Acceso de ICT en AmĂŠrica latina y los Caribe: Revisitando los indicadores
ICT Access in Latin America and the Caribbean: Revisiting the Indicators
Americas Regional Preparatory Meeting for the World Telecommunication Development Conference Port of Spain, Trinidad & Tobago 16-18 October 2001
Contents Conventional indicators New indicators Conclusions
Where Does LAC Fit in? 驴D贸nde la ALC cabe adentro? Subscribers per 100 inhabitants Abonados por 100 habitantes 120 100
Mobile Fixed
1,000
100
80 60
LAC
10
40 20
4T W EU
A fr i
ca As ia LA C& C EE NA
0
1 $100
$1,000
$10,000 $100,000
GDP per capita (US$) PIB par habitante
Network development Desarrollo de la red Telephone subscribers per 100 inhabitants Abonados telefonicos por 100 habitantes 43
Latin America and Caribbean CAGR: 9698: 9.3% 9800: 11.3%
10
12
15
17
CAGR: 9698: 76.9% 9800: 63.2%
20
17 12 1
96 98 00 02 04
Fixed
23
CAGR: 9698: 19.3% 34 9800: 28.9% 27
16 11
4
96 98 00 02 04
Mobile
96 98 00 02 04
Total
Gaps: Hemisphere, Region, Country Boquetes: Hemisferio, Regi贸n, Pa铆s Subscribers per 100 inhabitants / Abonados por 100 habitantes Fija Movil
Guyana Peru
Caribbean Fixed
Central
Mobile
South
North 0
50
100
Vll III
Bolivia
lX
Ecuador
Xl
Paraguay
X
Colombia
Vl
Suriname
Vlll
Brazil
lV
Venezuela
Xll
Argentina
I
Uruguay
II
Chile
V
F. Guiana
Metrop. 0
20
40
0
50
More mobile countries Más móviles países
1
Paraguay Venezuela
80 Bolivia Chile El Salvador Guatemala Mexico
0 1999
2000
Países en los que hay más abonados a teléfonos móviles que a fijos
60 40 20 0 20 05
2
100
Mobile Fixed
20 03
3
120
20 01
4
140
Fixed and mobile telephones In Latin America & Caribbean
19 99
5
Countries where more mobile than fixed telephone subscribers
19 95
6
160
19 97
7
Abonados a teléfonos móviles y fijos en ALC, en millones
The Teledensity problem El problema de teledensidad 80 70
Teledensity Households with telephone
60 50 40 30 20 10
Ri
c Pa a na Ar ma ge nti Ja na ma Co ica lom bia T& Ur T ug ua y
0
Co sta
Teledensity hard to compare across countries El teledensidad difícil a comparar a través de países Is not a measure of universal service No es una medida de servicio universal Is increasingly being supplemented by mobile Está siendo suplido cada vez más por el móvil
Mobile as % of total telephones teléfonos móviles como porcentaje del total de abonados de teléfono
Substitute or Supplement? ¿ Substituto o suplemento
80%
Paraguay Venezuela
60%
Bolivia
Guatemala 40%
Supplement
El Salvador Mexico
Substitute
Jamaica T&T
Chile Argentina
USA
Uruguay Canada
20%
0% 0
20
40
60
80
Household telephone penetration Penetración telefónica en los hogares
100
Definitions Definiciones Universal ICT service Servicio universal de TIC
Close to 100% household telephone, PC and Internet penetration Cerca del 100% de las casas con teléfono, PC y Internet
Universal ICT access Acceso universal de TIC
Close to 100% of population within ‘easy’ reach of ICT Cerca del 100% de población dentro del alcance del TIC
H Ni C aiti Docara uba m g Pa . R ua Ho rag ep. nd uay u Gu Bo r as ate livi ma a l Gu Pera y E u Ca cuaana El r ib do Sa bea r lv n Ceado n r Ve Mextral ne ic zu o Lela BrAC Co So azi sta ut l R h Beica Ja liz m e Ar Pan aica g a Coentima Tr ini MAmlomna da a er bia d & rti ic n a To i q u s Suba e D ringo St om ame . V in i ic Pu Ur uncen a ert gu t o R ay ic Gr Choi B en le Fr Sar ba ada en t. do Gch Lu s Un uadGui cia ite eloana d S up tat e An Noes tig ua BCan rth & er ada Ba mu rb da St N B Audr a Vi. Kit eth. aha uba rg ts A m in an nt as Isl d N ille an e s ds vis (U S)
Universal telephone service Servicio telef贸nico universal
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
