This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis & Analyst Recommendations Eurostoxx 50 Index - SX5E Index September 2012
Q M S Advisors .
.
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Index Analysis - Financial Statements Name: SLI SWISS LEADER INDEX View
Currency: CHF Current CY 2012
Number of Member Stocks: 30 30.12.2011 31.12.2010 CY1 2011
CY1 2010
31.12.2009
31.12.2008
31.12.2007
29.12.2006
30.12.2005
31.12.2004
CY1 2009
CY1 2008
CY1 2007
CY1 2006
CY1 2005
CY1 2004
31.12.2003
31.12.2002
31.12.2001
29.12.2000
31.12.1999
31.12.1998
31.12.1997
31.12.1996
29.12.1995
30.12.1994
31.12.1993
31.12.1992
CY1 2003
CY1 2002
CY1 2001
CY1 2000
CY1 1999
CY1 1998
CY1 1997
CY1 1996
CY1 1995
CY1 1994
CY1 1993
CY1 1992
Index Summary Income Statement 49.8 36.8 51.1 57.3 721.5 31.8 128.5
62.92 120.52 119.58 126.38 1906.17 22.7593 344.7
66.94 246.97 237.65 246.97 3485.57 108.525 626.62
23.7 192.45 190.9 214.07 3235.49 115.7297 605.11
4.67 130.69 140.74 141.65 1877.49 5.2533 310.04
94.58
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Book Value Per Share Enterprise Value Per Share Net Debt Per Share
569.8 1760.5 218.5
2256.82 8190 5966.83
2256.82 8190 5966.83
2087.4 8979.21 5496.08
2153.91 7640.74 5117.82
Cash Flow Cash Flow Per Share Free Cash Flow Per Share
206.0 169.0
101.47 -34.58
30.77 -195.75
257.45 36.24
175.64 47.86
Price Ratios Price/EPS P/E Before XO Diluted P/E Cont Ops Price/EPS Positive Price/Book Price/Sales Price/Cash Flow Dividend Yield Price/EBITDA
19.8 26.8 19.3 17.2 1.7 1.4 4.8 3.2 7.7
11.3082 11.3082 11.7518 11.3082 1.2375 0.8013 90.7571 3.8859 4.457
11.3082 11.3082 11.7518 11.3082 1.2375 0.8013 90.7571 3.8859 4.457
15.4066 15.4066 15.5312 13.8504 1.4204 0.9164 11.5166 3.9032 4.8998
10.3113 10.3113 8.6643 9.4549 1.0755 0.6392 5.39 5.094 3.7728
Market Data Last Price Volume Index Market Cap Total Market Cap Free Float Market Cap Average Market Cap
985.6 97453968 360558.2 8.79051E+11 786296.3125 29301.7
876.66 16242538992 342032.44 810940.13 719334.88 27031.34
1017.26 15768470760 407267.94 887932.69 775596.75 29597.76
1003.34 18240397242 323058.19 882548.5 807643.81 29418.28
789.67 25416338804 247895.07 723139.69 678381.5 24104.66
1296.41 9816948244 417766.27 1107557.5 1039621.38 36918.58
1313.44 0 0 0 0 0
1070.22 0 0 0 0 0
795.5 0 0 0 0 0
756.88 0 0 0 0 0
623.19 0 0 0 0 0
876.64 0 0 0 0 0
1116.81 0 0 0 0 0
1000 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
49.8 36.8 51.1 57.3 721.5 31.8 31.8 31.8 128.5 30334539.4
62.92 59.94 63.92 64.02 682.92 29.9825 29.98 29.98 138.43 28.46
66.94 67.41 70.07 67.61 687.24 25.6438 25.64 25.64 141.76 31.79
23.7 23.7 27.13 52.98 682.41 19.564 19.56 19.56 114.28 27.58
4.67 4.67 10.79 73.82 921.73 26.8883 26.89 26.89 265.63 63.58
94.58 94.58 82.6 94.58 857.4 27.3566 27.36 27.36 276.02 29.88
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Asset Fields Cash & Equivalents Per Share Current Assets Total Assets
868.7 301.2 6625.4
757.72 280.37 6303.49
456.47 296.2 5202.39
625.85 328.45 4693.08
620.21 779.61 7563.06
494.73 409.72 6012.55
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
Liability Fields Current Liabilities Total Debt Net Debt Per Share Total Liabilities Total Shareholders' Equity
218.9 1570.4 218.5 6017.1 608.3
194.76 1440.89 294.15 5713.29 590.2
202.86 1350.93 561.97 4704.62 497.77
207.15 1190.6 247.93 4229.97 463.11
540.13 2292.63 782.06 6797.45 765.61
266.35 1656.43 510.69 5496.31 516.24
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
Reference Items Book Value Per Share Enterprise Value Per Share Retained Earnings Capital Expenditures Goodwill
569.8 1760.5 367.3 -30.6 156.4
549.13 1708.65 351.02 -26.69 158.17
461.58 1807.08 289.62 -26.78 151.35
416.55 1609.37 265.98 -32.49 123.46
475.42 2831.78 133.19 -69.99 232.82
480.86 2782.25 358.22 -33.76 131.7
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
169.0 -70879676.8 66683670.0
130.79 -87.17 -221.31
94.47 -33.81 -194.53
177.36 -296.87 -158.94
45.46 -314.49
-163.83 271.35
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Price/EPS P/E Before XO Diluted P/E Cont Ops Price/EPS Positive Price/Book Price/Sales Price/Cash Flow Dividend Yield Dividend Yield - Gross Dividend Yield - Net Price/EBITDA Total Debt to Total Equity Total Debt to Total Assets Sales Per Employee Current Ratio EV/T12M Sales EV/T12M EBITDA Net Debt to EBITDA
19.8 26.8 19.3 17.2 1.7 #N/A Field Not Applicable 4.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 7.7 258.2 23.7 567116.1 1.4 2.4 13.7 1.7
13.934 14.6262 13.7139 13.6935 1.5965 1.2837 11.8607 3.4201 3.42 3.42 6.3329 244.14 22.86 602251.69 1.44 2.502 12.3431 2.12
15.1971 15.0895 14.5183 15.047 2.2038 1.4802 9.8504 2.5209 2.52 2.52 7.1759 271.39 25.97 523225.09 1.46 2.6295 12.7474 3.96
42.3357 42.3357 36.9768 18.9381 2.4087 1.4703 3.5695 1.9499 1.95 1.95 8.7797 257.09 25.37 550140.5 1.59 2.3583 14.0827 2.17
169.0826 169.0826 73.1902 10.6968 1.661 0.8567 2.1848 3.405 3.41 3.41 2.9729 299.45 30.31 704718 1.44 3.0722 10.6608 2.94
13.7077 13.7077 15.6945 13.7077 2.696 1.512 0 2.1102 2.11 2.11 4.6968 320.86 27.55 662885.94 1.54 3.245 10.0799 1.85
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gross Margin Operating Margin Profit Margin EBITDA Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital
50.2 14.8 7.5 17.8 5.8 19.1 11.4
54.5 17.55 13.99 20.27 8.85 28.82 14.78
55.44 18.37 14.01 20.63 7.45 35.29 12.31
56.92 11.2 9.58 16.75 7.46 15.53 12.6
56.65 13.01 9.14 28.82 8.57 12.75 14.61
52.13 18.56 15.35 32.19 9.44 25.1 17.83
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
985.6 97453968.0 360558.2 879051000000.0 786296.3 29301.7
876.66 16242538992 342032.44 810940.13 719334.88 27031.34
1017.26 15768470760 407267.94 887932.69 775596.75 29597.76
1003.34 18240397242 323058.19 882548.5 807643.81 29418.28
789.67 25416338804 247895.07 723139.69 678381.5 24104.66
1296.41 9816948244 417766.27 1107557.5 1039621.38 36918.58
1313.44 0 0 0 0 0
1070.22 0 0 0 0 0
795.5 0 0 0 0 0
623.19 0 0 0 0 0
876.64 0 0 0 0 0
1116.81 0 0 0 0 0
1000 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Per Share EPS Before XO Diluted EPS from Continuing Ops EPS Positive Sales Per Share Dividends Per Share EBITDA Per Share
Balance Sheet
Income Statement Earnings Per Share EPS Before XO Diluted EPS from Continuing Ops EPS Positive Sales Per Share Dividends Per Share Dividends Per Share - Gross Dividends Per Share - Net EBITDA Per Share R&D Expenditures
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Per Share Cash from Financing Activities Cash from Investing Activities
0 0
Ratio Analysis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Profitability 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Market Data Last Price Volume Index Market Cap Total Market Cap Free Float Market Cap Average Market Cap
756.88 0 0 0 0 0
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Valuation Measures I/II Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data Market Total Capitalization (in mio Daily Common Total Debt Preferred Currency USD) Volume (M) Shares (M) (USD) Stock (USD)
Minority Interest (USD)
Total Revenue Cash and Enterprise Equivalents Value (USD) (USD)
Tot. Rev. LFY
Est. Tot. Rev. - Tr. 12M
EBITDA
Earnings Per Share
Est. Tot. Est. Tot. Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA Rev. - 2013 Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY Tr. 12M 2013 2014 EPS - LFY
Price/Earnings ratio
Est. EPS Tr. 12M
Est. EPS 2013
Est. EPS 2014
P/E Ratio LFY
Est. P/E Ratio - Tr. 12M
Rev. Growth
EBITDA Growth
Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. P/E Est. P/E Revenue Revenue Est. EBITDA EBITDA Est. EBITDA Ratio - 2013 Ratio - 2014 Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Margin -
S&P LT Credit Rating -
S&P LT Credit Rating Date
Moody's LT Credit Moody's LT Credit Rating Rating Date
S&P 500 INDEX
USD
13501320
1959.859
1088
1088
201
209
209
98.32
103.52
103.52
14.85
14.85
14.10
14.10
19.05
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
EUR
2450446
10657.55
4587
4587
751
775
775
156.10
302.30
302.30
27.20
14.54
14.05
14.05
20.73
NIKKEI 225
JPY
2206653
179.5987
230
230
23
25
25
5.19
8.07
8.07
0.29
0.23
0.18
0.18
0.14
FTSE 100 INDEX
GBP
2624070
13741.02
9488
9488
1553
1647
1647
719.78
827.32
827.32
21.21
20.04
18.45
18.45
26.02
SWISS MARKET INDEX
CHF
888093
10957.14
3947
3947
804
787
787
384.76
515.53
515.53
19.45
19.16
14.52
14.52
22.21
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
CAD
1687438
19167.86
7808
7808
1962
1968
1968
829.66
848.64
848.64
15.50
15.50
15.15
15.15
25.44
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
AUD
1228533
8059.649
2896
2896
636
713
713
273.62
349.86
349.86
17.31
14.70
13.54
13.54
23.52
HANG SENG INDEX
HKD
1550090
2367.591
1452
1452
341
357
357
255.24
244.73
244.73
1.35
1.46
1.41
1.41
3.09
MSCI EM
USD
7362430
1352.449
964
964
179
183
183
80.15
89.14
89.14
12.56
13.07
11.29
11.29
18.90
AIR LIQUIDE SA
EUR
39763
218
311
9
0
0
2
47.85
18652
19190
19815
21318
-
6.05
6.54
6.77
7.49
25.14
26.39
24.30
21.95
9.27
31.80
A
02.07.2007
-
-
ALLIANZ SE-REG
EUR
55187
631
452
37
0
3
14
80.99
112739
116829
124207
127817
-
-
-
-
7.20
9.59
14.32
15.45
16.31
16.57
10.92
10.12
-3.39
-
-
-
-
AA
27.01.2012
Aa3
03.05.2004
ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV NV
EUR
139244
446
1598
52
0
5
7
231.31
50375
50694
51569
58800
19736
19719
5060
5060
4.83
5.73
5.94
6.51
25.18
25.19
24.29
22.15
9.77
19.09
14.33
31.29
50.54
A
01.05.2012
A3
27.03.2012
ARCELORMITTAL
EUR
24186
4584
1549
33
0
5
5
64.51
121240
118493
114292
119104
12770
11515
2148
2148
1.62
0.53
1.27
2.28
48.74
57.34
20.31
11.30
26.37
6.72
30.33
0.11
13.59
BB+
02.08.2012
Baa3
20.05.2009
ASML HOLDING NV
EUR
26209
889
414
1
0
0
4
23.68
7291
6643
6275
7267
2331
1987
478
478
4.41
3.78
3.47
4.26
18.06
18.17
19.67
16.00
32.72
60.06
37.20
17.46
41.24
-
-
Baa2
11.11.2010
ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI
EUR
23440
2815
1541
28
0
3
33
29.35
94803
96239
97522
100474
-
-
-
-
1.51
0.73
1.47
1.78
26.56
-
13.26
10.92
-20.14
-7.16
-
-
-
07.06.2012
Baa2
17.07.2012
AXA SA
EUR
37393
1851
2374
22
8
3
40
30.74
126866
130915
124007
125655
-
-
-
-
1.46
0.98
2.38
2.55
20.79
27.56
8.60
8.01
-20.97
2.99
-
-
-
A
27.01.2012
A2
19.03.2003
BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTA
EUR
44655
17172
4948
283
#VALUE!
2
74
#VALUE!
46567
26864
28724
29866
-
-
-
-
1.16
0.56
0.50
0.99
19.22
12.94
21.22
10.78
14.35
8.43
-
-
-
BBB+
30.04.2012
Baa3 *-
25.06.2012
BANCO SANTANDER SA
EUR
78541
17351
9570
547
0
8
191
#VALUE!
100644
57448
58078
60517
-
-
-
-
1.03
0.48
0.62
0.92
21.37
11.40
16.64
11.10
16.92
13.45
-
-
-
A-
30.04.2012
(P)Baa2 *-
25.06.2012
BASF SE
EUR
79714
1072
918
17
0
2
3
96.19
94823
97724
98985
101682
15295
16319
3567
3567
8.28
7.42
7.03
7.79
15.09
15.14
15.91
14.37
19.44
9.55
-0.52
3.97
20.81
A+
10.05.2011
A1
17.11.2010
BAYER AG-REG
EUR
72389
1160
827
15
0
0
6
82.68
47127
49147
50203
52519
11564
12231
2307
2307
6.91
4.04
6.90
7.56
27.97
15.45
16.36
14.95
5.29
5.96
0.91
15.89
31.66
A-
30.04.2008
A3
17.07.2006
BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
EUR
48814
740
656
88
0
0
15
122.36
88790
93396
95071
98519
15043
-
2584
2584
9.59
8.84
9.76
9.96
11.11
11.11
10.06
9.86
17.80
7.86
36.53
1.35
21.86
A
16.04.2012
A2
22.07.2011
BNP PARIBAS
EUR
63107
1790
1198
1452
9
13
139
#VALUE!
92 K
91 K
50 K
52 K
-
-
-
-
9.03
6.22
7.07
7.12
10.44
8.46
9.19
9.12
-3.26
-2.94
-
-
-
AA-
23.01.2012
A2
21.06.2012
CARREFOUR SA
EUR
15163
696
674
21
0
1
6
29.67
103800
103367
103873
106141
5024
3363
-
-
-0.97
-2.03
1.67
1.84
-
-
17.24
15.61
1.16
0.13
-14.32
1.48
6.24
BBB
15.03.2012
(P)Baa2
15.03.2012
COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN
EUR
20161
1147
526
14
0
1
4
33.36
54336
55259
55918
57501
6482
6341
-
-
3.39
2.50
3.32
3.91
19.57
18.07
14.75
12.52
6.42
0.22
6.44
0.53
15.39
BBB
24.07.2009
Baa2
31.07.2009
CRH PLC
EUR
14303
442
728
6
0
0
2
19.64
23327
23872
24458
25391
2136
2129
1442
1442
0.98
1.11
1.03
1.21
22.93
34.36
24.75
21.04
6.82
-2.80
3.36
-10.24
11.82
BBB+
17.12.2007
-
-
DAIMLER AG-REGISTERED SHARES
EUR
54572
2200
1066
93
0
2
14
145.51
137453
143682
143097
149597
15761
15986
-
-
6.81
6.98
6.58
7.39
9.45
9.45
10.03
8.92
11.59
6.79
21.24
-8.91
14.79
A-
23.02.2012
A3
01.10.2007
DANONE
EUR
41157
382
606
12
0
0
3
50.17
24923
25887
26922
29022
4497
4548
-
-
3.62
3.63
3.97
4.35
22.73
22.81
20.80
18.98
17.51
13.20
11.79
13.93
23.28
A-
25.07.2007
A3
06.11.2007
DEUTSCHE BANK AG-REGISTERED
EUR
39010
2669
905
367
0
2
230
#VALUE!
67940
63587
41477
43061
-
-
-
-
7.07
4.05
4.79
5.94
13.37
9.40
11.31
9.11
18.20
-12.86
-
-
-
A+
25.01.2012
A2
21.06.2012
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG-REG
EUR
55462
4670
4321
62
0
6
8
116.37
75672
75335
74967
73890
26064
24890
5962
5962
0.64
0.18
0.80
0.83
91.67
86.12
20.64
19.90
-7.79
-1.90
18.02
5.54
44.44
BBB+
19.05.2008
Baa1
22.12.2011
E.ON AG
EUR
48947
2632
1905
39
0
5
9
87.87
145728
161667
143846
144172
14424
5847
2859
2859
1.76
-0.01
2.80
2.33
-
20.10
11.29
13.56
27.91
17.13
-18.11
7.54
12.77
A-
27.07.2012
A3
05.10.2011
ENEL SPA
EUR
36323
19696
9403
84
0
20
9
135.80
100081
103668
97681
98944
22188
21311
-
-
0.57
0.47
0.47
0.47
10.70
-
10.56
10.64
10.10
22.97
3.31
21.68
28.60
BBB+
08.03.2012
Baa1 *-
15.06.2012
ENI SPA
EUR
84537
8036
3623
38
0
6
2
125.95
141387
154067
154589
158032
33198
33747
7962
7962
2.44
2.36
2.70
2.84
12.72
-
11.13
10.56
14.49
15.17
3.82
0.25
30.29
A
17.01.2012
A3
16.07.2012
ESSILOR INTERNATIONAL
EUR
20136
229
209
1
0
0
1
21.24
5405
6012
6373
6917
1186
1321
-
-
3.22
3.41
3.63
4.03
35.80
35.62
33.61
30.22
9.88
14.95
2.74
11.70
28.31
-
-
-
-
FRANCE TELECOM SA
EUR
33385
3134
2633
51
0
3
12
76.48
58414
57478
55976
54710
19377
18364
4633
4633
2.15
1.81
1.66
1.59
9.00
7.20
9.81
10.21
-0.64
-4.07
-2.29
-4.94
42.80
A-
10.02.2005
A3
23.06.2005
GDF SUEZ
EUR
57995
1762
2214
74
0
22
19
134.47
116982
123249
121440
124536
20734
21445
-
-
2.64
2.08
2.06
2.15
15.49
14.62
15.63
15.00
9.46
44.01
1.24
33.68
22.87
A
11.02.2011
A1
03.07.2012
IBERDROLA SA
EUR
29669
8376
5845
43
0
0
8
65.87
40831
43337
41671
42923
9032
8904
2191
2191
0.61
0.66
0.58
0.55
9.41
9.54
10.70
11.34
5.16
21.31
2.68
18.26
28.54
BBB+
03.05.2012
(P)Baa1 *-
15.06.2012
INDITEX
EUR
77701
520
623
0
0
0
5
73.25
17795
19124
20400
22711
4147
4613
1462
1462
4.00
4.47
4.89
5.53
35.97
-
32.93
29.10
13.04
16.69
10.81
16.03
30.07
-
-
-
-
ING GROEP NV-CVA
EUR
32379
7004
3782
310
0
1
40
329.37
68103
62406
47608
54924
-
-
-
-
1.20
1.02
1.35
1.51
10.67
10.02
8.11
7.23
3.45
-6.37
-
-
-
A
03.09.2009
A3
15.06.2012
INTESA SANPAOLO
EUR
25936
59242
16434
343
0
1
52
#VALUE!
32597
33607
22141
21958
-
-
-
-
0.18
-0.73
0.16
0.19
-
10.89
12.84
10.90
2.23
24.69
-
-
-
BBB+
10.02.2012
Baa2
16.07.2012
KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS ELECTRON
EUR
22999
963
926
5
0
0
4
25.32
29130
30459
31559
32840
1531
1845
972
972
-0.91
0.95
1.66
2.09
32.72
30.26
18.71
14.85
1.69
0.94
-84.45
-12.91
6.78
A-
11.05.2005
A3
20.04.2006
L'OREAL
EUR
75786
300
594
1
0
0
2
75.49
26246
27618
28892
30540
5103
5395
-
-
5.43
5.69
6.16
6.66
28.33
28.15
26.17
24.21
5.61
7.40
6.78
6.09
25.08
-
-
-
-
LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUI
EUR
79750
382
498
9
0
1
3
88.65
30524
33974
36232
39424
7934
8496
-
-
8.21
8.89
9.44
10.50
22.79
21.87
21.47
19.30
21.20
15.73
26.38
13.71
33.54
A
20.05.2011
-
-
MUENCHENER RUECKVER AG-REG
EUR
28726
227
178
7
0
0
3
32.85
78581
82585
69306
71372
-
-
-
-
5.08
18.16
19.51
19.79
11.38
11.39
10.59
10.44
3.92
8.03
-
-
-
AA-
22.12.2006
-
-
NOKIA OYJ
EUR
10011
8747
3710
7
0
3
14
6.93
49876
43712
38937
38183
2037
-783
-199
-199
-
-1.21
-0.41
-0.04
-
-
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
-11.51
-11.66
-75.98
-30.61
5.27
BB-
15.08.2012
Ba3
23.07.2012
REPSOL SA
EUR
26133
1325
1221
26
0
5
4
49.14
77567
78009
71583
74884
10978
9974
2152
2152
2.44
2.07
2.02
2.20
12.98
-
13.31
12.18
15.53
3.50
-36.91
-1.45
18.26
BBB-
19.04.2012
-
-
RWE AG
EUR
27540
1023
587
28
0
2
9
50.32
63415
63033
65949
67327
10690
9630
-
-
4.32
3.81
5.23
5.24
15.25
15.25
11.10
11.07
-3.99
8.10
-13.20
3.35
21.75
BBB+
27.07.2012
A3
19.07.2011
SANOFI
EUR
116986
826
1324
20
0
0
5
132.49
43077
44694
45474
46812
16247
17008
4122
4122
6.45
6.28
7.82
8.09
18.10
16.20
14.54
14.06
4.07
5.67
-5.52
4.45
48.66
AA-
18.02.2011
A2
18.02.2011
SAP AG
EUR
88635
862
1190
5
0
0
7
89.23
18363
19555
20749
23003
6332
6293
1897
1897
3.72
3.83
3.95
4.53
24.30
24.27
23.55
20.55
18.31
13.56
24.49
15.40
44.49
-
-
-
-
SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SA
EUR
34549
567
540
10
0
0
4
42.74
28883
30266
31113
32315
4860
5024
-
-
4.55
4.57
5.09
5.52
17.64
16.55
15.83
14.59
18.50
9.43
6.93
11.91
21.71
A-
26.11.2008
A3
12.01.2009
SIEMENS AG-REG
EUR
89487
874
23
0
1
17
104.40
94846
99461
100364
102994
13401
12952
3292
3292
9.88
6.95
7.73
8.39
18.84
19.61
16.97
15.62
8.49
3.11
11.40
14.84
18.23
A+
05.06.2009
-
-
SOCIETE GENERALE
EUR
23566
2327
747
903
7
5
168
#VALUE!
62636
62722
31089
31772
-
-
-
-
5.11
3.25
4.05
4.93
11.99
9.04
9.63
7.91
9.23
-6.50
-
-
-
A
23.01.2012
A2
21.06.2012
TELEFONICA SA
EUR
65585
10218
4480
86
0
7
9
152.52
81070
81192
80907
81061
25019
23811
6993
6993
1.71
1.23
1.60
1.69
15.07
-
11.58
10.98
4.46
2.54
-31.96
0.36
39.82
BBB
24.05.2012
Baa2 *-
20.06.2012
TOTAL SA
EUR
123551
4004
2254
42
0
2
19
149.56
214875
226853
248658
245937
42471
41168
10790
10790
7.02
6.19
6.85
7.03
10.88
10.88
9.83
9.59
23.95
12.61
22.42
2.93
25.50
AA-
12.04.2011
Aa1
30.08.2005
UNIBAIL-RODAMCO SE
EUR
19120
76
92
14
0
2
0
36.15
2503
2124
1918
2041
1528
1355
-
-
18.09
16.94
12.15
13.06
15.83
16.42
22.07
20.55
16.80
59.58
-7.26
20.00
78.76
A
27.06.2007
WR
16.07.2010
UNICREDIT SPA
EUR
25474
30197
2930
432
0
4
73
#VALUE!
54146
33290
33100
32913
-
-
-
-
-0.04
-7.72
0.34
0.48
-
-
16.85
11.85
2.33
-20.93
-
-
-
BBB+
10.02.2012
Baa2
16.07.2012
UNILEVER NV-CVA
EUR
108076
1308
2820
18
0
1
6
120.80
59950
63317
66138
70114
9627
9821
-
-
2.04
1.92
2.05
2.24
24.19
23.11
22.69
20.72
6.43
6.39
-2.68
4.06
20.72
A+
05.10.2000
A1
11.07.2000
VINCI SA
EUR
25701
1128
540
27
0
1
10
46.30
48569
49369
48939
49317
7026
6480
-
-
4.46
4.53
4.41
4.51
12.73
13.05
13.07
12.78
13.82
7.75
7.00
9.27
18.66
BBB+
29.03.2007
Baa1
23.07.2002
VIVENDI
EUR
25835
884
1287
20
0
3
5
47.16
37173
36955
36508
37086
11414
12115
2398
2398
3.11
1.25
2.55
2.60
20.48
14.46
10.05
9.87
-0.29
7.99
13.30
11.75
39.61
BBB *-
04.07.2012
Baa2
13.09.2005
VOLKSWAGEN AG-PREF
EUR
86080
428
465
121
0
8
32
193.27
205570
228291
240966
258634
27564
29716
4354
4354
42.60
49.65
37.33
32.60
5.17
5.18
6.88
7.88
33.01
15.34
36.45
16.15
17.30
A-
31.08.2009
A3
17.08.2009
1218
4598
4702
-
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
8.05
7.24
8.74
A
*-
Valuation Measures II/II Price to Book Ratio
Price to Sales Ratio
Price to Cash Flow Ratio
Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio
Price to Earnings Ratio
Estimated Dividend Yield
Target
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2012
%D to Spot
S&P 500 INDEX
2.18
2.18
1.99
1.82
2.18
1.34
1.34
1.29
1.24
1.34
9.58
9.58
8.72
8.00
9.58
9.39
9.39
8.72
8.09
9.39
14.10
14.10
12.64
11.33
14.10
2.09
2.09
2.33
2.52
2.09
1576.6
8.0%
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
1.14
1.14
1.08
1.02
1.14
0.72
0.72
0.70
0.68
0.72
5.28
5.28
4.99
4.61
5.28
13.75
13.75
13.08
12.43
13.75
10.89
10.89
9.84
8.95
10.89
4.19
4.19
4.67
5.04
4.19
2685.8
5.3%
NIKKEI 225
1.10
1.10
1.03
0.96
1.10
0.51
0.51
0.48
0.48
0.51
6.44
6.44
5.88
5.62
6.44
7.22
7.22
6.60
6.25
7.22
14.40
14.40
12.75
10.68
14.40
2.29
2.29
2.33
2.68
2.29
9998.9
10.3%
FTSE 100 INDEX
1.62
1.62
1.50
1.39
1.62
0.99
0.99
0.96
0.95
0.99
7.31
7.31
6.70
6.21
7.31
8.34
8.34
7.69
7.28
8.34
11.39
11.39
10.29
9.48
11.39
4.03
4.03
4.31
4.62
4.03
6346.0
9.0%
SWISS MARKET INDEX
2.12
2.12
1.97
1.82
2.12
1.78
1.78
1.67
1.58
1.78
11.65
11.65
10.09
9.08
11.65
13.92
13.92
12.78
11.90
13.92
13.62
13.62
12.15
11.06
13.62
3.55
3.55
3.91
4.27
3.55
7003.9
6.3%
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
1.75
1.75
1.62
1.49
1.75
1.62
1.62
1.50
1.45
1.62
8.84
8.84
7.91
7.21
8.84
9.74
9.74
8.49
7.93
9.74
14.87
14.87
12.99
11.80
14.87
2.93
2.93
3.06
3.24
2.93
14041.0
13.4%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
1.66
1.66
1.56
1.48
1.66
1.57
1.57
1.48
1.40
1.57
9.57
9.57
8.75
8.21
9.57
11.30
11.30
10.04
9.33
11.30
13.03
13.03
11.70
10.85
13.03
4.93
4.93
5.29
5.66
4.93
4663.8
6.3%
HANG SENG INDEX
1.35
1.35
1.24
1.14
1.35
1.84
1.84
1.70
1.57
1.84
6.61
6.61
6.14
5.84
6.61
6.64
6.64
6.04
5.57
6.64
10.91
10.91
10.09
9.14
10.91
3.55
3.55
3.80
4.16
3.55
22528.5
8.9%
MSCI EM
1.50
1.50
1.36
1.23
1.50
1.04
1.04
0.96
0.89
1.04
7.10
7.10
6.37
5.72
7.10
7.38
7.38
6.62
6.07
7.38
11.29
11.29
9.94
9.01
11.29
2.90
2.90
3.11
3.46
2.90
1131.3
12.4%
AIR LIQUIDE SA
3.14
2.83
2.57
2.41
2.27
2.13
2.01
1.87
1.74
1.67
11.56
10.64
9.79
9.00
8.58
10.29
9.74
8.89
8.19
7.77
20.07
18.83
17.02
15.45
14.47
2.34
2.57
2.75
3.04
3.10
98.28
-0.5%
ALLIANZ SE-REG
0.96
0.88
0.83
0.78
0.70
0.43
0.44
0.43
0.43
0.39
14.36
8.46
7.84
7.47
7.30
4.65
4.88
5.22
5.48
5.53
99.94
6.4%
ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV NV
3.50
3.22
2.92
2.65
2.61
3.57
3.48
3.05
2.88
2.87
13.82
12.51
11.36
10.41
ARCELORMITTAL
0.38
0.42
0.41
0.39
0.26
0.27
0.26
0.26
0.26
5.52
4.20
3.74
3.26
ASML HOLDING NV
5.02
4.23
3.51
2.77
1.95
3.64
4.18
3.61
3.24
2.88
10.34
13.64
11.65
9.06
ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI
1.14
1.00
0.92
0.84
0.74
0.25
0.24
0.23
0.22
0.21
AXA SA
0.62
0.62
0.59
0.55
0.50
0.33
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTA
0.85
0.86
0.82
0.78
0.80
1.71
1.55
1.50
1.42
1.35
2.97
2.97
2.95
BANCO SANTANDER SA
0.78
0.77
0.76
0.75
0.81
1.37
1.35
1.30
1.24
1.18
2.26
2.26
2.22
BASF SE
2.60
2.36
2.15
1.97
1.67
0.85
0.81
0.78
0.75
0.72
7.07
7.76
7.07
6.76
6.06
6.46
6.15
5.84
5.58
BAYER AG-REG
2.81
2.74
2.48
2.26
2.01
1.54
1.44
1.38
1.31
1.25
10.96
9.63
8.48
7.98
7.30
8.37
8.09
7.37
6.90
BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
1.39
1.24
1.12
1.02
1.01
0.55
0.51
0.50
0.48
0.50
4.19
4.58
4.36
4.21
3.20
7.00
7.40
7.21
7.24
BNP PARIBAS
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.58
0.56
1.17
1.25
1.21
1.17
1.20
2.92
4.38
4.10
3.90
CARREFOUR SA
1.31
1.61
1.53
1.39
1.30
0.14
0.15
0.14
0.14
0.14
4.48
4.85
4.22
3.92
3.62
5.93
6.09
5.84
5.52
COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN
0.84
0.85
0.82
0.79
0.74
0.37
0.36
0.35
0.33
0.32
5.02
5.20
4.95
4.62
4.23
5.23
5.69
5.34
CRH PLC
1.05
1.03
1.01
0.97
0.94
0.62
0.58
0.56
0.53
0.48
8.18
8.67
7.79
6.62
5.67
9.29
9.06
DAIMLER AG-REGISTERED SHARES
1.05
0.98
0.90
0.83
0.77
0.40
0.38
0.36
0.35
0.36
5.23
4.76
4.24
3.87
2.80
8.98
8.60
DANONE
2.39
2.33
2.15
1.98
1.71
1.66
1.53
1.42
1.34
1.26
11.64
10.99
10.06
9.30
8.32
11.23
10.67
DEUTSCHE BANK AG-REGISTERED
0.58
0.54
0.51
0.47
0.90
0.94
0.91
0.87
0.88
4.44
6.45
5.17
4.19
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG-REG
1.14
1.23
1.21
1.21
1.29
0.73
0.74
0.75
0.76
0.77
2.91
3.07
3.08
3.10
4.91
4.84
5.01
5.08
5.11
E.ON AG
0.92
0.95
0.91
0.88
0.86
0.39
0.34
0.34
0.33
0.32
5.93
4.54
4.80
4.37
4.43
7.44
6.37
6.08
ENEL SPA
0.72
0.69
0.66
0.63
0.66
0.38
0.37
0.37
0.36
0.33
2.60
3.07
2.94
2.70
2.56
5.99
6.43
6.37
ENI SPA
1.21
1.08
1.00
0.93
0.83
0.59
0.55
0.54
0.53
0.51
4.05
3.50
3.23
3.15
2.84
3.54
3.22
ESSILOR INTERNATIONAL
4.98
4.15
3.72
3.33
2.87
3.72
3.16
2.91
2.66
2.41
21.42
19.61
18.02
15.65
16.13
18.23
FRANCE TELECOM SA
0.90
0.96
0.95
0.94
0.96
0.57
0.60
0.61
0.62
0.62
2.13
2.43
2.52
2.64
2.72
3.97
GDF SUEZ
0.68
0.69
0.69
0.70
0.66
0.49
0.48
0.47
0.45
0.44
3.81
3.68
3.62
3.55
2.83
IBERDROLA SA
0.66
0.65
0.63
0.61
0.63
0.75
0.71
0.69
0.67
0.71
3.82
3.86
4.13
3.95
3.53
INDITEX
8.43
7.02
6.10
5.37
4.77
4.37
3.81
3.42
3.09
2.82
22.75
18.93
16.94
15.19
13.27
ING GROEP NV-CVA
0.56
0.51
0.48
0.45
0.38
0.48
0.68
0.59
0.75
0.55
3.85
INTESA SANPAOLO
0.34
0.40
0.40
0.38
0.37
1.22
1.17
1.18
1.15
2.80
2.57
2.54
2.42
8.28
9.95
KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS ELECTRON
1.35
1.40
1.35
1.28
1.18
0.79
0.73
0.70
0.67
0.63
12.09
8.49
7.29
6.69
5.35
7.79
6.79
5.84
5.36
4.81
19.61
14.51
L'OREAL
3.55
3.11
2.88
2.66
2.46
2.90
2.62
2.48
2.35
2.22
17.82
15.96
14.70
13.74
12.81
14.66
13.24
12.30
11.48
10.81
22.80
20.29
LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUI
3.05
2.45
2.23
2.02
1.85
2.65
2.20
2.02
1.87
1.75
15.03
12.82
11.29
10.33
9.88
11.65
9.76
8.82
8.03
7.47
19.59
MUENCHENER RUECKVER AG-REG
1.01
0.94
0.89
0.86
0.72
0.44
0.41
0.40
0.40
0.37
36.06
NOKIA OYJ
0.60
0.92
1.04
1.08
1.22
0.20
0.26
0.26
0.26
0.25
4.77
15.70
6.73
2.14
2.14
5.39
2.87
1.93
8.32
REPSOL SA
0.78
0.77
0.73
0.70
0.67
0.31
0.37
0.35
0.35
0.36
3.41
4.33
4.03
3.67
3.53
4.52
5.65
5.24
4.94
4.67
9.68
10.32
RWE AG
1.17
1.29
1.21
1.14
1.01
0.40
0.42
0.41
0.40
0.38
3.52
3.57
3.60
3.49
3.64
4.72
4.54
4.41
4.24
4.21
8.16
SANOFI
1.65
1.55
1.48
1.41
1.33
2.72
2.57
2.50
2.39
2.31
9.09
9.94
9.45
8.54
7.55
8.18
8.03
7.65
7.11
6.58
SAP AG
5.36
4.63
3.90
3.29
2.70
4.85
4.27
3.85
3.49
3.26
17.12
16.94
14.92
12.75
11.03
13.29
12.44
10.92
9.67
SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SA
1.69
1.55
1.45
1.35
1.26
1.22
1.11
1.07
1.02
0.97
11.53
9.77
9.05
8.11
7.79
9.19
8.50
7.99
SIEMENS AG-REG
2.12
2.13
1.98
1.79
1.48
0.95
0.89
0.87
0.84
0.81
8.79
11.39
9.14
7.53
6.73
6.94
8.30
7.90
SOCIETE GENERALE
0.41
0.40
0.38
0.36
0.37
0.72
0.76
0.74
0.72
0.73
2.04
3.08
3.04
2.79
TELEFONICA SA
2.31
2.28
2.09
1.93
1.66
0.81
0.81
0.81
0.80
0.79
3.36
3.43
3.39
3.14
3.06
5.61
5.53
TOTAL SA
1.38
1.23
1.12
1.03
0.54
0.50
0.50
0.50
4.53
4.36
4.11
3.99
3.65
3.65
UNIBAIL-RODAMCO SE
1.25
1.21
1.14
1.05
9.95
9.97
9.37
8.69
8.47
17.55
16.96
16.00
14.59
14.64
22.61
UNICREDIT SPA
0.20
0.33
0.32
0.31
0.29
0.78
0.77
0.77
0.75
0.68
0.83
1.85
1.79
1.65
UNILEVER NV-CVA
4.87
4.98
4.41
3.94
3.39
1.80
1.63
1.54
1.46
1.41
14.59
13.92
12.64
11.68
10.90
12.07
11.23
10.37
9.70
VINCI SA
1.51
1.42
1.33
1.26
1.13
0.55
0.53
0.52
0.51
0.49
5.29
5.07
4.98
4.75
4.49
6.59
6.60
6.51
VIVENDI
0.85
0.97
0.92
0.89
0.81
0.70
0.71
0.70
0.69
0.67
3.31
3.37
3.49
3.47
3.25
4.41
4.67
VOLKSWAGEN AG-PREF
1.20
0.99
0.89
0.79
0.83
0.43
0.36
0.33
0.32
0.34
3.77
3.49
3.49
3.20
3.16
7.64
6.81
9.91
11.75
11.42
10.00
9.27
8.95
22.55
18.83
17.17
15.50
14.49
1.57
2.20
2.65
3.04
3.29
69.66
3.7%
4.94
6.27
5.25
4.62
3.99
7.19
15.74
8.76
6.56
4.93
4.85
4.87
4.87
4.91
4.03
14.57
21.3%
10.35
12.51
10.79
9.28
8.01
12.52
15.24
12.40
10.32
8.19
1.11
1.11
1.26
1.40
1.37
46.52
13.4%
15.91
10.28
8.47
8.16
7.61
2.56
2.80
3.36
3.81
2.51
11.36
-2.6%
7.30
6.66
6.21
5.82
5.64
5.70
5.89
6.34
6.75
7.29
14.77
20.1%
2.79
7.70
16.45
8.35
7.14
6.89
6.20
6.19
6.39
6.69
6.48
6.49
0.9%
2.11
7.68
12.90
8.60
7.76
7.69
9.09
8.40
8.76
8.88
7.43
5.76
-6.4%
5.59
10.81
12.34
11.14
10.25
9.94
3.53
3.82
3.99
4.28
4.57
67.27
0.0%
6.51
14.04
12.68
11.58
10.54
9.70
2.44
2.66
2.96
3.25
3.55
67.55
-0.4%
7.38
7.68
7.80
7.64
7.42
8.43
4.03
4.44
4.77
5.09
4.07
72.27
22.5%
7.65
7.12
7.07
6.48
7.08
3.36
3.85
4.23
4.70
3.54
42.03
7.7%
5.40
12.30
13.36
12.10
10.57
9.55
4.64
3.16
3.47
3.93
4.79
17.70
2.3%
4.86
4.54
8.90
11.43
9.71
8.33
7.43
4.28
4.01
4.38
4.86
5.15
33.16
12.7%
8.39
7.29
6.38
20.09
19.18
16.31
12.70
10.06
4.10
4.12
4.18
4.32
4.48
14.47
-5.7%
7.75
7.17
6.17
7.81
7.77
6.92
6.14
5.92
4.99
5.52
5.96
6.56
6.56
47.64
20.2%
9.92
9.26
8.47
17.03
16.12
14.71
13.37
11.91
2.78
2.95
3.22
3.49
3.93
52.43
5.7%
6.78
8.77
7.06
5.93
5.75
2.28
2.19
2.39
2.79
3.15
33.88
4.1%
5.22
14.70
15.99
15.42
14.57
13.67
7.04
7.04
6.87
6.91
6.97
9.69
-2.5%
5.84
5.67
15.33
8.75
10.51
9.80
9.37
5.27
5.80
5.86
5.99
6.23
19.49
2.8%
6.20
5.97
6.90
8.19
8.25
7.62
8.56
8.71
4.87
4.91
5.34
6.34
3.07
2.6%
3.21
3.11
2.82
9.20
8.63
8.19
7.81
6.94
5.75
5.97
6.11
6.24
6.37
19.83
10.0%
15.60
14.28
12.94
11.41
29.48
26.05
23.43
21.23
18.77
1.26
1.36
1.51
1.65
1.89
71.54
-2.3%
4.31
4.46
4.56
4.62
6.05
7.60
7.92
8.02
7.93
14.33
11.96
11.03
10.49
11.06
12.13
24.1%
6.37
6.09
5.93
5.57
5.29
12.91
12.12
11.63
10.43
9.35
7.86
7.77
7.77
7.97
8.21
20.92
8.1%
6.58
6.52
6.50
6.25
5.87
7.63
8.29
8.80
8.29
7.60
8.78
8.27
7.47
7.66
7.47
4.29
14.4%
17.63
14.46
12.86
11.54
10.58
31.37
25.53
22.57
20.21
18.35
1.87
2.26
2.61
2.94
3.20
98.48
1.9%
4.98
6.28
5.60
5.06
4.95
0.00
0.50
3.08
5.56
6.15
7.54
15.2%
8.45
6.67
4.41
4.86
4.38
5.11
6.16
8.10
1.33
7.4%
11.51
10.27
8.90
4.01
4.04
4.19
4.45
4.63
19.29
3.6%
18.76
17.38
15.84
2.02
2.28
2.52
2.72
3.17
100.32
3.6%
16.65
14.96
13.51
12.45
2.00
2.48
2.78
3.06
3.12
145.94
19.9%
8.21
8.09
7.49
7.90
8.21
5.03
5.24
5.43
5.54
5.57
124.62
0.4%
18.84
15.35
8.83
2.80
3.81
2.94
7.24
2.07
0.1%
9.44
8.81
8.44
7.17
5.15
5.48
5.77
5.89
17.55
8.9%
8.60
8.58
8.01
7.94
5.88
5.93
6.00
6.35
6.30
34.95
0.2%
10.28
11.27
10.89
9.97
9.25
3.81
4.04
4.44
4.95
5.33
69.04
1.0%
8.51
20.21
18.25
15.93
14.12
13.04
1.28
1.54
1.73
1.89
2.06
55.67
-0.5%
7.39
6.94
13.19
12.27
11.31
10.24
9.60
3.48
3.74
4.05
4.43
4.90
51.50
6.4%
7.17
6.47
10.11
13.15
12.11
10.82
9.78
3.89
3.89
4.03
4.24
4.71
78.10
-0.8%
6.56
7.46
6.13
5.25
6.00
0.00
2.31
3.80
4.84
4.14
24.08
2.9%
5.53
5.47
5.46
7.22
8.98
8.51
8.25
8.19
13.78
0.00
6.71
8.21
8.44
11.75
5.2%
3.50
3.44
3.35
7.82
7.62
7.43
7.45
6.54
5.68
5.77
5.90
6.02
6.42
43.78
8.1%
21.49
20.22
18.65
18.06
17.11
15.93
14.75
14.64
5.01
5.19
5.43
5.77
5.97
164.73
2.2%
10.65
13.06
9.19
6.14
4.13
0.18
2.08
3.67
5.31
4.69
3.46
1.4%
8.96
17.90
17.58
16.06
14.78
13.62
3.15
3.40
3.65
3.85
4.07
28.99
3.8%
6.28
6.05
10.02
10.13
9.91
9.26
8.84
5.04
5.14
5.25
5.53
5.74
44.15
27.5%
4.66
4.60
4.48
6.87
7.79
7.65
7.37
6.92
9.15
6.56
6.71
6.97
7.99
17.34
12.6%
5.84
5.30
5.19
8.17
5.33
6.11
5.39
5.97
1.96
2.38
2.89
3.33
3.99
178.96
16.0%
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
18.18
24.09.2012
Air Liquide SA Air Liquide SA, through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and sells industrial and healthcare gases worldwide. These gases include liquid nitrogen, argon, carbon dioxide, and oxygen. The Company also produces welding equipment, diving equipment, and technical-medical equipment. Air Liquide sells its products throughout Europe, the United States, Canada, Africa, and Asia.
