NYMTC's Transportation Conformity Determination

NEW YORK METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL ADOPTED, JUNE 28, 2018

TRANSPORTATION

CONFORMITY DETERMINATION

Prepared for the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council’s Federal Fiscal Year 2017-2021 Transportation Improvement Program and the Federal Fiscal Years 2018-2045 Regional Transportation Plan, As Amended

Disclaimer The preparation of this report is financed through the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Federal Transit Administration and Federal Highway Administration.

This document is disseminated under the sponsorship of the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council (NYMTC) in the interest of information exchange. The contents of this report reflect the views of the authors who are responsible for the facts and accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the Federal Transit Administration, Federal Highway Administration or the State of New York. This report does not constitute a standard, specification or regulation.

This report, “Transportation Conformity Determination” was funded by the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council project, Transportation Conformity - Programmatic Element PTCS18D00.B02 in the State Fiscal Year 2017-18 Unified Planning Work Program.

Title VI Notice to the Public The New York Metropolitan Transportation Council is committed to compliance with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Civil Rights Restoration Act of 1987, and all related rules and statutes. NYMTC assures that no person or group(s) of persons shall, on the grounds of race, color, age, disability, national origin, gender, or income status, be excluded from participation in, be denied the benefits of, or be otherwise subjected to discrimination under any and all programs, services, or activities administered by NYMTC, whether those programs and activities are federally funded or not. It is also the policy of NYMTC to ensure that all its programs, policies, and other activities do not have disproportionate adverse effects on minority and lowincome populations. Additionally, NYMTC will provide meaningful access to services for persons with Limited English Proficiency.

Section ii

Contents Section I. Preface..................................................................................................................... I-1 Section II.

Acronyms ...............................................................................................................II-1

Section III.

Overview .............................................................................................................. III-1

Section IV. Regional Emissions Analysis ............................................................................... IV-1 The Analysis Process ............................................................................................................. IV-1 Travel Demand Modeling .................................................................................................. IV-1 Model Components ............................................................................................................ IV-1 Table 1 ............................................................................................................................... IV-2 Trip Generation .................................................................................................................. IV-3 Trip Attraction ................................................................................................................... IV-4 Trip Distribution ................................................................................................................ IV-4 Auxiliary Models ............................................................................................................... IV-5 Trip Assignment................................................................................................................. IV-6 Calculating Emission Inventory......................................................................................... IV-6 NYBPM 2010 Base Year ................................................................................................... IV-6 Post Processor System for Air Quality (PPS- AQ) ............................................................ IV-8 Preparing Emission Rates with Pre-MOVES .................................................................... IV-9 Processing Traffic Activity Data ..................................................................................... IV-10 Calculating Emissions of Pollutants ................................................................................ IV-15 Planning Assumptions ......................................................................................................... IV-16 Socio-Economic and Demographic Forecasts ................................................................. IV-16 Transportation Analysis Zones ........................................................................................ IV-18 Transportation Analysis Zone Level Forecasts................................................................ IV-19 Table 3 ............................................................................................................................. IV-20 Table 4 ............................................................................................................................. IV-21 Changes to Transit and Highway Network .......................................................................... IV-22 Transit Fares Changes ...................................................................................................... IV-22 Changes To Highway Projects ......................................................................................... IV-24 Long-Range Plan Consistency ............................................................................................. IV-26 Interagency Consultation ..................................................................................................... IV-26 Public Participation .............................................................................................................. IV-26 Transportation Control Measures ........................................................................................ IV-26 Projects Evaluated ................................................................................................................ IV-27 Section iii

Regionally Significant Projects............................................................................................ IV-27 Statement of Conformity...................................................................................................... IV-27 Table 5 ............................................................................................................................. IV-27 Section V.

Emissions Analysis by Pollutant........................................................................... V-1

Eight-hour Ozone Budget for New York Portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT Ozone Area .............................................................................................. V-1 Table 6 ................................................................................................................................ V-2 Table 7 ................................................................................................................................ V-3 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT CO Area..................................... V-4 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Area ............................... V-4 Table 8 ................................................................................................................................ V-7 Table 9 ................................................................................................................................ V-7 Section VI. Appendices ........................................................................................................... VI-1 Appendix 1A Build Summer Emissions by County .......................................................... VI-2 Appendix 1B - Build Annual PM2.5 and NOx Emissions by County............................... VI-8 Appendix 1C - Monthly NOx and PM2.5 Emissions by County ................................... VI-17 Appendix 2 – OCTC Conformity Determination ............................................................ VI-18 Appendix 3 – Public Comments and Responses.............................................................. VI-19 Appendix 4 – Resolutions ................................................................................................ VI-20

Section iv

Section I. Preface This document was developed by the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council (NYMTC) to demonstrate that its Regional Transportation Plan (RTP) and Transportation Improvement Program (TIP), as updated, are in compliance with the mobile source emission budgets for the air quality nonattainment and maintenance areas that fall in whole or in part within the NYMTC Planning Boundary. In accordance with the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) regulation 40 CFR 93 Subpart A, this conformity determination is being issued in response to the adoption of Non-Exempt amendments to the current NYMTC TIP and RTP. In addition, the conformity determination demonstrates compliance with 23 CFR § 450.322, 23 CFR § 450.324 and 40 CFR § 93.108-119, and 6 NYCRR § 240. This determination was conducted with the USEPA’s Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES 2014a).

Section I-1

Section II. Acronyms ACRONYM

MEANING

AOSM CO CAA CAAA CFR DCSM GIS GUI HAJ HPMS HSM IMCoverage ITS JFSM LMP MDSC MMCSM MOU MOVES MPO MTA MVEB NAAQS NOx NYBPM NYMTC NYSDEC NYCRR NYSDOT NYSICG OCTC PM 2.5 PM 10 PFAC PMCSM PPS-AQ PONA RTP PANYNJ

Auto-Ownership Sub-Model Carbon Monoxide Clean Air Act Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 Code of Federal Regulations Destination Choice Sub-Model Geographical Information Systems Graphical User Interphase Household, Auto-Ownership, and Journey-Frequency Highway Performance Monitoring System Household Synthesizing Sub-Model Inspection and Maintenance Intelligent Transportation Systems Journey-Frequency Sub-Model Limited Maintenance Plan Mode, Destination and Stop Choice Model Motorized Mode Choice Sub-Model Memorandum of Understanding Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (version 2014a) Metropolitan Planning Organization Metropolitan Transportation Authority Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget National Ambient Air Quality Standards Nitrogen Oxides New York Best Practice Model New York Metropolitan Transportation Council New York State Department of Environmental Conservation New York Codes, Rules and Regulations New York State Department of Transportation New York State Interagency Consultation Group Orange County Transportation Council Particulate Matter 2.5 Microns or Smaller in Diameter Particulate Matter 10 Microns or Smaller in Diameter Program, Finance, and Administration Committee Pre-Mode Choice Sub-Model Post Processor Software for Air Quality Poughkeepsie Ozone Non-Attainment Area Regional Transportation Plan Port Authority New York and New Jersey Section II-1

SED SFCSM SIP SLCSM TAZ TCM TDSM TIP TransCAD USDOT USEPA VHT VMT VOC

Socio-Economic and Demographic Stop-Frequency Choice Sub-Model State Implementation Plan Stop-Location Choice Sub-Model Transportation Analysis Zone Transportation Control Measures Time of Day Sub-Model Transportation Improvement Program TransCAD Transportation Planning Software United States Department of Transportation United States Environmental Protection Agency Vehicle Hours Traveled Vehicle Miles Traveled Volatile Organic Compounds

Section II-2

Section III. Overview Every urban area in the United States of more than 50,000 persons, as recognized by the U.S. Bureau of the Census, must have a designated Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) to qualify for federal highway and transit funding (23 CFR ยง 450.310). New York Metropolitan Transportation Council (NYMTC) was formed in June 1982 when its members entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) and were subsequently designated as the MPO for New York City, Long Island and the lower Hudson Valley by Governor Carey on July 1, 1982.

NYMTCโ s Planning Area Boundary includes the five boroughs of New York City, along with Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester counties in the lower Hudson Valley and Nassau and Suffolk counties on Long Island.

USEPA 40 CFR ยง 51.390 requires the Transportation Conformity State Implementation Plans (SIP) to address three sections of the USEPA Conformity Rule: 40 CFR ยง 93.105 (consultation procedures); 40 CFR ยง 93.122 (written commitments to implement control measures that are not contained in the transportation plan or Transportation Improvement Program (TIP); and 40 CFR ยง 93.125(c) (written commitments to implement mitigation measures).

On October 3, 2013, the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC) submitted a SIP revision that addressed the three provisions of the USEPA Transportation Conformity Rule required by CAA section 176(c)(4)(D). The State Implementation Plan (SIP) revision was approved by USEPA, effective September 29, 2014.

6 NYCRR ยง 240-2 identifies the appropriate agencies, procedures, and allocation of responsibilities for consultation and is consistent with 40 CFR ยง 93.105. The procedures were followed within the NYMTC conformity determination process addressed in Section IV of this document. In summary, NYMTC participated in several monthly and ad-hoc meetings with the New York State Interagency Consultation Group (NYSICG) for air quality conformity during the development of the air quality conformity determination. This consultation ensures that NYMTC uses the latest emissions model and planning assumptions in its regional emissions analysis, appropriately addressing all non-exempt and regionally significant projects, and have successfully passed all required emissions reductions tests to support an affirmative conformity determination, thus meeting the 6 NYCRR ยง 240-2 criteria.

Concerning 40 CFR ยง 93.122(a)(4)(ii) and ยง 93.125(c), the SIP specifies in 6 NYCRR ยง 240-3.1 and 240-3.2, respectively, that written commitments for control and mitigation measures must be obtained before a positive conformity determination. There are no Transportation Control Measures specified in the New York State SIP for air quality and no emission reduction credit is claimed in the NYMTC regional emissions analysis determination from any measure that is not in the TIP and Regional Transportation Plan (RTP). Thus, NYMTC has met the regional conformity criteria in 6 NYCRR ยง 240-3.

The intent of transportation conformity is to fully coordinate transportation and air quality planning to ensure that the RTP, TIP, and transportation projects will not 1) cause or contribute to any new violation of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), 2) increase the frequency or severity of any existing NAAQS violations, or 3) delay timely attainment of the Section III-1

NAAQS or any required interim emissions reductions or other milestones in any area.

Transportation conformity requires that the overall set of investments contained in an MPO’s RTP and TIP move the region toward cleaner air. Therefore, NYMTC, as an MPO, must consider the air quality impacts of its transportation investments. This transportation conformity determination (conformity determination) addresses all non-attainment and maintenance areas that fall in whole or in part within the NYMTC Planning Area Boundary. These include the following: •

The New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Maintenance Area consisting of all NYMTC counties except for Putnam County.

•

New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT Ozone Area and includes all NYMTC counties except Putnam. It also includes, within New York State, Orange County and all or portions of eight other MPO boundaries across the tri-state area.

Coordination with Orange County Transportation Council (OCTC) is required as part of each conformity determination. Details are shown in the analysis by pollutant section and Appendix 3.

•

Further details of the regional emissions analysis requirements for each of these nonattainment and maintenance areas are described in the Analysis by Pollutant portion of the document (see Section V).

Section III-2

Section IV. Regional Emissions Analysis The process components noted below are the core of NYMTC’s Transportation Conformity Determination for all pollutants in the regional emissions analysis.

The Analysis Process TRAVEL DEMAND MODELING To determine the impact of future non-exempt and regionally significant transportation projects, NYMTC uses the New York Best Practice Model (NYBPM), an activity-based travel demand model, to predict and simulate detailed travel patterns for every household in the 28-county study area, over a 24-hour period, based on their travel behavior. The NYBPM examines the daily activities, i.e., work or leisure of all individuals residing in a household, and evaluates the intrahousehold interactions, constrained by choice of travel concerning mode, cost, time and space, to predict travel demand of that household. The model uses journeys (travel between two primary locations including stops) as a unit of travel rather than just home-to-work trips. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) software is used to map the existing and proposed transportation networks that are used by models to predict journey generation, destination and mode choice, time of day travel, and trip assignment/route choice to simulate travel patterns.

MODEL COMPONENTS Network Files The NYBPM contains network files which represent the roadway and transit system in the area covered by the model ways.

The roadway network file is encoded and simulated using TransCAD software, which features a Geographic Information Systems (GIS) framework that provides a realistic representation of roadways. The roadway network contains 60,793 internal links or roadway segments covering 20,988 centerline miles and includes all freeways and major arterials, most minor arterials, and some local and collector roadways. The characteristics of these roadways represented in the network include information on the number of lanes, functional class, speed, parking regulations, and truck usage. The centerline and total lane mileage included in the NYBPM highway network is noted in Table 1 below.

Section IV-1

TABLE 1 Roadway Centerline Miles and Lane Miles for Base Year 2010 Functional Area Facility Type Class Interstate / 1 Rural Principal Arterial Principal Arterial / 2 Rural Other

Number of Links

Centerline Miles

Total Lane Miles

651

532

1,683

1,428

1,077

2,362

6

Rural Minor Arterial

1,911

1,337

2,733

7

Rural Major Collector

1,269

842

1,684

8

Rural Minor Collector

386

476

963

9

Rural Local Road

1,006

553

1,116

11

Urban

4,202

1,681

4,905

4,662

1,472

3,771

14,806

4,258

11,485

12 14

Interstate / Principal Arterial Freeways and Expressways Urban / Principal Arterial Major Arterial / Urban Principal Arterial

16

Urban Minor Arterial

17,694

5,728

12,775

17

Urban Collector

3,128

1,103

2,306

18

Urban Minor Collector

7

1

3

19

Urban Local Street

920

343

682

8,723

1,586

1,947

60,793

20,988

48,414

20

All Ramp Total

The transit network file contains transit service characteristics, which is used with TransCAD network settings and coding protocols to calculate the skims (or impedance) needed to predict destination, mode, and route choices. The transit network representation integrates the many diverse transit services in New York City, Long Island, northern New Jersey, and five upstate New York counties into a single TransCAD (version 6.0) route system. The services include: • •

Commuter rail lines (Metropolitan Transit Authority (MTA) Long Island Rail Road, MTA Metro-North Commuter Railroad, and New Jersey Transit), Rapid transit lines (MTA New York City Transit and Port Authority Trans-Hudson (PATH), and the Newark Light Rail, Hudson Bergen Light Rail,

Section IV-2

• •

Express, limited stop and local bus routes, as well as bus rapid transit and Select Bus Service routes (more than 20 operators), and Ferry operations and an aerial tramway.

