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France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts Published on August 2011
Report Summary Network sharing among telcos speeds up FttH to rural FranceBuddeComm's quarterly publication, France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media markets in one of Europe's key markets for telecom services and innovation. The report includes the regulator's market data to March 2011 as well as operator data to June 2011. France's large telecom market has represented about 2.3% of GDP since 2000. Efficiencies by cost-conscious operators have meant that the number of employees in the telecoms sector has fallen steadily in recent years, to some 120,000 by mid-2011. Revenue from the fixed market has been propped up by the broadband sector while fixed-telephony continues to suffer from a combination of price competition and the migration to VoIP and mobile-only solutions. For the next decade telecoms strategies and regulatory policies will largely be guided by the government's Digital Plan 2012, which includes measures to fill the gap in broadband coverage, increase broadband penetration, license frequencies for 3G use, stimulate the deployment of DTTV, and allocate digital dividend spectrum for mobile broadband. Investment in the telecom sector has recovered from the dip in 2009, and is expected to reach some '6.6 billion in 2011. Fixed operators' investments have risen slowly since 2003, and now account for just under two-thirds of total investment, with the bulk of spending going to broadband access networks. Fixed-line investments are particularly strong in the fibre sector where Free (Iliad), France Telecom and SFR are deploying FttH networks in a growing number of cities. Infrastructure sharing based on regulatory models adopted in 2010, as well as public funding, is enabling fibre players to expand their networks deeper into rural areas, and so help achieve the government's broadband ambitions for 2020. A '1 billion investment has been also been made in Digital TV (DTV), where the Ile de France recently became the latest zone to switch from analogue broadcasts, affecting some 12 million people. In the mobile sector, Free Mobile secured a roaming deal with Orange which will provide it with national coverage when the service in launched in early 2012. The move will provide a welcome addition to the country's competing triopoly of players, and propel Free as a serious contender in the market for quad-play services. Free Mobile is also committed to host MVNOs, a market which has shown steady growth during the last few years, and which by mid-2011 accounted for almost 10% of all mobile subscribers. Growth in the MVNO subscriber base is about five times as high as that for MNOs. In the broadband sector, France is among the key markets for providing universal access and for deploying an NGN. With four main fibre players (including NumĂŠricable, which relies on fibre backhaul for its cable infrastructure), France is among the most competitive markets globally, with the result that consumers enjoy some of the cheapest prices for bundled packages in Europe. Nevertheless, the number of FttH subscribers, at about 160,000 in mid-2011, is relatively low in proportion of the number of households passed with fibre. This has strengthened the case for operators to share infrastructure and so reduce the cost of rolling out networks. Key telecom parameters ' 2010; 2012 Sector | 2010 | 2012 (e) | Broadband: | Fixed broadband subscribers (million) | 21.1 | 22.8 | Fixed broadband penetration rate | 31% | 36% | | Fixed-line telephony (million) | 40.2 | 40.79 | Mobile phone (million) | 65.1 | 68.5 | Mobile penetration (population) | 101% | 112% | (Source: BuddeComm) Market Highlights The award to Free Mobile of the fourth 3G licence will introduce a powerful competitor to the established MNOs from 2012. The