Price/Volume
3.0 M 2.5 M 2.0 M
60
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 12.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance AI FP EQUITY YTD Change AI FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 100.00 74.96 217'685.00 98.76 -1.26% 31.74% 97.96% 312.1 30'820.04 7'036.00 0.0 237.1 1'761.10 37'089.94
1.5 M
40
1.0 M
20
.5 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12 m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
3.5 M
100 80
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 11'801.2 2.45x 2'730.0 10.57x 1'123.1 21.70x
120
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 13'103.1 11'976.1 1.73x 2.25x 2'941.8 2'969.0 7.71x 9.08x 1'220.0 1'230.0 13.93x 17.67x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 13'488.0 2.38x 3'374.3 9.50x 1'403.6 18.97x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 14'456.9 2.25x 3'563.6 9.13x 1'534.9 17.60x 3'563.60 2'408.70 16.66% 15.02% 6.58% 16.45% 10.88% 0.62% 24.6% 16.7% 10.6% 1.16 0.90 29.17% 72.10% 5.33 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 13'879.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 06/yy 14'702.2 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
0.77 310.52 32.15% 16.64% 0.772 35 3.314 976'594 733'800 847'641 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 15'358.8 16'524.0 3'852.8 4'061.0 2.39x 2.20x 8.79x 3'810.2 4'173.9 1'938.0 9.74x 8.89x 1'624.1 1'804.1 807.5 18.83x 17.02x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
02.07.2007 A POS 06.05.2004 A-1 14.00 7.11 1.48 1.97 72.1% 41.3% 0.62 1.25 68.43 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
16'000.0
12.00
14'000.0 12'000.0
10.00
10'000.0 8.00
8'000.0 6.00
6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Air Liquide SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE THORNBURG INVESTMENT VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO MASSACHUSETTS FINANC DEUTSCHE BANK AG BLACKROCK ASSET MANA AIR LIQUIDE CAPITAL WORLD INVEST MERCURY ASSET MANAGE FIDELITY INTERNATION T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL HARTFORD INVESTMENT LBPAM HARDING LOEVNER LP UNION INVESTMENT GMB MFS INVESTMENT MANAG UNITED SERVICES AUTO ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL
Portfolio Name Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Firm Name
Analyst
AlphaValue Hamburger Sparkasse Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Jefferies JPMorgan Goldman Sachs Main First Bank AG Deutsche Bank Kepler Capital Markets Barclays EVA Dimensions Day by Day HSBC Macquarie Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Societe Generale Credit Suisse Nomura S&P Capital IQ Morgan Stanley Independent Research GmbH Banco Sabadell CM - CIC Securities(ESN) Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Redburn Partners CA Cheuvreux Canaccord Genuity Corp Liberum Capital Ltd BHF-Bank Natixis ING Wholesale Banking DZ Bank AG Alembic Global Advisors
VERONIQUE COLAS MARCO GUENTHER JEREMY REDENIUS HEIDI VESTERINEN LAURENCE ALEXANDER NEIL C TYLER RAKESH PATEL THOMAS SWOBODA TIMOTHY JONES MARKUS MAYER GUNTHER ZECHMANN TEAM COVERAGE VALERIE GASTALDY GEOFF HAIRE JUERGEN RECK ULLE WORNER PETER CLARK CHRIS COUNIHAN JEAN DE WATTEVILLE JOHNSON IMODE PETER MACKEY CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE PATRICIA GARCIA SANCHEZ ARI AGOPYAN STEPHAN KIPPE TONY JONES KLAUS RINGEL PAUL W SATCHELL ADAM COLLINS ANNETT WEBER FREDERIC WILLIAMS-GOBEAUX FABIAN SMEETS PETER SPENGLER HASSAN I AHMED
Source MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation reduce sell outperform neutral hold neutral neutral/neutral sell hold hold underweight underweight hold neutral outperform buy buy outperform reduce hold Equalwt/In-Line hold buy hold add buy outperform hold buy market weight neutral not rated buy neutral
Amt Held 4'881'147 4'574'174 3'516'031 1'650'107 1'477'098 1'412'488 1'126'682 1'119'676 1'055'066 907'316 812'698 800'775 713'037 670'065 631'581 509'650 470'821 464'229 460'862 431'324
% Out 1.56 1.47 1.13 0.53 0.47 0.45 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.23 0.21 0.2 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14
Weighting
Change
2 1 5 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 1 1 3 3 5 5 5 5 2 3 3 3 5 3 4 5 5 3 5 3 3 #N/A N/A 5 3
M M M M N M M D M M M U M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M
Latest Chg 176'968 424'253 1'385 74'778 62 7'662 (172'981) 653'801 139'128 (59'101) (14'068) 1'189 144'631 8'124 67'552 -
Target Price 98 #N/A N/A 105 98 97 100 120 86 94 100 92 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 98 100 100 102 105 100 93 97 97 100 91 94 #N/A N/A 96 82 121 92 83 #N/A N/A 91 95
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 3 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month
Date 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 06.09.2012 04.09.2012 28.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 16.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.06.2012 04.06.2012 18.05.2012 02.05.2012 25.04.2012 08.02.2012 19.01.2012 27.10.2011 03.01.2011
24.09.2012
Allianz SE Allianz SE, through subsidiaries, offers insurance and financial services. The Company offers property and casualty, life and health, credit, motor vehicle and travel insurance, and fund management services.
Price/Volume 120
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
100 80 60
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ALV GY EQUITY YTD Change ALV GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 97.33 57.50 630'681.00 93.95 -3.47% 63.39% 94.10% 455.3 42'775.43 28'411.00 0.0 2'338.0 10'492.00 62'778.43
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
20 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 76'195.0 82'711.0 0.69x 0.75x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x (2'444.0) 4'297.0 8.51x 8.37x Profitability
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12 m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 89'740.0 0.67x 0.0 0.00x 5'053.0 7.94x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 87'384.0 0.61x 0.0 0.00x 2'545.0 13.13x 7.01% 5.45% 0.40% 5.69% 4.92% 0.14% 2.9% 4.43% 63.26% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 89'734.0 2.78x 0.0 0.00x 4'256.0 10.12x
06/yy 90'554.0 2.48x 0.0 0.00x 3'293.0 10.65x
FY+1
1.26 455.30 68.14% 34.27% 1.262 44 4.205 2'794'859 2'231'256 2'372'830 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 96'273.2 99'071.1 21'847.0 21'847.0 0.60x 0.52x 5'003.8 5'367.1 1'227.0 1'227.0 8.46x 7.84x 8.34x 8.16x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.01.2012 AA NEG 23.03.2009 A-1+ 63.3% 37.5% 0.14 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
100'000.0
7.00
90'000.0 80'000.0
6.00
70'000.0
5.00
60'000.0
4.00
50'000.0 40'000.0
3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
o-11
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 94'767.0 2.57x 0.0 0.00x 7'966.0 8.22x
40
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Allianz SE Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC AXA BLACKROCK ASSET MANA HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS VANGUARD GROUP INC DB PLATINUM ADVISORS HARRIS ASSOCIATES L FIDELITY INTERNATION DEUTSCHE BANK AG UNION INVESTMENT GMB BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO THORNBURG INVESTMENT MORGAN STANLEY FIDELITY MANAGEMENT ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES ADIG INVESTMENT DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH CAPITAL WORLD INVEST OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios HARRIS ASSOC LP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
AlphaValue DIETER HEIN Mediobanca SpA MARC THIELE Canaccord Genuity Corp BEN COHEN Nomura NICK HOLMES Sanford C. Bernstein & Co THOMAS SEIDL Silvia Quandt Research CHRISTIAN MUSCHICK S&P Capital IQ RODERICK WALLACE Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Oddo & Cie NICOLAS JACOB Kepler Capital Markets FABRIZIO CROCE Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg WERNER SCHIRMER Barclays ANDREW BROADFIELD JPMorgan MICHAEL HUTTNER EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Nord/LB VOLKER SACK Credit Suisse RICHARD BURDEN HSBC KAILESH MISTRY Macquarie HADLEY COHEN Societe Generale JASON KALAMBOUSSIS Keefe, Bruyette & Woods WILLIAM HAWKINS CA Cheuvreux ATANASIO PANTARROTAS Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) PHILIPP HAESSLER DZ Bank AG THORSTEN WENZEL Exane BNP Paribas THOMAS JACQUET Commerzbank Corporates & Markets ROLAND PFAENDER Morgan Stanley JON HOCKING Raymond James DANNY JACQUES Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT National Bank AG MANFRED JAISFELD Bryan Garnier & Cie OLIVIER PAUCHAUT Main First Bank AG MICHAEL HAID Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS Bankhaus Metzler JOCHEN SCHMITT Jefferies JAMES SHUCK ING Wholesale Banking MAARTEN ALTENA RBC Capital Markets GORDON AITKEN Redburn Partners PAUL GOODHIND Goldman Sachs VINIT MALHOTRA Natixis BENOIT VALLEAUX Deutsche Bank SPENCER HORGAN Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research JOY FERNEYHOUGH Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TIM PROUDLOVE
Source 13G Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation add neutral buy neutral market perform neutral buy buy neutral hold hold overweight overweight overweight buy hold outperform overweight outperform buy market perform outperform accumulate buy outperform add Equalwt/In-Line market perform hold buy buy buy buy sell hold buy outperform buy Buy/Neutral buy buy neutral hold
Amt Held 30'030'982 13'449'857 11'426'436 5'739'619 5'300'998 5'121'772 4'859'640 4'784'769 4'403'327 3'964'257 3'851'561 3'791'607 3'746'308 3'532'456 2'374'508 2'332'786 2'139'539 1'936'650 1'476'149 1'312'723
% Out 6.6 2.95 2.51 1.26 1.16 1.12 1.07 1.05 0.97 0.87 0.85 0.83 0.82 0.78 0.52 0.51 0.47 0.43 0.32 0.29
Weighting
Change 4 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 1 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
M D M M N M U U M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 452 198'538 405'119 133'585 1'053'725 (285'610) (3'000) (14'025) 88'551 3'247 (718) -
Target Price 104 120 100 100 99 90 109 98 85 73 92 107 113 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 86 105 110 105 100 112 105 96 100 108 100 97 #N/A N/A 86 120 100 95 101 75 91 107 110 #N/A N/A 110 106 100 92 106
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.07.2010 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 16.05.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 15 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month
Date 20.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 07.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 31.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 28.08.2012 13.08.2012 10.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 19.07.2012 16.07.2012 03.07.2012 15.03.2012 08.02.2012 26.01.2012 06.12.2011 11.11.2011 12.05.2011
24.09.2012
Anheuser-Busch InBev NV Anheuser-Busch InBev NV brews beer. The Company manufactures ale, lager, stout, and bitter beer. Anheuser-Busch InBev owns brands that are both nationally and internationally prominent. The Company has production plants in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.
Price/Volume 80
6.0 M
70
5.0 M
60 4.0 M
50 40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (07.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ABI BB EQUITY YTD Change ABI BB EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 71.05 37.24 446'109.00 67.19 -5.45% 80.42% 88.46% 1'606.3 107'928.27 40'165.00 0.0 3'552.0 5'423.00 179'285.89
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
2.0 M
20 1.0 M
10 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12
m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 19'780.7 2.84x 6'828.0 8.23x 3'013.0 15.83x
3.0 M
30
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 23'507.0 36'758.0 4.07x 3.57x 7'734.0 12'925.0 12.37x 10.15x 1'927.0 4'613.0 11.99x 17.92x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 36'297.0 3.70x 13'768.0 9.76x 4'026.0 22.61x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 39'046.0 3.49x 15'297.0 8.91x 5'855.0 16.71x 15'297.00 12'607.00 32.29% 25.14% 5.16% 16.10% 12.37% 0.34% 57.4% 39.2% 32.3% 15.0% 0.63 0.49 35.73% 107.13% 8.92 6.82
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 37'751.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 4'816.0 18.16x
06/yy 39'294.0 7.66x 4'239.0 0.00x 7'090.0 17.44x
FY+1
0.75 81.07% 45.13% 0.755 36 3.722 2'091'273 1'679'055 2'032'497 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 39'971.1 45'576.2 10'413.0 10'187.5 4.33x 3.86x 15'700.8 17'930.7 3'922.0 4'511.0 11.42x 10.00x 7'425.3 8'219.3 1'818.0 2'003.0 18.83x 17.17x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
01.05.2012 A STABLE 01.05.2012 A-1 5.53 4.31 2.27 2.63 107.1% 49.5% 0.34 2.45 40.94 53.49 277.81 -183.39
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
45'000.0
12.00
40'000.0 35'000.0
10.00
30'000.0
8.00
25'000.0
6.00
20'000.0 15'000.0
4.00
10'000.0
2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
5'000.0 0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Anheuser-Busch InBev NV Holdings By:
All
Holder Name STICHTING INBEV EPS BRC SARL CAPITAL WORLD INVEST FIDELITY MANAGEMENT VANGUARD GROUP INC ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO VOORZITTER VERHELST BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG INBEV-BAILLET LATOUR ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI FIDELITY INTERNATION BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FIRST STATE INVESTME BRITO CARLOS ALVES D MANNING & NAPIER ADV BLACKROCK ASSET MANA
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Exane BNP Paribas JAVIER GONZALEZ LASTRA Credit Suisse SANJEET AUJLA AlphaValue SOPHIE CABO-BROSETA Bank Degroof(ESN) MARC LEEMANS Grupo Santander ANTHONY J BUCALO Liberum Capital Ltd PABLO ZUANIC Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research MARTIN DOLAN Nord/LB WOLFGANG VASTERLING Rabobank International KAREL ZOETE Sanford C. Bernstein & Co TREVOR STIRLING Canaccord Genuity Corp EDDY HARGREAVES ING Wholesale Banking GERARD RIJK Goldman Sachs MITCHELL COLLETT HSBC LAUREN E TORRES Nomura IAN SHACKLETON RBC Capital Markets JAMES EDWARDES JONES KBC Securities WIM HOSTE Petercam KRIS KIPPERS Kempen & Co SANDER VAN OORT EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Jefferies DIRK VAN VLAANDEREN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY CA Cheuvreux XAVIER CROQUEZ Bryan Garnier & Cie NIKOLAAS FAES Societe Generale ANDREW HOLLAND Independent Research GmbH LARS LUSEBRINK ABN Amro Bank N.V. ROBERT JAN VOS Morgan Stanley DAVID BELAUNDE S&P Capital IQ CARL SHORT Redburn Partners CHRIS PITCHER Natixis OLIVIER DELAHOUSSE Deutsche Bank JONATHAN FELL JPMorgan MIKE J GIBBS Berenberg Bank PHILIP MORRISEY Barclays SIMON HALES Banco Sabadell IGNACIO ROMERO Shore Capital Stockbrokers PHIL CARROLL Kepler Capital Markets TEAM COVERAGE
Source 20F 20F 20F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 20F MF-AGG MF-AGG 20F MF-AGG 20F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation underperform neutral sell accumulate buy buy neutral hold buy market perform buy hold neutral/attractive overweight neutral outperform hold hold hold sell buy hold outperform buy buy sell reduce restricted hold buy neutral restricted restricted buy suspended coverage buy not rated buy
Amt Held 663'074'830 133'467'609 33'048'460 28'717'188 20'809'911 16'789'722 12'006'309 10'882'616 10'611'548 6'997'665 6'793'840 5'485'415 5'002'588 4'598'549 4'073'744 3'902'673 3'052'876 2'928'172 2'747'770 2'564'934
% Out 41.28 8.31 2.06 1.79 1.3 1.05 0.75 0.68 0.66 0.44 0.42 0.34 0.31 0.29 0.25 0.24 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.16
Weighting
Change
1 3 1 4 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 1 5 3 5 5 5 1 2 #N/A N/A 3 5 3 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 5 #N/A N/A 5 #N/A N/A 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D D M M M U M D M M M M M M M M M M M N
Latest Chg (1'086'000) (316'057) (1'574'251) (49'930) 71'000 (453'912) (2'577) (760'224) 457'122 3'562 33'063 740
Target Price 59 70 42 75 74 82 65 #N/A N/A 76 74 80 58 67 73 60 73 59 64 71 #N/A N/A 76 #N/A N/A 70 71 71 62 60 #N/A N/A 66 #N/A N/A 60 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 64 #N/A N/A 42 #N/A N/A 50
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 21.12.2010 21.12.2010 21.12.2010 30.06.2012 31.07.2012 30.06.2012 21.12.2010 30.06.2012 30.06.2012 21.12.2010 31.07.2012 21.12.2010 31.03.2012 20.09.2012 29.02.2012 20.09.2012 31.05.2012 30.06.2009 31.07.2012 20.09.2012
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type n/a n/a Other Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Other Investment Advisor Other Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 21.08.2012 20.08.2012 20.08.2012 09.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 27.07.2012 02.07.2012 29.06.2012 29.06.2012 29.06.2012 29.06.2012 05.03.2012 07.02.2012 27.09.2011
24.09.2012
ArcelorMittal ArcelorMittal produces steel. The Company manufactures cold rolled, electrogalvanized and coated steels, slabs, special quality bars, and wire rods. Arcelor Mittal has steel making operations in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and Africa.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.02.2012) 52-Week Low (01.06.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MT NA EQUITY YTD Change MT NA EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 17.96 10.60 4'583'620.00 12.01 -33.13% 13.36% 24.30% 1'560.9 18'746.58 25'789.00 0.0 3'787.0 3'821.00 49'999.35
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 105'216.0 1.31x 19'400.0 7.09x 10'368.0 10.43x
20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 124'936.0 61'021.0 0.50x 1.52x 24'436.0 3'656.0 2.57x 25.37x 9'399.0 157.0 3.49x 308.59x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 78'025.0 1.05x 8'014.0 10.25x 2'916.0 17.66x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 93'973.0 0.58x 9'898.0 5.47x 2'263.0 15.75x 9'898.00 4'898.00 5.21% 2.85% 1.79% 3.80% 4.00% 0.74% 9.0% 10.5% 5.2% 2.4% 1.49 0.43 21.16% 45.49% 15.43 4.14
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 83'737.0 3.89x 9'893.0 8.41x 3'137.0 18.08x
06/yy 91'844.0 2.34x 8'925.0 5.57x 629.0 37.37x
FY+1
4.90 1.51 872.65 9.52% -12.07% 1.515 44 3.727 10'976'840 8'416'633 8'551'057 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 88'587.7 92'317.2 20'221.3 20'700.0 0.57x 0.53x 2.46x 2.39x 7'984.9 9'532.7 1'665.0 1'921.8 6.27x 5.25x 6.22x 5.80x 1'490.4 2'489.8 431.6 454.8 15.74x 8.76x 11.44x 9.60x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
02.08.2012 BB+ NEG 02.08.2012 B 5.09 2.60 2.22 2.61 45.5% 29.9% 0.74 1.73 23.65 88.08 54.34 57.38
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
140'000.0 120'000.0
20.00
100'000.0 15.00
80'000.0 60'000.0
10.00
40'000.0 5.00
0.00 02.01.2009
20'000.0 0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
ArcelorMittal Holdings By:
All
Holder Name HSBC TRUSTEE CI LTD MORGAN STANLEY STATE OF LUXEMBOURG CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CAPITAL WORLD INVEST ARCELOR MITTAL VANGUARD GROUP INC ING INVESTMENT MANAG AVIVA PLC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO LBPAM ACHMEA BELEGGINSFOND BLACKROCK ASSET MANA HENDERSON GLOBAL INV BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG ING INTERNATIONAL AD BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name HSBC AlphaValue Nomura Kepler Capital Markets Banco Sabadell Exane BNP Paribas Goldman Sachs Jefferies National Bank AG ING Wholesale Banking Morgan Stanley EVA Dimensions Societe Generale RBC Capital Markets Bankia Bolsa (ESN) JPMorgan La Caixa Grupo Santander Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Macquarie Rabobank International Main First Bank AG ABN Amro Bank N.V. BHF-Bank Nord/LB Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Independent Research GmbH Hamburger Sparkasse Petercam Ahorro Corporacion Financiera SA S&P Capital IQ Day by Day Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad Natixis Deutsche Bank Kempen & Co BBVA Theodoor Gilissen Securities Barclays Cyrrus Davy Dahlman Rose & Co Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst THORSTEN ZIMMERMANN VERONIQUE COLAS NEIL SAMPAT ROCHUS BRAUNEISER FRANCISCO JOSE RODRIGUEZ LUC PEZ STEPHEN BENSON SETH ROSENFELD MANFRED JAISFELD TIJS HOLLESTELLE ALEXANDER HAISSL TEAM COVERAGE ALAIN WILLIAM TIMOTHY HUFF INIGO RECIO PASCUAL ALESSANDRO ABATE ICIAR GOMEZ BOTAS JUAN RAMON CORREAS INGO-MARTIN SCHACHEL JEFFREY LARGEY FRANK CLAASSEN ALEXANDER HAUENSTEIN MAARTEN BAKKER HERMANN REITH HOLGER FECHNER ACHIM WITTMANN SVEN DIERMEIER INGO SCHMIDT ALAN VANDENBERGHE CESAR SANCHEZ-GRANDE JOHNSON IMODE VALERIE GASTALDY ROBERT JACKSON RAOUDHA BOUZEKRI BASTIAN SYNAGOWITZ SANDER VAN OORT LUIS DE TOLEDO TOM MULLER VINCENT LEPINE JIRI SIMARA TIM CAHILL ANTHONY B RIZZUTO JR SCOTT FINLAY
Source Research 13G Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral buy neutral reduce buy neutral neutral/neutral buy buy hold Equalwt/Cautious overweight hold outperform buy overweight buy hold hold outperform buy sell buy market weight sell buy buy buy hold buy sell sell Under Review buy hold buy underperform buy equalweight accumulate underperform buy buy
Amt Held 637'338'263 80'449'457 38'965'330 29'376'754 13'674'876 12'987'736 11'807'964 10'967'755 7'247'141 5'519'718 5'149'560 3'517'449 3'148'939 3'115'103 3'022'839 3'015'083 2'932'632 2'679'227 2'586'678 2'492'536
% Out 40.83 5.15 2.5 1.88 0.88 0.83 0.76 0.7 0.46 0.35 0.33 0.23 0.2 0.2 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.16
Weighting
Change
3 5 3 2 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 1 5 3 1 5 5 5 3 5 1 1 #N/A N/A 5 3 5 1 5 3 4 1 5 5
M M M M M M M N M D N U M M M M U D M M M M M M D M M M D M M D M M M M M M M M N M N
Latest Chg (495'000) (120'362) (410'000) 490'059 (48'532) (5'382) (36'678) 920 2'629'222 1'353 1'342'391 647'493 394'803 -
Target Price 14 19 15 10 19 12 14 15 15 13 14 #N/A N/A 13 16 19 15 15 18 12 15 15 10 18 14 10 16 14 #N/A N/A 14 15 11 7 #N/A N/A 13 16 19 15 20 19 18 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 30
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.07.2012 Unclassified 17.02.2010 Investment Advisor 17.05.2012 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 17.05.2012 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 09.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 08.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 29.06.2012 27.06.2012 10.06.2012 21.05.2012 15.05.2012 14.05.2012 30.01.2012 10.11.2011 17.10.2011 08.06.2011
24.09.2012
ASML Holding NV ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment. The Company's products allow semiconductor manufacturers to choose the optimal numerical aperture and wavelength for their applications, assure uniformity, and produce more using less floor space.
Price/Volume 60
18.0 M 16.0 M
50
14.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (30.07.2012) 52-Week Low (03.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 13.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ASML NA EQUITY YTD Change ASML NA EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 48.34 24.45 888'599.00 41.005 -15.13% 67.74% 71.62% 495.4 20'314.94 736.37 0.0 0.0 2'731.78 18'354.94
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M 8.0 M
20
6.0 M 4.0 M
10 0 s-11
2.0 M .0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 3'808.7 2.30x 951.7 9.21x 687.8 14.54x
12.0 M
30
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 2'953.7 1'596.1 1.71x 6.29x 406.2 (21.5) 12.42x 0.00x 322.4 (150.9) 17.00x 0.00x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 4'507.9 2.52x 1'402.1 8.11x 1'021.8 12.30x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 5'651.0 2.02x 1'806.4 6.33x 1'467.0 9.41x 1'806.40 1'641.22 29.04% 29.17% 21.83% 47.18% 39.06% 0.84% 43.3% 32.0% 29.0% 26.0% 2.56 1.62 10.14% 21.38% 5.64 2.05
Price/ Cash Flow
06/yy 5'679.0 7.11x 1'928.2 4.64x 1'502.4 7.14x
LTM 06/yy 5'149.0 9.58x 1'540.5 9.65x 1'213.8 13.67x
FY+1
0.94 420.65 59.61% 27.79% 0.941 37 3.514 2'900'949 1'957'526 2'233'902 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 4'863.6 5'632.8 1'216.5 1'169.2 3.72x 3.10x 15.20x 15.53x 1'470.1 1'705.0 370.3 341.3 12.51x 10.79x 12.60x 12.01x 1'114.7 1'351.7 278.1 263.1 15.24x 12.40x 14.36x 13.31x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
53.54 44.62 -1.10 0.41 21.4% 17.6% 0.84 6.28 64.72 177.95 54.80 187.87
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
250.00
6'000.0 5'000.0
200.00
4'000.0 150.00
3'000.0 100.00
2'000.0
50.00
0.00 02.01.2009
1'000.0 0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
ASML Holding NV Holdings By:
All
Holder Name STICHTING ADM MAKTSJ CAPITAL WORLD INVEST FIDELITY MANAGEMENT WADDELL & REED FINAN ASML HOLDING NV VANGUARD GROUP INC FIDELITY INTERNATION CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP ING INVESTMENT MANAG BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG BLACKROCK ASSET MANA RCM CAPITAL MANAGEME HENDERSON GLOBAL INV ACHMEA BELEGGINSFOND MERCURY ASSET MANAGE DEUTSCHE BANK AG BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI
Firm Name Societe Generale Natixis Exane BNP Paribas Grupo Santander Morgan Stanley S&P Capital IQ AlphaValue JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Rabobank International Pacific Crest Securities Kepler Capital Markets ABN Amro Bank N.V. Independent Research GmbH ING Wholesale Banking Baader Bank Piper Jaffray Deutsche Bank Credit Suisse SNS Securities(ESN) EVA Dimensions Main First Bank AG Nomura Day by Day Liberum Capital Ltd Goldman Sachs Barclays Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Kempen & Co Jefferies Petercam CA Cheuvreux Redburn Partners Theodoor Gilissen Securities Susquehanna Financial Group
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst PETER KNOX STEPHANE HOURI JEROME RAMEL CARLOS JAVIER TREVINO FRANCOIS MEUNIER JAMES CRAWSHAW LIONEL PELLICER SANDEEP S DESHPANDE PIERRE FERRAGU PHILIP SCHOLTE WESTON TWIGG PETER OLOFSEN ROBIN VAN DEN BROEK MARKUS FRIEBEL NIELS DE ZWART GUENTHER MICHAEL HOLLFELDER JAGADISH IYER KAI KORSCHELT SATYA KUMAR VICTOR BARENO TEAM COVERAGE JUERGEN WAGNER CARMEN BOYERO VALERIE GASTALDY JANARDAN MENON SIMON F SCHAFER ANDREW M GARDINER THOMAS M BECKER FLORIS OLIEMANS LEE SIMPSON MARCEL ACHTERBERG BERND LAUX SUMANT WAHI JOS VERSTEEG MEHDI HOSSEINI
Source Research MF-AGG 13G MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG 13G MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation hold buy neutral hold Overwt/Cautious buy add overweight outperform hold outperform hold buy hold hold hold overweight sell outperform reduce hold sell neutral hold sell neutral/neutral overweight reduce hold hold hold outperform neutral hold neutral
Amt Held 62'977'877 29'487'334 18'100'162 14'204'440 11'662'377 4'798'201 4'736'057 3'821'625 2'784'161 2'524'195 2'139'867 1'924'110 1'617'713 1'431'386 1'403'112 1'366'887 1'182'452 1'132'870 1'128'745 1'049'974
% Out 12.71 5.95 3.65 2.87 2.35 0.97 0.96 0.77 0.56 0.51 0.43 0.39 0.33 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 3 5 5 4 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 5 1 5 2 3 1 3 3 1 3 5 2 3 3 3 5 3 3 3
M M M M M U U M M M M M M M M N M D M M U M M M M M M M M D D M U D M
Latest Chg 2'393'989 (16'595'564) (330'640) 158'443 (3'331'764) (130'875) (30'878) (69'119) 1'864 (241'251) (277'103) 416 71'142 1'261'131 (14'539) 110'000 (28'434)
Target Price 47 52 48 42 58 50 46 44 58 45 47 47 48 47 45 48 54 35 55 31 #N/A N/A 35 43 #N/A N/A 29 57 49 28 30 45 48 51 #N/A N/A 40 35
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 12.09.2012 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2011 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 01.07.2012 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 27.08.2012 27.08.2012 27.08.2012 20.08.2012 16.08.2012 09.08.2012 06.08.2012 27.07.2012 19.07.2012 19.07.2012 18.07.2012 18.07.2012 18.07.2012 18.07.2012 11.07.2012 11.07.2012 24.04.2012 07.07.2011
24.09.2012
Assicurazioni Generali SpA Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. offers life and non-life insurance and reinsurance throughout the world. The Company offers life, health, accident, automobile, marine, aviation, transport, fire, general liability, and credit insurance and reinsurance.
Price/Volume 16
30.0 M
14
25.0 M
12 20.0 M
10 8
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.10.2011) 52-Week Low (31.05.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance G IM EQUITY YTD Change G IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 13.70 8.16 2'814'865.00 11.67 -14.74% 43.10% 66.46% 1'556.9 18'168.71 21'346.20 0.0 2'635.0 25'559.90 22'753.01
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
10.0 M
4 5.0 M
2 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 80'164.7 0.66x 0.0 0.00x 2'915.6 14.69x
15.0 M
6
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 62'298.4 85'790.6 0.61x 0.50x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 860.9 1'309.1 30.45x 20.68x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 87'072.1 0.40x 0.0 0.00x 1'701.9 12.92x
31.12.2011 73'481.8 0.22x 0.0 0.00x 856.1 20.77x 4.66% 2.46% 0.20% 5.19% 4.92% 0.17% 1.2% 5.05% 137.85% -
LTM
06/yy 83'452.1 0.81x 0.0 0.00x 1'634.5 0.00x
06/yy 74'595.1 0.50x 0.0 0.00x 892.2 18.80x
FY+1
1.05 1'261.96 10.07% 2.69% 1.051 34 2.500 9'368'201 6'647'992 7'478'569 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 75'589.6 77'877.1 20'676.0 24'038.0 0.23x 0.23x 1'788.2 2'122.4 323.0 571.0 10.28x 8.47x 9.26x 8.65x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
A
137.8% 54.1% 0.17 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
100'000.0 90'000.0
1.00
80'000.0 70'000.0
0.80 0.60 0.40
60'000.0 50'000.0 40'000.0 30'000.0 20'000.0
0.20
10'000.0 0.0
0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
*-
24.09.2012
Assicurazioni Generali SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MEDIOBANCA SPA BANCA D'ITALIA DEA PARTICIPATIONS S EFFETI SPA DELFIN SARL BLACKROCK ADVISORS U COMPASS SPA VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO VM 2006 SRL BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS DB PLATINUM ADVISORS BLACKROCK ASSET MANA MERCURY ASSET MANAGE PANTHEON 2000 SPA CALTAGIRONE EDITORE BLACKROCK ASSET JAPA GAMMA SRL BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI
Firm Name AlphaValue Mediobanca SpA Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Nomura Oddo & Cie Banca Akros(ESN) Silvia Quandt Research Independent Research GmbH ICBPI. S&P Capital IQ EVA Dimensions Day by Day Barclays Societe Generale Macquarie Keefe, Bruyette & Woods HSBC Equita SIM SpA Deutsche Bank Main First Bank AG Credit Suisse Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg JPMorgan Morgan Stanley Hamburger Sparkasse ING Wholesale Banking Goldman Sachs CA Cheuvreux Kepler Capital Markets Natixis Redburn Partners DZ Bank AG Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst JEROME CASSAGNE GIANLUCA FERRARI THOMAS SEIDL NICCOLO DALLA PALMA MICHAEL KLIEN NICOLAS JACOB MARCO CAVALLERI CHRISTIAN MUSCHICK STEFAN BONGARDT ENRICO ESPOSTI RODERICK WALLACE TEAM COVERAGE VALERIE GASTALDY CLAUDIA GASPARI WILLIAM ELDERKIN HADLEY COHEN RALPH HEBGEN KAILESH MISTRY MATTEO GHILOTTI ROBIN BUCKLEY FEDERICO SALERNO RICHARD BURDEN WERNER SCHIRMER ANDREAS VAN EMBDEN FAROOQ HANIF CHRISTIAN HAMANN MAARTEN ALTENA COLIN L SIMPSON ATANASIO PANTARROTAS GIANANTONIO VILLANI BENOIT VALLEAUX PAUL GOODHIND WERNER EISENMANN TIM PROUDLOVE
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation sell neutral underperform underperform reduce buy hold neutral sell not rated sell sell buy equalweight buy neutral underperform neutral buy hold neutral underperform sell neutral Underwt/In-Line hold sell neutral/neutral underperform buy neutral neutral sell hold
Amt Held 194'048'687 69'420'980 35'185'336 34'360'194 31'168'603 18'775'892 14'198'684 13'775'163 13'575'935 6'196'356 5'495'763 5'348'542 3'701'081 3'605'103 3'502'965 3'144'884 3'020'334 2'958'059 2'837'133 2'737'997
% Out 12.46 4.46 2.26 2.21 2 1.21 0.91 0.88 0.87 0.4 0.35 0.34 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.2 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18
Weighting
Change
1 3 1 1 2 5 3 3 1 #N/A N/A 1 1 5 3 5 3 1 3 5 3 3 1 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 5 3 3 1 3
M M M M M M M M M M D D U M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 651'927 1'332 (420'433) (23'627)
Target Price 9 15 6 11 12 14 12 11 10 #N/A N/A 11 #N/A N/A 13 11 12 13 11 10 13 12 10 13 8 11 11 #N/A N/A 10 12 10 14 12 #N/A N/A 10 16
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 30.06.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 31.08.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 31.07.2012 20.09.2012
Date 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Bank Government Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Corporation n/a n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 20.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 10.08.2012 09.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 26.07.2012 24.07.2012 12.07.2012 03.07.2012 25.06.2012 22.06.2012 14.05.2012 14.05.2012 15.03.2012 21.12.2011 16.05.2011
24.09.2012
AXA SA AXA SA is an insurance company which also provides related financial services. The Company offers life and non-life insurance, reinsurance, savings and pension products, and asset management services. AXA operates in both domestic and international markets.
Price/Volume 14
30.0 M
12
25.0 M
10
20.0 M
8
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.03.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CS FP EQUITY YTD Change CS FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
4
5.0 M
2 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 115'035.0 0.57x 0.0 0.00x 5'666.0 11.80x
15.0 M
6
12/2011 03/yy 13.25 8.00 1'850'509.00 12.295 -7.13% 53.69% 85.05% 2'357.3 28'983.45 16'693.00 6'059.0 2'371.0 31'072.00 23'828.44
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 51'235.0 122'704.0 0.62x 0.36x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 923.0 3'606.0 51.67x 10.60x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 117'414.0 0.29x 0.0 0.00x 2'749.0 12.33x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 98'334.0 0.18x 0.0 0.00x 4'324.0 7.63x 4.36% 4.67% 0.59% 9.38% 6.89% 0.13% 4.4% 2.29% 39.27% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
03/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.54 2'011.14 58.72% 31.14% 1.538 40 4.300 9'702'669 8'761'883 10'101'770 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 06/12 Q2 09/12 Q3 96'117.9 97'395.5 0.42x 0.42x 4'355.6 4'613.0 2'213.0 6.66x 6.21x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.01.2012 A NEG 27.01.2012 A-1 39.3% 24.7% 0.13 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
3.00
140'000.0
2.50
120'000.0 100'000.0
2.00
80'000.0 1.50
60'000.0
1.00
40'000.0
0.50
20'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
AXA SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MUTUELLES AXA BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG AMUNDI CAPITAL WORLD INVEST HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS FRANKLIN RESOURCES I NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC LANSDOWNE UK EQUITY WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP FIDELITY MANAGEMENT FIDELITY INTERNATION BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA AVIVA PLC LBPAM BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BLACKROCK ASSET MANA TEMPLETON INVESTMENT BLACKROCK INVESTMENT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Deutsche Bank OLIVER STEEL Helvea DANIEL BISCHOF AlphaValue JEROME CASSAGNE Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY National Bank AG MANFRED JAISFELD Mediobanca SpA MARC THIELE Macquarie NEIL WELCH Credit Suisse RICHARD BURDEN Silvia Quandt Research CHRISTIAN MUSCHICK Oddo & Cie NICOLAS JACOB EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Exane BNP Paribas THOMAS JACQUET Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Barclays CLAUDIA GASPARI Morgan Stanley FAROOQ HANIF Societe Generale WILLIAM ELDERKIN Jefferies JAMES SHUCK Keefe, Bruyette & Woods RALPH HEBGEN HSBC KAILESH MISTRY Natixis BENOIT VALLEAUX S&P Capital IQ RODERICK WALLACE Main First Bank AG FEDERICO SALERNO Raymond James DANNY JACQUES Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg WERNER SCHIRMER CM - CIC Securities(ESN) PIERRE CHEDEVILLE Bryan Garnier & Cie OLIVIER PAUCHAUT Nomura NICK HOLMES JPMorgan ANDREAS VAN EMBDEN Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS Kepler Capital Markets FABRIZIO CROCE RBC Capital Markets GORDON AITKEN ING Wholesale Banking MAARTEN ALTENA Goldman Sachs COLIN L SIMPSON CA Cheuvreux ATANASIO PANTARROTAS Redburn Partners LANCE BURBIDGE DZ Bank AG WERNER EISENMANN Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research JOY FERNEYHOUGH Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TIM PROUDLOVE CS Capital CHRISTOPHER PARKINSON BBVA SILVIA RIGOL CARNEIRO
Source Co File Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Short 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy buy buy buy hold outperform outperform outperform neutral buy overweight hold outperform hold equalweight Overwt/In-Line buy buy outperform overweight buy buy buy strong buy hold buy neutral buy underweight buy hold outperform hold Buy/Neutral outperform neutral buy buy outperform sell outperform
Amt Held % Out 342'767'775 14.54 131'539'770 5.58 91'682'238 3.89 44'849'873 1.9 37'453'130 1.59 34'298'640 1.45 33'746'063 1.43 21'706'586 0.92 (20'395'259) -0.87 16'895'575 0.72 14'608'697 0.62 14'543'995 0.62 14'276'690 0.61 12'575'092 0.53 10'979'810 0.47 10'561'453 0.45 9'182'545 0.39 5'921'227 0.25 5'827'761 0.25 5'730'473 0.24
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 1 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 1 5
M M M U M N M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (20'493'797) (3'089'167) 14'659 851'392 3'474'030 1'287'112 (7'936'172) 5'686'416 (21'097) 288'801 62'297 924'515 47'782 (3'613'338) 1'876 (23'060) 660'660
Target Price 14 15 18 13 13 19 14 16 11 13 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 12 14 15 18 13 18 19 16 16 13 14 11 16 16 23 10 17 10 16 12 15 14 #N/A N/A 14 21 16 13 22
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 11.09.2012 Investment Advisor 15.05.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 16.09.2011 Unclassified 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 6 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 13.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 21.08.2012 20.08.2012 16.08.2012 14.08.2012 10.08.2012 08.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 09.07.2012 03.07.2012 03.07.2012 25.06.2012 22.06.2012 15.03.2012 20.12.2011 05.10.2011 06.06.2011 22.02.2011 17.02.2011
24.09.2012
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. attracts deposits and offers retail, wholesale, and investment banking services. The Bank offers consumer and mortgage loans, private banking, asset management, insurance, mutual funds, and securities brokerage services. It operates in Europe, Latin America, United States, China and Turkey.
