Manufacturing Greater Phoenix, Occupational Summary Local Occupational Trends Despite national trends that forecast a decline in employment, demand for manufacturing occupations in Greater Phoenix is expected to increase in the coming years. Between 2003 and 2013, employment in production occupations is forecasted to grow 14.7%. This is due in part to the region’s favorable population trends as well as continued business attraction from higher cost states such as California. Employment for electrical and electronic engineering technicians, for example, is expected to grow over 10% in the Greater Phoenix metropolitan area between 2003 and 2013, while the number of electricians is expected to grow nearly 40% during the same period. Annual turnover for electrical and electronic engineering technicians is only 6%, while turnover for electricians is 23%. Turnover rates are higher for less skilled occupations in the manufacturing sector, although many of these occupations are considered gateway jobs leading participants to higher-skilled positions once the appropriate education and training is obtained. Gateway occupations include packaging and filling machine operators and tenders (21% annual turnover), team assemblers (16%), shipping, receiving, and traffic clerks (10%), and stock clerks and order fillers (35%). High turnover is typical for these lower skilled occupations, resulting in a correspondingly high demand rate. This demand rate is expected to increase in the coming years and account for a significant portion of employment demand in the manufacturing sector as workers cycle through existing jobs and upgrade skills to higher paying positions. In January of 2006, the Battelle Memorial Institute’s Technology Partnership Practice released a report on the future of the high-technology manufacturing industry in the Greater Phoenix region. Funded by the Maricopa Community Colleges and its partners, the report analyzes the Maricopa System’s activities in addressing current high-technology manufacturing workforce needs and future requirements. The report surveyed local firms and found that the need for technician-level occupations (which the Maricopa System is well-suited to train) is expected to increase 24% in the next two years. A third of firms expect their need to continue for three to five years. Leading this demand are technician occupations in areas such as science (a 64% increase), manufacturing software/applications (44%), drafting, design, and product development (34%), and mechanical engineering (31%). Many of these occupations require extensive training. At least 74% mandate some post-high school training or an associates degree, and 21% require a bachelor’s degree or higher.
Occupation Forecasts The consolidation of wage data, occupational forecast data, and other data elements from the U.S. Department of Labor permits the further detailed analysis of manufacturing occupations based on user defined thresholds. An initial set of 188 occupations were found to be employed by organizations in the manufacturing industry segment. Of these 188 occupations, 116 were determined to be not unique, in terms of their jobs functions, to the manufacturing industry. These occupations, which are generally considered to be cross industry, included functions in the areas of management, research, professional services, art, sales, construction, repair, transportation. The remaining 72 occupations were determined to be largely associated with manufacturing and were further filtered into the following three occupational tiers. Tier I. Tier 1 occupations are those which have been determined to meet three critical criteria as follows. 1
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High Wage: Offer an hourly wage in excess of $17.00 per hour. This $17.00 per hour threshold is presently being used by the Arizona Department of Commerce and the Greater Phoenix Economic Council in determining the low end of their “high wage� business attraction initiatives. High Demand: Project an annual demand (growth plus separations replacements) of over 100 positions valley wide between now and 2013, the most recent forecast period by the Dept of Labor. High Skill: Generally required a two-year college degree or equivalent.
Tier II. Tier II criteria are as follows. Low Wage: Offer an hourly wage less than $17.00 per hour. High Demand: Project an annual demand (growth plus separations replacements) of over 100 positions valley wide between now and 2013, the most recent forecast period by the Dept of Labor. High Skill: Generally are required by employers to have a BS Diploma or more. Tier III. Tier III criteria are applied as follows. Low Wage: Offer an hourly wage less than $17.00 per hour. High Demand: Project an annual demand (growth plus separations replacements) of over 100 positions valley wide between now and 2013, the most recent forecast period by the Dept of Labor. Low Skill: Generally are required by employers to have a HS Diploma or less.
