jpm-q4-gtm

4Q | 2014 2013 As AsofofSeptember September30, 30,2013 2014

速

Guide to the Markets

1

Global Market Insights Strategy Team Americas

Europe

Asia

Dr. David P. Kelly, CFA New York

Stephanie H. Flanders London

Tai Hui Hong Kong

Andrew D. Goldberg New York

Maria Paola Toschi Milan

Geoff Lewis Hong Kong

Anastasia V. Amoroso, CFA Houston

Vincent Juvyns Luxembourg

Yoshinori Shigemi Tokyo

James C. C Liu, Liu CFA Chicago

Manuel Arroyo Ozores, Ozores CFA Madrid

Grace Tam Tam, CFA Hong Kong

Julio C. Callegari S達o Paulo

Tilmann Galler, CFA Frankfurt

Ian Hui Hong Kong

David M. Lebovitz New Yorkk

David Stubbs, PhD London d

Ben Luk Hong Kong

Gabriela D. Santos New York

Lucia Gutierrez Madrid

Ainsley E. Woolridge New York

Kerry Craig, CFA London

Hannah J. Anderson New York

Alexander W. Dryden London Nandini Ramakrishnan London

2

Past performance is no guarantee of comparable future results. For China and Australia distribution, please note this communication is for intended recipients only and is for wholesale clients only in Australia. For details, please refer to the full disclaimer at the end. Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of September 30, 2014 or most recently available.

Page Reference Equities 4.

5.

6.

7.

8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

13.

14.

15.

16.

S&P 500 Index at Inflection Points Returns and Valuations by Style Returns and Valuations by Sector Stock Valuation Measures: S&P 500 Index Corporate Profits and Leverage Sources of Earnings per Share Growth Sources of Total Return Equity Performance in Bull Markets Interest Rates and Equities p y g Corporate p Cash Deploying Annual Returns and Intra-year Declines Equity Correlations and Volatility Stock Market Since 1900

Economy 17.

18.

19.

20.

21.

22.

23.

24.

25 25.

26.

27.

28.

29.

30.

3

Fixed Income Sector Returns Interest Rates and Inflation Fixed Income Yields and Returns Sources of Bond Returns The Fed and Interest Rates

36.

37.

38.

39.

40.

41.

Owners of Treasury Securities Credit Conditions High Yield Bonds Municipal Finance Global Fixed Income Emerging Market Debt

International

Page 17

Economic Growth and the Composition of GDP Consumer Finances Cyclical Sectors Residential Real Estate Commercial Real Estate Long-term Drivers of Economic Growth Federal Finances Employment Labor Market Perspectives Employment and Income by Educational Attainment Consumer Price Index Trade and the U.S. Dollar Energy and the Economy Consumer Confidence and the Stock Market

Fixed Income 31.

32.

33.

34.

35.

Page 4

42.

43.

44.

45.

46.

47.

48.

49.

50.

51.

52.

53.

54.

55.

56.

57.

Global Equity Markets Global Economic Growth Manufacturing Momentum g Debt Stresses Sovereign Global Monetary Policy Europe: Cyclical Headwinds and Tailwinds Europe: Unemployment, Inflation and Credit Markets Europe: Revenues, Margins and Earnings Japan: Economic Snapshot International Equity Earnings and Valuations Exports, Demographics and Development Emerging Market Currencies Emerging Market Diversity China: Economic and Credit Growth Global Equity Valuations – Developed Markets Global Equity Valuations – Emerging Markets

Asset Class

Page g 31

58.

59.

60.

61.

62.

63.

64 64.

65.

66.

67.

Page 42

Asset Class Returns Correlations and Volatility Alternative Asset Class Returns Fund Flows Yield Alternatives: Domestic and Global Global Commodities Historical Returns by Holding Period Diversification and the Average Investor Cash Accounts Corporate DB Plans and Endowments

Page 58

S&P 500 Index at Inflection Points S&P 500 Index

Characteristic

Equities

2,000

Mar-2000

Oct-2007

Sep-2014

1,527 25.6x 1 1% 1.1% 6.2%

1,565 15.2x 1 8% 1.8% 4.7%

1,972 15.2x 1 1.9% 9% 2.5%

Index level P/E ratio (fwd.)

Dividend yield 10-yr. Treasury

1,800

1,600

Sep. 30, 2014 P/E (fwd.) = 15.2x

1,972

Mar. 24, 2000 P/E (fwd.) = 25.6x

Oct. 9, 2007 P/E (fwd.) = 15.2x

1,527

1,565

1,400

+106%

+101%

+192%

1,200

-57%

-49% 1,000

800

Dec 31 Dec. 31, 1996 P/E (fwd.) = 16.0x

Mar. 9, 2009 P/E (fwd.) = 10.3x

Oct. 9, 2002 P/E (fwd.) = 14.1x

741

677

777

600 '97

'98

'99

'00

'01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

Source: Standard & Poor’s, First Call, Compustat, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Dividend yield is calculated as the annualized dividend rate divided by price price, as provided by Compustat.

Compustat Forward Price to Earnings Ratio is a bottom-up calculation based on the most recent S&P 500 Index price, divided by consensus estimates for earnings in the next 12 months (NTM), and is provided by FactSet Market Aggregates.

Returns are cumulative and based on S&P 500 Index price movement only, and do not include the reinvestment of dividends. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

4

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Returns and Valuations by Style Year to Date

-8.6%

-1.7%

-7.4%

-0.7%

-6.1%

8 1% 8.1%

8.2%

-4.7%

Blend

8 3% 8.3%

6.9%

-4.4%

Value

Growth

7 9% 7.9%

5.7%

-4.0%

Larrge

Larg ge

1 5% 1.5%

Value

Mid

-2.6%

1 1% 1.1%

Growth

Mid

-0.2% 0 2%

Blend

Small

Larg ge Mid Small

Equities

Value

Current P/E vs. 20-year avg. P/E

Small

3Q 2014

14.8

Blend 15.2

14.0 16.5

18.1 17.1

18.1 14.2

16 1 16.1

21.0 20.0

16.5 17 8 17.8

14.4

Growth

21.9 19 6 19.6

17.3

21.5

Current P/E as % of 20-year avg. P/E

Mid M

58.8%

60.5%

60.2%

35.4%

43.6%

51.4%

Value

Blend

Growth

89.2%

86.1%

110 1% 110.1%

91 6% 91.6%

103.0%

91.5%

237.6% 228.0% 231.0%

Large

62.3%

Growth

106.0%

305.6% 287.3% 270.4%

Mid M

46.8%

Blend

116 2% 116.2%

234.8% 246.3% 257.4%

Small

Large

35.4%

Value Large

Growth

E.g.: Large Cap Blend stocks are 10.8% cheaper than their historical average.

Mid M

Blend

Since Market Low (March 2009)

Small

Value

Small

Since Market Peak (October 2007)

111.9%

Source: Russell Investment Group, Standard & Poor’s, Poor s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

All calculations are cumulative total return, including dividends reinvested for the stated period. Since Market Peak represents period 10/9/07 – 9/30/14, illustrating market returns since the S&P 500 Index high on 10/9/07. Since Market Low represents period 3/9/09 – 9/30/14, illustrating market returns since the S&P 500 Index low on 3/9/09. Returns are cumulative returns, not annualized. For all time periods, total return is based on Russell-style indexes with the exception of the large blend category, which is reflected by the S&P 500 Index. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. P/E ratios reflect latest available data and are as of August.

5

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

ex In d 50 0

10.3% 11.9% 10.2%

9.7% 5.7% 12.9%

11.7% 18.2% 6.2%

9.5% 10.3% 7.1%

2.4% 2.4% 2.3%

3.0% 0.1% 6.0%

3.5% 4.2% 3.3%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

YTD

7.4

14.1

16.6

2.9

3.2

0.9

7.2

7.5

13.9

8.9

8.3

3Q14

2.3

4.8

5.5

-1.1

-8.6

0.3

2.0

3.1

-4.0

0.2

1.1

-25.1

69.7

103.5

42.8

30.9

98.4

96.3

27.8

36.0

35.9

46.8

309.1

255.6

228.1

292.3

139.7

359.3

175.2

144.1

138.0

223.7

228.0

1.44

1.11

0.69

1.20

1.01

1.13

0.57

0.63

0.50

1.28

1.00

Since Market Peak (October 2007)

Since Market Low (March 2009)

Beta to S&P 500 Correl to Treas Treas. Yields

0 33 0.33

0 09 0.09

-0.08 0 08

0 29 0.29

0 23 0.23

0 18 0.18

-0.15 0 15

-0.35 0 35

-0.43 0 43

0 16 0.16

0 11 0.11

Forward P/E Ratio

13.0x

15.4x

16.5x

15.5x

13.2x

17.3x

17.7x

13.5x

15.7x

16.3x

15.6x

15-yr avg.

12.7x

21.0x

17.5x

17.1x

13.7x

18.7x

18.5x

17.2x

14.0x

16.0x

16.3x

Trailing P/E Ratio

16.5x

19.3x

24.3x

17.2x

14.6x

20.7x

20.2x

10.7x

18.9x

20.2x

18.4x

20-yr avg.

16.4x

26.1x

24.0x

20.3x

17.2x

19.2x

21.2x

19.9x

14.9x

19.5x

19.5x

Dividend Yield

1.7%

1.5%

1.6%

2.1%

2.3%

1.5%

2.7%

4.8%

3.7%

2.0%

2.0%

20-yr avg.

2.1%

0.7%

1.4%

1.7%

1.7%

0.9%

2.1%

4.2%

4.3%

2.1%

1.7%

Return (%)

13.9% 13.6% 13.5%

ρ β

19.7% 28.4% 9.4%

Weight

S& P

ia ls at er M

Ut il

iti

es

es Te le co m

Co n

s.

St ap l

Di sc r.

Co n

s.

y er g En

du st ri a ls In

ar e He al th

C

og ol Te ch n

16.3% 5.1% 29.2%

P/E

S&P Weight Russell Growth Weight Russell Value Weight

Div v

Equities

Fi

na nc ia ls

y

Returns and Valuations by Sector

Source: Standard & Poor’s, Russell Investment Group, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

All calculations are cumulative total return, not annualized, including dividends for the stated period. Since Market Peak represents period 10/9/07 – 9/30/14.

Since Market Low represents period 3/9/09 – 9/30/14. Correlation to Treasury Yields are trailing 2-year monthly correlations between S&P 500 sector price returns and 10-year Treasury yield movements. Forward P/E Ratio is a bottom-up calculation based on the most recent S&P 500 Index price, divided by consensus estimates for earnings in the next 12 months (NTM), and is provided by FactSet Market Aggregates. Trailing P/E ratios are bottom-up values defined as month-end price divided by the last 12 months of available reported earnings. Historical data can change as new information becomes available.

Note that P/E ratios for the S&P 500 may differ from estimates elsewhere in this book due to the use of a bottom-up bottom up calculation of constituent earnings (as described) rather than a top-down calculation. This methodology is used to allow proper comparison of sector level data to broad index level data. Dividend yields are bottom-up values defined as the annualized value of the most recent cash dividend as a percent of month-end price. Beta calculations are based on 10 years of monthly price returns for the S&P 500 and its sub-indices. Beta’s are calculated on a monthly frequency over the past 10-years. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

6

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Equities

Stock Valuation Measures: S&P 500 Index U.S. Equity: Valuation Measures Valuation Measure Description P/E Price to Earnings CAPE Shiller's P/E

Historical Averages 1-year 5-year ago avg.

Latest

10-year avg.

25-year avg.*

15.2x

14.2x

13.4x

13.8x

15.6x

26.3

25.0

22.1

22.9

25.2

Div. Yield

Dividend Yield

1.9%

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

2.1%

REY P/B

Real Earnings Yield Price to Book

3.8%

3.7%

4.2%

3.2%

2.2%

2.8

2.6

2.3

2.4

2.9

P/CF

Price to Cash Flow

10.8

10.6

9.2

9.7

11.3

EY Spread

EY Minus Baa Yield

1.8%

1.5%

2.1%

1.2%

-0.7%

S&P 500 Index: Forward P/E Ratio

S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. Baa Bond Yield

26x

14%

S&P 500 Earnings Yield (Inverse of fwd. P/E): 6.6%

24x 12%

22x 20x

10%

18x

Current: 15.2x

16x

Average: 15.6x

14x

8% 6%

12x 4%

10x 8x

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

2%

Moody’s Baa Yield: 4.8% '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Source: Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, Robert Shiller Data, FRB, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Price to Earnings is price divided by consensus analyst estimates of earnings per share for the next 12 months. Shiller’s P/E uses trailing 10-years of inflation adjusted earnings as reported by companies. Dividend Yield is calculated as the trailing 12month average dividend divided by price. Price/Earnings to Growth Ratio is calculated as NTM P/E divided by NTM earnings growth. Price to Book Ratio is the price divided by book value per share. Price to Cash Flow is price divided by NTM cash flow. EY Minus Baa Yield is the forward earnings yield (consensus analyst estimates of EPS over the next 12 months divided by price) minus the Moody’s Baa seasoned corporate bond yield. *P/CF is a 20-year avg. due to cash flow data availability.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

7

Data are as of 9/30/2014.

Corporate Profits and Leverage Profit Margins

S&P 500 Earnings Per Share

Operating basis, quarterly

Equities

2Q14*: $29.45 $27

2Q14*: 10.0%

12%

2Q07: $24.06

S&P 500 Operating p g EPS % of Sales per p Share

10% 8%

2Q14: 8.7%

6%

$23

4%

$19

After Tax Adj After-Tax, Adj. Corp.

Corp Profits Profits, % of GDP

2% 0% '60

'65

'70

'75

'80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

'10

$15

Total Leverage S&P 500, ratio of total debt to total equity, quarterly 240%

$11

220% 200%

$7

180%

Average: 169%

160% 140%

$3

3Q14: 101%

120% 100%

-$1

80%

'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

Source: BEA, Standard & Poor’s, Compustat, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

EPS levels are based on operating earnings per share. *Most recently available data is 1Q14 as 2Q14 are Standard & Poor’s preliminary estimates.

Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

8

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'10

'12

'14

Sources of Earnings per Share Growth S&P 500 Year-Over-Year EPS Growth

Growth broken into revenue, changes in profit margin & changes in share count

Equities

50%

Share of EPS Growth Margin Revenue Share count

40%

2Q14* 2Q14 5.6% 5.7% 0.4%

30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

30% -30%

-40%

-50% 2Q94

2Q96

2Q98

2Q00

2Q02

2Q04

2Q06

2Q08

2Q10

Source: Standard & Poor’s, Compustat, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

EPS levels are based on operating earnings per share. *Most recently available data is 1Q14 as 2Q14 are Standard & Poor’s preliminary estimates.

Past performance is not indicative of future returns. 4Q2008, 1Q2010 and 2Q2010 reflect -101%, 92% and 51% growth in operating earnings, and are adjusted on the chart.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

9

Data are as of 9/30/14.

2Q12

2Q14*

Sources of Total Return S&P 500 Year-Over-Year Total Return

Total return broken into multiples, earnings and dividends, quarterly

Equities

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

Share of Total Return Multiples Earnings Dividends

-30% 30%

-40%

3Q14 Q 7.7% 9.6% 2.4%

-50% 3Q94

3Q96

3Q98

3Q00

3Q02

Source: Standard & Poor’s, IBES, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Earnings contribution is the measured change in forward earnings per share estimates.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/3014.

10

3Q04

3Q06

3Q08

3Q10

3Q12

3Q14

Equities

Equity Performance in Bull Markets S&P 500 Performance and Average Valuation

S&P 500 Levels Near Market Highs

Price returns to peak after crossing average real earnings yield

% of days during bull markets the S&P 500 is at and near record highs

300%

90%

Returns to peak price after average valuation Returns before markets pass average valuation “Average valuation” is defined as the average real earnings yield of the S&P 500 from 1963 until today

83%

2002-2007 80%

240%

1991-2000

84% 78%

2009-Today

70% 0% 83%

*

60%

180%

50% 41%

40%

49%

36%

120%

33%

0%

30% 30% 4%

60%

20%

16%

13% 11%

15%

10%

29%

49%

73%

'66

'70

'74

121%

59%

180%

101%

192%

'02

'09

0%

0%

11

16%

'82 '87 '90 Start of Bull Market

New High Within 1% Within 5% Percent of days during a Bull Market spentt att record d highs, hi h or within ithi a 1% or 5% range off th the record d hi high h

Source: Standard & Poor’s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Valuations are based on real earnings yield for the S&P 500 which is defined as (trailing four quarters of reported earnings/price) - year over year core CPI inflation. Period after average valuation defined by 15-day moving average passing below average real earnings yield. *As depicted on the left hand chart, the return to peak price for the current bull market is 0% as the S&P 500 has yet to cross its long run average real earnings yield. The S&P 500 would need to appreciate over 17% to reach its long-term average real earnings yield of 2.4%.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data as of 9/30/2014

Interest Rates and Equities Correlations Between Weekly Stock Returns and Interest Rate Movements Weekly S&P 500 returns, 10-year Treasury yield, rolling 2-year correlation, May 1963 – Sep. 2014

Equities

0.8 When yields are below 5%, rising rates are generally associated with rising stock prices

0.6 Positive relationship between yield movements and stock returns

Correlation Coefficient

0.4

Graph Key Last 12 Months 1963  12 Months Ago

0.2

0

-0.2

Negative relationship between yield movements and stock returns

-0.4

-0.6

-0.8 0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

10-Year Treasury Yield Source: Standard & Poor’s, U.S. Treasury, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Returns are based on price index only and do not include dividends. Markers represent monthly 2-year correlations only.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

12

Data are as of 9/30/14.