Price/Volume
12/2011 06/yy 7.20 4.31 17'171'782.00 6.431 -10.64% 49.21% 77.62% 5'382.1 34'612.34 219'679.00 1'893.0 57'046.00 -
Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
500.0 M 400.0 M 300.0 M
3 2
200.0 M
1
100.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
600.0 M
6 4
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.02.2012) 52-Week Low (23.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 09.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BBVA SQ EQUITY YTD Change BBVA SQ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
700.0 M
7 5
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 35'719.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 6'126.0 9.86x
8
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 41'508.0 34'467.0 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 5'020.0 4'210.0 6.41x 11.37x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 32'482.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 4'606.0 6.46x
31.12.2011 36'094.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 3'004.0 10.44x 21.06% 15.04% 0.52% 8.11% 1.47% 0.06% 12.0% 36.75% 575.60% -
LTM
06/yy 23'277.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 4'417.0 7.77x
06/yy 20'822.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'175.0 13.04x
FY+1
1.25 5'378.16 19.90% 1.86% 1.254 44 3.045 ######### 68'513'300 86'387'260 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 22'264.0 23'148.8 5'512.0 5'764.0 2'190.4 4'400.5 1'026.0 1'082.0 16.45x 8.35x 10.81x 9.90x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.04.2012 BBB+ NEG 30.04.2012 A-2 575.6% 84.6% 0.06 6.64 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
45'000.0 40'000.0
1.00 0.80
35'000.0 30'000.0 25'000.0
0.60
20'000.0 15'000.0
0.40 0.20
10'000.0 5'000.0 0.0
0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BNP PARIBAS SA INVERAVANTE INVERSIO JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BLACKROCK ASSET MANA FIDELITY MANAGEMENT OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC FIDELITY INTERNATION BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG MERCURY ASSET MANAGE NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE SANTANDER ASSET MGMT CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO CREDIT SUISSE ASSET BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI LBPAM UNION INVESTMENT LUX AVIVA PLC
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Redburn Partners GEORGE SOSEI KARAMANOS Societe Generale CARLO TOMMASELLI Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Oddo & Cie JULIE LEGRAND RBC Capital Markets PATRICK LEE Bankia Bolsa (ESN) JAVIER BERNAT Exane BNP Paribas SANTIAGO LOPEZ DIAZ NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FRANCISCO RIQUEL AlphaValue DAVID GRINSZTAJN Morgan Stanley ALVARO SERRANO Grupo Santander ARTURO DE FRIAS Barclays ROHITH CHANDRA-RAJAN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Macquarie BENJIE CREELAN-SANDFORD Nomura DARAGH QUINN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN CA Cheuvreux ADRIAN ZUNZUNEGUI RUANO Nord/LB MICHAEL SEUFERT Kepler Capital Markets ALEJANDRO RUYRA DE ANDRADE Mediobanca SpA ANDREA FILTRI Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ANTONIO RAMIREZ Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg INGO FROMMEN Berenberg Bank MARCO TROIANO Credit Suisse IGNACIO CEREZO Renta 4 SA SVB NURIA ALVAREZ Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research JUAN PABLO LOPEZ S&P Capital IQ JAWAHAR HINGORANI Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad JUAN ALBERTO TUESTA VILANOVA Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS BPI CARLOS JOAQUIM PEIXOTO Deutsche Bank CARLOS BERASTAIN GONZALEZ HSBC CARLO DIGRANDI JPMorgan JAIME BECERRIL Hammer Partners SA ENRICO RACIOPPI ING Wholesale Banking ALEXANDER PELTESHKI Ahorro Corporacion Financiera SA IRMA GARRIDO Goldman Sachs JERNEJ OMAHEN Natixis FREDERIC TESCHNER La Caixa DAVID FERNANDEZ DZ Bank AG SABINE BOHN
Source EXCH 13G MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral sell hold neutral sector perform hold underperform neutral buy Equalwt/In-Line buy underweight hold underperform buy buy hold underperform hold hold neutral market perform hold sell neutral overweight neutral sell overweight buy buy buy neutral underweight sell hold buy Buy/Neutral neutral buy sell
Amt Held 161'614'301 160'934'820 58'006'801 53'795'703 28'502'890 28'177'991 24'360'232 23'301'237 17'768'556 17'556'967 15'399'813 14'926'580 10'963'336 10'404'958 8'695'531 6'343'622 6'132'364 5'976'014 5'972'440 5'773'679
% Out 3 2.99 1.08 1 0.53 0.52 0.45 0.43 0.33 0.33 0.29 0.28 0.2 0.19 0.16 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11
Weighting
Change 3 1 3 3 3 3 1 3 5 3 5 1 3 1 5 5 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 5 3 1 5 5 5 5 3 1 1 3 5 5 3 5 1
M M M M M M D M M D M M D M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M U M M U M
Latest Chg 5'428'836 (86'470'698) (2'785'201) 3'353'895 203'081 350 133'868 (115'432) 101'341 (3'451'559) (737'051) 3'545'078 2'747'836 181'156 (2'275) 137'439 (31'599) 14'027 78'565
Target Price #N/A N/A 6 7 9 6 7 6 7 9 7 8 5 #N/A N/A 5 8 7 #N/A N/A 7 #N/A N/A 6 6 7 6 5 6 6 6 5 7 9 7 7 6 6 6 5 7 8 6 8 5
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 05.01.2012 24.07.2012 30.06.2012 30.06.2012 30.06.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 29.02.2012 31.07.2012 20.09.2012 01.04.2012 30.06.2012 30.06.2012 23.08.2012 20.09.2012 31.07.2012 30.03.2012 30.05.2012
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 15 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Bank Other Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 28.08.2012 24.08.2012 21.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 26.07.2012 20.07.2012 06.07.2012 26.06.2012 19.06.2012 05.06.2012 29.05.2012 22.05.2012 15.05.2012 16.03.2012 06.02.2012
24.09.2012
Banco Santander SA Banco Santander SA attracts deposits and offers retail, commercial and private banking, and asset management services. The Bank offers consumer credit, mortgage loans, lease financing, factoring, mutual funds, pension funds, insurance, commercial credit, investment banking services, structured finance, and advice on mergers and acquisitions.
Price/Volume 7
600.0 M
6
500.0 M
5
400.0 M
4
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (12.09.2012) 52-Week Low (23.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 13.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SAN SQ EQUITY YTD Change SAN SQ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
200.0 M
2
100.0 M
1 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 60'110.4 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 9'060.3 11.35x
300.0 M
3
12/2011 06/yy 6.33 3.98 17'351'217.00 6.15 -2.84% 54.68% 96.60% 9'898.8 60'877.38 424'081.00 0.0 6'445.0 148'250.00 -
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 70'114.3 69'736.2 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 8'876.4 8'942.5 5.74x 11.09x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 68'965.5 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 8'180.9 8.39x
31.12.2011 78'009.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 5'351.0 9.74x 21.87% 16.55% 0.43% 7.07% 1.24% 0.06% 11.2% 33.89% 554.98% -
LTM
06/yy 43'302.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 7'239.0 9.60x
06/yy 44'528.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 3'554.0 13.63x
FY+1
1.20 9'735.76 15.38% 12.55% 1.200 43 3.186 94'430'520 62'979'760 ######### FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 45'016.3 46'906.7 10'897.0 11'118.0 4'513.3 7'318.0 1'227.0 1'139.0 12.90x 8.60x 11.12x 11.39x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.04.2012 ANEG 30.04.2012 A-2 555.0% 83.7% 0.06 7.87 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
90'000.0 80'000.0
1.00 0.80
70'000.0 60'000.0 50'000.0
0.60
40'000.0 30'000.0
0.40 0.20
20'000.0 10'000.0 0.0
0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Banco Santander SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BNP PARIBAS SA CAPITAL RESEARCH AND BARCLAYS PLC VANGUARD GROUP INC HARRIS ASSOCIATES L DE LOS RIOS EMILIO B BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO CAPITAL WORLD INVEST ASSICURAZIONI GENERA DODGE & COX BLACKROCK ASSET MANA FRANKLIN RESOURCES I MERCURY ASSET MANAGE BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO LBPAM LATIMER INVERSIONES BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI BNP ASSET MANAGEMENT PUENTEPUMAR SL
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios HARRIS ASSOC LP n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst
Redburn Partners GEORGE SOSEI KARAMANOS Societe Generale CARLO TOMMASELLI AlphaValue DAVID GRINSZTAJN Oddo & Cie JULIE LEGRAND Exane BNP Paribas SANTIAGO LOPEZ DIAZ NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FRANCISCO RIQUEL Inverseguros Sociedad de Valores ALBERTO ROLDAN Morgan Stanley ALVARO SERRANO Bankia Bolsa (ESN) JAVIER BERNAT Ahorro Corporacion Financiera SA IRMA GARRIDO Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Barclays ROHITH CHANDRA-RAJAN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Macquarie BENJIE CREELAN-SANDFORD Berenberg Bank MARCO TROIANO Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY ING Wholesale Banking ALEXANDER PELTESHKI RBC Capital Markets PATRICK LEE CA Cheuvreux ADRIAN ZUNZUNEGUI RUANO Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg INGO FROMMEN Nord/LB MICHAEL SEUFERT JPMorgan JAIME BECERRIL Kepler Capital Markets ALEJANDRO RUYRA DE ANDRADE Goldman Sachs JERNEJ OMAHEN Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research JUAN PABLO LOPEZ Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ANTONIO RAMIREZ Mediobanca SpA ANDREA FILTRI Natixis FREDERIC TESCHNER Nomura DARAGH QUINN BPI CARLOS JOAQUIM PEIXOTO Credit Suisse IGNACIO CEREZO Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Renta 4 SA SVB NURIA ALVAREZ S&P Capital IQ JAWAHAR HINGORANI Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad JUAN ALBERTO TUESTA VILANOVA Deutsche Bank CARLOS BERASTAIN GONZALEZ HSBC CARLO DIGRANDI Hammer Partners SA ENRICO RACIOPPI BBVA IGNACIO ULARGUI DZ Bank AG SABINE BOHN La Caixa DAVID FERNANDEZ
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG 13F EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH
Recommendation neutral hold buy buy underperform neutral neutral Overwt/In-Line hold buy hold underweight overweight underperform buy buy hold underperform underperform sell hold neutral hold Buy/Neutral neutral buy outperform underperform reduce reduce buy neutral hold hold hold restricted hold neutral buy not rated sell buy
Amt Held 255'109'664 243'314'406 227'263'557 131'449'224 85'945'996 79'095'580 52'997'249 51'924'531 50'134'290 49'090'437 46'371'488 29'921'253 27'166'773 25'227'953 20'927'139 20'137'533 20'087'855 14'346'451 14'086'697 13'757'649
% Out 2.58 2.46 2.3 1.33 0.87 0.8 0.54 0.52 0.51 0.5 0.47 0.3 0.27 0.25 0.21 0.2 0.2 0.14 0.14 0.14
Weighting
Change
3 3 5 5 1 3 3 5 3 5 3 1 5 1 5 5 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 5 3 5 5 1 2 2 5 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 3 3 5 #N/A N/A 1 5
M M M M M M M U M M M M D M M U D M M D M D M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 19'731'602 (153'006'242) (56'807'364) 12'707'663 (1'992'003) 8'975 18'358'960 1'963'618 243'644 1'154'049 (631'594) (8'893'158) (2'588'035) 332'468 9'829'423 -
Target Price #N/A N/A 6 10 9 4 6 6 7 6 6 6 4 #N/A N/A 4 5 7 5 5 7 5 #N/A N/A 5 5 7 6 8 7 4 4 7 7 4 #N/A N/A 6 5 #N/A N/A 7 5 6 #N/A N/A 4 7
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 05.08.2011 Bank 08.05.2011 Investment Advisor 03.05.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 03.08.2012 n/a 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 01.10.2011 Insurance Company 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 11.07.2011 n/a 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 11.07.2011 n/a
Date Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 3 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 15 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 31.08.2012 28.08.2012 24.08.2012 22.08.2012 21.08.2012 21.08.2012 02.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 29.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 18.07.2012 17.07.2012 06.07.2012 28.06.2012 22.06.2012 23.05.2012 16.03.2012
24.09.2012
BASF SE BASF SE is a chemical company. The Company operates in six segments: Chemicals, Plastics, Performance Products, Functional Solutions, Agricultural Solutions and Oil & Gas. BASF offers products for the chemical, automotive, construction, agriculture, oil, plastics, electrical / electronics, furniture and paper industries, and provides a range of system solutions and services.
Price/Volume 80
8.0 M
50
12/2011 06/yy 68.63 43.03 1'072'082.00 67.27 -2.03% 56.33% 97.15% 918.5 61'786.06 13'004.00 0.0 1'246.0 2'067.00 74'556.06
6.0 M
30
4.0 M
20 2.0 M
10 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 62'304.0 50'693.0 0.62x 1.07x 10'238.0 8'500.0 3.74x 6.36x 2'912.0 1'410.0 8.86x 28.22x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 63'873.0 1.09x 11'903.0 5.85x 4'557.0 12.04x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 73'497.0 0.84x 11'855.0 5.20x 6'188.0 8.00x 11'855.00 8'436.00 11.48% 12.20% 10.26% 27.17% 18.83% 1.22% 26.5% 16.1% 11.5% 8.4% 1.64 0.79 21.26% 53.87% 6.98 5.76
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 70'027.0 3.84x 12'710.0 5.93x 6'210.0 9.97x
f-12
06/yy 75'746.0 3.31x 12'649.0 4.98x 5'276.0 9.52x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.07 918.48 58.06% 29.85% 1.068 44 4.159 4'012'749 2'984'423 3'325'162 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 76'723.4 78'814.0 18'252.3 18'558.7 0.95x 0.90x 4.05x 3.91x 12'139.5 12'780.3 2'765.2 2'465.8 6.15x 5.84x 6.42x 6.45x 5'059.6 5'558.8 1'138.8 781.5 12.34x 11.14x 12.11x 11.87x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
10.05.2011 A+ STABLE 12.02.2009 A-1 15.54 11.07 0.92 1.10 53.9% 33.9% 1.22 4.18 52.28 63.37 32.50 83.15
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
80'000.0
9.00
70'000.0
8.00
60'000.0
7.00
50'000.0
6.00 5.00
40'000.0
4.00
30'000.0
3.00
20'000.0
2.00
10'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
60 40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.03.2012) 52-Week Low (04.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BAS GY EQUITY YTD Change BAS GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2007 57'951.3 1.01x 10'480.0 5.59x 4'065.5 12.15x
12.0 M
70
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
BASF SE Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC BLACKROCK ASSET MANA DEUTSCHE BANK AG VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO UNION INVESTMENT GMB DB PLATINUM ADVISORS CAPITAL WORLD INVEST FIDELITY MANAGEMENT ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI FIDELITY INTERNATION DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH ADIG INVESTMENT CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO FRANKFURT TRUST INVE MERCURY ASSET MANAGE UNION INVESTMENT LUX ETFLAB INVESTMENT GM DEKA INTERNATIONAL S
Firm Name Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Independent Research GmbH M.M. Warburg Investment Research Jefferies AlphaValue Bankhaus Metzler Exane BNP Paribas Nord/LB JPMorgan Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Hamburger Sparkasse Morgan Stanley Nomura Baader Bank ING Wholesale Banking DZ Bank AG Deutsche Bank Kepler Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Barclays Day by Day Banco Sabadell Societe Generale Credit Suisse HSBC Macquarie CA Cheuvreux Bankhaus Lampe Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) S&P Capital IQ Redburn Partners National Bank AG Canaccord Genuity Corp Berenberg Bank Main First Bank AG Gilford Securities Goldman Sachs BHF-Bank Silvia Quandt Research Steubing AG SRH AlsterResearch
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst LUTZ GRUETEN JEREMY REDENIUS CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE OLIVER SCHWARZ LAURENCE ALEXANDER MARTIN SCHNEE LARS HETTCHE JAMES KNIGHT THORSTEN STRAUSS NEIL C TYLER ULLE WORNER MARCO GUENTHER PAUL R WALSH JEAN DE WATTEVILLE NORBERT BARTH FILIP DE PAUW PETER SPENGLER TIMOTHY JONES MARKUS MAYER TEAM COVERAGE ANDREAS HEINE VALERIE GASTALDY GLEN SPENCER-CHAPMAN PETER CLARK CHRIS COUNIHAN GEOFF HAIRE CHRISTIAN FAITZ MARTIN ROEDIGER HEIKO FEBER NADESHDA DEMIDOVA JOHNSON IMODE TONY JONES STEFFEN MANSKE PAUL W SATCHELL JAIDEEP PANDYA RONALD KOEHLER PAUL C CHRISTOPHERSON RICHARD LOGAN ANNETT WEBER HARALD GRUBER TEAM COVERAGE OLIVER DREBING
Source Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy market perform buy buy hold reduce buy outperform buy neutral buy buy Overwt/In-Line buy buy hold buy buy buy overweight equalweight buy sell hold outperform overweight neutral outperform buy buy buy buy hold sell hold neutral buy Buy/Neutral overweight neutral buy buy
Amt Held 63'927'154 22'809'500 12'244'261 11'895'706 8'149'811 7'813'456 7'708'426 7'324'300 6'686'250 4'816'961 4'515'375 4'449'760 3'863'614 3'692'429 3'497'000 2'734'637 2'667'339 1'800'862 1'783'841 1'637'011
% Out 6.96 2.48 1.33 1.3 0.89 0.85 0.84 0.8 0.73 0.52 0.49 0.48 0.42 0.4 0.38 0.3 0.29 0.2 0.19 0.18
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 3 2 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 1 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 1 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M
Latest Chg 22'520 104'500 (468'312) 4'081 (84'376) 358'038 (52'638) (40'866) (2'925'604) (36'410) (50'000) (104'150) (15'043) 36'546 (434'628)
Target Price 76 61 80 75 67 66 72 68 67 59 72 #N/A N/A 74 80 73 57 70 74 67 #N/A N/A 68 67 51 55 67 68 63 68 80 80 78 #N/A N/A 64 45 53 65 64 82 78 65 81 60
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 01.02.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
Date 6 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 15 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 17.09.2012 11.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 28.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 20.08.2012 16.08.2012 06.08.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 24.07.2012 27.06.2012 22.05.2012 27.04.2012 27.02.2012 05.01.2012 29.10.2010
24.09.2012
Bayer AG Bayer AG produces and markets healthcare and agricultural products, and polymers. The Company manufactures products that include aspirin, antibiotics, anti-infectives, and cardiovascular, oncology, and central nervous system drugs, over-the-counter medications, diagnostics, animal health products, crop protection products, plastics, and polyurethanes.
Price/Volume 80
8.0 M
50 40
12/2011 06/yy 68.47 38.82 1'160'411.00 67.85 -0.91% 74.78% 97.45% 826.9 56'108.41 11'679.00 0.0 59.0 4'554.00 64'086.41
6.0 M
30
4.0 M
20 2.0 M
10 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 32'918.0 31'168.0 1.40x 1.80x 6'702.0 7'695.0 6.86x 7.30x 1'719.0 1'359.0 18.72x 32.92x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 35'088.0 1.53x 8'900.0 6.04x 1'301.0 35.22x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 36'528.0 1.32x 8'963.0 5.36x 2'470.0 16.52x 8'963.00 6'194.00 16.96% 9.21% 4.74% 12.98% 10.16% 0.70% 50.8% 24.5% 17.0% 6.8% 1.50 0.87 22.13% 60.79% 5.32 2.88
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 36'260.0 5.82x 8'911.0 5.93x 1'519.0 29.89x
f-12
06/yy 38'094.0 5.11x 9'480.0 5.77x 2'583.0 18.06x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
0.97 826.95 77.46% 41.61% 0.969 41 3.951 4'244'900 2'591'817 2'706'851 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 38'912.5 40'707.4 9'315.0 9'539.6 1.63x 1.52x 7.04x 6.69x 7'930.2 8'701.3 1'787.8 1'739.6 8.09x 7.37x 7.63x 7.41x 4'407.1 4'846.2 950.0 921.2 12.68x 11.58x 12.16x 11.90x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.04.2008 APOS 11.07.2006 A-2 9.98 8.18 0.79 1.30 60.8% 37.7% 0.70 3.72 68.59 126.63 72.80 122.42
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
40'000.0
14.00
35'000.0
12.00
30'000.0
10.00
25'000.0
8.00
20'000.0
6.00
15'000.0
4.00
10'000.0
2.00
5'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
60
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (24.09.2012) 52-Week Low (04.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BAYN GY EQUITY YTD Change BAYN GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2007 32'385.0 1.83x 6'665.0 8.90x 4'711.0 21.43x
12.0 M
70
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Bayer AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL RESEARCH AND BLACKROCK INC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO BLACKROCK ASSET MANA DODGE & COX VANGUARD GROUP INC FIDELITY MANAGEMENT MORGAN STANLEY BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO DEUTSCHE BANK AG MASSACHUSETTS FINANC DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH DB PLATINUM ADVISORS UNION INVESTMENT GMB FIDELITY INTERNATION BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP
Firm Name Deutsche Bank Bryan Garnier & Cie Redburn Partners Exane BNP Paribas Sanford C. Bernstein & Co AlphaValue Helvea Nord/LB Baader Bank Kepler Capital Markets DZ Bank AG Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Nomura Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Main First Bank AG Goldman Sachs CA Cheuvreux Berenberg Bank Jefferies Day by Day Credit Suisse Societe Generale Hamburger Sparkasse Natixis Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) Morgan Stanley Macquarie Independent Research GmbH National Bank AG M.M. Warburg Investment Research S&P Capital IQ Silvia Quandt Research Bankhaus Metzler Barclays EVA Dimensions JPMorgan Banco Sabadell Dolmen Stockbrokers Liberum Capital Ltd
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP
Analyst TIM RACE SEBASTIEN MALAFOSSE TEAM COVERAGE FLORENT CESPEDES JEREMY REDENIUS MARTIN SCHNEE ODILE RUNDQUIST THORSTEN STRAUSS NORBERT BARTH FABIAN WENNER PETER SPENGLER DANIEL WENDORFF JEAN DE WATTEVILLE ULLE WORNER RONALD KOEHLER RICHARD LOGAN LAURENT FLAMME ALISTAIR CAMPBELL JEFFREY HOLFORD VALERIE GASTALDY JOHANNA WALTON STEPHEN MCGARRY MARCO GUENTHER BEATRICE MUZARD EDOUARD AUBERY PETER VERDULT CHRISTIAN FAITZ CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE STEFFEN MANSKE ULRICH HUWALD SHO MATSUBARA CLAUDIA LAKATOS SEBASTIAN FRERICKS MARK PURCELL TEAM COVERAGE RICHARD VOSSER MARTA DIAZ IAN G HUNTER NARESH CHOUHAN
Source EXCH Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F
Recommendation buy buy buy neutral market perform reduce accumulate hold hold buy buy buy neutral buy buy neutral/neutral select list buy hold hold outperform hold sell buy accumulate Overwt/Cautious outperform buy hold hold hold neutral buy equalweight hold neutral buy buy buy
Amt Held 82'446'697 33'192'862 25'372'485 23'350'427 20'512'953 16'199'870 12'660'841 11'062'794 8'564'198 8'182'023 7'135'144 6'996'761 6'837'229 5'940'541 5'880'000 5'663'539 4'522'236 4'335'847 3'847'739 3'103'791
% Out 9.97 4.01 3.07 2.82 2.48 1.96 1.53 1.34 1.04 0.99 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.72 0.71 0.68 0.55 0.52 0.47 0.38
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 3 3 2 4 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 5 3 1 5 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M D M M M U M N M N
Latest Chg 276'000 (714'974) 17'246 (270'000) 822'988 93'680 (333'517) 1'833 127'000 (36'255) (142'582) 5'000'000 (300) 353'581 (203'494) (227'103) 24'439
Target Price 71 69 #N/A N/A 65 62 61 69 58 66 72 68 72 70 70 75 77 68 71 65 #N/A N/A 66 62 #N/A N/A 70 70 60 71 72 65 65 64 63 69 57 #N/A N/A 62 #N/A N/A 64 57
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 04.08.2011 Investment Advisor 19.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 03.05.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 10.09.2012 06.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 28.08.2012 27.08.2012 13.08.2012 11.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 24.07.2012 19.07.2012 15.05.2012 27.04.2012 05.03.2012 27.10.2011 15.09.2010
24.09.2012
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) AG manufactures and sells luxury cars and motorcycles worldwide. The Company produces everything from convertible sports cars to luxury sedans to touring motorcycles with large displacement engines.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (16.03.2012) 52-Week Low (04.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BMW GY EQUITY YTD Change BMW GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 73.95 43.49 740'092.00 58.99 -20.19% 35.64% 53.51% 602.0 37'835.65 67'977.00 0.0 65.0 11'527.00 94'840.65
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
70
7.0 M
60
6.0 M
50
5.0 M
40
4.0 M
30
3.0 M
20
2.0 M
10
1.0 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 53'197.0 50'681.0 1.19x 1.40x 11'231.0 9'311.0 5.64x 7.59x 324.0 204.0 44.10x 102.58x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 60'477.0 1.49x 9'087.0 9.93x 3'227.0 11.94x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 68'821.0 1.31x 11'660.0 7.76x 4'881.0 6.95x 11'660.00 8'006.00 11.63% 10.73% 4.18% 19.16% 6.10% 0.59% 21.1% 16.9% 11.6% 7.1% 1.04 0.31 55.07% 251.41% 24.86 6.24
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 66'611.0 5.28x 10'105.0 0.00x 4'977.0 8.96x
f-12
06/yy 72'391.0 5.07x 10'366.0 0.00x 4'489.0 8.30x
m-12
a-12
m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.07 320.86 17.20% 18.15% 1.067 39 4.103 3'022'897 2'494'908 2'576'127 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 73'689.4 76'362.2 17'891.8 18'871.3 0.56x 0.52x 1.43x 1.31x 12'817.5 13'153.1 2'003.0 1'955.0 7.40x 7.21x 11.68x 11.79x 4'932.9 5'089.9 1'205.7 1'224.7 7.80x 7.64x 7.51x 7.53x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
16.04.2012 A STABLE 16.04.2012 A-1 12.36 8.46 4.84 5.83 251.4% 71.5% 0.59 2.11 14.68 58.52 31.27 41.93
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
45.00
80'000.0
40.00
70'000.0
35.00
60'000.0
30.00
50'000.0
25.00
40'000.0
20.00
30'000.0
15.00
20'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
5.00 0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 56'018.0 1.18x 12'397.0 5.31x 3'126.0 8.94x
80
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name QUANDT STEFAN QUANDT JOHANNA KLATTEN SUSANNE BLACKROCK FINANCIAL CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BLACKROCK ASSET MANA WADDELL & REED FINAN DODGE & COX FIDELITY INTERNATION VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO DEUTSCHE BANK AG WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH UNION INVESTMENT GMB BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO DB PLATINUM ADVISORS FIDELITY MANAGEMENT ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES MASSACHUSETTS FINANC
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Redburn Partners AlphaValue Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Credit Suisse HSBC Morgan Stanley Exane BNP Paribas Nord/LB DZ Bank AG Hamburger Sparkasse Silvia Quandt Research Bankhaus Metzler Societe Generale Baader Bank Macquarie Oddo & Cie M.M. Warburg Investment Research Natixis Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) Barclays Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Independent Research GmbH Bankhaus Lampe National Bank AG S&P Capital IQ Day by Day Kepler Capital Markets JPMorgan CA Cheuvreux Dr. Kalliwoda Equity Research Deutsche Bank Main First Bank AG Steubing AG Cyrrus
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst MAX WARBURTON CHARLES WINSTON HANS-PETER WODNIOK STEFAN BURGSTALLER TEAM COVERAGE DANIEL SCHWARZ ARNDT ELLINGHORST HORST SCHNEIDER STUART PEARSON RABIH FREIHA FRANK SCHWOPE MICHAEL PUNZET TINA HECKING-VELTMAN ALBRECHT DENNINGHOFF JUERGEN PIEPER PHILIPPE BARRIER JOSE ASUMENDI CHRISTIAN BREITSPRECHER FRANCOIS MAURY MARC-RENE TONN GEORGES DIENG TIM SCHULDT KRISTINA CHURCH FRANK BILLER ZAFER RUEZGAR CHRISTIAN LUDWIG MANFRED JAISFELD MARNIE COHEN VALERIE GASTALDY MICHAEL RAAB BERNARD DONGES ALEXANDER NEUBERGER NORBERT KALLIWODA JOCHEN GEHRKE LOTHAR LUBINETZKI MICHAEL BROEKER JAN ROH
Source Co File Co File Co File Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy add buy/attractive hold add outperform neutral Equalwt/In-Line neutral hold sell hold not rated sell buy buy neutral reduce hold buy buy overweight hold buy buy buy strong buy buy buy overweight outperform buy hold buy buy buy
Amt Held 104'747'161 100'533'195 75'851'392 23'951'672 8'542'000 8'133'471 7'898'600 6'303'800 4'363'668 4'031'964 3'748'100 3'210'189 3'128'161 2'907'590 2'871'392 2'792'528 2'564'531 2'194'368 2'030'402 1'826'584
% Out 17.4 16.7 12.6 3.98 1.42 1.35 1.31 1.05 0.72 0.67 0.62 0.53 0.52 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.43 0.36 0.34 0.3
Weighting
Change
5 5 4 5 3 4 5 3 3 3 3 1 3 #N/A N/A 1 5 5 3 2 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5
M M D M U M M D M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M U M M M N M M M M
Latest Chg 2'722'000 320 (132'600) (1'270'000) (542'160) 91'471 (7'600) 198'600 212'014 (533'989) (300) 1'475 1'798'319 60'637 150'530 16'662
Target Price 75 #N/A N/A 72 118 #N/A N/A 68 80 60 62 71 59 58 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 50 70 90 60 55 70 72 88 85 62 70 80 75 83 71 71 87 80 81 68 87 100 68
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 n/a 12.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 3 month Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 31.08.2012 22.08.2012 21.08.2012 17.08.2012 08.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 30.07.2012 20.07.2012 18.07.2012 17.07.2012 06.06.2012 26.03.2012 18.03.2012 05.01.2012 11.10.2011
24.09.2012
BNP Paribas SA BNP Paribas S.A. attracts deposits and offers commercial, retail, investment, private and corporate banking services. The Bank also provides asset management and investment advisory services to institutions and individuals in Europe, the United States, Asia and the Emerging Markets.
Price/Volume 45
20.0 M 18.0 M 16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M
40 35 30 25 20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 10.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BNP FP EQUITY YTD Change BNP FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 40.60 24.00 1'789'519.00 39.015 -3.86% 62.56% 94.40% 1'253.7 48'914.18 1'125'331.00 7'261.0 10'256.0 107'751.00 -
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 5 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 78'052.0 70'526.0 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 3'021.0 5'832.0 9.85x 10.75x Profitability
31.12.2010 72'848.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 7'843.0 7.52x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 71'009.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 6'050.0 6.30x 20.22% 20.16% 0.31% 8.56% 0.56% 0.04% 12.6% 57.26% 1652.25% -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data
LTM-4Q
LTM
06/yy 45'449.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 8'199.0 7.76x
06/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 6'021.0 6.02x
FY+1
1.54 1'096.03 61.53% 34.73% 1.540 36 4.139 7'021'354 5'552'382 6'492'596 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 06/12 Q2 09/12 Q3 39'133.5 40'427.6 9'934.9 9'384.5 6'839.9 6'949.3 1'585.4 1'350.0 7.12x 7.07x 7.48x 7.46x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
23.01.2012 AANEG 23.01.2012 A-1+ 1652.3% 92.9% 0.04 2.40 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
4.50
90'000.0
4.00
80'000.0
3.50
70'000.0
3.00
60'000.0
2.50
50'000.0
2.00
40'000.0
1.50
30'000.0
1.00
20'000.0
0.50
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
o-11
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 85'022.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 7'822.0 8.74x
15
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
BNP Paribas SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BELGIAN STATE AXA NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE FRANKLIN RESOURCES I BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG HARRIS ASSOCIATES L STATE OF LUXEMBOURG VANGUARD GROUP INC FIDELITY MANAGEMENT FIDELITY INTERNATION WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE LBPAM AVIVA PLC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BLACKROCK ASSET MANA BLACKROCK INVESTMENT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a HARRIS ASSOC LP n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Macquarie PIERS BROWN Nomura JON PEACE Redburn Partners GEORGE SOSEI KARAMANOS Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg INGO FROMMEN Oddo & Cie JEAN SASSUS AlphaValue CHRISTOPHE NIJDAM Grupo Santander AURELIA FAURE Societe Generale SEBASTIEN LEMAIRE HSBC ROBIN DOWN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY RBC Capital Markets ANKE REINGEN Kepler Capital Markets BENOIT PETRARQUE CA Cheuvreux PASCAL DECQUE ING Wholesale Banking TOM VAN KEMPEN Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Nord/LB MICHAEL SEUFERT Goldman Sachs JEAN-FRANCOIS NEUEZ EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Barclays JEREMY SIGEE Mediobanca SpA ANTONIO GUGLIELMI Deutsche Bank FLORA-A BENHAKOUN JPMorgan DELPHINE LEE Keefe, Bruyette & Woods JEAN-PIERRE LAMBERT Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Morgan Stanley THIBAULT NARDIN Credit Suisse MAXENCE LE GOUVELLO CM - CIC Securities(ESN) PIERRE CHEDEVILLE S&P Capital IQ JAWAHAR HINGORANI Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research ANDREW LIM Hammer Partners SA ENRICO RACIOPPI DZ Bank AG SABINE BOHN Natixis ALEX KOAGNE
Source Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File 13F Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation underperform buy buy hold buy add buy hold overweight hold outperform buy select list buy hold hold Buy/Neutral buy overweight underperform buy neutral market perform hold Overwt/In-Line outperform buy buy buy neutral buy buy buy
Amt Held 127'750'000 65'670'000 20'433'396 18'678'257 16'480'000 15'884'611 12'870'000 12'148'721 11'541'390 10'324'661 9'212'735 8'412'793 8'001'090 6'257'655 6'158'310 5'476'523 4'933'579 4'890'346 4'224'954 3'657'130
% Out 10.19 5.24 1.63 1.49 1.31 1.27 1.03 0.97 0.92 0.82 0.73 0.67 0.64 0.5 0.49 0.44 0.39 0.39 0.34 0.29
Weighting
Change 1 5 5 3 5 4 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 5 1 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5
D M M D M M M M M M M M M M D M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 403'818 5'706'053 4'962'220 (544'098) 1'050'096 2'035'150 2'576'039 (874'543) (1'459'214) 141'389 (18'408) (23'687) (308'481) 25'983 1'175'634
Target Price 35 43 #N/A N/A 40 55 45 52 42 45 #N/A N/A 43 45 43 43 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 54 #N/A N/A 36 35 42 43 40 31 35 45 48 40 48 28 50 39 40
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Government 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 3 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 16.09.2012 13.09.2012 30.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 30.07.2012 16.07.2012 19.06.2012 08.05.2012 07.05.2012
24.09.2012
Carrefour SA Carrefour SA operates chains of supermarkets, hypermarkets, discount, cash and carry, and frozen food stores in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.
Price/Volume 25
14.0 M 12.0 M
20
10.0 M
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (04.11.2011) 52-Week Low (11.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CA FP EQUITY YTD Change CA FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 20.51 12.87 696'182.00 17.3 -15.75% 34.42% 59.55% 679.3 11'752.51 16'573.00 0.0 1'009.0 4'760.00 22'998.51
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
10
6.0 M 4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 86'341.0 84'763.0 0.36x 0.42x 4'044.0 4'599.0 7.62x 7.76x 1'269.0 276.0 14.82x 67.12x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 79'737.0 0.44x 4'380.0 7.95x 433.0 61.70x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 80'455.0 0.31x 3'894.0 6.34x 371.0 0.00x 3'894.00 2'182.00 2.71% -1.46% 0.73% 4.58% 1.58% 19.3% 4.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.74 0.29 34.58% 250.46% 30.15 9.38
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
f-12
06/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.06 531.33 15.88% 1.80% 1.061 40 3.000 2'802'319 2'968'368 3'456'579 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 03/12 Q1 06/12 Q2 80'511.8 82'269.8 22'379.2 21'639.0 0.24x 0.23x 3'778.6 3'937.9 6.09x 5.84x 882.9 1'008.2 13.36x 12.10x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.03.2012 BBB STABLE 16.04.2010 A-2 6.25 2.51 3.03 4.26 250.5% 68.5% 1.58 5.34 12.11 38.91 90.61 -39.59
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
100'000.0
8.00
90'000.0
7.00
80'000.0 70'000.0
6.00
60'000.0
5.00 4.00
50'000.0 40'000.0
3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 82'148.5 0.61x 3'742.1 13.33x 2'299.4 20.00x
15
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Carrefour SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLUE CAPITAL SARL SOCIETE GENERALE BLUE PARTICIPATIONS AMUNDI SA COLONY BLUE INVESTOR NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE MACKENZIE FINANCIAL SOCIETE GEN GESTION MANNING & NAPIER ADV VANGUARD GROUP INC AKO CAPITAL LLP CARREFOUR SA FIRST EAGLE INVESTME GROUPE ARNAULT SAS ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FRANKLIN RESOURCES I SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M INTERNATIONAL VALUE ALLIANZ GLOBAL INV O
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Goldman Sachs FRANKLIN WALDING CM - CIC Securities(ESN) CHRISTIAN DEVISMES AlphaValue VIRGINIE BLIN Aurel - BGC JEAN-MARIE L'HOME Jefferies JAMES GRZINIC Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Exane BNP Paribas JOHN KERSHAW HSBC JEROME SAMUEL Morgan Stanley EDOUARD AUBIN Raymond James CEDRIC LECASBLE Redburn Partners MARC DE SPEVILLE Main First Bank AG RICKIN THAKRAR Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Grupo Santander JAIME VAZQUEZ Jyske Bank ROBERT JAKOBSEN Credit Suisse XAVIER LE MENE Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg BARBARA AMBRUS Oddo & Cie LAURENCE HOFMANN Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research CAROLINE GULLIVER Natixis PIERRE-EDOUARD BOUDOT Nomura NICK COULTER Barclays NICOLAS CHAMP Commerzbank Corporates & Markets JUERGEN ELFERS Independent Research GmbH ZAFER RUEZGAR Kepler Capital Markets FABIENNE CARON S&P Capital IQ WILLIAM MACK Hammer Partners SA STEPHAN SEIP JPMorgan MATTHEW TRUMAN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Banco Sabadell MARTA DIAZ Macquarie SREEDHAR MAHAMKALI Baader Bank VOLKER BOSSE Deutsche Bank JAMES G COLLINS Nord/LB WOLFGANG VASTERLING CA Cheuvreux ARNAUD JOLY ING Wholesale Banking JOHN DAVID ROEG Shore Capital Stockbrokers CLIVE WILLIAM BLACK DZ Bank AG CHRISTIAN DOUGLAS Equita SIM SpA FABIO FAZZARI
Source Co File Research Co File Research Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG Short Co File MF-AGG Co File Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral/neutral buy buy buy hold buy neutral neutral Equalwt/In-Line underperform neutral buy sell buy strong buy outperform buy reduce buy neutral neutral equalweight reduce hold buy sell sell neutral sell sell outperform sell hold sell underperform hold corporate sell hold
Amt Held % Out 64'047'813 9.43 31'310'832 4.61 25'359'996 3.73 23'161'032 3.41 15'166'770 2.23 9'378'215 1.38 8'917'923 1.31 8'353'963 1.23 8'126'922 1.2 6'721'507 0.99 (6'202'338) -0.91 5'598'650 0.82 5'480'075 0.81 5'156'752 0.76 3'200'000 0.47 3'113'327 0.46 3'102'990 0.46 2'859'000 0.42 2'553'188 0.38 2'251'678 0.33
Weighting 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 1 3 5 1 5 5 5 5 2 5 3 3 3 2 3 5 1 1 3 1 1 5 1 3 1 1 3 #N/A N/A 1 3
Change M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M D M U M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (14'638'655) 98 791'000 98'150 303'667 (543'469) 1'234'760 (1'254'000) 25'590 (53'643)
Target Price 20 22 21 20 17 20 18 18 18 17 #N/A N/A 24 #N/A N/A 20 22 20 19 15 20 17 15 16 14 17 18 16 14 17 #N/A N/A 19 18 15 15 #N/A N/A 13 17 #N/A N/A 16 22
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Other 20.06.2012 Bank 31.12.2011 n/a 11.07.2011 Other 31.12.2011 n/a 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 11.07.2011 n/a 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 09.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Corporation 31.03.2012 Hedge Fund Manager 31.12.2011 Holding Company 31.12.2010 Pension Fund (ERISA) 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 12.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 28.08.2012 27.08.2012 30.07.2012 20.07.2012 19.07.2012 13.07.2012 10.07.2012 06.07.2012 13.06.2012 04.04.2012 31.01.2012 12.01.2012
24.09.2012
Cie de St-Gobain Compagnie de Saint-Gobain manufactures glass products, high-performance materials, and construction materials. The Company produces flat glass, insulation, and glass containers, high-performance ceramics, plastics, and abrasives, and building materials such as roofing, wall facings, mortars, and ductile cast iron pipe. Saint-Gobain also retails building materials.
