This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be viewed as a current or past recommendation or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy.
Fundamental Analysis & Analyst Recommendations QMS Global Energy FlexIndex July 2013
Q M S Advisors .
.
Q.M.S Advisors | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Valuation Measures I/II Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data Market Total Capitalization (in mio Daily Common Total Debt Preferred Currency USD) Volume (M) Shares (M) (USD) Stock (USD)
Minority Interest (USD)
Total Revenue Cash and Enterprise Equivalents Value (USD) (USD)
Tot. Rev. LFY
Est. Tot. Rev. - Tr. 12M
EBITDA
Earnings Per Share
Est. Tot. Est. Tot. Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA Rev. - 2013 Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY Tr. 12M 2013 2014 EPS - LFY
Price/Earnings ratio
Est. EPS Tr. 12M
Est. EPS 2013
Est. EPS 2014
P/E Ratio LFY
Est. P/E Ratio - Tr. 12M
Rev. Growth
EBITDA Growth
Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. P/E Est. P/E Revenue Revenue Est. EBITDA EBITDA Est. EBITDA Ratio - 2013 Ratio - 2014 Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Margin -
S&P LT Credit Rating -
S&P LT Credit Rating Date
Moody's LT Credit Moody's LT Credit Rating Rating Date
S&P 500 INDEX
USD
15048494
2009.903
1116
1116
203
221
221
102.58
110.19
110.19
16.01
16.01
14.91
14.91
18.60
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
EUR
2508250
5268.77
4541
4541
731
762
762
202.69
296.03
296.03
21.70
17.17
14.86
14.86
20.17
NIKKEI 225
JPY
2706988
192.7651
190
190
18
21
21
5.33
7.82
7.82
0.26
0.27
0.18
0.18
0.11
FTSE 100 INDEX
GBP
2621145
11456.08
10092
10092
1402
1681
1681
580.59
805.90
805.90
24.86
21.83
17.91
17.91
21.11
SWISS MARKET INDEX
CHF
1021345
10734.26
4065
4065
852
824
824
412.12
553.25
553.25
20.54
17.04
15.30
15.30
21.91
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
CAD
1559319
16389.91
8313
8313
1776
1964
1964
734.77
817.68
817.68
14.92
14.92
13.40
13.40
23.19
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
AUD
1208381
5807.308
2672
2672
548
682
682
223.99
322.13
322.13
17.89
14.50
12.44
12.44
20.14
HANG SENG INDEX
HKD
1583607
3023.377
1673
1673
355
399
399
278.81
271.57
271.57
1.23
1.39
1.26
1.26
2.92
MSCI EM
USD
6946260
1281.009
971
971
188
179
179
82.45
90.53
90.53
11.13
11.30
10.14
10.14
19.19
EXXON MOBIL CORP
USD
411166
3765
4502
12
0
6
10
424.44
420714
406354
426521
435712
65769
64362
16176
16176
7.56
8.00
8.00
8.19
11.56
11.56
11.56
11.29
-2.96
-1.21
15.84
AAA
16.12.1985
WR
16.08.1993
CHEVRON CORP
USD
236904
1617
1947
12
0
1
21
234.76
222580
217734
230022
227252
48426
46203
11867
11867
12.86
12.96
12.36
12.55
9.42
9.42
9.88
9.74
-5.80
1.45
-5.44
7.12
21.22
AA
01.07.1987
Aa1
27.02.2009
BP PLC
GBp
130429
8691
19136
73
0
2
30
223.46
560986
554045
504433
497674
30533
33627
14698
14698
0.33
1.76
1.24
1.39
8.73
26.01
12.37
11.08
0.03
10.62
-82.69
-17.10
9.07
A
24.09.2010
-
-
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC-A SHS
GBp
206386
1785
6331
56
0
2
28
337.61
697764
687144
656531
659304
77840
77488
-
-
6.14
6.19
6.28
6.36
11.50
11.94
11.35
11.19
-0.96
8.86
-10.22
-1.02
16.84
AA
03.09.2009
Aa1
20.07.2005
TOTAL SA
EUR
116543
2699
2258
43
0
2
22
144.03
234589
230933
228286
230804
41620
39025
10849
10849
6.57
4.88
6.51
6.68
12.94
12.97
9.69
9.45
12.17
6.91
-2.25
1.33
21.75
AA-
12.04.2011
Aa1
30.08.2005
SCHLUMBERGER LTD
USD
99935
1426
1328
12
0
0
6
105.59
42149
42898
45666
50818
11020
11165
2990
2990
4.16
4.26
4.67
5.67
17.66
17.66
16.11
13.25
14.04
13.15
12.52
5.53
26.03
A+
11.12.2002
A1
03.06.2003
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC-B SHS
GBp
206386
2241
6331
56
0
2
28
337.61
697764
687144
656531
659304
77840
77488
-
-
6.14
6.19
6.28
6.36
11.98
12.44
11.82
11.66
-0.96
8.86
-10.22
-1.02
16.84
AA
03.09.2009
Aa1
20.07.2005
CONOCOPHILLIPS
USD
77263
1497
1220
22
0
0
4
93.92
57967
58243
50282
52171
19396
20040
5017
5017
5.47
5.61
5.52
6.21
11.26
11.26
11.46
10.18
-9.70
-8.64
-10.41
-8.76
34.41
A
07.02.2012
A1
26.04.2012
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP
USD
73886
863
806
8
0
0
2
79.43
24172
23776
24749
25618
13701
13369
3661
3661
7.10
6.89
7.16
7.55
13.32
13.32
12.81
12.14
0.97
5.69
-3.30
6.01
56.23
A
23.06.2008
A1
19.04.2012
BG GROUP PLC
GBp
58294
1737
3614
23
0
0
7
103.32
28279
31060
29527
33473
15232
15594
2732
2732
1.93
1.52
1.85
2.19
25.08
20.37
20.70
17.45
10.70
-4.81
9.74
9.15
74.99
-
-
-
-
ENI SPA
EUR
74077
8656
3623
31
0
5
10
99.17
163711
160739
153097
155742
31610
27473
6713
6713
1.44
0.71
2.21
2.44
37.07
37.07
11.88
10.74
20.70
3.54
-5.84
-1.35
21.99
A
17.01.2012
A3
16.07.2012
SUNCOR ENERGY INC
CAD
44856
743
1523
10
0
0
4
51.28
36192
36372
38355
39275
10519
10578
2717
2717
2.96
2.90
2.96
3.00
9.72
9.72
9.51
9.38
-0.32
12.30
-0.59
20.45
27.55
BBB+
28.07.2009
Baa1
13.12.2012
ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP
USD
44717
500
501
13
0
1
2
56.27
13307
13613
15219
17165
6197
6547
2213
2213
1.47
4.74
4.28
5.45
18.81
18.81
20.85
16.37
-4.14
10.92
-18.23
2.13
48.09
BBB-
08.09.2006
Baa3
23.03.2012
HALLIBURTON CO
USD
40973
2062
929
5
0
0
2
43.79
28503
28609
29729
32759
5787
5729
1495
1495
3.04
2.77
3.19
4.04
15.90
15.90
13.81
10.90
14.80
13.05
-5.07
7.51
20.03
A
20.08.2007
A2
01.05.2007
EOG RESOURCES INC
USD
38629
526
272
6
0
0
1
43.83
11096
11788
14051
15623
5334
5768
1748
1748
5.68
5.95
6.86
8.09
23.86
23.86
20.71
17.55
23.65
25.23
18.30
14.62
48.93
A-
12.04.2007
A3
24.03.2006
PHILLIPS 66
USD
36602
1043
624
7
0
0
3
38.85
166089
171682
172319
171216
5457
6203
2315
2315
8.46
9.45
7.79
7.10
6.24
6.24
7.58
8.31
-15.30
-
79.86
-
3.61
BBB
01.03.2012
Baa1
07.03.2012
ENBRIDGE INC
CAD
34527
493
805
21
4
4
2
62.36
23971
25287
26124
26473
2575
2575
976
976
0.74
0.70
1.73
1.98
56.64
56.64
22.99
20.06
-6.12
16.50
-25.94
8.76
9.64
A-
18.12.2001
Baa1
26.03.2007
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES
CAD
32324
1529
1092
8
0
0
0
41.14
13666
14042
15056
15925
6838
6805
1737
1737
1.58
1.44
1.91
2.53
19.53
19.53
14.70
11.12
5.09
5.18
-2.69
1.24
45.91
BBB+
01.11.2011
Baa1
07.10.2010
APACHE CORP
USD
32438
945
392
12
1
0
0
45.90
16947
16636
17347
18793
12051
11662
2966
2966
9.31
9.58
8.42
9.35
8.64
8.64
9.83
8.85
0.81
14.07
-2.79
10.48
70.10
A-
26.01.2001
A3
29.11.2010
TRANSCANADA CORP
CAD
30987
999
705
21
1
1
1
54.88
7585
7837
8722
9415
3739
3834
1116
1116
1.78
1.79
2.12
2.39
23.19
23.19
19.56
17.36
2.03
1.39
-3.09
0.53
46.35
A-
30.09.2009
-
-
PETROLEO BRASILEIRO-SPON ADR
USD
83473
4055
2
49
281379
287781
294721
314119
53158
52352
16433
16433
-
-
4.57
4.93
-
-
6.69
6.20
15.24
9.67
-13.68
0.25
18.19
BBB
17.11.2011
-
-
NATIONAL OILWELL VARCO INC
USD
31226
849
427
3
0
0
3
33.26
20041
21045
22261
24127
4185
4136
1038
1038
5.98
5.75
5.57
6.59
12.71
12.71
13.11
11.09
36.72
16.12
19.85
13.13
19.65
A
25.04.2012
A2
14.05.2012
CNOOC LTD
HKD
75640
61422
44646
7
0
0
17
50.04
31928
31928
33266
35801
15176
15176
-
-
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.94
-
0.97
0.94
0.36
2.90
-0.15
2.45
6.13
AA-
16.12.2010
-
-
PETROCHINA CO LTD-H
HKD
237251
109171
183021
57
0
15
6
261.22
283049
269338
291246
305895
42502
-
-
-
0.08
0.08
0.09
0.10
1.45
-
1.28
1.19
1.23
2.74
0.25
0.53
-
-
-
-
-
MARATHON OIL CORP
USD
25737
1212
707
7
0
0
1
31.51
15688
15767
15386
15820
8648
8696
2488
2488
2.45
2.27
2.91
3.12
16.00
16.00
12.46
11.63
6.99
-10.85
27.74
2.01
55.15
BBB
01.07.2011
Baa2
28.06.2011
KINDER MORGAN INC
USD
40194
616
1036
32
0
10
1
81.66
9973
11176
12685
13443
4019
4654
1258
1258
0.70
0.78
1.26
1.46
49.50
49.50
30.74
26.63
25.56
-
59.80
-
41.64
-
-
-
-
SPECTRA ENERGY CORP
USD
23669
766
668
13
0
1
0
39.05
5075
5120
5477
5730
2335
2324
697
697
1.43
1.43
1.54
1.62
24.76
24.76
23.02
21.82
-5.16
0.21
-6.15
3.56
45.39
BBB+ *-
14.06.2013
-
-
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP
USD
22732
1045
333
3
0
0
5
21.82
76534
79521
97149
97624
6093
6345
1794
1794
9.45
9.93
9.58
10.05
7.05
7.05
7.31
6.97
4.09
-
34.95
10.93
7.98
BBB
27.01.2011
Baa2
28.06.2011
WILLIAMS COS INC
USD
22573
899
681
11
0
3
1
35.56
7486
7308
7623
8878
2368
2323
581
581
1.20
1.96
0.75
1.27
16.88
16.88
43.98
26.13
-5.60
-7.09
-31.97
-4.73
31.79
BBB
05.03.2012
Baa3
15.11.2007
STATOIL ASA
NOK
66365
1993
3180
19
0
0
13
71.65
114838
109538
103969
107951
43188
40282
9273
9273
-
3.08
2.48
2.66
1.10
-
1.37
1.27
1.51
0.52
0.22
1.39
5.98
AA-
03.08.2007
Aa2
23.06.2005
CENOVUS ENERGY INC
CAD
21848
1792
756
5
0
0
1
25.83
15953
15721
16511
17179
3860
3710
1025
1025
1.57
1.57
1.88
2.05
17.42
17.42
14.58
13.35
6.92
-
8.26
-
22.36
BBB+
14.09.2009
Baa2
14.09.2009
NOBLE ENERGY INC
USD
22422
909
358
4
0
0
1
24.84
4003
4080
5216
6269
2545
2590
882
882
2.48
2.36
3.53
4.32
26.63
26.63
17.76
14.53
22.23
6.02
21.08
3.31
63.48
BBB
24.02.2009
Baa2
14.10.1993
BAKER HUGHES INC
USD
21431
900
441
5
0
0
1
25.62
21361
21236
21660
23471
3760
3640
902
902
3.07
2.95
3.06
4.11
16.46
16.46
15.85
11.81
7.72
17.86
-11.24
6.08
17.14
A
05.05.2006
A2
25.01.1995
PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES CO
USD
20999
233
123
4
0
0
0
23.76
2812
2860
3647
4359
1410
1484
565
565
5.88
5.94
4.70
6.08
25.89
25.89
32.69
25.31
22.56
11.14
1.92
8.91
51.90
BBB-
11.11.2011
Baa3
30.05.2012
HESS CORP
USD
23574
480
342
8
0
0
1
30.61
37691
31475
19948
21744
7022
7191
1791
1791
5.46
5.84
6.30
6.00
11.76
11.76
10.91
11.45
-2.01
-8.56
13.20
5.95
22.85
BBB
22.07.2010
Baa2
28.04.2008
DEVON ENERGY CORPORATION
USD
22488
755
406
12
0
0
7
28.14
9679
8977
9737
11204
5253
4509
1402
1402
3.26
6.82
3.74
5.06
8.12
8.12
14.80
10.94
-15.50
-3.59
-23.63
-6.57
50.23
BBB+
18.03.2008
Baa1
21.09.2007
WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LTD
AUD
27220
2375
823
4
0
1
2
27.22
5795
5795
5470
6250
3956
3947
3759
3759
3.45
3.34
2.08
2.48
8.24
-
13.21
11.12
29.39
20.29
52.29
11.80
62.17
BBB+
03.12.2010
-
-
VALERO ENERGY CORP
USD
18929
2434
552
7
0
0
2
24.02
138286
136591
128007
128818
6598
7338
1638
1638
5.59
6.46
4.95
5.30
5.37
5.37
7.02
6.55
10.54
11.39
26.54
-4.47
5.37
BBB
07.11.2006
Baa2
08.10.2008
REPSOL SA
EUR
28055
2667
1256
25
0
1
8
48.64
75826
77263
75851
78328
9030
8352
2031
2031
2.12
2.03
2.19
2.19
13.88
-
12.87
12.86
20.28
1.42
27.00
-6.33
13.91
BBB-
19.04.2012
-
-
CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL-H
HKD
78727
104511
112866
37
0
5
1
102.81
352457
352457
366575
382614
21862
21862
-
-
0.07
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.95
-
0.84
0.80
1.41
2.32
-0.11
0.76
0.80
A+
16.12.2010
-
-
CAMERON INTERNATIONAL CORP
USD
15944
334
247
2
0
0
2
16.45
8502
8816
9982
11656
1317
1374
350
350
3.16
3.31
3.65
4.91
19.43
19.43
17.60
13.10
22.17
10.01
17.65
9.23
15.58
BBB+
18.05.2005
Baa1
07.05.1998
CABOT OIL & GAS CORP
USD
15145
407
210
1
0
0
0
16.25
1205
1306
1793
2503
712
790
305
305
0.47
0.58
1.51
2.55
123.39
123.39
47.65
28.29
22.93
12.59
20.50
11.69
60.52
-
-
-
-
TULLOW OIL PLC
GBp
14504
982
908
2
0
0
0
23.11
3501
3501
4007
3885
1560
1560
-
-
0.15
1.03
1.02
0.99
34.65
240.75
34.77
36.09
2.59
32.41
-55.59
8.53
66.56
-
-
-
-
SEADRILL LTD
NOK
19243
798
469
2
0
0
0
5.02
728
726
804
962
392
405
101
101
-
0.40
0.47
0.61
2.74
-
2.32
1.77
1.10
4.54
0.64
4.73
9.07
-
-
-
-
SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO
USD
13496
759
351
2
0
0
0
15.18
2715
2792
2978
3273
1639
1694
493
493
1.07
1.50
1.95
2.12
25.65
25.65
19.75
18.17
-8.06
7.36
-8.07
19.35
60.67
BBB-
06.07.2010
Baa3
22.02.2012
ENSCO PLC-CL A
USD
13486
447
232
5
0
0
0
17.76
4301
4431
5069
5760
2097
2152
602
602
5.56
5.62
6.54
7.80
10.31
10.31
8.86
7.43
53.72
30.65
82.27
8.90
48.56
BBB+
03.06.2011
Baa1
08.03.2011
FMC TECHNOLOGIES INC
USD
13558
354
237
2
0
0
0
15.02
6151
6401
6812
7810
751
780
218
218
1.98
2.02
2.17
2.97
28.30
28.30
26.32
19.24
20.64
10.19
12.06
11.42
12.18
BBB
08.08.2002
-
-
CRESCENT POINT ENERGY CORP
CAD
13033
374
376
1
0
0
0
14.65
2093
2197
2824
3070
1512
1566
460
460
0.23
0.22
0.69
0.87
148.08
148.08
46.59
37.06
20.54
24.51
17.62
31.86
67.50
-
-
-
-
ORIGIN ENERGY LTD
AUD
12690
2483
1090
5
0
1
0
19.47
11808
12612
13248
13594
1887
1730
995
995
1.03
0.60
0.64
0.70
17.73
12.71
16.37
15.03
22.87
13.57
39.48
11.43
12.52
BBB
20.02.2013
Baa2
21.02.2013
ENCANA CORP
CAD
12338
489
736
7
0
0
3
16.22
4888
4187
5537
6409
2118
1373
648
648
0.25
-0.07
0.78
1.17
-
-
19.28
12.86
-37.00
-25.00
-53.80
-24.63
31.07
BBB
30.01.2012
Baa2
14.07.2004
196
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
3.78
-5.62
Valuation Measures I/II Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data Market Total Capitalization (in mio Daily Common Total Debt Preferred Currency USD) Volume (M) Shares (M) (USD) Stock (USD)
Minority Interest (USD)
Total Revenue Cash and Enterprise Equivalents Value (USD) (USD)
Tot. Rev. LFY
Est. Tot. Rev. - Tr. 12M
EBITDA
Earnings Per Share
Est. Tot. Est. Tot. Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA - Est. EBITDA Rev. - 2013 Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY Tr. 12M 2013 2014 EPS - LFY
Price/Earnings ratio
Est. EPS Tr. 12M
Est. EPS 2013
Est. EPS 2014
P/E Ratio LFY
Est. P/E Ratio - Tr. 12M
Rev. Growth
EBITDA Growth
Est. Est. Est. Est. Est. P/E Est. P/E Revenue Revenue Est. EBITDA EBITDA Est. EBITDA Ratio - 2013 Ratio - 2014 Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Growth - 1Y Growth - 5Y Margin -
S&P LT Credit Rating -
S&P LT Credit Rating Date
Moody's LT Credit Moody's LT Credit Rating Rating Date
S&P 500 INDEX
USD
15048494
2009.903
1116
1116
203
221
221
102.58
110.19
110.19
16.01
16.01
14.91
14.91
18.60
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
EUR
2508250
5268.77
4541
4541
731
762
762
202.69
296.03
296.03
21.70
17.17
14.86
14.86
20.17
NIKKEI 225
JPY
2706988
192.7651
190
190
18
21
21
5.33
7.82
7.82
0.26
0.27
0.18
0.18
0.11
FTSE 100 INDEX
GBP
2621145
11456.08
10092
10092
1402
1681
1681
580.59
805.90
805.90
24.86
21.83
17.91
17.91
21.11
SWISS MARKET INDEX
CHF
1021345
10734.26
4065
4065
852
824
824
412.12
553.25
553.25
20.54
17.04
15.30
15.30
21.91
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
CAD
1559319
16389.91
8313
8313
1776
1964
1964
734.77
817.68
817.68
14.92
14.92
13.40
13.40
23.19
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
AUD
1208381
5807.308
2672
2672
548
682
682
223.99
322.13
322.13
17.89
14.50
12.44
12.44
20.14
HANG SENG INDEX
HKD
1583607
3023.377
1673
1673
355
399
399
278.81
271.57
271.57
1.23
1.39
1.26
1.26
2.92
MSCI EM
USD
6946260
1281.009
971
971
188
179
179
82.45
90.53
90.53
11.13
11.30
10.14
10.14
19.19
RANGE RESOURCES CORP
USD
13044
3
0
0
0
15.98
2254
797
768
274
274
0.68
0.64
1.50
2.19
125.13
125.13
53.43
36.53
14.67
6.29
11.07
3.94
52.10
BB
29.05.2007
-
INPEX CORP
JPY
16150
12
4
5
0
2
8
15.16
12037
12037
13036
13668
7442
7442
-
-
477.70
495.84
416.10
423.89
0.09
0.10
0.11
0.10
0.02
0.06
-0.02
0.00
0.61
A
01.10.2008
-
JX HOLDINGS INC
JPY
12049
10787
2487
26
0
4
2
39.06
111007
111007
120811
120101
4301
4301
-
-
0.72
0.63
0.67
0.79
0.08
0.07
0.07
0.06
0.05
-
-0.18
-
0.04
-
-
-
-
TALISMAN ENERGY INC
CAD
11975
220
1025
4
0
0
1
15.53
6926
5988
5720
6515
3329
2688
681
681
0.04
-0.22
0.14
0.38
-
-
74.59
27.08
-10.99
-6.24
-29.16
-2.80
42.52
BBB
25.06.2008
Baa2
24.04.2006
EQT CORP
USD
12327
319
150
3
0
0
0
14.96
1642
1750
1891
2265
970
1058
340
340
0.02
0.74
2.45
3.21
110.05
110.05
33.39
25.50
0.10
1.65
-2.81
18.13
60.43
BBB
25.02.2009
Baa3
21.03.2013
SANTOS LTD
AUD
11846
5460
961
3
0
0
2
13.26
2940
2940
3202
3574
1542
1542
1718
1718
0.55
0.50
0.55
0.61
22.43
-
20.44
18.46
16.74
7.05
18.38
1.66
47.89
BBB+
15.05.2013
-
-
ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR
USD
86612
37
15978
0
2602
9312
6418956
6418956
-
-
6660.82
6880.12
-
-
12.18
11.79
4.37
25.30
-3.91
25.31
41.74
BBB
24.04.2013
Baa2
13.07.2009
MURPHY OIL CORP
USD
11856
316
191
2
0
0
1
13.03
28616
28347
27362
24036
3304
3333
959
959
6.18
5.85
5.62
6.56
10.62
10.62
11.06
9.46
3.75
6.46
11.29
12.99
11.76
BBB
28.02.2012
Baa3
26.11.2012
TECHNIP SA
EUR
11780
254
111
3
0
0
3
11.91
10557
10879
12139
13725
1308
1337
377
377
5.79
6.12
6.93
8.59
21.92
23.27
19.34
15.61
26.27
4.23
19.39
24.15
15.81
BBB+
27.05.2010
-
-
CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORP
USD
14109
1846
664
13
3
2
0
32.90
12316
13322
11962
12295
4505
4832
1302
1302
0.44
0.81
1.50
2.01
26.26
26.26
14.14
10.54
5.85
12.44
1.17
-2.04
36.27
BB-
15.05.2012
Ba3
17.12.2007
IMPERIAL OIL LTD
CAD
33432
101
848
2
0
0
0
36.85
28147
28616
32238
34327
5322
5072
1230
1230
4.11
3.89
3.90
4.18
9.60
9.60
9.59
8.94
1.82
4.88
13.15
2.94
16.79
AAA
16.10.1992
WR
15.10.2002
TENARIS SA
EUR
25643
1229
1181
2
0
0
2
33.05
13942
14020
14291
15276
3763
3793
923
923
1.85
1.83
1.87
2.06
19.64
19.65
19.20
17.44
11.12
4.32
24.97
-4.34
34.81
-
-
-
-
NOBLE CORP
USD
9938
391
253
5
0
1
0
15.35
3547
3720
4288
5344
1530
1649
439
439
2.02
2.14
2.79
4.54
18.34
18.34
14.04
8.64
31.57
5.25
35.61
-2.99
44.32
BBB+
08.12.2011
-
-
CANADIAN OIL SANDS LTD
CAD
9432
290
485
2
0
0
1
9.77
3699
3639
3562
3652
1625
1532
444
444
1.89
1.67
1.76
1.78
11.06
11.06
10.47
10.34
-6.27
4.54
-12.63
0.86
39.87
BBB
19.12.2006
Baa2
03.06.2004
OIL SEARCH LTD
AUD
9725
2832
1335
3
0
0
0
11.05
662
662
638
987
349
349
-
-
0.11
0.12
0.11
0.20
50.04
-
56.63
29.84
-1.03
-3.65
-25.04
-2.37
48.10
-
-
-
-
ARC RESOURCES LTD
CAD
8092
183
309
1
0
0
0
8.77
1131
1151
1493
1771
680
693
213
213
0.45
0.41
0.66
0.88
60.49
60.49
37.17
27.92
-1.96
3.68
-9.03
-0.77
57.02
-
-
-
-
HUSKY ENERGY INC
CAD
25870
147
982
4
0
0
2
28.12
21251
21098
20818
21462
5256
5253
1409
1409
1.95
1.88
2.04
2.28
13.29
13.29
12.21
10.91
2.06
3.49
-5.23
-1.20
23.59
BBB+
27.07.2006
Baa2
05.04.2011
TESORO CORP
USD
7159
852
138
2
0
0
2
7.66
32484
33149
32605
32558
2118
2181
518
518
8.00
8.25
5.40
6.86
6.39
6.39
9.77
7.69
8.54
11.33
35.42
9.52
6.58
BB+
21.07.2004
Ba2
04.06.2013
HELMERICH & PAYNE
USD
7011
254
106
0
0
0
0
7.07
3152
3332
3387
3564
1278
1358
340
340
5.16
5.49
5.47
5.62
12.00
12.00
12.04
11.73
23.90
13.69
27.27
12.16
40.74
-
-
-
-
OMV AG
EUR
15031
113
326
7
0
3
2
21.44
54883
55408
50714
49904
6774
7064
1722
1722
5.72
6.69
5.74
5.73
8.83
8.87
10.30
10.31
32.48
20.68
28.41
12.90
16.41
-
-
A3
31.03.2009
DENBURY RESOURCES INC
USD
6579
1213
376
3
0
0
0
9.81
2436
2376
2485
2581
1532
1474
373
373
1.30
1.25
13.14
13.14
13.54
14.12
6.19
18.44
4.00
18.58
62.02
BB
04.11.2005
-
-
CONSOL ENERGY INC
USD
6294
843
228
3
0
0
0
9.45
5021
4903
4981
5726
930
831
259
259
2.28
1.82
0.82
1.89
15.10
15.10
33.68
14.53
-15.81
6.53
-43.54
8.74
16.95
BB
30.11.2011
B1
07.12.2011
PENN WEST PETROLEUM LTD
CAD
5113
590
479
3
0
0
0
7.92
2501
2358
2541
2704
1287
1203
284
284
-0.20
-0.33
-0.12
0.15
-
-
66.67
-9.75
-5.65
-13.86
-0.57
48.33
-
-
-
-
QEP RESOURCES INC
USD
5292
441
179
3
0
0
0
8.71
2350
2443
2892
3224
772
842
393
393
0.01
-0.16
1.50
1.77
-
-
16.68
-25.62
3.12
-39.31
-4.71
34.47
BB+
02.07.2010
Ba1
02.07.2010
SUBSEA 7 SA
NOK
6154
1167
332
0
0
0
0
1.04
1025
1026
1081
1187
171
169
30
30
0.29
0.38
0.16
0.31
1.21
1.21
2.95
1.50
2.44
-
3.34
3.35
2.69
-
-
-
-
NABORS INDUSTRIES LTD
USD
4764
1303
290
4
0
0
1
8.53
6990
6678
6356
6828
1976
1827
385
385
0.38
0.59
0.98
1.39
27.27
27.27
16.58
11.64
15.33
8.36
7.28
2.55
27.36
BBB
11.04.2013
-
-
AMEC PLC
GBp
4598
320
308
0
0
0
0
4.46
6211
6211
6315
6733
542
542
-
-
1.22
1.00
1.30
1.45
23.07
18.94
17.79
15.87
41.09
18.72
43.59
33.91
13.04
-
-
-
-
PETROFAC LTD
GBp
6495
309
340
1
0
0
1
9.18
9446
9446
9644
10786
1292
1292
-
-
2.63
2.78
2.84
3.32
15.09
15.91
14.74
12.61
13.47
27.17
19.52
35.39
20.43
BBB+
17.05.2013
Baa1
03.06.2013
SAIPEM SPA
EUR
8119
2677
439
7
0
0
2
14.51
17204
17148
17129
17043
2808
2597
-448
-448
2.64
2.29
-0.91
1.59
10.35
-
DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING
USD
9709
189
139
1
0
0
1
9.75
2987
2948
3048
3934
1337
1304
346
346
5.09
5.14
4.60
7.26
13.58
13.58
TONENGENERAL SEKIYU KK
JPY
5385
839
365
3
0
0
0
8.73
27752
28486
30761
31016
635
795
-
-
1.22
1.69
0.86
0.61
0.06
ROWAN COMPANIES PLC-A
USD
4412
362
124
2
0
0
1
5.40
1393
1453
1555
1943
541
568
156
156
1.95
2.03
2.19
3.68
17.51
PEABODY ENERGY CORP
USD
4098
3322
269
6
0
0
1
9.65
8078
7822
7406
8233
1876
1613
284
284
-0.98
-1.68
-0.11
1.02
-
-
WORLEYPARSONS LTD
AUD
4480
692
246
1
0
0
0
4.97
6746
7752
7588
7982
549
545
296
296
1.28
1.32
1.24
1.35
12.71
-
WPX ENERGY INC
USD
3870
651
199
2
0
0
0
5.45
3189
2910
3063
3562
918
751
215
215
-0.61
-0.86
-0.65
-0.06
-
-
NEWFIELD EXPLORATION CO
USD
3372
312
135
3
0
0
0
6.37
2567
2540
2551
2517
1476
1420
351
351
-1.47
-1.91
1.65
2.38
-
-
15.05
GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA
EUR
12394
724
829
5
0
2
2
16.55
23816
23399
24525
27769
1246
1078
375
375
0.59
0.37
0.58
0.67
51.54
52.59
32.92
ENERPLUS CORP
CAD
3059
262
199
1
0
0
0
4.13
1039
1032
1439
1539
622
497
187
187
0.45
0.39
0.76
1.02
36.71
36.71
18.74
CAIRN ENERGY PLC
GBp
2400
1049
603
0
0
0
2
1.26
2
1
-355
-355
-
-
0.34
0.17
-0.20
-0.25
53.41
26.38
435
163
1409
1473
1755
68852002 67569707 66519051 67777591 29521039 28201129
1.43
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
1.34
19.69
-
14.92
7.93
8.81
4.96
17.64
19.49
-
-
-
-
15.19
9.62
-10.11
-1.24
-18.94
-1.61
44.23
A-
27.07.2004
A3
28.06.2012
0.06
0.11
0.16
0.05
0.02
-0.73
0.15
0.03
NR
11.05.2005
-
-
17.51
16.25
9.66
48.27
3.41
48.61
-7.81
39.07
-
-
WR
03.12.1997 12.09.2006
13.62
14.86
2.30
7.30
-12.75
16.73
20.62
BB+
15.09.2008
Ba1
12.45
29.06
15.15
11.89
11.92
6.42
-
-
-
-
-17.85
-
-21.94
-
25.81
BB+
07.11.2011
Ba1
07.11.2011
10.48
3.89
13.88
-1.80
1.21
55.91
BBB-
07.07.2010
Ba1
27.09.2011
28.85
13.04
8.02
-9.52
-6.75
5.93
-
-
-
-
13.94
-1.84
-5.52
-8.60
-5.59
45.61
-
-
-
-
-
-
113.30
-
-
-
-
-
-
Valuation Measures II/II Price to Book Ratio
Price to Sales Ratio
Price to Cash Flow Ratio
Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio
Price to Earnings Ratio
Estimated Dividend Yield
Target
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
S&P 500 INDEX
2.30
2.30
2.10
1.91
2.30
1.47
1.47
1.40
1.35
1.47
10.35
10.35
9.67
10.00
10.35
9.10
9.10
8.39
7.84
9.10
14.91
14.91
13.33
12.16
14.91
2.14
2.14
2.30
2.40
2.14
1777.9
8.2%
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
1.16
1.16
1.10
1.03
1.16
0.75
0.75
0.73
0.71
0.75
5.74
5.74
5.27
4.80
5.74
6.92
6.92
6.53
6.19
6.92
11.54
11.54
10.30
9.29
11.54
4.33
4.33
4.61
4.96
4.33
2965.8
11.7%
NIKKEI 225
1.53
1.53
1.43
1.33
1.53
0.74
0.74
0.71
0.69
0.74
9.04
9.04
8.35
7.65
9.04
8.98
8.98
8.31
7.83
8.98
17.85
17.85
15.84
14.29
17.85
1.63
1.63
1.78
1.92
1.63
14922.4
5.8%
FTSE 100 INDEX
1.69
1.69
1.58
1.46
1.69
0.96
0.96
0.93
0.95
0.96
8.34
8.34
7.63
6.96
8.34
6.81
6.81
6.42
6.04
6.81
11.99
11.99
10.92
10.10
11.99
3.90
3.90
4.20
4.55
3.90
7105.8
9.8%
SWISS MARKET INDEX
2.35
2.35
2.18
2.03
2.35
2.01
2.01
1.91
1.83
2.01
12.06
12.06
11.00
9.80
12.06
13.03
13.03
12.00
11.23
13.03
14.75
14.75
13.27
12.08
14.75
3.29
3.29
3.68
4.21
3.29
8622.8
9.6%
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
1.63
1.63
1.52
1.41
1.63
1.39
1.39
1.43
1.48
1.39
8.22
8.22
7.41
6.11
8.22
8.34
8.34
7.38
6.79
8.34
14.15
14.15
12.49
11.36
14.15
3.29
3.29
3.44
3.61
3.29
14171.6
16.0%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
1.76
1.76
1.66
1.56
1.76
1.64
1.64
1.55
1.48
1.64
9.94
9.94
8.97
8.56
9.94
8.52
8.52
7.74
7.21
8.52
13.63
13.63
12.36
11.43
13.63
4.90
4.90
5.23
5.60
4.90
5201.8
8.2%
HANG SENG INDEX
1.22
1.22
1.13
1.07
1.22
1.59
1.59
1.46
1.35
1.59
7.34
7.34
6.99
6.49
7.34
7.57
7.57
6.94
6.30
7.57
9.77
9.77
8.99
8.25
9.77
3.94
3.94
4.25
4.66
3.94
24805.7
20.5%
MSCI EM
1.32
1.32
1.22
1.10
1.32
0.95
0.95
0.88
0.82
0.95
6.56
6.56
6.01
5.52
6.56
7.14
7.14
6.49
5.99
7.14
10.14
10.14
9.12
8.34
10.14
3.06
3.06
3.38
3.67
3.06
1125.3
22.6%
EXXON MOBIL CORP
2.53
2.32
2.12
1.93
1.76
0.89
0.96
0.94
0.96
0.95
7.82
7.67
7.27
6.81
6.01
4.86
5.34
5.22
4.85
4.66
11.75
11.57
11.29
10.70
9.88
2.34
2.65
2.87
3.04
3.24
95.58
3.4%
CHEVRON CORP
1.76
1.59
1.45
1.33
1.20
1.00
1.03
1.04
0.96
6.39
6.12
5.84
5.44
4.93
4.12
4.20
4.12
3.95
3.74
9.91
9.88
9.74
9.42
8.65
2.87
3.14
3.36
3.52
3.80
133.53
9.3%
BP PLC
1.11
0.99
0.93
0.88
0.89
0.36
0.39
0.39
0.39
0.41
5.13
4.85
4.20
3.97
3.87
3.99
3.66
3.68
3.56
3.70
7.57
8.28
7.42
7.15
6.41
4.92
5.25
5.59
5.86
6.05
503.48
9.2%
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC-A SHS
1.07
1.05
0.97
0.92
0.87
0.44
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.41
4.51
4.48
4.31
4.22
4.14
3.81
3.69
3.58
3.46
3.55
7.62
7.59
7.49
7.48
6.94
5.40
5.59
5.75
5.90
6.26
2517.99
17.9%
TOTAL SA
1.17
1.10
1.02
0.94
0.90
0.51
0.51
0.50
0.51
0.52
3.27
3.32
3.44
3.29
3.11
2.78
6.40
6.13
6.24
6.40
6.54
6.92
45.18
18.6%
SCHLUMBERGER LTD
2.83
2.58
2.27
1.93
2.36
2.19
1.97
1.78
9.44
8.61
7.53
6.61
1.46
1.63
1.73
1.84
89.67
19.3%
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC-B SHS
1.12
1.09
1.01
0.96
0.44
0.47
0.47
0.47
9.6%
CONOCOPHILLIPS
1.45
1.52
1.41
1.32
1.24
1.54
1.48
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP
1.80
1.67
1.53
1.42
3.12
2.99
BG GROUP PLC
1.74
1.62
1.47
1.30
1.25
2.59
ENI SPA
0.96
0.90
0.87
0.82
0.76
0.48
SUNCOR ENERGY INC
1.17
1.09
0.96
0.93
ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP
2.12
1.89
1.69
HALLIBURTON CO
2.61
2.33
EOG RESOURCES INC
2.70
PHILLIPS 66
3.94
3.80
3.57
3.35
12.47
10.76
9.00
8.36
4.70
4.67
4.49
4.40
4.32
3.81
3.69
3.58
3.46
1.58
5.72
5.18
4.83
4.65
4.41
4.03
4.31
3.98
3.96
2.88
2.86
6.57
5.99
5.71
5.24
4.82
5.65
5.27
4.92
4.83
2.95
2.60
2.11
1.59
7.18
7.40
6.22
5.12
5.21
6.19
6.49
5.50
4.45
0.48
0.48
0.46
0.51
3.45
3.52
3.15
2.96
3.05
2.62
2.90
2.70
2.56
1.25
1.17
1.14
1.09
1.30
4.86
4.85
4.62
4.46
4.39
4.68
4.58
4.32
4.42
1.50
3.35
2.94
2.61
2.44
2.31
6.01
5.52
4.87
4.16
4.32
6.72
5.76
5.07
4.63
1.98
1.65
1.45
1.38
1.25
1.16
9.97
8.64
7.18
6.54
7.27
6.98
5.72
2.54
2.19
1.91
3.44
2.75
2.47
2.51
6.83
5.76
5.06
4.39
7.22
6.03
1.74
1.55
1.39
1.23
0.19
0.21
0.21
0.24
7.27
6.62
7.34
8.00
4.43
ENBRIDGE INC
3.72
3.53
3.18
2.93
1.61
1.32
1.30
1.21
11.22
10.65
9.25
8.61
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES
1.41
1.33
1.21
1.08
2.31
2.15
2.03
1.92
1.71
5.70
4.84
4.22
3.92
APACHE CORP
1.05
0.95
0.86
0.83
1.91
1.87
1.73
1.63
1.53
3.35
3.34
3.04
TRANSCANADA CORP
2.03
1.98
1.92
1.95
4.16
3.55
3.29
3.22
9.93
9.18
PETROLEO BRASILEIRO-SPON ADR
0.55
0.56
0.52
0.50
0.47
0.66
0.64
0.60
0.59
0.63
3.51
NATIONAL OILWELL VARCO INC
1.55
1.40
1.26
1.13
1.05
1.59
1.40
1.29
1.21
1.22
CNOOC LTD
1.48
1.28
1.14
1.03
1.03
1.94
1.80
1.67
1.57
PETROCHINA CO LTD-H
1.20
1.12
1.05
0.99
0.71
0.64
0.61
0.60
MARATHON OIL CORP
1.31
1.20
1.10
0.98
1.64
1.67
1.63
KINDER MORGAN INC
2.34
2.80
2.77
2.80
4.13
3.17
SPECTRA ENERGY CORP
2.58
2.62
2.54
2.52
4.66
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP
2.07
1.71
1.43
1.19
WILLIAMS COS INC
4.36
4.38
4.08
5.00
STATOIL ASA
1.28
1.17
1.08
1.00
CENOVUS ENERGY INC
2.26
2.25
2.04
NOBLE ENERGY INC
2.79
2.03
BAKER HUGHES INC
1.24
PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES CO
%D to Spot
6.98
7.53
7.34
7.09
17.96
16.12
13.25
11.33
3.55
7.95
7.91
7.81
7.79
7.24
5.17
5.35
5.51
5.79
5.85
2439.29
4.30
11.08
11.46
10.18
10.45
9.71
4.21
4.24
4.35
4.33
4.18
65.36
3.4%
13.22
12.81
12.14
11.82
8.53
2.40
2.69
3.07
3.25
3.62
103.80
13.2%
4.22
12.58
13.86
11.68
9.12
6.04
1.51
1.61
1.77
1.99
2.73
1429.79
24.7%
2.49
7.88
9.23
8.35
7.63
7.57
6.81
6.92
7.06
7.20
7.41
19.75
24.7%
9.77
10.04
9.90
9.46
10.38
1.57
2.28
2.77
2.99
3.18
41.88
33.3%
26.64
20.85
16.37
15.00
14.29
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
108.62
21.8%
5.06
14.80
13.81
10.90
9.28
0.95
1.12
1.22
1.32
51.12
16.2%
5.27
4.53
25.97
20.70
17.55
15.07
0.48
0.51
0.53
0.54
157.96
11.2%
4.48
4.93
5.18
7.40
7.58
8.31
8.27
12.02
0.76
2.15
2.45
2.60
70.29
19.1%
19.15
15.44
13.11
11.44
27.18
24.27
21.18
17.96
17.63
2.55
2.85
3.19
3.54
51.24
15.8%
5.98
5.46
4.55
4.18
19.71
15.52
11.74
11.15
14.02
1.33
1.58
1.72
1.72
38.13
21.7%
2.74
3.74
3.81
3.50
3.37
8.63
9.83
8.85
8.71
0.85
0.99
1.02
1.01
98.48
19.0%
8.42
7.92
13.54
12.06
11.06
10.31
23.91
20.65
18.32
16.94
3.80
3.98
4.19
4.43
52.53
13.5%
3.43
3.11
2.83
2.10
9.43
6.69
6.20
5.51
4.32
4.15
4.70
5.22
5.31
5.17
23.03
70.6%
12.85
10.15
8.87
8.25
7.76
7.76
7.71
6.73
6.08
6.51
12.49
13.11
11.09
9.91
9.56
0.65
0.88
0.95
1.05
1.37
82.60
13.0%
1.56
4.79
4.66
4.32
4.09
3.91
3.15
2.96
2.74
2.48
2.71
7.16
7.54
7.30
6.85
7.99
3.07
3.49
3.70
3.99
3.90
16.74
27.4%
0.66
4.54
4.16
3.85
3.77
3.55
6.11
5.52
5.09
4.81
4.78
10.81
9.93
9.21
8.78
6.46
4.22
4.48
4.80
5.30
5.26
11.01
23.8%
1.76
5.67
4.50
4.14
3.57
3.57
3.24
3.12
3.12
14.11
12.46
11.63
12.11
1.87
1.90
1.97
1.96
41.42
14.1%
2.99
3.00
25.71
24.33
15.18
30.28
19.00
17.67
16.05
53.40
30.73
26.63
21.16
3.61
4.08
4.51
4.97
42.30
9.0%
4.32
4.13
3.93
12.98
11.15
11.30
10.78
14.34
13.09
12.11
11.01
24.75
23.03
21.81
19.91
3.25
3.53
3.79
3.98
35.92
1.5%
0.28
0.23
0.23
0.24
5.66
4.81
4.74
5.21
3.51
3.43
3.37
3.49
7.22
7.31
6.96
6.86
6.54
1.75
2.20
2.47
2.65
96.20
37.4%
2.98
2.96
2.54
2.43
12.70
14.22
10.36
8.50
14.10
14.44
10.95
9.73
8.51
29.73
43.97
26.13
23.32
19.33
3.70
4.38
5.28
6.19
6.14
40.42
22.2%
0.57
0.64
0.61
0.61
0.62
3.34
3.34
3.26
3.05
3.03
1.69
1.92
1.78
1.75
1.89
7.75
8.41
7.82
7.89
7.53
5.22
5.42
5.54
5.70
5.98
152.61
19.3%
1.82
1.39
1.32
1.27
1.29
1.11
6.26
6.28
6.14
5.53
5.35
6.61
6.25
5.76
5.16
3.65
17.10
15.39
14.09
12.82
12.60
2.88
3.18
3.27
3.40
3.18
39.81
30.4%
1.77
1.52
5.22
4.30
3.58
3.16
8.16
6.34
5.28
4.70
7.85
6.54
5.42
4.88
27.41
17.76
14.53
13.06