12%

14%

16%

Deploying Corporate Cash Corporate Cash as a % of Current Assets

Corporate Growth

Equities

S&P 500 companies – cash and cash equivalents, quarterly

$bn, nonfarm nonfinancial capex, quarterly value of deals completed

32%

$1,700

30%

$1 600 $1,600

$1 400 $1,400

28%

$1,500

$1,200

$1,400

$1,000

$1,300

$800

$1,200

$600

18%

$1,100

$400

16%

$1,000

$200

26%

Capital Expenditures

M&A Activity

$1,600

24% 22% 20%

14% '00

'01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

Dividend Payout y Ratio S&P 500 companies, LTM

$900

$0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

Cash Returned to Shareholders

$bn, S&P 500 companies, rolling 4-quarter averages $160

60% $36

Dividends per Share

$140

$33

50%

$120 $30 $100

$27

40%

$80

$24

$18

20%

13

$60

$21

30%

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04

'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

Share Buybacks

$15

$40 $20

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

Source: Standard & Poor’s, FRB, Bloomberg, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Securities, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top left) Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) M&A activity is the quarterly value of officially agreed transactions and capital expenditures are for nonfarm nonfinancial corporate business. (Bottom left) Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

(Bottom right) Standard & Poor’s, Compustat, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Annual Returns and Intra-year Declines S&P 500 Intra-year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns Despite average intra-year drops of 14.2%, annual returns positive in 26 of 34 years* YTD 2014

Equities

40%

34 31

30%

27

26

26

20%

15

20

17

15

26

23

20 14

12

10%

4

2

1

30

27

26

7

7 4

3

% -2

-10%

-8

-7

-10

-8

-9

-8

-7

-6

-6

-5 -9

0 -3 -8 11 -11

-13 13

-20%

-17 -18 -17

13

13

9

-12 -19

-20

-10

-8 -13 13

-7

-8

-6

-6

-10

-10

-14

-16

-17

-19 -23

-30%

-28

-30 -34

-34

-40% 40%

-38 38

-50%

-49

-60% '80

'82

'84

'86

'88

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

Source: Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Returns are based on price index only and do not include dividends. Intra-year drops refers to the largest market drops from a peak to a trough during the year. For illustrative purposes only. *Returns shown are calendar year returns from 1980 to 2013 excluding 2014 which is year-to-date.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

14

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'10

'12

'14

Equity Correlations and Volatility Large Cap Stocks

Sovereign Debt Crisis

Correlations Among Stocks

Equities

70%

Great Depression / World War II

60% 50%

Lehman Bankruptcy

1987 Crash Cuban Missile Crisis

40%

OPEC Oil Crisis

Tech Bust & 9/11

30% 20%

Average: 26.9%

10%

Jul. 2014: 26.4%

0% '26

'32

'38

'44

'50

'56

'62

'68

Daily Volatility of DJIA DJIA vol. shown in 3-month moving average

2.5%

'80

'86

Volatility Measure ’08 Peak DJIA (Left) 3.30% VIX (Right) 80.9

3.5% 3.0%

'74

'92

Average 0.71% 20.0

'98

'04

'10

Latest 0.42% 16.3

90 75 60

2 0% 2.0% 45 1.5% 30

1.0%

15

0.5% 0.0%

0 '30

15

'35

'40

'45

'50

'55

'60

'65

'70

'75

'80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

Source: (Top) Empirical Research Partners LLC, Standard & Poor’s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Capitalization weighted correlation of top 750 stocks by market capitalization, daily returns, 1926 – Jul. 1, 2014. (Bottom) CBOE, Dow Jones, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. DJIA volatility are represented as three-month moving averages of the daily absolute percentage change in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Charts shown for illustrative purposes only. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'10

Stock Market Since 1900 S&P Composite Index

Equities

Log Scale

2000 – present 1,000

300 1966 – 1974 100 40 1937 – 1948 1900 – 1924

10

'00

'10

'20

'30

'40

'50

Source: Robert Shiller, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Data shown in log scale to best illustrate long-term index patterns.

Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Chart is for illustrative purposes only.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

16

'60

'70

'80

'90

'00

'10

Economic Growth and the Composition of GDP Real GDP

Components of GDP

Year-over-year % chg

2Q14 nominal GDP, trillions USD

10%

Real GDP

Econom my

8%

2Q14

YoY % chg:

2.6%

QoQ % chg:

4.6%

$18 $ $16 $14

6% Average: 3.0%

3.2% Housing 13.2% Investment Ex-housing

18.3% Gov’t Spending

$12

4% $10 2%

$8

0%

$6 Expansion Average: 2.2%

-2%

68.5% Consumption

$4 $2

-4% $0

- 3.2% Net Exports -6% '65

'70

'75

'80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

'10

-$2

Source: BEA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Values may not sum to 100% due to rounding rounding. Quarter over quarter percent changes are at an annualized rate rate. Average represents the annualized growth rate for the full period. Expansion average refers to the period starting in the second quarter of 2009.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

17

Consumer Finances Consumer Balance Sheet 2Q14, Trillions of dollars outstanding, not seasonally adjusted $100

Total Assets: $95.5tn

3Q-’07 Peak: $83.1tn 1Q-’09 Low: $69.7tn $

Homes: 24%

12%

Econom my

$80

$60 $50

Other Tangible: 6%

11%

Deposits: 10%

10%

4Q07: 13 2% 13.2%

1Q80: 10.6% 2Q14*: 9.9% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 14

Household Net Worth j Billions USD, not seasonallyy adjusted

Pension Funds: 21% Other Non-revolving: 1% Revolving (e.g.: credit cards): 6% Auto Loans: 7% Other Liabilities: 9% Student Debt: 9%

$40 $30 $20

14%

13%

$90

$70

Household Debt Service Ratio Debt payments as % of disposable personal income, seasonally adjusted

Other Financial Assets: 39%

2Q07: $67,927

$80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000

Total Liabilities: $13.8tn

$40,000 $30,000

$10

Mortgages: 68% $0

$20,000 $10,000 '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

Source: (Left) FRB, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data includes households and nonprofit organizations. (Right) BEA, FRB, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *2Q14 household debt service ratio and 3Q14 household net worth are J.P. Morgan Asset Management estimates. Values may not sum to 100% due to rounding.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

18

3Q14*: $82,112

$90,000

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Cyclical Sectors Light Vehicle Sales

Manufacturing and Trade Inventories

Millions, seasonally adjusted annual rate

Days of sales, seasonally adjusted

24

47

22

46 45

20

Sep. 2014: 16.4

18

43 42

16

Econom my

44

Jul. 2014: 39.2

41

Average: 15.3

14

40

12

39

10

38 37

8 '96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

Housing Starts

Real Capital Goods Orders

2,400

$75

2,000

$70

Th Thousands, d seasonally ll adjusted dj t d annuall rate t

'06

'08

'10

Aug. 2014: 63.0

$65 $60

Average: 1,350 1 350

$55

800

Average: 56.7

$50

Aug. 2014: 956

400

$45 $40

0 '96 96

'98 98

'00 00

'02 02

'04 04

'06 06

'08 08

'10 10

'12 12

'14 14

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

Source: (Top left) BEA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) Census Bureau, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom left) Census Bureau, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom right) Census Bureau, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Capital goods orders deflated using the producer price index for capital goods with a base year of 2004.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

19

'14

N d f Non-defense capital it l goods d orders d ex. aircraft, i ft $ bn, b seasonally ll adjusted dj t d

1,600 1 200 1,200

'12

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'14

Residential Real Estate Housing Affordability Index

Home Prices

Avg. mortgage payment as a % of household income

Indexed to 100, seasonally adjusted

40%

125

Case Shiller 20-city

35%

FHFA Purchase Only

120

Average Existing Home

Aug. 2014: 13.5%

25%

115

Econom my

30%

20%

Average: 20 20.4% 4%

110 15%

105

10% '75

'77

'80

'83

'86

'89

'92

'95

'98

'01

'04

'07

'10

'12

Home Inventories

100

Milli Millions, annuall rate, t seasonally ll adjusted dj t d 4.5

95

4.0

Aug. 2014: 2.4

90 3.5

85

30 3.0 2.5

80 2.0

75 '05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

1.5

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Sources: (Left) National Association of Realtors, Standard & Poor’s, FHFA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) Census Bureau, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Monthly mortgage payment assumes the prevailing 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates and average new home prices excluding a 20% down payment. (Bottom right) Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

20

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Commercial Real Estate Cap. Rates, REIT Div. Yields & Treasury Yields

Commercial Vacancy Rates by Sector

Percent at year end

10%

Cap. Rates

25%

Sector Office Retail Industrial Apartment

Econom my

20%

2013 16.7% 10.1% 9.5% 4.2%

Aug. 2014: 6.67%

8%

REIT Div. Yield

6%

Aug. 2014: 3.98%

4%

10-Year Treasury Yield 2%

15%

Aug. 2014: 2.35%

0% '01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Security Issuance

$ bn, quarterly 10%

120 100

U.S. Issuance Foreign Issuance

80

5%

60 40 20

0% '90 90

'92 92

'94 94

'96 96

'98 98

'00 00

'02 02

'04 04

'06 06

'08 08

'10 10

'12 12

0

'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source: Reis, Inc., PREA, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Cap rate is the rate of return on a real estate investment property based on the expected return that the property will generate. It is calculated by dividing annual income by the total value of the property. Cap rate is for U.S. core properties limited to deal transactions of $2.5 million or greater.

Vacancy rate data provided by Reis, Inc.

21

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'11

'12

'13

'14

'14

Long-term Drivers of Economic Growth Gross Investment and Depreciation

Growth in Employment and Real Output Per Worker*

Private nonresidential fixed investment, % of GDP 16%

Gross investment spending

Five year moving average of year-over-year % change Depreciation

5% Average growth A th 50 yr.

10 yr.

12% 4%

Econom my

8%

5 yr.

Employment

1.5%

0.5%

0.9%

Real Output Per Worker

1.5%

1.1%

1.3%

Sum

3.0%

1.6%

2.2%

% 4% 3% Real Output Per Worker

0% 1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Real Capital Stock Growth

2%

Nonresidential fixed assets, year-over-year % chg.

5%

2013 JPMAM Est: 1.4%

4% 3%

1% Employment Growth 0%

2% 1% 0% 1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

-1% 1964

1974

1984

1994

Source: BEA, BLS, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *Labor Force includes the population age 16+ working or looking for work, Real Output Per Worker is calculated as real GDP growth minus civilian employment growth. Averages are calculated as the annualized growth rate.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

22

Data are as of 9/30/14.

2004

2014

Federal Finances The 2014 Federal Budget

Federal Budget Surplus/Deficit % of GDP, 1990 – 2024, 2014 CBO Baseline

CBO Baseline forecast, trillions USD

-12%

$4.0

Forecast

-10%

Total Spending: $3.5tn $3.5

Econom my

$3.0

Other $395bn (11%) Net Int.: $231bn (7%)

$2.5

Non-defense Non defense Disc Disc.:: $527bn (15%)

$2.0

Defense: $606bn (17%)

$1.5

Social Security: $845bn (24%)

$1.0

$0.5

2014: -3.0%

-8%

Borrowing: $537bn (15%)

-6% -4% -2%

Other: $237bn (7%)

0% 2%

Social Insurance: $1,024bn (30%)

4% '90

'95

'00

'05

'10

'15

'20

Federal Net Debt (Accumulated Deficits) % of GDP, 1940 – 2024, 2014 CBO Baseline, end of fiscal yyear Corp.: $274bn (8%)

120% 100%

Income: $1,390bn ((40%)) Medicare & Medicaid: $908bn (26%)

2024: 77.2%

80% 60%

2014: 74.4%

40%

Forecast

$0.0 Total Government Spending

Sources of Financing

20% '40

'48

'56

'64

'72

'80

'88

'96

'04

S Source: U.S. US T Treasury, BEA, BEA CBO CBO, St. St Louis L i Fed, F d J.P. J P Morgan M A Assett Management.

M t 2014 Federal Budget is based on the CBO’s August 2014 Baseline Scenario. Other spending includes, but is not limited to, health insurance subsidies, income security, and federal civilian and military retirement.

Note: Years shown are fiscal years (Oct. 1 through Sep. 30). 2014 numbers are CBO estimates as of August 2014.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

23

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'12

'20

Employment Civilian Unemployment Rate

Employment – Total Private Payroll

Seasonally adjusted

Total job gain/loss (thousands)

12%

600

Econom my

11%

400

Oct. 2009: 10.0%

10%

8.8mm jobs lost

200 9% 0 8%

10.0 mm jobs gained

-200 7%

Aug. 2014: 6.1% -400 6% -600

50-yr. avg.: 6.1%

5%

-800

4%

3%

-1,000 , '70

'80

'90

Source: BLS, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

24

'00

'10

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

Labor Market Perspectives Labor Force Participation Rate

Employed Part-time for Economic Reasons

% of labor force employed part-time for economic reasons

% of population aged 16+ working or looking for work

7%

Aug. 2014: 4 7% 4.7%

6%

68% 67%

5%

66% 4%

65%

Econom my

3%

Aug. 2014: 62.8%

64%

2%

63%

1% 0% '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Net Job Creation Since Feb. 2010 – Millions of Jobs 3 mm 2.9

62% '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Average Hourly Earnings Growth

Year-over-year Year over year % chg. chg for production and nonsupervisory workers 5%

2.6 2 mm 1.9

4%

1.8

1 mm

Aug. 2014: 2.5%

3% 0.8

0 mm -0.6

1%

-1 mm Info. Fin & Mfg. Trade & Leisure, Educ. & Mining & Bus. Svcs.

Trans.

Hospt. & Health Svcs. Construct.

Other Svcs.

S Source: BLS, BLS F FactSet, tS t J.P. J P Morgan M Asset A t Management.

M t Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

25

2%

Gov't

0% '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Employment and Income by Educational Attainment Average Annual Earnings by Highest Degree Earned

Unemployment Rate by Education Level

Full-time workers aged 18 and older, 2012, USD

18%

$90,000

Less than High School Degree High School No College Some College College or Greater

16%

Econom my

14%

$84 852 $84,852

$80,000

+28K

$70,000

Aug. 2014: 9.1%

12%

10%

$56,665

$60,000

Aug. 2014: 6.2%

$50,000

+26K 8%

$40,000

$30,627

6%

Aug. 2014: 5.4%

4%

$20 000 $20,000

Aug. 2014: 3.2%

2%

$10,000

$0

0% '92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

Source: BLS, Census Bureau, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Unemployment rates shown are for civilians aged 25 and older.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

26

$30,000

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'12

'14

High School Graduate

Bachelor's Degree

Advanced Degree

Consumer Price Index CPI and Core CPI % change vs. prior year, seasonally adjusted

50-yr. Avg. Aug. 2014

15%

Headline CPI:

4.2%

1.7%

Core CPI:

4.1%

1.7%

Econom my

12%

9%

6%

3%

CPI Components

Weight in CPI

12-month change (sa)

Food & Bev.

14.9%

2.6%

Housing

41.4%

2.6%

Apparel

3.4%

0.1%

Transportation

16.4%

-0.4%

Medical Care

7.6%

2.1%

Recreation

5.8%

0.0%

Educ. & Comm.

7.1%

1.5%

Other

3 4% 3.4%

1 6% 1.6%

100.0%

1.7%

Energy

9.0%

0.3%

Food

13.9%

2.7%

Core CPI

77.1%

1.7%

Headline CPI Less:

0%

-3% '65

'70

'75

'80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

'10

Source: BLS, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

CPI used is CPI-U and values shown are % change vs. one year ago and reflect August 2014 CPI data. CPI component weights are as of December 2013.

