Housing in New York City: In the Context of Carbon, Climate, and Social Justice Pratt Institute School of Architecture Housing Consortium, Fall 2021
Executive Summary
New York City, as in many parts of the United
in to play new tools such as mass timber; to
States (U.S.), has long suffered from a chronic
increase housing production sustainably;
shortage of affordable housing. The U.S. has
and to face up to the inevitable consequence of
never seriously embraced housing as a national
sea level rise with a humanistic planning
priority--unlike, for instance, post-war Europe
approach; all to redress the long-ignored
where recovery demanded massive government
environmental and social inequities in our city.
housing production. Even the federal public housing program was a reluctant and parsimonious effort,
It is to this end that Pratt Institute’s Housing
poorly crafted in ways that exacerbate racial
Consortium pursued the five topics that are
and social inequalities. New York City’s public
the subject of this paper. The authors are
housing program-generally seen as successful,
experts in their field and propose sound
was the result of not one federal program but
policies to address these issues. It is our
rather a series of six or seven different programs
hope that these ideas might gain traction
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undertaken between 1937 and today. Financial
among politicians and policy-makers-- at
support for housing production on the supply
first in New York City, and perhaps later
side has all but ended at the federal level, with
beyond.
tax credits being the main incentive to entice private developers to subsidize some housing. Demand side subsidies such as Section-8 provide assistance to renters but have not proven
Ten Key Recommendations
successful in stimulating production of housing
1. Adopt a foundational “right to housing” policy
at affordable rents. Home ownership programs
for the city. Climate change will force increasing
have similarly fallen short of providing support
numbers of people to be displaced. Our
below the level of the working middle calls,
responsibility is to guarantee future generations
leaving lower income families in need.
of their right to housing and to make sure that their rights can be met without dramatic
Add to this long-standing limitation the further
disruptions.
problems of increasing income inequality, a steep decline in housing production, the
2. Adopt policies promoting mass timber to meet
pandemic, and climate change- particularly with
to catch up to other cities around the world where
respect to rising sea levels and flood hazard;
millions of square feet of engineered mass timber
meaning that we now face a crisis of unprecedented
buildings have been built since the 1990s. Adjust
proportions and complexity.
the City’s building code accordingly, carry out
Nevertheless, as they say, “never waste a good
zoning, and pursue public/private partnerships
crisis.” The current moment may offer an
to foster the forestry industry in New York State.
opportunity for a call to arms, to finally focus our
3. Implement, enforce, and strengthen Local Law 97 (LL97)-- the centerpiece of New York City’s
New York City’s and global climate targets, and
training and pilot projects, employ incentive
attention on “Housing as a human right;” to bring
1 Peter
Marcuse has identified seven distinct program of the New York Housing Authority (NYCHA), beginning with First Houses (as housing for working families) even before the 1937 federal housing act and including programs such as war-worker housing during WWII, post-war middle class housing, and ending with infill housing in the 1990s. At each phase the program was seen as the end of new production.
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landmark Climate Mobilization Act of 2019 (CMA),
Plan for improving the communities to be
also known as the NYC Green New Deal. LL97
densified; for honoring historic resources and
and later amendments place strict limits on
narratives; and for repurposing the areas of
greenhouse gas emissions (GHG). Extend the
retreat for public benefit, such as parks and a
law’s full coverage to include all larger subsidized
return to nature. Be smart: Actively discourage
housing and faith-based properties after 2035;
new development in the areas most at risk.
provide more flexibility for how compliance is
8. Adopt the principle of humanistic and
achieved; and provide financial support to help affordable housing developments comply. 4. Lobby and rally for guaranteed annual income or second income startegies, reparations, universal access to capital, etc.---to get at the root cause of inadequate affordable housing: inadequate household incomes. 5. Make mandatory inclusionary housing universal in New York City, even for as-of-right development. Require Community Boards to identify workable sites for affordable and mixed-income development to meet quantifiable objectives indicated in a “fair share plan” for New York City. To make such development more practical: eliminate parking requirements proximate to subway stations, increase funding for supportive housing, and broaden the opportunity for accessory apartments across more typologies.
. for homeownership 6. Maximize opportunities that builds intergenerational wealth, especially for BIPOC (Black, indigenous, people of color). Support tried and true as well as innovative approaches in both shared ownership and sweat equity. Lobby for a federal home ownership down payment assistance program.
to when, how, and within reason when to relocate. This means meaningful community participation especially for BIPOC populations; financing the full, true costs of relocation (not just the cost of the unit); use of Section-8 Housing Choice (or similar) funding that gives low-income households rental support not tied to an address; and creative use of easements and covenants, such as government purchase of the property with a right for the residents to remain for the interim. 9. Fully finance New York City Housing (NYCHA) building rehabilitation, while also reserving ‘upland’ NYCHA property and finding new sites to potentially accommodate NYCHA residents who will be displaced from campuses that are expected to be under high tide or often flooded as of the year 2100. As the final, tenth recommendation: This is a multi-decade effort that will prove budget-busting unless we start now and spread out the costs over decades. We recommend tapping into new revenue streams, such as restoring the New York State Stock Transfer Tax, adjustments to how property is taxed, or “flip taxes” on property sales.
7. In coastal areas that will be under high tide by 2100: Start now to comprehensively plan for
Raising taxes is never popular; it is always
both household relocation (for renters and
York City a national model for taking advantage
lobbied against. But it is necessary to make New
homeowners, alike) and whole community
of emerging technologies that can reduce the
climigration (e.g., for tightknit communities
city’s carbon footprint, meaningfully adding to
and public housing tenants). Adjust the City’s
the supply of affordable housing at multiple
review process to fully address climate change
income tiers, achieving humanistic retreat that
over the next century, to forestall treating
yields a better city and is equitable, and
climate change as “the next mayor / mortgage
demonstrating the principle of housing as a right.
cycle’s problem.”
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managed retreat, hinging on resident choice as
List of Participants
Housing Consortium
Managed Relocation
David Burney, Consortium Coordinator
Deborah Helaine Morris, Group Chair
Carolyn Levine, Graduate Assistant
Moses Gates
Zein Ali Ahmad, Graduate Assistant
Sheena Kang Jessica Katz
Principal Editor
Marc Norman
John Shapiro, GCPE
Leonel Lima Ponce Thaddeus Pawlowski
The Right to Housing
John Shapiro
Ron Shiffman, Group Chair
A.R. Siders
Roland Anglin Jerrod Delaine
Whole Community Relocation
Amron Lee
Deborah Gans, Group Chair
Delaney Morris
Viren Brahmbhatt
Rob Robinson
Meta Brunzema
Sharon Egretta Sutton
Chris Cahill
Ahmedi Vawda
Theo David Jerrod Delaine
Decarbonization and New Housing Models
Ryan Devlin
Meta Brunzema, Group Chair
Fred Harris
Dylan Baker-Rice
Karen Kubey
Viren Brahmbhatt
Zehra Kuz
Christopher Cirillo
Radhi Majmudar
Jerrod Delaine
Elliott Maltby
Frances Huppert
Gita Nandan
Zehra Kuz
John Shapiro
Richard Leigh
Ron Shiffman
Radhi Majmudar
Stephen Slaughter
Eunjeong Seong
Lacy Tauber Vicki Weiner
Desegregation and Implementation Jerrod Delaine, Group Chair Meta Brunzema Chris Cirillo Ryan Devlin Fred Harris Karen Kubey Zehra Kuz John Shapiro Stephen Slaughter
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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Participants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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2. The Right to Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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3. Decarbonization and New Housing Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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4. Desegregation and Implementation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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5. Managed and Whole Community Relocation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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6. References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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Introduction
In the spring of 2020, Dean Harriet Harris of the School of Architecture, Pratt Institute, asked
The Consortium held a symposium in late 2020
Professor David Burney to lead a consortium of
bringing together a variety of housing experts to
architects and urbanists-- mainly but not
discuss the best way to propose, and to
exclusively teaching at Pratt Institute--in an
advocate for, housing solutions. After the
exploration of housing issues, with thought to
symposium five sub-groups began independent
where Pratt may have a positive impact on
discussion of some major themes that arose in
discourse within and especially outside of
the symposium:
academia. Fundamentals- the Right to Housing Over the past several months, the Consortium
Decarbonization and new housing models and
has been preoccupied with the broad issue of
typologies
housing access and affordability in the United
Managed Community “Climigration”
States of America. While this is and has been
Process and Policies for Planned Retreat and
an ongoing concern among housing professionals,
Repositioning
the current depth of this crisis, exacerbated by increasing income inequality, a steep decline in housing production, the pandemic, and climate change -- particularly with respect to rising sea levels and flood hazard -- provokes a greater sense of urgency. Also, there is the hope that political change at both. the federal and local levels might bring about a political climate in which solutions could be implemented.
Desegregation, Financing, Implementation What follows are policy papers that emerged from each of these five sub-groups. While there is overlap between them, it seems helpful to focus on each separately as they invoke different solutions. Over the next months the Consortium will begin looking for opportunities to promote these proposals and have them adopted at the federal and local level, as well as for ways in which the thinking and unresolved issues raised in this ‘white paper’ might be reflected in the school’s own research and pedagogy, to deepen knowledge and prepare future professionals for the times to come.
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The Right to Housing 6
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The Right to Housing
The right to housing must be understood as part
effect the essential importance of internation-
of an integral and universal struggle for dignity
al co-operation based on free consent.
and justice and for freedom from want. National,
(Byrne and Culhane, Penn Law: Legal Scholarship
State, and municipal governments too often
Repository, 2011)
misunderstand the right to housing as merely a commitment to housing production programs
The difference between these 1948 Universal
and ignore the adverse impacts of racial, social,
Declaration and the 1966 ICESCR documents is
economic, cultural, and environmental discrimi-
that the Universal Declaration is not binding on
nation and the absence of access to equitable
nations; while the ICESCR requires those nations
and judicially just support systems. The right to
that ratified it to “take appropriate steps to
adequate and affordable housing is a product of
ensure the realization” of a right to housing. By
the intersection of economic, social, and cultural
ratifying the ICESCR, states not only accept the
justice. It should be conceived of as a common
principle of a right to housing, but also have a
good, universally available, and not as a
binding obligation to uphold and promote this
commodity accessible only to a privileged few.
right.
The commitment to ‘housing as a right’ was articulated in the 1948 Universal Declaration of
The United States (U.S.) Congress in the Housing
Human Rights (Universal Declaration) and again
Act of 1949, declared:
in the 1966 United Nations International Covenant on Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights (ICESCR). They can be summarized as follows: The Universal Declaration of Human Rights states in Article 25 (1)]: “Everyone has the right to a standard of living adequate for [the] health and well-being of himself [or herself] and his [or her] family, including food, clothing, housing and medical care and necessary
general welfare and security of the Nation and the health and living standards of its people require housing production and related community development sufficient to remedy the serious housing shortage, the elimination of sub-standard and other inadequate housing through the clearance of slums and blighted areas, and the realization as soon as feasible of the goal of a decent home and a suitable
social services.”
living environment for every American family,
ICESCR, Article 11(1): “The States party to the
redevelopment of communities and to the
present Covenant recognize the right of everyone to an adequate standard of living for himself [or herself] and his [or her] family, including adequate food, clothing, and housing, and to the continuous improvement of living conditions. The States parties will take appropriate steps to ensure the realization of this right, recognizing to this
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SEC. 2. The Congress hereby declares that the
thus contributing to the development and advancement of the growth, wealth, and security of the Nation.
As long as 50 years ago, Sharon Segretta Sutton
expected dramatic increases in the numbers of
spoke to the dissonance between these two
people being displaced due to climate change?
documents. “We need to reorient the 1949
How will we be able to assure our children and
construction industry stance to human well-be-
their children their right to housing and the ability
ing and then we can refine that stance to reflect
to live lives where dignity and justice coupled
the effects of climate change and racism on
with the enhancement of one’s ability to satisfy
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people’s ability to secure their needs.” Sutton
their basic needs exists?
explained that the focus historically has been on brick-and-mortar development, responsive to the
Present programs and policies are not designed
hegemony of the construction industry inclusive
to address the wicked challenges that face us.
of developers. The deviation and slippage from
The level of funding to address the issues, while
the international focus on human well-being is
a fraction of the cost of not acting, is nowhere
significant and should be specifically acknowl-
near what it needs to be. Failure to act today, in
edged and addressed, period. This is more
turn, will be costly in terms of lives lost and in the
pressing than ever with banks and others buying
uncontrollable disruptions that will inevitably
houses as a place to park capital.
cascade throughout our planet, disrupting lives and uprooting nations.
