Tributary September 09, 2020

The Tributary Where opinions & knowledge flow!

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Volume 11, Issue 36

In This Issue:

September 9, 2020

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Thank You to the Community

The SEWC Fair Board would like to take a minute to thank all who were part of this year’s fair. The 2020 fair was very different and required the patience and open-mindedness of leaders, volunteers, sale buyers, and participants. This year’s fair was a success and an amazing testament to the community in which we are blessed to be a part of.

Sincerely, The SEWC Fair Board

Queen – Jenna White, Contestant – Wyollah Moses, Lady in Waiting - Abby Perez

Available by Subscription

ProFarmer Estimates Corn & Soybean Yields Below USDA Forecast Polis Escalates His War on Rural Colorado

Study Suggests 2020 Polls may be Missing ‘Shy’ Trump Voters

Republican and Independent voters are more reluctant than Democrats to reveal their preference for president, study found

By Julia Musto | Fox News Republican and independent voters are twice as likely to not reveal their true preference for president in a telephone poll, a study found.

CloudResearch, an online market research and data collection company, found that 11.7% of Republicans and 10.5% of independents said they wouldn’t share their true opinion, while only 5.4% of Democrats said the same.

«That raises the possibility that polls understate support for President Donald Trump,” Bloomberg reported Friday.

According to CloudResearch, some survey responders said they thought it would be “dangerous” to express an opinion outside the “current liberal viewpoint.”

While the survey was conducted online, inquiries about the results were made via phone interviews.

A voter casts a ballot at a polling station inside the Brooklyn Museum in New York in June 2020. (AP Photo/John Minchillo, File) Participants were asked for their political preference for president, how they felt about sharing that preference in a phone poll, and later whom they actually supported for the office.

CloudResearch explained to Bloomberg that political party affiliation was the sole characteristic that correlated consistently with reluctance to divulge true presidential preference. There were reportedly no correlations with age, race, education or income.

The research group used two different samples to draw its conclusions. In one control group, 1,000 respondents were evenly divided among Democrats, Republicans and independents. The other included a different set of 1,000 people selected to match the demographics of likely voters, regardless of party.

The findings once again highlight whether «shy» Trump voters were undercounted in polling data prior to the 2016 election, which his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton had been projected to win.

An exhaustive post-mortem published by the American Association for Public Opinion Research found that some Americans who voted for the president did not show their support for him until after the election and that they outnumbered late-revealing Clinton voters.

The association also explained that while those who admit changing their minds normally break evenly between the Republican and Democratic candidates, people who did so in 2016 voted for Trump by a 16 percentage point margin.

Cont. on Page 2, See Shy Voters

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T H E T R I B U TA R Y

Study Suggests 2020 Polls may be Missing ‘Shy’ Trump Voters

Cont. from Page 1 Nevertheless, evidence of a “shy” Trump effect remains inconclusive, and there were limitations to the study.

The public research group theorized that if voters did not want to tell a live interviewer they supported Trump, the president would do worse in live-interview polls than in automated polls -- but he did not.

CloudResearch Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Research Officer Leib Litman told Bloomberg that many people were just as distrustful of live calls as automatic calls because the response would be recorded.

National polls ahead of November have shown Democrat Joe Biden leading Trump in many key swing states, but in recent weeks the president has gained some ground.

According to recent Real Clear Politics averages, Trump is largely outperforming his 2016 benchmarks in some of the states most important to an Electoral College victory with a little more than two months to go until Election Day.

Pro Farmer Estimates National Corn and Soybeans Yields Below USDA Forecasts Record Crop Possible Despite Iowa Pulling Down National Average

CEDAR FALLS, Iowa, August 21, 2020 (Newswire.com) - Pro Farmer, a division of Farm Journal, shared its much-anticipated production estimates today for the 2020 U.S. corn and soybean crops after analyzing information from the 28th annual Pro Farmer Crop Tour and other sources.

The estimates are informed by Crop Tour data and observations collected this week by Crop Tour scouts across seven key Midwestern states. Wind damage caused by August Derecho impacted millions of acres of crops and contributes this year to the challenge of forecasting the U.S. crop.

Corn: Pro Farmer estimates the 2020 U.S. corn crop at 14.820 billion bu. based on an average yield of 177.5 bu. per acre. That would be down from the United State Department of Agriculture’s August estimate of 181.8 bu. per acre.

“Even before reaching Iowa, we had some suspicions about the corn crop’s ability to hit a record. There is simply too much variability in the corn crop across most of the seven Crop Tour states,” said Pro Farmer’s Brian Grete. “It’s difficult to determine how much yield and production Iowa has lost, but the state’s crop has gone backward since Aug. 1, and it’s still sliding.”

Soybeans: Pro Farmer estimates the 2020 U.S. soybean crop at 4.362 billion bu. with a national average yield of 52.5 bu. per acre, down from the 53.3 bu. per acre USDA estimated August 12.