Core CPI is defined as CPI excluding food and energy prices.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

27

Trade and the U.S. Dollar Current Account Balance, % of GDP

U.S. Dollar Index Monthly average of nominal trade-weighted exchange index: major currencies

-8%

115

4Q05: -6.2%

110 105

Econom my

-6%

100 95

-4%

2Q14: -2.3%

90

Mar 2009: Mar. 2009 84.0

85

-2%

Sept. 2014*: 79.8

80 75

0%

Mar. 2008: 70.4

70 65

'96 96

'98 98

'00 00

'02 02

'04 04

'06 06

'08 08

'10 10

'12 12

'14 14

'96 96

'98 98

'00 00

'02 02

'04 04

'06 06

'08 08

'10 10

'12 12

Source: BEA, Federal Reserve, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. *September average of the U.S. Dollar Index is a J.P. Morgan Asset Management estimate.

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

28

'14 14

Energy and the Economy Middle East Energy Production & Chokepoints Percent of global liquid fuel production, 2012* Kuwait % 3.4%

Syria 0.2%

Suez Canal 2.2%

Econom my

Trillions of cubic feet, USD 35

Gbl. Natural Gas Prices

30

Japan Germany U.S.

25

Iraq 3.9% Libya 1.8%

U.S. Natural Gas Production* EIA Forecast

$17.25 $ $10.38 $3.88

Shale Gas

20

Iran 3.9%

15

Other**

10

Egypt 0.8%

Saudi Arabia 12.9%

5

Strait of Hormuz 17 0% 17.0%

Sudan 0.1%

UAE 3.5%

0 1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

Consumption p of Imports p of Liquid q Fuels

Net imports of liquid fuels as a percent of total US consumption 70%

EIA Forecast

60% 50%

Bab el-Mandeb 3.4%

40% 30%

Major Producers

Major Consum ers

Percent of global total, 2012

Percent of global total, 2012

20%

United States 21% India 4% China 11% Russia 4% Japan 5% Saudi Arabia 3%

10%

Saudi Arabia 13% China United States 12% Canada Russia 12% Iran

29

5% 4% 4%

0%

'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '22 '24 Source: (Left) EIA, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) EIA, IMF, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom right) EIA, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Forecasts are from EIA Annual Energy Outlook and start in 2013. *Production numbers as of 2012, while chokepoints are 2011 data. **Other includes conventional on and offshore natural gas drilling , tight gas, and coalbed methane. Natural gas prices are $/mmbtu and are as of August 2014. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/2014.

Consumer Confidence and the Stock Market Consumer Sentiment Index – University of Michigan 130 Impact on Consumer Sentiment from a…

10% y-o-y rise i iin gasoline li prices i 10% y-o-y rise in home prices 10% y-o-y rise in the S&P 500 1% y-o-y rise in the unemployment rate

120

Econom my

110

Aug. 1972 100 Aug -6.2%

-0.8 0 8 pts t +1.9 +2.8 -5.2

Jan. 2000 -2.0% Jan. 2004 +4.4% Jan. 2007 -4.2%

Mar. 1984 Mar +13.5%

May 1977 +1.2%

Sep. 2014: 84.6

90

Average: 84.8

80

Mar. 2003 +32.8% Oct. 2005 +14.2%

70

Oct. 1990 +29.1%

60

Feb. 1975 +22.2%

50

May 1980 +19.2%

Nov. 2008 +22.3%

Sentiment Cycle Low and subsequent 12-month S&P 500 Index return

Aug. 2011 +15.4%

40 '72

'74

'76

'78

'80

'82

'84

'86

'88

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

Source: University of Michigan, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Peak is defined as the highest index value before a series of lower lows, while a trough is defined as the lowest index value before a series of higher highs. Subsequent 12-month S&P 500 returns are price returns only, which excludes dividends. Impact on consumer sentiment is based on a multivariate monthly regression between 1/31/2000 – 5/31/2014. Guide to the Markets – U.S.

30

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Fixed In ncome

Fixed Income Sector Returns 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

YTD

3Q14

EMD LCL.

EMD USD

EMD LCL.

EMD LCL.

Treas.

Gbl. HY

EMD LCL.

TIPS

Gbl. HY

Gbl. HY

EMD USD

Muni

EMD LCL.

EMD LCL.

23.0%

10.2%

15.2%

18.1%

13.7%

59.4%

15.7%

13.6%

19.6%

7.3%

8.0%

1.5%

148.3%

9.5%

Gbl. HY

EMD LCL.

Gbl. HY

TIPS

Gbl. Sov.

EMD USD

Gbl. HY

Muni

EMD USD

Gbl. Corp.

Muni

Treas.

Gbl. HY

Gbl. HY

13.2%

6.3%

13.7%

11.6%

9.4%

29.8%

14.8%

12.3%

17.4%

1.8%

7.2%

0.3%

143.6%

9.3%

Gbl. Sov.

Gbl. HY

EMD USD

Gbl. Sov.

MBS

Gbl. Corp.

EMD USD

Treas.

EMD LCL.

Asset Alloc.

MBS

MBS

EMD USD

EMD USD

12.1%

3.6%

9.9%

10.9%

8.3%

23.7%

12.2%

9.8%

16.8%

-1.3%

119.7%

8.2%

EMD USD

TIPS

Gbl. Corp.

Treas.

11 6% 11.6%

2 8% 2.8%

8 3% 8.3%

9 0% 9.0%

Gbl. Corp.

Treas.

Gbl. Sov.

10.0%

2.8%

7.3%

Barclays Agg 5 2% 5.2%

EMD LCL.

Asset Alloc.

22 0% 22.0%

7 5% 7.5%

Asset Alloc.

Muni

Asset Alloc.

7.2%

1.5%

16.2%

Barclays Agg 7.0%

Asset Alloc.

Asset Alloc. Asset Alloc.

75 4% 75.4%

5 8% 5.8%

EMD USD

Gbl. Corp.

Gbl. Corp.

3.8%

-0.6%

72.2%

5.6%

Gbl. Corp.

EMD USD

Asset Alloc.

7.0%

7.3%

8.3%

Barclays Agg -2.0%

Asset Alloc.

TIPS

Muni

TIPS

Asset Alloc.

TIPS

TIPS

6.9%

7.0%

-2.2%

3.7%

-1.2%

60.6%

4.8%

Barclays Agg 6.5%

2.7%

6.9%

A Asset t All Alloc.

MBS

MBS

MBS

TIPS

M i Muni

TIPS

MBS

M i Muni

T Treas.

T Treas.

TIPS

M i Muni

M i Muni

8.2%

2.6%

5.2%

6.9%

-2.4%

9.9%

6.3%

6.2%

5.7%

-2.7%

3.1%

-2.0%

57.5%

4.6%

Muni

EMD USD

EMD LCL.

Gbl. Sov.

Gbl. Sov.

Gbl. Sov.

Gbl. Corp.

Gbl. Corp.

MBS

MBS

4.7%

6.2%

-5.2%

6.1%

5.2%

-4.9%

2.9%

-2.3%

1 7% 1.7%

Barclays Agg 4 3% 4.3%

Muni

Gbl. Corp.

4.1%

11.4%

-1.4% 1 4%

8.5%

4.7%

-1.5%

MBS

12 5% 12.5%

0.2% Barclays Agg 0 2% 0.2%

Asset Alloc.

Barclays Agg 2.4%

TIPS

Gbl. Corp.

4.2% Barclays Agg 4 1% 4.1%

Muni

MBS

Asset Alloc.

Barclays Agg 7 8% 7.8%

TIPS

Barclays Agg 4 3% 4.3%

31

10-yrs. '04 - '13 Cum. Ann.

2004

Barclays Agg 5.9%

Barclays Agg 4.2%

57.0%

4.6% Barclays Agg 4 5% 4.5%

Gbl. Corp.

Gbl. Corp.

MBS

Treas.

Gbl. Corp.

MBS

EMD USD

Gbl. HY

Gbl. HY

6 1% 6.1%

-11.2% 11 2%

5 9% 5.9%

5 9% 5.9%

4 0% 4.0%

2 6% 2.6%

-5.3% 5 3%

2 6% 2.6%

-3.3% 3 3%

Barclays Agg 56 0% 56.0%

Treas.

Muni

EMD USD

Gbl. Sov.

MBS

Gbl. HY

Treas.

TIPS

Gbl. Sov.

Gbl. Sov.

Treas.

Treas.

-2.7%

3.1%

4.3%

-12.0%

4.3%

5.4%

3.1%

2.0%

-8.6%

0.3%

-5.3%

51.3%

4.2%

Treas.

Gbl. Sov.

TIPS

Gbl. HY

Gbl. HY

Treas.

Muni

EMD LCL.

Gbl. Sov.

EMD LCL.

EMD LCL.

EMD LCL.

Gbl. Sov.

Gbl. Sov.

3.5%

-8.8%

0.4%

3.2%

-26.9%

-3.6%

4.0%

-1.8%

1.8%

-9.0%

0.0%

-5.7%

50.2%

4.1%

Asset Alloc.

Source: Barclays Capital Capital, FactSet FactSet, JJ.P. P Morgan Asset Management Management. Past performance is not indicative of future returns returns. Fixed income sectors shown above are provided by Barclays Capital unless otherwise noted and are represented by Broad Market: Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Index; MBS: Fixed Rate MBS Index; Corporate: Gbl. Corporates; Municipals: Muni Bond 10-Year Index; Emerging Debt USD: J.P. Morgan EMBIG Diversified Index; Emerging Debt LCL: J.P. Morgan EM Global Index; Gbl. High Yield: Global Corporate High Yield Index; Treasuries: Barclays Capital; U.S. Treasury; TIPS: Barclays Capital TIPS; Gbl. Sovereigns: Global Treasury ex U.S.. The “Asset Allocation” portfolio assumes the following weights: 20% in MBS, 20% in Gbl. Corporate,15% in Municipals, 5% in Emerging Debt USD, 5% in Emerging Debt LCL, 10% in Gbl. High Yield, 15% in Treasuries, 5% in TIPS, 5% in Gbl. Sovereigns. Asset allocation portfolio assumes annual rebalancing.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Interest Rates and Inflation Nominal and Real 10-year Treasury Yields 20%

Sep. 30, S 30 1981 1981: 15.84% Average (1958 – 2014 YTD)

15%

Nominal Yields Real Yields Inflation

Fixed In ncome

10%

6.32% 2.51% 3 81% 3.81%

9/30/14 2.52% 0.79% 1 73% 1.73%

Nominal 10-year Treasury Yield

Sep. 30, 2014: 2.52% 5%

Real 10-year Treasury Yield 0%

Sep. 30, 2014: 0.79%

Falling Rate Corp. Bonds S&P 500 1982-2013 9.7% 11.6% Ann. Inflation 3.0% 3.0% Ann. Real Return 6.5% 8.4%

Rising Rate Corp. Bonds S&P 500 1958-1981 3.0% 8.6% Ann. Inflation 5.0% 5.0% Ann. Real Return -2.0% 3.5%

-5% 5% '60

32

'65

'70

'75

'80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

Source: Federal Reserve, BLS, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Real 10-year Treasury yields are calculated as the daily Treasury yield less year-over-year core CPI inflation for that month except for September 2014, where real yields are calculated by subtracting out August 2014 year-over-year core inflation. All returns above reflect annualized total returns, which include reinvestment of dividends. Corporate bond returns are based on a composite index of investment grade bond performance.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'10

Fixed Income Yields and Returns Yield

Price Impact of a 1% Rise/Fall in Interest Rates*

Return

# of issues

Correlation to 10-year

Avg. Maturity

9/30/2014

6/30/2014

3Q14

YTD

2Y 2-Year

93

0 64 0.64

2 years

0 58% 0.58%

0 47% 0.47%

0 04% 0.04%

0 49% 0.49%

5y UST

5-Year

96

0.91

5

1.78%

1.62%

-0.19%

1.73%

TIPS

10-Year

17

1.00

10

2.52%

2.53%

0.75%

6.93%

10y UST

30-Year

20

0.92

30

3.21%

3.34%

3.33%

17.56%

30y UST

TIPS

35

0.58

10

0.55%

0.27%

-2.04%

3.67%

US Treasuries

Fixed In ncome

Sector Broad Market

2y UST

-2.0% -4.7%

9.5% 22.7%

-17.4%

Floating Rate

-0.1%

7.7 years

2.36%

2.22%

0.17%

4.10%

Convertibles

-3.1%

427

0.81

7.2

2.88%

2.79%

0.18%

4.22%

ABS

-3.8%

Municipals

9,057

0.46

9.9

2.13%

2.25%

1.46%

7.24%

US HY

-4.1%

Corporates

5,111

0.46

10.5

3.10%

2.91%

-0.08%

5.60%

US Aggregate

-5.6%

High Yield

2,157

-0.24

6.5

6.13%

4.91%

-1.87%

3.49%

MBS

-5.7%

Floating Rate

49

-0.21

3.0

0.98%

1.01%

0.40%

1.53%

Munis

-5.9%

Convertibles

521

-0.30

--

1.16%

1.19%

-1.51%

7.56%

IG Corps

-6.7%

1,666

-0.04

4.2

2.18%

1.90%

-0.18%

2.15%

-30%

-1%

7.5%

-8.6%

0.85

ABS

5 0% 5.0%

-6.4%

8,908

MBS

+1%

1.0%

-10%

0.1% 3.5% 3.6% 4 0% 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 5.5% 7.7% 10%

30%

Source: U.S. Treasury, Barclays Capital, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Fixed income sectors shown above are provided by Barclays Capital and are represented by – Broad Market: Barclays U.S. Aggregate; MBS: U.S. Aggregate Securitized - MBS Index; Corporate: U.S. Corporates; Municipals: Muni Bond 10-year Index; High Yield: Corporate High Yield Index; TIPS: Treasury Inflation Protection Securities (TIPS). Floating Rate: Barclays FRN (BBB); Convertibles: Barclays U.S. Convertibles Composite; ABS: Barclays ABS + CMBS. Treasury securities data for # of issues based on U.S. Treasury benchmarks from Barclays Capital. Yield and return information based on bellwethers for Treasury securities. Sector yields reflect yield to worst, while Treasury yields are yield to maturity.

Correlations are based on 10-years of monthly returns for all sectors. Change in bond price is calculated using both duration and convexity according to the following formula: New Price = (Price + (Price * -Duration * Change in Interest Rates))+(0.5 * Price * Convexity * (Change in Interest Rates)^2). *Calculation assumes 2-year Treasury interest rate falls 0.58% to 0.00%,as interest rates can only fall to 0.00%. Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

33

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Sources of Bond Returns Treasury Base Rate Return Spread to Treasury Return Coupon Return

Total Return

2014 YTD “A”

2014 YTD “A + B + C”

2014 YTD “B”

5-yr.

0.5%

2014 YTD “C”

2014 YTD

1.2%

1.7%

5-yr.

2013 10-yr.

5.0%

2.0%

30-yr.

14.9%

2.6%

Fixed In ncome

10-yr. Muni

4.0%

U.S. HY

-2.8%

EM (USD)

1.8%

U.S. MBS

1.0%

0.4%

U.S. Agg.

1.3%

0.4%

-1.0%

3.5%

U.S. HY

4 2% 4.2%

6 6% 6.6%

EM (USD)

3.2%

5.6%

IG Corp.

20% -10% 10% 0% 10% 20% -20% -20% -10% 0% Source: Federal Reserve, Barclays, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

2.8%

2.4%

1.0%

1.6% 10%

20% -20%

-10% 10%

0%

10%

4.2%

U.S. MBS

4.1%

U.S. Agg.

1.5% 20% -10% 10% 0% 10% 20% -20%

All returns reflect year to date returns. Treasury base, spread, and coupon returns based on Barclays and J.P. Morgan Asset Management estimates. The sum of charts A and B equate to price return for each sector.

34

30-yr.

10-yr. Muni

5.1%

0.6%

10-yr.

7.2%

1.3%

IG Corp.