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>> Get this Report Now by email! operator is required to cover at least 90% of the population by 2018, which it can do following a roaming agreement with Orange. With the extension of existing 3G licences to 2019 conditions have become more favourable for further investment in networks and technologies.LTE trials have continued apace, with all MNOs having secured technology partners. Spectrum in the 2.1GHz band, awarded in 2010, will complement those in the 800MHz and 2.6GHz bands which have been assigned for mobile broadband services. The government aims to raise up to '2.5 billion from spectrum sales.Although the number of FttH subscribers remains low compared to the number of passed homes, this is expected to change rapidly given the low consumer cost of fibre-based services and the plethora of new services which can be accommodated in coming years.FT's revised four-year financial strategy, Conquests 2015, focuses on investing in networks and markets and identifying new sources of growth. The company is concentrating in markets where it is a dominant player while consolidating its position in African and Middle Eastern markets. This strategy has led to a withdrawal from the Austria, Portugal and Switzerland markets.This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in France. It provides further information on: Market liberalisation and regulatory issues; The impact of the global economic crisis; Telecoms operators ' privatisation, acquisitions, new licences; Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards in 2010; 3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE; Broadband migration to an FttH architecture; Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;ARPU statistics and forecasts.Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
Table of Content
1. Key Statistics 2. Telecommunications Market 2.1 Overview of France's telecom market 3. Regulatory Environment 3.1 History 3.1.1 Revised NFR 3.2 National legal framework 3.3 France NumErique 2012 3.4 Regulatory authority 3.4.1 Communications and Postal Regulatory Authority (ARCEP) 3.5 Telecom sector liberalisation in France 3.5.1 Privatisation of France Telecom 3.5.2 Interconnect 3.5.3 Access 3.5.4 Number portability (NP) 3.5.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS) 4. Fixed Network Operators 4.1 Market overview 4.2 Fixed-line statistics 4.3 France Telecom 4.3.1 Into 2011
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>> Get this Report Now by email! 4.3.2 Difficulties ahead 4.3.3 International strategies 4.3.4 2015 Action Plan 4.3.5 Rebranding 4.4 SFR 4.4.1 Acquisition of neuf Cegetel 4.4.2 Buyout of Vodafone 4.5 Free (Iliad) 5. Telecommunications Infrastructure 5.1 National telecom network 5.2 Next Generation Networks (NGNs) 5.3 International infrastructure 5.3.1 Submarine cable networks 5.3.2 Satellite networks 5.3.3 Wholesaling 6. Broadband Market 6.1 Overview 6.1.1 Local Loop Unbundling (LLU) 6.1.2 Wholesale access 6.1.3 Bitstream access 6.1.4 Regulatory issues 6.1.5 Leased line market 6.2 Broadband statistics 6.3 Cable modems 6.3.1 Cable network agreements 6.3.2 Cable consolidation 6.3.3 NumĂŠricable 6.4 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) 6.4.1 Providers 6.4.2 ADSL2+ 6.4.3 READSL2 6.4.4 Very High Data Rate Digital Subscriber Line (VDSL) 6.4.5 Symmetric Digital Subscriber Lines (SDSL) 6.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL) 6.6 Fibre market 6.6.1 Overview 6.6.2 Regulatory issues 6.6.3 Regional support 6.6.4 Local authorities 6.7 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks 6.7.1 Statistics 6.7.2 Orange 6.7.3 Iliad (Free) 6.7.4 SFR 6.7.5 NumĂŠricable 6.7.6 Bouygues Telecom 6.7.7 Municipal drive ' Paris 6.7.8 Other municipal projects
