Andy Keating Q1 2016 Marketplace Market Report

Page 1

THE MARKETPLACE MARKET REPORT PERFORMANCE OF SINGLE FAMILY HOMES IN SELECT CITIES OF KING AND SNOHOMISH COUNTIES

2016 1ST QUARTER MARKET REPORT

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[1]


WHATS HAPPENING? OUR FAVORITE EVENTS ON THE EASTSIDE

It is time for all of our favorite open-air farmers market selling local fresh produce, arts and crafts to open!! Starting in May/June 2016 all the way to October 2016! Carnation Tuesday Market 3pm to 7pm Kirkland Wednesday Market 2pm to 7pm Sammamish Wednesday Market 4pm to 8pm Bellevue Thursday Market 3pm to 7pm North Bend Friday Market 4pm to 8pm Bothell Friday Farmers Market 12pm to 6pm Woodinville Saturday Farmer Market 9am to 3pm Redmond Saturday Market 9am to 3pm Issaquah Saturday Market 9am to 2pm Snohomish Sunday Market 11am to 3pm Mercer Island Sunday Market 10am to 3pm Seattle Pike Place Market Everyday!!! Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [2]

CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!


CONTENTS Q1 2016 MARKET REPORT

4 Woodinville Report 5 Redmond Report 6 Sammamish Report 7 Bellevue Report 8 Bothell Report 9 Kirkland Report 10 Duvall Report 11 Carnation Report 12 Snoqualmie Report 13 North Bend Report

THE MARKET TRENDS AVERAGES OF KING AND SNOHOMISH COUNTIES This report focuses on single family homes in the cities where we conduct most business. While we’re a global brokerage, we mainly work on the Eastside of the Puget Sound region, Olympia to Bellingham. Our numbers only reflect the averages of the communities featured in this report but the trends still accurately reflect county-wide trends.

*

TOTAL $ VOLUME AND # OF SALES The Total Dollar Volume increased an average of 22% in 2016 over 2015, from $16.7 billion to $19.6 billion. The Number of Sales increased 13%, from 33,918 in 2015 to 36,958 in 2016. These are the metrics we use to analyze the long-term trends in each market segment because they best summarize the general market activity over long periods of time.

14 Issaquah Report 15 Fall City Report 16 Kenmore Report 17 Lake Forest Park 18 Mercer Island Report 19 Seattle Report 20 M aple Valley Report

AVERAGE PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT The Price Per Square Foot ($/SqFt) increased 4% from 2015 to 2016, from $204 to $218. This metric helps identify trends in market segments when large numbers of transactions are considered together over a period of time, and also is useful when comparing two properties on an apples-toapples basis. In this case, it helps us understand that properties in this region are increasing in value on a square-foot-basis, rather than growing in size.

21 Kent Report 22 Renton Report 23 Snohomish Report

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET

The Average Days on Market (DOM) decreased 11% from 2015 to 2016, from 67 to 59 days. DOM is a good measure of Liquidity in a real estate market. Liquidity determines how quickly an asset can be sold and usually increases in parallel with price transparency and fungible assets. In liquid markets, fewer days are needed to sell a property. In the Greater Seattle Region, homes are selling in the blink of an eye, making it a highly liquid market. Seattle boasts the second lowest DOM in the U.S.

CURRENT INVENTORY IN UNITS

With a surge of buyers and little increase in residential development, there is a shortage of inventory. The inventory of our market segments decreased 24%, from 4,710 units to 3,082 units. With decreased inventory and increased demand, it doesn’t look like the scramble for homes will let up Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com in the near future.

www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084

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[3]


WOODINVILLE REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

SAYBROOK Offered for $950,000 2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

131

111

-15.30%

Total Dollar Volume

$74,827,000

$70,827,000

-5.40%

Average Sale Price

$571,200

$637,400

11.60%

Average Days on Market

53

46

-13.20%

Sold / List Price %

99.8%

99.40%

-0.4%

Average Price Per Square Foot $232.6

$249.3

7.2%

Months of Inventory

2

2.1

5%

Current Inventory in Units

92

86

-6.5%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF WOODINVILLE HOMES

CHART

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [4]

