This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis & Analyst Recommendations QMS Advisors Global Agricultural Chemicals FlexIndex August 2013
Q M S Advisors .
.
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Valuation Measures I/II Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data Market Total Capitalization (in mio Daily Common Total Debt Preferred Currency USD) Volume (M) Shares (M) (USD) Stock (USD)
Minority Interest (USD)
Total Revenue Cash and Enterprise Equivalents Value (USD) (USD)
Tot. Rev. LFY
Est. Tot. Rev. - Tr. 12M
EBITDA
Earnings Per Share
Est. Tot. Est. Tot. Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA Rev. - 2013 Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY Tr. 12M 2013 2014 EPS - LFY
Price/Earnings ratio
Est. EPS Tr. 12M
Est. EPS 2013
Est. EPS 2014
P/E Ratio LFY
Est. P/E Ratio - Tr. 12M
Rev. Growth
EBITDA Growth
Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. P/E Est. P/E Revenue Revenue Est. EBITDA EBITDA Est. EBITDA Ratio - 2013 Ratio - 2014 Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Margin -
S&P LT Credit Rating -
S&P LT Credit Rating Date
Moody's LT Credit Moody's LT Credit Rating Rating Date
S&P 500 INDEX
USD
15538052
2072.938
1114
1114
203
219
219
103.77
110.27
110.27
16.29
16.29
15.33
15.33
18.57
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
EUR
2804497
5796.224
4700
4700
755
792
792
224.84
301.13
301.13
22.18
19.37
16.56
16.56
20.64
NIKKEI 225
JPY
2795252
204.614
200
200
20
23
23
6.17
8.21
8.21
0.24
0.24
0.18
0.18
0.12
FTSE 100 INDEX
GBP
2785561
12306.15
10166
10166
1480
1662
1662
577.73
804.34
804.34
27.14
22.24
19.49
19.49
22.11
SWISS MARKET INDEX
CHF
1097222
11241.5
4209
4209
960
871
871
442.18
568.67
568.67
21.19
18.04
16.47
16.47
24.43
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
CAD
1617335
17024.28
7397
7397
1827
1952
1952
731.39
799.94
799.94
15.65
15.65
14.31
14.31
23.71
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
AUD
1251718
6003.468
2646
2646
547
674
674
222.26
315.75
315.75
18.69
15.14
13.16
13.16
20.09
HANG SENG INDEX
HKD
1663826
3174.221
1668
1668
353
395
395
277.56
270.53
270.53
1.30
1.40
1.33
1.33
2.89
MSCI EM
USD
7092035
1308.553
973
973
188
178
178
82.51
88.55
88.55
11.37
11.49
10.59
10.59
19.18
YARA INTERNATIONAL ASA
NOK
12141
184
284
2
0
0
2
12.61
14233
14468
14298
14645
2472
536
536
-
5.38
5.10
4.93
1.37
0.29
2.64
BBB
15.03.2010
Baa2
17.03.2010
URALKALI
RUB
14128
9742
2846
0
0
0
0
0.50
120
120
114
113
70
70
-
-
-
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.27
-
0.35
0.38
0.39
1.52
0.36
1.13
1.78
BBB- *-
05.08.2013
-
-
CVR PARTNERS LP
USD
1401
1072
73
0
0
0
0
1.41
302
313
307
292
137
145
34
34
1.53
1.61
1.63
1.38
11.91
11.91
11.78
13.89
-0.18
-
-11.76
15.91
46.43
-
-
-
-
TERRA NITROGEN COMPANY LP
USD
4100
12
19
0
0
0
0
3.93
780
827
578
621
-
-
17.01
18.06
12.15
12.15
-2.35
0.03
9.03
21.62
76.86
-
-
-
-
SYNGENTA AG-REG
CHF
36822
43
92
4
0
0
2
43.42
15427
15563
16361
17455
3420
3322
-
-
24.72
21.03
25.49
28.70
22.18
19.94
18.30
16.26
7.65
3.39
9.74
11.13
23.19
A
15.06.2007
-
-
SOC QUIMICA Y MINERA CHILE-B
CLP
8098
799
263
0
0
0
0
0.02
5
5
4
5
2
2
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.05
0.08
BBB
27.04.2009
Baa1
23.10.2006
K+S AG-REG
EUR
4550
2907
191
2
0
0
1
4.87
5253
5042
5344
5001
1441
1425
305
305
4.00
3.79
3.30
1.73
8.37
8.04
9.63
18.30
-2.05
5.94
-5.07
27.86
37.73
BBB+ *-
05.08.2013
Baa2 *-
07.08.2013
SAUDI ARABIAN FERTILIZER CO
SAR
13132
401
333
0
0
0
1
12.29
1328
1324
1313
1405
1032
1035
240
240
3.09
3.14
3.06
3.19
3.35
3.35
3.43
3.30
-0.37
-0.17
-0.80
2.50
20.84
-
-
-
-
POTASH CORP OF SASKATCHEWAN
CAD
25681
8705
865
4
0
0
1
27.38
7612
7710
7136
7067
3446
3404
777
777
2.53
2.52
2.34
2.31
10.86
10.86
11.70
11.81
-8.68
10.54
-17.66
13.91
42.40
A-
15.11.2010
A3
07.06.2013
PHOSAGRO OAO - CLS
USD
0
124
36
0
12
10
105303
108287
110706
112618
34695
33150
-
-
-
136.95
135.59
136.53
-
-
4.76
-
-1.91
-
30.61
BBB-
29.04.2013
-
-
MOSAIC CO/THE
USD
17612
11353
426
1
0
0
4
15.01
9974
9974
9786
9427
2814
2890
590
590
4.08
3.99
3.82
3.73
10.38
10.38
10.83
11.09
-10.21
2.11
-9.77
-2.55
28.98
BBB
28.04.2011
Baa1
12.10.2011
JORDAN PHOSPHATE MINES
JOD
911
20
75
0
0
0
0
1.00
1072
1023
1152
1301
238
165
32
32
2.49
1.86
2.31
2.62
9.23
9.23
7.44
6.55
-9.21
15.02
3.76
33.66
22.82
-
-
-
-
INTREPID POTASH INC
USD
895
4060
76
0
0
0
0
0.96
451
432
374
380
183
170
30
30
1.16
0.98
0.54
0.41
12.00
12.00
21.87
28.88
1.89
3.92
-3.40
31.83
39.25
-
-
-
-
ISRAEL CHEMICALS LTD
ILs
10103
1499
1272
1
0
0
0
3.28
1880
1850
1864
1867
536
507
111
111
0.29
0.27
0.25
0.19
2.33
2.33
2.51
3.26
-1.58
0.61
-3.87
4.37
7.73
-
-
-
-
FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY LTD
PKR
1356
1177
1272
0
0
0
0
1.48
1195
1300
372
410
74
74
0.16
0.17
0.15
0.16
0.06
0.06
0.07
0.07
0.10
0.27
-0.22
0.22
0.31
-
-
-
-
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC
USD
10877
1600
63
2
0
0
2
12.41
6104
5892
5563
5322
3332
3120
555
555
27.77
28.36
23.86
21.67
6.70
6.70
7.96
8.76
0.10
10.05
5.42
37.17
52.96
-
-
-
-
ARAB POTASH COMPANY
JOD
4648
0
83
0
0
0
0
4.12
828
822
905
1094
391
353
-
-
3.38
3.03
3.71
4.42
26.00
26.05
21.23
17.83
-26.25
19.20
-34.77
24.47
60.66
-
-
-
-
ACRON
RUB
1287
4
41
2
0
0
2
2.20
2159
2102
2141
2167
619
628
-
-
-
8.50
7.33
5.56
0.11
-
0.13
0.17
0.26
0.28
-0.94
0.57
0.91
-
-
B1
15.06.2011
AGRIUM INC
CAD
12410
827
149
4
0
0
1
15.13
16023
15634
16083
16713
2607
2562
430
430
9.08
9.01
8.79
8.70
8.50
8.50
8.72
8.81
7.55
25.89
0.32
25.22
15.74
BBB
24.11.2005
Baa2
18.03.2010
CHINA BLUECHEMICAL LTD - H
HKD
2241
3631
4610
0
0
0
0
1.62
1385
1385
1539
1613
445
445
-
-
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.97
0.95
0.91
0.88
1.30
3.21
-0.35
1.42
4.14
-
-
-
-
SINOFERT HOLDINGS LTD
HKD
1078
14574
7024
1
0
0
0
1.34
5311
5311
5399
5603
179
179
-
-
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.97
-
0.97
0.84
1.58
1.29
2.26
-0.98
0.43
-
-
-
-
LUXI CHEMICAL GROUP CO LT-A
CNY
890
17256
1465
1
0
0
0
2.08
1668
1620
2143
2759
229
-
359
359
0.03
0.04
0.06
0.09
2.31
-
1.55
1.16
1.61
2.22
-0.97
2.33
-
-
-
-
-
QINGHAI SALT LAKE INDUSTRY-A
CNY
4371
6664
1591
3
0
0
0
7.48
1276
1289
1289
1466
524
-
-
-
-
0.24
0.22
0.23
1.85
-
2.03
1.93
3.87
4.82
0.20
1.57
-
-
-
-
-
HUBEI YIHUA CHEMICAL INDUS-A
CNY
1020
18215
898
3
0
0
0
3.82
3149
3026
2937
3184
574
-
-
-
-
0.14
0.15
0.17
1.31
-
1.23
1.10
1.43
3.06
3.00
3.77
-
-
-
-
-
LIAONING HUAJIN TONGDA CHE-A
CNY
920
6354
1201
3
0
0
1
3.51
5621
5766
409
-
-
-
0.00
-0.03
0.03
0.07
-
-
4.14
1.76
-0.55
15.16
-2.79
-
-
-
-
-
-
SAUDI ARABIAN FERTILIZER CO
SAR
13132
401
333
0
0
0
1
12.29
1328
1324
1313
1405
1032
1035
240
240
3.09
3.14
3.06
3.19
3.35
3.35
3.43
3.30
-0.37
-0.17
-0.80
2.50
20.84
-
-
-
-
AGRIUM INC
CAD
12410
827
149
4
0
0
1
15.13
16023
15634
16083
16713
2607
2562
430
430
9.08
9.01
8.79
8.70
8.50
8.50
8.72
8.81
7.55
25.89
0.32
25.22
15.74
BBB
24.11.2005
Baa2
18.03.2010
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC
USD
10877
1600
63
2
0
0
2
12.41
6104
5892
5563
5322
3332
3120
555
555
27.77
28.36
23.86
21.67
6.70
6.70
7.96
8.76
0.10
10.05
5.42
37.17
52.96
-
-
-
-
ISRAEL CHEMICALS LTD
ILs
10103
1499
1272
1
0
0
0
3.28
1880
1850
1864
1867
536
507
111
111
0.29
0.27
0.25
0.19
2.33
2.33
2.51
3.26
-1.58
0.61
-3.87
4.37
7.73
-
-
-
-
2258
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
1.35
-
1.42
1.47
-1.41
2.99
Valuation Measures II/II Price to Book Ratio
Price to Sales Ratio
Price to Cash Flow Ratio
Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio
Price to Earnings Ratio
Estimated Dividend Yield
Target
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
%D to Spot
S&P 500 INDEX
2.36
2.36
2.18
2.02
2.36
1.52
1.52
1.45
1.39
1.52
10.77
10.77
10.05
10.50
10.77
9.45
9.45
8.71
8.12
9.45
15.33
15.33
13.83
12.51
15.33
2.09
2.09
2.25
2.39
2.09
1832.6
8.4%
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
1.23
1.23
1.16
1.10
1.23
0.80
0.80
0.77
0.75
0.80
6.31
6.31
5.76
5.20
6.31
7.32
7.32
6.90
6.54
7.32
12.41
12.41
11.02
9.93
12.41
4.09
4.09
4.33
4.68
4.09
2986.8
6.7%
NIKKEI 225
1.47
1.47
1.38
1.28
1.47
0.71
0.71
0.68
0.66
0.71
8.66
8.66
7.99
7.39
8.66
9.06
9.06
8.32
7.87
9.06
17.21
17.21
15.29
13.81
17.21
1.70
1.70
1.86
2.00
1.70
15126.1
11.2%
FTSE 100 INDEX
1.75
1.75
1.64
1.52
1.75
0.99
0.99
0.96
0.94
0.99
8.46
8.46
7.75
6.51
8.46
7.41
7.41
6.77
6.34
7.41
12.58
12.58
11.39
10.45
12.57
3.82
3.82
4.13
4.48
3.82
7020.6
7.6%
SWISS MARKET INDEX
2.42
2.42
2.24
2.09
2.42
2.05
2.05
1.96
1.87
2.05
12.78
12.78
11.50
10.29
12.78
12.91
12.91
11.94
11.15
12.91
15.17
15.17
13.70
12.46
15.17
3.22
3.22
3.60
4.08
3.22
8714.2
9.8%
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
1.68
1.68
1.57
1.47
1.68
1.61
1.61
1.51
1.49
1.61
8.56
8.56
7.76
6.47
8.56
8.72
8.72
7.77
7.24
8.72
14.90
14.90
13.20
12.04
14.90
3.23
3.23
3.36
3.47
3.23
14073.4
13.4%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
1.85
1.85
1.75
1.65
1.85
1.73
1.73
1.64
1.56
1.73
10.51
10.51
9.48
9.08
10.51
8.91
8.91
8.10
7.52
8.91
14.53
14.53
13.17
12.15
14.53
4.66
4.66
4.97
5.31
4.66
5231.2
3.3%
HANG SENG INDEX
1.29
1.29
1.19
1.13
1.29
1.67
1.67
1.55
1.43
1.67
7.72
7.72
7.34
6.79
7.72
8.04
8.04
7.37
6.68
8.04
10.32
10.32
9.50
8.70
10.32
3.72
3.72
4.02
4.35
3.72
24727.3
14.2%
MSCI EM
1.37
1.37
1.25
1.13
1.37
0.96
0.96
0.90
0.84
0.96
6.86
6.86
6.25
5.78
6.86
7.35
7.35
6.67
6.14
7.35
10.59
10.59
9.47
8.65
10.59
2.96
2.96
3.25
3.51
2.96
1109.6
18.3%
YARA INTERNATIONAL ASA
1.40
1.31
1.20
1.12
1.16
0.85
0.85
0.83
0.81
0.98
5.33
6.90
6.69
6.69
4.66
5.30
5.50
5.51
6.23
6.92
8.38
8.66
8.43
12.84
3.96
4.64
4.55
4.74
3.57
291.90
15.8%
URALKALI
1.78
1.76
1.91
1.60
1.64
3.51
3.78
3.79
3.58
3.16
8.09
7.80
8.35
8.53
6.97
8.20
9.56
9.26
7.87
10.00
11.40
12.53
14.49
11.27
5.53
4.84
4.61
3.57
5.69
231.24
45.9%
CVR PARTNERS LP
2.98
3.29
3.45
3.68
3.90
4.80
4.56
4.79
4.89
5.19
9.68
9.02
10.20
10.20
9.38
10.57
11.54
12.40
12.78
11.78
13.89
15.21
17.27
9.48
10.34
8.91
8.22
7.30
21.75
13.5%
SYNGENTA AG-REG
4.36
3.77
3.37
3.00
2.58
2.44
2.29
2.17
2.07
14.90
14.38
12.76
11.77
12.55
11.98
10.89
10.10
9.74
17.87
16.85
14.96
13.72
13.25
2.36
2.74
3.03
3.26
3.32
SOC QUIMICA Y MINERA CHILE-B
3.28
2.97
2.73
2.57
3.29
3.54
3.45
3.28
2.74
9.13
7.85
11.84
11.25
7.88
9.67
10.56
10.01
10.98
13.89
15.18
15.08
9.42
3.80
4.11
3.42
3.23
K+S AG-REG
1.01
0.93
0.91
0.87
0.84
0.85
0.85
0.91
0.89
0.82
4.22
4.76
7.24
9.31
5.92
3.45
3.83
5.63
5.53
4.68
6.41
7.21
13.71
14.78
11.69
7.70
6.10
3.48
3.36
SAUDI ARABIAN FERTILIZER CO
5.50
5.55
5.34
5.13
4.62
9.95
10.00
9.35
8.47
8.15
12.55
12.96
12.75
12.04
11.39
12.08
12.11
12.06
11.01
11.43
13.00
12.87
12.36
11.22
9.92
6.96
7.18
7.26
7.49
POTASH CORP OF SASKATCHEWAN
2.61
2.34
2.17
2.08
3.28
3.46
3.49
3.30
2.92
8.07
8.16
8.88
7.91
7.21
7.66
7.97
7.36
10.55
12.18
12.30
11.14
2.03
4.09
4.48
4.49
1.60
1.53
1.51
1.44
1.39
10.15
TERRA NITROGEN COMPANY LP
PHOSAGRO OAO - CLS MOSAIC CO/THE
1.42
1.86
2.10
JORDAN PHOSPHATE MINES
0.82
0.72
0.63
0.56
1.80
1.87
1.72
0.84
0.79
0.70
0.67
INTREPID POTASH INC
0.96
0.94
0.92
0.90
2.06
2.39
2.36
2.43
ISRAEL CHEMICALS LTD
2.99
2.74
2.58
2.40
1.49
1.53
1.53
1.48
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC
2.03
1.85
1.57
1.48
1.75
1.96
2.04
ARAB POTASH COMPANY
3.30
3.13
2.79
2.51
1.89
5.06
5.14
ACRON
0.69
0.58
0.54
0.49
0.43
0.62
AGRIUM INC
1.81
1.51
1.29
CHINA BLUECHEMICAL LTD - H
1.02
0.93
0.85
1.16 0.79
SINOFERT HOLDINGS LTD
0.48
0.45
0.42
0.39
LUXI CHEMICAL GROUP CO LT-A
1.03
QINGHAI SALT LAKE INDUSTRY-A
1.69
HUBEI YIHUA CHEMICAL INDUS-A
0.80
0.46
1.87
10.03
7.48
6.60
3.54
3.39
3.36
5.62
5.77
5.12
3.81
4.36
3.83
3.73
5.11
7.18
7.28
7.25
5.20
8.05
8.65
9.66
1.29
6.13
7.10
8.12
7.65
4.99
5.92
6.60
7.12
6.72
2.00
1.77
5.52
8.63
9.84
8.94
6.88
3.65
4.48
5.00
4.25
4.09
4.18
11.67
10.08
10.56
9.94
8.76
9.75
10.01
0.60
0.59
0.54
0.47
3.14
3.46
4.38
4.57
3.33
3.68
0.75
0.74
0.71
0.67
0.66
1.29
1.15
1.10
0.98
7.37
7.57
6.79
6.22
4.28
4.21
4.60
5.61
0.16
0.16
0.15
0.16
4.27
4.08
3.91
0.53
0.42
0.32
0.28
13.78
3.60
3.39
2.98
3.33
5.66
0.33
0.35
0.32
0.27
3.98
3.01
10.83
11.09
9.08
7.27
4.60
5.27
4.64
4.29
3.20
10.11
21.87
28.88
59.65
4.82
7.71
8.92
11.56
10.74
5.75
7.11
6.83
5.04
4.26
6.84
7.96
8.76
8.49
6.99
8.43
8.16
7.77
15.02
15.03
12.63
11.42
4.12
4.60
4.01
3.11
3.79
4.33
5.71
5.95
6.35
6.33
5.86
5.49
8.44
9.08
3.41
3.28
3.08
2.85
7.12
7.05
6.97
7.20
6.61
5.24
7.58
5.80
4.79
4.22
12.48
12.76
14.59
30.38
7.39
7.61
7.10
7.12
2.87
1.17
6.31
5.50
LIAONING HUAJIN TONGDA CHE-A SAUDI ARABIAN FERTILIZER CO
5.50
5.55
5.34
5.13
AGRIUM INC
1.81
1.51
1.29
1.16
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC
2.03
1.85
1.57
1.48
ISRAEL CHEMICALS LTD
2.99
2.74
2.58
2.40
4.62
1.87
8.4%
4.96
19.00
6.7%
8.16
153.73
4.0%
33.52
8.7%
2.18
2.42
2.01
2.42
46.88
13.4%
4.65
4.50
5.81
7.91
6.28
13.75
59.9%
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.28
7.73
5.78
5.98
12.38
13.52
14.14
14.22
0.84
0.84
0.84
0.84
9.95
7.43
6.30
6.42
6.55
3.82
40.80
3.3%
4.95
3.35
8.35
6.71
4.97
5.24
9.02
1744.59
66.9%
9.17
8.38
8.03
0.86
2.18
2.27
2.33
103.49
19.6%
6.83
6.76
4.91
5.11
5.34
5.38
4.95
31.3%
7.51
6.48
6.26
2.13
2.02
2.55
2.55
1.68
41.6%
13.53
9.47
7.11
5.55
2.69
10.84
12.41
11.82
14.08
0.91
1.35
1.31
7.16
0.58
0.43
0.43
FAUJI FERTILIZER COMPANY LTD
1.35
12.9%
45.29
3.55
0.76
410.90 15600.00
9.95
10.00
9.35
8.47
8.15
12.55
12.96
12.75
12.04
0.75
0.74
0.71
0.67
0.66
7.37
7.57
6.79
6.22
1.75
1.96
2.04
2.00
1.77
5.52
8.63
9.84
8.94
1.49
1.53
1.53
1.48
1.29
6.13
7.10
8.12
7.65
11.39
7.68
7.54
6.71
67.00
25.35
10.78
0.8%
12.09
3598.00
27.7%
14.67
128.22
17.6%
210.78
11.0%
6.56
76.3%
0.24
8.70
-48.3%
0.43
6.60
-5.0%
7.50
59.9%
12.08
12.11
12.06
11.01
11.43
13.00
12.87
12.36
11.22
9.92
6.96
7.18
7.26
7.49
5.95
6.35
6.33
5.86
5.49
8.44
9.08
9.17
8.38
8.03
0.86
2.18
2.27
2.33
6.88
3.65
4.48
5.00
5.04
4.26
6.84
7.96
8.76
8.49
6.99
0.84
0.84
0.84
0.84
4.99
5.92
6.60
7.12
6.72
4.82
7.71
8.92
11.56
10.74
5.75
9.28
7.73
5.78
5.98
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
11.90
8.16
12.09
153.73
4.0%
103.49
19.6%
210.78
11.0%
3598.00
27.7%
08.08.2013
Yara International ASA Yara International ASA produces, distributes, and sells nitrogen-based mineral fertilizers and related industrial products. The Company also distributes and sells a range of phosphate and potash-based mineral fertilizers, as well as complex and specialty mineral fertilizer products.
