QUAR TER LY SURVEY OF U TAH RES IDEN T S 2020 - QU ART ER 1
The Salt Lake Chamber recognizes the link between public leadership and business well-being. On behalf of the Salt Lake Chamber, Dan Jones & Associates surveys likely voters and asks questions about the direction of our country and state, presidential and gubernatorial leadership, voter preferences for major races, and other timely issues important to the future of the state. The survey, which will be known as Utah Outlook, is conducted quarterly and includes likely voters. A companion survey, the Salt Lake Chamber’s CEOutlook, queries toplevel business executives from a representative mix of industries about current and future economic conditions. Together, the Utah Outlook and CEOutlook help Utah business and community leaders make informed business decisions.
METHODOLOGY Dan Jones & Associates conducted a phone survey regarding the upcoming 2020 Utah Gubernatorial Primary and General elections, as well as other issues. The target audience was registered voters who are likely to vote in the upcoming Primary and General elections. The survey was in field from February 28th through March 11th, 2020. Calls were administered to both landline and cellphone numbers, as well as through an online panel. With a final sample size of 798, the margin of error was +/-3.47% at a confidence interval of 95%. To ensure adequate representation of Utah voters, quotas were set by both county and age, proportional to the Utah Voter Registration list.
How interested are you in the 2020 General Election? Please use a 0 to 10 scale with 0 meaning “not at all interested” and 10 meaning “very interested.”
Not at all Interested 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Very Interested 10
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
19%
13%
68%
Are you planning to vote in the 2020 General Election on November 3, 2020?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Likely
94%
Likely
6%
Unlikely
0%
RIGHT DIRECTION / WRONG DIRECTION Do you think the United States is going in the right or wrong direction?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Right Direction
48%
Wrong Direction
42%
Don’t Know
10%
Do you think Utah as a state is going in the right or wrong direction?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Right Direction
63%
Wrong Direction
25%
Don’t Know
12%
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 2020 - Quarter 1
3
FAVORABILITY/RE-ELECTABILITY I’ll read you a list of names…For each one, first tell me if you have heard of the person and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person:
Single-select
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Not Very Favorable
Not at all Favorable
Heard of, No Opinion
Never Heard of
President Donald Trump
37%
19%
8%
35%
1%
0%
Senator Mike Lee
28%
26%
11%
18%
11%
6%
Senator Mitt Romney
28%
28%
16%
26%
2%
0%
Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.
27%
39%
12%
9%
9%
5%
Governor Gary Herbert
34%
30%
14%
10%
8%
3%
Lt. Governor Spencer Cox
25%
29%
8%
5%
16%
18%
Congressman Rob Bishop
13%
27%
13%
11%
15%
21%
Congressman Chris Stewart
17%
21%
7%
12%
18%
24%
Congressman John Curtis
12%
23%
7%
5%
22%
31%
Congressman Ben McAdams
14%
31%
15%
13%
13%
14%
Former Speaker Greg Hughes
8%
17%
11%
12%
20%
33%
Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson
11%
24%
11%
6%
24%
25%
Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall
9%
20%
8%
5%
31%
28%
Councilwoman Aimee Winder Newton
4%
14%
3%
2%
21%
56%
Former Repub. Chair Thomas Wright
5%
11%
5%
4%
21%
54%
Entrepreneur Jeff Burningham
4%
13%
6%
3%
22%
52%
Businesswoman Jan Garbett
1%
6%
4%
2%
17%
71%
Congressman Chris Stewart
24%
20%
5%
18%
18%
14%
Congressman John Curtis
19%
28%
8%
3%
18%
23%
Congressman Ben McAdams
24%
39%
10%
13%
8%
5%
Congressional Districts
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the Utah’s Federal Congressional Delegation?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Favorable
9%
Somewhat Favorable
38%
Not Very Favorable
19%
Not at all Favorable
5%
Don’t Know
29%
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 4
Utah Outlook: Quarterly Survey of Utah Residents
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the Utah State Legislature?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Favorable
10%
Somewhat Favorable
44%
Not Very Favorable
23%
Not at all Favorable
11%
Don’t Know
12%
I’ll read you a list of names…For each one, tell me if they have performed well enough that they should be re-elected to another term, or is it time to give someone new a chance to serve?
Single-select
Should be re-elected "to another term
Time to give someone new a chance to serve
Don’t Know
President Donald Trump
52%
45%
3%
Senator Mitt Romeny
49%
48%
3%
Senator Mike Lee
49%
40%
10%
Congressional Districts Congressman Chris Stewart
44%
40%
16%
Congressman John Curtis
51%
17%
32%
Congressman Ben McAdams
62%
32%
6%
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 2020 - Quarter 1
5
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY Are you planning to vote in the 2020 Presidential Primary Election on March 3, 2020?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
446
Yes, I already voted
50%
Yes, I am planning to
35%
No
15%
*Asked before March 4, 2020.
Did you vote in the 2020 Presidential Primary Election on March 3, 2020?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
352
Yes
68%
No
32%
*Asked before March 4, 2020.
For whom did you vote?