Beyond righting a misdirection, all these foundational policy statements must be refined and updated to meet the needs and challenges of tomorrow. The interrelated
The Right to Housing underlies all of the other policy papers presented here: Decarbonization—as part and parcel of what we think of as
impacts of climate change and racism have
quality housing; housing choice for those to be
forced millions to be uprooted, while countless
relocated as a result of carbon change, including
other lives are lost and many more are
the ability to relocate as a community; and
threatened by gentrification, homelessness,
desegregation as a framework for providing
poverty, and inadequate housing. These
affordable housing.
violations of human rights, in particular the right to housing and the right to life, as well as other rights, such as the rights to health, physical integrity, privacy, water, and sanitation, are rarely addressed as such by governments, human rights institutions, or our judicial systems. The reality is that climate change will force increasing numbers of people to be displaced due to what many are calling climigratory (climate change related) issues. Given that already and increasingly grim reality, our responsibility in 2021 is to guarantee future generations their right to housing and to make sure that their rights can be met without dramatic disruptions. If we are barely able to meet the ‘right to housing today,’ how will we be able to address that right in the future given the 2
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Ibid.
image 3
Decarbonization and New Housing Models
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Decarbonization and New Housing Models Building and construction paradigms are
Mass Timber Construction
changing thanks to the ability to employ and reuse old materials in new ways (timber in
A large source of New York City’s greenhouse
particular), as well as greater understanding of
gas emission problem involves building
the impacts of past practices and potential to
construction – especially the use of steel and
retool for the better (building energy in particu-
concrete that use a great amount of energy in
lar). So must our approach to codes, construc-
their production.
tion, and incentives. The goal should be to promote housing production and modifications
The alternative is greater use of engineered
that take advantage of more sustainable
wood. Wood is a sustainable material that uses
practices, coupled with added, significant
little energy in its production and can be
benefits for owners, builders, and tenants, as well
replenished by forestry. Engineered timber
as with primary consideration for social and
products (for example of ‘cross-laminated
economic equity.
timber’ or GluLam) have increased the material strength of wood such that high-rise buildings
This policy brief covers two such topics:
can now be built using these engineered wood products. Contrary to intuition, timber performs
Mass timber construction for new
better than steel in a fire (steel buckles while
buildings and additions (through adaptive
timber protects itself with the charring of the
or in-kind reuse)
outer skin).
The support and expansion of energy
So why is New York not building with timber? It is
codes - especially Local Law 97 -
mostly because the City’s Building Code and
accompanied by incentives and technical
related regulations are outdated. The Internation-
assistance.
al Building Code now permits mass timber
figure 3
construction, and the City should adopt it. For both topics, New York City is the case study. We are attempting to provide greater
The rest of this section goes into more detail and
impetus and ability for the City to succeed in
lists the changes we propose to allow the
its goal of reducing New York City’s carbon
expansion of mass timber construction in New
emissions by 80 percent by the year 2050.
York City. The vision is to significantly reduce
Action on reducing greenhouse gas
embodied carbon emissions in building materials
emissions in our city involves reduction in
and products to meet New York City’s and global
vehicular travel and conversion to electric
climate crisis targets.
vehicles. But as a transit-oriented city, the surprising fact is that the greatest source of greenhouse gas emissions is from buildings. We applaud the 80 percent target and view it as reachable with doable (however radical) immediate action, such as that outlined below.
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Objectives
Challenges
Transform New York City’s new construction
Buildings are a significant source of CO2 and
(including adaptive reuse and additions) into
other greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, not
massive carbon sinks by using structural
only in their operational energy consumption
timber building materials that sequester CO2,
(for heating, cooling, lighting, etc.) but also in
rather than emit CO2.
the embodied carbon emissions released before construction begins. These upfront
Implement mass timber construction
carbon emissions are created by the
technologies as well as regulatory and
manufacturing, transportation, and product
economic policies that promote mass timber
installation.
building in New York City and the sustainable management of source forests in New York
Research shows that for new buildings and
State—furthermore creating tens of
additions, policy efforts should primarily
thousands of high and low-tech jobs.
focus on reducing the embodied carbon emissions of structural building materials
Provide high-quality, healthy, and energy-effi-
(steel, concrete, and aluminum) to meet New
cient buildings.
York City’s and global greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets. If nothing is done to lower the embodied carbon emissions that are locked in place as soon as a building is built - those GHG emissions released will represent half of the entire carbon footprint of new construction between now and 2050 threatening to consume a large part of our remaining carbon budget.
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Policy Proposals New policies that encourage mass timber are needed to meet New York City’s and global
worker training is offered in environmental justice and low and moderate-income communities, to equitably distribute the economic benefits of building decarbonization.
climate targets and to catch up to other cities around the world where millions of square feet of engineered mass timber buildings have been
Action Items
built since the 1990s. From 2021 onward, the New York City Building Congress expects that at least 56 billion dollars of new construction per year, most of which will be mid-rise construction. New York City’s mass timber policies should be formulated to carry out the following: Incentivize new construction and adaptive reuse of residential and commercial buildings with mass timber as a primary structural material. Mass timber can also be employed in combination with steel and/or concrete. Adopt the International Building Code 2021 that permits mass timber mid-rise buildings from two to 18 stories (or 270 feet high). Mass timber can be used to build walls, floors, roofs, and interior partitions of buildings. Examples: prefabricated Cross Laminated Timber solid panels, GluLam beams or columns, and other engineered timber products. Create thousands of new jobs in an emerging mass timber market in New York City. New jobs will be created in design, manufacturing, and construction. Added jobs will be created in the region’s forest areas where the timber may be sustainably harvested, as well as in factories where timber products are engineered, prefabricated, and assembled. Offer mass timber worker training to prepare for implementation of the International Building Code 2021, and to develop a skilled workforce in partnership with labor unions and manufacturers of timber
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It will take considerable effort to implement these policies and bring timber-based construction to scale in a city of over 8 million people. We believe that the following actions are the first steps to be carried out in the immediate future—such as the next mayor’s first term in office. The Right to Housing underlies all of the other policy papers presented here: Decarbonization—as part and parcel of what we think of as quality housing; housing choice for those to be relocated as a result of carbon change, including the ability to relocate as a community; desegregation, as a framework for providing affordable housing; accompanied by quality education, as the key ingredient defining whether a community provides equitable opportunity for future generations of those most egregiously discriminated against in the United States: black, indigenous, and other people of color (BIPOC)—whether it be for housing (the topic of this paper) or employment, education, upward mobility, access to resources, political power, and more.
Table 1. Action Items for Mass Timber Construction Action Items
Problem
Solution
New York City - all Public Agencies
New York City’s building codes do not yet allow mass timber, and the required material supply chains and labor practices have yet to be developed. Therefore, owners, builders, and designers are hesitant to adopt mass timber building systems since the established supply chains are found far from the region.
Lead by example by encouraging mass timber on larger public projects, since Local Law 86 already requires City building projects over $2 million in construction costs (public funds) to be Lead in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) Certified. Mass timber can contribute to achieving LEED and other sustainability goals.
New York City (NYC) Department of Buildings (DOB) and the Fire Department of New York (FDNY)
To date, only a handful of mass timber buildings and additions have been completed in New York City, each of which required their owners/developers to apply for variances from the Building Code.
Swiftly adopt the latest International Building Code - IBC 2021 - which allows mass timber buildings from two to 18 stories or 270 feet high. As precedents: The IBC 2021 has already been adopted in the states of Oregon and Washington, as well as in Denver, Colorado.
The City’s current Building Code 2014 is based on the International Building Code 2009 (IBC 2009), in which most Mass Timber is illegal to build, and Cross Laminated Timber is not allowed. The NYC City Council intends to adopt its version of the International Building Code 2015 (IBC 2015); this code allows Cross Laminated Timber for buildings up to five stories.
NYC Department of Housing Preservation and Development (HPD)
Owners, builders, and designers are reluctant to adopt new mass timber building systems.
Lead by example by establishing HPD pilot projects that showcase mid-rise mass timber affordable housing—perhaps in tandem with architectural design competitions. Consider tax incentives (such as real estate tax abatements) tied to mass timber construction, especially for mid-rise affordable housing construction.
NYC Department of City Planning (DCP)
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Owners, builders, and designers are reluctant to adopt new mass timber building systems.
Employ incentive zoning contingent on mass timber buildings and additions, applicable to all buildings but especially mid-rise, affordable housing construction.
Action Items
Problem
Solution
NYC Mayor's Office of M/WBEs (OM/WBE) and the NYC Department of Small Business Services (SBS)
Developers have a tough time meeting Minority / Women Business Enterprise (M/WBE) labor goals for mass timber construction.
On publicly funded projects, consider creating a M/WBE training program to meet potential labor goals. Also, encourage owner/developer investments in mass timber by allowing a reduction of M/WBE labor goals in exchange for the use of mass timber. This is practical since on-site construction labor will be reduced due to prefabricated building components.
NYC Economic Development Corporation (EDC)
Mass timber fabrication plants are hundreds of miles away from New York City.
In partnership with the forestry industry in New York State, consider the development and investment in a City-sponsored prototype mass timber production and prefabrication facility to jump-start the adoption of mass timber in the city and state.
Outcomes Since mass timber stores, rather than emits CO2, it can be one of the most effective ways of meeting New York City, regional and global greenhouse gas emission reduction targets while significantly modernizing and decarbonizing the city’s construction industry.
Local Law 97 New York City has committed through the Local Law 97 (adopted in 2019) to reduce its carbon emissions by 80 percent by 2050. LL 97 primarily applies to buildings over 25,000 square feet. That is an excellent start. Half of the building-induced CO2 (one-third of the total emissions) is from larger buildings.
Summary of Local Law 97 Local Law 97 of 2019 (LL97) is the centerpiece of New York City’s landmark Climate Mobilization Act of 2019 (CMA), also known as the NYC Green New Deal. LL97 and subsequent amendments will place strict limits on greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from all buildings larger than 25,000 square feet. Limits effective from 2024 through 2029 will affect the largest emitters, about 25 percent of properties. Stricter limits will affect 75 percent of properties from 2030 through 2034. Emission limits for the period from 2035 onward are being developed by stakeholder working groups organized by the NYC Department of Buildings (DOB). Here are several key components of the law: (A) Covered by LL97: Most buildings larger than 25,000 square feet that report their energy and water data to the City (LL84). LL97 covers about 40,000 (or 4 percent) of the city’s one million buildings that currently contribute 33 percent of New York City’s
image 7
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GHG emissions. These include commercial,
Alternative paths to LL97 compliance are
residential, healthcare, hotel, and other
offered to affordable and subsidized
use-groups. Each year, starting in May of
housing buildings that are larger than
2025, building managers must prove to DOB
25,000 SF with more than 35 percent
that their actual yearly building GHG
rent-regulated units, HDFC cooperatives,
2
emissions were lower than LL97 GHG
some tax-exempt multi-family rental
emissions limits, or be subject to violations
properties, New York City Housing Authority
and steep fines. LL97 supplies guidance on
(NYCHA) buildings, and buildings that take
how to calculate GHG emissions (CO2e) for
part in a project-based federal housing
each building.
program, as well as religious houses of worship. These mid-size and large buildings
(B) Flexible LL97 compliance paths are
- many of which are concentrated in the
offered to buildings that cannot meet the
City’s low-income communities of color -
required limits by (1) purchasing renewable
currently contribute 34 percent of New York
energy credits generated in NYC, or directly
City’s GHG emissions. LL97 stipulates that
feeding renewable energy into NYC’s electric
these buildings undertake a set of energy
grid (deductions up to 100 percent of GHG
conservation prescriptive measures (or
limits); and (2) by purchasing greenhouse
meet their LL97 2030 caps). These
gas offsets (i.e., tree planting, etc. -
prescriptive measures include the installa-
deductions up to 10 percent of GHG limits);
tion of insulation, sensors, or controls for
(3) carbon trading, where buildings that
existing HVAC equipment, as well as a
exceed their GHG goal can sell to buildings
series of other energy efficiency measures -
that cannot. NOTE: Details for these
to be completed by the end of December
compliance paths are not yet completed.
2024.
Energy efficiency measures to reduce building energy consumption are often limited by building insulation restrictions for a host of technical reasons or due to historic preservation protections. For these buildings, LL97 has supplied renewable energy and alternative compliance paths to meet its GHG emission goals. (See above.) Public buildings: While City-owned buildings do not have to report their emissions to
Local Law 97 Now We strongly advocate for the implementation, enforcement, and strengthening of Local Law 97 as well as related policies and incentives. Yet, to fully achieve the underlying intention of LL 97, we believe that New York City can and should do more as soon as possible.
Objectives
DOB, they are not exempt from the law. City-owned buildings are required to reduce their emissions by 40 percent by 2025, and by 50 percent by 2030, both relative to such emissions for the calendar year 2006. Federal and State buildings are exempt from LL97.
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Reduce operational greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) of mid-size and large existing buildings (heating, cooling, lighting, hot water, etc.) to meet New York City’s and global climate commitments.
Expand the energy retrofit market by $20 billion dollars from now until 2030, which will
Policy Framework
create approximately 140,000 design, engineering, and construction jobs.
Support subsidized housing by expanding the use of LL 96’s Property Assessed Clean
Provide valuable building upgrades and
Energy Program to supply low-interest loans
energy savings to building owners and
to buildings.
tenants.
Challenges
Further support subsidized housing by expanding and encouraging the use of New York City’s Retrofit Accelerator, which provides low- and no-cost technical advisory
Dense urban buildings are a significant
services to building owners.
source of CO2 and other greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Two thirds (67 percent) of New York City’s GHG emissions are caused by buildings - the equivalent of about 37 million metric tons of CO2e. Local Law 97 (LL97) places stringent GHG emission limits on building greater than 25,000 square feet, which today handle 33 percent of New York City’s GHG emissions.
image 9
Note: Local Law 84 of 2009 (and later
Action Items
amendments) mandates that energy use data for buildings greater than 25,000 square feet be collected by the City.