Price/Volume 350
3.0 M
300
2.5 M
250
2.0 M
200
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.09.2012) 52-Week Low (24.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 07.08.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance YAR NO EQUITY YTD Change YAR NO EQUITY YTD % CHANGE OBX Index YTD -4fy FY1 2008
1.5 M
150
12/2012 06/yy 305.50 236.50 183'806.00 252.1 -17.55% 6.51% 23.48% 284.2 71'648.66 10'895.00 0.0 1'745.0 9'941.00 74'405.65
-3fy FY1 2009
-2fy FY1 2010
-1fy FY1 2011
-0fy FY1 2012
1.0 M
100
.5 M
50 0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day Average Volume 30 Day Average Volume 3 Month Average Volume 6 Month 1fy
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
.0 M a-13
1.13 160.34 -6.92% -3.39% 1.134 32 3.906 902'439 824'477 885'566 953'261 2fy
1fq
2fq
Valuation Multiples Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2008 87'926.0 0.77x 14'376.0 4.73x 8'228.0 5.26x
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 60'867.0 64'006.0 1.52x 1.67x 3'698.0 9'907.0 25.03x 10.80x 3'782.0 8'729.0 20.16x 11.16x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 77'726.0 0.95x 15'917.0 4.66x 12'066.0 5.72x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio 16.00 Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity 14.00 Accounts Receivable Turnover 12.00 Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 83'997.0 0.96x 14'591.0 5.52x 10'602.0 7.30x
06/yy 85'386 3.63x 13'323.0 5.26x 8'901.0 7.63x
FY+1
FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 84'379 86'428 19'708 20'993 0.88x 0.82x 3.75x 3.52x 14'038.2 13'532.9 3'161.5 3'014.2 5.30x 5.50x 5.87x 5.98x 8'448.6 8'042.3 1'882.5 1'720.4 8.38x 8.66x 9.27x 9.25x S&P Issuer Ratings
14'591.00 11'167.00 13.29% 15.78% 10.67% 18.21% 15.87% 1.02%
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA - Total Debt/EBITDA 15.6% Reference 11.6% Total Debt/Equity 12.6% Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover 2.30 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.27 Accounts receivable turnover-days 13.41% 100'000.0 Inventory Days 22.62% 90'000.0 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 9.17 80'000.0 Cash Conversion Cycle - 70'000.0
Price/ 10.00Cash Flow
15.03.2010 BBB STABLE 15.03.2010 A-2 12.28 9.28 0.06 0.80 22.6% 17.9% 1.02 2.99 39.79 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover 60'000.0
50'000.0
8.00
40'000.0
6.00 4.00
30'000.0 20'000.0
2.00
10'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
LTM
06/yy 81'650 3.76x 17'701.0 4.47x 12'747.0 5.81x
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Yara International ASA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name NORWEGIAN GOVT MINIS STATE STREET GOVERNMENT PENSION F CLEARSTREAM BANKING BANK OF NEW YORK MEL JP MORGAN CHASE BANK YARA INTERNATIONAL A FMR LLC DNB NOR ASSET MANAGE VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C SEB DWS INVESTMENT S A SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE ODIN FORVALTNING AS STOREBRAND FUND MANA DWP BANK ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC NORDEA FONDENE AS RBC INVESTOR SERVICE
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Source EXCH ULT-AGG EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH
Amt Held 100'849'268 18'407'906 16'646'554 13'073'187 10'258'863 6'679'065 6'306'031 5'552'306 3'232'349 3'067'700 2'905'168 2'873'052 2'343'940 2'169'026 2'098'939 2'085'068 2'083'347 1'917'789 1'678'684 1'678'617
% Out 35.48 6.48 5.86 4.6 3.61 2.35 2.22 1.95 1.14 1.08 1.02 1.01 0.82 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.67 0.59 0.59
Weighting
Change
Latest Chg (19'942) 401'408 89'319 297'322 92'962 334'332 373'327 (17'700) 270'459 11'087 277'396 -
File Dt 29.07.2013 07.08.2013 29.07.2013 29.07.2013 29.07.2013 29.07.2013 29.07.2013 30.06.2013 30.04.2013 07.08.2013 29.07.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 28.06.2013 31.07.2013 29.07.2013 30.06.2013 30.06.2013 27.03.2013 29.07.2013
Inst Type Government Investment Advisor Government Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a
Analyst Recommendations Firm Name BMO Capital Markets AlphaValue Swedbank First Securities Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Scotia Capital Nordea Equity Research Pareto Securities DNB Markets Exane BNP Paribas Liberum Capital Ltd Norne Securities AS Danske Markets Handelsbanken Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley ABG Sundal Collier UBS Macquarie SEB Enskilda Carnegie Berenberg Bank Nomura Arctic Securities ASA HSBC Redburn Partners JPMorgan EVA Dimensions Fondsfinans AS Credit Suisse Main First Bank AG SpareBank 1 Markets AS Equita SIM SpA
Analyst JOEL JACKSON FABRICE FARIGOULE HANS-ERIK JACOBSEN JEREMY REDENIUS BEN ISAACSON ANDRE HOLO ADOLFSEN SIGURD-ERIK NISSEN-MEYER KNUT-IVAR BAKKEN HEIDI VESTERINEN SOPHIE JOURDIER TOMAS SKEIVYS MARTIN STENSHALL ANNE GJOEN VIRGINIE BOUCHER-FERTE PAUL R WALSH MARTIN MELBYE JOE DEWHURST CHRISTIAN FAITZ TRULS KOLSRUD ENGENE BENGT JONASSEN JOHN PHILIPP KLEIN JEAN DE WATTEVILLE THOMAS LORCK YONAH WEISZ NEIL TYLER MARTIN EVANS TIMOTHY STANISH PER HAAGENSEN LARS KJELLBERG THOMAS SWOBODA HENRIK SCHULTZ MASSIMO BONISOLI
Recommendation outperform buy neutral outperform sector perform buy sell hold neutral buy buy hold accumulate hold Equalwt/In-Line buy buy outperform buy hold buy buy hold underweight neutral neutral buy buy restricted outperform neutral buy
5 5 3 5 3 5 1 3 3 5 5 3 4 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 1 3 3 5 5 #N/A N/A 5 3 5
M M D M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M D M M M M M U D M
Target Price 297 328 275 311 290 300 220 280 270 320 300 265 287 240 316 290 318 366 280 #N/A N/A 310 330 265 230 #N/A N/A 254 #N/A N/A 350 #N/A N/A 320 290 320
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Date Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month
Date 05.08.2013 01.08.2013 31.07.2013 30.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 22.07.2013 20.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 19.07.2013 17.07.2013 24.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 13.02.2013 07.12.2012 07.12.2012 05.12.2012 30.04.2012
08.08.2013
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Uralkali OJSC Uralkali OJSC produces potash. The Company operates mines and ore-treatment mills in the Perm Territory, Russia. Uralkali extracts and processes potassium ore and sells standard and granular muriate of potash for the agriculture and chemical industries. The Company's main markets include Brazil, India, China, Southeast Asia, Russia, the United States, and Europe.
Price/Volume 300
70.0 M 60.0 M 50.0 M
150
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.09.2012) 52-Week Low (30.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance URKA RM EQUITY YTD Change URKA RM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 09/yy 277.95 140.00 9'741'520.00 158.5 -42.99% 13.21% 11.67% 2'936.0 465'358.53 3'942.35 0.0 8.3 1'665.58 16'413.78
40.0 M
100
30.0 M 20.0 M
50
10.0 M
0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
80.0 M
200
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 2'533.6 1.77x 1'668.2 2.69x 885.0 5.08x
90.0 M
250
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'069.1 1'699.4 8.13x 8.80x 517.9 800.4 16.78x 18.69x 287.4 548.4 29.00x 27.47x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 3'495.9 6.91x 2'068.2 11.68x 1'184.0 16.56x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 3'949.8 6.15x 2'311.4 10.52x 1'600.8 14.33x 2'311.35 1'851.85 46.88% 49.03% 11.88% 19.05% 13.45% 0.29% 74.9% 58.5% 46.9% 40.5% 1.99 1.39 27.59% 45.02% 11.24 4.08
Price/ Cash Flow
09/yy 527.9 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 185.7 0.00x
LTM 09/yy 677.9 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 207.8 0.00x
FY+1
.0 M a-13
0.85 1'717.52 -35.95% -31.36% 0.850 10 2.800 19'664'080 11'650'170 8'620'988 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 12/11 Q4 03/12 Q1 3'741.3 3'722.8 4.72x 4.73x 2'001.1 1'716.5 8.20x 9.56x 1'179.1 906.7 11.40x 12.53x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.08.2013 BBB- *88.09 72.86 0.99 1.71 45.0% 31.0% 0.29 1.21 32.56 89.72 24.71 97.57
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
60.00
4'500.0 4'000.0
50.00
3'500.0 3'000.0
40.00
2'500.0 30.00
2'000.0 1'500.0
20.00
1'000.0 10.00 0.00 03.01.2010
500.0 0.0 03.07.2010
03.01.2011
03.07.2011
03.01.2012
03.07.2012
03.01.2013
03.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Uralkali OJSC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name KALIHA FINANCE LTD WADGE HOLDINGS GALTCHEV FILARET SKUROV ANATOLY VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK NORGES BANK CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P PICTET FUNDS HANDELSBANKEN FONDER MANULIFE FUNDS DIREC NORTHERN TRUST CORPO EATON VANCE MANAGEME ARCA SGR SPA NOMURA SANPAOLO IMI ASSET M FMR LLC LEGAL & GENERAL BNP PARIBAS INV PART EURIZON CAPITAL SA
Firm Name Infina Investment Company IFC Metropol UFS-Finance Investment Company BCS VTB Capital EVA Dimensions Energocapital Brokerage Morgan Stanley Veles Capital Otkritie Capital RMG Securities Uralsib
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios MANULIFE EMERGING EA Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst JULIA GAPON MIKHAIL SMIRNOV ANNA MILOSTNOVA OLEG PETROPAVLOVSKIY ELENA SAKHNOVA TIMOTHY STANISH Alexander Ignatyuk DMITRIY KOLOMYTSYN VASILIY TANURKOV DENIS GABRIELIK ELENA SADOVSKAYA ANNA KUPRIYANOVA
Source Research Research Research Research MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation hold sell buy sell sell hold buy Equalwt/No Rating buy not rated Under Review buy
Amt Held 504'994'729 367'001'984 205'521'111 140'928'762 37'586'976 18'320'777 9'990'332 3'545'770 1'487'321 1'293'978 853'312 509'249 370'000 268'600 267'390 225'603 221'655 183'243 150'000 133'722
% Out 17.2 12.5 7 4.8 1.28 0.62 0.34 0.12 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0
Weighting
Change
3 1 5 1 1 3 5 3 5 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 5
M D M D M M N M U M M M
Latest Chg 2'242'193 120'390 (5'505) 853'312 25'000 86'861 6'682 8'109 (8'944)
Target Price 348 113 200 138 396 #N/A N/A 280 241 292 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 163
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 26.07.2013 26.07.2013 26.07.2013 26.07.2013 30.06.2013 06.08.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 30.04.2013 31.07.2013 30.04.2013 30.06.2013 31.05.2013 28.03.2013 31.12.2012 30.06.2011 30.06.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 30.06.2011
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation n/a n/a n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 05.08.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 23.05.2013 14.04.2013 13.01.2012 09.03.2011 23.12.2009
08.08.2013
CVR Partners LP CVR Partners, LP was formed to own, operate and grow its nitrogen fertilizer business. The Company's nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing facility utilizes a petroleum coke, or pet coke, gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer. CVR Partners facility includes an ammonia unit, an urea ammonium nitrate, or UAN, unit, and a gasifier complex.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (24.01.2013) 52-Week Low (07.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance UAN US EQUITY YTD Change UAN US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 06/yy 30.00 19.11 1'072'424.00 19.17 -36.10% 0.31% 0.55% 73.1 1'400.85 125.00 0.0 0.0 127.85 1'413.96
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
12.0 M
25
10.0 M
20
8.0 M
15
6.0 M
10
4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 a-12
.0 M s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 263.0 134.8 118.9 -
30
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 208.4 180.5 67.5 38.8 57.9 33.3 Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 302.9 5.62x 155.8 10.92x 132.4 16.77x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 302.3 6.09x 137.4 13.40x 112.2 16.50x 137.45 115.76 38.29% 37.14% 18.72% 25.12% 20.59% 0.50% 46.3% 46.4% 39.1% 37.1% 3.36 2.72 20.07% 28.01% 64.78 6.07
Price/ Cash Flow
06/yy 324.5 20.97x 168.7 10.06x 142.8 12.42x
LTM 06/yy 312.9 22.94x 145.3 11.52x 117.8 14.12x
FY+1
2.59 1.19 33.94 0.16 -15.95% -19.47% 1.188 7 3.000 583'130 302'906 470'431 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 307.3 292.3 68.7 73.4 150.8 133.8 34.0 37.2 9.38x 10.57x 10.01x 9.96x 120.8 103.1 25.7 29.0 11.78x 13.89x 13.45x 12.95x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
36.59 14.72 0.09 0.86 28.0% 21.9% 0.50 0.80 5.63 60.16 41.02 14.19
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
350.0
14.00
300.0
12.00
250.0
10.00
200.0
8.00
150.0
6.00
100.0
4.00
50.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
CVR Partners LP Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CVR ENERGY INC MORGAN STANLEY GILDER GAGNON HOWE DEUTSCHE BANK AG RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO CREDIT SUISSE AG PRIVATE CAPITAL ADVI TAYLOR INVESTMENT CO CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EM RAYMOND JAMES & ASSO BALDWIN BROTHERS INC GUGGENHEIM ROTHSCHILD INVESTMEN TRUST & FIDUCIARY SG AMERICAS SECURITI INNOVATOR MANAGEMENT BARCLAYS PLC MUTUAL OF AMERICA CA WELLS FARGO UBS
Firm Name Cowen and Company Barclays Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Simmons & Company International EVA Dimensions IPOfinancial.com
Portfolio Name n/a n/a GILDER GAGNON HOWE n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO n/a PRIVATE CAPITAL ADVI TAYLOR INVESTMENT CO CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EM RAYMOND JAMES & ASSO BALDWIN BROTHERS INC n/a ROTHSCHILD INV TRUST & FIDUCIARY SG AMERICAS SECURITI Multiple Portfolios n/a MUTUAL OF AMERICA CA n/a n/a
Analyst CHARLES NEIVERT MATTHEW J KORN VINCENT ANDREWS ADAM SAMUELSON JEFFREY A DIETERT CRAIG STERLING TEAM COVERAGE
Source Form 4 ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation market perform equalweight Equalwt/Attractive neutral/cautious neutral sell buy
Amt Held 38'920'000 526'466 436'034 373'189 362'700 192'397 186'415 169'950 164'200 161'904 118'777 114'222 107'891 106'649 85'558 79'526 77'656 68'233 65'837 58'015
% Out 53.26 0.72 0.6 0.51 0.5 0.26 0.26 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.08
Weighting
Change 3 3 3 3 3 1 5
M M M M M N M
Latest Chg (12'000'000) 19'729 (433'835) 311'659 314'600 88'792 8'565 58'050 149'600 37'600 15'935 34'022 50'600 20'910 23'507 5'021 34'921 (20'078) 5'713 (1'430)
Target Price 20 24 #N/A N/A 20 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 28.05.2013 Corporation 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA) 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 07.08.2013 06.08.2013 05.08.2013 05.08.2013 02.08.2013 16.05.2013 05.04.2012
08.08.2013
Terra Nitrogen Co LP Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P., through its subsidiaries, markets and produces nitrogen, fertilizer, crop protection products, and seed and services for agricultural, turf, ornamental, and other growers. The Company also produces nitrogen products and methanol for industrial customers.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (11.01.2013) 52-Week Low (17.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TNH US EQUITY YTD Change TNH US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 06/yy 256.50 196.02 11'895.00 219.44 -14.45% 11.95% 38.72% 18.5 4'100.38 0.00 0.0 0.0 154.80 3'931.18
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
.1 M
250
.1 M
200
.1 M
150
.1 M
100
.0 M
50
.0 M
0 a-12
.0 M s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 903.0 1.78x 438.0 3.67x 422.4 6.33x
300
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 507.7 564.6 3.74x 3.35x 160.3 219.0 11.84x 8.63x 144.3 201.6 19.27x 14.17x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 798.9 3.69x 530.4 5.56x 508.0 10.68x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 780.1 4.93x 578.3 6.65x 560.8 12.59x 578.30 560.80 71.89% 71.89% 186.84% 115.87% 2.58% 76.9% 76.9% 72.3% 71.9% 6.87 6.14 0.00% 0.00% 1102.80 14.08
Price/ Cash Flow
06/yy 796.8 17.32x 558.1 6.78x 537.2 12.93x
LTM 06/yy 827.1 18.58x 461.0 0.00x 597.9 11.85x
7.58 1.09 4.61 0.12 0.10% 6.26% 1.092 0 10'610 14'115 15'434
FY+1
FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y
12/14 Y
09/13 Q3
12/13 Q4
S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
-
-0.47 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 2.58 6.58 0.33 25.92 45.44 -8.44
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
1'000.0 900.0
10.00
800.0 700.0
8.00
600.0
6.00
500.0 400.0
4.00
300.0 200.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
100.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Terra Nitrogen Co LP Holdings By:
All
Holder Name TERRA INDUSTRIES INC BANK OF AMERICA CORP SCHRODER INVESTMENT BOWEN HANES & COMPAN DEUTSCHE BANK AG RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO JAMES INVESTMENT RES S & T BANK BRIDGECREEK INV MGMT HUNTINGTON TRUST COM RANDOLPH CO INC MORGAN STANLEY ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE CLAYMORE INVESTMENTS BLACKROCK CREDIT SUISSE AG WESTPAC BANKING CORP CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EM STEWART CAPITAL ADVI PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a BANK OF AMERICA SCHRODER INVESTMENT BOWEN HANES & COMPAN n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO JAMES INVESTMENT RES S & T BANK BRIDGECREEK INVESTME Multiple Portfolios RANDOLPH COMPANY INC n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a WESTPAC BANKING CORP CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EM Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst
Source 13D 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation
Amt Held 13'889'014 225'053 180'341 175'600 55'520 54'800 45'000 36'840 32'180 30'500 28'200 27'857 25'223 17'338 17'030 15'259 12'514 12'291 10'903 10'600
% Out 75.07 1.22 0.97 0.95 0.3 0.3 0.24 0.2 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06
Weighting
Change
Latest Chg (1'692) (40'900) (10'280) (9'600) (47'705) 5'426 (2'515) 1'000 7'784 (3'150) (308) 7'142 (289) 4'031 700
Target Price
#N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 30.06.2012 Corporation 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Bank 30.06.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA) 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor
Date
Date
08.08.2013
Syngenta AG Syngenta AG produces crop protection products and seeds. The Company produces herbicides, insecticides and fungicides, and seeds for field crops, vegetables, and flowers.