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>> Get this Report Now by email! 6.7.9 The Pau Project 6.7.10 Fibre network sharing 6.8 Wireless broadband 6.8.1 Wireless Local Loop (WLL) 6.8.2 WiMAX players 6.8.3 WLAN/WiFi 6.8.4 Free 6.8.5 Public Analogue Mobile Radio (PAMR) 6.8.6 Internet via satellite 6.8.7 Mobile broadband 7. Digital Media 7.1 Digital Media Overview 7.1.1 Key general trends 7.1.2 Business models 7.1.3 Regulator issues 7.2 Digital TV 7.2.1 Overview 7.2.2 Broadband TV (IPTV) 7.2.3 Video-on-Demand (VoD) 7.2.4 VoIP 7.2.5 Interactive TV (iTV) 7.2.6 Cable TV (CATV) 7.2.7 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments 7.2.8 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV) 7.2.9 Free-to-Air (FTA) 8. Mobile Communications 8.1 Overview of France's mobile market 8.1.1 Mobile statistics 8.1.2 Operator market shares 8.2 Regulatory issues 8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions 8.2.2 Mobile termination rates (MTR) 8.2.3 SMS interconnection 8.2.4 Roaming 8.2.5 Mobile Number Portability (MNP) 8.2.6 Fixed-Mobile Convergence (FMC) 8.3 Major mobile operators 8.3.1 Orange 8.3.2 SFR 8.3.3 Free Mobile 8.3.4 Bouygues Telecom 8.3.5 MVNOs 8.4 Mobile voice services 8.4.1 Prepaid 8.5 Mobile data services market 8.5.1 Overview 8.5.2 Mobile technologies 8.5.3 Mobile Messaging
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>> Get this Report Now by email! 8.5.4 Mobile data services 8.5.5 Mobile content and applications 9. Forecasts 9.1 Forecasts ' broadband subscribers ' 2009 - 2012; 2020 9.1.1 Scenario 1 ' higher growth broadband subscriber growth 9.1.2 Scenario 2 ' lower broadband subscriber growth 9.2 Forecasts ' mobile ARPU ' 2009-2015 9.3 Forecasts ' UMTS subscribers to 2015 9.4 Forecasts ' Mobile TV subscribers to 2015 9.5 Notes on scenario forecasts 10. Glossary of Abbreviations Table 1 ' Country statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 2 ' Telecom revenue and investment statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 3 ' Telephone network statistics ' March 2011 Table 4 ' Internet user statistics ' March 2011 Table 5 ' Broadband statistics ' March 2011 Table 6 ' Mobile statistics ' 2011 (e) Table 7 ' National telecommunications authorities Table 8 ' Telecom service investment ' 2002 - 2012 Table 9 ' Telecom service investment annual change ' 2003 - 2012 Table 10 ' Telecom service operators declared ' 2010 Table 11 ' End-user traffic volume in minutes by sector ' 2002 - 2011 Table 12 ' End-user traffic growth by sector ' 2002 - 2010 Table 13 ' Average monthly bill, by service ' 2007 - 2011 Table 14 ' Proportion of fixed lines by technology ' 2004 - 2011 Table 15 ' Telecom end-user revenue ' 2002 - 2012 Table 16 ' Proportion of telecom revenue by sector ' 2002 - 2010 Table 17 ' End-user telecom market value by sector ' 2003 - 2011 Table 18 ' End-user telecom market value annual change ' 2003 - 2011 Table 19 ' Fixed lines subscriptions by type ' 2003 - 2010 Table 20 ' Fixed-call termination charges ' 2008 - 2013 Table 21 ' Interconnect revenue ' 2007 - 2011 Table 22 ' Interconnect revenue quarterly change ' 2010 - 2011 Table 23 ' Interconnect volume ' 2007 - 2011 Table 24 ' Interconnect volume quarterly change ' 2010 - 2011 Table 25 ' LLU, shared access price ' connection, monthly rental ' 2006 - 2009 Table 26 ' Access lines, LLU and bitstream (regulator data) ' 2007 - 2011 Table 27 ' Fixed numbers ported annually ' 2006 - 2010 Table 28 ' Indirect connections ' 2005 - 2011 Table 29 ' Annual change in carrier preselection usage ' 2002 - 2011 Table 30 ' Fixed-line revenue (outbound) ' 2004 - 2011 Table 31 ' Fixed-line traffic in minutes ' 2004 - 2011 Table 32 ' France Telecom customers by sector (France) ' 2006 - 2011 Table 33 ' France Telecom PSTN lines ' 2007 - 2011 Table 34 ' France Telecom Group financial data by sector ' 2008 - 2011 Table 35 ' France Telecom (domestic) financial data ' 2007 - 2011 Table 36 ' France Telecom retail and wholesale lines ' 2006 - 2011 Table 37 ' SFR subscribers ' 2006 - 2011
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>> Get this Report Now by email! Table 38 ' SFR financial data ' 2005 - 2011 Table 39 ' neuf Cegetel financial data (historic) ' 2006 - 2007 Table 40 ' neuf Cegetel subscribers (historic) ' 2006 - 2008 Table 41 ' Free financial data ' 2006 ' 2011 Table 42 ' Free DSL, LLU subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 43 ' France Telecom wholesale broadband lines ' 2005 - 2011 Table 44 ' Internet users and penetration rate ' 1995 - 2012 Table 45 ' Percentage of households with Internet access ' 1997 - 2012 Table 46 ' Average Internet user monthly bill: dial-up and broadband ' 2004 - 2010 Table 47 ' Access lines, LLU and bitstream (regulator data) ' 2007 - 2011 Table 48 ' Bitstream lines ' 2007 - 2011 Table 49 ' Internet revenue by access type ' 1998 - 2011 Table 50 ' Dial-up Internet subscribers ' 2005 - 2012 Table 51 ' Dial-up Internet traffic ' 2005 - 2012 Table 52 ' Broadband subscribers by type and penetration ' 2000 - 2011 Table 53 ' Broadband penetration ' 2000 - 2012 Table 54 ' Broadband penetration by technology ' 2007 - 2012 Table 55 ' Broadband subscribers by type ' incumbent or other provider ' 2006 - 2009 Table 56 ' Cable modem subscribers ' 2000 - 2012 Table 57 ' Numéricable subscribers by type ' 2007 - 2010 Table 58 ' Numéricable Completel financial data ' 2008 - 2009 Table 59 ' DSL subscribers ' 2000 - 2012 Table 60 ' Orange DSL subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 61 ' Free financial data and annual change ' 2006 - 2011 Table 62 ' Free DSL subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 63 ' Free proportion unbundled subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 64 ' SFR broadband subscribers ' 2004 - 2010 Table 65 ' SFR revenue ' 2005 - 2011 Table 66 ' SFR broadband revenue ' 2010 - 2011 Table 67 ' FttH/FttC subscribers ' 2008 ' 2011 Table 68 ' FttH equipped and passed buildings ' 2008 - 2011 Table 69 ' Orange fibre subscribers ' 2006 - 2011 Table 70 ' Free projections - Paris fibre ' 2006; 2008; 2010; 2012; 2014 Table 71 ' Fibre network sharing subscriptions and homes passed ' 2009 - 2011 Table 72 ' WiMAX licences by operator ' 2009 - 2010 Table 73 ' Orange satellite broadband subscribers ' 2008 - 2011 Table 74 ' Orange mobile broadband subscribers ' 2004 - 2011 Table 75 ' IPTV subscribers, proportion of DSL base ' 2004 - 2012 Table 76 ' Orange IPTV/satellite subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 77 ' Free DSL subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 78 ' VoD market value ' 2008 - 2012 Table 79 ' VoIP lines and traffic in minutes ' 2004 - 2012 Table 80 ' VoIP traffic as proportion to all traffic ' 2004 - 2012 Table 81 ' France Telecom VoIP and Livebox subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 82 ' Cable pay TV subscribers and penetration ' 1997 ' 2011; 2015 Table 83 ' Satellite pay TV subscribers and penetration ' 1997 ' 2011; 2015 Table 84 ' Canal+ Group revenue ' 2005 - 2011 Table 85 ' Canal + France subscribers ' 2006 - 2011