Price/Volume 40
8.0 M
25 20
12/2011 06/yy 37.63 23.90 1'146'532.00 29.425 -21.79% 23.12% 46.56% 531.1 15'626.58 11'044.00 0.0 403.0 2'949.00 25'859.59
6.0 M
15
4.0 M
10 2.0 M
5 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
30
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.02.2012) 52-Week Low (02.08.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 11.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SGO FP EQUITY YTD Change SGO FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2007 43'421.0 0.78x 5'751.0 5.92x 1'487.0 15.92x
12.0 M
35
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 43'800.0 37'786.0 0.56x 0.75x 5'263.0 3'821.0 4.68x 7.39x 1'378.0 202.0 9.15x 88.53x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 40'119.0 0.69x 4'785.0 5.80x 1'129.0 17.66x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 42'116.0 0.57x 5'024.0 4.80x 1'284.0 12.16x 5'024.00 3'441.00 8.17% 4.79% 2.85% 7.20% 6.05% 0.93% 24.6% 11.9% 8.2% 3.0% 1.24 0.63 23.89% 61.99% 8.12 5.16
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 41'465.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 42'831.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.24 460.07 12.46% 3.76% 1.238 30 4.000 2'405'869 2'000'285 2'280'260 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 43'342.0 44'569.3 11'025.0 10'534.0 0.56x 0.54x 4'549.0 4'848.4 5.69x 5.34x 1'349.3 1'601.1 11.43x 9.71x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
24.07.2009 BBB STABLE 30.04.2004 A-2 8.99 5.36 1.61 2.20 62.0% 37.7% 0.93 3.01 44.98 70.78 65.95 49.80
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
50'000.0 45'000.0
10.00
40'000.0 35'000.0
8.00
30'000.0
6.00
25'000.0 20'000.0
4.00
15'000.0 10'000.0
2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
5'000.0 0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Cie de St-Gobain Holdings By:
All
Holder Name WENDEL INVESTISSEMEN FONDS DU PLAN D EPAR AMUNDI SA CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET GROUPAMA SA NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS COGEMA CIE DE SAINT GOBAIN VANGUARD GROUP INC PREDICA AVIVA PLC SOCIETE GEN GESTION LBPAM BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO MERCURY ASSET MANAGE BLACKROCK ASSET MANA UNION INVESTMENT LUX UNION INVESTMENT GMB ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES
Firm Name Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg AlphaValue Bryan Garnier & Cie Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Oddo & Cie Jefferies Societe Generale Credit Suisse Morgan Stanley Raymond James Goldman Sachs Davy ING Wholesale Banking JPMorgan Day by Day Independent Research GmbH Berenberg Bank Natixis EVA Dimensions Banco Sabadell Deutsche Bank CM - CIC Securities(ESN) S&P Capital IQ Liberum Capital Ltd Kepler Capital Markets HSBC CA Cheuvreux Hamburger Sparkasse
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Source Co File Co File Research Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation
HANS-PETER KUHLMANN hold GAETAN DUPONT buy SVEN EDELFELT neutral PHIL ROSEBERG outperform PAUL ROGER neutral VIRGINIE ROUSSEAU buy MICHAEL F BETTS buy MURIEL FELLOUS buy HARRY GOAD neutral ALEJANDRA PEREDA Overwt/Attractive ARNAUD PALLIEZ outperform WILL MORGAN Buy/Neutral TIM CAHILL outperform IAN OSBURN buy MICHAEL MORRIS overweight VALERIE GASTALDY sell CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE hold MICHAEL WATTS buy RAFIC EL HADDAD neutral TEAM COVERAGE sell GLEN SPENCER-CHAPMAN buy LUIS PRIETO buy JEAN-CHRISTOPHE LEFEVRE-MOULENQ buy JAWAHAR HINGORANI hold CHARLIE CAMPBELL hold JOSEP PUJAL hold JOHN FRASER-ANDREWS overweight NABIL AHMED suspended coverage INGO SCHMIDT sell
Amt Held 92'891'280 41'402'970 40'161'206 15'393'412 10'085'339 8'000'693 6'617'178 5'838'880 4'777'266 4'694'392 3'715'651 2'567'079 2'536'782 2'389'190 2'119'603 1'181'925 1'174'257 1'132'100 1'081'092 1'012'926
% Out 17.49 7.8 7.56 2.9 1.9 1.51 1.25 1.1 0.9 0.88 0.7 0.48 0.48 0.45 0.4 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.2 0.19
Weighting
Change
3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 3 5 3 1 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 #N/A N/A 1
M M M M M M M M D M M M U M M D M M M D M M M D D D M M M
Latest Chg 17'861'078 237'423 203'626 (1'249) (118'684) 436 (2'100)
Target Price 32 41 31 35 31 39 48 34 30 38 32 33 #N/A N/A 33 33 20 26 35 28 #N/A N/A 44 35 36 32 30 30 38 52 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2010 Investment Advisor 31.12.2010 n/a 27.06.2012 Other 31.12.2010 Government 31.12.2010 Insurance Company 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2010 Corporation 31.12.2010 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2010 Insurance Company 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 15.06.2011 n/a 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 6 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 9 month 3 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 13.09.2012 07.09.2012 06.09.2012 29.08.2012 17.08.2012 17.08.2012 15.08.2012 15.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 07.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 05.03.2012 12.01.2012 09.03.2009
24.09.2012
CRH PLC CRH plc manufactures cement, concrete products, aggregates, asphalt, clay bricks, chemical lime, security fencing products, and roofing, insulation and other building materials. The Group also operates some 136 builders merchant locations and 54 DIY stores. CRH, via its subsidiaries, operates in some 19 countries, including Ireland, the US, Spain, Germany and the Netherlands.
Price/Volume 18
8.0 M
16
7.0 M
14
6.0 M
12
5.0 M
10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (16.03.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 20.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CRH ID EQUITY YTD Change CRH ID EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 01/yy 16.93 10.44 441'832.00 15.345 -9.37% 47.05% 80.27% 722.5 11'086.46 4'982.00 1.0 74.0 1'324.00 15'222.46
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
3.0 M
6 4
2.0 M
2
1.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12
m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 20'992.0 0.87x 2'858.0 6.40x 1'430.0 9.08x
4.0 M
8
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 20'887.0 17'373.0 0.78x 1.01x 2'656.0 1'803.0 6.11x 9.69x 1'248.0 592.0 7.66x 21.54x Profitability
31.12.2010 17'173.0 0.86x 1'614.0 9.18x 432.0 25.28x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 18'081.0 0.82x 1'656.0 9.01x 590.0 18.60x 1'656.00 871.00 4.82% 3.93% 2.75% 5.66% 5.21% 0.84% 27.1% 9.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.70 0.94 23.29% 47.41% 8.96 5.89
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
4.07 1.45 678.71 49.93% 4.15% 1.446 32 2.594 1'564'556 1'280'651 1'268'695 FY+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 18'957.1 19'680.9 0.75x 0.71x 1'680.8 1'815.3 9.06x 8.39x 570.9 676.7 19.18x 16.31x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
17.12.2007 BBB+ STABLE 07.09.2001 A-2 6.32 4.12 2.21 3.01 47.4% 32.0% 0.84 2.03 40.75 61.94 40.62 62.07
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
25'000.0
10.00
20'000.0
8.00
15'000.0
6.00
10'000.0 4.00
5'000.0
2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
CRH PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO BLACKROCK INC UBS AG HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS LEGAL & GENERAL NORGES BANK FRANKLIN RESOURCES I GRWTH FUND OF AMERIC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST VANGUARD GROUP INC BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG FIRST EAGLE INVESTME BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI TEMPLETON INVESTMENT MANNING & NAPIER ADV FIDELITY MANAGEMENT BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO INVESCO LTD MORGAN STANLEY
Firm Name Goodbody Stockbrokers Ltd Jefferies Raymond James Kepler Capital Markets Sanford C. Bernstein & Co AlphaValue Exane BNP Paribas Natixis EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Berenberg Bank Societe Generale Credit Suisse Numis Securities Ltd JPMorgan Independent Research GmbH Davy ING Wholesale Banking Bryan Garnier & Cie S&P Capital IQ Liberum Capital Ltd Morgan Stanley Day by Day Oddo & Cie HSBC Deutsche Bank Nord/LB Dolmen Stockbrokers CA Cheuvreux NCB Stockbrokers(ESN) BB&T Capital Markets
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst ROBERT EASON MICHAEL F BETTS ARNAUD PALLIEZ JOSEP PUJAL PHIL ROSEBERG GAETAN DUPONT PAUL ROGER ABDELKADER BENCHIHA TEAM COVERAGE WILL MORGAN HANS-PETER KUHLMANN ROBERT MUIR MURIEL FELLOUS HARRY GOAD HOWARD SEYMOUR MICHAEL MORRIS CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE BARRY DIXON IAN OSBURN SVEN EDELFELT JAWAHAR HINGORANI CHARLIE CAMPBELL YURI SEROV VALERIE GASTALDY VIRGINIE ROUSSEAU JOHN FRASER-ANDREWS LUIS PRIETO HEINO HAMMANN IAN G HUNTER NABIL AHMED MURRAY MCCARTER JOHN F KASPRZAK JR
Source RNS-MAJ MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG RNS-MAJ Co File RNS-MAJ RNS-MAJ MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation reduce buy market perform hold market perform add underperform reduce sell neutral/neutral hold sell hold underperform reduce neutral hold outperform sell sell hold hold Underwt/Attractive buy reduce overweight hold hold neutral suspended coverage buy hold
Amt Held 48'014'852 37'933'711 28'961'677 26'380'604 24'762'889 22'496'003 21'543'277 21'503'171 21'114'087 19'246'611 8'406'014 7'138'291 5'867'675 5'279'577 4'929'016 4'327'520 3'865'122 3'598'952 3'075'033 2'698'668
% Out 6.65 5.25 4.01 3.65 3.43 3.11 2.98 2.98 2.92 2.66 1.16 0.99 0.81 0.73 0.68 0.6 0.53 0.5 0.43 0.37
Weighting
Change
2 5 3 3 3 4 1 2 1 3 3 1 3 1 2 3 3 5 1 1 3 3 1 5 2 5 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 5 3
M M D M M M M N D M M M M D M D M M M M M M M U M U M M M M M M
Latest Chg (2'078'763) (3'407'139) 1'658'701 1'356'470 437'973 (313'031) (3'000) 47'369 (316'150) 10'053 (321'262) 69'419
Target Price 13 22 #N/A N/A 16 15 17 16 12 #N/A N/A 17 15 12 16 12 13 14 16 #N/A N/A 13 15 15 16 17 18 13 16 16 #N/A N/A 15 17 19 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 06.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 27.02.2012 Investment Advisor 27.02.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 04.01.2012 Investment Advisor 27.02.2012 Government 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor 15.02.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Hedge Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 21.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 9 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 17.08.2012 17.08.2012 17.08.2012 16.08.2012 16.08.2012 15.08.2012 15.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 07.08.2012 29.06.2012 28.06.2012 21.06.2012 15.06.2012 14.06.2012 28.02.2012 12.01.2012 16.08.2011 04.05.2011
24.09.2012
Daimler AG Daimler AG develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells a wide range of automotive products, mainly passenger cars, trucks, vans and buses. The Company also provides financial and other services relating to its automotive businesses.
Price/Volume 60
18.0 M 16.0 M
50
14.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.03.2012) 52-Week Low (25.11.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.08.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DAI GY EQUITY YTD Change DAI GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 48.95 29.02 2'199'847.00 39.635 -19.03% 36.60% 56.13% 1'067.2 42'298.65 71'860.00 0.0 1'713.0 10'910.00 112'787.65
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M 8.0 M
20
6.0 M 4.0 M
10
2.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 99'399.0 1.12x 15'839.0 7.04x 3'979.0 14.18x
12.0 M
30
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 95'873.0 78'924.0 0.87x 1.15x 11'685.0 3'032.0 7.14x 29.84x 1'348.0 (2'640.0) 15.61x 0.00x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 97'761.0 1.10x 10'489.0 10.26x 4'498.0 11.85x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 106'540.0 0.93x 12'216.0 8.09x 5'667.0 6.38x 12'216.00 8'641.00 8.11% 7.93% 3.99% 14.91% 6.59% 0.75% 24.0% 11.5% 8.1% 5.3% 1.07 0.33 48.51% 181.35% 14.17 5.12
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
1.23 911.86 28.59% 22.85% 1.228 38 3.842 8'607'380 5'080'391 5'110'779 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
06/yy 06/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 102'534.0 111'368.0 110'914.8 115'952.8 26'797.0 28'386.7 3.98x 3.69x 0.32x 0.31x 1.24x 1.16x 11'924.0 12'391.0 13'130.6 14'558.8 1'974.0 8.30x 8.73x 8.60x 7.75x 5'249.0 5'766.0 5'457.6 6'179.1 1'282.3 1'336.0 10.46x 6.53x 7.77x 6.92x 7.11x 6.48x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 23.02.2012 Long-Term Rating ALong-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 26.02.2001 Short-Term Rating A-2 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 8.18 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 5.40 Net Debt/EBITDA 4.99 Total Debt/EBITDA 5.88 Reference Total Debt/Equity 181.4% Total Debt/Capital 63.5% Asset Turnover 0.75 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.68 Accounts receivable turnover-days 25.76 Inventory Days 71.23 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 37.50 Cash Conversion Cycle 59.49 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
70.00
180'000.0
60.00
160'000.0 140'000.0
50.00
120'000.0
40.00
100'000.0
30.00
80'000.0 60'000.0
20.00
40'000.0
10.00 0.00 02.01.2009
20'000.0 0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Daimler AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MORGAN STANLEY & CO KUWAIT INVESTMENT AU BLACKROCK INC RENAULT SA AABAR INVESTMENTS PJ NORGES BANK CAPITAL RESEARCH AND SOCIETE GENERALE BLACKROCK ASSET MANA HARRIS ASSOCIATES L NISSAN MOTOR CO LTD CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO CAPITAL WORLD INVEST VANGUARD GROUP INC DB PLATINUM ADVISORS HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH FIRST EAGLE INVESTME UNION INVESTMENT GMB
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Bankhaus Metzler Societe Generale Commerzbank Corporates & Markets National Bank AG M.M. Warburg Investment Research Natixis Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) DZ Bank AG Redburn Partners Silvia Quandt Research Nord/LB Credit Suisse Macquarie S&P Capital IQ AlphaValue JPMorgan Exane BNP Paribas Goldman Sachs Kepler Capital Markets Independent Research GmbH EVA Dimensions Hamburger Sparkasse Barclays Banco Sabadell Baader Bank Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Bankhaus Lampe Morgan Stanley CA Cheuvreux HSBC Oddo & Cie Day by Day Main First Bank AG Deutsche Bank Cyrrus Steubing AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios HARRIS ASSOC LP n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst MAX WARBURTON JUERGEN PIEPER STEPHEN REITMAN DANIEL SCHWARZ MANFRED JAISFELD MARC-RENE TONN GEORGES DIENG TIM SCHULDT MICHAEL PUNZET CHARLES WINSTON ALBRECHT DENNINGHOFF FRANK SCHWOPE ARNDT ELLINGHORST CHRISTIAN BREITSPRECHER MARNIE COHEN HANS-PETER WODNIOK BERNARD DONGES RABIH FREIHA STEFAN BURGSTALLER MICHAEL RAAB ZAFER RUEZGAR TEAM COVERAGE TINA HECKING-VELTMAN KRISTINA CHURCH GLEN SPENCER-CHAPMAN JOSE ASUMENDI FRANK BILLER CHRISTIAN LUDWIG STUART PEARSON ALEXANDER NEUBERGER HORST SCHNEIDER FRANCOIS MAURY VALERIE GASTALDY LOTHAR LUBINETZKI JOCHEN GEHRKE JAN ROH TEAM COVERAGE
Source Research EXCH Research EXCH Research Research Research Research MF-AGG 13F Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation market perform sell hold buy hold buy neutral buy buy neutral neutral hold neutral outperform hold add restricted outperform buy/attractive buy hold underweight buy equalweight buy hold buy hold Equalwt/In-Line select list neutral buy hold buy hold accumulate buy
Amt Held 112'072'933 73'210'039 56'740'419 32'928'533 32'750'100 32'355'918 31'825'311 29'715'538 22'390'799 19'872'840 16'448'378 16'386'075 16'278'208 12'241'260 10'555'488 10'508'368 7'755'581 7'642'633 6'037'440 5'253'074
% Out 10.5 6.86 5.32 3.09 3.07 3.03 2.98 2.78 2.1 1.86 1.54 1.54 1.53 1.15 0.99 0.98 0.73 0.72 0.57 0.49
Weighting
Change
3 1 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 4 #N/A N/A 5 5 5 3 1 5 3 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 4 5
M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M D M U M M M D M M M M M M M U M
Latest Chg 888 2'798'375 (1'711'159) (1'304'917) 976'723 (915'116) 227'946 (19'400) -
Target Price 40 30 40 56 45 50 38 53 50 #N/A N/A 35 40 40 55 40 47 #N/A N/A 53 98 47 43 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 48 61 40 48 42 44 51 38 50 #N/A N/A 53 42 40 76
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 16.04.2012 Investment Advisor 23.06.2011 Government 04.05.2012 Investment Advisor 23.06.2011 Corporation 01.02.2012 Corporation 17.09.2012 Government 17.08.2012 Investment Advisor 13.06.2011 Bank 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.05.2012 Hedge Fund Manager 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 08.08.2012 06.08.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.07.2012 17.07.2012 13.07.2012 27.06.2012 07.05.2012 16.04.2012 10.02.2012 11.10.2011 10.01.2011
24.09.2012
Danone SA DANONE S.A. is a food processing company. The Company produces dairy products, beverages, baby food and clinical/medical nutrition products.
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (04.05.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 10.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BN FP EQUITY YTD Change BN FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Price/Volume
12/2011 06/yy 54.96 43.01 381'592.00 49.6 -9.78% 15.32% 58.58% 643.2 31'900.83 9'031.00 0.0 98.0 2'141.00 38'888.83
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
12.0 M
50
10.0 M
40
8.0 M
30
6.0 M
20
4.0 M
10
2.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 12'776.0 3.17x 2'116.0 19.16x 4'180.0 33.03x
60
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 15'220.0 14'982.0 2.09x 2.20x 2'796.0 2'844.0 11.35x 11.61x 1'313.0 1'361.0 19.75x 17.77x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 17'010.0 2.11x 3'194.0 11.23x 1'875.0 15.42x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 19'318.0 1.89x 3'486.0 10.45x 1'671.0 17.53x 3'486.00 2'843.00 14.72% 12.84% 5.92% 14.02% 9.58% 0.68% 50.6% 18.0% 14.7% 8.6% 0.88 0.59 31.77% 74.64% 9.89 9.38
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 18'092.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 20'065.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
0.66 522.40 16.61% 4.84% 0.660 42 3.381 2'249'127 1'677'556 1'969'827 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 20'867.1 22'495.2 5'273.6 5'188.5 1.82x 1.65x 3'645.6 3'922.6 10.67x 9.92x 1'857.0 2'034.1 16.12x 14.71x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
25.07.2007 ASTABLE 11.07.2007 A-2 14.46 10.79 1.98 2.59 74.6% 42.5% 0.68 5.00 36.89 38.91 97.12 -21.32
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
25'000.0
12.00
20'000.0
10.00
15'000.0
8.00 6.00
10'000.0
4.00
5'000.0 2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Danone SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MASSACHUSETTS FINANC GROUPE DANONE AMUNDI SA LEGENDRE HOLDING 22 EURAZEO SOFINA & HENEX GROUP NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET CAPITAL WORLD INVEST HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS FCPE FONDS GROUPE DA VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO FIDELITY MANAGEMENT MACKENZIE FINANCIAL FIDELITY INTERNATION MANNING & NAPIER ADV MFS INVESTMENT MANAG BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO SOCIETE GEN GESTION
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst
Morgan Stanley EILEEN KHOO AlphaValue SOPHIE CABO-BROSETA Sanford C. Bernstein & Co ANDREW WOOD Berenberg Bank JAMES TARGETT RBC Capital Markets JAMES EDWARDES JONES Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research MARTIN DOLAN HSBC CEDRIC BESNARD Exane BNP Paribas JEFF STENT Nord/LB WOLFGANG VASTERLING Mirabaud Securities JULIAN LAKIN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Canaccord Genuity Corp EDDY HARGREAVES Goldman Sachs ALEXIS COLOMBO Nomura DAVID HAYES Hamburger Sparkasse TINA HECKING-VELTMAN Equita SIM SpA FABIO FAZZARI Grupo Santander PEDRO GIL Societe Generale WARREN L ACKERMAN Credit Suisse ALEX MOLLOY Independent Research GmbH LARS LUSEBRINK Banco Sabadell IGNACIO ROMERO Helvea ANDREAS VON ARX Barclays LIAM ROWLEY Deutsche Bank JAMES ISENWATER Jefferies SIMON MARSHALL-LOCKYER Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg BARBARA AMBRUS Aurel - BGC JEAN-MARIE L'HOME CM - CIC Securities(ESN) FRANCIS PRETRE Kepler Capital Markets JON COX S&P Capital IQ CARL SHORT ING Wholesale Banking MARCO GULPERS Main First Bank AG ALAIN-SEBASTIAN OBERHUBER JPMorgan CELINE PANNUTI CA Cheuvreux XAVIER CROQUEZ Natixis PIERRE TEGNER Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Liberum Capital Ltd PABLO ZUANIC DZ Bank AG ROBERT CZERWENSKY Gabelli & Co JOSEPH A GABELLI Redburn Partners JEREMY FIALKO
Source Research Co File Research Research Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research
Recommendation Equalwt/Attractive add market perform hold underperform neutral overweight underperform buy hold hold sell Buy/Neutral buy hold buy underweight hold underperform sell sell accumulate overweight hold hold hold hold hold buy strong buy buy neutral neutral outperform buy hold buy buy buy buy
Amt Held 39'168'842 35'825'460 28'864'287 17'581'174 16'433'370 13'584'541 11'846'372 11'688'114 10'421'035 9'947'996 8'804'680 8'565'679 4'819'241 4'134'489 3'603'166 3'590'633 3'579'022 3'306'850 3'010'991 2'950'943
% Out 6.09 5.57 4.49 2.73 2.56 2.11 1.84 1.82 1.62 1.55 1.37 1.33 0.75 0.64 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.51 0.47 0.46
Weighting
Change 3 4 3 3 1 3 5 1 5 3 3 1 5 5 3 5 1 3 1 1 1 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5
M M M N M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M
Latest Chg (3'844'941) (667'100) (82'000) 1'066'084 1'885'823 (310'000) (1'019'016) (203'100) 1'609'010 28'275 2'562 -
Target Price 51 58 53 54 48 47 58 49 #N/A N/A 51 #N/A N/A 43 69 59 #N/A N/A 58 46 53 48 48 56 60 52 49 48 51 53 51 57 58 55 48 48 53 56 #N/A N/A 62 53 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 08.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Corporation 15.05.2012 Other 13.07.2010 Holding Company 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 29.06.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 13.05.2011 n/a
Date 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 22.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 09.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 29.08.2012 10.08.2012 07.08.2012 02.08.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 25.07.2012 28.06.2012 20.06.2012 17.05.2012 11.05.2012 15.12.2011 01.11.2011 22.07.2011
24.09.2012
Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG is a global financial service provider delivering commercial, investment, private and retail banking. The Bank offers debt, foreign exchange, derivatives, commodities, money markets, repo and securitization, cash equities, research, equity prime services, loans, convertibles, advice on M&A and IPO's, trade finance, retail banking, asset management and corporate investments.
Price/Volume 45
30.0 M
40
25.0 M
35 30
20.0 M
25
12/2011 06/yy 39.51 22.11 2'669'077.00 32.53 -17.69% 47.13% 63.13% 929.5 30'236.62 284'516.00 0.0 1'270.0 177'928.00 -
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15
10.0 M
10
5.0 M
5 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 58'492.0 45'167.0 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x (3'835.0) 4'973.0 0.00x 6.24x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 46'151.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'310.0 12.74x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 52'660.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 4'132.0 6.61x 15.94% 15.30% 0.20% 8.08% 1.30% 0.03% 11.7% 13.15% 532.90% -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 51'733.6 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'648.0 16.07x
f-12
06/yy 49'286.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'903.0 9.08x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.33 893.49 44.62% 13.57% 1.333 44 3.273 9'306'328 7'969'399 7'855'214 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 32'148.5 33'376.4 7'431.2 7'533.5 3'508.7 4'451.3 736.0 745.5 8.77x 7.06x 8.47x 7.63x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
25.01.2012 A+ NEG 19.12.2008 A-1 532.9% 83.9% 0.03 9.31 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
100'000.0
9.00
90'000.0
8.00
80'000.0
7.00
70'000.0
6.00
60'000.0
5.00 4.00
50'000.0 40'000.0
3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 92'159.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 6'474.0 6.55x
15.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (27.03.2012) 52-Week Low (26.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DBK GY EQUITY YTD Change DBK GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Deutsche Bank AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INVESTMENT CAPITAL RESEARCH AND DEUTSCHE BANK AG BLACKROCK ASSET MANA DEKABANK DEUTSCHE GI DEUTSCHE BANK AG CREDIT AGRICOLE SA CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BANK OF AMERICA CORP VANGUARD GROUP INC RCM CAPITAL MANAGEME CREDIT SUISSE GROUP CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP JP MORGAN CHASE & CO UNION INVESTMENT GMB ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN LP AXA
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios DEKABANK DEUTSCHE GI DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIEN CREDIT AGRICOLE SA Multiple Portfolios BANK OF AMERICA Multiple Portfolios RCM CAPITAL MANAGEME n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP JP MORGAN CHASE & CO Multiple Portfolios ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN LP AXA
Analyst
Redburn Partners NICHOLAS WATTS Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg INGO FROMMEN AlphaValue DIETER HEIN Nord/LB MICHAEL SEUFERT Credit Suisse AMIT GOEL Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) PHILIPP HAESSLER Silvia Quandt Research CHRISTIAN MUSCHICK Grupo Santander AURELIA FAURE RBC Capital Markets FIONA SWAFFIELD Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research ANDREW LIM Commerzbank Corporates & Markets MICHAEL DUNST Oddo & Cie JEAN SASSUS DZ Bank AG CHRISTOPH BAST Exane BNP Paribas DANIEL DAVIES Societe Generale DIRK HOFFMANN-BECKING JPMorgan KIAN ABOUHOSSEIN Natixis ANTOINE BURGARD Nomura JON PEACE S&P Capital IQ FRANK BRADEN Bankhaus Metzler GUIDO HOYMANN Kepler Capital Markets DIRK M BECKER Berenberg Bank JAMES CHAPPELL Morgan Stanley HUW VAN STEENIS HSBC ROBERT MURPHY Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ANDREW STIMPSON ING Wholesale Banking TOM VAN KEMPEN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Macquarie PIERS BROWN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Barclays JEREMY SIGEE Mediobanca SpA CHRISTOPHER J WHEELER CA Cheuvreux CYRIL MEILLAND M.M. Warburg Investment Research ANDREAS PLAESIER Goldman Sachs JERNEJ OMAHEN Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS National Bank AG DIRK GOJNY Canaccord Genuity Corp GARETH HUNT Hammer Partners SA ENRICO RACIOPPI Helvea PETER THORNE SRC Research STEFAN SCHARFF
Source Co File Research Co File MF-AGG 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG 13F Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation buy hold buy hold underperform hold buy neutral underweight sector perform sell add neutral buy neutral buy neutral neutral reduce hold buy buy sell Equalwt/In-Line overweight market perform buy underweight sell underperform hold overweight underperform underperform buy neutral/neutral buy buy hold buy neutral sell
Amt Held 47'776'278 27'789'959 24'888'999 23'749'465 22'986'901 20'619'693 20'445'898 16'980'552 11'476'162 10'867'004 10'244'520 9'379'275 9'089'861 7'643'250 6'979'932 6'929'849 6'920'324 6'698'871 4'814'003 4'270'550
% Out 5.14 2.99 2.68 2.56 2.47 2.22 2.2 1.83 1.23 1.17 1.1 1.01 0.98 0.82 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.72 0.52 0.46
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 3 1 3 5 3 1 3 1 4 3 5 3 5 3 3 2 3 5 5 1 3 5 3 5 1 1 1 3 5 1 1 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 1
M D M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D D M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 24'241 963'886 (13'529'580) 4'462'906 (3'183'236) 3'014'593 573'418 10'244'520 (13'500) (268'096) 28'713 (939'901) 1'987'772 (700) 357'570 (149'705)
Target Price #N/A N/A 36 44 32 27 35 40 28 30 35 27 35 33 38 29 36 34 33 35 34 42 44 20 37 39 35 37 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 24 #N/A N/A 31 29 28 36 43 41 32 39 36 34 33
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 06.01.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Bank 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 08.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 15 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 30.08.2012 27.08.2012 23.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 25.07.2012 12.07.2012 03.07.2012 17.11.2011 08.02.2010
24.09.2012
Deutsche Telekom AG Deutsche Telekom AG offers telecommunications services. The Company offers a full range of fixed-line telephone services, mobile communications services, Internet access, and combined information technology and telecommunications services for businesses.
Price/Volume 12
45.0 M 40.0 M
10
35.0 M
8
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.09.2012) 52-Week Low (05.06.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DTE GY EQUITY YTD Change DTE GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 10.06 7.69 4'669'804.00 9.948 -1.07% 29.40% 99.16% 4'321.3 42'988.48 48'318.00 0.0 4'647.0 6'122.00 90'196.48
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
25.0 M 20.0 M
4
15.0 M 10.0 M
2
5.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 62'516.0 1.72x 16'466.0 6.52x 571.0 115.62x
30.0 M
6
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 61'666.0 64'602.0 1.49x 1.46x 17'535.0 17'335.0 5.24x 5.46x 1'483.0 353.0 31.62x 128.63x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 62'421.0 1.48x 17'726.0 5.20x 1'695.0 24.76x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 58'653.0 1.45x 20'202.0 4.22x 557.0 68.19x 20'202.00 6'806.00 11.60% 5.15% 0.44% 1.52% 1.37% 0.47% 42.2% 34.4% 11.6% 0.9% 0.65 0.52 39.43% 136.90% 8.80 28.31
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 60'150.0 6.33x 16'746.0 5.80x 1'281.0 37.19x
06/yy 58'392.0 5.86x 19'292.0 4.38x 581.0 61.67x
FY+1
0.75 2'923.70 31.40% 21.84% 0.748 41 3.341 22'689'560 13'228'170 14'048'550 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 58'107.0 57'272.4 14'563.8 14'561.7 1.50x 1.49x 6.24x 6.15x 18'005.4 17'778.5 4'621.3 4'353.0 5.01x 5.08x 5.02x 5.07x 2'645.0 2'754.9 647.0 472.5 15.99x 15.42x 16.50x 17.45x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
19.05.2008 BBB+ STABLE 08.04.2002 A-2 7.79 5.26 2.09 2.39 136.9% 54.7% 0.47 1.36 41.45 12.89 71.49 -17.15
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
4.00
70'000.0
3.50
60'000.0
3.00
50'000.0
2.50
40'000.0
2.00
30'000.0
1.50
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.50 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Deutsche Telekom AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name KREDITANSTALT FUER W FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF BLACKSTONE GROUP LP BLACKROCK INC BLACKROCK ASSET MANA ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL UNION INVESTMENT GMB BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE FIDELITY INTERNATION DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH SCHRODER INVESTMENT BLACKROCK INVESTMENT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE DEUTSCHE BANK AG ETFLAB INVESTMENT GM FRANKFURT TRUST INVE
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Barclays JONATHAN DANN Grupo Santander STEPHANE SCHLATTER Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) ADRIAN PEHL AlphaValue HEINZ STEFFEN Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg STEFAN BORSCHEID JPMorgan HANNES C WITTIG Oddo & Cie ALEXANDRE IATRIDES Morgan Stanley NICK DELFAS Bankhaus Metzler ULRICH TRABERT Nomura FREDERIC BOULAN Sanford C. Bernstein & Co ROBIN BIENENSTOCK Silvia Quandt Research JACQUES ABRAMOWICZ Deutsche Bank MATTHEW BLOXHAM Commerzbank Corporates & Markets HEIKE PAULS Credit Suisse JUSTIN FUNNELL Nord/LB JAN CHRISTIAN GOEHMANN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE National Bank AG MANFRED JAISFELD Goldman Sachs HUGH I MCCAFFREY RBC Capital Markets JONATHAN ATKIN Macquarie GUY R PEDDY Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research WILL DRAPER Natixis JACQUES DE GRELING DZ Bank AG JOERI SELS Exane BNP Paribas MATHIEU ROBILLIARD Societe Generale OTTAVIO ADORISIO Jefferies ULRICH RATHE Independent Research GmbH MARKUS FRIEBEL M.M. Warburg Investment Research JOCHEN REICHERT Berenberg Bank PAUL ANDREW MARSCH S&P Capital IQ ALEXANDER WISCH ING Wholesale Banking JEFFREY VONK Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Hamburger Sparkasse TINA HECKING-VELTMAN Main First Bank AG MARK DIETHELM Kepler Capital Markets THOMAS KARLOVITS Banco Sabadell ANDRES BOLUMBURU HSBC DOMINIK KLARMANN CA Cheuvreux PETER KURT NIELSEN Steubing AG TEAM COVERAGE
Source Co File Co File Research Research MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation overweight underweight hold add hold neutral neutral Overwt/In-Line buy buy outperform buy hold hold neutral hold hold hold neutral/neutral sector perform underperform sell reduce sell neutral buy buy hold hold hold hold hold hold hold suspended coverage buy sell neutral select list buy
Amt Held 741'424'370 654'197'974 191'700'000 127'933'931 77'552'127 51'600'000 32'341'492 25'734'937 21'439'004 14'081'836 13'696'938 13'621'398 13'570'258 12'409'226 9'877'368 8'997'430 8'645'909 7'243'381 6'853'599 6'473'513
% Out 17.16 15.14 4.44 2.96 1.79 1.19 0.75 0.6 0.5 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.29 0.23 0.21 0.2 0.17 0.16 0.15
Weighting
Change
5 1 3 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 2 1 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 5 1 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N
Latest Chg 2'968 6'400'000 1'523'414 (660'448) 193'883 3'434'137 6'978'052 (41'616) (2'281'624) 966'903 141'283 734'600
Target Price 11 9 9 12 10 10 10 12 11 11 11 11 10 9 9 10 #N/A N/A 10 9 10 7 7 8 7 10 11 10 10 10 10 10 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 13 11 9 11 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2010 31.12.2010 03.08.2012 25.07.2012 20.09.2012 31.12.2010 30.06.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 30.03.2012 20.09.2012 01.04.2012 31.03.2012 29.02.2012 30.03.2012 30.06.2012 20.09.2012 19.06.2012 31.08.2012 31.07.2012
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Government Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Pension Fund (ERISA) Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 07.09.2012 30.08.2012 29.08.2012 22.08.2012 21.08.2012 15.08.2012 13.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 07.08.2012 16.05.2012 04.05.2012 24.04.2012 17.04.2012 11.04.2012 21.02.2012 04.01.2010
24.09.2012
E.ON AG E.ON AG operates in power generation and gas production businesses. The Company's operations include electric generation at conventional, nuclear, and renewable-source facilities, electric transmission via high-voltage wires network, regional distribution of electricity, gas, and heat, power trading and electricity, gas, and heat sales.
Price/Volume 25
30.0 M 25.0 M
15
20.0 M 10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (05.06.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance EOAN GY EQUITY YTD Change EOAN GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 19.74 14.05 2'632'109.00 18.96 -3.95% 34.95% 88.75% 2'001.0 37'938.96 29'914.00 0.0 3'876.0 6'931.00 68'108.96
15.0 M 10.0 M
5
5.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
35.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 68'731.0 1.64x 11'063.0 10.16x 7'204.0 13.80x
40.0 M
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 86'753.0 81'817.0 1.08x 1.11x 5'403.0 12'703.0 17.28x 7.18x 1'266.0 8'396.0 37.92x 6.50x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 92'863.0 0.78x 13'006.0 5.56x 5'853.0 6.53x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 112'954.0 0.52x 11'180.0 5.24x (2'219.0) 0.00x 11'180.00 4'099.00 3.63% -2.58% -1.45% -5.73% 0.74% 9.9% 3.6% -2.0% 1.10 0.54 19.57% 83.71% 6.67 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
1.10 1'821.91 38.42% 20.90% 1.096 41 3.732 9'138'119 6'967'868 7'997'155 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
06/yy 06/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 101'064.0 125'308.0 111'495.1 111'747.8 26'877.0 49'333.5 2.77x 1.92x 0.56x 0.55x 7'433.0 8'585.0 10'716.6 11'218.8 2'216.0 2'038.0 8.43x 7.27x 6.37x 6.08x 2'633.0 (4.0) 4'108.5 3'464.8 842.0 113.0 10.70x 0.00x 8.75x 10.51x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 27.07.2012 Long-Term Rating ALong-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 27.07.2012 Short-Term Rating A-2 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 3.58 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 1.59 Net Debt/EBITDA 2.06 Total Debt/EBITDA 2.68 Reference Total Debt/Equity 83.7% Total Debt/Capital 43.0% Asset Turnover 0.74 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.94 Accounts receivable turnover-days 54.75 Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
120'000.0
8.00
100'000.0
7.00
80'000.0
6.00 5.00
60'000.0
4.00
40'000.0
3.00 2.00
20'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
E.ON AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC E.ON AG STATKRAFT REGIONAL H BLACKROCK ASSET MANA CREDIT SUISSE AG FRANKLIN RESOURCES I MORGAN STANLEY DB PLATINUM ADVISORS DEUTSCHE BANK AG VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO UNION INVESTMENT GMB PICTET ASSET MANAGEM ADIG INVESTMENT DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES MERCURY ASSET MANAGE FRANKFURT TRUST INVE CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO LBPAM
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets Nomura Redburn Partners AlphaValue Hamburger Sparkasse Day by Day Kepler Capital Markets Berenberg Bank Main First Bank AG Societe Generale Exane BNP Paribas Raymond James Barclays Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Grupo Santander Baader Bank Independent Research GmbH Morgan Stanley Nord/LB Macquarie CA Cheuvreux M.M. Warburg Investment Research Bankhaus Metzler S&P Capital IQ DZ Bank AG Credit Suisse National Bank AG Banco Sabadell JPMorgan HSBC Natixis Oddo & Cie Silvia Quandt Research Deutsche Bank Dolmen Stockbrokers
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst JOHN MUSK MARTIN YOUNG AHMED FARMAN EILEEN RYAN ANNEMARIE SCHLUETER VALERIE GASTALDY INGO BECKER ROBERT CHANTRY ANDREAS THIELEN ALBERTO PONTI BENJAMIN LEYRE EMMANUEL RETIF PETER BISZTYGA TANJA MARKLOFF MICHAEL SCHAEFER TEAM COVERAGE DEBORAH WILKENS ERKAN AYCICEK OSCAR NAJAR RIOS KARIN BRINKMANN SVEN DIERMEIER BOBBY CHADA HEINO HAMMANN MATTHIAS HECK SEBASTIAN KAUFFMANN STEPHAN WULF DANIEL SEIDENSPINNER CLIVE ROBERTS HASIM SENGUEL VINCENT GILLES STEFFEN MANSKE JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL VINCENT DE BLIC ADAM DICKENS PHILIPPE OURPATIAN STEPHANE LACAZE SEBASTIAN ZANK ALEXANDER KARNICK IAN G HUNTER
Source Research EXCH EXCH MF-AGG Research MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation sector perform buy neutral add buy hold reduce sell buy buy outperform outperform underweight hold accumulate sell buy/attractive buy buy hold hold Equalwt/In-Line buy neutral underperform buy buy buy buy neutral hold buy neutral overweight reduce neutral not rated buy buy
Amt Held 108'526'159 95'647'800 83'441'700 49'509'257 46'680'225 29'246'572 25'888'854 25'104'987 23'094'035 21'420'467 16'360'965 14'121'055 11'193'681 8'464'949 7'890'770 6'265'891 5'807'067 4'727'449 4'200'000 4'192'368
% Out 5.42 4.78 4.17 2.47 2.33 1.46 1.29 1.25 1.15 1.07 0.82 0.71 0.56 0.42 0.39 0.31 0.29 0.24 0.21 0.21
Weighting
Change
3 5 3 4 5 3 2 1 5 5 5 5 1 3 4 1 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 3 1 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 2 3 #N/A N/A 5 5
M M N M M M D D M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 1'992 252'960 1'405'038 (162'000) 967'343 (9'542) (41'000) 440'315 (77'361) 761'294 (68'255) (409'000) 1'271'320
Target Price 19 22 #N/A N/A 23 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 17 19 21 21 22 18 16 18 20 #N/A N/A 26 21 22 19 19 18 20 19 17 21 21 21 21 18 20 20 19 20 15 18 #N/A N/A 21 19
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 04.05.2012 Investment Advisor 04.08.2011 Corporation 04.08.2011 n/a 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 09.05.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 10.05.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 07.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 29.08.2012 27.08.2012 23.08.2012 23.08.2012 16.08.2012 16.08.2012 16.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 13.08.2012 13.08.2012 30.07.2012 19.07.2012 11.07.2012 04.07.2012 09.05.2012 14.03.2012 12.03.2012 14.11.2011
24.09.2012
Enel SpA Enel S.p.A. generates, transmits, distributes, and trades electricity. The Company operates hydroelectric, geothermal, and other generating plants. Enel, through subsidiaries, also provides fixed-line and mobile telephone services, installs public lighting systems, and operates real estate, factoring, insurance, telecommunications, and Internet service provider businesses.
