COTY season is here, that time of year when paint companies, a er months of tea-leaf and tarot-card reading, announce their respective Color Of The Year. Those divining the new hues consider the social mood, political climate, economy, world events, travel trends and the color of the inside of their eyelids before extracting from their voluminous color-wheels the one color they think consumers will crave or, perhaps, the ones they want them to crave, in the coming year. Anyway, it’s a moment.
changing. I also like to study the collective color picks to see what the forecasters are trying to tell us.
In past years, the messages have been clear. For instance, three years ago, when we were in the throes of the lockdown, most COTYs were some shade of green, a re ection of our desire for healing, balance and to get out of the house. Other years we’ve seen strong waves of watery blues, indicating a desire for cleansing, clarity and calm.
And while I recognize the COTY for the marketing ploy it is, a way to get consumers to think about color and perhaps repaint their homes, I also see nothing wrong with that. Personally, I look at these annual picks the way I look at my horoscope — fun but not life-
This year, however, the direction is not so clear. Of the paint companies that have announced their 2025 COTY picks, (and we’re still waiting on a few big dogs like Benjamin Moore, PPG Paints and Dunn-Edwards), two chose a deep reddish brown. Two selected a so greenish blue and a h went with a bold blue the color of painter’s tape. I asked a couple designers what they make of the picks so far. Kanika Khurana, an interior designer based in San Mateo
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It’s about time the Fed decided to lower interest rates. Hopefully, it’s not too late. Anticipating the Federal Reserve would lower interest rates, mortgage lenders have been ratcheting down interest rates for the past three weeks.
According to mortgage giant Freddie Mac, last week’s average rate for a 30-year xed-rate mortgage was 6.35%. Last year the 30-year xed was 7.25% and reached a high of 8% last October. Assuming the Fed continues to lower rates at its October and November meetings, mortgage rates could be under 6% by the end of the year.
up from 5.3% in 2019. The current delinquency rate on auto loans is 8%, the highest in over a decade.
Higher interest rates have been pushing up rents.
Commercial and multifamily residential loans are typically adjustable-rate loans.
The low interest rates that have nanced a million new apartments and re nanced another 2 million have long expired. Apartment owners are paying double the interest on their loans today and passing that increased interest expense along to their tenants.
The Fed has won its war on in ation but now faces the possibility of a recession. The Fed’s policy of higher interest rates has slammed the real estate market and slowed economic growth. Higher interest rates in uence everything from business expansion, employment and consumer spending. Historically, recessions o en follow prolonged periods of in ation or high interest rates. We have had both.
The Fed is looking at the jobs report, which was less than anticipated. Unemployment has increased for the fourth straight month. That news triggered a slide in equities and renewed anxiety about a possible recession.
J.P. Morgan Research has raised the probability of a U.S. and global recession starting before the end of 2024 to 35%, up from 25% in its midyear outlook.
The Fed’s higher interest rate policy has a ected more than mortgage rates. Many Americans carrying credit card balances are struggling. The average credit card balance for those with a balance is about $7,000. The average interest rate is 21% — up from 15% in 2019. That explains why 9% of credit card balances are delinquent. Higher interest rates are attributed to an increasing number of delinquent auto loans. The average interest rate on a 60-month auto loan is 8.2% —
Lower mortgage rates are about to change the market. If planning on buying a home this year, it’s best to start early. Typically, when mortgage rates go down, more buyers jump into the market. Good homes sell quickly and prices begin to rise. The savings from landing a lower mortgage rate is o en lost by price increases.
Sellers today are anxious to make a deal. Prices have been stagnant; sales are anemic and most sellers are accepting o ers under their listed price. El Dorado County’s median selling price in August was $620,000 or $320 a square foot. A year ago, the median price was $600,000. The 3% increase was the smallest year-over-year price increase since 2007. County home sales in August were 10% less than last year while the number of homes on the market increased 23%.
The residential market lives and dies on mortgage rates. When in late-May mortgage rates went over 7%, buyers took an extended home shopping vacation. Lower mortgage rates will change the market dynamics. Buyers who arrive early will have a greater selection of homes and nd sellers receptive to their o ers. That won’t last long. Sellers will respond to increased buyer activity with higher prices and holding rm on their listed price.
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The uptick in inventory should continue. An increasing number of sellers have decided that life is more than a low mortgage rate. Most new listings with a mortgage have an interest rate below 4%. Homeowners who were staying put with their low-interest mortgages have decided they have other more important priorities.
Homes in El Dorado County are still underpriced. With the state’s median selling price over $900,000, county homes are a bargain. Living close to urban work centers and the beach isn’t worth the price. Quality of life matters. Bay Area sellers will continue to be El Dorado County buyers. Most will discover a new address in El Dorado Hills.
This will be my last weekly column. A self-re ective line by Clint Eastwood in his 1973 Dirty Harry movie is, “A man’s got to know his limitations.”
