landscapes of flux
social processes
coping
hazard
the ability to react and reduce the effectsof effectsof the hazard experienced disasters
social
speaks to futures unknown; conditions of decampment, retreat, and abondonment and to begin to challenge our idea of permanence.
vulnerability
risk economic
humanitarian response, children, elderly, disabled, gender, psychosocial issues, hiv/aids, environment, climate change, disaster-risk reduction.
adaptive capacities
the ability to anticipate and transform transformto to better survive a hazard experience
integrated economies, urbanization, information technology, human rights, agricultural capacity, access to insurance, strong international institutions, class structure, health/well-being life expectancy, access to public health facilities, community orgs., existing planning regulations, institutional/decision-making frameworks, existing warning/protection from natural hazards, good governance
capacity to anticipate risk
capacity to respond
extreme events
hazard-specific vulnerabilities: poverty lack of social support/networks communication deficits maladaptive/unsustainable approaches
capacity to recover and change
conditions of people derived from historical, prevailing cultural, social, environmental, political & economic contexts
population growth
cross-cutting themes:
the evaluation of success of adaptation strategies depend on spatial & temporal scales
environmental
drivers of capacity
climate change
propensity of exposed elements to suffer adversely when impacted by a hazard
political
adaptation strategies improving capacity is the target goal of policy
capacity reqs: assets, opportunities, social networks, local/externeral institutions are needed to anticipate and avoid being affected by an extreme event and the capacity to deal with the impacts and to recover from them.
exposure
interaction with environment
rapid urban development
international financial pressure
socioeconomic inequalities
trends/failures governance
environmental degradation
in order to be vulnerable to an event you must be exposed to it
exposed elements:
assets
people
exposure factors:
livelihood
environmental
social
economic financial vulnerabilities, work, livelihood institutions, governing bodies, education, demography, migration, social groups, culture, displacement, health/well-being
Physical dimension, geography/location/place, settlement patterns the urban and rural environments
framing risk
climate change storm tide sS1: 20' (apx.) human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
climate change sea level rise sl2: 5.0' human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
climate change sea level rise sl3: 7.5' human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
N/A environmental political economic social climate change storm tide sS1: 29' (apx.) human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
0% resilient
0
N/A environmental political economic social
SS3: cat. 4 *noaa slosh model tide level: 5'
N/A environmental political economic social
N/A environmental political economic social
climate change storm tide sS1: 12' (apx.) human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
SL3: 7.5' *fema flood maps
SS2: cat. 3 *noaa slosh model tide level: 5'
SL2: 5.0' *fema flood maps
N/A environmental political economic social
N/A environmental political economic social
N/A environmental political economic social
SS1: cat. 2 *noaa slosh model tide level: 5'
climate change sea level rise sl1: 2.5' human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
N/A environmental political economic social
SL1: 2.5' *fema flood maps
0% vulnerable
climate change sea level rise sl3: 7.5' human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
climate change sea level rise sl3: 7.5' human welfare waste degradation natural resources biodiversity rapid urban development place water agriculture ecosystem services carbon debt governing trends corruption population growth border security development competition conflict settlement patterns financial pressures economic loss displacement industry infrastructure settlement patterns weak dollar families neighborhoods buildings insurance education age gender disease property social network ethnicity culture human casualties migration patterns psychological individuals income language inequality
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1
high and low tide averages: january high: 9.71’ low: -0.13’ february high: 9.53’ low: 0.01‘ march high: 9.76’ low: -0.06’ april high: 9.22’ low: 0.15‘ may high: 9.74’ low: 0.29’ june high: 9.71’ low: 0.30‘ july high: 9.73’ low: 0.26’ august high: 9.75’ low: 0.21‘ september high: 9.77’ low: 0.19’ october high: 9.77’ low: 0.20‘ november high: 9.74’ low: 0.14’ december high: 9.50’ low: 0.04’
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
hurricane season: june through november statistically: 100+ disturbances with hurricane potential observed in the atlantic, gulf & caribbean each season. apx. 10 reach tropical storm status apx. 6 mature into hurricanes apx. 2 make landfall hurricane duration: 10-12 hour event dependent on region *national oceanic and atmospheric association (noaa)
annual monthly averages for rainfall events *us climate data
landscapes of flux subway mbta bus commuter rail
hurricane + fema inundation airport
transit network flux: employment
fema flood zones ferry
leisure
parks
vehicular circulation flux: leisure
beaches
hurricane inundation
waterfront
community
hydrography flux: tidal ecologies
building footprint flux: community
employment
the ecoregion is part of the northeastern coastal zone and covers most of southern new england as well as coastal areas of new hampshire and maine. this coastal zone has relatively nutrient-poor soils and dense human populations, more than most other ecoregions in the northeastern coastal zone.
