Volume 25 – No.4 – July 2011
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PRESIDENT’S MESSAGE
Dear Members
influences money supply. The high
muted the impact of the Reserve Bank’s
reverse repo rate would tempt banks to
aggressive anti-inflation stance. Even
park funds with RBI instead of lending
the RBI Governor made it clear that in
as the former is risk free and yields a
the absence of reforms and fiscal steps
fairly good return. Both ways the money
to ease the supply-side constraints on
supply would be curtailed, making funds
food and commodities, the central bank
costlier for borrowers, thus resulting in
had no choice but to keep monetary
less borrowing and spending.
policy tight.
There can be no two opinions on the
Therefore RBI’s move in controlling the
need for controlling inflation, which
demand side without matching policy
stood at 9.4% as of June 2011. India
actions from the government to address
Interest rates have gone up, again!
suffers from the worst inflation of
the supply side concerns may not
RBIs latest hike of 50 Basis Points (BPS)
any major Asian economy, prompting
yield expected results. Higher interest
on July 26th was the eleventh such
the Reserve Bank of India to raise
rates are pushing up costs of products
hike since March 2010. Though a hike
rates more than its regional peers.
and services, while inflation remains
was not unexpected, the 50 bps dose
High inflation eats away the fruits
stubbornly strong despite RBI‘s frequent
was more than market expectations,
of economic growth and poses a
interventions in the last one year. This
especially considering the fact that the
significant risk to future growth. Not
is bound to affect the competitiveness
last increase was only in May 2011.
surprisingly, growth projections have
of our industries as well. We should not
been revised downwards and double
end up with the remedies worse than
digit growth will perhaps have to wait
the disease itself.
With this increase, the repo rate, the rate at which RBI lends to banks has now reached 8%, while the reverse repo rate,
for a couple of years.
What we require now is a balanced approach to contain inflation, without
the rate at which the RBI borrows from banks now stands at 7%. With 300
Inevitably, there is also the debate
basis points of tightening over the past
between inflation targeting and growth.
sixteen months, India is easily the most
RBI in its review had said since domestic
aggressive inflation fighter in the world,
inflation remains very high, some short
surpassing even Brazil.
term deceleration in growth may be
Clearly the concerns around spiralling
inevitable to bring inflation under control.
inflation have been uppermost on the
Already, the effects of the interest hike
minds of the policy makers. In the words
have become visible in rate sensitive
of the RBI Governor, the rates had to be
sectors like auto, reality, housing and
increased to “maintain the credibility of
consumer goods, which may have
the commitment of Monetary Policy” to
cascading effect on the economy
controlling inflation.
as a whole.
In simple terms, RBI’s way to tame
But monetary policy only goes so
inflation is to reduce the amount of
far. Inflation in India has been fuelled
money that enters the economic system.
by several structural bottlenecks in
How does that work? A high interest
agriculture and infrastructure as well
rate influences spending patterns
as heavy Government borrowings and
and shifts consumers and businesses
subsidies. High oil prices, loose fiscal
from borrowing to saving mode. This
policy and supply constraints have
dampening the growth momentum. Best wishes
T T Srinivasaraghavan President
1
CHAMBER’S ACTIVITIES
1st July 2011
He explained the following steps for a
27th July 2011
Seminar on “Securing U. S. Green Card”
EB-5 programme:
Video Discussion
l select an EB-5 programme
l provide information for
on “Between You and Me”.
your visa application
The monthly video discussion jointly
Hotel Savera.
l Fund the project ; and
being organized by the Chamber along
The objective was to brief the
l Get your money back in 4-5 years
The MCCI in association with Fox Mandal Little organised a Seminar on Securing US Green Card on 1st July at
that is safe
with MMA was held on the topic “Between you and me”. The trainer
participants on how to secure a US
What is needed by an EB-5 applicant
was Ms Shripriya Srinivasan, Corporate
Green card via the EB-5 programme
is – the ability to invest $ 500,000 for
Trainer.
created by the US Congress to
up to 5 years and $ 55,000 towards
encourage foreign investment in the
administration fee.
United States, to create jobs and provide expeditious Residency and Citizenship to Qualified foreign investors. The Green Card Fund is a United States Citizenship and Immigration Service (USCIS) approved EB-5 Regional Centre specialising in providing quality EB-5 investment projects. Green Card Fund is a subsidiary of the Bedford companies,
to help employees embrace team work
Currently 10,000 US visas are available
and solve their own conflicts without
for EB-5 prospective investors.
management intervention.
The advantages of EB-5 were:
It is important to recognise that there are
l expedited residency
two sides to every story. Often we leave the responsibility of solving the conflict
l permanent residency for investor,
with someone else.
spouse and children (unmarried under 21 yrs of age)
It is important to listen and take responsibility for the conflict.
founded in 1991.
l live anywhere in the US
Mr Gregory Wing, co-founder of t he
l become a US citizen in 5 years
Green Card Fund and President &
EB-5 target industries are – Education,
CEO of Bedford International made a
Healthcare and Energy.
presentation on the following:
The video showed realistic role plays
The video brought out that – l Be open and honest
There was a lively interaction during
l A sk questions l A sk for feedback
l How to apply for an EB-5 visa
which Mr Satish Kholay, Managing
l Listen without arguing or judging and
through a USCIS approved
Director, Green Card Fund who was
reach a consensus
Regional Centre
also present clarified the queries of the
l How to identify and Select safe,
participants.
qualified EB-5 investment projects l How to secure Permanent US
Residency through an Investment in an EB-5 project
l Be committed l Enjoy the work in the work place l Focus on job related actions l Take action and do the follow up
Every person in the organisation down to the last is also very important. The end result is customer satisfaction and
For more details, please contact Fox Mandal Little in Chennai – Tel: 24361029
all organizations aim for that.
Email: Chennai@foxmandal little or Ms Madhri Guruswamy Mobile: 95000 57312
The program was attended by
Email: madhri.guruswamy@foxmandal.com
around 35 participants from various organisations and the feed back was excellent.
2
GENERAL COMMITTEE
9th July 2011 Brief excerpts of the discussions are given below:
Study on Port Sector: The Chamber has engaged Madras Consultancy Group for a study on the port sector. Once the study is completed, the Chamber will hold a Seminar and present the findings to all the stakeholders. It is hoped that the study would be completed by the middle of August. While on this it was informed that the members of CTCC met the Hon.Speaker of Government of Tamil Nadu and impressed upon him the importance of the timely completion of the EMRIP project . He promised his personal attention and thereupon assured to hold a meeting with
the contributions to the activities of the
The Coffee Table Book and the Directory
Chamber.
of Members 2011 will be released on this
Invitees to the Committee:
occasion. The Skill Development project
It has been the convention of the
would also be unveiled on this occasion.
Chamber to invite all the Past Presidents
New Membership:
who are active in business to join
The following companies were admitted
the General Committee as invitees.
as members:
Accordingly communications would be
EDAC Engineering Ltd.
sent to them in this regard.
Nokia India Pvt Ltd.
MCCI - Skill Development Initiative - Progress:
Spearheaders Management Consultants
As announced at the AGM, the
Assocham Managing Committee - Nominations from the Promoter Chambers:
preliminary steps for starting the Skill Development Course are almost complete. The soft launch of the training activities will be started in August at a rented place in Chembarambakkam in association with
Pvt Ltd. Treeline Business Solutions Pvt Ltd.
organizations like NTTF.
The Chamber has five seats on the
Trust to expedite the project. This meeting
As already indicated, efforts are underway
names have been forwarded to them:
has since been held.
for setting up the skill development centre
all the agencies involved and Chennai Port
Programme on XBRL: This being of contemporary interest, it was felt this certainly warrants one more programme. Members were informed that there were two circulars from MCA in this regard. These have been put on their website and any one could give their comments.
Managing Committee and the following
at MCCI’s own land at Koppur village,
Mr T T Srinivasaraghavan
Tiruvallur District.
Mr T Shivaraman
Applicability of Service Tax for Chambers of Commerce:
Mr N Srinivasan (F&R Retd)
Representatives of local Chambers of
Sustainable Chennai Initiative:
Mr Srinivasan K Swamy
Commerce including their tax professionals met on 5th July. This meeting was initiated by MCCI. It was noted that none
Mr S Gopal
An informal group consisting of representatives of Anna University (Water
The Chamber will organize another
of the Chambers in the city are collecting
programme on this shortly with the
service tax.
Dept), British Dy High Commission and the
An opinion was obtained that Chambers
of the month with regard to taking this
Co-options to the Committee:
and Associations have taken a stand
initiative further.
It is usual for the Chamber to co-opt
apply.
some leading corporate representatives to
Chamber Day - 29 September 2011Action plan:
presence of Secretary, MCA.
the Committee in order to gain from their knowledge, expertise and suggestions for the benefit of the Committee’s deliberations.
MCCI have been meeting on 3rd Fridays
that the principle of mutuality applies and based on this, service tax should not
th
The Chamber has extended an invitation
The Committee felt that the same persons
to Dr.J.Jayalalithaa, Hon’ble Chief Minister
co-opted last year be co-opted this year
of Tamilnadu to be the chief guist and her
as well, considering their involvement and
confirmation is awaited.
A number of activities like training and engaging students to conduct eco assessments in college campuses, documenting green initiatives in industries etc were being planned as a part of this Initiative. The plans to organize a seminar on 3rd October on the occasion of World Habitat Day were also deliberated in detail.