“On Crop Tour, we’ve never seen a bean crop with so much potential and so much to lose,” stated Pro Farmer’s Jeff Wilson. “Plant health is great, but fields are dry and need rain to finish strong.”

The Pro Farmer Crop Tour, a Farm Journal event that informs the Pro Farmer National Yield Estimates, concluded successfully Thursday. The Tour was carried out by an extraordinary group of crop scouts and sponsored by Pioneer, Pivot Bio, RCIS, Farm Credit Services of America, Smart Nutrition, Farmobile and Compeer Financial. For additional information on the 2020 Crop Tour go to www.profarmer.com and www.agweb.com.

Founded in 1973, Pro Farmer is the leading subscription-based market advisory organization in agriculture and serves members across the United States and globally.

Media Contact: Joe May, 319-268-4361 or jmay@farmjournal.com About Farm Journal Farm Journal is the nation’s leading business information and media company serving the agricultural market. Started 144 years ago with the preeminent Farm Journal magazine, the company serves the crop, livestock, produce and retail sectors through branded websites, enewsletters and phone apps; business magazines; conferences, seminars and trade shows; nationally broadcasted television and radio programs; a robust mobile-text-marketing business; and an array of data-driven, paid information products. Farm Journal also is the majority shareholder of the online equipment marketplace, Machinery Pete LLC. In 2010, the company established the non-profit, public charity, Farm Journal Foundation, dedicated to sustaining agriculture’s ability to meet the vital needs of a growing population through education and empowerment.

September 9, 2020

TRIVIA What country saw the development of the sheep dog knows as the kelpie?

AUSTRALIA Which is thinner - a regular baseball bat or a fungo bat?

A FUNGO BAT What’s the smallest country in South America - French Guiana, Ecuador or Uruguay?

FRENCH GUIANA Who wears more fake jewelry - Cyndi Lauper or Madonna?

CYNDI LAUPER What color wedding dress did Madonna wear?

WHITE How many books does Disney’s Pinocchio set out for school with?

TWO What season of the year sees a tree get a new ring mark its grwoth?

SPRING Is a bareback bronco rider allowed to hold on with both hands?

NO What’s the largest room in the White House the Blue Room, East Room or Oval Office?

THE EAST ROOM What does Sting say to do if you love somebody?

SET THEM FREE Which Wright brother died 36 years before the other, in 1912 - Oriville or Wilbur?

WILBUR Who fills the shoes of Ebenezer Scrooge in Mickey’s Christmas Carol?

SCROOGE MCDUCK What are Sunbirds, Firebirds and Skylarks?

AUTOMOBILES What baseball player was the name of Cincinnati’s Second Street change to honor?

PETE ROSE Which is coler in January? - Chicago or Duluth?

DULUTH

September 9, 2020

Also on This Day

AMERICAN REVOLUTION 1776 The Continental Congress formally declares the name of the new nation to be the “United States” of America. This replaced the term “United Colonies,” which had been in general use.

CRIME 1971 Prisoners riot and seize control of the maximum-security Attica Correctional Facility near Buffalo, New York. Later that day, state police retook most of the prison, but 1,281 convicts occupied an exercise field called D Yard, where they held 39 prison guards and employees hostage.

U.S. PRESIDENTS 1893 Frances Folsom Cleveland, the wife of President Grover Cleveland, gives birth to a daughter, Esther, in the White House.

WORLD WAR II 1942 A Japanese floatplane drops incendiary bombs on an Oregon state forest—the first and only air attack on the U.S. mainland in the war.

VIETNAM WAR 1969 Funeral services, attended by 250,000 mourners, are held for Ho Chi Minh in Hanoi’s Ba Dinh Square. Among those in attendance were Soviet Premier Aleksei Kosygin, Chinese Vice-Premier Li Hsien-nien and Prince Norodom Sihanouk of Cambodia.

1967 Sergeant Duane D. Hackney is presented with the Air Force Cross for bravery in rescuing an Air Force pilot in Vietnam. He was the first living Air Force enlisted man to receive the award, the nation’s second highest award for bravery in action.

19TH CENTURY 1850 Though it had only been a part of the United States for less than two years, California becomes the 31st state in the union (without ever even having been a territory) on September 9, 1850.

ART, LITERATURE, AND FILM HISTORY 1910 Alice B. Toklas becomes the lifetime house mate of avant-garde writer Gertrude Stein.

T H E T R I B U TA R Y

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This Day in History - September 9, 1956

Elvis Presley makes first appearance on “The Ed Sullivan Show”

The King of Rock and Roll teams up with TV’s reigning variety program, as Elvis Presley appears on “The Ed Sullivan Show” for the first time on September 9, 1956.

After earning big ratings for “The Steve Allen Show,” the Dorsey Brothers “Stage Show” and “The Milton Berle Show,” Sullivan finally reneged on his Presley ban, signing the controversial singing star to an unprecedented $50,000 contract for three appearances.