Single-select
Total
Republican
Unaffiliated
Democrat
(number responding)
220
14
44
162
Bernie Sanders
37%
29%
36%
38%
Joe Biden
19%
43%
11%
19%
Elizabeth Warren
18%
0%
16%
20%
Michael Bloomberg
12%
14%
14%
12%
Pete Buttigieg
9%
7%
11%
9%
Amy Klobuchar
5%
7%
11%
3%
*”Yes” respondents only of previous two questions. **Note: Republican ballot is not included above since President Trump didn’t have a strong opponent.
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 6
Utah Outlook: Quarterly Survey of Utah Residents
STATE PRIMARY ELECTION Are you planning to vote in the 2020 State Primary Election on June 30, 2020?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Likely
68%
Likely
20%
Unlikely
5%
Not at all Likely
4%
Don’t Know
3%
For whom will you most likely vote in the race for governor?
Open-ended
Total
Don't Know
412 (mentions)
Jon Huntsman, Jr.
130
Spencer Cox
121
Greg Hughes
23
Jeff Burningham
22
Gary Herbert
19
Democrat
12
Republican
10
Thomas Wright
10
Aimee Winder Newton
6
Mitt Romney
5
To vote by mail in the Republican Primary Election, you must request a Republican ballot. The County Clerk’s Office will send a letter in May asking if you would like to receive a Republican or Democratic ballot for the June primary. Will you request a Republican ballot, knowing it will register you as a Republican?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
279
Yes
31%
No
57%
Prefer not to Answer
11%
*Unaffiliated voters only.
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 2020 - Quarter 1
7
GUBERNATORIAL RACE If the 2020 Primary Election for governor of Utah were held today and the candidates were the following, for whom would you likely vote?
Single-select
Total
All Voters
Very Likely/Likely Primary Voters
Republican
Unaffiliated
Republican +/- 5.33%
Unaffiliated +/- 6.53%
(number responding)
798
367
279
338
225
Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.
34%
27%
40%
27%
39%
Lt. Governor Spencer Cox
23%
30%
19%
30%
19%
Former Speaker Greg Hughes
7%
12%
4%
12%
3%
Former Repub. Chair Thomas Wright
3%
6%
0%
7%
0%
Salt Lake County Councilwoman Aimee Winder Newton
3%
4%
2%
4%
3%
Entrepreneur Jeff Burningham
7%
6%
9%
6%
8%
Businesswoman Jan Garbett
2%
2%
3%
1%
4%
The Democratic nominee
3%
0%
3%
0%
3%
17%
15%
20%
14%
21%
Don’t know
Jan Garbett is the only Republican candidate who has expressed opposition to Donald Trump. Does that make you more or less likely to support her?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Likely
19%
Likely
20%
Unlikely
13%
Not at all Likely
34%
Don’t Know
13%
Now, assume the field of candidates for governor is narrowed to two. For whom would you likely vote for if the candidates were the following?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.
54%
Lt. Governor Spencer Cox
46%
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 8
Utah Outlook: Quarterly Survey of Utah Residents
ISSUES In your opinion, what are the top one or two issues facing the country?
Open-ended
Total
Health Care
182 (mentions)
Immigration
149
Economy
117
National Debt/Spending
71
Climate Change
59
Coronavirus
53
President Donald Trump
49
In your opinion, what are the top one or two issues facing the state of Utah?
Open-ended
Total
Growth/Infrastructure/Housing/Population
248 (mentions)
Education
171
Air Quality/Climate Change/Pollution/Environment
139
Taxes/Tax Reform
102
Economy
67
Health Care
56
Housing
54
Church and State/LDS Church
53
I will read some issues currently facing the state of Utah. For each issue, please rate it using a 1-5 scale, with ONE meaning it is AT THE BOTTOM of your priority list and FIVE meaning it is AT THE TOP of your priority list.
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798 1 (bottom)
2
3
4
5 (top)
Increasing funding for education
8%
7%
17%
24%
44%
Promoting economic development and job creation
4%
9%
25%
28%
34%
Addressing air quality
7%
9%
22%
25%
37%
Addressing homelessness in Utah
6%
14%
30%
27%
23%
Alleviating traffic congestion
8%
12%
34%
24%
22%
Increasing funding for roads, highways and freeways
7%
14%
40%
21%
18%
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 2020 - Quarter 1
9
INLAND PORT How would you rate your understanding of the Inland Port in the area west of the Salt Lake International Airport?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Well
6%
Fairly Well
14%
Somewhat
25%
Slightly
20%
Not at All
34%
Do you support or oppose development of an Inland Port in the area west of the Salt Lake International Airport?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Strongly Support
17%
Somewhat Support
31%
Somewhat Oppose
11%
Strongly Oppose
11%
Don’t Know
31%
Source: Dan Jones & Associates 10
Utah Outlook: Quarterly Survey of Utah Residents
FUTURE WINTER OLYMPIC GAMES Do you support or oppose Salt Lake City seeking to host a future Winter Olympic Games?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Strongly Support
53%
Somewhat Support
30%
Somewhat Oppose
6%
Strongly Oppose
8%
Don’t Know
3%
IMMIGRATION Generally speaking, how do you think current immigration policy has affected Utah?
Single-select
Total
(number responding)
798
Very Positive
7%
Somewhat Positive
32%
Somewhat Negative
35%
Very Negative
14%
Don’t Know
12%
2020 - Quarter 1
11