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Spain beset by bank crisis, recession, bond pressure Page 02
profit.com.pk
Friday, 18 May, 2012
RESCUE OPERATION
IMF helps those who can’t help themselves g
IMF might bail us out as current account gap widens to 1.7 per cent of GDP KARACHI
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ISMAIL DILAWAR
HE analysts foresee the economic managers seeking a fresh bailout loan package from the international Monetary Fund (iMF) as the country’s external account keeps showing worrisome deterioration for first 10 months of the current fiscal year, FY2011-12. the central bank reported thursday that the country’s current account deficit widened to 1.7 percent of the GDP, accounting for $ 3.394 billion, during July-aprilFY12 against a surplus of $ 466 million or during the corresponding period last year. the economic observers believe that pressure on the external account was due to large external debt payment and increased current account deficit and the suspended aid and assistance from international donors. Pakistan’s negative trade with the world appears to be a major reason for the widening of the current account as gap between the country’s exports and imports increased by $4.184 billion to $ 12.683 billion compared to last year’s $ 8.499 billion. During the review period the exports were recorded at $ 20.474 billion, upping marginally by $ 14 million against $ 20.460 billion of JulyaprilFY11.
the analysts said an under-pressure external account, coupled with government’s ever-increasing budgetary borrowings, would compel the state Bank to maintain the 12 percent interest rate intact even in FY13. the Pak Rupee would keep feeling the heat of a weaker external account throughout next fiscal year. On sBP’s Balance of Payment list worker remittances appear to be the only comfort zone for the economic mangers. the central bank counted receipts from overseas Pakistanis higher by $ 1.831 billion at $ 10.877 billion during the first 10 months. this shows over 20 percent growth over same period of FY11 when Pakistani compatriots had remitted $ 9.046 billion. Having peaked to a record $ 11 billion last year, the analysts forecast the remittances to cross the $ 14 billion mark in next financial year. “Comfort to external account would likely come from workers’ remittance that is expected to cross $14 billion in FY13,” said the analysts. the economic observers expect some respite coming from a possible dip in international oil prices, improved foreign inflows, materialization of the Coalition support Fund and 3G auction licenses and the government’s decision to re-enter the fresh iMF program. “Re-entry into iMF program to avert external account crisis,” is the option widely being foreseen by the analysts in the current scenario.
the growth in the imports, however, remained robust and ballooned to $ 33.157 billion from $ 28.959 billion of same period in FY11 despite lower aggregate demand at home. the central bank data show that during July-aprilFY12 foreign investment in the country nosedived by a huge 65 percent to a meager $ 563.3 million, depicting a sharp slump of over $ 1.031 billion compared to $ 1.595 billion invested by the foreigners during same months in FY11. the disbursements by the donors and loaners abroad also set in the red zone contracting to long-term loans worth $ 1.588 billion against $ 1.674 billion of last year. Of the total amount disbursed to Pakistan, during the review months, $ 1.510 billion came as a project loan and $ 78 million as a program loan. the short-term receipts, including commercial loans and those coming from islamic Development Bank, remained zero. “(the) current account deficit is expected to remain in the range of $ 4-4.5 billion versus $3.5-4 billion expected in FY12,” viewed analysts at topline Research. in percentage terms these estimates are 1.6 to 1.8 percent and 1.5 to 1.7 percent of the Gross Domestic Product. the financing of such a huge deficit, the analysts believe, would remain a major challenge for the cash-strapped government, especially given the current poor state of foreign inflows.