3
EXPERT COMMITTEES
6th July 2011
and XBRL recently and a number of
debentures by accepting public
COMPANY LAW/ COPORATE MATTERS: Terms of Reference of the Committee:
issues had emerged at the Seminar and
deposits, stocks, bond or any other
the Chamber had sent a representation
financial instruments from public
to the Government. Members were of
other than from directors
the view that the Chamber could plan
of company.
The Committee perused the terms
the technical details, filling data and
of reference and felt that Foreign
many more connected issues. They
Contribution Regulation Act 2010 which
also suggested to invite an approved
was notified by the Government of India
software developer to demonstrate the
would be relevant to include in the terms
XBRL tool.
a Training Programme on XBRL which would help the corporates to know
of reference. Organisations seeking foreign contribution for cultural, social, economic, educational purposes, may obtain registration or prior permission to receive foreign contribution from the Ministry of Home Affairs by making application in the prescribed format and
which seem to be important. The Chamber would organise a meeting to gain knowledge of various circulars issued by MCA.
Work Plan for the year 2011-12:
analysing the draft code, a suitable
Members were apprised that the
Interaction meetings with ROC and
Committee has been organising about 5
RD, Chennai, also will be scheduled at
to 6 programmes each year. Members
appropriate time.
were of the opinion that Companies Bill
Companies (Dematerialization of Certificates) Rules 2011:
It was also noted that a number of legislations were being amended from time to time. In view of this, not much of changes will be expected in the new Companies Bill. New Schedule VI
programme would be planned by the Chamber on this topic.
stock, bond or any other financial instruments only in dematerialised
l
The Companies falling in the above
categories are required to convert their existing certificates in the dematerialised form by 30th September 2011. Members felt that this is impossible and impracticable to implement. Members were requested to send their suggestions to the Chamber to enable the Chamber to forward it to the Government.
Invitees to the committee: The Committee desired that Mr.B.Ravi, Mr.L.Venkatesan, Mr.S.A.Muraliprasad and Ms. B. Chandra be requested to join the Committee as Invitees
has issued a draft on Companies
since their knowledge and expertise
(Dematerialization of Certificates) Rules
would be of immense value to the
2011 for comments from the public.
deliberations of the Committee.
l The Draft Rules are proposed to be
discussion today and the Ministry of
made effective from
Corporate Affairs expects to implement
1st October 2011 l
The Draft Rules will be applicable
without proper discussions.
to all public companies and their
It was informed that the Chamber had
subsidiaries which have
organised a seminar on Schedule VI
raised money by issue by shares,
4
issued for receipt of deposits,
Members were informed that MCA
and XBRL is one of the core topics for
new changes in an urgent manner
certificates and certificates
Depositories Act 1996.
has been announced and after
discussion meeting on this.
share certificates, debenture
number of circulars on various subjects
audited accounts.
it is passed, the Chamber could plan a
companies shall issue and keep
form as prescribed in the
The draft code for Independent Directors
monsoon session in the Parliament. If
The Draft Rules provide that such
In the recent past, MCA has issued a
furnishing details of the activities and
is likely to be tabled at the forthcoming
l
“In a free enterprise, the community is not just another stakeholder in business but is in fact the very purpose of its existence� - JRD
EXPERT COMMITTEES
13th July 2011
LOGISTICS:
discussed by the Logistics Committee
so that the Chamber could take
and then placed before the General
appropriate action.
Committee for their concurrence.
The Committee suggested to have a
Mr.J.Krishnan, Chairman of the
Once the final report is ready, the
committee, apprised the members that
Chamber would be planning a
the Chamber has been instrumental
suitable conference and the study will
in setting up the Chennai Port and
be released at the conference. The
and related authorities to understand
the Chamber’s history describes the
conference would be organised before
the present legislative changes,
historical links of the Chamber with
15th September.
policy changes and administrative
the Port. Coming to the operations
seminar/meeting with the PF officials, ESI officials, labour department officials
requirements. Presently there were a
and administration of Chennai Port in
Course on Logistics:
the present day context, he said there
Members were informed that a course
the committee will work on a possible
were a number of issues unsettled and
on Logistics has been finalized. The
programme in due course.
day-by-day its number was growing. He
Committee also suggested conducting
informed that to highlight these issues
It was brought to the notice of Members
capsule courses like product liability
and the expectations of the industry, the
that the Ministry of Corporate Affairs,
insurance, marine insurance, shipping
Committee had decided to commission
related courses etc. for the benefit of
a study on port sector development in
professionals working in corporate.
number of changes in PF legislation and
Government of India, New Delhi has issued National Voluntary Guidelines
Tamilnadu. Madras Consulting Group
on Social, Environmental & Economic
has been appointed for this purpose
Responsibilities of Business. Members
and the work was in progress and
18th July 2011
were informed that MCA had released
requested Mr.Shanker, President, MCG,
HRD/CSR:
the Voluntary Guidelines on CSR in 2009
Work Plan for the year 2011-12:
the concept of Business Responsibilities.
The Chairman of the Committee, Mr S
encompass social, environmental and
Ganguly, informed the members that
economic responsibilities of business.
to inform the present position of the study to the members. Mr.Shanker made a brief presentation to the Committee on the progress of the study. He and his team also met the officials of the Port Trust, Corporate Houses,
the Chamber every month organizes
Exporters & importers, Port Users,
Food For Thought (FFT) programmes
Associations etc. He said it would be
which were well received by the
possible to present the final draft only
corporates. He mentioned that one
after a number of representatives
such programme was on CSR. He felt
connected with the industry and the
that the Chamber could plan similar
Government sector are met. Members
programmes on topics relevant to
felt that the points covered in the
the Committee and requested the
study were well taken and need to be
members to suggest such topics. He
fine tuned. During the presentation, members suggested a number of issues/solutions which need to be incorporated in the study.
said, the Chamber has developed a good website and requested the members to visit the site periodically and place their queries, suggestions,
The final draft expected to be ready
comments, etc. as also share their views,
by the first week of August would be
if any, relating to this Committee,
as the first step towards mainstreaming This has now been revised with a more comprehensive set of guidelines that
The Chamber would provide a link in the MCCI website to download the guidelines issued by MCA. The Expert Committees on Company Law and HRD would study the guidelines before providing suggestions. Members were requested to go through the website and have a look at the guidelines and send their comments to the Chamber either through website or by e-mail. The Chairman suggested that this topic could also be considered as one of the topics for future FFT programmes.
5
EXPERT COMMITTEES
CSR activities in association with Government of Tamilnadu: Mr M Ramakrishnan, Co-Chairman gave highlights of his earlier CSR project done in Coimbatore where large groups like PRICOL, LMW, ELGI, Bannari Amman Group and Sankara Eye Foundation and other trading agencies joined hands and made a successful project called “Sirutholi”. These initiatives were done with the support of Government agencies like PWD, Revenue, Forestry and the Corporation. He suggested
that the Chamber can embark on similar
fair might offer a good opportunity to
projects in Chennai, taking the support
them. Graduates of various disciplines
of our member industries.
including engineering, arts and science,
Job Fair – 27th & 28th August:
diploma holders, etc. are eligible to participate in the Fair. Members were also informed that
The MCCI in association with Jaya
the Chamber is also setting up a skill
TV is planning to organize a Job Fair
development centre and soft skills
on the 27th & 28th August. The basic
training would be commenced from
objective of this Fair is that MCCI would
August. For the selected students from
act as a bridge between the Corporate
the Fair, training in communications,
and the Student community and the
front office management etc., would be
idea would be to bring a number of
planned by the Chamber under the Skill
students to take part in the Fair, since
Development Programme. The Secretary
many students are unable to take
General requested the Committee to
up jobs due to many factors and this
support the Fair.
Forthcoming Programmes 25th August
9th September
Preview on UNEP’s Responsible Production Framework:
MCCI & TCS – Seminar on IT for SMEs –
Sheraton Park Hotel – 3 to 6.30 p.m. Mr Jayakumar, Speaker, Tamilnadu Assembly will address.
............................................................................................................................
10th September
MCCI for invitations)
Seminar on Cost Audit & Rules under the Companies Act 1956 – 10 a.m. Hotel Deccan Plaza
............................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................
10th & 11th September
12th September
Job Fair – MCCI & Jaya TV –
Talk by Robert F Bruner,
Atrium, Spencer’s Plaza
Dean, Darden School of Business, University of Virginia –
............................................................................................................................
on Global Trends and the Changing Economic Outlook.
4th September
(Time and venue to be finalized)
Felicitation to Mr Harsh C. Mariwala,
............................................................................................................................
(By invitation – please contact Mrs J Edwards,
President, FICCI – 4 p.m. Taj Coromandel Hotel .............................................................................................................................
5th September
6
Hotel Raintree, Anna Salai – 6 p.m . followed by Dinner
15th September
Presentation on “Indo-German Trade in the Machinery Sector – Challenges & Opportunities” –
Interaction meeting with the representatives of Greater Geneva Berne Area (GGBa),
by Mr Ulrich Ackermann, Managing Director of Foreign
Western Switzerland - 4.45 p.m. MCCI Conference Room
Trade Division, German Engineering Federation (VDMA)
............................................................................................................................
