,000

$968,000

$1,002,260

$998,500

Paiko Lagoon

$1,302,000

$1,075,000

$3,344,000

$3,327,500

$1,000,000

$1,155,000

Portlock

$3,000,000

$2,500,000

$1,525,000

$2,650,000

$2,332,500

$2,700,000

Puupanini

$1,425,000

$1,075,000

$1,487,500

$3,889,000

$1,025,000

$998,500

Tantalus

$1,950,000

$1,020,000

$1,326,000

$1,110,000

$1,262,500

$1,700,000

Triangle

$1,195,000

$1,457,625

$1,400,000

$835,000

$1,465,000

$1,312,500

Waialae Golf Course

$2,153,750

$1,950,000

$3,197,500

$2,510,000

$1,999,999

$2,410,000

Waialae Iki

$1,532,500

$1,650,000

$1,725,000

$1,662,500

$1,667,500

$1,630,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,450,000

$1,347,000

$1,525,000

$1,400,000

$1,525,000

$1,362,500

Wailupe Area

$2,200,000

$1,582,500

$2,775,000

$2,500,000

$2,100,000

$1,770,000

Neighborhoods

Kakaako

dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 100 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $1 - $2 MILLION

$2 - $3 MILLION

$800 THOUSAND - $1 MILLION

$3 - $5 MILLION

$5 MILLION +

$1 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2021 ShowingTime.

Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 4


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