F j connect - Feb '14

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FROM THE VICE PRESIDENT’S DESK

Volume 4

Issue 4

Feb 2014

Season Greetings from mjunction! 2013 was for India was a year of highs and lows. On one hand we united as a nation to help those who suffered nature’s fury in Uttarakhand and J&K, on the other, as proud Indians we celebrated the successful launch of Mangalyaan, India’s mission to Mars. We also felt a great deal of achievement when India was declared a Polio free nation for the third consecutive year by WHO. The world also mourned the death of Nelson Mandela who spent 27 years in prison for fighting apartheid and became South Africa’s first black president, ushering in a more equal society. I would also like to take this opportunity to let you know that mjunction was recently awarded the CMMI Level 5 certification. This will now enable us to extend and offer our technology services to other companies and organisations. The Indian economy had a rather bumpy ride in 2013. The economy grew at its slowest pace in a decade, the current account deficit recorded an all-time high of 4.8%. The rising crude oil and gold prices further caused the Indian rupee to fall to an all-time low to around Rs 69. This led to the government to increase import taxes on gold and to decrease fuel subsidy which lead to an fall in the gold import and rise in fuel prices. This brought the fears of India entering a stage of stagflation, an economic rut characterised by slowing economic growth and rising inflation. This led the RBI to implement hawkish policies aimed to tame inflation. This issue of financejunction Connect highlights the trends of the economy and talks about the outlook for 2014. It also features excerpts from an interview our team had with Mr R.N. Murthy, Chief of Marketing & Sales and Mr Sharad Sharma, Chief Sales Planning, both from Tata Steel - Flat Steel Division, on how they have leveraged the Channel Finance program to make their supply chain and sales channel robust in a volatile and lackluster economic scenario charaterised by liquidity crunch. Vinaya Varma, Vice President, mjunction services limited

On behalf of my team at mjunction, I wish you and your families a happy, healthy and wealthy 2014. Regards,

PART 1 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Vinaya Varma, Vice President, mjunction services limited

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Global Economic Outlook: The road to recovery appears to be bumpy but steady

Forecast United States Eurozone

Despite the economic and geo-political challenges, the global economy grew between 2%-2.5% during 2013, equaling its performance in 2012, as economies worldwide struggled to break out of the recessionary and staglflationary cycle. PIMCO expects the global economy to grow between 2.5%-3% in 2014 as most of the challenges faced during 2013 are either being addressed or are progressing towards a point of self-exhaustion.

Headline Information

Real GDP Current*

Q4’ 13 - Q4’ 14

Current*

1.8%

2.25% to 2.75%

0.9%

1.5% to 2.0%

-0.4%

0.25% to 0.75%

0.9%

0.75% to 1.25%

Q4’ 13 - Q4’ 14

United Kingdom

1.5%

2% to 2.5%

2.2%

2.0% to 2.5%

Japan

2.4%

1.0% to 1.5%

0.9%

1.0% to 1.5%

China

7.8%

6.75% to 7.25%

3.2%

3.0% to 3.5%

BRIM**

2.3%

2.75% to 3.25%

5.9%

5.5% to 6.25%

World**

2.3%

2.5% to 3.0%

2.0%

2.0% to 2.25%

*Current data of real GDP and Inflation represent four quarters ending Q3 2013 Source: Bloomberg, PIMCO calculations

**BRIM is Brazil, Russia, India and Mexico

***World is weighted average sum of countries listed in table above


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