Price/Volume 450
.7 M
400
.6 M
350
.5 M
300
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (15.03.2013) 52-Week Low (03.09.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SYNN VX EQUITY YTD Change SYNN VX EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 06/yy 416.00 321.10 42'538.00 364 -12.48% 13.36% 47.21% 93.1 33'897.92 3'348.00 0.0 11.0 1'599.00 39'975.15
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
.4 M
200
.3 M
150
.2 M
100
.1 M
50 0 a-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 10'992.0 11'641.0 2.56x 2.45x 2'368.0 2'460.0 11.86x 11.60x 1'371.0 1'397.0 19.06x 19.37x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 13'268.0 2.11x 2'889.0 9.69x 1'599.0 16.84x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 14'202.0 2.72x 3'148.0 12.26x 1'872.0 19.65x 3'148.00 2'550.00 17.96% 15.15% 8.86% 20.64% 0.71% 49.2% 21.3% 17.2% 13.2% 1.71 0.75 17.26% 38.28% 2.62 1.77
Price/ Cash Flow
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM
06/yy 8'265.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
06/yy 14'327.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
FY+1
.0 M a-13
0.89 92.99 10.70% 1.71% 0.887 31 3.968 226'293 246'424 258'987 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 15'062.1 16'069.0 4'062.5 2'904.0 2.55x 2.34x 3'341.9 3'677.0 11.98x 10.89x 2'203.4 2'440.0 1'867.0 16.85x 14.96x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.06.2007 A STABLE 15.06.2007 A-1 22.17 18.59 1.03 1.28 38.3% 27.7% 0.71 4.65 139.15 205.65 171.60 154.33
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00
16'000.0
35.00
14'000.0
30.00
12'000.0
25.00
10'000.0
20.00
8'000.0
15.00
6'000.0
10.00
4'000.0
5.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
s-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 11'624.0 1.71x 2'495.0 7.99x 1'385.0 12.86x
250
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Syngenta AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BANK OF NEW YORK NORGES BANK FMR LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS CREDIT SUISSE AG UBS THORNBURG INVESTMENT PICTET FUNDS JUPITER ASSET MANAGE MANNING & NAPIER ADV THREADNEEDLE INVESTM DWS INVESTMENT S A SCHRODER INVESTMENT INVESCO LTD DEUTSCHE BANK AG WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA
Firm Name Canaccord Genuity Corp Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Kepler Cheuvreux AlphaValue Bank am Bellevue EVA Dimensions UBS Bank Vontobel AG Deutsche Bank Hamburger Sparkasse Barclays Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Credit Suisse Jefferies Macquarie Nomura S&P Capital IQ Liberum Capital Ltd Exane BNP Paribas HSBC Berenberg Bank Redburn Partners Zuercher Kantonalbank JPMorgan Day by Day Equita SIM SpA Bankhaus Metzler Main First Bank AG National Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios
Analyst PAUL W SATCHELL JEREMY REDENIUS MARTIN ROEDIGER FABRICE FARIGOULE BRUNO ESCHLI TIMOTHY STANISH THOMAS GILBERT PATRICK RAFAISZ VIRGINIE BOUCHER-FERTE MARCO GUENTHER ANDREAS HEINE PAUL R WALSH RAKESH PATEL CHRIS COUNIHAN LAURENCE ALEXANDER CHRISTIAN FAITZ PATRICK LAMBERT JACOB THRANE SOPHIE JOURDIER JAMES KNIGHT GEOFF HAIRE JOHN PHILIPP KLEIN TONY JONES MARTIN SCHREIBER MARTIN EVANS VALERIE GASTALDY MASSIMO BONISOLI DANIEL SEIDENSPINNER RONALD KOEHLER STEFFEN MANSKE
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F MF-AGG
Recommendation buy underperform buy buy buy hold sell hold buy buy equalweight Equalwt/In-Line Buy/Neutral outperform hold outperform buy hold hold neutral neutral buy buy outperform neutral hold hold buy outperform buy
Amt Held 4'640'124 4'634'983 3'907'159 2'118'825 1'946'127 1'826'340 1'664'500 1'398'194 1'033'568 932'280 580'099 577'569 536'300 408'606 394'230 378'887 374'701 324'956 282'549 281'193
% Out 4.98 4.98 4.2 2.28 2.09 1.96 1.79 1.5 1.11 1 0.62 0.62 0.58 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.3
Weighting
Change 5 1 5 5 5 3 1 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5
M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M D M M M M
Latest Chg 42'023 (171'420) 64'575 (15'975) (6'783) (8'401) (9'092) (76'790) 20'021 462 120'406 (2'695) 49'768 (310'200) 70'471
Target Price 430 313 410 464 435 #N/A N/A 330 390 430 #N/A N/A 389 380 470 420 400 430 488 395 400 383 420 510 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 381 #N/A N/A 390 450 415 280
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 06.08.2013 30.06.2013 26.02.2013 31.12.2012 30.06.2013 30.06.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 31.12.2012 28.02.2013 30.04.2013 28.06.2013 07.08.2013 28.06.2013 30.06.2013 30.06.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 3 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.08.2013 06.08.2013 05.08.2013 01.08.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 29.07.2013 26.07.2013 25.07.2013 25.07.2013 25.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 18.07.2013 12.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 07.06.2013 04.04.2013 08.02.2013 07.02.2013 20.11.2012 09.02.2009
08.08.2013
Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA produces and markets specialty fertilizers nitrogen to the agricultural and industrial industries worldwide. The Company conducts operations in Canada, Chile, the United States, Brazil, and Trinidad.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SQM/B CI EQUITY YTD Change SQM/B CI EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 06/yy 30'700.00 13'941.00 798'923.00 14386 -53.14% 3.19% 2.66% 120.4 4'173'957.25 1'599.04 0.0 54.7 640.46 9'111.58
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'438.7 1'830.4 7.90x 8.46x 573.2 654.5 19.82x 23.66x 338.3 382.1 29.51x 39.06x Profitability
50.0 M 40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M 10.0 M .0 M s-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'145.3 6.99x 949.4 15.80x 545.8 25.96x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 2'429.2 6.63x 1'096.4 14.70x 649.2 23.27x 1'096.38 900.23 37.06% 35.96% 15.05% 30.67% 18.89% 0.58% 42.3% 43.6% 35.6% 26.7% 3.69 1.89 36.21% 74.97% 4.49 1.75
Price/ Cash Flow
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM
06/yy 8'328.0 19.90x 4'082.0 10.09x 2'522.0 13.96x
j-13
06/yy 8'029.0 19.06x 3'545.0 10.12x 2'265.0 14.55x
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
FY+1
0.82 90.62 -48.19% -47.41% 0.824 7 2.429 900'788 575'717 404'395 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'283.1 2'344.3 599.7 540.3 3.89x 3.86x 15.88x 17.65x 942.1 863.0 245.8 205.5 9.67x 10.56x 10.68x 516.4 459.4 140.5 116.7 13.89x 15.18x 14.22x 14.11x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.04.2009 BBB STABLE 16.06 9.53 0.88 1.47 75.0% 42.2% 0.58 1.32 81.35 208.38 44.29 237.79
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
45.00
10'000.0
40.00
9'000.0
35.00
8'000.0 7'000.0
30.00
6'000.0
25.00 20.00
5'000.0 4'000.0
15.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'000.0
5.00
1'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
60.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'774.1 3.75x 743.4 8.95x 501.4 12.51x
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 a-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BANK OF NEW YORK ROYAL BANK OF CANADA BMO FINANCIAL CORP THORNBURG INVESTMENT JARISLOWSKY FRASER L PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I GLOBAL THEMATIC PART HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS FIRST EAGLE INVESTME TORONTO DOMINION BAN WENTWORTH HAUSER AND IG INVESTMENT MANAGE CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P CI INVESTMENTS INC ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNE FMR LLC NORTHERN CROSS LLC VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C
Firm Name Larrain Vial Corredores de Bolsa Susquehanna Financial Group CIBC World Markets Stifel EVA Dimensions Credit Suisse Raymond James Macquarie Desjardins Securities Paradigm Capital Inc Canaccord Genuity Corp Miller Tabak + Co., LLC BGC Partners TD Securities Accountability Research Corp Barclays Alta Corp Capital Inc. BMO Capital Markets Goldman Sachs UBS Edward Jones Cantor Fitzgerald National Bank Financial Atlantic Equities LLP Morgan Stanley HSBC Salman Partners Dundee Securities Corp S&P Capital IQ Oracle Investment Research Deutsche Bank
Portfolio Name n/a n/a BMO FINANCIAL CORP THORNBURG INVESTMENT JARISLOWSKY FRASER L PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I GLOBAL THEMATIC PART Multiple Portfolios FIRST EAGLE INVESTME TORONTO DOMINION BAN WENTWORTH HAUSER AND IG INVESTMENT MANAGE CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P Multiple Portfolios ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNE n/a NORTHERN CROSS LLC n/a
Analyst CHARLES NEIVERT DONALD D CARSON JACOB BOUT PAUL A MASSOUD CRAIG STERLING CHRISTOPHER PARKINSON STEVEN P HANSEN DAVID PUPO JOHN F HUGHES SPENCER CHURCHILL KEITH CARPENTER TIM TIBERIO MARK R GULLEY PAUL D'AMICO HARRIET LI MATTHEW J KORN JOHN CHU JOEL JACKSON ADAM SAMUELSON BRIAN T MACARTHUR JEFF NELSON PETER PRATTAS ROBERT B WINSLOW COLIN ISAAC VINCENT ANDREWS YONAH WEISZ RAYMOND GOLDIE DAVID CHARLES LEO LARKIN LAURENCE BALTER DAVID I BEGLEITER
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG
Recommendation underperform neutral sector perform buy underweight underperform market perform neutral buy buy hold Under Review hold buy hold equalweight underperform market perform neutral/cautious neutral buy hold sector perform neutral not rated overweight Under Review Under Review buy buy hold
Amt Held 40'135'200 31'161'388 19'282'630 18'799'720 17'022'646 15'543'059 14'083'717 13'762'736 12'853'694 12'766'856 11'954'313 10'768'976 10'726'888 10'581'716 10'290'445 10'276'969 10'100'008 9'969'957 9'809'617 9'266'746
% Out 4.63 3.59 2.22 2.17 1.96 1.79 1.62 1.59 1.48 1.47 1.38 1.24 1.24 1.22 1.19 1.19 1.17 1.15 1.13 1.07
Weighting
Change
1 3 3 5 1 1 3 3 5 5 3 #N/A N/A 3 5 3 3 1 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 5 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 5 5 3
M M M M D D M D M M M M D M D M M D D D M D M M M M M M M N M
Latest Chg (12'034'722) 1'235'078 (1'689'608) (394'334) 1'740'039 (1'271'000) (5'035'610) 332'384 379'778 19'762 2'307'750 (124'384) (1'458'956) 1'284'275 (2'430'183) (876'809) 1'381'000 (2'637'609) 24'707 (363'624)
Target Price 26 28 34 37 #N/A N/A 28 31 31 39 39 31 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 39 36 33 31 31 25 34 #N/A N/A 37 34 33 #N/A N/A 49 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 52 55 46
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 18 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 07.08.2013 06.08.2013 05.08.2013 05.08.2013 05.08.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 25.07.2013 23.07.2013 24.06.2013 15.05.2013 31.01.2013 13.09.2012 31.05.2012
08.08.2013
K+S AG K+S AG manufactures and markets within the fertilizer division standard and producer. The Company focuses on the production of Phosphate-Based Fertilisers, feed phosphate and high-grade phosphate rock, as well as ammonia and Nitrogen-Based Fertilisers.