Price/Volume 4
200.0 M
3
12/2011 06/yy 3.62 2.02 19'695'619.00 2.994 -17.20% 48.22% 60.15% 9'403.4 28'153.65 65'481.00 0.0 15'650.0 7'015.00 105'261.65
150.0 M
2
100.0 M
1 50.0 M
1 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 59'577.0 62'498.0 1.53x 1.85x 13'722.0 15'883.0 6.63x 7.29x 5'293.0 5'586.0 5.54x 5.90x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 71'943.0 1.56x 16'768.0 6.68x 4'390.0 8.01x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 77'573.0 1.34x 17'198.0 6.03x 4'148.0 7.13x 17'198.00 11'366.00 14.65% 10.88% 2.46% 10.82% 5.93% 0.46% 22.2% 14.7% 5.3% 0.88 0.46 38.56% 168.81% 6.44 -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 74'892.0 6.06x 16'836.0 6.81x 4'517.0 9.39x
f-12
06/yy 80'353.0 5.07x 16'518.0 6.12x 3'417.0 7.04x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
0.96 6'465.37 13.97% 1.99% 0.956 35 3.086 56'920'140 51'358'410 55'031'240 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 75'712.4 76'691.3 - 20'178.0 1.16x 1.12x 16'365.0 16'518.7 4'206.0 6.43x 6.37x 3'407.1 3'503.2 1'162.0 8.19x 8.25x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
08.03.2012 BBB+ STABLE 14.12.2007 A-2 6.25 3.72 3.40 3.81 168.8% 54.6% 0.46 0.98 56.64 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
5.00
90'000.0
4.50
80'000.0
4.00
70'000.0
3.50
60'000.0
3.00
50'000.0
2.50
40'000.0
2.00
30'000.0
1.50
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.50 0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
250.0 M
3 2
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (13.10.2011) 52-Week Low (24.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ENEL IM EQUITY YTD Change ENEL IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2007 42'734.0 2.76x 9'694.0 12.17x 3'916.0 13.46x
300.0 M
4
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Enel SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MINISTERO DELL'ECONO BLACKROCK ADVISORS U BLACKROCK INSTL TRUS VANGUARD GROUP INC DB PLATINUM ADVISORS PICTET ASSET MANAGEM BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS BLACKROCK ASSET MANA BLACKROCK ASSET MGMT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT THORNBURG INVESTMENT ARCA SGR SPA PARVEST INVESTMENT M BLACKROCK INVESTMENT SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE CREDIT SUISSE ASSET FIDEURAM GESTIONS SA
Firm Name Mediobanca SpA Goldman Sachs Banca IMI Independent Research GmbH ICBPI. Societe Generale AlphaValue Nomura Day by Day Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse Banca Akros(ESN) Exane BNP Paribas EVA Dimensions Barclays Grupo Santander S&P Capital IQ Raymond James Banco Sabadell HSBC CA Cheuvreux Nord/LB Equita SIM SpA Natixis Kepler Capital Markets Oddo & Cie Centrobanca Deutsche Bank Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Hammer Partners SA JPMorgan DZ Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst MARIA BEATRICE GEROSA DARIO CARRADORI ROBERTO RANIERI SVEN DIERMEIER SIMONA PEDRAZZINI ALBERTO PONTI MYRIAM COHEN JAVIER SUAREZ VALERIE GASTALDY ANNA MARIA SCAGLIA STEFANO BEZZATO DARIO MICHI JOSE JAVIER RUIZ FERNANDEZ TEAM COVERAGE SUSANNA INVERNIZZI OSCAR NAJAR RIOS CLIVE ROBERTS EMMANUEL RETIF JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL ADAM DICKENS FRANCESCA PEZZOLI HEINO HAMMANN ROBERTO LETIZIA PHILIPPE OURPATIAN CLAUDIA INTROVIGNE STEPHANE LACAZE EDOARDO MONTALBANO VIRGINIA SANZ DE MADRID ERKAN AYCICEK CHRIS MOORE JAVIER GARRIDO HASIM SENGUEL
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral neutral/attractive buy hold neutral buy buy reduce buy Equalwt/In-Line neutral hold underperform overweight equalweight hold buy market perform sell underweight underperform hold hold neutral hold neutral sell hold hold sell neutral hold
Amt Held 2'937'984'993 105'881'805 76'825'430 75'856'497 73'068'938 68'635'815 42'620'730 33'569'986 18'964'320 18'148'480 17'195'872 16'536'590 15'142'919 13'067'856 12'310'175 11'614'926 11'001'928 10'059'637 9'176'619 8'859'641
% Out 31.24 1.13 0.82 0.81 0.78 0.73 0.45 0.36 0.2 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.09
Weighting
Change 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 2 5 3 3 3 1 5 3 3 5 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 1 3 3
M M M M M M U M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M D D M
Latest Chg 3'521'476 4'810'049 2'688'666 (30'856) 6'344 (127'499) (10'229'000) 288'595 11'598'871 5'904'498 (3'158) 1'176'853
Target Price 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 3 3 4 3 #N/A N/A 2 3 #N/A N/A 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 4 3
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 29.08.2012 Government 29.08.2012 Investment Advisor 29.08.2012 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 29.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 29.08.2012 n/a 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 29.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 23.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month 12 month
Date 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 11.09.2012 03.09.2012 10.08.2012 07.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 18.07.2012 14.06.2012 05.06.2012 05.06.2012 11.05.2012 10.05.2012 21.03.2012 14.03.2012 09.03.2012 09.03.2012 08.03.2012 16.02.2012 18.11.2011
24.09.2012
Eni SpA Eni S.p.A. explores for and produces hydrocarbons in Italy, Africa, the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, Kazakhstan, and Australia. The Company both produces natural gas and imports it for sale in Italy and elsewhere in Europe. Eni transports natural gas in pipelines. The Company generates and trades electricity, refines oil, and operates gasoline service stations.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.03.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 16.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ENI IM EQUITY YTD Change ENI IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 18.72 12.15 8'035'810.00 18.03 -3.63% 48.40% 97.56% 3'634.2 65'524.36 29'597.00 0.0 4'921.0 1'762.00 97'626.36
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
80.0 M 70.0 M 60.0 M 50.0 M 40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M 10.0 M .0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 87'256.0 1.25x 25'897.0 4.20x 10'011.0 9.18x
20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 108'082.0 83'227.0 0.74x 1.10x 26'939.0 20'817.0 2.98x 4.39x 8'825.0 4'367.0 6.89x 14.71x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 98'523.0 0.91x 24'992.0 3.58x 6'318.0 9.39x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 109'589.0 0.83x 25'732.0 3.53x 6'860.0 8.47x 25'732.00 17'435.00 15.91% 16.86% 4.99% 12.86% 9.44% 0.80% 23.5% 15.9% 6.3% 1.08 0.55 20.71% 53.35% 6.27 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
0.85 2'532.63 55.20% 19.91% 0.846 36 3.917 39'746'380 19'413'940 16'139'000 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
06/yy 06/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 103'343.0 119'417.0 119'821.7 122'490.3 30'833.0 31'261.0 3.49x 3.07x 0.74x 0.69x 2.50x 2.35x 24'420.0 26'157.0 30'310.6 30'456.3 6'171.5 7'143.0 3.93x 3.80x 3.22x 3.21x 3.60x 3.51x 6'073.0 6'903.0 7'657.4 7'919.7 1'683.5 2'098.3 9.48x 9.18x 8.63x 8.19x 8.61x 8.35x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 17.01.2012 Long-Term Rating A Long-Term Outlook NEG Short-Term Rating Date 19.05.2010 Short-Term Rating A-1 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 27.91 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 15.26 Net Debt/EBITDA 1.08 Total Debt/EBITDA 1.15 Reference Total Debt/Equity 53.4% Total Debt/Capital 32.9% Asset Turnover 0.80 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.55 Accounts receivable turnover-days 58.17 Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
120'000.0
6.00
100'000.0
5.00
80'000.0
4.00
60'000.0 3.00
40'000.0 2.00
20'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Eni SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CASSA DEPOSITI E PRE MINISTERO DELL'ECONO BANCA IMI FIDELITY MANAGEMENT BLACKROCK ADVISORS U BNP PARIBAS ARBITRAG CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BNP PARIBAS SA BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FRANKLIN RESOURCES I BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE BNP PAR SEC SER SA THORNBURG INVESTMENT ABERDEEN ASSET MANAG BLACKROCK ASSET MANA BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG
Firm Name AlphaValue Banca IMI Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Independent Research GmbH Banca Akros(ESN) Mediobanca SpA JPMorgan ICBPI. Grupo Santander Jefferies Canaccord Genuity Corp Kepler Capital Markets Nomura Barclays Deutsche Bank EVA Dimensions Exane BNP Paribas Hamburger Sparkasse CA Cheuvreux HSBC Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Societe Generale RBC Capital Markets Credit Suisse Macquarie S&P Capital IQ Banco Sabadell Natixis Investec Morgan Stanley Day by Day Goldman Sachs National Bank AG Equita SIM SpA Pareto Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER ROBERTO RANIERI OSWALD CLINT SVEN DIERMEIER DARIO MICHI ANDREA SCAURI NITIN SHARMA LUCA ARENA JASON KENNEY IAIN REID GORDON GRAY ROBERTO MASCARELLO THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM RAHIM KARIM MARK BLOOMFIELD TEAM COVERAGE CHARLES RIOU INGO SCHMIDT DOMINIQUE PATRY PAUL SPEDDING ACHIM WITTMANN IRENE HIMONA PETER HUTTON KIM FUSTIER JASON D GAMMEL CHRISTINE TISCARENO JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL ANNE PUMIR STUART JOYNER MARTIJN P RATS VALERIE GASTALDY MICHELE DELLA VIGNA MANFRED JAISFELD DOMENICO GHILOTTI THOMAS AARRESTAD
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation add buy market perform hold buy outperform overweight not rated buy hold sell hold buy equalweight buy buy underperform sell outperform neutral buy buy sector perform outperform neutral buy buy buy sell Equalwt/In-Line buy buy/attractive hold hold hold
Amt Held 958'298'322 142'968'850 83'077'476 38'593'855 35'687'700 35'542'332 33'395'000 32'155'070 28'819'089 28'455'671 24'276'415 13'446'429 12'907'094 12'319'888 11'962'183 11'484'026 11'151'200 11'132'300 9'919'066 7'881'912
% Out 26.37 3.93 2.29 1.06 0.98 0.98 0.92 0.88 0.79 0.78 0.67 0.37 0.36 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.27 0.22
Weighting
Change
4 5 3 3 5 5 5 #N/A N/A 5 3 1 3 5 3 5 5 1 1 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 1 3 5 5 3 3 3
M M M M M M M M M M D M M U M U M D M M M M M M M M M M M M U M D M N
Latest Chg (36'136'406) 454'252 1'520'000 1'368'094 (351'727) (1'150'443) (562'284) 1'040'259 737'900 2'636 (610'917)
Target Price 20 21 20 18 22 22 22 #N/A N/A 21 20 17 18 19 21 21 #N/A N/A 19 #N/A N/A 21 19 20 20 19 21 19 23 20 21 15 19 18 25 17 21 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 19.09.2012 Other 19.09.2012 Government 19.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 19.09.2012 Investment Advisor 19.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 19.09.2012 Investment Advisor 19.09.2012 Bank 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 19.09.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 19.09.2012 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 9 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 29.08.2012 27.08.2012 16.08.2012 14.08.2012 13.08.2012 08.08.2012 06.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 30.07.2012 13.07.2012 02.07.2012 01.07.2012 29.06.2012 01.06.2012 24.05.2012 04.05.2012 23.04.2010
24.09.2012
Cie Generale d'Optique Essilor International SA Essilor International SA manufactures and sells plastic and glass ophthalmic lenses. These include the Ormex, Transitions, Varilux, Essilor, Airwear, and Crizal lenses. Essilor sells its products internationally.
Price/Volume 80
9.0 M
70
8.0 M
60
7.0 M 6.0 M
50
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.06.2012) 52-Week Low (13.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 19.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance EI FP EQUITY YTD Change EI FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 09/yy 75.52 50.30 229'422.00 73.25 -3.02% 45.63% 95.36% 213.1 15'607.52 915.73 0.0 132.9 397.77 16'466.48
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
30
3.0 M
20
2.0 M
10
1.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12
m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 2'908.1 3.05x 638.5 13.87x 366.7 24.52x
5.0 M
40
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 3'074.4 3'268.0 2.30x 2.68x 696.7 754.4 10.16x 11.63x 382.4 390.7 18.15x 22.09x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 3'891.6 2.68x 900.2 11.58x 462.0 21.90x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 4'189.5 2.87x 919.3 13.09x 505.6 22.36x 919.35 724.97 17.30% 16.65% 8.89% 15.99% 13.04% 0.74% 55.4% 21.9% 17.3% 12.1% 1.26 0.21 14.87% 27.54% 2.67
Price/ Cash Flow
09/yy 1'628.1 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 09/yy 3'765.6 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
0.51 195.47 40.11% 35.95% 0.507 21 3.286 691'588 596'393 643'380 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 12/11 Q4 03/12 Q1 4'939.8 5'361.4 1'657.0 3.26x 2.96x 1'057.4 1'154.9 15.60x 14.28x 590.7 655.7 295.0 26.05x 23.43x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
66.12 51.40 0.56 1.00 27.5% 20.9% 0.74 4.57 136.66 154.50 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
4'500.0 4'000.0
20.00
3'500.0 3'000.0
15.00
2'500.0 2'000.0
10.00
1'500.0 1'000.0
5.00
500.0 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Cie Generale d'Optique Essilor International SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FCPE VALOPTEC INTERN CIE GENERALE D'OPTIQ FCPE GROUPE ESSILOR HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS VANGUARD GROUP INC NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CARMIGNAC GESTION FIDELITY MANAGEMENT FIDELITY INTERNATION BLACKROCK INVESTMENT WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO SCHRODER INVESTMENT JUPITER ASSET MANAGE ARTIO GLOBAL MANAGEM CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI LBPAM RCM CAPITAL MANAGEME OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC
Firm Name AlphaValue Berenberg Bank Jefferies Raymond James Morgan Stanley Societe Generale Bryan Garnier & Cie Day by Day Exane BNP Paribas Kepler Capital Markets Independent Research GmbH S&P Capital IQ Natixis Redburn Partners Goldman Sachs BPI EVA Dimensions CA Cheuvreux HSBC
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst ARMELLE MOULIN BASSEL CHOUGHARI INGEBORG OIE MARC WILLAUME ANDREW OLANOW MARIE-LINE FORT CEDRIC ROSSI VALERIE GASTALDY JULIEN DORMOIS CLAIRE DERAY CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE JACOB THRANE STEPHANE SUMAR PASCAL HAUTCOEUR WILLIAM HUTCHINGS HUBERT D'AILLIERES TEAM COVERAGE THOMAS MESMIN SOPHIE DARGNIES
Source Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation reduce hold hold outperform Underwt/Attractive hold buy buy outperform reduce sell buy buy neutral neutral/neutral hold underweight suspended coverage underweight
Amt Held 6'263'487 5'363'126 5'269'233 4'201'430 4'005'730 3'815'611 3'406'341 2'046'775 1'556'378 1'205'578 1'192'024 1'100'604 1'059'442 1'033'903 1'018'613 1'002'000 907'217 862'182 859'258 723'686
% Out 2.94 2.52 2.47 1.97 1.88 1.79 1.6 0.96 0.73 0.57 0.56 0.52 0.5 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.43 0.4 0.4 0.34
Weighting
Change
2 3 3 5 1 3 5 5 5 2 1 5 5 3 3 3 1 #N/A N/A 1
M N M M M M M U M M N M M M M M D M M
Latest Chg 124'607 165'246 (349'985) (27'190) (654'922) (22'383) (1'040'596) 890 (170'923) (820) (380'619) (39'002) 41'199 13'810
Target Price 67 72 68 74 45 69 72 75 76 62 66 79 80 #N/A N/A 74 65 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 58
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 Corporation 31.12.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 02.09.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 02.07.2012 25.06.2012 21.05.2012 24.04.2012 03.04.2012 15.03.2012 30.01.2012
24.09.2012
France Telecom SA France Telecom SA provides telecommunications services to residential, professional, and large business customers. The Company offers public fixed-line telephone, leased lines and data transmission, mobile telecommunications, cable television, Internet and wireless applications, and broadcasting services, and telecommunications equipment sales and rentals.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.10.2011) 52-Week Low (08.06.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance FTE FP EQUITY YTD Change FTE FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 13.60 9.45 3'133'737.00 9.769 -28.13% 3.38% 10.00% 2'648.9 25'876.96 39'373.00 0.0 2'019.0 8'992.00 59'281.96
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
40.0 M
14
35.0 M
12
30.0 M
10
25.0 M
8
20.0 M
6
15.0 M
4
10.0 M
2
5.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 52'959.0 2.00x 19'247.0 5.49x 6'300.0 10.17x
16
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 46'712.0 44'845.0 1.92x 1.82x 17'300.0 14'480.0 5.18x 5.64x 4'073.0 3'018.0 14.20x 16.37x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 45'503.0 1.64x 15'291.0 4.89x 4'880.0 10.83x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 45'277.0 1.42x 15'019.0 4.29x 3'895.0 8.26x 15'019.00 8'284.00 18.30% 13.06% 4.09% 13.75% 7.56% 0.48% 33.2% 18.3% 8.6% 0.76 0.51 40.98% 142.80% 8.62 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 46'336.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 44'551.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
14.13 0.83 1'934.51 -3.09% -8.16% 0.833 36 3.250 15'198'070 9'461'248 9'363'793 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 06/12 Q2 09/12 Q3 43'386.9 42'405.7 10'814.6 10'729.5 1.35x 1.36x 5.36x 5.32x 13'759.6 13'310.9 3'591.0 3'617.0 4.31x 4.46x 4.36x 4.41x 3'443.0 3'343.5 882.0 819.0 7.60x 7.92x 8.01x 8.01x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
10.02.2005 ANEG 14.05.2003 A-2 7.27 4.02 2.02 2.62 142.8% 57.1% 0.48 1.87 42.33 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
4.00
60'000.0
3.50
50'000.0
3.00
40'000.0
2.50 2.00
30'000.0
1.50
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0 0.50 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
France Telecom SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FONDS STRATEGIQUE D' FRENCH STATE SOCIETE GENERALE AMUNDI DEUTSCHE BANK AG FRANKLIN RESOURCES I NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CAPITAL WORLD INVEST VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO DNCA FINANCE BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO LBPAM BLACKROCK ASSET MANA AVIVA PLC THORNBURG INVESTMENT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE TEMPLETON INVESTMENT EATON VANCE MANAGEME FEDERAL GESTION
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Grupo Santander STEPHANE SCHLATTER AlphaValue JEAN-MICHEL SALVADOR Societe Generale THIERRY COTA Sanford C. Bernstein & Co ROBIN BIENENSTOCK Oddo & Cie VINCENT MAULAY Exane BNP Paribas ANTOINE PRADAYROL Morgan Stanley NICK DELFAS Credit Suisse JAKOB BLUESTONE Deutsche Bank MATTHEW BLOXHAM Raymond James STEPHANE BEYAZIAN Nomura FREDERIC BOULAN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Hamburger Sparkasse TINA HECKING-VELTMAN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Jefferies JEREMY A DELLIS JPMorgan HANNES C WITTIG Macquarie GUY R PEDDY Banco Sabadell ANDRES BOLUMBURU CM - CIC Securities(ESN) JEAN-MICHEL KOSTER Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research WILL DRAPER Natixis BENOIT MAYNARD Barclays JONATHAN DANN Nord/LB JAN CHRISTIAN GOEHMANN Goldman Sachs ANDREW LEE Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg STEFAN BORSCHEID Independent Research GmbH MARKUS FRIEBEL S&P Capital IQ ALEXANDER WISCH ING Wholesale Banking JEFFREY VONK Berenberg Bank STUART GORDON Kepler Capital Markets JAVIER BORRACHERO National Bank AG MANFRED JAISFELD HSBC NICOLAS COTE-COLISSON Fincorp SAOG GAURAV RAMAIYA CA Cheuvreux GIOVANNI MONTALTI
Source Co File Co File Research Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation hold buy hold underperform neutral neutral Underwt/In-Line neutral hold market perform buy hold hold hold buy underweight outperform sell reduce buy buy underweight hold Sell/Neutral buy buy buy buy buy hold sell overweight buy underperform
Amt Held 357'526'133 356'757'953 132'135'951 129'217'007 86'041'367 40'128'528 31'378'742 21'452'300 21'092'208 15'632'060 15'295'873 11'574'998 8'243'944 8'232'870 7'431'868 6'002'800 5'538'866 5'201'145 4'593'965 4'267'912
% Out 13.5 13.47 4.99 4.88 3.25 1.51 1.18 0.81 0.8 0.59 0.58 0.44 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.23 0.21 0.2 0.17 0.16
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 1 3 3 1 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 1 5 1 2 5 5 1 3 1 5 5 5 5 5 3 1 5 5 1
M M M D M D M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M D
Latest Chg (27'339'807) (3'894'321) 552'620 1'266'990 (4'018'380) 981'498 (991'500) 2'487'048 1'900 3'121 1'934'700 (11'710) 109'913 (1'553)
Target Price 14 20 10 9 12 12 12 11 11 14 13 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 13 9 12 13 10 14 15 10 11 10 13 13 13 13 14 13 #N/A N/A 14 15 12
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2010 Investment Advisor 31.12.2010 Government 16.05.2012 Bank 11.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2010 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 16.09.2012 13.09.2012 07.09.2012 07.09.2012 07.09.2012 29.08.2012 28.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.06.2012 07.05.2012 30.03.2012 29.03.2012 23.10.2011 24.08.2011
24.09.2012
GDF Suez GDF Suez offers a full range of electricity, gas and associated energy and environment services throughout the world. The Company produces, trades, transports, stores and distributes natural gas, and offers energy management and climatic and thermal engineering services.
Price/Volume 30
18.0 M 16.0 M
25
14.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (10.10.2011) 52-Week Low (01.06.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 11.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance GSZ FP EQUITY YTD Change GSZ FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 24.13 15.62 1'762'481.00 19.35 -19.79% 23.92% 45.59% 2'323.1 44'951.62 57'272.00 0.0 17'340.0 14'675.00 104'230.62
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M 8.0 M
10
6.0 M 4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 67'923.8 79'908.0 1.64x 1.32x 9'605.7 13'781.0 11.61x 7.63x 4'857.1 4'477.0 11.85x 14.77x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 84'478.0 1.24x 15'918.0 6.59x 4'616.0 12.79x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 90'673.0 1.18x 16'071.0 6.64x 4'003.0 11.73x 16'071.00 8'978.00 9.90% 8.32% 2.01% 6.40% 5.64% 0.46% 17.7% 9.9% 4.4% 1.13 0.68 26.84% 91.01% 4.16 -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
03/yy 86'178.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
f-12
06/yy 90'449.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
7.75 1.06 1'298.30 3.61% -4.93% 1.064 32 3.469 6'421'989 4'618'060 5'050'075 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 06/12 Q2 09/12 Q3 94'127.8 96'527.6 - 20'168.0 1.14x 1.11x 17'123.0 17'588.3 6.09x 5.93x 3'688.6 3'902.1 12.12x 11.63x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
11.02.2011 A STABLE 11.02.2011 A-1 6.40 2.86 2.65 3.56 91.0% 41.6% 0.46 1.07 87.59 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00
100'000.0
35.00
90'000.0 80'000.0
30.00
70'000.0
25.00
60'000.0
20.00
50'000.0 40'000.0
15.00
30'000.0
10.00
20'000.0
5.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 47'475.4 1.46x 7'194.1 9.65x 3'923.5 12.35x
12.0 M
15
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
GDF Suez Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FRENCH STATE GROUPE BRUXELLES LAM CAPITAL RESEARCH AND CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET CAPITAL WORLD INVEST GDF SUEZ FRANKLIN RESOURCES I CNP ASSURANCES NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC SOFINA SA THORNBURG INVESTMENT PICTET ASSET MANAGEM INTERNATIONAL VALUE LBPAM BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG AVIVA PLC FIDELITY MANAGEMENT
Firm Name Grupo Santander Nomura CM - CIC Securities(ESN) Berenberg Bank Credit Suisse HSBC AlphaValue Raymond James Exane BNP Paribas Goldman Sachs Macquarie Morgan Stanley Barclays Deutsche Bank EVA Dimensions KBC Securities Day by Day Societe Generale Oddo & Cie Natixis S&P Capital IQ Independent Research GmbH Banco Sabadell Nord/LB JPMorgan Hamburger Sparkasse CA Cheuvreux Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg DZ Bank AG Kepler Capital Markets National Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst OSCAR NAJAR RIOS MARTIN YOUNG OLIVIER BAILS ROBERT CHANTRY MICHEL DEBS ADAM DICKENS MYRIAM COHEN EMMANUEL RETIF BENJAMIN LEYRE ANDREW MEAD ATALLAH ESTEPHAN EMMANUEL TURPIN JULIE ARAV BERTRAND LECOURT TEAM COVERAGE DIETER FURNIERE VALERIE GASTALDY ALBERTO PONTI STEPHANE LACAZE PHILIPPE OURPATIAN CLIVE ROBERTS SVEN DIERMEIER JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL HEINO HAMMANN VINCENT DE BLIC ANNEMARIE SCHLUETER ARNAUD JOAN ERKAN AYCICEK HASIM SENGUEL TEAM COVERAGE STEFFEN MANSKE
Source Co File Research Research MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation underweight buy buy buy underperform underweight add market perform underperform buy/attractive outperform Underwt/In-Line equalweight buy overweight hold buy buy neutral neutral hold hold buy buy neutral hold underperform hold hold not rated buy
Amt Held 810'927'246 116'911'820 112'275'349 65'838'206 45'051'514 44'469'038 38'293'787 24'812'981 24'778'333 24'365'507 14'452'572 13'515'454 12'060'000 11'510'317 9'003'551 8'794'474 7'826'886 7'192'050 6'259'203 4'881'720
% Out 34.91 5.03 4.83 2.83 1.94 1.91 1.65 1.07 1.07 1.05 0.62 0.58 0.52 0.5 0.39 0.38 0.34 0.31 0.27 0.21
Weighting
Change
1 5 5 5 1 1 4 3 1 5 5 1 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 1 3 3 #N/A N/A 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 3'795'574 6'138'659 452'323 (58'473) 313'802 1'890'904 452'968 1'033 (6'866) (506'142) 177'218 355'397
Target Price 22 23 25 24 16 16 24 20 18 27 24 19 20 23 #N/A N/A 20 21 25 20 19 19 19 23 #N/A N/A 22 #N/A N/A 19 23 22 #N/A N/A 31
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Government 15.03.2012 Holding Company 18.11.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Holding Company 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 27.08.2012 08.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 30.07.2012 05.06.2012 01.06.2012 27.02.2012 10.02.2012 09.02.2012 01.11.2011 31.10.2011 13.04.2011
24.09.2012
Iberdrola SA Iberdrola S.A. generates, distributes, trades, and markets electricity in the United Kingdom, United States, Spain, Portugal, and Latin America. The Company specializes in clean energy and more specifically wind power.
Price/Volume 6
500.0 M 450.0 M 400.0 M 350.0 M 300.0 M 250.0 M 200.0 M 150.0 M 100.0 M 50.0 M .0 M
5 4 3
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.10.2011) 52-Week Low (26.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 04.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance IBE SQ EQUITY YTD Change IBE SQ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 5.49 2.63 8'376'376.00 3.746 -31.75% 42.43% 40.19% 6'138.9 22'996.29 33'228.50 0.0 319.9 6'208.66 51'054.29
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
1 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 24'889.3 25'891.9 2.53x 2.39x 6'105.6 6'197.0 10.31x 10.00x 2'553.7 2'824.3 11.20x 12.54x Profitability
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 30'431.0 1.90x 6'857.9 8.42x 2'870.9 10.95x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 31'648.0 1.76x 7'000.4 7.95x 2'804.5 10.04x 7'000.41 3'855.03 12.18% 10.92% 2.94% 9.05% 6.39% 0.33% 38.0% 22.1% 12.2% 8.9% 1.11 0.83 34.29% 101.04% 5.66 9.61
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 30'656.0 8.77x 7'056.7 9.04x 2'967.4 11.64x
06/yy 33'590.6 6.73x 6'901.2 7.28x 3'041.4 7.24x
FY+1
0.00 1.05 5'722.93 -20.28% -21.93% 1.053 37 3.676 54'642'600 37'238'550 76'173'820 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 32'299.0 33'269.5 1.67x 1.59x 7'832.7 7'849.8 1'698.0 2'049.0 6.52x 6.50x 2'722.7 2'576.2 581.0 673.5 8.29x 8.80x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
03.05.2012 BBB+ STABLE 26.11.2007 A-2 4.73 2.00 3.86 4.75 101.0% 50.0% 0.33 64.49 37.98 113.14 -10.67
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
35'000.0
8.00
30'000.0
7.00
25'000.0
6.00 5.00
20'000.0
4.00
15'000.0
3.00
10'000.0
2.00
5'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
o-11
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 17'280.0 4.24x 4'875.1 15.04x 1'658.3 19.81x
2
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Iberdrola SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name QATAR INVESTMENT AUT ACS ACTIVIDADES CONS BILBAO BIZKAIA KUTXA BANCAJA (VALENCIA CA NATIXIS SOCIETE GENERALE VANGUARD GROUP INC PICTET ASSET MANAGEM BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO MASSACHUSETTS FINANC DE URRUTIA VAL VICTO BLACKROCK ASSET MANA MERCURY ASSET MANAGE INVERCAIXA GESTION S DELAWARE MANAGEMENT LBPAM BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI UNION INVESTMENT LUX SANTANDER ASSET MGMT CREDIT SUISSE ASSET
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
BPI BRUNO ALMEIDA DA SILVA Goldman Sachs FRED BARASI Renta 4 SA SVB NATALIA AGUIRRE Macquarie SHAI HILL Bankia Bolsa (ESN) VICTOR PEIRO PEREZ Banco Sabadell JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL Nomura JAVIER SUAREZ Grupo Santander JOAQUIN FERRER Societe Generale JORGE ALONSO SUILS Morgan Stanley CAROLINA DORES Credit Suisse STEFANO BEZZATO HSBC JOSE A LOPEZ Independent Research GmbH SVEN DIERMEIER Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research FERNANDO GARCIA GARCIA Interdin Bolsa ALEJANDRO MIRANDA FOURNIER NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FERNANDO LAFUENTE Exane BNP Paribas JOSE JAVIER RUIZ FERNANDEZ EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE BBVA ISIDORO DEL ALAMO Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Barclays MONICA GIRARDI Oddo & Cie STEPHANE LACAZE Natixis PHILIPPE OURPATIAN S&P Capital IQ CLIVE ROBERTS Deutsche Bank VIRGINIA SANZ DE MADRID Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad ANTONIO CRUZ Inverseguros Sociedad de Valores MIGUEL SANCHEZ BCP Investimento VANDA MESQUITA Nord/LB HEINO HAMMANN CA Cheuvreux JOSE PORTA SAUDAN Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg ERKAN AYCICEK Hamburger Sparkasse ANNEMARIE SCHLUETER JPMorgan JAVIER GARRIDO La Caixa FERNANDO MURILLO GUIRAO National Bank AG STEFFEN MANSKE
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG RNS-RUL8 MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy buy/attractive hold underperform buy sell reduce buy buy Overwt/In-Line outperform overweight hold neutral buy neutral underperform hold outperform buy underweight neutral neutral hold hold overweight buy buy hold select list hold sell neutral buy hold
Amt Held 496'946'224 394'672'404 322'730'655 314'887'559 298'846'609 187'839'595 44'428'114 36'832'520 22'900'430 15'408'452 13'001'207 11'391'678 10'301'670 7'760'670 7'492'900 6'645'259 6'487'377 5'611'710 5'332'705 5'314'216
% Out 8.1 6.43 5.26 5.13 4.87 3.06 0.72 0.6 0.37 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.09
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 1 5 1 2 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 1 3 5 5 1 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 1 3 5 3
U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M U M M M M M M M M M U D M M M M
Latest Chg (492'545'762) 10'349'931 (14'204'256) 2'451'686 19'200 (18'528) (711'152) 590'963 3'800 770'379 540'304 4'150'000 195'088 (2'320'000) 1'332'588 25'412
Target Price 5 5 5 3 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 6 4 3 #N/A N/A 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 6 5 5 #N/A N/A 5 5 #N/A N/A 6 7 7
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Government 13.07.2012 Corporation 01.01.2012 Bank 31.12.2011 Bank 28.08.2012 Investment Advisor 17.07.2012 Bank 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 18.04.2007 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 24.07.2012 n/a 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 23.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 16.09.2012 06.09.2012 03.09.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 29.06.2012 15.06.2012 05.06.2012 07.05.2012 28.02.2012 24.02.2012 27.01.2012 25.10.2011 10.03.2011
24.09.2012
Inditex SA Industria de Diseno Textil, S.A. (Inditex), also known as ZARA, designs, manufactures and distributes apparel. The Company operates retail chains in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and Africa.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (25.11.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ITX SQ EQUITY YTD Change ITX SQ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
01/2012 07/yy 99.69 59.50 520'424.00 96.62 -3.03% 62.39% 99.23% 623.3 60'226.18 25.11 0.0 40.8 3'517.44 56'775.18
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20 1.00
30.0 M
100
25.0 M
80
20.0 M
60
15.0 M
40
10.0 M
20
5.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12 m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.01.2008 9'434.7 2.10x 2'148.8 9.24x 1'250.3 16.70x
120
31.01.2009 31.01.2010 10'407.0 11'083.5 1.68x 2.36x 2'186.9 2'353.1 7.97x 11.09x 1'253.5 1'314.4 14.82x 21.63x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.01.2011 12'526.6 2.48x 2'966.2 10.46x 1'731.8 19.86x
31.01.2012 13'792.6 2.76x 3'214.6 11.86x 1'932.3 21.51x 3'214.63 2'522.01 18.29% 18.55% 18.59% 28.00% 28.01% 1.33% 59.3% 23.3% 18.3% 14.0% 2.01 1.50 0.23% 0.34% 27.23 4.50
LTM
07/yy 13'210.0 10.34x 3'071.8 11.88x 1'820.2 21.63x
07/yy 14'822.9 11.04x 3'575.5 13.65x 2'159.5 24.19x
FY+1
0.70 216.72 56.13% 54.72% 0.704 41 3.634 1'750'597 1'360'988 1'306'039 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
01/13 Y 01/14 Y 10/12 Q3 01/13 Q4 15'812.3 17'603.5 4'034.4 4'566.9 3.53x 3.10x 3'927.8 4'416.5 1'133.5 1'164.5 14.46x 12.86x 2'357.4 2'662.5 708.6 769.6 25.53x 22.57x 24.76x 24.49x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
875.44 573.53 -1.09 0.01 0.3% 0.3% 1.33 3.70 13.40 81.02 158.68 -64.26
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16'000.0 14'000.0 12'000.0
0.80 0.60
10'000.0 8'000.0 6'000.0
0.40 0.20
4'000.0 2'000.0 0.0
0.00
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Inditex SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name GARTLER SL PARTLER 2006 SL ROSP CORUNNA FIDELITY MANAGEMENT VANGUARD GROUP INC CARMIGNAC GESTION OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS FIDELITY INTERNATION CAPITAL WORLD INVEST WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN LP RCM CAPITAL MANAGEME UMB BANK N A BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO MASSACHUSETTS FINANC EATON VANCE MANAGEME
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
BPI JOSE RITO Grupo Santander REBECCA MCCLELLAN Societe Generale ANNE CRITCHLOW Deutsche Bank WARWICK OKINES CA Cheuvreux DANIEL OVIN Bankia Bolsa (ESN) MARIA RIVAS RODRIGUEZ Kepler Capital Markets NATALIA BOBO BJOERK Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research FILIPE ROSA Nomura FRASER RAMZAN Exane BNP Paribas BEN SPRUNTULIS AlphaValue VIRGINIE BLIN Morgan Stanley GEOFFREY RUDDELL JPMorgan GILLIAN HILDITCH Sanford C. Bernstein & Co JAMIE MERRIMAN La Caixa ANTONIO JOSE CASTELL NEYRA BBVA ISABEL CARBALLO Banco Sabadell IGNACIO ROMERO Bryan Garnier & Cie PETER FARREN ISI Group OMAR SAAD S&P Capital IQ WILLIAM MACK NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FRANCISCO RIQUEL Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad JESUS DOMINGUEZ ANGULO Barclays CHRISTODOULOS CHAVIARAS Interdin Bolsa SOFIA REBUELTA VILLEGAS Commerzbank Corporates & Markets ANNA RABEYA KHAN Renta 4 SA SVB IVAN SAN FELIX EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE HSBC PAUL ROSSINGTON ING Wholesale Banking JAN MEIJER Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Inverseguros Sociedad de Valores ALBERTO ROLDAN Redburn Partners GEOFF LOWERY Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Independent Research GmbH ZAFER RUEZGAR Ahorro Corporacion Financiera SA GERMAN GARCIA BOU Goldman Sachs FRANKLIN WALDING Intermoney Valores ANTONIO PAUSA RODRIGUEZ Mirabaud Finanzas Sociedad de ValoresGONZALO S SANZ Link Securities PAULA SAMPEDRO
Source Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral buy buy hold outperform hold buy buy neutral outperform sell Overwt/In-Line neutral outperform underweight outperform buy sell buy buy neutral neutral equalweight neutral buy hold underweight overweight buy hold sell buy hold hold hold Buy/Neutral buy underweight accumulate
Amt Held 311'727'598 57'872'465 36'550'000 5'779'945 5'491'817 3'999'766 3'064'214 2'864'400 2'837'839 2'578'000 2'179'831 1'758'300 1'567'709 1'527'165 1'284'321 1'164'014 1'156'548 1'111'931 927'410 702'352
% Out 50.01 9.28 5.86 0.93 0.88 0.64 0.49 0.46 0.46 0.41 0.35 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.11
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 1 5 3 5 1 5 5 1 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 1 5 5 3 1 5 3 3 3 5 5 1 4
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M D U M M M U M M N M M M D
Latest Chg (23'444) 335'403 1'904'511 14'825 89'007 1'450'682 (3'598'650) 270'466 (859'600) 131'186 182'487 1'700 56'678 971 (596'408) 357
Target Price 105 114 115 95 110 78 108 116 92 105 83 80 98 100 89 105 105 62 110 110 101 93 87 72 110 81 #N/A N/A 100 100 #N/A N/A 83 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 80 72 115 78 67 47
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.01.2011 31.01.2011 31.01.2011 31.07.2012 30.06.2012 29.06.2012 31.07.2012 30.06.2012 29.02.2012 30.06.2012 30.06.2012 30.06.2012 31.07.2012 20.09.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 29.06.2012 20.09.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Unclassified n/a Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 27.08.2012 07.08.2012 03.08.2012 11.07.2012 20.06.2012 14.06.2012 14.06.2012 13.06.2012 24.04.2012 21.03.2012 26.11.2009
24.09.2012
ING Groep NV ING Groep N.V. offers financial services to individuals, corporations, and other institutions. The Company offers corporate, investment, and private banking services, asset and portfolio management, treasury services, and insurance. ING Groep has offices throughout the world.
