ARCH7130: Marshall Degarmo

TYPOLOGICAL DENSITY FRAMEWORK | CHICAGO

800 mi2

2016

1,000-2,500 mi2

2030 5,000-7,500+ mi2

2050

PR ES DA EN Y T

10,000-15,000+ mi2

T

2100

Y R A R

O P

M E G IN S U

O H CH

AN

GI

NG

TY

PO

LO

GI

L IN ON TE GGR TE AT RM IO N

CA

LC

ON

DI

TIO

NS

SU ST FU AIN TU AB RE LE

Single Family Housing

$403k

$191k

$170k

Cook County Correctional

$131k

$103k

Townhouses

University of Illinois at Chicago

Apartments

$791k $600k

$1,000+

Property Value (Thousands)

RAIL

RAIL

$495k

$313k

$339k

$548k

$588k

$518k

$409k

$412k

$490k

$512k

$532k

$492k

$412k

$527k

$542k

$501k

$542k

$500k

$496k $347k

Freeway

Freeway

$450k

Freeway

$319k

$314k

$294k

$333k

$371k

$433k

$338k

$401k

$430k

Freeway

$600 (<1000 Households)

$200

Franklin Park

Vegetative Density University of Illinois

Land Use Central Business District Parkland Industrial Migratory Communities Historical Redlining

University Village

Little Italy

Medical District

No Pop. Data

COOK COUNTY JAIL

(Merged 1969)

400 ft

TYPOLOGICAL RELOCATION FRAMEWORK | BOSTON

12,000 mi2

2100 8,000 mi2

2050

SE

N S IO T T A EN IN M L E A V S O E R D P IM

RE

TT

LE

10,000 mi2

2030

ME

NT

12,000 mi2

IN WI TE HO TH GR US EX AT IN IST ION G IN G

GI

CA

LC

SIN

G

ON

DI

TIO

NS

RI

SIN

$610k $580k $435k $455k $415k $500k

$370k

$450k

$400k $330k $518k

$4.31M

$2.5M/Unit

BROOKLINE

Vegetative Density

Land Use Central Business District Parkland Industrial Migratory Communities Historical Redlining

$400k

$500k

$590k

$700k

$395k

$480k $415k

$1.41M $1.1M $1.3M

$395k

$891k

$340k $576k $598k

$370k

$736k

$1.61M

$310k

$896k

$1.80M $1.14M

JAMAICA PLAIN

$1.5M $898k

$914k

$1.82M

$849k

$750k

$1.06M

ROXBURY DORCHESTER

ROXBURY

SOUTH BOS

SOUTH END

Mass Pike

Country Club (<400 Households) Blue Hill Ave Franklin Park (<50 Households)

Correctional Facilities

EXPRESSWAY EXPRESSWAY

$200

$338k

A

EXPRESSWAY EXPRESSWAY

$600

SE

$1.81M

$1,000+

Property Value (Thousands)

G

16

LO

OU

20

PO

50

TY

AR YH

Blue Hills Ave

NG

OR

20

GI

MP

00

AN

TE

21

CH

2016

DOWNTOWN

NORTH END

TYPOLOGICAL DENSITY FRAMEWORK | GRAND RAPIDS

10,000 mi2

2100 5,000 mi2

2050 2,500 mi2

SU ST FU AIN TU AB RE LE

2030

1,000 mi2

2016

PR IN O FR JE AS CT TR ED UC TU R

E

CH

AN

GI

NG

TY

PO

EX IN IS FR TI AS NG TR UC U

TR

LO

GI

CA

LC

ON

DI

E

TIO

NS

Single and Multifamily Housing

$73k

$81k

$73k

$85k $42k $75k $70k $80k $142k $138k

$116k $68k

$119k $82k $67k $65k

$80k $73k $79k

$60k

$60k $72k

$80k $63k $88k $57k $57k $59k $104k $63k

$219k

Garden Street

$77k

Hall Street

Single and Multifamily Housing

$1,000+

Property Value (Thousands) Vegetative Density

Land Use Central Business District Parkland Industrial Migratory Communities Historical Redlining

$600 $200

0

Rt. 131/296

Built Ground “Buffer”

$84k $84k $141k

Seward Ave

$132k$125k $132k $142k

Lexington Ave

Gold Ave

$92k $98k $113k $78k $70k $93k

Route 131

Parking Lot

Rt. 131

Grand River

Rt. 196

$103k $78k $78k $153k

National Ave

$108k $48k $88k $63k $93k

Straight Ave

Single Family Housing

RAIL

100 ft.

ASSEMBLING AN EQUITABLE MIGRATION FRAMEWORK

Marshall DeGarmo | SUEN 7130 | Scott Bishop

Displacement In Context: Historical Migration and Displacement 7.8 (47%) 2.6 (4%) 0.6 (6%) 1.7 (2%) 1.3 (2%)

4.3-13.1 (1-4%) 50.5 (4%) 1.0 (2%)

.08 (6%)

0.57 (7%)

12.6 (1%)

African Slave Trade (1400-1800)

Irish Potato Famine (1845-49)

Chinese Immigration (1848-1882)

Gold Rush (1848-1855)

Holocaust - Displacement (1933-1945)

Great Migration (1940s-1960s)

1.0 (4%)

4.7 (9%) 10.2 (7%)

12.8 (10%)

8.2 (12%)

6.2 (7%) 23.4 (26%)

GLOBAL DISPLACEMENT

1.2 (4%)

Largest Contributors to Global Carbon Emissions - Lifetime Country

Contribution

Displacement

Discrepancy

U.S.A

27%

4%

23%

China

11%

4%

7%

Russia

8%

<1%

7%

10.2 (4%) 1.7 (1%)

Syrian Civil War (2015-)

Climate Change (US) 2100

Climate Change (Global) 2100 760 Million to 1 Billion Displaced

GLOBAL REDISTRIBUTION METRICS 1 Million US Migrants 1 Million International Migrants

Method 1: “Carbon Accountability”

Method 2: “Spatial Accountability”

Method 3: “Self-Interest”

Redistribution is based on lifetime contribution to greenhouse gas emissions.