FRN (BBB)

17.6%

3.2%

2 9% 2.9%

-0.5%

6.9%

Indices used include Barclays US Treasury Bellwethers (10Y), Barclays US Aggregate, Barclays US Aggregate Credit – Corporate Investment Grade, Barclays US Aggregate Credit – Corporate High Yield, Barclays Muni 10-year Index, Barclays US MBS Index, Barclays Floating Rate Index, and Barclays Emerging Markets USD. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

FRN (BBB)

The Fed and Interest Rates Yield Curve Steepness

Fed’s Balance Sheet: Assets $ trillions

10-yr. U.S. Treasury minus effective Fed Funds rate

$4.5

Sep. 2014: 2.4%

4%

$4.0

Oth Other

$3.5

3%

U.S. Treasuries

$3.0

Agency MBS

$2.5

Average: 1.6%

2%

$2.0

1%

$1.5 $1.0

0%

Fixed In ncome

$0.5 $0.0

-1%

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

'10

Fed’s Balance Sheet: Liabilities

Federal Reserve Summary of Economic Projections

$4.5

Fed's September 2014 Forecasts* Percent

$ trillions t illi

Excess Reserves

$4.0 $3.5

Other Liabilities

$3.0

Required Reserves

2014

2015

2016

2017

Long Run

$2.5

Change in real GDP, Q4 to Q4

2.2

2.8

2.8

2.4

2.2

$2.0

Unemployment Rate, Q4

6.0

5.5

5.3

5.1

5.4

PCE Inflation, Q4 to Q4

1.6

1.8

1.9

2.0

2.0

Federal Funds Rate, end of year

0.25

1.38

2.88

3.75

3.75

$1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $0.0

'05 05

'06 06

'07 07

'08 08

'09 09

'10 10

'11 11

'12 12

'13 13

'14 14

Source: Federal Reserve, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Monetary base is defined as the total amount of a currency that is either circulated in the hands of the public or in the commercial bank deposits held in the central bank's reserves. Other liabilities of the Federal Reserve primarily consist of currency outstanding. *Forecasts of 17 FOMC participants, midpoints of central tendency except for federal funds rate which is a median estimate. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

35

Owners of Treasury Securities Treasuries Outstanding – 2Q14

Net Purchases of Treasuries – Year Ended 2Q14

Billions of dollars, end of period, not seasonally adjusted

Billions of dollars 1,600

Total Outstanding Treasury Securities: $12,544 Financial institutions 6%

Other 1%

1,400 1,200

Fixed In ncome

State and local gov'ts 7%

1,000

Households 7%

Foreign official 32%

800

Foreign private Foreign official Total net purchases: $690

600

Mutual funds 9%

Foreign private 15%

Other* Financial institutions Pensions

400 200

Federal Reserve 19%

Federal Reserve Balance Sheet by Treasury Maturity < 3 yrs:

15%

3-5 yrs:

29%

5-10 yrs:

31%

> 10 yrs:

25%

Federal Reserve

0

Mutual funds

-200

Households

-400

State and local gov’ts*

-600

S Source: Federal F d lR Reserve, JJ.P. P M Morgan A Assett M Management. t Treasuries outstanding include total issues of Treasury securities plus budget agency securities and federal mortgage borrowing. “Other” includes Nonfinancial corporate business, Nonfinancial noncorporate business, Issuers of asset-backed securities and Holding companies. Net Purchases is the average of the annual rates over the past four quarters. *Other had net inflows of $6.6 billion and State and local gov’ts had net outflows of $4.9 billion.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

36

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Credit Conditions Common Equity as a % of Total Assets

Delinquency Rates

All FDIC insured institutions, 1934 â&#x20AC;&#x201C; 2013

All banks, seasonally adjusted

14%

2013: 11.1%

12%

12%

Residential Mortgages Consumer Loans Commercial and Industrial Loans

10% 8%

10%

Average: 7.7%

8%

7.4%

6% 4%

Fixed In ncome

6%

2 3% 2.3%

2%

0.8%

0%

4% '34

'41

'48

'55

'62

'69

'76

'83

'90

'97

'04

'92

'11

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

Loan Growth

Lending Standards for Approved Mortgage Loans

YoY growth gro th in loans ooutstanding tstanding at commercial banks, banks seasonall seasonally adj adjusted sted

A Average FICO score based b d on origination i i ti date d t

30%

Aug. 2014: 743

760

Real Estate Loans

Sep. 2014: 12.1%

20%

'14

740

10% 720

0% -10%

Sep. 2014: 2.5%

Commercial and Industrial Loans

680

-20% -30%

37

700

660

'00 00

'01 01

'02 02

'03 03

'04 04

'05 05

'06 06

'07 07

'08 08

'09 09

'10 10

'11 11

'12 12

'13 13

'14 14

'00 00

'01 01

'02 02

'03 03

'04 04

'05 05

'06 06

'07 07

'08 08

'09 09

'10 10

'11 11

'12 12

'13 13

Source: (Top left) FDIC, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) Federal Reserve, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom left): Federal Reserve, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom Right) McDash, J.P. Morgan Securitized Product Research, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

All data reflect most recently available releases.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'14 14

High Yield Bonds High Yield Spreads and Defaults 20%

HY Spreads HY Defaults Rates

HY Spreads

Average 5.9% 4.0%

Latest 4.4% 1.9%

HY D Default f lt R Rates t

15%

10%

5%

Fixed In ncome

0% '88

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Historical High Yield Recovery Rates g yyield e d bo bonds, ds, ce cents ts oon tthee do dollar a High

Annual Flows into High Yield and Leveraged Loan Funds Mutual funds & ETFs,, billions USD

70¢

$80

60¢

YTD 2014: -$10.0bn

Leveraged Loans High Yield

$60

Average: 41.3¢ 50¢

$40

40¢ 30¢

$20

20¢ $0 10¢ -$20

0¢ '88

38

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

'03

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

Source: (Top chart): U.S. Treasury, J.P. Morgan, Strategic Insight, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Default rates are defined as the par value percentage of the total market trading at or below 50% of par value and include any Chapter 11 filing, prepackaged filing or missed interest payments. (Bottom left): J.P Morgan, Fitch, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom right): Strategic Insight, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Spreads indicated are benchmark yield to worst less comparable maturity Treasury yields.

2014 recovery rate is a weighted average number as of September 2014. Yield to worst is defined as the lowest potential yield that can be received on a bond without the issuer actually defaulting and reflects the possibility of the bond being called at an unfavorable time for the holder.

Flows include ETFs and are as of August 2014. Past performance is not indicative of comparable future results. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Municipal Finance 10-Year Muni Taxable Equivalent Yield Taxable equivalent Muni and Treasury yields

State & Local Government Debt Service % of current expenditures

12%

10%

2Q14: 8.1%

9%

Taxable Equivalent 10-Yr Muni Yield

8%

10%

7% 6% 5%

8%

4%

Fixed In ncome

3% '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Municipal Bond Issuance* Billions o s US USD,, revenue e e ue aandd GO issues ssues

6%

$500

10-Year Treasury Yield

4%

$400 $300

2%

$200 $100

Spread 0%

$0

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Source (Left chart): Barclays Capital, U.S. Treasury, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) BEA, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom right) SIFMA, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Taxable equivalent yields are calculated for the highest federal marginal tax bracket. 2014 tax rate includes the net investment income tax of 3.8%. *Excludes maturities of 13 months or less and private placements. Interest payments include interest accrued on defined benefit liabilities.

2014 issuance data is as of June 2014. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S.

39

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Global Fixed Income Yield Aggregates

Correl to Duration 9/30/2014 6/30/2014 10-year

Return 3Q14

YTD

Global Bond Market USD, trillions $100

U.S.

0.83

5.6 Yrs

2.36%

2.22%

0.17%

4.10%

$90

Gbl. ex. U.S.

0.38

6.9

1.46%

1.56%

-4.83%

0.40%

$80

Japan

0.53

8.1

0.52%

0.53%

-7.01% -2.11%

Germany

0.26

5.9

0.76%

0.94%

-5.31% -1.87%

EM: $14tn 12/31/89 U.S. 60.7% Dev. ex U.S. 38.2% EM 1.1%

3/31/14 37.6% 48.1% 14.2%

$70

Fixed In ncome

$60 U.K.

0.17

9.0

2.36%

2.54%

-2.03%

4.19%

Developed ex U.S.: $48tn

$50

Italy

0.08

6.4

1.67%

2.00%

-4.86%

2.69%

Spain

0.11

5.6

1.32%

1.68%

-4.71%

2.60%

Sector

$40 $30

EMD ($)

0.19

7.0

5.39%

5.10%

-0.59%

EMD (LCL)

0 07 0.07

48 4.8

6 74% 6.74%

6 42% 6.42%

-5.66% 5 66% -0.01% 0 01%

Euro Corp.

0.09

4.8

1.20%

1.48%

-6.04% -2.15%

Euro HY.

-0.40

3.9

4.58%

4.37%

-7.79% -2.85%

8.02%

$20

U S $3 U.S.: $37tn $10 $0 '90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Source: Barclays Capital, BIS, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Fixed income sectors shown above are provided by Barclays Capital and are represented by the global aggregate for each country except where noted. EMD sectors are represented by the J.P. Morgan EMBIG Diversified Index (USD) and the J.P. Morgan GBI EM Global Diversified Index (LCL). European Corporates are represented by the Barclays Euro Aggregate Corporate Index and the Barclays Pan-European High Yield index and returns are in USD. Sector yields reflect yield to worst. Duration is modified duration. Correlations are based on 7-years of monthly returns for the all sectors. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

40

Emerging Market Debt Index Breakdown â&#x20AC;&#x201C; USD Denominated EMD 100% 80%

Middle East & Africa 9%

Spread to Treasuries of USD-denominated debt, percent

12%

Index

10% Latin America 41%

60% 40%

Middle East & Africa 21%

Emerging Markets Debt Spreads

Latin America 28%

8%

Europe 13%

6%

Europe 30%

20%

EMBIG CEMBI

Average Spread Spread (9/30/14) 3.8% 3.3%

3.3% 3.3%

4% Asia 38% 2%

Asia 20%

Fixed In ncome

0% Sovereigns (EMBIG)

0% '01

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

Emerging Market Debt Credit Rating

Annual Flows into EMD Mutual Funds & ETFs

BBB-

$30

EMBIG average g monthlyy credit rating, g inverse scale

BB+ BB BBB+ B B-

41

Corporates (CEMBI)

'13

Billions USD Aug. 2014: BBB-

$25 $20 $15

YTD 2014: $1.4 bn

$10 $5 $0

-$5 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 Source: J.P. Morgan, Morgan Markets, FactSet, Strategic Insight, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Spreads measure the credit risk premium over comparable maturity U.S. Treasury bonds. The J.P. Morgan EMBI Global (EMBIG) Index is a USD-denominated external debt index tracking bonds issued by sovereigns and quasi-sovereigns in developing nations. The J.P. Morgan Corporate Emerging Bond Index Broad (CEMBI) is a USD-denominated external debt index tracking bonds issued by corporations in developing nations. Flow data is as of August 2014. Past performance is not indicative of comparable future results. Index breakdown may not equate to 100% due to rounding.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'12

'13

'14

Global Equity Markets 3Q14 Country / Region

Local

YTD 2014 USD

Local

Weights in MSCI All Country World Index % global market capitalization, float adjusted

USD Europe exU.K. 16%

Regions / Broad Indexes -

1.1

-

8.3

EAFE

1.0

-5.8

4.5

-1.0

Europe ex-U.K. ex U.K.

0.1

-7.4 7.4

7.2

-1.6 1.6

Pacific ex-Japan

-0.9

-5.9

2.7

1.2

Emerging Markets

0.7

-3.4

5.5

2.7

Internatio onal

MSCI: Selected Countries

42

United States 50%

U.K. 8%

Canada 4% %

U.S. (S&P 500)

Emerging Markets 11% Japan 7%

Global Equity Market Correlations

United Kingdom

-0.9

-6.0

1.0

-1.2

Rolling 1-year correlations, 30 countries

France

-0.6

-8.3

5.4

-3.4

0.80

Germany

-3.7

-11.2

-1.2

-9.4

0.70

Japan

5.9

-2.2

3.0

-1.4

China

1.7

1.5

1.2

1.0

0.40

India

5.1

2.3

24.5

24.7

0.30

Brazil

1.6

-8.6

5.1

1.2

Russia

-4.3

-15.1

-6.6

-19.5

0.90

0.60 0 50 0.50

0.20 0.10 0.00

'95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 Source: Standard & Poorâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s, MSCI, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

All return values are MSCI Gross Index (official) data. Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please see disclosure page for index definitions. Countries included in global correlations include Argentina, South Africa, Japan, UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Australia, Austria, Brazil, China, Colombia, Denmark, Finland, Hong Kong, India, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Peru, Philippines, Portugal, Korea, Spain, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, United States. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data as of 9/30/14.

Sep. 2014: 0.37

'11

'13

Global Economic Growth Emerging Market Country Real GDP Growth

Historical

Year-over-year % chg. – forecasts from JPMSI

10%

3Q13

4Q13

1Q14

JPMSI Forecast 2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% Emerging Markets

China

India

Korea

Mexico

Developed p Market Country y Real GDP Growth

South Africa

Hi t i l Historical

Year-over-year % chg. – forecasts from JPMSI 10%

3Q13

4Q13

1Q14

Russia

Brazil

JPMSI Forecast F t 2Q14

3Q14

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

International

8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% Developed Countries

UK U.K.

US U.S.

Canada

Germany

France

Japan

Source: J.P. Morgan Global Economic Research, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Forecast and aggregate data come from J.P. Morgan Global Economic Research. Historical growth data collected from FactSet Economics.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

43

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Italy

Manufacturing Momentum

International

Global

Sep'14

Aug'14

Jul'14

Jun'14

48.9 49.7 50.1 51.4 50.8 51.0 50.2 50.4 50.4 50.6 51.5 51.6 51.9 52.9 52.9 53.0 53.2 52.4 51.9 52.2 52.6 52.4 52.5 52.2

U.S.

51.0 52.8 54.0 55.8 54.3 54.6 52.1 52.3 51.9 53.7 53.1 52.8 51.8 54.7 55.0 53.7 57.1 55.5 55.4 56.4 57.3 55.8 57.9 57.5

Canada

51.4 50.4 50.4 50.5 51.7 49.3 50.1 53.2 52.4 52.0 52.1 54.2 55.6 55.3 53.5 51.7 52.9 53.3 52.9 52.2 53.5 54.3 54.8 53.5

U.K.

47.7 48.0 50.6 51.0 48.1 50.2 50.6 52.2 52.8 55.0 57.4 56.4 56.1 57.9 57.0 56.5 56.4 55.6 57.2 56.8 57.2 54.7 52.2 51.6

Euro Area

45.4 46.2 46.1 47.9 47.9 46.8 46.7 48.3 48.8 50.3 51.4 51.1 51.3 51.6 52.7 54.0 53.2 53.0 53.4 52.2 51.8 51.8 50.7 50.3

Germ any

46.0 46.8 46.0 49.8 50.3 49.0 48.1 49.4 48.6 50.7 51.8 51.1 51.7 52.7 54.3 56.5 54.8 53.7 54.1 52.3 52.0 52.4 51.4 49.9

France

43.7 44.5 44.6 42.9 43.9 44.0 44.4 46.4 48.4 49.7 49.7 49.8 49.1 48.4 47.0 49.3 49.7 52.1 51.2 49.6 48.2 47.8 46.9 48.8

Italy

45.5 45.1 46.7 47.8 45.8 44.5 45.5 47.3 49.1 50.4 51.3 50.8 50.7 51.4 53.3 53.1 52.3 52.4 54.0 53.2 52.6 51.9 49.8 50.7

Spain

43.5 45.3 44.6 46.1 46.8 44.2 44.7 48.1 50.0 49.8 51.1 50.7 50.9 48.6 50.8 52.2 52.5 52.8 52.7 52.9 54.6 53.9 52.8 52.6

Greece

41.0 41.8 41.4 41.7 43.0 42.1 45.0 45.3 45.4 47.0 48.7 47.5 47.3 49.2 49.6 51.2 51.3 49.7 51.1 51.0 49.4 48.7 50.1 48.4

Ireland

52.1 52.4 51.4 50.3 51.5 48.6 48.0 49.7 50.3 51.0 52.0 52.7 54.9 52.4 53.5 52.8 52.9 55.5 56.1 55.0 55.3 55.4 57.3 55.7

Australia

42.8 44.3 44.3 40.2 45.6 44.4 36.7 43.8 49.6 42.0 46.4 51.7 53.2 47.7 47.6 46.7 48.6 47.9 44.8 49.2 48.9 50.7 47.3 46.5

Japan

46.9 46.5 45.0 47.7 48.5 50.4 51.1 51.5 52.3 50.7 52.2 52.5 54.2 55.1 55.2 56.6 55.5 53.9 49.4 49.9 51.5 50.5 52.2 51.7

China

49.5 50.5 51.5 52.3 50.4 51.6 50.4 49.2 48.2 47.7 50.1 50.2 50.9 50.8 50.5 49.5 48.5 48.0 48.1 49.4 50.7 51.7 50.2 50.2

Indonesia

51.9 51.5 50.7 49.7 50.5 51.3 51.7 51.6 51.0 50.7 48.5 50.2 50.9 50.3 50.9 51.0 50.5 50.1 51.1 52.4 52.7 52.7 49.5 50.7

Korea

47.4 48.2 50.1 49.9 50.9 52.0 52.6 51.1 49.4 47.2 47.5 49.7 50.2 50.4 50.8 50.9 49.8 50.4 50.2 49.5 48.4 49.3 50.3 48.8

T i an Taiw

47 8 47.4 47.8 47 4 50.6 50 6 51.5 51 5 50.2 50 2 51.2 51 2 50.7 50 7 47.1 47 1 49.5 49 5 48.6 48 6 50.0 50 0 52.0 52 0 53.0 53 0 53.4 53 4 55.2 55 2 55.5 55 5 54.7 54 7 52.7 52 7 52.3 52 3 52.4 52 4 54.0 54 0 55.8 55 8 56.1 56 1 53.3 53 3

India

52.9 53.7 54.7 53.2 54.2 52.0 51.0 50.1 50.3 50.1 48.5 49.6 49.6 51.3 50.7 51.4 52.5 51.3 51.3 51.4 51.5 53.0 52.4 51.0

Brazil

50.2 52.2 51.1 53.2 52.5 51.8 50.8 50.4 50.4 48.5 49.4 49.9 50.2 49.7 50.5 50.8 50.4 50.6 49.3 48.8 48.7 49.1 50.2 49.3

Mexico

55.5 55.6 57.1 55.0 53.4 52.2 51.7 51.8 51.3 49.7 50.8 50.0 50.2 51.9 52.6 54.0 52.0 51.7 51.8 51.9 51.8 51.5 52.1 52.6

Russia

52.9 52.2 50.0 52.0 52.0 50.8 50.6 50.4 51.7 49.2 49.4 49.4 51.8 49.4 48.8 48.0 48.5 48.3 48.5 48.9 49.1 51.0 51.0 50.4

Source: Markit, Markit J.P. J P Morgan Asset Management Management.