TRIP GENERATION The NYBPM generates trips by applying a set of models called the Household, AutoOwnership and Journey-Frequency Model (HAJ) that simulates total journeys for every household for all travel purposes over a 24-hour period. A journey is defined as travel between two primary locations, where one end is always home, and the other end is work, school or other primary location. Households are grouped by income, auto availability, size, employment status, and age. The HAJ model combined with the Monte Carlo technique is used to generate discrete journeys for individual members of the households after evaluating the interaction between household members in combination with time and space constraints that each person experiences given to multiple-journey and daily activity patterns.

The HAJ model is comprised of the following set of sub-models applied in sequence: 1) household-synthesizing sub-model, 2) auto-ownership sub-model, and 3) journey frequency sub-model. These sub-models are described below: Household Synthesizing Sub-Model (HSM) The HSM forecasts the number and distribution of households in each transportation analysis zone. Using U.S. Census data, the sub-model calculates the probability for each possible combination of the household characteristics, including income, size, number of workers, non-working adults, and number of children. These probabilities are then used in combination with the aggregate demographic forecasts to produce the total number of households in each category and each zone for all target years.

Auto-Ownership Sub-Model (AOSM) The AOSM determines the number of automobiles available in each household.

The sub-model considers the influence of household income and composition, vehicle-maintenance cost, parking availability, transit and highway accessibility, residential area type, and density.

Journey-Frequency Sub-Model (JFSM) The JFSM determines the daily number of paired journeys (outbound and inbound) each person makes in every household for all travel purposes. Each person is categorized as a worker, non-working adult, or a child. The sub-model evaluates intra-household interrelationships among different household members, transit accessibility, and auto availability to come up with journey frequency for each person. Linkage of journey-frequency models across different household

Section IV-3

members allows for forecasting of a realistic set of journeys undertaken by each household.

TRIP ATTRACTION The journey attraction model for NYBPM uses linear regression equations with contributing land use, socioeconomic and demographic variables such as population, household, total employment, retail employment, office employment, school enrollment, and university enrollment. The attraction model is segmented by land use type for eight travel purposes resulting in a set of journey attraction rates that are used by the destination choice model.

TRIP DISTRIBUTION The Mode, Destination, and Stop Choice (MDSC) model in the NYBPM has replaced the traditional trip distribution and mode choice model. The two steps are combined as most choices regarding destination and mode are co-dependent. The travel purposes forecasted are work (low, medium, high income), school, university, maintenance, discretionary, and at work journeys.

The MDSC comprises pre-mode choice, destination and mode choice, intermediate stop frequency and stop-location choices, modeled in sequence. In addition to combining the destination and the mode choice model, this step also introduces the concept of an intermediate stop in a journey. Explicitly modeling the number and locations of the stops on journeys enables for a realistic representation of the interrelated decisions made by the traveler regarding all their destinations (primary and secondary) and modes.

Pre-Mode Choice Sub-Model (PMCSM) The PMCSM distinguishes between motorized and non-motorized travel based on the person and household characteristics, and land-use densities around the journey origin.

Destination Choice Sub-Model (DCSM) The DCSM for motorized modes is different from the non-motorized subsets of journeys. The motorized modes use logit models to predict destination choices while the non-motorized modes use gravity models for trip distribution. These models take into account the available attractions for each zone in retail, office and other employment categories along with school and university enrollments, and then distribute journeys to the destination zones.

Motorized Mode Choice Sub-Model (MMCSM) The MMCSM predicts traveler’s mode choice decisions based on various time and cost factors as well as a person and household’s characteristics. This model

Section IV-4

includes eight modes: drive alone; shared ride – 2 (driver and passenger); shared ride – 3+ (driver and two or more passengers); taxi; walk to transit (including bus, subway and ferry); drive to transit; walk to commuter rail; and drive to commuter rail.

Stop-Frequency Choice Sub-Model (SFCSM) The SFCSM considers four combinations of stop making choices: stop on the inbound journey only, stop on the outbound journey only, one stop each on the inbound and outbound journeys, and direct journeys with no stops.

Stop-Location Choice Sub-Model (SLCSM) The SLCSM predicts a location zone for each modeled stop based on the density of potential attractions along the journey route from the origin to destination and the deviation (i.e., additional impedance) from the base journey route that is associated with visiting the stop zone. The choice models are either multinomial or nested logit constructs. Multinomial logit models are applied for journey frequency, pre-mode, and destination choices. They assume that all choice alternatives are equally similar and thus choice can be made according to their utility functions. Nested logit models are applied for mode and car-ownership choice where choice alternatives have a differential degree of similarity and should be grouped by characteristics in the choice modeling procedure (for example transit modes are grouped while drive-alone and shared ride choices form a separate grouping).

AUXILIARY MODELS In addition to the main model, some auxiliary models are used in the NYBPM’s transportation simulation.

Time of Day Sub-Model (TDSM) TDSM is used to convert the daily journeys into traditional trips by four time periods for traffic assignments process – morning (AM - 6 am to10 am), evening (PM - 4 pm to 8 pm), midday (MD - 10 am to 4 pm), and night (NT - 8 pm to 6 am).

Truck and Commercial Van Sub-Models Long distance and short distance truck trips and commercial vans trip tables are estimated outside the main model to create forecasts for future years. Truck classes are expanded to medium size trucks (single unit trucks), heavy size trucks (multi-unit trucks) and other commercial vehicles (commercial vans).

Section IV-5

External Auto Sub-Model To account for trips, leaving the study area, trips from the neighboring region coming into the study area, and through trips passing through the study area, external trip tables are forecasted based on data collected at the cordon lines and other resources.

TRIP ASSIGNMENT The trip tables from the TDSM are combined with the truck and commercial trip tables and external trip tables to create the highway and transit trip tables by time-period.

These highway and transit trip tables are assigned to the highway and transit networks to forecast vehicular traffic flows on roadway segments and transit route ridership.

CALCULATING EMISSION INVENTORY MOVES 2014a Inputs and Parameters NYMTC utilized the Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES) model, version 2014a, developed by the USEPA to conduct this regional emissions analysis of the 20172045 RTP and 2017 - 2021 TIP as amended. MOVES is the state-of-the-art model for estimating emissions from all on-road vehicles including cars, trucks, motorcycles, and buses. As noted in the USEPA transportation conformity regulation and associated USEPA guidance, all regional emissions analyses are required to be based on the MOVES model which is the latest approved emission model.

There are two options for running the MOVES emissions calculation, 1) the inventory mode, and 2) the emission rate mode. The inventory mode calculates a total emissions inventory based on vehicle miles of travel and vehicle population data that are input by the user. The emission rate mode produces a look-up table of emission rates including emissions per unit of distance for running emissions, the rate per profile for evaporative processes, and rate per vehicle for starts and extended idle processes. Per USEPA guidance, an MPO may select either method to conduct regional emissions analyses.

NYMTC chose to use the emissions rate mode in its MOVES modeling because emissions rates can be applied to multiple scenarios in the same calendar analysis year, thereby reducing the amount of “run-time� for each scenario analysis.

NYBPM 2010 BASE YEAR The latest version of NYBPM, which is the 2010 base, is used to perform the regional emissions analysis. This model represents the transportation condition of the year 2010.

The Graphical User Interface (GUI) for the NYBPM streamlines the model runs and minimizes human interactions by simplifying the process through a flow chart approach illustrating the sub-models visually.

A significant number of enhancements occurred in the update. The network was enhanced through conflation to match the existing road alignment graphically. Truck route designation for through and local trucks on the highway network were identified; Section IV-6

truck trips are now represented in two groups as long distance and short distance, and commercial vans are also enhanced to improve truck and commercial trip estimations; to properly account for capacity reduction due to bus traffic, the highway network was revised.

Additionally, the Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) system was revised, and TAZs in New York and Connecticut correspond to 2010 census tracts or census block boundaries, and new TAZs are introduced to represent special generator zones. The operating cost and value of time were updated to represent 2010 dollars; the value of time for trucks was revised to reflect better the existing behavior, and parking cost at park-and-ride facilities for bus, subway, and commuter rail access for residents and non-residents were improved as well.

Section IV-7

POST PROCESSOR SYSTEM FOR AIR QUALITY (PPS- AQ) On August 25, 2011, the New York State Interagency Consultation Group (NYSICG) for air quality conformity concurred that the NYMTC Best Practices Model Post Processor Air Quality Software (PPS-AQ) for MOVES would use the MOVES emission rate mode in regional emissions analyses to support NYMTC’s transportation air quality conformity determinations. On January 17, 2018, the NYSICG concurred that the PPS-AQ updated with MOVES 2014a would be used for the regional emissions analysis of the 2017 2021 TIP and 2045 RTP, as amended.

The PPS-AQ is a powerful middleware web-based application that bridges input data from the NYBPM and runs it through the motor vehicle emission simulator(MOVES).

The PPS-AQ preprocesses NYBPM output data, invokes MOVES to generate emission rate files, and produces emission inventory for regional emission analysis.

Specific modeling inputs and parameters used to develop the PPS-AQ emission rates used in the regional emissions analysis are described below: Domain/Scale Scale: Analyses are performed at the county level. The roadways are disaggregated by functional class and after Highway Performance Monitoring Standards (HPMS) reconciliation, are aggregated to MOVES road type for emissions analysis.

Calculation Type: Analysis is performed using the “emissions rate” methodology.

Time Span: Analyses are performed for 24 one-hour periods of a weekday since the NYBPM data represents an average weekday. The PPS-AQ applies monthly adjustment factors to incorporate monthly fluctuation and then multiplies that adjusted value to the number of days in that particular month to produce monthly vehicle miles of travel (VMTs); Yearly VMT is the aggregation of the twelve months. The analysis years and months correspond to the pollutants for which the emissions are being generated. For example, all twelve months are selected for the annual emissions analysis of particulate matter of diameter 2.5 microns and less (PM2.5) and nitrogen oxides (NOx); and for ozone, analysis of volatile organic compounds (VOC) and NOx, a July day is selected for evaluation.

Geographic Bounds Custom domains based on the geographic boundary of each nonattainment area in the NYMTC area were established in the PPS-AQ. These domains correspond to the nonattainment area boundaries that are defined in Section VI, Analysis by Pollutant.

Section IV-8

County Data Manager Inputs The most recent county-specific MOVES input databases available from NYSDEC and NYSDOT as of November 29, 2017 were used in the regional emissions analysis. These files provide inputs and parameters for: •

AVFT,

•

roadTypeDistribution,

•

AvgSpeedDistribution,

•

monthVMTFraction,

•

dayVMTFraction,

•

hourVMTFraction,

•

IMCoverage,

•

rampFraction,

•

hpmsVTypeVMT,

•

sourceTypeAgeDistribution,

•

sourceTypePopulation,

•

fuelusagefraction, fuelSupply,

•

fuelFormulation, met data,

•

hotelingActivityDistribution,

•

hotelingHours,

•

MetO3Season,

•

HPMS DVMT by functional class.

PREPARING EMISSION RATES WITH PRE-MOVES In PPS-AQ, a user-friendly Pre-MOVES page has been developed to define a scenario and generate emission rate batch files for the desired milestone years.

Three emission rate files generated from MOVES are:

Section IV-9

1. Rate per distance is used for on-road running processes to capture exhaust and most evaporative emissions for each temperature and 16 speed bins, and the units are in grams per vehicle-mile.

2. Rate per vehicle is used for off-network to capture exhaust and most evaporative emissions such as starts and extended-idle for each temperature and hour, and units are grams per vehicle.

3. Rate per profile is used for evaporative vapor venting for each temperature and hour, and the units are in grams per vehicle.

After calculating the MOVES emission rates on local computers, the emission rate files along with NYBPM network and period outputs are uploaded on the web server where the PPS-AQ Main Page further applies customized scripts/programs to post-process the inputs and calculate emission inventories for each county by MOVES road type.

PROCESSING TRAFFIC ACTIVITY DATA The NYBPM traffic assignment output has to undergo a series of adjustments to represent regional VMTs as well as to become compatible with the MOVES emission rate files. It involves seven steps as detailed below to process traffic activity data fully.

For each scenario selected in the PPS-AQ Main Page, these seven steps are followed accordingly.

Step 1 - Calculation of VMT For each time-period and each link in the NYBPM network, VMT is calculated by multiplying the link flow with the link length.

Step 2 - Apply Seasonal/Monthly adjustment factors Depending on the selected conformity scenario, seasonal adjustment factors are applied to adjust the VMT to match seasonal variability in traffic conditions. For the Summer Daily NOx and VOC regional emissions analysis and the Annual NOx and PM2.5 monthly regional emissions analysis, the seasonal adjustment factors from the file (NYSDOT 2017 Seasonal Adjustment Factors.pdf) published in NYSDOT website is used.

The seasonal and monthly adjustment factors provided by NYSDOT are shown in the following tables.

Section IV-10

TABLE 2A MONTHLY ADJUSTMENT FACTORS FG30 FG40 Month Urban Suburban January

0.923

0.808

February

0.944

0.822

March

1.009

0.884

April

1.062

0.958

May

1.093

1.071

June

1.113

1.113

July

1.101

1.201

August

1.100

1.190

September

1.078

1.079

October

1.078

1.035

November

1.018

0.942

December

1.019

0.912

TABLE 2B WINTER AND SUMMER FACTORS FG30 FG40 Season Urban Suburban Summer

1.105

1.168

Winter

0.959

0.838

Step 3 - HPMS Reconciliation of Freeway and Arterial Roads The Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS) reconciliation factors, which are by functional class and county-specific, are applied to road links with freeway and arterial classifications to calibrate the VMTs. The freeways include functional classes 1, 2, 11, and 12, and arterial include functional classes 14, and 16 (please see Table 1).