Price/Volume 8
100.0 M 90.0 M 80.0 M 70.0 M 60.0 M 50.0 M 40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M 10.0 M .0 M
7 6 5 4
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (02.02.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance INGA NA EQUITY YTD Change INGA NA EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 7.58 4.41 7'003'977.00 6.55 -13.52% 48.39% 71.48% 3'831.6 25'096.72 240'636.00 0.0 777.0 31'194.00 255'291.72
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
2 1 0 s-11
o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 73'142.0 4.30x 0.0 0.00x 9'241.0 6.50x
3
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 64'680.0 46'025.0 4.40x 5.41x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x (729.0) (935.0) 0.00x 0.00x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 51'411.0 4.99x 0.0 0.00x 2'810.0 12.77x
31.12.2011 52'787.0 4.38x 0.0 0.00x 5'766.0 6.70x 11.25% 9.95% 0.46% 12.07% 2.16% 0.04% 10.9% 18.81% 484.54% -
LTM
06/yy 46'381.0 23.15x 0.0 0.00x 3'257.0 14.54x
06/yy 48'371.0 20.14x 0.0 0.00x 4'729.0 6.65x
FY+1
1.80 43.33% 17.81% 1.796 33 3.909 25'125'970 27'312'480 27'684'510 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 36'900.8 42'571.9 3'415.0 3'585.0 1.05x 0.90x 3'855.8 4'380.1 928.7 1'004.5 6.28x 5.60x 6.82x 6.55x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
03.09.2009 A STABLE 31.03.2009 A-1 484.5% 82.7% 0.04 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
100'000.0 90'000.0
1.00
80'000.0 70'000.0
0.80 0.60 0.40
60'000.0 50'000.0 40'000.0 30'000.0 20'000.0
0.20
10'000.0 0.0
0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
ING Groep NV Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES I VANGUARD GROUP INC FIDELITY INTERNATION DB PLATINUM ADVISORS HARTFORD INVESTMENT ING INVESTMENT MANAG MASSACHUSETTS FINANC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG DEUTSCHE BANK AG FIDELITY MANAGEMENT ACHMEA BELEGGINSFOND BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO SCHRODER INVESTMENT UNION INVESTMENT GMB ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE TEMPLETON INVESTMENT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name SNS Securities(ESN) AlphaValue Morgan Stanley RBC Capital Markets Deutsche Bank Kepler Capital Markets Macquarie Rabobank International Exane BNP Paribas Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg CA Cheuvreux Independent Research GmbH KBC Securities Oddo & Cie ABN Amro Bank N.V. HSBC Day by Day Nomura S&P Capital IQ Credit Suisse EVA Dimensions Hamburger Sparkasse Petercam Barclays Societe Generale Main First Bank AG Keefe, Bruyette & Woods JPMorgan Kempen & Co Goldman Sachs DZ Bank AG Theodoor Gilissen Securities Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Natixis
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst LEMER SALAH JEROME CASSAGNE DAVID ANDRICH GORDON AITKEN SPENCER HORGAN BENOIT PETRARQUE THOMAS STOEGNER COR KLUIS FRANCOIS BOISSIN WERNER SCHIRMER HANS PLUIJGERS STEFAN BONGARDT DIRK PEETERS NICOLAS JACOB JAN WILLEM WEIDEMA KAILESH MISTRY VALERIE GASTALDY TARIK EL MEJJAD RODERICK WALLACE RICHARD BURDEN TEAM COVERAGE CHRISTIAN HAMANN MATTHIAS DE WIT KIRI VIJAYARAJAH PHILIP RICHARDS FEDERICO SALERNO WILLIAM HAWKINS MICHAEL HUTTNER FREDERIC VAN DAELE JERNEJ OMAHEN WERNER EISENMANN TOM MULLER TIM PROUDLOVE BENOIT VALLEAUX
Source 13G MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy buy Overwt/In-Line outperform hold reduce neutral buy neutral hold outperform hold accumulate neutral buy neutral buy buy hold outperform hold hold buy equalweight hold buy outperform restricted sell neutral/neutral buy hold outperform suspended coverage
Amt Held 189'941'686 158'006'271 64'528'382 44'638'466 32'183'884 28'725'202 27'707'655 26'155'586 25'314'880 24'772'185 22'681'400 20'377'537 20'353'528 19'415'265 17'047'121 15'017'209 15'016'060 14'703'712 12'294'812 11'207'322
% Out 4.96 4.12 1.68 1.17 0.84 0.75 0.72 0.68 0.66 0.65 0.59 0.53 0.53 0.51 0.44 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.32 0.29
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 5 3 2 3 5 3 3 5 3 4 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 #N/A N/A 1 3 5 3 5 #N/A N/A
M M M M M D D M M M M M M M M M U M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 37'710'724 2'307'347 (2'900'726) 4'630'524 (7'399) (99'813) 895'934 (3'471'719) (10'325'465) (715'008) (224'442) (1'175'197) 8'200 68'877 (2'610'049) (78'840) -
Target Price 10 8 7 8 8 6 7 9 7 6 8 7 9 7 7 7 8 8 6 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 8 6 6 8 8 #N/A N/A 4 9 8 10 9 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 16.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 29.08.2012 27.08.2012 21.08.2012 16.08.2012 15.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 08.08.2012 03.08.2012 10.06.2012 22.05.2012 13.01.2012 27.10.2011 17.06.2011 17.03.2009
24.09.2012
Intesa Sanpaolo SpA Intesa Sanpaolo attracts deposits and offers banking and financial services. The Bank offers consumer credit, asset management, Internet banking, merchant banking, securities brokerage, factoring, and lease financing services, and manages mutual funds. Intesa Sanpaolo operates branches throughout Italy, and offices elsewhere in Europe, Asia, and the United States.
Price/Volume 2
500.0 M 450.0 M 400.0 M 350.0 M 300.0 M 250.0 M 200.0 M 150.0 M 100.0 M 50.0 M .0 M
2 1 1 1 1
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (08.02.2012) 52-Week Low (23.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ISP IM EQUITY YTD Change ISP IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 1.65 0.85 59'241'824.00 1.234 -25.15% 44.58% 50.53% 15'501.3 20'103.04 266'182.00 0.0 718.0 39'926.00 -
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20 1.00
0 0 0 s-11
o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 32'566.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 7'250.0 21.37x
1
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 33'216.0 27'022.0 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 2'553.0 2'805.0 23.67x 15.27x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 24'836.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'705.0 12.90x
31.12.2011 25'266.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x (8'190.0) 0.00x 4.75% -54.51% -1.26% -16.29% -2.54% 0.04% -46.8% 41.64% 565.86% -
LTM
06/yy 19'435.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'417.0 11.38x
06/yy 26'049.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x (8'318.0) 0.00x
FY+1
1.41 13'656.47 28.27% 0.21% 1.414 35 3.286 ######### ######### ######### FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 17'161.6 17'019.9 4'129.3 4'211.3 1'981.7 2'343.7 493.5 413.0 9.95x 8.45x 10.92x 10.92x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
10.02.2012 BBB+ NEG 10.02.2012 A-2 565.9% 84.8% 0.04 4.60 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
35'000.0 30'000.0 25'000.0
0.80
20'000.0 0.60
15'000.0
0.40
10'000.0 5'000.0
0.20
0.0 0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Intesa Sanpaolo SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name COMPAGNIA DI SAN PAO FOND CR PROVINCIE LO FONDAZIONE CASSA RIS ENTE CASSA DI RISP F FONDAZIONE CASSA RIS HARRIS ASSOCIATES L ALLEANZA TORO SPA ASSICURAZIONI GENERA BLACKROCK ADVISORS U BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FRANKLIN RESOURCES I VANGUARD GROUP INC INA ASSITALIA SPA GENERALI VIE SA DB PLATINUM ADVISORS BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI BLACKROCK ASSET MANA BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS FIDELITY MANAGEMENT NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name Credit Suisse AlphaValue ICBPI. Grupo Santander Oddo & Cie Banca Akros(ESN) Exane BNP Paribas HSBC Societe Generale Mediobanca SpA EVA Dimensions Barclays CA Cheuvreux Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Macquarie Nomura Day by Day Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Nord/LB Independent Research GmbH Morgan Stanley Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Equita SIM SpA Berenberg Bank Natixis Kepler Capital Markets S&P Capital IQ ING Wholesale Banking Deutsche Bank Hammer Partners SA Banco Sabadell Main First Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a HARRIS ASSOC LP n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst IGNACIO CEREZO DAVID GRINSZTAJN LUCA COMI TANIA GOLD JEAN SASSUS LUIGI TRAMONTANA ANDREA VERCELLONE CARLO DIGRANDI CARLO TOMMASELLI ANDREA FILTRI TEAM COVERAGE JEREMY SIGEE ALDO COMI RONNY REHN BENJIE CREELAN-SANDFORD DOMENICO SANTORO VALERIE GASTALDY JEAN-FRANCOIS NEUEZ KIAN ABOUHOSSEIN MICHAEL SEUFERT STEFAN BONGARDT FRANCESCA TONDI INGO FROMMEN MATTEO GHILOTTI MARCO TROIANO STEVEN GOULD ANNA MARIA BENASSI FRANK BRADEN ALEXANDER PELTESHKI PAOLA SABBIONE ENRICO RACIOPPI MARIO LODOS ALBERTO SEGAFREDO
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH 13F EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral buy neutral underweight reduce accumulate neutral underweight sell neutral overweight underweight outperform underperform underperform buy buy neutral/neutral neutral hold hold Equalwt/In-Line hold buy buy buy buy hold hold buy sell buy neutral
Amt Held 1'532'766'787 725'460'008 647'953'597 523'633'314 422'874'979 307'619'116 286'308'683 205'236'977 183'690'194 181'520'015 148'101'905 123'651'390 85'877'104 82'931'860 74'398'983 71'253'990 61'377'693 46'813'872 43'564'982 41'310'760
% Out 9.89 4.68 4.18 3.38 2.73 1.98 1.85 1.32 1.18 1.17 0.96 0.8 0.55 0.53 0.48 0.46 0.4 0.3 0.28 0.27
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 1 2 4 3 1 1 3 5 1 5 1 1 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 1 5 3
M M M M M M M D M M U D M M D M U M M U M M M M M M M M D M M M M
Latest Chg 80'746'488 16'692'387 (6'432'782) 30'787'408 66'426 363'591 209'075 (11'532'302)
Target Price 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 #N/A N/A 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 #N/A N/A 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 #N/A N/A 2
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 12.09.2012 Other 12.09.2012 Bank 12.09.2012 Bank 12.09.2012 Bank 12.09.2012 Other 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 12.09.2012 Insurance Company 12.09.2012 Insurance Company 12.09.2012 Investment Advisor 12.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 12.09.2012 n/a 12.09.2012 n/a 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 12.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
Date Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 3 month 12 month 15 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 23.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 01.08.2012 20.07.2012 19.06.2012 06.02.2012 29.07.2011
24.09.2012
Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV Koninklijke Philips Electronics N.V. manufactures medical systems, domestic appliances, consumer electronics, and lighting. The Company produces imaging, ultrasound and healthcare informatics equipment, shaving and beauty and health and wellness products, displays, and peripherals, and lamps and luminaries.
Price/Volume 25
14.0 M 12.0 M
20
10.0 M
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (07.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 24.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PHIA NA EQUITY YTD Change PHIA NA EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 19.56 12.23 962'809.00 18.625 -4.73% 52.35% 90.79% 957.1 17'826.60 3'860.00 0.0 34.0 3'147.00 19'627.60
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
10
6.0 M 4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 26'385.0 20'092.0 0.51x 0.95x 1'883.0 2'055.0 7.11x 9.30x (91.0) 410.0 0.00x 41.36x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 22'287.0 0.92x 3'436.0 5.98x 1'446.0 14.60x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 22'579.0 0.70x 1'187.0 13.33x (1'295.0) 0.00x 1'187.00 -269.00 -1.19% -2.18% -4.23% -9.45% 0.74% 38.3% 5.3% -1.2% -5.7% 1.34 0.79 13.33% 31.24% 5.43 3.72
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 21'587.0 3.74x 3'202.0 5.44x (220.0) 703.73x
f-12
06/yy 23'609.0 2.58x 1'430.0 11.40x 327.0 21.20x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.21 924.02 57.31% 20.45% 1.208 38 3.605 3'347'319 3'103'134 3'508'018 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 24'461.0 25'454.0 5'926.5 7'316.0 0.77x 0.72x 3.15x 2.46x 2'895.9 3'365.7 753.5 1'114.5 6.79x 5.84x 5.33x 4.99x 1'174.4 1'452.3 224.3 480.2 14.51x 11.51x 12.49x 11.05x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
11.05.2005 ANEG 26.02.2001 A-2 3.39 1.32 0.60 3.25 31.2% 23.8% 0.74 7.33 67.20 98.11 93.65 71.66
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00
40'000.0
35.00
35'000.0
30.00
30'000.0
25.00
25'000.0
20.00
20'000.0
15.00
15'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
5.00
5'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 26'793.0 0.98x 2'950.0 8.93x 4'873.0 6.39x
15
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M DODGE & COX KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS HARRIS ASSOCIATES L FRANKLIN RESOURCES I VANGUARD GROUP INC ING INVESTMENT MANAG FIDELITY MANAGEMENT BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL TEMPLETON INVESTMENT T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA AMERICAN CENTURY COM FORTIS INVESTMENTS BLACKROCK INVESTMENT ACHMEA BELEGGINSFOND BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG BLACKROCK ASSET MANA
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios #N/A N/A HARRIS ASSOC LP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Credit Suisse SIMON TOENNESSEN JPMorgan ANDREAS WILLI AlphaValue THOMAS PICHERIT Petercam MARCEL ACHTERBERG Rabobank International HANS SLOB Exane BNP Paribas OLIVIER ESNOU Societe Generale GAEL DE BRAY Morgan Stanley BEN UGLOW RBC Capital Markets ANDREW CARTER Sanford C. Bernstein & Co MARTIN PROZESKY CA Cheuvreux ANTOINE AZAR Independent Research GmbH MARKUS FRIEBEL Nomura DANIEL CUNLIFFE Barclays ALLAN SMYLIE SNS Securities(ESN) VICTOR BARENO Goldman Sachs AARON IBBOTSON Theodoor Gilissen Securities JOS VERSTEEG ING Wholesale Banking SJOERD UMMELS HSBC MICHAEL HAGMANN Berenberg Bank WILLIAM MACKIE EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Hamburger Sparkasse MARCO GUENTHER Banco Sabadell GLEN SPENCER-CHAPMAN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Nord/LB WOLFGANG VASTERLING Kepler Capital Markets PETER OLOFSEN Natixis LUDOVIC DEBAILLEUX Deutsche Bank MARTIN WILKIE Kempen & Co ERWIN DUT Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg VOLKER STOLL Oddo & Cie DELPHINE BRAULT S&P Capital IQ JAMES CRAWSHAW Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research ROB VIRDEE DZ Bank AG THOMAS MAUL National Bank AG STEFFEN MANSKE Jyske Bank ROBERT JAKOBSEN
Source Research 13G MF-AGG Research 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral neutral add hold buy neutral buy Equalwt/In-Line outperform outperform outperform hold buy equalweight hold neutral/neutral buy hold neutral buy hold sell sell hold buy buy buy hold buy hold buy hold buy buy sell sell
Amt Held 48'717'052 48'302'038 47'067'009 32'381'240 23'595'873 22'598'686 11'390'845 6'462'123 5'546'639 5'275'845 4'616'627 4'240'931 3'919'891 3'692'188 3'606'798 3'493'090 3'409'575 3'206'110 3'088'972 3'025'397
% Out 5.09 5.05 4.92 3.38 2.47 2.36 1.19 0.68 0.58 0.55 0.48 0.44 0.41 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.33 0.32 0.32
Weighting
Change 3 3 4 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 1 1 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 1 1
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U U D M U U M M M M M M M M M D M
Latest Chg (3'464'935) 2'387'491 (71'765'334) 1'905'573 (1'621) 535'591 (444'162) 398'042 (29'758) (1'420) 190'369 (1'009'997) (103'911) 178'144 (40'327) 50'603 (74'895) 920
Target Price 19 21 20 20 22 21 20 19 20 24 23 20 20 18 15 21 23 17 20 23 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 16 #N/A N/A 19 21 21 19 18 17 19 16 20 17 #N/A N/A 23
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 18.10.2010 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 21.09.2012 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 15 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 23.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 07.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 22.08.2012 10.08.2012 08.08.2012 02.08.2012 30.07.2012 26.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 23.07.2012 23.07.2012 23.07.2012 23.07.2012 23.07.2012 16.07.2012 27.06.2012 03.04.2012 29.03.2010
24.09.2012
L'Oreal SA L'Oreal SA manufactures, markets, and distributes health and beauty aids. The Company produces colorants, styling, and hair care products for professional hairdressers, hair care, cosmetics, and skin care products and perfumes for consumers, luxury cosmetics and perfumes sold through department stores, perfumeries and travel stores, and dermatological and pharmaceutical products.
Price/Volume
3.0 M 2.5 M 2.0 M
60
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.08.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 20.08.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance OR FP EQUITY YTD Change OR FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 102.50 70.12 299'991.00 96.83 -5.51% 38.09% 83.38% 606.6 58'741.43 1'148.30 0.0 3.1 1'652.20 58'509.73
1.5 M
40
1.0 M
20
.5 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 17'541.8 17'472.6 2.28x 2.72x 3'441.7 3'368.7 11.63x 14.12x 1'948.3 1'792.2 18.82x 25.41x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 19'495.8 2.52x 3'757.5 13.05x 2'239.7 21.75x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 20'343.1 2.33x 3'955.1 12.00x 2'438.4 19.64x 3'955.10 3'292.60 16.19% 17.04% 9.58% 15.01% 14.04% 0.80% 71.2% 19.4% 16.2% 12.0% 1.08 0.65 4.28% 6.51% 7.16 3.03
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 18'370.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
f-12
06/yy 21'311.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
0.68 230.85 38.93% 22.61% 0.680 40 3.225 997'413 756'905 768'096 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 22'393.8 23'671.8 5'456.0 5'677.0 2.56x 2.37x 4'430.6 4'766.0 13.24x 12.30x 2'880.5 3'118.3 20.29x 18.76x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.06.2006 A-1+ 82.23 64.23 -0.13 0.29 6.5% 6.1% 0.80 7.32 50.97 120.45 191.72 -20.30
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
25'000.0
20.00
20'000.0
15.00
15'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
5.00
5'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
3.5 M
100 80
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 17'062.6 3.64x 3'475.9 17.88x 2'656.0 22.17x
120
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
L'Oreal SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BETTENCOURT FAMILY NESTLE SA L'OREAL SA VANGUARD GROUP INC NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS CAPITAL WORLD INVEST OWEN-JONES LINDSAY CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO FIDELITY MANAGEMENT BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BLACKROCK ASSET MANA LBPAM BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI INVESCO LTD NEW JERSEY DIVISION MERCURY ASSET MANAGE WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP RCM CAPITAL MANAGEME
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Redburn Partners WILLIAM HOUSTON Credit Suisse ALEX MOLLOY Exane BNP Paribas EAMONN FERRY AlphaValue ARMELLE MOULIN Independent Research GmbH LARS LUSEBRINK Societe Generale CHAS MANSO DE ZUNIGA Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research MARTIN DOLAN HSBC CEDRIC BESNARD Sanford C. Bernstein & Co ANDREW WOOD Raymond James HERMINE DE BENTZMANN Morgan Stanley ERIK SJOGREN Canaccord Genuity Corp EDDY HARGREAVES Bryan Garnier & Cie LOIC MORVAN Grupo Santander PEDRO GIL JPMorgan CELINE PANNUTI Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg BERND MUELL Oddo & Cie LEOPOLD AUTHIE Kepler Capital Markets CATHERINE ROLLAND Main First Bank AG MATTHIAS EIFERT Barclays IAIN SIMPSON Commerzbank Corporates & Markets ANDREAS RIEMANN Goldman Sachs ROSIE EDWARDS Jefferies ALEX HOWSON Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Nomura GUILLAUME DELMAS S&P Capital IQ CARL SHORT Telsey Advisory Group DANA TELSEY RBC Capital Markets JAMES EDWARDES JONES Stifel Nicolaus MARK S ASTRACHAN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Banco Sabadell IGNACIO ROMERO DZ Bank AG THOMAS MAUL Natixis PIERRE TEGNER Liberum Capital Ltd PABLO ZUANIC Deutsche Bank HAROLD THOMPSON Berenberg Bank SETH PETERSON ING Wholesale Banking MARCO GULPERS Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY CA Cheuvreux THOMAS MESMIN Macquarie SREEDHAR MAHAMKALI
Source Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG
Recommendation sell neutral outperform reduce hold buy sell neutral underperform outperform Underwt/In-Line sell buy hold overweight hold buy buy neutral overweight add buy/attractive buy buy reduce hold no rating system outperform hold underweight sell buy neutral buy hold hold sell hold suspended coverage outperform
Amt Held 185'661'879 178'381'021 8'597'659 5'135'638 5'050'746 4'000'965 3'195'000 3'029'005 3'010'000 1'411'248 1'282'910 1'006'298 833'553 775'156 769'913 751'170 725'628 643'171 628'781 620'065
% Out 30.6 29.4 1.42 0.85 0.83 0.66 0.53 0.5 0.5 0.23 0.21 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.1
Weighting
Change
1 3 5 2 3 5 1 3 1 5 1 1 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 2 3 #N/A N/A 5 3 1 1 5 3 5 3 3 1 3 #N/A N/A 5
M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M D D M M
Latest Chg 953'594 560'936 600'000 (794'000) (16'482) 1'072 (125'162) 236 (17'000) (158'531) 42'490 628'781 30'588
Target Price #N/A N/A 96 107 104 107 112 87 105 92 108 91 90 104 100 108 94 106 112 90 110 105 136 106 #N/A N/A 85 107 97 107 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 92 97 86 130 95 95 82 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 90
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 Corporation 31.12.2011 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 21.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA) 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 15 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 06.09.2012 04.09.2012 31.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 29.08.2012 28.08.2012 28.08.2012 08.08.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 20.07.2012 11.07.2012 11.07.2012 31.05.2012 19.12.2011 02.09.2011
24.09.2012
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA is a diversified luxury goods group. The Company produces and sells champagne, cognac, perfumes, cosmetics, luggage, watches and jewelry.
Price/Volume 160
3.5 M
140
3.0 M
120
2.5 M
100
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (16.03.2012) 52-Week Low (04.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 11.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MC FP EQUITY YTD Change MC FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 136.80 94.16 382'155.00 121.7 -11.00% 29.25% 66.58% 507.9 61'813.84 7'266.00 0.0 1'061.0 2'303.00 68'713.84
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
1.5 M
60 40
1.0 M
20
.5 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 16'481.0 2.63x 4'109.0 10.55x 2'025.0 19.36x
2.0 M
80
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 17'193.0 17'053.0 1.60x 2.41x 4'323.0 4'055.0 6.34x 10.13x 2'026.0 1'755.0 11.16x 21.13x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 20'320.0 3.08x 5'106.0 12.27x 3'032.0 19.36x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 23'659.0 2.56x 6'150.0 9.84x 3'065.0 17.45x 6'150.00 5'263.00 22.25% 20.79% 7.28% 15.46% 13.27% 0.56% 65.8% 26.0% 22.2% 13.0% 1.38 0.44 15.44% 32.36% 13.74 1.20
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 19'391.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 26'333.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
2.38 0.90 255.04 17.93% 12.87% 0.902 34 4.294 1'114'713 831'115 897'554 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 28'083.4 30'557.5 6'732.5 8'105.0 2.38x 2.12x 7'064.6 7'814.6 9.76x 8.82x 3'656.2 4'073.0 16.65x 14.96x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
20.05.2011 A POS 20.05.2011 A-1 32.03 22.92 0.81 1.18 32.4% 23.6% 0.56 3.21 26.56 304.49 99.69 231.36
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00
25'000.0
16.00
20'000.0
14.00 12.00
15'000.0
10.00 8.00
10'000.0
6.00
5'000.0
4.00 2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name GROUPE ARNAULT SAS LVMH MOET HENNESSY L QATAR HOLDINGS LLC NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CARMIGNAC GESTION THORNBURG INVESTMENT VANGUARD GROUP INC MASSACHUSETTS FINANC FIDELITY MANAGEMENT FIDELITY INTERNATION OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC TRAPANI FRANCESCO CAPITAL WORLD INVEST DEUTSCHE BANK AG AVIVA PLC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO LBPAM BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG BNP ASSET MANAGEMENT MFS INVESTMENT MANAG
Firm Name Redburn Partners AlphaValue Raymond James Aurel - BGC Cantor Fitzgerald Renaissance Capital Nomura Barclays HSBC Bryan Garnier & Cie Day by Day S&P Capital IQ Kepler Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Credit Suisse Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Banco Sabadell Berenberg Bank Main First Bank AG JPMorgan CA Cheuvreux Independent Research GmbH Oddo & Cie ISI Group Societe Generale Hamburger Sparkasse Morgan Stanley DZ Bank AG Telsey Advisory Group Deutsche Bank Helvea Goldman Sachs Natixis
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Source Co File Co File Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation
ANNABEL GLEESON buy VIRGINIE BLIN buy MARC WILLAUME outperform DAVID DA MAIA hold ALLEGRA PERRY hold REY WIUM hold CHRISTOPHER WALKER neutral JULIAN EASTHOPE overweight ANTOINE BELGE neutral LOIC MORVAN buy VALERIE GASTALDY hold MARNIE COHEN strong buy CATHERINE ROLLAND buy TEAM COVERAGE sell ROGERIO FUJIMORI outperform BARBARA AMBRUS buy IGNACIO ROMERO buy JOHN GUY buy MATTHIAS EIFERT buy MELANIE A FLOUQUET neutral THOMAS MESMIN outperform LARS LUSEBRINK buy LEOPOLD AUTHIE buy OMAR SAAD buy EMMANUEL BRULEY DES VARANNES buy CHRISTIAN HAMANN buy LOUISE SINGLEHURST Overwt/In-Line THOMAS MAUL buy DANA TELSEY no rating system WARWICK OKINES buy TIM DAWSON suspended coverage WILLIAM HUTCHINGS neutral/neutral OLIVIER DELAHOUSSE buy
Amt Held 236'033'646 9'536'678 5'230'723 4'374'445 4'165'744 3'940'056 3'706'291 3'018'380 2'200'987 2'122'078 1'623'450 1'561'592 1'528'000 1'445'911 1'395'468 1'319'260 1'286'619 1'202'380 1'051'543 965'220
% Out 46.47 1.88 1.03 0.86 0.82 0.78 0.73 0.59 0.43 0.42 0.32 0.31 0.3 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.19
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 1 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 #N/A N/A 5 #N/A N/A 3 5
M U D M N M M M D M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M N U M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (62'039) 27'750 140'652 119'165 (181'280) (6'937) (69'550) 143'000 (2'815) (13'176) 1'128 5'184 (55'895) 558'972 20'282
Target Price #N/A N/A 155 145 130 129 142 147 160 145 139 #N/A N/A 155 150 #N/A N/A 138 150 148 150 140 120 142 150 150 160 150 123 150 147 149 140 #N/A N/A 192 147
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Holding Company 31.12.2011 Holding Company 15.03.2012 Government 29.06.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 3 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 13.09.2012 11.09.2012 07.09.2012 03.09.2012 01.09.2012 31.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 31.05.2012 09.05.2012 03.05.2012 02.05.2012 19.04.2012 16.04.2012 02.04.2012 07.03.2012 03.02.2012
24.09.2012
Muenchener Rueckversicherungs AG Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG (MunichRe) provides financial services. The Company offers reinsurance, insurance, and asset management services. MunichRe has subsidiaries in most major financial centers throughout the world.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MUV2 GY EQUITY YTD Change MUV2 GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 125.85 78.61 227'107.00 124.15 -1.35% 57.93% 98.09% 179.3 22'265.21 5'562.00 0.0 247.0 2'490.00 25'465.21
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
3.5 M
120
3.0 M
100
2.5 M
80
2.0 M
60
1.5 M
40
1.0 M
20
.5 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 47'151.0 53'891.0 0.56x 0.44x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 1'555.0 2'521.0 14.34x 8.39x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 59'111.0 0.42x 0.0 0.00x 2'422.0 8.69x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 60'908.0 0.33x 0.0 0.00x 702.0 24.03x 0.74% 0.26% 0.29% 3.06% 0.25% 1.2% 2.25% 24.12% -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
LTM
06/yy 59'610.0 1.47x 0.0 0.00x 1'020.0 18.72x
06/yy 64'012.0 1.33x 0.0 0.00x 2'501.0 7.88x
FY+1
0.97 178.99 64.05% 38.43% 0.968 44 3.773 979'069 675'152 750'314 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 53'719.1 55'320.1 15'175.0 14'051.0 0.53x 0.51x 2'701.5 2'731.3 743.0 688.0 8.21x 8.09x 8.45x 8.32x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
AASTABLE 24.1% 19.3% 0.25 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
4.50
70'000.0
4.00
60'000.0
3.50
50'000.0
3.00 2.50
40'000.0
2.00
30'000.0
1.50
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.50 0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 47'323.0 0.69x 0.0 0.00x 3'854.0 7.41x
140
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Muenchener Rueckversicherungs AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY I BLACKROCK ASSET MANA PEOPLES BANK OF CHIN BLACKROCK ASSET MANA CREDIT SUISSE AG FRANKLIN RESOURCES I VANGUARD GROUP INC ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH DEUTSCHE BANK AG NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE DB PLATINUM ADVISORS MACKENZIE FINANCIAL TWEEDY BROWNE COMPAN UNION INVESTMENT GMB ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA DEKA INTERNATIONAL S
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Canaccord Genuity Corp BEN COHEN Helvea DANIEL BISCHOF AlphaValue DIETER HEIN Sanford C. Bernstein & Co THOMAS SEIDL Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) PHILIPP HAESSLER DZ Bank AG THORSTEN WENZEL Silvia Quandt Research CHRISTIAN MUSCHICK Oddo & Cie NICOLAS JACOB Kepler Capital Markets FABRIZIO CROCE Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg WERNER SCHIRMER Morgan Stanley MACIEJ WASILEWICZ Macquarie HADLEY COHEN Barclays ANDREW BROADFIELD Societe Generale JASON KALAMBOUSSIS HSBC THOMAS FOSSARD Exane BNP Paribas THOMAS JACQUET Nord/LB VOLKER SACK JPMorgan MICHAEL HUTTNER Raymond James DANNY JACQUES Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Bankhaus Metzler JOCHEN SCHMITT Natixis BENOIT VALLEAUX Commerzbank Corporates & Markets ROLAND PFAENDER Credit Suisse RICHARD BURDEN Keefe, Bruyette & Woods WILLIAM HAWKINS National Bank AG MANFRED JAISFELD Berenberg Bank TOM CARSTAIRS Bryan Garnier & Cie OLIVIER PAUCHAUT Nomura MICHAEL KLIEN S&P Capital IQ RODERICK WALLACE Main First Bank AG MICHAEL HAID RBC Capital Markets GORDON AITKEN EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Jefferies JAMES SHUCK Goldman Sachs VINIT MALHOTRA CA Cheuvreux FRANK KOPFINGER Redburn Partners PAUL GOODHIND Deutsche Bank SPENCER HORGAN Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research JOY FERNEYHOUGH Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TIM PROUDLOVE
Source Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy hold neutral reduce underperform hold hold buy neutral reduce buy hold Overwt/In-Line neutral equalweight buy neutral outperform hold overweight outperform buy buy neutral buy outperform outperform buy hold neutral buy hold neutral sector perform overweight buy neutral/neutral outperform neutral hold neutral outperform
Amt Held 18'292'803 11'119'155 5'380'236 4'096'601 3'097'431 2'883'576 2'149'606 1'686'504 1'533'948 1'461'662 1'393'982 1'169'152 1'156'678 994'136 909'100 830'866 698'490 670'275 615'171 591'914
% Out 10.2 6.2 3 2.28 1.73 1.61 1.2 0.94 0.86 0.82 0.78 0.65 0.64 0.55 0.51 0.46 0.39 0.37 0.34 0.33
Weighting
Change 5 3 3 2 1 3 3 5 3 2 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 5
M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M U
Latest Chg 160 12'970 131'893 (72'237) 279 (55'045) 19'128 541'643 466'377 (376'953) (1'100) (67'287) 100'829 (16'949)
Target Price 133 105 122 125 98 125 110 130 123 110 143 120 121 115 137 135 125 135 116 146 126 #N/A N/A 134 117 135 131 150 135 136 117 125 125 115 120 #N/A N/A 131 131 133 #N/A N/A 120 118 119
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 25.04.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
Date 3 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month
Date 19.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 29.08.2012 15.08.2012 14.08.2012 13.08.2012 10.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 31.07.2012 03.07.2012 15.05.2012 20.04.2012 29.03.2012 16.03.2012 15.03.2012 14.02.2012 02.02.2012 10.05.2011
24.09.2012
Nokia OYJ Nokia Oyj is a global mobile communications company that operates a network of production facilities for mobile products and network infrastructure, as well as a network of sales and customer service. The Company also operates research and software development facilities worldwide.
Price/Volume 6
160.0 M 140.0 M
5
120.0 M 4
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.10.2011) 52-Week Low (18.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 23.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance NOK1V FH EQUITY YTD Change NOK1V FH EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 5.19 1.33 8'747'438.00 2.072 -60.04% 55.79% 20.34% 3'745.0 7'759.55 5'321.00 0.0 2'043.0 10'469.00 5'372.55
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
80.0 M 60.0 M
2
40.0 M 1
20.0 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 50'710.0 40'984.0 0.81x 0.77x 6'587.0 3'889.0 6.22x 8.14x 3'988.0 891.0 10.42x 37.09x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 42'446.0 0.58x 3'841.0 6.37x 1'850.0 15.52x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 38'659.0 0.28x 1'579.0 6.90x (1'164.0) 0.00x 1'579.00 17.00 0.04% -3.10% -3.09% -8.87% 1.03% 29.3% 4.1% 0.0% -3.0% 1.46 1.01 14.70% 44.82% 5.24 11.27
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 42'595.0 1.94x 2'903.0 5.13x 1'250.0 13.27x
f-12
06/yy 33'881.0 1.18x (607.0) 0.00x (3'479.0) 0.00x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.19 -42.75% -40.48% 1.193 48 2.563 23'669'350 40'710'790 42'487'410 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 30'180.0 29'595.7 7'048.5 8'067.0 0.22x 0.25x 0.76x 0.70x (732.2) 996.6 (154.1) 77.8 5.39x 15.25x (1'260.9) (250.4) (359.6) (241.0) S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.08.2012 BBNEG 27.04.2012 B 6.19 3.85 -3.26 3.37 44.8% 27.7% 1.03 20.37 69.64 32.39 78.20 23.83
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
30.00
60'000.0
25.00
50'000.0
20.00
40'000.0
15.00
30'000.0
10.00
20'000.0
5.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 51'058.0 1.91x 9'191.0 10.63x 7'205.0 14.30x
100.0 M
3
Valuation Analysis
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Nokia OYJ Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO DODGE & COX ILMARINEN MUTUAL PEN VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST VARMA MUTUAL PENSION FINLAND STATE PENSIO MACKENZIE FINANCIAL BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO SVENSKA LITTERATURSA SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE OP DELTA FUND DNB NOR ASSET MANAGE BLACKROCK ASSET MANA MERCURY ASSET MANAGE SIGRID JUSELIUS FOUN SELIGSON & CO FUND M MASSACHUSETTS FINANC FENNIA MUTUAL INSURA GYLLENBERG RAHASTOYH
Firm Name Pohjola Bank Plc (ESN) AlphaValue Jyske Bank Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Pareto Securities Evli Bank Plc Exane BNP Paribas Day by Day INDERES Pacific Crest Securities Grupo Santander Societe Generale Deutsche Bank Credit Suisse SEB Enskilda Independent Research GmbH Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Oddo & Cie Nordea Equity Research Nomura S&P Capital IQ Barclays Jefferies EVA Dimensions Berenberg Bank ABG Sundal Collier Swedbank Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Wunderlich Securities Handelsbanken Nord/LB Goldman Sachs Liberum Capital Ltd Hamburger Sparkasse Morgan Stanley JPMorgan Carnegie Kepler Capital Markets FIM Main First Bank AG Avian Securities, LLC HSBC CA Cheuvreux
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst HANNU RAUHALA JEAN-MICHEL SALVADOR ROBERT JAKOBSEN PIERRE FERRAGU HELENA NORDMAN-KNUTSON MIKKO ERVASTI ALEXANDER PETERC VALERIE GASTALDY MIKAEL RAUTANEN JAMES FAUCETTE CARLOS JAVIER TREVINO ANDY PERKINS KAI KORSCHELT KULBINDER GARCHA MATS NYSTROM MARKUS FRIEBEL YOKO YAMADA VINCENT MAULAY SAMI SARKAMIES STUART JEFFREY JAMES CRAWSHAW ANDREW M GARDINER LEE SIMPSON TEAM COVERAGE ADNAAN AHMAD PER LINDBERG HAKAN WRANNE MIRKO MAIER MATTHEW S ROBISON FREDRIK LITHELL JAN CHRISTIAN GOEHMANN SIMON F SCHAFER JANARDAN MENON ANNEMARIE SCHLUETER FRANCOIS MEUNIER SANDEEP S DESHPANDE MATTI RIIKONEN SEBASTIEN SZTABOWICZ MICHAEL SCHROEDER JUERGEN WAGNER BLAINE R CARROLL RICHARD DINEEN ODON DE LAPORTE
Source 13G MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG
Recommendation reduce buy buy underperform buy buy underperform buy reduce sector perform hold sell sell neutral hold sell underperform neutral hold neutral sell equalweight underperform overweight sell buy buy hold hold accumulate sell Sell/Neutral hold sell Underwt/In-Line underweight hold reduce accumulate neutral Positive underweight underperform
Amt Held 172'926'000 141'887'625 79'889'000 42'118'678 41'408'200 40'002'000 23'000'000 19'361'693 18'274'047 14'226'000 13'037'768 12'600'000 12'218'621 10'346'794 10'104'926 9'400'000 9'113'788 9'000'388 8'181'000 7'945'000
% Out 4.62 3.79 2.13 1.12 1.11 1.07 0.61 0.52 0.49 0.38 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.21
Weighting
Change 2 5 5 1 5 5 1 5 2 3 3 1 1 3 3 1 1 3 3 3 1 3 1 5 1 5 5 3 3 4 1 1 3 1 1 1 3 2 4 3 4 1 1
M M M M M U M M M M M D D M M M D M M M D M M D M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 408'000 (3'498'925) 2'361'147 252'229 (6'093'604) 3'728 1'653'918 8'781'583 (1'320'000)
Target Price 2 4 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 #N/A N/A 6 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 #N/A N/A 2 5 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 #N/A N/A 2 1 #N/A N/A 1 4 2 3 2 2
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Other 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 29.06.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
Date 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 18 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 9 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 09.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 30.08.2012 28.08.2012 27.08.2012 21.08.2012 16.08.2012 02.08.2012 27.07.2012 24.07.2012 23.07.2012 20.07.2012 20.07.2012 20.07.2012 20.07.2012 20.07.2012 02.07.2012 19.06.2012 15.06.2012
24.09.2012
Repsol SA Repsol S.A., through subsidiaries, explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas, refines petroleum, and transports petroleum products and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The Company retails gasoline and other products through its chain of gasoline filling stations. Repsol's petroleum reserves are in Spain, Latin America, Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East and United States.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (03.01.2012) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance REP SQ EQUITY YTD Change REP SQ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 24.23 10.90 1'325'038.00 16.125 -33.45% 47.94% 40.51% 1'256.2 20'255.88 20'122.00 0.0 3'505.0 3'351.00 38'090.88
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
300.0 M
25
250.0 M
20
200.0 M
15
150.0 M
10
100.0 M
5
50.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12 m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 52'098.0 0.75x 9'030.0 4.33x 3'188.0 9.34x
30
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 58'475.0 45'827.0 0.54x 0.96x 8'009.0 6'686.0 3.93x 6.58x 2'555.0 1'559.0 7.19x 14.63x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 53'663.0 0.73x 11'919.0 3.30x 4'693.0 5.43x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 60'122.0 0.82x 8'509.0 5.79x 2'193.0 13.19x 8'509.00 4'990.00 8.30% 6.75% 3.16% 9.20% 6.57% 0.87% 14.2% 8.3% 3.6% 1.19 0.58 28.36% 85.49% 9.74 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 56'831.0 3.11x 11'472.0 4.10x 4'699.0 6.23x
06/yy 60'465.0 2.85x 7'731.0 4.36x 1'885.0 7.89x
FY+1
1.03 1'076.46 -11.54% -30.40% 1.029 42 4.119 8'080'418 7'408'603 12'432'490 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 55'484.3 58'042.5 9'891.0 9'672.5 0.68x 0.64x 3.45x 3.56x 6'746.0 7'263.3 1'668.0 1'668.5 5.65x 5.24x 5.54x 5.44x 1'917.3 2'181.3 500.5 433.3 10.32x 9.44x 10.19x 9.95x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
19.04.2012 BBBSTABLE 19.04.2012 A-3 10.88 3.83 1.97 2.36 85.5% 42.7% 0.87 1.71 37.49 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
70'000.0
9.00
60'000.0
8.00 7.00
50'000.0
6.00
40'000.0
5.00
30'000.0
4.00
20'000.0
3.00 2.00
10'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Repsol SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAIXABANK SACYR VALLEHERMOSO S PETROLEOS MEXICANOS BNP PARIBAS SA BLACKROCK INC VANGUARD GROUP INC NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE FIDELITY MANAGEMENT HSBC BANK PLC DEUTSCHE BANK AG BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FRANKLIN RESOURCES I OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC UNION INVESTMENT GMB HARTFORD INVESTMENT ING INTERNATIONAL AD FIDEURAM GESTIONS SA BLACKROCK ASSET MANA UNION INVESTMENT LUX MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Credit Suisse THOMAS YOICHI ADOLFF AlphaValue ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER Sanford C. Bernstein & Co OSWALD CLINT JPMorgan NITIN SHARMA Interdin Bolsa ALEJANDRO MIRANDA FOURNIER Grupo Santander JASON KENNEY Jefferies BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FERNANDO LAFUENTE Bankia Bolsa (ESN) SONIA RUIZ DE GARIBAY CUBILLO Banco Sabadell JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL Macquarie MARC B KOFLER Canaccord Genuity Corp GORDON GRAY Nomura THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM Tudor Pickering & Co ANISH KAPADIA Barclays LYDIA RAINFORTH Independent Research GmbH SVEN DIERMEIER Inverseguros Sociedad de Valores LUIS ROSE RBC Capital Markets PETER HUTTON EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Goldman Sachs HENRY MORRIS Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY S&P Capital IQ CHRISTINE TISCARENO HSBC PAUL SPEDDING Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg ACHIM WITTMANN Equita SIM SpA MASSIMO BONISOLI Societe Generale IRENE HIMONA Natixis ANNE PUMIR Exane BNP Paribas ALEXANDRE MARIE BPI BRUNO ALMEIDA DA SILVA Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research FILIPE ROSA Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad ROBERT JACKSON Deutsche Bank MARK BLOOMFIELD Investec STUART JOYNER Morgan Stanley HAYTHEM RASHED BBVA LUIS DE TOLEDO Intermoney Valores ALVARO NAVARRO CA Cheuvreux DOMINIQUE PATRY Kepler Capital Markets NATALIA BOBO BJOERK La Caixa FERNANDO MURILLO GUIRAO
Source Co File EXCH EXCH EXCH Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Short MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform add outperform neutral buy buy hold strong buy buy buy underperform hold neutral buy overweight sell neutral sector perform buy neutral/attractive hold buy overweight buy buy buy neutral outperform buy buy overweight hold hold Equalwt/In-Line outperform buy select list hold buy
Amt Held % Out 156'794'359 12.48 122'208'433 9.73 57'026'535 4.54 41'122'878 3.27 37'475'651 2.98 14'022'327 1.12 9'046'002 0.72 8'380'501 0.67 (6'795'927) -0.54 5'275'789 0.42 4'828'896 0.38 4'773'954 0.38 4'250'294 0.34 3'470'396 0.28 3'359'277 0.27 2'983'365 0.24 2'748'000 0.22 2'244'197 0.18 2'215'187 0.18 2'043'416 0.16
Weighting
Change 5 4 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 1 3 3 5 5 1 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 5
M D M M M M M M M M D M M M M D D D U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 590'450 612'696 7'169'801 (140'418) (618'358) 9'737 1'122'437 4'250'294 1'736'350 (313'090) (1'293'215) 752 (515'993) -
Target Price 19 18 21 16 22 19 16 19 20 19 14 16 16 21 20 12 17 16 #N/A N/A 18 #N/A N/A 20 18 17 18 16 15 20 17 18 19 16 12 14 18 19 18 18 21
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 10.07.2012 Corporation 10.07.2012 Unclassified 15.06.2012 Bank 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 23.07.2012 Bank 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 6 month 12 month 9 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 10.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 30.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 20.08.2012 13.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 24.07.2012 02.07.2012 01.07.2012 25.06.2012 06.06.2012 30.05.2012 30.05.2012 23.04.2012
24.09.2012
RWE AG RWE AG generates, distributes, and trades electricity to municipal, industrial, commercial, and residential customers. The Company produces natural gas and oil, mines coal, delivers and distributes gas, and supplies drinking water. RWE AG operates mainly in Europe.