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Occupations by Tier Level The following three charts reflect the filtered occupations according to the wage and skill criteria. For reference purposes, all the relevant occupations were placed in the applicable tier based on wage and skill level. Only those occupations which met an annual demand threshold level of 100 are candidates for a detailed occupational analysis, those selected occupations are shown in the shaded areas on the following charts for each tier. Tier I
SOC Code 51-4012 17-3024 17-2041 17-2131 51-4111 51-4034 17-3021 51-2041 19-2031 27-3042 17-3013 49-9041 17-3026 17-3027 49-9043 49-9043 17-3012 41-9031 11-3051 17-2112 17-2011 17-2071 17-2141 51-4041 11-9041 17-2072 43-5061 17-3023 47-2111 41-4011
Shaded Occupations = High Wage, High Demand, High Skill Occupations Selected For Individual Profiling Percent of Employers Requiring HS Diploma Work or Less Zone
Occupational Title Numerical Tool and Process Control Programmers Electro-Mechanical Technicians Chemical Engineers Materials Engineers Tool and Die Makers Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technicians Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters Chemists Technical Writers Mechanical Drafters Industrial Machinery Mechanics Industrial Engineering Technicians Mechanical Engineering Technicians Maintenance Workers, Machinery Maintenance Workers, Machinery Electrical and Electronics Drafters Sales Engineers Industrial Production Managers Industrial Engineers Aerospace Engineers Electrical Engineers Mechanical Engineers Machinists Engineering Managers Electronics Engineers, Except Computer Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technicians Electricians Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products
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14.4%
0% 19.57% 16.99%
8.38%
70.43%
4.62% 54.13%
Mean Wage
Annual Annual Growth Separations Total
3 4 4 5 3 3
$22.25 $23.02 $34.02 $31.87 $21.89 $17.49
2 2.8 1.9 1.2
2 4 4 6 10 12
3 6 7 8 11 12
4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 1 1 3 5 4 4 5 4 4 3 5 4 2 3 3 3
$20.91 $13.20 $24.27 $23.91 $19.67 $19.02 $23.72 $20.56 $17.74 $17.74 $23.54 $32.41 $37.92 $27.81 $39.61 $32.20 $30.31 $17.09 $44.43 $37.11 $18.27 $19.94 $17.90 $24.19
3 1.4 11.1 9.1 5.9 15.3 11.2 18.7 16.7 16.7 4.5 19.3 22.4 24.4 16.3 18.6 16 38.4 54.5 51.3 70.9 70.6 297.3 286.1
9 11 12 19 25 18 23 21 29 29 44 30 34 45 57 73 92 74 73 90 81 144 150 330
12 12 23 28 31 33 34 40 46 46 49 49 56 69 73 92 108 112 128 141 152 215 447 616
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Tier II
SOC Code
Shaded Occupations = Low Wage, High Demand, High Skill Occupations Select ed For Individual Profiling Percent of Em ployers Requiri ng HS Dipl oma or Less
Occupati onal Title
51-9195 51-2023 51-2041 51-2022 51-9071 51-4035
Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers Milling and Planing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 51-4192 Lay-Out Workers, Metal and Plastic 49-2094 Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industr ial Equipment 51-4194 Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners 19-4031 Chemical Technicians
Tier III
SOC Code 51-4052 51-4051 51-9191 51-4071 51-2021 51-4022 51-4122 51-4023 51-7042 51-3093 51-9032 51-9041
Job Zone
Mean Wage
Annual G rowth or Decline
Annual Separations
Total
79.42% 65.36%
3 3 4 3 3 3
$7.16 $11.19 $13.20 $13.79 $14.06 $14.13
2.1 -2.1 1.4 -26.3 1.3 7.6
7 11 11 51 2 7
9 9 12 25 3 15
83.86% 36.4%
3 3
$15.43 $16.48
# 30.3
1 41
1 71
76.07% 22.75%
3 3
$16.50 $16.57
-2 3.9
15 6
13 10
Annual G rowth or Decline
Annual Separations
Total
1 1 3 4 7 5 7 7 12 7 8 14
1 1 3 4 5 7 7 8 10 11 14 14
Shaded Occupations = Low Wage, High Demand, Low Skill Occupations Selected For Individual Profiling Percent of Em ployers Requiri ng HS Dipl oma or Less
Occupati onal Title
Job Zone
Mean Wage
1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
$13. 09 $15. 21 $10. 19 $14. 28 $9.29 $12. 29 $12. 48 $14. 54 $10. 40 $12. 43 $13. 34 $12. 28
51-4032
Pourers and Casters, Met al Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders Cementing and Gluing Machine Operators and Tenders Foundry Mold and Coremakers Coil Winders , Tapers, and Finishers Forging Machine Setters, Operators , and Tenders, Metal and Plas tic Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Mac hine Set ters, Operat ors, and Tenders Rolling Machine Sett ers, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Woodwork ing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders Cutt ing and Slicing Mac hine Set ters, Operators, and Tenders Extruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Sett ers, O perators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
2
$13. 92
-0.4
15
15
51-4011 51-7041
Computer-Cont rolled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and Plastic Sawing Machine Setters , Operators, and Tenders, W ood
