profitepaper pakistantoday 19th september, 2012

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PRO 19-09-2012_Layout 1 9/19/2012 2:02 AM Page 1

Wednesday,19 September,2012

Uncle Sam gives the dough, Maybe now the cash will flow US strategic reimbursements put current account balance in green zone g C/A balance shows $919m during first two months of FY13 g SBP says surplus due to $1.118b coalition support g Trade gap almost flat on $2.41b against last year’s $ 2.52 billion g Remittances grow by $ 57mn to $ 2.464bn from 2.407b of FY12 g

KARACHI

A

ISMAIL DILAWAR

FTER seeing a whole year of deficits the country’s current account balance set in the green zone registering a surplus of $ 919 million during the first two months of FY13, thanks to the long-denied war reimbursements made by the United States on account of Coalition Support Fund (CSF) early last month. In percentage terms, the surplus is 2.2 percent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) accounting for $ 41.116 billion. Syed Wasimuddin, the chief spokesman of the State Bank, attributed the rare surplus to inflows under coalition support. “(The surplus is) due to the CSF money”, he told Pakistan Today. Pakistan’s non-Nato allies in Washington had released to Islamabad on the first of last month $1.118 billion under the CSF after a months-long strain in bilateral ties was eased through an onand-off process of negotiations between the two countries on civilian, military and intelligence level. Economic observers also seconded the official version of the SBP spokesman saying the surplus was due to US funds transfer under the military and civilian heads of CSF

Dr Asim digs out more hope Says exploration companies have made significant oil and gas discoveries ISLAMABAD ONLINE

Dr. Asim Hussain, Minister for Petroleum & Natural Resources has expressed confidence that the new Petroleum policy 2012 provides significant incentives for Exploration and Production (E&P) Companies operating in Pakistan’s Oil and Gas sector. He said while addressing a meeting here on Tuesday that E&P companies should take advantage from the incentives offered in the new Policy. To reduce the prevailing demand and supply gap, the E&P companies have been successful in discovering new hydrocarbon reserves. Encouraged with the steps taken by the Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Resources to enhance indigenous production, E&P companies have made following discoveries during 2012. United Energy Pakistan Ltd has made discoveries in their Badin Blocks that include Gharo-1 Oil and Gas discovery in July, 2012 which is producing 520 Barrels of Oil per day (BOPD) and 0.03 Million Cubic Feet per Day (MMCFD) gas, Mohano-1 discovery in February, 2012 which is producing 300 BOPD and 0.03 MMCFD gas. Pir Apan-1 discovery made in March, 2012 producing 375 BOPD and 18 MMCFD gas, Piraro Deep-1 discovery made in April, 2012 which is producing 483 BOPD and 15.2 MMCFD gas, Nurpur Deep-1 gas discovery in May, 2012 producing 4.5 MMCFD gas, Mulaki-1 Oil and Gas discovery in July, 2012 which is producing 25 BOPD and 7 MMCFD gas, Shekhano-1 discovery made in August, 2012 that is producing 84 BOPD and around 17 MMCFD gas.

and Kerry Lugar Act (KLA), respectively. “Mainly that CSF and Kerry Lugar flow from the US,” said Khurram Schehzad, a senior analyst. The receipts under KLA have been meager with Washington reported to have transferred only Rs 20.356 billion during FY12 against a projected receipt of Rs 34.164 billion. Under the KLA, Pakistan has the US’s word for receiving a civilian aid of $ 7.5 billion till 2014, $ 1.5 billion per annum. However, the funds transfer under CSF augured well for the dollar-hungry Pakistan which in FY12 had braved a current account deficit of over $ 4 billion, pushing the economic managers closer once again to a fresh IMF bailout package. The central bank on Tuesday said during JulyAug FY13 the country’s current account stood at $ 919 million year-on-year compared to a deficit of $261 million during the corresponding months of FY12. A monthly account shows that against a $ 321 million deficit in July the C/A balance ended up in the green zone by witnessing a $1.240 bil-

lion surplus in August, when the CSF inflows landed in. With the country’s trade balance remaining almost flat by widening to a nominal $2.41 billion against last year’s $ 2.52 billion, the ever-increasing worker remittances might be a permanent attributable factor for the surplus. During the months under review, the central bank counted at $ 2.464 billion the remittances Pakistanis working abroad sent back home. This amount is up by $ 57 million than$ 2.407 billion overseas Pakistanis had remitted in the review months last year. The inflow of remittances during July and August was recorded at an impressive $1.205 billion and $ 1.259 billion, respectively. It means the country on average receives over a billion dollars every month from Pakistani compatriots. A break up of trade deficit depicts that during the two months the country exported goods worth $ 4.061 billion