0.71
0.91
0.95
0.97
68.34
9.0%
1.18
1.09
1.00
1.02
0.99
0.91
0.85
8.58
7.40
6.06
5.71
6.71
6.55
5.45
4.83
15.15
15.85
11.81
9.87
1.30
1.24
1.24
1.26
51.41
6.0%
3.22
2.70
2.42
2.09
6.83
5.76
4.82
3.87
10.66
9.78
8.07
6.45
12.30
10.08
8.46
6.58
41.13
32.69
25.31
18.21
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.07
156.77
2.0%
HESS CORP
1.09
0.98
0.89
0.81
0.64
1.18
1.08
1.44
4.41
4.14
4.17
3.55
4.04
4.09
4.24
4.12
11.62
10.91
11.45
11.50
0.60
1.06
1.46
1.46
80.21
16.8%
DEVON ENERGY CORPORATION
1.02
1.02
0.90
0.82
2.56
2.31
2.01
2.00
4.78
4.46
3.67
3.49
5.66
5.39
4.17
3.96
17.16
14.81
10.94
10.43
1.32
1.52
1.59
1.60
70.91
28.0%
WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LTD
1.77
1.80
1.74
1.69
4.39
4.54
3.98
4.04
6.88
8.05
7.01
7.16
7.27
6.91
7.24
6.11
6.24
12.88
14.47
12.18
12.38
13.43
4.04
6.57
6.34
5.98
VALERO ENERGY CORP
1.06
0.95
0.85
0.75
0.14
0.15
0.15
0.16
4.00
3.89
3.80
3.98
2.56
3.99
3.81
3.75
4.01
7.11
7.02
6.55
6.23
5.59
1.87
2.27
2.46
2.54
REPSOL SA
0.81
0.74
0.71
0.69
0.86
0.36
0.37
0.36
0.36
4.36
4.25
4.51
4.27
3.85
5.38
5.18
5.10
4.89
4.40
10.83
10.00
9.99
9.60
9.45
5.21
5.77
5.75
5.94
CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL-H
0.92
0.84
0.77
0.72
0.59
0.19
0.17
0.16
0.15
3.04
2.84
2.78
2.72
2.33
4.77
4.13
3.79
3.59
3.31
7.72
6.52
6.18
6.04
5.19
4.48
5.54
5.90
6.05
CAMERON INTERNATIONAL CORP
2.85
2.46
2.09
1.78
1.89
1.60
1.37
1.25
17.87
13.75
10.48
9.40
6.63
12.36
10.21
7.83
6.81
6.07
20.45
17.60
13.10
11.17
8.76
0.00
0.00
0.00
CABOT OIL & GAS CORP
7.11
5.44
4.78
4.04
12.88
8.45
6.05
4.47
22.19
13.04
9.13
6.67
20.71
12.73
9.00
6.60
118.04
47.65
28.29
21.11
0.12
0.12
TULLOW OIL PLC
2.58
2.64
2.46
2.25
6.10
5.41
5.58
5.60
4.38
9.89
9.31
10.49
10.52
8.85
8.43
8.50
9.03
20.74
23.28
24.16
28.67
20.74
1.00
SEADRILL LTD
3.25
3.14
3.14
2.91
4.39
3.89
3.26
2.81
2.70
10.31
8.98
7.41
6.20
12.76
11.34
9.01
7.67
16.00
14.28
10.88
8.76
7.82
SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO
3.75
3.65
3.05
2.62
5.65
4.53
4.12
3.85
8.30
6.90
6.19
5.48
9.87
7.64
6.81
5.64
27.86
19.75
18.17
14.32
ENSCO PLC-CL A
1.11
1.03
0.93
0.84
3.13
2.66
2.34
2.11
2.14
7.08
6.29
5.44
4.78
4.86
8.65
7.09
6.08
5.44
5.76
10.99
8.86
7.43
6.53
FMC TECHNOLOGIES INC
7.51
5.91
4.62
3.52
2.25
1.99
1.74
1.49
1.26
29.28
19.61
14.62
12.10
8.41
19.05
15.64
12.03
9.85
7.51
30.66
26.32
19.24
CRESCENT POINT ENERGY CORP
1.48
1.65
1.68
1.71
5.22
4.62
4.24
4.17
4.42
7.57
7.49
7.30
6.97
8.38
9.15
8.13
7.25
6.63
6.77
37.89
49.19
39.12
ORIGIN ENERGY LTD
1.04
1.03
1.01
0.98
1.05
0.96
0.93
0.91
0.88
9.46
9.32
9.03
7.71
6.69
9.32
9.65
8.91
7.99
6.40
15.59
17.93
ENCANA CORP
1.70
2.50
2.32
2.03
2.32
2.11
1.82
1.67
3.59
4.99
4.14
3.38
3.06
13.40
6.68
4.78
4.12
3.62
13.05
20.36
0.91
0.94
1.63
2.82
0.94
0.41
4.28
0.41
1.10
11.35
4.13
3.16
3.11
6.85
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4.39
6.24
3.43
25.69
6.61
7.25
9.22
2.46
1.60
5.15
5.12
38.88
7.4%
44.85
29.2%
5.87
19.20
12.9%
6.02
7.18
36.7%
0.00
75.00
16.7%
0.13
0.15
75.60
5.0%
1.03
1.08
1.11
1.44
1289.29
20.6%
8.82
8.34
9.27
9.27
10.00
261.60
3.8%
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
6.85
2.63
3.42
3.62
4.02
14.94
9.89
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
58.65
2.7%
70.92
71.91
7.68
7.68
7.68
7.68
7.68
45.58
26.8%
16.46
14.22
9.43
3.96
3.95
3.95
4.00
5.84
14.13
11.6%
13.57
10.58
7.28
4.77
4.77
4.77
4.77
4.77
21.71
22.6%
5.18
40.92
6.5%
69.29
19.6%
Valuation Measures II/II Price to Book Ratio
Price to Sales Ratio
Price to Cash Flow Ratio
Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio
Price to Earnings Ratio
Estimated Dividend Yield
Target
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2013
S&P 500 INDEX
2.30
2.30
2.10
1.91
2.30
1.47
1.47
1.40
1.35
1.47
10.35
10.35
9.67
10.00
10.35
9.10
9.10
8.39
7.84
9.10
14.91
14.91
13.33
12.16
14.91
2.14
2.14
2.30
2.40
2.14
1777.9
8.2%
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr
1.16
1.16
1.10
1.03
1.16
0.75
0.75
0.73
0.71
0.75
5.74
5.74
5.27
4.80
5.74
6.92
6.92
6.53
6.19
6.92
11.54
11.54
10.30
9.29
11.54
4.33
4.33
4.61
4.96
4.33
2965.8
11.7%
NIKKEI 225
1.53
1.53
1.43
1.33
1.53
0.74
0.74
0.71
0.69
0.74
9.04
9.04
8.35
7.65
9.04
8.98
8.98
8.31
7.83
8.98
17.85
17.85
15.84
14.29
17.85
1.63
1.63
1.78
1.92
1.63
14922.4
5.8%
FTSE 100 INDEX
1.69
1.69
1.58
1.46
1.69
0.96
0.96
0.93
0.95
0.96
8.34
8.34
7.63
6.96
8.34
6.81
6.81
6.42
6.04
6.81
11.99
11.99
10.92
10.10
11.99
3.90
3.90
4.20
4.55
3.90
7105.8
9.8%
SWISS MARKET INDEX
2.35
2.35
2.18
2.03
2.35
2.01
2.01
1.91
1.83
2.01
12.06
12.06
11.00
9.80
12.06
13.03
13.03
12.00
11.23
13.03
14.75
14.75
13.27
12.08
14.75
3.29
3.29
3.68
4.21
3.29
8622.8
9.6%
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX
1.63
1.63
1.52
1.41
1.63
1.39
1.39
1.43
1.48
1.39
8.22
8.22
7.41
6.11
8.22
8.34
8.34
7.38
6.79
8.34
14.15
14.15
12.49
11.36
14.15
3.29
3.29
3.44
3.61
3.29
14171.6
16.0%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX
1.76
1.76
1.66
1.56
1.76
1.64
1.64
1.55
1.48
1.64
9.94
9.94
8.97
8.56
9.94
8.52
8.52
7.74
7.21
8.52
13.63
13.63
12.36
11.43
13.63
4.90
4.90
5.23
5.60
4.90
5201.8
8.2%
HANG SENG INDEX
1.22
1.22
1.13
1.07
1.22
1.59
1.59
1.46
1.35
1.59
7.34
7.34
6.99
6.49
7.34
7.57
7.57
6.94
6.30
7.57
9.77
9.77
8.99
8.25
9.77
3.94
3.94
4.25
4.66
3.94
24805.7
20.5%
MSCI EM
1.32
1.32
1.22
1.10
1.32
0.95
0.95
0.88
0.82
0.95
6.56
7.14
10.14
3.06
3.06
3.38
3.67
3.06
1125.3
22.6%
RANGE RESOURCES CORP
5.60
5.14
4.50
3.69
9.55
7.43
5.79
4.61
0.20
0.20
0.21
0.21
INPEX CORP
0.71
0.65
0.63
0.61
1.38
1.24
1.18
1.12
1.55
1.58
1.59
1.60
JX HOLDINGS INC
0.65
0.59
0.55
0.51
0.11
0.10
0.10
3.28
3.35
3.46
3.51
TALISMAN ENERGY INC
1.24
1.17
1.11
1.06
1.59
1.98
1.74
2.32
2.31
2.33
2.36
EQT CORP
3.00
2.88
2.44
1.91
8.08
6.52
1.07
0.25
0.15
0.15
SANTOS LTD
1.36
1.33
1.28
1.21
1.17
4.05
ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR
2.88
2.39
2.25
2.14
1.95
MURPHY OIL CORP
1.26
1.25
1.11
1.02
TECHNIP SA
2.37
2.13
1.88
1.67
CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORP
1.10
1.03
0.96
IMPERIAL OIL LTD
2.16
1.83
TENARIS SA
2.16
NOBLE CORP
1.22
CANADIAN OIL SANDS LTD OIL SEARCH LTD
6.56
6.56
6.01
5.52
18.55
13.23
9.92
6.88
7.38
7.46
8.63
6.56
0.10
4.06
5.64
3.43
2.86
1.87
4.00
4.83
4.07
3.43
5.44
4.06
15.58
10.28
7.92
6.38
3.70
3.31
2.61
2.43
8.73
8.36
7.91
5.71
5.05
2.50
2.51
2.46
2.44
2.14
7.85
7.60
7.69
8.17
7.11
0.42
0.43
0.49
0.43
4.18
3.78
3.11
2.99
1.14
0.97
0.86
0.79
14.06
11.38
8.87
7.87
0.83
1.25
1.18
1.15
1.16
4.63
3.41
2.97
2.73
1.57
1.38
1.11
1.04
0.97
0.97
7.77
7.71
7.03
6.72
2.04
1.85
1.68
1.16
1.05
0.94
2.28
2.08
1.89
1.78
3.04
2.88
2.66
2.24
ARC RESOURCES LTD
2.52
2.55
2.54
HUSKY ENERGY INC
1.41
1.37
1.29
TESORO CORP
1.69
1.52
HELMERICH & PAYNE
1.86
1.61
OMV AG
0.99
DENBURY RESOURCES INC CONSOL ENERGY INC
0.55
1.34
2.36
2.31
2.16
2.05
0.91
2.81
2.32
1.86
1.64
2.60
2.65
2.58
2.38
1.98
13.40
13.92
8.99
4.07
2.38
6.25
5.42
4.57
1.22
1.19
1.24
1.21
1.30
1.09
0.23
0.22
1.43
1.24
2.23
2.07
0.87
0.80
0.74
0.29
1.34
1.22
1.13
1.05
1.66
1.55
1.42
1.29
PENN WEST PETROLEUM LTD
0.62
0.64
0.65
QEP RESOURCES INC
1.59
1.53
SUBSEA 7 SA
0.98
NABORS INDUSTRIES LTD
0.78
AMEC PLC
1.14
0.77
1.10
9.25
4.40
6.59
6.28
7.14
7.14
6.49
5.99
18.81
14.10
10.60
7.90
2.09
2.00
1.98
2.07
8.23
8.89
7.70
7.32
6.78
7.21
6.13
5.85
4.30
5.46
4.30
3.90
41.49
78.75
28.58
21.92
15.28
10.83
8.59
6.71
57.91
33.39
25.50
19.19
8.45
7.72
6.65
4.84
21.52
22.39
20.23
13.26
10.70
2.30
2.24
2.41
3.17
10.70
12.18
11.79
11.92
10.02
5.97
5.92
5.44
4.77
11.22
11.06
9.46
10.42
4.57
2.61
2.18
2.19
17.86
15.03
12.13
10.50
2.00
2.33
2.73
3.05
1.61
1.62
1.61
1.64
1.14
1.19
1.22
1.27
2.48
4.40
10.14
10.14
9.12
8.34
109.88
53.43
36.53
21.68
8.69
10.62
10.42
10.84
11.56
77.18
%D to Spot
84.29
5.4%
625875.00
40.2%
608.18
24.6%
14.23
16.5%
91.83
12.1%
4.29
15.10
12.6%
6.80
51.22
21.6%
70.10
12.9%
97.10
19.9%
1.59
2.33
3.91
3.59
3.07
3.25
9.25
7.86
6.52
5.83
9.67
6.46
5.58
4.67
43.67
14.14
10.54
9.09
6.89
7.18
6.51
6.49
10.02
10.12
9.44
9.72
8.94
8.83
8.13
7.74
13.50
14.91
13.56
12.67
2.26
2.31
2.45
2.58
15.59
-7.7%
9.87
7.87
5.76
5.01
18.45
14.04
8.64
7.02
8.27
1.41
1.93
2.48
3.05
5.10
46.29
18.0%
10.11
11.05
10.91
11.08
11.08
6.59
6.79
6.90
7.01
6.81
20.87
1.5%
61.50
62.03
32.69
11.80
11.80
0.55
0.55
0.77
2.77
2.73
9.17
15.4%
4.37
4.37
4.37
4.37
11.21
10.66
4.32
4.32
4.32
4.32
5.68
0.53
1.55
1.62
0.43
0.86
0.80
3.27
3.51
3.67
3.75
5.06
9.59
8.84
2.59
1.22
22.67
7.1%
48.18
15.7%
9.44
11.28
10.56
10.08
1.76
7.45
6.22
4.60
4.02
4.34
6.25
7.55
6.89
6.50
6.66
6.31
5.92
5.39
5.46
3.69
28.69
28.80
18.85
7.14
6.19
30.14
29.62
16.60
6.50
3.74
11.79
10.26
8.64
7.10
12.25
10.02
8.53
7.32
105.21
39.23
29.47
1.28
5.54
5.32
4.85
4.56
4.88
5.30
5.07
4.48
4.38
13.04
12.88
11.52
0.22
0.24
5.20
5.53
4.41
4.18
3.60
3.57
3.93
3.25
3.27
7.80
9.77
7.69
7.44
1.97
1.86
7.37
6.56
6.31
6.39
5.65
5.16
4.95
4.75
13.06
12.04
11.73
11.02
0.30
0.30
0.30
3.27
2.88
2.94
2.83
3.33
3.39
3.42
3.40
7.80
8.01
8.01
7.89
2.73
2.65
2.55
2.45
5.15
5.25
5.07
5.78
6.44
6.66
6.46
6.44
12.75
13.54
14.12
15.36
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.20
1.26
1.10
1.03
6.66
7.05
5.52
5.18
8.24
8.37
6.18
5.41
29.85
33.70
14.53
11.05
6.88
1.82
1.66
1.98
1.84
1.82
0.66
1.77
2.01
1.89
1.95
4.32
4.86
4.76
4.03
5.29
6.67
5.61
5.67
31.32
70.38
39.29
23.66
9.71
7.50
5.44
6.21
5.04
11.92
7.1%
1.37
1.23
2.33
1.83
1.64
1.66
4.24
3.71
3.23
2.99
6.32
5.45
4.88
4.23
23.77
19.69
16.67
12.86
0.27
0.27
0.27
0.27
37.50
27.0%
0.95
0.88
0.80
0.98
0.93
0.84
0.78
7.05
9.78
5.84
5.20
5.58
6.55
4.31
3.77
11.31
18.10
9.19
7.65
2.58
3.27
3.32
3.64
146.71
36.5%
0.76
0.71
0.65
0.69
0.75
0.70
0.64
2.99
3.34
2.95
2.69
4.35
4.95
4.39
3.87
9.44
16.58
11.64
8.72
0.00
0.34
0.28
0.20
18.15
12.2%
2.61
2.60
2.40
2.28
0.76
0.73
0.68
0.65
0.72
12.38
10.62
10.08
8.66
8.85
8.12
7.30
6.73
13.32
11.91
10.63
9.75
3.24
3.77
4.17
4.66
1216.25
17.5%
PETROFAC LTD
4.43
3.30
2.64
2.16
1.01
1.01
0.90
0.82
0.80
12.16
7.75
6.94
5.87
6.66
6.05
5.07
4.41
10.17
9.87
8.44
7.44
3.39
3.54
4.06
4.57
1651.67
31.4%
SAIPEM SPA
1.19
1.33
1.18
1.06
0.48
0.47
0.48
0.46
0.47
4.86
9.82
4.41
3.82
5.08
14.56
6.43
5.37
6.90
11.60
7.97
4.85
0.65
3.03
4.33
17.27
20.9%
DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING
2.11
2.04
1.83
1.59
3.26
3.19
2.47
2.16
2.17
8.73
9.17
6.68
5.74
7.43
7.61
5.03
4.37
5.02
5.02
5.01
5.12
76.59
9.7%
TONENGENERAL SEKIYU KK
1.50
1.14
1.16
1.12
0.19
0.18
0.17
0.17
37.27
6.21
7.20
6.36
17.10
9.75
10.46
10.27
3.95
3.95
3.95
3.95
981.43
1.9%
ROWAN COMPANIES PLC-A
0.97
0.92
0.84
0.73
3.17
2.84
2.27
1.76
1.68
9.66
7.90
5.74
4.19
10.04
8.63
6.06
4.34
4.02
39.31
10.7%
PEABODY ENERGY CORP
0.68
0.84
0.81
0.76
0.51
0.55
0.50
0.47
3.08
5.16
3.55
3.38
5.40
8.33
6.24
5.25
3.10
7.52
WORLEYPARSONS LTD
2.53
2.39
2.27
2.14
0.72
0.59
0.56
0.53
0.53
15.93
12.96
11.04
10.33
8.25
8.63
7.99
7.34
6.99
13.75
WPX ENERGY INC
0.71
0.75
0.74
1.48
1.26
1.09
1.12
4.50
4.99
3.75
5.78
6.00
4.77
4.67
NEWFIELD EXPLORATION CO
0.79
1.15
1.03
0.91
1.29
1.32
1.34
1.09
2.63
2.62
2.49
2.11
4.17
4.29
4.10
3.34
GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA
1.73
1.68
1.60
1.55
0.52
0.51
0.45
0.40
13.94
11.62
9.12
7.63
12.31
10.78
9.05
7.40
ENERPLUS CORP
1.05
1.05
1.06
1.06
2.47
2.13
1.99
1.74
5.11
4.28
4.23
3.82
6.86
5.57
5.08
4.80
CAIRN ENERGY PLC
0.98
0.69
0.71
0.86
1600.57
2400.85
160.06
0.69
1.99
1.47
0.75
0.26
0.74
0.45
3.56
6.07
3.58
8.02
3.64
3.52
5.76
6.06
3.00
4.24
3.98
4.55
17.9%
1.70
68.80
30.5%
0.91
70.80
7.5%
34.96
-2.1%
23.33
32.4%
42.10
52.9%
3.62
14.95
15.19
9.62
8.24
8.68
11.05
15.74
15.92
19.43
16.25
9.66
6.21
5.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14.86
8.58
2.76
2.25
2.26
2.29
2.33
2.24
25.68
68.9%
13.64
12.35
9.62
4.62
4.36
4.72
5.21
5.87
22.21
10.1%
14.92
8.37
6.5%
32.77
5.01
50.21 10.25
15.05
10.48
9.64
5.43
26.28
25.58
22.42
18.89
4.32
74.25
19.79
14.71
13.02
3.84
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
7.44
29.24 4.32
19.67
1.7%
34.33
37.9%
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
13.30
1.98
2.37
2.86
3.44
4.29
15.55
33.9%
7.91
10.20
6.80
6.80
6.80
6.80
17.94
12.9%
132.97
0.00
0.00
0.00
362.22
36.0%
08.07.2013
Exxon Mobil Corp Exxon Mobil Corporation operates petroleum and petrochemicals businesses on a worldwide basis. The Company's operations include exploration and production of oil and gas, electric power generation, and coal and minerals operations. Exxon Mobil also manufactures and markets fuels, lubricants, and chemicals.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.10.2012) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance XOM US EQUITY YTD Change XOM US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 93.67 82.83 3'765'289.00 92.4722 -1.37% 11.64% 80.63% 4'446.4 411'166.16 11'581.00 0.0 5'797.0 9'582.00 424'440.15
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
35.0 M 30.0 M 25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 425'071.0 0.89x 78'669.0 4.82x 45'220.0 9.22x
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 275'564.0 341'578.0 1.18x 1.10x 38'156.0 54'882.0 8.54x 6.87x 19'280.0 30'460.0 17.13x 11.76x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 433'526.0 0.95x 69'687.0 5.91x 41'060.0 10.07x
31.12.2012 420'714.0 0.94x 65'769.0 6.04x 44'880.0 11.45x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
65'769.00 49'881.00 11.86% 18.71% 13.12% 27.73% 26.10% 1.19% 15.6% 15.8% 11.9% 10.7% 1.01 0.69 3.47% 6.98% 11.59 21.88
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 442'887 3.59x 68'333.0 5.99x 39'860.0 10.47x
03/yy 406'354 4.01x 64'362.0 6.43x 44'930.0 11.26x
FY+1
2.47 0.96 4'436.05 43.89 11.94% 8.28% 0.963 29 3.552 12'619'148 13'816'058 13'457'486 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 426'521 435'712 105'381 106'388 1.00x 0.98x 4.03x 4.00x 79'465.6 81'220.2 16'175.7 17'745.2 5.34x 5.22x 5.87x 5.57x 35'530.3 35'530.9 8'618.4 8'957.1 11.57x 11.29x 11.68x 11.59x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
16.12.1985 AAA STABLE 16.12.1985 A-1+ 78.95 37.81 0.11 0.21 7.0% 6.3% 1.19 1.81 31.50 16.68 60.61 12.30
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
500'000.0 450'000.0
10.00
400'000.0 350'000.0
8.00
300'000.0 250'000.0
6.00
200'000.0 4.00
150'000.0 100'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
50'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Exxon Mobil Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN JP MORGAN FMR LLC BANK OF AMERICA CORP STATE FARM MUTUAL AU NORGES BANK T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE TIAA CREF INVESTMENT UBS STATE FARM MUTUAL AU GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP WELLS FARGO SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN
Firm Name Jefferies Barclays Raymond James Edward Jones Cowen and Company Tudor Pickering & Co Oppenheimer & Co Wells Fargo Securities, LLC ISI Group Howard Weil Inc Societe Generale Canaccord Genuity Corp Simmons & Company International VTB Capital Argus Research Corp Independent Research GmbH Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse Macquarie National Bank AG Deutsche Bank JPMorgan S&P Capital IQ Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a BANK OF AMERICA STATE FARM MUTUAL AU NORGES BANK T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT n/a STATE FARM MUTUAL AU n/a n/a n/a n/a
Analyst IAIN REID PAUL Y CHENG PAVEL MOLCHANOV BRIAN YOUNGBERG ASIT SEN ROBERT KESSLER FADEL GHEIT ROGER D READ DOUGLAS T TERRESON BLAKE FERNANDEZ JOHN HERRLIN GORDON GRAY JEFFREY A DIETERT COLIN SMITH JONATHAN GELCIUS SVEN DIERMEIER LEZE THAQI J EVAN CALIO EDWARD WESTLAKE JASON D GAMMEL MANFRED JAISFELD PAUL SANKEY KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD MICHAEL KAY ARJUN N MURTI CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG Sch-D ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation hold equalweight outperform hold outperform hold market perform market perform neutral sector perform buy hold overweight hold hold hold buy Underwt/In-Line neutral neutral hold hold neutral strong buy neutral/attractive buy
Amt Held 249'170'751 220'488'880 187'802'516 74'266'448 69'946'768 58'160'618 48'351'495 48'014'528 43'225'229 37'062'400 36'257'449 36'121'945 30'394'776 23'064'235 21'503'666 21'387'000 20'928'822 20'926'596 20'715'547 20'082'588
% Out 5.6 4.96 4.22 1.67 1.57 1.31 1.09 1.08 0.97 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.68 0.52 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.45
Weighting
Change 3 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 5 1 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 5
M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (77'903) 6'057'091 (5'490'947) 930'148 1'445'372 (3'571'856) (764'186) (6'314'268) 48'179 (363'986) 213'673 (455'610) 521'542 (16'109) (3'755'506) (429'094) 697'390 1'915'793
Target Price 90 102 96 #N/A N/A 102 82 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 95 97 103 95 #N/A N/A 90 #N/A N/A 94 #N/A N/A 85 90 99 95 96 96 104 91 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 07.06.2013 30.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 06.05.2013 06.05.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 12.04.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Chevron Corp Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company with operations in countries located around the world. The Company produces and transports crude oil and natural gas. Chevron also refines, markets, and distributes fuels as well as is involved in chemical operations, mining operations, power generation and energy services.
Price/Volume
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.05.2013) 52-Week Low (15.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CVX US EQUITY YTD Change CVX US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 127.40 100.66 1'617'422.00 122.18 -4.22% 21.38% 74.23% 1'939.0 236'904.31 12'192.00 0.0 1'308.0 21'205.00 234'759.31
16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M
80
10.0 M
60
8.0 M 6.0 M
40
4.0 M
20
2.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
18.0 M
120 100
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 255'112.0 0.58x 44'538.0 3.32x 23'931.0 6.50x
140
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 159'293.0 189'607.0 0.99x 0.96x 26'432.0 38'438.0 5.94x 4.71x 10'483.0 19'024.0 14.69x 9.76x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 236'286.0 0.87x 51'210.0 4.02x 26'895.0 7.92x
31.12.2012 222'580.0 0.91x 48'426.0 4.19x 26'179.0 8.41x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
48'426.00 35'013.00 15.73% 20.82% 11.45% 19.49% 0.96% 18.6% 21.2% 14.9% 11.8% 1.63 1.23 5.23% 8.93% 9.90 25.70
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
2.95 1.07 1'938.50 17.66 20.13% 14.79% 1.072 29 4.241 4'780'518 6'002'805 6'367'228 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 237'117.0 217'734.0 230'022.0 227'252.1 54'642.0 55'405.5 3.35x 3.90x 1.03x 1.06x 4.30x 4.26x 52'356.0 46'203.0 55'870.1 56'908.6 11'867.3 12'289.7 3.87x 4.96x 4.20x 4.12x 4.69x 4.46x 27'155.0 25'886.0 24'084.7 24'182.5 5'849.3 6'207.4 8.01x 9.16x 9.88x 9.74x 9.98x 9.89x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 01.07.1987 Long-Term Rating AA Long-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 01.07.1987 Short-Term Rating A-1+ Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA -0.08 Total Debt/EBITDA 0.31 Reference Total Debt/Equity 8.9% Total Debt/Capital 8.1% Asset Turnover 0.96 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.61 Accounts receivable turnover-days 36.86 Inventory Days 14.20 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 45.35 Cash Conversion Cycle 1.75 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
300'000.0
7.00
250'000.0
6.00
200'000.0
5.00 4.00
150'000.0
3.00
100'000.0
2.00
50'000.0 1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Chevron Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK STATE STREET VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL FMR LLC JP MORGAN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FRANKLIN RESOURCES BANK OF AMERICA CORP NORGES BANK STATE FARM MUTUAL AU GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL WELLS FARGO INVESCO LTD TIAA CREF INVESTMENT SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I
Firm Name Jefferies Barclays Edward Jones JPMorgan Morgan Stanley Raymond James Cowen and Company Tudor Pickering & Co Oppenheimer & Co Wells Fargo Securities, LLC ISI Group Howard Weil Inc Societe Generale Canaccord Genuity Corp Argus Research Corp Simmons & Company International VTB Capital Independent Research GmbH Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Macquarie S&P Capital IQ Oracle Investment Research EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a BANK OF AMERICA NORGES BANK STATE FARM MUTUAL AU GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL n/a n/a TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT n/a
Analyst IAIN REID PAUL Y CHENG BRIAN YOUNGBERG KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD J EVAN CALIO PAVEL MOLCHANOV ASIT SEN ROBERT KESSLER FADEL GHEIT ROGER D READ DOUGLAS T TERRESON BLAKE FERNANDEZ JOHN HERRLIN GORDON GRAY JONATHAN GELCIUS JEFFREY A DIETERT COLIN SMITH SVEN DIERMEIER LEZE THAQI EDWARD WESTLAKE PAUL SANKEY JASON D GAMMEL MICHAEL KAY LAURENCE BALTER CRAIG STERLING ARJUN N MURTI
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG
Recommendation hold equalweight buy neutral Overwt/In-Line outperform outperform hold outperform outperform buy sector outperform hold buy buy overweight hold hold buy outperform buy outperform strong buy hold buy neutral/attractive
Amt Held 120'672'728 104'159'082 98'040'555 78'133'034 37'588'506 31'537'302 31'438'900 29'333'821 23'728'375 23'323'815 18'387'731 16'787'056 16'404'385 16'281'400 13'180'196 12'648'021 12'416'713 11'559'439 11'426'378 11'329'103
% Out 6.22 5.37 5.06 4.03 1.94 1.63 1.62 1.51 1.22 1.2 0.95 0.87 0.85 0.84 0.68 0.65 0.64 0.6 0.59 0.58
Weighting
Change 3 3 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3
M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M
Latest Chg 482'591 (3'271'806) 3'489'417 (2'626'304) 751'186 1'159'770 978'505 (4'658'064) (439'218) (391'890) (369'205) 14'943 234'047 (95'262) 452'568 (272'287) 1'002'097 (766'314)
Target Price 135 145 #N/A N/A 121 135 125 133 125 140 #N/A N/A 130 140 126 136 140 #N/A N/A 120 127 #N/A N/A 135 140 148 142 110 #N/A N/A 125
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 18 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 07.06.2013 30.05.2013 17.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 29.04.2013 28.04.2013 27.04.2013 26.04.2013 01.02.2013 16.01.2013 13.12.2012
08.07.2013
BP PLC BP plc is an oil and petrochemicals company. The Company explores for and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals. BP's chemicals include terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene and polyethylene.
Price/Volume
60.0 M 50.0 M 40.0 M
300
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.05.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 08.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BP/ LN EQUITY YTD Change BP/ LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 485.00 416.35 8'691'133.00 461.15 -4.87% 10.76% 54.84% 18'935.8 87'322.28 48'797.00 0.0 1'206.0 20'114.00 149'607.76
30.0 M
200
20.0 M
100
10.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 239'272.0 297'107.0 0.87x 0.55x 33'392.0 38'497.0 6.24x 4.22x 16'578.0 (3'719.0) 10.95x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 375'517.0 0.44x 45'796.0 3.63x 25'700.0 5.25x
31.12.2012 375'580.0 0.43x 20'442.0 7.92x 11'582.0 11.34x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
20'442.00 7'961.00 2.12% 5.01% 7.33% 18.17% 13.83% 1.21% 11.6% 6.1% 2.5% 3.1% 1.37 0.59 16.26% 41.21% 11.12
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
5.08 1.01 18'932.89 13.15% 11.37% 1.005 35 3.457 21'941'600 24'226'440 23'507'340 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 385'066.0 370'933.0 337'718.1 333'192.6 90'913.0 89'583.0 1.69x 1.73x 0.46x 0.47x 1.64x 1.70x 43'743.0 22'513.0 40'888.7 40'633.5 9'840.0 9'800.0 3.97x 6.79x 3.66x 3.68x 3.61x 3.49x 24'213.0 22'530.0 16'843.0 18'008.4 3'916.3 4'275.3 5.79x 5.93x 8.28x 7.42x 8.16x 7.74x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 24.09.2010 Long-Term Rating A Long-Term Outlook POS Short-Term Rating Date 24.09.2010 Short-Term Rating A-1 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 13.60 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -1.75 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.80 Total Debt/EBITDA 2.06 Reference Total Debt/Equity 41.2% Total Debt/Capital 29.0% Asset Turnover 1.21 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 3.01 Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days 32.83 Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle 23.17 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00
400'000.0
16.00
350'000.0
14.00
300'000.0
12.00
250'000.0
10.00
200'000.0
8.00
150'000.0
6.00
100'000.0
4.00
50'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
70.0 M
500 400
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 361'143.0 0.47x 41'761.0 4.05x 21'157.0 6.81x
600
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
BP PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK LEGAL & GENERAL CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN SCOTTISH WIDOWS NORGES BANK INVESTME NORGES BANK FRANKLIN RESOURCES STATE STREET UBS PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF KUWAIT INVESTMENT AU PRUDENTIAL PLC FIL LIMITED STANDARD LIFE INVEST VANGUARD GROUP INC VANGUARD GROUP INC AVIVA INVESTORS AXA SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I HSBC INVESTMENTS UK
Firm Name Jyske Bank Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Natixis AlphaValue Barclays Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs Raymond James Societe Generale EVA Dimensions Macquarie Canaccord Genuity Corp Simmons & Company International VSA Capital Ltd VTB Capital Grupo Santander HSBC Morgan Stanley Investec Credit Suisse Nomura Liberum Capital Ltd RBC Capital Markets Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Independent Research GmbH S&P Capital IQ Oriel Securities Ltd Day by Day JPMorgan Tudor Pickering & Co National Bank AG
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst ROBERT JAKOBSEN IAIN REID OSWALD CLINT ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS ANNE PUMIR ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER RAHIM KARIM LUCAS HERRMANN MICHELE DELLA VIGNA BERTRAND HODEE IRENE HIMONA DOUG WALTERS JASON D GAMMEL GORDON GRAY JEFFREY A DIETERT DOUGIE YOUNGSON COLIN SMITH JASON KENNEY PAUL SPEDDING MARTIJN P RATS NEILL MORTON KIM FUSTIER THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM ANDREW WHITTOCK PETER HUTTON JENS MUENSTERMANN SVEN DIERMEIER CHRISTINE TISCARENO RICHARD GRIFFITH VALERIE GASTALDY FREDERICK G LUCAS ROBERT KESSLER MANFRED JAISFELD
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG MF-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG
Recommendation buy hold market perform outperform neutral reduce underweight buy neutral/cautious market perform hold hold outperform hold overweight sell hold hold overweight Underwt/In-Line hold neutral neutral hold sector perform buy buy hold hold hold overweight accumulate buy
Amt Held 1'027'123'894 700'995'663 609'649'091 509'487'680 440'435'909 431'404'955 368'458'395 350'954'775 347'934'575 341'051'304 328'143'792 308'914'530 254'181'992 239'057'923 230'954'783 217'288'300 175'533'364 158'899'366 148'653'609 136'057'977
% Out 5.42 3.7 3.22 2.69 2.33 2.28 1.95 1.85 1.84 1.8 1.73 1.63 1.34 1.26 1.22 1.15 0.93 0.84 0.79 0.72
Weighting
Change 5 3 3 5 3 2 1 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 1 3 3 5 1 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 4 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (20'586'090) 6'239'196 (1'478'376) (6'873'457) 7'001'866 18'858'108 7'324'940 (868'987) 12'164'861 (1'652'884) 16'814'344 9'479'174 6'799'667 299'144 (11'905'558) 7'560'582
Target Price 540 500 490 575 490 450 475 500 490 #N/A N/A 500 #N/A N/A 550 500 #N/A N/A 400 490 530 540 452 440 485 460 445 530 530 540 595 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 525 500 700
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 31.12.2012 01.05.2013 05.07.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 31.03.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 01.05.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Unclassified Government Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Government Government Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 11.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 15.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 03.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 20.02.2013 19.12.2012 15.10.2012 14.04.2010
08.07.2013
Royal Dutch Shell PLC Royal Dutch Shell PLC, through subsidiaries, explores for, produces, and refines petroleum. The Company produces fuels, chemicals, and lubricants. Shell owns and operates gasoline filling stations worldwide.