10.30 a.m. t0 11.30 a.m. MCCI Conference Room
SPOTLIGHT
The 12th Five year Plan – Draft
Process of formulating the 12th Plan: The Planning Commission has commenced a very wide
sovereign debt related problems
common pool resources.
in Europe/US, and readjustment
Twelfth Plan Objectives:
of extraordinary monetary/fiscal easing.
The basic objective is to have faster, more inclusive, and
challenges for the 12th Plan. Over
Key messages from consultations:
900 CSOs across the country
Strong demand from all sectors
of 9.0 to 9.5 percent. Energy,
have participated, as well as
of society is the need of the
Water and Environment present
many Industry Associations and
hour to improve Implementation,
major sectoral challenges. It is a
‘think tanks’. A series of regional
Accountability and Service Delivery.
challenge to address them without
consultations with States have been
Citizens Groups broadly support
sacrificing growth. We need to find
planned and the dialogue with other
the stated objectives of existing
resources to create a world class
stakeholders continues.
Government programmes. However,
infrastructure.
Eleventh Plan Experience:
the design and institutional
For growth to be more inclusive we need:
consultative process on the
The GDP growth is likely to average 8.2% over 11th Plan - short of the 9% target but remarkable, given the
arrangements are weak. Greater devolution and empowerment is needed.
global crisis and drought. In the 10th
Government programmes need
Plan, GDP growth averaged 7.7 %.
a new architecture: greater
The Commission has seen progress
localisation, break-down of silos,
on inclusiveness: Agricultural growth,
feedback from citizens and
Poverty Reduction, Education,
mechanisms for learning and
Health, Upliftment of SCs/STs,
sharing of best practices. A major
Minorities etc. However, progress on
contribution to economic growth
inclusiveness is less than expected.
now comes from the private
Inflation has accelerated in the last
sector. A policy environment that
two years. The current international
supports this dynamism is therefore
environment is very uncertain as
important. There is a need to create
there is global pressure on food,
environment for nurturing enterprise,
oil and other commodity prices.
improving markets, supporting
Financial conditions and exchange
innovation, providing access to
rates are likely to be volatile due to
finance and inculcating respect for
sustainable growth. The 12th plan aims to achieve a growth rate
l
Better per formance in agriculture
l
Faster creation of jobs, especially in manufacturing
l
Stronger efforts at health, education and skill development
l
Greater effectiveness of programmes directly aimed at the poor
l
Special programmes for socially vulnerable groups
l
Special plans for disadvantaged/ backward regions
7
SPOTLIGHT
Agriculture and Rural Development: We need to target at least 4% growth for agriculture. Cereals are
irrigation reform and efficiency of
critical areas. Improve business
resource use. Setting up of Water
regulatory framework: ‘cost of doing
Regulatory Authority must be a
business’, transparency, incentives
precondition.
for R&D, innovation etc. Land and
There is a strong
case for higher priority to watershed
infrastructure constraints are a major
management. Separation of
problem. States should develop
electricity feeders for agriculture can
‘special industrial zones’ with good
improve quality of power availability.
connectivity and infrastructure.
Proportion of water recycled by
‘Clusters’ need to be supported to
urban India and industry to be
enhance productivity of MSMEs and
raised to protect water levels and
there should be better consultation
improve sur face and groundwater
and co-ordination in industrial policy
quality.
making.
outputs and inputs. Also, better rural
Rational water use may need for:
Some sectors should be given
infrastructure, including storage and
l
on target for 1.5 to 2% growth. We need to concentrate more on other foods and on animal husbandry and fisheries, where feasible. Land and water are the critical constraints. Technology must focus on land productivity and water use efficiency. Farmers need better functioning markets for both
food processing. States must act to modify APMC Act/Rules (exclude horticulture), modernize land records and enable properly recorded land
New Groundwater Law reflecting Public Trust Doctrine
special attention because they contribute to most of our objectives eg:
l
New Water Framework Law (as in the EU)
l
Create large employment in the following:
lease markets. RKVY has helped
For this there is a need to evolve
convergence and innovation and
political consensus and the
gives State governments flexibility.
constitution of a National Water
4leather and footwear;
This must be expanded in the
Commission to monitor compliance
4gems and jewelry;
Twelfth Plan. MGNREGS need
with conditionalities imposed in the
to be redesigned to increase
investment clearance of important
contribution to land productivity
projects.
and rain-fed agriculture. Similarly,
Industry:
FRA has potential to improve forest economies and tribal societies. But convergence with NRLM is required for enduring rural livelihoods.
4textiles and garments,
4food processing industries l
Deepen technological capabilities: Machine tools; IT hardware and electronics
Manufacturing per formance is weak. There is a need to grow at
l
Provide strategic security: telecom equipment;
11-12% per year to create 2 million
aerospace; shipping;
additional jobs per year. Indian
Water:
industry must develop greater
Revisit India’s water balance
domestic value addition and more
estimates basin-wise. Must map
technological depth to cater to
infrastructure growth:
all aquifers over next five years to
growing domestic demands and
Heavy electrical equipment;
facilitate aquifer management plans.
improve trade balance. FDI and
Heavy transport and
AIBP is not achieving its objectives.
trade policies should be tuned
earth-moving equipment
It must be restructured to incentivise
up to attract quality investment in
8
defence equipment l
l
Capital equipment for
Sectors with global
SPOTLIGHT
Health:
1. Power Sector Issues:
Better health is not only about
Government aims to set a target
curative care, but about better
of 100,000 MW capacity in 12th
MSMEs: innovation, employment
prevention and therefore clean
Plan (against likely achievement of
and enterprise generation
drinking water, sanitation and
50,000 MW in Eleventh Plan). Coal
Sectoral plans are being prepared
better nutrition, childcare, etc. and
availability will be a major constraint.
for each of the above with
convergence of schemes across
Long term health of power sector
involvement of Industry Associations
Ministries is needed. Expenditure
seriously undermined (losses Rs.
and the concerned Ministries.
on health by Centre and States
70,000 crore per year). AT&C losses
to increase from 1.3% of GDP
are coming down, but too slowly.
to at least 2.0%, and perhaps
State governments must push
competitive advantage: automotive; pharmaceuticals and medical equipment l
Education and Skill Development:
2.5% of GDP by end of 12th Plan.
distribution reforms. Hydro-power
The Government must aim at
There is a desperate shortage
development seriously hindered by
universalisation of secondary
of medical personnel. For this,
forest and environment clearance
education by 2017 and at raising
targeted approach to increase
procedures. Electricity tariffs not
the Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER)
seats in medical colleges, nursing
being revised to reflect rising
in Higher Education to 20 percent
colleges and other licensed health
costs. Regulators are being held
by 2017 and 25 percent by 2022.
professionals should be taken.
back from allowing justified tariff
It must also focus on quality of
Improve quality of NRHM services
increases. Open access is not being
education (11th Plan emphasis was
vs. quantity of NRHM infrastructure.
operationalised.
on quantity). Must invest in faculty
Structured involvement of PRIs/CSOs
development and teachers’ training.
can help. Role of PPP in secondary
2. Coal Production:
Must aim at significant reduction in
and tertiary healthcare must
social, gender and regional gaps in
be expanded. Health insurance
education. Targets to be set for this
cover should be expanded to all
purpose. Major curriculum reforms
disadvantaged groups. Focus on
in vocational/skill development to
women and children; ICDS needs to
ensure employability in response
be revamped.
to changing market needs are required. Development and
Energy:
On optimistic assumption about Coal India production, India needs to import 250 million tonnes in 201718. We must plan for corresponding expansion of rail and port capacity. Coal India must become a coal supplier and not just a mining company. It should plan to import
operationalisation of PPP models
Commercial energy demand will
coal to meet coal demands. This
in School and Higher Education
increase at 7% p.a. if GDP grows at
requires blending of imported
in accordance with the needs of
9%. This will require a major supply
and domestic coal as supplied by
a fast growing economy should
side response and also demand
Coal India. Environment and forest
be undertaken. Research and
management. Energy pricing is a
clearances of coal mining projects,
innovation in higher education must
major issue. Petroleum and Coal
including few private sector captive
be encouraged with cross-linkages
prices are significantly below world
projects will be critical.
between institutions and industry.
prices and world prices are unlikely
3. Petroleum and Natural Gas:
to soften.
There is a need for further
9
SPOTLIGHT
expansion of new NELP blocks.
Plan. There is a proposal for a High
are key factors for good urban
Stable and clearer production
Speed Rail link between Delhi-
development as well as financing
sharing contracts will incentivise
Mumbai and Delhi-Kolkata in the
urban infrastructure development.
exploration and encourage
Twelfth Five Year Plan. More PPP
Training and capacity building for
investment. Pipeline network for
in railways and State highways
urban planning and urban services
transportation of natural gas and
to complement Government
management for corporators and
LNG is limited and this needs quick
investment would help. Capital
municipal officials is required.
expansion.
intensive transport projects should
Reform of JNNRUM for the next
4. Other Energy Sources:
rely on private investment to
phase and convergence with RAY
release resources for other priorities.
for an integrated approach.
Complete the linkages between the
Source: Planning Commission, Govt. of India
Nuclear power programme must continue with necessary safety review. Solar Mission is seriously under funded. Need longer term energy solution for cooking in rural areas. Expand LPG network (with cash subsidy for the deserving, not subsidised prices). Also use of grid solar and bio-mass energy. Wind power development, including off shore wind power, needs to be encouraged.