compared to $ 4.257 billion of July-Aug of the last fiscal. Compared with last year’s $6.785 billion, the imports remained subdued at $ 6.471 billion. The disbursements from the foreign financers, another noteworthy indicator on the current account balance list, set in the red zone and remained confined to long-term project loans totaling at $ 81 million. Last year, the foreign disbursements under the same head had amounted to $ 172 million. The current account surplus also reflected well on the country’s booming stock market where, despite investors’ concern for an uncertain law and order situation in the protests-hit city, the KSE 100-share index ended higher and gained 118.5 points with trading volumes peaking to 129 million shares against Monday’s 98 million only. According to Ahsen Mehanti, a senior equity analyst and director at Arif Habib Securities, the surplus current account balance of $ 1.2 billion during August ‘12 along with factors like the new EU trade waiver on Pakistan exports, easing concerns on circular debt issue and speculations ahead of implementation of International Clearing House Mechanism for telecom sector played a catalyst role in bullish sentiments at the KSE on Tuesday.

Business Barometer – Gauging apprehension PIDE for effective policy to improve business activities ISLAMABAD STAFF REPORT

The business activity in Pakistan faces serious challenges as overall business activity in the country recorded very low ranking, says Pakistan Institute of Economic Development (PIDE). In its report ‘Business Barometer’ PIDE urged the government to adopt policies to improve business activities in the country. According to a press release issued here by PIDE, businesses continue to operate in a challenging environment with stagnant production and sales volumes, they remain somewhat optimistic about their future prospects. It said that firms that have performed well in terms of production, sales and exports attrib-

ute their success to strong demand for their products. Meanwhile firms experiencing sluggish business activity have blamed shortage of utility supplies as a major bottleneck hindering their performance. Surprisingly, however, energy shortage is not the top most constraint faced by the firms which may be due to alternative arrangements made by the firms to cope with the energy crisis. Even though firms are optimistic about economic revival majority of firms have no plans to enhance their productive capacity, the report said. Most of the businesses have reported increase in the prices during the first half of the year 2012 and expect them to increase in the second half of the year as well. However, they expect

the inflation to remain in single digits. A slight improvement in the permanent as well as the contractual employment shows little improvement in the labor market. The only significant change is observed in the textile sector where some firms laid off contractual employees. The laying off of contractual employees is consistent with the decline in the production and sales. On the other hand, slight improvement is expected in both the contractual and permanent employment statuses, especially in the sugar industry.Even though almost all the firms have reported to have a policy to increase wages once a year but not every industry is planning to increase wages. This implies that real wages are going to decline.

Saudis set to splash the cash Saudi Arabia to invest up to $1b in Pakistan ISLAMABAD ONLINE

The Chief Executive Officer(CEO) AlQarnain Group Eyad Al-Baaj has said that its group has planned to invest $ 400 million in the first couple of years and would increase this investment over one billion US$ in the coming 5 years. These funds would become part of the Foreign Direct investment in Pakistan. The group is interested to invest in the Energy, Building & Construction, Hotel & Hospitality and Auto Mobile Sector in Pakistan. Eyad Al-Baaj Al-Qarnain Group, of Saudi Arabia and Dr. M. Iqbal called on Chairman Board of Investment, Saleem H. Mandviwalla here on Tuesday to discuss the investment opportunities in various sectors of mutual interests of Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. ‘The AlBaaj Group is coming into joint venture with a Pakistani cement company Dandore. The current capacity of the Dandore Company is 350metric tons which will be enhanced up to 7500metric ton a day after this joint venture’, said by Mr. Eyad Al-Baaj The CEO of Al-Baaj Group further informed that “we are aware of the energy crisis in the Pakistan and our group is interested to construct IPPs with the production capacity of 150-200MW,”.

More money, more time Spain should seek aid, Greece needs more time to pay-IIF BEIJING AGENCIES

Greece should get cheaper rates on its 130 billion euro aid deal and at least two more years from the European Union and International Monetary Fund to repay them, the chief negotiator of the country’s private sector creditors said on Tuesday. But better terms could only come after Athens delivers on commitments it has made to fiscal reform, Charles Dallara, managing director of the Institute of International Finance (IIF), told a news conference while on a trip to Beijing. “Once that has been done, and I am confident it will be done, Europe and the IMF should move quickly to extend the adjustment period for at least two years and provide the modest additional financial support for that extension to be effective,” Dallara said. “Only some 15-20 billion euros is needed.