Heatmap colors are based on PMI relative to the 50 level, which indicates acceleration or deceleration of the sector, for the time period shown.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

44

May'14

Apr'14

Mar'14

Feb'14

Jan'14

Dec'13

Nov'13

Oct'13

Sep'13

Aug'13

Jul'13

Jun'13

May'13

Apr'13

Mar'13

Feb'13

Jan'13

Dec'12

Nov'12

Oct'12

Global Purchasing Managersâ&#x20AC;&#x2122; Index for Manufacturing

Sovereign Debt Stresses GDP Growth, Gross Debt to GDP and Borrowing Costs 10%

Bubble size = 10-year g government bond yield y China

8%

10% Indonesia

Real GDP G Growth (2012 – 2014F)

International

6%

Malaysia

5%

India

4% Australia

Korea

2%

Singapore

Turkey Mexico

Russia

U.K. Brazil

Japan

Germany

U.S.

South Africa France

0%

EU

Italy

Spain

-2%

Portugal

-4% Greece

Emerging Markets Developed Markets

-6%

-8% 0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

G Gross Debt-to-GDP D b GDP R Ratios i (2013F) Source: IMF, FactSet, Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan Economics, Barclays, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Growth and debt data are based on the April 2014 World Economic Outlook.

Borrowing costs based on local currency debt. EU overall borrowing cost based on Barclays Capital Euro-Aggregate 7-10 year treasury. South Africa’s borrowing cost is based on 7-year government bond yield due to data availability. Guide to the Markets – U.S.

45

Data are as of 9/30/14.

180%

245% 200%

Global Monetary Policy Central Bank Assets – Percent of Nominal GDP

Nominal 5-Year Interest Rates 7%

60%

9/30/14

6% 5%

50%

5 5-yr G German Bund B d

2%

40%

5-yr U.S. Treasury 5-yr Japanese Gov Gov’tt

1% 0%

Bank of Japan 30%

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

Real Policy Rates – Monthly

20%

European Central Bank U S Federal Reserve U.S. 10%

0% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3%

Emerging Markets

Developed Markets

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14

Source: J.P. Morgan Global Economics Research, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Real policy rates represent GDP weighted aggregates estimated by J.P. Morgan Global Economics Research. Real policy rates are short-term target interest rates set by central banks minus year-over-year inflation.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

46

1.76% 0.09% 0 09% 0.17%

4% 3%

International

United States Germany Japan

Europe: Cyclical Headwinds and Tailwinds European Sovereign Funding Costs

Government Fiscal Drag

10-year benchmark bond yield

% of potential GDP, reduction in structural deficits from one period to the next 16%

35%

9/26/14

30%

14 4% 14.4%

6.08% 3.10% 2.17% 2.38% 1.66% 0.93%

Mo ore fiscal drag

Greece Portugal Spain Italy Ireland Germany

25%

2010-2013

14%

2013-2016 12%

10%

8%

20%

5.9%

LTRO

6% 4 7% 4.7%

International

OMT 10%

5%

Les ss fiscal drag

15%

3.5%

4% 3.4%

1.5%

2% 0.7%

1.5%

3.5%

3.3%

2.9%

1.9% 1.2% 0.3%

0% -0.1% -2%

-1.0%

0% '08

47

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

Source: Tullett Prebon, FactSet, IMF, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data are based on the April 2014 World Economic Outlook.

Government deficits are calculated by the IMF as the general government structural balance. The structural balance excludes the normal impact of the business cycle, providing a clearer measure of the independent impact of changes in government spending and taxation on demand in the economy. *Eurozone includes a J.P. Morgan Asset Management estimate for the 2016 structural deficit as a % of GDP. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Europe: Unemployment, Inflation and Credit Markets Euro Area Credit Growth

Unemployment Rates 13%

Aug. 2014: 11.5%

% year-over-year loan growth 20%

11% 9%

10%

7%

U.S.

A Aug. 2014 2014: 6 6.1% 1%

Households

Aug. 2014: -0.4%

% -5%

'00 '01

'02

'03

'04 '05

'06 '07

'08

'09

'10 '11

'12

Europe Inflation Year over year % change Year-over-year 5% 4%

International

Aug. 2014: -2.2%

5%

5% 3%

Nonfinancial Corporations

15%

Euro Area-16

'13 '14

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

Euro Area Asset-Backed Securities Outstanding Core Euro Area Periphery

€ billions €3,000

3% 2%

€2 000 €2,000

1% 0% -1%

€1,000 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 Source: Eurostat, BLS, SIFMA, ECBC, FactSet, IMF, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

(Top left) Unemployment rate levels for the U.S. and Euro Area-16 are not directly comparable due to calculation differences. (Bottom right) Euro Area securitization outstanding includes Covered Bonds, Asset-Backed Securities, Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities, Commercial Real Estate Mortgage-Backed Securities, and Small and MediumSized Enterprise Asset-Backed Securities.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

48

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Europe: Revenues, Margins and Earnings Earnings Per Share

Economic Growth and Revenue Growth Estimates

Next 12- month consensus EPS

12- month revenue growth & manufacturing PMI (advanced 12-months) 15%

70

10%

€13

$140

S&P 500

60

$130

€12

5% 0%

50

-5%

40

$120

€11

-10% 10%

Revenue Growth

-15%

30

Manufacturing PMI

-20%

$ $110 €10

20 '04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

'15

$100 €9

U.S. and European Operating Profit Margins

$90

LTM EPS/SPS LTM,

€8

11%

$80

S&P 500

International

10%

€7 $70

9% €6

MSCI Europe

8%

$ $60

€5

$50

7% 6%

MSCI Europe '04

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

€4

$40 '00

Source: Markit, MSCI, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Revenue growth reflects next twelve month forward estimates from FactSet for the MSCI Europe Index.

Data are as of 9/30/14.

49

'02

'04

'06

'08

'10

'12

'14

Japan: Economic Snapshot Inflation and Japanese Government Bond Yields

Japanese Yen and the Stock Market

Year-over-year % change for inflation

¥130

9%

¥20,000

Japanese Yen per U.S. Dollar

Nikkei 225

¥18,000

¥120

Owners of Japanese Gov. Bonds Other Domestic 71% Bank of Japan 25% Foreign 4%

7%

¥16,000

¥110

¥14,000 ¥100 ¥12,000 ¥90

5%

¥10,000

¥80 ¥70

3%

¥8,000 '05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

¥6,000

Government Fiscal Balance

Nominal 10-year Yield

% of GDP

IMF forecast

-12% -10%

1%

Internatio onal

-8% -6% -4%

-1%

-2%

Core CPI

0% 2%

-3% '87

'89

'91

'93

'95

'97

'99

'01

'03

'05

'07

'09

'11

'13

4%

'90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 Source: (Left) Bank of Japan, OECD, IMF, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Right) FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

'06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18

Core CPI is defined as CPI excluding fresh food. Other Domestic includes banks, insurance and pensions, public pensions, and households. Values may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Government bond data is calculated from the Bank of Japan’s September 2014 flow of funds.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

50

Data are as of 9/30/14.

International Equity Earnings and Valuations Earnings per Share

Forward Price to Earnings

EPS for next 12-month consensus, local currency, rebased to 100

P/E ratios for next 12-month consensus EPS

280

18x

260

MSCI EM S&P 500 MSCI Europe

’07/’08 Peak 217 150 161

Current 200 191 128

% Change -8% 8% 27% -20%

Average 11 3 11.3x 13.8x 12.0x

MSCI EM S&P 500 MSCI Europe

Current 10 8 10.8x 15.3x 13.9x

16x 240 220 14x 200 12x

180 160

10x

Internatio onal

140 120 8x 100 80

6x '05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

'05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

Source: MSCI, MSCI FactSet, FactSet JJ.P. P Morgan Asset Management Management.

Forward Price to Earnings Ratio is based on each index price, divided by consensus estimates for earnings per share (EPS) in the next 12 months (NTM), and is provided by FactSet Market Aggregates. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

51

'12

'13

'14

Exports, Demographics and Development Exports as a % of GDP

Demographic Snapshot

2013, goods exported

GDP Per Capita p

Population

% of Pop. under 20

Investm ent (% of GDP)

U.S.

$54,980

319 mm

26%

20%

Canada

49,838

35

22

24

U.K.

43,830

65

24

15

Germ any

47,893

81

18

17

U.S.

France

45,123

64

24

20

Europe

Japan

38,142

127

18

22

Italy

36,216

60

19

18

Korea

25,931

50

22

27

India

1,584

1,260

38

35

Brazil

11,080

200

33

18

Mexico

10,767

120

38

22

Russia

14,645

143

21

24

China

7,333

1,368

20

48

10.8%

Brazil

Developed 16.0%

India

24.9%

China

26 2% 26.2%

Russia

9.4%

U.S.

14.6%

Japan

18.5%

Eurozone

Em erging

Other

19.6%

UK

International

BRIC

20.7%

France

24.6%

Italy

37.6%

Germany 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Source: FactSet, World Bank, United Nations, J.P. Morgan Global Economics Research, OECD, China Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation of India JJ.P. India, P Morgan Asset Management Management.

GDP Per Capita, Population and Investment as % of GDP are IMF estimates for 2014.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

52

Emerging Market Currencies

9%

Stronger Curre ency

EM Current Accounts and Currency Performance

China (Mainland) Korea

-6%

-3%

0%

3%

Taiwan

14% 9%

-9% India Brazil

-18%

Turkey

Graph Key

South Africa

Currency Performance &  2013 2013 Current Account

Indonesia -27%

Performance since  Currency Jan. 2013 & 2014 Current Account

-36%

Current Account Deficit

Current Account (% of GDP)

Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Current accounts as a percentage of GDP are IMF figures for full year 2013 and latest available quarterly data for 2014.

Russia current account reflects IMF estimates for 2014. Guide to the Markets – U.S.

53

6%

Russia

Mexico

Weaker Currency

International

Currenc cy Performanc ce

-9%

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Current Account Surplus

Emerging Market Diversity Emerging Markets:Service Commodities vs. Services Emerging Markets: vs. Commodity Orientation % of exports in service or commodity sectors, 2012 % of exports in service or commodity sectors, 2012 Percent of Exports, E t Mf Mfg. & Services

Service ServiceOriented

Com m odity odityOriented

Percent of E Exports, t Com m odities

China

94.7

Chile

72.5

Korea

89.2

Russia

70.9

Mexico

78.6

Indonesia

54.5

India

73.8

Brazil

52.3

EM GDP growth: Sensitivity to DM growth

Estimated increase in real GDP growth from a 1% increase in DM growth U.S.

Brazil

Europe Japan

Russia

Commodities Services Mexico

Korea 0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

MSCI EM Country y Index by y Sector 100%

13%

10%

International

80% 63%

40%

29%

20%

3% 22%

0% Brazil

54

19%

33% 60%

18%

22%

31%

17% 18%

15% 12%

Other

14%

Commodities Financials

23% 38%

17%

37%

Consumer

23% 19% 7% Russia

Tech

11% 17%

11%

India

China

34%

Mexico*

22% Korea

Source: MSCI, FactSet, MacData, IMF, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “Other” is comprised of Health Care, Industrials, Telecom, and Utilities sectors. *Mexican telecom sector accounts for 20.2% of the country’s market capitalization. Values may not sum to 100% due to rounding. (Top Right) Assumes a 1% increase in GDP growth from Japan, Europe, and the U.S., and estimates a reaction function through a multistage regression measuring emerging market economies sensitivity to export volumes. Developed market imports are used as a proxy for developed demand and estimated from a 1% pick up in domestic GDP. Increases in industrial production are estimated while controlling for emerging market domestic demand in order to limit feedback loops and isolate the impulse from developed market demand only. The sample period tested ranges between 1993 and 2013 reflecting quarterly data. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

China: Economic and Credit Growth China Real GDP Contribution

Credit* vs. GDP Growth

Year-over-year % change

Year-over-year % change, 3-month moving average for credit

16%

40%

Investment Consumption

9.2%

35%

Credit

Net Exports

12% 10.4%

8.1% 8%

5.5%

4.5%

Real GDP

30%

9.3%

9.6%

GDP Deflator 7.7%

7.7%

3.6%

4.2%

4.4%

25%

20% 4% 4 3% 4.3%

Internatio onal

0%

4.6%

0.8%

4.5%

5.3%

15%

4.2%

3.9%

-0.2%

-0.3%

0.4%

10% -0.4%

-3.4%

5% -4%

0%

-5%

-8% 2008

55

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

'03 03

'04 04

'05 05

'06 06

'07 07

'08 08

'09 09

'10 10

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, The Peopleâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s Bank of China, EM Advisors Group, FactSet, CEIC, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Values may not sum to 100% due to rounding. *As defined by Total Social Financing: RMB bank loans, bankers acceptance bills, trust loans, entrusted loans, corporate bond financing, foreign currency loans, and non-financial equity financing. TSF data uses an assumption of outstanding credit in Dec. 2001. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'11 11

'12 12

'13 13

'14 14

Global Equity Valuations – Developed Markets Developed Market Countries

Example

Std Dev from Global Avverage

+7 Std Dev +6 Std Dev

Expensive relative to ld world

+5 Std Dev +4 Std Dev +3 Std Dev +2 Std Dev

Expensive relative to own history

+1 Std Dev Average -1 Std Dev

Cheap relative to own history

-2 Std Dev -3 Std Dev -4 Std Dev -5 Std Dev

Internatio onal

World (ACWI)

EAFE Index

U.K.

Germany France Australia Canada

Current Average Cheap relative to world

Japan Switzerland United States

Current Com posite Index

F d.

Fw d P/E

P/B

P/CF

Di Yld Div. Yld.

F d.

Fw d P/E

P/B

P/CF

Di Yld. Div. Yld

0.45 -0.53 -0.78 -0.67 -0.65 -0.57 0.48 0.49 1.52 2.21

14.2 13.9 13.1 12.5 13.7 14.0 14.5 14.1 15.9 15.4

2.0 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.3 2.6 2.7

8.4 7.6 7.4 7.5 7.8 8.5 9.2 7.9 11.8 10.4

2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.9% 3.2% 1.9%

13.0 12.6 11.4 11.5 11.3 13.4 13.6 16.0 13.3 13.9

2.0 1.7 2.0 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.1 1.4 2.4 2.5

7.5 6.7 7.4 5.7 5.8 9.2 8.6 6.4 9.8 8.7

2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 2.3% 1.6% 2.7% 1.9%

World (ACWI) EAFE Index U.K. Germ any France Australia Canada Japan Sw itzerland United States

Current

10-year avg.