Price/Volume 2500
14.0 M 12.0 M
2000
10.0 M
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (30.01.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance RDSA LN EQUITY YTD Change RDSA LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 2'323.50 2'026.00 1'784'624.00 2136.5 -8.07% 5.45% 27.06% 3'821.6 138'175.75 37'754.00 0.0 1'433.0 18'550.00 226'029.76
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
1000
6.0 M 4.0 M
500
2.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 278'188.0 368'056.0 0.76x 0.65x 29'079.0 41'839.0 7.28x 5.69x 12'518.0 20'127.0 14.87x 10.16x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 470'171.0 0.56x 55'943.0 4.73x 30'918.0 7.39x
31.12.2012 467'153.0 0.52x 52'114.0 4.65x 26'592.0 8.12x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
52'114.00 37'499.00 8.03% 10.76% 7.36% 15.05% 12.92% 1.30% 15.2% 11.3% 7.9% 5.7% 1.18 0.61 10.48% 20.03% 6.33 11.84
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13 a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
5.45 1.01 3'820.00 2.56% 3.35% 1.008 28 3.964 3'572'032 3'527'213 3'178'446 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 480'168.0 460'043.0 439'547.7 441'403.7 117'711.7 120'345.0 2.02x 2.05x 0.53x 0.53x 1.92x 1.88x 56'226.0 51'878.0 61'246.4 63'071.9 4.33x 4.33x 3.69x 3.58x 30'875.0 26'049.0 26'560.6 27'322.5 5'824.0 6'403.0 7.04x 7.80x 7.59x 7.49x 7.94x 7.86x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 03.09.2009 Long-Term Rating AA Long-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 06.03.1990 Short-Term Rating A-1+ Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 22.42 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 8.41 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.35 Total Debt/EBITDA 0.69 Reference Total Debt/Equity 20.0% Total Debt/Capital 16.6% Asset Turnover 1.30 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.74 Accounts receivable turnover-days 57.68 Inventory Days 30.82 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 74.95 Cash Conversion Cycle 22.13 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
500'000.0
9.00
450'000.0
8.00
400'000.0
7.00
350'000.0
6.00
300'000.0
5.00 4.00
250'000.0 200'000.0
3.00
150'000.0
2.00
100'000.0
1.00
50'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 458'361.0 0.37x 57'301.0 2.98x 26'277.0 6.16x
1500
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Royal Dutch Shell PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK LEGAL & GENERAL NORGES BANK AXA INVESTMENT MANAG SCOTTISH WIDOWS STATE STREET PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF VANGUARD GROUP INC SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I FIL LIMITED GOVT OF SINGAPORE IN UBS VANGUARD GROUP INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES BP INVESTMENT MANAGE ABERDEEN BNP PARIBAS INV PART JP MORGAN NORTHERN TRUST GLOBA HALIFAX FUND MANAGEM
Firm Name Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Natixis Tudor Pickering & Co Barclays Deutsche Bank AlphaValue ING Bank RBC Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Macquarie Canaccord Genuity Corp Day by Day Simmons & Company International HSBC Morgan Stanley Raymond James Independent Research GmbH Hamburger Sparkasse Investec Credit Suisse Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Oriel Securities Ltd JPMorgan National Bank AG VSA Capital Ltd Theodoor Gilissen Securities VTB Capital S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios AXA EUROPE ACTIONS n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios HALIFAX INCOME FUND
Analyst IAIN REID OSWALD CLINT ANNE PUMIR ROBERT KESSLER RAHIM KARIM LUCAS HERRMANN ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER QUIRIJN MULDER PETER HUTTON DOUG WALTERS JASON D GAMMEL GORDON GRAY VALERIE GASTALDY JEFFREY A DIETERT PAUL SPEDDING MARTIJN P RATS BERTRAND HODEE SVEN DIERMEIER INGO SCHMIDT NEILL MORTON KIM FUSTIER JENS MUENSTERMANN RICHARD GRIFFITH FREDERICK G LUCAS MANFRED JAISFELD DOUGIE YOUNGSON JOS VERSTEEG COLIN SMITH CHRISTINE TISCARENO
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG MF-PART
Recommendation buy market perform buy buy equalweight hold reduce buy outperform buy outperform buy hold overweight neutral not rated market perform hold buy buy outperform buy buy underweight buy not rated buy hold hold
Amt Held 190'130'247 190'081'772 151'294'420 102'606'243 73'583'565 56'189'085 53'994'386 46'983'833 46'366'072 41'228'790 39'320'478 39'229'525 35'703'705 27'628'893 22'400'138 19'778'981 18'268'458 17'522'437 17'188'582 15'753'161
% Out 4.98 4.97 3.96 2.68 1.93 1.47 1.41 1.23 1.21 1.08 1.03 1.03 0.93 0.72 0.59 0.52 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.41
Weighting
Change
5 3 5 5 3 3 2 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 #N/A N/A 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 #N/A N/A 5 3 3
M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M N D
Latest Chg 13'987'593 102'606'243 (4'245'147) 4'789'487 3'837'442 3'859'578 424'380 9'532'543 (349'371) 530'743 868'999 1'219'004 621'606 612'258 (3'985'722) 895'623 15'753'161
Target Price 2'450 2'300 2'600 2'900 2'500 2'400 2'050 2'804 2'580 #N/A N/A 2'500 2'650 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 2'550 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 2'274 #N/A N/A 2'550 2'500 2'580 #N/A N/A 2'400 2'824 #N/A N/A 2'722 2'500 2'315
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 17.06.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 01.04.2013 05.07.2013 01.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 31.03.2013 01.04.2013 31.05.2013 01.04.2013 31.05.2013 01.04.2013 30.04.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month
Inst Type Investment Advisor Unclassified Government Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 24.06.2013 14.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 20.05.2013 16.05.2013 14.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 15.03.2013 31.01.2013 04.12.2012 02.10.2012 27.09.2012 03.10.2011
08.07.2013
Total SA Total SA explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. Total operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.
Price/Volume 45
16.0 M
40
14.0 M
35
12.0 M
30
10.0 M
25
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (26.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance FP FP EQUITY YTD Change FP FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 42.00 34.51 2'698'585.00 38.105 -9.38% 10.43% 35.78% 2'376.7 90'565.50 33'290.00 0.0 1'281.0 17'031.00 111'925.50
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
6.0 M
15 10
4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 112'153.0 140'476.0 1.03x 0.74x 22'234.0 28'045.0 5.22x 3.72x 8'447.0 10'571.0 11.87x 8.38x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 166'550.0 0.65x 32'919.0 3.28x 12'276.0 7.23x
31.12.2012 182'299.0 0.58x 32'343.0 3.27x 10'694.0 8.23x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
32'343.00 21'862.00 11.99% 13.11% 4.99% 11.93% 8.51% 1.05% 16.9% 11.1% 5.9% 1.38 0.74 19.37% 45.66% 8.01 -
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
6.19 0.89 2'045.62 12.25% 0.81% 0.886 35 3.971 4'074'461 4'946'176 4'760'806 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 171'723.0 179'458.0 177'401.4 179'357.7 42'210.7 43'918.7 2.38x 2.31x 0.62x 0.62x 2.59x 2.48x 32'831.0 30'326.0 32'532.6 34'047.2 8'431.0 9'382.0 3.19x 3.49x 3.44x 3.29x 3.09x 3.04x 11'998.0 8'569.0 11'630.2 12'028.5 2'725.3 3'193.0 7.19x 9.86x 7.53x 7.34x 7.52x 7.42x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 12.04.2011 Long-Term Rating AALong-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 13.09.1999 Short-Term Rating A-1+ Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 48.20 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 18.54 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.65 Total Debt/EBITDA 1.11 Reference Total Debt/Equity 45.7% Total Debt/Capital 31.0% Asset Turnover 1.05 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.64 Accounts receivable turnover-days 45.57 Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
200'000.0
7.00
180'000.0 160'000.0
6.00
140'000.0
5.00
120'000.0
4.00
100'000.0 80'000.0
3.00
60'000.0
2.00
40'000.0
1.00
20'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 160'331.0 0.62x 29'887.0 3.32x 10'590.0 8.21x
8.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Total SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name AMUNDI TOTAL SA GROUPE BRUXELLES LAM QATAR HOLDINGS LLC NORGES BANK NATIONALE A PORTEFEU BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC AMUNDI CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FRANKLIN RESOURCES FIRST EAGLE INVESTME NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL AVIVA PLC AHORRO CORP GESTION LBPAM THORNBURG INVESTMENT ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE MERCURY ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Natixis Barclays Deutsche Bank AlphaValue Raymond James Oddo & Cie Tudor Pickering & Co Canaccord Genuity Corp Societe Generale EVA Dimensions JPMorgan Macquarie CM - CIC Securities(ESN) Simmons & Company International VTB Capital Morgan Stanley HSBC Grupo Santander RBC Capital Markets Independent Research GmbH Nomura Investec Credit Suisse Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg S&P Capital IQ Hamburger Sparkasse Day by Day Goldman Sachs Banco Sabadell
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios AHORRO CORPORACION E Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst IAIN REID OSWALD CLINT ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS ANNE PUMIR LYDIA RAINFORTH LUCAS HERRMANN ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER BERTRAND HODEE AHMED BEN SALEM ROBERT KESSLER GORDON GRAY IRENE HIMONA DOUG WALTERS NITIN SHARMA JASON D GAMMEL JEAN-LUC ROMAIN JEFFREY A DIETERT COLIN SMITH MARTIJN P RATS PAUL SPEDDING JASON KENNEY PETER HUTTON SVEN DIERMEIER THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM NEILL MORTON KIM FUSTIER JENS MUENSTERMANN CHRISTINE TISCARENO INGO SCHMIDT VALERIE GASTALDY MICHELE DELLA VIGNA JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL
Source 13G 20F 20F Research Research 20F ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy outperform outperform buy underweight buy reduce market perform buy accumulate buy buy buy overweight neutral buy overweight buy Equalwt/In-Line overweight buy outperform hold neutral hold neutral buy buy hold hold Sell/Cautious buy
Amt Held 180'919'481 108'732'635 94'636'768 47'275'059 47'038'683 33'122'869 28'345'397 24'613'220 18'026'831 16'544'065 15'880'307 12'197'782 11'704'762 10'969'880 10'451'098 10'020'846 7'850'360 7'497'100 7'415'641 6'575'642
% Out 7.61 4.57 3.98 1.99 1.98 1.39 1.19 1.04 0.76 0.7 0.67 0.51 0.49 0.46 0.44 0.42 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.28
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 1 5 2 3 5 4 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 1 5
M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D D M M
Latest Chg 559'401 (2'333'425) 819'306 1'195'922 2'174'188 (3'190'535) (79'501) 5'052'441 (4'002'760) 274'796 9'988'607 4'635 1'013'900 826'094 103'880
Target Price 48 52 48 47 43 42 36 #N/A N/A 50 45 45 47 #N/A N/A 49 42 54 #N/A N/A 50 41 46 45 44 40 40 37 44 45 48 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 42 47
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Corporation 31.12.2012 Holding Company 14.03.2012 Government 31.12.2011 Government 31.12.2012 Private Equity 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 28.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 28.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 12.06.2013 11.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 03.06.2013 23.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 30.04.2013 29.04.2013 29.04.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 16.04.2013 04.04.2013 20.03.2013 15.02.2013
08.07.2013
Schlumberger Ltd Schlumberger Limited is an oil services company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides a wide range of services, including technology, project management and information solutions to the international petroleum industry as well as advanced acquisition and data processing surveys.
Price/Volume 90
30.0 M
80
25.0 M
70 60
20.0 M
50
12/2012 03/yy 82.00 64.19 1'426'066.00 75.17 -8.35% 17.11% 55.59% 1'329.5 99'934.76 11'630.00 0.0 107.0 6'274.00 105'594.76
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
30
10.0 M
20
5.0 M
10 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 27'162.9 1.92x 8'966.9 5.82x 5'434.8 9.41x
15.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.02.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SLB US EQUITY YTD Change SLB US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 22'702.0 27'447.0 3.47x 4.26x 6'596.0 7'133.0 11.94x 16.40x 3'134.0 4'267.0 23.41x 30.05x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 36'959.0 2.61x 9'794.0 9.84x 4'997.0 18.91x
31.12.2012 42'149.0 2.31x 11'020.0 8.85x 5'490.0 16.64x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
11'020.00 7'520.00 17.84% 17.06% 9.25% 16.02% 12.85% 0.73% 21.6% 26.0% 17.8% 13.0% 1.95 1.43 18.90% 33.47% 3.92 6.68
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 38'755.0 10.40x 10'301.0 9.66x 5'355.0 18.02x
03/yy 42'898.0 9.29x 11'165.0 9.42x 5'448.0 17.59x
FY+1
1.51 1.37 1'326.11 12.38 17.18% 9.36% 1.367 39 4.590 5'202'895 6'615'820 6'900'626 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 45'666.1 50'817.5 11'123.5 11'585.8 2.28x 1.98x 9.50x 9.07x 12'245.3 14'001.1 2'989.6 3'181.2 8.61x 7.53x 8.22x 7.95x 6'223.4 7'532.9 1'480.4 1'621.9 16.12x 13.25x 15.23x 14.46x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
11.12.2002 A+ STABLE 11.12.2002 A-1 32.41 18.60 0.50 0.99 33.5% 25.0% 0.73 3.05 93.18 54.66 82.34 54.51
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
45'000.0 40'000.0
20.00
35'000.0 30'000.0
15.00
25'000.0 20'000.0
10.00
15'000.0 10'000.0
5.00
5'000.0 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Schlumberger Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN STATE STREET DODGE & COX BANK OF NEW YORK MEL T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA JP MORGAN FMR LLC NORTHERN TRUST CORPO THORNBURG INVESTMENT SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE MANNING & NAPIER ADV NORGES BANK SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I JENNISON ASSOCIATES WELLS FARGO GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP UBS BANK OF AMERICA CORP
Firm Name Credit Suisse Edward Jones Susquehanna Financial Group Howard Weil Inc JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group HSBC Cowen and Company Societe Generale Stephens Inc Morgan Stanley Raymond James Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Global Hunter Securities Argus Research Corp Johnson Rice & Co Macquarie Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Capital One Southcoast, Inc. FBR Capital Markets Guggenheim Securities LLC RS Platou Markets Deutsche Bank Sterne, Agee & Leach EVA Dimensions RBC Capital Markets William Blair & Co Barclays S&P Capital IQ Tudor Pickering & Co Goldman Sachs Oracle Investment Research
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a DODGE & COX BANK OF NEW YORK MEL T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO THORNBURG INVESTMENT SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE MANNING & NAPIER ADV NORGES BANK n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES n/a n/a n/a BANK OF AMERICA
Analyst JAMES WICKLUND BRIAN YOUNGBERG CHARLES P MINERVINO WILLIAM SANCHEZ J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY DAVID PHILLIPS JAMES D CRANDELL EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO JOHN KELLER OLE SLORER J MARSHALL ADKINS MATTHEW D CONLAN BRIAN UHLMER JONATHAN GELCIUS DANIEL BURKE NIGEL BROWNE LEZE THAQI LUKE M LEMOINE MEGAN REPINE MICHAEL K LAMOTTE TURNER HOLM MICHAEL W URBAN STEPHEN D GENGARO CRAIG STERLING KURT HALLEAD BRANDON DOBELL JAMES C WEST STEWART GLICKMAN JEFF TILLERY WAQAR SYED LAURENCE BALTER
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation neutral buy Positive focus list overweight outperform outperform buy strong buy overweight outperform buy overweight Overwt/In-Line outperform outperform neutral buy equalweight outperform buy add outperform buy buy buy buy underweight outperform market perform overweight hold buy buy/attractive strong buy
Amt Held 80'904'490 61'838'785 56'261'294 55'154'695 34'238'544 28'282'914 25'578'694 24'029'890 22'606'694 21'318'603 15'399'133 14'688'324 12'743'364 12'026'446 11'961'096 11'732'150 11'649'113 11'560'502 11'175'673 10'788'080
% Out 6.09 4.65 4.23 4.15 2.58 2.13 1.92 1.81 1.7 1.6 1.16 1.1 0.96 0.9 0.9 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.81
Weighting
Change 3 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 3 5 3 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M U M M M M M U U
Latest Chg 3'503'199 1'709'323 3'073'215 198'147 (557'608) 907'168 (3'130'083) 2'792'073 3'080'413 328'640 (1'103'002) 2'529'362 777'715 (231'514) 2'624'316 1'703'405 (319'145) (227'370) 99'655
Target Price 79 #N/A N/A 86 91 97 96 85 86 92 92 93 90 99 92 77 #N/A N/A 80 90 #N/A N/A 91 #N/A N/A 90 93 87 85 91 93 #N/A N/A 85 #N/A N/A 103 81 #N/A N/A 95 95
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor
Date 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 24.06.2013 14.06.2013 14.06.2013 30.05.2013 13.05.2013 10.05.2013 09.05.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 23.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 21.04.2013 21.04.2013 20.04.2013 19.04.2013 19.04.2013 19.04.2013 20.09.2012 12.09.2012 26.07.2012 20.07.2012
08.07.2013
Royal Dutch Shell PLC Royal Dutch Shell PLC, through subsidiaries, explores for, produces, and refines petroleum. The Company produces fuels, chemicals, and lubricants. Shell owns and operates gasoline filling stations worldwide.
Price/Volume 2500
14.0 M 12.0 M
2000
10.0 M
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (30.01.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance RDSB LN EQUITY YTD Change RDSB LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 2'374.50 2'092.50 2'240'579.00 2226.5 -6.25% 6.40% 35.46% 2'538.8 138'175.75 37'754.00 0.0 1'433.0 18'550.00 226'029.76
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
1000
6.0 M 4.0 M
500
2.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 278'188.0 368'056.0 0.76x 0.65x 29'079.0 41'839.0 7.28x 5.69x 12'518.0 20'127.0 14.87x 10.16x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 470'171.0 0.56x 55'943.0 4.73x 30'918.0 7.39x
31.12.2012 467'153.0 0.52x 52'114.0 4.65x 26'592.0 8.12x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
52'114.00 37'499.00 8.03% 10.76% 7.36% 15.05% 12.92% 1.30% 15.2% 11.3% 7.9% 5.7% 1.18 0.61 10.48% 20.03% 6.33 11.84
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13 a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
5.23 0.98 2'537.35 2.96% 5.02% 0.982 18 3.333 3'868'957 4'572'205 4'551'393 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 480'168.0 460'043.0 439'547.7 441'403.7 117'711.7 120'345.0 2.02x 2.05x 0.53x 0.53x 1.92x 1.88x 56'226.0 51'878.0 61'246.4 63'071.9 4.33x 4.33x 3.69x 3.58x 30'875.0 26'049.0 26'560.6 27'322.5 5'824.0 6'403.0 7.04x 7.80x 7.91x 7.81x 8.27x 8.19x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 03.09.2009 Long-Term Rating AA Long-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 06.03.1990 Short-Term Rating A-1+ Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 22.42 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 8.41 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.35 Total Debt/EBITDA 0.69 Reference Total Debt/Equity 20.0% Total Debt/Capital 16.6% Asset Turnover 1.30 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.74 Accounts receivable turnover-days 57.68 Inventory Days 30.82 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 74.95 Cash Conversion Cycle 22.13 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
500'000.0
9.00
450'000.0
8.00
400'000.0
7.00
350'000.0
6.00
300'000.0
5.00 4.00
250'000.0 200'000.0
3.00
150'000.0
2.00
100'000.0
1.00
50'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 458'361.0 0.37x 57'301.0 2.98x 26'277.0 6.16x
1500
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Royal Dutch Shell PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK LEGAL & GENERAL CREDIT SUISSE PRIVAT CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN SCOTTISH WIDOWS NORGES BANK INVESTME VANGUARD GROUP INC PRUDENTIAL PLC QATAR INVESTMENT AUT STATE STREET PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF UBS VANGUARD GROUP INC AXA FRANKLIN RESOURCES ABERDEEN STANDARD LIFE INVEST BREWIN DOLPHIN LIMIT NEWTON INV MGMT BNP PARIBAS INV PART
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Barclays Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs RBC Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Canaccord Genuity Corp VTB Capital HSBC Grupo Santander Societe Generale Nomura Liberum Capital Ltd VSA Capital Ltd JPMorgan Morgan Stanley Natixis
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst OSWALD CLINT ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS RAHIM KARIM LUCAS HERRMANN MICHELE DELLA VIGNA PETER HUTTON DOUG WALTERS GORDON GRAY COLIN SMITH PAUL SPEDDING JASON KENNEY IRENE HIMONA THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM ANDREW WHITTOCK DOUGIE YOUNGSON FREDERICK G LUCAS MARTIJN P RATS ANNE PUMIR
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG MF-AGG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG REG REG ULT-AGG
Recommendation market perform neutral equalweight hold Sell/Cautious outperform buy buy hold neutral underweight buy buy hold not rated underweight Overwt/In-Line buy
Amt Held 176'509'095 106'994'216 75'072'197 73'734'073 73'172'568 60'910'755 52'290'668 45'067'458 44'703'170 44'512'351 42'617'883 37'761'523 37'580'492 36'571'995 36'442'167 35'674'371 32'468'572 27'054'854 25'052'674 23'233'732
% Out 6.95 4.21 2.96 2.9 2.88 2.4 2.06 1.78 1.76 1.75 1.68 1.49 1.48 1.44 1.44 1.41 1.28 1.07 0.99 0.92
Weighting
Change
3 3 3 3 1 5 5 5 3 3 1 5 5 3 #N/A N/A 1 5 5
M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M D M M
Latest Chg 1'014'963 124'992 (18'228'650) (9'654'149) 1'389'920 2'700'000 (4'521'292) 3'247'205 2'719'064 2'588'793 2'841'652 2'556'347 (1'957'966) 4'236'819 (591'731) (337'523) 5'075'128 2'372'475
Target Price 2'300 2'350 2'500 2'400 2'240 2'580 #N/A N/A 2'650 2'500 2'530 2'440 2'700 2'500 2'310 #N/A N/A 2'400 2'500 2'600
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 16.05.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 31.03.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 05.07.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 31.05.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Unclassified Bank Investment Advisor Unclassified Government Investment Advisor Unclassified Government Investment Advisor Government Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 14.06.2013 07.06.2013 30.05.2013 15.05.2013 14.05.2013 07.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 15.03.2013 27.02.2013 01.02.2013
08.07.2013
ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, liquefied natural gas and bitumen on a worldwide basis.
Price/Volume 70
25.0 M
60
20.0 M
50
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance COP US EQUITY YTD Change COP US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 64.77 52.84 1'496'655.00 63.1921 -2.46% 19.59% 79.39% 1'222.7 77'262.53 21'725.00 0.0 440.0 3'618.00 93'924.53
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15.0 M
30
10.0 M
20 5.0 M
10 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 225'424.0 0.46x 35'740.0 2.92x (16'998.0) 4.81x
40
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 136'016.0 175'752.0 0.77x 0.63x 4'281.0 22'655.0 24.43x 4.91x 4'414.0 11'358.0 16.11x 12.53x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 64'196.0 1.72x 21'649.0 5.10x 12'436.0 11.43x
31.12.2012 57'967.0 1.54x 19'396.0 4.60x 8'428.0 10.60x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
19'396.00 12'816.00 22.11% 26.61% 5.44% 13.23% 9.64% 0.42% 27.3% 34.4% 22.9% 14.5% 1.38 0.72 18.55% 45.27% 4.80 39.78
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 64'230.0 7.03x 20'695.0 5.84x 12'345.0 12.18x
03/yy 58'243.0 6.17x 20'040.0 4.50x 7'630.0 10.71x
FY+1
7.31 0.98 1'220.31 24.79 20.73% 11.37% 0.981 26 3.615 5'207'682 5'559'575 6'405'826 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 50'281.6 52'170.5 11'548.1 11'680.6 1.79x 1.74x 7.89x 7.97x 21'777.4 23'576.2 5'016.7 5'023.4 4.31x 3.98x 4.45x 4.37x 6'906.0 7'811.2 1'541.1 1'633.7 11.46x 10.18x 11.27x 10.74x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
07.02.2012 A STABLE 07.02.2012 A-1 14.65 3.95 0.81 1.08 45.3% 31.0% 0.42 0.73 76.07 9.18 125.13 -30.26
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00
250'000.0
5.00
200'000.0
4.00
150'000.0
3.00
100'000.0 2.00
50'000.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
ConocoPhillips Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN STATE STREET JP MORGAN BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY I BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO IVY MANAGEMENT INCOR DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV WELLS FARGO AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL NORGES BANK LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT FEDERATED INVESTORS FIRST EAGLE INVESTME WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE
Firm Name Jefferies Barclays ISI Group Tudor Pickering & Co Edward Jones Raymond James Oppenheimer & Co Howard Weil Inc Societe Generale Deutsche Bank Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Simmons & Company International EVA Dimensions Argus Research Corp Credit Suisse JPMorgan Macquarie Cowen and Company Alembic Global Advisors Goldman Sachs RBC Capital Markets Morgan Stanley S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO IVY INVESTMENT MANAG n/a n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL NORGES BANK LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT FEDERATED INVESTORS FIRST EAGLE INVESTME WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE
Analyst IAIN REID PAUL Y CHENG DOUGLAS T TERRESON ROBERT KESSLER BRIAN YOUNGBERG PAVEL MOLCHANOV FADEL GHEIT BLAKE FERNANDEZ JOHN HERRLIN PAUL SANKEY ROGER D READ JEFFREY A DIETERT CRAIG STERLING JONATHAN GELCIUS EDWARD WESTLAKE KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD JASON D GAMMEL ASIT SEN JAMES J SULLIVAN ARJUN N MURTI SCOTT HANOLD J EVAN CALIO MICHAEL KAY
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation hold overweight buy hold hold underperform outperform sector perform buy hold outperform neutral buy buy neutral overweight neutral hold overweight neutral/attractive outperform Underwt/Attractive buy
Amt Held 73'418'110 56'668'755 54'773'394 51'097'292 25'696'739 24'123'911 22'968'900 21'672'260 21'452'195 18'451'657 15'722'388 11'119'986 10'235'079 10'126'106 9'343'737 9'078'430 8'905'301 8'851'703 8'462'585 8'296'045
% Out 6 4.63 4.48 4.18 2.1 1.97 1.88 1.77 1.75 1.51 1.29 0.91 0.84 0.83 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.69 0.68
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 3 3 1 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 1 5
M M M M D M M D M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 2'241'785 2'100'148 6'268'067 (123'032) 8'632'468 359'043 8'945'813 382'162 829'790 418'657 289'253 493'057 (2'319) (161'396) 127'055 45'400 (1'327'666) 206'915
Target Price 65 80 64 61 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 70 64 68 62 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 65 70 70 64 #N/A N/A 72 64 63 58 64
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 18 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 06.06.2013 31.05.2013 16.05.2013 01.05.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 16.04.2013 12.04.2013 19.03.2013 31.01.2013 31.01.2013
08.07.2013
Occidental Petroleum Corp Occidental Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas. The Company also manufactures and markets a variety of basic chemicals, vinyls and performance chemicals. Occidental also gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, trades and markets crude oil, natural gas, NGLs, condensate and carbon dioxide (CO2) and generates and markets power.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (31.05.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance OXY US EQUITY YTD Change OXY US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 95.57 72.43 862'586.00 91.71 -4.25% 26.63% 79.52% 805.6 73'885.59 7'623.00 0.0 32.0 1'592.00 79'427.58
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 14'814.0 19'045.0 4.58x 4.32x 7'755.0 10'816.0 8.75x 7.61x 2'915.0 4'530.0 21.06x 17.21x Profitability
14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 23'939.0 3.26x 14'168.0 5.51x 6'771.0 11.53x
31.12.2012 24'172.0 2.80x 13'701.0 4.95x 4'598.0 10.79x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
13'701.00 9'190.00 38.02% 32.07% 6.90% 11.03% 9.60% 0.37% 46.1% 56.2% 36.5% 19.0% 1.30 0.89 11.87% 19.05% 4.44 10.36
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 24'481.0 12.42x 14'451.0 5.49x 6'781.0 11.46x
d-12
03/yy 23'776.0 11.89x 13'369.0 5.14x 4'394.0 11.38x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
2.46 1.34 794.39 11.92 10.66% 21.48% 1.338 28 4.321 2'874'377 4'572'681 5'552'252 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 24'749.5 25'618.2 5'972.3 6'228.1 3.21x 3.02x 13.42x 12.83x 15'083.5 16'152.6 3'660.6 3'812.6 5.27x 4.92x 5.28x 5.24x 5'789.1 6'073.3 1'378.0 1'547.0 12.81x 12.14x 12.51x 12.36x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
23.06.2008 A STABLE 23.06.2008 A-1 105.39 26.73 0.41 0.57 19.0% 16.0% 0.37 0.48 82.18 35.25 142.97 -25.72
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
30'000.0
10.00
25'000.0
8.00
20'000.0
6.00
15'000.0
4.00
10'000.0
2.00
5'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
16.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 24'217.0 2.05x 14'622.0 3.39x 6'857.0 6.70x
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Occidental Petroleum Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FMR LLC WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN JP MORGAN SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I DODGE & COX NORTHERN TRUST CORPO NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS BANK OF AMERICA CORP IRANI RAY R INVESCO LTD ROBECO INVESTMENT MG CI INVESTMENTS INC UBS
Firm Name Sterne, Agee & Leach Spin-Off Research Raymond James Susquehanna Financial Group Edward Jones Oppenheimer & Co ISI Group Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Societe Generale JPMorgan Deutsche Bank Cowen and Company Tudor Pickering & Co Simmons & Company International Argus Research Corp Goldman Sachs Wells Fargo Securities, LLC RBC Capital Markets Barclays Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse Macquarie Howard Weil Inc S&P Capital IQ EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN n/a n/a DODGE & COX NORTHERN TRUST CORPO NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO n/a DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS BANK OF AMERICA n/a n/a ROBECO INVESTMENT MA CI INVESTMENTS INC n/a
Analyst TIM A REZVAN TEAM COVERAGE PAVEL MOLCHANOV DUANE GRUBERT BRIAN YOUNGBERG FADEL GHEIT DOUGLAS T TERRESON BRIAN T VELIE JOHN HERRLIN KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD PAUL SANKEY ASIT SEN MATTHEW PORTILLO JEFFREY A DIETERT JONATHAN GELCIUS ARJUN N MURTI ROGER D READ LEO P MARIANI THOMAS R DRISCOLL J EVAN CALIO EDWARD WESTLAKE JASON D GAMMEL PETER KISSEL MICHAEL KAY CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F Form 4 ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG
Recommendation neutral buy outperform neutral buy outperform strong buy add buy overweight buy outperform buy overweight buy buy/attractive market perform sector perform equalweight Equalwt/Attractive outperform neutral sector outperform buy overweight
Amt Held 50'740'156 42'890'499 35'510'385 25'704'377 21'641'299 15'387'271 14'439'660 14'245'580 13'241'923 11'990'361 11'418'598 9'706'558 9'073'196 8'841'942 8'539'701 7'929'622 7'807'122 7'557'583 6'527'618 6'294'783
% Out 6.3 5.32 4.41 3.19 2.69 1.91 1.79 1.77 1.64 1.49 1.42 1.2 1.13 1.1 1.06 0.98 0.97 0.94 0.81 0.78
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 5 5
M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D
Latest Chg (225'049) 7'307'518 755'768 2'013'009 (6'197'393) (599'066) 278'387 (9'372'750) (561'785) (3'717'040) 452'434 770'734 (1'114'340) (2'855'914) 2'246'307 (49'245) 280'983 2'266'638 864'450 340'286
Target Price #N/A N/A 100 100 103 #N/A N/A 115 105 116 115 108 116 110 107 #N/A N/A 105 104 #N/A N/A 88 94 86 110 92 109 100 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 21.12.2012 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 18 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified
Date 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 21.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 03.06.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 28.05.2013 16.05.2013 14.05.2013 06.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 28.02.2013
08.07.2013
BG Group PLC BG Group plc specializes in the exploration, production, transmission and distribution of gas, oil and liquefied natural gas. The Group also develops, owns and operates gas-fired power generation plants.
Price/Volume 1600
100.0 M 90.0 M 80.0 M 70.0 M 60.0 M 50.0 M 40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M 10.0 M .0 M
1400 1200 1000 800
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.10.2012) 52-Week Low (19.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 01.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BG/ LN EQUITY YTD Change BG/ LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 1'357.00 991.00 1'736'931.00 1146.5 -15.48% 15.69% 38.52% 3'404.1 39'027.55 15'507.00 0.0 57.0 4'434.00 69'170.26
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
400 200 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13 a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 23'270.8 2.83x 11'459.4 5.75x 5'790.8 10.25x
600
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 15'992.8 17'166.0 4.28x 4.68x 8'440.4 8'672.0 8.10x 9.27x 3'394.9 3'351.0 17.40x 20.19x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 17'667.0 5.03x 9'574.0 9.29x 4'234.0 17.67x
31.12.2012 18'933.0 3.73x 10'198.0 6.92x 4'519.0 16.87x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
10'198.00 7'605.00 40.17% 33.62% 6.88% 13.86% 9.86% 0.32% 50.2% 37.2% 23.9% 1.38 0.83 23.77% 46.94% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 17'755.0 19.40x 9'967.0 9.12x 4'854.0 16.82x
03/yy 20'795.0 14.75x 10'440.0 7.28x 4'505.0 16.81x
FY+1
1.53 1.14 3'262.38 -11.93% 14.22% 1.139 31 4.226 4'579'576 5'227'460 5'847'498 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 19'768.0 22'410.3 5'083.3 5'164.3 3.56x 3.31x 13.49x 13.48x 10'651.5 12'566.7 1'829.0 2'084.0 6.49x 5.50x 8.22x 7.78x 4'236.7 5'076.4 1'004.0 1'127.0 13.86x 11.68x 12.03x 11.53x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.20 0.33 1.04 1.45 46.9% 31.9% 0.32 0.49 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00
25'000.0
16.00
20'000.0
14.00 12.00
15'000.0
10.00 8.00
10'000.0
6.00
5'000.0
4.00 2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
BG Group PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK NORGES BANK INVESTME LEGAL & GENERAL VANGUARD GROUP INC SCOTTISH WIDOWS CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FIL LIMITED VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF Northern Cross Inter SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I GOVT OF SINGAPORE IN INVESCO LTD HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS STANDARD LIFE INVEST SCHRODER INVESTMENT AXA STATE FARM MUTUAL AU BNP PARIBAS INV PART
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Raymond James AlphaValue RBC Capital Markets Barclays Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley Oriel Securities Ltd EVA Dimensions Macquarie Tudor Pickering & Co Canaccord Genuity Corp Grupo Santander Liberum Capital Ltd JPMorgan Independent Research GmbH Equita SIM SpA Credit Suisse Simmons & Company International Societe Generale Deutsche Bank Investec Jefferies Nomura HSBC S&P Capital IQ Day by Day Shore Capital Stockbrokers
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst OSWALD CLINT ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS BERTRAND HODEE ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER PETER HUTTON RAHIM KARIM MICHELE DELLA VIGNA MARTIJN P RATS RICHARD GRIFFITH DOUG WALTERS JASON D GAMMEL ANISH KAPADIA GORDON GRAY JASON KENNEY ANDREW WHITTOCK FREDERICK G LUCAS SVEN DIERMEIER MASSIMO BONISOLI THOMAS YOICHI ADOLFF JEFFREY A DIETERT IRENE HIMONA LUCAS HERRMANN NEILL MORTON BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM PAUL SPEDDING CHRISTINE TISCARENO VALERIE GASTALDY GERARD LANE
Source ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG
Recommendation outperform outperform outperform sell outperform overweight Buy/Cautious Overwt/In-Line buy overweight outperform hold hold buy hold overweight hold buy neutral overweight hold buy sell buy buy overweight buy hold not rated
Amt Held 253'990'367 156'228'736 121'149'352 98'517'686 89'538'698 83'090'821 79'961'405 67'672'693 59'147'877 57'420'903 47'958'757 47'589'569 47'284'593 45'704'954 45'688'719 43'646'559 42'409'707 41'017'191 40'955'200 37'595'055
% Out 7.46 4.59 3.56 2.89 2.63 2.44 2.35 1.99 1.74 1.69 1.41 1.4 1.39 1.34 1.34 1.28 1.25 1.2 1.2 1.1
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 1 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 1 5 5 5 5 3 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 14'804'992 3'865'359 550'142 4'120'430 (3'734'467) 43'538'127 (4'953'018) 3'306'558 (302'971) 24'849 6'204'145 11'772'995 1'330'187 6'017'161 5'836'954 1'493'119 (5'883'485) 1'430'856 854'400 758'843
Target Price 1'800 1'470 1'380 696 1'400 1'350 1'550 1'400 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 1'400 1'600 1'300 1'455 1'275 1'600 1'350 1'460 1'190 #N/A N/A 1'350 1'400 1'100 1'700 1'500 1'815 1'400 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 31.03.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 05.07.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 31.05.2013 01.04.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013 01.04.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Government Unclassified Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Unclassified Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 31.05.2013 30.05.2013 20.05.2013 20.05.2013 17.05.2013 17.05.2013 17.05.2013 16.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 15.05.2013 15.05.2013 15.05.2013 14.05.2013 10.05.2013 02.05.2013 23.04.2013 05.03.2012
08.07.2013
Eni SpA Eni S.p.A. explores for and produces hydrocarbons in Italy, Africa, the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, Kazakhstan, and Australia. The Company both produces natural gas and imports it for sale in Italy and elsewhere in Europe. Eni transports natural gas in pipelines. The Company generates and trades electricity, refines oil, and operates gasoline service stations.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (18.01.2013) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ENI IM EQUITY YTD Change ENI IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 19.59 14.94 8'656'155.00 15.84 -19.09% 6.02% 17.42% 3'634.2 57'565.50 24'463.00 0.0 3'514.0 8'000.00 77'062.50
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 83'227.0 98'523.0 1.10x 0.91x 20'817.0 24'992.0 4.39x 3.58x 4'367.0 6'318.0 14.71x 9.39x Profitability
60.0 M 50.0 M 40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M 10.0 M .0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 109'589.0 0.83x 25'732.0 3.53x 6'860.0 8.47x
31.12.2012 127'220.0 0.68x 24'564.0 3.52x 7'788.0 16.38x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
24'564.00 15'026.00 11.81% 13.05% 3.91% 9.53% 0.85% 17.1% 9.6% 6.1% 1.45 0.82 17.52% 41.32% -
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
0.87 2'532.59 -0.46% -11.11% 0.867 36 4.000 12'763'440 17'285'890 19'223'140 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 113'436.0 124'910.0 118'971.5 121'027.4 30'814.3 31'761.0 3.20x 2.90x 0.62x 0.61x 2.52x 2.39x 26'638.0 21'349.0 26'605.2 28'574.1 5'217.0 7'420.0 3.61x 3.90x 2.90x 2.70x 2.71x 2.52x 7'930.0 5'714.0 6'152.9 6'864.6 897.0 1'627.0 8.01x 31.88x 9.23x 8.35x 9.72x 8.86x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 17.01.2012 Long-Term Rating A Long-Term Outlook NEG Short-Term Rating Date 19.05.2010 Short-Term Rating A-1 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 25.07 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 13.61 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.75 Total Debt/EBITDA 1.23 Reference Total Debt/Equity 41.3% Total Debt/Capital 28.1% Asset Turnover 0.85 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.80 Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
140'000.0
6.00
120'000.0
5.00
100'000.0
4.00
80'000.0
3.00
60'000.0
2.00
40'000.0
1.00
20'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
70.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 108'082.0 0.74x 26'939.0 2.98x 8'825.0 6.89x
20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Eni SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CASSA DEPOSITI E PRE MINISTERO DELL'ECONO BLACKROCK NORGES BANK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FMR LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC ABERDEEN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FRANKLIN RESOURCES BNP PARIBAS INV PART JP MORGAN THORNBURG INVESTMENT MERCURY ASSET MANAGE NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE EATON VANCE MANAGEME AMUNDI UNION INVESTMENT LUX ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL
Firm Name Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Raymond James Natixis AlphaValue Mediobanca SpA Barclays Banca Akros(ESN) Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs Societe Generale Morgan Stanley Day by Day Independent Research GmbH Banco Sabadell RBC Capital Markets Credit Suisse Kepler Cheuvreux Banca IMI EVA Dimensions Macquarie Canaccord Genuity Corp VTB Capital Hamburger Sparkasse HSBC Grupo Santander Investec JPMorgan Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Equita SIM SpA S&P Capital IQ ICBPI Nomura National Bank AG Pareto Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a
Analyst IAIN REID OSWALD CLINT ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS BERTRAND HODEE ANNE PUMIR ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER ANDREA SCAURI RAHIM KARIM DARIO MICHI MARK BLOOMFIELD MICHELE DELLA VIGNA IRENE HIMONA MARTIJN P RATS VALERIE GASTALDY SVEN DIERMEIER JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL PETER HUTTON KIM FUSTIER ENRICO COCO ROBERTO RANIERI DOUG WALTERS MARC B KOFLER GORDON GRAY COLIN SMITH INGO SCHMIDT PAUL SPEDDING JASON KENNEY NEILL MORTON NITIN SHARMA JENS MUENSTERMANN ROBERTO LETIZIA CHRISTINE TISCARENO LUCA ARENA THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM MANFRED JAISFELD THOMAS AARRESTAD
Source Research Research ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation buy outperform underperform outperform neutral add outperform overweight buy buy neutral/cautious hold Overwt/In-Line hold hold buy sector perform outperform hold add buy outperform sell hold hold neutral hold hold overweight buy buy buy not rated buy hold hold
Amt Held 958'298'322 142'968'850 70'594'643 67'438'543 52'189'300 41'085'108 31'719'975 16'842'250 15'358'439 15'233'598 10'411'207 10'007'852 9'058'500 7'826'609 6'500'348 5'479'966 5'421'271 5'120'940 5'015'042 4'905'049
% Out 26.37 3.93 1.94 1.86 1.44 1.13 0.87 0.46 0.42 0.42 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.22 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13
Weighting
Change
5 5 1 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 4 5 5 1 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 #N/A N/A 5 3 3
M M M M M U M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M D N
Latest Chg 1'497'876 7'700'300 (2'363'375) 1'350'574 395'800 3'191'464 (325'718) (270'724) 435'528 2'300'000 123'648 (1'007'338) (79'393) (4'898'908) 1'015'630 119'307 225'836
Target Price 22 21 18 19 18 17 22 20 22 20 19 18 19 #N/A N/A 18 21 21 21 18 20 #N/A N/A 21 17 19 #N/A N/A 19 20 16 22 20 22 23 #N/A N/A 20 17 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 22.05.2013 22.05.2013 03.07.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 30.04.2013 03.07.2013 28.03.2013 30.04.2013 28.02.2013 28.09.2012 31.05.2013 31.05.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Other Government Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 11.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 15.05.2013 14.05.2013 02.05.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 24.04.2013 18.04.2013 24.05.2012 23.04.2010
08.07.2013
Suncor Energy Inc Suncor Energy, Inc. is a integrated energy company focused on developing the Athabasca oil sands basin. The Company extracts and upgrades oil sands into refinery feedstock and diesel fuel, explores for, develops and produces natural gas, refines crude oil and markets a range of petroleum and petrochemical products, and operates crude oil pipelines and retail petroleum stations.
