JPM Analysis

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Undergraduate Stock Trading Society USTS – THIRD MEETING JPM ANALYSIS


JPMorgan Chase & Co. Intro   Financial holding company   Services provided: 

  

Investment Banking: advising on corporate strategy and structure, capital raising in equity and debt markets, risk management, marketmaking in cash securities and derivative instruments, and prime brokerage and research Commercial Banking: lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management services Treasury and Securities Services: transaction, investment, information services, cash management, trade, wholesale card, and liquidity products and services Asset Management: investment and wealth management, equities, fixed income, real estate, hedge funds, private equity, and liquidity products, including money market instruments and bank deposits Retail banking: checking & savings account, mortgages, credit card, business loans, etc.


JPM


JPM – M&A history


Recent Events   Financial Regulation Reform:         

Volcker rule: no more prop trading (but ok if it is “client related”) OTC derivatives: large portion can be kept in-house. Some need to go through clearing house “orderly liquidation”: fees. How much ?? Tougher capital requirement Fees – reduced (or at least can’t drive up too much)

  Foreclosure probe: possible foreclosing fraud     

Related expenses unknown The probe may go through years of information ???

  Federal Reserve Actions


JPM Strengths   Strength in profit – 23% jump in Q3   Less provisions for bad debt – $1.55B compared to

$3.99B last year   Debt underwriting – low interest rate = more companies issuing debt = more fees for JPM   Tier 1 capital ratio 11.3% - strong balance sheet


Threats   Large portion of income due to reduction in

provision for loan loss   Still holds 5.1% loss provision reserve   Investment banking unit income unreliable   Possible currency war.   Anemic growth in the general economy


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