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2023 polls: The submissions, the lessons (1)
Cont. from back page who apparently explored and exploited regional affiliation of the Nigeria population and went too deep into capitalising on our religious differences to carve out a virulent and equally violent support base for his presidential candidacy. Nigeria witnessed this disturbing situation where he and his covert backers prevailed on the Christian associations and clergies, who turned their pulpits to campaign podiums and sites for the propagation of religious hate messages. We got low to the point that the candidate told the Christian to take back their country. It was a low for the country; a return to the errors we thought we could finally eliminate from our system as we approached a new dispensation of national healing and togetherness.
The victory of the Labour Party candidate in Lagos, as sweet as it may be to the nation’s political evolution, is actually a negative because it emanated from a systemic error in the balancing of the country, particularly with regard to regional advancements. The historical victory was carved out of a combination of religious and tribal display of bigotry. The victory came from some segments of the population that planned a silent coup to upset the seat of Yoruba democracy. The Yoruba see this as a clever and painstaking tribal attack on the Yoruba nation; but much more a signal to the bottled regional superiority war among the Nigeria regions and tribal men.
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The ensuing Lagos state governorship elections became a reflection of the extent and intents of the players and participants in the game. It appeared at a time, it wasn’t democracy again but a war of tribal, religious and regional control. The Obedients, having the full backing of their self-styled lord Obi, became hell bent on displacing the Yoruba leadership in Lagos, and leveraging on the presidential win in the state grew wings to the extent of publicly declaring that Lagos state is a ‘no man’s land.’ That the Yorubas considered it an absurd; as a believer in One Nigeria, I find it impossible to understand the basis for the Obedients to feel so confident to encroach into the basic life of a people in such a way that angers all, particularly the sensibility of the dominant Yorubas in the South West. It is a fact that no state or region in the country would accept such without corresponding effect ; and definitely the South-East, where even an Ebonyi man would not be allowed to contest in Enugu state. It was an affront, but it has become yet a fundamental challenge to the entire country. We will have to deal with the aftermath of this ugly development, both oral outbursts and actions from all the tension points. This is as the Labour Party or its leadership allowed it to be hijacked by political opportunists who leveraged on the ruling party’s same religion ticket to evoke and organise ethnoreligious sentiments among the people of Southwest. At the end, the support for the messiah figure in Peter Obi was not about capacity or antecedents but divisive religious and regional affiliation sentiments that became virulent before, during and after the elections.
The 2023 elections would be very difficult to analyse; we just saw an election that appears to present a large level of citizens’ awareness and desire to effect changes via the power of the ballot. The elections have ended and we have continued to see the same outburst that characterised the preelection time, but the figure of election participation has a different story to tell. In reality, the 2023 elections recorded the highest level of voters’ apathy in the country since the 1999 elections. INEC announced that over 90 million Nigerians registered as voters; we had expected a massive voting population but ended up recording 77.78 voters’ apathy in the presidential election. Where were the populations who wanted to take back the country? Was it just a social media gyration that has no bearing with reality? Has Nigeria been swindled of a chance to have a real reawakening? These and many questions seriously beg for answers.
Another development worthy of discussion as far as the 2023 elections is concerned is the rise and impact of the Obedient movement in the entire permutation of events before, during and now, after the elections. It is not panning out what the movement was really about; results and outcomes of polls were a complete deviation from
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DIMAS what such a movement could have achieved if it is for real. After a series of unbelievable wins at unexpected sections of the country during the presidential election and for the first time, having a third party having such a strong, formidable appearance in an election at that level in the country, the party and the movement went out of fire and couldn’t achieve anything at the state level where wins could have strategically become the structure the party has always been accused of lacking. Where were the same people that gave the Labour Party above 90 percent of the presidential ballots in the entire South-east states, and overwhelming victories in the SouthSouth states? It appears the Obedient movement is just as it was summarised, “a fluke and spaghetti movement.”
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There is so much to be studied about the 2023 elections across the country; the result itself, the discussions around voters’ intimidations, the glaring variation in the presidential and governorship election outlooks. There would be the need to ask and answer the question, as to what extent the 2023 elections is peaceful, free, fair and credible based on recorded realities and facts and without spaces for emotional biases. We must learn every lesson embedded in the election term and we must evolve a better Nigeria from it.
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