Price/Volume 40
20.0 M
25 20
12/2012 03/yy 34.99 27.50 742'861.00 31.41 -10.29% 14.22% 47.81% 1'507.6 47'354.75 11'025.00 0.0 0.0 4'393.00 54'140.75
15.0 M
15
10.0 M
10 5.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
25.0 M
30
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (02.11.2012) 52-Week Low (15.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SU CN EQUITY YTD Change SU CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2008 28'609.0 1.03x 5'083.0 5.79x 2'137.0 8.47x
30.0 M
35
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 24'404.0 32'003.0 2.93x 2.22x 2'859.0 8'190.0 24.98x 8.69x 1'146.0 3'829.0 29.77x 22.92x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 38'339.0 1.38x 11'175.0 4.72x 4'304.0 8.30x
31.12.2012 38'208.0 1.48x 11'105.0 5.08x 2'783.0 10.45x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
11'105.00 4'655.00 12.18% 13.19% 3.16% 6.06% 5.44% 0.50% 36.6% 29.1% 12.1% 7.3% 1.48 1.01 14.42% 28.11% 7.28 6.28
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 39'035.0 5.80x 11'269.0 5.04x 4'722.0 10.90x
03/yy 38'398.0 5.60x 11'167.0 4.73x 2'420.0 9.95x
FY+1
1.66 1.52 1'506.27 25.11 9.00% -2.96% 1.523 24 4.833 4'405'073 7'317'155 7'289'413 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 40'491.7 41'462.2 9'652.6 10'083.9 1.31x 1.25x 5.59x 5.32x 11'814.8 12'538.1 2'868.4 3'011.8 4.58x 4.32x 4.50x 4.40x 4'529.1 4'680.5 1'017.5 1'177.2 10.04x 9.90x 10.08x 9.67x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
28.07.2009 BBB+ STABLE 17.10.2011 A-2 9.03 3.37 0.61 1.02 28.1% 21.9% 0.50 0.67 50.15 58.10 103.45 1.56
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
45'000.0 40'000.0
20.00
35'000.0 30'000.0
15.00
25'000.0 20'000.0
10.00
15'000.0 10'000.0
5.00
5'000.0 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Suncor Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK ROYAL BANK OF CANADA CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FMR LLC CI INVESTMENTS INC TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BMO FINANCIAL CORP CIBC WORLD MARKETS I INVESCO LTD CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P TORONTO DOMINION BAN JARISLOWSKY FRASER L IG INVESTMENT MANAGE FIERA CAPITAL CORPOR WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SCHRODER INVESTMENT GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU LETKO BROSSEAU & ASS
Firm Name Barclays BMO Capital Markets National Bank Financial Canaccord Genuity Corp Alta Corp Capital Inc. Credit Suisse Edward Jones FirstEnergy Capital Corp Global Hunter Securities EVA Dimensions Macquarie Goldman Sachs Peters & Co Ltd Simmons & Company International JPMorgan Scotia Capital RBC Capital Markets Raymond James TD Securities Veritas Investment Research Co Deutsche Bank Stifel S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BMO FINANCIAL CORP CIBC WORLD MARKETS I n/a CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P TORONTO DOMINION BAN JARISLOWSKY FRASER L IG INVESTMENT MANAGE FIERA CAPITAL CORPOR WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SCHRODER INVESTMENT GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU LETKO BROSSEAU & ASS
Analyst PAUL Y CHENG RANDY J OLLENBERGER KYLE PRESTON PHILIP R SKOLNICK CHRIS COX JASON FREW LANNY PENDILL MICHAEL P DUNN SAMEER UPLENCHWAR DOUG WALTERS CHRIS FELTIN ARJUN N MURTI JEFF MARTIN JEFFREY A DIETERT KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD MARK POLAK GREG M PARDY JUSTIN BOUCHARD MENNO HULSHOF SAM LA BELL PAUL SANKEY AMIR ARIF STEWART GLICKMAN
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation overweight outperform outperform buy outperform outperform buy outperform buy buy outperform buy/attractive sector perform overweight overweight focus stock outperform outperform buy buy hold buy buy
Amt Held 103'659'336 66'131'193 55'917'019 52'128'071 39'917'035 38'639'296 35'648'927 33'308'430 23'398'695 23'362'484 21'775'651 20'598'912 19'394'831 18'939'647 18'685'028 16'668'656 14'681'442 13'870'146 12'944'362 12'723'054
% Out 6.88 4.39 3.71 3.46 2.65 2.56 2.36 2.21 1.55 1.55 1.44 1.37 1.29 1.26 1.24 1.11 0.97 0.92 0.86 0.84
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M N M M M D M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 4'501'186 (7'139'100) (16'881'199) (2'119'988) 1'664'731 140'003 (2'875'716) (454'130) (135'075) (1'372'902) 866'000 (347'958) (624'046) (1'698'175) 1'284'651 3'206'910 3'574'957 944'291 1'299'837
Target Price 48 44 42 45 40 45 #N/A N/A 39 45 #N/A N/A 43 42 40 #N/A N/A 44 42 42 38 41 43 36 36 43
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 21.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 02.06.2013 24.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 08.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 15.11.2012
08.07.2013
Anadarko Petroleum Corp Anadarko Petroleum Corporation is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with international operations. In the United States, the Company operates in Texas and surrounding states, the Rocky Mountain region, Alaska, and the Gulf of Mexico. Internationally, Anadarko has exploration and/or production operations in Africa, Asia, South America, and the Caribbean.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.05.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance APC US EQUITY YTD Change APC US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 92.18 64.19 499'989.00 89.172 -3.32% 38.92% 86.42% 501.5 44'717.40 13'269.00 0.0 1'253.0 2'471.00 56'272.40
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'210.0 10'842.0 4.93x 4.42x 3'234.0 5'557.0 12.51x 8.62x (135.0) 761.0 39.83x Profitability
12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 13'882.0 3.71x 7'579.0 6.79x (2'649.0) 7.48x
31.12.2012 13'307.0 3.70x 6'197.0 7.95x 2'391.0 50.50x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
6'197.00 2'233.00 16.78% 26.79% 1.29% 3.36% 2.79% 0.25% 40.8% 48.1% 18.3% 18.0% 1.70 0.99 25.23% 64.32% 9.62 134.02
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 14'070.0 13.83x 7'541.0 6.96x (709.0) 16.30x
d-12
03/yy 13'613.0 14.57x 6'547.0 8.46x 695.0 18.45x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.40 1.37 499.78 7.90 36.74% 20.25% 1.374 34 4.706 2'138'053 2'838'720 3'132'894 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 15'218.8 17'165.0 3'506.7 3'867.9 3.68x 3.16x 15.91x 14.40x 9'745.1 11'072.7 2'213.1 2'485.9 5.76x 5.07x 5.62x 5.35x 2'141.1 2'718.1 453.1 531.7 20.85x 16.37x 19.96x 18.17x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
08.09.2006 BBBPOS 15.09.2009 NR 6.44 -1.09 1.58 2.15 64.3% 37.7% 0.25 0.35 37.94 2.72 147.02 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
16'000.0
18.00
14'000.0
16.00
12'000.0
14.00
10'000.0
12.00 10.00
8'000.0
8.00
6'000.0
6.00
4'000.0
4.00
2'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
14.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 14'079.0 1.99x 7'935.0 3.54x 3'260.0 5.69x
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Anadarko Petroleum Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BLACKROCK FMR LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET CARMIGNAC GESTION CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA JP MORGAN INVESCO LTD BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL M NORGES BANK JENNISON ASSOCIATES DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV CREDIT SUISSE AG BANK OF AMERICA CORP
Firm Name Guggenheim Securities LLC Tudor Pickering & Co Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Jefferies Raymond James ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Howard Weil Inc Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Iberia Capital Partners LLC Societe Generale Simmons & Company International Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Canaccord Genuity Corp JPMorgan FBR Capital Markets Argus Research Corp Credit Suisse Barclays Macquarie Spin-Off Research S&P Capital IQ Global Hunter Securities Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs RBC Capital Markets Johnson Rice & Co Stifel Alembic Global Advisors EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a CARMIGNAC GESTION CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL M NORGES BANK JENNISON ASSOCIATES n/a n/a BANK OF AMERICA
Analyst ROBERT CORDRAY MATTHEW PORTILLO BOB BRACKETT SUBASH CHANDRA ANDREW COLEMAN JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT PETER KISSEL RICHARD TULLIS ERIC FOX JOHN HERRLIN DAVID W KISTLER DAVID R TAMERON JOHN J GERDES JOSEPH D ALLMAN REHAN RASHID JONATHAN GELCIUS ARUN JAYARAM THOMAS R DRISCOLL JOSEPH MAGNER TEAM COVERAGE MICHAEL KAY JOHN MALONE STEPHEN RICHARDSON J EVAN CALIO BRIAN SINGER SCOTT HANOLD CHARLES MEADE AMIR ARIF JAMES J SULLIVAN CRAIG STERLING
Source 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation buy buy outperform buy outperform buy outperform focus list strong buy outperform buy overweight outperform buy neutral market perform hold outperform overweight outperform neutral buy buy buy Overwt/Attractive buy/attractive outperform overweight buy overweight hold
Amt Held 33'522'244 31'640'131 30'435'232 22'660'736 21'620'711 15'580'800 13'050'849 10'201'757 9'883'510 8'627'305 7'784'818 6'829'447 6'365'321 5'873'278 5'702'469 5'375'346 5'152'735 4'810'527 4'493'988 3'921'637
% Out 6.68 6.31 6.07 4.52 4.31 3.11 2.6 2.03 1.97 1.72 1.55 1.36 1.27 1.17 1.14 1.07 1.03 0.96 0.9 0.78
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D
Latest Chg (244'467) 1'715'317 3'069'451 806'410 (1'294'578) 15'580'800 139'256 63'200 (2'756'634) (819'047) 802'637 237'252 (687'942) 596'244 1'581'000 (270'527) 61'676 342'113 250'485
Target Price 120 133 100 111 105 95 100 115 139 112 103 128 #N/A N/A 127 98 90 #N/A N/A 109 102 97 86 105 110 101 101 112 100 #N/A N/A 95 108 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 18 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Date 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 11.06.2013 10.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 23.05.2013 20.05.2013 14.05.2013 09.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 16.04.2013 27.02.2013
08.07.2013
Halliburton Co Halliburton Company provides energy services and engineering and construction services, as well as manufactures products for the energy industry. The Company offers services and products and integrated solutions to customers in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance HAL US EQUITY YTD Change HAL US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 45.75 27.62 2'062'429.00 44.01 -4.02% 59.34% 88.75% 931.0 40'972.98 4'820.00 0.0 25.0 2'484.00 43'790.98
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
35.0 M 30.0 M 25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 18'279.0 0.97x 4'686.0 3.79x 2'224.0 4.98x
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 14'675.0 17'973.0 1.93x 2.17x 2'920.0 4'118.0 9.71x 9.46x 1'145.0 1'835.0 22.41x 19.86x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 24'829.0 1.36x 6'096.0 5.54x 2'839.0 10.35x
31.12.2012 28'503.0 1.21x 5'787.0 5.98x 2'635.0 11.42x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'787.00 4'159.00 14.59% 13.41% 7.60% 13.47% 11.27% 1.09% 15.6% 20.0% 14.1% 9.2% 2.75 1.74 17.58% 30.57% 4.96 7.89
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 26'415.0 5.49x 6'670.0 4.92x 2'955.0 9.12x
03/yy 28'609.0 4.83x 5'729.0 7.06x 1'990.0 14.60x
FY+1
0.90 1.64 874.80 22.99 51.95% 27.64% 1.644 34 4.471 7'440'336 8'640'121 10'491'622 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 29'729.3 32'758.6 7'267.4 7'580.1 1.46x 1.29x 6.05x 5.78x 6'280.8 7'662.1 1'495.3 1'666.8 6.98x 5.72x 6.54x 6.21x 2'973.0 3'750.1 677.6 791.3 13.81x 10.90x 12.94x 12.14x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
20.08.2007 A STABLE 20.08.2007 A-1 19.42 7.45 0.49 0.84 30.6% 23.4% 1.09 2.95 73.65 46.24 30.57 84.89
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
30'000.0 25'000.0
20.00
20'000.0 15.00
15'000.0 10.00
10'000.0
5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
5'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Halliburton Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FMR LLC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN FRANKLIN RESOURCES INVESCO LTD CARMIGNAC GESTION INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL DEUTSCHE BANK AG GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C JP MORGAN JENNISON ASSOCIATES ROBECO INVESTMENT MG AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL NORGES BANK
Firm Name Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse Edward Jones Susquehanna Financial Group Howard Weil Inc JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group FBR Capital Markets Cowen and Company Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Stephens Inc Societe Generale Wells Fargo Securities, LLC RBC Capital Markets Barclays EVA Dimensions Argus Research Corp Raymond James Johnson Rice & Co Macquarie Guggenheim Securities LLC Global Hunter Securities Deutsche Bank Sterne, Agee & Leach RS Platou Markets Goldman Sachs Fearnley Fonds S&P Capital IQ Tudor Pickering & Co
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a CARMIGNAC GESTION INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a n/a n/a n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES ROBECO INVESTMENT MA AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL NORGES BANK
Analyst OLE SLORER JAMES WICKLUND BRIAN YOUNGBERG CHARLES P MINERVINO WILLIAM SANCHEZ J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY MEGAN REPINE JAMES D CRANDELL LUKE M LEMOINE MICHAEL MARINO EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO MATTHEW D CONLAN KURT HALLEAD JAMES C WEST CRAIG STERLING JONATHAN GELCIUS J MARSHALL ADKINS DAVID C SMITH NIGEL BROWNE MICHAEL K LAMOTTE BRIAN UHLMER MICHAEL W URBAN STEPHEN D GENGARO TURNER HOLM WAQAR SYED TRULS OLSEN STEWART GLICKMAN JEFF TILLERY
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation Underwt/In-Line outperform hold Positive sector perform overweight outperform outperform buy strong buy outperform outperform add overweight buy outperform outperform overweight underweight buy market perform overweight outperform buy buy buy buy buy buy/attractive not rated hold buy
Amt Held 53'459'251 42'810'848 41'490'584 37'143'382 23'099'010 21'759'860 20'633'347 17'312'833 15'733'400 13'338'436 12'973'527 12'695'577 12'256'769 11'277'822 10'144'507 9'571'422 8'769'193 8'457'545 8'356'405 8'078'564
% Out 5.74 4.6 4.46 3.99 2.48 2.34 2.22 1.86 1.69 1.43 1.39 1.36 1.32 1.21 1.09 1.03 0.94 0.91 0.9 0.87
Weighting
Change
1 5 3 4 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 #N/A N/A 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M U M M D M
Latest Chg 1'213'797 2'011'692 9'825'061 3'781'682 3'950'383 (3'674'175) (1'374'263) 15'733'400 2'591'296 130'293 712'376 4'437'353 (2'527'758) (1'055'998) (1'913'319) 1'621'892 3'664'536 2'641'078 -
Target Price 40 53 #N/A N/A 49 50 53 53 56 49 50 50 57 48 56 55 #N/A N/A 50 64 #N/A N/A 48 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 49 52 48 56 45 48 60 #N/A N/A 40 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 05.07.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government
Date 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 03.06.2013 23.05.2013 22.05.2013 02.05.2013 24.04.2013 23.04.2013 23.04.2013 23.04.2013 23.04.2013 23.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 21.03.2013 14.02.2013 28.01.2013 20.09.2012 05.04.2011
08.07.2013
EOG Resources Inc EOG Resources, Inc. explores for, develops, produces and markets natural gas and crude oil. The Company operates in major producing basins in the United States, Canada, Trinidad, the United Kingdom North Sea, China and, from time to time, select other international areas.
Price/Volume 160
6.0 M
140
5.0 M
120 4.0 M
100 80
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (08.07.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 18.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance EOG US EQUITY YTD Change EOG US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 142.53 88.75 526'070.00 142.07 -0.34% 60.08% 99.54% 271.9 38'629.36 6'312.18 0.0 0.0 876.44 43'833.82
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
2.0 M
40 1.0 M
20 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'806.6 5'790.9 7.01x 4.78x 1'539.7 2'748.9 17.33x 10.06x 546.6 160.7 512.11x 98.47x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 8'974.0 3.44x 4'508.6 6.85x 1'091.1 26.74x
31.12.2012 11'096.2 3.45x 5'333.8 7.17x 570.3 21.28x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'333.83 2'164.13 19.50% 11.54% 2.76% 5.54% 4.46% 0.44% 51.7% 48.9% 21.2% 5.1% 1.23 0.87 23.09% 47.51% 6.86 8.76
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 9'699.4 12.39x 4'752.7 7.29x 1'281.2 24.78x
d-12
03/yy 11'788.5 12.12x 5'767.6 6.94x 741.0 21.51x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.48 1.33 269.61 4.36 57.72% 17.95% 1.327 38 4.474 1'499'183 1'538'412 1'893'810 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 14'050.7 15'623.3 3'514.8 3'613.7 3.11x 2.75x 12.40x 12.06x 7'249.7 8'298.5 1'748.1 1'818.3 6.03x 5.27x 5.96x 5.77x 1'899.4 2'229.2 452.4 448.3 20.70x 17.55x 20.82x 20.02x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
12.04.2007 ASTABLE 04.11.1999 A-2 20.26 -7.68 0.90 1.09 47.5% 32.2% 0.44 0.51 53.17 41.67 146.90 -43.32
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
12'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
8.00
8'000.0
6.00
6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'249.9 2.91x 4'216.8 4.31x 2'436.9 8.90x
3.0 M
60
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
EOG Resources Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC FMR LLC STATE STREET BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ABERDEEN MACQUARIE GROUP JENNISON ASSOCIATES T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I BROWN BROTHERS HARRI JP MORGAN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN ROBECO INVESTMENT MG TIAA CREF INVESTMENT NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC
Firm Name Guggenheim Securities LLC Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Jefferies Robert W. Baird & Co Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co Susquehanna Financial Group Edward Jones ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Simmons & Company International Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Societe Generale FBR Capital Markets US Capital Advisors Wunderlich Securities Atlantic Equities LLP Brean Capital LLC Howard Weil Inc Credit Suisse Macquarie Barclays Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs RBC Capital Markets Johnson Rice & Co Stifel Peters & Co Ltd Miller Tabak + Co., LLC Alembic Global Advisors JPMorgan EVA Dimensions S&P Capital IQ Finncap
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS n/a BROWN BROTHERS HARRI n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN ROBECO INVESTMENT MA TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO
Analyst ROBERT CORDRAY BOB BRACKETT BIJU Z PERINCHERIL HSULIN PENG ANDREW COLEMAN MATTHEW PORTILLO DUANE GRUBERT BRIAN YOUNGBERG JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT DAVID R TAMERON PEARCE W HAMMOND BRIAN T VELIE JOHN HERRLIN REHAN RASHID CAMERON HORWITZ IRENE O HAAS BARRY MACCARTHY RAYMOND DEACON PETER KISSEL ARUN JAYARAM JOSEPH MAGNER THOMAS R DRISCOLL STEPHEN RICHARDSON J EVAN CALIO BRIAN SINGER LEO P MARIANI CHARLES MEADE AMIR ARIF JEFF MARTIN ADAM MICHAEL JAMES J SULLIVAN JOSEPH D ALLMAN CRAIG STERLING MICHAEL KAY WILLIAM ARNSTEIN
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation neutral outperform buy outperform outperform accumulate neutral buy neutral outperform outperform overweight add hold outperform buy hold overweight buy sector outperform neutral outperform overweight buy Equalwt/Attractive buy/attractive outperform overweight buy sector outperform buy overweight overweight underweight buy corporate
Amt Held 31'254'240 16'595'059 14'621'762 13'419'552 11'453'878 10'452'391 7'101'037 6'520'430 5'625'913 5'357'626 4'865'874 4'470'936 4'423'794 4'352'206 3'633'517 3'235'182 3'116'161 3'056'446 2'881'109 2'795'913
% Out 11.49 6.1 5.38 4.94 4.21 3.84 2.61 2.4 2.07 1.97 1.79 1.64 1.63 1.6 1.34 1.19 1.15 1.12 1.06 1.03
Weighting
Change
3 5 5 5 5 4 3 5 3 5 5 5 4 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M D M M
Latest Chg 308'525 1'487'855 284'465 1'155'221 (75'956) (679'462) (200'264) (85'501) 336'898 (3'149'175) (976'439) (184'119) 306'455 (880'425) 145'683 (223'400) 25'143 860'029 162'313 (595'273)
Target Price 143 165 174 163 148 144 135 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 145 #N/A N/A 156 165 144 140 175 135 153 193 158 140 170 180 155 142 181 149 #N/A N/A 150 160 155 150 149 #N/A N/A 131 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 18 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 18 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 03.06.2013 20.05.2013 16.05.2013 16.05.2013 15.05.2013 14.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 16.04.2013 26.02.2013 14.02.2013 28.08.2012 21.10.2011
08.07.2013
Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a downstream energy company. The Company's operations include oil refining, marketing and transportation. Phillips 66's operations also include chemical manufacturing and power generation.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.03.2013) 52-Week Low (11.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 15.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PSX US EQUITY YTD Change PSX US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 70.52 32.35 1'042'640.00 59.02 -16.15% 82.44% 65.21% 620.2 36'601.95 6'974.00 0.0 31.0 3'474.00 38'853.95
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
-
16.0 M
70
14.0 M
60
12.0 M
50
10.0 M
40
8.0 M
30
6.0 M
20
4.0 M
10
2.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008
80
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 112'692.0 146'561.0 503.0 279.0 476.0 735.0 Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 196'088.0 3'034.0 4'775.0 -
31.12.2012 166'089.0 0.22x 5'457.0 6.71x 4'124.0 6.27x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'457.00 4'544.00 2.74% 3.99% 9.40% 21.16% 17.14% 3.30% 6.2% 3.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.44 0.97 14.51% 33.57% 17.58 29.59
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
1.63 620.00 6.76 80.60% 12.23% 21 4.238 4'381'088 3'489'979 4'218'364 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 45'783.0 171'682.0 172'318.5 171'216.3 43'098.0 40'540.5 0.00x 0.82x 0.22x 0.22x 0.93x 0.94x 589.0 6'203.0 8'633.2 7'858.8 2'315.4 2'253.6 0.00x 7.35x 4.48x 4.93x 4.92x 4.99x 636.0 4'895.0 4'913.0 4'402.7 1'330.3 1'255.6 0.00x 7.40x 7.58x 8.31x 8.27x 8.56x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 01.03.2012 Long-Term Rating BBB Long-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 01.03.2012 Short-Term Rating A-2 Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 22.18 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 15.19 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.36 Total Debt/EBITDA 1.12 Reference Total Debt/Equity 33.6% Total Debt/Capital 25.1% Asset Turnover 3.30 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 11.40 Accounts receivable turnover-days 20.77 Inventory Days 12.34 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 26.82 Cash Conversion Cycle 3.58 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
250'000.0
6.00
200'000.0
5.00
150'000.0
4.00 3.00
100'000.0
2.00
50'000.0 1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Phillips 66 Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY I STATE STREET FMR LLC T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL JP MORGAN ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN IVY MANAGEMENT INCOR EATON VANCE MANAGEME MORGAN STANLEY WELLS FARGO DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV NORGES BANK WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Firm Name Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays JPMorgan Edward Jones Goldman Sachs Oppenheimer & Co Raymond James ISI Group Simmons & Company International Spin-Off Research EVA Dimensions Argus Research Corp Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Howard Weil Inc S&P Capital IQ Tudor Pickering & Co
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a IVY INVESTMENT MANAG EATON VANCE MANAGEME n/a n/a n/a NORGES BANK WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Analyst ROGER D READ PAUL Y CHENG KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD BRIAN YOUNGBERG ARJUN N MURTI FADEL GHEIT CORY J GARCIA DOUGLAS T TERRESON JEFFREY A DIETERT TEAM COVERAGE CRAIG STERLING JONATHAN GELCIUS EDWARD WESTLAKE PAUL SANKEY J EVAN CALIO BLAKE FERNANDEZ TANJILA SHAFI BRADLEY OLSEN
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation outperform overweight overweight hold neutral/attractive outperform market perform buy overweight neutral buy buy outperform hold Overwt/Attractive sector perform buy buy
Amt Held 36'314'310 28'027'961 27'163'918 26'208'632 19'150'576 18'130'289 17'745'072 9'600'401 9'194'088 8'291'126 8'215'639 8'061'595 7'250'822 5'944'522 5'745'263 5'646'545 5'634'057 5'060'285 4'988'084 4'348'541
% Out 5.86 4.52 4.38 4.23 3.09 2.92 2.86 1.55 1.48 1.34 1.32 1.3 1.17 0.96 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.82 0.8 0.7
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5
U M M M M M M M M D U M M M M M M N
Latest Chg (3'425'400) 62'260 (377'407) (4'728'879) 9'631'813 (554'903) 434'905 2'047'100 340'997 221'511 1'011'595 (1'727'548) 538'595 398'517 316'725 16'655 (336'644) (1'449'717)
Target Price #N/A N/A 85 64 #N/A N/A 78 80 #N/A N/A 68 #N/A N/A 64 #N/A N/A 75 73 64 79 61 72 79
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 18 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 01.07.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 11.06.2013 08.05.2013 04.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 06.11.2012
08.07.2013
Enbridge Inc Enbridge Inc. provides energy transportation, distribution, and related services in North America and internationally. The Company operates a crude oil and liquids pipeline system, is involved in international energy projects, and is involved in natural gas transmission and midstream businesses. Enbridge also distributes natural gas and electricity, and provides retail energy products.
Price/Volume 60
40 30
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.05.2013) 52-Week Low (15.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ENB CN EQUITY YTD Change ENB CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 49.17 37.73 493'073.00 44.25 -10.01% 17.28% 57.36% 823.7 36'450.05 21'917.00 3'707.0 4'258.0 1'776.00 65'833.05
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
20 10 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 16'131.3 1.76x 2'026.7 13.99x 1'327.7 17.50x
20.0 M 18.0 M 16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M
50
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 12'466.0 15'127.0 2.66x 2.47x 2'025.0 2'370.0 16.35x 15.77x 1'562.0 970.0 18.01x 21.81x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 27'053.0 2.00x 3'743.0 14.46x 833.0 26.82x
31.12.2012 25'306.0 2.48x 2'718.0 23.08x 715.0 55.15x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'718.00 1'512.00 5.97% 4.23% 1.60% 8.73% 4.26% 0.59% 17.0% 10.2% 5.5% 2.8% 0.93 0.82 46.46% 322.64% 6.51 35.00
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 27'149.0 7.02x 3'605.0 15.28x 743.0 32.55x
03/yy 26'696.0 9.18x 2'718.0 24.91x 725.0 63.92x
FY+1
2.63 0.63 812.11 32.97 13.08% 4.29% 0.626 19 4.368 2'264'871 4'147'794 3'091'765 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 27'579.3 27'947.3 6'337.5 6'166.0 2.60x 2.70x 10.61x 11.36x 4'263.4 5'022.3 1'030.9 994.1 15.44x 13.11x 14.36x 13.98x 1'453.9 1'724.9 324.8 300.8 24.27x 21.18x 24.02x 23.33x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
18.12.2001 ASTABLE 2.57 -2.60 7.62 8.11 322.6% 59.8% 0.59 0.83 56.10 10.43 80.21 69.52
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
30'000.0
12.00
25'000.0
10.00
20'000.0
8.00
15'000.0 6.00
10'000.0 4.00
5'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Enbridge Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN ROYAL BANK OF CANADA FMR LLC CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P THE BANK OF NOVA SCO TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA BMO FINANCIAL CORP TORONTO DOMINION BAN JARISLOWSKY FRASER L BLACKROCK CIBC WORLD MARKETS I DEUTSCHE BANK AG IG INVESTMENT MANAGE GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN ENBRIDGE INCOME FUND GREYSTONE MANAGED IN BMO INVESTMENTS INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES
Firm Name Canaccord Genuity Corp National Bank Financial Edward Jones Desjardins Securities Accountability Research Corp Goldman Sachs CIBC World Markets Scotia Capital Macquarie FirstEnergy Capital Corp EVA Dimensions BMO Capital Markets Deutsche Bank TD Securities RBC Capital Markets Veritas Investment Research Co Credit Suisse Barclays
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a THE BANK OF NOVA SCO TD ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a BMO FINANCIAL CORP TORONTO DOMINION BAN JARISLOWSKY FRASER L n/a CIBC WORLD MARKETS I n/a IG INVESTMENT MANAGE GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a GREYSTONE MANAGED IN Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst JUAN PLESSIS PATRICK KENNY LANNY PENDILL PIERRE LACROIX KEVIN CHU THEODORE DURBIN PAUL LECHEM MATTHEW AKMAN ROBERT CATELLIER STEVEN I PAGET DOUG WALTERS CARL L KIRST CURTIS N LAUNER LINDA EZERGAILIS ROBERT KWAN DARRYL MCCOUBREY ANDREW M KUSKE RICHARD GROSS
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13G 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F SEDI 13F MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation buy outperform buy buy hold buy/attractive sector outperform sector outperform outperform outperform sell outperform buy buy outperform sell outperform overweight
Amt Held 67'792'351 66'156'764 34'667'857 31'900'000 30'521'107 29'766'479 23'634'047 20'431'707 17'246'431 15'743'116 13'723'809 11'869'030 9'296'719 8'979'407 8'512'655 8'375'700 7'909'000 7'568'843 7'419'528 7'003'809
% Out 8.23 8.03 4.21 3.87 3.71 3.61 2.87 2.48 2.09 1.91 1.67 1.44 1.13 1.09 1.03 1.02 0.96 0.92 0.9 0.85
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 5 1 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 24'700'970 (3'495'042) 3'321'101 (15'000'000) 220'409 486'687 (841'261) (2'437'671) (115'630) (786'209) 1'085'001 140'292 1'771'506 (1'065'618) 1'489'141 437'108 (354'050) (583'722) (651'605)
Target Price 50 53 #N/A N/A 51 47 54 52 54 54 50 #N/A N/A 54 54 53 56 40 52 49
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 28.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 24.10.2011 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 30.04.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 05.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 24.06.2013 18.06.2013 11.06.2013 10.06.2013 08.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 31.05.2013 29.05.2013 27.05.2013 24.05.2013 09.05.2013 08.05.2013 15.02.2013
08.07.2013
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and related products. The Company operates in the Canadian provinces of Alberta, northeastern British Columbia and Saskatchewan. Canadian Natural also operates in areas which have access for exploration activities and where pipeline systems already exist.
