Station traders come out of the gate hot in 2013 By Dave Seyler
Michael Savage
In this issue... Michael Savage’s Radio Renaissance
Relevant, unpredictable, witty & wise
Charting a new course for Joe’s Crab Shack: Ignite Restaurant Group CMO Robin Ahearn
Top trends for TV in 2013 What to expect this year amidst constant change
P.P.M. means Poor Pathetic Measurement
Only in radio would an industry invent PPM
In Case of Emergency
What your station needs to know now—before it’s too late
There can be no doubt about it - the wheelers and dealers in the broadcast sector are out and they’re spending a lot more than they were during the first two months of 2012. This despite the fact that volume of stations sold on the radio side is essentially unchanged. However, action on the television side is up significantly. During the first two months of 2012, 108 radio stations changed hands, along with 11 television outlets (five full-power, three Class A and three LPTV). Total spending for the whole kit and caboodle came in at $87.8M. The value of the deals in January 2013 alone was greater than that, and January’s total value was more than a third less than that traded in February. In all, about $417.4M in value has been booked during the first two months of 2013. Observant watchers of the station trading market may be thinking that the 2013 total is inflated by spin-offs from Cox Media Group, and they would be right - as Don Rickles might say, this group of observant watchers wins a cookie! However, Cox sold about $100M worth of radio stations to two buyers and another $100M in television stations to one buyer, leaving JanuaryFebruary 2013 total value still at about two and a half times that of 2012.
Driving the improvement
Media Venture Partners broker Elliott Evers explained three of the factors that have been injecting life into the station trading arena. “Radio: Trading in radio has picked up, as sellers (whether controlled by a lender, or an equity
sponsor) have come to accept that the current market for cash-flowing, cohesive radio clusters is settling in around six times trailing cash flow. The Triad deal was done below this figure, and portions of the Cox deal were done slightly above it, but deals in the radio industry work well at this multiple, so buyers are showing renewed interest in the sector. We see this continuing through 2013 and 2014. “TV: Trading in the television sector for cash-flowing assets has been robust: Barrington, Granite, Cox, and others have been selling, and Sinclair, Nexstar and others have been buying. Multiples for sellers are at, or sometimes, Elliott Evers above, eight times, but buyers are comfortable at this level, due to the fact that they can either take advantage of the duopoly rules and consolidate operations, or take advantage of existing retrains deals and thereby lower the post-closing multiple to five or six times. Activity in the TV sector has been further fueled by very accommodating capital markets. We see this continuing throughout 2013 and into 2014. “The TV trading environment has been boosted even more by deals done with a view towards tendering the stations in the FCC’s spectrum auctions, tentatively set for 2014 (although likely to be postponed). Over $300M in deals have been done with this investment thesis as the primary motivation. This phenomenon has also had a meaningful
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