Source: MSCI, MSCI FactSet, FactSet JJ.P. P Morgan Asset Management Management.

Note: Each valuation index shows an equally weighted composite of four metrics: price to forward earnings (Fwd. P/E), price to current book (P/B), price to last 12 months’ cash flow (P/CF) and price to last 12 months’ dividends. Results are then normalized using means and average variability over the last 10 years. The grey bars represent one standard deviation in variability relative to that of the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI). See disclosures page at the end for metric definitions.

Guide to the Markets – U.S.

56

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Global Equity Valuations – Emerging Markets Emerging Market Countries

Example

Std Dev from Global Avverage

+7 Std Dev +6 Std Dev

Expensive relative to world

+5 Std Dev +4 4 Std D Dev +3 Std Dev +2 Std Dev

Expensive relative to own history

+1 Std Dev Average -1 Std Dev

Cheap relative to own history

-2 Std Dev -3 3 Std Dev -4 Std Dev -5 Std Dev

Internatio onal

World EM (ACWI) Index

57

World(ACWI) EM Index Russia China Brazil T i an Taiw Korea Thailand South Africa Indonesia

Russia China

Current Com posite Index 0.45 -1.52 -4.89 -2.85 -2.12 -0.79 0 79 0.32 0.45 1.11 2.62

Brazil Taiwan Korea Thailand South Indonesia Africa Mexico Current

Current Average Cheap relative to world

India 10-year avg.

Fw d. d P/E

P/B

P/CF

Div Yld Div. Yld.

Fw d. d P/E

P/B

P/CF

Div Yld Div. Yld.

14.2 10.8 4.5 8.5 10.4 13 0 13.0 10.0 13.5 14.3 14.7

2.0 1.5 0.6 1.3 1.3 18 1.8 1.1 2.2 2.5 3.4

8.4 5.4 2.3 3.3 5.9 62 6.2 5.6 9.6 11.4 12.9

2.5% 2.8% 5.2% 3.5% 4.0% 3 1% 3.1% 1.2% 2.9% 3.1% 2.4%

13.0 11.0 7.4 11.7 9.9 14 1 14.1 9.6 10.8 11.5 12.6

2.0 1.9 1.4 2.1 1.9 19 1.9 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.5

7.5 6.3 4.5 6.9 5.6 67 6.7 5.0 7.1 8.8 10.1

2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3 6% 3.6% 1.5% 3.6% 3.2% 2.7%

Mexico

3.85

19.3

2.8

8.7

1.3%

14.4

2.8

7.5

1.8%

I di India

3 88 3.88

16 6 16.6

29 2.9

12 1 12.1

1 4% 1.4%

15 4 15.4

32 3.2

12 9 12.9

1 3% 1.3%

Source: MSCI, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Note: Each valuation index shows an equally weighted composite of four metrics: price to forward earnings (Fwd. P/E), price to current book (P/B), price to last 12 months’ cash flow (P/CF) and price to last 12 months’ dividends. Results are then normalized using means and average variability over the last 10 years. The grey bars represent one standard deviation in variability relative to that of the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI). See disclosures page at the end for metric definitions. See disclosures page at the end for metric definitions. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Asset Class Returns 2004

Asset Class

2006

2007

2008

2009

Ba rc la ys Agg 5.2%

MS CI EME 79.0% MS CI EAFE 32.5%

3 1. 6 %

MS CI EME 34.5%

3 5 . 1%

MS CI EME 39.8%

MS CI EME 26.0%

Bbe rg Cmdty 2 1. 4 %

MS CI EME 32.6%

Bbe rg Cmdty 16 . 2 %

MS CI EAFE 20.7%

MS CI EAFE 14 . 0 %

MS CI EAFE 26.9%

MS CI EAFE 11. 6 %

Ma rke t Ne utra l 1. 1%

Ma rke t Ne utra l 9.3%

Asse t Alloc .

- 24.0%

REITs

58

2005

REITs

Ca sh 1. 8 %

2010

2011

2012

REITs

REITs

REITs

27.9%

8.3%

Russe ll 2000 26.9%

2013

3Q14

13 . 4 %

MS CI EME 19 7 . 7 %

MS CI EME 11. 5 %

S &P 500 32.4%

S &P 500 8.3%

Ba rc la ys Agg 0.2%

Russe ll 2000 13 8 . 3 %

Russe ll 2000 9 . 1%

MS CI EAFE 17 . 9 %

MS CI EAFE 23.3%

Ba rc la ys Agg 4 . 1%

Ca sh

REITs

REITs

0.0%

12 8 . 5 %

8.6%

Russe ll 2000 16 . 3 %

Asse t Alloc .

15 . 0 %

Asse t Alloc .

3.0%

Ma rke t Ne utra l - 0.7%

S &P 500 10 4 . 3 %

S &P 500 7.4%

Ma rke t Ne utra l 9.3%

MS CI EME 2.7%

Asse t Alloc .

- 2.2%

MS CI EAFE 10 4 . 1%

MS CI EAFE 7.4%

REITs

Ca sh

REITs

2.9%

0.0%

- 2.5%

Asse t Alloc .

10 0 . 2 %

Asse t Alloc .

7.2%

MS CI EME - 3.4%

Ma rke t Ne utra l 64.9%

Ma rke t Ne utra l 5 . 1%

19 . 7 %

Ba rc la ys Agg 7.8%

MS CI EME 18 . 6 %

28.0%

MS CI EME 19 . 2 %

Ma rke t Ne utra l 4.5%

Russe ll 2000 27.2%

Bbe rg Cmdty 16 . 8 %

S &P 500 2 . 1%

REITs

Russe ll 2000 18 . 3 %

12 . 2 %

Russe ll 2000 18 . 4 %

Asse t Alloc .

12 . 5 %

Asse t Alloc .

8.3%

S &P 500 15 . 8 %

Asse t Alloc .

7.4%

Russe ll 2000 - 33.8%

S &P 500 26.5%

S &P 500 15 . 1%

0 . 1%

S &P 500 16 . 0 %

S &P 500 10 . 9 %

Ma rke t Ne utra l 6 . 1%

Asse t Alloc .

15 . 2 %

Ba rc la ys Agg 7.0%

Bbe rg Cmdty - 35.6%

Asse t Alloc .

22.2%

Asse t Alloc .

12 . 5 %

Asse t Alloc .

- 0.6%

Asse t Alloc .

11. 3 %

Bbe rg Cmdty 9 . 1%

S &P 500 4.9%

Ma rke t Ne utra l 11. 2 %

S &P 500 5.5%

S &P 500 - 37.0%

Bbe rg Cmdty 18 . 9 %

MS CI EAFE 8.2%

Russe ll 2000 - 4.2%

Ba rc la ys Agg 4.2%

0.0%

MS CI EAFE - 1. 0 %

Ma rke t Ne utra l 6.5%

Russe ll 2000 4.6%

MS CI EAFE - 11. 7 %

Ma rke t Ne utra l 0.9%

Ba rc la ys Agg - 2.0%

Ma rke t Ne utra l - 1. 2 %

MS CI EAFE - 5.8%

MS CI EME - 2.3%

Russe ll 2000 - 4.4%

Russe ll 2000 - 7.4%

Ba rc la ys Agg 4.3%

REIT REITs

Ca sh 3.0%

Ca sh

Ca sh

REITs

4.8%

4.8%

- 37.7%

Ba rc la ys Agg 4.3%

Russe ll 2000 - 1. 6 %

MS CI EAFE - 4 3 . 1%

Ba rc la ys Ba rc la ys Agg Agg 5.9% 6.5% Ma rke t Ne utra l 4 . 1%

Ca sh 0 . 1%

Ca sh

Bbe rg Cmdty - 13 . 3 %

10-yrs. '04 - '13 Cum. Ann.

S &P 500 1. 1%

Russe ll 2000 38.8%

REITs

YTD

Ca sh 0 . 1%

Ca sh

Ba rc la ys Ba rc la ys Agg Agg 56.0% 4.5% Ca sh 17 . 1%

Ba rc la ys Bbe rg MS CI Ma rke t MS CI Bbe rg Bbe rg Bbe rg Bbe rg Bbe rg Ca sh REITs Ca sh Agg Cmdty EME Ne utra l EME Cmdty Cmdty Cmdty Cmdty Cmdty 1. 2 % 2.4% 2 . 1% - 15 . 7 % - 53.2% 0 . 1% - 0.8% - 18 . 2 % - 1. 1% - 9.5% - 5.6% - 11. 8 % 9.0% Source: Russell, Russell MSCI, MSCI Bloomberg Bloomberg, Standard & Poor Poor’s s, Credit Suisse, Suisse Barclays Capital, Capital NAREIT NAREIT, FactSet, FactSet J.P. J P Morgan Asset Management Management.

The “Asset Allocation” portfolio assumes the following weights: 25% in the S&P 500, 10% in the Russell 2000, 15% in the MSCI EAFE, 5% in the MSCI EME, 25% in the Barclays Capital Aggregate, 5% in the Barclays 1-3m Treasury, 5% in the CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index, 5% in the Bloomberg Commodity Index and 5% in the NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Balanced portfolio assumes annual rebalancing. All data represents total return for stated period. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Data are as of 9/30/14, except for the CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index, which reflects data through 8/31/14. “10-yrs” returns represent period of 1/1/04 – 12/31/13 showing both cumulative (Cum.) and annualized (Ann.) over the period. Please see disclosure page at end for index definitions. *Market Neutral returns include estimates found in disclosures.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Ca sh 1. 6 % Bbe rg Cmdty 0.9%

Correlations and Volatility z U S Large Cap U.S. EAFE

U.S. Large Cap

EAFE

EME

1 00 1.00

0 89 0.89 1.00

EME Bonds Corp. HY Munis

Munis

Currcy.

EMD

Cmdty.

REITs

0 79 0.79

-0 26 -0.26

0 77 0.77

-0 09 -0.09

-0 53 -0.53

0 63 0.63

0 50 0.50

0 79 0.79

0 82 0.82

0 60 0.60

16%

0.91

-0.16

0.78

-0.03

-0.73

0.70

0.59

0.71

0.88

0.72

20%

1.00

-0.11

0.82

0.04

-0.68

0.79

0.64

0.61

0.90

0.57

25%

1.00

-0.06

0.82

-0.08

0.27

-0.23

-0.02

-0.27

-0.18

3%

1.00

0.16

-0.52

0.87

0.56

0.72

0.78

0.41

12%

1.00

-0.07

0.47

-0.17

0.06

-0.07

-0.11

4%

1.00

-0.52

-0.60

-0.46

-0.60

-0.67

7%

1.00

0.47

0.65

0.67

0.34

8%

1.00

0.37

0.70

0.46

20%

1.00

0.56

0.43

26%

1.00

0.59

8%

1.00

4%

EMD Commodities REITs Hedge Funds Eq Market Neutral*

Source: Standard & Poor’s, FRB, Barclays Capital Inc., MSCI Inc., Credit Suisse/Tremont, NCREIF, DJ UBS, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Indexes used – Large Cap: S&P 500 Index; Currencies: Federal Reserve Trade Weighted Dollar; EAFE: MSCI EAFE; EME: MSCI Emerging Markets; Bonds: Barclays Capital Aggregate; Corp HY: Barclays Capital Corporate High Yield; EMD: Barclays Capital Emerging Market; Cmdty.: DJ UBS Commodity C dit IIndex; d R Reall E Estate: t t NAREIT E Equity it REIT IIndex; d H Hedge d F Funds: d CS/T CS/Tremontt M Multi-Strategy lti St t Index; I d Equity E it Market M k t Neutral: N t l CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index. *Market Neutral returns include estimates found in disclosures.

All correlation coefficients and annualized volatility calculated based on quarterly total return data for period 9/30/04 to 9/30/14.

This chart is for illustrative purposes only. Guide to the Markets – U.S.

59

Data are as of 9/30/14.

Ann. Volatility

Bonds

Currencies

Asset Class

Eq Hedge Market Funds `Neutral*

Corp.

HY

Alternative Asset Class Returns 10-yrs '04 - '13 2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Re a l Esta te 35.0%

P riva te y Equity 28.3%

Re a l Esta te 35.6%

P riva te y Equity 19 . 7 %

G bl.

Ma c ro 4.7%

P riva te Equity 25.9%

G loba l Equity 17 . 4 %

P riva te Equity 28.7%

Distrsd.

18 . 1%

2 6 . 1%

MLP s

Distrsd.

16 . 7 %

10 . 4 % HF Agg. 9 . 1%

HF Agg.

MLP s

9.3%

6.3%

G bl.

Ma c ro 7.5%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

6 . 1%

6 . 1%

G bl.

Ma c ro 6 . 1%

Mrgr.

Arb. 3.7%

Mrgr.

Arb. 5.5%

Re l. V a l.

Asset Class

MLP s

G loba l Equity 17 . 0 %

G loba l Equity 12 . 0 %

60

Re a l Esta te 13 . 7 %

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

3.4%

Re l. V a l.

2009

2010

2011

MLP s

MLP s

MLP s

76.4%

35.9%

12 . 7 %

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

- 3.0%

G loba l Equity 30.0%

G bl.

Ma c ro 11. 4 %

Mrgr.

Arb. - 6.7%

Re a l Esta te 27.6%

MLP s

2012

2013

YTD

3Q14

Ann. Return

MLP s

MLP s

MLP s

MLP s

13 . 9 %

Re a l Esta te 18 . 0 %

27.6%

19 . 5 %

2.7%

15 . 0 %

Re a l Esta te 26.7%

P riva te Equity 11. 0 %

G loba l Equity 16 . 5 %

G loba l Equity 26.2%

Re a l Esta te 14 . 6 %

G bl.

Ma c ro 2 . 1%

P riva te Equity 15 . 0 %

18 . 2 %

P riva te Equity 20.4%

Re a l Esta te 9.4%

P riva te Equity 14 . 0 %

P riva te Equity 20.8%

G loba l Equity 6.7%

2 . 1%

Re a l Esta te 8.5%

P riva te Equity 10 . 3 %

Re l. V a l.

Distrsd.

Distrsd.

Re l. V a l.

Distrsd.

Distrsd.

9.7%

15 . 1%

6.3%

1. 6 %

7.7%

9.6%

Mrgr.

Arb. 1. 0 %

G loba l Equity 7.3%

G loba l Equity 9.3%

Re l. V a l.

HF Agg.

6.5%

7.8%

Distrsd.

HF Agg.

Re l. V a l.

0.9%

5.8%

6.8%

HF Agg.

Re l. V a l.

Re l. V a l.

Re l. V a l.

11. 0 %

- 17 . 3 %

23.0%

12 . 5 %

Mrgr.

Arb. 2.3%

Distrsd.

Re l. V a l.

HF Agg.

Distrsd.

Distrsd.

Re l. V a l.

Distrsd.

HF Agg.

Re l. V a l.

15 . 3 %

10 . 0 %

- 18 . 7 %

20.2%

12 . 2 %

0.8%

8.5%

9.6%

6.2%

Mrgr.

Mrgr Arb. 14 . 6 %

Mrgr.

Mrgr Arb. 8.9%

Distrsd.

MLP s

Re l. V a l.

HF Agg.

0.0%

4.8%

Distrsd.

HF Agg.

- 22.3%

18 . 6 %

13 . 3 %

G loba l Equity 7.7%

P riva te Equity - 22.4%

P riva te Equity 13 . 4 %

Re l. V a l.

Distrsd.

MLP s

12 . 2 %

6.8%

G bl.

Ma c ro 8.2%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

5.7%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

7.0%

Re a l Esta te - 16 . 3 %

HF Agg.

Ann. Volatility

G loba l Equity 11. 1%

G loba l Equity 0.9%

MLP s

7.5%

5 . 1%

4.4%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

6.4%

G bl.

Ma c ro 2.9%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl Ntrl.

3 . 1%

Mrgr.

Arb Arb. 5.3%

Mrgr.

Arb Arb. 2.6%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl Ntrl.

0.3%

Mrgr.

Arb Arb. 5.0%

G bl.

Ma c ro 4.8%

- 2.0%

Mrgr.

Arb. 1. 8 %

G bl.

Ma c ro 0 . 1%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

2.4%

Re a l Esta te - 2.0%

G bl.

Ma c ro 4.5%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

3.7%

G loba l Equity - 6.0%

G bl.

Ma c ro - 1.

1 3%

Re a l Esta te - 0.5%

P riva te Equity -

P riva te Equity -

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

2.7%

Mrgr.

Arb. 3.6%

8.5%

G bl.

Ma c ro - 0.7%

- 36.9%

Mrgr.

