N A T I O N A L CATTLEMEN
To be the trusted leader and definitive voice of the U.S. cattle and beef industry. JULY 2021 • Vol. 37, No. 10 • NCBA.org
MARKET SNAPSHOT
WEEK OF 6/21/2021 (prices vs. a year go) SOUTH CENTRAL 500-600 LB. STEERS $162.39
$100.78
9.6%
LIVE FED STEERS $112.31
21.9%
$122.85
CHOICE BOXED BEEF $220.34
49.6%
$329.72
OMAHA CASH CORN $6.32
98.3%
$3.19
IN THIS ISSUE
3
LEADERSHIP COMMENTS
4
POLICY
6
WEATHER
8
EDUCATION
An update on NCBA’s work on priority issues in Washington, D.C., and the importance of a strong state-national partnership. How beef is labeled and marketed has been a concern and widely debated topic in the cattle industry for many years and NCBA is taking action as directed by grassroots policy. U.S. moisture outlook through the end of summer.
Incorporating risk management strategies can provide a buffer with cattle industry price fluctuations.
12
MARKET MATTERS
Beef exports are looking up as the world re-opens and forecasting steer and heifer slaughter.
14
FEDERATION
NATIONAL CATTLEMEN’S BEEF ASSOCIATION 9110 E. NICHOLS AVENUE, SUITE 300 CENTENNIAL, CO 80112
PRSRT STD U.S. Postage PAID Denver, CO Permit No. 1673
State promotions are kicking into high gear for summer grilling season, connecting families with flavorful beef for gatherings and celebrations.
Markets Conversation Ongoing in Washington All too often, the priorities of lawmakers in Washington, D.C., seem not to align with those of cattle producers across the country. These days, however, that does not seem to be the case. The topic on everyone’s mind? Cattle markets. Volatility in the markets, a persistent disparity between the price of live cattle and the boxed beef cutout, and jarring “black swan” events like the cyberattack on JBS have thrown into stark contrast the threats that exist for our supply chain – and lawmakers are taking notice. “The challenges that are plaguing our producers are really coming into focus for members of Congress from across the country,” said NCBA Vice President of Government Affairs Ethan Lane. “There’s concern for how persistent inequities in the market impact not only producers, but also how that extends to consumers and the prices they are seeing at the meat counter. Rural America is often left out of the conversation in Washington — believe me, we have everyone’s attention right now.” Obviously, across cattle country, challenges to producer profitability are likewise dominating the conversation in coffee shops. The Agricultural and Food Policy Center at Texas A&M University and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Office of the Chief Economist recently held a Cattle Markets Workshop in Kansas City, Mo. The meeting brought together researchers from Oklahoma State University, University of Arkansas, University of Wyoming, Kansas State University, Colorado State University, Mississippi State University, and Texas A&M to discuss current cattle marketing issues alongside industry leaders from NCBA and other organizations. Over two days, academics joined market participants from across the industry to dive into the dynamics of price discovery and price determination, how processing capacity impacts the market, the critical need for price reporting and market transparency, and what we can learn from past periods of volatility in the cattle markets. “Frustrations are high right now among cattle producers. This is understandable given the spreads we’ve seen between live cattle and beef,” said NCBA President Jerry Bohn. “Across all sectors of the cattle industry, there’s motivation to learn more about the factors that are going into these prices and a concerted push for more sustainable market conditions.” Attendees also discussed the value of alternative
marketing arrangements (AMAs) like formulas and forward contracts versus the decline in price discovery brought about by declining cash trade. The widespread consensus in the cattle and beef industry that something needs to change is translating to growing momentum in Congress. In the last month, nearly 100 lawmakers in the U.S. House and Senate have signed a series of letters to the U.S. Department of Justice, urging them to conclude and publicize the results of their year-long investigation into potential anticompetitive practices in the meatpacking sector. In March, Senator Deb Fischer (R-NE) introduced the Cattle Market Transparency Act. The bill, if enacted, would direct the Secretary of Agriculture and the Office of the Chief Economist at USDA to establish regional mandatory minimums for negotiated trade of fed cattle. It would also direct USDA to establish a library of cattle formula contracts, amend the definition of “cattle committed” to expand the delivery window from seven to 14 days, and clarify confidentiality rules for administering Livestock Mandatory Reporting (LMR). Also in March, Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) introduced a bill that would require a minimum of 50 percent of meatpacker’s daily harvest of fed cattle to be sourced from the cash market and delivered within 14 days of sale. Additional legislation has been introduced in the House, and multiple committees on Capitol Hill are likely to hold hearings specifically on market and supply chain challenges in the cattle and beef industry. Cattle producers have long witnessed the decline of negotiated trades in favor of AMAs in the fed cattle complex, and NCBA has been at the forefront of this conversation. While the use of formulas, grids, and other AMAs help cattle producers manage risk and capture more value for their product, these AMAs depend upon the price discovery that occurs in the direct, buyer-seller interactions of negotiated transactions. Current research has shown that more negotiated trade is needed to achieve “robust” price discovery within the industry, but each of the five USDA reporting regions contributes to this price discovery differently. To truly contribute to an environment with robust price discovery, policies must factor in the unique characteristics of each reporting region.
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