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Auto Ancillary Market India Auto Ancillary Market – March 2013
Executive Summary Market
Auto ancillary market in India is expected to reach INR a9 bn in 2015‐16, growing at a CAGR of z2 % from INR a5 bn in 2011‐12 Engine parts account for the largest share, representing b1% of the total auto component market
Drivers & Challenges
Drivers: ‐ Growing Automotive Industry ‐ Healthy Economic Outlook ‐ Auto Aftermarket Demand ‐ Growing Investments ‐ Opportunity from New US IT Compliance Law
Challenges: ‐ Exposed to Cyclical Downturns in the Automobile Industry ‐ Rising Labour Costs and Price of Raw Materials ‐ Counterfeit Market ‐ Technical Inefficiency ‐ Depreciating Currency
Government Initiatives
Union Budget 2012‐13 National Automotive Board National Automotive Testing and R&D Infrastructure Project (NATRIP) N i lA i T i d R&D I f P j (NATRIP) Export Incentives ACMA Initiatives
Trends
Diversification Rising PE/VC Investments Rising PE/VC Investments Focus on Quality
Competition
Market comprises of a large number of domestic players and steadily increasing participation from foreign players, mainly through mergers & acquisitions Some of the major players in the market are Player 1, Player 2, Player 3, Player 4, Player 5, Player 6, Player 7, Some of the major players in the market are Player 1 Player 2 Player 3 Player 4 Player 5 Player 6 Player 7 Player 8, Player 9, Player 10, Player 11, Player 12, Player 13, Player 14, Player 15, Player 16, Player 17, Player 18 and others
Adoption of Green Strategies Increasing Foreign Presence Increasing Foreign Presence Changing Design
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•Macro‐Economic Indicators •Market Overview •Segments S t • Major Segments • Major Sub‐Segments j g
•Opportunity Areas •Export‐Import •Drivers & Challenges •Government Initiatives •Trends •Competitive Landscape •Strategic Recommendations g •Appendix AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
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Indian auto ancillary market, exhibiting rapid development and is expected …
SAMPLE Auto Ancillary Market – Overview
• Auto ancillary market is one of the fastest growing segment within the manufacturing sector in India Auto component market is expected to grow at a CAGR of z2 % to reach INR a9 bn in 2015‐16 from INR a5 bn in 2011‐12
• India has the potential to become one of the top auto component economies by 20‐‐ • There are ~x organized players contributing to y% of the total auto component output, while the unorganized sector accounts for the rest the unorganized sector accounts for the rest Unorganized auto component sector comprises of ~z players, mainly in the replacement market, or are Tier p and Tier q manufacturers Primarily, Type 1 dominate the Indian auto component market
• Indian auto ancillary sector has become a lucrative market for the global investors as the I di t ill t h b l ti k t f th l b l i t th country’s overall automobile industry is expected to witness a u‐fold increase in demand by 20‐ along with the business friendly environment, favorable policies and availability of skilled manpower at a comparatively lower cost
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SAMPLE
…to grow at a steady pace over the next five years Auto Ancillary Market Size & Growth INR bn +z2% +z1%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013e
2014e
2015e
2016e
Market Segmentation – Sector‐wise INR bn
Sales to OEMs
Exports
Aftermarket
AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
Imports 5
Auto ancillary industry will generate employment opportunities and also contribute to country’s GDP Contribution to Employment Generation
Creating x to y mn additional jobs
Contribution to GDP
SAMPLE
‘000 Person
%
a3 – a4 +z1%
+z2% 29%
a2 29% a1 28%
71% 71%
72%
2009
2015e Direct
2020e
2009
2015e
2020e
Indirect
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Auto ancillary market in India is expected to witness robust growth in terms of production, exports as well as imports Auto Ancillary Market – Future Outlook
SAMPLE
INR bn
+z%
a3 i3%
e3%
a2 i2% e2%
a1 e1%
i1%
p3% p2%
p1%
2011
2016e
Imports p
Exports p
2021e
Domestic Production
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SAMPLE
Value Chain Analysis
Base Raw Material Producers
Raw Material 1, Raw Material 2, R Raw Material 3, Raw Material 4, Raw Material 5
Semi Finished Material Semi Finished Material1, Semi Finished Material 2, Semi Finished Material 3
Type 3 T Type 1 1
T Type 2 2 Tier r Manufacturers
Tier p Manufacturers
Tier q Manufacturers
Function 1
Auto part 1, Auto part 2, Auto part 3 etc.