The City of New York and all its agencies need to
More decarbonization measures will be
barriers to the implementation of LL97, both
needed to reduce the emissions of one million buildings that are smaller than 25,000 SF. These buildings contribute 34 percent of New York City’s GHG emissions; the remaining 33 percent of GHG emissions are caused by other sectors including transportation, waste, etc.
acknowledge, respond, and resolve various political and technical by addressing the following: Continued Commitment to Local Law 97 The concern: Strong political leadership and resources will be needed to successfully implement, enforce, and strengthen LL97 and meet the City’s and global climate commitments from now until 2050. The solution: Publicly commit to the goals and implementation, enforcement, and strengthening of Local Law 97 as currently written, and invest in adequate budgetary, staffing, enforcement, training, and educa-
image 8
18
tional resources.
Table 2. Action Items for Local Law 97 (Now) Action Items
Problem
Solution
Information and Political Buy-In
At present, there is still a lack of understanding of the goals, strategies, timeline, and expected benefits of LL97 by many building owners, managers, professionals, non-profits, and tenants across the city.
In addition to the expansion of the NYC Sustainable Buildings website, invest in a massive information campaign about the Climate Mobilization Act and LL97’s paths to achieving the City’s climate goals, through building stock upgrades and a low-carbon energy mix. Educate, inform, and engage citizens by highlighting the benefits to owners, tenants, professionals, and labor and the planet. Outreach and education partnerships with community organizations across the city will be required to achieve these goals.
Predictability and Transparency
Many details of LL97 have yet to be identified. These include details about renewable energy credits and carbon trading, greenhouse gas offsets, distributed energy resources, and other alternative compliance paths, and whether these measures will result in an equitable share of benefits for all New Yorkers.
Swiftly develop the remaining details for all compliance paths. Clear rules will remove uncertainty and allow owners to start their long-term planning, design, and implementation work. Ensure that the fines collected from LL97 violations are equitably re-invested into technical and financial support programs to help owners comply with LL97. Also, some money could be equitably re-invested into ‘green’ industrial development, labor training, and public education. Continue to fine-tune, improve, and monitor the LL97 program, based on feedback by owners, tenants, building trades, unions, and the general public.
Building Owner Costs of Meeting LL97 GHG Limits
19
LL97 imposes financial hardship on those building owners that are not able to recapture their investments with energy cost savings and other decarbonization benefits.
Building owners need to invest in building upgrades to meet their LL97 legal requirements. However, COVID-19 has created hardships for many owners. DOB needs to aid these property owners with additional financial and technical support.
Action Items
Problem
Solution
The belief that the owners of covered buildings (4 percent of the city’s existing building stock) disproportionately bear the brunt of the City’s decarbonization strategy.
Secure added funding through President Biden’s American Jobs Act to fund the implementation of LL97.
Commercial Tenant Share of Emissions
For large commercial buildings, up to 40-60 percent of energy use is due to tenant-managed energy expenditures. Right now, LL97 penalties cannot be passed through to existing tenants, making it difficult for property owners to meet LL97 goals.
Provide existing and new commercial tenants with pathways for reduced consumption and ‘green leases.’ Note: A recent Carbon Trading Report suggests that allowing commercial tenants to own, buy, and sell carbon credits in the future, could incentivize tenant actions to reduce emissions.
Education About Residential Steam Heat Retrofits
Multifamily housing represents 64 percent of buildings over 25,000 square feet, and 76 percent of these units are heated by steam. Data shows that tenants often experience excessive heat and open their windows. Many steam systems function poorly, with clanging pipes, lack of temperature control by tenants, and simultaneous cold and hot apartment environments. Steam can only be generated by fossil fuel boilers, and electrifying steam is prohibitively expensive.
The DOB and its affiliates should invest in a significant expansion of their steam replacement training and education programs for multifamily housing projects, as part of the City’s Retrofit Accelerator and other programs. This means heat pumps either as a complete solution (mini-splits, VRF, etc..) or drivers for hydronic heat, converted from steam systems.
Local contractors, consultants, and engineers do not have adequate training to electrify steam buildings. Similarly, building owners and managers have little access to educational materials about converting from steam to heat pumps.
Shortage of Renewable Energy Sources (Or Credits)
In commercial buildings, most emissions come from electric generation, not on-site combustion of fossil fuels. Buildings cannot control the emissions of electricity provided by the grid. LL97 does not allow the use of renewable electricity generated outside of New York City borders for compliance, which makes it currently almost impossible to purchase renewable electricity to meet LL97 emission goals.
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Invest in the expansion of renewable energy infrastructure - in New York City’s five boroughs, in partnership with the New York State Energy and Research Development Authority (NYSERDA) and other partners.
Action Items
Related Manufacturing and Jobs
Problem
There is a severe shortage of skilled workers in the building renovation, renewable energy, and related sectors and work that will be needed to implement LL97. Due to lack of adequate worker training, a majority of the estimated 140,000 building retrofit and renewable energy jobs (from now until 2030) will go to people who reside outside of the city and fail to provide the economic boost that many New Yorkers need, especially in marginalized communities of color.
Solution
Set ambitious M/WBE goals and invest in workforce development programs to train labor for the LL97 energy retrofit market in New York’s five boroughs but especially in marginalized communities of color. Invest in factories that support LL97 energy retrofits - i.e., ground and air-source heat pumps, triple-glazed windows, renewable energy components, etc.
There is a lack of New York City factories that make cost-effective products and related components for building energy retrofits and renewable energy production.
Passive Shading and Cooling Devices
Exterior awnings, shutters, blinds, or overhangs—if properly oriented to cut overheating—can be highly effective in reducing demand cooling loads in the hot weather months. Living green screens or walls can supply both cooling in the summer and prevent heat loss in the winter.
The City should supply financial incentives for such passive devices, perhaps modeled on Vienna, Austria, where up to 50 percent of the costs of architectural exterior shading devices for residential retrofits are paid by the City.
Historic photos show fixed or retractable awnings on most of New York City’s residential windows. Passive exterior shading devices that cut down on heat in the summer are rare in residential building energy retrofits.
Material Recycling and Reuse Ecosystem
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New York City’s building trades certainly recycle and re-use materials, but we believe that the building LL97 upgrades and retrofits will produce a huge quantity of materials that can potentially be recycled and reused and diverted from landfills.
Work with the unions, building trades, and owners to develop a mandatory recycling/reuse program that will seek to minimize construction waste going to landfills. For example, creative uses should be found for the thousands of windows and frames that will be replaced as part of LL97 upgrades.
Local Law 97 After 2035 A strong commitment to the successful implementation, enforcement, and strengthening of LL97 as written is an excellent first step. We, however, believe that the next Mayor needs to set long-term goals for the decarbonization of the city’s entire building stock. This should happen in phases and potentially be included in LL97 updates after 2035. We know that economic growth is not affected by decarbonization. In fact, since 2005, 23 countries have completely decoupled GDP growth from reductions in CO2 emissions - this list includes the United States. We also know that many countries and cities around the world are completely phasing out fossil fuels including coal, oil, and gas in their building sector to address the global Climate Crisis. Our key recommendation is that as of 2035, the City should extend the full LL 97 requirements to all properties over 25,000 square feet. On the next page, please find additional recommendations for the expansion of LL97:
image 11
22
image 10
Table 3. Action Items for Local Law 97 After 2035 Action Items
Affordable Housing
Problem
Currently, LL97 performance targets are not required for affordable and subsidized housing buildings larger than 25,000 SF with more than 35 percent rent-regulated units, HDFC cooperatives, some tax-exempt multi-family rental properties, New York City Housing Authority (NYCHA) buildings, and dwellings that participate in a project-based federal housing program that collectively house over 3 million people. (Source: U.S. Census). While LL97 requires some energy conservation prescriptive measures for affordable housing, this exemption leaves a great portion of the city’s housing stock without the substantial energy efficiency upgrades that will reduce energy burdens for their tenants. Affordable, rent-regulated, and public housing buildings are often older, inefficient, and in disrepair, resulting in a higher baseline consumption of energy than their market-rate counterparts. This places added burdens on low-income residents, many of whom cannot afford air conditioners to cool their apartments during heat waves. Fossil fuel HVAC equipment often contributes to bad indoor air quality, which causes asthma and other respiratory diseases, particularly in low-income communities of color.
Solution
Extend the full LL97 emission limits to rent-regulated buildings and other affordable and subsidized housing projects after 2035. This investment in increased efficiency will be essential to achieve the City’s 80 X 50 goals. Supply financial subsidies, loans, and technical support to support affordable housing owners and managers; and expand the “Property Assessed Clean Energy” (PACE) program to provide low-interest loans to affordable housing owners. Expand and encourage the use of NYC’s Retrofit Accelerator, which provides low- and no-cost technical advisory services to building owners. Ensure that the cost of affordable housing retrofits cannot be passed onto tenants as Major Capital Improvements (MCIs)—and that payment responsibilities for building electrification not be passed from property owners to residential tenants.
Affordable housing advocates fear that the costs of efficiency and/or energy retrofits could be passed onto vulnerable tenants as Major Capital Improvements (MCIs) and that building electrification could shift payment responsibilities from property owners to tenants, which may lead to the displacement of low or fixed-income tenants.
Houses of Worship
23
Currently, LL97 performance targets are not required for religious houses of worship above 25,000 SF. While LL97 prescribes several energy conservation measures for houses of worship, this exemption leaves churches, synagogues, and mosques without requirements for substantial energy efficiency upgrades that would reduce their operating costs.
Extend the LL97 requirements to larger religious houses of worship after 2035. Supply financial subsidies, loans, and technical support to support houses of worship to achieve the decarbonization of these semi-public spaces.
Action Items
Shared Energy Infrastructure
Embodied Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Problem
Solution
New York City lacks shared energy infrastructures, which can significantly contribute to decarbonization. We believe district heating, micro-grids, solar or heat-pump cooperatives, and other neighborhood-scale energy infrastructures should become a larger part of New York City’s energy mix.
Plan for and expand the district heating share of New York City’s energy mix.
LL97 primarily intends to reduce the operational GHG emissions of buildings. Right now, LL97 does not account for the embodied GHG emissions of the materials, products, and components used in these building and energy retrofits. Embodied emissions are released before construction begins.
The embodied GHG emission of the materials and products needed for building upgrades should be accounted for after 2035 - perhaps with Carbon Passports that include Environmental Product Declaration (EPD) accounting. LEED credits can now be gained by listing EPDs for building materials and products.
Right now, there are no incentives for owners/managers and professionals to select locally sourced and manufactured, minimally processed, low-carbon products for their LL97 building upgrades. Research has shown that choosing materials and products with low embodied emissions can have a huge impact on lowering the carbon footprint and environmental impact of the building industry.
Invest in and encourage solar or heat-pump cooperatives, which could generate profits for small investors, especially during peak loads.
Small Buildings
Small (less than 25,000 square feet) residential and commercial buildings are exempt from LL97. Yet, these buildings contribute 34 percent of the city’s GHG emissions.
Work with building owners and tenants across the city to develop long-term goals and strategies to extend the LL97 requirements to smaller (less than 25,000 square feet) residential and commercial buildings, potentially after 2050.
Negative Incentives
LL97 compliance is primarily based on negative incentives including penalties and fines when mandatory limits are not met.
Develop and implement positive incentives and rewards for early adoption of the law. Visualize, communicate, and reward innovative solutions - both at the building and neighborhood scales. Engage the entire city in joyful celebrations of LL97 milestones.
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Outcomes Addressing the Climate Crisis in a swift and equitable way requires an unwavering commitment from New York City’s mayor to implement LL97 in a fair and robust way. Implementation of the law will catalyze energy efficiency building upgrades and substantial increases in locally produced renewable energy. This will not only lower building GHG emissions but will also lead to reduced operating and maintenance costs that can be reinvested in other building upgrades and repairs. It can lower utility bills for tenants and lead to quality job creation and economic development across the City of New York.
25 image 12
Desegregation and Implementation
26
27 image 13
Desegregation and Implementation
We need to desegregate communities and
But even were these adopted, virtually all the
municipalities to provide more access to
recommendations that follow in this chapter
opportunity, while improving the resources and
remain valid, in our view.
amenities of underinvested neighborhoods. We need more homeownership opportunities for BIPOC (Black, Indigenous, People of Color)
Funding
families to redress a century of discriminatory
As is plain from reading the recommendations
practice in urban policy, while protecting the
below and especially those in the next chapter
affordability and quality of rental housing,
addressing climate change and climigration,
particularly public housing. We need more
funding the ‘Right to Housing’ is an enormous
housing production to create a normative—not a
undertaking. It will require a federal response,
seller’s—housing market in destination cities like
which is only now being discussed in a meaning-
New York. We need to consider all the above
ful way though still paltry compared to the
through a justice and equity lens that conscien-
challenges.
tiously empowers those most discriminated against and least empowered historically and at
This does not mean that municipalities, counties,
present.
or states should be idle while waiting for a national response at the needed proportion;
The omnibus of housing proposals to address
certainly not the nation’s largest, wealthiest
these needs ranges from single site develop-
city—New York.
ments to federal policy, from tweaking rules to overhauling laws, and more. The discussion and recommendations here focus on those that fall
Action Items
within our areas of expertise as planners, architects, and urbanists. Reactivate the New York State (NYS) Stock To be clear, we are aware of and endorse
Transfer Tax a capital investment program to
‘game changers’ such as the following:
fund the Right to Housing, adaptation to climate change, Climigration, and neighbor-
Guaranteed Annual Income or second
hood quality of life in the city. This tax dates
income strategies, such as those proposed
to 1905 and is still ‘on the books.’ It charges
by proposed by Louis Kelso, and more
pennies (to be exact: five cents per share
recently popularized by Andrew Yang and
priced at $20 or more). Since 1981, the State
others including conservative and progres-
collects then rebates the tax, daily. Reinstat-
sive policy makers.
ing the tax would release billions of dollars for public purposes, with the further benefit
Reparations for slavery, Jim Crow laws,
of generating jobs.
restrictive covenants, and Redlining. First employ the Stock Transfer Tax for New Universal access to capital.