ecoregion 59d
maritime shrubland: consists primarily of natural/semi-natural woody vegetation; generally less than 6 meters in height with individuals or clumps not touching or interlocking. both evergreen and deciduous species of shrub are present as well as young trees or trees and shrubs that are generally stunted due to environmental conditions. maritime dunes: occur in windswept areas within the salt spray zone often landward of the beach strand communities and grading to shrubland or woodland. dunes are primarily a part of a barrier beach system and their ability to move is an important part of the habitat they provide. interdunal swale communities are ecosystems found in the wet areas between dunes. common coastal vegetation: beach grasses, seaside goldenrod, beach pea. shrubs such as bearberry, lowbush blueberry, sweet fern and beach plum.
massachusetts coastal zone
boston watershed
landscapes of flux speaks to futures unknown; conditions of decampment, retreat, abandonment, and the temporal spectrum of impermanence, migratation, and seasonality. such fluid terrains provide new opportunities in the wake of increasing climate fluctuation and challenge our idea of permanence. temporal aspects of movement via duration and frequency of urban populations (day, season, year) by type (tourism cycles, work day, student populations) and tidal cycles were examined. the city’s current population, as well as the ipcc, sea level rise trends, and climate change projections helped to inform spatial investigations. spatial scales were researched through the lense of the massachusetts coastline, the ecoregion, the boston watershed, as well as areas along the neponset river. currently, population, open space, building footprints (which lends to the impermeability of the area), roads, mbta transporation lines, colleges and universities are being examined and how these specific areas will be impacted by sea level rise, hurricane storm surge inundation, and yearly precipitation events. temporal aspects of use, ecology, infrastructure, inhabitation, employment, leisure, and models of adaptation inform our conception of retreat, adaptation, and coastal paradigms of control. landscapes of flux refers to the ephemeral boundaries and thresholds so ecological frameworks such as the ecoregion were looked into to begin to understand the complexities of the landscape and what prototypical design would perform in such an environment.