The HPMS reconciliation factors are calculated by taking the ratio between the county level HPMS-based VMT (provided by NYSDOT) by functional class and network VMT

Section IV-11

of the same functional class for the year from the NYBPM. The ratio is held constant for future years. The following table shows the HPMS reconciliation factors generated by county and functional class.

Section IV-12

TABLE 2C HPMS RECONCILIATION FACTORS FOR FREEWAYS AND ARTERIALS County Name Countyid Functional Class 1 11 1 12 Manhattan 1 14 1 16 2 11 2 12 Queens 2 14 2 16 3 11 3 12 Bronx 3 14 3 16 4 11 4 12 Kings 4 14 4 16 5 11 5 12 Richmond 5 14 5 16 6 11 6 12 Nassau 6 14 6 16 7 2 7 11 Suffolk 7 12 7 14 7 16 8 11 8 12 Westchester 8 14 8 16 9 11 9 12 Rockland 9 14 9 16 10 1 10 2 10 11 Putnam 10 12 10 14 10 16

Section IV-13

Factor 0.818 1.047 0.849 1.932 0.697 1.048 0.691 1.306 0.959 0.974 0.987 2.194 0.973 1.138 0.625 0.978 0.853 1.364 1.141 1.378 0.995 0.973 0.933 1.146 1.000 0.793 0.909 1.154 1.274 1.208 1.095 1.524 1.395 1.250 0.978 1.025 1.407 1.000 1.000 1.259 0.379 2.514 1.275

Step 4 - Apply Hourly VMT adjustment factors The VMT data from the NYBPM contains information on VMT for each link or roadway segment by four time periods – morning (AM - 6 am to10 am), evening (PM - 4 pm to 8 pm), midday (MD - 10 am to 4 pm), and night (NT - 8 pm to 6 am). These time periods are expanded to 24 one-hour periods for each link for an average weekday. The hourly VMT fraction Input Data file for each county is applied to distribute the period VMTs to each hour with that period using the relative hourly proportion. The hourly VMT fractions were provided by NYSDOT on November 29, 2017.

Step 5 - Post-Process Speed and Travel Time In this step, the link speed for each hour is adjusted to account for mid-block delay, delays at signalized and unsignalized intersections, the delay caused by incidents (nonrecurring delays) on the road network, and effects of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) and signal projects. After these adjustments, the total travel time, speed, and vehicle hours of travel (VHT) are updated for each link by hour for an average weekday.

Step 6 - HPMS Reconciliation for Local Roads Road links in the NYBPM network include most of the major freeways and arterials, but not all the local roads. Therefore, the magnitude of traffic activities is under-represented in the NYBPM network Due to this fact, the local road factors (functional classes 6, 7, 8, 9, 17, and 19 – see Table 1) from the HPMS are applied to account for the missing local roadway (street) links. These factors are applied after the speed post-processing is performed so that the increased link flow does not distort the adjusted speeds. Similar to the HPMS factors for freeways and arterial road types, the ratio for the local roads are also assumed to hold constant for future years. The table below shows the HPMS Reconciliation factors for the local roads for each county.

Section IV-14

TABLE 2D HPMS RECONCILIATION FACTORS FOR LOCAL ROADS County Name Countyid Functional Class Factor 1 17 8.151 Manhattan 1 19 17.426 2 17 26.653 Queens 2 19 168.585 3 17 2.695 Bronx 3 19 38.224 4 17 8.321 Kings 4 19 48.812 5 17 12.208 Richmond 5 19 650.858 6 17 1.883 Nassau 6 19 479.194 7 6 0.027 7 7 0.051 7 8 1.000 Suffolk 7 9 3.674 7 17 1.992 7 19 65.517 8 7 1.000 8 8 1.000 Westchester 8 17 4.118 8 19 107.829 9 17 4.504 Rockland 9 19 355.558 10 6 1.474 10 7 1.726 Putnam 10 8 3.635 10 17 0.847 Step 7 - Aggregation of Traffic Activity Data In this last step, the traffic activity data on individual links are aggregated into MOVES road-types based on their functional classes and aggregated by day, month, and county to match the 16 MOVES speed bins.

CALCULATING EMISSIONS OF POLLUTANTS The combination of traffic activity data and emission rate data produces a very large matrix. To make the process efficient, the PPS-AQ joins the “rate per vehicle” and “rate per profile” tables into one table since their units are grams per vehicle and the PPS-AQ

Section IV-15

multiplies it by the vehicle population to calculate emission for each temperature and hour for off-network conditions. Then the “rate per distance” is multiplied by the VMT for each speed bin and temperature to calculate emissions for on-road conditions. The combination of these two processes provides emission inventory for the study area.

Planning Assumptions Based on consultation with the NYSICG and as per 40 CFR § 93.110(a), all assumptions were locked in on February 22, 2018, when the conformity analysis began for the 2017-2021 TIP and 2017-2045 RTP, as amended. The regional analysis is based on the planning assumptions in place on this date. Federal and state regulations require that a conformity determination be based on the latest planning assumptions available at the time the regional analysis began. Specifically, information on five general areas must be provided: demographic data, transit operating policies, transit service levels, transportation control measures, and other key assumptions.

The county-level 2050 Socio-Economic and Demographic (SED) forecasts for population and employment were adopted by the Program, Finance and Administrative Committee (PFAC) on March 12, 2015. These adopted county-level forecasts were then further disaggregated to 16 variables at the TAZ level to be used as inputs to the NYBPM. There are some differences between the latest, 2050 SED Forecast Series and the previous, 2040 SED Forecast Series, which was adopted on September 15, 2011. The primary differences are in the data used to produce the forecasts, which was impacted by the Great Recession (December 2007–June 2009), and methodological differences. Series 2050 predicts smaller employment growth since the recovery from the Great Recession is still ongoing, yielding a lower total employment forecast than Series 2040.

The NYMTC SED forecasts are employment driven, the smaller growth in employment yields smaller growth in both Labor Force and Population which determines the supply of workers.

Further details are provided in the SED forecast section below.

The transit operating policies and the transit service changes are tracked on an ongoing basis and are updated every time a conformity determination is made. Any changes to the highway, tolls, or operations are reflected in the highway network.

SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC FORECASTS In compliance with federal regulations, Metropolitan Planning Organizations must prepare and adopt long-range economic forecasts for their regions to be used in transportation and land use analyses.

Employment, population, labor force and household forecast models were created for the NYBPM region. The following ten variables were forecasted using historical data, from 2010 to 2050, in 5-year intervals. The variables at the county level are: Population: Total Population, Household Population, Group Quarters Population

Section IV-16

Employment: Total Employment, Payroll Employment, Self-Employment Labor Force: Labor Force, Employed Labor Force Households: Total Households, Average Household Size Total Employment, Total Population, and Total Households forecasts for NYMTC counties are shown in Table 3 below.

The county forecasts were further disaggregated to 16 variables at the (TAZ) level.

NYMTC has incorporated major future land use developments in the region as a base for the TAZ disaggregation process. Information on these projects and their timelines were submitted by county representatives and are usually updated once a year. The threshold for major developments is a minimum of 50 residential units or 15,000 square feet for commercial developments.

Population The Population Model is produced using a cohort-component (CC) model. The CC model divides the population into age and sex cohorts of 5-year intervals and uses historical birth and death rates to estimate the net change in population and net migration which yields the initial population projection. Adjustments are made to the initial population based on future land use, housing supply, and employment demand. The model yields a possible number of future trip makers in the region.

United States Census data from 1990, 2000, and 2010 were used to supply the base population figures and for calculating historical rates of birth, death, and migration. The Population Model results for each county were adopted on March 12, 2015, as part of the 2050 SED. The county-level population figures were allocated to the TAZ level using US Census and American Community Survey (ACS) data, and residential development data.

Section IV-17

Employment The Employment Model is critical to the NYBPM because it generates the county level employment forecasts that yield a basis for generating work trips in the journey-to-work forecasting process.

Three sources were employed to determine the employment levels for counties used by the NYBPM: IHS – Global Insight, Moody’s Analytics, and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. These third-party forecasts use various econometric models to forecast employment based on labor market conditions, policies, trade and possible recession recovery scenarios. The Employment Model averages the third-party forecasts to form a base level of payroll employment and to determine the growth rate for each county over the forecast horizon. Adjustments to the initial forecasts were made based on the unemployment rate, in-commuting and out-commuting, multiple jobs holding rate, and journey to work patterns.

Forecasts for self-employment were added to payroll employment levels to calculate total employment. Self-employment rates, the ratio of self-employment to wage and salary employment, for each industry and county, were held constant throughout the forecast.

The Employment Model results for each county were adopted on March 12, 2015, as part of the 2050 SED. The county-level figures were allocated to the TAZ level using Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP), Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), ACS, commercial development data, and input from the member counties.

Households The Household Model forecasts the average household size and the number of households for each county. The number of households is determined by dividing the household population by average household size. The average household size was held constant for all counties within New York City. For the remaining counties, the headship rate was used, based on age-specific headship rates from 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census data. A headship rate is a ratio of household-heads (self-identified classification by census respondents) to the corresponding household population. Headship rates were then used to forecast the projected number of households, given the projected age-distribution of the population.

Household population divided by households yields the average household size.

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS ZONES The NYBPM TAZ system is the underlying spatial structure for the representation of the socio-economic and demographic characteristics of the planning area covered by the model, as well as the roadway and transit networks described above.

Section IV-18

For the 28-county modeling area, 4,629 zones were created based on land use and socioeconomic data collected in 2010. These zones were based on census tracts and varied from one tract per zone to several tracts per zone.

Table 4 shows the NYBPM zone system and the household and employment densities for the 2010 NYBPM.

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS ZONE LEVEL FORECASTS The NYBPM requires sixteen socio-economic and demographic forecast variables which are a primary input to the model for travel demand forecasting. These are listed below.

Residence-based variables are as follows: •

Total Population

•

Household Population

•

Group Quarters Population – Total

•

Group Quarters Population – In Institutions

•

Group Quarters Population – Homeless/Streets

•

Group Quarters Population – Other

•

Number of Households – Total

•

Average Household Size

•

Mean Household Income (held constant)

•

Employed Labor Force

Workplace-based variables are as follows: •

Employment – Total

•

Employment – Office

•

Employment – Retail

•

Mean Earnings per Worker (held constant)

School enrollment variables are as follows: •

K-12 Enrollment

•

University Enrollment

These variables are derived from the county level population, employment, household, and labor force forecasts developed by NYMTC working closing with county planners to incorporate their local knowledge of future development projects.

Section IV-19

TABLE 3 Employment, Population, and Households for NYMTC Counties (in thousands) Bronx

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

359.6

396.0

402.7

415.4

424.0

431.9

Population

1,385.1

1,446.8

1,485.3

1,550.5

1,579.2

1599.6

Households

483.4

505.7

519.6

543.2

553.6

560.9

Kings

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

782.5

882.9

895.6

921.3

939.0

956.4

Population

2,552.9

2,648.5

2,706.2

2,799.3

2,840.5

2,870.3

Households

934.9

970.4

991.9

1,026.5

1,041.8

1,052.8

New York

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

2,306.3

2,434.3

2,463.1

2,529.5

2,577.0

2,628.7

Population

1,585.9

1,638.3

1,661.6

1,686.3

1,691.6

1,695.6

Households

763.8

790.2

801.9

814.4

817.0

819.0

Queens

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

677.9

737.8

741.7

751.5

760.7

766.0

Population

2,250.0

2,330.3

2,353.4

2,394.4

2,412.6

2,425.6

Households

787.3

815.8

824.0

838.5

845.0

849.6

Richmond

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

120.6

140.3

142.7

145.9

148.0

150.1

Population

468.7

487.2

493.4

500.5

501.1

502.5

Households

165.5

172.1

174.4

176.9

177.1

177.7

Nassau

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment Population Households

567.3

591.1

596.9

616.3

630.5

645.5

1,339.5 448.5

1,355.5 456.4

1,379.3 468.2

1,475.3 497.0

1,530.1 511.9

1,579.4 526.2

Suffolk

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

619.9

658.3

673.4

703.7

721.6

740.2

Population

1,493.4

1,513.0

1,542.3

1,630.3

1,665.7

1,697.5

Households

499.9

523.1

541.6

575.6

588.2

599.7

Rockland

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

112.4

123.4

127.4

135.5

139.8

144.3

Population

311.7

327.8

337.5

365.3

380.1

393.9

Households

99.2

105.8

108.9

117.7

121.9

126.0

Westchester

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

432.0

450.2

457.4

471.7

481.2

491.4

Population

949.1

978.1

998.3

1,071.9

1,109.7

1,148.3

Households

347.2

362.6

372.9

399.4

411.4

423.9

Putnam

2010

2020

2025

2035

2040

2045

Employment

28.3

28.9

29.1

29.2

29.4

29.6

Population

99.7

100.5

101.6

106.2

108.3

109.9

Households

35.0

37.3

38.2

39.8

40.3

40.7

Section IV-20

TABLE 4 NYBPM Zone System –2010 Base Year Household and Employment Densities

Average Density Households

2010 Best Practice Model Zones ID-County

2010 Census Tracts

Num. of NYBPM TAZ's

NYBPM TAZ per Tract

NYBPM Households(HH ) 2010

HH's per NYBPM TAZ

Average Density – Jobs NYBPM Employment : 2010

Jobs per NYBPM TAZ

1 - New York

288

335

1.16

763,800

2,280

2,306,300

6,884

2 – Queens

669

669

1.00

787,300

1,177

677,900

1,013

3 – Bronx

339

339

1.00

483,400

1,426

359,600

1,061

4 – Kings

761

760

1.00

934,900

1,230

782,500

1,030

5 – Richmond

111

109

0.98

165,500

1,518

120,600

1,106

6 – Nassau

284

279

0.98

448,500

1,608

567,300

2,033

7 – Suffolk

323

322

1.00

499,900

1,552

619,900

1,925

8 – Westchester

223

223

1.00

347,200

1,557

432,000

1,937

9 – Rockland

65

65

1.00

99,200

1,526

112,300

1,728

10 – Putnam

19

19

1.00

35,000

1,842

28,300

1,489

11 – Orange

79

80

1.01

125,900

1,574

143,400

1,793

12 – Dutchess

79

79

1.00

108,000

1,367

118,900

1,505

13 - Fairfield, CT

211

210

1.00

335,500

1,598

455,100

2,167

14 - Bergen, NJ

179

130

0.73

335,700

2,582

427,600

3,289

15 - Passaic, NJ

100

38

0.38

166,800

4,389

178,300

4,692

16 - Hudson, NJ

166

180

1.08

246,400

1,369

247,600

1,376

17 - Essex, NJ

210

223

1.06

283,700

1,272

372,400

1,670

18 - Union, NJ

108

85

0.79

188,100

2,213

236,900

2,787

19 - Morris, NJ

100

39

0.39

180,500

4,628

283,000

7,256

20 - Somerset, NJ

68

21

0.31

117,800

5,610

172,600

8,219

21 - Middlesex, NJ

175

63

0.36

281,200

4,463

369,800

5,870

22 - Monmouth, NJ

144

53

0.37

234,000

4,415

262,900

4,960

23 - Ocean, NJ

126

33

0.26

221,100

6,700

162,700

4,930

24 - Hunterdon, NJ

26

26

1.00

47,200

1,815

55,800

2,146

25 - Warren, NJ

23

23

1.00

41,500

1,804

38,500

1,674

26 - Sussex, NJ

41

24

0.59

54,800

2,283

44,000

1,833

190

189

0.99

334,500

1,770

383,200

2,028

77

13

0.17

133,200

10,246

222,000

17,077

Total NYMTC counties (28)

