TYPOLOGICAL DENSITY FRAMEWORK | CHICAGO
800 mi2
2016
1,000-2,500 mi2
2030 5,000-7,500+ mi2
2050
PR ES DA EN Y T
10,000-15,000+ mi2
T
2100
Y R A R
O P
M E G IN S U
O H CH
AN
GI
NG
TY
PO
LO
GI
L IN ON TE GGR TE AT RM IO N
CA
LC
ON
DI
TIO
NS
SU ST FU AIN TU AB RE LE
Single Family Housing
$403k
$191k
$170k
Cook County Correctional
$131k
$103k
Townhouses
University of Illinois at Chicago
Apartments
$791k $600k
$1,000+
Property Value (Thousands)
RAIL
RAIL
$495k
$313k
$339k
$548k
$588k
$518k
$409k
$412k
$490k
$512k
$532k
$492k
$412k
$527k
$542k
$501k
$542k
$500k
$496k $347k
Freeway
Freeway
$450k
Freeway
$319k
$314k
$294k
$333k
$371k
$433k
$338k
$401k
$430k
Freeway
$600 (<1000 Households)
$200
Franklin Park
Vegetative Density University of Illinois
Land Use Central Business District Parkland Industrial Migratory Communities Historical Redlining
University Village
Little Italy
Medical District
No Pop. Data
COOK COUNTY JAIL
(Merged 1969)
400 ft
TYPOLOGICAL RELOCATION FRAMEWORK | BOSTON
12,000 mi2
2100 8,000 mi2
2050
SE
N S IO T T A EN IN M L E A V S O E R D P IM
RE
TT
LE
10,000 mi2
2030
ME
NT
12,000 mi2
IN WI TE HO TH GR US EX AT IN IST ION G IN G
GI
CA
LC
SIN
G
ON
DI
TIO
NS
RI
SIN
$610k $580k $435k $455k $415k $500k
$370k
$450k
$400k $330k $518k
$4.31M
$2.5M/Unit
BROOKLINE
Vegetative Density
Land Use Central Business District Parkland Industrial Migratory Communities Historical Redlining
$400k
$500k
$590k
$700k
$395k
$480k $415k
$1.41M $1.1M $1.3M
$395k
$891k
$340k $576k $598k
$370k
$736k
$1.61M
$310k
$896k
$1.80M $1.14M
JAMAICA PLAIN
$1.5M $898k
$914k
$1.82M
$849k
$750k
$1.06M
ROXBURY DORCHESTER
ROXBURY
SOUTH BOS
SOUTH END
Mass Pike
Country Club (<400 Households) Blue Hill Ave Franklin Park (<50 Households)
Correctional Facilities
EXPRESSWAY EXPRESSWAY
$200
$338k
A
EXPRESSWAY EXPRESSWAY
$600
SE
$1.81M
$1,000+
Property Value (Thousands)
G
16
LO
OU
20
PO
50
TY
AR YH
Blue Hills Ave
NG
OR
20
GI
MP
00
AN
TE
21
CH
2016
DOWNTOWN
NORTH END
TYPOLOGICAL DENSITY FRAMEWORK | GRAND RAPIDS
10,000 mi2
2100 5,000 mi2
2050 2,500 mi2
SU ST FU AIN TU AB RE LE
2030
1,000 mi2
2016
PR IN O FR JE AS CT TR ED UC TU R
E
CH
AN
GI
NG
TY
PO
EX IN IS FR TI AS NG TR UC U
TR
LO
GI
CA
LC
ON
DI
E
TIO
NS
Single and Multifamily Housing
$73k
$81k
$73k
$85k $42k $75k $70k $80k $142k $138k
$116k $68k
$119k $82k $67k $65k
$80k $73k $79k
$60k
$60k $72k
$80k $63k $88k $57k $57k $59k $104k $63k
$219k
Garden Street
$77k
Hall Street
Single and Multifamily Housing
$1,000+
Property Value (Thousands) Vegetative Density
Land Use Central Business District Parkland Industrial Migratory Communities Historical Redlining
$600 $200
0
Rt. 131/296
Built Ground “Buffer”
$84k $84k $141k
Seward Ave
$132k$125k $132k $142k
Lexington Ave
Gold Ave
$92k $98k $113k $78k $70k $93k
Route 131
Parking Lot
Rt. 131
Grand River
Rt. 196
$103k $78k $78k $153k
National Ave
$108k $48k $88k $63k $93k
Straight Ave
Single Family Housing
RAIL
100 ft.
ASSEMBLING AN EQUITABLE MIGRATION FRAMEWORK
Marshall DeGarmo | SUEN 7130 | Scott Bishop
Displacement In Context: Historical Migration and Displacement 7.8 (47%) 2.6 (4%) 0.6 (6%) 1.7 (2%) 1.3 (2%)
4.3-13.1 (1-4%) 50.5 (4%) 1.0 (2%)
.08 (6%)
0.57 (7%)
12.6 (1%)
African Slave Trade (1400-1800)
Irish Potato Famine (1845-49)
Chinese Immigration (1848-1882)
Gold Rush (1848-1855)
Holocaust - Displacement (1933-1945)
Great Migration (1940s-1960s)
1.0 (4%)
4.7 (9%) 10.2 (7%)
12.8 (10%)
8.2 (12%)
6.2 (7%) 23.4 (26%)
GLOBAL DISPLACEMENT
1.2 (4%)
Largest Contributors to Global Carbon Emissions - Lifetime Country
Contribution
Displacement
Discrepancy
U.S.A
27%
4%
23%
China
11%
4%
7%
Russia
8%
<1%
7%
10.2 (4%) 1.7 (1%)
Syrian Civil War (2015-)
Climate Change (US) 2100
Climate Change (Global) 2100 760 Million to 1 Billion Displaced
GLOBAL REDISTRIBUTION METRICS 1 Million US Migrants 1 Million International Migrants
Method 1: “Carbon Accountability”
Method 2: “Spatial Accountability”
Method 3: “Self-Interest”
Redistribution is based on lifetime contribution to greenhouse gas emissions.