Market 1 Type 4/ Type 5 Market
Function 3, Function 4, Function 5, Function 6, Function 7, Function 8, Function 9 Function 9
Market 2
Intermediaries End Users AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
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Opportunities differ across manufacturers positioned at various levels within the auto ancillary sector
SAMPLE
India‐based global supplier Domestic Tier 1 Supplier Domestic Tier 2/3 Supplier Small Local Entrepreneur Opportunity 4 Opportunity 3 Opportunity 2 Opportunity 2 Opportunity 1
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SAMPLE
Auto Ancillary Market – Segments (1/3)
Auto Ancillary Market – Segmentation (2010‐11) b7% b % b6% b1% b5%
b b4%
Segment 1
Segment 5
Segment 2
Segment 6
Segment 3
Other
Segment 4 b3%
• Auto components industry has been classified into six broad segments: • Segment 1 represent the largest segment with b1% share of auto component market • This is followed by segment 2 with b2% share • Segment 3 and Segment 4 account for b3% share each in the entire product range • Segment 5 and Segment 6 represent b5% and b6% respectively Segment 5 and Segment 6 represent b5% and b6% respectively
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SAMPLE
Auto Ancillary Market – Segments (2/3) Segment 1
• Finding 1 g • Finding 2 • Finding 3 • Finding 4
Segment 2
Outlook
• Finding 1 g • Finding 2 • Finding 3 • Finding 4
• These fall into three broad categories: Th f ll i h b d i Category 1 Category 2 Others
Sub‐segments
• Major parts include: Major parts include:
• Major parts include: Part 6, Part 7, Part 8 and Part 9, Part 10, etc.
Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, etc.
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SAMPLE Segment 1
•Sub‐segment 1 g •Sub‐segment 2 •Sub‐segment 3 S b t3 •Sub‐segment 4 •Sub‐segment 5 •Sub‐segment Sub segment 6 6 AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
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SAMPLE
Sub‐segment 1 (1/2)
Major Players & Strategic Alliances
Sub‐segment 1 – Demand mn units
Company
+z%
2011
2012
2013e
2014e
2015e
2020e
Collaboration
Player 1
Player 7, Country 1
Player 2
Player 8, Country 2; Pl 8 C 2 Player 10, Country 3; Player 11, Country 4
Player 3
Player 12, Country 5
Player 4
Player 13, Country 6
Player 5 Player 5
Player 14 Country 7 Player 14, Country 7
Product Variation b8% b6% b7%
Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 yp Type 4 Type 5 Type 6
b4% b3%
b1%
Player 6
Type 7 Type 8
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SAMPLE
Sub‐segment 1 (2/2)
Market Segmentation
Region‐wise
Sector‐wise
d3%
c4% c1% c3%
South
d1%
North
West
East
AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
Replacement
OE
Export
14
SAMPLE
Opportunity Areas – Summary Auto ancillary manufacturing plants should be built near the major automobile production or assembly facilities to capitalize on the growing opportunities provided by the existing as well as the emerging auto hubs in India
State 1
State 2 and Surrounding
Automobile Production Hubs i I di in India
State 3
St t 4 d S State 4 and Surrounding di
Opportunity Area for the auto ancillary manufacturers
AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
State 5 15
SAMPLE
State 1 – Opportunity Areas
State 1 – Auto Hub
•Company Company 1 1 •Company 2 •Company 3 Place 1 State 1 State 1
Place 3 Place 3
Place 4 Place 2
•Company 4 Place 5 Place 6 Auto ancillary units in Place 2, Place 5 and Place 6 play a significant role in supporting significant role in supporting the development of State 1 as an auto hub
Major Auto Hubs
Major Auto ancillary Hubs AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
Emerging Auto ancillary Hubs 16
Auto majors establishing manufacturing plants in State 1, resulting in a higher demand for auto ancillary units State 1 – Auto Industry Scenario
• Finding 1 Sub‐finding 1 Sub‐finding 2
• Finding 3 • Finding 4 Finding 4 Sub‐finding 3 Sub‐finding 4
• Finding 5 Sub‐finding 5
• Finding 6
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State 1 is likely to attract investment owing to its favourable environment
SAMPLE Government Support
• Finding 1 • Finding 2 Location Advantage
State 1 – Growth Drivers `
• Finding 1 • Finding 2
H Human Resource Development R D l t • Finding 1 Sub‐finding 1
• Finding 2 g Availability of Land • Finding 1 Finding 1 • Finding 2
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Growth of exports have been hampered by the turbulent global economic scenario Exports – Overview • Finding 1 Sub‐finding 1
Exports (Value) INR bn
Sub‐finding 2
+z%
• Finding 3 Sub‐finding 3 Sub Sub‐finding finding 4 4
• Finding 5 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2016e
2021e
Export Destinations 20‐‐ b4%
b5% b6%
Region 1 Region 2 b1%
b3%
Region 3 R i 4 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6
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Drivers & Challenges – Summary
Challenges Exposed to Cyclical Downturns in the Automobile Industry
Drivers
Rising Labour Costs and Price of Raw Materials
Growing Automotive Industry
Counterfeit Market
Healthy Economic Outlook
Technical Inefficiency
Auto Aftermarket Demand
Depreciating Currency
Growing Investments Opportunity from New US IT O t it f N US IT Compliance Law
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Growth in the automobile industry is expected to generate huge order… Growing Automotive Industry (1/3)
Impact
• Finding 1 Sub‐finding 1
• Finding 2 Sub‐finding 2
• Finding 3
Growing Automotive Industry Turnover INR tr
Rising Passenger Vehicle Production ‘000 units
+z1%
2011
+z2%
2016e
2009
AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
2010
2011
2012
2016e
2021e
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Union Budget 2012‐13 has hit the auto ancillary industry in both advantageous as well as disadvantageous ways
SAMPLE Union Budget 2012‐13
• Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3 Finding 3
Positive Impact
Negative Impact
• Impact 1 • Impact 2 • Impact 3 • Impact 4
• Impact 1 • Impact 2 • Impact 3 Impact 3
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Trends – Summary
SAMPLE Diversification
Rising PE/VC Investments
Focus on Quality Key Trends `
Adoption of Green Strategies
Increasing Foreign Presence
Ch Changing Design i D i
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SAMPLE
Public: Domestic Company – Company 1(1/4) Company Information
Offices and Centres – India
Corporate Address
Address 1
Tel No.