Pakistan, iMF to re-engage next week Meeting to be held next week in Dubai ISLAMABAD ONLINE

The first round of talks between Pakistan and International Monetary Fund (IMF) will start from September 25 in Dubai where Pakistan’s ability to pay back a remaining debt of approximately $6.4 billion will be reviewed. According to an official, during the week-long talks, an IMF team will arrive in Islamabad to hold policy-level dialogue. A significant part of the parleys will involve meetings with President Asif Ali Zardari and Prime Minister Raja Pervaiz Ashraf. The official said the amount received $1.18 billion in Coalition Support Fund (CSF) from the US had given some

space to the country’s economic trouble shooter to repay installments to the IMF on monthly bases. The official said more foreign inflows were expected in the coming months from other donors especially after improvement in relations with the US as it had also disbursed $280 million for the energy sector last month. The official said the country’s foreign exchange reserves will continue to face pressure due to re-payment of IMF loans in the next more than three years as Pakistan is likely to go to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in fresh loan in current fiscal year 2012-13 to seek loan for the retirement of IMF’s Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) facility. “The economy of the country has

been badly hit by huge government borrowing, power and gas crisis and uncertain political and law and order situation, said an economic expert said. The burden of subsidies along with higher security-related expenditures exerted continuing pressure on the fiscal system and adjustment path was affected. Analysts however remained cautious, especially for the current fiscal year, saying the government may have to negotiate another loan programme with the Fund to ensure smooth repayment of the remaining installments to the IMF. Despite depressive economic situation of the country, the government had paid back total amount of $1.2 billion to International Monetary Fund during last fiscal year 2011-12 from foreign cur-

rency reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). According to the repayment schedule agreed between Pakistan and IMF, Pakistan will repay its obtain $7.6 billion to the IMF till the end of fiscal year 2014-15. The $11.3 billion SBA program had expired on September 30, 2011 and the last two trenches of $3.7 billion could not pay to Pakistan by IMF following Islamabad ’s failure to pursue key reforms as well as the emergence of the revenue figures fiasco. Pakistan had enter into a $11.3 billion programme in 2008 with IMF and got disbursements of about $7.6 billion, but failed to get the remaining $3.7 billion due to slippages in performance criteria, leading to suspension of the programme in May 2010 and was ended unsuccessfully on September 30,2011.


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Dollar takes breather ahead of BoJ policy decision TOKYO AFP

The dollar fell on profit-taking against the yen in Asia Tuesday after posting recent gains on expectations the Japanese central bank will announce a fresh set of monetary easing measures. The greenback had been bought since the Federal Reserve announced Thursday a third round of bond-buying, or quantitative easing (QE3), that stoked speculation the Bank of Japan would follow suit at the end of a two-day meeting Wednesday. The dollar eased to 78.57 yen from 78.70 yen late Monday in New York. While a Fed plan to flood markets with dollars would usually have sent the greenback plunging, the unit was supported by expectations of BoJ loosening as well as warnings from Tokyo of market intervention to weaken the Japanese currency. A poor reading on a key index of manufacturing in New York — the second straight monthly contraction — also kept a cloud over the dollar. The euro bought $1.3109 compared with $1.3114, while trading at 103.00 yen, from 103.22 yen. Masafumi Yamamoto, chief forex strategist at Barclays in Tokyo, told Dow Jones Newswires that the pressure on the dollar may grow if the BoJ refrains from taking additional easing steps at its twoday policy board meeting. Markets in Japan were closed for a public holiday on Monday.

New Honda Civic launch tomorrow

Business 02 Major Gainers COMPANY Rafhan Maize Prod. Atlas BatteryXDXB Unilever Food Shezan Inter. Millat TractorsSPOT

OPEN 4407.00 249.16 3432.45 243.13 518.00

HIGH 4625.00 261.61 3444.00 250.00 525.00

LOW 4625.00 256.00 3444.00 243.13 517.00

CLOSE CHANGE 4625.00 218.00 261.61 12.45 3444.00 11.55 250.00 6.87 521.95 3.95

TURNOVER 20 3,000 60 300 45,800

1024.99 210.59 330.50 294.00 126.00

960.00 210.59 318.25 272.10 125.40

960.02 210.59 321.00 272.10 125.40

-41.98 -11.08 -9.48 -7.90 -6.60

1,750 200 1,300 200 2,700

7.90 24.29 19.88 3.24 6.45

7.20 23.15 18.72 2.91 6.16

7.76 24.29 19.55 3.12 6.32

0.61 1.15 0.60 0.18 0.10

14,754,500 10,101,500 9,681,000 5,794,000 5,759,500

Major Losers Bata (Pak) Limited Sanofi-Aventis Pak Mithchells Fruit Island Textile Shield Corpor

