Rural News 30 January 2024

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SOUTHERN FIELD DAYS

MACHINERY & PRODUCTS

NEWS

Excitement builds for this year’s Southern Field Days.

Something for everyone at East Coast Farming Expo.

ODH collapse ‘not a surprise’. PAGE 6

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PAGE 26

TO ALL FARMERS, FOR ALL FARMERS JANUARY 30, 2024: ISSUE 793

www.ruralnews.co.nz

Double whammy! PETER BURKE peterb@ruralnews.co.nz

A LEADING accountant and agribusiness advisor says the present downturn in the rural sector is like no other he’s seen in his nearly 60 years in the business. Pita Alexander says there have been eleven financial downcycles since 1948, but this is the worst. He says a feature of downturns is that either prices fall, or costs go up. But this time, it’s unique because both have happened at the same time and that’s a problem for the country – especially sheep farmers, with the present low prices for lamb. “It’s effectively a scissors movement which has gripped the ag sector,” he told Rural News. And he adds, it is not clear when the situation will improve for the sheep industry. He says the downturn for the dairy industry appears to have

bottomed out with the milksolids price improving, but he believes that dairy farmers need a farmgate milk price of $9/kgMS. “But while the situation is on the improve for the dairy sector, it is not the case for the sheep sector,” he says. “They need to be getting $120 for a lamb – not the $85 they are currently getting.” The big problem for any sector, says Alexander, is the second year of

a downturn. He says farmers are resilient and can withstand one bad year, but when this stretches out another year, that’s when things get difficult – especially for people with significant debt. “The problem now is that NZ is caught up with China, which has been taking 32% of our exports, but it is now having economic problems of its own,” he says. Alexander says some people say

that we have become too dependent on China, but at the time China offered the best prices for our agricultural produce and companies can’t be blamed for making the most of the opportunities in that market. He says there is no point in blaming China as they have served NZ well for over 15 years and may still come back into the market. He says they have their own economic problems and that is impact-

ing on NZ. Other commentators have suggested that China may take another year or two to come right. Alexander suggests that South Asia should be our target, stating that there are 40 million people there, many of whom can afford to pay for good quality, healthy food. He says NZ won’t do much trade with India as its people eat little meat and it has the largest number of dairy cows in the world.

Tender and ready! Tasman Harvesters pictured harvesting around 20ha of peas on Richard and Sandy Osborne’s Hatherley Farm, just north of Feilding, last week. Around 4000ha of peas are harvested annually in the Central North Island mainly for freezing at McCains processing plant in Hastings. To find the best time for harvest, peas are carefully monitored and measured as to whether they are tender and ready to harvest. Once the correct maturity is achieved, there is a window of 24 hours for optimum harvest. – PHOTO MARK DANIEL

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