York City and the State, then for the nation—as per Michael Bloomberg’s proposal
28
while seeking the Democratic Party’s
The story above is acute in but not exclusive to
nomination for President. New York City
the suburbs. New York City, too, is sorted by race
anchors the nation’s economy and tax
and economic standing; and the unevenness of
revenue. Assuring the city’s quality of life,
school quality follows accordingly. In our city
competitiveness, and vitality now and in the
and across the nation, government is not
face of climate change is in the national
blameless for segregated cities, as per both
interest. Shifting it (soon after) to a national
Redlining (a government-induced discriminatory
tax has the further benefit of removing the
practice that put financial services and insurance
New York Stock Exchange’s threat to move
out of reach for residents) and highway
to New Jersey if so taxed by New York.
construction blasting through Black neighbor-
5
hoods. Both prompted physical disinvestment 6
Desegregation
and ghettoization.
Zoning in the United States (U.S.) and many
The New York City government (‘the City’) has
other public policies are infused with racist
carried out numerous policies to promote
outcomes if not intentions. In the suburbs and
affordable housing, most recently Mayor
auto-oriented cities, the Euclidian principle of
DeBlasio’s Mandatory Inclusionary Housing
separation of land uses plus the popular
(MIH) program, which offers density bonuses if
dominance of single-family zoning were often
30 percent or more of the units are deemed
designed to separate people of different
affordable at the federally determined bench-
incomes, races, and backgrounds—sometimes
mark of up to 80 percent of area median income
accompanied by rhetoric if not regulations that
(which is as high as $80,000 for a family of four,
explicitly excluded Black people and to lesser
since ‘area’ includes the wealthy suburbs of New
4
extents other populations.
York). While exemplary, three major criticisms have been leveled at MIH. In increasing order of
This is a multi-generational problem. Given the
relevance to our concerns: First, it smacks of
balkanization of municipal boundaries, and the
‘spot zoning’—from an urban design point of
fact that local taxes are the main revenue
view, it is often random, driven by a transaction
sources for schools and other public amenities,
not sound planning. Second, it can be gentrify-
to be excluded in housing choice equates with
ing—the mixed-income projects often replace
being denied access to superior parks, public
affordable, lower-scale housing with luxury
services, and especially quality education—the
housing, in which the ‘affordable units’ rent at a
linchpin for upward economic opportunity for the
higher price point than what neighborhood
next generation.
residents can afford. Third, it has not been directed to the wealthier (and politically more powerful) neighborhoods, thereby it has not resulted in integration and given BIPOC families better access to superior schools, parks, etc. Pratt professors have been in the forefront of discussions about mandatory inclusionary
image 14 4
Rothstein, Richard, The Color of Law: The Forgotten History of How Our Government Segregated America, 2017. 5 fhttps://research.steinhardt.nyu.edu/scmsAdmin/media/users/dk64/SeparateButUnequal_20171023.pdf 6 Ibid, and Fullilove, Mindy Thompson, Root Shock: How Tearing Up City Neighborhoods and What We Can Do About It, 2004.
29
housing of all kinds (including MIH) in both studies and in studios. Professors have been associated with the Pratt Center for Community Development—the city’s leading technical assistance organization for community planning,
and an activist voice on housing affordability.
and economic integration.
Pratt professors have been in the forefront of promoting desegregation of the suburbs. Two,
The legislation proposed by Desegregate
Ron Shiffman and Eva Hanhardt, started their
Connecticut requires that municipalities (as
career collaborating and working with Paul
is the case in New Jersey) provide opportuni-
Davidoff—the founder of ‘advocacy planning’
ties for affordable housing. The municipality
who coined the term exclusionary zoning. Most
can determine how, potentially including
recently, Shiffman joined professors Jonathan
multifamily apartment buildings, garden
Martin and John Shapiro to work on applying Fair
apartments, ‘over the store’ apartments,
and Affordable Housing principles to Westches-
three- and four-plexes (multiple units in what
ter County, on behalf of a Court-Appointed
appears to be a single-family house), and
7
Monitor. The Consortium Committee also
accessory dwelling units (ADUs)—which
closely followed the work of Desegregate
might be apportioning part of a house to an
8
Connecticut, which is seeking to build on the
apartment (often called ‘mother-in-law
seminal Mt. Laurel Doctrine involving affordable
apartments’), a garage conversion to a
9
housing policies of New Jersey.
micro-unit (something that Pratt professors have worked on, with national recognition),
The recommendations below build on this
and accessory buildings (such as backyard
experience and the Committee’s deliberations,
cottages).
differentiating between New York City and its suburbs.
Note: As a group, we are skeptical about the ‘abolish single family’ war cry: it can be
Tri-State Suburbs Action Items Enact State laws that the wealthier, less integrated suburbs supply meaningful opportunity for affordable housing. The States of New York and Connecticut should emulate and improve on the ‘Mt. Laurel’ legislation of New Jersey. At present, Connecticut’s legislation simply says that municipalities cannot reject housing proposals because the unit mix includes affordable housing. New York State requires that municipalities allow multifamily housing—irrespective of the fact that most are for local, luxury markets. We need to move beyond merely allowing for a mix of housing to affirmatively require a mix of housing opportunities to encourage racial 7
https://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/12/nyregion/12westchester.html. https://www.desegregatect.org/ 9 In the 1970s, the NAACP and others sued the Town of Mt. Laurel for discriminatory zoning, leading to a series of court cases and State legislations that add up to among the most progressive policies about inclusionary zoning in the nation. 8
30
misguided in places, it is unnecessarily threatening to the suburban way of life, and thus can lead to a universal rejection of affordable housing initiatives. Further, variety of housing is key to affordability; and of all the typologies, dispersed ADUs are the hardest to monitor for living conditions and virtually never comes with affordability requirements. The Desegregate Connecticut proposed legislation, like New Jersey, also entails a ‘builder’s remedy.’ If the municipality does not provide realistic opportunity for affordable housing, developers can sue the municipality to build that housing (typically as mixed-income housing) pretty much where they want. In New Jersey, builder’s remedy has been universally upheld by the courts, and thanks to the fear of that, municipalities have responded by planning for affordable housing. These and other provisions should be investigated, advocated, and adopted to compel municipalities to meet their ‘right to
housing’ mandate.
impacts on the list of required analysis points. Alternatively, adopt, at the state-level
For instance: The Desegregate Connecticut
(for all three states—Connecticut, New
proposed legislation improves on New
Jersey, and New York) legislation modeled on
Jersey’s in one major respect. As in New
that of New York City and Boston, Massachu-
Jersey, the State government figures out
setts that mandates an ‘equitable develop-
what each municipality’s ‘fair share’ should
ment data tool’ considering the racial impact
be to meet regional housing needs, weighing
of rezonings—but for all municipal actions,
factors such as where the jobs are. The
including capital budgets. While in New York
Desegregate Connecticut legislation also
City, the primary concern is gentrification and
factors in fiscal wealth, which means that the
displacement, in the suburbs the methodolo-
obligation will be greater for the wealthier
gy could highlight real and missed opportuni-
municipalities where schools are often better,
ties to promote equitable access to quality
and lesser for municipalities that are within
schools and services, as well as “affirmatively
easier housing-price reach for working class
further fair and affordable housing” consist-
folk. Parallel housing initiatives efforts should
ent with fair-share rules and plans as per the
be pursued to assure equitable financing of
prior two recommendations. Remedying
education through more progressive
implicit and even unintended racist govern-
educational housing strategies. The idea that
ment actions starts with transparency.
one’s education is dependent on their zip code must be addressed, equitably. (The housing / education link is the subject of a
New York City Action Items
forthcoming policy paper by the Housing Consortium.) Make mandatory inclusionary housing Require that counties market the affordable
universal in New York City, even for
housing created through the zoning
as-of-right development. Mandatory
mandates. The inclusionary zoning and
inclusionary housing is increasingly the norm
resulting projects under ‘Mt. Laurel’ yielded
across the U.S. The prevailing argument
economic diversity but not racial or ethnic
against it is that it can hurt project viability.
diversity. The affordable housing unit counts
More likely, it would diminish property values
in any single project are small; thus, best
since developers (when all is said and done)
known to local workers and residents. In
adjust their bids for property acquisition
Pratt’s work on Westchester, a key (imple-
accordingly—much as they would for impact
mented) recommendation was for the
fees. Thus, there is no need for a bonus in the
County government to affirmatively market
wealthier communities, where the driving
the units; added recommendations were for
cost is less about housing construction and
the County to partner for marketing with
maintenance than property acquisition, such
institutions and corporations that employ
that the inclusionary requirement’s impact is
BIPOC populations, such as hospitals and
on the speculative value of property rather
colleges; as well as partner with advocacy
than on feasibility. The bonus could remain in
and other groups representing BIPOC
areas where the density bonus is a matter of
populations, including in the nearby Bronx.
feasibility. The City’s J-51 Tax Exemption and Abatement Program already employs
31
Amend the State Environmental Quality
geographic determinants for its financial
Review Act (SEQRA) to include racism
incentives; the density bonus can, as well.
Prepare a fair share plan for New York City’s
well as consistency with its own fair share
neighborhoods also modeled on New Jersey
rules for siting of ‘NIMBY’ (not in my back
and Desegregate Connecticut precedents.
yard) uses. As discussed later, ‘housing’ is
The plan is best prepared as part of a
about neighborhood and context as well as
comprehensive plan for the city. Every
about the unit and building.
10
Community Board should be bound to plan for added development in its Community District. The City could identify the most practical sites / areas / corridors based on planning, environmental, and urban design criteria—from which the Community Board could choose. Failure to do so would trigger the City doing so with community input but without community authority. The Fair Share analysis should put a priority on integration of wealthier neighborhoods as well as where development of affordable housing would support current community identity rather than trigger gentrification. This cross-acceptance approach would not only help integrate New York City neighborhoods; it would also stimulate housing construction—as discussed next. Expand on the recently adopted Racial Impact Study legislation that requires that all rezonings and development be subject to an analysis of the community impacts inclusive of segregation, displacement, and neighborhood change. The legislation should also consider allocation of capital budgets, site location of community facilities, etc. to make the City more accountable for the uneven distribution of parks and other amenities, as
Housing Production and Affordability The simple fact is that New York City is a destination city. The city’s rental housing vacancy rate as of 2017 was 3.6 percent; the vacancy rate is currently, during the time of Covid19, estimated at 4.3 percent. Both proportions are well below the State-mandated benchmark of 5.0 percent at which point Rent Stabilization laws can be dropped, and well below the normative 7.0 percent representing 11
neither a seller’s nor a buyer’s housing market. As a destination city with low vacancy rates,
there is rampant gentrification and price inflation for units not subject to rent stabilization. At a typical construction of 20,000 to 25,000 units per year, equal to an increase of far less than 1.0 percent in comparison to the total number of 3.2 million units, this condition will take decades of construction to remedy, not counting the need to replace a giant loss of inventory because of climate change and rising seas (as discussed in another section of this paper). This means that Rent Stabilization laws are more important than ever and efforts to increase the State and City’s role in the production of social housing should be 12
a priority.
The City’s solution has been to offer developers 10 See
also recent proposals by Jumaine Williams /CUFHH to promote racial equity - https://nextcity.org/daily/entry/new-tool-puts-racial-equity-at-the-center-of-community-funding 11 https://www1.nyc.gov/office-of-the-mayor/news/158-18/mayor-de-blasio-signs-legislation-extending-rent-stabilization-laws and https://www.globest.com/2021/03/16/nyc-apartments-look-poised-for-2021-rebound/?slreturn=20210601115125 12
The city’s population waxed and waned in the past decade. Recent decreases can be partly attributed to impediments to immigrating to New York City—as the nation’s gateway city—due to both former President Trump’s immigration policies and Covid19. In-migration will grow enormously if the United States accommodated any of the giant amount of climigration/relocation expected across the globe due to climate change. Other, more idiosyncratic trends include the removal of inventory due growing number of investment apartments; and, following Covid19-induced changes in the housing market, a growing number of apartments that are now the ‘second’ (not primary) address of the tenants. Exact predictions are thus speculative. What matters is that the long-term amount of housing production—whether market-rate or social housing or public housing—can be expected to lag behind the long-term demand, putting upward pressure on housing costs to the consumer notwithstanding immediate market conditions.
32
financial inducements especially for affordable housing, to upzone residential areas in working class neighborhoods that have less political clout than their wealthy counterparts, and to rezone the dwindling amount of land area available for industry. The last strategy has accommodated the spectacular building sprees in Greenpoint and Williamsburg among other places but has negative implications for the cost of living and air pollution (since more goods have to be shipped in at great cost from New Jersey, via a handful of
of Hudson River crossings), and blue-collar jobs (“replacing blue collar jobs with luxury housing for white collar workers,” as one Pratt alum says). As noted above, the incentives have also spurred gentrifying development in existing affordable neighborhoods.
