NUMBER ONE SINCE 1921

FOR 100 YEARS,

Ritchie has been the number one choice in automatic waterers for cattlemen. Known for innovating waterers designed to perform no matter the weather conditions, Ritchie takes the work and uncertainty out of watering valuable livestock.

Made in America and built to last, Ritchie and its waterers are as strong and enduring as the Georgia farmers and ranchers they serve.

FEATURING OUR MEMBERS’ SUCCESS AT THE STATE & NATIONAL LEVEL Event coverage based upon information received and space available

2023 National Western Stock Show Results

The 2023 National Western Stock Show was held January 7-22, 2023 in Denver, CO.

Kolten Greenhorn of Waynesville took home Grand Champion Junior Shorthorn Female with MFS Knighted Pinky The Roo 2142 ET. This heifer is the daughter of SULL Red Knight 2030 ET and KOLT RGLC Pinky The Roo 940 ET.

In the Angus Show, the Champion Intermediate Heifer was SCC Heart N Sole 153 exhibited by Delaney Jones of Harrod.

Olivia Jones, also of Harrod, exhibited the Champion Summer Heifer Calf SCC SLL Phylis 262.

Efficient, Easy Fleshing Cattle

Yearling bulls & heifers sired by:

SAV President 6847

Sitz Reload 411C

Coleman Bravo 6313

ZWT Summit 6507

SAV Raindance 6848

Coleman Charlo 0256 & 3212

NTLF Renown F02

NTLF President G04

NTLF Paxton 6366

Selling Sat. April 18, 2020, plus cow/calf pairs

Ron Novak Hartford, OH 330.772.3186

2023 Ohio State Fair Beef Department Updates

There are several changes that have been made for the 2023 Ohio State Fair. Foremost among them, the beef cattle will once again be stalled and show in the Voinovich building. Both breeding and market animal grand drives, and the accompanying awards, will also take place in the Voinovich building. The breeding heifer grand drive will be held on Saturday, July 29 and the market animal grand drive will be Saturday, August 5.

The beef department staff has also added a day between the first breeding cattle session and the second session to reduce the difficulty when breeds are moving out at the same time other breeds are trying to move in.

The Dean’s Charity Steer Show that benefits the Ronald McDonald House Charities of Central Ohio will also return to the Voinovich building. This event, sponsored in part by the Ohio Cattlemen’s Association, will be held on Tuesday, August 1.

2023 Schedule

Session 1 Breeding – July 23 – July

26 (Breeds: Angus, Crossbred, Maine Anjou, Maintainer, Chianina, AOB, Gelbvieh, Limousin, Chi-Angus, Maine-Angus, Charolais)

Session 2 Breeding – July 27 – July 30

(Breeds: Simmental, Percentage Simmental, Hereford, Shorthorn, Shorthorn Plus)

Mini Session – July 30 – August 1

(Breeds: Mini Hereford and Santa Gertrudis)

Commercial Cattle – July 28 – July 29

Session 3 Market –

August 2 – August 5

Prospect Cattle – August 4 – August 6

All cattle will be required to have a negative BVD test in 2023. All Showmanship, both breeding and market, will be shown by age as of January 1, 2023 (8-9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18)

If a youth exhibitor is showing in a project they must be enrolled in that project in their county (i.e., beef breeding exhibitor must be entered in a beef breeding project).

An animal may only be shown for one project by the same exhibitor (a market heifer cannot also be shown as a breeding heifer or shown by another exhibitor in a 4H/FFA show).

ALL cattle must have EID (840) tags upon arrival no exceptions.

Exhibitors must present a hard copy (to include: an original or a printed electronic copy with visual confirmation of electronic copy) of the registration paper at the time of check-in for each animal. Presentation of the registration paper on an electronic device alone will NOT be accepted.

Standardization of Crossbred steer divisions

• DIV I (declared weight of 10001200 pounds)

• DIV II (declared weight of 12011325 pounds)

• DIV III (declared weight of 13261375 pounds)

• DIV IV (declared weight of 13761425 pounds)

• DIV V (declared weight of 1426 pounds and higher)

2023 Ohio State Fair

Commercial Cattle Show Changes

The Commercial Cattle Show will be held Saturday, July 29, 2023. BVD tests will not be required for cattle entered in the Ohio State Fair Commercial Cattle Show.

Additional division will be added:

• Beef x Dairy

• Dairy

• Shorter duration

Cattle can arrive on Thursday, July 27. All cattle must be in place by Friday evening, July 28. Cattle will weigh Saturday morning and show Saturday afternoon. Options for UPI collection points to transport cattle to the Ohio State Fair. Possible collection points include Eaton and Bucyrus. Additional sponsorships for 2023 and increased premiums will be available.