5,184

4,629

0.89

8,000,900

1,728

10,208,400

2,205

New York counties (12)

3,240

3,279

1.01

4,798,900

1,464

6,269,000

1,912

Connecticut counties (2)

401

399

1.00

670,000

1,679

838,300

2,101

New Jersey counties (14)

1,543

951

0.62

2,531,900

2,662

3,101,000

3,261

27 - New Haven, CT 28 - Mercer, NJ

Section IV-21

Changes to Transit and Highway Network1 TRANSIT FARES CHANGES The transit operating policies and the transit service changes are tracked on an ongoing basis and are updated every time a conformity determination is made. Changes were made to reflect raised fares.

New Transit Services Listed below are new transit services that have been added to the conformity network to reflect new services added since the last conformity determination: New Transit Projects

•

882349: Lower Hudson Transit Link - Transit Service

•

M702-03-01: Strategic facilities - Croton Falls Parking Improvements

•

G7130101: LIRR Third Rail between Floral Park and Hicksville

•

NYCMB2843: Flushing Line Communications Based Train Control (CBTC)

•

NYCMC2213: PATH Extension to Newark Liberty International Airport Station

•

NYCQ388: LaGuardia Airport Air Train Transit Service Updates

Listed below are transit services for route and schedule changes that were made to the network since the last conformity determination: •

NYCMB163: Citywide Ferry - South Brooklyn Route

•

X77275: Woodhaven Blvd Select Bus Service

•

X77276B: 79th Street Select Bus Service

•

X77302: BX6 South Bronx Crosstown Select Bus Service

1

All the service changes which can be modeled with the NYBPM were coded. The following changes were not incorporated in the analysis: Short-term service changes (where service will revert to the original plan within five years) due to construction. Service changes that occur on weekends or periods that are not simulated by the NYBPM. Service changes that occurred outside the NYBPM transit network (example: Connecticut DOT bus service changes in the Hartford Metro area).

Section IV-22

•

Citywide Ferry - Astoria Route

•

NYCMB2357: Citywide Ferry - Soundview Route

•

NYCMB2358: Citywide Ferry - Lower East Side Route

•

PW08-2548: Canarsie Line Power Improvement Project

•

X82329: LaGuardia Airport Ferry

•

X77281: Southern Brooklyn Crosstown Select Bus Service

•

MTA New York City Transit Bus - Q52/Q53

•

MTA New York City Transit Subway - MTA adding trains to six subway lines (2, 3, 7, N, W, and Q)

•

Four (4) NICE Bus Operational Changes - N36, N45, N47, and N51

•

N 80/81 Hicksville-Sunrise Mall - N81 will be eliminated, and the N80 runs every hour

•

N/70/71/72 Hempstead to Newsday

•

N27 - Elmont Flexi, Hempstead to Glen Cove

Section IV-23

CHANGES TO HIGHWAY PROJECTS In the regional emission analysis, twenty-eight highway projects were added and coded.

Toll information was also collected and reviewed, and MTA tolls were updated with the 2018 data.

New Highway Projects

•

022948: LIE (I-495) at Crooked Hill Road (CR13)

•

005930: NY27 at Barnes Road Interchange Construction

•

882368: Governor Mario M. Cuomo Bridge Dedicated Bus Lane

•

X73149: Arthur Sheridan Enhancement

•

X73163: Hunts Point Interstate Access Improvement Project Phase 1

• X73584: Van Wyck Expressway (VWE) Capacity and Access Improvements to JFK Airport Updated Highway Projects •

001625: NY112 Reconstruction: Granny Rd.to NY25

•

001627: NY112 Reconstruction: I-495 to Granny Road

•

005409: NY 347 Reconstruction: Hallock Road to CR97 (Nicolls Road)

•

005410: NY 347 Reconstruction: CR97 (Nicolls Road) to Old Town Road

•

005411: NY 347 Reconstruction: Old Willets Path to NY 454 Split

•

005412: NY 347 Reconstruction: CR97 (Nicolls Road)/NY 347 Interchange

•

005418: NY 347 Reconstruction: Terry Road to Gibbs Pond Road

•

005422: NY 347 Reconstruction: Mount Pleasant Road to Terry Road

•

005423: NY 347 Reconstruction: Gibbs Pond to Hallock Road

•

076135: Walt Whitman Road over I-495 Bridge Widening

•

0T2155: NY 347 Reconstruction: Old Town Road to NY 25A

Section IV-24

•

0T2493: NY 347 Reconstruction: NY25 over NY347 Interchange

•

X05160: Grand Central Parkway/Kew Gardens Interchange Improvements

•

X09629: Bayonne Bridge Navigational Clearance Program

•

X50196: Citywide Congested Corridors Program

•

X73127: I-95 Bruckner Expressway & North-East Thruway Connectivity, Phase1

•

X73573: Atlantic Avenue Extension

•

X77281: Southern Brooklyn Crosstown Select Bus Service

•

X80659: LIE Corridor Active Transportation & Demand Management

•

MTA Bridges and Tunnels - Removal of Toll Islands from Henry Hudson Bridge

Completed Highway Projects •

X76118: Bruckner Boulevard Safety Improvement

•

X77275: Woodhaven Blvd Select Bus Service

•

X77276B: 79th Street Select Bus Service

•

X77302: BX6 South Bronx Crosstown SBS

Tolling The toll information collected was updated in the NYBPM to the current values and the latest toll increase scheduled for the future years. The toll information updated includes facilities belonging to the following transportation authorities: •

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

•

Metropolitan Transportation Authority Bridges and Tunnels

•

New York State Bridge Authority

•

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

Section IV-25

Long-Range Plan Consistency The projects proposed in the 2017-2021 TIP are consistent with the goals and objectives of the NYMTC 2017-2045 RTP, as amended. The regional emissions analysis considers and evaluates all fiscally-constrained transportation improvement projects within the RTP horizon year that are “non-exempt” or regionally significant under the Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) of 1990.

The NYMTC RTP was adopted on June 29, 2017.

Interagency Consultation This transportation conformity determination has been developed in consultation with the NYSICG. NYSICG’s members include representatives from USEPA, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), Federal Transit Administration (FTA), NYSDEC and the New York State Department of Transportation (NYSDOT). All air quality coding of projects in the 20172021 TIP and 2017-2045 RTP, as amended, were reviewed by the NYSICG throughout the winter of 2017. The NYSICG was also consulted to discuss analysis methodologies and review other compliance issues as needed.

Public Participation The NYMTC Public Participation Procedures require the TIP, RTP and related transportation conformity determinations to be publicly reviewed and adopted. NYMTC sought public comment on the draft conformity documentation through notification of interested parties and media outlets for the public comment period and public review meetings. A 30-day public comment period was held from May 2 through May 31, 2018, for the draft conformity determination. Also, public review meetings and webinars were held at NYMTC’s central office.

Transportation Control Measures Transportation Control Measures (TCMs) are strategies that are specifically identified and committed to in the SIP or listed in Section 108 of the CAAA. TCMs reduce mobile source emissions by reducing vehicle use or by improving vehicular traffic flow. Strategies or programs that reduce emissions by improving vehicle technologies, fuels, maintenance practices are not considered TCMs. Federal and state conformity regulations require all TIPs and RTPs to provide for the timely implementation of TCMs within a non-attainment area from the applicable SIP and to ensure that no project in the program or plan interferes with the implementation of any TCMs. There are no active TCMs in NYMTC’s RTP or TIP. All TCMs in the NYMTC Planning Area Boundary previously included in the SIP have been completed within or, in a few special cases, removed from the SIP. For example, on April 19, 2002, USEPA approved a request from the state of New York to remove several TCMs from the Carbon Monoxide (CO) SIP that were demonstrated to no longer be necessary. Therefore, the status of committed TCMs in the CO SIP contains a number of completed TCMs and several TCMs from the Downtown Brooklyn Master Plan that are no longer required.

Section IV-26

In addition, no project in the 2017-2021 TIP or 2017-2045 RTP, as amended, will interfere with the timely implementation of TCMs in other areas.

Projects Evaluated All projects programmed and planned in the fiscally-constrained NYMTC 2017-2021 TIP and 2017-2045 RTP, as amended, were reviewed for their air quality status. All projects, which were non-exempt or impact the NYMTC model networks, were included in the regional emission analysis per 40 CFR § 93.104 (c), and 6 NYCRR § 240-2. As part of its project evaluation for federal funding, NYMTC also reviews projects that are not funded by FHWA/FTA but submitted

by NYMTC members as part of their overall transportation program and plans. All exempt project codes are based on 6 NYCRR § 240-2.8 (c), 40 CFR § 93.126 Table 2 and 40 CFR § 93.127 Table 3. The NYSICG reviewed and concurred with the air quality classifications during the winter of 2017 for all projects in the TIP and RTP. All projects have been further evaluated for the ability to be modeled for inclusion in the regional emissions analysis. Those evaluations have all been conducted in consultation with the NYSICG. The results of this evaluation are noted in Table 5 on the following pages.

Regionally Significant Projects As per 40 CFR § 93.101, regionally significant project means a transportation project (other than an exempt project) that is on a facility which serves regional transportation needs (such as access to and from the area outside of the region, major activity centers in the region, major planned developments such as access to and from the area outside of the region, major activity centers in the region, major planned developments such as new retail malls, sports complexes, etc., or transportation terminals as well as most terminals themselves) and would normally be included in the modeling of a metropolitan area’s transportation network, including at a minimum all principal arterial highways and all fixed guideway transit facilities that offer an alternative to regional highway travel. Although there are many major projects and new initiatives in the NYMTC area, there were no new regionally significant projects specified by the NYSICG for inclusion in this analysis.

Statement of Conformity The NYMTC 2017-2021 TIP and the 2017-2045 RTP, as amended, support and comply with the applicable NYS SIPs (Ozone and PM2.5) for the NYMTC Non-Attainment and Maintenance areas. The NYMTC 2017-2021 TIP and 2017-2045 RTP, as amended, conformity determination demonstrates the consistency of these programs with the intent of the Clean Air Act and the state and federal transportation conformity regulations.

The conformity determination is made in accordance with the criteria and procedures of 40 CFR § 93.106 and 40 CFR § 93.109 - 93.119, and 6 NYCRR § 240-2 and 6 NYCRR § 240-3.1.

TABLE 5 Table 5 is a listing of transportation improvement projects from the fiscally-constrained TIP or RTP that have been included in the regional emissions analysis. The table has been broken into three sub-tables: Section IV-27

•

Table 5A – Non-Exempt and Regionally Significant Projects

•

Table 5B – Exempt Projects Used for Highway Network Operational Changes

•

Table 5C – Exempt Transit Projects Used for Operational Network Changes

Table 5A is a listing of projects that have been determined to be either non-exempt under the CAAA or to be regionally significant. The air quality status is initially made by NYMTC and concurred by the NYSICG. Table 5B is a listing of highway operational improvements determined to be exempt by NYMTC and the NYSICG but must be included in the regional emission analysis to reflect the changes in the highway network from the base network in each milestone year.

Table 5C is a listing of transit operational improvements determined by NYMTC and the NYSICG to be included in the regional emission analysis to reflect the changes to the transit network from the base network in each milestone year.

The 2017 base network includes all projects that were amended to the 2010 Base network that appear in Table 5.