Likewise, public housing will remain essential to the provision of housing for poor people in New York City. MIH and similar models are good at creating housing for the working middle class, but not the poor wherein rent rolls are diminutive. The current strategy to use federal Section 8 funds to support public housing is necessary, but in the long run will yield less housing for the poor unless federal levels of funding are increased, and rules are changed. Meanwhile, NYCHA is in a crisis created by decades of deferred mainte13
nance and the loss of federal funding. Alone, the mold conditions in NYCHA campuses amount to a national scandal in the waiting, just as water quality in Flint Michigan was ten years ago. There are explanations but no excuse for this deplorable situation. It comes down to fact that the City, State, and especially federal governments have not delivered on the financial support that was deemed necessary from the start. Housing the poor is not profitable and must be subsidized.
NYC Action Items Once again: Make mandatory inclusionary housing (not specifically MIH zoning) universal in the city. Eliminate parking requirements within (as a general benchmark) ten minutes walking distance of subway stops. Developers might still supply parking to attract the target housing market. Structured parking adds $60,000+/- to the cost of construction, per
13
https://rpa.org/work/reports/nychas-crisis
33 image 15
space. Reducing parking requirements
caused by ‘black swan’ events like
makes development less costly and more
Covid19—should be excluded from analysis.
realistic in many neighborhoods. Doing so at
The rate should be increased to 6 percent
subway stops promotes transit use and
and/or reflect a more nuanced and multi-year
reduces traffic.
set of statistics (e.g., be based on income cohorts and be over 5 percent for a period of
Increase funding for supportive housing.
five years, further excluding second homes).
Apart from the basic issue of affordability, there is a need for housing of a more
Study the impact of banks, hedge funds, and
specialized nature for groups such as the
conglomerates of small-time investors
elderly, AIDS victims, victims of domestic
increasingly buying housing units as a place
violence, and the formerly incarcerated, to
to park capital. Our fear is that this commodi-
name some.
fication of housing will push out small-scale property owners who often have ethnic,
Allow more variety of housing typologies in
personal, or other ties to tenants that lead to
New York City, not just to increase supply,
a check on rising rents and tolerance for
but also to reflect the diversity of the city’s
missed monthly payments and such. This
populations. Based on the work of the Pratt
needs study and a response at the City and
Center and Pratt studios, the Building Code
State level.
should in locales—such as parts of northern Queens not subject to flooding—be amended to ease the legalization of basement accessory units. Accessory units already exist illegally; the City might supply grants to homeowners to carry out the improvements necessary to make accessory units safe. In several markets, such as the city’s Chinatowns, extended family living could be aided by allowing connected units (such as a studio attached to a one-bedroom apartment). Live-work space has been on the agenda for over 30 years, and post Covid19 will become normalized for a vast population.
image 16
Those same attached studio apartments
Lobby to revise the Community Reinvestment
might be offices instead. And so on.
Act’s (CRA’s) rules to help low- and moder-
Strengthen the protections of the State’s Rent Stabilization Legislation. Mayor DeBlasio has made proposals to reduce tenant harassment and decrease workarounds that allow for escalating rents. We urge the State to recognize that the stipulated threshold of 5 percent vacancy rate for ending the legislation still falls below the normative 7 percent vacancy rate for a
34
ate-income residents of an area, and not the area occupied by low-income residents. The CRA requires federal banking regulators to encourage financial institutions to help meet the credit needs of the communities in which they do business, regardless of prevailing incomes there. Written in the 1970s, the legislation increased the flow of money and investment to these areas. Given gentrifica-
balanced housing market; and that sudden
tion, these rules today help to displace those
spikes in vacancy rates–such as those
folks. (Housing decommodification is the
subject of a forthcoming policy paper by the
officials should lobby hard for federal
Housing Consortium.)
infrastructure dollars to be allocated for overdue repair.
For the same reasons, either end or redesign federal Opportunity Zone (OZ) legislation. The intent should be to benefit low-income residents, not the geography. Supply universal free access to Counsel for renters looking to prevent eviction. Renters lose cases in housing court because property owners are represented by counsel, which
Employ ‘Participatory Budgeting’ and other participatory methods to assure that the NYCHA campus and housing improvements are made in accordance with resident priorities, needs, and wants—mindful that these residents are traumatized by decades of neglect and broken promises; in addition to their having social and other networks that provide resiliency and which warrant creative
renters cannot afford. The current program
support, such as through the creation of
of free access to counsel for low-income
community gardens, daycare centers,
renters should be expanded so that any
community kitchens, cooperative grocery
qualified renter can have representation in
stores, etc.
court. Supply emergency rental assistance to prevent eviction. In addition to ongoing rental assistance, supply up to (say) $5,000 to cover rental arrears. New York City’s congresspeople should lobby to allow welfare relocation funding to be fungible so it can be used to finance supportive housing. Such tenant assistance would also help
As emphasized in the next chapter in this report, NYCHA should plan now for replacement of those campuses that will prove untenable due to climate change, if not initiate the relocation now using unused air rights that (in NYCHA’s financial desperation) are being eyed for revenue production that should come from government, not public-private endeavors. These are tough decisions that hinge on NYCHA taking a
small landlords to remain solvent. And it
50-year view to planning, beyond crisis
would reduce public expenditures: it can cost
management.
taxpayers several times more to place a family in a shelter than it would cost to provide rental assistance and prevent eviction. Allocate $2 billion per year for NYCHA—as per the City’s capital plan—to forestall loss of public housing stock—until public housing is returned to first-rate condition. Multiple revenue sources could be tapped. As one ready source of revenue, NYCHA as well as other public housing agencies from around the nation should have access to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credits (LITCH) that are allocated but otherwise go unused at the end of every fiscal year. The City’s elected
35
Prepare a comprehensive plan for the city that assures that every neighborhood has a beneficial quality of life. ‘The Right to Housing’ is more than a housing unit; it includes the right to live in a safe neighborhood, without environmental hazards, with ample services and amenities such as parks and good schools, and with transportation alternatives (in New York City, that means reliable transit). The plan should be predicated on robust partnership between the City and local communities—balancing mutual obligations, fair share policies, and community empowerment. Council Speaker Corey Johnson’s proposal is a step in that direction.
It should be adopted barring a better
of isolating black neighborhoods or clearing the
proposal (in real time). It should be
way for new development. The result: the largest
followed-up with complementary revisions to
infrastructure project of the 20th century United
the New York City Charter, such as restoring
States embodied racism.
16
capital budget review to the Department of City Planning, further empowerment of
These and other biased policies of government
Community Boards, diversification of their
were matched by private malfeasance, such as
membership, etc.
block busting, foreclosure schemes, predatory lending, prejudicial appraisals, and insurance companies denying claims; and further on top of
Homeownership and Wealth
bigotry in hiring practices, lack of access to quality education and services, and relegation of
Owning a house has been part of the American Dream since Thomas Jefferson’s advocacy of the ‘Agrarian Ideal;’ and it has been the principle means for cross-generational accumulation of
Black communities to housing and neighborhoods with environmental hazards. Nothing short of a full-throttle reversal will do.
wealth. BIPOC and particularly Black people have been denied from taking part in this dream by policy.
Action Items
From 1934 to the Civil Rights Act of 1968,
Support new forms of shared ownership.
mixed-use working class and Black neighbor-
These can include cohousing schemes,
hoods were excluded by ‘Redlining’ from Federal
mutual housing models, community land
Housing Authority mortgage lending and
trusts (CLTs), and ownership by local
insurance. The result: “just 2 percent of the $120
community development corporations.
billion in FHA loans distributed between 1934 and 1962 were given to nonwhite families.”
14
Support sweat equity models for homeowners, including in multifamily buildings of all
In 1944, the Servicemen’s Readjustment Act (the
sies. These should learn from the successes
‘GI Bill’) supplied guaranteed mortgages to
(and failures) of sweat equity in the 1970s
veterans of World War II veterans but allowed
and 1980s as well as draw inspiration from
discrimination. The result, by example: “In
the work of architects such as Alejandro
Mississippi, just two of the 3,000 mortgages that
Aravena—in which construction crews
the Veteran’s Administration guaranteed in 1947
(perhaps job corps linked to training and
went to African Americans, despite the fact that
entry into the relevant unions) create the
African Americans constituted half of the state’s
foundations, shells, and basic infrastructure
population.”
15
(plumbing, electricity, wastewater) and residents do the finishing and even
While the federal government built new highways
extensions as a group or individually, all at
to open the suburbs to white suburbanization,
once or over time.
highways were built often with racist intentions Massively expand mortgage assistance, 14
https://www.nareb.com/systemic-inequality-displacement-exclusion-and-segregation/ 15 Ibid. 16 https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/03/role-of-highways-in-american-poverty/474282/
36
counseling, and related subsidy programs to prevent mortgage default.
Create a home ownership down payment assistance program. As proposed by Senator Elizabeth Warren, the program would be targeted to homeowners in former Redlined areas and in low-income areas. Interest rates are quite low at present, but new homeowners are constrained by the large down payments required. As proposed by now Vice President Kamala Harris when a candidate for the Democratic Party’s nomination to be president, the program could be as large as $100 billion, targeted to Redlined areas that remain low-to-moderate income today. Should interest rates rise, create a low-interest loan program directed to low- and moderate-income households. To promote integration, it might not be geographically constrained as per the prior recommendation nor limited to first-time homeowners. Update the homesteading programs in places of abandonment, such as those evident in a number or Rustbelt cities. As proposed by now Cabinet member Pete Buttigieg, the federal government would buy abandoned property and then sell it at below-market costs to low- and moderate-income residents. Tap into impact investment to fund sustainable affordable housing.
37 image 17
Managed and Whole Community Relocation
38
39 image 18
Managed and Whole Community Relocation Introduction This chapter outlines the critical forces shaping and constraining New York City’s ability to respond to the effects of increasing physical/climatic risk on New York City’s residents and the city’s existing housing supply. This document poses the considerable challenges facing the safety and welfare of current and future residents, the relationship between current actions and future conditions, and considerations for changes that maximize choice in housing opportunity. While our expertise and thoughts were primarily about New York City, many of the suggestions here have bearing on other geographies, not necessarily as complex in variety but that face much the same issues having to do with the simple fact that rising tides and more frequent storm events will render some waterfront neighborhoods uninhabitable in the long run, forcing relocation of residents, businesses, and public infrastructure. Responding to this trajectory can take multiple forms: from a ‘managed retreat’ where swaths of housing may need to be decommissioned, to building level improvements that may reduce a building’s overall unit count to benefit most tenants, to the development of new resilient housing inside and outside communities of risk. This paper outlines considerations for New York City’s next Mayor and their successors to socialize these challenging compromises, create new avenues for effective and meaningful resident participation, catalyze improvements and dramatically increase the city’s housing supply to respond to the threat of flood risk while maximizing choice and opportunity for existing residents affected by risk.
40
Two basic approaches are embedded in the discussion: Giving people choice to relocate as single households Giving people choice to relocate as community (sometimes referred to as ‘climigration’) They interrelate: people in an ethnic, social, or public housing enclave may vary in their preference. They have common denominators: the necessity to conduct comprehensive planning inclusive of empowering communities; to create multiple regulatory and financial tools that work in concert for a place as varied as New York City; and to devote the resources necessary to the task. This chapter may include seeming, but we would argue constructive redundancy. The relocation of people and communities from extreme risk is complex especially as it will happen over a period of decades, therefore under differing economic, market, societal, technological, and political circumstances. As daunting as this effort will be, the dangers of inaction are even more severe—in the order of dealing with catastrophes involving over hundreds of thousands of people, a great many of whom have been subject to social, racial, and economic inequities curtailing their economic and housing opportunity now and for the foreseeable future.
Problem Statment
Queens, the southeast shore of Staten Island, and southeast Brooklyn. To understand the
Increasing flood risk will reduce the footprint and potential habitability of a sizable part of New York City’s residential land area. Inundation from daily tidal flooding poses an existential threat to extremely low-lying neighborhoods. Without significant investment in buildings and infrastructure, flood risk from tropical storms, high-volume precipitation events, and tidal flooding may have catastrophic consequences for the lives of many New Yorkers. While all of New York City’s 500+ miles of coastline are vulnerable to flooding, the city’s historic patterns of racial and economic segregation have concentrated low-income BIPOC (black, indigenous, people-of-color) communities in the geographies of highest hazard—such as in The Point in the Bronx, Red Hook in Brooklyn, Far Rockaway in Queens, the Lower East Side in Manhattan, and Stapleton in Staten Island. The floodplain also includes most of the city’s relatively affordable communities of home ownership, including communities in southeast
scope of the challenge: 26,000 multifamily buildings with over 300,000 housing units—of which one-half are rent-regulated or in public housing developments—are in the 100-year floodplain. Of course, many risks can be managed (though not eliminated) through building improvements, such as the elimination of basements and ground-flood dwellings, the relocation of utility systems, improvements in stormwater management and street drainage, the development of natural buffer areas, and flood management infrastructure such as berms, levees, and diversionary measures such as flood ways. The need for coordinated investment, in retrofitting existing housing and the development of new housing in the city’s upland communities, is significant. But flood risks are not always mitigatable. In those cases, for example when water levels rise but do not recede, the only solution is for residents to move away, as per the focus of this chapter. The administrative, legal, and regulatory structures that undergird potential public action are ill-suited for responding to a crisis at the intersection of both housing and the environment. A rapidly changing coastline combined with an irretrievably inequitable housing economy make the case for a new order. Unfortunately, the legal framework for action in planning, housing, and the environment lacks the capacity for the intensity of change needed. New York City’s regulatory systems and operational silos are problematic: from local agency structures where there is no clear jurisdiction for risk mitigation, to outmoded state governance policies for housing, tenant protections, and conservation, to a suite of federal programs that
image 19 : Potential Future 1-in-100 years flood zones in New York City.