Price/Volume
30.0 M
30
25.0 M 20.0 M
20
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CNQ CN EQUITY YTD Change CNQ CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 33.97 25.58 1'529'115.00 31.34 -7.86% 22.52% 67.10% 1'088.8 34'124.22 8'736.00 0.0 0.0 37.00 43'428.22
15.0 M
15 10
10.0 M
5
5.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 11'395.0 13'011.0 4.50x 4.37x 6'564.0 7'242.0 7.81x 7.85x 1'580.0 1'673.0 16.81x 21.63x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 13'691.0 3.68x 7'430.0 6.78x 2'643.0 17.50x
31.12.2012 14'427.0 2.77x 7'219.0 5.54x 1'892.0 17.15x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
7'219.00 2'891.00 20.04% 18.08% 3.46% 7.03% 5.90% 0.31% 21.5% 48.5% 18.1% 13.1% 0.48 0.31 17.84% 35.98% 10.63 18.08
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 14'243.0 13.41x 7'476.0 5.97x 3'024.0 12.48x
d-12
03/yy 14'824.0 11.13x 7'184.0 6.25x 1'678.0 21.43x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
1.40 1.43 1'044.12 9.31 19.70% 10.31% 1.428 26 4.346 4'897'501 4'940'650 5'074'526 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 15'895.1 16'812.4 3'506.1 3'893.1 2.79x 2.62x 12.50x 11.19x 7'948.3 9'553.5 1'833.3 2'061.3 5.46x 4.55x 5.38x 5.25x 2'256.2 3'113.2 469.4 667.5 15.52x 11.74x 13.54x 12.02x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
01.11.2011 BBB+ STABLE 08.03.2013 A-2 15.59 2.41 1.30 1.30 36.0% 26.5% 0.31 0.32 34.34 20.19 16.57 43.36
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
16'000.0
9.00
14'000.0
8.00
12'000.0
7.00
10'000.0
6.00 5.00
8'000.0
4.00
6'000.0
3.00
4'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
35.0 M
35 25
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 12'296.0 3.20x 7'710.0 5.11x 4'985.0 7.39x
40
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN ROYAL BANK OF CANADA DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS FMR LLC INVESCO LTD BMO FINANCIAL CORP EDWARDS NORMAN MURRA HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL M JARISLOWSKY FRASER L TD ASSET MANAGEMENT WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I BEUTEL GOODMAN & COM ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN NWQ INVESTMENT MANAG TORONTO DOMINION BAN IG INVESTMENT MANAGE FIRST EAGLE INVESTME
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Cormark Securities Inc. Credit Suisse Edward Jones Canaccord Genuity Corp FirstEnergy Capital Corp JPMorgan TD Securities RBC Capital Markets Scotia Capital GMP Global Hunter Securities Peters & Co Ltd National Bank Financial Barclays Societe Generale Accountability Research Corp EVA Dimensions Macquarie Goldman Sachs Veritas Investment Research Co Deutsche Bank Raymond James Stifel
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS n/a n/a BMO FINANCIAL CORP n/a HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL M JARISLOWSKY FRASER L TD ASSET MANAGEMENT WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I BEUTEL, GOODMAN & CO ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN NWQ INVESTMENT MANAG TORONTO DOMINION BAN IG INVESTMENT MANAGE FIRST EAGLE INVESTME
Analyst RANDY J OLLENBERGER TODD KEPLER JASON FREW LANNY PENDILL PHILIP R SKOLNICK MICHAEL P DUNN KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD MENNO HULSHOF GREG M PARDY MARK POLAK RYAN SAVAGE SAMEER UPLENCHWAR JEFF MARTIN KYLE PRESTON THOMAS R DRISCOLL JOHN HERRLIN MICHAEL RUGGIRELLO DOUG WALTERS CHRIS FELTIN ARJUN N MURTI SAM LA BELL PAUL SANKEY JUSTIN BOUCHARD AMIR ARIF
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F SEDI 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation market perform buy outperform buy hold top pick neutral buy outperform sector outperform buy accumulate sector outperform outperform overweight buy buy underweight outperform sell/attractive buy hold outperform buy
Amt Held 58'880'287 54'419'500 50'620'259 38'472'066 34'792'710 31'551'230 21'830'632 21'368'882 19'544'266 19'233'855 18'007'836 17'495'728 17'150'281 15'594'449 15'487'827 14'801'355 14'687'838 13'951'404 12'335'714 12'023'600
% Out 5.41 5 4.65 3.53 3.2 2.9 2 1.96 1.79 1.77 1.65 1.61 1.58 1.43 1.42 1.36 1.35 1.28 1.13 1.1
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 1 5 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M
Latest Chg 3'775'000 1'718'840 (1'125'323) 6'106'583 9'511'904 (1'501'148) 132'342 1'700'000 (890'019) 2'223'846 (382'296) (587'923) 128'777 1'692'615 (2'173'616) 330'753 (134'136) (1'842'575) 2'225'400
Target Price 36 40 40 #N/A N/A 36 39 44 40 38 38 41 40 39 40 35 37 40 #N/A N/A 40 29 36 32 38 38
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 15.02.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA) 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 17.06.2013 13.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 02.06.2013 06.05.2013 05.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013
08.07.2013
Apache Corp Apache Corporation is an independent energy company. The Company explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. The Company has operations in the United States, Canada, Egypt, Australia, offshore the United Kingdom in the North Sea, and Argentina.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (22.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance APA US EQUITY YTD Change APA US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 94.87 67.91 944'928.00 82.78 -12.92% 21.90% 52.89% 391.9 32'437.88 12'345.00 1'227.0 0.0 160.00 45'895.87
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'614.8 12'183.0 4.38x 4.50x 2'963.7 8'792.0 12.73x 6.24x (284.4) 3'032.0 19.64x 13.32x Profitability
10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 16'810.0 2.55x 12'397.0 3.46x 4'584.0 7.53x
31.12.2012 16'947.0 2.61x 12'051.0 3.66x 2'001.0 8.43x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
12'051.00 4'942.00 29.16% 28.78% 3.34% 6.23% 4.87% 0.29% 32.3% 70.1% 29.2% 11.8% 0.90 0.59 20.33% 41.01% 5.31 15.09
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 17'389.0 10.60x 12'798.0 3.71x 4'247.0 8.19x
d-12
03/yy 16'636.0 10.80x 11'662.0 3.75x 1'921.0 8.05x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.86 1.43 389.86 8.67 -2.36% 5.97% 1.434 35 4.171 4'692'647 3'842'119 3'783'650 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 17'347.3 18'793.2 4'275.6 4'391.9 2.59x 2.37x 10.64x 10.32x 12'029.2 13'110.0 2'965.7 3'074.9 3.81x 3.50x 3.71x 3.62x 3'379.7 3'840.4 821.3 857.1 9.83x 8.85x 9.58x 9.27x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
26.01.2001 ASTABLE 05.05.2000 A-2 24.15 5.05 1.05 1.07 41.0% 28.3% 0.29 0.33 68.77 24.18 36.15 58.11
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
18'000.0
8.00
16'000.0
7.00
14'000.0
6.00
12'000.0
5.00
10'000.0
4.00
8'000.0
3.00
6'000.0
2.00
4'000.0
1.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
12.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 12'327.8 2.27x 8'988.1 3.11x 712.0 35.66x
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Apache Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FRANKLIN RESOURCES FMR LLC NORTHERN TRUST CORPO NWQ INVESTMENT MANAG EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL JP MORGAN SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I INVESCO LTD DEUTSCHE BANK AG NORGES BANK GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN WELLS FARGO LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM
Firm Name Argus Research Corp Guggenheim Securities LLC Tudor Pickering & Co Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Raymond James RBC Capital Markets Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Susquehanna Financial Group Edward Jones ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Societe Generale Simmons & Company International Deutsche Bank Credit Suisse Atlantic Equities LLP Barclays Stifel FBR Capital Markets Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Macquarie Peters & Co Ltd EVA Dimensions Howard Weil Inc Johnson Rice & Co Global Hunter Securities JPMorgan Alembic Global Advisors S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO NWQ INVESTMENT MANAG EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a n/a n/a n/a NORGES BANK GEODE CAPITAL MANAGE WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a
Analyst JONATHAN GELCIUS ROBERT CORDRAY MATTHEW PORTILLO BOB BRACKETT JOHN FREEMAN LEO P MARIANI BRIAN W FOOTE DUANE GRUBERT BRIAN YOUNGBERG JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT RICHARD TULLIS JOHN HERRLIN PEARCE W HAMMOND STEPHEN RICHARDSON ARUN JAYARAM BARRY MACCARTHY THOMAS R DRISCOLL AMIR ARIF REHAN RASHID DAVID R TAMERON J EVAN CALIO BRIAN SINGER JOSEPH MAGNER JEFF MARTIN CRAIG STERLING PETER KISSEL CHARLES MEADE CURTIS R TRIMBLE JOSEPH D ALLMAN JAMES J SULLIVAN MICHAEL KAY
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation buy buy accumulate outperform outperform sector perform outperform Positive hold strong buy market perform add buy overweight buy outperform overweight overweight buy market perform outperform Equalwt/Attractive neutral/attractive neutral sector perform overweight sector outperform equalweight neutral neutral neutral strong buy
Amt Held 26'828'098 21'772'472 17'824'561 17'684'349 16'982'859 10'786'671 8'496'464 6'117'480 5'223'542 5'013'596 4'984'105 4'080'546 3'710'086 3'036'215 2'985'347 2'808'677 2'642'867 2'608'986 2'556'942 2'537'961
% Out 6.85 5.56 4.55 4.51 4.33 2.75 2.17 1.56 1.33 1.28 1.27 1.04 0.95 0.77 0.76 0.72 0.67 0.67 0.65 0.65
Weighting
Change 5 5 4 5 5 3 5 4 3 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 5
U M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M N M M M M M M M M D M M M D M M
Latest Chg (2'487'100) (1'948'907) 5'682'668 553'677 (37'611) 1'582'385 (23'050) 211'636 455'918 434'797 (1'313'173) 546'488 (81'933) 478'161 (190'295) 52'071 (503'473) 39'298 (142'748)
Target Price 95 95 103 103 100 94 110 98 #N/A N/A 88 #N/A N/A 112 100 116 105 100 105 111 90 100 #N/A N/A 87 97 96 90 #N/A N/A 97 #N/A N/A 88 77 92 116
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 05.07.2013 31.05.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified
Date 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 11.06.2013 05.06.2013 05.06.2013 29.05.2013 28.05.2013 24.05.2013 23.05.2013 23.05.2013 14.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 09.05.2013 09.05.2013 09.05.2013 18.04.2013 16.04.2013 15.02.2013
08.07.2013
TransCanada Corp TransCanada Corporation is the parent company of TransCanada PipeLines Limited. The Company is focused on natural gas transmission and power services. TransCanada's network of pipeline transports the majority of Western Canada's natural gas production to markets in Canada and the United States. The Company also has interests in power plants in Canada and the United States.
Price/Volume 60
7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.05.2013) 52-Week Low (11.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TRP CN EQUITY YTD Change TRP CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 51.22 42.25 999'221.00 46.27 -9.67% 9.51% 37.78% 707.0 32'713.45 22'182.00 1'224.0 1'425.0 551.00 57'939.45
4.0 M
20
3.0 M 2.0 M
10
1.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 8'619.0 4.70x 4'142.0 9.77x 1'440.0 14.81x
9.0 M
50
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'181.0 8'064.0 5.60x 6.19x 4'137.0 3'787.0 11.08x 13.19x 1'380.0 1'272.0 17.83x 19.48x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 7'839.0 7.01x 4'080.0 13.46x 1'581.0 20.06x
31.12.2012 8'007.0 7.18x 3'947.0 14.56x 1'354.0 25.01x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
3'947.00 2'572.00 32.12% 24.20% 3.02% 8.85% 5.76% 0.17% 45.2% 48.9% 32.0% 16.9% 0.48 0.27 45.89% 141.40% 7.89 19.63
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 7'800.0 27.61x 4'084.0 13.18x 1'522.0 20.11x
03/yy 8'273.0 27.34x 4'048.0 14.69x 1'449.0 25.66x
FY+1
3.85 0.60 706.11 27.27 11.27% 0.35% 0.598 16 4.000 2'111'739 2'322'505 2'088'924 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 9'207.8 9'939.3 2'157.3 2'262.0 6.40x 6.03x 25.72x 24.92x 4'802.6 5'241.0 1'178.7 1'217.8 12.06x 11.06x 11.69x 11.49x 1'601.2 1'792.6 362.0 400.0 20.65x 18.32x 19.61x 18.90x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.09.2009 ASTABLE 3.09 1.06 5.43 5.54 141.4% 54.7% 0.17 0.25 46.28 18.59 163.12 -128.57
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
10'000.0 9'000.0
10.00
8'000.0 7'000.0
8.00
6'000.0
6.00
5'000.0 4'000.0
4.00
3'000.0 2'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
1'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
TransCanada Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ROYAL BANK OF CANADA BLACKROCK TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BMO FINANCIAL CORP BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA THE BANK OF NOVA SCO IG INVESTMENT MANAGE FMR LLC TORONTO DOMINION BAN FRANKLIN RESOURCES DEUTSCHE BANK AG CIBC WORLD MARKETS I JARISLOWSKY FRASER L NORGES BANK GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU VANGUARD GROUP INC BMO INVESTMENTS INC GREYSTONE MANAGED IN TREASURY GROUP INV S CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA
Firm Name Canaccord Genuity Corp Edward Jones Desjardins Securities TD Securities CIBC World Markets EVA Dimensions National Bank Financial Veritas Investment Research Co FirstEnergy Capital Corp BMO Capital Markets Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank RBC Capital Markets Scotia Capital Goldman Sachs
Portfolio Name n/a n/a TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BMO FINANCIAL CORP n/a THE BANK OF NOVA SCO IG INVESTMENT MANAGE n/a TORONTO DOMINION BAN n/a n/a CIBC WORLD MARKETS I JARISLOWSKY FRASER L NORGES BANK GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios GREYSTONE MANAGED IN TG RARE INFRASTRUCTU CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA
Analyst JUAN PLESSIS LANNY PENDILL PIERRE LACROIX LINDA EZERGAILIS PAUL LECHEM DOUG WALTERS PATRICK KENNY DARRYL MCCOUBREY STEVEN I PAGET CARL L KIRST ANDREW M KUSKE CURTIS N LAUNER ROBERT KWAN MATTHEW AKMAN THEODORE DURBIN
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F MF-PART 13F
Recommendation buy buy hold hold sector outperform hold sector perform buy market perform outperform outperform hold outperform sector outperform neutral/attractive
Amt Held 61'070'171 37'084'896 23'929'883 22'298'420 17'655'287 16'778'035 14'426'410 13'932'098 13'510'650 12'105'806 11'709'082 11'356'574 9'985'501 7'150'772 6'108'106 6'056'991 5'587'095 5'488'440 5'041'524 4'776'761
% Out 8.64 5.25 3.38 3.15 2.5 2.37 2.04 1.97 1.91 1.71 1.66 1.61 1.41 1.01 0.86 0.86 0.79 0.78 0.71 0.68
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (445'569) 530'004 (2'229'848) (1'369'779) 157'700 (503'620) (4'220'674) (151'652) 115'321 2'558'180 6'796 (1'616'164) 85'198 307'752 (147'100) (1'037'731) (123'581)
Target Price 51 #N/A N/A 50 51 54 #N/A N/A 50 50 52 55 54 52 54 57 48
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month
Inst Type Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 05.07.2013 01.07.2013 26.06.2013 20.06.2013 13.06.2013 06.06.2013 02.06.2013 21.05.2013 17.05.2013 15.05.2013 07.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 29.04.2013 13.02.2013
08.07.2013
Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores for and produces oil and natural gas. The Company refines, markets, and supplies oil products. Petrobras operates oil tankers, distribution pipelines, marine, river and lake terminals, thermal power plants, fertilizer plants, and petrochemical units. The Company operates in South America and elsewhere around the world.
Price/Volume 25
40.0 M 20
12/2012 03/yy 23.88 13.20 4'054'779.00 13.5 -43.59% 2.27% 2.34% 2'801.0 83'473.24 196'350.31 2'354.0 49'302.76 -
25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M
5
5.0 M 0 j-12
31.12.2008 217'266.2
31.12.2009 183'481.6
57'362.2
58'032.9
34'685.2
30'964.7
31.12.2010 211'841.9 2.07x 59'315.3 7.39x 35'189.4 -
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 244'176.1 1.60x 61'582.3 6.35x 33'313.1 -
31.12.2012 281'379.5 1.44x 53'158.1 7.60x 21'182.4 -
Profitability
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
53'158.09 31'391.99 11.16% 9.86% 3.00% 5.85% 5.03% 0.44% 25.2% 18.2% 10.1% 7.5% 1.70 1.03 28.97% 57.23% 16.87 7.13
LTM
FY+1
1.22 9.19 -25.69% -27.46% 1.219 10 3.800 12'793'450 8'168'222 7'988'791 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 255'048.0 287'780.8 294'720.7 314'119.3 75'473.5 80'645.0 6.02x 5.52x 1.30x 1.34x 4.79x 4.52x 62'822.2 52'352.0 69'068.6 78'196.8 16'433.0 6.48x 7.48x 31'542.4 19'661.4 28'691.2 33'171.3 (936.5) 12'490.0 0.00x 0.00x 6.69x 6.20x 6.71x 6.14x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 17.11.2011 Long-Term Rating BBB Long-Term Outlook NEG Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 3.04 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -1.47 Net Debt/EBITDA 2.87 Total Debt/EBITDA 3.76 Reference Total Debt/Equity 57.2% Total Debt/Capital 36.2% Asset Turnover 0.44 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.73 Accounts receivable turnover-days 21.63 Inventory Days 51.17 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 36.89 Cash Conversion Cycle 37.20 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.20
300'000.0
1.00
250'000.0
0.80
200'000.0
0.60
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended
Price/ Cash Flow
30.0 M
10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (05.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 19.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PBR/A US EQUITY YTD Change PBR/A US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
35.0 M
15
Valuation Analysis
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
45.0 M
150'000.0 100'000.0
0.40
50'000.0 0.20
0.0 0.00
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Petroleo Brasileiro SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ABERDEEN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV VANGUARD GROUP INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC JP MORGAN BLACKROCK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA DODGE & COX ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN MANNING & NAPIER ADV BRANDES INVESTMENT P MORGAN STANLEY STATE STREET CREDIT AGRICOLE SA BANK OF AMERICA CORP AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL SCHRODER INVESTMENT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a OPPENHEIMER FUNDS IN n/a n/a n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA DODGE & COX n/a MANNING & NAPIER ADV BRANDES INVESTMENT P n/a n/a CREDIT AGRICOLE SA BANK OF AMERICA AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL SCHRODER INVESTMENT
Analyst
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation
Barclays PAUL Y CHENG Itau BBA Securities PAULA KOVARSKY JPMorgan CAIO M CARVALHAL HSBC LUIZ CARVALHO Howard Weil Inc RICHARD ROBERTS JR Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research OSWALDO ALCANTARA TELLES FILHO Goldman Sachs FELIPE MATTAR Banco BTG Pactual SA GUSTAVO GATTASS Bradesco Corretora AURO ROZENBAUM
equalweight market perform neutral neutral sector perform buy Buy/Neutral neutral buy
Amt Held 123'066'148 50'168'472 40'663'251 37'639'608 34'128'304 29'464'402 29'403'463 28'104'985 26'935'150 25'479'577 23'654'700 23'455'588 23'388'906 11'979'961 10'639'189 7'782'945 7'155'973 6'257'435 5'992'102 5'967'077
% Out 4.39 1.79 1.45 1.34 1.22 1.05 1.05 1 0.96 0.91 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.43 0.38 0.28 0.26 0.22 0.21 0.21
Weighting
Change 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 5
Latest Chg (13'394'421) (8'009'753) 3'886'585 199'730 929'052 11'715'300 4'011'394 (4'765'964) 2'510'000 2'961'100 2'457'200 (471'788) 1'892'685 360'069 (1'009'741) (129'648) (558'185) (4'276'463) 882'305 (3'100'700)
Target Price
M M M M M M M M M
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
21 22 21 19 20 36 25 21 73
File Dt 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 02.07.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 30.04.2013 28.04.2013 26.04.2013 20.10.2008
08.07.2013
National Oilwell Varco Inc National Oilwell Varco Inc. is a worldwide provider of equipment and components used in oil and gas drilling and production operations, oilfield services, and supply chain integration services to the upstream oil and gas industry.
Price/Volume 90
14.0 M
80
12.0 M
70
10.0 M
60
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (18.09.2012) 52-Week Low (18.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 01.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance NOV US EQUITY YTD Change NOV US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 89.95 63.08 848'539.00 73.081 -18.78% 15.85% 32.64% 427.3 31'226.14 3'149.00 0.0 117.0 3'319.00 33'264.14
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
40
6.0 M
30
4.0 M
20
2.0 M
10 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 13'431.4 0.72x 3'319.1 2.90x 1'952.0 4.81x
50
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 12'712.0 12'156.0 1.32x 2.14x 2'952.0 2'954.0 5.70x 8.80x 1'469.0 1'667.0 11.37x 16.57x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 14'658.0 1.77x 3'492.0 7.42x 1'994.0 14.16x
31.12.2012 20'041.0 1.45x 4'185.0 6.96x 2'491.0 11.44x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
4'185.00 3'557.00 17.75% 17.49% 7.98% 12.25% 11.02% 0.70% 26.6% 19.7% 16.5% 12.4% 2.78 1.35 10.00% 15.56% 5.53 2.45
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 15'815.0 6.69x 3'785.0 8.21x 2'193.0 15.30x
03/yy 21'045.0 5.83x 4'136.0 7.80x 2'387.0 12.31x
FY+1
0.68 1.50 426.28 6.53 10.62% 7.53% 1.501 35 4.543 3'148'961 3'427'784 3'743'189 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 22'261.3 24'126.7 5'434.7 5'604.6 1.41x 1.21x 6.00x 5.73x 4'312.5 4'935.9 1'038.0 1'097.3 7.71x 6.73x 7.46x 7.16x 2'376.2 2'791.7 570.1 609.6 13.11x 11.09x 12.57x 12.00x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
25.04.2012 A STABLE 85.41 73.51 0.46 1.05 15.6% 13.4% 0.70 7.33 65.98 148.92 23.47 193.26
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
90.00
25'000.0
80.00
20'000.0
70.00 60.00
15'000.0
50.00 40.00
10'000.0
30.00
5'000.0
20.00 10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
National Oilwell Varco Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FMR LLC SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY I HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN DEUTSCHE BANK AG JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE JP MORGAN EPOCH INVESTMENT PAR WADDELL & REED FINAN VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C
Firm Name Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Fearnley Fonds Credit Suisse JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group Cowen and Company Societe Generale Edward Jones Guggenheim Securities LLC Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Johnson Rice & Co Susquehanna Financial Group Macquarie Raymond James William Blair & Co HSBC Iberia Capital Partners LLC Sterne, Agee & Leach Global Hunter Securities Argus Research Corp Howard Weil Inc RS Platou Markets EVA Dimensions Capital One Southcoast, Inc. RBC Capital Markets Barclays S&P Capital IQ Tudor Pickering & Co
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL OPPENHEIMER FUNDS IN n/a n/a HARRIS ASSOC LP WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME n/a n/a n/a n/a EPOCH INVESTMENT PAR WADDELL & REED FINAN n/a
Analyst THOMAS PATRICK CURRAN TRULS OLSEN JAMES WICKLUND J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY JAMES D CRANDELL EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO BRIAN YOUNGBERG MICHAEL K LAMOTTE OLE SLORER WAQAR SYED DAVID C SMITH CHARLES P MINERVINO NIGEL BROWNE J MARSHALL ADKINS BRANDON DOBELL DAVID PHILLIPS TREY STOLZ STEPHEN D GENGARO BRIAN UHLMER JONATHAN GELCIUS WILLIAM SANCHEZ GORAN ANDREASSEN CRAIG STERLING JOSEPH D GIBNEY KURT HALLEAD JAMES C WEST STEWART GLICKMAN JEFF TILLERY
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy neutral overweight market perform outperform buy buy outperform buy buy buy Equalwt/In-Line buy/attractive equalweight Positive outperform outperform outperform overweight outperform buy buy buy sector perform buy hold add sector perform overweight strong buy buy
Amt Held 28'951'192 19'747'022 18'512'793 15'573'621 10'199'065 8'346'234 8'078'111 7'885'877 7'849'536 7'484'300 6'616'862 5'974'258 4'934'555 4'260'914 4'186'718 4'184'336 4'182'789 3'971'605 3'549'221 3'520'288
% Out 6.78 4.62 4.33 3.64 2.39 1.95 1.89 1.85 1.84 1.75 1.55 1.4 1.15 1 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.93 0.83 0.82
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 4 3 5 5 5
M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M
Latest Chg (1'704'407) 468'948 (106'335) (2'095'624) 776'187 128'683 431'962 (453'994) 476'087 2'189'500 1'411'178 1'041'360 (325'804) (938'713) 1'627'892 (427'166) (2'706'698) 421'704 (768'906) (343'629)
Target Price #N/A N/A 81 74 85 75 88 85 77 90 79 #N/A N/A 85 80 86 #N/A N/A 76 84 85 #N/A N/A 88 93 80 80 85 85 84 #N/A N/A 88 78 84 95 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 19.06.2013 12.06.2013 10.06.2013 30.05.2013 23.05.2013 22.05.2013 16.05.2013 14.05.2013 13.05.2013 08.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 01.02.2013 12.09.2012
08.07.2013
CNOOC Ltd CNOOC Limited, through its subsidiaries, explores, develops, produces, and sells crude oil and natural gas. The Group's core operation areas are Bohai, Western South China Sea, Eastern South China Sea and East China Sea in offshore China. Internationally, the Group has oil and gas assets in Asia, Africa, North America, South America and Oceania.
Price/Volume 18
160.0 M
16
140.0 M
14
120.0 M
12
100.0 M
10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (04.01.2013) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.02.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 883 HK EQUITY YTD Change 883 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 17.38 12.04 61'421'640.00 13.14 -24.40% 9.14% 19.48% 44'646.3 586'652.50 57'886.00 0.0 0.0 133'709.00 388'124.07
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
60.0 M
6 4
40.0 M
2
20.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 105'195.1 180'036.0 4.24x 3.71x 56'272.8 97'993.0 7.93x 6.82x 29'485.6 54'410.0 16.28x 12.81x Profitability
31.12.2011 240'944.0 1.79x 119'044.0 3.62x 70'255.0 7.02x
31.12.2012 247'627.0 2.13x 117'702.0 4.48x 63'691.0 9.44x
s-12
o-12
117'702.00 84'799.00 34.24% 36.41% 15.16% 22.24% 0.59% 47.5% 34.2% 25.7% 2.07 1.91 12.69% 18.69% 11.18 -
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1 -
3.63 1.24 15'873.58 -12.34% -19.87% 1.242 34 4.382 54'085'540 59'332'020 57'685'770 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 258'004.2 277'672.6 1.95x 1.78x 131'012.2 141'501.0 2.96x 2.74x 62'165.5 64'716.5 7.54x 7.30x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
16.12.2010 AASTABLE 71.42 33.25 -0.64 0.49 18.7% 15.7% 0.59 1.05 32.73 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
1.20
300'000.0
1.00
250'000.0
0.80
200'000.0
0.60
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 125'977.4 1.95x 65'262.9 3.77x 44'375.3 6.44x
80.0 M
8
Valuation Analysis
150'000.0 100'000.0
0.40
50'000.0 0.20
0.0 0.00
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
CNOOC Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CHINA NATIONAL OFFSH FRANKLIN RESOURCES VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK JP MORGAN THORNBURG INVESTMENT OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC FIL LIMITED SCHRODER INVESTMENT STATE STREET T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA COMMONWEALTH BANK OF LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM INVESCO LTD HANG SENG INVESTMENT ABERDEEN SHINHAN BNP PARIBAS BARING INTERNATIONAL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN
Firm Name Mizuho Securities JPMorgan China Merchants Securities Credit Suisse Macquarie Deutsche Bank Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BNP Paribas Equity Research Standard Chartered Goldman Sachs Jefferies EVA Dimensions CIMB VTB Capital Bank of China International China International Capital Corp UOB Kay Hian BOCOM International Holdings Morgan Stanley Nomura Guotai Junan SWS Research Co Ltd Mirae Asset Securities ICBC International Securities Ji Asia HSBC Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Citic Securities Co., Ltd JF Apex Securities Bhd AMTD Financial Planning Limited Capital Securities Corp Industrial Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst ANDREW S F CHAN SCOTT DARLING MICHAEL YUK DAVID HEWITT JAMES HUBBARD DAVID HURD NEIL BEVERIDGE POR YONG LIANG DUKE SUTTIKULPANICH ARTHUR YAN LABAN YU DOUG WALTERS JIMMY WONG COLIN SMITH LAWRENCE LAU BIN GUAN YAN SHI WU FEI ANDY MENG SONIA SONG GRACE LIU ALBERT MIAO GORDON KWAN ANNA YU SAMUEL THAWLEY THOMAS C HILBOLDT ADRIAN LOH HUANG LILI TEAM COVERAGE KENNY TANG SING HING TEAM COVERAGE FANG LEI
Source Co File ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation buy neutral buy outperform outperform hold outperform buy outperform Buy/Neutral hold buy outperform buy buy buy sell buy Overwt/Attractive neutral accumulate outperform buy hold sell overweight buy overweight hold buy hold buy
Amt Held 28'772'727'273 533'376'247 526'136'260 522'969'601 254'212'499 253'090'302 223'917'992 223'058'491 223'042'588 192'495'980 157'408'000 139'327'500 118'973'400 89'985'090 86'312'291 79'549'000 78'661'957 72'577'000 70'811'109 68'538'000
% Out 64.45 1.19 1.18 1.17 0.57 0.57 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.43 0.35 0.31 0.27 0.2 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.15
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 5 3 4 5 5 3 1 5 5 5 3 5 3 5
M M M M M M M U M M M M N M M M M M M M M M U M M M M N M M M N
Latest Chg (6'209'000) 1'160'536 671'000 (42'310'501) (12'718'678) 33'120'992 (46'619'833) (9'710'434) (8'133'101) 3'472'000 1'297'000 6'582'000 (11'098'378) 2'950'000 8'004'000 (4'311'000) 7'140'000 -
Target Price 15 17 17 20 18 14 22 16 18 17 13 #N/A N/A 18 17 17 18 14 17 17 15 19 19 16 15 10 18 20 19 #N/A N/A 16 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 06.06.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 05.07.2013 10.05.2013 28.02.2013 31.05.2013 05.07.2013 30.06.2012 31.05.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 25.06.2013 19.06.2013 17.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 28.05.2013 15.05.2013 29.04.2013 29.04.2013 29.04.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 02.04.2013 27.03.2013 25.03.2013 25.03.2013 21.03.2013 07.03.2013 30.01.2013 18.12.2012 25.07.2012 24.07.2012 29.03.2012 20.07.2009
08.07.2013
PetroChina Co Ltd PetroChina Company Limited explores, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Company also refines, transports, and distributes crude oil and petroleum products, produces and sells chemicals, and transmits, markets and sells natural gas.
Price/Volume 12
350.0 M
10
300.0 M 250.0 M
8
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (03.01.2013) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 857 HK EQUITY YTD Change 857 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 11.32 7.73 109'171'280.00 8.9 -21.38% 15.14% 34.54% 21'098.9 1'840'092.25 444'826.00 0.0 116'738.0 46'245.00 2'025'971.84
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
150.0 M
4
100.0 M
2 0 j-12
50.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'072'604.0 1.78x 256'680.0 7.45x 114'453.0 9.49x
200.0 M
6
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'019'275.0 1'465'415.0 2.57x 1.54x 237'168.0 303'643.0 11.04x 7.43x 103'387.0 139'992.0 14.65x 11.33x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'003'843.0 1.04x 323'368.0 6.43x 132'961.0 10.74x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
LTM
FY+1
0.96 20'807.38 -6.42% -17.49% 0.962 32 4.188 ######### ######### 87'481'620 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
31.12.2012 03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'195'296.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### 0.99x 4.13x 3.96x 0.92x 0.90x 329'642.0 157'781.0 157'238.0 367'349.0 398'294.1 6.57x 0.00x 0.00x 5.52x 5.09x 115'326.0 135'143.0 112'190.0 129'673.0 139'101.0 14.02x 12.20x 13.04x 9.93x 9.21x S&P Issuer Ratings 329'642.00 Long-Term Rating Date 177'667.00 Long-Term Rating 8.09% Long-Term Outlook 7.60% Short-Term Rating Date 5.18% Short-Term Rating 10.46% Credit Ratios - EBITDA/Interest Exp. 0.96% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA - Total Debt/EBITDA - Reference 8.4% Total Debt/Equity 5.3% Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover 0.72 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.21 Accounts receivable turnover-days 20.51% Inventory Days 41.81% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 23.88 Cash Conversion Cycle -
Price/ Cash Flow
17.62 0.96 41.8% 27.4% 0.96 2.65 15.29 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
2'500'000.0
9.00
2'000'000.0
8.00 7.00
1'500'000.0
6.00 5.00
1'000'000.0
4.00 3.00
500'000.0
2.00 1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
PetroChina Co Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ABERDEEN FRANKLIN RESOURCES BLACKROCK JP MORGAN VANGUARD GROUP INC HARBOR CAPITAL ADVIS CHINA NATIONAL PETRO HANG SENG INVESTMENT STATE STREET FIL LIMITED BANK OF NEW YORK MEL MANULIFE FUNDS DIREC PICTET FUNDS DANSKE INVEST A/S SHINHAN BNP PARIBAS BARING INTERNATIONAL HARVEST FUND MANAGEM SCHRODER INVESTMENT GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT VERITAS ASSET MANAGE
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Guotai Junan Goldman Sachs Mizuho Securities Standard Chartered Credit Suisse JPMorgan Jefferies HSBC UOB Kay Hian China Merchants Securities Morgan Stanley BNP Paribas Equity Research Deutsche Bank Macquarie Bank of China International Ji Asia EVA Dimensions VTB Capital China International Capital Corp Nomura Mirae Asset Securities BOCOM International Holdings ICBC International Securities Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Masterlink Securities Capital Securities Corp Citic Securities Co., Ltd Everbright Securities Co., Ltd SWS Research Co Ltd Industrial Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst NEIL BEVERIDGE GRACE LIU ARTHUR YAN ANDREW S F CHAN DUKE SUTTIKULPANICH DAVID HEWITT SCOTT DARLING LABAN YU THOMAS C HILBOLDT YAN SHI MICHAEL YUK ANDY MENG POR YONG LIANG DAVID HURD JAMES HUBBARD LAWRENCE LAU SAMUEL THAWLEY DOUG WALTERS COLIN SMITH BIN GUAN SONIA SONG GORDON KWAN WU FEI ANNA YU ADRIAN LOH LI XIN TEAM COVERAGE HUANG LILI VIVIAN CHEUNG YE RONG FANG LEI
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 20F MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform accumulate neutral/neutral underperform outperform outperform overweight buy overweight buy buy Overwt/Attractive buy hold neutral buy buy buy sell accumulate neutral buy long-term buy hold outperform hold hold overweight not rated neutral strong buy
Amt Held 1'956'185'923 1'577'005'761 1'434'922'739 1'178'532'553 602'735'554 350'420'000 291'518'000 277'448'830 227'378'512 188'319'862 114'922'000 66'938'000 64'059'164 59'416'335 58'757'243 54'140'000 50'652'000 45'818'620 45'153'121 42'766'000
% Out 9.27 7.47 6.8 5.59 2.86 1.66 1.38 1.31 1.08 0.89 0.54 0.32 0.3 0.28 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.21 0.2
Weighting
Change
5 4 3 1 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 5 1 4 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 #N/A N/A 3 5
U M M M M U M M U U M U U M U M U M M M M M M M M D D D M M N
Latest Chg 3'448'000 420'000 44'157'000 (9'512'632) (35'015'194) 508'000 484'406 1'066'000 (10'296'000) (3'968'000) (9'282'000) 15'626'620 -
Target Price 12 10 11 7 13 11 11 16 11 10 11 10 10 9 8 12 12 #N/A N/A 9 11 11 13 11 10 12 12 #N/A N/A 11 #N/A N/A 10 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 30.04.2013 16.05.2013 03.07.2013 24.06.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2012 30.06.2012 05.07.2013 31.12.2012 05.07.2013 30.06.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 31.05.2012 30.09.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 20.06.2013 18.06.2013 06.06.2013 15.05.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 08.04.2013 22.03.2013 22.03.2013 11.12.2012 28.11.2012 31.10.2012 24.08.2012 31.05.2012 28.10.2011 20.07.2009
08.07.2013
Marathon Oil Corp Marathon Oil Corporation is an independent international energy company engaged in exploration and production, oil sands mining and integrated gas. The Company's operations are focused in North America, Africa and Europe.
Price/Volume 40
14.0 M
35
12.0 M
30
10.0 M
25
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.05.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MRO US EQUITY YTD Change MRO US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 36.68 23.93 1'211'731.00 36.31 -1.15% 51.77% 91.69% 708.8 25'737.15 6'896.00 0.0 0.0 684.00 31'513.15
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
6.0 M
15 10
4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 71'471.0 0.35x 8'726.0 2.89x 3'528.0 4.36x
8.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 48'291.0 11'690.0 0.59x 2.59x 5'491.0 5'544.0 5.20x 5.45x 1'463.0 2'568.0 19.77x 13.91x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 14'663.0 1.70x 6'770.0 3.68x 2'946.0 9.11x
31.12.2012 15'688.0 1.78x 8'648.0 3.22x 1'582.0 12.53x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
8'648.00 6'170.00 39.33% 38.97% 4.62% 8.58% 6.79% 0.47% 47.5% 55.2% 38.3% 10.1% 0.74 0.60 19.53% 37.72% 6.76 23.95
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 14'803.0 7.10x 6'768.0 3.93x 2'367.0 10.11x
03/yy 15'767.0 6.79x 8'696.0 3.41x 1'548.0 14.86x
FY+1
1.87 1.39 706.75 9.34 48.61% 19.58% 1.385 28 4.571 3'648'355 4'801'523 5'090'371 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 15'386.3 15'819.6 3'679.5 3'698.5 2.02x 1.93x 8.69x 8.59x 9'705.8 10'092.7 2'487.8 2'498.6 3.24x 3.12x 3.15x 3.14x 2'135.0 2'306.1 502.2 520.2 12.46x 11.63x 12.27x 12.10x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
01.07.2011 BBB STABLE 29.08.2008 A-2 30.13 12.92 0.66 0.75 37.7% 27.4% 0.47 0.59 53.98 15.24 98.12 -25.94
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
80'000.0
6.00
70'000.0 60'000.0
5.00
50'000.0 4.00
40'000.0 3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Marathon Oil Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FRANKLIN RESOURCES FMR LLC ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO JENNISON ASSOCIATES BANK OF AMERICA CORP PUTNAM INVESTMENT MA LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT MACQUARIE GROUP PIONEER INVESTMENT M WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN EATON VANCE MANAGEME DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV MACKAY SHIELDS LLC
Firm Name Raymond James Susquehanna Financial Group Societe Generale RBC Capital Markets Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Atlantic Equities LLP Global Hunter Securities Capital One Southcoast, Inc. ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Credit Suisse Howard Weil Inc Tudor Pickering & Co Argus Research Corp Simmons & Company International Barclays JPMorgan Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Macquarie S&P Capital IQ Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Goldman Sachs Stifel EVA Dimensions BOE Securities
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a n/a BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO JENNISON ASSOCIATES BANK OF AMERICA PUTNAM INVESTMENT MA LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a PIONEER INVESTMENT M WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN EATON VANCE MANAGEME n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst PAVEL MOLCHANOV DUANE GRUBERT JOHN HERRLIN SCOTT HANOLD ROGER D READ BARRY MACCARTHY MICHAEL KELLY RICHARD TULLIS JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT EDWARD WESTLAKE BLAKE FERNANDEZ MATTHEW PORTILLO JONATHAN GELCIUS JEFFREY A DIETERT THOMAS R DRISCOLL KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD PAUL SANKEY J EVAN CALIO JASON D GAMMEL MICHAEL KAY LEZE THAQI ARJUN N MURTI AMIR ARIF CRAIG STERLING PRIYANKA VYAS
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation market perform neutral buy sector perform outperform overweight buy add buy outperform outperform focus list accumulate hold overweight overweight overweight buy Equalwt/Attractive outperform buy buy buy/attractive buy buy buy
Amt Held 73'013'359 31'870'569 31'293'940 22'872'814 20'233'126 20'134'395 13'604'214 12'932'129 11'063'748 9'943'849 9'601'819 9'303'237 9'242'498 8'921'330 8'586'037 8'370'782 7'632'699 6'954'115 6'447'937 6'090'308
% Out 10.3 4.5 4.41 3.23 2.85 2.84 1.92 1.82 1.56 1.4 1.35 1.31 1.3 1.26 1.21 1.18 1.08 0.98 0.91 0.86
Weighting
Change 3 3 5 3 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M U M M M M M N
Latest Chg 998'314 (138'194) (1'993'495) 1'726'420 8'211'103 717'966 455'284 58'827 469'845 2'954'791 657'140 (615'229) (414'100) 450'760 (712'391) (491'884) 5'303'688 14'943 255'620
Target Price #N/A N/A 41 43 38 #N/A N/A 41 45 46 39 45 43 44 39 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 41 38 40 34 41 40 #N/A N/A 43 37 #N/A N/A 26
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 18 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 24.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 21.05.2013 16.05.2013 16.05.2013 14.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 15.04.2013 12.04.2013 12.03.2013 15.01.2013 15.10.2010
08.07.2013
Kinder Morgan Inc/DE Kinder Morgan Inc. is a pipeline transportation and energy storage company. The Company owns and operates pipelines that transport natural gas, gasoline, crude oil, carbon dioxide and other products, and terminals that store petroleum products and chemicals and handle bulk materials like coal and petroleum coke.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance KMI US EQUITY YTD Change KMI US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 41.49 31.93 616'220.00 38.81 -6.51% 21.57% 68.11% 1'035.7 40'194.32 31'858.00 0.0 10'234.0 714.00 81'662.32
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
45.0 M
40
40.0 M
35
35.0 M
30
30.0 M
25
25.0 M
20
20.0 M
15
15.0 M
10
10.0 M
5
5.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 7'185.2 8'190.6 2'477.4 2'359.5 495.0 (41.3) Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 7'943.0 5.90x 2'515.0 18.63x 594.0 36.27x
31.12.2012 9'973.0 7.82x 4'019.0 19.40x 315.0 50.22x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
4'019.00 2'593.00 26.00% 13.47% 1.45% 8.52% 6.38% 0.23% 52.3% 41.6% 27.7% 3.2% 0.71 0.41 46.72% 229.77% 10.90 13.95
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 7'868.0 23.69x 2'691.0 19.66x 460.0 41.70x
d-12
03/yy 11'176.0 28.77x 4'654.0 17.52x 715.0 49.33x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
3.76 0.74 664.98 11.64 22.50% 12.02% 0.741 16 4.125 4'483'818 4'047'885 3'580'292 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 12'685.0 13'443.0 3'167.0 3'206.0 6.00x 5.71x 26.30x 26.11x 4'297.7 4'621.7 1'257.7 1'245.7 19.00x 17.67x 16.03x 16.15x 1'338.0 1'564.7 325.8 322.8 30.73x 26.63x 28.31x 27.84x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
2.82 -2.08 6.63 6.86 229.8% 56.9% 0.23 0.46 33.49 26.17 70.47 -7.56
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
14'000.0
12.00
12'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
8.00
8'000.0
6.00
6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 12'094.8 2'479.6 (3'599.3) -
45
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Kinder Morgan Inc/DE Holdings By:
All
Holder Name KINDER RICHARD D CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN HIGHSTAR CAPITAL LP BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET SAROFIM FAYEZ SHALAB MACQUARIE GROUP LONE PINE CAPITAL LL SHAPER C PARK NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC MARSICO CAPITAL MANA AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL KAYNE ANDERSON CAPIT FAYEZ SAROFIM KEAN STEVEN J
Firm Name JPMorgan US Capital Advisors Barclays Deutsche Bank RBC Capital Markets Raymond James Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Credit Suisse Simmons & Company International S&P Capital IQ EVA Dimensions Morgan Stanley Tudor Pickering & Co Goldman Sachs
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a LONE PINE CAPITAL LL n/a NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO MARSICO CAPITAL MANA AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL KAYNE ANDERSON CAPIT FAYEZ SAROFIM n/a
Analyst JEREMY TONET REBECCA G FOLLOWILL RICHARD GROSS CURTIS N LAUNER ELVIRA SCOTTO DARREN HOROWITZ MICHAEL J BLUM JOHN EDWARDS MARK L REICHMAN TANJILA SHAFI CRAIG STERLING STEPHEN J MARESCA BRADLEY OLSEN THEODORE DURBIN
Source Form 4 ULT-AGG PROXY ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG Form 4 ULT-AGG 13F Form 4 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F Form 5
Recommendation overweight hold overweight buy outperform outperform market perform outperform overweight buy underweight Equalwt/Attractive hold buy/attractive
Amt Held 241'372'511 103'024'612 68'866'536 38'521'997 30'398'893 25'091'196 23'995'208 19'842'913 13'817'738 10'663'504 10'629'558 10'311'757 9'699'710 9'450'171 9'434'084 8'567'055 8'497'440 7'792'324 7'669'813 7'085'560
% Out 23.31 9.95 6.65 3.72 2.94 2.42 2.32 1.92 1.33 1.03 1.03 1 0.94 0.91 0.91 0.83 0.82 0.75 0.74 0.68
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 1 3 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M D D D M
Latest Chg 500'000 96'096 (13'247'917) 2'051'333 1'190'940 (40'292) 1'150'515 (1'211'644) 4'748'239 135'768 475'288 348'863 316'785 (214'170) 1'235'085 17'523 (28'847) (2'202'527) -
Target Price 42 34 43 48 46 42 #N/A N/A 45 43 42 #N/A N/A 42 37 41
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 24.06.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 15.03.2013 Other 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 26.10.2012 n/a 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 02.01.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 n/a
Date 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 20.06.2013 18.06.2013 06.06.2013 14.05.2013 13.05.2013 13.05.2013 29.04.2013 18.04.2013 18.04.2013 18.04.2013 28.03.2013 31.01.2013 23.01.2013 17.01.2013
08.07.2013
Spectra Energy Corp Spectra Energy Corporation transmits, stores, distributes, gathers, and processes natural gas. The Company provides transportation and storage of natural gas to customers in various regions of the northeastern and southeastern United States, the Maritime Provinces in Canada and the Pacific Northwest in the United States and Canada, and the province of Ontario, Canada.