Price/Volume 45
.0 M
40
.0 M
35 30
.0 M
25
12/2012 03/yy 40.98 15.02 2'907'491.00 17.81 -56.47% 18.58% 7.78% 191.4 3'408.83 1'265.80 0.0 3.6 786.80 3'645.73
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15
.0 M
10
.0 M
5 0 a-12
.0 M s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13
m-13
a-13
m-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 4'794.4 1.40x 1'464.3 4.57x 870.9 7.57x
.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.08.2012) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SDF GR EQUITY YTD Change SDF GR EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'573.8 4'632.7 2.35x 2.34x 460.2 972.2 18.24x 11.14x 96.4 448.6 68.95x 23.58x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 3'996.8 1.68x 1'122.5 5.97x 564.3 10.98x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 3'935.3 1.82x 1'079.9 6.65x 667.6 11.78x 1'079.90 850.90 21.62% 19.49% 9.91% 18.79% 17.32% 0.58% 45.1% 28.3% 22.1% 17.0% 3.78 2.41 19.07% 36.44% 4.05 3.18
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 03/yy 25'918.0 108'287.0 5.60x 6.97x 9'099.0 33'150.0 0.00x 6.14x 6'526.0 16'958.0 0.00x 9.36x
FY+1
0.79 172.05 -52.71% -46.98% 0.786 37 2.432 10'471'020 5'858'337 3'639'655 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 4'004.0 3'747.0 925.6 868.4 1.03x 1.25x 4.53x 4.90x 952.6 649.0 228.2 192.5 3.83x 5.63x 472.1 243.0 109.0 69.8 7.21x 13.71x 9.64x 12.47x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.08.2013 BBB+ *05.08.2013 A-2 *6.49 4.09 0.22 1.19 36.4% 26.7% 0.58 1.57 90.07 114.92 71.22 121.14
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
120'000.0
7.00
100'000.0
6.00
80'000.0
5.00 4.00
60'000.0
3.00
40'000.0
2.00
20'000.0 1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
K+S AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MERITUS TRUST CO LTD DUBBERSON HOLDINGS L DUBHE HOLDINGS LTD FORNIDO HOLDINGS LTD OWL NEBULA ENTEPRISE LITVINENKO VLADIMIR FEIVEL LTD ANTOSHIN IGOR DMITRI VOLKOV MAXIM VIKTORO ALLIANZ INVESTMENTS OMBUDSTVEDT SVEN
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a
Firm Name
Analyst
Morgan Stanley Energocapital Brokerage Nomos Bank Renaissance Capital
TIMOTHY STANISH Alexander Ignatyuk YURI VOLOV MIKHAIL SAFIN
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File
Recommendation underweight hold hold buy
Amt Held 10'580'553 10'505'867 10'505'867 9'995'511 8'651'158 6'223'855 6'223'855 2'489'542 1'224'108 13'530 1'245
% Out 8.17 8.11 8.11 7.72 6.68 4.81 4.81 1.92 0.95 0.01 0
Weighting
Change 1 3 3 5
M N M M
Latest Chg (480) -
Target Price #N/A N/A 47 44 59
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 30.12.2011 31.12.2012
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Holding Company Holding Company Holding Company Other Other n/a Other n/a n/a Investment Advisor n/a
Date 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 29.05.2013 12.04.2012
08.08.2013
Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Co SAFCO (Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Company) manufactures agricultural supplies. communities located in North America and other countries. The Company's principal products include concentrated phosphates, and potash.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.12.2012) 52-Week Low (03.09.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SAFCO AB EQUITY YTD Change SAFCO AB EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 05/yy 161.50 137.25 401'230.00 147.75 -8.51% 7.65% 43.30% 333.3 49'248.77 40.00 0.0 0.0 3'594.03 46'082.69
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
70.0 M
60
60.0 M
50
50.0 M
40
40.0 M
30
30.0 M
20
20.0 M
10
10.0 M
0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 5'235.8 3.69x 4'575.7 4.23x 4'279.8 5.24x
70
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'740.7 3'789.5 10.17x 10.04x 1'960.1 2'920.6 14.22x 13.02x 1'804.3 3'234.6 16.77x 13.62x Profitability
31.12.2011 5'051.2 8.09x 3'988.5 10.25x 4'109.8 10.71x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 4'980.4 9.48x 3'869.4 12.20x 3'866.2 13.13x 3'869.43 3'521.57 70.71% 41.95% 47.26% 0.53% 72.5% 78.2% 71.0% 77.6% 7.34 6.50 0.40% 0.45% 3.55
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
05/yy 11'107.8 8.01x 3'119.2 5.62x 1'930.2 10.55x
05/yy 9'974.1 8.90x 2'890.4 8.06x 1'888.7 15.26x
FY+1
.0 M a-13
0.77 132.79 12.78% 5.00% 0.768 16 3.438 242'410 207'191 206'979 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 4'925.5 5'268.4 1'379.5 1'597.0 9.46x 8.84x 3'806.9 3'821.9 901.0 12.11x 12.06x 3'816.6 4'004.2 12.87x 12.36x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
1086.61 925.64 -0.82 0.00 0.5% 0.4% 0.53 1.39 102.82 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
12'000.0
18.00
10'000.0
16.00 14.00
8'000.0
12.00
6'000.0
10.00 8.00
4'000.0
6.00 4.00
2'000.0
2.00 0.00 04.06.2010
0.0 04.12.2010
04.06.2011
04.12.2011
04.06.2012
04.12.2012
04.06.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SAUDI BASIC INDUSTRI BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN GLOBAL THEMATIC PART WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C DEUTSCHE BANK AG RS INVESTMENT MANAGE DWS INVESTMENT S A BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA MORGAN STANLEY OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC GREEN VALLEY INVESTO NORGES BANK ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Firm Name JPMorgan Scotia Capital Susquehanna Financial Group Stifel BGC Partners Piper Jaffray UBS Credit Suisse JPMorgan Canaccord Genuity Corp Gabelli & Co Barclays EVA Dimensions BMO Capital Markets Goldman Sachs CIBC World Markets Atlantic Equities LLP Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley HSBC Macquarie
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a GLOBAL THEMATIC PART WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a RS INVESTMENT MANAGE Multiple Portfolios BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA n/a OPPENHEIMER FUNDS IN GREEN VALLEY INVESTO NORGES BANK n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Analyst CHARLES NEIVERT BEN ISAACSON DONALD D CARSON PAUL A MASSOUD MARK R GULLEY MICHAEL E COX BILL CARROLL CHRISTOPHER PARKINSON JEFFREY J ZEKAUSKAS KEITH CARPENTER AMON R WILKES MATTHEW J KORN CRAIG STERLING JOEL JACKSON ADAM SAMUELSON JACOB BOUT COLIN ISAAC DAVID I BEGLEITER VINCENT ANDREWS YONAH WEISZ DAVID PUPO
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation market perform sector perform neutral buy hold neutral neutral neutral overweight hold buy overweight overweight market perform neutral/cautious sector perform neutral hold Overwt/Attractive neutral outperform
Amt Held 19'417'191 14'763'584 12'886'085 12'258'939 10'825'512 10'075'180 9'724'446 6'455'793 6'342'537 6'036'574 5'514'100 5'402'924 4'724'427 3'821'456 3'058'740 2'977'994 2'600'000 2'531'671 2'359'185 2'311'757
% Out 6.54 4.97 4.34 4.13 3.64 3.39 3.27 2.17 2.14 2.03 1.86 1.82 1.59 1.29 1.03 1 0.88 0.85 0.79 0.78
Weighting
Change 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M U D D M D M M N M
Latest Chg (1'076'130) (118'422) 119'147 143'023 1'506'016 (1'372'812) (681'915) 894'611 (2'220'979) 534'920 (15'923) (486'974) 331'845 3'687'562 115'744 (1'648'299) (490'503) 60'604
Target Price 36 50 43 50 #N/A N/A 43 40 41 50 45 #N/A N/A 49 #N/A N/A 43 35 50 50 58 70 66 71
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 07.08.2013 30.06.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 07.08.2013 28.06.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 28.06.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 15 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 18 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.08.2013 06.08.2013 06.08.2013 05.08.2013 05.08.2013 04.08.2013 02.08.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 17.07.2013 17.07.2013 17.04.2013 01.04.2013
08.08.2013
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. produces potash, phosphate, and phosphates and fertilizers. The Company also imports mining machinery and trucks, raw materials such as sulfur, ammonium hydroxide and anhydrous ammonia.
Price/Volume 16
.3 M
14
.2 M
12 10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.05.2013) 52-Week Low (30.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance POT CN EQUITY YTD Change POT CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 45.14 28.75 8'704'519.00 30.85 -31.65% 7.30% 12.82% 866.9 26'744.50 4'081.00 0.0 0.0 562.00 28'516.76
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'976.7 6'539.0 8.98x 7.55x 1'114.1 2'709.0 32.06x 18.21x 980.7 1'775.0 36.97x 25.85x Profitability
4
.1 M
2 0 a-12
.0 M s-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 8'715.0 4.55x 4'398.0 9.02x 3'081.0 11.80x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 7'927.0 4.88x 3'589.0 10.79x 2'079.0 15.47x 3'589.00 3'011.00 37.98% 36.65% 13.00% 23.72% 17.63% 0.46% 43.0% 44.2% 36.3% 26.2% 1.35 0.89 22.42% 41.17% 7.29 6.48
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 831.2 4.53x 150.1 0.00x 162.7 5.93x
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
LTM 03/yy 724.6 5.39x 117.1 8.84x 98.6 9.89x
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
FY+1
3.54 1.14 861.34 15.10 -25.16% -22.18% 1.139 29 3.345 16'332'880 7'666'789 5'051'894 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 7'431.8 7'359.3 1'714.9 1'669.6 3.84x 3.86x 16.81x 17.12x 3'722.9 3'580.0 808.7 829.5 7.66x 7.97x 8.11x 7.90x 2'140.3 2'089.7 447.6 455.6 12.18x 12.30x 13.02x 12.51x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.11.2010 ANEG 15.11.2010 A-2 31.48 12.77 0.80 0.98 41.2% 29.2% 0.46 0.72 50.07 56.31 79.78 13.30
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
50.00
900.0
45.00
800.0
40.00
700.0
35.00
600.0
30.00
500.0
25.00
400.0
20.00
300.0
15.00
200.0
10.00
100.0
5.00 0.00 31.12.2009
.1 M
6
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 9'446.5 2.59x 4'503.1 5.44x 3'495.2 6.77x
.2 M
8
Valuation Analysis
0.0 30.06.2010
31.12.2010
30.06.2011
31.12.2011
30.06.2012
31.12.2012
30.06.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN MINISTRY OF FINANCE SOCIAL SECURITY CORP GOVERNMENT OF KUWAIT FRANKLIN TEMPLETON F FRANKLIN RESOURCES EATON VANCE MANAGEME JORDAN KUWAIT BANK EATON VANCE ADVISORS BECK MACK & OLIVER L AUSTIN INVESTMENT MA BLACKROCK NORGES BANK 7 INVESTMENT MANAGEM SOCIETE GENERALE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL AL ARABI INVESTMENT NOMURA MANUFACTURERS & TRAD AL-QURAAN KHALID MOH
Firm Name Cowen and Company Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions HSBC Deutsche Bank
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios BECK MACK & OLIVER L Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios AB MENA FEEDER FUND n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst YOUSEF HUSSEINI MATIJA GERGOLET TIMOTHY STANISH NASSER MZ MOUMEN ALEKSANDAR STOJANOVSKI
Source Research Research Research Research Research ULT-AGG MF-AGG Research MF-AGG 13F MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART ULT-AGG MF-AGG Research
Recommendation buy Buy/Neutral overweight overweight buy
Amt Held 27'750'000 19'245'396 12'342'208 7'000'000 1'475'250 1'309'335 185'138 161'800 65'901 38'790 30'790 24'750 8'777 8'417 6'997 5'467 4'885 3'100 1'700 450
% Out 37 25.66 16.46 9.33 1.97 1.75 0.25 0.22 0.09 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0 0 0
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 5
M M N U M
Latest Chg 61'500 341'525 8'000 30'790 2'251 74 -
Target Price 11 17 #N/A N/A 16 19
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 01.08.2013 Holding Company 01.08.2013 Government 01.08.2013 Government 01.08.2013 Government 01.08.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.08.2013 Bank 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 06.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 28.03.2013 Bank 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 17.11.2010 Unclassified 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.08.2013 n/a
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 01.08.2013 11.07.2013 21.06.2013 17.04.2013 14.04.2013
08.08.2013
Phosagro OAO Phosagro OAO is a global vertically integrated phosphate-based fertiliser supplier for explosives products and services. The Company has operations throughout the United States, Canada, Mexico and Australia.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (24.04.2013) 52-Week Low (22.05.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PHOR RU EQUITY YTD Change PHOR RU EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 40.66 39.83 0.00 0.00% 129.5 36'469.00 0.0 12'389.0 10'497.00 -
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
70.0 M
3
60.0 M
3
50.0 M
2
40.0 M
2
30.0 M
1
20.0 M
1
10.0 M
0 a-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 60'785.0 76'951.0 15'177.0 20'464.0 6'381.0 10'578.0 Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 100'518.0 1.30x 35'370.0 3.70x 19'935.0 50.39x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 105'303.0 1.84x 34'695.0 5.57x 20'654.0 7.50x 34'695.00 28'174.00 26.76% 29.64% 13.99% 33.54% 19.43% 0.89% 42.9% 30.6% 24.3% 19.6% 1.02 0.40 31.54% 73.70% 46.32 5.98
Price/ Cash Flow
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
63.10 3 2.333 0 0 17 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
01/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 0.0 110'706.4 112'618.3 #DIV/0! 0.0 31'874.5 31'836.1 0.00x 0.0 18'105.5 18'159.1 0.00x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 29.04.2013 Long-Term Rating BBBLong-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 29.08 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 17.88 Net Debt/EBITDA 1.07 Total Debt/EBITDA 1.64 Reference Total Debt/Equity 73.7% Total Debt/Capital 37.1% Asset Turnover 0.89 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.70 Accounts receivable turnover-days 7.88 Inventory Days 61.07 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 11.61 Cash Conversion Cycle 64.30 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
4'000.0
14.00
3'500.0
12.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 02.10.2009
.0 M s-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 92'191.0 45'404.0 27'576.0 -
4
0.0 02.04.2010
02.10.2010
02.04.2011
02.10.2011
02.04.2012
02.10.2012
02.04.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Phosagro OAO Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CARRANITA HOLDINGS L BLACKROCK COMMONWEALTH BANK OF SCHRODER INVESTMENT NATIONAL AUSTRALIA B DWS INVESTMENT S A VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C AMP LIFE LTD AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATIO VANGUARD GROUP INC VANGUARD INVESTMENTS MACQUARIE GROUP NORGES BANK QUEENSLAND INVESTMEN CI INVESTMENTS INC LITMAN/GREGORY FUND NATIXIS INTERNATIONA IVY MANAGEMENT INCOR ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN FLEXSHARES TRUST
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Firm Name
Analyst
EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs Macquarie BBY Limited Credit Suisse JPMorgan CIMB Commonwealth Bank RBS Morgans UBS EVA Dimensions Octa Phillip Securities Ltd Morgan Stanley
MARK WILSON MATTHEW MCNEE JOHN PURTELL DENNIS HULME ANDREW PEROS STUART JACKSON ANDREW G SCOTT MICHAEL WARD BELINDA MOORE RAMOUN LAZAR TIMOTHY STANISH PAUL JENSZ NICHOLAS ROBISON
Source EXCH ULT-AGG EXCH Co File ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation hold neutral/neutral outperform strong buy neutral neutral neutral neutral outperform buy hold buy Equalwt/Cautious
Amt Held 137'109'430 99'528'313 98'572'385 85'454'643 83'182'746 31'789'110 27'750'600 23'876'351 21'209'411 20'210'925 10'313'839 9'569'641 9'144'480 7'738'572 7'266'295 6'544'000 5'871'268 5'672'426 5'104'794 4'322'970
% Out 8.42 6.11 6.05 5.25 5.11 1.95 1.7 1.47 1.3 1.24 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.48 0.45 0.4 0.36 0.35 0.31 0.27
Weighting
Change 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 5 3
M M M U M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 16'367'200 (3'023'815) (18'515'621) 3'064'258 (4'343'704) 2'083'894 552'230 6'544'000 (195'387) 5'672'426 2'391'123 347'516
Target Price 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 4 3
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.05.2013 06.08.2013 29.05.2013 12.11.2012 23.04.2013 30.04.2013 07.08.2013 12.11.2012 12.11.2012 30.06.2013 28.06.2013 31.08.2011 31.12.2012 12.11.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 28.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.06.2013 31.05.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 9 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 31.07.2013 29.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 23.07.2013 23.07.2013 23.07.2013 23.07.2013 23.07.2013 24.06.2013 06.06.2013 22.05.2013 13.05.2013
08.08.2013
Mosaic Co/The The Mosaic Company produces and distributes crop nutrients to the agricultural Company also markets langbeinite.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (08.05.2013) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 12.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MOS US EQUITY YTD Change MOS US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
05/2013 06/yy 64.65 39.75 11'352'747.00 41.36 -36.02% 4.05% 6.47% 297.1 17'611.96 1'079.20 0.0 17.5 3'697.10 15'011.56
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
25.0 M
20
20.0 M
15
15.0 M
10
10.0 M
5
5.0 M
0 a-12
.0 M s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 9'812.6 5.63x 3'201.6 17.26x 2'082.8 26.66x
25
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 10'298.0 6'759.1 2.24x 2.87x 3'167.1 1'715.8 7.27x 11.31x 2'350.2 827.1 12.55x 26.47x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 9'937.8 2.88x 3'111.6 9.19x 2'514.6 15.94x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 11'107.8 1.58x 3'119.2 5.62x 1'930.2 10.57x 2'814.40 2'209.60 22.15% 22.39% 10.86% 14.87% 0.57% 27.7% 29.0% 22.9% 18.9% 3.90 2.67 5.97% 8.04% 11.29 5.15
Price/ Cash Flow
06/yy 429.6 15.08x 181.6 8.53x 90.1 20.26x
LTM
FY+1
06/yy 432.2 13.76x 169.6 8.85x 74.0 19.36x
2.42 1.31 277.13 4.68 -27.36% -25.95% 1.306 24 3.750 12'735'677 8'507'428 5'350'624 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 9'786.0 9'427.4 2'351.7 2'430.8 1.65x 1.71x 2'670.0 2'602.0 590.4 627.2 5.62x 5.77x 6.15x 6.09x 1'616.1 1'505.1 331.5 333.3 10.83x 11.09x 11.70x 11.28x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
28.04.2011 BBB STABLE 29.08.2007 NR 54.12 23.58 -0.91 0.37 8.0% 7.4% 0.57 1.24 32.34 70.94 40.72 62.45
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
35.00
500.0 450.0
30.00
400.0
25.00
350.0 300.0
20.00
250.0 200.0
15.00
150.0
10.00
100.0 5.00 0.00 01.01.2010
50.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2002
2003
2004
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
08.08.2013
Mosaic Co/The Holdings By:
All
Holder Name TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRI HARVEY JR HUGH E ADVISORY RESEARCH IN NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK HEARTLAND ADVISORS I MORGAN STANLEY JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I CAMBIAR INVESTORS LL JENNISON ASSOCIATES ROYCE AND ASSOCIATES STATE STREET PARNASSUS INVESTMENT INVESCO LTD RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO AMERICAN CENTURY COM SNYDER CAPITAL MANAG SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS
Firm Name Cowen and Company Susquehanna Financial Group KeyBanc Capital Markets BMO Capital Markets Morgan Stanley UBS Credit Suisse Wunderlich Securities Scotia Capital Barclays EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs BGC Partners IPOfinancial.com
Portfolio Name n/a n/a ADVISORY RESEARCH IN NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a HEARTLAND ADVISORS I n/a n/a n/a CAMBIAR INVESTORS LL JENNISON ASSOCIATES ROYCE & ASSOCIATES L n/a PARNASSUS INVESTMENT n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO AMERICAN CENTURY COM SNYDER CAPITAL MANAG SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS
Analyst CHARLES NEIVERT DONALD D CARSON IVAN MARCUSE JOEL JACKSON VINCENT ANDREWS BILL CARROLL CHRISTOPHER PARKINSON MICHAEL E HOFFMAN BEN ISAACSON MATTHEW J KORN CRAIG STERLING ADAM SAMUELSON MARK R GULLEY TEAM COVERAGE
Source Form 4 Form 4 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation underperform neutral hold market perform Equalwt/Attractive neutral underperform buy sector underperform underweight overweight Sell/Cautious hold buy
Amt Held 10'682'886 9'754'240 4'196'256 3'531'776 3'171'862 2'884'032 2'552'297 2'411'827 1'966'481 1'834'007 1'810'924 1'650'130 1'422'716 1'379'106 1'222'393 1'097'994 1'076'900 999'949 964'919 931'632
% Out 14.1 12.87 5.54 4.66 4.19 3.81 3.37 3.18 2.6 2.42 2.39 2.18 1.88 1.82 1.61 1.45 1.42 1.32 1.27 1.23
Weighting
Change 1 3 3 3 3 3 1 5 1 1 5 1 3 5
M M M M M M M M M D U D M M
Latest Chg 20'000 23'544 137'652 (765'536) (24'180) 61'419 625'695 (4'567'021) 808'725 673'896 4'585 14'600 (1'665'906) (122'447) 240'929 (86'919) 258'600 300'899 (39'205) 931'632
Target Price 9 12 #N/A N/A 11 #N/A N/A 13 11 22 12 13 #N/A N/A 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 15.05.2013 n/a 25.02.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 06.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 18 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 07.08.2013 06.08.2013 05.08.2013 02.08.2013 02.08.2013 02.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 30.07.2013 11.07.2013 25.02.2011
08.08.2013
Jordan Phosphate Mines Jordan Phosphate Mines is active in the exploration, production and export of markets chemical and fertilizer products in Israel. The Company markets its products in Israel, Europe, and the Americas. Products include bromine specialty chemicals, potash, phosphate fertilizers, and specialty performance and industrial products.