41
are not designed to work in tandem. At this moment, neither New York City nor citizens are
equipped with the tools for a successful
Channel, Edgemere, and Old Howard Beach in
response. affordable, lower-scale housing with
Queens—already experience significant
luxury housing, in which the ‘affordable units’ rent
disruption and damage from daily tidal flooding,
at a higher price point than what neighborhood
as this risk increases, portions of these
residents can afford. Third, it has not been
communities are likely to become uninhabitable
directed to the wealthier (and politically more
as it becomes impossible to keep passable
powerful) neighborhoods, thereby it has not
streets. More broadly, communities on Coney
resulted in integration and given BIPOC families
Island in Brooklyn, the Rockaways in Queens, and
better access to superior schools, parks, etc.
City Island in the Bronx face significant risks from severe coastal storms that cannot be fully
A Spectrum of Risk and Spectrum of Potential Response Flood risks are not uniform across New York City, although the effects of flooding are citywide, as significant city infrastructure (power generation, waste treatment, and sanitation facilities) sit in the floodplain. The combined storm risk and daily tidal flooding challenges facing communities around Jamaica Bay and the barrier islands/peninsulas of the Rockaways and Coney Island / Brighton Beach are significantly different—requiring very different forms of interventions in the short, medium, and long term—from the storm and precipitation risks facing the riverine, canal-side, and harbor communities of Astoria, College Point, Harding Park, Linden Hill, Midland Beach, and Spring Creek in Queens; Bushwick, Gowanus, Red Hook, and Sunset Park in Brooklyn; Chelsea, East Harlem, the East Village, the Lower East Side, and Wall Street in Manhattan; and western Staten Island. To be sure, the public sector will play a critical
mitigated. In these communities, the citywide and local elected officials and leaders will face significant challenges socializing understanding of these risks and balancing critically needed short-term investment needs with long-term risks. Flooding risks will, over time interact with market forces. A cycle can happen in which successions of owners and tenants the coastal areas most at risk increasingly house those with lesser economic and housing choice, including a shift from ownership to rental housing. This is not without precedence, as per the decline of New York City’s prosperous subway beach ‘resort’ areas following the introduction of the automobile age. Further, without transitional investments in areas of risk, the City would de-facto engage in infrastructure disinvestment. The result could be newly blighted areas, yielding a fresh injustice akin to that engendered by Redlining. Much of this chapter addresses this conundrum—avoiding the trauma of disinvestment while promoting movement away from extreme risk.
role in developing and supporting assistance that reduces the potential flood risk of the city’s most vulnerable communities while increasing affordable housing supply so that the city’s residents are able to make choices and find meaningful housing opportunity in areas with less or no flood risk. Yet, as there is a significant gradation in risk and physical conditions, the potential responses cannot be uniform. Portions of neighborhoods—like Bayswater, Broad
42
image 20
NYCHA Housing
tenant/resident partnering, a variety of strategies
This conundrum is especially meaningful for
social capital, and considerable funding are all
including community relocation to maintain
residents of the New York City Housing (NYCHA)
necessary.
public housing campuses. The statistics are daunting. Over a half million New York City residents in 166,000 households
Moment of Truth: Recognizing Long Term Risk in the Next Disaster and Response
17
are housed by NYCHA. But while NYCHA units amount to 5 percent of all housing units in New York City, they account for 20 percent of the units in the present 100-year floodplain, and 12 percent of those damaged by Superstorm Sandy—which is a fair surrogate for the number of units that will be in buildings under high tide by the year 2100. That 12 percent equates with 35,000 units housing 80,000 people. Entire NYCHA campuses, such as those in Coney Island and Far Rockaway, will be subject to high
ty crisis, the Bloomberg administration and then the DeBlasio administration responded to Superstorm Sandy recovery with a program known as ‘Build it Back,’ which focused the vast majority of $2.2 billion in housing recovery funding from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) on repairing, reinforcing, and rebuilding existing housing. Although this stabilized the lives of numerous
tide flooding and unsustainable by 2100.
New Yorkers and supported the communities
And the problem is urgent. By as soon as 2050,
little to tackle the long-term challenge of coping
18
less than 30 years from now, one-fourth of NYCHA’s entire inventory will be vulnerable to 19
flooding when over 500 NYCHA buildings will be 20
within the floodplain. The Sandy damages amounted to $3 billion—$85,000 per unit, on average; this does not include remedying mold, since the Federal Emergency Management Agency took the position that it is a worsening of
where they live, this significant investment did with increasing risk. One of the major lessons learned from Superstorm Sandy is that the moment to make significant policy changes is in the immediate response to the disaster, as, without any change of course, building owners will at once begin to invest in repairs to their homes and buildings.
a pre-existing condition.
For this reason, it is essential that the next
Beyond statistics, the residents of NYCHA
responding to the next disaster in a manner that
housing represent the very poor of New York City, have negligible housing mobility, and are overwhelmingly made up of BIPOC populations who suffer from racism, limited economic opportunity, and a history of government negligence if not malfeasance as per police brutality, Redlining, and Urban Renewal. As outlined later, long-range planning now,
administrations take seriously the critical role of meaningfully protects New Yorkers from long-term risk. This requires tackling extraordinarily challenging issues: from how to assist homeowners and tenants who live in communities where there is no way to mitigate flood risk, to making investments in existing buildings which may reduce the unit count by removing basement and ground floor dwellings, to recognizing that certain structures are simply not
17
designed to meet the needs of tenants while
18
protecting them from weather hazards and
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/nycha/downloads/pdf/NYCHA-Fact-Sheet_2020_Final.pdf Furman Center for Real Estate & Urban Policy, and the Moelis Institute for Affordable Housing Policy, New Yirj University: Sandy’s Effects on Housing in NYC; and The Nation, “Is NYC’s Public Housing Ready for the Next Storm” 19 https://www.togetherresilient.org/why-nycha 20 https://rpa.org/work/reports/nychas-crisis
43
Given New York City’s overall housing affordabili-
supporting demolition and construction of new resilient structures. As there is no one single
solution, these issues will require significant
Robert Moses to modernize New York City with
leadership and sensitivity to the challenge that
highways—must be avoided lest racist history
risks across the city are heterogenous and will
repeat itself.
require different responses and supports. The rest of this document explores specific housing challenges and solutions. While these focus on the physical and built environment, it is important to recognize that the challenges and solutions are on top of inequitable, often racist policies yielding trauma and understandable distrust. Responses to climate risk, therefore, must be conducted in a way that respects human rights and experiences, empowers BIPOC (Black Indigenous and People of Color) communities, and provides choice, especially for those who do not have the wealth to freely move in the housing marketplace. This can be as individuals, or as communities at large (what we call ‘whole community climigration’). Either way, it must be carried out with communities, not happen to
engagement and planning that will differ among the communities; as will the outcomes. Notwithstanding such variety, the following principles must be respected, especially but not only when whole community climigration is the choice: Respect the great diversity within communities during the planning process-including the will of those who do not want to join in the shared relocation. Build bridges to the whole community beyond its leadership. Continue to engage experts and stakehold-
them.
ers such as environmental justice groups.
Community Planning and Partnerships Are Necessary
standards of housing and services. As part of
The relocation transition should be understood in the context of all forced migration or internal displacement as defined by the United National High Commissioner for Relocation (UNHCR) and should forward according to the larger framework of International Human Rights Law. (Refer to Chapter 2.) It must include sufficient timelines, which are key to the execution of a humanistic and equitable displacement. It must execute its planning and relocation process in ways that minimize disruption to daily life, economic and social well-being, and political voice. It must involve meaningful community engagement. It must be viewed as long-term, beginning well in advance of any potential relocation and continuing long after it in support of the community transition. The political/governmental temptation to employ a top-down, efficient, ‘master builder’ approach—such as that of
44
It will also require multiple types of
Redress historical inequities including the these considerations, account for legacies of serial displacement that have afflicted communities. Address issues of cultural identity, heritage preservation, and historic resource stewardship. Respect community self-determination as regards cultural heritages, social structures, ways of life among other factors. Provide meaningful responses to community needs, desires, and vision. Consider community voices in planning for the use of the land left behind. Account for the extended time frames of the transition through budgeting and policy.
The need for meaningful community participa-
methods recognizing the justice of empowering
tion (as outlined above) bears emphasis and
communities to decide their own future within
elaboration as it is applied on behalf of working
the context of climate change realities that need
class, Black, Latinx, and immigrant communities.
to be honestly but mindfully presented.
The groups and stakeholders who stand for
It is difficult to create the time and a safe space
BIPOC and community interests do not
within which economically vulnerable popula-
necessarily have the resources to take part
tions can engage and confront the potential
effectively given the complexities of climate
losses of displacement and the benefits of a
change, infrastructure investments, and
whole community transition. Yet, because these
relocation; and the pressing problems of the
same populations often rely on their robust
moment (crime, housing quality, underperform-
social networks and their collective voice to
ing schools, under- and unemployment) perforce
effect change, they well understand the value of
take precedence over contingency planning for
whole community action and the power and
decades in the future. The environmental justice
agency they will lose without it. We need to
community is rightly suspect of discussions
provide them with the support they need to first
about managed retreat in large part because of
envision a better future and then achieve whole
past Redlining, neighborhood disruption by
community relocation in pursuit of it, if they so
highway and other infrastructure construction,
choose.
and discriminatory planning policies. The City policy since the Bloomberg mayoralty to upzone
Community engagement far in advance of any
working class waterfront areas for flood-resist-
displacement will serve multiple functions
ant luxury housing sends a signal that working
especially should the population opt to relocate
class folk are being displaced by higher-income
together. It builds the capacity for resiliency in
residents in the name of climate adaptation. The
response to short term disaster and long-term
relocation of more affluent residents from at risk
transitions. It informs and educates residents as
prime coastal areas to inland working-class
to immediate issues of sustainability and
neighborhoods is a new form of
resilience as well as longer term climate change
(climate-change-induced) gentrification.
impacts. It helps a community to self-organize and develop the capacity for decision-making
Discussions about climate change are difficult
and planning.
because they elicit the trauma of displacement. Since the specter of displacement has seemed an event that will affect future generations of residents and political administrations, the public conversation has not begun. Yet, while the unpredictability (or unfathomability) of the timeline for climate change timeline might suggest extreme impacts may not be felt for several mortgage cycles, a storm disaster could make retreat an immediate concern. This adds up to supplying resources for the participatory planning to be community driven (not top-down) and employing a multiplicity of partnering approaches and participatory
45
image 21
This process requires climate experts, political
positioned them in low-lying vulnerable areas
representatives, and other stakeholders to help
bereft of opportunity to begin with: It is no
the community explore relocation options. It
accident that one-half of the publicly-supported
could require the leadership and initial participa-
housing in Queens is in the Rockaways—the
tion of a smaller group of willing residents in
borough’s most remote locale.
advance of establishing a wider dialogue with the whole community. That larger dialogue has a
As per the examples above, we have given
focus on better futures for families’ children and
special consideration to residents of NYCHA
grandchildren within a context of comprehensive
campuses, roughly one-fourth of which were
planning, one scenario being whole community
built in such vulnerable coastal areas to rehouse
climigration.
residents displaced through Urban Renewal and highway construction. Over the interceding
Why Whole Community Climigration
generations, the increasingly diverse residents of these campuses have often developed strong internal social networks, agency, and a political
Climate change will inevitably force relocation
voice. Whole community relocation will support
from some waterfront neighborhoods, as noted.
their agency to better their future and simultane-
Most of this paper postulates incremental
ously address the inequities of the past.
strategies as both practical (given that the necessity for retreat will unfold over time) and
This paper identifies the qualities of potential
desirable for most people (as it preserves
locations for community relocation. The urban
individual decision making). But what about
design features of these ‘new towns in town’
communities with strong social ties evidenced in
developments might vary. Several design goals
many ethnic and beach communities as well as
emerged, including incorporating the principles
in public housing? We believe that within the
of the ‘15-minute neighborhood,’ supporting local
context of providing substantive choice to those
employment and entrepreneurship, parks and
residents, whole community climigration needs
recreation, superior school facilities, and we urge,
to be an option if we are to achieve an equitable
a center providing socio-economic and cultural
transition and future city.
support services. It could be the focus and organizing agent of continuing community
Many if not most of the communities who favor
engagement.
holistic resettlement will be on the lower end of the economic spectrum, in which social capital matters even more in the absence of financial capital. Examples could include the residents of
Towards a Wholistic Implementable Physical Plan
the Franklin Houses public housing in East
46
Harlem, ethnic enclaves such as the Chassidic
Long-time calls for New York City to undertake
community in the area to the east of the
comprehensive planning have gained momen-
Brooklyn Navy Yard, and the tight-knit communi-
tum this past year thanks to legislation
ty of Hunts Point, the Bronx. Many of these
introduced by the NYC City Council Speaker. We
populations often face a multiplicity of daily
fully concur with this direction given that it is
life-challenges from lack of economic opportuni-
necessary to proactively address climate change
ty to racism to food insecurity to environmental
and relocation. Decades of investment and work
injustice (including the presence of extreme mold
will be needed to address climate change
conditions). These challenges often derive from
inclusive of managed retreat. The absence of a
a legacy of governmental inequity that has
long-term plan would mean that this work will be
done late in a crisis mode, at much greater
socio-economic sustainability. They should serve
expense, with more errors, and with far greater
as models for our future.
trauma for residents. 3. NYCHA Housing: A key part of the comprehenTrue comprehensive planning entails an
sive planning effort should be addressing the
integrated vision of social and physical
impact of climate change—especially rising seas
infrastructures, built and natural environments,
and increased flooding—on public housing in
and scales of community, all linked to a road
New York City. What is the plan for the relocation
map for implementation. It is predicated on
of these 40,000 or more households? Will it be
cross-acceptance between the aspirations of
relocation to existing NYCHA campuses; in
individual communities and citywide considera-
which case the sale of NYCHA land and
tion of transportation, energy, education, health,
development rights is premature? Will it be
and welfare as well as housing. Directly relevant
relocation to new campuses as per whole
to relocation, comprehensive planning would
community climigration; in which case the
clarify which areas face flooding or high tide
question arises as to what sites should be
conditions that necessitate relocation; it would
secured or set aside now (such as Sunnyside
address the fact that relocation will add to the
Yards in Queens)? Will it be a dispersal strategy;
pressure on housing supply (not even Covid19
in which case the challenge is how to avoid any
seems to have truly diminished our city as a
decrease in the supply of housing for the very
destination); it would empower communities to
poor? Such and many more questions can only
shape their relocation; and it would determine
be addressed through coordination of NYCHA
the best use of the territory that is left behind.
and citywide comprehensive planning.