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Number of Sales

2015

Total Dollar Volume Sold

WOODINVILLE


REDMOND REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

WEST LAKE SAMMAMISH Sold for $910,000

CHART

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF REDMOND HOMES

REDMOND

2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

291

Total Dollar Volume

$156,736,000 $152,244,000 -2.9%

Average Sale Price

$538,600

$659,100

22.4%

Average Days on Market

47

33

-29.8%

Sold / List Price %

99.1%

231

-20.60%

101.30%

2.2%

Average Price Per Square Foot $257

$300

16.70%

Months of Inventory

2.1

1.4

-33.3%

Current Inventory in Units

197

108

-45.20%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[5]


SAMMAMISH REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

NW CONTEMPORARY HOME Sold for $641,000 SAMMAMISH

2015

Number of Sales

178

%CHANGE

Total Dollar Volume

$130,325,000 $145,571,000

11.7%

Average Sale Price

$786,900

$786,900

7.5%

Average Days on Market

56

40

-28.6%

Sold / List Price %

100%

100.6%

0.3%

Average Price Per Square Foot $258.1

$285.1

10.5%

Months of Inventory

2.1

1.5

-28.6%

Current Inventory in Units

134

106

-20.90%

185

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF SAMMAMISH HOMES

3.9%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [6]

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Number of Sales

2016

Total Dollar Volume Sold


BELLEVUE REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

ENATAI WATERFRONT OFFERED for $3,400,000 BELLEVUE

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF BELLEVUE HOMES

2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

397

383

-3.5%

Total Dollar Volume

$305,765,000 $320,876,000 4.9%

Average Sale Price

$770,200

$837,800

8.8%

Average Days on Market

41

36

-12.2%

Sold / List Price %

99.1%

100.6%

1.5%

Average Price Per Square Foot $342.3

$388.8

13.6%

Months of Inventory

2.3

1.9

-17.4%

Current Inventory in Units

313

244

-22%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[7]


BOTHELL REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

HIGHLANDS Sold for $601,200 2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

460

461

0.20%

Total Dollar Volume

$204,607,000 $221,798,000 8.4%

Average Sale Price

$443,800

$482,200

8.7%

Average Days on Market

73

40

-45.2%

Sold / List Price %

99.2%

100.8%

1.6%

Average Price Per Square Foot $198.3

$215.4

8.6%

Months of Inventory

1.9

1.2

-36.8%

Current Inventory in Units

296

180

-39.2%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF BOTHELL HOMES

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [8]

CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

Number of Sales

2015

Total Dollar Volume Sold

BOTHELL


KIRKLAND REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

GOAT HILL - JUANITA Offered at $1,398,000

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF KIRKLAND HOMES

KIRKLAND

2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

359

348

Total Dollar Volume

$215,436,000 $258,609,000 20%

Average Sale Price

$600,100

$743,100

23.8%

Average Days on Market

41

33

-19.5%

Sold / List Price %

99.7%

-3.1%

100.7%

1.0%

Average Price Per Square Foot $309.1

$349

12.9%

Months of Inventory

2

1.5

-25%

Current Inventory in Units

235

178

-24.3%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[9]


DUVALL REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

CHARMING PRIVATE HOME Sold for $775,000 2016

51

57

%CHANGE 11.8%

Total Dollar Volume

$21,156,000

$25,186,000

19%

Average Sale Price

$414,800

$441,900

6.5%

Average Days on Market

54

50

-7.4%

Sold / List Price %

99.7%

99.2%

-0.5%

Average Price Per Square Foot $197.9

$196.3

-0.8%

Months of Inventory

2.1

1.6

-24%

Current Inventory in Units

56

33

-41.1%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF DUVALL HOMES

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [ 10 ]

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Number of Sales

2015

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

DUVALL


CARNATION REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

RESERVE AT LAKE JOY ESTATE Sold for $799,000 CARNATION

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF CARNATION HOMES

2015

2016

Number of Sales

20

27

%CHANGE 35%

Total Dollar Volume

$9,905,000

$11,607,000

17.2%

Average Sale Price

$495,300

$429,900

-13.2%

Average Days on Market

75

64

-14.7%

Sold / List Price %

97.4%

96.1%

-1.3%

Average Price Per Square Foot $206

$215.3

4.5%

Months of Inventory

7

4.1

-41.4%

Current Inventory in Units

48

39

-18.8%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 11 ]