With 60 million viewers—or 82.6 percent of TV viewers at the time—tuning in, the appearance garnered the show’s best ratings in two years and became the most-watched TV broadcast of the 1950s.

Although “The Ed Sullivan Show” was filmed in New York, Presley performed remotely from CBS’s Los Angeles studio (he was filming his first movie, “Love Me Tender,” in California). At the time, his first album, “Elvis Presley” had already debuted and “Heartbreak Hotel” was a hit single, but he wasn’t quite yet “The King.”

On the variety show, Presley, then 21, was introduced by British actor Charles Laughton, who was filling in for Sullivan that night, as the legendary host was at home recovering from a serious car accident.

Presley performed “Don’t Be Cruel,” Little Richard’s “Ready Teddy” and “Hound Dog” and viewers got a full head-to-toe look at the singer despite fears of “vulgar” hip-shaking gyrations. He also sang “Love Me Tender” and, according to Variety, “For the first time in the history of the record business, a single record has achieved one million sales before being released to the public.”

Presley, clad in a plaid jacket, told the audience performing on the show was “probably the greatest honor I have ever had in my life,” before kicking things off with “Don’t Be Cruel.” He said, “Thank you, ladies,” to the screaming fans and then introduced “Love Me Tender” as “completely different from anything we’ve ever done.”

During his second segment, Presley sang “Ready Teddy” and “Hound Dog.” Laughton’s closing remarks that night? “Well, what did someone say? Music hath charms to soothe the savage beast?”

“When it was over, parents and critics, as usual, did a lot of futile grumbling at the vulgarity of this strange phenomenon that must somehow be reckoned with,” a reviewer for Time magazine wrote at the time.

Other guests that night included singers Dorothy Sarnoff and Amru Sani, a comedy act from novelty quartet The Vagabonds, a tap dancing duo and an acrobat act.

SUDOKU

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T H E T R I B U TA R Y

September 9, 2020

OPINION | Polis Escalates His War on Rural Colorado

Jerry Sonnenberg Elections are fast approaching, and this governor is making political appointments that appear to be furthering his “War on Rural Colorado.”

Polis’ latest appointment, to the State Board of Veterinary Medicine, is a self-proclaimed “vegan activist” whose response to the outcry against this absurd move was to attack one of Colorado’s premier youth organizations on social media. Ellen Kessler claimed that 4-H clubs — known as one of the first kids’ clubs in America, with a focus on leadership, citizenship and life skills — “teach children that animal lives don’t matter.”

More than 100,000 currently active Colorado 4-H members and the nearly 10,000 adult and youth volunteer leaders would, I think, disagree with her preposterous charge. 4-H members contribute to their communities and gain practical experience in subject areas that include workforce preparation and career exploration, leadership and volunteerism, character and ethics, food and nutrition, agriculture and natural resources, conservation, consumer decision-making, robotics, rocketry, animal sciences, and public speaking — just to name a few.

This governor and his staff should be embarrassed about this political appointment, especially because it should not be political at all. As a member of the State Board of Veterinary Medicine, Kessler would work closely with the Colorado Department of Agriculture on matters pertaining to Colorado’s livestock industry. How can a professed vegan activist make unbiased decisions about veterinary matters in an industry she wants to dismantle?

While I hope that when faced with this nomination the Senate Democrats will take a hard look at the absurdity of this appointment and vote it down, that hasn’t happened in the past. As recently as June, another appointee from this governor to the State Fair Board garnered opposition from both sides of the aisle as an inappropriate selection. The appointment was doomed to fail with bipartisan opposition — until Senate leadership refused to bring the confirmation to a vote.

Through political sidesteps and technical maneuvers, that appointee continues to serve.

But wait, there’s more: Jeff Rice and the Sterling Journal-Advocate printed a two-part story revealing that out of 25 boards and 220 appointments, only 12 appointees hailed from east of I-25.

That’s right, roughly 5% of appointments are from the eastern third of the state. What a mess Polis has made with his diversification of the boards; perhaps he ought to include some of the folks affected by these appointments, from not only the eastern plains but all of the state’s rural areas.

Maybe Gov. Polis had his predecessor John Hickenlooper share the former governor’s quoted beliefs about us “backward thinking” people in rural Colorado. Rest assured, we “backward thinking” folks will continue to provide the food, fiber and energy this state and the rest of the world depend on. Rural Colorado is full of intelligent, hardworking, salt-of-the-earth people who would make great appointments to oversee professions like the State Board of Veterinary Medicine.

So how do we show our opposition to Kessler’s appointment? Call Gov. Polis’ office at 303866-2471. Be polite and briefly share why you think any advocate might have a conflict of interest when appointed to a board charged with oversight of the very subject against which they are vocally opposed.

Jerry Sonnenberg, a Republican from Sterling, represents District 1 in the Colorado Senate.