Section IV-28

Table County

LONG ISLAND NASSAU COUNTY

NON-EXEMPT AND REGIONALLY-SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS

5A Parent ID

NSNC1578

NSNC2735

(blank)

Projects Shared Scope (blank)

(blank)

(blank)

Plan ID

PIN

NSNC1297

075998

NSNC1339

076046

NSNC2516

076125

NSNC635

075936

NSNC637

076021

NSNC2194

076040

NSNC2195

076041

NSNC2406

076050

NSNC1787

NSNC1787 082498

NSNC2570

LONG ISLAND SUFFOLK COUNTY

(blank)

NSNC2410

076124

NSNC2672

076049

NSSC2569

(blank)

NSSC652

033912

(blank)

(blank)

NSSC1780

076032

Project Name

NASSAU COUNTY SIGNAL EXPANSION 6 NASSAU COUNTY TRAFFIC SIGNAL EXPANSION PHASE 9 NASSAU COUNTY TRAFFIC SIGNAL EXPANSION PHASE 10 TRAFFIC SIGNAL EXPANSION PH 3 NASSAU COUNTY TRAFFIC SIGNALEXPANSION PH 5 NASSAU COUNTY VARIABLE MESSAGE SIGNS PHASE 1 NASSAU COUNTY SIGNAL COMMUNICATIONS PH 2 NASSAU COUNTY VARIABLE MESSAGE SIGNS PHASE 2 NASSAU HUB - BUS RAPID TRANSIT NASSAU HUB INITIAL OPERATING SEGMENT MERRICK ROAD SIGNAL EXPANSION PH2 MERRICK ROAD SIGNAL EXPANSION PH 1 LONG ISLAND TRUCK RAIL INTERMODAL FACILITY -HIGHWAY CR97 NICOLLS ROAD CORRIDOR BRT

Section IV- 29

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

DATE ONLY

(blank)

6/30/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG PPSAQ/SIG

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

(blank)

6/30/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG PPSAQ/SIG

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

UPDATE

(blank)

12/31/2020

2025

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

NO CHANGE

(blank)

6/1/2035

2035

PLAN

NON

NO CHANGE

(blank)

9/1/2021

2025

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

0T2494

12/31/2023

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT PPSAQ/SIG

DATE ONLY

0T2494

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

NO CHANGE

(blank)

7/18/2025

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

9/30/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

County

LONG ISLAND SUFFOLK COUNTY

Parent ID

(blank)

NSSC650

Projects Shared Scope (blank)

(blank)

NSSC1598

NSSC1609

(blank)

Plan ID

PIN

NSSC2408

076114

NSSC2598

005421

NSSC655

005930

NSSC2754

076113

NSSC2862

022948

NSSC1597

005409

NSSC1599

0T2155

NSSC1600

005410

NSSC1603

005411

NSSC1604

0T2305

NSSC2628

005420

NSSC646

005412

NSSC649

005418

NSSC1598

005423

NSSC647

0T2493

NSSC1769

076011

Project Name

NYS ROUTE 110 BRT CORRIDOR NY 347 & NY 112 INTERSECTION IMPROVEMENT NY27 @ BARNES ROAD INTERCHANGE CONSTRUCTION SAFE ACCESS ALONG NICOLLS ROAD BRT CORRIDOR LIE (I-495) AT CROOKED HILL ROAD (CR13) NY 347 RECONSTRUCTION NY347 RECONSTRUCTION NY 347 RECONSTRUCTION NY 347 RECONSTRUCTION NY347 RECONSTRUCTION NY 347 RECONSTRUCTION: NY111 TO MT.PLEASANT ROAD NY 347 RECONSTRUCTION NY 347 RECONSTRUCTION: TERRY RD - GIBBS POND RD NY347 RECON (GIBBS POND RD-HALLOCK RD) NY347 RECONSTRUCTION:NY 25 OVER NY347 INTERCHANGE CLOSED LOOP SIGNAL PHASE 8

Section IV- 30

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATED AND COMPLETED

(blank)

12/31/2017

2020

TIP

NON

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

NO CHANGE

(blank)

4/30/2019

2020

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2022

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

5/31/2026

2035

PLAN

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

4/1/2027

2035

PLAN

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

7/11/2029

2035

PLAN

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

10/14/2031

2035

PLAN

NON

NO CHANGE

(blank)

10/12/2032

2035

PLAN

NON

UPDATED AND COMPLETED

(blank)

5/31/2017

2020

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

9/10/2030

2035

PLAN

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

6/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

UPDATED

(blank)

5/5/2025

2025

PLAN

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

0T2156

2/10/2031

2035

PLAN

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

7/20/2018

2020

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY

County

LONG ISLAND SUFFOLK COUNTY LONG ISLAND MULTI-COUNTY

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY PUTNAM COUNTYHUDSON LOWER VALLEY ROCKLAND COUNTY LOWER HUDSON VALLEY WESTCHESTER COUNTY

Parent ID

Projects Shared Scope

Plan ID

PIN

NSSC1609

(blank)

NSSC1998

076024

(blank)

(blank)

NSMC2611

NSMC2611

NSMC2760

(blank)

NSMC794

L603/04/TU

NSMC1778

L703/04/WU

NSMC2761

L701/01/ME

NSNC619

L606-01-YL

NYCMB2411

G609/01/AA

NSSC1916

L703/04/WX

Project Name

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

SUFFOLK COUNTY CLOSED LOOP SIGNAL PH 9 LIRR: MAINLINE THIRD TRACK SERVICE PLAN (BETWEEN FLORAL PARK AND HICKSVILLE) JAMAICA CAPACITY IMPROVEMENTS PHASE I JAMAICA CAPACITY IMPROVEMENTS PHASE II LIRR NEW M-9 ELECTRIC TRAIN CARS PORT WASHINGTON YARD TRACK EXTENSIONS EAST SIDE ACCESS CONSTRUCTION AND OPENING DAY SERVICE PLAN MAIN LINE DOUBLE TRACK PHASE 2 I-84 ITS: ROUTE 17 TO I-684

NO CHANGE

(blank)

1/6/2020

2020

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

DATE CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2039

2040

PLAN

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

1/1/2019

2020

CONFORMITY

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

UPDATE

(blank)

12/31/2022

2025

TIP

NON

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2022

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2022

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2022

2025

TIP

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

5/10/2019

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM HIGHWAY

MHSMC2758

(blank)

MHSMC694

806245

(blank)

(blank)

MHSOC2723

8TRM86

TOWN OF ORANGETOWN DIESEL RETROFIT PROJECT

DATE ONLY

(blank)

10/10/2023

2025

TIP

NON

NC

(blank)

(blank)

MHSWC1485

875900

MAIN STREET & HUGUENOT STREET TRAFFIC OPERATIONS

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/25/2020

2025

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

MHSWC1487

875902

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/25/2024

2025

PLAN

NON

MHSWC1807

875899

WEBSTER AVENUE TRAFFIC SIGNALS PELHAM ROAD TRAFFIC SIGNAL REPLACEMENT, PH I

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/29/2023

2025

PLAN

NON

PPSAQ/SIG PPSAQ/SIG

Section IV- 31

County

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY WESTCHESTER COUNTY

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY - MULTICOUNTY

Parent ID

(blank)

(blank)

MHSMC724

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY OUTSIDE NYMTC

(blank)

Projects Shared Scope (blank)

Plan ID

PIN

MHSWC1821

810322

MHSWC1380

880688

(blank)

MHSMC1590

8TZ101

MHSMC275 3

MHSMC2753

M602-03-02

MHSBLK2602

M702-03-01

MHSMC2717

882348

MHSMC2718

882350

MHSMC2719

882351

MHSMC2726

882352

MHSOC2748

MHSOC2748

(blank)

(blank)

Project Name

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

ROUTE 9A: ROUTE 119 EXECUTIVE BLVD RECONSTRUCTION STAGE 1 WESTCHESTER COUNTY COMMUTE ALTERNATIVES PROGRAM TAPPAN ZEE HUDSON RIVER CROSSING PROJECT STRATEGIC FACILITIES

DATE ONLY

(blank)

6/1/2023

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

NO CHANGE

(blank)

6/1/2018

2020

TIP

NON

NC

NO CHANGE

(blank)

7/28/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

6/30/2022

2025

TIP

NON

STRATEGIC FACILITIES CROTON FALLS PARKING IMPROVEMENTS LOWER HUDSON TRANSIT LINK PHASE 1 RT 59 SAFETY IMPROVEMENT

UPDATE

(blank)

6/30/2022

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

4/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

LOWER HUDSON TRANSIT LINK PHASE 2 BUS SHELTERS AND INTERSECTIONS IMPROVEMENT LOWER HUDSON TRANSIT LINK PHASE 3 INTEGRATED CORRIDOR MANAGEMENT LOWER HUDSON TRANSIT LINK PHASE 4 (ROADSIDE AND CENTRAL SYSTEM INTEGRATION) ROUTE 17 EXIT 125 INTERCHANGE RELOCATION FOR LEGOLAND MAIN ACCESS

NO CHANGE

882348, 882350, 882351 and 882352 882348

4/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

DATE ONLY

882348

12/1/2020

2025

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

NO CHANGE

882348

4/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

DATE CHANGE

(blank)

5/1/2020

2025

CONFORMITY

REGL'S BPM IG HIGHWAY

Section IV- 32

County

NEW YORK CITY BRONX COUNTY

NEW YORK CITY KINGS COUNTY

Parent ID

Plan ID

PIN

NYCBX2744

(blank)

NYCBX3

X73127

NYCMB584

(blank)

NYCBX54

X77302

(blank)

(blank)

NYCBX2162

X77265

NYCBX2581

X72714

NYCBX868

X77005

NYCBX2162

(blank)

NYCBX2842

X73163

NYCMB584

(blank)

NYCBK166

X77303

NYCBK168

X77304

NYCMB167

X77281

NYCBK2486

ST09-6217

NYCBK2579

D702VN11

NYCBK2580

X73157

NYCM2604

G610-01AA

NYCM2663

G710-01AA

(blank)

NEW YORK CITY NEW YORK COUNTY

Projects Shared Scope

NYCM2013

(blank)

(blank)

Project Name

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

I-95 (BRUCKNER EXPY & NE THRUWAY CONNECTIVITY, PH 1 BX6 SOUTH BRONX CROSSTOWN SBS HUNTS POINT TERMINAL PRODUCE MARKET CONNECTED CORRIDORS IN BRONX COUNTY REDUCE DIESEL TRUCK EMISSIONS IN THE HUNTS POINT/PORT MORRIS AREA HUNTS POINT INTERSTATE ACCESS IMPROVEMENT PROJECT PHASE 1 BUSHWICKDOWNTOWN BROOKLYN SELECT BUS SERVICE FLATBUSH AVE SELECT BUS SERVICE SOUTHERN BROOKLYN CROSSTOWN SELECT BUS SERVICE LIVONIA AVE-JUNIUS ST STATION CONNECTOR VZB BROOKLYN APPROACH RECONSTRUCTION ACTIVE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT (ATM) FOR GOWANUS EXPRESSWAY SECOND AVENUE SUBWAY PHASE 1

UPDATE

(blank)

8/18/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATED AND COMPLETED NO CHANGE

(blank)

9/3/2017

2020

TIP

NON

(blank)

7/31/2020

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT NC

NO CHANGE

(blank)

4/1/2023

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

8/3/2020

2025

TIP

NON

NC

NEW

(blank)

3/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

4/1/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

DATE ONLY

(blank)

4/1/2021

2025

TIP

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

9/3/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

9/1/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

8/1/2021

2025

NETWORK

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

NO CHANGE

(blank)

4/1/2023

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

COMPLETED

(blank)

1/1/2017

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

SECOND AVENUE SUBWAY (PHASE 2)

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/30/2029

2035

PLAN

NON

BPM TRANSIT

Section IV- 33

County

NEW YORK CITY NEW YORK COUNTY

Parent ID

Plan ID

PIN

NYCM2013

(blank)

NYCM2664

NYCM2664

NYCMB584

(blank)

NYCM2585

X77276B

NYCM285

X77280

NYCM2577

D702RK23

NYCMB2678

D703HH88

NYCQ386

NYCQ386

X77275

(blank)

NYCQ383

X77229

NYCQ384

X77306

NYCQ1657

X73575

NYCQ1690

X73577

NYCQ98

X05160

NYCQ1693

X80659

NYCQ2607

X82356

NYCQ2619

X73573

NYCQ2698

X50161

NYCQ355

X77044

(blank)

NEW YORK CITY QUEENS COUNTY

Projects Shared Scope

NYCMB584

NYCQ2666

(blank)

(blank)

(blank)

(blank)

Project Name

SECOND AVENUE SUBWAY PHASES 3-4 79TH STREET SELECT BUS SERVICE 14TH STREET CROSSTOWN SELECT BUS SERVICE NEW RFK TO HARLEM RIVER DRIVE RAMP HENRY HUDSON BRIDGE TOLL PLAZA RECONSTRUCTION WOODHAVEN BLVD SELECT BUS SERVICE NEW SELECT BUS SERVICE ON HILLSIDE AVENUE SOUTHEAST QUEENS SELECT BUS SERVICE VAN WYCK / KEW GARDENS INTERCHANGE CONTRACT 2B VAN WYCK / KEW GARDENS INTERCHANGE CONTRACT 2A GCP / KEW GARDENS INTERCHANGE IMPROVEMENTS LIE CORRIDOR ACTIVE TRANSPORTATION & DEMAND MANAGEMENT ROCKAWAY FERRY LANDING ATLANTIC AVENUE EXTENSION ITS ON CROSS ISLAND PARKWAY WILLETS POINT DEVELOPMENT DISTRICT

Section IV- 34

Action Taken

DATE CHANGE

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

NYCM201 3 (blank)

12/30/2044

2045

PLAN

NON

5/21/2017

2020

TIP

NON

(blank)

11/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

NO CHANGE

(blank)

8/1/2021

2025

NETWORK

NON

DATE CHANGE

(blank)

9/30/2020

2025

NETWORK

NON

UPDATED AND COMPLETED DATE ONLY

(blank)

11/12/2017

2020

TIP

NON

(blank)

9/1/2019

2020

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

(blank)

4/1/2022

2025

TIP

NON

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

7/15/2022

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

8/24/2020

2025

TIP

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

7/1/2019

2020

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM HIGHWAY PPS-AQ/ITS

NO CHANGE

(blank)

8/15/2025

2035

PLAN

NON

UPDATED AND COMPLETED DATE ONLY

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT BPM HIGHWAY

BPM HIGHWAY

County

NEW YORK CITY QUEENS COUNTY

NEW YORK CITY RICHMOND COUNTY

NEW YORK CITY MULTI-COUNTY

Parent ID

(blank)

(blank)

Projects Shared Scope

Plan ID

PIN

(blank)

NYCQ388

NYCQ388

NYCQ2898

NYCQ2897

X73583

NYCQ2898

X73584

NYCQ2896

X73582

NYCSI1700

X09626

NYCSI1767

X80650

NYCSI2575

SI01-5220

NYCSI2699

X50165

(blank)