+91‐xx‐ yyyyyyyyy
Fax No.
+91‐ww‐zzzzzzzz
Website
www.xxx.com
Year of Incorporation
‐
Ticker Symbol
‐
Stock Exchange
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
New Delhi
Head Office
Products and Services Products and Services Products Product 1, Product 2, Product 3, Product 4, Product 5, Product 6, Product 7, Product 8, Product 9, Product 10, Product 11, Product 12 P d t 13 P d t 14 P d t 15 P d t 16 P d t 17 12, Product 13, Product 14, Product 15, Product 16, Product 17, Product 18, Product 19, Product 20, Product 21, Product 22, Product 23, Product 24, Product 25 and Product 26
Key People N Name
D i ti Designation
Person 1
MD and Executive Director
Person 2
VP of Finance and Accounts
Person 3
CEO of Subsidiary 1
Person 4
MD of Subsidiary 2
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SAMPLE
Public: Domestic Company – Company 1(2/4) Financial Snapshot i i lS h Total Income
K Key Ratios i
Particulars
Net Profit/Loss
INR mn
INR mn
b1
2008
b2
b3
2009
2010
b4
2011
Financial Summary
y‐o‐y change 2011 (2011‐10)
2010
2009
2008
Profitability Ratios Operating Margin Net Margin Profit Before Tax Margin Return on Equity Return on Capital Employed Return on Working Capital Return on Assets Return on Fixed Assets
‐
‐
‐
‐
‐
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Cost Ratios
• The company incurred a net profit of INR a4 mn in FY 2011, as compared to net profit of INR a3 mn in FY 2010 • The company reported total income of INR b4 mn in FY 2011, registering an increase of x% over FY 2010 registering an increase of x% over FY 2010 • The company earned an operating margin of p% in FY 2011, an increase of q percentage points over FY 2010 • The company reported debt to equity ratio of r in FY 2011, an increase of z% over FY 2010
Key Financial Performance Indicators Indicators
Value (‐‐/07/2012)
Market Capitalization (INR mn) Total Enterprise Value (INR mn) EPS (INR) EPS (INR) PE Ratio (Abs) (‐‐/07/2012)
x1 x2 x3 x4
Operating costs (% of Sales) Administration costs (% of Sales) Interest costs (% of Sales) Interest costs (% of Sales)
Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio Cash Ratio
Leverage Ratios Debt to Equity Ratio Debt to Capital Ratio b i l i Interest Coverage Ratio
Efficiency Ratios Fixed Asset Turnover Asset Turnover Current Asset Turnover Working Capital Turnover Capital Employed Turnover
Improved
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Decline
25
SAMPLE
Public: Domestic Company – Company 1(3/4) Key Business Segments
Key Geographic Segments
Automotive Components
India
100% 50%
100%
Finding 1
x1%
0%
50%
x2%
Finding 2
0%
2011
2011
Business Highlights (1/2) Description
News
Overview
• Company is engaged in manufacturing and sales of integrated automotive components primarily in Country 1, Country 2 and Country 3 It produces parts for segment 1, part 1, part 2 and part 3 for segment 2,segment 3, and segment 4
Fund Raising
and segment 5 Also, it manufactures components for various sectors, such as the sector 1, sector 2, sector 3, sector 4, sector 5, sector 6 and sector 7
• In Mar 201‐‐, company had raised ~INR x bn via issuance of foreign currency convertible bonds to fund acquisitions and other capital investments bonds to fund acquisitions and other capital investments Previously, in Jan 20‐‐, company’s board was allowed to raise ~INR y bn via foreign debt instruments, such as GDRs, ADRs, FCCBs or other securities convertible into equity AUTO ANCILLARY MARKET IN INDIA 2013.PPT
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SAMPLE
Strategic Recommendations – Summary
Recommendation 1
Recommendation 2
Key Recommendations `
Recommendation 3
Recommendation 4
Recommendation 5
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