Livestock “The greatest homage we can pay to truth is to use it.” – JAMES RUSSELL LOWELL DECEMBER 15, 2010 •
MARKET
Digest A
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Volume 52 • No. 13
Some say that BIG is beautiful and that may certainly seem so. Until it turns out that big is also bad. by Lee Pitts
the rules you already have?
ere’s a short parable with a lesson for anyone who still thinks that big is always better. In 2008 corn growers were enjoying one of their best years ever, if not their best. Who could blame those corn growers who’d signed contracts with the largest ethanol producer, VeraSun Energy, or one of its 24 subsidiaries? Thanks to VeraSun and the ethanol boom those contract growers were anticipating a once-in-a-lifetime bonanza. And who better to pledge your crop to than the biggest in the business? But when VeraSun declared bankruptcy on October 31, 2008, it left farmers and grain elevators holding an empty sack of what-could-have-beens. Many of those corn growers had already delivered their crop and, anticipating a big check, bought new $400,000 combines. Instead of checks that reflected the highest corn price in history they got checks that bounced higher than Iowa corn stalks at harvest time. Even the lucky ones who cashed their checks while there was still some money in the VeraSun bank account were told that under state bankruptcy laws anyone who got paid during 90 days prior to the bankruptcy had
Not Too Big To Fail
NEWSPAPER PRIORITY HANDLING
by LEE PITTS
The First Dog
The Bigger They Are
H
Riding Herd
“Responsibility is like a breakfast of ham and eggs. For the hen it's only a donation. For the hog it's total commitment.” to repay 80 percent of what VeraSun had already paid them. Payments made during those 90 days are known as preferential payments because a debtor “preferred” to pay one creditor over another. (Only recently the courts stopped going after those VeraSun preferred payments.) Why are we telling you all this about corn in a cattlemen’s newspaper. Such a mess could never hit the cattle business, right? Don’t look now but it just did!
While everyone was arguing over whether or not the new rules proposed by The Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration (GIPSA) were good for animal agriculture or not, the largest cattle broker in the country was going broke, accused of kiting checks, and leaving ranchers with the same empty sack that VeraSun left corn farmers with. All this causes us to wonder, what good do all these rules do if you don’t even enforce
When GIPSA and the Packers and Stockyards Administration finally got around to shutting Eastern Livestock Company down, most of the damage had already been done. At the time of this writing GIPSA estimated that Eastern owed more than $130 million to 743 sellers of cattle in 30 states across the land. Those 743 sellers received $81 million in worthless checks issued on Eastern’s account between November 3 and November 9. But even those numbers may be on the light side and at press time there seemed to be some confusion as to just how much money we’re really talking about. According to the Organization for Competitive Markets, “Eastern Livestock’s revenue tripled during the past year. But, this was because it was trading with itself — kiting checks so its continued on page two
Beef Cow Herd Smallest Since 1963 by DONALD STOTTS, Oklahoma State University ■ The U.S. beef cow herd has decreased 12 of the last 14 years, dropping from a cyclical peak of 35.3 million head in 1996 to the January 2010 level of 31.3 million head. This represents the smallest beef cow herd since 1963. ■ Total U.S. cattle inventory has decreased by almost 10 million head since 1996 to the January 2010 level of 93.7 million head, the smallest cattle inventory since 1959. Declining beef inventories are causing some in the U.S. cattle industry to wonder how beef production can be maintained. “The numbers tell the tale, which is that America’s cattle industry has effectively been turning fewer cattle into more pounds of beef,” said Derrell Peel, Oklahoma State University Cooperative Extension livestock marketing specialist. The U.S. beef cow herd has decreased 12 of the last 14 years, dropping from a cyclical peak of 35.3 million head in 1996 to the January 2010 level of 31.3 million head. This represents the smallest beef cow herd since 1963.
Combined with smaller dairy cow numbers, Peel said the 2010 calf crop is expected to be 35.4 million head, the smallest U.S. calf crop since 1950. Total U.S. cattle inventory has decreased by almost 10 million head since 1996 to the January 2010 level of 93.7 million head, the smallest cattle inventory since 1959. In contrast, total beef production has not changed accordingly. In fact, 2010 beef production is projected at 25.9 billion pounds, slightly higher than the 1996 level of 25.4 billion pounds. “We have maintained production thus far in two primary ways,” Peel said. “First, decreasing inventories allows the industry to utilize that inventory as production while numbers are declining.” Second, between 1996 and 2006, cheap corn allowed the industry to feed animals to ever-increasing carcass weights and to feed lightweight calves for many days in feedlots. Feedlot inventories have thus been maintained by a slower rate of turnover. “In effect, the U.S. cattle industry has been continued on page three
fter his first 500 days in The White House we thought it was time to check in on Bo, the First Dog. Here’s a transcript of our recent chat with Obama’s dog.
Q. So Bo, how is life in The White House. A. Well, I’m not exactly livin’ like a dog. I don’t eat out of cans or sleep under the porch. Just last night I had a scrumptious fivecourse dinner leftover from the Peruvian Ambassador’s State Dinner. Although the Sea Bass was a little underdone for my tastes. And I’ve never been a big fan of arugula. Q. Being under the media microscope as you are, do you have a personal life? A. Not much. In the White House there is a constant stream of lobbyists, Congressmen and other undesirables traipsing through who always want to pet me. Sometimes I just want to reach out and take a big bite out of them. Know what I mean? Q. Yes, we do. How about companionship with other dogs? A. Well, I’m neutered, you know, so it’s not that big a deal. I have been given complete access to the President, although, I must say he’s not much of a dog person. Q. Can you tell us any dirty secrets of the Obama White House. A. That’s why the Obamas got a dog instead of a parrot . . . no talking. Listen, I had to sign a nondisclosure statement as part of the FBI vetting process before I came to the White House so you’re not going to hear me digging up anything on the President or his family. Q. Does the President play any games with you? A. He likes basketball but I can’t dribble. Occasioncontinued on page four
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