ICT Universal Service Servicio universal de TIC Telephone line, PC and Internet access in household La línea telefónica, la PC y el acceso Internet en casa Most countries do not collect all three La mayoría de los países no recogen los tres For now, universal ICT access more relevant goal for most countries in region Para ahora, meta más relevante es acceso universal de ICT para la mayoría de los países en la región
100% 90% 80% 70% 60%
Telephone PC Internet
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% USA Canada Costa Mexico Peru Rica
Do Cam. Ha r R it Gu ibCbeep. i ate uabn PaGumy al a H r NeEl Sonaguanaa th. alvduray NA a a M icantildosr a r l Fr Ertcinaigues en uaqu a Gcuh Bo doe adGu livir S e ia a Cot. lLounpa lomuc e Ce bia P Ba anntria r aa Jabadmal mo Tr SuMexaics ini da St rin icoa d & . V Bam To increazeil ba nt Ve AgLoA ne ru C zu ba St B S . K P ah ouela itt ue Gream th An s an rto na as tig Cod NRicda u st o Vi a & a BeRviis B c rg in Aargrb eliaz Isl eund e an Ptian dUs era r( u Un A uUCgSu) ite me hai y d S ric le ta as CaNoters na th da
Internet access Accesso a Internet
45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
A new universal access definition Una nueva definición del acceso universal Prepaid mobile service
Servicio movil prepago
+
High population coverage
+
Alta cobertura de población
=
Universal Access
=
Acceso universal
Brazil Tele Celular Sul
December 2000
Population: Subscribers: % prepaid: Density: Coverage:
14.7 million 1.42 million 46% 13 per 100 78%
Per capita income: Mobile Handset: As % of per capita income: Recharge card: R$20 As % of per capita income:
R$6’578 R$299 4.71% 0.31%
El Par GuSal agu Veatve ad ay ne maor Pz M Banuaellaa Aarrtinolimv a g e iq ia nt ue B Ja riana Mmai zil Ho eCxica Tr Ni nd hco G i in ida uacdaraurale Fr d Eelo gu s en& cu upa chTo ad e CGo ubag or Ba loimano Urrba bai a Un ugduos ite Ca Peay Cod S na ru stata da G St reRties .K Gunaca itt St. Byada s a V e na nd inc lize StN en . Lev t i Cuucsia ba
Mobile & PCs
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Mobile PCs
Nielsen//NetRatings
July 2001
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
US
Time spent per month Tiempo de utilizaci贸n por mes
7:21
8:10
7:37
10:19
Active Internet universe Usuarios de Internet activos
1.87 m (5.1%)
6.04 m (3.5%)
1.67 m (1.7%)
102 m (37.1%)
Current Internet universe estimate Estimaci贸n de usuarios de Internet actuales
3.88 m (10.5%)
11.94 m (7.0%)
3.42 m (3.5%)
165 m (60.0%)
http://www.nielsennetratings.com/
OSIPTEL – Peru www.osiptel.gob.pe
Internet Case Studies Caso de Estudios Internet Improve market research Factors that accelerate or retard Internet development Relationship between Internet and traditional telecom sector
http://www.itu.int/ITU足D/ict/cs/
Conclusions Conclusiones Only sketchy idea of ICT access Solamente idea incompleta del acceso de TIC Much better data needed to measure and analyze ICT access Datos mucho mejores necesitados para medir y para analizar acceso de TIC Telecom policy-makers, regulators should work with national statistical offices to develop annual surveys Reguladores deben trabajar con las oficinas de estadĂstica nacionales para desarrollar encuestas anuales
Ideas Content
“Development of more content/portals”
Information sharing
“Appropriate forums to facilitate information sharing & produce comparative studies on Internet experiences”
Public access
“Promoting public Internet access facilities”
Tariffs
“… tariff models that favour Internet access”
Training and education
“Make people aware of, and provide them with training in, the use of information technologies”
Policy and legal
“Establish an appropriate legal basis for all matters relating to the Internet”
Technology
“Broadband”
International and regional coordination