5. Demand Side Management: Expansion in supply will need to be supported by demand side management. l
Rational energy pricing will help
l
Energy standards for high energy
consuming industry, electrical appliances, energy efficient buildings
ports and the existing road and rail network. Need to deepen existing ports. Increase bulk/container capacity. Ensure sufficient provision for maintenance of the already-built roads. Invest in unified tolling and better safety on highways. Improve bus services/public transport in smaller cities, towns and districts. Metros in urban areas through PPPs wherever feasible.
Managing Urbanisation: India’s urban population is expected to increase from 400 million 2011 to about 600 million or more by 2030. The critical challenges therefore are basic urban services especially for the poor: water, sewerage, sanitation, solid waste management, affordable housing and public
Mr K V Shetty MCCI deeply mourns the sudden demise of Mr K V Shetty, Director, IP Rings Ltd. on 18th August 2011. He was the President of the Chamber during the year 2002-2003 and led the Chamber so ably.
transport. The investment required
The Chamber, on behalf of
in urban infrastructure is estimated
all its members, conveys its
at `60 lakh crores over the next
heartfelt condolences to the
20 years. We need to develop
bereaved family
It is proposed that the Railways’
and propagate innovative ways
and to all at IP Rings Ltd.
Western and Eastern Dedicated
of municipal financing, through
Freight Corridors (DFC) will be
Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs).
completed by the end of the Twelfth
Land management strategies
or enhanced use of electric/ hybrid vehicles.
Transport Infrastructure:
10
May his soul rest in peace.
SPOTLIGHT
INCLUSIVE GROWTH By M.A. Oommen, Emeritus Professor Institute of Social Sciences, Thiruvananthapuram
Montek Singh Ahluwalia’s paper on
Coequal Objectives?
then is why underscore inclusive
“Prospects and Policy Challenges
Presenting growth and inclusiveness
growth as a development goal and
in the Twelfth Plan” (EPW, 21
as coequal objectives, the author
proceed to articulate the “vision
May 2011) is very interesting and
notes: “The Eleventh Plan aimed at
and strategy” of inclusive growth in
certainly illuminating. I think that
delivering faster and more inclusive
the very first chapter of the Eleventh
among the various issues the
growth and it is logical to assess
Plan and earlier in the Approach
paper has raised for “spurring a
per formance against this dual
to the Eleventh Five-Year Plan:
broader discussion”, the concept
objective” (p 88) and even goes
“Towards faster and more inclusive
of “inclusive growth” is an ideal
on to say, “it is difficult to assess
growth”. Of course, one can quarrel
candidate for debate because of
inclusiveness than per formance on
with the content of the vision and
the “policy challenges” it raises. The
growth” (p 89). The three reasons
strategy, but it is incorrect to treat
term not only appears prominently
which the author mentions may be
the two as disparate entities as
in recent years in the documents
summarised thus: (a) inclusiveness
policy variables. Ahluwalia speaks
of the Planning Commission, and
is a multidimensional concept,
of the “systemic reforms” since 1991
in budget speeches and Economic
(b) the data on inclusiveness are
based on a wider play of market
Surveys, but it is constantly used in
available only after a lag, and
forces, gradual liberalisation of the
the speeches of the leading public
(c) the impact of inclusiveness is
financial sector and the opening up
persons of the country. Even so, the
not immediately visible. These
of the economy to world trade and
concept of inclusive growth is left
arguments do not seem to be
capital flows. But the moot question
delightfully vague. In terms of policy
tenable. For one thing, concepts like
is whether “the cumulative effect of
content, it is certainly not a focal
growth and development are also
the systemic reforms” has promoted
variable. Clarity about the concept
multidimensional. Moreover, several
inclusive growth. A more pertinent
and its contents leaves many things
components of growth (which in the
question is what “systemic reforms”
to be desired. This paper, by one
aggregate appear as the sum-total
the policymakers have initiated
of the leading architects of India’s
of value added) have long-term
to strategise a well-designed
recent five-year plans, is important
implications and some of the related
vision of inclusive growth. Treating
for the light it throws on the concept
data are available after a lag.
inclusiveness and growth separately
and some of the policy implications that follow. In this brief note, I try to make some observations that I hope will help to stimulate further discussions on the subject.
The critical issue is the treatment of growth and inclusiveness as two separate boxes and then considering such an approach “logical”. The fundamental question
and then enumerating the variables to be included (27 is an impressive number) to monitor progress is pretty easy, but misses out the needed vision, strategy and surely “systemic reforms”.
11
SPOTLIGHT
Exclusionary Process
who tries to give the latest figures
sustained action. Charity can help
According to the author,
and evaluation reports about the
one to participate in the market.
“Inclusiveness must obviously
unfolding pathology of inadequate
But certainly that is not what one
include progress in delivery
access to proper education, health
bargains for in an inclusive growth
of essential services” such as
and so on seems to walk past the
regime.
education, health, clean drinking
excluded like the high priest before the wounded man in the Biblical
Strategy, Not Mitigating Factor
water and sanitation. These services, especially education
parable of the Good Samaritan.
and health, are basic to capability
“Accelerating agricultural growth”
building and freedom of any
is indeed important for inclusion,
democratic society. The growing
but the problem is whether it can
commericalisation of education
really be inclusive in the absence
and health certainly has excluded
of redistributive land reforms. Some
many poor and dispossessed them
benefits may trickle down to the
from the mainstream of growth.
wage earners but surely not into the
There is no dearth of evidence. Joe
hands of the landless who remain
et al (2008) utilising the National
excluded (unless they succeed in
Health Survey data undertake a
selling their labour). Growth is not an
state-level analysis of inequities
end in itself, but important only as
in child health employing widely
one of the means towards human
accepted concentration measures,
well-being and freedom.
and find that the poorer sections
By its own logic, market mediated
structure and pattern of growth and
of population are buffeted with
growth prices out or excludes those
rules out a distribution strategy. A
ill-health and malnutrition of their
without exchange entitlements,
growth process that works towards
children, thus jeopardising the future
the latter including not only assets,
effective equality of opportunity
of the already vulnerable sections of
but also income, employment,
must define the boundaries of
society. Using data from a nationally
social security entitlements, initial
the market, the composition of
representative high sample of 41,554
endowments, credit worthiness and
the commodity flow, the structure
households conducted in 2005,
so on. Apart from market exclusion,
of initial endowments, the social
Sonalde Desai and Amaresh Dubey
there are several institutional failures
arrangements for enhancing the
(2011), examine the relationship
and market failures. There are
capabilities of individuals and the
between social background and
also several social exclusions like
freedoms needed to achieve the
different dimensions of well-being
caste, gender discrimination and
capabilities and so on.1
and find the continued persistence
so on. While some of these can
of alarming caste disparities in
be addressed through affirmative
education, income and social
action, economic exclusion can
networks.
be taken care of effectively only
The author of the paper on the
through relevant policy choices on
policy challenges in the Twelfth Plan
redistributive strategy and then with
12
Inclusiveness is not a mitigating act, but a strategy of participation in the social production (growth) process and settlement of claims on the product on a fair basis. For the Asian Development Bank which has been advocating inclusive growth in the region, “growth is inclusive when it allows all members of a society to participate in and contribute to the growth process on an equal basis regardless of their individual circumstances” (Ali and Zhuang 2007: 10). This definition is positive but does not indicate the
Equality is a universally acclaimed value and is generally affirmed as a basic human right. Amartya Sen famously asked the question “equality of what”? The answer to this question is important for
SPOTLIGHT
identifying the policy variables that
of living of the poor, are unlikely
have to be chosen for action.
to be acceptable (p 89, emphasis
2
Ahluwalia’s paper rightly asserts that inclusiveness must address the concerns about inequality and identifies some variables for focal action. Basically one has to review the rationale and interrogate the ethics of the existing social arrangements that exclude some and enrich others in order to propose a meaningful strategy of inclusive growth. Even without any such plea for radical structural transformation one can be more positive than the following remarks of the author on inequality.
added). This type of approach obviously is not inclusive, but willy-nilly keeps the poor excluded in perpetuity. It is a matter for debate whether you can build the road map to inclusive growth on such postulates. I have
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1/4 page Vertical
wedge between “Shining India” and “suffering India” will keep growing
Full page
unless strong “systemic reforms” are initiated for promoting a sustainable inclusive growth path similar to what has been done since 1991 to ensure the unfettered freedom of
It is sometimes argued that
capital. The indifferent way in which
inequality should not matter as long
inclusive growth is handled in India
as the poor are getting better off
is probably because “they could get
and it is probably true that a rapid
away with it” as when Sen (1973,
rate of improvement in incomes
1998) points out how the Athenian
for the poor may make them
intellectuals of direct democracy
willing to accept some increase in
fame left out the slaves and women
inequality. However, large increases
from the orbit of their discourse and
in inequality accompanying only
discussion.
modest improvements in the levels
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13
SPOTLIGHT
AN APPROACH TO THE XII FIVE YEAR PLAN By M R Venkatesh Chairman, Expert Committee on Economic Affairs, MCCI
our per formance or potential? The Planning Commission has How can we cope with listed 10 areas given below on demographic changes cross cutting themes, each of already underway? which is relevant for different sectors. These ten areas 6. Science and Technology - What include: kinds of science and technology 1. Citizens’ expectations - What
are available and appropriate?
are the citizens’ expectations
How can we get more
in individual sectors? How can
useful S&T?
we set targets to reflect these
7. Information - Do we all have
Governance The first draft to the XI Plan, prepared and issued by the Planning Commission in 2006, had this to state on Governance: “All our efforts to achieve rapid and inclusive development will come to naught, if we cannot ensure good governance both in the manner public programmes are implemented
expectations?
appropriate information
and, equally important, in the way
2. Governance and Institutions -
to take informed decisions?
the government interacts with the
How does government or public
How can we improve the
ordinary citizen. Corruption is now
institutions affect us in different
availability and usefulness of
seen to be endemic in all spheres
sectors? How can we make
information?
and this problem needs to be
them work better?