Price/Volume 40
25
15.0 M
20
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (08.07.2013) 52-Week Low (28.12.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SE US EQUITY YTD Change SE US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 35.37 26.55 766'140.00 35.37 -0.03% 33.22% 98.87% 669.2 23'669.48 12'833.00 258.0 871.0 94.00 39'051.48
10.0 M
15 10
5.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
20.0 M
30
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 5'074.0 3.97x 2'061.0 9.77x 1'129.0 8.60x
25.0 M
35
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 4'552.0 4'945.0 5.23x 5.73x 2'062.0 2'328.0 11.54x 12.18x 849.0 1'049.0 17.58x 16.00x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 5'351.0 6.10x 2'488.0 13.13x 1'184.0 17.45x
31.12.2012 5'075.0 6.34x 2'335.0 13.77x 940.0 19.17x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'335.00 1'575.00 31.03% 27.88% 3.11% 10.93% 6.62% 0.17% 31.0% 45.4% 30.5% 18.5% 0.44 0.28 41.96% 143.03% 5.29 18.44
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 5'283.0 23.45x 2'456.0 13.60x 1'160.0 18.10x
03/yy 5'120.0 25.86x 2'324.0 15.47x 947.0 21.53x
FY+1
3.31 0.84 667.67 11.94 26.46% 31.81% 0.838 14 4.000 2'883'807 4'420'362 4'079'934 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 5'477.3 5'729.8 1'232.8 1'200.0 7.23x 6.98x 31.74x 32.87x 2'982.4 3'223.1 697.4 671.0 13.09x 12.11x 12.99x 12.91x 1'037.2 1'074.4 227.7 205.5 23.03x 21.81x 22.51x 22.30x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
14.06.2013 BBB+ *3.74 0.50 6.13 6.21 143.0% 56.0% 0.17 0.26 68.97 19.79 49.12 54.84
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
10'000.0 9'000.0
12.00
8'000.0
10.00
7'000.0 6'000.0
8.00
5'000.0 4'000.0
6.00
3'000.0
4.00
2'000.0 2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
1'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Spectra Energy Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FRANKLIN RESOURCES T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN DEUTSCHE BANK AG NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF AMERICA CORP TIAA CREF INVESTMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME PICTET FUNDS STATE FARM MUTUAL AU STERLING CAPITAL MAN SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I NORGES BANK PARNASSUS INVESTMENT
Firm Name Edward Jones Atlantic Equities LLP US Capital Advisors Scotia Capital Argus Research Corp BMO Capital Markets Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Tudor Pickering & Co Barclays EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF AMERICA TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME n/a STATE FARM MUTUAL AU STERLING CAPITAL MAN n/a NORGES BANK PARNASSUS INVESTMENT
Analyst ANDREW PUSATERI NATHAN JUDGE REBECCA G FOLLOWILL MATTHEW AKMAN MICHAEL BURKE CARL L KIRST CURTIS N LAUNER STEPHEN J MARESCA THEODORE DURBIN BRADLEY OLSEN RICHARD GROSS CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation buy overweight overweight sector perform buy market perform buy Overwt/Attractive neutral/attractive buy equalweight underweight
Amt Held 39'882'802 30'379'517 30'030'926 29'681'520 17'231'536 12'787'373 12'581'631 11'946'959 11'673'082 9'863'169 8'879'472 7'831'190 7'197'244 7'167'227 6'641'031 5'999'500 5'798'716 5'729'693 5'433'215 4'668'041
% Out 5.96 4.54 4.49 4.44 2.57 1.91 1.88 1.79 1.74 1.47 1.33 1.17 1.08 1.07 0.99 0.9 0.87 0.86 0.81 0.7
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 1
M M M M M M M U M U M M
Latest Chg 2'418'256 1'140'268 978'674 403'000 669'421 (15'888'166) (18'128'564) 1'869'986 (2'109'446) 1'639'599 5'357'007 11'928 (405'007) 937'218 486'135 360'600 5'798'716 (938'740) 25'000
Target Price #N/A N/A 40 35 34 38 33 36 40 34 42 33 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor
Date 28.06.2013 20.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 13.06.2013 12.06.2013 12.06.2013 12.06.2013 12.06.2013 12.06.2013 12.06.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Marathon Petroleum Corp Marathon Petroleum Corporation refines, transports, and markets petroleum products. The Company sells its products to resellers and consumers in the mid-west, gulf coast, and southeast United States.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (25.03.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MPC US EQUITY YTD Change MPC US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 92.73 42.60 1'045'132.00 69.99 -24.68% 64.30% 52.64% 324.8 22'731.87 3'361.00 0.0 411.0 4'860.00 21'822.87
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 40'606.0 57'279.0 1'215.0 1'834.0 449.0 623.0 Profitability
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 73'524.0 0.16x 4'515.0 2.68x 2'389.0 4.97x
31.12.2012 76'534.0 0.26x 6'093.0 3.26x 3'389.0 6.67x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
6'093.00 5'098.00 6.66% 6.84% 12.55% 33.16% 25.57% 2.84% 8.6% 8.0% 6.7% 4.4% 1.59 1.15 12.35% 28.74% 13.98 17.61
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 75'776.0 0.72x 4'685.0 3.38x 2'456.0 6.27x
03/yy 79'521.0 1.05x 6'345.0 4.47x 3'518.0 9.02x
FY+1
1.86 1.19 323.87 6.03 60.74% 12.07% 1.187 21 4.333 4'081'420 2'991'112 3'348'405 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 97'149.3 97'624.1 25'231.4 25'754.0 0.22x 0.21x 0.86x 0.83x 6'374.2 6'468.5 1'793.6 1'862.4 3.43x 3.37x 3.41x 3.39x 3'195.4 3'200.1 947.2 953.7 7.31x 6.96x 7.43x 7.10x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.01.2011 BBB STABLE 27.01.2011 A-2 28.88 22.39 -0.21 0.54 28.7% 21.7% 2.84 6.09 26.11 20.72 41.12 2.73
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
90'000.0
7.00
80'000.0
6.00
70'000.0 60'000.0
5.00
50'000.0
4.00
40'000.0
3.00
30'000.0
2.00
20'000.0
1.00
10'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 59'874.0 2'142.0 1'215.0 -
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Marathon Petroleum Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FMR LLC JP MORGAN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT DEUTSCHE BANK AG GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE ACADIAN ASSET MANAGE DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV AJO, LP D E SHAW & COMPANY I WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN INVESCO LTD
Firm Name Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays Tudor Pickering & Co JPMorgan Cowen and Company Goldman Sachs Oppenheimer & Co Raymond James ISI Group Simmons & Company International Macquarie Credit Suisse Morgan Stanley Imperial Capital LLC Howard Weil Inc S&P Capital IQ Deutsche Bank EVA Dimensions Spin-Off Research RBC Capital Markets
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a n/a BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL n/a n/a ACADIAN ASSET MANAGE n/a AJO, LP D E SHAW & CO WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a
Analyst ROGER D READ PAUL Y CHENG ROBERT KESSLER KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD SAM MARGOLIN ARJUN N MURTI FADEL GHEIT CORY J GARCIA DOUGLAS T TERRESON JEFFREY A DIETERT CHI CHOW EDWARD WESTLAKE J EVAN CALIO ANN L KOHLER BLAKE FERNANDEZ TANJILA SHAFI PAUL SANKEY CRAIG STERLING TEAM COVERAGE JACQUES ROUSSEAU
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG
Recommendation outperform overweight buy underweight outperform buy/attractive outperform outperform neutral overweight outperform outperform Overwt/Attractive outperform sector perform buy hold buy buy outperform
Amt Held 35'003'307 15'731'080 14'262'639 14'139'160 9'201'659 6'225'825 5'014'852 4'823'501 4'578'310 4'573'966 4'564'442 4'252'157 4'095'577 3'535'846 3'348'694 3'302'145 3'270'810 3'128'021 3'036'847 2'915'740
% Out 10.78 4.84 4.39 4.35 2.83 1.92 1.54 1.49 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.31 1.26 1.09 1.03 1.02 1.01 0.96 0.94 0.9
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5
M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M U U M
Latest Chg 580'903 (286'474) (704'335) (7'764'249) 322'501 886'203 (416'270) (686'618) (994'831) (79'210) 126'565 291'528 3'330'743 1'925'900 153'275 (9'224) (873'750) (480'988) (748'499) 944'778
Target Price #N/A N/A 120 111 75 100 120 90 87 82 #N/A N/A 110 110 97 81 73 99 80 #N/A N/A 81 47
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 18 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 11.06.2013 10.06.2013 03.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 16.04.2013 02.03.2013 31.01.2013 15.02.2012
08.07.2013
Williams Cos Inc/The The Williams Companies, Inc. is an integrated natural gas company that produces, gathers, processes and transports natural gas. The Company's operations are concentrated in the Pacific Northwest, Rocky Mountains, Gulf Coast, the Eastern Seaboard, and the province of Alberta in Canada.
Price/Volume 40
50.0 M 45.0 M 40.0 M 35.0 M 30.0 M 25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M
35 30 25 20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (25.04.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 03.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance WMB US EQUITY YTD Change WMB US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 38.57 28.47 899'388.00 33.065 -14.31% 16.14% 41.68% 682.7 22'573.25 10'736.00 0.0 2'675.0 839.00 35'557.25
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 5 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'255.0 6'638.0 2.33x 3.64x 2'970.0 2'902.0 6.49x 8.32x 285.0 (1'097.0) 27.26x 29.54x Profitability
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 7'930.0 3.61x 3'481.0 8.23x 376.0 20.00x
31.12.2012 7'486.0 4.66x 2'368.0 14.72x 859.0 27.33x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'368.00 1'612.00 21.53% 17.22% 2.80% 17.73% 7.51% 0.34% 43.2% 31.8% 20.9% 11.5% 1.24 0.99 44.13% 225.93% 10.43 26.80
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 8'078.0 13.33x 3'356.0 8.26x 478.0 26.40x
03/yy 7'308.0 18.58x 2'323.0 16.59x 597.0 19.12x
FY+1
3.86 1.12 681.21 15.12 18.91% 3.06% 1.124 16 4.375 4'800'659 8'371'893 7'410'986 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 7'622.5 8'878.4 1'790.3 1'948.8 5.00x 4.55x 20.15x 19.05x 2'462.9 3'248.3 580.6 587.4 14.44x 10.95x 13.65x 12.52x 497.0 861.2 101.0 117.1 43.97x 26.13x 38.99x 32.32x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.03.2012 BBB STABLE 19.03.2007 NR 4.17 -0.28 4.27 4.57 225.9% 59.1% 0.34 0.50 34.99 13.62 58.30 -22.04
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
18'000.0
14.00
16'000.0
12.00
14'000.0 12'000.0
10.00
10'000.0
8.00
8'000.0
6.00
6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
a-12
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 11'890.0 1.28x 3'843.0 3.97x 1'418.0 6.55x
15
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Williams Cos Inc/The Holdings By:
All
Holder Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA STATE STREET BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC FMR LLC JP MORGAN MORGAN STANLEY SOROBAN CAPITAL PART NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INVESCO LTD KAYNE ANDERSON CAPIT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL TORTOISE CAPITAL ADV PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL DEUTSCHE BANK AG WELLS FARGO AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL VIKING GLOBAL INVEST GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I
Firm Name Credit Suisse Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co Deutsche Bank Howard Weil Inc Goldman Sachs US Capital Advisors Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays Argus Research Corp BMO Capital Markets JPMorgan EVA Dimensions Morgan Stanley
Portfolio Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a SOROBAN CAPITAL PART NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a KAYNE ANDERSON CAPIT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL TORTOISE CAPITAL ADV n/a n/a n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL VIKING GLOBAL INVEST n/a n/a
Analyst JOHN EDWARDS DARREN HOROWITZ BRADLEY OLSEN CURTIS N LAUNER HOLLY STEWART THEODORE DURBIN REBECCA G FOLLOWILL SHARON LUI RICHARD GROSS MICHAEL BURKE CARL L KIRST JEREMY TONET CRAIG STERLING STEPHEN J MARESCA
Source 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation outperform outperform hold hold sector outperform buy/attractive hold outperform overweight buy outperform overweight underweight Overwt/Attractive
Amt Held 35'981'653 34'069'219 33'870'156 32'171'940 31'688'507 30'240'979 16'523'750 12'347'856 10'781'600 10'675'203 10'302'336 8'832'780 7'634'884 7'607'242 7'419'862 7'202'012 6'968'573 6'478'991 6'476'036 6'268'229
% Out 5.27 4.99 4.96 4.71 4.64 4.43 2.42 1.81 1.58 1.56 1.51 1.29 1.12 1.11 1.09 1.05 1.02 0.95 0.95 0.92
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 1 5
M M U M M M M M M M M M D M
Latest Chg (1'993'905) 4'199'202 788'667 838'930 2'338'474 11'567'509 3'155'377 2'651'882 387'604 (3'367'011) 473'073 (1'851'454) 4'668'694 2'176'866 5'014'266 976'562 891'799 (12'965'802) 2'153'316 (158'830)
Target Price 46 38 37 34 42 40 35 #N/A N/A 43 45 41 41 #N/A N/A 42
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 20.05.2013 15.05.2013 10.05.2013 02.04.2013 05.03.2013 12.12.2012
08.07.2013
Statoil ASA Statoil ASA explores for, produces, transports, refines, and trades oil and natural gas. The Company explores for oil in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and the Americas.
Price/Volume 160
9.0 M
140
8.0 M
120
7.0 M 6.0 M
100
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (24.09.2012) 52-Week Low (24.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance STL NO EQUITY YTD Change STL NO EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 155.00 122.90 1'993'006.00 127.9 -17.48% 4.07% 11.21% 3'188.6 407'827.97 119'400.00 0.0 700.0 80'100.00 440'327.97
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
60
3.0 M
40
2.0 M
20
1.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 651'977.0 0.63x 240'545.0 1.71x 43'265.0 8.39x
5.0 M
80
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 462'292.0 526'950.0 1.16x 0.98x 173'918.0 186'787.0 3.08x 2.77x 18'313.0 38'082.0 25.17x 11.58x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 645'599.0 0.88x 261'920.0 2.16x 78'787.0 6.20x
31.12.2012 705'700.0 0.68x 265'400.0 1.82x 68'900.0 6.42x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
265'400.00 204'900.00 29.04% 29.29% 7.57% 19.32% 0.85% 48.5% 36.8% 27.8% 9.8% 1.12 0.83 15.22% 37.41% 14.18
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
0.86 945.70 -4.68% -3.24% 0.863 37 3.865 2'431'572 2'883'080 3'309'124 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 694'752.0 673'133.0 638'910.2 663'379.7 161'440.1 156'122.6 2.89x 2.90x 0.73x 0.72x 2.88x 2.94x 272'388.0 247'542.0 229'758.4 247'335.6 56'983.2 56'313.0 1.97x 1.95x 1.92x 1.78x 1.79x 1.76x 77'924.0 60'193.0 48'814.4 53'195.3 11'949.8 12'065.9 6.31x 7.46x 8.41x 7.82x 8.20x 8.17x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 03.08.2007 Long-Term Rating AALong-Term Outlook STABLE Short-Term Rating Date 03.08.2007 Short-Term Rating A-1+ Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 88.47 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 56.47 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.13 Total Debt/EBITDA 0.47 Reference Total Debt/Equity 37.4% Total Debt/Capital 27.2% Asset Turnover 0.85 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.55 Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days 25.74 Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle 34.61 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00
800'000.0 700'000.0
5.00
600'000.0 4.00
500'000.0 400'000.0
3.00
300'000.0
2.00
200'000.0 1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
100'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Statoil ASA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MINISTRY OF PETROLEU DEUTSCHE BANK TRUST GOVERNMENT PENSION F STATE STREET CLEARSTREAM BANKING BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CO JP MORGAN CHASE BANK VANGUARD GROUP INC DNB NOR ASSET MANAGE WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP SIX SIS AG HSBC BANK PLC FRANKLIN RESOURCES KLP AKSJENORGE EUROCLEAR BANK SA STOREBRAND FUND MANA UBS BLACKROCK SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Exane BNP Paribas Carnegie AlphaValue Tudor Pickering & Co Barclays Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs SpareBank 1 Markets AS Fearnley Fonds Jefferies SEB Enskilda Grupo Santander RBC Capital Markets Danske Markets ABG Sundal Collier Swedbank First Securities EVA Dimensions Macquarie HSBC Credit Suisse Canaccord Genuity Corp Norne Securities AS Morgan Stanley Handelsbanken Simmons & Company International Societe Generale Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Nordea Equity Research Pareto Securities Nomura S&P Capital IQ DNB Markets Arctic Securities ASA JPMorgan Fondsfinans AS
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst OSWALD CLINT ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS MARTIN VOLD ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER ROBERT KESSLER RAHIM KARIM MARK BLOOMFIELD MICHELE DELLA VIGNA ODDVAR BJORGAN OLE-JACOB STORVIK BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN LARS HENRIK ROREN JASON KENNEY PETER HUTTON ANDRE BAUSTAD BENONISEN JOHN A SCHJ OLAISEN TEODOR SVEEN NILSEN DOUG WALTERS MARC B KOFLER PAUL SPEDDING KIM FUSTIER GORDON GRAY IRMANTAS VASKELA HAYTHEM RASHED ANNE GJOEN JEFFREY A DIETERT IRENE HIMONA JENS MUENSTERMANN KELLY CHEN SIGURD-ERIK NISSEN-MEYER THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM CHRISTINE TISCARENO HELGE ANDRE MARTINSEN TROND OMDAL NITIN SHARMA MORTEN EVJENTH LINDBACK
Source EXCH EXCH EXCH ULT-AGG EXCH EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F EXCH ULT-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation market perform neutral buy reduce accumulate equalweight hold neutral/cautious buy buy buy hold underweight top pick hold buy buy buy neutral overweight neutral buy buy Equalwt/In-Line accumulate overweight hold buy hold buy reduce hold buy buy neutral Under Review
Amt Held 2'136'393'559 114'440'927 106'280'038 86'525'433 67'277'878 44'374'367 28'073'252 26'082'280 19'899'173 17'549'007 15'094'815 12'509'942 12'126'355 10'569'795 9'789'874 9'409'929 9'159'334 8'509'240 8'382'657 5'525'850
% Out 67 3.59 3.33 2.71 2.11 1.39 0.88 0.82 0.62 0.55 0.47 0.39 0.38 0.33 0.31 0.3 0.29 0.27 0.26 0.17
Weighting
Change
3 3 5 2 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 1 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 4 5 3 5 3 5 2 3 5 5 3 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M U U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (20'549) 1'302'433 60'222 3'903'771 (585'270) (63'218) (213'056) (2'869'819) 897'557
Target Price 133 145 #N/A N/A 131 160 150 150 150 150 148 200 135 150 175 133 155 155 #N/A N/A 155 160 149 170 150 136 140 #N/A N/A 150 160 147 170 145 155 155 160 165 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 05.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 31.03.2013 27.03.2013 31.03.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 31.03.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 30.06.2013 01.07.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 16.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 31.05.2013 30.05.2013 30.05.2013 27.05.2013 23.05.2013 23.05.2013 16.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 16.04.2013 08.05.2012
08.07.2013
Cenovus Energy Inc Cenovus Energy Inc. is an integrated oil company. The Company comprises natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids reserves. Cenovus Energy has established natural gas and crude oil production in Alberta and Saskatchewan as well as refineries in Illinois and Texas.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.09.2012) 52-Week Low (17.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CVE CN EQUITY YTD Change CVE CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 36.25 28.32 1'791'878.00 30.525 -15.82% 7.79% 27.74% 755.6 23'064.53 5'065.00 0.0 0.0 1'160.00 27'264.53
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
-
16.0 M
35
14.0 M
30
12.0 M
25
10.0 M
20
8.0 M
15
6.0 M
10
4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008
40
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 11'517.0 12'641.0 2.06x 2.26x 3'235.0 2'780.0 7.34x 10.26x 818.0 1'081.0 24.31x 28.44x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 15'696.0 1.84x 3'748.0 7.72x 1'478.0 19.33x
31.12.2012 16'842.0 1.73x 4'075.0 7.13x 993.0 20.05x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
4'075.00 2'490.00 14.78% 10.55% 3.15% 7.56% 6.74% 0.71% 90.6% 23.6% 13.7% 5.9% 1.40 0.80 20.92% 51.65% 10.37 1.29
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 16'760.0 7.08x 4'351.0 7.07x 1'857.0 18.70x
03/yy 16'597.0 6.91x 3'917.0 7.14x 738.0 18.95x
FY+1
2.95 1.24 754.42 6.62 -4.79% -6.86% 1.242 25 4.520 2'297'216 2'667'462 2'993'827 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 17'430.9 18'135.8 4'479.3 4'575.5 1.54x 1.51x 6.00x 5.95x 4'365.7 4'734.4 1'081.7 1'083.0 6.25x 5.76x 6.37x 6.48x 1'481.1 1'683.7 368.3 381.2 15.39x 14.09x 15.01x 14.63x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
14.09.2009 BBB+ STABLE 8.96 1.38 1.07 1.32 51.7% 34.1% 0.71 1.08 35.19 283.54 622.01 -275.93
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
18'000.0
12.00
16'000.0 14'000.0
10.00
12'000.0
8.00
10'000.0
6.00
8'000.0 6'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
2'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Cenovus Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK ROYAL BANK OF CANADA FMR LLC HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BMO FINANCIAL CORP JARISLOWSKY FRASER L IG INVESTMENT MANAGE CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN INVESCO LTD CI INVESTMENTS INC BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN FIRST EAGLE INVESTME THE BANK OF NOVA SCO POWER CORP OF CANADA BEUTEL GOODMAN & COM GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU IA CLARINGTON INVEST
Firm Name Barclays BMO Capital Markets Cormark Securities Inc. Alta Corp Capital Inc. Credit Suisse Edward Jones Canaccord Genuity Corp FirstEnergy Capital Corp RBC Capital Markets JPMorgan TD Securities Global Hunter Securities Peters & Co Ltd Scotia Capital National Bank Financial Societe Generale EVA Dimensions Macquarie Goldman Sachs Tudor Pickering & Co Accountability Research Corp Raymond James Stifel Veritas Investment Research Co
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a HARRIS ASSOC LP TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BMO FINANCIAL CORP JARISLOWSKY FRASER L IG INVESTMENT MANAGE n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN FIRST EAGLE INVESTME THE BANK OF NOVA SCO n/a BEUTEL, GOODMAN & CO GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU Multiple Portfolios
Analyst PAUL Y CHENG RANDY J OLLENBERGER TODD KEPLER DIRK M LEVER JASON FREW LANNY PENDILL PHILIP R SKOLNICK MICHAEL P DUNN GREG M PARDY KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD MENNO HULSHOF SAMEER UPLENCHWAR JEFF MARTIN MARK POLAK KYLE PRESTON JOHN HERRLIN DOUG WALTERS CHRIS FELTIN ARJUN N MURTI MATTHEW PORTILLO MICHAEL RUGGIRELLO JUSTIN BOUCHARD AMIR ARIF SAM LA BELL
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F MF-AGG
Recommendation overweight outperform buy outperform neutral buy buy outperform outperform overweight action list buy buy sector outperform sector perform outperform buy hold outperform neutral/attractive hold buy outperform hold buy
Amt Held 42'455'518 41'686'978 26'742'921 26'097'463 24'403'307 22'174'292 19'053'673 17'641'168 16'785'441 16'204'902 13'209'012 11'482'424 10'829'922 10'165'186 9'881'696 9'856'828 9'113'638 8'341'512 8'339'315 8'186'230
% Out 5.62 5.52 3.54 3.45 3.23 2.93 2.52 2.33 2.22 2.14 1.75 1.52 1.43 1.35 1.31 1.3 1.21 1.1 1.1 1.08
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 5 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 332'129 (6'440'057) (1'388'979) 2'567'897 (1'977'655) (754'885) 1'426'800 2'592'844 1'013'956 1'087'810 (1'596'895) (171'981) 25'253 207'300 280'800 (1'050'435) 255'215 (43'732) 108'600
Target Price 44 41 38 42 38 #N/A N/A 40 38 40 49 41 44 36 40 42 37 #N/A N/A 39 37 40 40 41 #N/A N/A 35
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Holding Company 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Insurance Company 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 02.06.2013 28.05.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013
08.07.2013
Noble Energy Inc Noble Energy, Inc. is an independent energy exploration and production company. The Company explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Noble Energy operates primarily in the Rocky Mountains, Mid-continent, and deepwater Gulf of Mexico areas in the US, with key international operations offshore Israel, the North Sea and West Africa.
Price/Volume 70
5.0 M 4.5 M 4.0 M 3.5 M 3.0 M 2.5 M 2.0 M 1.5 M 1.0 M .5 M .0 M
60 50 40
Valuation Analysis
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (05.07.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance NBL US EQUITY YTD Change NBL US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 62.76 41.17 909'207.00 62.71 -0.25% 52.34% 99.77% 357.5 22'421.80 4'064.00 0.0 0.0 1'387.00 24'839.80
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'725.0 2'991.0 4.95x 5.46x 1'774.0 1'835.0 7.60x 8.91x (131.0) 725.0 67.83x 19.79x Profitability
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 3'275.0 6.04x 2'102.0 9.41x 453.0 19.19x
31.12.2012 4'003.0 5.22x 2'545.0 8.21x 1'027.0 20.55x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'545.00 1'142.00 28.53% 33.87% 5.90% 12.77% 9.79% 0.23% 49.0% 63.5% 27.7% 25.7% 1.09 0.93 23.15% 49.21% 4.81 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 3'536.0 20.51x 2'353.0 8.69x 702.0 17.68x
LTM 03/yy 4'080.0 20.14x 2'590.0 8.97x 1'025.0 24.56x
FY+1
0.73 1.26 350.90 6.64 48.84% 23.86% 1.259 33 4.424 1'934'163 1'854'020 2'228'856 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 5'215.8 6'268.8 1'194.8 1'390.4 4.94x 4.22x 21.31x 18.55x 3'791.5 4'569.9 881.8 1'042.9 6.54x 5.42x 6.01x 5.70x 1'256.6 1'564.2 266.4 335.0 17.76x 14.53x 16.70x 15.61x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
24.02.2009 BBB STABLE 5.96 -2.59 0.93 1.44 49.2% 33.0% 0.23 0.30 75.82 242.28 -158.97
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
4'500.0
9.00
4'000.0
8.00
3'500.0
7.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'500.0
5.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'500.0
3.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
a-12
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'645.0 2.64x 2'469.0 3.89x 1'350.0 6.97x
20
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Noble Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FMR LLC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGE PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT JENNISON ASSOCIATES OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC NORTHERN TRUST CORPO ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL EDELMAN THOMAS J NORGES BANK AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL COLUMBUS CIRCLE INVE STATE FARM MUTUAL AU
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets BMO Capital Markets Guggenheim Securities LLC Tudor Pickering & Co Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Sterne, Agee & Leach Raymond James Iberia Capital Partners LLC ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Global Hunter Securities Simmons & Company International Howard Weil Inc Johnson Rice & Co Societe Generale Wunderlich Securities Credit Suisse Barclays EVA Dimensions Deutsche Bank Macquarie Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Argus Research Corp FBR Capital Markets Stifel Wells Fargo Securities, LLC S&P Capital IQ JPMorgan
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGE PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT JENNISON ASSOCIATES OPPENHEIMER FUNDS IN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a ARTISAN PARTNERS LP BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a NORGES BANK AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL COLUMBUS CIRCLE INVE STATE FARM MUTUAL AU
Analyst LEO P MARIANI DAN MCSPIRIT ROBERT CORDRAY MATTHEW PORTILLO BOB BRACKETT TIM A REZVAN JOHN FREEMAN PATRICK RIGAMER JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT RICHARD TULLIS MICHAEL KELLY DAVID W KISTLER PETER KISSEL CHARLES MEADE JOHN HERRLIN IRENE O HAAS ARUN JAYARAM THOMAS R DRISCOLL CRAIG STERLING STEPHEN RICHARDSON JOSEPH MAGNER J EVAN CALIO BRIAN SINGER JONATHAN GELCIUS REHAN RASHID AMIR ARIF DAVID R TAMERON MICHAEL KAY JOSEPH D ALLMAN
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F Form 4 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation outperform market perform buy buy market perform neutral market perform outperform strong buy market perform add buy overweight sector outperform focus list hold buy outperform overweight overweight buy outperform Overwt/Attractive buy/attractive hold outperform buy market perform hold overweight
Amt Held 53'618'818 37'003'466 24'056'502 16'834'762 15'443'427 13'243'388 10'545'000 9'954'958 7'463'740 7'025'998 6'726'492 4'298'500 4'168'568 4'105'400 3'987'920 3'960'244 3'882'002 3'854'364 3'272'838 3'212'800
% Out 15 10.35 6.73 4.71 4.32 3.7 2.95 2.78 2.09 1.97 1.88 1.2 1.17 1.15 1.12 1.11 1.09 1.08 0.92 0.9
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M U M D M
Latest Chg 273'484 537'250 642'270 799'658 20'488 (8'758) (834'800) 58'360 (887'760) 151'044 (156'214) (311'396) 15'532 106'200 (264'564) (8'000) (781'126) (58'450) -
Target Price 67 62 72 74 65 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 68 67 #N/A N/A 68 65 78 65 #N/A N/A 61 67 68 70 #N/A N/A 62 64 70 77 #N/A N/A 78 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 60 59
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 19.06.2013 n/a 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Insurance Company
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 18 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 05.06.2013 03.06.2013 03.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 30.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 23.05.2013 15.05.2013 13.05.2013 07.02.2013 14.01.2013
08.07.2013
Baker Hughes Inc Baker Hughes Incorporated supplies reservoir-centered products, services, and systems to the worldwide oil and gas industry. The Company provides products and services for oil and gas exploration, drilling, completion, and production. Baker Hughes also manufactures and markets a variety of roller cutter bits and fixed cutter diamond bits.
Price/Volume
20.0 M 15.0 M
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 18.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BHI US EQUITY YTD Change BHI US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 50.97 38.14 900'434.00 48.505 -4.83% 27.18% 77.55% 441.8 21'430.84 4'916.00 0.0 199.0 1'015.00 25'615.84
10.0 M
20
5.0 M
10 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
25.0 M
50 40
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 11'864.0 0.87x 3'075.0 3.35x 1'635.0 5.88x
60
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 9'664.0 14'414.0 1.33x 1.88x 1'461.0 2'620.0 8.78x 10.33x 421.0 812.0 29.18x 25.18x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 19'831.0 1.24x 4'236.0 5.78x 1'739.0 10.73x
31.12.2012 21'361.0 1.04x 3'760.0 5.88x 1'311.0 13.32x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
3'760.00 2'192.00 10.26% 9.28% 4.55% 7.18% 6.20% 0.81% 18.7% 17.1% 9.5% 6.1% 2.53 1.41 18.42% 28.80% 4.19 4.63
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 20'547.0 5.10x 4'232.0 5.27x 1'737.0 9.32x
03/yy 21'236.0 4.40x 3'640.0 6.78x 1'199.0 15.75x
FY+1
1.24 1.47 440.21 10.68 22.05% 19.54% 1.467 33 3.515 2'687'592 3'128'177 3'367'140 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 21'659.7 23'470.5 5'244.8 5'514.9 1.17x 1.05x 4.82x 4.57x 3'911.9 4'703.1 902.4 1'023.2 6.55x 5.45x 6.20x 5.92x 1'358.8 1'836.6 285.2 360.3 15.85x 11.81x 14.64x 13.59x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
05.05.2006 A STABLE 05.05.2006 A-1 17.90 4.05 1.10 1.40 28.8% 22.2% 0.81 2.57 87.16 78.83 40.90 120.65
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00
25'000.0
35.00
20'000.0
30.00 25.00
15'000.0
20.00
10'000.0
15.00 10.00
5'000.0
5.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Baker Hughes Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FRANKLIN RESOURCES WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN DODGE & COX BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP PZENA INVESTMENT MAN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATE MANNING & NAPIER ADV NORTHERN TRUST CORPO SKAGEN AS T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA INVESCO LTD UBS PLATINUM INVESTMENT ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADV TIAA CREF INVESTMENT
Firm Name Raymond James Credit Suisse Howard Weil Inc JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies Susquehanna Financial Group ISI Group Barclays Cowen and Company Societe Generale RBC Capital Markets Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Morgan Stanley Argus Research Corp Macquarie Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Johnson Rice & Co FBR Capital Markets Guggenheim Securities LLC Global Hunter Securities Deutsche Bank Sterne, Agee & Leach RS Platou Markets EVA Dimensions Goldman Sachs Tudor Pickering & Co S&P Capital IQ Fox-Davies Capital
Portfolio Name n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN DODGE & COX n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a HARRIS ASSOC LP PZENA INVESTMENT MAN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATE MANNING & NAPIER ADV NORTHERN TRUST CORPO Multiple Portfolios T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a n/a PLATINUM INVESTMENT ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADV TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT
Analyst J MARSHALL ADKINS JAMES WICKLUND WILLIAM SANCHEZ J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER CHARLES P MINERVINO JUDSON E BAILEY JAMES C WEST JAMES D CRANDELL EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO KURT HALLEAD MATTHEW D CONLAN OLE SLORER JONATHAN GELCIUS NIGEL BROWNE LUKE M LEMOINE DANIEL BURKE MEGAN REPINE MICHAEL K LAMOTTE BRIAN UHLMER MICHAEL W URBAN STEPHEN D GENGARO TURNER HOLM CRAIG STERLING WAQAR SYED BYRON POPE STEWART GLICKMAN PAUL SINGER
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation market perform outperform sector perform neutral outperform market perform buy neutral strong buy overweight market perform buy sector perform market perform Underwt/In-Line sell neutral neutral overweight market perform neutral neutral buy neutral neutral underweight neutral/attractive accumulate hold hold
Amt Held 47'039'100 31'533'014 30'365'452 25'083'169 22'117'370 19'903'469 18'548'372 10'826'131 8'978'261 8'743'941 7'864'914 7'792'753 6'602'469 5'958'071 5'086'856 4'727'821 3'876'264 3'745'420 3'224'499 3'101'486
% Out 10.65 7.14 6.87 5.68 5.01 4.5 4.2 2.45 2.03 1.98 1.78 1.76 1.49 1.35 1.15 1.07 0.88 0.85 0.73 0.7
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 1 1 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 3 3 1 3 4 3 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M
Latest Chg 3'079'007 3'324'165 1'962'118 (200'139) 914'925 671'618 (193'175) 39'110 1'469'141 (142'727) 831'275 (2'713) 186'112 (213'200) (1'078'279) (655'310) 408'335 1'544'379 36'992 (438'919)
Target Price #N/A N/A 54 51 52 63 43 54 48 55 54 50 54 50 #N/A N/A 46 #N/A N/A 48 51 #N/A N/A 48 50 45 59 47 49 #N/A N/A 55 #N/A N/A 48 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 24.06.2013 14.06.2013 14.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 01.05.2013 23.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 21.04.2013 21.04.2013 21.03.2013 25.02.2013 14.02.2013 04.02.2013 15.01.2013 28.07.2011
08.07.2013
Pioneer Natural Resources Co Pioneer Natural Resources Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company, headquartered in Dallas, Texas, with operations primarily in the United States.