Price/Volume 6000 5000 4000 3000
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.01.2013) 52-Week Low (18.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance JOPH JR EQUITY YTD Change JOPH JR EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 06/yy 13.90 7.31 20'488.00 8.6 -38.13% 17.65% 21.09% 75.0 645.00 71.46 0.0 8.0 49.65 705.24
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
1000 0 a-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 458.2 563.9 2.58x 2.16x 111.0 77.7 10.65x 15.65x 92.9 80.2 14.54x 15.83x Profitability
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13 a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 812.4 1.13x 164.5 5.57x 145.8 6.55x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 759.4 1.32x 168.9 5.95x 132.2 7.38x 168.89 148.86 19.60% 20.07% 9.87% 13.31% 11.85% 0.72% 37.0% 16.2% 13.4% 17.4% 2.70 0.84 7.19% 9.28% 10.43 2.31
Price/ Cash Flow
06/yy 7'016.7 8.81x 2'194.4 6.84x 1'502.8 9.00x
LTM 06/yy 6'566.0 10.03x 1'800.8 7.87x 1'225.8 10.36x
FY+1
1.71 7.02 -28.06% -32.54% 1.715 5 5.000 18'229 23'916 18'201 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 815.8 921.5 191.0 239.0 0.63x 0.44x 161.8 184.0 23.0 4.36x 3.83x 122.7 138.8 10.5 5.27x 4.64x 6.56x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
59.16 33.02 0.45 0.86 9.3% 8.4% 0.72 1.83 35.00 158.24 23.04 147.97
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
8'000.0
18.00
7'000.0
16.00
6'000.0
14.00
5'000.0
12.00 10.00
4'000.0
8.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00 0.00 31.12.2009
s-12
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 846.9 1.57x 279.1 4.75x 238.6 6.13x
2000
20.0 M 18.0 M 16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M a-13
0.0 30.06.2010
31.12.2010
30.06.2011
31.12.2011
30.06.2012
31.12.2012
30.06.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Jordan Phosphate Mines Holdings By:
All
Holder Name KAMIL HOLDINGS LTD POTASH CORP OF SASKA CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FIRST EAGLE INVESTME ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C THORNBURG INVESTMENT INVESCO LTD NORGES BANK BLACKROCK JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC SCHRODER INVESTMENT COLUMBIA WANGER ASSE ING INVESTMENT MANAG MACKENZIE FINANCIAL FERSON CHEMICALS LTD STATE STREET KEMPEN CAPITAL MANAG
Firm Name EFG-Hermes BMO Capital Markets Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Excellence Nessuah UBS Liberum Capital Ltd Psagot Investment House Ltd HSBC Credit Suisse Bank Leumi EVA Dimensions VTB Capital I.B.I. CLAL Finance Betucha DS Securities & Investments
Portfolio Name #N/A N/A #N/A N/A n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios #N/A N/A n/a n/a
Analyst JOSEPH WOLF JOEL JACKSON VIRGINIE BOUCHER-FERTE PETER MACKEY YULIA CHEKUNAEVA GILAD ALPER RONI BIRON SOPHIE JOURDIER ILANIT SHERF YONAH WEISZ MIKHAIL PRIKLONSKY ELLA FRIED TIMOTHY STANISH ELENA SAKHNOVA GUIL BASHAN JONATHAN KREIZMAN RICHARD GUSSOW
Source EXCH EXCH ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation overweight market perform hold not rated neutral/cautious hold buy hold hold underweight outperform market perform overweight buy neutral market perform market perform
Amt Held 665'485'881 176'088'630 20'479'539 11'788'733 9'664'378 7'472'338 6'400'000 5'816'259 4'631'249 4'283'338 4'163'369 3'927'978 3'867'652 3'476'464 3'448'212 3'088'196 2'893'973 2'216'131 2'211'609 2'206'599
% Out 52.29 13.84 1.61 0.93 0.76 0.59 0.5 0.46 0.36 0.34 0.33 0.31 0.3 0.27 0.27 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.17 0.17
Weighting
Change
5 3 3 #N/A N/A 3 3 5 3 3 1 5 3 5 5 3 3 3
M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M N
Latest Chg (11'101'591) 2'721'166 1'984'000 36'179 11'747 4'163'369 19'720 268'912 378'887 (327'000) 700'247 22'960 7'641 198'500
Target Price 3'600 2'600 2'700 #N/A N/A 2'900 3'000 3'500 3'200 #N/A N/A 1'830 4'700 4'200 #N/A N/A 5'140 4'600 4'500 4'600
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 06.08.2013 Holding Company 06.08.2013 Government 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 06.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 06.08.2013 Corporation 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 08.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 31.07.2013 30.07.2013 27.06.2013 16.06.2013 06.06.2013 14.05.2013 13.05.2013 12.05.2013 02.04.2013
08.08.2013
Intrepid Potash Inc Intrepid Potash, Inc. mines and markets potash for use as a fertilizer. The fertilizer products globally. The Company's principal products in the nitrogen segment are ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, ammonium nitrate, diesel exhaust fluid and aqua ammonia. The principal products in the phosphate segment are diammonium phosphate and monoammonium phosphate.
Price/Volume
200
5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M
100
12/2012 06/yy 24.05 10.60 4'060'189.00 11.81 -50.89% 11.42% 9.00% 75.8 894.82 0.00 0.0 0.0 57.75 959.61
2.0 M
50
1.0 M
0 a-12
.0 M s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
6.0 M
150
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (29.01.2013) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance IPI US EQUITY YTD Change IPI US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2008 415.3 3.46x 212.4 6.77x 142.7 11.23x
250
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 301.8 359.3 6.92x 7.46x 109.7 103.0 19.02x 26.00x 55.3 45.3 29.08x 61.66x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 443.0 3.46x 189.5 8.08x 109.4 18.30x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 451.3 3.44x 183.0 8.47x 87.4 18.29x 183.00 135.40 30.00% 30.34% 6.83% 8.01% 0.40% 37.7% 39.2% 26.9% 19.4% 2.41 1.32 0.00% 0.00% 12.76 4.34
Price/ Cash Flow
06/yy 6'385.4 7.18x 3'456.7 3.71x 1'744.5 7.19x
LTM 06/yy 5'892.2 8.34x 3'120.4 3.68x 1'778.7 6.05x
FY+1
1.30 54.90 6.79 -43.73% -44.53% 1.301 15 2.600 6'050'143 2'786'095 1'703'890 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 374.1 379.7 94.0 97.0 2.52x 2.48x 10.02x 9.81x 119.2 110.9 29.5 26.5 8.05x 8.65x 8.61x 9.02x 40.4 27.3 9.9 7.7 21.87x 28.88x 38.22x 34.94x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
202.21 -70.06 0.38 0.88 0.0% 0.0% 0.40 0.70 28.61 84.16 30.19 68.93
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
7'000.0 6'000.0
20.00
5'000.0 15.00
4'000.0 3'000.0
10.00
2'000.0 5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
1'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Intrepid Potash Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name JORNAYVAZ III ROBERT BLACKROCK STATE STREET GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP GLOBAL THEMATIC PART AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C BANK OF NEW YORK MEL JP MORGAN RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO NORTHERN TRUST CORPO DWS INVESTMENT S A DEUTSCHE BANK AG DISCOVERY CAPITAL MA BMO FINANCIAL CORP AJO, LP MORGAN STANLEY ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNE TIAA CREF INVESTMENT LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
Firm Name Cowen and Company JPMorgan BMO Capital Markets Miller Tabak + Co., LLC BGC Partners Cowen and Company Gabelli & Co Atlantic Equities LLP Piper Jaffray Scotia Capital Susquehanna Financial Group Stifel Goldman Sachs Feltl & Company Barclays Credit Suisse S&P Capital IQ EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a GLOBAL THEMATIC PART AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO NORTHERN TRUST CORPO Multiple Portfolios n/a DISCOVERY CAPITAL MA BMO FINANCIAL CORP AJO, LP n/a ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNE TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
Analyst VINCENT ANDREWS JEFFREY J ZEKAUSKAS JOEL JACKSON TIM TIBERIO MARK R GULLEY CHARLES NEIVERT AMON R WILKES COLIN ISAAC MICHAEL E COX BEN ISAACSON DONALD D CARSON PAUL A MASSOUD ADAM SAMUELSON BRENT R RYSTROM MATTHEW J KORN CHRISTOPHER PARKINSON KEVIN KIRKEBY CRAIG STERLING
Source 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F MF-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation Overwt/Attractive overweight market perform hold sell underperform buy neutral neutral sector outperform Positive hold Sell/Cautious hold overweight neutral sell buy
Amt Held 4'237'326 4'174'930 2'927'749 1'603'582 1'467'471 1'361'605 1'213'212 1'187'973 1'129'521 1'100'600 1'074'320 1'071'396 1'054'616 1'028'059 1'003'765 985'290 793'377 774'990 771'875 690'460
% Out 7.4 7.29 5.11 2.8 2.56 2.38 2.12 2.07 1.97 1.92 1.88 1.87 1.84 1.79 1.75 1.72 1.39 1.35 1.35 1.21
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 3 1 1 5 3 3 5 4 3 1 3 5 3 1 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 207'447 (396'409) (25'762) 1'347'210 334'471 (141'856) 278'140 5'521 (813'693) 83'950 103'496 105'973 24'033 419'500 (7'726) (27'700) 14'856 (222'700) (431'410) 111'780
Target Price 250 210 195 225 175 170 #N/A N/A 184 204 234 275 165 179 207 244 230 175 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 3 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 08.08.2013 08.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 07.08.2013 06.08.2013 06.08.2013 05.08.2013 30.07.2013 30.07.2013 11.07.2013 12.06.2013 09.05.2013 15.01.2013
08.08.2013
Israel Chemicals Ltd Israel Chemicals Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and agricultural and chemical industries. The Company produces a range of minerals, such as potassium chloride, potassium sulfate, potassium nitrate, industrial salt, bromine and fertilizers.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.01.2013) 52-Week Low (07.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ICL IT EQUITY YTD Change ICL IT EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 5'175.00 2'757.00 1'498'797.00 2817 -45.53% 2.18% 1.74% 1'272.6 35'850.33 2'044.27 0.0 24.5 356.64 11'646.00
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'904.0 1.47x 2'611.5 3.87x 2'004.2 4.44x
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 a-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 4'554.3 5'691.5 3.93x 4.02x 1'233.3 1'560.0 14.51x 14.65x 770.4 1'024.7 21.63x 21.18x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 7'067.8 2.07x 2'203.8 6.65x 1'511.8 8.70x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 6'672.2 2.54x 1'900.8 8.90x 1'300.5 11.67x 1'900.81 1'613.75 24.19% 22.87% 16.40% 35.49% 0.88% 41.3% 27.4% 22.7% 19.5% 1.73 0.75 26.39% 60.56% 4.97 2.93
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 726.2 17.27x 378.6 8.43x 305.7 11.72x
LTM 03/yy 582.5 23.74x 250.3 13.82x 178.7 21.43x
FY+1
8.57 1.09 428.47 -37.56% -35.36% 1.085 18 3.556 3'685'421 2'953'331 2'389'988 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 6'615.7 6'624.0 1'576.0 1'479.0 1.78x 1.80x 7.26x 7.75x 1'764.2 1'634.9 393.0 369.0 6.60x 7.12x 1'143.9 1'017.4 242.0 222.0 8.92x 11.56x 11.42x 11.94x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
32.95 21.37 0.84 1.03 60.6% 37.5% 0.88 2.12 73.39 124.37 61.22 141.18
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
800.0 700.0
20.00
600.0 500.0
15.00
400.0 10.00
300.0 200.0
5.00
0.00 31.12.2009
100.0 0.0 30.06.2010
31.12.2010
30.06.2011
31.12.2011
30.06.2012
31.12.2012
30.06.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Israel Chemicals Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ISRAEL CORP LTD MINISTRY OF FINANCE ARAB METALS CO SOCIAL SECURITY CORP ISLAMIC DEVELOPMENT GOVERNMENT OF IRAQ LIBYAN ARAB FOREIGN GENERAL INVESTMENTS FRANKLIN RESOURCES EATON VANCE MANAGEME EATON VANCE ADVISORS PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA HARDING LOEVNER LP MANUFACTURERS & TRAD PICTET FUNDS
Firm Name Barclays EVA Dimensions HSBC Deutsche Bank
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst MATIJA GERGOLET TIMOTHY STANISH YONAH WEISZ ALEKSANDAR STOJANOVSKI
Source Research Research Research Research Research Research Research Research ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation neutral/neutral underweight underweight sell
Amt Held 23'294'614 22'398'101 16'601'699 4'342'968 4'300'000 3'920'707 3'386'250 3'286'095 253'792 101'036 33'870 21'163 8'894 7'924 2'100 -
% Out 27.96 26.88 19.93 5.21 5.16 4.71 4.06 3.94 0.3 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0 0
Weighting
Change 3 1 1 1
M N D M
Latest Chg 9'696 (16'963) (791)
Target Price 49 #N/A N/A 41 31
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 01.08.2013 28.06.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 28.06.2013 31.12.2012 31.10.2012 31.05.2013 31.08.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Other Government Corporation Government Bank Government Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 11.07.2013 21.06.2013 17.04.2013 05.02.2013
08.08.2013
Fauji Fertilizer Co Ltd Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited manufactures, purchases and markets fertilizers.
Price/Volume 140
12.0 M
120
10.0 M
100
8.0 M
80
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (23.01.2013) 52-Week Low (11.03.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 07.08.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance FFC PA EQUITY YTD Change FFC PA EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
40
2.0 M
20 0 a-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 72'914.8 88'154.7 1.05x 0.97x 21'876.2 28'122.7 3.48x 3.05x 8'738.7 11'859.7 7.99x 7.20x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 111'111.9 1.12x 48'946.3 2.53x 23'351.9 5.43x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 122'251.6 1.26x 38'046.5 4.05x 20'362.1 7.32x 38'046.47 35'287.61 28.86% 28.47% 23.99% 90.21% 43.08% 1.43% 38.8% 31.6% 29.4% 16.7% 1.08 0.82 30.59% 111.50% 76.65 5.39
Price/ Cash Flow
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
LTM
03/yy 03/yy 105'321.3 132'942.1 5.37x 4.69x 45'934.1 41'953.9 3.88x 3.65x 22'194.6 22'294.3 7.16x 6.29x
14.45 0.87 7.59% 0.25% 0.870 18 4.333 1'213'120 1'731'337 2'208'225
FY+1
FY+2
12/13 Y
12/14 Y
FQ+1
FQ+2
06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 - 17'985.8 7'554.0 19'550.0 20'310.0 4'340.6 7.11x 6.83x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
16.51 13.36 0.19 0.77 111.5% 47.8% 1.43 3.19 4.76 67.71 20.47
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
45.00
140'000.0
40.00
120'000.0
35.00
100'000.0
30.00 25.00
80'000.0
20.00
60'000.0
15.00
40'000.0
10.00
20'000.0
5.00 0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M s-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 57'433.7 20'693.1 7'344.9 3.99x
6.0 M
60
12/2012 03/yy 121.60 106.80 1'176'500.00 109.03 -10.34% 2.09% 15.07% 1'272.2 138'712.13 31'599.77 0.0 6'194.9 32'874.26 151'822.84
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Fauji Fertilizer Co Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FAUJI FOUNDATION NATIONAL INVESTMENT PICIC ASSET MANAGEME FRANKLIN RESOURCES AL-MEEZAN INVESTMENT EATON VANCE MANAGEME ROBECO INVESTOR SERV AL-MEEZAN INVESTMENT BLACKROCK ATLAS ASSET MANAGEME TUNDRA FONDER AB / S LEGG MASON CAPITAL M JS INVESTMENTS LTD EATON VANCE ADVISORS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP UNION INVESTMENT LUX LEGG MASON GLOBAL FU SIMPLICITY AB GOLDMAN SACHS ASSET UBL FUND MANAGERS LT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a MEEZAN ISLAMIC FUND Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
M.M. Securities (Pvt.) Ltd IJAZ-UR-REHMAN Foundation Securities (Private) Limited SANAKHAWAN SYED JS Global Capital Ltd NAVEED TEHSIN Global Securities Pakistan Ltd ARIF SHEIKH AKD Securities (Pvt.) Ltd RAZA JAFRI Arif Habib Limited TAHIR ABBAS Summit Capital Pvt Ltd MUHAMMAD SARFRAZ ABBASI BMA Capital Management FARID ALIANI Fortune Securities Ltd AHSAN HUSSAIN EVA Dimensions TIMOTHY STANISH Optimus Capital Management Pvt Ltd ASIR ZAFFAR Elixir Securities Pakistan SATEESH BALANI Topline Securities Pvt. Ltd Asad I Siddiqui Taurus Securities Limited TAHA KHAN JAVED Shajar Capital Pakisatan Pvt Ltd YAWAR UZ ZAMAN Credit Suisse FARHAN RIZVI First Capital Equities Limited ABRAR HUSSAIN
Source Co File Co File MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy neutral buy buy buy buy buy buy buy overweight buy hold buy buy buy neutral hold
Amt Held 564'204'254 42'018'042 9'014'547 8'296'903 5'294'609 3'241'524 2'117'363 1'617'057 1'419'050 1'186'849 865'131 854'778 792'164 762'550 619'300 600'000 450'974 380'000 336'500 300'000
% Out 44.35 3.3 0.71 0.65 0.42 0.25 0.17 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 3
M M M M M U M M M U M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 2'560'066 (313'592) 135'500 (538'602) (604'700) (1'376) (220'700) 501'000 100'000 -
Target Price 137 119 131 126 142 129 130 125 130 #N/A N/A 128 117 126 128 136 130 72
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 30.06.2013 31.05.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 06.08.2013 30.06.2013 31.03.2013 30.06.2013 30.06.2013 31.05.2013 30.06.2013 28.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 28.02.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 01.08.2013 30.07.2013 29.07.2013 29.07.2013 26.07.2013 26.07.2013 26.07.2013 25.07.2013 25.07.2013 24.07.2013 24.07.2013 17.07.2013 07.06.2013 22.05.2013 13.05.2013 23.01.2013 21.01.2013
08.08.2013
CF Industries Holdings Inc CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and distributes nitrogen and phosphate produces ammonia and urea.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (30.01.2013) 52-Week Low (02.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CF US EQUITY YTD Change CF US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 233.43 169.33 1'600'375.00 189.88 -18.66% 12.14% 32.06% 57.3 10'876.83 1'605.00 0.0 380.0 2'274.90 12'405.52
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
30.0 M
5
25.0 M
4
20.0 M
3
15.0 M
2
10.0 M
1
5.0 M
0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'921.1 0.45x 1'251.0 1.42x 684.6 3.84x
6
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'608.4 3'965.0 1.30x 2.82x 780.8 1'301.5 4.34x 8.58x 365.6 349.2 11.05x 17.73x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 6'097.9 1.83x 3'160.9 3.52x 1'539.2 6.38x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 6'104.0 2.05x 3'332.2 3.75x 1'848.7 7.32x 3'332.20 2'912.40 47.71% 47.31% 18.37% 35.58% 23.79% 0.61% 51.0% 53.0% 45.9% 30.3% 2.95 2.62 15.79% 27.19% 18.01 10.87
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
.0 M a-13
0.84 1.30 57.00 1.67 -7.73% -6.17% 1.301 21 3.429 1'212'465 1'213'942 1'059'921 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 5'562.6 5'321.5 1'170.3 1'361.6 2.12x 2.33x 2'768.1 2'480.7 554.7 667.8 4.48x 5.00x 5.03x 5.11x 1'421.0 1'199.4 244.3 309.0 7.96x 8.76x 9.05x 8.80x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
23.04 19.42 0.37 0.99 27.2% 20.3% 0.61 1.51 20.27 33.57 48.76 36.83
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
12'000.0
8.00
10'000.0
7.00
8'000.0
6.00 5.00
6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
3.00 2.00
2'000.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
CF Industries Holdings Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name VANGUARD GROUP INC JP MORGAN BLACKROCK GIC PRIVATE LIMITED BANK OF NEW YORK MEL MONDRIAN INVESTMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL VALUE PARTNERS GROUP DWS INVESTMENT S A VANGUARD GROUP INC AGF INVESTMENTS INC MANULIFE FUNDS DIREC VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV EASTSPRING INVESTMEN PICTET FUNDS MACQUARIE GROUP TOUCHSTONE ADVISORS SCHRODER INVESTMENT
Firm Name Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs UBS JPMorgan EVA Dimensions BNP Paribas Equity Research UOB Kay Hian Essence Securities BOCOM International Holdings Macquarie China International Capital Corp Standard Chartered Citic Securities Co., Ltd SWS Research Co Ltd First Shanghai Securities Ltd AMTD Financial Planning Limited Deutsche Bank Hua Tai Securities Co., Ltd Guoyuan Securities (HK) Ltd
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst JACK LU CAROL JIN BONAN LI SCOTT DARLING TIMOTHY STANISH GORDON WAI WANG AOCHAO XU HAITAO HE WEI LAURA SHI BIN GUAN DUKE SUTTIKULPANICH YIN XIAODONG ALBERT MIAO ZHANG ZHIBIN KENNY TANG SING HING DAVID HURD YANG SHENKANG XU JINGSHUN
Source EXCH ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH Co File Short ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy neutral/cautious sell suspended coverage buy buy buy add long-term buy outperform accumulate in-line overweight neutral buy buy buy add buy
Amt Held % Out 195'818'000 11.06 124'073'067 7.01 117'358'369 6.63 107'230'965 6.05 106'361'569 6.01 89'810'000 5.07 (87'533'339) -4.94 81'730'000 4.61 57'738'398 3.26 52'038'796 2.94 25'891'581 1.46 21'764'000 1.23 17'782'000 1 17'368'609 0.98 16'284'000 0.92 15'092'000 0.85 15'027'141 0.85 13'891'000 0.78 9'561'798 0.54 8'846'000 0.5
Weighting 5 3 1 #N/A N/A 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 3 5 3 5 5 5 4 5
Change M D M M M M M D M M M M N D M M N M N
Latest Chg (854'287) 3'566'000 (5'110'500) (370'000) 15'092'000 (137) 762'505 4'376'000
Target Price 4 4 4 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 6 7 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 6 5 6 7 8
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 04.02.2013 Bank 09.01.2013 Investment Advisor 06.08.2013 Investment Advisor 12.03.2013 Government 14.02.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2011 Hedge Fund Manager 18.07.2012 Investment Advisor 18.07.2012 Corporation 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Unclassified 07.08.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 28.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month
Date 31.07.2013 18.07.2013 04.07.2013 12.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 22.04.2013 26.03.2013 25.03.2013 22.03.2013 22.03.2013 01.03.2013 02.01.2013 20.12.2012 12.12.2012 12.12.2012 09.10.2012 02.04.2012 06.12.2011
08.08.2013
Arab Potash Co Arab Potash Company PLC manufactures and supplies minerals for the use in the produces and imports potash fertilizers, phosphate-based and nitrogen-based fertilizers, and compound fertilizers. Sinofert operates in the Peoples Republic of China.