8. Land Climate and
addressed urgently.” Crucially the
Environment - How does
quality of governance (or the lack of
per forming their role in these
land use and environmental
it) is seen as India Achilles heel in
sectors satisfactorily? How
considerations affect us?
her march to prosperity.
can we improve the functioning
How do we build strategies
In short, given the quality of
of markets?
to take them into account?
governance it is inappropriate in
3. Markets - Are markets
4. Global Developments - How
9. Innovation and Enterprise -
the current Indian context to raise
will global developments affect
Are we creating enough
outlays significantly and hope
us in individual sectors?
innovations and
for the best. After all, anything
How can we use global
enterprise for inclusive and
multiplied by zero is zero. Since there
developments to our
sustainable growth? If not, how
is a complete disconnect between
advantage?
can we do so?
service providers and consumers,
5. Demography and Skills - How
10. Financing the Plan - What are the
does the age / sex /
financial requirements, both
geographical / skill distribution
public and private of achieving
of our population affect
our targets? Can we meet them?
14
poor governance has become the norm in India. For long, we have assumed that poor governance can be tackled through “Better design of projects and implementation
SPOTLIGHT
mechanisms and the Right to
Report (2010) India’s HDI rank is
Information Act.” But these are
119. Countries with lesser natural
passive attempts when the rot is
endowments, human capital and
deep and massive.
those repeatedly ravaged by
The malaise of poor governance needs radical and innovative solutions, especially in three crucial sectors – Primary education, health and public transport. It is the failure of India in delivering in these crucial sectors that has been attracting comments from critiques, both in India and abroad. Naturally we need to tackle this upfront before we proceed any further. Various government agencies have repeatedly brought about the charge that these sectors were under-funded as a percentage to our GDP. This is only partially true. Even a substantial increase in the spending of any one of these
several natural calamities are placed far higher than India in the Global Human Development Index (HDI). For long , we in India had discussions on the economic model and revelled in mere sloganeering. The time to act is now. Consequently, MCCI suggests that as an overarching objective of the XII plan, the Planning Commission must have that India significantly improves her rankings in the global HDI. Unless we benchmark ourselves to the global HDI and measure our per formance, we would be stuck in the quagmire of poverty, illiteracy and disease.
significant increase in outcome /
area that is engaging our attention
outputs. The reason for the same is
is the disparity in various social
too obvious – the service providers
indices even within our country. For
are completely disconnected from
instance, on social indices, certain
the needs of the service seekers.
States seem to do far better than
And this disconnect lies at the
the other. This gap needs to be
root of all malice affecting our
bridged forthwith. It is suggested
governance.
that the best social index for every
Making Growth inclusive:
State to be drawn up and the
scourge of poverty, the fact is India continues to be a laggard in Human Development Index. According to the recent global Human Development
depravation can be conquered only when we achieve an ambitious farm growth of 10 or 12 per cent. In fact, the farm sector should be one of the growth drivers of Indian economy. Experiences in several pockets of the country demonstrate that farm sector can indeed grow in excess of 12 per cent p.a. consistently for well over an extended period of time. Gujarat is a case in point. It is believed that even to this day, over fifty percent of our population is dependent on the farm sector. However, the overall growth rate recoded by the farm sector for the past decade or so has not been impressive. Naturally, the majority of our population seems to have been
Notwithstanding the above, one
of the Government in tackling the
Further, the scourge of poverty and
an ambitious target of ensuring
sectors may not help to see any
While we appreciate the efforts
opinion make growth more inclusive.
worst per forming State to be given special attention by the Planning Commission in the next five years, so that the laggard State catches up with the best per forming State within 2017. This obviously calls for micro-management and in our
left out on the India growth story. That can be remedied if and only if we plan and achieve a double-digit growth.
Extract from Times of India under “Madras Diaries” “It was in 1836 that the Madras Chamber of Commerce mooted the idea of setting up a harbour to enable the embarkation and disembarkation of goods and passenger ships. In 1861, an iron screw-pile pier was erected along the coast, and the harbour was thrown open to traffic almost immediately.” Read more ….... Times of India Chennai Presentation .. Saturday, 20th August 2011
15
POLICY WATCH
sectors are now at various stages of
exporters will only have to register with
implementation at Dahej in Gujarat,
the Directorate General of Foreign Trade
Visakhapatnam-Kakinada in Andhra
(DGFT) to send shipments. They will be
First in line will be the launch of energy sector policy:
Pradesh, Haldia in West Bengal,
free to export any quantity they want.
Paradeep in Orissa and Cuddalore and
The government had placed a cap on
Nagapattinam in Tamil Nadu. These
cotton exports at 55 lakh bales (170
investment zones, each of which is
kg each) in October last year to check
Tamilnadu is all set to become a new
not less than 250 square kilometers,
spiraling prices and ensure availability
growth model in India with the launch
are expected to attract a collective
of the raw material for the domestic
of sector-specific industry policies
investment of Rs 8,63,664 crore and
textiles industry.
within the next two to three months
create more than 40 lakh jobs during
said Principal Industries Secretary, Mr N
the 12th Five-Year Plan.
Sector-specific industry policies soon
Sundradevan recently. Tamilnadu has immense potential and it was currently considering a number of new initiatives such as the sector specific industry policy to improve the investment climate and attract more foreign direct investment.
Commerce Ministry to revisit SEZ Rules book:
Indo-Japan pact comes into effect: The CEPA between India and Japan, that seeks to augment bilateral trade
The Commerce Ministry is mulling over
of $25 billion by 2014, has come into
a “relook” at the area ceiling for multi-
effect. The CEPA will see about 94%
purpose Special Economic Zones (SEZs),
reductions in goods ranging from cars to
presently at 5,000 hectares, since land
shrimps and easier movement of nurses
He further said the drafts were ready
is emerging as ‘a binding constraint’
and chefs. On a trade value basis
and the first in line would be the launch
for huge industrial projects in the wake
while Japan has agreed to 97% tariff
of energy sector policy. This would be
of widespread protests by farmers for
reduction in trade in goods, India has
followed by the release of industrial
land acquisition across the country.
consented for 90% duty abolition.
policy that would include automobile,
The Commerce Secretary, Dr Rahul
manufacturing and infrastructure
Khullar, said the time has come where
sectors. Pharmaceutical policy would
issues pertaining to land, labour and
take longer.
infrastructure in the context of the SEZ
NREGA back on table for removing flaws:
need to be looked at again as the rules
New Rural Development Minister Jairam
were framed seven years ago.
Ramesh is working to overhaul the
Five States to get priority in Centre’s infra spending: New infrastructure projects in Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Orissa are set to get a major push in the five years starting 2012 as various government agencies will be prioritizing building of roads, rail networks, airports and sea ports in these States that are setting up mega petroleum and petrochemical investment regions. Five massive regions meant to attract investments in the petrochemical and allied
16
United Progressive Alliance’s six-year old
Government lifts restrictions on cotton export:
flagship rural jobs programme to rid it
The Government has lifted export
Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA),
restrictions on cotton and allowed it to
which costs the government Rs. 40,000
be shipped under open general licence
crore a year – the largest spend on any
(OGL) for the rest of the cotton season
social welfare scheme – played a key
responding to a fall in prices of the
role in catapulting the UPA government
commodity and its adequate availability
back to power in the general elections
in the country. In the remaining two
of 2009. The scheme, however, has
months of the cotton season — that
floundered on the ground because of
runs from October to September —
red tape and corruption. Starting with
of all ‘man-made’ flaws and make the job entitlement more demand driven. The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural
a complete administrative revamp, the
POLICY WATCH
government plans to link MGNREGA to a
“Once that is done, it has to go to
four days to two weeks, depending
cluster of mini watersheds, or aquifers,
the Cabinet. We will also discuss with
upon individual issues. Under the new
in a cluster of panchayats, or village
the chief ministers, because they are
procedure, the promoters need to
councils. The government also aims to
the implementing agency... then it
get the application and other relevant
make the scheme truly demand driven
has to go to Parliament,” Thomas,
documents certified by a practising
by moving to a system of receipts, which
said.”What I propose is to introduce the
professional and the applications will be
will clearly mention the date work was
Bill by this December so that it can be
processed electronically.
demanded.
implemented from next year,” he said.