Price/Volume 40
25.0 M
35
20.0 M
30 25
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.03.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance RWE GY EQUITY YTD Change RWE GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 37.12 23.67 1'023'405.00 34.89 -6.07% 47.43% 84.32% 575.7 21'346.08 21'923.00 0.0 1'344.0 7'004.00 39'000.08
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
15 10
5.0 M
5 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 47'500.0 46'191.0 0.88x 1.10x 7'903.0 9'655.0 5.30x 5.28x 2'558.0 3'571.0 10.69x 10.33x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 50'722.0 0.85x 9'230.0 4.68x 3'308.0 8.05x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 49'153.0 0.65x 8'286.0 3.88x 1'806.0 8.10x 8'286.00 4'843.00 9.85% 6.15% 1.94% 11.26% 7.69% 0.53% 16.9% 9.9% 3.7% 0.93 0.46 23.66% 139.30% 5.80 -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 50'837.0 3.12x 9'060.0 4.08x 2'855.0 12.28x
f-12
06/yy 48'857.0 2.83x 7'464.0 5.00x 1'800.0 10.86x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
1.06 489.09 53.52% 36.07% 1.063 40 2.950 3'320'433 2'552'753 2'766'967 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 51'116.9 52'185.5 0.84x 0.79x 8'594.4 8'839.5 4.54x 4.41x 2'502.2 2'512.7 8.60x 8.58x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.07.2012 BBB+ STABLE 08.06.2011 A-2 7.79 1.82 1.80 2.65 139.3% 56.2% 0.53 1.47 62.94 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
100'000.0
7.00
90'000.0 80'000.0
6.00
70'000.0
5.00
60'000.0
4.00
50'000.0 40'000.0
3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 41'053.0 1.35x 7'787.0 7.13x 2'667.0 18.45x
15.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
RWE AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name RW ENERGIE-BETEILIGU BLACKROCK INC CREDIT SUISSE GROUP MONDRIAN INVESTMENT BLACKROCK ASSET MANA DB PLATINUM ADVISORS VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FIDELITY MANAGEMENT DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH UNION INVESTMENT GMB NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG MERCURY ASSET MANAGE FRANKFURT TRUST INVE PICTET ASSET MANAGEM ETFLAB INVESTMENT GM SEB INVEST GMBH DWS INVESTMENT SA
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets Nomura Redburn Partners AlphaValue Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Berenberg Bank Main First Bank AG Exane BNP Paribas Morgan Stanley Deutsche Bank EVA Dimensions Barclays Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Goldman Sachs Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) Independent Research GmbH Baader Bank Macquarie Grupo Santander DZ Bank AG Societe Generale Bankhaus Metzler Kepler Capital Markets S&P Capital IQ Raymond James National Bank AG M.M. Warburg Investment Research Credit Suisse Banco Sabadell HSBC Day by Day CA Cheuvreux Nord/LB Natixis Oddo & Cie Hamburger Sparkasse Silvia Quandt Research JPMorgan Steubing AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst JOHN MUSK MARTIN YOUNG AHMED FARMAN EILEEN RYAN TANJA MARKLOFF ROBERT CHANTRY ANDREAS THIELEN BENJAMIN LEYRE BOBBY CHADA ALEXANDER KARNICK TEAM COVERAGE PETER BISZTYGA ERKAN AYCICEK DEBORAH WILKENS MICHAEL SCHAEFER SVEN DIERMEIER KARIN BRINKMANN MATTHIAS HECK OSCAR NAJAR RIOS HASIM SENGUEL ALBERTO PONTI DANIEL SEIDENSPINNER INGO BECKER CLIVE ROBERTS EMMANUEL RETIF STEFFEN MANSKE STEPHAN WULF VINCENT GILLES JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL ADAM DICKENS VALERIE GASTALDY SEBASTIAN KAUFFMANN HEINO HAMMANN PHILIPPE OURPATIAN STEPHANE LACAZE ANNEMARIE SCHLUETER SEBASTIAN ZANK VINCENT DE BLIC TEAM COVERAGE
Source Co File Research Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation top pick neutral buy reduce reduce sell neutral outperform Overwt/In-Line hold hold equalweight hold neutral/attractive hold hold sell outperform underweight buy hold sell reduce buy market perform hold buy neutral sell underweight hold outperform hold neutral reduce hold not rated neutral buy
Amt Held 86'361'823 29'737'096 28'008'409 17'188'015 12'453'917 9'652'893 5'641'626 4'925'880 3'013'572 2'899'541 2'840'927 2'177'143 1'500'000 1'479'266 1'320'474 1'126'370 958'639 940'551 938'462 933'025
% Out 15 5.16 4.86 2.99 2.16 1.68 0.98 0.86 0.52 0.5 0.49 0.38 0.26 0.26 0.23 0.2 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16
Weighting
Change
5 3 5 2 2 1 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 5 1 5 3 1 2 5 3 3 5 3 1 1 3 5 3 3 2 3 #N/A N/A 3 5
M M N M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U D M M M M M U N
Latest Chg 488 2'994'901 268'546 (2'332) 521'850 (205'217) 1'897'532 (140'725) (400'200) 35'552 18'324 (4'329)
Target Price 42 33 #N/A N/A 32 28 28 37 40 40 31 #N/A N/A 32 38 40 35 34 29 38 41 38 32 27 29 38 37 36 40 37 36 29 #N/A N/A 38 34 34 31 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 32 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2011 04.05.2012 04.05.2012 16.05.2012 20.09.2012 31.08.2012 30.06.2012 20.09.2012 31.07.2012 29.02.2012 30.03.2012 01.04.2012 30.06.2012 31.07.2012 20.09.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 31.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided
Inst Type n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Mutual Fund Manager Mutual Fund Manager
Date 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 07.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 28.08.2012 23.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 17.08.2012 17.08.2012 16.08.2012 16.08.2012 15.08.2012 15.08.2012 15.08.2012 15.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 06.08.2012 30.07.2012 11.07.2012 20.06.2012 14.06.2012 05.06.2012 11.05.2012 10.05.2012 02.05.2012 06.03.2012 25.01.2012 04.01.2010
24.09.2012
Sanofi Sanofi is a global pharmaceutical company that researches, develops and manufactures prescription pharmaceuticals and vaccines. The Company develops cardiovascular, thrombosis, metabolic disorder, central nervous system, internal medicine and oncology drugs, and vaccines.
Price/Volume 80
12.0 M
70
10.0 M
60 8.0 M
50 40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 11.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SAN FP EQUITY YTD Change SAN FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 69.24 46.20 826'391.00 68.34 -1.31% 47.94% 99.18% 1'326.8 90'675.49 15'439.00 0.0 170.0 4'124.00 102'696.49
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
20 2.0 M
10 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 27'568.0 29'306.0 2.22x 2.61x 9'940.0 12'805.0 6.16x 5.97x 3'851.0 5'265.0 15.94x 14.13x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 32'367.0 1.99x 13'156.0 4.90x 5'467.0 11.42x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 33'389.0 2.59x 12'593.0 6.88x 5'693.0 13.17x 12'593.00 7'499.00 22.46% 20.94% 6.14% 10.42% 9.44% 0.36% 67.3% 37.7% 22.5% 17.1% 1.53 0.90 15.41% 27.46% 4.59 2.26
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 32'290.0 4.72x 2'463.0 0.00x 4'270.0 16.95x
f-12
06/yy 34'642.0 5.12x 2'704.0 0.00x 6'467.0 12.24x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
0.75 1'153.26 52.34% 26.16% 0.751 37 4.000 2'983'657 2'634'541 2'944'310 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 35'247.2 36'284.2 9'071.0 8'802.4 2.83x 2.66x 12'799.7 13'429.4 3'195.0 2'769.0 8.03x 7.65x 7'984.1 8'163.5 1'953.7 1'718.8 11.27x 10.89x 12.34x 12.05x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
18.02.2011 AASTABLE 18.02.2011 A-1+ 29.63 25.44 0.90 1.23 27.5% 21.5% 0.36 3.53 79.52 161.39 81.71 159.20
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
40'000.0
9.00
35'000.0
8.00
30'000.0
7.00
25'000.0
6.00 5.00
20'000.0
4.00
15'000.0
3.00
10'000.0
2.00
5'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 28'052.0 3.14x 10'650.0 8.27x 5'263.0 16.11x
6.0 M
30
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Sanofi Holdings By:
All
Holder Name L'OREAL SA TOTAL SA NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE DODGE & COX SANOFI AVENTIS FIDELITY INTERNATION FIDELITY MANAGEMENT VANGUARD GROUP INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES I AVIVA PLC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FIRST EAGLE INVESTME DEUTSCHE BANK AG LBPAM GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI BLACKROCK ASSET MANA DNCA FINANCE T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name Redburn Partners Exane BNP Paribas AlphaValue Independent Research GmbH Morgan Stanley Nomura Societe Generale Credit Suisse Leerink Swann & Co CM - CIC Securities(ESN) Berenberg Bank Bryan Garnier & Cie Helvea Sanford C. Bernstein & Co EVA Dimensions Natixis Kepler Capital Markets Deutsche Bank Aurel - BGC Jefferies Goldman Sachs Hamburger Sparkasse Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg CA Cheuvreux JPMorgan S&P Capital IQ Day by Day Main First Bank AG Barclays Jyske Bank Cyrrus Mirabaud Securities MP Advisors Pvt Ltd Banco Sabadell DZ Bank AG Liberum Capital Ltd National Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst TEAM COVERAGE VINCENT MEUNIER ARMELLE MOULIN CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE PETER VERDULT AMIT ROY STEPHEN MCGARRY LUISA HECTOR SEAMUS FERNANDEZ ARSENE GUEKAM ALISTAIR CAMPBELL ERIC LE BERRIGAUD ODILE RUNDQUIST TIMOTHY M ANDERSON TEAM COVERAGE PHILIPPE LANONE FABIAN WENNER MARK CLARK PIERRE CORBY JEFFREY HOLFORD KEYUR PAREKH MARCO GUENTHER TIMO KUERSCHNER LAURENT FLAMME RICHARD VOSSER SHO MATSUBARA VALERIE GASTALDY TIM FRANKLIN MARK PURCELL ROBERT JAKOBSEN TOMAS MENCIK NICHOLAS TURNER VISHAL MANCHANDA MARTA DIAZ ELMAR KRAUS NARESH CHOUHAN STEFFEN MANSKE
Source Co File Research MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral outperform add hold Overwt/Cautious neutral buy neutral outperform hold buy buy accumulate outperform buy buy buy buy buy hold Sell/Neutral sell hold outperform overweight hold hold suspended coverage overweight sell hold accumulate market perform buy buy hold buy
Amt Held 118'227'307 37'975'811 20'869'370 17'238'982 17'225'803 17'225'454 16'741'409 15'976'022 13'607'933 6'541'712 6'334'321 5'954'817 5'337'613 5'247'988 4'579'298 4'055'668 4'038'446 3'813'040 3'570'153 3'497'329
% Out 8.91 2.86 1.57 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.26 1.2 1.03 0.49 0.48 0.45 0.4 0.4 0.35 0.31 0.3 0.29 0.27 0.26
Weighting
Change
3 5 4 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 1 1 3 5 5 3 3 #N/A N/A 5 1 3 4 3 5 5 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (29'735'080) (288'078) (150'000) 6'926'803 477'245 1'198'896 (528'919) 7'833 (3'300) 250'659 178'840 166'138 1'200 (161'950) 308'886 -
Target Price #N/A N/A 75 76 70 74 47 77 72 #N/A N/A 57 71 70 64 71 #N/A N/A 75 72 76 63 68 54 #N/A N/A 65 70 74 66 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 69 57 60 63 52 #N/A N/A 55 56 61
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Corporation 15.02.2012 Corporation 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Corporation 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2012 Hedge Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 9 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 28.08.2012 27.08.2012 16.08.2012 15.08.2012 15.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 20.07.2012 17.07.2012 11.07.2012 05.04.2012 02.04.2012 08.02.2012 06.02.2012 20.12.2011 09.09.2011 08.09.2011
24.09.2012
SAP AG SAP AG is a multinational software company. The Company develops business software, including e-business and enterprise management software, consults on organizational usage of its applications software, and provides training services. SAP markets its products and services worldwide.
Price/Volume 60
18.0 M 16.0 M
50
14.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SAP GY EQUITY YTD Change SAP GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 56.82 35.30 862'209.00 55.93 -1.58% 58.45% 97.58% 1'228.3 68'701.03 4'256.00 0.0 8.0 5'782.00 69'164.03
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M 8.0 M
20
6.0 M 4.0 M
10
2.0 M
0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 11'575.0 10'672.0 2.71x 3.65x 3'300.0 3'301.0 9.49x 11.81x 1'847.0 1'748.0 16.28x 22.45x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 12'464.0 3.71x 4'125.0 11.20x 1'811.0 25.07x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 14'233.0 3.31x 4'908.0 9.60x 3'438.0 14.13x 4'908.00 4'184.00 29.40% 33.50% 15.60% 30.55% 22.66% 0.65% 69.4% 34.5% 29.4% 24.2% 1.45 1.40 18.33% 33.51% 4.23 -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 13'385.0 14.28x 4'380.0 11.29x 1'923.0 25.69x
f-12
06/yy 15'157.0 13.90x 4'878.0 11.53x 3'553.0 15.76x
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
0.81 901.83 59.84% 40.18% 0.812 47 3.979 3'779'604 2'662'182 3'281'357 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 16'082.7 17'829.3 3'882.0 5'062.7 4.22x 3.68x 17.33x 13.16x 5'570.6 6'344.0 1'470.0 2'182.7 12.44x 10.92x 10.91x 10.54x 3'597.8 4'064.5 900.0 1'431.4 18.25x 15.93x 16.65x 16.21x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.48 27.72 -0.31 0.87 33.5% 25.1% 0.65 9.49 86.19 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
16'000.0
18.00
14'000.0
16.00
12'000.0
14.00
10'000.0
12.00 10.00
8'000.0
8.00
6'000.0
6.00
4'000.0
4.00
2'000.0
2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 10'256.0 4.01x 2'962.0 13.89x 1'906.0 22.46x
12.0 M
30
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
SAP AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name PLATTNER HASSO TSCHIRA KLAUS HOPP DIETMAR BLACKROCK INC CAPITAL RESEARCH AND SAP AG BLACKROCK ASSET MANA VANGUARD GROUP INC FIDELITY INTERNATION DEUTSCHE BANK AG HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS THORNBURG INVESTMENT UNION INVESTMENT GMB DB PLATINUM ADVISORS BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH FIDELITY MANAGEMENT FRANKLIN RESOURCES I OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Firm Name
Analyst
Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Bryan Garnier & Cie AlphaValue Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Nomura Morgan Stanley Redburn Partners Exane BNP Paribas DZ Bank AG Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Baader Bank Pacific Crest Securities EVA Dimensions Nord/LB Berenberg Bank Independent Research GmbH Day by Day Jyske Bank Banco Sabadell Grupo Santander Macquarie Bankhaus Metzler Barclays Societe Generale Credit Suisse Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co William Blair & Co National Bank AG Oddo & Cie ThinkEquity LLC M.M. Warburg Investment Research Evercore Partners Kepler Capital Markets S&P Capital IQ Hamburger Sparkasse JPMorgan Cross Research HSBC Natixis Goldman Sachs CA Cheuvreux FBR Capital Markets
JASON MAYNARD GREGORY RAMIREZ HEINZ STEFFEN MIRKO MAIER RICHARD G SHERLUND ADAM WOOD NEIL STEER JOSEP BORI OLIVER FINGER THOMAS M BECKER KNUT WOLLER BRENDAN BARNICLE TEAM COVERAGE JAN CHRISTIAN GOEHMANN DAUD KHAN MARKUS FRIEBEL VALERIE GASTALDY ROBERT JAKOBSEN ANDRES BOLUMBURU CARLOS JAVIER TREVINO BRAD A ZELNICK ULRICH TRABERT GERARDUS VOS RICHARD NGUYEN PHILIP WINSLOW ROSS MACMILLAN MARK L MOERDLER LAURA J LEDERMAN STEFFEN MANSKE SEBASTIEN THEVOUX-CHABUEL YUN S KIM ANDREAS WOLF S KIRK MATERNE LAURENT DAURE JAMES CRAWSHAW MARCO GUENTHER STACY E POLLARD RICHARD T WILLIAMS ANTONIN BAUDRY GWENAEL GIARD MOHAMMED MOAWALLA MICHAEL BEUCHER DAVID M HILAL
Source Co File Co File Co File Research Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation market perform buy add hold buy Overwt/In-Line buy neutral buy buy hold outperform hold buy buy hold hold reduce buy hold outperform sell overweight buy outperform hold outperform market perform hold neutral buy buy equalweight buy buy buy overweight hold neutral neutral buy/attractive underperform market perform
Amt Held 121'515'102 93'079'595 75'273'200 62'597'732 36'654'795 36'642'744 21'996'699 14'504'494 12'373'764 11'324'207 11'235'667 9'373'405 8'624'149 8'445'217 7'787'853 7'734'945 7'316'615 6'998'219 6'419'515 6'216'000
% Out 9.89 7.58 6.13 5.1 2.98 2.98 1.79 1.18 1.01 0.92 0.91 0.76 0.7 0.69 0.63 0.63 0.6 0.57 0.52 0.51
Weighting
Change 3 5 4 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 3 2 5 3 5 1 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 1 3
M M M M M M M M M M N M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 920 (502'261) (804'055) (487'678) 1'720'000 7'000 1'645'608 4'089 (321'272) 44'792 (631'627) 36'901 600'000
Target Price #N/A N/A 60 57 #N/A N/A 58 61 #N/A N/A 47 58 60 53 60 #N/A N/A 55 61 53 #N/A N/A 55 57 49 60 45 55 56 58 52 65 #N/A N/A 50 46 54 59 65 55 58 #N/A N/A 53 45 52 46 77 46 55
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 08.03.2012 n/a 08.03.2012 n/a 08.03.2012 n/a 20.06.2012 Investment Advisor 13.10.2010 Investment Advisor 12.06.2012 Corporation 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Mutual Fund Manager 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 6 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 04.09.2012 30.08.2012 27.08.2012 20.08.2012 20.08.2012 16.08.2012 10.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 01.08.2012 30.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 25.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 13.07.2012 12.07.2012 12.07.2012 24.05.2012 16.04.2012 23.03.2012 02.02.2012 26.01.2012
24.09.2012
Schneider Electric SA Schneider Electric SA manufactures power distribution and automation systems. The Company produces circuit breakers, remote installation management equipment, panelboards, programmable logic controllers, industrial control products, detectors, human-machine interfaces, and process controls. Schneider's products are sold various brands.
Price/Volume
6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (16.03.2012) 52-Week Low (25.11.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 06.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SU FP EQUITY YTD Change SU FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 53.47 35.00 566'722.00 48.405 -9.46% 38.30% 75.93% 553.2 26'778.56 8'037.00 0.0 192.0 2'771.00 33'130.56
3.0 M
20
2.0 M
10
1.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12
m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
7.0 M
50 40
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 17'308.6 1.57x 3'075.4 8.84x 1'583.1 13.67x
60
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 18'311.0 15'793.0 0.95x 1.51x 3'321.0 2'575.0 5.24x 9.26x 1'682.0 824.0 7.55x 24.63x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 19'580.0 1.68x 3'575.0 9.20x 1'720.0 17.00x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 22'387.0 1.22x 3'767.0 7.28x 1'820.0 12.00x 3'767.00 2'998.00 13.39% 11.02% 5.44% 11.86% 9.55% 0.67% 37.7% 16.8% 13.4% 8.1% 1.44 0.89 22.40% 50.55% 4.51 4.30
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 21'345.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 23'459.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.24 523.71 33.75% 23.59% 1.237 32 3.625 2'401'913 1'572'858 1'779'094 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 24'115.5 25'047.4 6'048.0 6'586.3 1.32x 1.23x 3'914.5 4'164.5 8.50x 7.99x 2'147.5 2'326.7 12.27x 11.31x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
26.11.2008 ASTABLE 14.03.2007 A-2 11.38 9.82 1.40 2.13 50.6% 33.3% 0.67 9.12 80.91 84.83 96.94 68.80
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
25'000.0
18.00
20'000.0
16.00 14.00
15'000.0
12.00 10.00
10'000.0
8.00 6.00
5'000.0
4.00 2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Schneider Electric SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL RESEARCH AND CAPITAL WORLD INVEST AMUNDI CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS DODGE & COX SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC S NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE MASSACHUSETTS FINANC FIDELITY INTERNATION FIDELITY MANAGEMENT ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA ABERDEEN ASSET MANAG BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI AVIVA PLC
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
JPMorgan ANDREAS WILLI AlphaValue LIONEL PELLICER Morgan Stanley BEN UGLOW Goldman Sachs DANIELA COSTA CM - CIC Securities(ESN) ARI AGOPYAN Berenberg Bank WILLIAM MACKIE Exane BNP Paribas OLIVIER ESNOU EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Credit Suisse SIMON TOENNESSEN Societe Generale GAEL DE BRAY S&P Capital IQ SHO MATSUBARA HSBC MICHAEL HAGMANN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Redburn Partners JAMES MOORE Barclays NICK WEBSTER Sanford C. Bernstein & Co MARTIN PROZESKY Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg VOLKER STOLL CA Cheuvreux ALFRED GLASER Independent Research GmbH MARKUS FRIEBEL Natixis LUDOVIC DEBAILLEUX Nomura DANIEL CUNLIFFE Oddo & Cie DELPHINE BRAULT Kepler Capital Markets PIERRE BOUCHENY ING Wholesale Banking SJOERD UMMELS Banco Sabadell MARIA CEBOLLERO Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research NICHOLAS J PATON Deutsche Bank MARTIN WILKIE Canaccord Genuity Corp MARK WILSON DZ Bank AG KARSTEN OBLINGER
Source Co File MF-AGG Research Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation overweight buy Equalwt/In-Line neutral/neutral hold hold outperform hold neutral buy hold neutral buy buy equalweight market perform buy outperform hold neutral neutral reduce reduce hold buy neutral buy hold buy
Amt Held 51'780'765 34'112'870 27'220'485 20'349'002 11'784'085 11'396'832 10'997'591 9'755'724 9'164'952 8'651'505 3'957'355 3'741'812 3'342'042 2'738'626 2'702'976 2'373'440 2'171'849 2'076'730 2'014'188 1'922'209
% Out 9.36 6.17 4.92 3.68 2.13 2.06 1.99 1.76 1.66 1.56 0.72 0.68 0.6 0.5 0.49 0.43 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.35
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 3 5 3 5 3 5
M U D M D M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M
Latest Chg (745'000) (1'168'334) 596'155 1'838'800 466'221 96'600 1'423'201 140'469 (188'153) 234'375 2'315 (105'324) (67'677) 42'100 (928'996) 422
Target Price 60 60 54 57 55 52 56 #N/A N/A 51 58 53 55 58 #N/A N/A 52 51 60 56 52 52 45 44 50 49 44 46 51 47 56
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 16.05.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Corporation 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 15 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 04.09.2012 22.08.2012 10.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 30.07.2012 16.07.2012 28.06.2012 26.03.2012 23.03.2012
24.09.2012
Siemens AG Siemens AG is an engineering and manufacturing company. The Company focuses on three major business sectors including industrial, energy, and healthcare. Siemens AG provides engineering solutions in automation and control, power, transportation, medical, information and communication, and lighting.
Price/Volume 90
14.0 M
80
12.0 M
70
10.0 M
60
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.06.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 21.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SIE GY EQUITY YTD Change SIE GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
09/2011 06/yy 80.36 62.13 1'217'660.00 78.73 -1.99% 26.72% 93.36% 881.0 69'361.13 17'940.00 0.0 626.0 12'945.00 80'917.13
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
40
6.0 M
30
4.0 M
20
2.0 M
10 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 30.09.2007 72'448.0 1.34x 8'886.0 10.91x 3'806.0 23.31x
50
30.09.2008 30.09.2009 77'327.0 76'651.0 0.82x 0.81x 8'175.0 9'196.0 7.77x 6.77x 5'725.0 2'292.0 34.66x 24.49x Profitability
LTM-4Q 30.09.2010 68'978.0 1.07x 9'544.0 7.72x 3'899.0 16.42x
30.09.2011 73'515.0 0.88x 10'387.0 6.25x 6'145.0 8.67x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
10'387.00 7'749.00 10.54% 12.57% 5.94% 20.53% 13.51% 0.71% 30.1% 14.1% 10.5% 8.4% 1.21 0.64 17.21% 56.90% 4.84 3.42
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 74'453.0 4.49x 9'907.0 8.98x 4'506.0 15.07x
06/yy 77'092.0 3.69x 10'039.0 6.94x 4'416.0 12.27x
FY+1
0.97 785.54 25.05% 10.82% 0.975 40 3.675 4'782'028 3'521'622 3'484'488 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
09/12 Y 09/13 Y 09/12 Q4 12/12 Q1 77'791.8 79'830.3 21'436.2 18'502.3 1.01x 0.98x 3.71x 4.26x 9'776.2 10'273.3 2'551.3 2'224.3 8.30x 7.90x 8.37x 8.19x 5'200.6 5'730.8 1'362.5 1'333.7 13.15x 12.11x 12.40x 11.79x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.06.2009 A+ POS 18.04.2011 A-1+ 21.07 16.67 0.48 1.73 56.9% 35.8% 0.71 6.62 75.34 106.87 55.11 127.10
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
100'000.0 90'000.0
12.00
80'000.0
10.00
70'000.0 60'000.0
8.00
50'000.0 40'000.0
6.00
30'000.0
4.00
20'000.0 2.00 0.00 03.10.2008
10'000.0 0.0 03.04.2009
03.10.2009
03.04.2010
03.10.2010
03.04.2011
03.10.2011
03.04.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Siemens AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SIEMENS FAMILY BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI QATAR HOLDINGS LLC BLACKROCK ASSET MANA VANGUARD GROUP INC SIEMENS AG CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO UNION INVESTMENT GMB DB PLATINUM ADVISORS FIDELITY INTERNATION FRANKLIN RESOURCES I THORNBURG INVESTMENT DEUTSCHE BANK AG DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES ADIG INVESTMENT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE FIDELITY MANAGEMENT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
JPMorgan ANDREAS WILLI Langenberg & Co BRIAN KEITH LANGENBERG Exane BNP Paribas OLIVIER ESNOU AlphaValue HEINZ STEFFEN RBC Capital Markets ANDREW CARTER Credit Suisse SIMON TOENNESSEN Goldman Sachs DANIELA COSTA Independent Research GmbH MARKUS FRIEBEL Societe Generale GAEL DE BRAY Morgan Stanley BEN UGLOW Hamburger Sparkasse MARCO GUENTHER Berenberg Bank WILLIAM MACKIE Commerzbank Corporates & Markets INGO-MARTIN SCHACHEL HSBC MICHAEL HAGMANN Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Main First Bank AG CHRISTOPHER YOUL EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE CA Cheuvreux ALFRED GLASER Sanford C. Bernstein & Co MARTIN PROZESKY National Bank AG STEFFEN MANSKE DZ Bank AG KARSTEN OBLINGER Barclays NICK WEBSTER William Blair & Co NICHOLAS P HEYMANN Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg VOLKER STOLL SRH AlsterResearch OLIVER DREBING Banco Sabadell FRANCISCO JOSE RODRIGUEZ Bankhaus Metzler ULRICH TRABERT Kepler Capital Markets ULRICH SCHOLZ Natixis LUDOVIC DEBAILLEUX Silvia Quandt Research EERIK KD BUDARZ Nord/LB WOLFGANG DONIE Oddo & Cie DELPHINE BRAULT S&P Capital IQ JAMES CRAWSHAW ING Wholesale Banking SJOERD UMMELS Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research NICHOLAS J PATON Redburn Partners JAMES MOORE Deutsche Bank PETER REILLY Canaccord Genuity Corp MARK WILSON
Source Research Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral buy underperform add not rated outperform neutral/neutral buy buy Equalwt/In-Line buy buy add neutral buy neutral hold outperform market perform hold hold equalweight market perform buy buy buy sell buy reduce avoid hold neutral hold hold neutral buy buy hold
Amt Held 54'852'206 29'221'858 27'758'338 19'844'153 13'036'658 12'627'830 8'309'072 7'004'366 6'475'277 6'284'265 5'469'799 5'250'967 5'222'600 4'452'572 4'206'414 3'487'369 3'283'303 2'949'262 2'560'684 2'513'720
% Out 6.23 3.32 3.15 2.25 1.48 1.43 0.94 0.8 0.73 0.71 0.62 0.6 0.59 0.51 0.48 0.4 0.37 0.33 0.29 0.29
Weighting
Change
3 5 1 4 #N/A N/A 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 4 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 1 5 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M D M M D D M M M M M U M
Latest Chg 880 672'898 (100'000) (3'000) 438'196 (1'580'526) 85'403 (73'550) (148'390) (94'244) (114'335) 250'100 (59'761)
Target Price 84 100 78 89 #N/A N/A 88 86 90 84 80 86 84 76 82 77 78 #N/A N/A 81 69 70 73 73 80 82 85 89 60 82 61 58 70 71 70 79 69 #N/A N/A 85 77
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 10.11.2011 n/a 04.05.2012 Investment Advisor 07.05.2012 Government 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 03.09.2012 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 15 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 3 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 21.09.2012 17.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 07.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 06.09.2012 04.09.2012 31.08.2012 15.08.2012 10.08.2012 09.08.2012 08.08.2012 06.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 20.07.2012 16.07.2012 10.07.2012 25.05.2012 26.03.2012
24.09.2012
Societe Generale SA Societe Generale attracts deposits and offers commercial, retail, investment, and private banking services. The Bank offers consumer credit, vehicle lease financing, information technology equipment leasing, life and non-life insurance, custodian services, trade and project financing, currency exchange, treasury services, and financial and commodities futures brokerage services.
Price/Volume
20.0 M 15.0 M
15
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (02.03.2012) 52-Week Low (09.01.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.08.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance GLE FP EQUITY YTD Change GLE FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 25.97 14.88 2'327'252.00 23.41 -9.82% 57.33% 80.42% 780.3 18'266.15 699'891.00 5'228.0 4'045.0 130'403.00 -
10.0 M
10
5.0 M
5 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
25.0 M
25 20
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 55'860.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 947.0 49.96x
30
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 57'829.0 43'984.0 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 2'010.0 678.0 10.65x 108.78x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 45'306.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 3'917.0 8.11x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 48'549.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 2'385.0 5.38x 15.10% 14.49% 0.21% 5.84% 0.39% 0.04% 8.4% 59.24% 1672.82% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 6'503.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 3'433.0 8.74x
06/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 1'887.0 7.57x
FY+1
1.87 721.23 40.64% 36.07% 1.866 35 3.343 6'838'139 6'543'335 7'442'591 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 24'097.0 24'626.8 5'705.8 5'841.5 2'444.0 3'013.2 558.3 440.8 7.46x 6.13x 6.96x 6.61x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
23.01.2012 A STABLE 07.05.2009 A-1 1672.8% 93.2% 0.04 3.30 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
70'000.0
7.00
60'000.0
6.00
50'000.0
5.00
40'000.0
4.00
30'000.0
3.00
20'000.0
2.00
10'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Societe Generale SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name LYXOR INTL ASSET MGM CAPITAL RESEARCH AND BLACKROCK INC GROUPAMA SA CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET CAPITAL WORLD INVEST NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE MEIJI YASUDA LIFE IN VANGUARD GROUP INC SOCIETE GENERALE CNP ASSURANCES JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE AVIVA PLC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO LBPAM BLACKROCK ASSET MANA BARCLAYS ASSET MANAG FRANKLIN RESOURCES I BNP ASSET MANAGEMENT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Macquarie PIERS BROWN Redburn Partners GEORGE SOSEI KARAMANOS Oddo & Cie JEAN SASSUS AlphaValue CHRISTOPHE NIJDAM HSBC ROBIN DOWN Grupo Santander AURELIA FAURE RBC Capital Markets ANKE REINGEN Kepler Capital Markets BENOIT PETRARQUE Exane BNP Paribas GUILLAUME TIBERGHIEN CA Cheuvreux PASCAL DECQUE JPMorgan DELPHINE LEE Morgan Stanley THIBAULT NARDIN ING Wholesale Banking TOM VAN KEMPEN Hamburger Sparkasse CHRISTIAN HAMANN Nord/LB MICHAEL SEUFERT Deutsche Bank FLORA-A BENHAKOUN Goldman Sachs JEAN-FRANCOIS NEUEZ Keefe, Bruyette & Woods JEAN-PIERRE LAMBERT EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg INGO FROMMEN Barclays KIRI VIJAYARAJAH Mediobanca SpA ANTONIO GUGLIELMI Independent Research GmbH STEFAN BONGARDT Natixis ALEX KOAGNE Nomura JON PEACE Credit Suisse MAXENCE LE GOUVELLO CM - CIC Securities(ESN) PIERRE CHEDEVILLE S&P Capital IQ JAWAHAR HINGORANI Banco Sabadell MARIO LODOS Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research ANDREW LIM Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Hammer Partners SA ENRICO RACIOPPI DZ Bank AG SABINE BOHN
Source Research Research Research Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation underperform buy neutral buy neutral underweight sector perform hold outperform underperform overweight restricted hold hold hold hold neutral/neutral outperform overweight hold equalweight underperform hold buy reduce neutral accumulate hold buy sell buy buy hold
Amt Held 50'619'422 37'656'875 37'098'903 30'414'497 20'949'975 19'567'063 17'401'254 13'524'369 11'069'312 9'424'136 8'987'016 8'976'936 7'019'208 4'450'722 3'655'273 3'450'409 3'236'600 2'612'606 2'546'731 2'541'447
% Out 6.49 4.83 4.75 3.9 2.68 2.51 2.23 1.73 1.42 1.21 1.15 1.15 0.9 0.57 0.47 0.44 0.41 0.33 0.33 0.33
Weighting
Change
1 5 3 5 3 1 3 3 5 1 5 #N/A N/A 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 1 3 5 2 3 4 3 5 1 5 5 3
D M M M M M M M M D M M M M U M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M U M M
Latest Chg (3'487'617) (3'781'872) 837'696 (1'007'504) 43'164 861'193 20'200 376'954 4'280 10'872
Target Price 19 #N/A N/A 34 30 27 20 22 24 27 24 27 #N/A N/A 22 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 25 28 26 #N/A N/A 20 18 21 19 22 26 30 28 20 32 16 24 36 18
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 26.09.2011 n/a 09.01.2012 Investment Advisor 12.07.2010 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Bank 31.12.2011 Insurance Company 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 04.09.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 27.08.2012 21.08.2012 10.08.2012 09.08.2012 09.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 30.07.2012 16.07.2012 29.06.2012 19.06.2012 06.01.2012
24.09.2012
Telefonica SA Telefonica S.A. provides telecommunications services mainly to countries in Europe and Latin America. The Company offers fixed-line and mobile telephone, Internet, and data transmission services to residential and corporate customers.
Price/Volume 18
600.0 M
16
500.0 M
14 12
400.0 M
10
12/2011 06/yy 15.96 7.90 10'218'426.00 11.17 -30.01% 41.39% 42.80% 4'551.0 50'834.95 66'311.00 0.0 5'747.0 6'760.00 118'218.94
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
6
200.0 M
4
100.0 M
2 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 57'946.0 56'731.0 2.10x 2.42x 22'919.0 22'603.0 5.31x 6.07x 7'592.0 7'776.0 9.72x 11.43x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 60'737.0 2.29x 25'777.0 5.39x 10'167.0 7.54x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 62'837.0 1.99x 19'392.0 6.46x 5'402.9 11.18x 19'392.00 9'246.00 14.71% 10.32% 4.17% 23.45% 9.37% 0.48% 30.9% 14.7% 8.6% 0.64 0.49 51.16% 306.48% 6.60 -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
LTM
06/yy 62'570.3 9.00x 26'070.6 5.27x 9'553.9 7.98x
f-12 m-12
06/yy 62'932.0 7.73x 18'456.2 6.19x 4'315.9 10.84x
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
FY+1
0.93 4'459.35 -7.89% -12.09% 0.930 43 3.419 39'391'150 23'128'030 26'205'880 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 62'710.9 62'830.4 15'525.0 15'947.7 1.78x 1.74x 7.27x 6.82x 21'375.6 21'358.7 5'420.0 5'557.0 5.53x 5.53x 5.48x 5.47x 5'555.6 5'964.3 1'442.3 1'327.7 8.98x 8.51x 8.66x 8.59x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
24.05.2012 BBB NEG 31.10.2005 A-2 7.26 3.86 3.07 3.42 306.5% 70.8% 0.48 1.76 55.33 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
70'000.0
6.00
60'000.0
5.00
50'000.0
4.00
40'000.0
3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 56'441.0 2.74x 22'824.0 6.77x 8'906.0 11.87x
300.0 M
8
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.10.2011) 52-Week Low (26.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TEF SQ EQUITY YTD Change TEF SQ EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Telefonica SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA CAIXABANK BLACKROCK INVESTMENT BNP PARIBAS SA TELEFONICA SA VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO FRANKLIN RESOURCES I T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA DODGE & COX BLACKROCK ASSET MANA CAPITAL WORLD INVEST MERCURY ASSET MANAGE BNP ASSET MANAGEMENT NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE UNION INVESTMENT GMB CREDIT SUISSE ASSET UNION INVESTMENT LUX DEKA INVESTMENT GMBH BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Barclays JONATHAN DANN NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores JOSE RAMON OCINA Grupo Santander NAHUM SANCHEZ DE LAMADRID Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research NUNO MATIAS AlphaValue JEAN-MICHEL SALVADOR Bankia Bolsa (ESN) DAVID CABEZA JARENO Banco Sabadell ANDRES BOLUMBURU Oddo & Cie ALEXANDRE IATRIDES Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Morgan Stanley LUIS PROTA Sanford C. Bernstein & Co ROBIN BIENENSTOCK Nomura FREDERIC BOULAN Ahorro Corporacion Financiera SA GERMAN GARCIA BOU EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Deutsche Bank KEVAL KHIROYA Nord/LB JAN CHRISTIAN GOEHMANN JPMorgan TORSTEN ACHTMANN Credit Suisse JUSTIN FUNNELL Exane BNP Paribas MATHIEU ROBILLIARD Kepler Capital Markets JAVIER BORRACHERO Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad MARTA GOMEZ Independent Research GmbH MARKUS FRIEBEL BPI PEDRO OLIVEIRA Goldman Sachs TIMOTHY BODDY Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg RALPH SZYMCZAK BBVA IVON LEAL National Bank AG STEFFEN MANSKE Berenberg Bank PAUL ANDREW MARSCH S&P Capital IQ ALEXANDER WISCH Jefferies JEREMY A DELLIS Renta 4 SA SVB IVAN SAN FELIX BCP Investimento ALEXANDRA DELGADO Hamburger Sparkasse TINA HECKING-VELTMAN HSBC LUIGI MINERVA Macquarie GUY R PEDDY Inverseguros Sociedad de Valores MIGUEL SANCHEZ Natixis BENOIT MAYNARD La Caixa BORJA PAGOAGA Mirabaud Finanzas Sociedad de ValoresJAVIER S MIELGO CA Cheuvreux GIOVANNI MONTALTI DZ Bank AG THORSTEN REIGBER
Source Co File Co File Co File EXCH Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation underweight buy buy neutral buy buy buy reduce hold Equalwt/In-Line underperform reduce hold sell hold hold neutral neutral underperform buy buy hold hold Sell/Neutral buy outperform buy hold hold hold hold buy hold neutral outperform buy neutral buy overweight underperform buy
Amt Held 258'217'137 246'898'917 177'257'649 127'368'869 84'209'364 46'609'978 24'381'973 24'058'799 15'670'612 15'369'423 14'799'216 13'214'000 11'549'663 8'207'615 7'298'558 6'272'566 5'512'629 5'292'957 5'053'871 5'029'703
% Out 5.67 5.43 3.89 2.8 1.85 1.02 0.54 0.53 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.29 0.25 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11
Weighting
Change 1 5 5 3 5 5 5 2 3 3 1 2 3 1 3 3 3 3 1 5 5 3 3 1 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 1 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M N M M M M M
Latest Chg (15'605'969) 2'033'566 (1'668'347) (3'041'744) 502'923 3'964 (3'952'000) 6'484'893 (3'026'525) 4'700 (1'971) 9'756 (90'936) (699'521)
Target Price 9 13 13 9 17 15 16 10 #N/A N/A 13 7 11 12 #N/A N/A 11 8 15 14 10 13 14 10 14 9 12 12 13 10 9 11 19 17 #N/A N/A 10 10 15 14 16 19 12 16
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Bank 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 12.05.2011 Bank 31.12.2011 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 23.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 10.09.2012 10.09.2012 07.09.2012 22.08.2012 20.08.2012 17.08.2012 06.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.07.2012 23.07.2012 05.07.2012 21.06.2012 12.06.2012 02.06.2012 22.05.2012 14.05.2012 24.04.2012 24.02.2012 13.01.2012 15.11.2011
24.09.2012
Total SA Total SA explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. Total operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.
