Utah Outlook 2020 - Quarter 2

QUAR TER LY SURVEY OF U TAH RES IDEN T S 2020 - QU ART ER 2

The Salt Lake Chamber recognizes the link between public leadership and business well-being. On behalf of the Salt Lake Chamber, Dan Jones & Associates surveys likely voters and asks questions about the direction of our country and state, presidential and gubernatorial leadership, voter preferences for major races, and other timely issues important to the future of the state. The survey, known as Utah Outlook, is conducted quarterly and includes likely voters.

A companion survey, the Salt Lake Chamber’s CEOutlook, queries top-level business executives from a representative mix of industries about current and future economic conditions. Together, the Utah Outlook and CEOutlook help Utah business and community leaders make informed business decisions.

METHODOLOGY Dan Jones & Associates conducted a phone survey on the upcoming elections from June 1–10, 2020, with an average of 134 completes per night.

The quantitative survey called registered voters in Utah who are likely to vote in the upcoming primary elections. Calls were administered to both landline and cellphone numbers. With a final sample size of 1,207, the margin of error was +/-2.82% at a confidence interval of 95%, with the exception for specific questions noted. To ensure adequate representation of Utah voters, quotas were managed by age and county and weighted by political affiliation.

Are you planning to vote in the 2020 Primary Election on June 30, 2020?

Total 1,207

(number responding) Very Likely

76%

Likely

20%

Unlikely

4%

With which political party are you registered?

Total (number responding)

1,207

Republican

46%

Democrat

13%

Unaffiliated voter

37%

Other

4%

A closed primary means that a voter must be registered as a party member in order to participate in that party’s primary.

Will you register as a Republican in order to participate in the closed Republican Primary Election?

Total (number responding)

205

Yes

17%

No

76%

Prefer not to answer

7%

*Democrats and other voters.

To vote in the Republican Primary Election, you must request a Republican ballot. The County Clerk’s Office sent a letter asking if you would like to receive a Republican or Democratic ballot for the June primary. Will you request a Republican ballot, knowing it will register you as a Republican?

Total (number responding)

447

Yes

19%

No

72%

Prefer not to answer

9%

*Unaffiliated voters.

Source: Dan Jones & Associates 2020 - Quarter 2

3

FAVORABILITY Now, I’ll read you a list of names…For each one, first tell me if you have heard of the person and, if so, whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person Very Favorable

Somewhat Favorable

Not Very Favorable

Not at all Favorable

Heard of, No Opinion

Never Heard of

President Donald Trump

28%

16%

11%

42%

4%

0%

Senator Mike Lee

18%

27%

12%

15%

15%

12%

Senator Mitt Romney

26%

35%

13%

19%

6%

0%

Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.

26%

37%

11%

7%

12%

8%

Governor Gary Herbert

30%

36%

13%

8%

9%

3%

Lt. Governor Spencer Cox

23%

30%

9%

7%

19%

13%

Former Speaker Greg Hughes

6%

17%

8%

15%

21%

34%

Former Repub. Chair Thomas Wright

4%

17%

7%

5%

23%

44%

GUBERNATORIAL RACE In the Primary Election race for governor, for whom would you likely vote?

Total

Republican

Unaffiliated+Democrat+Other

676

555

121

+/- 3.77%

+/- 4.16%

+/- 8.91%

Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.

35%

35%

40%

Lt. Governor Spencer Cox

31%

33%

25%

Former Speaker Greg Hughes

10%

10%

10%

5%

5%

6%

18%

17%

19%

(number responding) Margin of error

Former Repub. Chair Thomas Wright Don’t know

*Republicans and voters who will register as a Republican.

Source: Dan Jones & Associates 4

Utah Outlook: Quarterly Survey of Utah Residents

STATE PRIMARY ELECTION You mentioned that you had not yet decided for whom to vote. Do you lean toward one candidate over the other?

Total (number responding)

191

Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.

11%

Lt. Governor Spencer Cox

5%

Former Speaker Greg Hughes

0%

Former Repub. Chair Thomas Wright

0%

University of Utah Professor Chris Peterson

4%

Don’t know

79%

*All voters who “Don’t know.”

By which method did you/will you submit your ballot?

Total 1,207

(number responding) Through the mail

62%

At a drop box

17%

At a drive-up location on Election Day

18%

Don’t know

3%

CORONAVIRUS Which candidate for governor would you trust most to lead the state through economic impacts of the current coronavirus crisis?

Total (number responding)

779

Former Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr.

37%

Lt. Governor Spencer Cox

24%

Former Speaker Greg Hughes

6%

Former Republican Party Chair Thomas Wright

3%

The Democratic nominee/University of Utah Professor Chris Peterson Don’t know

9% 20%

*All voters (asked starting June 3).

Source: Dan Jones & Associates 2020 - Quarter 2

5