SEBI changes code to ease takeovers by India Inc: SEBI has proposed new takeover rules that will ease acquisitions by Indian companies and scrap the non-compete fee. But it will dilute the spirit of a committee that mandated total buyout of minority holders by acquirers as in the developed markets. The minimum holding requirement to trigger an offer to minority holders has been raised to 25% of the company from 15%. Once that level is reached, the acquirer must offer to buy 26%, up from 20% now. New norms make it mandatory for the board of the target company to suggest its opinion to shareholders, and the rise in minimum limit may benefit private equity investors who can own more of a listed company without having to invest a substantial sum.
Textile Ministry provides Rs 1,972 cr as subsidy under tech upgrade fund: The Textile Ministry has made provisions for Rs 1,972 crore towards subsidy amount under the Restructured Technology Up-gradation Fund Scheme (TUFS) up to March 31, 2012.The Union Minister of State for Textiles, Ms Panabaka Lakshmi, said there will be an overall subsidy cap of Rs 1,972 crore, which can be leveraged to make a total investment of Rs 46,900 crore in the different sectors.
Starting business in India to take less than a day: India will soon join an elite group of countries where starting a business will
Food Bill likely to be tabled in Parliament in December: Thomas: The proposed National Food Security Bill for providing subsidized food grains to the poor is likely to be introduced in Parliament by December 2011. The Empowered Group of Ministers (EGoM) has approved the draft Bill, which is now before the Law Ministry.
take less than a day. The Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA) has simplified the procedures for incorporation to enable promoters to get their companies incorporated within 24 hours. The new procedure to issue online certificate of incorporation will be implemented from August 11. Earlier, officials at the Registrar of Companies used to go through the available list of names and approve all documents manually. Incorporation took anywhere between
New Land Acquisition Bill to be introduced soon: To take on the discontentment against land acquisition process, Rural Development Minister Jairam Ramesh has cleared a draft Bill for public comments. The Land Acquisition and Rehabilitation Bill which is on the Ministry’s website proposes a compensation of more than six times the circle rate of land, acquired for industrial and real estate projects. This is in line with the recommendations of the National Advisory Council but given the time constraint is unlikely to be cleared by Parliament in the next monsoon session.
Manufacturing policy clears Labour Ministry hurdle: The proposed manufacturing policy of the government has crossed a major hurdle with the issues concerning the Labour Ministry getting sorted out. Labour and Employment Secretary P C Chaturvedi said that the Ministry had detailed discussions on the matter with the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) and all the issues had been resolved. Under the agreed plan, existing labour laws would be applicable in the manufacturing zones
17
POLICY WATCH
and there would be administrative arrangements for quick relief to workers in case a unit is closed.
MNCs with liaison offices may be taxed: Multinationals which have liaison offices in India may have to start paying taxes soon. The government feels that many of these companies generate income in the country but have not opened branches, to avoid paying taxes. The Income Tax department has already sought details of operations of many MNCs with liaison offices in India. Lloyds
tightening move to increase repo and
DEPB sops for textiles restored: The government has restored the Duty Entitlement Pass Book (DEPB) benefits for cotton and cotton yarn following a sharp fall in domestic and international prices of the commodities. Commerce and Industry Minister Anand Sharma who has recently been given additional charge of the Textiles Ministry said, “The government has restored the DEPB
of Canada and CKD of Japan are some of the leading MNCs which operate liaison offices in the country. Foreign
(bps) each. According to exper ts, the current rate hike may achieve what the earlier 10 rate hikes could not. Most realty developers may be now forced to cut proper ty prices and move the inventor y out to infuse liquidity into their business, said market exper ts. The move has come in as a shock and will hit both developers and home buyers given the higher cost of funding, said most realty developers.
benefits for cotton yarn from April 1, 2011 and on Cotton from October 1, 2010.”
of UK, Bender of Germany, BBLO of Spain, Doosan of South Korea, Magna
reverse repo rates by 50 basis points
India, Lithuania ink double taxation avoidance pact:
entities are allowed to open liaison
Duty drawback on cotton yarn export to return: The Finance Ministr y has decided to reinstate the duty drawback facility for cotton yarn expor ts keeping in
offices in India after approval from the
India has signed a double taxation
view the current situation of huge
Reserve Bank of India. They are not
avoidance pact with Lithuania. This
inventories with spinning mills and the
subjected to any tax on the condition
agreement provides for ef fective
contraction in demand for the item in
that no business activity is carried out.
exchange of information between
the world markets. The government
On the other hand, profits from branches
tax authorities of the two countries,
had withdrawn the duty drawback
of foreign companies are taxed at the
including exchange of banking
on expor ts of cotton yarn through
rate of 42%.
information. Lithuania is the first Baltic
a notification on April 29, 2010 for
countr y with which India has signed a
discouraging overseas shipments in
double tax avoidance pact.
the backdrop of high domestic prices.
Steel Ministry to announce new policy by year end:
It also put a ceiling on cotton yarn expor ts in Januar y this year, which
steel policy by this year end. The policy
Builders will be Forced to Cut Prices by 20%:
will address issues related to raw
Proper ty prices are expected to
material security, land acquisitions, steel
come down by around 20% as realty
demand and infrastructure and will
developers may not be able to hold
replace the extant national steel policy
on to the current prices following
that was announced in 2005.
the Reser ve Bank of India’s liquidity
The Government will announce a new
remained in force till March. According to a finance ministr y of ficial, “The duty drawback facility for cotton yarn expor ts would be reinstated shor tly”. “The finance ministr y has given a confirmation to the textile ministr y that the duty drawback facility would be reinstated shor tly. This would come as a relief to the expor ters,” said a textile ministr y of ficial.
18
POLICY WATCH
Nilekani’s 3 steps for direct food subsidy transfer:
market in exchange for a more liberal
by its flexibility to suit different types
visa and employment regime for our
of businesses. It will also reconcile the
professionals is totally unacceptable,”
Direct Taxes Code — which would replace
said Mr. R.S. Sodhi, Managing Director,
the Income Tax Act once Parliament
Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing
approves it — with the IFRS. The finance
Federation (Amul).
ministry move would mean that IFRS and
As the government works out the
the new standards for taxation would
modalities for implementing direct transfer of subsidies on cooking gas, fer tilizers and kerosene, a task force headed by Nandan Nilekani has proposed a three-stage model for direct transfer of food subsidy. The rollout of direct transfer of food subsidy will be contingent on a modern and computerized public distribution system (PDS), for which Nilekani has suggested a centralized network. ‘Aadhaar’ numbers, currently being rolled out across the countr y, will form an integral par t of the transfer, just as in the case of fuel and fer tilizers. The draf t repor t on direct transfer of fuel and fer tilizer subsidy was submitted earlier this month, following which the government asked Nilekani to also prepare a
co-exist and companies could achieve
Telecom may move to unified licence regime: The government could move to a ‘unified licence’ regime under a planned radical overhaul of telecom rules, potentially dismantling walls between different types of communication services but at the same time risks triggering fresh turmoil in the scandalravaged sector. A senior department of telecom official said the new telecom policy being readied by the government may allow operators to offer all “forms of communication services under a single permit”. Telecom firms now need separate licences for each type of service.
compliance with both with relative ease.
Environment regulator to be set up soon: Recognizing the need for a change in the way environmental clearances are granted, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has said the country would soon have a National Environment Appraisal and Monitoring Authority. “We hope to establish an independent regulator — the National Environment Appraisal and Monitoring Authority — soon. This authority could lead to a complete change in the process of granting environmental clearances,”
blueprint for the direct transfer of food
Singh said at the valedictory session
subsidy.
of the international seminar on ‘Global
Dairy majors want milk items kept out of trade pact with New Zealand: The domestic dair y industr y has opposed inclusion of milk products within the ambit of the proposed India-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement (FTA). “We want Chapter 4 (of the Customs Tarif f dealing with dair y produce) to be kept out of the FTA. Any plan to grant New Zealand preferential access to the Indian dair y
New accounting regime for taxation from Finance Ministry soon:
environment and disaster management: Law and society’.
TRADE FAIRS & EXHIBITIONS Times Resource India Expo 2011
A key hurdle to implementing International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in India is set to be removed. The Finance Ministry, which flatly refused to endorse IFRS for taxation purposes, has now started work on
This is an event on solid waste management, wastewater treatment and pollution control to be held from 20th to 22nd October 2011 at Bombay Exhibition Centre, Mumbai.
developing a new set of indigenous
For more details log on to
accounting standards, which would
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be capable of accurately estimating
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19
ADDITIONS TO LIBRARY Directories: Assocham – “The Luxury” Competition Law in India – An overview Future Jobs – The Employment Challenges A Step towards measuring social responsibility and sustainability Qualified Institutional Placement – The flavour of Indian corporate world
Others: Chambers Asia Pacific – Asia Pacific’s Leading Lawyers for Business -2011 A client’s guide - Chambers and Partners National Voluntary Guidelines on Social, Environmental & Economic Responsibilities of Business -Ministry -Ministry of Corporate Affairs, Govt. of India
Cooperation Agreement The Madras Chamber of Commerce & Industry has signed a Cooperation Agreement with The Chamber of Commerce and Industry France-India, France. Under this agreement, both the Chambers will work together to: l
provide a framework within which the CCIFI and MCCI will work collaboratively together
l
establish a basis to further develop the relationship and achieve greater collaboration
l
define common objectives for joint participation and engagement
l
share relevant information, market and economic study to the extent possible
l
share agenda/logos to promote events on the parties website
l
provide each other with visual material to realize the above missions and
l
assist each other in networking with other relevant organizations
A warm welcome to our following new members EDAC Engineering Ltd. Nokia India Pvt Ltd. Spearheaders Management Consultants Pvt Ltd. Treeline Business Solutions Pvt Ltd.