AGRARIAN BILLBOARD
NBP tops agri financing charts KARACHI: national Bank of Pakistan (nBP) is leading in agriculture financing among other banks and financial institutions in the country by lending Rs 33.013 billion among nearly 176,372 farmers between July 2011 to March 2012, against a target of Rs 32.400 billion by sBP for nine months. according to nBP, the state Bank of Pakistan (sBP) has fixed an indicative lending target of Rs 280 billion for the financial year 2011-12, out of this nBP’s share is highest after ZtBL.as per sBP report, nBP’s total outstanding during one year has exceeded by Rs 9.763 billion, rising from Rs27.670 billion in March 2011 to Rs 37.433 billion in March 2012. nBP outstanding is higher by Rs 9.763 billion as compared with the total exceeded amount of outstanding by all five other banks including ZtBL which stood at Rs 2.283 billion in March 2012. this becomes possible due to dynamic leadership of President-Qamar Hussain, Group Chief Dr.asif Brohi. Out of our total 1,277 domestic branches, 875 are involved in catering the needs of farmers. national Bank of Pakistan is at the top of ‘five’ commercial banks of Pakistan, as it offers complete range of commercial banking services along with agriculture services to farmers under one umbrella. nBP has disbursed Rs 42.4 billion in agriculture credit financing among nearly 252,000 farmers during July 2010-June 2011, against a target of Rs 41 billion. the percentage of non-performing loans of nBP was about 5 percent as on December 31, 2011, compared to 15 percent average nPL’s of commercial banks in agricultural.the other distinguishing feature of nBP is the competitive mark up rate, which is lower than the rate being charged by other commercial banks. the loans disbursed can be divided into two categories, production and development loans. Under the first category loans are disbursed mainly for the procurement of seeds, fertilizers & pesticides etc. and the second category is for the purchase of tractors, farm machinery & implements and construction of modern storage, cattle farms, poultry farms facilities etc. nBP takes pride in being a key partner in government’s program of achieving food security and poverty alleviation.nBP takes pride in being key partner on Government’s program of achieving food security and poverty alleviation. NNI
ICCI, LCCI are The Avengers! ‘Iron out creases in the budget’ g
ICCI calls for sufficient budget for SME development Pakistan g
allocates lowest budget share to SMEs as compared to other nations ISLAMABAD
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NNI
MaLL and Medium Enterprises (sMEs) have been playing a key role in providing impetus to economic development, therefore Government should allocate sufficient amount of budget for sMEs development to stimulate the growth of trade and industry in the country. Pakistan is spending the lowest budget on sME development as compared to other nations of the world, thus, Government should provide enough funds in upcoming budget of 2012-13 for strengthening sME sector of the country, Yassar sakhi Butt, President islamabad Chamber of Commerce and industry (iCCi) said this during a meeting with private sector representatives of sME sector. iCCi President said that sMEs sector should be given priority to make it as an effective tool for economic development and Government should not show reluctance in allocating funds for sMEs development. He said that Government has only provided Rs.40million for sME Development
support Fund in FY2011-12 which should be increased up to substantial level as the promotion of sMEs entails enhancement of the competitiveness of the economy and generation of additional employment. He cited the example of Brazilian economy, which was spending $7.24 per capita on its sME agency. President iCCi was of the view our country is facing economic crunch and the optimum way of getting out of these difficulties is to facilitate the maximum growth of sMEs as promotion of sMEs would lead to creation of more job opportunities, proper utilization of young talent, emergence of thriving middle class and reduction in poverty, ultimately leading to the acceleration of economic activities in the country. Yassar sakhi Butt stressed that the real challenge of the government is to set the sME policy in a way that these enterprises could be transformed from static to dynamic units. iCCi President further said that Government should revise taxation structure for sMEs as both india and China attempt to lower sME taxation to help the economy grow and in turn boost investor confidence. thus, our Government should also draw a similar map of the taxation structure for sME sector, he maintained.
LCCI goes Hulk over power tariff hike Castigates 16pc hike in power tariff Gnashes teeth owing to lack of planning regarding oil g
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LAHORE STAFF REPORT
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akistan has become the only non-oil producing country in the world where bulk of the electricity is being produced through oil run power generators that has kept the energy rates volatile to the extent that it is fast crushing the economic activity. severely criticizing another 16 per cent hike in power tariff, the LCCi President irfan Qaiser sheikh said that it is a futile exercise and would not be doing any service to the government unless and until it makes a plan to cover inefficiencies in the power sector. irfan Qaiser sheikh said that besides controlling line losses and electricity theft, the government would have to chalk out a plan to convert oil based power generators to coal as in india more than sixty per cent of electricity in being produced through coal and what it is getting through furnace oil in not more than six per cent. the LCCi President opined that government move is bound to increase the incidence of electricity pilferage that already is 25 per cent of the 22 per
cent line losses and eating up Rs 50-75 billion. the LCCi President said that how the industry would remain competitive at such a high price of electricity which is one of the basic industrial raw materials. We already have the highest tariff in our region as in india, the electricity tariff for industry is 10.5 cents, in Bangladesh 10.75 cents and in sri Lanka it
is again 10.75 cent whereas in Pakistan tariff is already 15 cents meaning that 45 percent higher as compared to the region. With this massive and unprecedented increase, we will have double the tariff of electricity what the regional countries are offering to their trade and industries leaving Pakistan totally uncompetitive and unviable in the international market place. “the country had already lost a number of international markets to China, Bangladesh and india due to high cost of doing business and the decision to increase power tariff would make the Pakistani goods more uncompetitive.” He said that the business community was unable to understand that instead of taking measures to control line losses and enhance cheap power generation up to capacity, the policies are being evolved to add to the miseries of the business doing people. irfan Qaiser sheikh said that negative growth witnessed by the Large scale Manufacturing sector was indeed an eye opener and a wake up call to the government. He said that the industry needs cheaper electricity to keep the units operational and to complete the export orders well within the given timeframe but only because of the shortage of electricity the exports are not up to the mark.