Price/Volume
30.0 M 25.0 M
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.03.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 04.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance FP FP EQUITY YTD Change FP FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 42.97 30.25 4'003'563.00 40.49 -5.77% 33.85% 82.94% 2'365.1 95'764.29 32'232.00 0.0 1'352.0 14'725.00 115'924.29
25
20.0 M
20
15.0 M
15
10.0 M
10
5.0 M
5 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 160'331.0 112'153.0 0.62x 1.03x 29'887.0 22'234.0 3.32x 5.22x 10'590.0 8'447.0 8.21x 11.87x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 140'476.0 0.74x 28'045.0 3.72x 10'571.0 8.38x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 166'550.0 0.65x 32'919.0 3.28x 12'276.0 7.23x 32'919.00 24'290.00 14.58% 16.00% 7.98% 19.11% 13.36% 1.08% 19.8% 14.6% 7.4% 1.36 0.74 19.65% 47.37% 8.72 -
Price/ Cash Flow
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
LTM
FY+1
7.09 0.88 2'126.55 39.24% 7.08% 0.884 33 3.788 7'177'980 4'637'267 5'441'371 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
06/yy 06/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 153'055.0 175'834.0 192'734.6 190'626.1 42'608.0 45'033.0 2.76x 2.29x 0.60x 0.61x 2.55x 2.51x 30'721.0 31'909.0 33'138.7 33'729.6 8'363.5 9'159.5 3.58x 3.14x 3.50x 3.44x 3.30x 3.23x 11'529.0 10'851.0 12'067.3 12'449.5 2'633.3 2'947.5 7.76x 7.40x 7.62x 7.43x 7.50x 7.34x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 12.04.2011 Long-Term Rating AALong-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 13.09.1999 Short-Term Rating A-1+ Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 46.17 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 20.99 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.53 Total Debt/EBITDA 0.98 Reference Total Debt/Equity 47.4% Total Debt/Capital 31.7% Asset Turnover 1.08 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.79 Accounts receivable turnover-days 41.87 Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
180'000.0
8.00
160'000.0
7.00
140'000.0
6.00
120'000.0
5.00
100'000.0
4.00
80'000.0
3.00
60'000.0
2.00
40'000.0
1.00
20'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
.0 M o-11
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
35.0 M
40 35
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2007 136'824.0 1.03x 31'249.0 4.50x 13'181.0 9.73x
45
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Total SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name TOTAL SA GROUPE BRUXELLES LAM AMUNDI NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CIE NATIONALE A PORT VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL WORLD INVEST FRANKLIN RESOURCES I BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO AVIVA PLC BANK OF NEW YORK MEL LBPAM GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT BLACKROCK ASSET MANA MERCURY ASSET MANAGE BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI WADDELL & REED FINAN DODGE & COX CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO THORNBURG INVESTMENT
Firm Name AlphaValue Societe Generale Credit Suisse Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co JPMorgan Nomura RBC Capital Markets Grupo Santander Canaccord Genuity Corp Barclays Tudor Pickering & Co Macquarie HSBC Hamburger Sparkasse CM - CIC Securities(ESN) Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Independent Research GmbH Banco Sabadell Natixis Morgan Stanley S&P Capital IQ Exane BNP Paribas Deutsche Bank Investec Goldman Sachs Day by Day CA Cheuvreux Kepler Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Simmons & Company International National Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER IRENE HIMONA KIM FUSTIER IAIN REID OSWALD CLINT NITIN SHARMA THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM PETER HUTTON JASON KENNEY GORDON GRAY LYDIA RAINFORTH ROBERT KESSLER JASON D GAMMEL PAUL SPEDDING INGO SCHMIDT JEAN-LUC ROMAIN ACHIM WITTMANN SVEN DIERMEIER JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL ANNE PUMIR MARTIJN P RATS CHRISTINE TISCARENO ALEXANDRE MARIE LUCAS HERRMANN STUART JOYNER MICHELE DELLA VIGNA VALERIE GASTALDY DOMINIQUE PATRY BERTRAND HODEE TEAM COVERAGE JEFFREY A DIETERT MANFRED JAISFELD
Source Co File Research Research MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation reduce hold neutral buy outperform overweight neutral outperform hold hold equalweight accumulate neutral overweight buy buy buy hold buy buy Equalwt/In-Line buy neutral hold hold sell/attractive hold outperform buy buy overweight buy
Amt Held 108'732'635 94'077'367 78'390'326 42'512'221 35'456'294 26'046'448 16'161'000 14'052'905 11'937'219 10'488'732 9'578'452 8'443'176 8'009'376 6'792'249 6'444'341 6'098'570 6'073'948 5'868'600 5'634'000 5'556'800
% Out 4.6 3.98 3.31 1.8 1.5 1.1 0.68 0.59 0.5 0.44 0.4 0.36 0.34 0.29 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23
Weighting
Change 2 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 4 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 1 3 5 5 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M D M M U M M
Latest Chg 1'631'323 1'274'137 109'000 128'778 (6'399) (172'678) 247'012 2'212 746'764 5'699'400 (1'240'000) 582'900
Target Price 41 40 45 42 51 49 39 43 45 40 45 48 42 45 #N/A N/A 54 45 39 48 46 40 49 48 42 38 45 #N/A N/A 44 47 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 46
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Corporation 15.03.2012 Holding Company 06.01.2012 Investment Advisor 01.04.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.12.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 3 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 05.09.2012 30.08.2012 27.08.2012 03.08.2012 02.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 03.07.2012 02.07.2012 01.06.2012 03.05.2012 30.04.2012 16.04.2012 28.12.2011 01.08.2011 19.05.2010
24.09.2012
Unibail-Rodamco SE Unibail-Rodamco leases and rents building space, finances real estate investments, and renovates real estate for sale. The Company's properties, mainly shopping centers, office buildings, and convention-exhibition centers, are primarily located in city centers or near major access routes. The Company opted for the SIIC legal status in 2003.
Price/Volume 180
2.5 M
160 2.0 M
140 120
1.5 M
100 80
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.08.2012) 52-Week Low (25.11.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 12.07.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance UL FP EQUITY YTD Change UL FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 01/yy 165.85 123.30 76'267.00 161.15 -2.77% 30.70% 92.01% 92.0 14'819.57 10'755.20 0.0 1'419.4 80.00 28'020.07
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
40
.5 M
20 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 1'005.5 20.72x (522.9) 0.00x 944.8 10.14x
1.0 M
60
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 1'642.5 1'363.3 11.17x 17.14x 1'309.7 931.4 14.01x 25.09x (1'116.0) (1'467.8) 0.00x 0.00x Profitability
31.12.2010 1'716.4 14.60x 1'254.8 19.97x 2'187.6 6.19x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 1'939.9 12.81x 1'184.2 20.99x 1'327.8 9.61x 1'184.20 798.90 41.18% 84.65% 5.17% 11.72% 6.56% 0.08% 61.0% 68.4% 40.73% 92.43% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
0.88 91.65 34.29% 22.69% 0.883 30 3.433 326'258 314'089 331'168 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 03/12 Q1 06/12 Q2 1'486.6 1'581.9 18.35x 17.63x 1'305.0 1'386.9 21.49x 20.22x 879.5 955.9 17.11x 15.93x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.06.2007 A STABLE 27.06.2007 A-1 3.09 -0.16 9.01 9.08 92.4% 45.2% 0.08 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
2'500.0
18.00
2'000.0
16.00 14.00
1'500.0
12.00 10.00
1'000.0
8.00 6.00
500.0
4.00 2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Unibail-Rodamco SE Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC AMUNDI COHEN & STEERS INC HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS COMMERZBANK AKTIENGE SOCIETE GENERALE UBS AG COHEN & STEERS CAPIT BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG LASALLE INVESTMENT M NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE CREDIT SUISSE BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI VANGUARD GROUP INC FIDELITY INTERNATION BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG MORGAN STANLEY STATE STREET CORP EUROPEAN INVESTORS I ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL
Firm Name Societe Generale AlphaValue Natixis Jefferies Oddo & Cie Kepler Capital Markets Bank Degroof(ESN) ABN Amro Bank N.V. JPMorgan Petercam Exane BNP Paribas Kempen & Co ING Wholesale Banking Barclays Morgan Stanley Day by Day EVA Dimensions Rabobank International Banco Sabadell Goldman Sachs Credit Suisse Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Independent Research GmbH Berenberg Bank S&P Capital IQ CA Cheuvreux HSBC Edge Capital Research Tradition Securities & Futures
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst MICHEL VARALDO PIERRE-LOUP ETIENNE SERGE DEMIRDJIAN ROBERT DUNCAN MARINE LAFITTE SAMUEL HENRY-DIESBACH JEAN-MARIE CAUCHETEUX JAN WILLEM VAN KRANENBURG HARM M MEIJER STEPHAN VAN WEEREN VALERIE GUEZI BOUDEWIJN SCHOON ARJAN KNIBBE AARON GUY BART GYSENS VALERIE GASTALDY TEAM COVERAGE MARTIJN VAN DEN EIJNDEN IGNACIO ROMERO JULIAN LIVINGSTON-BOOTH JONATHAN KOWNATOR HANS-PETER KUHLMANN STEFAN BONGARDT KAI MALTE KLOSE JACOB THRANE BRUNO DUCLOS STEPHANIE DOSSMANN KONSTANTIN BOYCHINOV LAETITIA D'EPREMESNIL
Source Co File Research Co File MF-AGG Research Research Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG
Recommendation buy sell neutral hold buy hold hold hold overweight reduce underperform neutral hold equalweight Equalwt/Attractive buy underweight hold buy Buy/Neutral outperform hold hold buy hold underperform overweight outperform hold
Amt Held 4'892'280 4'248'948 3'671'829 2'994'173 2'585'395 2'351'985 2'055'821 2'044'686 1'907'603 1'684'899 1'578'397 1'381'467 1'222'332 1'143'348 984'762 981'619 976'620 963'439 871'804 832'632
% Out 5.32 4.62 3.99 3.26 2.81 2.56 2.24 2.22 2.07 1.83 1.72 1.5 1.33 1.24 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.05 0.95 0.91
Weighting
Change 5 1 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 2 1 3 3 3 3 5 1 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 1 5 5 3
M M D M M M M M M M M M M M D M D D M M M M M U M D M N M
Latest Chg (2'990) (11'919) (3'161'695) (171'959) 158'757 21'842 (262) 53'928 539'910 (30'383) 12'446 2'170 123'217 -
Target Price 189 146 177 164 167 156 160 163 185 160 160 160 158 176 163 176 #N/A N/A 169 141 182 165 150 155 163 162 145 160 160 150
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 10.03.2011 Investment Advisor 17.02.2012 Investment Advisor 10.03.2011 Corporation 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 16.05.2011 Investment Advisor 21.05.2012 Bank 10.03.2011 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 10.03.2011 Investment Advisor 22.08.2011 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 10.03.2011 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 21.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 10.09.2012 04.09.2012 04.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 31.08.2012 29.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 30.07.2012 25.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 24.07.2012 02.02.2012 19.01.2012 29.09.2011 06.07.2011
24.09.2012
UniCredit SpA UniCredit SpA attracts deposits and offers commercial banking services. The Bank offers consumer credit, mortgages, life insurance, business loan, investment banking, asset management, and other services. UniCredit operates worldwide.
Price/Volume 8
300.0 M
7
250.0 M
6 200.0 M
5 4
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (13.10.2011) 52-Week Low (09.01.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance UCG IM EQUITY YTD Change UCG IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 7.01 2.20 30'196'653.00 3.408 -51.41% 54.91% 26.17% 5'787.1 19'744.79 334'658.25 0.0 3'318.2 56'215.54 -
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20 1.00
100.0 M
2 50.0 M
1 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 55'285.3 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 5'901.3 10.65x
150.0 M
3
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 65'266.9 47'278.6 0.00x 0.00x 0.0 0.0 0.00x 0.00x 4'011.8 1'702.3 5.74x 23.66x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 41'223.4 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 1'323.3 24.19x
31.12.2011 41'968.2 0.00x 0.0 0.00x (9'206.4) 0.00x 10.75% -23.82% -0.99% -15.91% -2.23% 0.05% -33.1% 36.11% 650.08% -
LTM
06/yy 26'547.5 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 1'975.7 12.90x
06/yy 25'803.4 0.00x 0.0 0.00x (9'444.2) 0.00x
FY+1
1.50 4'531.19 -23.79% -19.40% 1.501 39 2.923 ######### 81'212'490 99'000'190 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 25'656.0 25'510.9 6'126.0 6'283.0 1'399.4 2'043.1 194.0 95.9 13.06x 9.19x 11.44x 9.85x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
10.02.2012 BBB+ NEG 10.02.2012 A-2 650.1% 85.9% 0.05 3.38 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
70'000.0 60'000.0 50'000.0
0.80
40'000.0 0.60
30'000.0
0.40
20'000.0 10'000.0
0.20
0.0 0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
UniCredit SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name AABAR LUX SARL PGFF LUX SARL CENTRAL BANK OF LIBY FONDAZIONE CASSA RIS FONDAZIONE CASSA RIS CARIMONTE HOLDING SP CAPITAL RESEARCH AND CAPITAL WORLD INVEST DODGE & COX DELFIN SARL FRANKLIN RESOURCES I ALLIANZ SPA VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO ALLIANZ FINANCE IV L LIBYAN FOREIGN BANK CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI BLACKROCK ASSET MANA BLACKROCK AM IRELAND
Firm Name Credit Suisse Redburn Partners AlphaValue Grupo Santander RBC Capital Markets Oddo & Cie Exane BNP Paribas HSBC Banca Akros(ESN) Banca IMI Societe Generale CA Cheuvreux Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Macquarie Nomura ICBPI. Hamburger Sparkasse Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Nord/LB EVA Dimensions Day by Day Barclays Mediobanca SpA Berenberg Bank DZ Bank AG Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Independent Research GmbH Equita SIM SpA Natixis S&P Capital IQ Kepler Capital Markets ING Wholesale Banking Hammer Partners SA Banco Sabadell
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst IGNACIO CEREZO GEORGE SOSEI KARAMANOS DAVID GRINSZTAJN TANIA GOLD ANKE REINGEN JULIE LEGRAND ANDREA VERCELLONE CARLO DIGRANDI LUIGI TRAMONTANA MANUELA MERONI CARLO TOMMASELLI ALDO COMI RONNY REHN BENJIE CREELAN-SANDFORD DOMENICO SANTORO LUCA COMI CHRISTIAN HAMANN JEAN-FRANCOIS NEUEZ KIAN ABOUHOSSEIN MICHAEL SEUFERT TEAM COVERAGE VALERIE GASTALDY JEREMY SIGEE ANDREA FILTRI MARCO TROIANO CHRISTOPH BAST PAOLA SABBIONE FRANCESCA TONDI WERNER SCHIRMER STEFAN BONGARDT GIOVANNI RAZZOLI STEVEN GOULD FRANK BRADEN ANNA MARIA BENASSI ALEXANDER PELTESHKI ENRICO RACIOPPI MARIO LODOS
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH
Recommendation neutral neutral buy underweight sector perform reduce neutral underweight hold buy hold underperform underperform outperform neutral sell hold neutral/neutral neutral sell hold hold equalweight outperform buy sell buy Equalwt/In-Line sell hold hold neutral sell buy hold sell Under Review
Amt Held 376'220'171 289'992'198 234'493'791 223'151'050 204'516'549 173'381'885 158'103'908 127'901'060 124'135'987 116'031'602 103'435'984 68'982'379 60'368'355 54'977'567 42'130'178 32'465'700 31'599'342 24'374'142 22'688'035 21'528'058
% Out 6.5 5.01 4.05 3.86 3.53 3 2.73 2.21 2.15 2 1.79 1.19 1.04 0.95 0.73 0.56 0.55 0.42 0.39 0.37
Weighting
Change
3 3 5 1 3 2 3 1 3 5 3 1 1 5 3 1 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 5 5 1 5 3 1 3 3 3 1 5 3 1 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M D M M D M M U M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M
Latest Chg 107'727'313 39'829'500 3'072'472 16'205'131 13'180'000 (8'962'667) 140'656 -
Target Price 4 #N/A N/A 6 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 #N/A N/A 4 3 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 3 6 5 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 31.03.2012 30.06.2012 24.08.2012 30.06.2012 24.08.2012 30.06.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 24.08.2012 30.06.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 24.08.2012
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 15 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Other n/a Government Corporation Bank Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Other Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a
Date 24.09.2012 24.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 27.08.2012 24.08.2012 23.08.2012 23.08.2012 21.08.2012 13.08.2012 10.08.2012 10.08.2012 08.08.2012 07.08.2012 07.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 06.08.2012 04.08.2012 01.08.2012 19.06.2012 05.03.2012
24.09.2012
Unilever NV Unilever NV manufactures branded and packaged consumer goods, including food, detergents, fragrances, home and personal care products. Dually-listed company with ULVR LN.
Price/Volume 35
18.0 M
30
16.0 M 14.0 M
25
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (02.08.2012) 52-Week Low (26.09.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance UNA NA EQUITY YTD Change UNA NA EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 28.83 22.52 1'308'042.00 27.94 -3.09% 24.07% 86.85% 1'714.7 83'769.35 13'718.00 0.0 628.0 4'937.00 93'634.35
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
15
8.0 M 6.0 M
10
4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 40'187.0 2.00x 6'766.0 11.88x 3'888.0 19.05x
12.0 M
20
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 40'523.0 39'823.0 1.41x 1.77x 6'793.0 6'887.0 8.39x 10.25x 5'027.0 3'370.0 9.69x 18.80x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 44'262.0 1.64x 7'620.0 9.54x 4'244.0 15.43x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 46'467.0 1.82x 7'462.0 11.30x 4'252.0 17.60x 7'462.00 6'433.00 13.84% 13.44% 9.59% 29.55% 18.86% 1.05% 39.9% 16.1% 13.8% 9.2% 0.80 0.44 28.87% 95.98% 17.09 6.27
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 45'155.0 3.13x 3'852.0 0.00x 4'444.0 0.00x
06/yy 49'077.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
3.36 0.60 26.75% 8.01% 0.599 44 3.477 4'979'198 3'908'529 4'645'924 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 51'263.7 54'345.6 13'292.7 12'655.6 1.81x 1.68x 8'343.0 9'030.5 11.23x 10.37x 4'669.2 5'147.0 1'185.0 1'975.0 17.58x 16.06x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.10.2000 A+ STABLE 05.10.2000 A-1 13.82 10.42 1.18 1.84 96.0% 47.9% 1.05 5.59 21.36 58.22 82.67 -3.09
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
60'000.0
14.00
50'000.0
12.00
40'000.0
10.00 8.00
30'000.0
6.00
20'000.0
4.00
10'000.0 2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Unilever NV Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FOUNDATION UNILEVER UNILEVER NV CAPITAL WORLD INVEST VANGUARD GROUP INC GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT FIDELITY INTERNATION WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL ACHMEA BELEGGINSFOND DEUTSCHE BANK AG ING INVESTMENT MANAG ELMA EN UNITED HOLDS DB PLATINUM ADVISORS UNION INVESTMENT GMB MORGAN STANLEY BLACKROCK ASSET MANA MACKENZIE FINANCIAL FIDELITY MANAGEMENT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Redburn Partners JEREMY FIALKO Helvea ANDREAS VON ARX Berenberg Bank JAMES TARGETT Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research MARTIN DOLAN RBC Capital Markets JAMES EDWARDES JONES HSBC CEDRIC BESNARD Sanford C. Bernstein & Co ANDREW WOOD EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Mirabaud Securities JULIAN LAKIN Exane BNP Paribas JEFF STENT Canaccord Genuity Corp EDDY HARGREAVES ING Wholesale Banking MARCO GULPERS Goldman Sachs ALEXIS COLOMBO Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Nomura DAVID HAYES Rabobank International KAREL ZOETE Kempen & Co ERWIN DUT SNS Securities(ESN) RICHARD WITHAGEN Grupo Santander PEDRO GIL Petercam FERNAND DE BOER Banco Sabadell IGNACIO ROMERO Societe Generale WARREN L ACKERMAN Credit Suisse CHARLES MILLS Aurel - BGC JEAN-MARIE L'HOME Kepler Capital Markets JON COX Natixis PIERRE TEGNER Main First Bank AG ALAIN-SEBASTIAN OBERHUBER Barclays LIAM ROWLEY Deutsche Bank HAROLD THOMPSON Morgan Stanley EILEEN KHOO Jefferies SIMON MARSHALL-LOCKYER Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg BARBARA AMBRUS Independent Research GmbH LARS LUSEBRINK S&P Capital IQ CARL SHORT ABN Amro Bank N.V. ROBERT JAN VOS JPMorgan CELINE PANNUTI Liberum Capital Ltd PABLO ZUANIC Theodoor Gilissen Securities TOM MULLER DZ Bank AG ROBERT CZERWENSKY Hamburger Sparkasse TINA HECKING-VELTMAN CA Cheuvreux XAVIER CROQUEZ Equita SIM SpA FABIO FAZZARI
Source Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral accumulate buy neutral underperform overweight outperform overweight hold neutral buy hold Buy/Neutral hold reduce buy hold hold buy hold sell sell underperform hold buy reduce buy overweight hold Equalwt/Attractive buy hold hold hold hold overweight buy buy sell hold outperform buy
Amt Held 1'268'224'230 141'560'629 39'902'700 19'535'161 11'822'117 9'675'894 9'528'812 8'458'704 7'883'923 7'122'587 6'858'359 6'585'821 6'428'550 6'127'538 5'718'344 5'611'560 5'595'861 5'358'673 5'246'792 4'506'515
% Out 73.96 8.26 2.33 1.14 0.69 0.56 0.56 0.49 0.46 0.42 0.4 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.26
Weighting
Change 3 4 5 3 1 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 2 5 3 3 5 3 1 1 1 3 5 2 5 5 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 1 3 5 5
M M U M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M D D M
Latest Chg 2'655'000 854'241 9'278'841 3'460'016 7'239 (85'329) (585'902) (526'890) 6'127'538 (600) 392'742 1'544 (10'900) 7'407 -
Target Price #N/A N/A 31 34 29 23 33 31 #N/A N/A 28 29 30 27 38 #N/A N/A 25 31 27 28 30 30 26 27 25 24 31 25 33 27 29 26 31 29 28 29 28 28 37 29 22 #N/A N/A 28 28
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 28.02.2011 Other 31.12.2011 n/a 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 19.10.2011 n/a 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 18.09.2012 17.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 11.09.2012 06.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 03.09.2012 29.08.2012 13.08.2012 10.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 30.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 25.07.2012 16.07.2012 01.05.2012 03.02.2012 02.02.2012 03.01.2012 10.06.2011
24.09.2012
Vinci SA Vinci SA builds roads, offers electrical, mechanical, and civil engineering and construction services, and operates toll roads. The Company builds and maintains roads and produces road construction materials, builds electricity and communications networks, installs fire protection and power and ventilation systems, and operates toll highways, bridges, parking garages, and a stadium.
Price/Volume 45
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
40 35 30 25 20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (16.03.2012) 52-Week Low (25.11.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 11.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DG FP EQUITY YTD Change DG FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 40.85 28.46 1'127'995.00 34.62 -15.25% 21.64% 55.55% 575.4 19'920.71 20'870.80 0.0 725.4 7'542.00 35'884.11
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 5 0 s-11
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 33'930.3 31'177.7 0.90x 1.09x 5'009.2 4'813.1 6.09x 7.03x 1'591.4 1'596.0 8.85x 12.07x Profitability
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 34'002.8 1.07x 5'165.6 7.01x 1'775.9 12.14x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 37'646.1 0.86x 5'445.9 5.93x 1'904.3 9.59x 5'445.90 3'550.50 9.43% 7.91% 3.26% 15.12% 7.39% 0.64% 14.5% 9.4% 5.1% 0.91 0.52 34.45% 161.92% 6.44 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 32'330.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 37'205.8 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
5.20 1.09 518.32 18.66% 6.37% 1.085 32 4.250 2'594'955 1'749'292 2'104'986 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 37'932.4 38'225.9 9'959.0 10'195.0 0.90x 0.87x 5'448.0 5'526.8 6.60x 6.51x 1'884.1 1'929.4 10.13x 9.91x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
29.03.2007 BBB+ STABLE 24.04.2001 A-2 7.34 4.83 2.45 3.83 161.9% 60.5% 0.64 8.46 56.68 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
40'000.0
7.00
35'000.0
6.00
30'000.0
5.00
25'000.0
4.00
20'000.0
3.00
15'000.0
2.00
10'000.0
1.00
5'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
o-11
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 30'874.3 1.32x 4'587.6 8.90x 1'455.0 16.18x
15
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Vinci SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name COMET LUXEMBOURG HLD SOCIETE GENERALE VINCI SA ARTEMIS SA NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO FRANKLIN RESOURCES I AVIVA PLC FIDELITY INTERNATION LBPAM BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO PICTET ASSET MANAGEM DNCA FINANCE DEUTSCHE BANK AG COHEN & STEERS CAPIT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE BLACKROCK ASSET MANA UNION INVESTMENT LUX SCHRODER INVESTMENT
Firm Name AlphaValue HSBC JPMorgan Aurel - BGC DZ Bank AG Societe Generale EVA Dimensions Raymond James Exane BNP Paribas RBC Capital Markets Hamburger Sparkasse Goldman Sachs Day by Day Independent Research GmbH Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg CM - CIC Securities(ESN) Oddo & Cie Kepler Capital Markets Bryan Garnier & Cie Natixis S&P Capital IQ Credit Suisse Banco Sabadell BPI Barclays Morgan Stanley Nord/LB Deutsche Bank CA Cheuvreux ING Wholesale Banking National Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Source Co File Research Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation
GAETAN DUPONT PIERRE BOSSET ELODIE RALL ERIC LEMARIE MARC NETTELBECK MURIEL FELLOUS TEAM COVERAGE ARNAUD PALLIEZ NICOLAS MORA OLIVIA PETERS INGO SCHMIDT WILL MORGAN VALERIE GASTALDY CHRISTOPH SCHOENDUBE HANS-PETER KUHLMANN JEAN-CHRISTOPHE LEFEVRE-MOULENQ OLIVIER BECKER JOSEP PUJAL SVEN EDELFELT GREGOIRE THIBAULT JAWAHAR HINGORANI ROBERT CRIMES MARIA CEBOLLERO FILIPE MARTINS LEITE SUSANNA INVERNIZZI JAIME ROWBOTHAM HEINO HAMMANN LUIS PRIETO BORJA CASTRO PEREZ MANZUCO IAN OSBURN STEFFEN MANSKE
buy neutral overweight hold buy buy underweight outperform neutral sector perform buy Buy/Neutral hold hold hold buy buy buy buy buy strong buy outperform buy buy overweight Equalwt/In-Line buy buy outperform hold hold
Amt Held 31'499'000 25'572'494 25'021'501 15'712'512 8'281'623 8'040'124 7'390'600 7'154'601 2'905'421 2'741'309 2'464'130 2'322'214 2'306'986 2'231'500 1'730'651 1'463'565 1'433'119 1'423'469 1'404'470 1'321'419
% Out 5.47 4.44 4.35 2.73 1.44 1.4 1.28 1.24 0.5 0.48 0.43 0.4 0.4 0.39 0.3 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.23
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 3 5 5 1 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 3
M N M M M M U M M D M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M D D
Latest Chg (5'663'109) 45'512 681'282 1'866'600 606'010 (1'531) 40'860 745 86'953 (471'000) 14'600 528 (485'761)
Target Price 46 39 49 40 41 47 #N/A N/A 42 39 40 #N/A N/A 47 #N/A N/A 36 37 44 49 50 44 44 45 54 47 51 48 44 #N/A N/A 47 43 36 43
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 n/a 14.05.2012 Bank 31.12.2011 Corporation 31.12.2011 Holding Company 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 6 month Not Provided 6 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 20.09.2012 19.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 17.09.2012 13.09.2012 05.09.2012 30.08.2012 28.08.2012 15.08.2012 13.08.2012 09.08.2012 08.08.2012 03.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 01.08.2012 31.07.2012 30.07.2012 26.07.2012 13.07.2012 03.07.2012 14.06.2012 07.02.2012 01.02.2012 18.01.2012 27.07.2011
24.09.2012
Vivendi SA Vivendi, through its subsidiaries, conducts operations ranging from music, games and television to film and telecommunications. The Company provides digital and pay television services, sells music compact discs (CDs), develops and distributes interactive entertainment, and operates mobile and fixed-line telecommunications.
Price/Volume
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
30.0 M 25.0 M
12
12/2011 06/yy 17.06 12.01 883'527.00 15.39 -9.77% 28.10% 72.90% 1'301.1 20'024.35 15'710.00 0.0 2'623.0 3'782.00 36'553.35
10
20.0 M
8
15.0 M
6
10.0 M
4
5.0 M
2 0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 21'657.0 2.01x 6'301.0 6.92x 2'625.0 13.89x
35.0 M
16 14
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (03.01.2012) 52-Week Low (19.04.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.09.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance VIV FP EQUITY YTD Change VIV FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
18
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 25'392.0 27'132.0 1.55x 1.44x 6'774.0 7'682.0 5.82x 5.07x 2'603.0 830.0 10.43x 30.14x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 28'878.0 1.29x 8'020.0 4.64x 2'198.0 11.35x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 28'813.0 1.24x 8'847.0 4.03x 2'681.0 7.83x 8'847.00 6'240.00 21.66% 17.72% 4.67% 12.33% 10.55% 0.50% 50.1% 30.7% 21.7% 9.3% 0.71 0.46 28.20% 80.78% 6.40 18.51
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
06/yy 29'149.0 5.13x 8'152.0 4.90x 3'489.0 6.80x
06/yy 28'644.0 4.82x 9'390.0 3.77x 1'283.0 15.09x
FY+1
0.86 1'164.56 16.03% 1.22% 0.860 34 4.000 5'181'678 3'736'745 4'755'484 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 28'297.1 28'745.0 6'622.8 7'557.5 1.26x 1.22x 5.59x 4.85x 7'835.6 7'857.7 1'859.0 1'665.0 4.67x 4.66x 4.63x 4.60x 2'482.3 2'509.0 649.8 384.3 7.79x 7.65x 7.97x 8.06x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
04.07.2012 BBB *04.07.2012 A-2 *16.72 10.36 1.35 1.78 80.8% 41.6% 0.50 3.35 57.03 19.72 359.26 -282.51
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00
70'000.0
5.00
60'000.0 50'000.0
4.00
40'000.0 3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 02.01.2009
0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Vivendi SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK INC SOCIETE GENERALE AMUNDI NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE GROUPE SOCIETE GENER CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET FRANKLIN RESOURCES I PEG VIVENDI THE BAUPOST GROUP NORGES BANK INVSTMNT QATAR HOLDINGS LLC NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE BANK OF AMERICA CORP CREDIT SUISSE SECURI UBS AG VANGUARD GROUP INC GROUPE BOLLORE HSBC HOLDINGS PLC BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG INTERNATIONAL VALUE
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Societe Generale CHRISTOPHE CHERBLANC Morgan Stanley PATRICK WELLINGTON CM - CIC Securities(ESN) ERIC RAVARY Natixis JEROME BODIN Nomura MATTHEW WALKER Grupo Santander STEPHANE SCHLATTER Oddo & Cie BRUNO HARENG Sanford C. Bernstein & Co CLAUDIO ASPESI Barclays JULIEN ROCH AlphaValue JEAN-MICHEL SALVADOR JPMorgan FILIPPO PIETRO LO FRANCO Macquarie GUY R PEDDY Credit Suisse OMAR SHEIKH Raymond James STEPHANE BEYAZIAN Goldman Sachs RICHARD JONES Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research WILL DRAPER S&P Capital IQ ALEXANDER WISCH Exane BNP Paribas CHARLES BEDOUELLE Jefferies WILL SMITH Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg MIRKO MAIER Independent Research GmbH LARS LUSEBRINK EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE Liberum Capital Ltd IAN WHITTAKER Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Banco Sabadell ANDRES BOLUMBURU CA Cheuvreux ANDREA BENEVENTI Kepler Capital Markets CONOR O'SHEA HSBC NICOLAS COTE-COLISSON National Bank AG STEFFEN MANSKE Hamburger Sparkasse ANNEMARIE SCHLUETER Deutsche Bank PATRICK KIRBY DZ Bank AG HARALD HEIDER
Source Co File Research Research Research Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG
Recommendation buy Equalwt/Attractive hold buy buy buy buy market perform overweight buy overweight outperform outperform market perform Buy/Neutral sell strong buy neutral buy buy hold buy buy hold buy outperform buy neutral sell hold hold buy
Amt Held 63'140'035 62'157'815 57'756'435 57'389'860 56'295'063 48'191'364 33'989'778 33'192'445 26'349'991 25'862'423 25'789'649 20'816'134 19'320'712 17'995'960 17'829'054 15'019'289 14'021'059 13'811'784 12'967'029 11'147'456
% Out 4.85 4.78 4.44 4.41 4.33 3.7 2.61 2.55 2.03 1.99 1.98 1.6 1.48 1.38 1.37 1.15 1.08 1.06 1 0.86
Weighting
Change 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 1 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 1 3 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M U M D D M M
Latest Chg (36'465'062) (5'812'102) 29'924'444 5'011'458 (280'703) 957'648 95'137
Target Price 17 16 16 22 18 22 19 14 18 24 19 15 18 #N/A N/A 20 14 18 16 18 17 17 #N/A N/A 20 #N/A N/A 18 17 18 16 16 #N/A N/A 16 23
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Bank 14.05.2012 Investment Advisor 10.05.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 Government 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 n/a 31.12.2011 Government 30.03.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Holding Company 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 9 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 21.09.2012 20.09.2012 20.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 11.09.2012 07.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 04.09.2012 31.08.2012 31.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 30.08.2012 27.08.2012 21.08.2012 07.08.2012 30.07.2012 24.07.2012 09.07.2012 16.05.2012 04.04.2012 08.03.2012 01.03.2012 06.12.2011
24.09.2012
Volkswagen AG Volkswagen AG manufactures economy and luxury automobiles, sports cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles for sale worldwide. The Company produces the Passat, Golf, Cabrio, Jetta, GTI, Beetle and other models. Volkswagen also owns Audi, Seat and Skoda, which manufacture and sell cars in Spain and in southern and eastern Europe, and Lamborghini, which makes sports cars in Italy.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (04.10.2011) Daily Volume Current Price (9/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance VOW3 GY EQUITY YTD Change VOW3 GY EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2011 06/yy 155.35 86.40 427'921.00 154.3 -0.74% 78.59% 99.56% 170.1 66'720.61 93'533.00 0.0 5'815.0 24'437.00 149'806.61
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.5 M
160
4.0 M
140
3.5 M
120
3.0 M
100
2.5 M
80
2.0 M
60
1.5 M
40
1.0 M
20
.5 M
0 s-11
.0 M o-11
n-11
d-11
j-12
f-12
m-12
a-12 m-12
j-12
j-12
a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2007 108'897.0 0.89x 15'133.0 6.43x 4'120.0 14.94x
180
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 113'808.0 105'187.0 1.22x 0.97x 14'854.0 10'896.0 9.34x 9.35x 4'753.0 960.0 20.97x 32.35x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2010 126'875.0 0.83x 16'659.0 6.29x 6'835.0 6.98x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2011 159'337.0 0.77x 21'365.0 5.76x 15'409.0 3.13x 21'365.00 11'032.00 6.92% 11.88% 6.80% 29.77% 11.86% 0.70% 17.6% 13.4% 6.9% 9.7% 1.01 0.66 36.88% 162.56% 3.92 5.82
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
1.15 143.79 52.28% 36.56% 1.150 39 4.410 1'264'451 921'505 1'072'474 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
06/yy 06/yy 12/12 Y 12/13 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 142'833.0 176'948.0 186'772.5 200'467.2 46'353.3 51'128.3 2.97x 2.83x 0.34x 0.29x 1.36x 1.27x 19'438.0 23'033.0 21'997.4 25'638.8 3'375.0 5'205.0 6.18x 5.99x 6.81x 5.84x 8.09x 7.50x 11'428.0 17'916.0 14'452.3 11'867.8 13'093.0 1'620.0 5.13x 3.06x 5.33x 6.11x 3.59x 7.60x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 31.08.2009 Long-Term Rating ALong-Term Outlook POS Short-Term Rating Date 15.06.2004 Short-Term Rating A-2 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 18.64 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 11.59 Net Debt/EBITDA 3.23 Total Debt/EBITDA 4.38 Reference Total Debt/Equity 162.6% Total Debt/Capital 59.6% Asset Turnover 0.70 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 3.67 Accounts receivable turnover-days 93.10 Inventory Days 62.77 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 37.29 Cash Conversion Cycle 118.57 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
180'000.0 160'000.0
10.00
140'000.0 120'000.0
8.00
100'000.0 6.00
80'000.0 60'000.0
4.00
40'000.0 2.00 0.00 02.01.2009
20'000.0 0.0 02.07.2009
02.01.2010
02.07.2010
02.01.2011
02.07.2011
02.01.2012
02.07.2012
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
24.09.2012
Volkswagen AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name QATAR HOLDINGS LLC WADDELL & REED FINAN FIDELITY MANAGEMENT CAPITAL WORLD INVEST BLACKROCK ASSET MANA THORNBURG INVESTMENT VANGUARD GROUP INC DB PLATINUM ADVISORS FIDELITY INTERNATION DEUTSCHE BANK AG BLACKROCK INSTITUTIO UNION INVESTMENT GMB ADIG INVESTMENT BLACKROCK INVESTMENT FRANKLIN RESOURCES I ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES INVESCO LTD FRANKFURT TRUST INVE CAPITAL RESEARCH GLO UMB BANK N A
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Commerzbank Corporates & Markets Oddo & Cie National Bank AG Silvia Quandt Research Nord/LB Macquarie AlphaValue Goldman Sachs Bankhaus Metzler Equinet Institutional Services(ESN) DZ Bank AG Morgan Stanley M.M. Warburg Investment Research Independent Research GmbH Exane BNP Paribas HSBC Redburn Partners EVA Dimensions Deutsche Bank Bankhaus Lampe Societe Generale Baader Bank JPMorgan Kepler Capital Markets Barclays Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg S&P Capital IQ Day by Day Credit Suisse Hamburger Sparkasse Main First Bank AG CA Cheuvreux Natixis Hammer Partners SA Cyrrus
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst MAX WARBURTON DANIEL SCHWARZ FRANCOIS MAURY MANFRED JAISFELD ALBRECHT DENNINGHOFF FRANK SCHWOPE CHRISTIAN BREITSPRECHER HANS-PETER WODNIOK STEFAN BURGSTALLER JUERGEN PIEPER TIM SCHULDT MICHAEL PUNZET STUART PEARSON MARC-RENE TONN ZAFER RUEZGAR RABIH FREIHA HORST SCHNEIDER CHARLES WINSTON TEAM COVERAGE JOCHEN GEHRKE CHRISTIAN LUDWIG STEPHEN REITMAN JOSE ASUMENDI BERNARD DONGES MICHAEL RAAB MICHAEL TYNDALL FRANK BILLER MARNIE COHEN VALERIE GASTALDY ARNDT ELLINGHORST TINA HECKING-VELTMAN LOTHAR LUBINETZKI ALEXANDER NEUBERGER GEORGES DIENG ALBERTO ROLLA JAN ROH
Source EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation market perform buy neutral buy neutral hold neutral add buy/attractive buy buy buy Overwt/In-Line buy hold outperform overweight buy hold buy buy buy buy overweight buy overweight buy buy hold outperform buy buy outperform buy buy buy
Amt Held 26'355'116 8'635'513 5'220'807 4'221'575 3'483'754 2'925'675 1'916'970 1'665'165 1'509'276 1'347'722 1'205'321 999'611 779'880 764'353 725'630 674'323 646'061 487'413 425'000 412'797
% Out 15.49 5.08 3.07 2.48 2.05 1.72 1.13 0.98 0.89 0.79 0.71 0.59 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.4 0.38 0.29 0.25 0.24
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M
Latest Chg 2'543'205 237'234 144 125'827 (901'565) 719'050 421 2'794 (66'313) (152'170) 189'513 1'720 -
Target Price 140 180 140 170 120 140 150 158 300 175 190 188 177 215 145 165 186 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 200 200 190 165 213 175 195 174 170 #N/A N/A 195 #N/A N/A 207 200 180 168 149
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 10.03.2011 Government 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2012 Investment Advisor 31.08.2012 Investment Advisor 20.09.2012 Investment Advisor 30.03.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2012 Investment Advisor 21.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.07.2012 Mutual Fund Manager 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 24.09.2012 19.09.2012 19.09.2012 18.09.2012 18.09.2012 14.09.2012 14.09.2012 13.09.2012 12.09.2012 12.09.2012 07.09.2012 07.09.2012 05.09.2012 05.09.2012 03.09.2012 03.09.2012 31.08.2012 08.08.2012 08.08.2012 02.08.2012 02.08.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 27.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 26.07.2012 11.07.2012 05.07.2012 19.06.2012 30.04.2012 27.04.2012 12.03.2012 11.10.2011