profitepaper pakistantoday 11th may, 2012

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profit.com.pk

Friday, 11 May, 2012

Handing over the baton

UN’S OPTIMISM

AVENUE OF ESCAP

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ISLAMABAD ONLINE

Pakistan economy to grow by 4 percent in 2012: report Agriculture touted as the backbone of economic growth g

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ISLAMABAD

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ONLINE

he United Nation economic and Social Survey of Asia and Pacific (eSCAP) has projected the economy of Pakistan to grow by 4 per cent during the year 2012. According to a report launched by eSCAP on Thursday, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Pakistan is projected to grow by 4 per cent in 2012 which is an improvement from 2.4 per cent growth in 2011. Speaking at a report launching ceremony held here, Dr. Ashfaq hassan, an economist said that the economic growth of the country has increased mainly due to the enhanced output of agriculture sector. he said the agriculture sector was improving due to the post-flood recovery in cotton, rice, wheat, sugar cane and other minor crops. Dr. Ashfaq said cut in monitory policy by 200 basis points by the State Bank of Pakistan also supported the economic growth of the country. “Pakistan, after several increases in the policy rate, lowered the policy rate by

50 basis points in July 2011 and further by 150 basis points in October, 2011 despite inflation remains elevated. The moves were aimed to stimulate private investment and economic growth”, Dr. Ashfaq said while elaborating the report. The GDP growth in the country slowed considerably to 2.4 per cent in fiscal year 2011 from 3.8 per cent in the previous year, mainly due to prevailing security concerns, the exogenous shock from elevated oil prices and unprecedented floods in a large part of the country and shortage of electricity and natural gas have also hampered the economic growth, he added. The economic Survey of Asia reported that to reduce the budget deficit in Pakistan, the government was making ef-

NA body suggests OGRA’s handing over to petroleum ministry

forts to improve tax compliance and broaden the tax base. The report said that current account of balance of payments in the country registered surplus in 2011. “In Pakistan, the external sector registered a surplus on the current account, making it a bright spot of the economy in 2011”, the report added. According to the report the exports increased by 29.3 per cent and workers’ remittances reached an historic level of more than $11.2 billion in 2011. Rising prices of value-added textiles helped propel the rapid growth of exports. Foreign exchange reserves also increased considerably. The report further said that in order to address energy shortages, the government should take various measures in-

cluding setting up viable new power projects, minimizing transmission and distribution losses including theft of electricity, increasing exploration of natural gas, crude oil and coal, tapping of regional markets and setting up infrastructure for energy imports. The report said that widespread poverty continues to be major challenge in South Asia. “To fight against poverty, countries need to continue to implement economic reforms to improve productivity, strengthen public institutions, improve economic governance and build social safety nets to protect the more vulnerable segments of the population”, the economic Survey of Asia added. Clovis Freire, representative said on the occasion that Asia and the Pacific faces another year of slowing growth as demand for its exports falls in developed nations and capital costs rise, but the region will remain the anchor of global economic stability. he said that the growth rate of the region’s developing economies is projected to slow down to 6.6 per cent in 2012 from 7.0 per cent last year compared to a strong 8.9 per cent in 2010.

The National Assembly legislative body, while showing its concerns over functions of Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA), suggested to give it under the control of the Ministry of Petroleum or make it a separate ministry. The meeting of National Assembly Standing Committee on Petroleum and Natural Resources held under the chair of Sardar Talib Nakai in which committee strongly showed its reservation over absence of Secretary Cabinet in the meetings of the standing committee. Members said that she should be here to answer the queries of members. Rana Afzaal hussain said that present government is ridiculing the supremacy of the parliament as more than fifty recommendations have been sent by the committee but no action has been seen so far over these recommendations. he said that OGRA has become white elephant and it should be given under the control of the ministry of petroleum and natural resources. he said that Prime Minister is also facilitating OGRA officials in corruption and is part of the game. During the meeting, the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural resources and officials of OGRA were different opinion over pricing of petroleum products. Barjees Tahir said that OGRA has failed to prove that its existence is essential so it should be dissolve or it should be given under the control of the ministry. Committee suggested Chairman Talib Nakai to give OGRA under the control of the ministry of petroleum and natural resources or it should given status of separate ministry. Federal minister for petroleum and Natural Resources Dr Asim hussain said that OGRA follows policies given by the ministry of petroleum however its capacity building is required. he said that ten to fourteen rupees of GST goes to provinces while only four rupees goes to federal government.

SCRUMPTIOUS RECIPES

APCC proposes Rs 825.2b PSDP for next fiscal ISLAMABAD AMER SIAL

The Annual Plan Coordination Committee (APCC) on Thursday finalized a total national development outlay of Rs 825.2 billion, with federal component of Rs 350 billion and provincial share of Rs 475 billion for the next fiscal year 2012-13. The committee also decided that priority will be given to complete ongoing projects, while new un-approved projects will be discouraged as they may cause thin spread resource allocation resulting in time and cost overrun. Deputy Chairman Planning Commission Chairman Dr Nadeem-ul-haq

LET’S bEEf UP ThE PUbLIC SECTOR chaired the meeting. he said the proposed PSDP for the next fiscal year has been prepared in line with the growth strategy framework and to achieve the government’s nine points agenda to ensure inclusive growth, reducing poverty, achieving MDGs, minimizing wastages, ensuring balanced development, food, water and energy security. The proposed PSDP also articulates the division of subjects between provincial and federal governments after passage of 18th constitutional amendment. APCC was informed that the next year plan envisages a GDP target of 4.3 percent which has been fixed under the growth strategy. The targets will be achieved through improvement in productivity and competitiveness, reforms in the markets, promoting cities as regional clusters, improve connectivity,

reforming the civil service, institutions and PSes, harnessing the potential of youth and embarking on result based management. In the total proposed PSDP 201213, the size of foreign assistance has been estimated at Rs 120 billion. New schemes for capacity building or for construction of housing and devolved subject’s projects have been excluded. Federal ministries and divisions have formulated their own development priorities while remaining in their approved ceilings and adopting guidelines of the Planning Commission and Finance Division. The emphasis has been placed on completion of ongoing priority projects. While reviewing PSDP 2011-12, it was informed that no reduction in current year’s PSDP size was made to help

restore GDP growth. As such, the National Development Outlays 2011-12 remained at Rs 730 billion. It was informed that foreign assistance increased than the budgeted allocation of Rs 39 billion to Rs 90 billion. The releases to the executing agencies have been more streamlined so as to reach the project authorities on a fast track basis. So far, 91 percent of the PSDP allocations have been released. emphasis was placed on timely completion of projects by making special efforts. About 174 projects would likely to be completed during the current fiscal year. Review of Annual Plan 2011-12 and proposed Annual Plan 2012-13 was presented by Joint Chief economist, Planning and Development Division Sohail Rehan. APCC was informed that

performance during the current fiscal year was satisfactory. The GDP growth is expected to be 3.7 percent as against 3 percent achieved during the last year. Despite floods, the agriculture sector has performed better and major crops including cotton, rice, maize, and sugarcane witnessed sizable growth over the last year. The Wheat crop, however, is expected to be around 23.2 million tons, which is 2 million tons less than the last year production. APCC was also informed that CPI and food inflation are easing down. CPI inflation is expected to be around 11 percent during the year as against 13.7 percent during the previous year. Similarly, food inflation has witnessed a big reduction from 18 percent in the last year to 11.5 percent in the current year. The large-scale manufacturing has shown some improvement. The external sector, especially export is expected to be behind target, while worker remittances have shown positive growth.


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