21
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ECONOMIC REVIEW
ECONOMIC REVIEW ECONOMY India’s core industries output growth up 5.2 percent in June Fiscal deficit surges four-fold in April-June, 2011 Food inflation moderation trend continued for yet another week India- UK Reaffirms their Commitment to Strengthen their Economic and Financial Relations
POLICY First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2011-12: RBI
REPORTS Rising prices hurt Asia’s growth - ADB 2010 Global FDI Inflows up 5%; India slips to 14th spot: UNCTAD
ECONOMY India’s core industries output growth up 5.2 percent in June
and increasing interest rates, the
Commerce & Industry on July 29,
production of eight core industries
production of steel, electricity, crude
has more or less been able to
oil and petroleum refinery products,
maintain its pace of growth. Also,
saw positive growth in the month
The Index of Eight core industries
the high global commodity prices
of June, 2011. On the other hand, the
having a combined weight of 37.90
have acted as a barrier to the
remaining sectors such as natural
per cent in the Index of Industrial
industry‟s faster expansion.
gas, coal, fertilizers and cement saw
Production (IIP) with base 2004-05 registered a growth of 5.2 per cent in June 2011 as compared to 4.4 per cent in the same period last year. However, the growth of eight key infrastructure industries is less than the 5.3 per cent growth achieved in May. Also, for the first quarter of current financial year, the Index of eight core industries grew by only 5.0 per cent as compared to 6.8 per cent during the corresponding period of previous fiscal year. Despite the unfavorable environment of growth, such as high inflation rate
The government has added two more sectors - natural gas and fertilisers to the existing six industry segments. With the inclusion of these two sectors, the core industries now cover the sectors such as crude oil, petroleum refinery products, natural gas, fertilisers, coal, electricity, cement and steel. Also, its weightage now account for 37.9 percent in the overall index of industrial production, as compared to 26.7 percent earlier.
a negative growth. Steel production registered a growth of 12.5% in June 2011 compared to 4.3% in June 2010. In addition to Steel, the remaining three sectors also reported better growth during the month. Electricity generation registered a growth of 8.2% in June 2011 compared to a growth of 3.8% in June 2010. The growth in Crude oil production expanded by 7.7% in June 2011 compared 6.8% percent expansion in the corresponding period of 2010. Also, the Petroleum
According to provisional data
refinery production showed an
released by the Ministry of
23
ECONOMIC REVIEW
improved output growth of 4.7% as
11) for Coal production, 1.1% (-2.6%)
disinvestment programme for this
against the growth of 2.9%
for Fertilizer production, and (-) 0.9%
year is yet to take off fully. The higher
in June 2010.
(7.0%) for Cement Production.
non-tax revenue in first quarter
Among the sectors, which
Fiscal deficit surges four-fold in April-June, 2011
of last fiscal was on account of
experienced contraction in growth, Natural Gas production registered the worst growth of (-) 11.7% in June 2011 compared to 25.4% expansion in June 2010. Coal production growth also slowed down to (-) 3.3% during the month under review, compared to growth of 0.8% in June last year. Similarly, Fertilizer production contracted by (-) 2.4% in June 2011 compared to (-) 6.7% in year ago period. Cement production maintained its continuous
The central government’s fiscal deficit surged by over four-fold in the first three months of the current fiscal 2011-12 to Rs 1.62 lakh crore on account of lower non-tax receipts. The deficit was Rs 40,196 crore in April-June, 2010. The fiscal deficit, or the gap between overall
compared to 3.7% in June 2010.
quarter of this year is almost 40% of the Budget estimate of Rs 4.12 lakh crore for 2011-12.
current financial year (April-June 2011-12), Steel production grew by 7.8% compared to an increase of 8.6% during the same period of 2010-11. Similarly, during the period Electricity generation, Crude Oil production, and the Petroleum
deficit is on account of 89% decline down to Rs 12,221 crore in the first quarter of this fiscal compared to Rs 1.15 lakh crore in the year-ago period. Besides, there was a 6.3% decline in tax revenues at Rs 78,699 crore during the period under
5.3% (5.3%) respectively. On the other hand, Natural Gas production registered a growth of (-) 10.2% during April-June 2011-12 compared to 37.0% during the same period of 2010-11. Similarly, the respective
stood at Rs 1.34 lakh crore, which is almost 13 times higher than the figure of Rs 10,577 crore in the first three months of 2010-11. The latest number is 48.3% of the Budget estimate of Rs 3.07 lakh crore. Though, the government has set a fiscal deficit target of 4.6% of the GDP for the current fiscal. Experts collection on account of removing duties on petroleum products, could pose a challenge and take the deficit to over 5%. In 2010-11, the fiscal deficit was 4.7%.
Food inflation moderation trend continued for yet another week India’s food inflation rate based
crore in the year-ago period.
on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
As per the latest data of the Controller General of Accounts (CGA), the total receipts were Rs 98,564 crore in April-June 2011, down by 51% year-on-year. The figure was Rs 2.02 lakh crore in the three month period in 2010.
eased to 7.33 per cent (%) for the week ended July 16, 2011 as compared to 18.56 per cent during the corresponding period of the previous year. Food inflation for the previous reported week was recorded at 7.56 per cent on a year-on-year basis. The decline was mainly on account of fall
rates of growth for the remaining
Also the non-tax receipts have
sectors were 0.2% (- 0.6% in 2010-
been lower as the government’s
24
expenses, in April-June this year
review. The figure was Rs 83,994
refinery production grew by 8.3% (5.7% in 2010-11), 9.5% (5.9%), and
between revenue earned and
had said that lower revenue The sharp rise in Centre’s fiscal in non-tax receipts which went
During the first three months of
the revenue deficit, the difference
expenditure and receipts in the first
contraction in growth during the current fiscal, this time by (-) 0.8% as
auction of 3G spectrum. Meanwhile,
in the prices of coarse cereals, fibres and minerals.
ECONOMIC REVIEW
POLICY
Among the major groups, the index
Indo-UK Economic and Financial
for „Primary Articles‟ rose by 0.2
Dialogue which was established in
percent as compared to the previous
2005 has contributed successfully
week levels. Annual rate of inflation
in strengthening the bilateral
for this group was 10.49 per cent,
relationship. He said that the
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has
down from last week’s level of
significance of this dialogue is in
released its first quarter review of
11.13 per cent. It was 19.23 per cent
laying the agenda and guidance for
monetary policy for 2011-12 on 26th
for the corresponding week of the
future engagement.
July 2011. In its monetary policy
preceding year.
While speaking at the Fourth
The index for ‘Food Articles’ sub-
Ministerial Level Indo-UK Economic
group moved up by 0.8 per cent,
and Financial Dialogue at London,
due to higher prices of fish-inland,
Shri Mukherjee said that both the
fruits & vegetables and fish-marine
countries have identified a number
(2% each). However, the prices of
of issues for joint collaboration. He
jowar (4%), ragi and poultry chicken
said that he is sure that both the
(2% each) declined.
countries will make further progress
The index for „Non-Food Articles‟ sub-group also declined by 0.3 per cent owing to higher prices of flowers (16%), groundnut seed (10%), gaur
in the coming months in deepening countries economic relations based on mutual appreciation of their respective concerns and aspirations.
seed (3%). However, the prices of
“This exchange of views will
raw cotton (6%), raw silk (3%), copra
go a long way in improving our
and raw rubber (2% each) declined.
understanding of each other‟s
On the other hand, index for another major category „fuel, power, light & lubricants‟ remained unchanged at its previous week’s level. The annual rate of inflation under this category for the week ended July, 16 stood
position on issues of mutual concern, he said.” Shri Mukherjee said that India and UK share a strategic partnership and enjoy traditionally warm and close bilateral relations in diverse areas.
First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2011-12: RBI
release, the RBI signalled that battling inflation took precedence over growth imperatives. The RBI remains confident that moderation of domestic growth is not yet broadbased, but the risks to growth from uncertainties abroad have increased instead of dissipating. Also the Inflation expectations are becoming entrenched due to persistently high food prices, while rising wages are another worry. “There are signs that growth is beginning to moderate, particularly in interest sensitive sectors. But there is no signs of a broad-based slowdown”, said RBI Governor D Subbarao, adding that a moderation in demand is necessary to bring down inflation and that the US debt standoff will add risks to the global capital flows. In this backdrop, the
at 12.12 percent as compared to
“Our two countries enjoy strong
RBI continued the tightening cycle
previous week level of 11.89 per cent.
historical and cultural relations built
and took a more decisive step
India- UK Reaffirms their Commitment to Strengthen their Economic and Financial Relations
on shared values and traditions.
with a 50 basis point hike, beating
Since the visit of His Excellency, UK
market expectations. Moreover, the
Prime Minister David Cameron to
central bank gave enough hints that
India in July 2010, we have seen our
the latest hike may not be the last.
The Union Finance Minister Shri Pranab Mukherjee said that the
bilateral relations being elevated to an „Enhanced Partnership for the Future‟- he added.”