Redistribution is based on spatial availability.
Redistribution is handled locally.
National Burden:
National Burden:
National Burden:
13 MILLION DOMESTIC
13 MILLION DOMESTIC
13 MILLION DOMESTIC
227 MILLION INTERNATIONAL
0 INTERNATIONAL
51 MILLION INTERNATIONAL
240 MILLION CLIMATE REFUGEES
13 MILLION TOTAL REFUGEES
64 MILLION TOTAL REFUGEES
SHIFTING CONTEXT: UTILIZING THE OPENING OF THE NORTHWEST PASSAGE Energy Recovered
~30%
NET GAIN
Emissions Prevented
Externalities
.5-.6 tons CO2
1 ton Material
Faster Shipping Routes
Surface Debris
76-88%
The North Pacific and Atlantic Gyres provide a potential source of MATERIALS whose sourcing could have a significant impact on the viablility of coastal populations.
The Great Pacific Garbage Patch contains potentially billions of tonnes of sourceable plastics, creating an opportunity for a significant reduction of materials
1.3-1.7 tons CO2 1 ton Material
Polystyrene and Polyethylene Containers
1.0-1.5 tons CO2
~50%*
1 ton Material
MicroPlastics
Grand Rapids, MI Area: 48.3 sq mi Density: 4,235/sq mi
Detroit, MI Area: 142.87 sq mi Density: 5,142/sq mi Greater Metro Area Area: 1337 sq mi Density: 2,792.9/sq mi
Milwalkee, WI Area: 96.1 sq mi Density: 6188.3/sq mi
Buffalo, NY Area: 40.4 sq mi Density: 6470.6/sq mi
Rochester, NY Area: 35.8 sq mi Density: 5,884.9/sq mi
2030
2050
2100
NET GAIN
2 Million
Cleveland, OH Area: 77.7 sq mi Density: 5107.2/sq mi
Boston, MA Area: 48.3 sq mi Density: 12,792.7/ sq mi
1 Million
Greater Metro Area Area: 10,857 sq mi Density: 896.2/sq mi
TOTAL
Boston
Grand Rapids
Chicago, IL Area: 227.6 sq mi Density: 11,841.8/sq mi
Healthier Ecosystem
* Under Current Methods
NATIONAL REDISTRIBUTION: RETHINKING DENSITY IN THE RUST BELT 2016
Repurposed Materials
Pittsburgh, PA Area: 55.4 sq mi Density:5521.4/sq mi
Rust Belt
16 Million
Baltimore, MA Area: 80.9 sq mi Density: 7,671.5/sq mi
Chicago + Metro Area
44 Million
Great Lakes
~ 63 Million 1,000 mi
2
RELATIVE DENSITY
20,000 mi2
21
20
00
16
Global Fallout
Initial Capacity
CURRENT TIMELINE
Territorial Conflict Renewable-Backed Capacity
Planned Migration
Sustanable Migration Framework
Unplanned Migration
MIGRATION + DEVIATION
Vertical Agriculture
Coastal Inundation
Carbon Sequestriation Renewable Solar
Coastal Cities must design for increased density in the face of rising seas; some of this will require the relocation of established neighborhoods
RENEWABLES
Organic compounds from VERTICAL AGRICULTURE can be used to assist in the synthesis of NANOMATERIALS
MATERIAL CYCLING will allow for minimal waste in those areas where deconstruction is necessary REDEVLOPMENT outside areas threatened by inundation will allow for both TRANSITORY COMMUNITIES and more permanent settlements
Urban Relocation
COASTAL STRATEGIES
Rewnewable Transport
Food
Material Cycling
SOURCING
Marine Plastics Inc Eff reas ici e en d cy
Advancements in the use and implementation of COMPOSITE MATERIALS provide far-reaching benefits, including more efficient SOLAR, lighter and stronger BUILDING MATERIALS, and the more efficient TRANSPORT of environmentally sourced materials
NanoMaterials
Composite Materials Jobs
MATERIALS
Prefabricated Migrant Housing CARBON OFFSETS will be necessary to account for the large amount of redevelopment needed, despite the reduced environmental impact inherent in the framework
CARBON BUDGETING
Transitory Settlements By producing prefabricated dwellings, we can design for their INTEGRATION into more permanent structures, allowing for increased DENSITY as well as REDUCED building times as they are assembled into MOSAIC STRUCTURES
SUSTAINABLE MIGRATION FRAMEWORK
Residential Assembly
BUILDING FOR DENSITY Equitable Conditions
CONDITION
INTERVENTION
CREATED EXTERNALITIES