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>> Get this Report Now by email! Table 86 ' Orange pay-TV subscribers ' 2007 - 2011 Table 87 ' Mobile sector investment ' 2007 - 2012 Table 88 ' Total mobile revenue by prepaid and contract sectors ' 2006 - 2011 Table 89 ' Average monthly bill, ARPU - 2006 - 2011 Table 90 ' Mobile network operators, subscribers and annual change ' March 2011 Table 91 ' Mobile subscribers (national) and penetration rate ' 1999 - 2012 Table 92 ' Mobile services revenue (voice) and traffic in minutes ' 1998 - 2011 Table 93 ' Data as proportion of mobile service revenue ' 2004 - 2012 Table 94 ' Mobile voice traffic in minutes ' 2006 - 2011 Table 95 ' Mobile operator market share ' 2005 - 2010 Table 96 ' Mobile termination charges ' 2005 - 2013 Table 97 ' Mobile interconnection revenue ' 2003 - 2011 Table 98 ' European roaming charges ' 2007 - 2011 Table 99 ' Mobile roaming in revenue and traffic in minutes ' 2003 - 2011 Table 100 ' Annual mobile numbers ported ' 2004 ' 2011 Table 101 ' Orange mobile subscribers (France) ' 2005 - 2011 Table 102 ' Orange voice and data ARPU (Q4) ' 2005 ' 2011 Table 103 ' Orange blended, contract, prepaid ARPU (Q4) ' 2005 - 2011 Table 104 ' Orange mobile consumer revenue ' 2005 - 2011 Table 105 ' Orange mobile customer churn ' 2003 - 2011 Table 106 ' Orange mobile customer acquisition costs ' 2007 - 2011 Table 107 ' SFR mobile annualised ARPU ' 2005 - 2011 Table 108 ' SFR mobile revenue ' 2004 - 2011 Table 109 ' SFR subscribers ' 2006 - 2011 Table 110 ' Bouygues Telecom subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Table 111 ' Bouygues Telecom financial data ' 2005 - 2011 Table 112 ' MNO and MVNO subscribers (metropolitan) ' 2005 - 2011 Table 113 ' MVNO market share (metropolitan) ' 2005 - 2011 Table 114 ' Prepaid and contract subscribers (national) ' 2005 ' 2011 Table 115 ' Percentage of prepaid versus contract subscribers ' 1999 - 2011 Table 116 ' Data market revenue ' 2002 - 2012 Table 117 ' Data as proportion of mobile service revenue ' 2004 ' 2012 Table 118 ' Mobile services revenues annual change ' Q1 2010 ' Q1 2011 Table 119 ' Mobile services revenues by sector ' 2007 - 2011 Table 120 ' 3G coverage and base stations ' Feb 2011 Table 121 ' Active 3G subscribers and annual change ' 2007 - 2012 Table 122 ' Annual growth of active 3G subscribers ' 2007 - 2011 Table 123 ' SMS traffic volume (national) ' 2004 - 2012 Table 124 ' Annual SMS volume ' 2003 - 2013 Table 125 ' SMS user market growth (national) ' 2002 - 2010 Table 126 ' Mobile multimedia users (metropolitan) ' 2004 ' 2011 Table 127 ' Annual MMS volume ' 2000 - 2012 Table 128 ' Orange mobile broadband subscribers ' 2004 - 2011 Table 129 ' Orange data revenue as % of total ' 2005 - 2011 Table 130 ' Forecast broadband subscribers ' higher market growth scenario ' 2007 - 2012; 2020 Table 131 ' Forecast broadband penetration ' higher market growth scenario ' 2007 - 2012; 2020 Table 132 ' Forecast broadband subscribers ' lower market growth scenario ' 2007 - 2012; 2020 Table 133 ' Forecast broadband penetration ' lower market growth scenario ' 2007 - 2012; 2020
