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Go short; go long at the same time Page 02
profit.com.pk
Sunday, 29 April, 2012
ON THE FAMILY FRONT
Uncle Sam to spare some cash for his ‘favourite’ nephew US companies to invest millions of dollars in Pakistan in the two years: Salim Ghauri g Uncle needs nephew to be healthy and ‘stable’ for his own interests g
LAHORE
a
NAUMAN TASLEEM
MERICaN business Forum (abF) President Salim Ghauri said that abF member companies will invest millions of dollars in the next two years in Pakistan, subject to political stability. He was extending welcome address to US ambassador Cameron Munter at the 3rd annual Dinner of american business Forum at a local Club. He said the United States of america has a huge stake in Pakistani businesses landscape. They have invested hundreds of millions in Pakistan because they believe in Pakistan’s potential. In the next two years 350 to USD 400million will be invested in Pakistan by abF Member companies, he added. Salim said the abF members are also credited for 15,000 direct and 30,000 indirect employment in the last one year. american businesses are not only the largest source of Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan; they are also the heaviest tax payers, he added. He said as Pakistan continues to pave its way towards a mature, more stable democratic future, 2012 promises to be one of the many critical years in our country’s history. The dynamics building up to and eventually through the elections themselves can prove to be challenging, but I genuinely believe that Pakistan is now mature enough to overcome the difficulties and emerge out the other side even stronger, and best geared for the future,
he stressed. However, said President abF, in order to truly realize the economic potential of the country, the Government needs to take concrete steps towards tax rationalisation, in line with the examples of bRICS and emerging Caucasian countries of Central asia, where corporate & personal income taxes are kept at lower rate to encourage investment and spending. already, he pointed out, the election year would imply an election budget, and a surplus of irrational funds and unnecessary cash flow will be available at this moment. This will only go on to an imbalance in the economy, and ultimately negatively affect our trade deficit. The abF companies will have a great role to play in this phase of Pakistani politics, he added. Salim underlined that members of abF have played an instrumental role in community building as part of their Corporate Social Responsibility efforts – as we are well aware of our role as responsible corporate citizens. In fact, US companies were amongst the first to respond and support people during the tragic 2010 and 2011 floods, which affected more than 20% of the country. Companies like Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and others are the reason why our communities continue to receive short and long term support, in the time of need. Even through abF platform, members have contributed towards construction of houses, which will soon be commissioned in Sindh and handed over to the people affected by flooding.
He said the abF has also signed an MoU with USaID to make abF eligible for economic and humanitarian assistance. Salim said he was invited recently by the State Department to represent Pakistani business community at the Global business Conference in Washington DC. With Hillary Clinton as the chair person and with representatives of more than 120 countries in attendance, it was a great honour and a humbling moment to be recognised at such a forum. It was also a great opportunity to learn about the directions and aims of the international community, looking at business opportunities and evaluating our own standing within international community. President abF also appreciated the US Consul General, Nina Fite and her office for support and cooperation with local business community.
cOMMENT
When headlines don’t help
T
HE recent hijack drama may have been a bad joke gone horribly wrong, but its ramifications are a good example of how sentiment matters. Not only did the carrier and passengers lose in terms of time and money, but subsequent headlines did no favours to our national image in international circles, where investor decisions are crucial to our immediate survival. For the type of investors Islamabad wishes, rather needs, to engage, front-page headlines in The Financial Times and Wall Street Journal hold significant value. and since Pakistan has made for consistently bad press for a prolonged period of time, it is little surprise that investors remain shy. From the habitat of terrorism to a convicted prime minister, institutions at cross purposes, bhoja crash, terror attacks, failing economy, hijack scares – it’s a surprise the economy is functioning at all. Yet the stock market is locked in a stellar bull run, with its occasional retracements of course. How much that reflects sound fundamentals and just how much it exposes weak regulation is another debate, but there’s no denying it’s a high-paying playing field begging for serious investment. The matter of marketing this potential should be given far more serious thought in Islamabad than seems the case. It is unfortunate that media arms of both civil and military institutions have failed to present a truer account of their recent endeavours than the world has been made witness to. The less said about state media the better, true, especially since it refuses to learn from past mistakes, and remains engaged in rubbishing all things opposition instead of building a positive narrative around itself. Truly a place where the more things change, the more they remain the same, musical chairs and all. The need to change course has never been more urgent. an essential pillar of state with little constructive ability is not much good at all.
Oil report seen supporting Iran sanctions WASHINGTON
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REUTERS
lobal oil inventories grew over the last two months despite the loss of further supplies from Iran, according to a U.S. report that gave leeway for the obama administration to press ahead with sanctions on the oPEC nation. The Energy Information administration report, required every 60 days by the Iran sanctions law President barack obama signed in December, gave a mostly positive assessment of global oil supplies, which typically build at this time of year. World oil and motor fuel supplies exceeded demand by 500,000 barrels per day in March and april, the EIa said, allowing consumer countries to build cushions against any potential losses from U.S. and EU measures
against Tehran. Inventories were helped by strong production from Saudi arabia, which pumped 9.8 million barrels per day, about 900,000 bpd more than it did in March and april a year ago, it said. “The report provides that comfort level that (the administration) can continue toward implementation of the sanctions without fear that the market is poised to go crazy for them,” said David Pumphrey, fellow at Center for Strategic and International Studies and former Energy Department official. The sanctions aim to choke funding to Tehran’s nuclear program by slowing transactions between oil-consuming countries and the Central bank of Iran. The West contends Iran is trying to build a nuclear weapon, while Tehran says the program is strictly for civilian purposes. POTENTIAL SPR TAP: The supply picture was not entirely sunny. The report said
Iranian oil output has already been hit by sanctions, and that several non-oPEC crude disruptions worsened in March and april. The disruptions add to worries the global oil market could tighten as - outside of Saudi arabia - it lacks significant production capacity. They also support the possibility the administration could tap emergency oil stock piles to cool down high fuel prices. Republicans have slammed obama over high gasoline prices that have hurt consumers as they struggle with a fragile economic recovery ahead of the November 6 election. The U.S. sanctions and a pending EU embargo on Iranian oil have already trimmed the oPEC member’s oil output by 400,000 barrels per day compared with a year ago, the report said. “EIa believes that Iran’s total liquids production capability has been declining due to its inability to carry out investment projects,” necessary to offset natural oil well decline rates, it
said. In addition, Canadian oil supply problems and ongoing disruptions from Sudan, South Sudan, Syria, and Yemen compounded worries that petroleum markets could tighten ahead of the June 28 deadline, when obama is allowed to sanction foreign banks over oil-related transactions with the Central bank of Iran. but the White House is unlikely to slow the process ahead of talks in Iraq late next month between Iran and six major powers to settle the nuclear dispute, backers of the sanctions said. “The last thing the administration would do ahead of baghdad talks would be to show any sign that they are not full steam ahead on oil market sanctions,” said Mark Dubowitz, the head of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a lobbying group for tough Iran sanctions. The administration has said it is considering all options to combat high gasoline prices, including a release of crude from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve. “Nothing in today’s report undercuts the administration’s stated motivations for drawing reserves,” said Kevin book, an analyst at ClearView Energy Partners in Washington.