Price/Volume 180
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
160 140 120 100 80
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (18.06.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 02.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PXD US EQUITY YTD Change PXD US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 157.81 82.18 233'053.00 153.75 -2.97% 87.09% 93.05% 136.6 20'998.88 3'721.19 0.0 178.0 229.40 23'763.30
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
40 20 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'459.7 1'718.3 5.72x 7.34x 825.7 841.0 10.11x 14.99x (52.1) 605.2 38.04x Profitability
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'294.1 5.69x 1'383.9 9.44x 834.5 18.02x
31.12.2012 2'811.7 5.98x 1'410.4 11.92x 192.3 18.11x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'410.41 600.22 21.35% 9.96% 0.61% 1.23% 3.03% 0.22% 41.5% 51.9% 21.2% 6.8% 1.02 0.53 28.47% 65.41% 8.76 6.75
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 2'520.3 20.69x 1'529.7 10.59x 700.5 25.06x
LTM 03/yy 2'859.7 23.36x 1'484.3 13.29x 78.3 20.92x
FY+1
0.05 1.55 134.71 6.18 78.57% 44.29% 1.551 38 4.289 1'341'880 1'337'657 1'506'340 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 3'646.5 4'358.8 892.9 944.4 6.43x 5.39x 25.96x 24.73x 2'337.4 2'787.8 565.0 599.9 10.08x 8.46x 9.72x 9.31x 633.8 823.5 151.4 167.8 32.69x 25.31x 30.48x 28.22x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
11.11.2011 BBBSTABLE 6.56 -7.65 1.74 2.03 65.4% 38.8% 0.22 0.26 41.66 54.07 169.59 -70.21
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 01.01.2010
a-12
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 2'227.6 2.16x 1'297.3 3.71x 210.0 7.07x
60
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Pioneer Natural Resources Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BLACKROCK FMR LLC NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC SPO ADVISORY CORP VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP WELLS FARGO PAULSON & CO SOROS FUND MANAGEMEN VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL INVESCO LTD INGALLS & SNYDER SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Firm Name Guggenheim Securities LLC Sterne, Agee & Leach Robert W. Baird & Co Stephens Inc Topeka Capital Markets Inc Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co Iberia Capital Partners LLC Susquehanna Financial Group Alembic Global Advisors ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Simmons & Company International Societe Generale Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Stifel KeyBanc Capital Markets FBR Capital Markets Howard Weil Inc Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Global Hunter Securities RBC Capital Markets Johnson Rice & Co US Capital Advisors Macquarie Barclays Credit Suisse Morgan Stanley S&P Capital IQ JPMorgan Oracle Investment Research EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO SPO ADVISORY CORP VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a PAULSON & CO SOROS FUND MANAGEMEN n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a INGALLS & SNYDER LLC n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Analyst ROBERT CORDRAY TIM A REZVAN MAGGIE SAVAGE WILL GREEN GABRIELE SORBARA JOHN FREEMAN MATTHEW PORTILLO ELI KANTOR DUANE GRUBERT JAMES J SULLIVAN JONATHAN WOLFF DANIEL KATZENBERG RICHARD TULLIS DAVID W KISTLER JOHN HERRLIN STEPHEN RICHARDSON BRIAN SINGER RYAN OATMAN AMIR ARIF JACK N AYDIN REHAN RASHID BRIAN CORALES GORDON DOUTHAT MICHAEL KELLY LEO P MARIANI CHARLES MEADE CAMERON HORWITZ JOSEPH MAGNER THOMAS R DRISCOLL ARUN JAYARAM J EVAN CALIO MICHAEL KAY JOSEPH D ALLMAN LAURENCE BALTER CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation neutral buy outperform overweight buy outperform buy outperform neutral overweight strong buy outperform add overweight sell hold buy/attractive buy hold buy outperform sector outperform outperform neutral outperform overweight buy neutral equalweight outperform Equalwt/Attractive strong buy overweight hold sell
Amt Held 16'635'059 11'295'963 8'534'471 7'874'596 7'817'221 6'891'647 6'605'789 6'407'905 6'252'592 5'257'308 4'335'844 2'544'000 2'322'781 1'956'625 1'799'777 1'721'088 1'656'884 1'291'407 1'278'103 1'105'990
% Out 12.18 8.27 6.25 5.77 5.72 5.05 4.84 4.69 4.58 3.85 3.17 1.86 1.7 1.43 1.32 1.26 1.21 0.95 0.94 0.81
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 4 5 1 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 3 1
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M
Latest Chg 2'400'000 1'610'721 3'543'507 642'710 1'325'310 1'346'614 (1'197'200) (798'330) 368'567 (423'194) (161'347) 1'544'000 234'084 33'085 183'309 (183'875) (400'910) (75'352) 394'838 133'440
Target Price 150 174 141 158 174 148 182 161 140 178 179 170 165 164 123 145 179 170 #N/A N/A 161 225 150 #N/A N/A 140 145 #N/A N/A 166 126 116 150 118 124 158 120 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 18 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 04.06.2013 30.05.2013 24.05.2013 24.05.2013 23.05.2013 23.05.2013 22.05.2013 22.05.2013 22.05.2013 21.05.2013 21.05.2013 20.05.2013 14.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 28.04.2013 25.04.2013 03.04.2013 19.02.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Hess Corp Hess Corporation is a global integrated energy company that explores, develops, produces, purchases, transports and sells crude oil and natural gas. The Company also manufactures refined petroleum products and purchases, markets and trades refined petroleum products, natural gas and electricity.
Price/Volume 80
30.0 M
70
25.0 M
60 20.0 M
50 40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (01.04.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance HES US EQUITY YTD Change HES US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 74.48 41.94 479'627.00 68.67 -7.89% 63.73% 80.49% 343.3 23'574.26 8'111.00 0.0 113.0 642.00 30'613.26
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
20 5.0 M
10 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 29'614.0 33'862.0 0.78x 0.88x 4'181.0 5'770.0 5.51x 5.19x 740.0 2'125.0 26.54x 28.28x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 38'466.0 0.65x 6'203.0 4.05x 1'703.0 9.88x
31.12.2012 37'691.0 0.68x 7'022.0 3.66x 2'025.0 9.71x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
7'022.00 4'073.00 10.81% 9.92% 7.10% 14.21% 11.49% 0.76% 18.8% 22.8% 13.5% 5.4% 1.00 0.59 18.67% 38.46% 34.82 23.44
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 31'147.0 3.32x 5'929.0 4.52x 1'319.0 10.91x
d-12
03/yy 31'475.0 3.35x 7'191.0 4.40x 2'948.0 12.26x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.58 1.44 291.22 6.65 59.57% 30.04% 1.439 25 4.040 2'094'740 2'894'591 3'184'930 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 19'948.2 21'744.0 6'114.5 6'093.2 1.39x 1.29x 4.79x 4.86x 7'476.2 7'203.0 1'791.3 1'581.7 4.09x 4.24x 4.49x 4.52x 2'296.4 2'110.1 478.1 492.6 10.91x 11.45x 12.13x 12.04x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
22.07.2010 BBB STABLE 31.08.2005 NR 15.71 -1.73 0.96 1.03 38.5% 27.7% 0.76 1.22 10.48 15.57 34.14 22.24
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
45'000.0
7.00
40'000.0
6.00
35'000.0 30'000.0
5.00
25'000.0
4.00
20'000.0
3.00
15'000.0
2.00
10'000.0
1.00
5'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 41'134.0 0.50x 7'064.0 2.91x 2'360.0 7.33x
15.0 M
30
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Hess Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT C ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT C VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET MANNING & NAPIER ADV FMR LLC LEON LESS ANNUITY TR HESS JOHN B RELATIONAL INVESTORS JOMARCO LTD PART HESS FOUNDATION INC UBS BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN CORNERSTONE INVESTME WELLS FARGO ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL
Firm Name Barclays Credit Suisse Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Edward Jones Oppenheimer & Co ISI Group Howard Weil Inc Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Societe Generale Argus Research Corp Simmons & Company International Deutsche Bank Raymond James JPMorgan Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Morgan Stanley Cowen and Company Global Hunter Securities Tudor Pickering & Co Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT C VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a MANNING & NAPIER ADV n/a n/a n/a RELATIONAL INVESTORS n/a n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a CORNERSTONE INVESTME n/a ARTISAN PARTNERS LP
Analyst PAUL Y CHENG EDWARD WESTLAKE RICHARD TULLIS BRIAN YOUNGBERG FADEL GHEIT DOUGLAS T TERRESON BLAKE FERNANDEZ BRIAN W FOOTE JOHN HERRLIN JONATHAN GELCIUS JEFFREY A DIETERT PAUL SANKEY PAVEL MOLCHANOV KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD ROGER D READ J EVAN CALIO ASIT SEN JOHN MALONE ROBERT KESSLER ARJUN N MURTI CRAIG STERLING STEWART GLICKMAN
Source ULT-AGG 13F PROXY 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13G 13G 13F 13G 13G ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation overweight neutral neutral buy outperform buy sector perform outperform buy hold overweight buy market perform neutral market perform Overwt/Attractive hold accumulate accumulate neutral/attractive buy hold
Amt Held 16'913'113 15'963'352 15'500'000 15'000'000 13'670'383 13'250'590 13'019'088 12'248'001 10'079'037 9'896'586 9'157'227 8'817'802 6'436'881 4'622'257 4'454'241 4'343'477 4'280'100 3'671'141 3'556'479 3'512'700
% Out 4.93 4.65 4.52 4.37 3.98 3.86 3.79 3.57 2.94 2.88 2.67 2.57 1.88 1.35 1.3 1.27 1.25 1.07 1.04 1.02
Weighting
Change 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 3 4 4 3 5 3
M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M U M
Latest Chg 1'194'022 500'000 13'786'500 369'771 (3'059) (492'631) 1'172'672 (1'928'853) (484'897) 174'825 166'263 100 (320'642) (675'955) (8'200)
Target Price 86 85 76 #N/A N/A 85 80 69 90 80 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 80 #N/A N/A 73 #N/A N/A 80 #N/A N/A 75 80 80 #N/A N/A 75
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 02.04.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 n/a 31.12.2012 n/a 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.12.2012 Other 31.12.2012 Other 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 18 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 08.07.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 21.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 12.06.2013 22.05.2013 16.05.2013 16.05.2013 14.05.2013 14.05.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 23.04.2013 12.04.2013 31.01.2013 29.01.2013
08.07.2013
Devon Energy Corp Devon Energy Corporation is an independent energy company that is involved primarily in oil and gas exploration, development and production, the transportation of oil, gas, and NGLs and the processing of natural gas. The Company also has marketing and midstream operations primarily in North America that include gas, crude oil and NGLs.
Price/Volume 70
12.0 M
60
10.0 M
50
8.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (22.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DVN US EQUITY YTD Change DVN US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
20
2.0 M
10 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'015.0 9'940.0 4.92x 3.69x 4'270.0 5'859.0 9.24x 6.25x (2'479.0) 4'550.0 22.88x 13.09x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 11'454.0 2.42x 6'878.0 4.04x 4'704.0 7.75x
31.12.2012 9'679.0 2.66x 5'253.0 4.91x (206.0) 15.99x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'253.00 2'442.00 25.23% -3.28% -4.60% -9.34% 0.21% 32.4% 50.2% 18.6% -2.1% 1.49 1.37 26.88% 54.72% 7.25 -
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 11'804.0 10.12x 7'068.0 4.59x 4'681.0 12.37x
d-12
03/yy 8'977.0 12.21x 4'509.0 6.33x (1'938.0) 8.27x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
1.44 1.34 379.91 8.13 -1.82% 7.25% 1.340 33 3.939 2'933'974 3'180'893 3'380'424 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 9'737.2 11'203.9 2'436.9 2'549.4 3.18x 2.88x 12.49x 12.12x 5'209.7 6'732.4 1'402.3 1'525.5 5.39x 4.17x 4.58x 4.45x 1'487.9 2'065.9 357.8 416.8 14.81x 10.94x 12.69x 11.75x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
18.03.2008 BBB+ STABLE 29.08.2000 A-2 11.57 -6.55 1.25 2.70 54.7% 35.4% 0.21 0.34 50.34 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
16'000.0
7.00
14'000.0
6.00
12'000.0
5.00
10'000.0
4.00
8'000.0
3.00
6'000.0
2.00
4'000.0
1.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 13'615.0 2.56x 8'952.0 3.89x (2'148.0) 8.29x
6.0 M
30
12/2012 03/yy 63.95 50.81 754'733.00 55.39 -13.51% 9.01% 28.54% 406.0 22'488.34 11'644.00 0.0 0.0 6'980.00 28'139.34
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Devon Energy Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK MITCHELL GEORGE PHYD VANGUARD GROUP INC HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP STATE STREET FRANKLIN RESOURCES FIDUCIARY MANAGEMENT GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP FIRST EAGLE INVESTME JP MORGAN INTERNATIONAL VALUE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM BANK OF NEW YORK MEL WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATE THIRD AVENUE MANAGEM TWEEDY BROWNE COMPAN
Firm Name Guggenheim Securities LLC Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Jefferies Credit Suisse Robert W. Baird & Co Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co Susquehanna Financial Group Edward Jones FBR Capital Markets ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Simmons & Company International Societe Generale Howard Weil Inc Johnson Rice & Co Peters & Co Ltd Wells Fargo Securities, LLC JPMorgan Argus Research Corp EVA Dimensions Barclays Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Macquarie Morgan Stanley Deutsche Bank RBC Capital Markets Alembic Global Advisors Goldman Sachs
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC HARRIS ASSOC LP n/a n/a FIDUCIARY MANAGEMENT n/a FIRST EAGLE INVESTME n/a INTERNATIONAL VALUE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO DAVIS SELECTED ADVIS n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN GREENHAVEN ASSOCIATE THIRD AVENUE MANAGEM TWEEDY BROWNE COMPAN
Analyst ROBERT CORDRAY BOB BRACKETT BIJU Z PERINCHERIL ARUN JAYARAM HSULIN PENG ANDREW COLEMAN MATTHEW PORTILLO DUANE GRUBERT BRIAN YOUNGBERG REHAN RASHID JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT BRIAN T VELIE DAVID W KISTLER JOHN HERRLIN PETER KISSEL CHARLES MEADE DAN GRAGER DAVID R TAMERON JOSEPH D ALLMAN JONATHAN GELCIUS CRAIG STERLING THOMAS R DRISCOLL LEZE THAQI JOSEPH MAGNER J EVAN CALIO STEPHEN RICHARDSON SCOTT HANOLD JAMES J SULLIVAN BRIAN SINGER
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13D 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation buy market perform buy outperform outperform outperform hold Positive hold outperform neutral outperform neutral overweight buy sector outperform equalweight sector outperform market perform neutral hold sell equalweight buy neutral Equalwt/Attractive hold outperform overweight buy/attractive
Amt Held 25'694'470 23'504'164 23'372'374 17'266'232 16'856'315 16'055'426 8'864'663 8'484'949 8'309'964 7'963'435 6'727'612 5'646'771 5'348'351 5'327'043 4'577'765 4'575'289 4'427'287 4'018'843 3'891'422 3'741'710
% Out 6.33 5.79 5.76 4.25 4.15 3.95 2.18 2.09 2.05 1.96 1.66 1.39 1.32 1.31 1.13 1.13 1.09 0.99 0.96 0.92
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 4 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 1 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M D M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (664'000) (1'597'618) 561'394 886'200 (191'691) 136'109 137'512 279'672 2'636'725 (816'722) 66'479 116'814 (1'804'296) (732'189) 178'808 (1'668'225) (522'090) 368'286 4'210
Target Price 74 66 71 75 68 70 79 75 #N/A N/A 77 #N/A N/A 67 78 83 65 69 #N/A N/A 75 #N/A N/A 63 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 61 #N/A N/A 61 58 66 72 70 73
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 07.03.2012 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 18 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month
Date 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 28.05.2013 23.05.2013 22.05.2013 11.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 16.04.2013 04.04.2013
08.07.2013
Woodside Petroleum Ltd Woodside Petroleum Limited explores for and produces oil and gas from offshore and onshore facilities located in Western Australia and Northern Territory. The Company operates numerous oil and gas fields and pipelines throughout Australia, United States and Mauritania and its products include liquefied natural gas, domestic gas, condensate, crude oil and liquefied petroleum gas.
Price/Volume 45
12.0 M
40
10.0 M
35 30
8.0 M
25
12/2012 01/yy 38.69 29.61 2'375'318.00 36.19 -6.46% 22.20% 69.15% 823.9 29'817.33 4'340.00 0.0 679.0 2'422.00 29'816.34
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15
4.0 M
10
2.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 5'103.2 4.75x 3'818.5 6.35x 1'521.6 14.06x
6.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.05.2013) 52-Week Low (11.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.12.2012 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance WPL AU EQUITY YTD Change WPL AU EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'487.0 4'193.0 10.26x 9.20x 2'482.0 2'887.0 14.42x 13.37x 1'474.0 1'575.0 20.18x 21.34x Profitability
31.12.2011 4'802.0 6.44x 2'755.0 11.23x 1'507.0 16.53x
31.12.2012 6'348.0 4.97x 4'333.0 7.28x 2'983.0 9.61x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
4'333.00 3'116.00 49.09% 57.62% 12.42% 21.46% 0.26% 58.8% 68.1% 48.9% 47.0% 1.39 1.21 17.49% 28.65% 16.11 12.01
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
3.94 1.13 633.47 1.61 20.46% 10.40% 1.133 15 3.533 2'325'263 2'531'551 2'729'509 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 09/12 Q3 12/12 Q4 5'991.8 6'845.8 5.12x 4.37x 4'117.3 4'879.3 7.24x 6.11x 1'886.3 2'222.3 14.47x 12.18x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
03.12.2010 BBB+ POS 25.04.2001 NR 0.44 1.00 28.7% 21.5% 0.26 0.30 22.72 30.48 41.97 11.22
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
7'000.0 6'000.0
20.00
5'000.0 15.00
4'000.0 3'000.0
10.00
2'000.0 5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
1'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Woodside Petroleum Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SHELL ENERGY HOLDING VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK NORGES BANK BANK OF NEW YORK MEL VANGUARD INVESTMENTS FRANKLIN RESOURCES AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATIO ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN DEUTSCHE BANK AG STATE FARM MUTUAL AU ARGO INVESTMENTS LTD MACQUARIE GROUP DB PLATINUM ADVISORS AUSTRALIAN UNITED IN CREDIT SUISSE ASSET DIVERSIFIED UNITED I MELLON GLOBAL MANAGE FMR LLC
Firm Name Deutsche Bank Shaw Stockbroking Morgan Stanley RBC Capital Markets Credit Suisse JPMorgan Macquarie Commonwealth Bank Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions Sanford C. Bernstein & Co CIMB Hartleys
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a STATE FARM MUTUAL AU Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios AUSTRALIAN UNITED IN Multiple Portfolios DIVERSIFIED UNITED I Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst JOHN HIRJEE VINCENT PISANI STUART BAKER ANDREW WILLIAMS PAUL MCTAGGART BENJAMIN X. WILSON ADRIAN WOOD LUKE SMITH MARK WISEMAN DOUG WALTERS NEIL BEVERIDGE MARK SAMTER DAVID WALL
Source EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG Research ULT-AGG ULT-AGG Sch-D MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation buy buy Equalwt/Attractive sector perform neutral overweight neutral underweight neutral/neutral buy outperform underperform buy
Amt Held 190'119'364 9'448'908 6'662'198 6'381'348 5'877'176 3'323'100 3'213'500 3'121'000 2'900'000 2'878'844 2'606'480 2'580'656 1'700'873 1'539'993 1'131'021 1'089'294 1'084'184 1'054'089 970'908 969'894
% Out 23.08 1.15 0.81 0.77 0.71 0.4 0.39 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.32 0.31 0.21 0.19 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 3 3 5 3 1 3 5 5 1 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 217'258 18'263 222'261 117'359 3'000'000 584'133 1'131'021 239'294 (6'113) 154'089 7'608 12'737
Target Price 39 39 41 40 39 43 40 37 43 #N/A N/A 43 30 55
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 04.04.2012 Corporation 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 30.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA) 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Insurance Company 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor 31.08.2011 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 15.03.2013 Investment Advisor 29.04.2013 Investment Advisor 08.05.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month
Date 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 25.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 02.05.2013 23.03.2012
08.07.2013
Valero Energy Corp Valero Energy Corporation is an independent petroleum refining and marketing company that owns and operates refineries in the United States, Canada, and Aruba. The Company produces conventional gasolines, distillates, jet fuel, asphalt, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined products as well as diesel fuel, low-sulfur and ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuel, and oxygenates.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (05.03.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance VLO US EQUITY YTD Change VLO US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 44.73 21.44 2'433'871.00 34.709 -22.47% 61.90% 53.28% 545.4 18'929.09 7'049.00 0.0 63.0 1'723.00 24'016.09
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
30.0 M 25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 112'320.0 0.15x 6'046.0 2.78x (1'131.0) 4.22x
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 63'726.0 81'342.0 0.25x 0.22x 1'832.0 3'351.0 8.75x 5.41x (1'982.0) 324.0 14.25x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 125'095.0 0.15x 5'214.0 3.54x 2'090.0 5.70x
31.12.2012 138'286.0 0.18x 6'598.0 3.67x 2'083.0 6.10x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
6'598.00 5'024.00 3.63% 2.68% 7.19% 18.48% 13.71% 3.10% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2% 1.5% 1.38 0.83 15.85% 39.09% 18.12 19.79
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
FY+1
2.02 1.54 543.22 17.88 57.99% 12.38% 1.539 25 3.880 8'155'951 7'256'355 8'479'353 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 133'934.0 136'591.0 128'007.3 128'817.9 30'842.8 33'227.6 0.54x 0.70x 0.18x 0.16x 0.74x 0.67x 5'356.0 7'338.0 6'271.6 6'377.5 1'637.7 1'878.9 3.80x 4.09x 3.81x 3.75x 3.90x 3.80x 1'560.0 3'169.0 2'781.5 2'882.9 761.0 878.9 7.54x 7.04x 7.02x 6.55x 7.24x 6.71x S&P Issuer Ratings Long-Term Rating Date 07.11.2006 Long-Term Rating BBB Long-Term Outlook NEG Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. 12.36 (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 6.87 Net Debt/EBITDA 0.68 Total Debt/EBITDA 0.94 Reference Total Debt/Equity 39.1% Total Debt/Capital 28.0% Asset Turnover 3.10 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 5.30 Accounts receivable turnover-days 20.14 Inventory Days 18.44 Accounts Payable Turnover Day 27.69 Cash Conversion Cycle 12.37 Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00
160'000.0 140'000.0
5.00
120'000.0 4.00
100'000.0 80'000.0
3.00
60'000.0
2.00
40'000.0 1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
20'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Valero Energy Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK STATE STREET VANGUARD GROUP INC T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN FMR LLC ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT DEUTSCHE BANK AG JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INVESTEC ASSET MANAG LORD ABBETT & CO LLC BANK OF AMERICA CORP VIKING GLOBAL INVEST CARMIGNAC GESTION ARROWSTREET CAP LIMI RR PARTNERS LP
Firm Name Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays JPMorgan Raymond James Cowen and Company Goldman Sachs Tudor Pickering & Co Oppenheimer & Co Edward Jones ISI Group Simmons & Company International Macquarie Morgan Stanley EVA Dimensions Spin-Off Research Credit Suisse Argus Research Corp Howard Weil Inc Imperial Capital LLC S&P Capital IQ Deutsche Bank Johnson Rice & Co
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a n/a LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INVESTEC ASSET MANAG LORD ABBETT & CO LLC BANK OF AMERICA VIKING GLOBAL INVEST Multiple Portfolios ARROWSTREET CAPITAL RR PARTNERS LP
Analyst ROGER D READ PAUL Y CHENG KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD CORY J GARCIA SAM MARGOLIN ARJUN N MURTI ROBERT KESSLER FADEL GHEIT BRIAN YOUNGBERG DOUGLAS T TERRESON JEFFREY A DIETERT CHI CHOW J EVAN CALIO CRAIG STERLING TEAM COVERAGE EDWARD WESTLAKE JONATHAN GELCIUS BLAKE FERNANDEZ ANN L KOHLER TANJILA SHAFI PAUL SANKEY DANIEL BURKE
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation outperform overweight underweight strong buy market perform neutral/attractive buy outperform buy neutral overweight neutral Overwt/Attractive buy neutral neutral hold sector perform in-line strong buy hold equalweight
Amt Held 36'947'800 27'699'435 26'116'720 22'445'931 14'896'543 14'034'069 9'682'937 9'625'460 8'690'952 8'440'239 7'843'930 7'573'410 7'317'509 7'204'331 7'074'567 6'958'552 6'716'807 6'696'675 6'695'025 5'585'600
% Out 6.77 5.08 4.79 4.12 2.73 2.57 1.78 1.76 1.59 1.55 1.44 1.39 1.34 1.32 1.3 1.28 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.02
Weighting
Change 5 5 1 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3
M M D M M U M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 1'606'135 1'250'398 101'971 6'377'052 535'006 2'355'477 (6'932'540) (10'455'423) 6'633'597 (661'960) 3'325'827 2'176'267 281'931 (2'547'260) 2'548'838 2'799'846 6'716'807 6'142'675 (88'704) 640'000
Target Price #N/A N/A 66 39 46 40 44 54 52 #N/A N/A 41 #N/A N/A 41 50 #N/A N/A 39 45 #N/A N/A 41 40 48 42 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 29.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 18 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 11.06.2013 10.06.2013 20.05.2013 13.05.2013 08.05.2013 03.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 16.04.2013 31.01.2013
08.07.2013
Repsol SA Repsol S.A., through subsidiaries, explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas, refines petroleum, and transports petroleum products and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). The Company retails gasoline and other products through its chain of gasoline filling stations. Repsol's petroleum reserves are in Spain, Latin America, Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East and United States.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (09.05.2013) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance REP SM EQUITY YTD Change REP SM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 18.55 10.90 2'667'413.00 17 -8.36% 55.96% 74.77% 1'282.4 21'801.62 19'090.00 0.0 770.0 6'318.00 37'794.62
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
90.0 M 80.0 M 70.0 M 60.0 M 50.0 M 40.0 M 30.0 M 20.0 M 10.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 58'475.0 0.48x 8'009.0 3.49x 2'555.0 7.19x
20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 45'827.0 53'663.0 0.87x 0.79x 6'686.0 11'919.0 5.99x 3.56x 1'559.0 4'693.0 14.63x 5.43x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 50'903.0 0.91x 5'800.0 8.03x 2'193.0 18.27x
31.12.2012 58'924.0 0.56x 7'017.0 4.68x 2'060.0 9.83x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
7'017.00 4'430.00 7.52% 6.02% 2.73% 7.03% 0.86% 10.8% 7.1% 3.5% 1.51 0.93 29.40% 71.49% 6.96 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 55'655.0 3.28x 6'025.0 7.53x 2'220.0 12.22x
03/yy 60'041.0 2.32x 6'490.0 5.60x 1'902.0 10.05x
FY+1
1.07 960.45 46.87% 14.14% 1.068 41 4.195 8'871'984 15'572'750 11'372'070 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 58'943.8 60'868.5 13'451.0 13'450.5 0.55x 0.52x 2.43x 2.45x 7'305.4 7'409.1 1'578.0 1'626.0 5.18x 5.10x 4.87x 4.82x 2'217.9 2'237.4 470.5 488.0 10.00x 9.99x 10.73x 10.53x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
19.04.2012 BBBSTABLE 19.04.2012 A-3 8.88 4.55 2.34 3.37 71.5% 41.0% 0.86 1.85 52.46 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
70'000.0 60'000.0
20.00
50'000.0 15.00
40'000.0 30'000.0
10.00
20'000.0 5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
10'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Repsol SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAIXABANK SACYR VALLEHERMOSO S PETROLEOS MEXICANOS TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRI BLACKROCK BNP PARIBAS SA AHORRO CORP GESTION NORGES BANK VANGUARD GROUP INC AHORRO CORP GESTION NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE AHORRO CORP GESTION FRANKLIN RESOURCES AMUNDI OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC FMR LLC UNION INVESTMENT GMB SCHRODER INVESTMENT JP MORGAN STATE STREET
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a AHORRO CORPORACION I Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios CAJABURGOS BOLSA FI Multiple Portfolios CAJASOL BOLSA I FI n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a
Analyst
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co OSWALD CLINT Bankia Bolsa (ESN) SONIA RUIZ DE GARIBAY CUBILLO NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FERNANDO LAFUENTE Exane BNP Paribas ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS Raymond James BERTRAND HODEE Natixis ANNE PUMIR Banco Sabadell JORGE GONZALEZ SADORNIL AlphaValue ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER Barclays LYDIA RAINFORTH BPI BRUNO ALMEIDA DA SILVA Deutsche Bank MARK BLOOMFIELD Credit Suisse THOMAS YOICHI ADOLFF Societe Generale IRENE HIMONA Grupo Santander JASON KENNEY Canaccord Genuity Corp GORDON GRAY Morgan Stanley HAYTHEM RASHED Independent Research GmbH SVEN DIERMEIER Equita SIM SpA MASSIMO BONISOLI HSBC PAUL SPEDDING EVA Dimensions DOUG WALTERS RBC Capital Markets PETER HUTTON Macquarie MARC B KOFLER Tudor Pickering & Co ANISH KAPADIA Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research FILIPE ROSA La Caixa FERNANDO MURILLO GUIRAO Kepler Cheuvreux NATALIA BOBO BJOERK Investec NEILL MORTON Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg JENS MUENSTERMANN Nomura THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM Jefferies BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN S&P Capital IQ CHRISTINE TISCARENO Intermoney Valores ALVARO NAVARRO JPMorgan NITIN SHARMA Interdin Bolsa ALEJANDRO MIRANDA FOURNIER BBVA LUIS DE TOLEDO Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY Banesto Bolsa SA Sociedad ROBERT JACKSON Goldman Sachs HENRY MORRIS Mirabaud Finanzas Sociedad de ValoresJOSE S MARTIN-VIVAS
Source Research EXCH Co File ULT-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH MF-PART MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG MF-PART ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy strong buy neutral outperform buy buy add overweight buy hold outperform hold buy hold Underwt/In-Line hold buy overweight buy sector perform neutral trim buy overweight buy buy hold neutral hold buy buy neutral buy outperform buy overweight not rated overweight
Amt Held 159'023'605 122'208'433 118'484'231 80'700'000 45'308'809 39'542'937 34'883'414 15'794'475 14'063'562 10'095'385 9'214'637 8'486'595 7'750'536 5'179'947 4'380'685 4'192'548 3'787'114 3'493'116 3'483'698 3'429'476
% Out 12.4 9.53 9.24 6.29 3.53 3.08 2.72 1.23 1.1 0.79 0.72 0.66 0.6 0.4 0.34 0.33 0.3 0.27 0.27 0.27
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 3 5 5 5 4 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 1 3 5 5 5 3 3 1 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 #N/A N/A 5
M M M M M M M U M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M U M M N
Latest Chg 26'646 682'896 34'820'859 757'164 10'056'688 925'028 8'464'689 (243'266) 137'967 (11'583) 50'698 316'718 961'423 272'914 57'229
Target Price 20 23 21 19 20 21 20 17 19 20 16 20 17 20 18 17 18 19 22 #N/A N/A 18 16 20 21 20 21 20 18 16 17 21 19 18 23 19 18 19 #N/A N/A 20
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 26.03.2013 17.01.2013 31.12.2012 04.03.2013 03.07.2013 10.06.2013 03.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 28.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 28.02.2013 30.04.2013 31.05.2013 28.09.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 05.07.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 3 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Investment Advisor Corporation Unclassified Government Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 10.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 04.06.2013 31.05.2013 21.05.2013 17.05.2013 15.05.2013 13.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 09.05.2013 09.05.2013 09.05.2013 07.05.2013 16.04.2013 15.04.2013 10.04.2013 03.04.2013 27.02.2013 29.01.2013
08.07.2013
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) refines, produces and trades petroleum and petrochemical products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, kerosene, ethylene, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubber, synthetic resins, and chemical fertilizers. Also, The company explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in China.
Price/Volume
600.0 M
6
500.0 M 400.0 M
4
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (30.01.2013) 52-Week Low (11.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 386 HK EQUITY YTD Change 386 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 7.36 4.91 104'510'967.00 5.25 -28.68% 6.97% 16.80% 25'513.4 610'597.63 284'546.00 0.0 37'122.0 10'864.00 797'345.82
300.0 M
3 2
200.0 M
1
100.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
700.0 M
7 5
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 1'413'203.0 0.40x 79'798.0 7.01x 28'525.0 12.55x
8
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'315'915.0 1'876'758.0 0.53x 0.36x 151'557.0 178'098.0 4.59x 3.77x 63'147.0 71'782.0 8.36x 7.62x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'463'767.0 0.29x 170'962.0 4.20x 73'225.0 7.84x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
LTM
FY+1
5.56 0.82 23'926.92 7.70% -19.61% 0.825 30 4.300 ######### ######### ######### FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
31.12.2012 03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'733'618.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### 732'951.0 722'780.0 0.34x 1.39x 1.32x 0.28x 0.28x 169'557.0 0.0 0.0 193'204.1 210'303.0 5.45x 0.00x 0.00x 4.13x 3.79x 63'879.0 64'025.0 66'501.0 74'793.0 80'223.6 18'164.0 18'745.0 9.60x 9.29x 9.60x 6.52x 6.18x S&P Issuer Ratings 169'557.00 Long-Term Rating Date 16.12.2010 99'101.00 Long-Term Rating A+ 3.63% Long-Term Outlook STABLE 3.32% Short-Term Rating Date 5.30% Short-Term Rating 12.99% Credit Ratios 9.42% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 14.05 2.27% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 1.98 Net Debt/EBITDA 1.61 - Total Debt/EBITDA 1.68 6.2% Reference 3.6% Total Debt/Equity 55.7% 2.3% Total Debt/Capital 34.2% Asset Turnover 2.27 0.71 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 3.65 0.22 Accounts receivable turnover-days 12.59 22.46% Inventory Days 55.69% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 29.06 Cash Conversion Cycle -
Price/ Cash Flow
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
5.00
3'000'000.0
4.50
2'500'000.0
4.00 3.50
2'000'000.0
3.00
1'500'000.0
2.50 2.00
1'000'000.0
1.50 1.00
500'000.0
0.50 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name JP MORGAN BLACKROCK FRANKLIN RESOURCES GOVT OF SINGAPORE IN CITIGROUP INCORPORAT VANGUARD GROUP INC CREDIT SUISSE AG CHINA PETROLEUM SHEN SCHRODER INVESTMENT HANG SENG INVESTMENT NORGES BANK STATE STREET DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OT ROBECO INVESTOR SERV BANK OF NEW YORK MEL FIL LIMITED SCHRODER KOREA LTD CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co NEIL BEVERIDGE Mizuho Securities ANDREW S F CHAN JPMorgan SCOTT DARLING China Merchants Securities MICHAEL YUK Nomura SONIA SONG Deutsche Bank DAVID HURD Credit Suisse DAVID HEWITT Macquarie JAMES HUBBARD Guotai Junan GRACE LIU BNP Paribas Equity Research POR YONG LIANG UOB Kay Hian YAN SHI Standard Chartered DUKE SUTTIKULPANICH Goldman Sachs ARTHUR YAN VTB Capital COLIN SMITH Morgan Stanley ANDY MENG Jefferies LABAN YU HSBC THOMAS C HILBOLDT Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. ADRIAN LOH EVA Dimensions DOUG WALTERS Bank of China International LAWRENCE LAU ICBC International Securities ANNA YU Masterlink Securities LI XIN BOCOM International Holdings WU FEI Mirae Asset Securities GORDON KWAN SWS Research Co Ltd ALBERT MIAO Capital Securities Corp TEAM COVERAGE Yuanta Securities Investment ConsultingTEAM COVERAGE AMTD Financial Planning Limited KENNY TANG SING HING Citic Securities Co., Ltd YIN XIAODONG China International Capital Corp BIN GUAN China Galaxy Securities LI GUOHONG Industrial Securities FANG LEI
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation market perform buy overweight neutral buy buy neutral outperform accumulate buy buy in-line Buy/Neutral hold Overwt/Attractive hold underweight hold buy buy buy buy buy buy buy buy Under Review buy buy buy buy strong buy
Amt Held 2'589'568'064 1'847'590'105 1'543'096'113 1'032'397'800 788'219'226 732'578'352 558'613'478 553'150'000 375'205'861 292'036'736 251'263'472 249'994'151 192'740'975 187'045'495 135'862'156 118'289'074 110'360'420 109'051'378 103'253'800 93'745'600
% Out 10.15 7.24 6.05 4.05 3.09 2.87 2.19 2.17 1.47 1.14 0.98 0.98 0.76 0.73 0.53 0.46 0.43 0.43 0.4 0.37
Weighting
Change
3 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 1 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 #N/A N/A 5 5 5 5 5
M U M M M M M U M M M M M M M U M U M M M U U M M U M N M M M N
Latest Chg (1'019'200) 151'127'600 50'473'661 (9'637'967) 117'000 69'066'400 5'198'352 (640'000) (191'134'118) 2'553'200 (8'499'400)
Target Price 8 6 8 9 8 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 6 #N/A N/A 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 #N/A N/A 8 8 8 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 26.06.2013 03.07.2013 23.05.2013 15.01.2013 04.06.2013 31.03.2013 07.02.2013 09.01.2012 31.05.2013 30.06.2012 31.12.2012 05.07.2013 29.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2012 30.04.2013 05.07.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 11.06.2013 10.06.2013 10.06.2013 10.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 26.04.2013 12.04.2013 01.04.2013 26.03.2013 25.03.2013 06.03.2013 29.10.2012 15.06.2012 08.02.2012 11.01.2012 29.08.2011 30.10.2009 20.07.2009
08.07.2013
Cameron International Corp Cameron International Corporation manufactures oil and gas pressure control equipment, including valves, wellheads, chokes, and assembled systems. The Company's equipment is used for oil and gas drilling, production, and transmission in onshore, offshore, and subsea applications. Cameron also produces gas turbines, centrifugal gas and air compressors, and other products.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (15.03.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 19.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CAM US EQUITY YTD Change CAM US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 67.42 41.26 333'760.00 64.28 -4.75% 55.79% 83.73% 248.0 15'944.39 2'076.20 0.0 0.0 1'702.80 16'448.19
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
14.0 M
60
12.0 M
50
10.0 M
40
8.0 M
30
6.0 M
20
4.0 M
10
2.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 5'223.2 6'134.8 1.84x 1.93x 967.5 1'060.1 9.94x 11.16x 475.5 562.9 17.23x 20.79x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 6'959.0 1.77x 1'119.1 11.03x 521.9 18.36x
31.12.2012 8'502.1 1.68x 1'316.6 10.86x 750.5 17.89x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'316.60 1'061.90 12.49% 11.03% 7.50% 14.51% 11.78% 0.86% 26.1% 15.6% 12.6% 8.8% 2.18 1.16 18.61% 37.30% 4.99 2.37
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 7'262.0 6.67x 1'158.0 11.75x 546.4 18.99x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 8'815.5 6.44x 1'373.6 12.11x 764.8 19.71x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.00 1.44 245.99 4.11 50.12% 13.85% 1.445 29 4.586 1'882'246 1'730'723 2'000'717 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 9'981.9 11'656.2 2'352.6 2'654.2 1.62x 1.33x 7.02x 6.22x 1'614.0 2'104.6 349.7 448.7 10.21x 7.83x 9.44x 8.66x 909.5 1'222.0 193.6 250.3 17.60x 13.10x 16.33x 14.77x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
18.05.2005 BBB+ STABLE 14.56 9.84 0.37 1.54 37.3% 27.2% 0.86 5.26 73.20 154.27 38.75 72.01
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
180.00
9'000.0
160.00
8'000.0
140.00
7'000.0
120.00
6'000.0
100.00
5'000.0
80.00
4'000.0
60.00
3'000.0
40.00
2'000.0
20.00
1'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 5'848.9 0.72x 1'026.5 4.10x 580.7 7.82x
70
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Cameron International Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK FMR LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET JENNISON ASSOCIATES T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA MONTAG & CALDWELL IN AMERICAN CENTURY COM GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INVESCO LTD VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC JP MORGAN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I NORTHERN TRUST CORPO ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE MANNING & NAPIER ADV ING INVESTMENT MANAG
Firm Name Morgan Stanley Wells Fargo Securities, LLC RBC Capital Markets JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies Global Hunter Securities ISI Group Societe Generale Lazard Capital Markets Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Cowen and Company Howard Weil Inc Johnson Rice & Co Susquehanna Financial Group Goldman Sachs Guggenheim Securities LLC Raymond James Macquarie HSBC Iberia Capital Partners LLC Deutsche Bank Barclays Sterne, Agee & Leach EVA Dimensions Credit Suisse Tudor Pickering & Co
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA MONTAG & CALDWELL IN AMERICAN CENTURY COM n/a n/a n/a NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a MANNING & NAPIER ADV ING INVESTMENT MANAG
Analyst OLE SLORER THOMAS PATRICK CURRAN KURT HALLEAD J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER BRIAN UHLMER JUDSON E BAILEY EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO WILL GABRIELSKI JOSEPH D GIBNEY JAMES D CRANDELL WILLIAM SANCHEZ DAVID C SMITH CHARLES P MINERVINO WAQAR SYED MICHAEL K LAMOTTE J MARSHALL ADKINS NIGEL BROWNE DAVID PHILLIPS TREY STOLZ MICHAEL W URBAN JAMES C WEST STEPHEN D GENGARO CRAIG STERLING JAMES WICKLUND JEFF TILLERY
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation Overwt/In-Line outperform top pick neutral outperform outperform buy buy strong buy buy buy add outperform sector outperform overweight Positive buy/attractive buy outperform outperform neutral outperform buy overweight buy underweight not rated buy
Amt Held 18'009'109 17'247'328 11'465'525 11'251'623 6'553'626 6'301'546 6'071'012 4'739'111 4'629'869 4'347'778 4'287'109 4'088'025 4'076'904 3'827'800 3'592'051 3'463'399 3'272'151 3'200'119 3'128'500 3'080'229
% Out 7.26 6.95 4.62 4.54 2.64 2.54 2.45 1.91 1.87 1.75 1.73 1.65 1.64 1.54 1.45 1.4 1.32 1.29 1.26 1.24
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 1 #N/A N/A 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M U
Latest Chg 2'969'355 (301'591) 351'156 174'263 176'184 (1'217'600) (108'285) 3'191'036 (663'842) (1'249'190) 1'569'071 407'239 (1'474'679) (777'471) 1'260'062 (379'871) 105'528 (1'096'216) 722'850 (700'535)
Target Price 85 #N/A N/A 70 69 78 70 75 82 78 79 75 76 74 72 #N/A N/A 72 80 78 77 75 68 68 71 89 70 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 20.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 23.05.2013 14.05.2013 13.05.2013 13.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 20.02.2013 31.01.2013 20.12.2011
08.07.2013
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation is an independent oil and gas company that develops, exploits, and explores oil and gas properties located in North America. The Company holds interests Appalachian Basin, onshore Gulf Coast, including south and east Texas and north Louisiana, the Rocky Mountains and the Anadarko Basin as well as in the deep gas basin of Western Canada.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.05.2013) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance COG US EQUITY YTD Change COG US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 74.23 37.60 406'914.00 72 -3.10% 91.49% 92.41% 210.3 15'144.84 1'087.00 0.0 0.0 30.74 16'251.38
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
70
7.0 M
60
6.0 M
50
5.0 M
40
4.0 M
30
3.0 M
20
2.0 M
10
1.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 945.8 3.73x 540.1 6.53x 211.3 12.50x
80
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 879.3 863.1 6.01x 5.63x 524.5 531.5 10.07x 9.14x 148.3 103.4 28.20x 60.28x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 979.9 9.02x 591.0 14.95x 122.4 95.41x
31.12.2012 1'204.5 9.55x 712.2 16.15x 131.7 104.87x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
712.17 255.50 21.21% 19.75% 3.44% 7.36% 6.08% 0.29% 34.4% 60.5% 22.6% 10.9% 0.61 0.46 23.55% 51.00% 9.75 71.33
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'042.0 30.63x 632.5 11.87x 127.8 59.45x
LTM 03/yy 1'305.7 35.58x 790.2 19.40x 156.2 115.87x
FY+1
0.11 1.16 206.87 3.57 82.52% 44.85% 1.155 30 3.733 2'103'484 1'763'189 2'043'706 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 1'792.9 2'503.4 425.9 469.6 8.97x 6.16x 38.22x 34.55x 1'272.6 1'799.4 304.8 329.3 12.73x 9.00x 11.24x 10.32x 331.8 552.5 80.8 89.8 47.65x 28.29x 38.94x 34.63x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
10.43 -3.16 1.40 1.43 51.0% 33.8% 0.29 0.31 37.43 5.12 111.78 -72.00
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
1'400.0 1'200.0
20.00
1'000.0 15.00
800.0 600.0
10.00
400.0 5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
200.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC FMR LLC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN STATE STREET WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN UBS WINSLOW CAPITAL MANA SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I BANK OF NEW YORK MEL T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CITADEL ADVISORS LLC JP MORGAN RS INVESTMENT MANAGE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE MACKAY SHIELDS LLC LUTHER KING CAPITAL PIONEER INVESTMENT M
Firm Name Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Brean Capital LLC Jefferies Robert W. Baird & Co KeyBanc Capital Markets Topeka Capital Markets Inc Raymond James ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Societe Generale Simmons & Company International Tudor Pickering & Co Macquarie Goldman Sachs KLR Group Howard Weil Inc Ladenburg Thalmann & Co Johnson Rice & Co Stifel Global Hunter Securities Iberia Capital Partners LLC Deutsche Bank Wells Fargo Securities, LLC JPMorgan S&P Capital IQ EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a WINSLOW CAPITAL MANA n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CITADEL ADVISORS LLC n/a RS INVESTMENT MANAGE NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a Multiple Portfolios LUTHER KING CAPITAL PIONEER INVESTMENT M
Analyst BOB BRACKETT RAYMOND DEACON BIJU Z PERINCHERIL MAGGIE SAVAGE JACK N AYDIN GABRIELE SORBARA ANDREW COLEMAN JONATHAN WOLFF DANIEL KATZENBERG BRIAN T VELIE BOB PARIJA PEARCE W HAMMOND MATTHEW PORTILLO JOSEPH MAGNER BRIAN SINGER GAIL A NICHOLSON PETER KISSEL MICHAEL SCHMITZ CHARLES MEADE AMIR ARIF CURTIS R TRIMBLE PATRICK RIGAMER STEPHEN RICHARDSON GORDON DOUTHAT JOSEPH D ALLMAN MICHAEL KAY CRAIG STERLING
Source 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG MF-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation outperform hold buy outperform buy hold outperform neutral market perform add hold overweight hold neutral buy/attractive accumulate sector perform buy equalweight hold neutral sector perform hold outperform overweight sell underweight
Amt Held 14'274'112 13'723'816 13'546'582 11'552'461 11'214'700 10'540'078 9'320'129 5'351'826 4'486'932 4'472'083 4'155'059 4'073'850 3'980'014 3'949'994 3'410'767 2'851'406 2'784'000 2'673'865 2'396'785 2'349'121
% Out 6.79 6.52 6.44 5.49 5.33 5.01 4.43 2.54 2.13 2.13 1.98 1.94 1.89 1.88 1.62 1.36 1.32 1.27 1.14 1.12
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 4 3 5 3 3 5 4 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 1 1
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (1'943'036) 121'698 698'142 195'767 1'221'900 400'433 (456'514) (1'497'583) (768'223) (766'927) (212'879) 3'145'670 1'303'099 3'457'050 (274'374) 30'850 1'403'900 (49'122) 116'460 255'168
Target Price 79 #N/A N/A 84 78 82 74 77 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 79 73 83 64 45 88 82 65 80 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 73 66 75 #N/A N/A 82 42 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 11.06.2013 28.05.2013 02.05.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 23.04.2013 15.01.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Tullow Oil PLC Tullow Oil plc explores for and produces oil and gas. The Group's assets are in Africa, Europe, South America and Asia.