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>> Get this Report Now by email! Table 134 ' Forecast mobile ARPU ' 2005 - 2015 Table 135 ' Forecast UMTS subscriber growth ' 2010 - 2015 Table 136 ' Forecast mobile TV subscribers ' 2010 - 2015 Chart 1 ' Telecom service investment ' 2002 ' 2012 Chart 2 ' End-user traffic volume in minutes by sector ' 2002 ' 2011 Chart 3 ' Average monthly bill, by service ' 2007 ' 2011 Chart 4 ' Proportion of fixed lines by technology ' 2004 ' 2011 Chart 5 ' End-user telecom market value by sector ' 2003 ' 2011 Chart 6 ' Fixed lines subscriptions by type ' 2003 ' 2010 Chart 7 ' Indirect connections ' 2006 - 2011 Chart 8 ' France Telecom customers by sector (France) ' 2006 ' 2011 Chart 9 ' France Telecom Group financial data ' 2008 ' 2011 Chart 10 ' France Telecom (domestic) financial data ' 2007 ' 2011 Chart 11 ' France Telecom retail and wholesale lines ' 2006 ' 2011 Chart 12 ' SFR subscribers ' 2006 - 2011 Chart 13 ' SFR financial data ' 2005 - 2011 Chart 14 ' Free financial data ' 2006 ' 2011 Chart 15 ' France Telecom wholesale broadband lines ' 2005 ' 2011 Chart 16 ' Internet users and penetration rate ' 2000 ' 2012 Chart 17 ' Average Internet user monthly bill: dial-up and broadband ' 2005 - 2010 Chart 18 ' Broadband subscribers by type and penetration ' 2000 ' 2011 Chart 19 ' Free financial data and annual change ' 2006 ' 2011 Chart 20 ' FttH/FttC subscribers ' 2008 - 2011 Chart 21 ' FttH equipped and passed buildings ' 2008 - 2011 Chart 22 - Orange fibre subscribers ' 2006 - 2011 Chart 23 ' IPTV subscribers, proportion of DSL base ' 2004 ' 2012 Chart 24 ' VoIP lines and traffic in minutes ' 2004 - 2012 Chart 25 ' France Telecom VoIP and Livebox subscribers ' 2005 - 2011 Chart 26 ' Cable pay TV subscribers and penetration ' 1997 ' 2011; 2015 Chart 27 ' Satellite pay TV subscribers and penetration ' 1997 ' 2011; 2015 Chart 28 ' Total mobile revenue by prepaid and contract sectors ' 2006 ' 2011 Chart 29 ' Average monthly bill and ARPU - 2006 ' 2011 Chart 30 ' Mobile subscribers (national) and penetration rate ' 1999 ' 2012 Chart 31 ' Mobile services revenue (voice) and traffic in minutes ' 1998 ' 2011 Chart 32 ' Mobile voice traffic in minutes ' 2006 ' 2011 Chart 33 ' Mobile operator market share ' 2005 ' 2010 Chart 34 ' Mobile termination charges ' 2005 - 2013 Chart 35 ' Mobile roaming in revenue and traffic in minutes ' 2003 - 2011 Chart 36 ' Orange mobile subscribers (France) ' 2005 ' 2011 Chart 37 ' Orange voice and data ARPU (Q4) ' 2005 ' 2011 Chart 38 ' Orange blended, contract, prepaid ARPU ' 2005 ' 2011 Chart 39 ' Orange mobile customer acquisition costs ' 2007 - 2011 Chart 40 ' SFR revenue ' 2005 - 2011 Chart 41 ' SFR subscribers ' 2006 - 2011 Chart 42 ' Bouygues Telecom financial data ' 2005 ' 2011 Chart 43 ' MNO, MVNO subscribers (metropolitan) ' 2005 - 2011 Chart 44 ' Prepaid and contract subscribers (national) ' 2005 ' 2010 Chart 45 ' Percentage of prepaid versus contract subscribers ' 2001 - 2011
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>> Get this Report Now by email! Chart 46' Data market revenue ' 2002 ' 2012 Chart 47 ' Active 3G subscribers and annual change ' 2007 - 2012 Chart 48 ' Quarterly SMS traffic volume; SMS/user/month (national) ' 2004 - 2012 Chart 49 ' Mobile multimedia users (metropolitan) ' 2004 ' 2011 Chart 50 ' Forecast mobile TV subscribers ' 2010 - 2015 Exhibit 1 ' EU ' The New Regulatory Framework (NRF) Exhibit 2 ' Access and the local loop Exhibit 3 ' Principal FttH and FttC (FttLA) deployments - 2011 Exhibit 4 ' Overview of digital media Exhibit 5 ' 3G licensees Exhibit 6 ' Operating MVNOs launch dates and network provider ' 2001 - 2011
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