A er 50-years involved in all aspects
of real estate and 20 years of writing for the Mountain Democrat, it’s time for someone else to step forward with information and commentary on the local real estate market.
I am grateful to my editors and publisher of this newspaper who have allowed me the opportunity to share my experiences and opinions. I’m thankful to my loyal readers. They have been my inspiration for all the early mornings and late nights composing a column I prayed someone would read. I’m blessed to have a wife who has patiently allowed me the quiet time required and has been my proof editor. I have received more from the experience of writing this column than I have given. We are fortunate to live and work in El Dorado County where I plan to remain an active participant.
Ken Calhoon is a real estate broker in El Dorado County. He can be reached for questions or comments at ken@kencalhoon.com.
LOS ANGELES — California home sales hit a seven-month low in August, as buyers held out despite interest rates that dipped to the lowest level since spring, the California Association of Realtors recently reported.
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 262,050 in August, according to information collected by CAR from more than 90 local Realtor associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualized sales gure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2024 if sales maintained the August pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically in uence home sales.
August’s sales pace fell 6.3% from the 279,810 homes sold in July and were up 2.8% from a year ago, when a revised 254,820 homes were sold on an annualized basis. The sales pace has remained below the 300,000-threshold for 23 consecutive months, while yearto-date home sales edged up 0.5% from the rst eight months of 2023.
“Home price growth in California continued to moderate in August as the market neared the end of the traditional home buying season,” said CAR President Melanie Barker, a Yosemite Realtor. “With the Federal Reserve signaling it will lower interest rates soon, mortgage rates are expected to ease well below their recent peaks. As such, housing a ordability will improve in the fall and buyers will bene t from lower costs of borrowing in the coming months.”
August’s statewide median price was essentially at, inching up 0.2% from $886,560 in July to $888,740 in August. California’s median home price was 3.4% higher than the revised $859,670 recorded in August 2023.
The year-over-year gain was the 14th straight month of annual price increases, albeit the smallest since September 2023. Home prices could so en further in the coming months but should continue to register yearover-year growth for the rest of the year.
Sales in higher-priced market segments continued to in uence the mix of sales, but the impact on the state-wide median price growth has been reduced in recent months. While the sales pace for the $1 million-andhigher price segment decelerated in August to 3.6%, sales in the sub$500,000 market had a lackluster performance as well, dropping 9.0% below the year-ago level. Moderation in the median price growth could be observed in the coming months if the share of homes priced at or above $1 million continues to shrink in the fall.
“Despite a slightly better lending environment in recent weeks, closed home sales pulled back in August as buyers evaluated whether to wait for the Federal Reserve to cut rates before entering the market,” said CAR Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “Pending sales, along with mortgage application trends, however, suggest that housing demand has been slowly improving in the past few weeks. If mortgage rates remain at their current low or dip further in the coming weeks, home sales should rise steadily as we move toward the end of the year.”
Other key points from CAR’s August 2024 resale housing report include:
• At the regional level, home sales in all major regions except for two were higher than their year-ago levels in August. Three out of the ve regions in the state registered increases from a year ago, with the San Francisco Bay Area (4.8%) increasing the most. It was followed by the Central Coast (3%) and
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summed it up best: “What these colors tell me is that the mood is uncertain. Colors are all over the place. We have murky reds and not-true blues. With the upcoming election and political environment as
it is the overall feeling is unsure.”
Unsure, now that would be a good name for a paint color.
“We’re de nitely seeing a move toward more earth tones and browns,” she said, “a shi to
promoting comfort. We’re also seeing a color comeback; we’re using less o white and beige.” (Amen!)
Interior designer
Lauren Sharp, who leads the design team at Freemodel, a home
remodeling company in Burlingame, said, “A er several years of color trends leaning toward greens and blues,” she added, “it’s exciting to see warm rusts and maroons.” She describes the 2025 COTY picks
so far as “muted, moody and earthy,” with a gem tone here and there.
“Many of the colors also have a yummy vibe,” she added. “Co ee and berry pie come to mind.”
If she had to pick a favorite, Khurana said she leans toward Raku, a burnt brownish red by C2 Paint. “It’s both modern and traditional.”
To Sharp, Quietude, the HGTV Home by Sherwin-Williams COTY, stands out. “The so , cool sage would be perfect for those who love neutral interiors but want to bring in a subtle color that pairs well with oatmeal, cream and natural wood.”
Regardless of whether you embrace any of the choices, if this year’s COTYs get you thinking about colors in a new way, that’s the point. Here are the current 2025 COTY picks from ve main paint companies, along with some of the purple prose they sent along describing them:
If the rumors are true, rich earthy reds will dominate color trends next year. “A red that’s both timeless and modern, Rumors makes a statement but is also incredibly versatile, thanks to its rich undertones, which are a bit more approachable when compared to its re engine or apple red cousins,” said Andy Lopez, head of marketing at Behr Paint.