NYCDM2304

(blank)

NYCSI2700

X09627

NYCMB1588

(blank)

NYCMB1765

X72977

NYCMB517

(blank)

NYCMB2609

X50197

NYCMB2696

X50196

NYCMB584

(blank)

NYCMB1627

X77307

NYCMB603

(blank)

NYCMB1014

X82329

Project Name

LAGUARDIA AIRPORT AIRTRAIN RECONSTRUCTION OF LIRR BRIDGES OVER VWE VWE CAPACITY AND ACCESS IMPROVEMENTS TO JFK AIRPORT RECONSTRUCTION OF VWE VAN WYCK EXPRESSWAY OVERPASSES SIE EB RAMP IMPROVEMENTS (SOUTH AVE TO MLK INTERCHANGE) TRAVEL TIME ALONG SIE/WSE SIRTOA: NEW ARTHUR KILL STATION FIBER OPTICS CABLE ALONG KOREAN WAR VETS PKWY SI EARLY ACTION INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (ITS) KOSCIUSZKO BRIDGE RECONSTRUCTION CONGESTED CORRIDORS PROJECT QUEENSBORO BRIDGE CITYWIDE CONGESTED CORRIDORS PROGRAM NORTHERN BLVD FLUSHINGMANHATTAN SELECT BUS SERVICE LAGUARDIA AIRPORT FERRY

Section IV- 35

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

NEW

(blank)

1/1/2023

2025

PLAN

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM HIGHWAY

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2023

2025

TIP

NON

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2023

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2023

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

8/5/2025

2035

PLAN

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

COMPLETED

(blank)

7/13/2017

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

UPDATED AND COMPLETED UPDATE

(blank)

1/21/2017

2020

TIP

NON

(blank)

12/31/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT PPS-AQ/ITS

DATE ONLY

(blank)

4/20/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

NO CHANGE

(blank)

7/31/2020

2025

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

(blank)

10/1/2021

2025

NETWORK

NON

BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATE

(blank)

9/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

DATE ONLY

(blank)

4/1/2023

2025

TIP

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

8/1/2020

2025

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY BPM TRANSIT

BPM TRANSIT

County

NEW YORK CITY MULTI-COUNTY

Parent ID

NYCMB603

(blank)

Projects Shared Scope (blank)

(blank)

Plan ID

PIN

Project Name

NYCMB163

NYCMB163

NYCMB2356

NYCMB2356

NYCMB2357

NYCMB2357

NYCMB2358

NYCMB2358

NYCMB381

NYCMB381

NYCMB2168

X80673

CITYWIDE FERRY SOUTH BROOKLYN ROUTE CITYWIDE FERRY ASTORIA ROUTE CITYWIDE FERRY SOUNDVIEW ROUTE CITYWIDE FERRY LOWER EAST SIDE ROUTE CITYWIDE FERRY ROCKAWAY ROUTE NY RIDESHARE

NYCMB2169

X80674

NYCMB2576

NYCMB2576

NYCMB2578

D602VN80

NYCMB2584

NYCMB2584

NYCMB2614

X50160

NYCMB2615

X50164

NYCMB2701

X77261

NYCMB767

NYCMB767C

NYCMB832

X50162

RETIMING OF TRAFFIC SIGNALS II (OUTER BOROUGHS) MTA B&T OPEN ROAD TOLLING, PH 1 (QMT, HCT) VERRAZANO BUS/HOV LANE MTA B&T OPEN ROAD TOLLING, PH 2 (RFK, GHB, CBB, TNB, BWB, VZB) FIBER OPTICS ON JACKIE ROBINSON PARKWAY FIBER OPTICS LINKS ALONG HENRY HUDSON PKY MUNICIPAL PLUG-IN AND ADVANCED VEHICLE PROGRAM CONSTRUCTION OF MNR PENN STATION ACCESS CONSTRUCTION OF FIBER OPTICS LINKS ON THE BELT PARKWAY

Section IV- 36

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

UPDATED AND COMPLETED

(blank)

6/1/2017

2020

PLAN

NON

BPM TRANSIT

COMPLETED

(blank)

8/29/2017

2020

PLAN

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

7/13/2018

2020

PLAN

NON

UPDATE

(blank)

7/13/2018

2020

PLAN

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT

UPDATED AND COMPLETED NO CHANGE

(blank)

5/1/2017

2020

PLAN

NON

(blank)

12/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT NC

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

COMPLETED

(blank)

1/10/2017

2020

CONFORMITY

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

COMPLETED

(blank)

9/5/2017

2020

NETWORK

NON

COMPLETED

(blank)

9/30/2017

2020

CONFORMITY

NON

BPM HIGHWAY BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

3/31/2020

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

DATE ONLY

(blank)

12/31/2021

2025

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

UPDATE

(blank)

7/30/2019

2020

TIP

NON

NC

NO CHANGE

(blank)

1/1/2025

2025

PLAN

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/30/2018

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

County

NEW YORK CITY MULTI-COUNTY

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY - MULTI COUNTY

Parent ID

(blank)

(blank)

Projects Shared Scope (blank)

(blank)

Plan ID

PIN

NYCMB862

X77224

NYCMB884

X77037

NYCMB91

X77032

NYCMC1786

X77047

MHSMC2819

G711-01-04

MHSMC2820

G711-01-06

MHSBX2821

G711-01-07

MHSMC724

(blank)

MHSMC2853

882349

LONG ISLAND MULTI COUNTY

(blank)

(blank)

NSMC800

G713/01/01

NEW YORK CITY MULTI COUNTY

(blank)

(blank)

NYCMB2843

NYCMB2843

Project Name

Action Taken

PIN Action Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

PRIVATE FLEET ALTERNATIVE FUEL PROGRAM TRAFFIC SIGNAL PRIORITY AND ADVANCED TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS BROOKLYN BRIDGE ITS

UPDATE

(blank)

7/15/2018

2020

TIP

NON

NC

DATE ONLY

(blank)

8/31/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPSAQ/SIG

NO CHANGE

(blank)

6/30/2019

2020

TIP

NON

PPS-AQ/ITS

GOETHALS BRIDGE MODERNIZATION PROGRAM PENN STATION ACCESS - TRACK AND STRUCTURES PENN STATION ACCESS - POWER PENN STATION ACCESS - STATIONS LOWER HUDSON TRANSIT LINK TRANSIT SERVICE NEW PARKING FACILITY DEVELOPMENT FLUSHING LINE COMMUNICATIONS BASED TRAIN CONTROL (CBTC)

DATE ONLY

(blank)

8/1/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM HIGHWAY

NEW

(blank)

1/1/2025

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NEW

(blank)

1/1/2025

2025

TIP

NON

NEW

(blank)

1/1/2025

2025

TIP

NON

NEW

(blank)

11/29/2018

2020

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT BPM TRANSIT

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2022

2025

TIP

NON

BPM TRANSIT

NEW

(blank)

6/30/2018

2020

CONFORMITY

NON

BPM TRANSIT

Section IV- 37

Table

5B

County

Parent ID

LONG ISLAND NASSAU COUNTY LONG ISLAND SUFFOLK COUNTY

(blank)

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY PUTNAM COUNTY LOWER HUDSON VALLEY ROCKLAND COUNTY

NEW YORK CITY BRONX COUNTY

NEW YORK CITY KINGS COUNTY

EXEMPT PROJECTS USED FOR HIGHWAY NETWORK OPERATIONAL CHANGES Projects Shared Scope (blank)

Plan ID

PIN

Project Name

Action Taken

PIN Action

NSNC2407

076082

AUSTIN BOULEVARD TRAFFIC SAFETY IMPROVEMENT PROJECT

DATE ONLY

(blank)

Completion Date

1st Year Modeled 11/30/2020 2025

Planning Designation TIP

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NSSC2568

(blank)

NSSC642

001625

NY112 RECONST.,GRANNY RD.TO NY25

UPDATE

(blank)

10/1/2017

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

(blank)

(blank)

NSSC2695

076135

UPDATE

(blank)

6/4/2020

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NSSC643

001628

NO CHANGE

(blank)

10/20/2020

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NSSC687

075656

WALT WHITMAN ROAD OVER I495 BRIDGE WIDENING NY112 RECONSTRUCTION (GRANNY RDHORSEBLOCK RD) CR3 PINELAWN ROAD FROM THE VICINITY OF RULAND RD TO I495 STONELEIGH AVE. @ DREWVILLE RD IMPROVEMENT

DATE ONLY

(blank)

8/4/2017

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/9/2020

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

(blank)

(blank)

MHSPC701

875689

(blank)

(blank)

MHSRC750

875898

SUFFERN LANE AT HAMMOND RD

NO CHANGE

(blank)

MHSRC751

875907

PASCACK ROAD AT LAWRENCE STREET BRUCKNER BOULEVARD SAFETY IMPROVEMENT

DATE ONLY

(blank)

4/6/2021

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

UPDATED AND COMPLETED DATE CHANGE

(blank)

12/15/2017

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

(blank)

8/1/2020

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NEW

(blank)

7/31/2019

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

7/26/2018

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NYCBX1029

(blank)

NYCBX2394

X76118

NYCBX858

(blank)

NYCBX1663

NYCBX166 3

(blank)

(blank)

NYCBX2727

X73149

(blank)

(blank)

NYCBK216

X02154

BRONX RIVER GREENWAY SOUNDVIEW CONNECTION ARTHUR SHERIDAN ENHANCEMENT BELT PARKWAY OVER GERRITSEN INLET

Section IV- 38

12/25/2020

County

Parent ID

NEW YORK CITY KINGS COUNTY

(blank)

Projects Shared Scope (blank)

Plan ID

PIN

NYCBK2764

X02173

NYCBK2563

X02152

NYCBK876

(blank)

NYCBK2214

X77309

NEW YORK CITY MULTICOUNTY

(blank)

(blank)

NYCMB1031

X80668

NYCMC1785

X09629

NEW YORK CITY QUEENS COUNTY NEW YORK CITY RICHMOND COUNTY LOWER HUDSON VALLEY MULTI COUNTY

NYCQ2361

(blank)

NYCQ2676

NYCQ2676

(blank)

(blank)

NYCSI2679

X09633

(blank)

(blank)

MHSMC2855

882368

Project Name

Action Taken

LEIF ERICSON DRIVE (BELT PARKWAY) OVER NOSTRAND AVE. BELT PARKWAY OVER MILL BASIN BROOKLYN WATERFRONT GREENWAY GOWANUS CONNECTOR INTEGRATED INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (IIMS) BAYONNE BRIDGE NAVIGATIONAL CLEARANCE PROGRAM QUEENS BOULEVARD SAFETY 3 (ELIOT AVENUE - UNION TURNPIKE) WEST SHORE EXPRESSWAY SB AUX LANE

DATE ONLY

(blank)

1st Year Modeled 7/1/2025 2035

DATE ONLY

(blank)

1/2/2019

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE ONLY

(blank)

11/30/2020

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NO CHANGE

(blank)

12/31/2020

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

PPS-AQ/ITS

UPDATE

(blank)

6/1/2019

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

DATE CHANGE

X77338B

12/31/2018

2020

NETWORK

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

NO CHANGE

(blank)

6/1/2019

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

GOVERNOR MARIO M. CUOMO BRIDGE DEDICATED BUS LANE

NEW

(blank)

10/29/2018

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

Section IV- 39

PIN Action

Completion Date

Planning Designation TIP

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

EXEMPT

BPM HIGHWAY

Table County

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY OUTSIDE NYMTC NEW YORK CITY - NEW YORK COUNTY NEW YORK CITY QUEENS COUNTY NEW YORK CITY - MULTI COUNTY

5C Parent ID

EXEMPT PROJECTS USED FOR TRANSIT NETWORK OPERATIONAL CHANGES Projects Shared Scope

Plan ID

PIN

Project Name

Action Taken

PIN Action

Completion Date

1st Year Modeled

Planning Designation

AQ Status

Analysis Tool

(blank)

(blank)

MHSMC2596

MBEACON-401

BEACON PARKING EXPANSION

(blank)

(blank)

4/15/2027

2035

PLAN

EXEMPT

BPM TRANSIT

(blank)

(blank)

NYCMB2350

NYCMB2350

UPDATED

(blank)

12/31/2020

2025

TIP

EXEMPT

NC

NYCMB58 4

NYCQ386

NYCQ2747

U7030201

UPDATED

(blank)

2/19/2020

2020

TIP

EXEMPT

BPM TRANSIT

(blank)

(blank)

NYCMC2213

NYCMC2213

CANARSIE LINE POWER IMPROVEMENTS PURCHASE ARTICULATED BUSES (WOODHAVEN SBS) PATH EXTENSION TO NEWARK LIBERTY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT STATION

NEW

(blank)

12/31/2026

2035

CONFORMITY

EXEMPT

BPM TRANSIT

Section IV- 40

Section V. Emissions Analysis by Pollutant Eight-hour Ozone Budget for New York Portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT Ozone Area The New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY, NJ, CT Area, including the counties of Westchester, Suffolk, Rockland, Richmond, Queens, New York, Nassau, Kings, and Bronx was classified “moderate” non-attainment for the 0.08 parts per million (ppm) 1997 ozone NAAQS on June 15, 2004. The motor vehicle emission budget for the New York State portion of the 1997 ozone non-attainment area was found adequate by the USEPA on August 2, 2010.

On July 20, 2012, the USEPA classified the same area as “marginal” non-attainment for the 0.075 parts per million (ppm) 2008 ozone standard. The 1997 ozone standard was officially revoked on July 20, 2013. As per the USEPA’s “Transportation Conformity Guidance for 2008 Ozone Non-Attainment Areas,” the NYMTC is required to demonstrate consistency with the existing motor vehicle emissions budgets for two ground-level ozone precursors: Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) and Nitrogen Oxides (NOx).