Price/Volume 3
90.0 M 80.0 M
2
70.0 M 60.0 M
2
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (27.12.2012) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance APOT JR EQUITY YTD Change APOT JR EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 50.25 39.00 12.00 39.51 -21.37% 1.31% 4.53% 83.3 3'291.87 7.73 0.0 0.0 329.54 2'920.44
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M
1
10.0 M 0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 667.6 4.19x 382.1 7.32x 311.4 9.41x
50.0 M
1
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 373.7 559.0 7.84x 6.12x 179.5 226.2 16.31x 15.13x 131.8 162.7 22.90x 22.28x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 720.2 4.56x 367.0 8.94x 299.7 12.26x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 586.3 6.06x 276.6 12.85x 198.8 19.49x 276.60 212.38 36.23% 38.98% 15.08% 17.19% 17.22% 0.49% 51.3% 43.0% 32.1% 33.9% 5.67 4.17 0.71% 0.80% 4.96 4.41
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
.0 M a-13
1.01 1.79 -6.44% -10.48% 1.009 5 1.400 5 57 105 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 640.7 774.7 161.0 150.0 4.39x 3.47x 291.7 346.3 10.01x 8.43x 218.3 274.0 57.0 15.03x 12.63x 14.69x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
82.71 81.97 -1.48 0.03 0.8% 0.8% 0.49 1.43 73.52 82.67 123.85
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
35.00
50'000.0 45'000.0
30.00
40'000.0
25.00
35'000.0 30'000.0
20.00
25'000.0 20'000.0
15.00
15'000.0
10.00
10'000.0 5.00 0.00 01.01.2010
5'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Arab Potash Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name PCS JORDAN IIC POTASH CORP OF SASKA DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV VANGUARD GROUP INC NORGES BANK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN ING INVESTMENT MANAG VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C NORDEA INV MANAGEMEN NORDEA INVESTMENT FU MACQUARIE GROUP BLACKROCK GLOBAL X MANAGEMENT LEGG MASON CAPITAL M PICTET FUNDS TRANSAMERICA INVESTM CB-ACCENT LUX SICAV LEMANIK FUNDS AMUNDI JAPAN JOHN HANCOCK ADVISER
Firm Name Goldman Sachs Essence Securities EVA Dimensions Masterlink Securities Macquarie UOB Kay Hian BOCOM International Holdings China International Capital Corp Jefferies BNP Paribas Equity Research Standard Chartered First Shanghai Securities Ltd Hua Tai Securities Co., Ltd Deutsche Bank SWS Research Co Ltd Guotai Junan Bank of China International
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst CAROL JIN XU HAITAO TIMOTHY STANISH LI XIN LAURA SHI WANG AOCHAO HE WEI BIN GUAN JACK LU GORDON WAI DUKE SUTTIKULPANICH ZHANG ZHIBIN YUNFENG FAN DAVID HURD SHI MING GRACE LIU NI XIAOMAN
Source Co File Co File ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral/cautious buy overweight hold outperform hold neutral hold underperform hold outperform buy buy buy neutral accumulate hold
Amt Held 3'698'660'874 1'563'312'141 49'380'000 47'523'153 43'734'993 38'156'000 30'600'813 29'928'000 27'302'000 11'432'000 8'172'000 7'463'500 5'088'715 4'652'000 4'200'000 3'808'000 3'000'000 3'000'000 2'900'000 2'892'000
% Out 52.65 22.26 0.7 0.68 0.62 0.54 0.44 0.43 0.39 0.16 0.12 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 1 3 5 5 5 5 3 4 3
D M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M
Latest Chg 23'880'000 (86'714'000) (155'116) 21'628'000 11'432'000 590'000 (2'500'000) 754'000 2'900'000 -
Target Price 1 2 #N/A N/A 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 4
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 30.04.2013 30.06.2013 31.12.2012 30.06.2013 30.06.2013 07.08.2013 30.06.2013 28.03.2013 30.06.2011 06.08.2013 06.08.2013 30.06.2013 31.08.2012 31.03.2013 31.07.2013 28.06.2013 25.01.2012 30.06.2013
Date 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Government Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.08.2013 31.07.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 08.05.2013 22.04.2013 02.04.2013 29.03.2013 28.03.2013 15.03.2013 01.03.2013 28.12.2012 26.10.2012 06.09.2012 26.08.2011 10.03.2011 22.03.2010
08.08.2013
Acron JSC Acron JSC is a vertically integrated Russian mineral fertilizer producer with a diversified product portfolio consisting of multi-nutrient fertilizers such as NPK and bulk blends, as well as straight nitrogen based products such as urea, ammonium nitrate and UAN.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (10.01.2013) 52-Week Low (31.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance AKRN RM EQUITY YTD Change AKRN RM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 1'555.00 1'007.00 3'944.00 1045.6 -32.80% 3.83% 9.78% 40.5 42'382.35 62'214.00 0.0 15'698.0 49'533.00 72'416.35
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
.2 M
1400
.1 M
1200
.1 M
1000
.1 M
800
.1 M
600
.1 M
400
.0 M
200
.0 M
0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 43'131.6 0.98x 17'400.2 2.44x 9'340.4 1.38x
1600
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 37'541.7 46'737.7 1.85x 1.85x 6'899.8 10'396.8 10.08x 8.30x 7'081.4 5'584.1 5.29x 8.82x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 65'431.0 1.51x 29'554.0 3.35x 18'329.0 3.45x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 71'112.0 1.20x 20'390.0 4.17x 14'195.0 3.99x 20'390.00 18'420.00 25.90% 26.66% 8.12% 19.37% 10.11% 0.49% 43.1% 29.9% 26.7% 20.0% 2.25 1.56 39.72% 98.10% 24.47 3.72
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 69'986.8 5.33x 30'347.4 3.06x 19'756.7 3.05x
03/yy 69'251.0 5.14x 20'688.0 4.04x 11'444.0 4.72x
FY+1
.0 M a-13
0.84 6.23 -16.53% -21.50% 0.840 20 4.300 17'168 18'438 16'015 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 70'505.2 71'373.9 1.40x 1.55x 17'584.4 15'748.3 4.12x 4.60x 10'315.2 8'258.2 4.33x 5.71x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
17.70 3.70 0.68 3.04 98.1% 44.0% 0.49 1.62 14.92 98.04 30.45 84.21
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
80'000.0 70'000.0
20.00
60'000.0 50'000.0
15.00
40'000.0 10.00
30'000.0 20'000.0
5.00
0.00 03.01.2010
10'000.0 0.0 03.07.2010
03.01.2011
03.07.2011
03.01.2012
03.07.2012
03.01.2013
03.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Acron JSC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name AKRONAGROSERVICE REFKO HOLDINGS LTD QUESTAR HOLDINGS LTD GRANADILLA HOLDINGS AGROBERRY VENTURES L EAST CAPITAL ASSET M URALSIB JSC NORGES BANK VANGUARD GROUP INC HANDELSBANKEN FONDER ANTONOV IVAN NIKOLAE ALLIANZ INVESTMENTS PICTET FUNDS KUNITSKY VLADIMIR YA GUSTAVIADAVEGARDH FO CLARIDEN SICAV POPOV ALEXANDER JULIUS BAER MULTICOO UNION BANCAIRE PRIVE BARCLAYS MULTI-MANAG
Firm Name BCS UBS Infina Investment Company Nomos Bank UFS-Finance Investment Company VTB Capital Uralsib Otkritie Capital EVA Dimensions Energocapital Brokerage Deutsche Bank Renaissance Capital RMG Securities Veles Capital HSBC Gazprombank Credit Suisse Raiffeisenbank AG Alfa-Bank Grandis Capital
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst OLEG PETROPAVLOVSKIY KIRILL TACHENNIKOV JULIA GAPON YURI VOLOV ANNA MILOSTNOVA KEVIN WHYTE ARTEM EGORENKOV DENIS GABRIELIK TIMOTHY STANISH Alexander Ignatyuk BOB KOMMERS BORIS KRASNOJENOV ELENA SADOVSKAYA VASILIY TANURKOV YONAH WEISZ ALEKSEI ASTAPOV MIKHAIL PRIKLONSKY KONSTANTIN YUMINOV MARIA BOVYKINA DMITRY TEREKHOV
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG ULT-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation sell buy hold buy buy buy buy buy buy hold buy buy buy buy neutral overweight neutral buy overweight buy
Amt Held 9'432'262 8'033'839 7'681'193 6'323'304 2'772'526 635'179 151'772 117'027 80'528 56'084 32'022 27'342 25'000 14'998 14'000 13'420 12'971 10'244 9'451 7'900
% Out 23.27 19.82 18.95 15.6 6.84 1.57 0.37 0.29 0.2 0.14 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02
Weighting
Change 1 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5
D M M M M U M M M N M M M M M M M N M N
Latest Chg (55'782) 46'618 (2'570) (10'000) 14'000 (720) 5'000 1'800
Target Price 1'022 1'749 2'230 1'905 1'886 1'626 2'037 1'863 #N/A N/A 1'690 1'800 1'676 1'736 3'030 1'600 1'700 1'340 2'325 1'660 3'309
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.07.2013 31.12.2012 30.12.2011 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 28.06.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Unclassified Holding Company n/a Unclassified n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.08.2013 31.07.2013 18.07.2013 12.07.2013 12.07.2013 05.07.2013 20.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.04.2013 19.04.2013 17.04.2013 17.04.2013 03.04.2013 27.03.2013 12.03.2013 25.01.2012
08.08.2013
Agrium Inc Agrium Inc. supplies nitrogen, potash and phosphate for agricultural, products. The Company's products include industrial salt, edible salt, purple azo dye salt.
Price/Volume 40 35 30 25 20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.01.2013) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance AGU CN EQUITY YTD Change AGU CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 116.38 83.46 826'757.00 86.5 -25.67% 3.65% 9.25% 149.4 12'923.94 3'961.00 0.0 4.0 726.00 15'755.35
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 5 0 a-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 9'129.0 10'743.0 1.15x 1.55x 941.0 1'470.0 11.15x 11.34x 366.0 713.0 23.92x 19.92x Profitability
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 15'470.0 0.75x 2'706.0 4.30x 1'371.0 6.96x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 16'686.0 1.08x 2'715.0 6.66x 1'494.0 10.53x 2'715.00 2'271.00 13.61% 12.54% 9.17% 21.83% 15.94% 1.01% 26.9% 16.4% 13.5% 9.0% 1.54 0.53 24.79% 57.27% 6.58 2.82
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 6'112.2 48.01x 0.0 0.00x 2'220.8 22.85x
LTM 03/yy 7'888.8 31.92x 0.0 0.00x 2'360.9 19.81x
FY+1
1.81 1.22 148.90 5.21 -8.61% -11.80% 1.218 28 4.107 1'298'005 982'452 892'629 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 16'748.9 17'404.8 3'225.5 3'257.5 0.90x 0.84x 4.94x 4.72x 2'482.1 2'490.9 447.5 499.5 6.35x 6.33x 6.25x 6.24x 1'329.8 1'293.3 209.1 245.8 9.08x 9.17x 9.14x 9.08x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
24.11.2005 BBB STABLE 10.12.2004 NR 21.05 11.11 1.25 1.47 57.3% 36.4% 1.01 5.10 55.49 129.23 139.01 41.94
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
100.00
9'000.0
90.00
8'000.0
80.00
7'000.0
70.00
6'000.0
60.00
5'000.0
50.00
4'000.0
40.00
3'000.0
30.00
2'000.0
20.00
1'000.0
10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
s-12
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 10'031.0 0.74x 2'380.0 3.13x 1'322.0 3.54x
15
20.0 M 18.0 M 16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M a-13
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Agrium Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK SINOCHEM CORP SINOFERT HOLDINGS LT CHINA CINDA ASSET MA CHINA CONSTRUCTION B CHINA HUARONG ASSET CHINA LIFE INSURANCE GUANGZHOU HUAMEI FEN WANG YIHONG E FUND MANAGEMENT BEIJING HUABEI POWER CHINA ASSET MANAGEME YINHUA FUND MANAGEME SWS MU FUND MANAGEME RONGTONG FUND MANAGE HARVEST FUND MANAGEM UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE CHINA SOUTHERN FUND HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU MORGAN STANLEY
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets SWS Research Co Ltd PingAn Securities Everbright Securities Co., Ltd Capital Securities Corp Bank of China International China International Capital Corp Citic Securities Co., Ltd Industrial Securities China Minzu Securities Co Ltd Tebon Securities Co Ltd Central China Securities China Investment Securities Founder Securities China Securities Co., Ltd Rising Securities Co.,LTD
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst CAROL JIN DENG JIAN YAN ZHUBING WANG XIXIN ZHENG CHUNMING NI XIAOMAN BIN GUAN YIN XIAODONG ZHENG FANGBIAO YU WALI LI XIANGFENG LI LINLIN LIANG HAO ZHENGHUA ZHANG LIANG BIN TEAM COVERAGE
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File ULT-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation Sell/Cautious outperform buy buy hold hold accumulate buy buy buy outperform add strong buy add add outperform
Amt Held 492'901'654 238'791'954 142'260'369 115'702'308 62'004'881 32'909'977 32'190'525 29'679'406 28'932'924 13'456'798 11'952'157 10'264'119 10'221'104 10'037'840 7'839'118 5'061'392 3'864'692 2'982'532 2'922'107 2'310'068
% Out 30.99 15.01 8.94 7.27 3.9 2.07 2.02 1.87 1.82 0.85 0.75 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.49 0.32 0.24 0.19 0.18 0.15
Weighting
Change 1 5 5 5 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 5
D M M M M D D M M M M M N N M N
Latest Chg (2'388'072) 6'807'320 (1'514'636) 4'681'710 (314'075) (3'548'953) 3'789'021 (114'391) -
Target Price 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 33 29 67 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 48 70 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 71 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Other Government Corporation Government Government Government Government Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.08.2013 02.08.2013 24.06.2013 21.04.2013 11.03.2013 14.01.2013 07.01.2013 25.06.2012 27.04.2012 14.02.2012 01.01.2012 20.12.2011 07.09.2011 19.06.2011 08.12.2010 31.08.2010
08.08.2013
China BlueChemical Ltd China BlueChemical Ltd. manufactures nitrogen fertilizers. The Company other chemical products. The Company's products include urea and pentaerythritol that is used for the manufacturing of synthetic resin, pesticides, and industrial dynamite.