1002.00 221.67 330.48 280.00 132.00

Volume Leaders K.E.S.C. Fatima Fertilizer Co P.T.C.L.A WorldCall Telecom Fauji Cement

7.15 23.14 18.95 2.94 6.22

Interbank Rates US Dollar UK Pound Japanese Yen Euro

KARACHI

H

STAFF REPORT

ONDA introduces the 9th Generation New Civic terming it “The Scent of Success” Honda Atlas Cars (Pakistan) launched the much anticipated new model Civic in press conference held in Lahore on 18th Speaking at the occasion, Chairman Honda Atlas Cars(Pakistan) Ltd , Mr. Yusuf H. Shirazi reiterated his confidence in Pakistan and its economic potential. He underlined that at Honda Atlas quality is an attitude aimed at winning customer acceptance, trust and goodwill, gains being a long term objective. A direct contribution of 19 Billion (1.15% of the total tax collection) to government exchequer by the group in addition to indirect was mentioned. He drew attention towards the inconsistent government policies, pointing out import of used cars which not only fleeced the customers but also retards industrial development. He said that the used cars import fill pockets of a few opportunists against the long term investments made by the automobile industry. He emphasized that Honda is all about accepting

challenges, but let the challenge be fair, even and contributive in nature. Mr. Takeharu Aoki, The President and CEO of the company gave an overview of Honda and its attention to creating technology that is at the forefront of innovations. He spoke about the milestones attained and hardships faced by Honda Atlas Car. Pride of Producing the 200,000th car in July this year, inconsistent government policies and the retarding effect used cars import causes were highlighted. Earlier the new model Civic was introduced by Mr. Ayaz Hafeez, GM Sales & Marketing Enhanced aerodynamics , elegant simplicity of exterior design, and enriched ergonomically designed sophistication of the new interior where explained. The new civic brings with it an armory of innovative features. Intelligent Multi Information Display (i-MID), Steering wheel with audio and cruise control functions, Automatic climate control air conditioning, ECON mode for fuel efficiency, immobilizer with alarm security system and a unique jackknife key with trunk opening function are salient. Industry leading Euro 4 emission standard on all Honda cars and Dual SRS (air bags) on all Civic models are the hallmark of HONDA.

94.5656 153.5840 1.2022 123.6729

Dollar East BUY US Dollar Euro Great Britain Pound Japanese Yen Canadian Dollar Hong Kong Dollar UAE Dirham Saudi Riyal Australian Dollar

94.50 122.43 152.49 1.1901 96.04 11.99 25.61 25.11 97.64

SELL 95.00 123.54 153.83 1.2005 97.39 12.17 25.81 25.26 99.96

Oil prices rebound in Asia on bargain-hunting SINGAPORE: Crude prices rebounded in Asia Tuesday as traders moved in following a plunge in New York, analysts said. New York’s main contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for delivery in October, gained 46 cents to $97.08 a barrel and Brent North Sea crude for November added 31 cents to $114.10. “We’re potentially just seeing a little bit of a bounce based on the fact that the move yesterday was so vicious,” said Jason Hughes, head of premium client management for IG Markets Singapore. “A few speculators probably woke up this morning thinking it looks a lot cheaper than it did yesterday,” he told AFP. WTI sank more than $4 in intraday New York trade Monday before closing $2 below Friday’s closing price, while Brent dived more than $11 during the session before settling $3 lower. AFP

CORPORATE CORNER German Foreign Minister concerned about violent unrest

Rawalpindi: H.E Mr. Alik Orozov, Kyrgyz Ambassador to Pakistan, being warmly received by Mr. Abdul Hayee, Acting General Manager, Pearl Continental Hotel, upon his arrival at the Hotel.