On April 11, 2016, the USEPA determined that the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT area failed to attain the 2008 ozone standard by the July 15, 2015 attainment date. Based on 2012-2014 air quality monitoring data, the area was reclassified to “moderate” nonattainment for the 2008 ozone standard. On November 10, 2017 the NYSDEC submitted a SIP revision for the New York portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island 8hour ozone nonattainment area. The SIP revision included summer day VOC and NOx motor vehicle emissions budgets associated with the SIP reasonable further progress (RFP) demonstration.

The USEPA announced availability of the SIP revision and related emissions budgets on December 6, 2017, requesting comments by January 5, 2018. No comments were received in response to the USEPA’s adequacy review posting. Thus, it is anticipated that the new motor vehicle emissions budgets will be effective prior to the approval of the NYMTC transportation conformity determination.

In addition, the USEPA revised the 8-hour primary and secondary National Ambient Air Quality Standards for ozone on October 1, 2015. The ozone NAAQS was lowered from 0.075 parts per million (ppm) to 0.070 ppm. Effective January 18, 2018, the USEPA issued final designations for the 2015 ozone standard for most areas in the United States. The USEPA has not yet issued the designation for the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY, NJ, CT area or Poughkeepsie, NY area (including Putnam County).

It is expected that the New York-New Jersey-Long Island area will be designated nonattainment for the 2015 ozone standard and the Poughkeepsie area will be classified attainment. Any NYMTC conformity determination adopted after a nonattainment designation will need to Section V-1

demonstrate conformity to the ozone standard(s) that are applicable at the time of the determination.

Until new emissions budgets for the New York portion of the New York-New Jersey-Long Island ozone nonattainment area are effective, the NYMTC will demonstrate conformity to all ozone standards by demonstrating consistency with the existing motor vehicle emissions budgets found adequate by the USEPA on August 2, 2010 (75 FR 45057) for the 1997 ozone standard.

As per 40 CFR Part 93.109 and as a contingency to demonstrate conformity with all applicable ozone standards, the NYMTC will also demonstrate consistency with the motor vehicle emissions budgets associated with the reasonable further progress demonstration that the NYSDEC submitted to the USEPA on November 10, 2017.

Analysis Years – Ozone precursors were forecast for 2020, 2025, 2035, 2040 and 2045 and analyzed for consistency with the Motor Vehicle Emission Budget (MVEB) for the 2008 8-hour ozone standard. These analysis years meet the requirements of the federal transportation conformity regulations as follows: •

Analysis year 2020 meets the requirement that the first analysis year is no more than five years from the year in which the conformity determination is completed. It is also the year of attainment if the area is reclassified as “serious” non-attainment for the 2008 Ozone NAAQS.

•

Analysis years 2025 and 2035 were analyzed to meet the requirement that consecutive analysis years be no more than ten years apart.

•

Analysis year 2040 is the horizon year of OCTC’s RTP

•

Analysis year 2045 is the horizon year of NYMTC’s RTP

TABLE 6 Nine County NOx Mobile Source Emissions Analysis (tons per day)

Scenario Year

NYBPM/PPS emissions

Ozone SIP Budget (NOx)

2020 2025 2035 2040 2045

69.63 47.76 23.64 19.52 19.42

211.77 211.77 211.77 211.77 211.77

Section V-2

2008 Ozone RFP budget 117.21 117.21 117.21 117.21 117.21

Conclusion Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass

TABLE 7 Nine County VOC Mobile Source Emissions Analysis (tons per day)

Scenario NYBPM/PPS Year emissions 2020 2025 2035 2040 2045

48.65 40.25 23.64 21.38 20.86

Ozone SIP Budget (VOC) 148.85 148.85 148.85 148.85 148.85

2008 Ozone RFP budget 65.69 65.69 65.69 65.69 65.69

Conclusion Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass

*Note: Putnam County emissions are not included in the tables above. Putnam County was part of the Poughkeepsie Moderate Eight-hour Ozone Non-Attainment Area (PONA) for the 1997 NAAQS. As of July 20, 2013, this area no longer needs to demonstrate transportation conformity.

Section V-3

New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT CO Area On November 6, 1991, the counties of Westchester, Bronx, New York, Richmond, Kings, Queens, and Nassau were classified as moderate non-attainment under the eighthour CO standard. By 1999, air quality monitoring demonstrated the CO standard had been attained in this non-attainment area. However, before an area can be permanently designated as attainment, it must first be reclassified as a maintenance area.

In a maintenance area designation, monitored air quality has attained the air quality standard, and the ambient standard must be maintained for at least ten years. On April 19, 2002, USEPA approved New York State’s proposed CO Maintenance Plan, including a CO emissions budget for the seven-county area.

Monitored CO concentrations remained substantially below the NAAQS throughout the first ten-year maintenance period. On May 9, 2013, NYSDEC submitted a new ten-year Limited Maintenance Plan (LMP) for CO. The LMP demonstrated that CO budgets will no longer be constraining for transportation conformity because of the low level of CO emissions and expected growth rates during the LMP period. USEPA approved the CO LMP effective June 30, 2014. Thus, regional transportation conformity is presumed to be satisfied for CO with no need for a quantitative comparison of budgets for the second ten-year maintenance period.

New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Area 1997 PM2.5 Standard: In July 1997, USEPA issued NAAQS for fine particulate matter (PM2.5), designed to protect the public from exposure at levels that may cause health problems. The 1997 standards included an annual standard set at 15 micrograms per cubic meter, based on the 3-year average of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations and a 24hour standard of 65 micrograms per cubic meter, based on the 3-year average of the 98th percentile of 24-hour concentrations. The New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Area was classified non-attainment for the 1997 annual PM2.5 standard and was classified attainment for the 1997 24-hour PM2.5 standard.

2006 PM2.5 Standard: In September 2006, the USEPA revised the 1997 PM2.5 standards.

The 2006 standards strengthened the 24-hour PM2.5 standard from 65 micrograms per cubic meter (µg/m3) to 35 µg/m3 and retained the current annual PM2.5 standard at 15 µg/m3. On December 14, 2009, the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NYNJ-CT PM2.5 Area was classified non-attainment for the new 2006 24-hour PM2.5 standard.

2012 PM2.5 Standard: On March 13, 2013, the USEPA again revised the PM2.5 standards. The primary annual standard was lowered to 12 µg/m3, the secondary annual standard remained at 15 µg/m3, and the primary and secondary 24-hour standards remained at 35 µg/m3.

Section V-4

Effective April 18, 2014, USEPA approved New York State’s request to redesignate the New York portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Area to attainment for 1997 annual and 2006 24-hour PM2.5 Standard. As part of the redesignation to attainment, EPA also approved to the New York State air quality “Maintenance Plan” for PM2.5.

The New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Area is classified attainment for the 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS. However, the air quality maintenance plan for the 1997 and 2006 particulate matter standards is still in place. Thus, both OCTC and NYMTC remain subject to the transportation air quality conformity requirements for the 1997 and 2006 fine particulate matter standards.

The New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Area encompasses all or portions of nine metropolitan planning organizations or councils of government (COGs), as follows: Connecticut: Naugatuck Valley Council of Governments (NVCOG) Connecticut Metropolitan Council of Governments (CTMETROCOG) South Central Region Council of Governments (SCRCOG) Western Connecticut Council of Governments (WESTCOG) New Jersey/Pennsylvania: Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission (DVRPC) North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority (NJTPA) New York: New York Metropolitan Transportation Council (NYMTC) Orange County Transportation Council (OCTC) The MVEB for the New York State portion of the PM2.5 Maintenance Area includes Orange County and all NYMTC counties except Putnam. New York State determined that motor vehicle emissions budgets based on annual emissions of direct PM2.5 and NOx, a precursor, are appropriate for the 2006 24-hour standard because exceedances of the daily standard are not isolated to one season. Therefore, transportation conformity for both the 1997 annual and 2006 daily PM2.5 standards are demonstrated using the annual budget test for direct PM2.5 and NOx precursor.

Accordingly, the combined OCTC and NYMTC emissions analyses demonstrate that emissions forecasts in each analysis year “action” scenario are not greater than emissions established by the MVEB for annual direct PM2.5 and NOx. Noted below are the analysis tables for NYMTC, and the combined OCTC/NYMTC tables. For details of the OCTC conformity process and procedures, see the OCTC PM2.5 conformity document in Appendix 3.

Effective September 18, 2013, USEPA found the motor vehicle emissions budgets for PM2.5 and NOx in the submitted maintenance plan for the New York portion of the New Section V-5

York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY–NJ–CT PM2.5 nonattainment areas to be adequate for transportation conformity purposes. USEPA officially approved the entire New York State PM2.5 Maintenance Plan, including the previously adequate motor vehicle emissions budgets, on April 18, 2014. These budgets have been used in this conformity and compliance is demonstrated in the tables below.

Analysis Years - the years 2020, 2025, 2035, 2040 and 2045 were analyzed to demonstrate conformity for the PM2.5 standard. These analysis years meet the requirements of the federal transportation conformity regulation as follows: •

Analysis year 2020 meets the requirement that the first analysis year is no more than five years from the year that the conformity determination is made.

•

Analysis year 2025 is a maintenance plan milestone year and was also analyzed to meet the requirement that consecutive analysis years be no more than ten years apart.

•

Analysis year 2035 was analyzed to meet the requirement that consecutive analysis years be no more than ten years apart.

•

Analysis year 2040 is the horizon year for OCTC’s RTP.

•

Analysis year 2045 is the horizon year for NYMTC’s RTP.

Section V-6

TABLE 8 NYMTC Nine County and OCTC Combined Annual NOX Mobile Source Emissions Analysis Budget Test (tons per year)

Scenario NYMTC Year emissions 2020 28,024.74 2025 19,729.51 2035 10,519.62 2040 8,979.16 2045 8,974.75

OCTC emissions 1,958.22 1,393.00 851.67 779.43 808.09

Total emissions 29,982.96 21,122.51 11,371.29 9,758.59 9,782.84

Budget MOVES 68,362.66 51,260.81 51,260.81 51,260.81 51,260.81

Conclusion Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass

TABLE 9 NYMTC Nine County and OCTC Combined Annual PM2.5 Mobile Source Emissions Analysis Budget Test (tons per year)

Scenario Year

NYMTC emissions

OCTC emissions

Total emissions

Budget MOVES

Conclusion

2020

1,075.81 706.76 343.23 255.09 238.95

100.52 78.24 61.87 59.40 63.03

1,176.33 785.00 405.10 314.49 301.98

3,897.71 3,291.09 3,291.09 3,291.09 3,291.09

Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass

2025 2035 2040 2045

Section V-7

Section VI. Appendices Appendix 1A - Build Summer Emissions by County Appendix 1B - Build Annual PM2.5 and NOx Emissions by County Appendix 1C - Monthly NOx and PM2.5 Emissions by County Appendix 2 - OCTC Conformity Determination Appendix 3 - Public Comments and Responses Appendix 4 - Resolutions