Price/Volume 14
50.0 M 45.0 M 40.0 M 35.0 M 30.0 M 25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M a-13
12 10 8
Valuation Analysis
6
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (10.01.2013) 52-Week Low (31.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.02.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 3983 HK EQUITY YTD Change 3983 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 5.87 3.58 3'631'273.00 3.77 -35.78% 5.31% 3.06% 1'771.0 17'379.70 23.10 0.0 1'417.3 2'603.99 12'555.31
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
2 0 a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'811.8 1.48x 2'522.0 3.99x 1'608.5 8.00x
4
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 5'794.6 6'867.3 3.19x 3.06x 1'989.2 2'397.5 9.29x 8.77x 984.7 1'175.3 19.92x 18.89x Profitability
31.12.2011 9'756.3 2.15x 3'547.5 5.92x 1'985.8 11.09x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 10'739.2 1.69x 3'450.0 5.25x 1'810.5 10.73x 3'449.96 2'663.96 24.81% 24.28% 10.78% 14.29% 13.92% 0.64% 30.8% 32.1% 24.8% 16.9% 2.33 1.25 0.13% 0.17% 52.36 4.73
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
03/yy
03/yy -
FY+1 -
5.04 1.05 1'663.77 -20.58% -24.71% 1.046 18 4.333 4'321'856 6'480'859 5'683'325 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 11'934.5 12'511.5 0.97x 0.87x 3'825.0 4'076.6 3.28x 3.08x 1'932.7 1'998.9 7.05x 6.83x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
163.19 89.29 -0.75 0.01 0.2% 0.2% 0.64 1.05 6.99 77.45 17.36 67.08
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1'400.00
25'000.0
1'200.00
20'000.0
1'000.00
15'000.0
800.00 600.00
10'000.0
400.00
5'000.0 200.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
China BlueChemical Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name COMMONWEALTH BANK OF BJ HENGFENG RONGSHEN BJ SHENGSHI MEILIN I XA CHANGKE INVEST MG BOSERA NEW GROWTH FU PINGAN TRUST CO LTD HUAAN INNOVATION FUN E FUND MANAGEMENT CHINA LIFE INSURANCE E FUND SI100 INDEX F YINHUA FUND MANAGEME HARVEST FUND MANAGEM RONGTONG FUND MANAGE TONGLI SERIES FUND-I NEW CHINA FUND MANAG CQ YUXINTONG SINGLE FULLGOAL FUND MANAGE PING AN LIFE INSURAN HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE
Firm Name Jefferies Hong Yuan Securities PingAn Securities Everbright Securities Co., Ltd SWS Research Co Ltd Bank of China International China Merchants Securities Tebon Securities Co Ltd Industrial Securities Great Wall Securities China Minzu Securities Co Ltd Rising Securities Co.,LTD China Investment Securities Guodu Securities Co Ltd Founder Securities AJ Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst CAROL JIN YANMING ZHANG WU YING CHENG LEI SHAWN ZHOU SU WENJIE LU PING LI XIANGFENG ZHENG FANGBIAO LING XUELIANG YU WALI SONG HUAISONG LIANG HAO WANG SHUANG ZHENGHUA ZHANG XIN ZHANG
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral/cautious add buy buy outperform buy strong buy outperform buy buy buy outperform strong buy strong buy add buy
Amt Held 151'313'890 37'107'966 36'964'692 22'923'840 20'950'558 18'545'635 17'914'701 12'014'825 11'550'641 10'837'976 10'370'576 9'545'260 9'295'324 7'580'799 6'920'274 6'847'513 6'827'169 6'455'316 5'826'031 4'347'662
% Out 16.85 4.13 4.12 2.55 2.33 2.07 2 1.34 1.29 1.21 1.16 1.06 1.04 0.84 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.72 0.65 0.48
Weighting
Change 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5
M M M M M M U M M M M M M N M M
Latest Chg (1'052'493) 5'309'508 (249'367) 1'314'681 (1'826'356) 5'064'637 3'738'207 4'194'988
Target Price 7 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 18 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 21 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 10.01.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Other n/a Investment Advisor Government n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 18.07.2013 08.07.2013 24.06.2013 21.04.2013 19.03.2013 14.01.2013 23.07.2012 25.06.2012 24.04.2012 16.04.2012 14.02.2012 09.01.2012 07.09.2011 07.03.2011 30.06.2010 04.01.2010
08.08.2013
Sinofert Holdings Ltd Sinofert Holdings Ltd. manufactures and distributes fertilizers. The Company fertilizers, including urea, liquid ammonia, and compound fertilizers. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures petrochemical products and operates restaurants.
Price/Volume 9
60.0 M
8
50.0 M
7 6
40.0 M
5
12/2012 03/yy 2.19 1.18 14'574'400.00 1.19 -45.66% 0.85% 1.98% 7'024.5 8'359.10 4'705.26 0.0 320.9 1'192.88 10'431.62
3
20.0 M
2
10.0 M
1 0 a-12
s-12
o-12
31.12.2008 45'392.9
31.12.2009 27'010.7
1'897.7
(2'200.4)
1'912.6
(1'443.8)
31.12.2010 29'271.1 1.07x 664.6 46.94x 535.7 44.67x
31.12.2011 36'685.0 0.44x 1'180.1 13.75x 678.0 18.30x
31.12.2012 41'190.1 0.35x 1'387.1 10.42x 878.4 12.10x
LTM-4Q
LTM
03/yy
03/yy -
Profitability EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'387.05 916.45 2.22% 2.48% 3.21% 6.55% 6.67% 1.50% 5.8% 3.4% 2.2% 2.1% 1.26 0.26 17.82% 34.09% 28.73 6.05
Price/ Cash Flow
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
.0 M a-13
j-13
FY+1 -
1.99 1.34 1'762.48 -22.04% -35.72% 1.340 16 3.875 19'801'300 10'564'120 9'935'349 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 41'875.9 43'457.9 0.27x 0.25x 1'448.5 1'578.0 7.20x 6.61x 859.4 1'008.4 7.51x 6.48x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
3.77 2.74 2.53 3.39 34.1% 25.0% 1.50 9.32 12.74 60.54 44.12 29.16
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00
40'000.0
35.00
35'000.0
30.00
30'000.0
25.00
25'000.0
20.00
20'000.0
15.00
15'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
5.00
5'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
n-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
30.0 M
4
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (23.01.2013) 52-Week Low (31.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.12.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 297 HK EQUITY YTD Change 297 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
01.07.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Sinofert Holdings Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SINOCHEM CORP ZJ CITIC SECURITIES CHANGSHENG FUND MANA E FUND MANAGEMENT CHINA INTERNATIONAL RONGTONG FUND MANAGE UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE YINHUA FUND MANAGEME INVESCO GREAT WALL F SOCIAL SECURITY FUND GUOTAI JUNAN SECURIT FORTUNE SGAM FUND MA BAOYING FUND MANAGEM HFT INVESTMENT MANAG HARVEST FUND MANAGEM CHINA NATURE ASSET M CHINA MERCHANTS FUND EVERBRIGHT PRAMERICA HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN
Firm Name Goldman Sachs Northeast Securities Co Ltd EVA Dimensions Rising Securities Co.,LTD Guotai Junan Citic Securities Co., Ltd Guodu Securities Co Ltd China Minzu Securities Co Ltd China Investment Securities PingAn Securities Central China Securities China Securities Co., Ltd China Galaxy Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst KAISHENG LIN WEIGANG WANG TIMOTHY STANISH HOU SHIXIA WANG GANG HUANG LILI WANG SHUANG QI QIUSHI ZHEJIAN SONG WU YING LI LINLIN LIANG BIN LI GUOHONG
Source Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform neutral sell outperform buy hold buy add buy strong buy add add buy
Amt Held 613'930'000 17'128'708 11'546'688 10'843'546 9'215'107 6'963'405 6'872'492 6'675'088 6'415'266 6'100'000 5'737'285 5'621'034 5'500'089 5'095'669 4'773'374 4'284'900 3'404'481 3'181'480 2'764'156 2'214'005
% Out 51.14 1.43 0.96 0.9 0.77 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.53 0.51 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.42 0.4 0.36 0.28 0.27 0.23 0.18
Weighting
Change 5 3 1 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 4 4 5
M M M N M M M M M U M M N
Latest Chg 11'355'534 (807'290) 7'423'833 (184'627) 6'475'476 2'017'039 6'415'266 5'526'544 1'704'440 4'708'932 (3'370'291) 3'884'900 3'287'501 2'114'889
Target Price #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 11 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 10
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 19.07.2013 27.06.2013 06.06.2013 27.03.2013 26.03.2013 25.12.2012 11.06.2012 01.03.2012 02.12.2011 18.11.2010 17.11.2010 02.12.2009 20.12.2008
08.08.2013
Luxi Chemical Group Co Ltd Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of fertilizers and other chemical products. The Company's products include urea, synthetic ammonia, and ammonium acid carbonate.
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (04.12.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 000830 CH EQUITY YTD Change 000830 CH EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Price/Volume
12/2012 01/yy 5.17 3.24 17'255'770.00 3.72 -28.05% 14.81% 22.28% 1'464.9 5'449.28 7'936.73 0.0 0.0 926.93 12'752.38
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'791.9 0.91x 892.9 6.91x 229.5 16.27x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 6'446.5 7'646.4 1.51x 1.50x 667.2 894.5 14.55x 12.82x 140.2 212.0 47.38x 30.70x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 9'296.1 1.52x 1'492.4 9.48x 423.4 19.64x
31.12.2012 10'209.5 1.26x 1'403.6 9.17x 338.6 17.32x 1'403.65 655.88 6.42% 4.26% 2.53% 7.24% 0.65% 11.9% 7.3% 3.3% 0.35 0.12 49.84% 149.65% 210.98 5.68
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.01 836.25 -16.59% -7.00% 1.005 3 4.667 14'619'100 15'660'850 15'317'190 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
3.09 -2.36 149.6% 59.9% 0.65 0.85 1.73 64.27 70.10 -4.30
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
-
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 13'115.0 16'887.0 2'199.0 2'663.0 5.80x 4.79x 604.0 807.0 9.47x 7.11x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Luxi Chemical Group Co Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SHANDONG LIAOCHENG L SHENZHEN JUNYI HENGT TIBET AUTO REG INVES YONG ZHU SD DONGXIN INVEST CO FIRST-TRUST FUND MAN CHANGJIANG SERCURITI TAIKANG LIFE INSURAN ZHANG KAI MAANSHAN CHANGTAI IN JIA XIAOXUE CHINA SOUTHERN FUND MORGAN STANLEY HUAXI GF FUND MANAGEMENT C HARVEST FUND MANAGEM HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU EVERBRIGHT PRAMERICA HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN PENGHUA FUND MANAGEM JINCHENG ZHANG
Firm Name Fortune CLSA Securities Limited Qilu Securities Co Ltd Central China Securities Sinolink Securities Co Ltd HuaChuang Securities China Galaxy Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst YANG YAN LI XUAN LI LINLIN LIU BO GAO LI LI GUOHONG
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File
Recommendation buy buy add buy buy buy
Amt Held 474'218'251 50'000'000 40'000'000 34'447'914 17'284'000 13'183'073 11'218'000 10'274'942 9'664'000 7'838'399 7'814'962 3'255'391 2'536'743 2'293'801 1'792'000 1'300'000 797'596 599'568 528'969 507'252
% Out 32.37 3.41 2.73 2.35 1.18 0.9 0.77 0.7 0.66 0.54 0.53 0.22 0.17 0.16 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03
Weighting
Change 5 5 4 5 5 5
M M M M M M
Latest Chg 10'083'239 255'723 2'536'743 803'851 1'773'500 1'300'000 797'596 93'025 (70'101) -
Target Price 7 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Other Government n/a Other Investment Advisor Other Insurance Company n/a Other n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a
Date 07.06.2013 28.01.2013 23.11.2012 25.05.2012 22.11.2011 20.07.2010
08.08.2013
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co Ltd Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets salt products. The Company's products include industrial salt, edible salt, purple azo dye salt.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (08.08.2012) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 000792 CH EQUITY YTD Change 000792 CH EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 35.85 15.60 6'663'871.00 16.82 -53.08% 7.82% 6.47% 1'590.5 26'752.36 18'110.02 0.0 1'758.3 2'166.01 45'789.47
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'909.5 11.44x 2'903.3 15.40x 1'353.6 32.40x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 4'227.2 5'452.1 10.78x 10.05x 2'271.9 2'691.6 20.06x 20.36x 1'229.7 2'268.3 35.62x 22.41x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 6'314.3 9.46x 3'168.4 18.85x 2'481.1 17.84x
31.12.2012 7'811.2 7.72x 3'207.1 18.81x 2'524.3 16.89x 3'207.12 2'682.41 34.34% 41.22% 6.06% 15.54% 0.20% 51.3% 30.3% 32.3% 1.22 0.57 42.67% 113.68% 3.50 2.22
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.09 435.33 -51.79% -36.04% 1.085 7 3.714 9'863'820 8'329'453 7'383'841 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
3.24 -6.21 113.7% 50.6% 0.20 0.31 104.39 164.47 227.45 79.33
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
-
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 7'887.0 8'972.0 1'637.0 1'901.0 3'589.0 3'139.0 12.76x 14.59x 2'223.2 2'290.8 12.41x 11.82x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name QINGHAI STE OWNED AS SINOCHEM CORP SINOFERT HOLDINGS LT CHINA CINDA ASSET MA CHINA CONSTRUCTION B CHINA HUARONG ASSET CHINA LIFE INSURANCE GUANGZHOU HUAMEI FEN WANG YIHONG E FUND MANAGEMENT BEIJING HUABEI POWER CHINA ASSET MANAGEME YINHUA FUND MANAGEME SWS MU FUND MANAGEME RONGTONG FUND MANAGE HARVEST FUND MANAGEM UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE CHINA SOUTHERN FUND HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU MORGAN STANLEY
Firm Name Goldman Sachs SWS Research Co Ltd PingAn Securities Everbright Securities Co., Ltd Capital Securities Corp Bank of China International China International Capital Corp Citic Securities Co., Ltd Industrial Securities China Minzu Securities Co Ltd Tebon Securities Co Ltd Central China Securities China Investment Securities Founder Securities China Securities Co., Ltd Rising Securities Co.,LTD
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst CAROL JIN DENG JIAN YAN ZHUBING WANG XIXIN ZHENG CHUNMING NI XIAOMAN BIN GUAN YIN XIAODONG ZHENG FANGBIAO YU WALI LI XIANGFENG LI LINLIN LIANG HAO ZHENGHUA ZHANG LIANG BIN TEAM COVERAGE
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File ULT-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation Sell/Cautious outperform buy buy hold hold accumulate buy buy buy outperform add strong buy add add outperform
Amt Held 492'901'654 238'791'954 142'260'369 115'702'308 62'004'881 32'909'977 32'190'525 29'679'406 28'932'924 13'456'798 11'952'157 10'264'119 10'221'104 10'037'840 7'839'118 5'061'392 3'864'692 2'982'532 2'922'107 2'310'068
% Out 30.99 15.01 8.94 7.27 3.9 2.07 2.02 1.87 1.82 0.85 0.75 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.49 0.32 0.24 0.19 0.18 0.15
Weighting
Change 1 5 5 5 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 5
D M M M M D D M M M M M N N M N
Latest Chg (2'388'072) 6'807'320 (1'514'636) 4'681'710 (314'075) (3'548'953) 3'789'021 (114'391) -
Target Price 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 33 29 67 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 48 70 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 71 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Other Government Corporation Government Government Government Government Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.08.2013 02.08.2013 24.06.2013 21.04.2013 11.03.2013 14.01.2013 07.01.2013 25.06.2012 27.04.2012 14.02.2012 01.01.2012 20.12.2011 07.09.2011 19.06.2011 08.12.2010 31.08.2010
08.08.2013
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells fertilizers and other chemical products. The Company's products include urea and pentaerythritol that is used for the manufacturing of synthetic resin, pesticides, and industrial dynamite.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.08.2012) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 10.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 000422 CH EQUITY YTD Change 000422 CH EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 13.17 6.09 18'214'917.00 6.95 -47.23% 14.12% 10.03% 897.9 6'240.17 17'889.48 0.0 1'636.5 1'539.28 23'391.86
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 7'118.6 1.39x 1'080.3 9.15x 248.6 16.88x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'752.7 11'514.4 2.14x 1.85x 1'506.7 2'271.4 12.43x 9.38x 237.7 572.5 48.74x 17.85x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 17'725.6 1.35x 2'968.0 8.07x 817.7 11.70x
31.12.2012 19'273.2 1.45x 3'512.6 7.96x 866.2 11.51x 3'512.57 2'333.40 12.11% 8.32% 2.80% 13.34% 0.67% 19.3% 12.0% 4.5% 0.73 0.20 60.71% 291.15% 17.60 4.04
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.02 649.06 -45.58% -36.52% 1.021 6 4.500 13'746'750 10'381'710 12'178'520 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
3.28 -1.66 291.1% 69.7% 0.67 1.05 20.74 90.40 48.66 49.64
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
-
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 17'975.0 19'490.0 4'458.0 4'616.0 3'073.0 3'296.0 7.61x 7.10x 738.5 886.5 7.54x 6.71x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name HUBEI YIHUA GROUP LT BJ HENGFENG RONGSHEN BJ SHENGSHI MEILIN I XA CHANGKE INVEST MG BOSERA NEW GROWTH FU PINGAN TRUST CO LTD HUAAN INNOVATION FUN E FUND MANAGEMENT CHINA LIFE INSURANCE E FUND SI100 INDEX F YINHUA FUND MANAGEME HARVEST FUND MANAGEM RONGTONG FUND MANAGE TONGLI SERIES FUND-I NEW CHINA FUND MANAG CQ YUXINTONG SINGLE FULLGOAL FUND MANAGE PING AN LIFE INSURAN HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE
Firm Name Goldman Sachs Hong Yuan Securities PingAn Securities Everbright Securities Co., Ltd SWS Research Co Ltd Bank of China International China Merchants Securities Tebon Securities Co Ltd Industrial Securities Great Wall Securities China Minzu Securities Co Ltd Rising Securities Co.,LTD China Investment Securities Guodu Securities Co Ltd Founder Securities AJ Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst CAROL JIN YANMING ZHANG WU YING CHENG LEI SHAWN ZHOU SU WENJIE LU PING LI XIANGFENG ZHENG FANGBIAO LING XUELIANG YU WALI SONG HUAISONG LIANG HAO WANG SHUANG ZHENGHUA ZHANG XIN ZHANG
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral/cautious add buy buy outperform buy strong buy outperform buy buy buy outperform strong buy strong buy add buy
Amt Held 151'313'890 37'107'966 36'964'692 22'923'840 20'950'558 18'545'635 17'914'701 12'014'825 11'550'641 10'837'976 10'370'576 9'545'260 9'295'324 7'580'799 6'920'274 6'847'513 6'827'169 6'455'316 5'826'031 4'347'662
% Out 16.85 4.13 4.12 2.55 2.33 2.07 2 1.34 1.29 1.21 1.16 1.06 1.04 0.84 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.72 0.65 0.48
Weighting
Change 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5
M M M M M M U M M M M M M N M M
Latest Chg (1'052'493) 5'309'508 (249'367) 1'314'681 (1'826'356) 5'064'637 3'738'207 4'194'988
Target Price 7 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 18 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 21 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 10.01.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Other n/a Investment Advisor Government n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 18.07.2013 08.07.2013 24.06.2013 21.04.2013 19.03.2013 14.01.2013 23.07.2012 25.06.2012 24.04.2012 16.04.2012 14.02.2012 09.01.2012 07.09.2011 07.03.2011 30.06.2010 04.01.2010
08.08.2013
Liaoning Huajin Tongda Chemicals Co Ltd Liaoning Huajin Tongda Chemicals Company Ltd. manufactures and markets fertilizers, including urea, liquid ammonia, and compound fertilizers. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures petrochemical products and operates restaurants.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (07.02.2013) 52-Week Low (03.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 000059 CH EQUITY YTD Change 000059 CH EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 8.10 4.36 6'354'018.00 4.69 -42.10% 7.57% 9.09% 1'200.5 5'630.38 18'876.46 0.0 65.3 4'018.38 21'509.10
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'662.0 3.14x 930.5 12.34x 384.8 15.88x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'881.0 22'354.1 9.83x 1.27x 746.8 2'233.3 37.93x 12.75x 207.4 412.7 67.28x 33.72x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 35'613.1 0.56x 3'018.0 6.56x 842.0 10.84x
31.12.2012 34'406.7 0.67x 2'503.4 9.23x 19.6 417.79x 2'503.38 1'180.50 3.43% 0.64% -0.78% -3.14% 1.17% 7.9% 2.7% 0.1% 0.68 0.25 57.63% 257.76% 149.68 6.03
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
1.18 557.60 -34.86% -31.13% 1.177 6 3.667 9'593'572 6'946'740 7'588'244
FY+1
FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y
12/14 Y
06/13 Q2
09/13 Q3
(420.0) 60.0 25.35x 10.78x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
2.57 1.37 257.8% 71.9% 1.17 1.87 2.44 60.53 44.96 18.49
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
-
0.9 1.00
-
08.08.2013
Liaoning Huajin Tongda Chemicals Co Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BEIFANG HUAJIN CHEMI ZJ CITIC SECURITIES CHANGSHENG FUND MANA E FUND MANAGEMENT CHINA INTERNATIONAL RONGTONG FUND MANAGE UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE YINHUA FUND MANAGEME INVESCO GREAT WALL F SOCIAL SECURITY FUND GUOTAI JUNAN SECURIT FORTUNE SGAM FUND MA BAOYING FUND MANAGEM HFT INVESTMENT MANAG HARVEST FUND MANAGEM CHINA NATURE ASSET M CHINA MERCHANTS FUND EVERBRIGHT PRAMERICA HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN
Firm Name SWS Research Co Ltd Northeast Securities Co Ltd EVA Dimensions Rising Securities Co.,LTD Guotai Junan Citic Securities Co., Ltd Guodu Securities Co Ltd China Minzu Securities Co Ltd China Investment Securities PingAn Securities Central China Securities China Securities Co., Ltd China Galaxy Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst KAISHENG LIN WEIGANG WANG TIMOTHY STANISH HOU SHIXIA WANG GANG HUANG LILI WANG SHUANG QI QIUSHI ZHEJIAN SONG WU YING LI LINLIN LIANG BIN LI GUOHONG
Source Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform neutral sell outperform buy hold buy add buy strong buy add add buy
Amt Held 613'930'000 17'128'708 11'546'688 10'843'546 9'215'107 6'963'405 6'872'492 6'675'088 6'415'266 6'100'000 5'737'285 5'621'034 5'500'089 5'095'669 4'773'374 4'284'900 3'404'481 3'181'480 2'764'156 2'214'005
% Out 51.14 1.43 0.96 0.9 0.77 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.53 0.51 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.42 0.4 0.36 0.28 0.27 0.23 0.18
Weighting
Change 5 3 1 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 4 4 5
M M M N M M M M M U M M N
Latest Chg 11'355'534 (807'290) 7'423'833 (184'627) 6'475'476 2'017'039 6'415'266 5'526'544 1'704'440 4'708'932 (3'370'291) 3'884'900 3'287'501 2'114'889
Target Price #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 11 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 10
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 19.07.2013 27.06.2013 06.06.2013 27.03.2013 26.03.2013 25.12.2012 11.06.2012 01.03.2012 02.12.2011 18.11.2010 17.11.2010 02.12.2009 20.12.2008
08.08.2013
Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Co SAFCO (Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Company) manufactures agricultural supplies. and other chemical products. The Company's products include urea, synthetic ammonia, and ammonium acid carbonate.