landscapes of flux N
1:2500 1: 2500
2500ft
5000ft
LANDSCAPES OF FLUX INCREASING CLIMATE FLUCTUATION
LAND USE
TIDAL CHANGE: CURRENT FLUX
100%
100%
100%
TIDAL CHANGE: FUTURE FLUX
OTHER
WICKED HIGH TIDES : FULL & NEW MOONS/MONTH
DAILY HIGH + LOW TIDES
COLLABORATIVE CONSUMPTION
83%
OTHER
DECAMPMENT
MULTI FAMILY HOUSING
LEISURE
EMPLOYMENT
20’
20’
2100
2100
15’
15’
DEVELOPED LAND
INFRASTRUCTURE
+ 7.5' SLR
+ 7.5' SLR
INFRASTRUCTURE
HIGH DENSITY HOUSING
10’
10’
ECOLOGY
SAND DUNE LAND
INHABITATION EMPLOYMENT
2014
2014
5’
5’
INDUSTRIAL COMMERCIAL
7% OPEN LAND
0’
0’
SEA LEVEL
SEA LEVEL
0%
0%
PRESENT CONDITIONS
CONDITIONS OF IMPERMANENCE
DECAMP
INHABITATION
MEDIUM DENSITY HOUSING
OPEN LAND
0%
LEISURE
OPEN LAND
FUTURE CONDITIONS
PRESENT CONDITIONS
DUNE FORM + SUCCESSION FOREDUNE
[dih- kamp] v. decampment n. 1. to depart from a camp; to pack up equipment and leave a camping ground 2. to depart quickly, secretly, or unceremoniously
TOPOGRAPHICAL RESULTS
MOBILE DUNES
EMBRYO DUNE
FIXED DUNES
30 ‘
PROTECTED AREA
6 - 8‘
SLACK WATER TABLE
BEACH
VERNAL POOL
ABANDON [uh- ban- duh n] v. abandonment n. 1. to leave completely and finally; forsake utterly; desert 2. to give up; discontinue; withdraw from
INTERDUNAL AREA
IMPERMANENT [im- pur- muh- nuh nt] adj. [impermanence n.] 1. not permanent or enduring; transitory permanent: intended to exist or function for a long, indefinite period without regard to unforeseeable conditions
MARITIME FORESTS COASTAL SCRUB BEACH GRASSES
0 YRS.
10 YRS.
20 YRS.
100 YRS.
RETREAT [ri- treet] n. 1. the forced strategic withdrawal of an army or an armed force by an enemy, or the withdrawing of a naval force from action 2. the act of withdrawing, as into safety or privacy; retirement, seclusion EMPLOYMENT
MIGRATE [mayh- greyt] v. [migration n.] 1. to go from one country, region, or place to another: move, resettle, relocate 2. to pass periodically from one region or climate to another, as certain birds, fishes, and animals
- Provides new formations of buildings footprints: modular form - Allows for dune formation on ‘protected’ side of structures - Allows for habitat integration and storm water management systems - Shared Economy: rented office space
SEASONALITY [see- zuh- nal- i- tee] n. 1. the state or quality of being seasonal or dependent on the seasons 2. seasonalities: a pattern, variation, or fluctuation that is correlated with a sesason, day of the week, or other period of time
LEISURE
- Provides ecological services - Dune formations accrue through sediment succession -Found in new locations of seasonality/migra tion zones
- Shared Economy: providing energy to the DISPLACE [dis- pleys] v. displacement n. 1. to compel (a person or persons) to leave home, country, etc. 2. to move or put out of the usual or proper place
INFRASTRUCTURE
STABILIZATION INDICES VEGETATION TYPE *ACTUAL COMPOSITION & STRUCTURE OF THE VEGETATION DEPENDS ON DUNE STABILITY AND DISTANCE FROM THE OCEAN
EXPOSED-
BEACH GRASS: SEASIDE GOLDENROD, BEACH PEA, BEACH & GOLDEN HEATHERS
PROTECTED-
SHRUBLAND: BEARBERRY, BAYBERRY, LOWBUSH BLUEBERRY, SWEET FERN, BEACH PLUM
SUB SHRUBS-
SCATTERED WITH BEACH GRASSES TO INCLUDE PINWEED, NUTRUSH, SAND JOINTWEED & HUDSONIA
COASTAL SCRUB-
SCATTERED PITCH PINE AND BEACH GRASSES
- “Medanos” dune formations - Provides for utilities to be relocated - Allows for individual, stand- alone - Dune formations run along roads - Shared Economy: providing energy to the grid
ECOLOGY
- Abandonment zone is dedicated to eecological services - Strategically placed sand dunes act as “sand engine” moving along coast - Vernal pools are present for breeding ground for common species
INHABITATION
- Beginning to rethink housing structures - Impermanence to be considered - Shared Economy: renting land/camp sites
N
1:400
400ft
800ft