A burnt, brownish red, Raku draws inspiration from a centuries-old pottery method used in Japan. The method is known for creating unique, variegated patterns that embrace the beauty of imperfection. “Raku is an expression of balance, comfort, and timeless elegance,” says Philippa Radon, C2 Paint color director.
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the Central Valley (0.8%) regions. The two regions in the state that fell behind last year’s sales level were the Far North (-5%) and Southern California (-2.3%).
• Twenty-six of the 53 counties tracked by CAR recorded sales increased from a year ago, with 10 of them jumping more than 10% yearover-year. Yuba (37.1%) posted the largest yearly sales gain, followed by Mendocino (25.6%) and Glenn (25%). Twenty-seven counties experienced sales decreases from last year, with 18 of them falling more than 10% yearover-year. Eight counties had sales drops of more than 20%, and three counties experienced sales declines of more than 30%. Trinity (-50%) recorded the biggest annual sales decline in August, followed by Mariposa (-45%) and Plumas (-34.8%).
• At the regional level, all major regions except for one experienced an increase in their median price from a year ago in August. The Central Coast posted the biggest price jump on a year-over-year basis, increasing 8.9% from last August. Far North (7.7%) was a close second, followed by Southern California (4%) and the Central Valley (3.1%). The San Francisco Bay Area (-1.6%) was the only region that recorded a price decline in August compared to a year ago, as six of the nine counties in that region experienced a price drop last month.
• Home prices continued to grow on a year-over-year basis throughout the state, with median sales price in 36 counties registering price increase from a year ago in August. Trinity (36.6%) posted the biggest increase in price last month, followed by Plumas (32.9%) and Imperial (22%). Sixteen counties recorded annual median price declines, with Santa Barbara dropping the most at 18%, followed by Mariposa (-14.6%), and Amador (-12%).
• The statewide unsold inventory index, which measures the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate, increased both month-overmonth and year-over-year. The index
was 3.2 months in August, up from 2.9 months in July and up from 2.4 months in August 2023. Active listings at the state level rose more than 39% from the year-ago level. It was the seventh straight month of annual gains in for-sale properties.
• At the county level, the availability of homes for sale increased from the same month of last year in all but four counties in August. Alameda (124.4%) posted the biggest year-over-year jump, followed by Contra-Costa (96.9%) and Stanislaus (63.9%). The only counties that recorded a decline from last year were Glenn (-27.9%), Kings (-25.5%), Trinity (-7.7%) and San Francisco (-6.1%).
• New active listings at the state level improved from a year ago for the eighth consecutive month, with seven of them recording double-digit increases. Despite a decelerating growth rate in August, the increase in new listings at the tail end of the buying season is an encouraging sign that supply conditions in California will continue to improve in the coming months. Thirty-eight of the 52 counties tracked by CAR recorded an increase in new active listings from a year ago. Calaveras recorded the largest yearover-year increase at 91.8%, followed by Kern (48.8%) and Del Norte (42.1%). Thirteen counties marked declines in new active listings from a year ago, with Lassen (-37.5%) dropping the most, followed by Siskiyou (-33.8%) and Amador (-25.5%).
• The median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home was 22 days in August, up from a revised 17.5 days in August 2023.
• CAR’s statewide sales-price-to-listprice ratio was 100% in August 2024 and 100% in August 2023.
• The statewide median price per square foot for an existing single-family home was $427, up from $416 in August a year ago.
• The 30-year, xed-mortgage interest rate averaged 6.5% in August, down from 7.07% in August 2023, according to CAR’s calculations based on Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage survey data.
Continued from 6
“This rich hue, with its deep cordovan earthy brown hue and sanguine undertones, embodies the art of revitalizing the old with the succession of its renewal—an echo of a timeless classic ourishing in a modern world.”
A er choosing a shade of blue last year, Valspar brought blue back for an “encore,” says Sue Kim, Valspar’s director of color marketing. “An atmospheric blue hue, Encore is an anchoring, honest blue hue that creates a joyful respite from the ebbs and ows of life. Its deep blue tones emulate both the elusive luxury of Old-World design and the futuristic blending of our physical and digital world.”
A cool sage green hue with a slight blue undertone, Quietude sets the stage for a serene environment, says the brand’s press release. “Selected in part for its longevity throughout a variety of design styles, Quietude’s classic elegance equips the hue with true staying power. Quietude reminds us to slow down and look for happiness in the everyday small moments.”
A versatile medium blue with yellow undertones, Mapped
Blue “is more than just a trend: it’s a re ection of changing consumer values,” said Lisbeth Parada, color marketing manager for Dutch Boy Paints. “We’re seeing a signi cant shi , particularly among Millennials and Gen Zs, toward products that o er durability, function and timeless aesthetics. Mapped Blue answers this call, providing a classic yet modern charm that can adapt to various design styles and stand the test of time.”
Marni Jameson is the author of seven books, including “Rightsize Today to Create Your Best Life Tomorrow,” “What to Do With Everything You Own to Leave the Legacy You Want” and “Downsizing the Family Home.” You may reach her at marnijameson.com.
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