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.12.2012) 52-Week Low (03.09.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SAFCO AB EQUITY YTD Change SAFCO AB EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Price/Volume
12/2012 01/yy 161.50 137.25 401'230.00 147.75 -8.51% 7.65% 43.30% 333.3 49'248.77 40.00 0.0 0.0 3'594.03 46'082.69
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 5'235.8 3.69x 4'575.7 4.23x 4'279.8 5.24x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'740.7 3'789.5 10.17x 10.04x 1'960.1 2'920.6 14.22x 13.02x 1'804.3 3'234.6 16.77x 13.62x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 5'051.2 8.09x 3'988.5 10.25x 4'109.8 10.71x
31.12.2012 4'980.4 9.48x 3'869.4 12.20x 3'866.2 13.13x 3'869.43 3'521.57 70.71% 41.95% 47.26% 0.53% 72.5% 78.2% 71.0% 77.6% 7.34 6.50 0.40% 0.45% 3.55
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
0.77 132.79 12.78% 5.00% 0.768 16 3.438 242'410 207'191 206'979 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
1086.61 925.64 -0.82 0.00 0.5% 0.4% 0.53 1.39 102.82 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
-
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 4'925.5 5'268.4 1'379.5 1'597.0 9.46x 8.84x 3'806.9 3'821.9 901.0 12.11x 12.06x 3'816.6 4'004.2 12.87x 12.36x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SAUDI BASIC INDUSTRI SHENZHEN JUNYI HENGT TIBET AUTO REG INVES YONG ZHU SD DONGXIN INVEST CO FIRST-TRUST FUND MAN CHANGJIANG SERCURITI TAIKANG LIFE INSURAN ZHANG KAI MAANSHAN CHANGTAI IN JIA XIAOXUE CHINA SOUTHERN FUND MORGAN STANLEY HUAXI GF FUND MANAGEMENT C HARVEST FUND MANAGEM HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU EVERBRIGHT PRAMERICA HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN PENGHUA FUND MANAGEM JINCHENG ZHANG
Firm Name JPMorgan Qilu Securities Co Ltd Central China Securities Sinolink Securities Co Ltd HuaChuang Securities China Galaxy Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst YANG YAN LI XUAN LI LINLIN LIU BO GAO LI LI GUOHONG
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File
Recommendation buy buy add buy buy buy
Amt Held 474'218'251 50'000'000 40'000'000 34'447'914 17'284'000 13'183'073 11'218'000 10'274'942 9'664'000 7'838'399 7'814'962 3'255'391 2'536'743 2'293'801 1'792'000 1'300'000 797'596 599'568 528'969 507'252
% Out 32.37 3.41 2.73 2.35 1.18 0.9 0.77 0.7 0.66 0.54 0.53 0.22 0.17 0.16 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03
Weighting
Change 5 5 4 5 5 5
M M M M M M
Latest Chg 10'083'239 255'723 2'536'743 803'851 1'773'500 1'300'000 797'596 93'025 (70'101) -
Target Price 7 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Other Government n/a Other Investment Advisor Other Insurance Company n/a Other n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a
Date 07.06.2013 28.01.2013 23.11.2012 25.05.2012 22.11.2011 20.07.2010
08.08.2013
Agrium Inc Agrium Inc. supplies nitrogen, potash and phosphate for agricultural, products. The Company's products include industrial salt, edible salt, purple azo dye salt.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.01.2013) 52-Week Low (06.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance AGU CN EQUITY YTD Change AGU CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 116.38 83.46 826'757.00 86.5 -25.67% 3.65% 9.25% 149.4 12'923.94 3'961.00 0.0 4.0 726.00 15'755.35
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 10'031.0 0.74x 2'380.0 3.13x 1'322.0 3.54x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 9'129.0 10'743.0 1.15x 1.55x 941.0 1'470.0 11.15x 11.34x 366.0 713.0 23.92x 19.92x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 15'470.0 0.75x 2'706.0 4.30x 1'371.0 6.96x
31.12.2012 16'686.0 1.08x 2'715.0 6.66x 1'494.0 10.53x 2'715.00 2'271.00 13.61% 12.54% 9.17% 21.83% 15.94% 1.01% 26.9% 16.4% 13.5% 9.0% 1.54 0.53 24.79% 57.27% 6.58 2.82
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
1.81 1.22 148.90 5.21 -8.61% -11.80% 1.218 28 4.107 1'298'005 982'452 892'629 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
21.05 11.11 1.25 1.47 57.3% 36.4% 1.01 5.10 55.49 129.23 139.01 41.94
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
24.11.2005 BBB STABLE 10.12.2004 NR
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 16'748.9 17'404.8 3'225.5 3'257.5 0.90x 0.84x 4.94x 4.72x 2'482.1 2'490.9 447.5 499.5 6.35x 6.33x 6.25x 6.24x 1'329.8 1'293.3 209.1 245.8 9.08x 9.17x 9.14x 9.08x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Agrium Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK SINOCHEM CORP SINOFERT HOLDINGS LT CHINA CINDA ASSET MA CHINA CONSTRUCTION B CHINA HUARONG ASSET CHINA LIFE INSURANCE GUANGZHOU HUAMEI FEN WANG YIHONG E FUND MANAGEMENT BEIJING HUABEI POWER CHINA ASSET MANAGEME YINHUA FUND MANAGEME SWS MU FUND MANAGEME RONGTONG FUND MANAGE HARVEST FUND MANAGEM UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE CHINA SOUTHERN FUND HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU MORGAN STANLEY
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets SWS Research Co Ltd PingAn Securities Everbright Securities Co., Ltd Capital Securities Corp Bank of China International China International Capital Corp Citic Securities Co., Ltd Industrial Securities China Minzu Securities Co Ltd Tebon Securities Co Ltd Central China Securities China Investment Securities Founder Securities China Securities Co., Ltd Rising Securities Co.,LTD
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst CAROL JIN DENG JIAN YAN ZHUBING WANG XIXIN ZHENG CHUNMING NI XIAOMAN BIN GUAN YIN XIAODONG ZHENG FANGBIAO YU WALI LI XIANGFENG LI LINLIN LIANG HAO ZHENGHUA ZHANG LIANG BIN TEAM COVERAGE
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File ULT-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation Sell/Cautious outperform buy buy hold hold accumulate buy buy buy outperform add strong buy add add outperform
Amt Held 492'901'654 238'791'954 142'260'369 115'702'308 62'004'881 32'909'977 32'190'525 29'679'406 28'932'924 13'456'798 11'952'157 10'264'119 10'221'104 10'037'840 7'839'118 5'061'392 3'864'692 2'982'532 2'922'107 2'310'068
% Out 30.99 15.01 8.94 7.27 3.9 2.07 2.02 1.87 1.82 0.85 0.75 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.49 0.32 0.24 0.19 0.18 0.15
Weighting
Change 1 5 5 5 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 5
D M M M M D D M M M M M N N M N
Latest Chg (2'388'072) 6'807'320 (1'514'636) 4'681'710 (314'075) (3'548'953) 3'789'021 (114'391) -
Target Price 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 33 29 67 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 48 70 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 71 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Other Government Corporation Government Government Government Government Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.08.2013 02.08.2013 24.06.2013 21.04.2013 11.03.2013 14.01.2013 07.01.2013 25.06.2012 27.04.2012 14.02.2012 01.01.2012 20.12.2011 07.09.2011 19.06.2011 08.12.2010 31.08.2010
08.08.2013
CF Industries Holdings Inc CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and distributes nitrogen and phosphate other chemical products. The Company's products include urea and pentaerythritol that is used for the manufacturing of synthetic resin, pesticides, and industrial dynamite.
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (30.01.2013) 52-Week Low (02.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CF US EQUITY YTD Change CF US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Price/Volume
12/2012 01/yy 233.43 169.33 1'600'375.00 189.88 -18.66% 12.14% 32.06% 57.3 10'876.83 1'605.00 0.0 380.0 2'274.90 12'405.52
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'921.1 0.45x 1'251.0 1.42x 684.6 3.84x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'608.4 3'965.0 1.30x 2.82x 780.8 1'301.5 4.34x 8.58x 365.6 349.2 11.05x 17.73x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 6'097.9 1.83x 3'160.9 3.52x 1'539.2 6.38x
31.12.2012 6'104.0 2.05x 3'332.2 3.75x 1'848.7 7.32x 3'332.20 2'912.40 47.71% 47.31% 18.37% 35.58% 23.79% 0.61% 51.0% 53.0% 45.9% 30.3% 2.95 2.62 15.79% 27.19% 18.01 10.87
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
0.84 1.30 57.00 1.67 -7.73% -6.17% 1.301 21 3.429 1'212'465 1'213'942 1'059'921 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
23.04 19.42 0.37 0.99 27.2% 20.3% 0.61 1.51 20.27 33.57 48.76 36.83
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
-
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 5'562.6 5'321.5 1'170.3 1'361.6 2.12x 2.33x 2'768.1 2'480.7 554.7 667.8 4.48x 5.00x 5.03x 5.11x 1'421.0 1'199.4 244.3 309.0 7.96x 8.76x 9.05x 8.80x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
CF Industries Holdings Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name VANGUARD GROUP INC BJ HENGFENG RONGSHEN BJ SHENGSHI MEILIN I XA CHANGKE INVEST MG BOSERA NEW GROWTH FU PINGAN TRUST CO LTD HUAAN INNOVATION FUN E FUND MANAGEMENT CHINA LIFE INSURANCE E FUND SI100 INDEX F YINHUA FUND MANAGEME HARVEST FUND MANAGEM RONGTONG FUND MANAGE TONGLI SERIES FUND-I NEW CHINA FUND MANAG CQ YUXINTONG SINGLE FULLGOAL FUND MANAGE PING AN LIFE INSURAN HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE
Firm Name Morgan Stanley Hong Yuan Securities PingAn Securities Everbright Securities Co., Ltd SWS Research Co Ltd Bank of China International China Merchants Securities Tebon Securities Co Ltd Industrial Securities Great Wall Securities China Minzu Securities Co Ltd Rising Securities Co.,LTD China Investment Securities Guodu Securities Co Ltd Founder Securities AJ Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst CAROL JIN YANMING ZHANG WU YING CHENG LEI SHAWN ZHOU SU WENJIE LU PING LI XIANGFENG ZHENG FANGBIAO LING XUELIANG YU WALI SONG HUAISONG LIANG HAO WANG SHUANG ZHENGHUA ZHANG XIN ZHANG
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation neutral/cautious add buy buy outperform buy strong buy outperform buy buy buy outperform strong buy strong buy add buy
Amt Held 151'313'890 37'107'966 36'964'692 22'923'840 20'950'558 18'545'635 17'914'701 12'014'825 11'550'641 10'837'976 10'370'576 9'545'260 9'295'324 7'580'799 6'920'274 6'847'513 6'827'169 6'455'316 5'826'031 4'347'662
% Out 16.85 4.13 4.12 2.55 2.33 2.07 2 1.34 1.29 1.21 1.16 1.06 1.04 0.84 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.72 0.65 0.48
Weighting
Change 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5
M M M M M M U M M M M M M N M M
Latest Chg (1'052'493) 5'309'508 (249'367) 1'314'681 (1'826'356) 5'064'637 3'738'207 4'194'988
Target Price 7 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 18 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 21 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 10.01.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 10.01.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Other n/a Investment Advisor Government n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 18.07.2013 08.07.2013 24.06.2013 21.04.2013 19.03.2013 14.01.2013 23.07.2012 25.06.2012 24.04.2012 16.04.2012 14.02.2012 09.01.2012 07.09.2011 07.03.2011 30.06.2010 04.01.2010
08.08.2013
Israel Chemicals Ltd Israel Chemicals Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and fertilizers, including urea, liquid ammonia, and compound fertilizers. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures petrochemical products and operates restaurants.
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.01.2013) 52-Week Low (07.08.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (8/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ICL IT EQUITY YTD Change ICL IT EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Price/Volume
12/2012 01/yy 5'175.00 2'757.00 1'498'797.00 2817 -45.53% 2.18% 1.74% 1'272.6 35'850.33 2'044.27 0.0 24.5 356.64 11'646.00
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20
.0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M .0 M a-12
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'904.0 1.47x 2'611.5 3.87x 2'004.2 4.44x
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 4'554.3 5'691.5 3.93x 4.02x 1'233.3 1'560.0 14.51x 14.65x 770.4 1'024.7 21.63x 21.18x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 7'067.8 2.07x 2'203.8 6.65x 1'511.8 8.70x
31.12.2012 6'672.2 2.54x 1'900.8 8.90x 1'300.5 11.67x 1'900.81 1'613.75 24.19% 22.87% 16.40% 35.49% 0.88% 41.3% 27.4% 22.7% 19.5% 1.73 0.75 26.39% 60.56% 4.97 2.93
01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
LTM 01/yy 0.0 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.00x 0.0 0.00x
FY+1
8.57 1.09 428.47 -37.56% -35.36% 1.085 18 3.556 3'685'421 2'953'331 2'389'988 FY+2
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
32.95 21.37 0.84 1.03 60.6% 37.5% 0.88 2.12 73.39 124.37 61.22 141.18
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.0 0.8 0.7
0.80 0.60 0.40
0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
0.20
FQ+2
-
0.9 1.00
FQ+1
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/13 Q3 12/13 Q4 6'615.7 6'624.0 1'576.0 1'479.0 1.78x 1.80x 7.26x 7.75x 1'764.2 1'634.9 393.0 369.0 6.60x 7.12x 1'143.9 1'017.4 242.0 222.0 8.92x 11.56x 11.42x 11.94x S&P Issuer Ratings
0.1 0.0 2001
0.00
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.08.2013
Israel Chemicals Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ISRAEL CORP LTD ZJ CITIC SECURITIES CHANGSHENG FUND MANA E FUND MANAGEMENT CHINA INTERNATIONAL RONGTONG FUND MANAGE UBS SDIC FUND MANAGE YINHUA FUND MANAGEME INVESCO GREAT WALL F SOCIAL SECURITY FUND GUOTAI JUNAN SECURIT FORTUNE SGAM FUND MA BAOYING FUND MANAGEM HFT INVESTMENT MANAG HARVEST FUND MANAGEM CHINA NATURE ASSET M CHINA MERCHANTS FUND EVERBRIGHT PRAMERICA HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE FU HUAAN FUND MANAGEMEN
Firm Name Barclays Northeast Securities Co Ltd EVA Dimensions Rising Securities Co.,LTD Guotai Junan Citic Securities Co., Ltd Guodu Securities Co Ltd China Minzu Securities Co Ltd China Investment Securities PingAn Securities Central China Securities China Securities Co., Ltd China Galaxy Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst KAISHENG LIN WEIGANG WANG TIMOTHY STANISH HOU SHIXIA WANG GANG HUANG LILI WANG SHUANG QI QIUSHI ZHEJIAN SONG WU YING LI LINLIN LIANG BIN LI GUOHONG
Source Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform neutral sell outperform buy hold buy add buy strong buy add add buy
Amt Held 613'930'000 17'128'708 11'546'688 10'843'546 9'215'107 6'963'405 6'872'492 6'675'088 6'415'266 6'100'000 5'737'285 5'621'034 5'500'089 5'095'669 4'773'374 4'284'900 3'404'481 3'181'480 2'764'156 2'214'005
% Out 51.14 1.43 0.96 0.9 0.77 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.53 0.51 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.42 0.4 0.36 0.28 0.27 0.23 0.18
Weighting
Change 5 3 1 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 4 4 5
M M M N M M M M M U M M N
Latest Chg 11'355'534 (807'290) 7'423'833 (184'627) 6'475'476 2'017'039 6'415'266 5'526'544 1'704'440 4'708'932 (3'370'291) 3'884'900 3'287'501 2'114'889
Target Price #N/A N/A 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 9 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 11 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 15 10
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 19.07.2013 27.06.2013 06.06.2013 27.03.2013 26.03.2013 25.12.2012 11.06.2012 01.03.2012 02.12.2011 18.11.2010 17.11.2010 02.12.2009 20.12.2008