2 2
$16. 09 $9.37
4.9 1.3
10 14
15 15
51-9023 51-9196 53-7063 51-4072
85.59%
1 2 1 2
$13. 39 $13. 80 $9.41 $13. 61
1.4 7.7 1.8 2.2
18 14 24 24
19 22 26 26
51-4021
Mixing and Blending Machine Set ters, Operators, and Tenders Paper Goods Machine Sett ers, Operat ors, and Tenders Machine Feeders and Of fbearers Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Set ters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plas ti Extruding and Drawing Machine Set ters, Operators, and Tenders , Met al and Plastic
72.66%
2
$13. 75
1.6
29
31
43-5111 51-9121 51-9022
Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Sett ers, Operators, and Tenders Grinding and Polis hing Workers, Hand
1 2 1
$16. 69 $12. 99 $10. 81
17.7 12 21
20 26 30
38 38 51
51-4031
Cutt ing, Punching, and Pres s Machine Sett ers, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Sheet Met al W orkers Welders, Cutters, Solderers , and Brazers Industrial Truc k and Tractor Operators Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders Team Assemblers
97.66%
2
$12. 76
18.9
33
52
47-2211 51-4121 53-7051 51-9111 51-2092
62.24% 65.33% 70.13% 85.26% 86.2%
2 2 2 2 2
$14. 94 $13. 58 $12. 35 $12. 48 $11. 08
68.1 73 87.4 239.2 81.3
48 96 96 72 352
116 169 183 311 433
43-5071 53-7064 43-5081 53-7062
Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks Packers and Pac kagers, Hand Stock Clerk s and Order Fillers Laborers and Freight, Stoc k, and Mat erial Movers, Hand
55.65% 99.2% 87.175% 89.78%
2 1 1 1
$13. 00 $9.12 $12. 42 $10. 84
315.5 438.8 110.4 523.4
237 218 650 915
553 657 760 1438
4
82.33%
98.36% 65.68% 90.18% 93.39%
-0.1 -1.7 1.6 1.4 -1.9 3.5 5.7
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Job Zone Key Overall Experience
Education
1 Job Zone One: Little or No Preparation Needed
Job Zone
N o previous wor k-related skill, knowledge, or exper ience is needed for these occupations. For example, a person can become a cashier even if he/she has never wor ked before.
These occupations may require a high schoo l diploma or GED certificate. Some may require a for mal training cour se to obt ain a license.
2 Job Zone T wo: Some Preparation Needed
Some previous work-related skill, knowledge, or exper ience may be helpful in t hese occupations, but usually is not needed. For example, a teller might benefit from experience w orking dire ctly with the public, but an inexperienced person could still learn
These occupations usu ally Employees in these occupations need anyw here from a require a high school few months to one year of working with experie nced diploma and may require employees. some vocational training o r job-related course work. In some cases, an associate's or bachelor's degr ee could be n eeded.
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Pr evious work-related skill, Most occupations in this knowledge, or exper ience is required zone r equire training in for these occupations. For example, vocational schools, related an electrician must have comp leted on-the-job expe rience, or an three or four years of apprenticeship associate's degree. Some or sever al years of vocational tr aining, may require a bachelor's and of ten must have passed a degr ee. licensing
Employees in these occup ations usually need one or tw o year s of training involving both on-t he-job experience and informal training with experienced worker s.
Job Zone Three: Medium Preparation Needed
Job Training Employees in these occupations need anyw here from a few days to a fe w months of training. Usually, an experienced worker could sho w you how to do the job.
4 Job Z one Four: Considerable Preparation Needed
A minimu m of two to four years of w ork-r elated skill, know ledge, or experience is needed for these occupations. For example, an accountant must complete four years of college and work for several years in account ing to be considered qualified.
Most of these occup ations require a four - year bachelor's degree, but some do not.
Employees in these occupations usually need several years of work-r elated experience, on-the-job training, and/or vocational training.
5 Job Zone F ive: Extensive Preparation Needed
A bachelor's degree is the Extensive skill, knowledge, and experience are needed f or these minimum formal edu cation re quired for these occupations. Many r equire more than occupations. However, five ye ars of expe rience. For example, surgeons must complete f our years of many also require graduate college and an additional five to seven school. For example, they may r equire a master's years of specialized medical tr aining t degree , and some require a Ph.D., M .D., or J.D. (law degre e).
Employees may need some on-t he-job training, but most of these occupations assume that the person will already have the required skills, knowledge, w orkr elat ed exper ience, and/or trainin g.
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