Fuel saving gadget to benefit consumers ISLAMABAD: A private firm has been working on a gadget that will save up to 25 percent fuel consumption and increase horsepower up to 12 percent. This was stated by Shoaib Ashfaq Qureshi, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Lahore-based importers and distributors concern, Future Technologies, which is marketing an innovative equipment with the claim that it helps in saving fuel up to 25 per cent on all vehicles. Giving details about this new gadget, he said the gadget besides fuel consumption will also be very effective for smooth performance of the engine and reduce engine vibration. He said fuel saving percentage varies on the basis of vehicle model and its condition as well as the road and weather conditions. Regarding what needs to be done in Pakistan for effecting fuel saving, he said, many technological innovations require new thinking regarding how to measure and rate vehicle energy efficiencies and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, automobile fuel economy standards have proven to be one of the most effective tools in controlling oil demand and GHG emissions from the transportation sector in many regions and countries around the world.

Syed Raghib Abbas Shah appointed WAPDA Chairman LAHORE: Syed Raghib Abbas Shah has been appointed the Pakistan Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA) Chairman, as the Establishment Division today issued the notification to this effect following approval by the Prime Minister, Raja Pervez Ashraf. Syed Raghib Abbas Shah was serving as WAPDA Member (Water) prior to his elevation to the post of WAPDA Chairman. He joined WAPDA as Junior Engineer (Civil) in 1974 after his graduation in Civil Engineering from NED College, Karachi. Mr. Shah, the 20th WAPDA Chairman, has the diverse experience.

KARACHI: German Foreign Minister Westerwelle has expressed grave concern at the violent unrest which has targeted the German embassy in Khartoum and diplomatic missions in Egypt, Libya, Yemen and a number of other countries in the Muslim world. We appeal to the governments of these countries to provide the diplomatic missions there with comprehensive protection. Diplomats need to be able to carry out their work without fear.

LG companies collaborate on Next Gen Smartphone KARACHI / SEOUL: The next major smartphone from LG Electronics (LG) will be a as significant for the way it was developed as for its performance and specifications. That’s because LG Electronics and its vertically-integrated sister companies LG Chem, LG Display and LG Innotek developed the device together from the start to include each company’s best technology and innovation to set a new standard in the smartphone market. As the first Quad-Core LTE smartphone to utilize Qualcomm’s latest Snapdragon™ S4 Pro APQ8064 processor, LG’s upcoming device will not only offer blazing fast performance but also longer battery life, thinner profile, brighter display and a new touchscreen panel technology as a result of the vertically-integrated development process.

Etihad Airways awaits the arrival of Boeing 787 Dreamliner LAHORE: Etihad Airways, the national airline of the United Arab Emirates, recently announced its plans to take delivery of more 777s and awaits the arrival of the 787 Dreamliner. Last December, Etihad Airways announced it was taking its total order book for the Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner to 41, the first of which arrives in the last quarter of 2014. The order, valued at US $9.3 billion, will make Etihad Airways the largest operator of the aircraft type in the world. The airline owns almost 30 per cent of airberlin, Europe’s sixth largest airline. In March, the two carriers announced plans to strengthen their partnership by integrating their respective Boeing 787 Dreamliner programs. Together, Etihad Airways (41) and airberlin (15) have 56 Dreamliners on order.

ACCA to hold Talent Gymansium 2012 ISLAMABAD: ACCA Islamabad is organising Talent Gymnasium on 20 September 2012 for ACCA Affiliates and professional level students. The event is an exciting opportunity for young professionals

to polish their leadership and interpersonal skills and to network with ACCA’s key employers on an interactive platform. Set against the theme of ‘Ready. Set. Work!’ the gymnasium will feature a rich discussion forum on ‘Getting recruited: what employers look for in employees’, led by industry experts from the telecom, oil and gas, consulting, manufacturing and education sectors.

Warid’s Shandaar Offer KARACHI: [Warid Telecom unveils ‘Shandaar Offer’ in which new Warid prepaid SIM comes with 1000 FREE on-net minutes and 1000 FREE SMS on all networks without any recharge obligations. Moreover upon usage of Rs. 10 daily, subscribers will receive 100 free on-net minutes, 100 free SMS to all networks, and 100MB free data every day. This great offer comes on the footsteps of the recent welcome news that Warid Prepaid SIMs as well as GLOW SIMs are now available for only Rs. 60.

Karachi: The Consul General of the republic of Turkey Mr.Murat M.Onart, hosted a reception to meet the Ambassador Mr.M.Babur Hizlan, and Mrs.Hizlan, at a local hotel. Photo shows acting Consul General of Japan Mr.Masamichi Abe, Turkish Airlines Country Manager Mr.Huseyin Cepni, Ms.T.U.Dawood, and Mr.M.Akram, with host and Chief Guest.

Wednesday, 19 September, 2012


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