More details will be coming soon. Contact Sam Roberts, United Producers, Inc., 937-477-0060 for more details.

Cattlefax Forecasts Producer Profitability In 2023 With Potential Drought Relief For The West

The popular CattleFax Outlook Seminar, held as part of the 2023 Cattle Industry Convention and NCBA Trade Show in New Orleans, shared expert market and weather analysis.

Prices and profitability will again favor cattle producers in 2023. The cattle industry is entering 2023 with the smallest cattle supply since 2015 as drought caused the industry to dig deeper into the supply of feeder cattle and calves. While the exact path to drought relief is unknown, improvements are also expected to translate to moderating feed costs, especially in the second half of 2023. Combined with increased cattle prices, cattle producers, especially the cow-calf operator, will continue to see an improvement in margins for the next several years, according to CattleFax.

Meteorologist Matt Makens said the latest forecast for La Niña has only a 14% probability of existence this spring and down further by the summer, which means a pattern change comes our way this year. A neutral phase will take control of the pattern as La Niña weakens and may last several months before giving El Niño a chance to grow this summer and into the fall.

Makens said putting this latest La Niña episode in the review mirror suggests improving drought conditions, more favorable growing seasons and healthier soils.

MEMBER SERVICES

Linde Sutherly, Ch. | Jason Dagger, V. Ch.

Membership

Jason Dagger, Ch.| Jim Rogers, V. Ch

Ohio Cattleman Magazine

Lindsey Hall, Ch. | Dale Taylor, V. Ch.

Steak Barn/Taste of Ohio Café/FSR

Linde Sutherly, Co-Ch. | Lindsey Hall, Co-Ch.

Young Cattlemen’s Conference

Tyler Humphrey, Ch.| Emily Warnimont, V. Ch.

Annual Meeting/Awards Banquet

Sarah Ison, Ch. | Linde Sutherly, V. Ch

Youth Programs BEST & Buckeye Breeders Series

Shane Riley, Ch.| Kim Herman, V. Ch.

PUBLIC POLICY

Mark Goecke, Ch. | Kirsten Nickles, V. Ch.

Agriculture & Food Policy

Sarah Ison, Ch. | Bill Tom, V. Ch.

Cattle Health & Well-Being

Brad Thornburg, Ch. | Jaymes Maciejewski, V. Ch.

Live Cattle Marketing

Mark Goecke, Ch. | Jim Jepsen, V. Ch.

International Trade

Brad Thornburg, Ch.| Dale Taylor, V. Ch.

Property Rights & Environmental Mgt.

Andy Lohr, Ch. | Mark Goecke, V. Ch.

Jaymes Maciejewski, V. Ch. | Kirsten Nickles, V. Ch

PAC – Political Action Committee

Frank Phelps, Ch.| John Ferguson, V. Ch.

Tax & Credit

John Ferguson, Ch. | Jim Rogers, V. Ch.

Beef Improvement

Tom Karr, Ch. | Frank Phelps, V. Ch

Replacement Female Sale

Pam Haley, Ch. | Lindsey Hall, V. Ch.

Ohio Beef Expo

Shane Riley, Ch. | Bill Tom, V. Ch.

Resolution Committee

Sarah Ison, Ch. | Andy Lohr, V. Ch

Contact information is available on page 6 of this issue.

Carrollton, Ohio

Our cows are managed like a commercial herd. The cows are of moderate frame, good udders and good feet and legs. The herd has tested negative for Johne’s and Leukosis, and is free of genetic defects AM, NH, CA and OS. Genomic Enhanced EPD’s | Parent Verified | Free bull care until May 1st | $3.00/hd/day after May 1st

All bulls have passed a breeding soundness exam. The bulls’ information will be on our website two weeks before the sale: www.burgettangus.com

Black Angus Sires

Red Angus Sires

“I’m not trying to imply that doing away with La Niña fixes everything. An El Niño can cause drought across the northern states. There is no win-win for everyone in any weather pattern,” Makens added. “But moisture conditions should improve for the West in the second half of this year.”

Kevin Good, vice president of industry relations and analysis at CattleFax, reported that U.S. beef cow cattle inventories have already fallen 1.5 million head from cycle highs. The 2023 beef cow herd is expected to be down about another million head to nearly 29.2 million.

“Drought affected nearly half of the beef cow herd over the last year, exacerbating the liquidation in 2022. Drought improvement and higher cattle prices should drastically slow beef cow culling through 2023,” Good said.

