Forex Report Monday 22 April 2013

DAILY FOREX REPORT RESEARCH VIA 4/22/2013

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9977785000

MARKET HEADLINES

ďƒ˜ Rupee extends gains after exports hit $300 billion in 2012-13 The rupee extended gains on Thursday after the government said exports had hit $300 billion for the fiscal year ended in March, which was higher than some estimates.

India's exports for 2012/13 stood at $300.6 billion, marking a 1.76 per cent decline from the previous fiscal year, the trade ministry said in a statement.

The rupee was trading at 54.12/13 as of 0600 GMT versus around 54.18/19 before the data. It had closed at 54.21/22 on Wednesday.

ďƒ˜ Yuan ends weaker on PBOC guidance, market debates on widening trading band China's central bank guided the yuan lower against the dollar on Thursday after setting record-high midpoints in the previous four sessions, amid market speculation it may widen the band within which the currency is traded.

On Thursday, the central bank fixed its official midpoint at 6.2416 versus the dollar from an all-time high of 6.2342 on Wednesday.

Spot yuan ended at 6.1813, down from 6.1723 at the close on Wednesday, its highest level since China established the domestic foreign exchange market in 1994.

Sterling firm but vulnerable if UK retail sales data disappoints Sterling rose against a weaker dollar on Thursday, although its rise could run out of steam if British retail sales data disappoints, painting another bleak picture for the economy.

Sterling was up 0.2 per cent on the day at $1.5260, partially recovering from Wednesday's sharp drop when it was hurt by a rise in the jobless rate. Resistance is cited at its 55-day moving average of $1.5271 with offers to sell the pound layered above $1.5300, traders said.

DAILY MARKET STATISTICS CURRENCY

EXPIRY

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

70.8000

70.8000

70.4175

70.5850

70.8000

70.8000

71.2150

71.2150

70.8400

70.9825

71.2150

71.2150

71.4275

71.5800

71.2000

71.3000

71.4275

71.5800

82.6450

82.7475

82.1750

82.4850

82.6450

82.7475

83.1225

83.1225

82.6100

82.9000

83.1225

83.1225

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

87.8075

0.0000

0.0000

55.1100

55.4400

54.8900

54.9425

55.1100

55.4400

55.6400

55.7775

55.2175

55.2825

55.6400

55.7775

54.1950

54.2750

53.9500

54.0350

54.1950

54.2750

54.6675

54.6875

54.2500

54.3075

54.6675

54.6875

RBI REFERENCE RATE (As on 18TH April 2013) UNDERLYING

RATE

USDINR

54.0298

EURINR

70.4933

GBPINR

82.4306

JPYINR

55.1400

USDINR DAILY ANALYSIS

PIVOT POINTS  S1-53.9017  S2-53.7683  PP-54.0883  R1-54.2217  R2-54.4083

EURINR DAILY ANALYSIS

PIVOT POINTS  S1- 70.4033  S2-70.2217  PP-70.6017  R1-70.7833  R2-70.9817

GBPINR DAILY ANALYSIS

PIVOT POINTS

 S1- 82.1950  S2-81.9050  PP-82.4650  R1-82.7550  R2-83.0250

JPYINR DAILY ANALYSIS

PIVOT POINTS

 S1- 54.7417  S2- 54.5408  PP-55.0908  R1- 55.2917  R2- 55.6408

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