SNOQUALMIE REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

PRIVATE WOODED GETAWAY Sold for $579,500 2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

99

57

-42.4%

Total Dollar Volume

$51,688,000

$30,244,000

-41.5%

Average Sale Price

$522,100

$530,600

1.6%

Average Days on Market

74

18

-75.7%

Sold / List Price %

99.6%

99.8%

0.2%

Average Price Per Square Foot $208.2

$233.3

12.1%

Months of Inventory

1.9

0.7

-63%

Current Inventory in Units

38

21

-44.7%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF SNOQUALMIE HOMES

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [ 12 ]

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Number of Sales

2015

Total Dollar Volume Sold

SNOQUALMIE


NORTH BEND REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

ECHO LAKE HOME Offered for $1,550,000

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF NORTH BEND HOMES

NORTH BEND

2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

54

49

-9.3%

Total Dollar Volume

$23,373,000

$25,882,000

10.7%

Average Sale Price

$432,800

$528,200

22%

Average Days on Market

95

88

-7.4%

Sold / List Price %

97.6%

100.7%

3.2%

Average Price Per Square Foot $194.9

$218.2

12%

Months of Inventory

4.2

3

-28.6%

Current Inventory in Units

81

39

-51.9%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 13 ]


ISSAQUAH REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

BRIGHT VIEW HOME Sold for $450,000 2016

%CHANGE

248

237

-4,4%

Total Dollar Volume

$123,914,000 $128,209,000 3.5%

Average Sale Price

$499,700

$541,000

8.3%

Average Days on Market

49

34

-30.6%

Sold / List Price %

99.7%

102.1%

2.4%

Average Price Per Square Foot $248.4

$267.1

7.5%

Months of Inventory

2.1

1.6

-23.8%

Current Inventory in Units

174

129

-25.9%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF ISSAQUAH HOMES

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Number of Sales

2015

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

ISSAQUAH


FALL CITY REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TRADITIONAL HOME ON ACREAGE Sold for $774,850

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF FALL CITY HOMES

FALL CITY

2015

2016

Number of Sales

12

14

%CHANGE 16.7%

Total Dollar Volume

$5,367,000

$7,032,000

31%

Average Sale Price

$447,300

$502,300

12.3%

Average Days on Market

134

64

-52.2%

Sold / List Price %

96.4%

96.6%

0.2%

Average Price Per Square Foot $278.7

$238.2

-14.5%

Months of Inventory

8.8

5.4

-38.6%

Current Inventory in Units

39

26

-33.3%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 15 ]


KENMORE REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

BRIGHT HOME IN QUIET LOCATION Sold for $389,000 2016

100

101

%CHANGE 1.0%

Total Dollar Volume

$45,903,000

$52,043,000

13.4%

Average Sale Price

$459,000

$515,300

12.3%

Average Days on Market

51

43

-15.7%

Sold / List Price %

98.4%

102%

3.7%

Average Price Per Square Foot $207.3

$240.8

16.2%

Months of Inventory

2.5

1.5

-40%

Current Inventory in Units

88

48

-45.5%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF KENMORE HOMES

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Number of Sales

2015

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

KENMORE


LAKE FOREST PARK REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

SPACIOUS HOME ON LARGE LOT Listed for $1.3 million

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF LAKE FOREST PARK HOMES

LAKE FOREST PARK

2015

2016

Number of Sales

188

210

%CHANGE 12%

Total Dollar Volume

$17,175,000

$25,325,000

47.5%

Average Sale Price

$477,100

$487,000

2.1%

Average Days on Market

62

23

-62.9%

Sold / List Price %

98.1%

101%

3.0%

Average Price Per Square Foot $215.2

$239.2

11.2%

Months of Inventory

1.9

1.5

-21.1%

Current Inventory in Units

20

36

80%

Andy MARKETPLACESOTHEBYSREALTY.COM Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com 425.243.9000 www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 17 ]


MERCER ISLAND REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TRANQUIL CONTEMPORARY HOME Sold for $975,000 2016

