climate change in Iraq

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Climate change in southern Iraq

Terrifying results

ASİYE
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YILMAZ ADKİNSON

Iraq population

Agriculture constitutes about 4% of the country’s GDP and is responsible for about 20% of the mostly rural labour market.

Due to the impact of climate change, water scarcity and increased armed conflict, agricultural production has declined by about 40% since 2014. According to the World Bank , but over the following three years it fell to just 20%.Government estimates indicate that climate change has also caused the loss of 75% of livestock, such as sheep, goats , buffalo and fish .

Water resource in Iraq

Iraq’s water security is based on two declining rivers the Tigris and Euphrates as well as rain fall and a little groundwater reduced

(USAID 2017)
precipitation and increasing water scarcity will likely have serious
Iraq consumes over 63% of its water resources on agriculture without filling its domestic need for crops and often depends on imported food.
This means water wastage does not correspond to what would logically be high levels of productivity
.

The World Resources Institute’s water stress index places Iraq at 3.7 points out of a possible 5 (5 indicating the highest level of water scarcity)

By
2040, this will rise to 4.6, meaning consequences including complete drought, scorching sun and a toxic environment

Shortage of water

Death of buffalo

Iraq loses approximately 15 % of its water reserves annually to evaporation, a very high rate compared to other nations. Lake Tharthar, , loses more than 50% of its stored water, the Marshes region, the largest natural body of water and wetland in the Middle East, loses approximately 75m3 per second , the loss of 4.5 billion cubic metres of water due to evaporation and global warming in summer 2017 alone. It is as if Iraq were a scorching cauldron, angrily boiling away the water.

high salinity and the outbreak of water-borne diseases in 145 regions. Before this instance of mass migration, another displacement of 20,000 people from agricultural settlements was recorded in 2012. Moreover, UNESCO confirms that more than 100,000 people in northern Iraq were displaced from their villages due to severe water shortages between 2005 and 2009.

Climate change in Iraq – Rainfall

Decreased rainfall is one of the important factors that lead to the emergence and intensification of desertification. Higher temperatures, reduced soil water, reduced soil moisture, and soil erosion in some areas due to their density and increased wind speed (IPCC, 2007)

RainIraq.webp

Climate change in Iraq–Dust storms

These changes will increase massive dust storms as a result of losing soil moisture and vegetation cover, and , expected to be more severe as time passes and will lead to more destruction of physical and chemical characteristic of the soil in Iraq's arable and non-arable

According to the United Nations report, it indicates that the Iraqi Ministry of Environment has recorded 122 dust storms and 283 dusty days in 2012 and it estimates that this will increase to 300 dusty days per year in the next ten years.

Problem of water resources

The water sector in Iraq at the moment is suffering from problems, these problems includes among other things the wasteful use of water, use of old and traditional irrigation practices, illiteracy of farmers and their lack of modern technical skills, to control water

Euphrates River annual flow could suffer a reduction of (29 – 73) %, (Kitoh et al., 2008) Further strain is put on these resources by the continued pollution and salinization of the two rivers due to increasing use of fertilizers and discharge of industry effluence and domestic waste and sewerage without enough treatment

Suggest to solve problems

Iraq role to combat challenges of water is limited, one of the elements of this plan is
to introduce radical changes to all water and soil management .
sorting out the better quality lands for cultivation and crop production while the other lower quality lands should be set aside for afforestation.
 Converting all the irrigation projects to the use of modern methods by changing to closed irrigation systems, drip irrigation and sprinklers especially in the north of the country
 Stop the current waste of this limited resource not only in the agricultural sector but in the domestic and sanitation sectors .
Stabilization of sand dunes, creating wide and extensive green zones around cities, large scale afforestation using trees and with high tolerance to moisture deficiency, and by applying modern practices in conserving water and soil resources.
It also requires the cooperation of neighboring countries performing similar actions.

Iraq’s ranking on the Environmental Performance Index (EPI) Efficiency Standard2 is 116th out of 180 countries.

 The funding ($2.5 million from the Green Climate Fund) is hugely inadequate relative to the scale of the environmental crisis facing Iraq

2021 none

achieved.

the plan’s goals

of
have been
Iraq is ranked the fifth most vulnerable country worldwide to water scarcity, food poverty and high temperatures, according to UNEP

The Ministry of Iraqi Environment

Climate change will lead to the destruction of the environment, making it unlivable over the next two decades due to increases in temperature; lack of rainfall, lack of surface and underground water ; increased drought desertification; soil erosion; and loss of biodiversity.

This will lead to a decline in agricultural area and the destruction of food security chains

Methane

The International Energy Agency (IEA) reporting that Iraq accounts for 8% of global methane emission as a result of oil and gas investment.

Clouds of methane are often present in Iraq’s atmosphere due to the unclean extraction of petroleum.

In July 2021, Kayrros, to track emissions, revealed that a western Basra field was releasing methane at 73 tons per hour

Possibility of poisoning drinking

water, as 140,000 people were poisoned in the city of Basra in the summer of 2018. In addition to the outbreak of thousands of fires annually , it has been officially recorded so far in 2021 about 14,715 fires.

Impact of high temperature

Iraq will warm over the coming years at a rate of two degrees Celsius higher than the rate of global warming estimated at 1.5 ° according to the frightening report published by the IPCC.

The excessive temperatures in Iraq, often exceeding 53 degrees Celsius in summer (particularly in the southern oil-producing regions) are decimating crops and buffalo, destroying the ecological diversity of the marshes and raising the toxicity levels of drinking water – There are also thousands of fires every year with 14,715 fires registered in 2021

The drought has damaged us severely. With temperatures exceeding

50°Celsius, the plants

and

trees have been exposed to such strong sunlight that their outer layers have been dried out and burned.

Today, they are on the verge of losing it forever. Due to increased salinity and temperature increases, large numbers of buffalo have already died. According to the latest government estimates, the buffalo population has decreased from 1.2 million to less than 200,000.

The buffalo, a huge wild animal, is one of the most important assets of the marsh dwellers.

Climate change – salinity

The salinity rate in various parts of the Iraqi marshes has reached 12,600 parts per million, a “dangerous level of deadly pollution as a result of drought”, which has led to “a large migration of local populations from the central marshes, and the buffalo is now at risk of extinction”, according to Dr Jasem Al-Asadi, a consultant for Nature Iraq.

Dangerous of high temperature ?!

The temperature increase in Iraq in the coming years will be at a rate of two degrees Celsius, which is higher than the estimated global temperature rise of 1.5 degrees, according to the terrifying report issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Temperatures in Iraq often exceed 53 degrees Celsius in summer, especially in the southern oil-producing regions, causing the destruction of crops and buffaloes, and killing the ecological diversity in the waters of the marshes.

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