The complexities of managing physical
4. Rezoning within a Comprehensive Plan: New
relocation over time requires a robust tool kit of
York City has the potential to become a
planning prophylactic, current, interim, and
multicentric, resilient city through the careful
longer-term measures, as per those outlined
re-imagining of density and bulk in less
below:
developed areas such as along under-utilized commercial corridors but also in high-opportuni-
1. Prophylactic Planning: Plans should anticipate
ty (more affluent) neighborhoods. Both could
and address site vulnerabilities–flood hazard and
include provisions specifically for relocation
otherwise—that produce the needs for serial
communities. Both the host and migrating
displacement. One obvious planning principle
communities must be part of this planning
would be to stop further development in flood
process.
zones; or to limit such development to low- and mid-rise structures that can be readily reassem-
5. Environmental Review: The City’s City
bled or moved.
Environmental Quality Review (CEQR) Act mandates a brief and often a detailed analysis of
2. Planning Standards: There should be
zoning, public land disposition, and other actions
standards for our shared future as part of the
subject to the Uniform Land Use Review
comprehensive planning process in advance of
Procedure (ULURP).
relocation. There should be standards for
47
buildings, social infrastructure, and spatial
CEQR is poorly suited for managing the scope of
amenity that correct for earlier inequity. New
district level or citywide issues created by the
community planning should incorporate
City’s changing flood plain. As generally adopted,
state-of-the-art approaches to physical and
the 20-year horizon for analysis is simply wrong
when it comes to dealing with climate change,
shopping centers as well as aging and obsolete
since zoning is rarely changed in terms of land
urban locales. Commercia corridors are
use once enacted, and buildings last hundreds of
inviting—especially those parallel to subway lines
years—both well beyond the period of impact
or where trackless tram or bus rapid transit
under logical consideration: the years 2050 and
(BRT) are practical. Examples include Coney
2100. This would simply require that the NYC
Island Avenue and Utica Avenue in Brooklyn, and
Mayor’s Office of Environmental Coordination
Liberty Avenue and Northern Boulevard in
modify the CEQR Technical Manual that guides
Queens, Bay Street and Victory Boulevard in
CEQR reviews.
Staten Island. In such cases, while the pre-existing urban services like schools and libraries
6. Assessing Sites of Relocation: In a city that is
could fill some community needs, there will also
already so dense and built, how will we find sites
be the need to provide additional facilities in
for relocation that do not jeopardize our ecology,
support of the community transition and future.
landscapes, and valuable open space? Appropriate sites of relocation are not just about
8. Available Land for Whole Community
allowable and available development potential
Relocation: There are underutilized publicly
under zoning—as per Floor Area Ratio (FAR) in
owned sites, such as Floyd Bennett Field in
the Zoning Resolution. We need to address what
Brooklyn and Aqueduct Raceway in Queens, that
is needed for communities to reposition not just
could be considered for ‘new town, in town’
their households but also their related physical
development. Brownfield sites, like railroad yards,
assets of open space, amenities, and social
also present opportunities for development with
infrastructure. In assessing a potential site, we
funding via environmental mitigation and other
need to consider:
sources. These sites provide the opportuni-
The environmental impact of its development on natural, historic, and cultural landscapes. If it can provide sufficient social as well as physical infrastructure. Potential burdens on a host community The ability to provide economic/ job opportunity and the ability to build equity. The potential to intensify gentrification or the displacement of BIPOC or other marginalized households.
ty—but also requirement—to build not just housing but a complete community with new social and physical infrastructures, including schools, social and recreation centers, commercial uses, places for religious institutions, parks, and a robust public realm. 9. Sites Left Behind: Within the context of a comprehensive plan, the City needs to beware of policy that disinvests in communities and housing slated for relocation, thereby increasing their economic and physical vulnerability in advance of relocation. Consideration must be given to when and how infrastructures are abandoned. As discussed earlier in this white paper about timber construction methods, this
7. Underutilized Urban Fabric: There are
might involve methods of construction where
underused typologies of sites that could serve
needed facilities (and even housing) are built
the needs of large-scale whole community
using typologies that allow for their ready
development. Some typologies, like under-uti-
relocation.
lized office buildings, offer pre-existing
48
infrastructures and central locations; others, like
The sites abandoned to water are not without
parking garages, dead malls, and under-tenanted
value. The former residents should be key
shopping centers, could breathe new life into
players in deciding their future use—which might
be ecological, recreational, or even memorial. 10. Regional Considerations: The ultimate count of those in whole communities displaced by climate change could be upwards of 100,000 units affecting hundreds of thousands of people. Likewise in the region, hundreds of thousands of more housing units will be affected. For instance, most of Hoboken, NJ and all of Long Beach, NY, in addition to many other smaller oceanfront communities in the region, will be below high tide in 2100 according to current projections. Upland places where higher densities might be plausible (like Secaucus, NJ) may prove workable as areas to promote relocation to, thanks to excellent transit; as might other places where major transit improvements have been proposed (like Roosevelt Field, Long Island). A regional perspective will prove necessary. Multi-jurisdictional authorities, policies, financial structures will be needed for such a regional approach. For this reason, we should be strengthening our regional connections as part of comprehensive planning for New York City. Municipal and even state boundaries may prove irrelevant.
Funding the Just Transition 1. Thinking “Beyond” Relocation: Now is the time to conceive of alternatives to the status quo understanding of community in transition. Why can’t the transition be not out of place but out of poverty—i.e., instead of publicly building and buying new housing, increase the wealth of lower income resident so that they can afford to decide for themselves where to live? If we invest in alternatives to poverty and inequity now, the burdens of climate-change related relocation will dramatically decrease. (Refer to the opening chapter on the Right to Housing.) 2. Planning Timelines: The time frame for a community transition could be between 30 and 50 years, or two mortgage cycles, as long as a
49 image 22
catastrophe such as Superstorm Sandy does not
For most BIPOC and working-class neighbor-
accelerate the timetable. This timeline supports
hoods accommodating new development,
rational investment in a resilient present even as
investments that assure a net improvement
we plan for future migration. We need to invest in
in the neighborhood, recognizing that these
existing building stock in ways that redress
neighborhoods are often deficient in public
unsustainable and unhealthy conditions for the
investment and amenities such as parks and
current residents and increase the resiliency of
newer schools.
building stock for its projected inhabited life future use—which might be ecological, recrea-
Note that these reflect the true costs of
tional, or even memorial.
relocation. A simple housing replacement approach creates the logic to build in BIPOC
3. The Full Costs of Relocation-Related
communities that have few amenities (such as
Development: Billions of dollars will be needed to
Bushwick in Brooklyn, which is severely deficient
buy property in high-risk areas as well as to build
in parks and open space), since the cost of land
or subsidize replacement housing. But there is
is less there. The more complete cost profile
more at stake than just housing units.
above (especially the last item) creates the logic to find opportunities to supply replacement units
We urge that a different financial outlook be used
in more expensive neighborhoods that have
in connection with relocation—one that recogniz-
greater wealth of amenities and services. This
es the full complexity of what is involved. These
could promote greater integration across the
added costs include:
city, consistent with one of the major thrusts of this white paper.
Land acquisition of the site left behind, not just the relocation site
4. Funding Instruments: Money is not the issue: New York is one of the richest cities in one of the
Support for social services for the communi-
richest nations of the world. There have been any
ty in transition.
number of taxing ideas that have been raised and might be employed to raise the revenue
Interim uses for this land that maintains the
needed for relocation. Listed below are such
quality of life in the community over the
ideas (some of which were also raised in the
decades during which relocation will take
earlier chapters).
place A tax on nonresidents / absentee owners / The permanent repurposing of the land left
second homes
behind A floor of 1 percent of assessed value as Relocation of heritage assets wherever
Real Estate tax, including for property owned
possible
by nonprofit institutions
The honoring of historic narratives and
A graduated real estate tax in which the
identities
higher the value of the property, the higher the mill rate.
Compensation for disruption of livelihood and other dimensions of daily life
A real estate transfer or flat tax at point of sale for all manner of property, graduated or
Social and physical infrastructure investment in the host communities
50
pegged to start at a specific value
A tax on stock transfers devoted to infrastruc-
covenants and easements to provide compensa-
ture, as discussed elsewhere in this white
tion and maintain some community continuity in
paper.
the interim. The NYC Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) already employs covenant
Each of these (or other) funding strategies would need its own feasibility and trade-offs analysis. This should be done simultaneous with the comprehensive planning process, not after. While 2050 and 2100 seem far away, time is still of the essence. Construction of flood mitigation in addition to relocation will prove necessary and will take decades to implement. We cannot count on the federal government since climate change—droughts, fires, extreme heat, coastal flooding, increased storm actions—is a growing national problem, unlike singular events (such as Superstorm Sandy and Hurricane Katrina) that neither add up to budget-busting nor compete
and easement programs, in the lands surrounding the City’s water supply reservoirs within Catskill, Croton, and Delaware watersheds 21
upstate. This existing program illustrates a potentially useful compensatory model for managing development over time in the most vulnerable sections of New York City’s floodplain. Purchasing covenants and easements can, over time, allow the City to manage risk while supplying financial resources to property owners. Easements could be used in multifamily rental projects to compensate for decreased unit counts in a gradual relocation scenario. As units
across the nation for emergency funds.
of multifamily housing naturally turnover and
Raising taxes (in whatever form) is always
for permanently removing vulnerable units from
unpopular and lobbied against. But waiting just assures draconian money revenue strategies later. The long-term nature of this planning requires that policies and funding be crafted in acknowledgement of the need to persist across
become vacant, owners could be compensated service, through a public purchase of an easement that prohibits reoccupation. Easements might also be used at all scales for requiring building or site improvements that
many election cycles.
better protect the building or even the neighbor-
Covenants, Easements, and Transfer of Development Rights
moving utilities)—i.e., these improvements are
The strategies above mainly addressed financial
enforcement.
hood from the impact of flooding (such as not just subsidized, they must be maintained thereafter. Note that this begs the issue of
mechanisms to raise the necessary billions of dollars needed to finance relocation. There are
Covenants might be used in which the City
also mechanisms that can allow these public
(State, others) buy an option on the property for
funds to be employed in ways that take
its present value contingent on the primary
advantage that relocation can unfold over time
tenant/occupant moving or the tenant being
rather than happen as a single event, with benefit
forced to vacate due to an extreme weather
to both the people to be moved and the
event / fire / etc.
communities in which they now live. Given that many owner-occupants of properties 1. Covenants and Easements: There is signifi-
may have significant balances on mortgages, the
cant potential in using a combination of
development of new easement and covenant programs must work with the lending communi-
21
New York City Department of Environmental Protection. New York City’s Land Acquisition Program: Protecting Water Quality in the Catskill, Croton, and Delaware Watersheds. Accessed Online: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/dep/downloads/pdf/watershed-protection/assistance-for-homeowners-landowners/2010_lap_brochure.pdf
51
ty on new forms of flexibility to allow potential mortgage subordination.
2. Transfer of Development Rights: Additionally,
housing construction program in areas with
pairing conservation easements and even
limited risk, while also supporting programs to
purchase of flood prone property with some
help physically vulnerable communities in the
expanded transfer of development rights (TDR)
near term.
program could provide a way to maintain housing supply in the City over all while providing
To place economic equity and racial justice at
some compensation for homeowners in severely
the center of these incremental and new
risk prone areas.
long-term plans, several considerations and approaches follow.
For legal nexus issue, this approach can only work if the TDR sending and receiving sites are
1. Programs Driven by Property Values: Most
within the same neighborhood, and where the
public investment programs use some form of
value of the TDR is greater at the receiving than
cost-benefit analysis to figure out whether an
at the sending site. A City-sponsored TDR ‘bank’
improvement is a reasonable use of public funds.
would be needed to carry out the recommenda-
Using property values as the significant driver of
tion given the legal and other transaction costs
cost-benefit analysis, as done by the FEMA,
associated with TDR; even so, TDR works best
drives mitigation (flood walls, etc.) investments
where the values to be transferred are the
to real estate-rich locales, such as Lower
greatest.