On the basis of the policy stance RBI has raised the Repo Rate by
25
ECONOMIC REVIEW
50 basis points (bps) from 7.5 per
trends necessitate structural reforms
is dependent on implementing
cent to 8.0 per cent. This has raised
to enhance supply response (from
policies, with corresponding resource
operational policy rates by 475
the government).”
allocations, which will allow supply
basis points in a span of 15 months since mid-March 2010, one of the sharpest monetary tightening seen across the world. Infact, RBI has hiked the rates at all its previous 10 policy meetings. The Central Bank, however, kept the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and Bank
Further, the RBI pointed out that with overshooting of the fiscal deficit target a possibility, its expansionary
rate, determined with a spread of 100 basis points above the repo rate, gets calibrated at 9.0 per cent. Similarly, the Reverse Repo Rate, or short-term borrowing rate, hiked to 7.0 per cent from 6.5 per cent.
offset the moderation in demand resulting from anti-inflationary monetary actions and weaken monetary policy effectiveness. Responding to persistent high inflation and increasing generalisation of price pressures, the Reserve Bank has significantly raised its emphasis on containing inflation. The RBI noted that two things, the minimum support price for agricultural commodities and the
RBI‟s May 3 Policy Statement projection of baseline real GDP growth for 2011-12, based on the assumption of a normal monsoon and crude oil prices averaging USD 110 a barrel, left unchanged at around 8.0 per cent. The RBI’s both the documents, “Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments First Quarter Review 2011-12” and “First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2011-12 by the Governor D. Subbarao” were critical on the fiscal intervention of the government as well as its policy. Among other things it said “While the anti-inflationary bias of monetary policy (of RBI) anchors inflation expectations, the present
26
to keep pace with demand – he added.”
impact on demand could partly
Rate unchanged at 6.0 per cent. The Marginal Standing Facility (MSF)
of various products and services
increase in wages of rural labour would add further pressure to prices. The Central Bank feels that controlling inflation is imperative both for sustaining growth over the medium-term and for increasing the potential growth rate. The challenge for the government and the Reserve Bank, said Dr. Subbarao, was to ensure that demand was constrained in the short-term to bring inflation down, “but to encourage supply response so as to expand the potential output of the economy in the mediumterm”. “The economy’s ability to grow rapidly for any length of time without provoking inflation
REPORTS Rising prices hurt Asia’s growth - ADB World Surging inflation, a weak post-tsunami economic recovery in Japan and debt woes in the U.S. and Europe threaten East Asia’s economic outlook, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said on July 28, 2011. ADB maintained its growth forecasts for 14 emerging and newly industrializing East Asian economies in 2011 and 2012. But it said the region faces risks that also include more volatile financial markets and destabilizing inflows of short term capital, also known as “hot money.” The ADB’s growth forecasts were unchanged from a report in April, with East Asia forecast to expand nearly 8 percent this year and next. It forecasts China’s gross domestic product growth at 9.6 percent this year and 9.2 percent next year. But it indicated that economic growth forecasts for China, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam would likely to be cut. That would also result in a downgrade for the region,
ECONOMIC REVIEW
which includes 10 Southeast Asian
could drive 64 million more people
with a way to prevent a debt default
countries as well as the economies
into poverty. The bank warned that
in the world’s biggest economy.
of China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and
if price growth does not slow, it
That could depress the dollar
South Korea.
could make things more difficult for
against other currencies, hurting
the region’s economies. “Elevated
Asian governments that hold large
food and commodity prices and
amounts of U.S. government debt in
robust domestic demand could
their foreign reserves.
In the first half of 2011, economic growth across East Asia eased from a blistering pace as inflation surged across much of the region, driven by higher commodity prices and strong economic recovery. Annual growth in the region’s ten largest economies moderated to 8.1%, in the first quarter of 2011, down from 8.4% in the previous three months. “Rapidly
push inflation higher yet,” the bank said. Rising prices have seen many economies in the region raise interest rates in a bid to curb price growth. Tighter monetary policies have resulted in a slowdown in growth.
The bank said this “two-paced” global economy had resulted in investors flocking to the region’s economies looking for better returns, putting further pressure on inflation. “Continued shortterm capital inflows add to already
rising inflation risks a wage-price
However, the bank said the
ample liquidity and exacerbate price
spiral that could derail the region’s
economies will continue to take
pressures,” it said.
recent strong growth,” the report
measures to tackle inflation.
said, noting that inflation in many
“Authorities are expected to keep
economies has risen above 10-year
tightening monetary policy and
averages.
rolling back fiscal stimulus to counter
2010 Global FDI Inflows up 5%; India slips to 14th spot: UNCTAD
Consumer prices in the region have been rising due to higher food and
rising inflation and economic overheating,” the bank said.
Global FDI inflows grew 5 percent to USD 1.24 trillion in 2010, according to the United Nations Conference on
fuel costs. The report also detailed
The ADB’s economists also fretted
other sources of rising prices.
about the dismal prospects for
In many East Asian economies
the U.S. and Europe, which are
property prices are climbing quickly.
plagued by high unemployment
The devastating tsunami and
and debt problems. Both are major
nuclear disaster in Japan in March
customers for East Asia’s exports.
has also spurred a debate over the
“If the recovery in Japan, U.S. and
use of nuclear power, which could
eurozone falters, sluggish external
drive up energy prices by boosting
demand could once again disrupt
demand for other energy sources
the region’s exports,” the report
such as oil and gas.
said.
The threat of inflation has been a
The report also warned that the
major worry in Asia this year. The
region could be hurt if the U.S.
ADB warned in April that surging
government’s top-notch credit rating
food prices of 10 percent on
is downgraded amid fears that U.S.
average in many Asian economies
lawmakers may fail to come up
Trade and Development (UNCTAD) „World Investment Report 2011‟. This was nevertheless 15% below pre-crisis average levels, and 37% below the 2007 peak of USD 1.9 trillion. Also, the UNCTAD predicts in this repor t that the recover y of FDI flows will continue in 2011 and will reach a total of some USD 1.4 to USD 1.6 trillion, thus returning to the pre-crisis average. Thereaf ter, flows are forecast to rise to USD 1.7 trillion in 2012 and USD 1.9 trillion in
27
ECONOMIC REVIEW
2013, barring any unexpected
economies absorbed more than
global economic shocks.
half of global FDI inflows for
The US topped the tables for FDI inflows in 2010 at USD 228.2 billion, followed by China (USD 105.7 billion) and Hong Kong (USD 68.9 billion). Regionwise, EU and other developed European countries attracted the highest FDI inflows (USD 313.1 billion), followed by Nor th America and other developed countries (USD 288.8 billion). On the other hand, the US topped the tables for FDI outflows in 2010 at USD 329 billion, followed by Germany (USD 105 billion) and France (USD 85 billion). Regionwise, EU and other developed European countries contributed the highest FDI outflows (USD 475.8 billion), followed by Nor th America and other developed countries (USD 288.8 billion).
the first time. Half of the top 20 host economies for FDI in 2010 were developing and transition economies. Their outward FDI also rose sharply in 2010, climbing by 21 per cent. These economies now account for 29 per cent of global FDI outflows. Six developing and transition economies were among the top 20 investors.
financial industr y experienced one of the sharpest declines. The share of foreign investment channelled to manufacturing increased, meanwhile, and accounted for almost half of all FDI projects. In 2010, the rise of emerging economies as new powerhouses of FDI became more apparent. Developing countries and transition
28
developing countries, FDI flows continued to decline in some of the poorest regions of the world. Flows to the Africa and South Asia, as well as to least developed countries, landlocked developing countries and Small Island developing States fell in 2010. “FDI to South Asia declined to USD 32 billion, reflecting a 31 per cent slide in inflows to India and a 14 per
low rates of debt financing and
cent drop in flows to Pakistan. By
rising stock market valuations of
contrast, inflows to Bangladesh, a
transnational corporations (TNCs)
rising low-cost production location,
should encourage them to expand
increased by nearly 30 per cent to
overseas, the repor t says. On the
USD 913 million,” the repor t said.
recipients´ side, ongoing corporate and industrial restructuring, privatizations resulting from fiscal rebalancing ef for ts and unwinding of state suppor t programmes, and the growth of emerging economies oppor tunities.
ser vices continued its downward path in 2010. FDI flows to the
Despite the emergence of cer tain
The record level of cash holdings,
should create new investment In terms of sectoral patterns, FDI in
yet derail the FDI recover y.”
Meanwhile, at a time when developing and emerging countries are setting new records in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, India‟s position among the top 20 recipients fell to 14th position, from 8th in 2009. India attracted FDI wor th USD 25 billion in 2010, much
However, the repor t warned
lower than the inflows of USD 36
that “the post-crisis business
billion seen in 2009. In contrast, the
environment is still beset by
other emerging economies such as
uncer tainties. Risk factors such
China stood at 2nd position with
as the unpredictability of global
inflows totalling USD 106 billion in
economic governance, a possible
2010. Similarly, Brazil stood at 5th
widespread sovereign debt crisis,
position with inflows at USD 48
and fiscal and financial sector
billion during the year, the repor t
imbalances in some developed
said.
countries, as well as rising inflation and signs of overheating in major emerging market economies, may
Source: Assocham
Seminar on Securing US Green Card
-Gregory Wing addressing
-A view of the meeting. Satish Kholay at the mike.
Video Discussion on “Between You and Me”
Shripriya Srinivasan interacting with the participants.