Section VI-1

APPENDIX 1A BUILD SUMMER EMISSIONS BY COUNTY

Section VI-2

Appendix 1A 2020 Build Summer Emissions Report by County

COUNTY

DAILY VMT Vehicle miles traveled 4,881,940 4,956,256 0

VHT Vehicle hours traveled 308,942 446,168 0

SPEED Miles per hour 15.8 11.1 0.0

9,838,196

755,110

13.0

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

12,562,826 9,670,473 0

709,629 629,630 0

17.7 15.4 0.0

22,233,299

1,339,259

16.6

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

6,140,288 3,730,416 0

242,480 227,726 0

25.3 16.4 0.0

9,870,704

470,206

21.0

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

5,944,149 7,609,115 0

320,975 633,863 0

18.5 12.0 0.0

13,553,264

954,838

14.2

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

2,581,794 3,963,198 0

83,040 241,925 0

31.1 16.4 0.0

6,544,992

324,965

20.1

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

13,428,117 18,937,855 0

562,108 992,429 0

23.9 19.1 0.0

32,365,972

1,554,537

20.8

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

14,317,387 31,268,181 865,311

458,353 1,432,204 28,173

31.2 21.8 30.7

46,450,879

1,918,730

24.2

8) Westchester 1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

15,397,319 12,280,374 23,993

362,457 505,821 681

42.5 24.3 35.2

27,701,686

868,959

31.9

9) Rockland

4,797,664 4,705,847 0

91,919 166,980 0

52.2 28.2 0.0

9,503,511

258,899

178,062,503

8,445,503

1) New York

2) Queens

3) Bronx

4) Kings

5) Richmond

6) Nassau

7) Suffolk

Grand Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

Section VI - 3 T Series

VOC Tons per day 0.67 0.93 0.00 2.29 3.89

NOx Tons per day 2.10 2.42 0.00 1.06 5.58

0.97 0.83 0.00 4.88 6.68

2.84 2.26 0.00 2.41 7.50

0.37 0.31 0.00 1.65 2.33

1.23 0.80 0.00 0.89 2.92

0.54 0.94 0.00 2.94 4.42

2.30 3.23 0.00 1.39 6.91

0.12 0.31 0.00 1.66 2.09

0.43 0.79 0.00 0.71 1.93

0.98 1.62 0.00 6.21 8.81

4.09 5.98 0.00 2.80 12.88

1.03 2.83 0.06 8.83 12.74

4.50 10.44 0.25 4.13 19.33

0.81 0.87 0.00 4.17 5.85

4.24 3.51 0.00 1.84 9.58

36.7

0.22 0.29 0.00 1.34 1.84

1.21 1.20 0.00 0.59 3.00

21.1

48.65

69.63

Appendix 1A 2025 Build Summer Emissions Report by County

COUNTY

DAILY VMT Vehicle miles traveled 4,950,401 5,043,560 0

VHT Vehicle hours traveled 324,191 455,212 0

SPEED Miles per hour 15.3 11.1 0.0

9,993,961

779,403

12.8

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

12,901,137 9,843,064 0

733,184 647,229 0

17.6 15.2 0.0

22,744,201

1,380,413

16.5

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

6,305,950 3,798,115 0

254,893 233,952 0

24.7 16.2 0.0

10,104,065

488,845

20.7

6,026,736 7,739,798 0

331,989 654,443 0

18.2 11.8 0.0

13,766,534

986,432

14.0

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

2,407,769 4,346,415 0

87,023 276,416 0

27.7 15.7 0.0

6,754,184

363,439

18.6

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

13,641,045 19,493,024 0

588,150 997,877 0

23.2 19.5 0.0

33,134,069

1,586,027

20.9

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

14,641,476 31,524,193 894,197

474,020 1,386,778 29,012

30.9 22.7 30.8

47,059,866

1,889,810

24.9

8) Westchester 1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

15,768,091 12,467,580 24,334

376,749 516,188 702

41.9 24.2 34.7

28,260,005

893,639

31.6

9) Rockland

4,926,942 4,883,166 0

97,246 171,778 0

50.7 28.4 0.0

9,810,108

269,024

181,626,993

8,637,032

1) New York

2) Queens

3) Bronx

4) Kings

5) Richmond

6) Nassau

7) Suffolk

Grand Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

Section VI - 4 T Series

VOC Tons per day 0.56 0.77 0.00 1.99 3.31

NOx Tons per day 1.91 2.18 0.00 0.88 4.96

0.77 0.66 0.00 4.05 5.49

1.79 1.39 0.00 1.80 4.98

0.29 0.24 0.00 1.36 1.89

0.73 0.46 0.00 0.67 1.86

0.44 0.78 0.00 2.48 3.70

1.74 2.40 0.00 1.03 5.18

0.10 0.27 0.00 1.39 1.75

0.26 0.53 0.00 0.54 1.33

0.77 1.23 0.00 5.22 7.23

2.67 3.80 0.00 2.13 8.60

0.79 2.04 0.05 7.60 10.47

2.85 6.25 0.16 3.12 12.38

0.64 0.68 0.00 3.54 4.86

2.82 2.22 0.00 1.40 6.44

36.5

0.17 0.23 0.00 1.14 1.54

0.81 0.78 0.00 0.45 2.04

21.0

40.25

47.76

Appendix 1A 2035 Build Summer Emissions Report by County

COUNTY

DAILY VMT Vehicle miles traveled 5,013,067 5,131,325 0

VHT Vehicle hours traveled 339,417 466,542 0

SPEED Miles per hour 14.8 11.0 0.0

10,144,392

805,959

12.6

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

13,126,955 10,094,845 0

762,319 675,923 0

17.2 14.9 0.0

23,221,800

1,438,242

16.1

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

6,410,927 3,895,354 0

266,175 242,486 0

24.1 16.1 0.0

10,306,281

508,661

20.3

6,151,666 7,998,487 0

359,224 686,975 0

17.1 11.6 0.0

14,150,153

1,046,199

13.5

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

2,485,288 4,415,280 0

93,310 283,499 0

26.6 15.6 0.0

6,900,568

376,809

18.3

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

14,058,375 20,320,542 0

639,360 1,080,283 0

22.0 18.8 0.0

34,378,917

1,719,643

20.0

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

15,170,310 33,287,961 962,591

518,367 1,488,048 31,992

29.3 22.4 30.1

49,420,862

2,038,407

24.2

8) Westchester 1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

16,420,850 13,432,535 24,488

405,247 564,479 886

40.5 23.8 27.6

29,877,873

970,612

30.8

9) Rockland

5,210,081 5,228,137 0

108,045 186,200 0

48.2 28.1 0.0

10,438,218

294,245

188,839,064

9,198,777

1) New York

2) Queens

3) Bronx

4) Kings

5) Richmond

6) Nassau

7) Suffolk

Grand Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

Section VI - 5 T Series

VOC Tons per day 0.32 0.42 0.00 0.97 1.71

NOx Tons per day 0.73 0.81 0.00 0.47 2.01

0.53 0.46 0.00 2.39 3.38

0.86 0.67 0.00 1.10 2.63

0.21 0.17 0.00 0.82 1.19

0.39 0.24 0.00 0.42 1.06

0.31 0.53 0.00 1.47 2.31

0.66 0.87 0.00 0.61 2.14

0.07 0.18 0.00 0.82 1.07

0.14 0.28 0.00 0.32 0.74

0.50 0.80 0.00 2.98 4.28

1.41 1.98 0.00 1.20 4.60

0.48 1.23 0.03 4.19 5.92

1.42 3.08 0.08 1.68 6.26

0.40 0.46 0.00 2.02 2.87

1.32 1.05 0.00 0.78 3.15

35.5

0.11 0.15 0.00 0.65 0.91

0.42 0.40 0.00 0.25 1.07

20.5

23.64

23.64

Appendix 1A 2040 Build Summer Emissions Report by County

COUNTY

DAILY VMT Vehicle miles traveled 5,063,965 5,172,055 0

VHT Vehicle hours traveled 348,117 471,906 0

SPEED Miles per hour 14.5 11.0 0.0

10,236,020

820,023

12.5

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

13,223,025 10,215,929 0

777,902 684,260 0

17.0 14.9 0.0

23,438,954

1,462,162

16.0

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

6,463,922 3,942,704 0

270,811 246,935 0

23.9 16.0 0.0

10,406,626

517,746

20.1

6,190,901 7,984,335 0

364,138 691,293 0

17.0 11.5 0.0

14,175,236

1,055,431

13.4

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

2,524,443 4,742,212 0

98,468 302,861 0

25.6 15.7 0.0

7,266,655

401,329

18.1

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

14,239,762 20,965,134 0

674,997 1,136,355 0

21.1 18.4 0.0

35,204,896

1,811,352

19.4

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

15,440,941 34,108,365 1,002,119

552,226 1,537,773 33,697

28.0 22.2 29.7

50,551,425

2,123,696

23.8

8) Westchester 1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

16,825,026 13,878,727 24,420

424,618 585,315 877

39.6 23.7 27.8

30,728,173

1,010,810

30.4

9) Rockland

5,386,000 5,443,237 0

115,284 194,713 0

46.7 28.0 0.0

10,829,237

309,997

192,837,222

9,512,546

1) New York

2) Queens

3) Bronx

4) Kings

5) Richmond

6) Nassau

7) Suffolk

Grand Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

Section VI - 6 T Series

VOC Tons per day 0.28 0.37 0.00 0.89 1.54

NOx Tons per day 0.31 0.35 0.00 0.40 1.06

0.50 0.43 0.00 2.11 3.04

0.72 0.57 0.00 1.00 2.29

0.19 0.16 0.00 0.72 1.07

0.35 0.21 0.00 0.39 0.96

0.25 0.45 0.00 1.31 2.01

0.38 0.55 0.00 0.55 1.48

0.07 0.19 0.00 0.74 0.99

0.13 0.27 0.00 0.29 0.69

0.47 0.77 0.00 2.66 3.90

1.16 1.71 0.00 1.06 3.94

0.45 1.16 0.03 3.74 5.37

1.23 2.70 0.07 1.48 5.47

0.37 0.43 0.00 1.82 2.62

1.11 0.89 0.00 0.68 2.69

34.9

0.11 0.15 0.00 0.59 0.84

0.37 0.35 0.00 0.22 0.94

20.3

21.38

19.52

Appendix 1A 2045 Build Summer Emissions Report by County

COUNTY

DAILY VMT Vehicle miles traveled 5,092,510 5,205,405 0

VHT Vehicle hours traveled 356,810 478,861 0

SPEED Miles per hour 14.3 10.9 0.0

10,297,915

835,671

12.3

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

13,324,044 10,299,066 0

796,187 694,189 0

16.7 14.8 0.0

23,623,110

1,490,376

15.9

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

6,562,521 4,022,394 0

281,586 252,277 0

23.3 15.9 0.0

10,584,915

533,863

19.8

6,226,407 8,056,839 0

375,297 700,956 0

16.6 11.5 0.0

14,283,246

1,076,253

13.3

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

2,528,721 4,726,422 0

98,438 302,856 0

25.7 15.6 0.0

7,255,143

401,294

18.1

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

14,389,028 21,832,123 0

690,669 1,199,361 0

20.8 18.2 0.0

36,221,151

1,890,030

19.2

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

15,656,772 34,864,021 1,031,575

568,924 1,582,357 35,105

27.5 22.0 29.4

51,552,368

2,186,386

23.6

8) Westchester 1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

17,335,609 14,380,108 25,306

453,777 609,021 953

38.2 23.6 26.6

31,741,023

1,063,751

29.8

9) Rockland

5,513,172 5,676,665 0

121,440 203,990 0

45.4 27.8 0.0

11,189,837

325,430

196,748,708

9,803,054

1) New York

2) Queens

3) Bronx

4) Kings

5) Richmond

6) Nassau

7) Suffolk

Grand Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

1) Urban Restricted Access 2) Urban Unrestricted Access 3) Rural Unrestricted Access Off Network County Total

Section VI - 7 T Series

VOC Tons per day 0.25 0.33 0.00 0.81 1.39

NOx Tons per day 0.35 0.40 0.00 0.39 1.14

0.50 0.42 0.00 2.03 2.95

0.71 0.56 0.00 0.98 2.25

0.19 0.16 0.00 0.69 1.04

0.35 0.21 0.00 0.38 0.95

0.28 0.48 0.00 1.33 2.09

0.33 0.48 0.00 0.54 1.35

0.07 0.18 0.00 0.71 0.96

0.13 0.27 0.00 0.28 0.68

0.47 0.79 0.00 2.55 3.81

1.16 1.76 0.00 1.03 3.95

0.45 1.17 0.03 3.58 5.22

1.22 2.71 0.07 1.43 5.44

0.38 0.44 0.00 1.75 2.57

1.14 0.91 0.00 0.67 2.71

34.4

0.11 0.15 0.00 0.57 0.83

0.37 0.36 0.00 0.22 0.95

20.1

20.86

19.42

APPENDIX 1B - BUILD ANNUAL PM2.5 AND NOX EMISSIONS BY COUNTY

Section VI-8

Appendix 1B 2020 Annual Build PM2.5 & NOx Emissions Report by County COUNTY

PM 2.5

Nox

Tons

Tons

1) New York

77.30

2,169.95

2) Queens

110.80

3,008.31

3) Bronx

43.00

1,163.12

4) Kings

102.04

2,743.33

5) Richmond

29.41

789.22

6) Nassau

207.07

5,173.05

7) Suffolk

303.98

7,800.51

8) Westchester

156.17

3,942.84

9) Rockland

46.05

1,234.41

Grand Total

1,075.81

28,024.74

T Series

Section VI - 9

Appendix 1B 2025 Annual Build PM2.5 & NOx Emissions Report by County COUNTY

PM 2.5

Nox

Tons

Tons

1) New York

67.27

1,939.42

2) Queens

73.14

2,060.03

3) Bronx

27.91

761.06

4) Kings

70.96

2,090.51

5) Richmond

19.49

562.88

6) Nassau

131.71

3,568.69

7) Suffolk

185.68

5,165.02

8) Westchester

100.18

2,719.17

9) Rockland

30.41

862.73

Grand Total

706.76

19,729.51

T Series

Section VI - 10

Appendix 1B 2035 Annual Build PM2.5 & NOx Emissions Report by County COUNTY

PM 2.5

Nox

Tons

Tons

1) New York

32.42

820.74

2) Queens

37.78

1,184.76

3) Bronx

14.92

462.02

4) Kings

27.73

920.18

5) Richmond

10.78

343.53

6) Nassau

62.88

2,052.26

7) Suffolk

93.06

2,803.99

8) Westchester

47.90

1,444.49

9) Rockland

15.77

487.66

Grand Total

343.23

10,519.62

T Series

Section VI - 11

Appendix 1B 2040 Annual Build PM2.5 & NOx Emissions Report by County COUNTY

PM 2.5

Nox

Tons

Tons

1) New York

15.52

458.05

2) Queens

29.15

1,059.72

3) Bronx

11.93

425.62

4) Kings

20.17

685.91

5) Richmond

9.22

327.97

6) Nassau

48.87

1,813.80

7) Suffolk

71.22

2,503.84

8) Westchester

36.82

1,266.99

9) Rockland

12.21

437.27

Grand Total

255.09

8,979.16

T Series

Section VI - 12

Appendix 1B 2045 Annual Build PM2.5 & NOx Emissions Report by County COUNTY

PM 2.5

Nox

Tons

Tons

1) New York

14.25

488.83

2) Queens

26.54

1,048.37

3) Bronx

10.89

424.01

4) Kings

18.51

639.45

5) Richmond

8.49

323.16

6) Nassau

46.76

1,829.12

7) Suffolk

66.78

2,497.91

8) Westchester

35.05

1,282.24

9) Rockland

11.69

441.66

Grand Total

238.95

8,974.75

T Series

Section VI - 13

APPENDIX 1C - MONTHLY NOX AND PM2.5 EMISSIONS BY COUNTY

The NYMTC PM2.5 Monthly Results/County/Facility Type is available on the NYMTC web as a separate file

Section VI-17

APPENDIX 2 – OCTC CONFORMITY DETERMINATION

The Air Quality Conformity Determination for the Orange County Portion of the NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Non-Attainment Area is available on the NYMTC web as a separate file.

Section VI-18

APPENDIX 3 – PUBLIC COMMENTS AND RESPONSES

Section VI-19

Public Comments Question 1 Toby Z. Liederman, Bronx, NY Yes, absolutely stick to no new violations to federal air quality standards....and of course don't violate the old ones either!

I'd like to add that in future the council do better about getting messages like this out to the public if you really want/need our input!

I think posting a paper on my library bulletin board is far from adequate if you do! I'm lucky I even looked! And I've not seen or heard a word about it until today...not in any grocery store, on any shop windows, on tv or radio, in local (Bronx times) newspapers, nada.....

Response 1 Thank you for your comment. NYMTC’s planning area includes the lower Hudson Valley and suburban Long Island, as well as New York City. NYMTC relies on direct mail, emails and faxes and social media, and our website to share information on transportation planning activities. We are always seeking to expand and enhance our outreach by asking public institutions and community groups to forward our messages.

Section VI - 20

APPENDIX 4 – RESOLUTIONS

Section VI-21