Manhattan and Chelsea, instead of lower-value locales, such as Red Hook and the Rockaways.
Thus, this tool could be effectively used in places
This makes it impossible to resolve prior
like Chelsea and East Harlem in Manhattan, and
inequities and legacies of disinvestment. Instead,
Columbia Street and Gowanus in Brooklyn; more
public programs (especially FEMA) should
so than at all in places like in Red Hook in
consider the significant costs of temporary and
Brooklyn, southeast Staten Island, and Jamaica
permanent damages and disruptions to low- and
Bay / Rockaways in Queens. Nonetheless, these
moderate-income households that will not have
are the neighborhoods where the purchase of
the resources to weather climatic shocks or
easements, convenants or outright ownership of
stresses, and instead, will depend on emergency
units is most expensive. Thus, using TDR here
resources to compensate for unmet needs.
freeds up more money to be spent on other less affluent areas, inclusive of the social, physical,
Similarly, property purchase programs, which
and economic compensations called for earlier.
transition high-risk properties into open space, are designed around compensating owners
An Equity and Justice Approach to Buyout Programs
based on their property’s market value rather than the actual cost to rehouse in an area with fewer physical or social vulnerabilities. Instead,
52
Although buyout programs and managed retreat
such programs should be designed around the
initiatives may be a logical and fiscally responsi-
actual costs of rehousing, recognizing that newer
ble solution to changing landscapes in high-risk
property owners may have significant mortgage
communities over the next decades, without a
balances and that disasters can also create a
significant investment in the development of
significant amount of financial distress. As New
comparably priced housing in communities
York’s real estate market is subject to significant
without flood risk, reducing the available housing
national and international speculative pressures,
inventory displaces the problem and does not
it is also possible that market actors could, at
reduce overall human vulnerability. The next and
certain moments, inflate property values. For this
later administrations must spearhead a
reason, property purchase programs cannot
substantial and radically inclusive affordable
exist alone and need to pair with comprehensive
changes in land use and building controls.
will also reduce building revenues while not
Finally, as noted earlier, the public programs
expenses, there is a need for new subsidy
should employ a broader financing definition, inclusive of the repurposing of the land left behind, relocation of heritage assets, and compensation for disruption of livelihood and other dimensions of daily life, in addition to the typical combination (for condemnation) of only property purchase and direct relocation
programs to help with this thoughtful transition. Innovation variations in the spirit of Section-8 housing choice vouchers could provide low-income tenants with the resources they need to rehouse while also supplying revenues to an owner to remove a unit. Expansion of and
expenses.
modifications to the Section-8 program could
2. Programs for Rental housing: Over 65 percent
tenants, as described later.
of New York City’s residents live in rental housing, yet there are no robust examples of public, climate transition programs for tenants or for rental units at risk. Helping permanent relocation prior to a disaster will reduce the substantial socio-emotional risks as well the financial costs of aiding families in the aftermath of a disaster, particularly in consideration of extremely challenging to rehouse supportive and senior populations. Pre-disaster relocation programs can supply incentives while also supporting families and communities in making the choices that are most appropriate to meet their own needs. Rather than creating programs with a single option or requiring consensus on a community move, public programs should have the flexibility and resources to promote housing
also be used to supply greater housing choice for
3. Private Financing: Private owners of market-rate and naturally affordable units will be looking for aid and direction from traditional sources of capital. As a national and international center for financial institutions, New York City has the potential to work in partnership with conventional and institutional lenders to incorporate equity-minded flood risk standards and limitations into local lending practices. A natural place to start may be within the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) practices of local lenders, as well as with Program Related Investments and Impact funds at philanthropies working locally. As a part of these discussions, substantial attention must be paid to issues of mortgage/debt subordination on existing
choice.
properties in extremely high-risk areas, so that
For owners of medium and larger size multi-fam-
community planning outcome, owner liabilities,
ily housing, particularly rent-regulated (non-public) housing, there is a substantial gap and limited regulatory flexibility in allowing the decommissioning of the ground floor and basement dwellings most at risk to flooding to allow improvements that reduce the overall building unit count but allow retrofits that promote the safety and well-being of tenants in most units. The City must work with the State Department of Housing and Community Renewal (DHCR) to create and manage flexibility to protect most units through thoughtful retrofit programs. As there are few incentives for owners to remove units, since reductions in unit count
53
reducing a proportionate amount of operating
there can be greater alignment between and capital markets. 4. Flood Insurance: Another challenge is finding a productive way to interact and influence changes in flood insurance. Small building owners (buildings under ten units), if they carry flood insurance, only buy flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). Established in 1968, NFIP supplies federally subsidized flood insurance for property owners who could not get flood insurance from private insurance companies. Problematically for places like New York City, the NFIP insurance products have capped payouts, thusly primarily
assist the owners of small homes and buildings and leave owners and renters in larger multi-family buildings with limited financial protections from flood risk. As changes in the insurance market can diminish the potential for new construction and reduce investment in the maintenance and improvement of existing structures, while also creating challenging affordability considerations for existing owners, the City will have limited regulatory avenues for providing assistance. Potential interactions with the New York State Department of Financial Services, which regulates the insurance markets allowed to operate within New York State, could allow avenues for short-term affordability or continuity of service issues. But as the primary insurance market is federally subsidized and regulated, changes to this market will require significant
preliminary flood insurance rate maps for purposes of its Zoning Resolution and building codes. This effort assures that, at a minimum, newly constructed buildings will be designed to minimize damage from flooding. But these maps are snapshots in time. As the global climate evolves, New York City’s floodplains will expand in response to rising seas and increased frequency and intensity of storm events caused by the rise in global temperature. Each new Mayoral administration should systematically update correct flood maps for the purposes of the zoning and building code so that new development and substantially improved structures are required to meet contemporary flood risk safety standards and continue to coordinate with State and federal regulators to ensure the accuracy of these efforts in order to ensure the safety of New Yorkers.
federal lobbying. 5. FEMA Mapping for Insurance Coverage: NFIP also promotes unified local floodplain management to reduce property at risk in flood areas. The pairing of insurance and floodplain management was meant to make it easier and more affordable for existing property owners in high-risk areas to buy flood insurance while helping communities to better prepare for and avoid damage from flooding. But the combination of subsidized insurance rates, out-of-date and increasingly inaccurate flood maps, and policies that fail to discourage repetitive loss risks have effectively subsidized development and redevelopment in high-risk areas. New York City is updating its flood insurance rate maps for the first time since they were created in 1983 in coordination with FEMA as required for continued participation in NFIP. It is projected that the geography of flood risk in the city will expand significantly, nearly doubling in size, creating a new affordability challenge, particularly for owners for small homes—while also still potentially not capturing the full extent of the city’s flood risk. The City has adopted the
54
image 23
Public Subsidy of Existing and Future Housing
Voucher would require changes to allow
Policies, regulations, and housing subsidies can
City’s source of income discrimination laws,
be powerful signals to the housing market about
and the development of new affordable
the severe need to consider risk management in
housing.
broader access to the city’s housing supply in high-opportunity areas, enforcement of the
the development and maintenance of housing. Potential affordable housing tools to consider are
Adjustments could be made to assure the
as follows:
availability of units in the lottery system for publicly supported housing units and
Modifications to the City’s Qualified Allocation Plan for Low Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC). The City should consider disallowing the use of 9 percent credits for new construction in the floodplain, or the creation of geographically specific flood risk requirements that exceed the current code for projects in the floodplain. The City should consider requiring that 4 percent projects in the flood plain include flood mitigation work, such as utility elevation; and the City should allow the reduction or relocation of existing units to benefit the long-term safety of the
come housing, such as those enabled by Mandatory Inclusionary Housing (MIH). The units are marketed citywide with some weighting in favor of neighborhood residents. The weighting could also be in favor low- and moderate-income households relocated as a result of managed retreat. Modification of Project-Based Section-8 Housing Choice vouchers and the lottery system for a portion of the affordable units in mixed income projects could help transition specific units or
total number of units.
even entire buildings out of use while granting
Expansion of Section-8 Housing Choice
owners. But only if there is expansion of both the
Vouchers could provide significant opportunities for residential mobility out of the flood plain. Housing Choice vouchers allow low-income residents to find housing in communities they select. Within the operation of the voucher program, modifications to the Decent-Safe-Sanitary standard used to inspect potential units for Section-8 could include flood risk mitigation requirements including disallowing habitation of basement or ground flood dwellings, requiring elevated utility systems and installation of backflow preventers. Expanding the availability of Section-8 Assistance, while, over time, restricting the use of vouchers in the most vulnerable of units and/or neighborhoods can support low-income renters and help in their transition away from the areas of highest physical risk. A successful expansion of Section-8 or creation of another form of Housing Choice
55
affordable units created through mixed-in-
tenants housing mobility and compensating Housing Choice vouchers and number of units available through the lottery system. Employment of these tools for people relocating out of the high-risk areas should not be at the expense of other high-need populations, such as the homeless. Modification or expansion of project-based conversions to finance substantial renovations could also encourage necessary investment in flood-prone structures. Local Congressional representatives might join the City to argue for change to federal regulations to allow HOME funds to be deployed in this manner. This incremental approach to relocation is not without tradeoffs that would need addressing. As noted earlier, the City must, with the affected communities, plan for a transition that does not yield disinvestment as well as depopulation, and instead lead to improved preparedness for
flooding. For instance, it is possible to imagine how removing several floors of units will allow movement of utility systems so that the rest of a large multifamily building could better absorb
As always, it will be necessary to figure out how to make the most of limited incentives and subsidies for the upgrade of existing housing versus the development of new housing. It is
flooding from a significant event.
essential that existing residents have access to
Opportunities to Improve Existing Housing
shelter during and after extreme weather
As much as 17 percent of the City will by the year
addition to allowing for the relocation of building
2100 be under high tide unless safeguarded with
mechanicals in buildings with moderate flood
floodworks like sea walls and berms, and vast
risk, spaces may need to be retrofitted or
new areas now outside of the floodplain will be in
developed new to allow residents to stay cool
the new floodplain. Truly little of this housing was
during extreme heat events. There will also be
built since floodproofing (aka waterproofing) was
the unintended consequences of undesirable
incorporated into either the Building Code or
inflation in housing rents as the costs are
Zoning Resolution. All of it will be newly vulnera-
amortized across rental units, or conversely the
ble.
inability of property owners to remain solvent if
quality housing that supplies a safe space to events—not limited to flooding. For instance, in
the costs exceed what can be passed on to As a housing code regulator and enforcer, the City
tenants (i.e., exceed the thresholds of substantial
has the potential to pass legislation and make
improvement). The City should develop flexible
updates to the Building Code that require
incentive programs, including density bonuses,
compliance for new structures, not just in the
to allow the replacement of housing that has
existing floodplain but in the future floodplain as
exceeded its useful life while ensuring that
well. The legislation and updates can also be fore
existing tenants are affordability rehoused in the
existing construction, requiring compliance within
new and improved structures.
a specified timeframe; for instance, New York State legislation allows for municipalities to
Socializing and Messaging Change
require compliance with regulations for pre-existing signs after a specified time associated with
Finally, it is critical that elected officials,
the ‘life’ of the investment. Thirty (30) years may
advocates, as well as residents all develop
be reasonable for existing buildings as it
awareness and literacy in the challenge and need
coincides with the typical mortgage cycle.
for action in response to flood risk. Socializing a shared understanding of flood risk and its
Such regulations add to cost. In the city’s present
relationship with the broader housing crisis will
hyper real estate market, most of the impact will
help foster more inclusive and comprehensive
be on the speculative and inflated value of
community-led solutions.
property (due to the practice of calculating the
56
residual value of property after factoring all
Socializing and communicating how to mitigate
revenues and expenses). But what about
manageable risks versus unmitigable risks will
affordable and rent-regulated housing—in which
facilitate broaching issues of increasing (like
such regulations can have punitive effects for
erosion and natural transformation of barrier
owners, higher rents for tenants, or create
islands/peninsulas – the Broad Channel, Coney
financial insolvency? In these instances, it is
Island, the Rockaways) versus geographies
critical to pair these regulations with incentives
where combinations of neighborhood scale
and subsidies to help finance these improve-
improvements (berms, levees, etc.) and building
ments in affordable and rent-regulated housing.
improvements can reduce risk to a more
manageable (less disruptive, less likely to be fatal) level? The post-disaster context is ill-suited for thorny long-term planning discussions, as it is extremely hard to meaningfully consider long-term needs while facing urgent recovery. It is critical that the City use pre-disaster mitigation and potential compliance with FEMA floodplain regulations to socialize and unify potential responses in the next disaster. To productively create plans for growth, it will be necessary to connect low-risk communities with higher-risk communities, to foster dialogue and understanding around changing community needs across the City. Transparency and public process are a critical part of successful change, and the City’s current tool kit provides a limited way to recognize the scope of challenge or incorporate the substantial extents of affected people and neighborhoods. To conclude: Climate risk demonstrates the limitations of New York City’s existing built environment and housing stock. The City’s prior efforts to produce and rehabilitate housing neither meets local demand, nor supplies housing that is safe, high quality, and affordable. No one rationally chooses to live in unsafe conditions, rather, the conditions of New York City’s housing reflect the dearth of choice and opportunity. Climate risk mitigation is a necessary and right opportunity to improve the quality of existing affordable housing.
57
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