Feeder cattle and calf supplies outside of feedyards will be 400,000 to 450,000 head smaller than 2022 at 25.1 million. After being full for most of the past three years, cattle on feed inventories are expected to begin 2023 at 300,000 to 400,000 head below last year, at 14.3 million head, and remain smaller. Commercial fed slaughter in 2023 is forecast to decline by 750,000 to 800,000 to 25.6 million head.

“With drought forced placement and culling, beef production was record large in 2022 at 28.3 billion pounds. Expect production to drop over the next several years – declining 4% to 5% in 2023 to 27 billion pounds,” Good said. “The decline in production in 2023 will lead to a 2.2-pound decline in net beef supply to 57 pounds per person.”

Good forecast the average 2023 fed steer price at $158/cwt., up $13/cwt. from 2022, with a range of $150 to $172/cwt. throughout the year. All cattle classes are expected to trade higher, and prices are expected to continue to trend upward. The 800-lb. steer price is expected to average $195/cwt. with a range of $175 to $215/cwt., and the 550-lb. steer price is expected to average $225/cwt., with a range of $200 to

$245/cwt. Finally, Good forecast utility cows at an average of $100/cwt. with a range of $75 to $115/cwt., and bred cows at an average of $2,100/cwt. with a range of $1,900 to $2,300 for load lots of quality, running-age cows.

When looking at domestic beef demand, the U.S. economy will be a driving factor going in 2023. CattleFax said inflation, rising interest rates and general economic uncertainty will continue to impact consumer purchasing decisions as many look to limit spending. Inflation reached a 40-year high in 2022, triggering the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates seven times last year with intentions for further rate increases until inflation falls. Through the Federal Reserve hopes to accomplish a “soft landing” and avoid recession, the U.S. economy is expected to slow in 2023 with most economists calling for a mild recession in the second half of the year.

Good noted that though beef demand has softened, it remains historically strong, and consumers have shown willingness to continue to buy beef in a new and higher range. He expects the 2023 USDA All-Fresh Retail Beef prices to average $7.35/pound, up 4 cents from 2022.

He also said wholesale demand will appear to be softer, as prices will not go up at the same rate of inflation despite tighter supplies. The cutout value should move higher to average $270/ cwt. for 2023.

Global protein demand has continued to rise around the world and tighter global protein supplies should broadly support prices in 2023. After more than 20% of growth across the last two years, U.S. beef exports are expected to moderate, declining 3% in 2023 to 3.5 billion pounds. Japan and South Korea remain the top U.S. beef export destinations with stable exports in 2022. Meanwhile, Chinese demand has continued to grow with tonnage up 20% last year, likely with continued room to grow.

Mike Murphy, CattleFax vice pres- ident of research and risk management services, said National Dec. 1 on-farm hay stock were down 9% from a yearago at 71.9 million tons with hay prices averaging $216/ton in 2022.

“Last year was the smallest U.S. hay production year since 1959,” Murphy said. “Hay prices will likely continue to be high in the first part of 2023, but we expect weather patterns to improve pasture conditions as early as this spring which should help stabilize and soften hay prices throughout 2023.”

CattleFax said corn stocks-to-use are just under 9% and will continue to support the market above $6/bu., and provide resistance near $7.50/bu. into the summer with a yearly average price of $6.50/bu. expected.

Blach concluded the session with an overall positive outlook, expecting improvements in the weather pattern and a tighter supply to distribute more money though all sectors of the cattle industry.

CATTLE FOR SALE AT ALL TIMES!

SSF KKH 513 TIME TRAVELER 902

CE +1.8, BW +3.1, WW +56, YW +82, MM +27, MG +55, REA +.67, MARB +.02, CHB +$107

SIRE: LLC FBF TIME TRAVELER 480

DAM’s SIRE: NJW 98S R117 RIBEYE 88X ET

Flatter Hereford Farms, Inc. | Gerald & Sharon Flatter 3831 State Route 235, Fairborn, OH 45324

General Manager – Wyatt Flatter- 937-524-1196 Office – 937-878-4271

SSF KKH 25E PILGRIM 107

CE +6.7, BW +3.7, WW +62, YW +99, MM +40, MG +71, REA, +.55, MARB +.16, CHB +$135

HOMOZYGOUS POLLED

Owned with: BJ Herman & Sons, Todd, Kim & Kasey Herman also added two Herd Sires from Hot Iron Enterprises –Tom & Nikki Morrison.

SIRE: CHURCHHILL PILGRIM 623D ET

DAM’s SIRE: C MILES MCKEE 2103 ET

Flatter Land & Cattle LLC 439 E. Yellow Springs – Fairfield Rd., Yellow Springs, OH 45387 Wyatt Flatter – 937-524-1196