Arb Arb. 11. 9 %

Mrgr.

Arb Arb. 4.6%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl Ntrl.

- 1. 5 %

Re a l Esta te - 37.3%

G bl.

Ma c ro 6.9%

G bl.

Ma c ro 3.2%

G loba l Equity - 39.2%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

- 1.

1 7%

Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.

2.5%

HF Agg.

HF Agg.

Re a l Esta te 25.3%

HF Agg.

HF Agg.

5.3% Source: Standard & Poor’s, Alerian, HFRI, MSCI, Cambridge Associates, NAREIT, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Hedge fund indices include distressed and restructuring (Distrsd.), relative value (Rel. Val.), global macro (Gbl. Macro), merger arbitrage (Mrger. Arb.), equity market neutral (Eq. Mkt. Ntrl.), and the aggregate (HF Agg.). Returns may fluctuate as hedge fund reporting occurs on a lag. QTD and YTD private equity data is unavailable and provided by Cambridge Associates. Real estate returns reflect the NAREIT Real Estate 50 Index and global equity returns reflect the MSCI AC World Index. Annualized volatility and returns are calculated from quarterly data between 12/31/03 and 12/31/13.

Please see disclosure pages for index definitions. Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Fund Flows Mutual Fund Flows AUM

Billions, USD

YTD 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999

Domestic Equity

6,175 ,

((20))

18

World Equity

2,214

72

142

Taxable Bond

2,939

50

545

Hybrid M Money M Market k t

((159)) ((133)) ((81))

57

258

176

151

107

72

24

(4)

(23)

58

11

(21) 252

127

219

301

22

100

45

21

0

39

125

76

(36)

8

15

(58)

50

(12)

11

70

8

11

15

5

(15)

(7)

17

12

(14)

(12)

1,382

31

73

47

40

35

20

(26)

40

20

43

53

39

8

7

(37)

(14)

2 582 2,582

(137)

15

(0)

654

245

62

375

159

194

(124) (525) (539) 637

Aug. ’14: $1,398 billion into bond funds and fixed income ETFs since ’07

Billions, USD, includes both mutual funds and ETFs $800 $600

$1,000

$200

Aug. ’14: $641 billion into stock funds and equity ETFs since ’07

Bonds

(157) (263) (46)

Cumulative Flows Into U.S. Equity Funds

$400

$600

Asset Class

((25))

142

$800

61

120

(80)

$1,200

Aug. ’14: $590 billion into U.S. equity funds and ETFs by institutional investors since ‘07 Institutional

$0 -$200 $200

$400

-$400

$200

-$600

$0

100

26

Billions, USD, includes both mutual funds and ETFs $1,400 $ ,

17

57

Cumulative Flows Into Stock & Bond Funds $1,600

((3))

4

Tax-exempt Bond

6

((28)) ((149)) ((69))

Stocks

Retail Aug. ’14: $649 billion out of U.S. equity funds and ETFs by retail investors since ’07

-$800

'07 0 '08 08 '09 09 '10 0 '11 07 '08 08 '09 09 '10 10 '11 11 '12 12 '13 13 '14 14 '07 Source: Investment Company Institute, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Data include flows through August 2014 and exclude ETFs except for the bottom left chart. ICI data are subject to periodic revisions. World equity flows are inclusive of emerging market, global equity and regional equity flows. Hybrid flows include asset allocation, balanced fund, flexible portfolio and mixed income flows.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

'12

'13 3

'14

Yield Alternatives: Domestic and Global S&P 500 Total Return: Dividends vs. Capital Appreciation Average annualized returns

Capital Appreciation

20%

Dividends

15% 10%

13.6%

13.9%

12.6%

3.0% 5%

6.0%

5.4%

4.7%

4.4% 5.1%

5.8% 4.4%

4.2%

3.3%

0%

15.3%

1.6% 1.8%

2.5%

4.0%

-2.7%

-5 3% -5.3% -5% -10% 1926 - 1929

1930's

1940's

1950's

1960's

Equity Dividend Yields

5.9%

5.7% 5.2%

5% 2.9%

3%

Asset Class

1926 to 2013

10-year government bond yield

3.7% 3.2%

62

2000's

7% 6%

2%

1990's

Major world markets markets, annualized 10-year government bond yield

4.6%

4%

1980's

REIT Yields

Major world markets, markets annualized 5%

1970's

4.5%

4.1%

4.0%

2.8%

4%

2.5% 2.0%

1.8%

3 3% 3.3%

3 3% 3.3%

J Japan

UK U.K.

3% 2%

1% 1% 0%

US U.S.

A t li Australia

UK U.K.

F France

S it l d Canada Switzerland C d

ACWI

J Japan

0%

US U.S.

Si Singapore

A t li Australia

C Canada d

F France

Source: (Top chart) Standard & Poorâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s, Ibbotson, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom right) FactSet, NAREIT, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Dividend vs. capital appreciation returns are through 12/31/13. Yields shown are that of the appropriate FTSE NAREIT REIT index, which excludes property development companies. (Bottom left) FactSet, MSCI, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Yields shown are that of the appropriate MSCI index.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Gl b l Global

Global Commodities Gold Prices

Commodity Prices Weekly index prices rebased to 100

$ / oz

450

$3,000

Gold, Inflation Adjusted Gold Gold

$2,500

Precious Metals 400

Sep. 2014: $1,217

$2,000 $1,500

350

$1 000 $1,000

300

Industrial Metals

$500 $0

250

'75

'80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

'10

Commodity y Prices and Inflation Year-over-year % chg.

200

8% 6%

150

Asset Class

100

CPI Basket

Grains

Livestock 50

Energy

Headline CPI (Y/Y % chg.)

DJ-UBS Commodity Index (Y/Y % chg.)

60%

4%

40%

2%

20%

0%

0%

-2%

-20%

-4%

-40%

0 '05

'06

'07

'08

'09

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

-6%

-60% '96

'98

'00

'02

'04

'06

'08

Source: Dow Jones/UBS, EcoWin, BLS, U.S. Department of Energy, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. CPI adjusted gold values are calculated using monthly averages of gold spot prices divided by the CPI value for that month. CPI is rebased to 100 at the end of the chart. Returns based on nominal prices. Commodity prices represented by the appropriate Bloomberg Commodity sub-index. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S.

63

80%

Data are as of 9/30/14.

'10

'12

'14

Historical Returns by Holding Period Range of Stock, Bond and Blended Total Returns Annual total returns, 1950 â&#x20AC;&#x201C; 2013 60% 50%

Annual Avg. Growth of $100,000 Total T t l Return R t over 20 years 51%

40%

Stocks 43%

30%

11.1%

$827,444

Bonds

6.1%

$327,240

50/50 Portfolio

9.0%

$564,491

32% 28%

20%

23% 21%

19%

16% 17%

18%

10%

12% 6%

0%

-2%

-2%

-8% -10%

1%

2%

-1% 1%

5% 1%

-15%

Stocks

Asset Class

-20% 20% -30%

Bonds 50/50 Portfolio -37%

-40% 1-yr. y

5-yr. y rolling

10-yr. y rolling

Sources: Barclays Capital, FactSet, Robert Shiller, Strategas/Ibbotson, Federal Reserve, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Returns shown are based on calendar year returns from 1950 to 2013. Growth of $100,000 is based on annual average total returns from 1950-2013. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S.

64

Data are as of 9/30/14.

14%

20-yr. y rolling

Diversification and the Average Investor Maximizing the Power of Diversification (1994 – 2013) Traditional Portfolio

More Diversified Portfolio Equity Mkt. Neutral Commodities 8% 26%

S&P 500

30%

REIT

8% 8%

55%

MSCI EAFE Barclays y Agg. gg

15%

S&P 500 Russell 2000

4%

22%

13% 9%

MSCI EAFE MSCI EM Barclays Agg.

Return: 8.02% Standard Deviation: 10.64%

Return: 7.95% Standard Deviation: 9.71%

20-year Annualized Returns by Asset Class (1994 – 2013) 12% 10.3%

10.2% 9.2%

10%

Asset Class

8% 6.1% 6%

5.8%

5.7%

4%

3.1%

2.5%

2.4%

Average Investor

Inflation

2% 0% REITs

65

Oil

S&P 500

EAFE

Gold

Bonds

Homes

Source: Morningstar Direct, Dalbar Inc., J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top) Indexes and weights of the traditional portfolio are as follows: U.S. Stocks: 55% S&P 500; U.S. Bonds: 30% Barclays Capital Aggregate; I t International ti l Stocks: St k 15% MSCI EAFE. EAFE Portfolio with 25% in alternatives is as follows: U.S. Stocks: 22.2% S&P 500, 8.8% Russell 2000; International Stocks: 4.4% MSCI EM, 13.2% MSCI EAFE; U.S. Bonds: 26.5% Barclays Capital Aggregate; Alternatives: 8.3% CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral: 8.3%,, DJ/UBS Commodities: 8.3% NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Return and standard deviation calculated using Morningstar Direct.

Charts are shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate li i t risk i k off lloss. (Bottom) (B tt ) IIndexes d used are as follows: REITS: NAREIT Equity REIT Index, EAFE: MSCI EAFE, Oil: WTI Index, Bonds: Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Index, Homes: median sale price of existing single-family homes, Gold: USD/troy oz, Inflation: CPI. Average asset allocation investor return is based on an analysis y by y Dalbar Inc., which utilizes the net of aggregate mutual fund sales, redemptions and exchanges each month as a measure of investor behavior. Returns are annualized (and total return where applicable) and represent the 20-year period ending 12/31/13 to match Dalbar’s most recent analysis Guide to the Markets – U.S. analysis.

US Data are as of 9/30/14.

Cash Accounts Annual Income Generated by $100,000 Investment in a 6-month CD

Money Supply Component

$10,000 $8,000 ,

$ Billions

Weight in Money Supply

2006: $5 $5,240 240 M2-M1

$6,000 $4,000

2013: $390

Retail MMMFs

8,640

637

78.4%

5.8%

$2,000 $0

Savings deposits '90

'95

'00

'05

7,476

67.8%

'10

M2 Money Supply as a % of Nominal GDP

Small time deposits

70%

527

4.8%

2Q14: 65.2%

65%

Institutional MMMFs

60%

Average: 52.9%

55%

Cash in IRA & Keogh accounts

Asset Class

50%

66

1,741

646

15.8%

5.9%

45%

Total 40% '80

'85

'90

'95

'00

'05

11,027

100.0%

'10

Source: Federal Reserve, St. Louis Fed, Bankrate.com, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

All cash measures obtained from the Federal Reserve are seasonally adjusted monthly numbers. All numbers are in billions of U.S. dollars.

Small denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100 Small-denomination $100,000.

000 All IRA and Keogh account balances at commercial banks and thrift institutions are subtracted from small time deposits. Annual income is for illustrative purposes and is calculated based on the 6-month CD yield on average during each year and $100,000 invested. IRA and Keogh account balances at money market mutual funds are subtracted from retail money funds.

Past performance is not indicative of comparable future results.

Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

Corporate DB Plans and Endowments Asset Allocation: Corporate DB Plans vs. Endowments

Endowments

Defined Benefit Plans: Russell 3000 Companies Trillions ($)

$2.5

Funded Status (%)

105%

Liabilities (($))

Corporate Defined Benefit Plans

$2.0

100%

Assets ($)

95%

27.0%

Equities

$1.5

48.0%

85%

$1.0

9.0%

Fixed Income

90%

80%

38.0%

$0.5 75% Hedge Funds

Private Equity

7.3% 3.0%

10%

% of total 20%

'10

1999: Average 9.2% 2013: Average 7.3%

30%

4.0% 0%

'09

'11

'12

'13

Q3 '14*

40%

2.0%

3.0%

Cash

'08

Pension Return Assumptions: S&P 500 companies

15 9% 15.9%

2.0%

Other

70% '07

% of Comp panies

Asset Class

$0.0

4.0%

17.7%

Real Estate

67

20.1%

30%

40%

50%

60%

34% 27%

29%

20%

20%

20% 13%

12%

10%

9%

10%

6% 0%

1%

5% 1%

1%

7% 3% 0%

0%

0%

0% < 6%

6 to 6.5 to 7 to 7.5 to 8 to 8.5 to 9 to 9.5 to > 10% 6.5% 6 5% 7% 7 7.5% 5% 8% 8 8.5% 5% 9% 9 9.5% 5% 10%

Return Assumption

Source: NACUBO (National Association of College and University Business Officers), Towers Watson, Compustat/FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Asset allocation as of 2012. *Funded status for 3Q14 estimated using market returns. Endowments represents dollar-weighted average data of 842 colleges and universities. Pension Return Assumptions based on all available and reported data from S&P 500 Index companies. Pension Assets, Liabilities and Funded Status based on Russell 3000 companies reporting pension data. Return assumption bands are inclusive of upper range. All information is shown for illustrative purposes only. Guide to the Markets â&#x20AC;&#x201C; U.S. Data are as of 9/30/14.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Index Definitions All indexes are unmanaged and an individual cannot invest directly in an index. Index returns do not include fees or expenses.

The S&P 500 Index is widely regarded as the best single gauge of the U.S. equities market. This world-renowned index includes a representative sample of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy.

Although the S&P 500 Index focuses on the large-cap segment of the market, with approximately 75% coverage of U.S. equities, it is also an ideal proxy for the total market. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

Th S&P 400 Mid Cap The C Index I d is i representative i off 400 stocks k iin the h mid-range id sector off the h ddomestic i stockk market, representing all major industries.

The Russell 3000 Index® measures the performance of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies based on total market capitalization.

The Russell 1000 Index ® measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000.

The Russell 1000 Growth Index ® measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.

The Russell 1000 Value Index ® measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book i t b k ratios ti andd llower fforecasted t d growth th values. l The Russell Midcap Index ® measures the performance of the 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000 Index.

The Russell Midcap Growth Index ® measures the performance of those Russell Midcap companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The stocks are also members of the Russell 1000 Growth index.

The Russell Midcap Value Index ® measures the performance of those Russell Midcap companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The stocks are also members of the Russell 1000 Value index.

The Russell 2000 Index ® measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index.

The Russell 2000 Growth Index ® measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.

The Russell 2000 Value Index ® measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.

The Russell Top 200 Index ® measures the performance of the largest cap segment of the U.S. equity universe.

It includes approximately pp y 200 of the largest g securities based on a combination of their market capp and current index membership and represents approximately 68% of the U.S. market.

The MSCI® EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Net Index is recognized as the pre-eminent benchmark in the United States to measure international equity performance. It comprises 21 MSCI country indexes, representing the developed markets outside of North America.

The MSCI Emerging Markets IndexSM is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. As of June 2007, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index consisted of the following 25 emerging market country indices: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Israel, Jordan, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, and Turkey.

The MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed and emerging markets. As of June 2009 the MSCI ACWI consisted of 45 country indices comprising 23 developed and 22 emerging market country indices.

68

The MSCI Small Cap IndicesSM target 40% of the eligible Small Cap universe within each industry group, within each country. MSCI defines the Small Cap universe as all listed securities that have a market capitalization in the range of USD200-1,500 million.

The MSCI Value and Growth IndicesSM cover the full range of developed, emerging and All Country MSCI Equity indexes. As of the close of May 30, 2003, MSCI implemented an enhanced methodology for the MSCI Global Value and Growth Indices, adopting a two dimensional framework for style segmentation in which value and growth securities are categorized using different attributes - three for value and five for growth including forward-looking variables. The objective of the index design is to divide constituents of an underlying MSCI Standard Country Index into a value index and a growth index, each targeting 50% of the free-float adjusted market capitalization of the underlying country index. Country Value/Growth indices are then aggregated into regional Value/Growth indices.

Prior to May 30, 2003, the indices used Price/Book Value (P/BV) ratios to divide the standard MSCI country indices into value and growth indices. All securities were classified as either "value" securities (low P/BV securities) or "growth" securities (high P/BV securities), relative to each MSCI country index.

The following MSCI Total Return IndicesSM are calculated with gross dividends: This series approximates the maximum possible dividend reinvestment. The amount reinvested is the dividend distributed to individuals resident in the country of the company, company but does not include tax credits. credits The MSCI Europe IndexSM is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance in Europe. As of June 2007, the MSCI Europe Index consisted of the following 16 developed market country indices: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom.

The MSCI Pacific IndexSM is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance in the Pacific region. As of June 2007, the MSCI Pacific Index consisted of the following 5 Developed Market countries: Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, and Singapore.

Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge g Fund Index is compiled p byy Credit Suisse Tremont Index,, LLC. It is an assetweighted hedge fund index and includes only funds, as opposed to separate accounts. The Index uses the Credit Suisse/Tremont database, which tracks over 4500 funds, and consists only of funds with a minimum of US$50 million under management, a 12-month track record, and audited financial statements. It is calculated and rebalanced on a monthly basis, and shown net of all performance fees and expenses. It is the exclusive property of Credit Suisse Tremont Index, LLC. The NCREIF Property Index is a quarterly time series composite total rate of return measure of investment performance of a very large pool of individual commercial real estate properties acquired in the private market for investment purposes only. All properties in the NPI have been acquired, at least in part, on behalf of tax-exempt institutional investors - the great majority being pension funds. As such, all properties are held in a fiduciary environment. i The NAREIT EQUITY REIT Index is designed to provide the most comprehensive assessment of overall industry performance, and includes all tax-qualified real estate investment trusts (REITs) that are listed on the NYSE, the American Stock Exchange or the NASDAQ National Market List.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average measures the stock performance of 30 leading blue-chip U.S. companies.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is composed of futures contracts on physical commodities and represents twenty two separate commodities traded on U.S. exchanges, with the exception of aluminum, nickel, and zinc.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management â&#x20AC;&#x201C; Index Definitions All indexes are unmanaged and an individual cannot invest directly in an index. Index returns do not include fees or expenses.

The S&P GSCI Index is a composite index of commodity sector returns representing an unleveraged, long-only investment in commodity futures that is broadly diversified across the spectrum of commodities. The returns are calculated on a fully collateralized basis with full reinvestment. Individual components qualify for inclusion in the index on the basis of liquidity and are weighted by their respective world production quantities.

The Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Index represents securities that are SEC-registered, taxable, and dollar denominated. The index covers the U.S. investment grade fixed rate bond market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities, and asset-backed securities. These major sectors are subdivided into more specific indexes that are calculated and reported on a regular basis.

This U.S. Treasury Index is a component of the U.S. Government index.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is the underlying commodity for the New York Mercantile Exchange's oil futures contracts.

The Barclays Capital High Yield Index covers the universe of fixed rate, non-investment grade debt. Pay-in-kind (PIK) bonds, bonds Eurobonds, Eurobonds and debt issues from countries designated as emerging markets (e (e.g., g Argentina Argentina, Brazil Brazil, Venezuela, etc.) are excluded, but Canadian and global bonds (SEC registered) of issuers in non-EMG countries are included. Original issue zeroes, step-up coupon structures, and 144-As are also included.

The Barclays Capital 1-3 Month U.S. Treasury Bill Index includes all publicly issued zero-coupon U.S. Treasury Bills that have a remaining maturity of less than 3 months and more than 1 month, are rated investment grade, and have $250 million or more of outstanding face value. In addition, the securities must be denominated in U.S. dollars and must be fixed rate and non convertible.

The Barclays Capital General Obligation Bond Index is a component of the Barclays Capital Municipal Bond Index. To be included in the index, bonds must be general obligation bonds rated investment-grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher) by at least two of the following ratings agencies: Moody Moody'ss, S&P S&P, Fitch.

Fitch If only two of the three agencies rate the security, the lower rating is used to determine index eligibility. If only one of the three agencies rates a security, the rating must be investment-grade. They must have an outstanding par value of at least $7 million and be issued as part of a transaction of at least $75 million. The bonds must be fixed rate, have a dated-date after December 31, 1990, and must be at least one year from their maturity date. Remarketed issues, taxable municipal bonds, bonds with floating rates, and derivatives, are excluded from the benchmark.

The Barclays Capital Revenue Bond Index is a component of the Barclays Capital Municipal Bond Index. To be included in the index, bonds must be revenue bonds rated investment-grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher) by at least two of the following ratings agencies: Moody's, S&P, Fitch. If only two of the three agencies rate the security, the lower rating is used to determine index eligibility. eligibility If only one of the three agencies rates a security security, the rating must be investment-grade. They must have an outstanding par value of at least $7 million and be issued as part of a transaction of at least $75 million. The bonds must be fixed rate, have a dated-date after December 31, 1990, and must be at least one year from their maturity date. Remarketed issues, taxable municipal bonds, bonds with floating rates, and derivatives, are excluded from the benchmark.

The Barclays High Yield Municipal Index includes bonds rated Ba1 or lower or non-rated bonds using the middle rating of Moodyâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s, S&P and Fitch.

The Barclays Capital Taxable Municipal Bond Index is a rules-based, market-value weighted index engineered for the long-term taxable bond market. To be included in the index, bonds must be rated investment-grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher) by at least two of the following ratings agencies if all three rate the bond: Moody Moody'ss, S&P S&P, Fitch. If only two of the three agencies rate the security, the lower rating is used to determine index eligibility. If only one of the three agencies rates a security, the rating must be investment-grade. They must have an outstanding par value of at least $7 million and be issued as part of a transaction of at least $75 million. The bonds must be fixed rate and must be at least one year from their maturity date. Remarketed issues (unless converted to fixed rate), bonds with floating rates, and derivatives, are excluded from the benchmark.

69

Municipal Bond Index: To be included in the index, bonds must be rated investment-grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher) by at least two of the following ratings agencies: Moody's, S&P, Fitch. If only two of the three agencies rate the security, the lower rating is used to determine index eligibility. If only one of the three agencies rates a security, the rating must be investment-grade. They must have an outstanding par value of at least $7 million and be issued as part of a transaction of at least $75 million. The bonds must be fixed rate, have a dated-date after December 31, 1990, and must be at least one year from their maturity date. Remarketed issues, taxable municipal bonds, bonds with floating rates, rates and derivatives are excluded from the benchmark benchmark.

The Barclays Capital Emerging Markets Index includes USD-denominated debt from emerging markets in the following regions: Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia. As with other fixed income benchmarks provided by Barclays Capital, the index is rules-based, which allows for an unbiased view of the marketplace and easy replicability.

The Barclays Capital MBS Index covers the mortgage-backed pass-through securities of Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac. Aggregate components must have a weighted average maturity of at least one year, must have $250 million par amount outstanding, and must be fixed rate mortgages.

The Barclays Capital Corporate Bond Index is the Corporate component of the U.S. Credit index.

The Barclays Capital TIPS Index consists of Inflation-Protection securities issued by the U.S. Treasury.

The J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Index includes U.S. dollar denominated Brady bonds, Eurobonds, traded loans and local market debt instruments issued by sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities.

The J.P. Morgan Domestic High Yield Index is designed to mirror the investable universe of the U.S. dollar domestic high yield corporate debt market.

The CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index takes both long and short positions in stocks with the aim of minimizing exposure to the systematic risk of the market (i.e., a beta of zero).

Thee CS/ CS/Tremont e o t Multi-Strategy u t St ategy Index de co consists s s s oof funds u ds that a aallocate oca e cap capital a based oon pe perceived ce ed oppo opportunities u es among several hedge fund strategies. Strategies adopted in a multi-strategy fund may include, but are not limited to, convertible bond arbitrage, equity long/short, statistical arbitrage and merger arbitrage.

The Barclays U.S. Dollar Floating Rate Note (FRN) Index provides a measure of the U.S. dollar denominated floating rate note market. *Market Neutral returns for November 2008 are estimates by J.P. Morgan Funds Market Strategy, and are based on a December 8, 2008 published estimate for November returns by CS/Tremont in which the Market Neutral returns were estimated to be +0.85% (with 69% of all CS/Tremont constituents having reported return data).

Presumed to be excluded from the November return are three funds, which were later marked to $0 by CS/Tremont in connection with the Bernard Madoff scandal. J.P. Morgan Funds believes this distortion is not an accurate representation of returns in the category. CS/Tremont later published a finalized November return of -40.56% for the month, reflecting this mark-down. CS/Tremont assumes no responsibility for these estimates.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Definitions, Risks & Disclosures Bonds are subject to interest rate risks. Bond prices generally fall when interest rates rise.

The price of equity securities may rise, or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company’s financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. These price movements may result from factors affecting individual companies, sectors or industries, or the securities market as a whole, such as changes in economic or political conditions. Equity securities are subject to “stock market risk” meaning that stock prices in general may decline over short or extended periods of time.

Small capitalization investing typically carries more risk than investing in well-established Small-capitalization well established "blue-chip" "blue chip" companies since smaller companies generally have a higher risk of failure. Historically, smaller companies' stock has experienced a greater degree of market volatility than the average stock.

Mid-capitalization investing typically carries more risk than investing in well-established "blue-chip" companies.

Historically, mid-cap companies' stock has experienced a greater degree of market volatility than the average stock.

Real estate investments may be subject to a higher degree of market risk because of concentration in a specific industry, sector or geographical sector. Real estate investments may be subject to risks including, but not limited to, declines in the value of real estate, risks related to general and economic conditions, changes in the value of the underlying property owned by the trust and defaults by borrower. borrower International investing involves a greater degree of risk and increased volatility. Changes in currency exchange rates and differences in accounting and taxation policies outside the U.S. can raise or lower returns. Also, some overseas markets may not be as politically and economically stable as the United States and other nations.

Investments in emerging markets can be more volatile. As mentioned above, the normal risks of investing in foreign countries are heightened when investing in emerging markets. In addition, the small size of securities markets and the low trading volume may lead to a lack of liquidity, which leads to increased volatility. Also, emerging markets may not provide adequate legal protection for private or foreign investment or private property.

Investments in commodities may have greater volatility than investments in traditional securities, particularly if the instruments involve leverage. leverage The value of commodity-linked commodity linked derivative instruments may be affected by changes in overall market movements, commodity index volatility, changes in interest rates, or factors affecting a particular industry or commodity, such as drought, floods, weather, livestock disease, embargoes, tariffs and international economic, political and regulatory developments. Use of leveraged commodity-linked derivatives creates an opportunity for increased return but, at the same time, creates the possibility for greater loss.

Investing in alternative assets involves higher risks than traditional investments and is suitable only for sophisticated investors. Alternative investments involve greater risks than traditional investments and should not be deemed a complete investment program. They are not tax efficient and an investor should consult with his/her tax advisor prior to investing. Alternative investments have higher fees than traditional investments and they may also be highly leveraged and engage in speculative investment techniques, which can magnify the potential for i investment t t loss l or gain. i Th The value l off th the iinvestment t t may ffallll as wellll as rise i andd iinvestors t may gett bbackk lless th than they invested.

Derivatives may be riskier than other types of investments because they may be more sensitive to changes in economic or market conditions than other types of investments and could result in losses that significantly exceed the original investment. The use of derivatives may not be successful, resulting in investment losses, and the cost of such strategies may reduce investment returns.

Price to forward earnings is a measure of the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) using forecasted earnings. Price to book value compares a stock's market value to its book value. Price to cash flow is a measure of the market's expectations of a firm's future financial health. Price to dividends is the ratio of the price of a share on a stock exchange to the dividends per share paid in the previous year, year used as a measure of a company company'ss potential as an investment.

There is no guarantee that the use of long and short positions will succeed in limiting an investor's exposure to domestic stock market movements, capitalization, sector swings or other risk factors. Investing using long and short selling strategies may have higher portfolio turnover rates. Short selling involves certain risks, including additional costs associated with covering short positions and a possibility of unlimited loss on certain short sale positions.

70

The HFRI Monthly Indices (HFRI) are equally weighted performance indexes, utilized by numerous hedge fund managers as a benchmark for their own hedge funds. The HFRI are broken down into 4 main strategies, each with multiple substrategies. All single-manager HFRI Index constituents are included in the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite, which accounts for over 2200 funds listed on the internal HFR Database.

Equity Market Neutral Strategies employ sophisticated quantitative techniques of analyzing price data to ascertain information about future price movement and relationships between securities, select securities for purchase and sale. sale Equity Market Neutral Strategies typically maintain characteristic net equity market exposure no greater than 10% long or short.

Distressed Restructuring Strategies employ an investment process focused on corporate fixed income instruments, primarily on corporate credit instruments of companies trading at significant discounts to their value at issuance or obliged (par value) at maturity as a result of either formal bankruptcy proceeding or financial market perception of near term proceedings.

Merger Arbitrage Strategies which employ an investment process primarily focused on opportunities in equity and equity related instruments of companies which are currently engaged in a corporate transaction.

Global Macro Strategies g trade a broad range g of strategies g in which the investment pprocess is ppredicated on movements in underlying economic variables and the impact these have on equity, fixed income, hard currency and commodity markets.

Relative Value Strategies maintain positions in which the investment thesis is predicated on realization of a valuation discrepancy in the relationship between multiple securities.

The Cambridge Associates LLC U.S. Private Equity Index® is an end-to-end calculation based on data compiled from 1,052 U.S. private equity funds (buyout, growth equity, private equity energy and mezzanine funds), including fully liquidated partnerships, formed between 1986 and 2013.

The Alerian MLP Index is a composite of the 50 most prominent energy Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) that provides investors with an unbiased, unbiased comprehensive benchmark for the asset class. class

J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Risks & Disclosures The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decisionmaking, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.

The views contained herein are not to be taken as an advice or recommendation to buy or sell any investment in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of writing, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. This material should not be relied upon pon by b you o in evaluating e al ating the merits of investing in esting in any an securities sec rities or products. prod cts In addition, addition the Investor In estor should sho ld make an independent assessment of the legal legal, reg regulatory, lator tax, ta credit credit, and accounting acco nting and determine, determine together with ith their own professional advisers if any of the investments mentioned herein are suitable to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment. It should be noted that the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yield may not be a reliable guide to future performance. Exchange rate variations may cause the value of investments to increase or decrease. Investments in smaller companies may involve a higher degree of risk as they are usually more sensitive to market movements. Investments in emerging markets may be more volatile and therefore the risk to your capital could be greater. Further, the economic and political situations in emerging markets may be more volatile than in established economies and these may adversely influence the value of investments made.

It shall be the recipient’s sole responsibility to verify his / her eligibility and to comply with all requirements under applicable legal and regulatory regimes in receiving this communication and in making any investment. All case studies shown are for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. Results shown are not meant to be representative of actual investment results.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates worldwide. This communication is issued by the following entities: in Brazil by Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. (Brazil) which is regulated by The Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) and Brazilian Central Bank (Bacen); in the United Kingdom by JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited, which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA); in other EU jurisdictions by JPMorgan Asset Management (Europe) S.à r.l.; in Switzerland by J.P. Morgan (Suisse) SA, which is regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority FINMA; in Hong Kong by JF Asset Management Limited, JPMorgan Funds (Asia) Limited or JPMorgan Asset Management Real Assets (Asia) Limited, all of which are regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission; in India by JPMorgan Asset Management India Private Limited which is regulated by the Securities & Exchange Board of India; in Singapore by JPMorgan Asset Management (Singapore) Limited or JPMorgan Asset Management Real Assets (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., both are regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore; in Taiwan by JPMorgan Asset Management (Taiwan) Limited or JPMorgan Funds (Taiwan) Limited, both are regulated by the Financial Supervisory Commission; in Japan by JPMorgan Asset Management (Japan) Limited which is a member of the Investment Trusts Association, Japan, the Japan Investment Advisers Association and the Japan Securities Dealers Association, and is regulated egu ated by the t e Financial a c a Se Services ces Agency ge cy ((registration eg st at o number u be “Kanto a to Local oca Finance a ce Bureau u eau ((Financial a c a Instruments st u e ts Firm)) No. o 330 330”);); in Korea o ea by JPMorgan J o ga Asset sset Management a age e t (Korea) ( o ea) Co Company pa y Limited ted which c iss regulated egu ated by tthee Financial Services Commission (without insurance by Korea Deposit Insurance Corporation) and in Australia to wholesale clients only as defined in section 761A and 761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited (ABN 55143832080) (AFSL 376919) which is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission; in Canada by JPMorgan Asset Management (Canada) Inc.; and in the United States

by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc., or J.P. Morgan Distribution Services , Inc., member FINRA SIPC. EMEA Recipients: You should note that if you contact J.P. Morgan Asset Management by telephone those lines may be recorded and monitored for legal, security and training purposes. You should also take note that information and data from communications with you will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with the EMEA Privacy Policy which can be accessed through the following website http://www.jpmorgan.com/pages/privacy.

Past performance is no guarantee of comparable future results.

Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.

Brazilian recipients:

Prepared by: Andrew D. Goldberg, Anastasia V. Amoroso, James C. Liu, Gabriela D. Santos, David M. Lebovitz, Hannah J. Anderson, Ainsley E. Woolridge, and David P. Kelly.

Unless otherwise stated, all data are as of September 30, 2014 or most recently available.

Guide to the Markets – U.S. JP-LITTLEBOOK

71