Redistribution is based on spatial availability.

Redistribution is handled locally.

National Burden:

National Burden:

National Burden:

13 MILLION DOMESTIC

13 MILLION DOMESTIC

13 MILLION DOMESTIC

227 MILLION INTERNATIONAL

0 INTERNATIONAL

51 MILLION INTERNATIONAL

240 MILLION CLIMATE REFUGEES

13 MILLION TOTAL REFUGEES

64 MILLION TOTAL REFUGEES

SHIFTING CONTEXT: UTILIZING THE OPENING OF THE NORTHWEST PASSAGE Energy Recovered

~30%

NET GAIN

Emissions Prevented

Externalities

.5-.6 tons CO2

1 ton Material

Faster Shipping Routes

Surface Debris

76-88%

The North Pacific and Atlantic Gyres provide a potential source of MATERIALS whose sourcing could have a significant impact on the viablility of coastal populations.

The Great Pacific Garbage Patch contains potentially billions of tonnes of sourceable plastics, creating an opportunity for a significant reduction of materials

1.3-1.7 tons CO2 1 ton Material

Polystyrene and Polyethylene Containers

1.0-1.5 tons CO2

~50%*

1 ton Material

MicroPlastics

Grand Rapids, MI Area: 48.3 sq mi Density: 4,235/sq mi

Detroit, MI Area: 142.87 sq mi Density: 5,142/sq mi Greater Metro Area Area: 1337 sq mi Density: 2,792.9/sq mi

Milwalkee, WI Area: 96.1 sq mi Density: 6188.3/sq mi

Buffalo, NY Area: 40.4 sq mi Density: 6470.6/sq mi

Rochester, NY Area: 35.8 sq mi Density: 5,884.9/sq mi

2030

2050

2100

NET GAIN

2 Million

Cleveland, OH Area: 77.7 sq mi Density: 5107.2/sq mi

Boston, MA Area: 48.3 sq mi Density: 12,792.7/ sq mi

1 Million

Greater Metro Area Area: 10,857 sq mi Density: 896.2/sq mi

TOTAL

Boston

Grand Rapids

Chicago, IL Area: 227.6 sq mi Density: 11,841.8/sq mi

Healthier Ecosystem

* Under Current Methods

NATIONAL REDISTRIBUTION: RETHINKING DENSITY IN THE RUST BELT 2016

Repurposed Materials

Pittsburgh, PA Area: 55.4 sq mi Density:5521.4/sq mi

Rust Belt

16 Million

Baltimore, MA Area: 80.9 sq mi Density: 7,671.5/sq mi

Chicago + Metro Area

44 Million

Great Lakes

~ 63 Million 1,000 mi

2

RELATIVE DENSITY

20,000 mi2

21

20

00

16

Global Fallout

Initial Capacity

CURRENT TIMELINE

Territorial Conflict Renewable-Backed Capacity

Planned Migration

Sustanable Migration Framework

Unplanned Migration

MIGRATION + DEVIATION

Vertical Agriculture

Coastal Inundation

Carbon Sequestriation Renewable Solar

Coastal Cities must design for increased density in the face of rising seas; some of this will require the relocation of established neighborhoods

RENEWABLES

Organic compounds from VERTICAL AGRICULTURE can be used to assist in the synthesis of NANOMATERIALS

MATERIAL CYCLING will allow for minimal waste in those areas where deconstruction is necessary REDEVLOPMENT outside areas threatened by inundation will allow for both TRANSITORY COMMUNITIES and more permanent settlements

Urban Relocation

COASTAL STRATEGIES

Rewnewable Transport

Food

Material Cycling

SOURCING

Marine Plastics Inc Eff reas ici e en d cy

Advancements in the use and implementation of COMPOSITE MATERIALS provide far-reaching benefits, including more efficient SOLAR, lighter and stronger BUILDING MATERIALS, and the more efficient TRANSPORT of environmentally sourced materials

NanoMaterials

Composite Materials Jobs

MATERIALS

Prefabricated Migrant Housing CARBON OFFSETS will be necessary to account for the large amount of redevelopment needed, despite the reduced environmental impact inherent in the framework

CARBON BUDGETING

Transitory Settlements By producing prefabricated dwellings, we can design for their INTEGRATION into more permanent structures, allowing for increased DENSITY as well as REDUCED building times as they are assembled into MOSAIC STRUCTURES

SUSTAINABLE MIGRATION FRAMEWORK

Residential Assembly

BUILDING FOR DENSITY Equitable Conditions

CONDITION

INTERVENTION

CREATED EXTERNALITIES