338

328

%CHANGE -3%

Total Dollar Volume

$68,069,000

$73,647,000

8.2%

Average Sale Price

$1,215,500

$1,472,900

21.2%

Average Days on Market

58

47

-19%

Sold / List Price %

97.1%

98.8%

1.7%

Average Price Per Square Foot $410.3

$472

15%

Months of Inventory

3.8

2.8

-26.3%

Current Inventory in Units

66

53

-19.7%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF MERCER ISLAND HOMES

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com MARKETPLACESOTHEBYSREALTY.COM 425.243.9000 www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [ 18 ]

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Number of Sales

2015

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

MERCER ISLAND


SEATTLE REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

SEATTLE LUXURY PENTHOUSE Listed for $1,200,000

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF SEATTLE HOMES

SEATTLE

2015

2016

Number of Sales

2,048

2,101

%CHANGE

Total Dollar Volume

$1,094,035,000 $1,306,492,000 19.4%

Average Sale Price

$534,200

$621,800

16.4%

Average Days on Market

39

25

-35.9%

Sold / List Price %

100.7%

102.6%

1.9%

Average Price Per Square Foot $302

$360.6

19.4%

Months of Inventory

1.7

1.4

-17.6%

Current Inventory in Units

1,162

1,004

-13.6%

2.6%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 19 ]


MAPLE VALLEY REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

EXTRAORDINARY HOME ON PRIVATE LOT Sold for $500,000 2016

%CHANGE

160

141

-11.9%

Total Dollar Volume

$53,146,000

$57,343,000

-7.3%

Average Sale Price

$358,400

$376,900

5.2%

Average Days on Market

48

36

-25%

Sold / List Price %

99.7%

99.5%

-0.2%

Average Price Per Square Foot $167.4

$184.3

10.1%

Months of Inventory

2.2

1.4

-36.4%

Current Inventory in Units

107

72

-32.7%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF MAPLE VALLEY HOMES

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [ 20 ]

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Number of Sales

2015

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

MAPLE VALLEY


KENT REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

TRANQUIL CONTEMPORARY HOME Sold for $459,000

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF KENT HOMES

KENT

2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

352

327

-7.10%

Total Dollar Volume

$99,290,000

$102,161,000

2.9%

Average Sale Price

$282,100

$312,400

10.7%

Average Days on Market

71

41

-42.3%

Sold / List Price %

99.2%

99.8%

0.6%

Average Price Per Square Foot $145.5

$159.2

9.4%

Months of Inventory

2.7

1.8

-33.3%

Current Inventory in Units

289

191

-33.9%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 21 ]


RENTON REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

CRAFTSMAN HOME ON ACREAGE Listed for $1,090,000 2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

443

417

Total Dollar Volume

$160,056,000 $167,767,000

4.8%

Average Sale Price

$361,300

$402,300

11.3%

Average Days on Market

61

44

-27.9 %

Sold / List Price %

99.3%

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF RENTON HOMES

100.7%

1.4%

Average Price Per Square Foot $177.1

$195.9

10.6%

Months of Inventory

2.2

1.5

-32%

Current Inventory in Units

344

243

-29.4%

Total Dollar Volume Sold

-5.9%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 [ 22 ]

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Number of Sales

RENTON


SNOHOMISH REPORT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

BEAUTIFUL TRADITIONAL HOME Sold for $910,000

Number of Sales

Total Dollar Volume Sold

10 YEAR PERFORMANCE OF SNOHOMISH HOMES

SNOHOMISH

2015

2016

%CHANGE

Number of Sales

904

1,011

Total Dollar Volume

$366,286,000 $451,938,000 23%

Average Sale Price

$405,200

$447,000

10%

Average Days on Market

64

49

-23%

Sold / List Price %

99.8%

12%

99.2%

0.4%

Average Price Per Square Foot $171

$185

8%

Months of Inventory

2.9

2.5

-14%

Current Inventory in Units

180

165

-8%

Andy Keating | Andy@AndyKeatingHomes.com www.AndyKeatingHomes.com | 206.841.8084 CONTACT US FOR A CUSTOMIZED ANALYSIS ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST!

[ 23 ]


BUILDING ON THE EXTRAORDINARY

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