Price/Volume 1600
12.0 M
1400
10.0 M
1200 8.0 M
1000 800
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (18.10.2012) 52-Week Low (17.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 01.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TLW LN EQUITY YTD Change TLW LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 1'485.00 931.00 981'994.00 1069 -28.15% 14.82% 21.12% 908.3 9'710.15 1'205.20 0.0 92.4 330.20 15'473.39
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
400 2.0 M
200 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13 a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'280.9 7.60x 478.0 20.36x 413.4 21.37x
6.0 M
600
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 911.8 1'089.8 19.23x 17.80x 486.2 628.7 36.06x 30.86x 23.6 71.0 688.29x 243.62x Profitability
31.12.2011 2'304.2 9.77x 1'663.8 13.54x 649.0 30.01x
31.12.2012 2'344.1 8.34x 1'044.6 18.72x 624.3 29.75x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'044.60 482.70 20.59% 47.60% 6.24% 12.59% 9.76% 0.23% 57.4% 44.6% 20.6% 26.6% 1.05 0.27 12.85% 23.05% 5.13
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
0.75 1.21 898.76 -26.22% -14.54% 1.211 35 3.771 1'915'181 1'868'564 2'205'154 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 2'682.5 2'600.8 6.08x 6.56x 1'835.1 1'820.4 8.43x 8.50x 649.1 632.1 23.28x 24.16x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
17.71 6.64 0.84 1.15 23.0% 18.5% 0.23 0.59 71.31 26.61 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
80.00
2'500.0
70.00
2'000.0
60.00 50.00
1'500.0
40.00
1'000.0
30.00 20.00
500.0
10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Tullow Oil PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK PRUDENTIAL PLC GENESIS ASSET MANAGE GENESIS INVESTMENT M IFG INTL TRUST CO LT LEGAL & GENERAL BAILLIE GIFFORD AND OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC UBS STANDARD LIFE INVEST LANSDOWNE PARTNERS NORGES BANK INVESTME NORGES BANK T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CARMIGNAC GESTION S SCOTTISH WIDOWS CARMIGNAC GESTION STATE STREET T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA
Firm Name FirstEnergy Capital Corp Exane BNP Paribas Macquarie Liberum Capital Ltd AlphaValue Societe Generale Morgan Stanley Investec RBC Capital Markets Credit Suisse Jefferies Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Goodbody Stockbrokers Ltd Canaccord Genuity Corp Numis Securities Ltd Barclays Nomura Goldman Sachs GMP Oriel Securities Ltd EVA Dimensions Deutsche Bank Tudor Pickering & Co SBG Securities Day by Day HSBC WH Ireland Ltd JPMorgan Merrion Stockbrokers Mirabaud Securities N+1 Singer Ltd Davy Westhouse Securities CAL Brokers Limited
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst GERRY F DONNELLY ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS MARK WILSON ANDREW WHITTOCK ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER DAVID MIRZAI JAMIE MADDOCK BRIAN GALLAGHER AL STANTON THOMAS YOICHI ADOLFF BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN OSWALD CLINT GERRY F HENNIGAN THOMAS MARTIN SANJEEV BAHL RAHIM KARIM THEEPAN JOTHILINGAM HENRY MORRIS TEAM COVERAGE RICHARD GRIFFITH DOUG WALTERS PHIL CORBETT ANISH KAPADIA LIONEL THEROND VALERIE GASTALDY PETER HITCHENS ANGUS B MCPHAIL JAMES THOMPSON MUNA MULEYA TEAM COVERAGE SIMON HAWKINS JOB LANGBROEK PETER BASSETT NANA AGYEI OPOKU-AGYEMANG
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG RNS-MAJ REG Co File ULT-AGG REG MF-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG Short REG MF-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform outperform underperform buy sell buy Overwt/Attractive sell outperform neutral buy outperform buy hold hold overweight neutral Buy/Cautious buy add sell hold trim hold hold neutral buy overweight buy neutral buy outperform not rated buy
Amt Held % Out 88'501'424 9.74 43'736'289 4.81 41'820'113 4.6 39'665'070 4.37 38'960'366 4.29 36'159'134 3.98 28'752'593 3.17 28'617'088 3.15 26'952'187 2.97 23'362'424 2.57 22'286'430 2.45 (20'346'810) -2.24 20'232'059 2.23 20'152'180 2.22 18'690'723 2.06 16'994'926 1.87 16'820'350 1.85 16'429'260 1.81 16'105'716 1.77 15'272'225 1.68
Weighting 5 5 1 5 1 5 5 1 5 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 4 1 3 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 #N/A N/A 5
Change M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M U M M M M M U M M M M
Latest Chg (10'253'392) (5'467'904) 7'772'308 8'287'686 (2'017'264) 3'137'522 1'998'320 3'119'740 765'987 (1'585'399) (1'095'706) (409'559) 2'314'372 (425'927) 61'883 390'068 1'144'436
Target Price 1'300 1'540 880 1'683 875 1'200 1'730 930 1'250 1'270 1'500 1'760 1'365 1'050 1'084 1'560 1'250 1'330 1'310 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 980 900 1'150 #N/A N/A 1'381 1'515 1'500 1'780 #N/A N/A 1'370 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 03.07.2013 01.03.2013 26.04.2013 01.03.2013 13.03.2012 28.03.2013 01.03.2013 30.04.2013 01.03.2013 31.03.2013 01.03.2013 03.07.2013 01.03.2013 31.12.2012 01.03.2013 01.03.2013 01.03.2013 29.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Unclassified Corporation Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Government Investment Advisor Unclassified Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 13.05.2013 18.04.2013 18.04.2013 15.04.2013 01.03.2013 13.02.2013 08.02.2013 11.01.2013 12.12.2012 27.11.2012 26.11.2012 04.07.2012 30.08.2011
08.07.2013
Seadrill Ltd Seadrill Ltd. provides offshore deepwater drilling. The Company operates a fleet for operations in shallow to ultra-deepwater areas in harsh and benign environments. Seadrill's fleet includes semi-submersible rigs, deepwater drillships, jack-ups, semi-tender rigs, and tender rigs.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (05.07.2013) 52-Week Low (16.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SDRL NO EQUITY YTD Change SDRL NO EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 256.00 201.10 797'595.00 252 -1.56% 25.31% 91.62% 469.3 118'251.23 11'827.00 0.0 521.0 651.00 30'865.41
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
3.0 M
250
2.5 M
200
2.0 M
150
1.5 M
100
1.0 M
50
.5 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 2'031.3 5.24x 801.8 13.28x (164.4) -
300
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'210.9 4'015.0 5.30x 5.88x 1'697.1 2'079.0 10.02x 11.35x 1'261.2 1'117.0 8.06x 12.24x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 4'191.0 6.18x 2'315.0 11.19x 1'401.0 10.97x
31.12.2012 4'475.0 6.43x 2'406.0 11.96x 1'108.0 15.40x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'406.00 1'791.00 40.02% 32.11% 5.72% 19.03% 8.99% 0.22% 55.7% 41.0% 24.8% 0.65 0.43 60.24% 214.92% 5.28 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 4'040.0 25.40x 2'317.0 12.15x 957.0 18.05x
LTM 03/yy 4'464.0 25.49x 2'487.0 11.49x 1'141.0 14.84x
FY+1
6.27 0.96 319.53 27.67% 26.71% 0.956 41 3.756 833'735 1'059'772 992'173 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 4'941.3 5'909.4 1'134.5 1'181.7 6.38x 5.53x 26.62x 26.30x 2'722.1 3'423.9 622.3 666.8 11.34x 9.01x 10.88x 10.13x 1'405.7 1'848.3 297.9 327.2 14.28x 10.88x 13.62x 12.33x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
7.08 2.50 4.42 4.68 214.9% 66.3% 0.22 0.30 69.09 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
5'000.0 4'500.0
12.00
4'000.0
10.00
3'500.0 3'000.0
8.00
2'500.0 2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0 2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
500.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Seadrill Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name HEMEN HOLDING LTD STATE STREET GOVERNMENT PENSION F BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN VANGUARD GROUP INC CITIBANK NA MORGAN STANLEY CLEARSTREAM BANKING CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN FARAHEAD INVESTMENT JP MORGAN CHASE BANK ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN DNB NORBANK ASA ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BANK OF AMERICA CORP GEVERAN TRADING CO L DNB LIVSFORSIKRING A AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Firm Name ABN Amro Bank N.V. Deutsche Bank DNB Markets Cowen and Company Exane BNP Paribas Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Nomura BMO Capital Markets Societe Generale ISI Group Credit Suisse Fearnley Fonds Goldman Sachs Norne Securities AS Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Clarkson Capital Markets LLC SEB Enskilda ABG Sundal Collier Nordea Equity Research Danske Markets Morgan Stanley Howard Weil Inc Carnegie Fondsfinans AS Pareto Securities Natixis Spin-Off Research Guggenheim Securities LLC SpareBank 1 Markets AS Barclays Swedbank First Securities Johnson Rice & Co Handelsbanken Arctic Securities ASA EVA Dimensions HSBC RBC Capital Markets JPMorgan RS Platou Markets
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a BARROW HANLEY MEWHIN Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO n/a BANK OF AMERICA n/a n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL
Analyst THIJS BERKELDER MICHAEL W URBAN MARTIN HUSEBY KARLSEN J B LOWE ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS SCOTT GRUBER CHRISTYAN MALEK ALAN D LAWS GUILLAUME DELABY JUDSON E BAILEY GREGORY LEWIS TRULS OLSEN HENRY TARR VILIS EIZENTAS MATTHEW D CONLAN HAITHUM NOKTA LUKAS DAUL OYVIND HAGEN DAVID BHATTI JO HENRIK ERIKSEN OLE SLORER DAVID T WILSON FREDERIK H LUNDE IVAR ANDREAS LEMMECHEN GJUL FRANK HARESTAD JULIEN LAURENT TEAM COVERAGE DARREN GACICIA JANNE KVERNLAND JAMES C WEST BJORN THORESEN DAVID C SMITH KNUT ERIK LOVSTAD KRISTOFFER RIIS IDEN CRAIG STERLING DAVID PHILLIPS KATHERINE TONKS ANDREW DOBBING ANDERS BERGLAND
Source 13G ULT-AGG Co File 13F MF-AGG EXCH ULT-AGG EXCH ULT-AGG EXCH EXCH ULT-AGG EXCH ULT-AGG 13F EXCH 13F EXCH EXCH 13F
Recommendation buy hold buy market perform underperform market perform buy market perform hold neutral outperform reduce neutral/neutral buy market perform outperform hold hold buy buy Overwt/In-Line sector perform hold buy buy neutral buy buy neutral overweight reduce equalweight reduce buy sell overweight sector perform overweight buy
Amt Held 115'097'583 28'136'687 23'736'823 18'699'079 17'589'473 16'424'550 12'303'858 7'590'854 6'938'342 6'550'000 6'063'475 5'472'938 5'431'494 5'366'672 4'652'166 4'631'602 3'722'397 3'500'000 3'386'997 3'329'822
% Out 24.53 6 5.06 3.98 3.75 3.5 2.62 1.62 1.48 1.4 1.29 1.17 1.16 1.14 0.99 0.99 0.79 0.75 0.72 0.71
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 3 1 3 5 3 3 3 5 2 3 5 3 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 2 3 2 5 1 5 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M U M M M D M M M M U M N M
Latest Chg 1'352 3'974'095 3'269'367 1'262'231 (1'340'197) (605'999) 1'281'623 1'898'366 401'575 161'634
Target Price 294 238 265 262 200 236 310 280 245 #N/A N/A 290 240 268 285 #N/A N/A 266 250 237 275 285 291 277 #N/A N/A 280 274 229 260 289 255 283 208 #N/A N/A 210 267 #N/A N/A 255 230 290 312
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2012 Holding Company 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 24.04.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.10.2011 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.10.2011 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.10.2011 Corporation 03.10.2011 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 03.10.2011 Bank 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 03.10.2011 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.10.2011 Corporation 03.10.2011 Insurance Company 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 6 month
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 21.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 11.06.2013 09.06.2013 05.06.2013 04.06.2013 04.06.2013 31.05.2013 30.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 29.05.2013 28.05.2013 28.05.2013 28.05.2013 22.05.2013 05.03.2013 01.03.2013 29.01.2013 09.02.2012
08.07.2013
Southwestern Energy Co Southwestern Energy Company is an independent energy company primarily focused on natural gas and crude oil exploration, development and production (E&P) within the United States. The Company operations also include natural gas gathering, transmission, and marketing, as well as natural gas distribution.
Price/Volume 45
14.0 M
40
12.0 M
35
10.0 M
30
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (03.08.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 15.02.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SWN US EQUITY YTD Change SWN US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 40.34 30.13 758'624.00 38.44 -4.69% 27.58% 76.20% 351.1 13'496.18 1'668.27 0.0 0.0 53.58 15'182.08
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
20
6.0 M
15
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'145.8 2'610.7 8.23x 5.40x 1'368.1 1'613.2 12.91x 8.73x (35.7) 604.1 31.14x 35.17x Profitability
2.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'952.9 4.22x 1'782.8 7.00x 637.8 20.07x
31.12.2012 2'715.0 4.91x 1'638.9 8.14x (707.1) 31.09x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'638.87 824.16 30.36% -42.36% -11.13% -23.81% 0.36% 45.8% 60.7% 32.0% -26.0% 1.05 0.56 24.76% 54.95% 8.13 43.92
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 2'931.4 18.29x 1'764.2 6.89x 608.9 20.09x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 2'792.2 19.61x 1'694.2 8.73x (861.0) 24.87x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.00 1.31 344.83 9.69 20.50% 15.06% 1.307 37 3.622 3'263'247 2'776'689 3'726'634 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'978.1 3'273.2 737.6 762.7 5.10x 4.64x 20.64x 19.95x 1'975.4 2'216.3 492.6 513.1 7.64x 6.81x 7.21x 7.02x 707.0 787.7 177.4 187.5 19.75x 18.17x 18.99x 18.86x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
06.07.2010 BBBSTABLE 16.77 -4.80 1.00 1.01 55.0% 35.5% 0.36 0.42 44.88 8.31 131.32 -64.88
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
3'500.0
12.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 01.01.2010
4.0 M
10
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 2'311.6 4.54x 1'302.9 8.06x 567.9 18.81x
25
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Southwestern Energy Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET RS INVESTMENT MANAGE BROWN BROTHERS HARRI GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL TOUCHSTONE ADVISORS NORTHERN TRUST CORPO JP MORGAN MACKAY SHIELDS LLC NORGES BANK JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE JOHN W BRISTOL & COM
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Tudor Pickering & Co Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Sterne, Agee & Leach Jefferies Robert W. Baird & Co Stephens Inc Raymond James ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Simmons & Company International Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Brean Capital LLC Societe Generale Clarkson Capital Markets LLC KeyBanc Capital Markets FBR Capital Markets US Capital Advisors Howard Weil Inc Barclays Iberia Capital Partners LLC Credit Suisse Macquarie Global Hunter Securities RBC Capital Markets Ladenburg Thalmann & Co Johnson Rice & Co Stifel Cowen and Company Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs JPMorgan EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a RS INVESTMENT MANAGE BROWN BROTHERS HARRI n/a INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ARTISAN PARTNERS LP Multiple Portfolios NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a Multiple Portfolios NORGES BANK n/a JOHN W BRISTOL & COM
Analyst DAN MCSPIRIT MATTHEW PORTILLO BOB BRACKETT TIM A REZVAN BIJU Z PERINCHERIL HSULIN PENG WILL GREEN ANDREW COLEMAN JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT DAVID W KISTLER BRIAN T VELIE RAYMOND DEACON BOB PARIJA BRIAN W FOOTE JACK N AYDIN REHAN RASHID CAMERON HORWITZ PETER KISSEL THOMAS R DRISCOLL ERIC FOX ARUN JAYARAM JOSEPH MAGNER MICHAEL KELLY SCOTT HANOLD MICHAEL SCHMITZ CHARLES MEADE AMIR ARIF NICHOLAS P POPE STEPHEN RICHARDSON J EVAN CALIO BRIAN SINGER JOSEPH D ALLMAN CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation outperform accumulate outperform neutral hold neutral equalweight outperform neutral market perform neutral neutral buy buy outperform hold market perform hold sector perform equalweight outperform underperform neutral neutral outperform buy equalweight hold hold hold Underwt/Attractive buy/attractive overweight hold
Amt Held 38'980'389 22'182'243 18'233'929 18'208'915 18'096'000 16'336'271 15'067'349 14'026'825 13'530'760 9'350'621 8'906'158 6'262'152 6'013'413 5'061'611 4'567'701 4'446'357 3'470'697 2'777'124 2'769'700 2'723'865
% Out 11.1 6.32 5.19 5.19 5.15 4.65 4.29 4 3.85 2.66 2.54 1.78 1.71 1.44 1.3 1.27 0.99 0.79 0.79 0.78
Weighting
Change 5 4 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 1 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 1 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (6'360'000) 682'676 (389'703) 220'670 7'085'191 578'951 (3'283) 307'638 945'721 1'919'641 (141'705) 284'068 (46'800) 44'120 118'697 1'176'010 28'735 2'507'575 (101'944)
Target Price 42 44 44 #N/A N/A 33 38 37 48 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 45 44 48 47 50 #N/A N/A 37 39 41 34 45 33 37 33 44 44 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 38 37 51 41 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 30.04.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 14.06.2013 23.05.2013 23.05.2013 20.05.2013 14.05.2013 08.05.2013 07.05.2013 06.05.2013 06.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 28.04.2013 04.04.2013 03.04.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Ensco PLC Ensco PLC is an international offshore contract drilling company. The Company's operations are concentrated in the geographic regions of Asia Pacific (which includes Asia, the Middle East, Australia and New Zealand), Europe/Africa and North and South America.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.02.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ESV US EQUITY YTD Change ESV US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 65.82 45.95 446'968.00 57.95 -12.03% 26.12% 59.79% 232.7 13'485.50 4'845.90 0.0 5.7 487.10 17'761.01
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
70.0 M
60
60.0 M
50
50.0 M
40
40.0 M
30
30.0 M
20
20.0 M
10
10.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'888.9 1'696.8 2.56x 4.03x 1'146.9 874.0 4.21x 7.83x 779.4 579.5 7.56x 14.05x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'797.7 5.53x 1'150.3 13.44x 600.4 14.90x
31.12.2012 4'300.7 4.22x 2'096.7 8.65x 1'169.7 10.66x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'096.70 1'565.20 36.39% 34.10% 6.69% 10.56% 8.43% 0.24% 39.9% 48.6% 36.3% 27.2% 1.74 1.31 26.10% 40.91% 5.65 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 3'473.6 18.24x 1'477.9 11.60x 801.2 14.27x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 4'431.0 15.66x 2'151.7 8.48x 1'221.4 10.68x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
2.80 1.25 231.15 5.59 26.37% -0.57% 1.250 40 4.450 1'576'251 1'603'425 2'035'268 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 5'069.1 5'760.1 1'236.0 1'316.3 3.53x 3.04x 14.40x 13.56x 2'506.2 2'921.8 602.5 662.6 7.09x 6.08x 6.71x 6.49x 1'517.8 1'802.9 361.7 411.5 8.86x 7.43x 8.26x 7.89x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
03.06.2011 BBB+ STABLE 06.05.2011 A-2 6.26 0.88 1.98 2.25 40.9% 29.0% 0.24 0.34 64.64 62.20 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00
5'000.0
16.00
4'500.0
14.00
4'000.0 3'500.0
12.00
3'000.0
10.00 8.00
2'500.0 2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 2'393.6 1.47x 1'620.3 2.18x 1'150.8 3.53x
70
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Ensco PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FMR LLC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN VANGUARD GROUP INC ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE STATE STREET WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN JP MORGAN CARMIGNAC GESTION FRANKLIN RESOURCES ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL MHR FUND MANAGEMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL BLACKROCK NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C NORTHERN TRUST CORPO OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC PIONEER INVESTMENT M FIRST PACIFIC ADVISO
Firm Name EVA Dimensions RBC Capital Markets Fearnley Fonds Iberia Capital Partners LLC JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group Societe Generale Johnson Rice & Co Cowen and Company Barclays Guggenheim Securities LLC Howard Weil Inc Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Raymond James Global Hunter Securities Swedbank First Securities Credit Suisse Stephens Inc Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Clarkson Capital Markets LLC FBR Capital Markets Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Macquarie Nordea Equity Research Williams Financial Group Deutsche Bank DNB Markets Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Tudor Pickering & Co S&P Capital IQ RS Platou Markets Arctic Securities ASA Pareto Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a CARMIGNAC GESTION n/a ARTISAN PARTNERS LP MHR FUND MANAGEMENT BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO OPPENHEIMER FUNDS IN PIONEER INVESTMENT M FIRST PACIFIC ADVISO
Analyst CRAIG STERLING KURT HALLEAD TRULS OLSEN TREY STOLZ J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO DAVID C SMITH J B LOWE JAMES C WEST DARREN GACICIA DAVID T WILSON LUKE M LEMOINE J MARSHALL ADKINS RYAN FITZGIBBON BJORN THORESEN GREGORY LEWIS JOHN KELLER MATTHEW D CONLAN HAITHUM NOKTA MEGAN REPINE OLE SLORER WAQAR SYED NIGEL BROWNE DAVID BHATTI MATTHEW BEEBY MICHAEL W URBAN MARTIN HUSEBY KARLSEN LEZE THAQI BYRON POPE STEWART GLICKMAN ANDERS BERGLAND KRISTOFFER RIIS IDEN FRANK HARESTAD
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation overweight sector perform reduce outperform overweight outperform outperform buy buy buy overweight market perform overweight buy focus list add outperform buy neutral neutral overweight outperform market perform outperform Equalwt/In-Line neutral/attractive outperform hold buy hold buy buy buy buy buy buy buy
Amt Held 15'399'344 11'021'692 10'874'448 9'997'263 9'403'090 8'495'856 8'087'740 6'148'100 4'544'176 4'231'723 4'084'628 4'081'301 3'671'009 3'271'947 3'163'441 2'923'381 2'888'726 2'856'270 2'543'713 2'452'000
% Out 6.62 4.74 4.67 4.3 4.04 3.65 3.48 2.64 1.95 1.82 1.76 1.75 1.58 1.41 1.36 1.26 1.24 1.23 1.09 1.05
Weighting
Change 5 3 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 4 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M U M M M M M M
Latest Chg 1'393'763 4'931'084 603'403 3'887'505 248'647 (6'502'501) 188'644 6'148'100 34'475 (36'300) (2'546'500) 170'606 (146'357) 93'790 (311'059) 111'982 80'452 (985'790) (780'107) (1'964'477)
Target Price #N/A N/A 64 61 80 76 73 69 72 70 76 #N/A N/A 61 75 73 75 67 70 72 62 64 72 #N/A N/A 63 70 75 75 70 61 74 58 65 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 68 74 70 66
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided 6 month
Date 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 11.06.2013 09.06.2013 05.06.2013 30.05.2013 23.05.2013 18.05.2013 06.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 29.04.2013 22.02.2013 04.02.2013 26.11.2012 02.11.2012 01.11.2012 19.01.2012
08.07.2013
FMC Technologies Inc FMC Technologies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services systems and products used in offshore, particularly deepwater, exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The Company also provides advanced handling and processing systems to industrial customers. FMC Technologies' subsea products include drilling and production systems, subsea tree systems, and fluid control systems.
Price/Volume 70
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
60 50 40
Valuation Analysis
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance FTI US EQUITY YTD Change FTI US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 59.27 39.01 354'173.00 57.09 -3.78% 46.35% 85.54% 237.5 13'557.67 1'640.80 0.0 16.3 342.10 15'019.37
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 4'550.9 0.69x 603.4 5.20x 361.3 8.76x
20
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 4'405.4 4'125.6 1.59x 2.60x 623.1 652.9 11.26x 16.40x 361.8 375.5 20.15x 32.16x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 5'099.0 2.49x 670.2 18.97x 399.8 30.92x
31.12.2012 6'151.4 1.87x 751.0 15.28x 430.0 21.61x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
751.00 604.80 9.83% 9.77% 8.20% 25.30% 1.21% 21.4% 12.2% 9.6% 7.0% 1.77 1.07 27.80% 89.32% 3.98 5.65
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 5'413.7 8.34x 524.0 0.00x 413.4 27.96x
LTM 03/yy 6'400.8 7.52x 779.5 18.43x 433.6 26.96x
FY+1
1.25 234.73 9.80 39.82% 33.29% 1.251 33 3.909 1'607'966 1'394'576 1'643'583 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 6'811.6 7'809.8 1'637.2 1'686.6 2.15x 1.91x 9.08x 8.74x 958.2 1'245.7 218.0 255.7 15.64x 12.03x 14.48x 13.56x 521.3 711.0 113.3 139.0 26.32x 19.24x 24.17x 22.21x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
08.08.2002 BBB STABLE 11.10.2010 A-2 27.21 12.51 1.85 2.16 89.3% 47.0% 1.21 6.06 91.73 64.65 42.37 112.37
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
300.00
7'000.0
250.00
6'000.0 5'000.0
200.00
4'000.0 150.00
3'000.0
100.00
2'000.0
50.00
1'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
FMC Technologies Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL BROWN ADVISORY INC UBS JENNISON ASSOCIATES WINSLOW CAPITAL MANA COLUMBIA WANGER ASSE FMR LLC FRANKLIN RESOURCES MACKAY SHIELDS LLC TOUCHSTONE ADVISORS NORTHERN TRUST CORPO JP MORGAN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL EDGEWOOD MANAGEMENT
Firm Name Credit Suisse Howard Weil Inc Global Hunter Securities JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group Lazard Capital Markets Goldman Sachs Raymond James Sterne, Agee & Leach Barclays Iberia Capital Partners LLC Cowen and Company Macquarie Morgan Stanley Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Guggenheim Securities LLC HSBC Societe Generale FBR Capital Markets Susquehanna Financial Group RBC Capital Markets Capital One Southcoast, Inc. William Blair & Co Stifel Tudor Pickering & Co EVA Dimensions BOE Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL n/a n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES WINSLOW CAPITAL MANA COLUMBIA WANGER ASSE n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL EDGEWOOD MANAGEMENT
Analyst JAMES WICKLUND WILLIAM SANCHEZ BRIAN UHLMER J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY WILL GABRIELSKI WAQAR SYED J MARSHALL ADKINS STEPHEN D GENGARO JAMES C WEST TREY STOLZ JAMES D CRANDELL NIGEL BROWNE OLE SLORER THOMAS PATRICK CURRAN DARREN GACICIA DAVID PHILLIPS EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO MEGAN REPINE CHARLES P MINERVINO KURT HALLEAD JOSEPH D GIBNEY BRANDON DOBELL ROBERT V CONNORS BYRON POPE CRAIG STERLING PRIYANKA VYAS
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation neutral sector outperform buy overweight market perform market perform hold strong buy buy sell/attractive outperform buy equalweight sector perform outperform outperform Overwt/In-Line market perform neutral neutral hold outperform neutral outperform neutral outperform hold buy sell hold
Amt Held 55'786'600 18'216'618 13'890'826 13'196'834 11'564'947 11'108'122 8'683'985 8'649'263 8'584'912 7'227'405 5'800'667 5'629'441 4'359'195 3'739'294 3'468'441 3'335'000 3'219'195 2'738'964 2'713'918 2'692'608
% Out 23.49 7.67 5.85 5.56 4.87 4.68 3.66 3.64 3.62 3.04 2.44 2.37 1.84 1.57 1.46 1.4 1.36 1.15 1.14 1.13
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 1 5 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 1 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 808'400 4'962'565 936'769 (1'045'473) (2'867'432) (64'478) 876'389 718'429 (291'618) 5'430'740 178'971 (4'410) (387'514) (162'576) (68'928) 27'000 140'681 (609'511) (228'642) 2'692'608
Target Price 53 65 63 63 57 48 55 63 62 57 60 63 48 56 67 63 65 #N/A N/A 58 54 57 62 55 58 54 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 43
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 13.06.2013 30.05.2013 24.05.2013 14.05.2013 02.05.2013 30.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 04.02.2013 15.01.2013 06.11.2012
08.07.2013
Crescent Point Energy Corp Crescent Point Energy Corp is an oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company owns assets located in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.09.2012) 52-Week Low (17.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CPG CN EQUITY YTD Change CPG CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 45.70 34.53 374'354.00 35.955 -21.40% 4.13% 12.35% 382.7 13'758.92 1'474.59 0.0 0.0 15'463.57
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
35.0 M 30.0 M 25.0 M 20.0 M 15.0 M 10.0 M 5.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 838.9 4.70x 612.8 6.44x 464.1 11.00x
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 934.4 1'253.3 9.40x 10.21x 675.3 857.4 13.01x 14.93x (31.1) 50.9 54.85x 96.07x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 1'815.5 7.75x 1'345.8 10.46x 201.1 48.80x
31.12.2012 2'209.2 7.08x 1'596.1 9.79x 190.7 156.75x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'596.12 152.14 6.89% 9.45% 1.69% 2.48% 2.84% 0.20% 12.6% 71.3% 6.4% 8.6% 0.47 0.43 12.15% 17.04% 6.78 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'910.6 28.66x 1'443.7 10.46x 299.5 44.27x
LTM 03/yy 2'319.3 27.23x 1'652.8 9.91x 192.9 166.74x
FY+1
7.68 1.00 377.79 10.86 0.33% -0.88% 1.000 23 4.565 1'467'415 1'645'799 1'666'684 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'981.2 3'241.2 739.3 760.5 5.25x 4.83x 21.32x 20.96x 1'903.2 2'134.0 485.5 499.0 8.13x 7.25x 7.62x 7.33x 271.2 365.5 103.5 106.6 49.19x 39.12x 36.50x 35.42x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
22.31 -24.73 1.03 1.03 17.0% 14.6% 0.20 0.23 53.87 120.51 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
2'500.0
12.00
2'000.0
10.00
1'500.0
8.00 6.00
1'000.0
4.00
500.0 2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Crescent Point Energy Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA BLACKROCK FMR LLC CI INVESTMENTS INC BMO INVESTMENTS INC ROYAL BANK OF CANADA POWER CORP OF CANADA IG INVESTMENT MANAGE IA CLARINGTON INVEST NORGES BANK VANGUARD GROUP INC CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA MD MANAGEMENT LTD GUARDIAN CAPITAL INC AGF INVESTMENTS INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES TD ASSET MANAGEMENT MCLEAN BUDDEN LTD SAXBERG SCOTT
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets Scotia Capital BMO Capital Markets Cormark Securities Inc. Alta Corp Capital Inc. Veritas Investment Research Co Credit Suisse FirstEnergy Capital Corp Accountability Research Corp TD Securities Dundee Securities Corp National Bank Financial Haywood Securities Inc. EVA Dimensions Peters & Co Ltd CIBC World Markets Raymond James Macquarie Stifel Salman Partners Barclays Desjardins Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst MICHAEL HARVEY PATRICK BRYDEN GORDON TAIT JONATHAN FLEMING DON RAWSON SAM LA BELL JASON FREW CODY R KWONG MICHAEL RUGGIRELLO TRAVIS WOOD BRIAN KRISTJANSEN KYLE PRESTON ALAN KNOWLES DOUG WALTERS JEFF MARTIN JEREMY KALIEL KRISTOPHER ZACK CRISTINA LOPEZ KURT B MOLNAR GORDON CURRIE GRANT HOFER ALLAN G STEPA
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG SEDI
Recommendation outperform sector outperform outperform buy outperform buy neutral top pick buy buy buy outperform buy sell sector outperform sector outperform outperform outperform hold buy overweight hold
Amt Held 36'268'900 19'128'813 8'405'527 6'543'623 6'541'997 4'883'720 4'196'748 3'111'032 2'931'835 2'644'875 2'537'335 2'277'271 2'229'651 1'879'500 1'656'500 1'633'466 1'579'131 1'316'239 1'164'186 1'118'669
% Out 9.48 5 2.2 1.71 1.71 1.28 1.1 0.81 0.77 0.69 0.66 0.6 0.58 0.49 0.43 0.43 0.41 0.34 0.3 0.29
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3
M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 3'216'500 4'125'193 (298'069) (852'319) 2'528'547 511'300 (140'651) 46'805 (241'610) 192'000 290'506 91'297 (7'900) 51'200 (486'556) 318'900 (991'146) (428'850) (15'000)
Target Price 46 50 48 45 44 43 41 48 46 44 49 48 43 #N/A N/A 45 45 44 50 #N/A N/A 41 44 42
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.05.2013 31.12.2012 05.07.2013 28.03.2013 28.02.2013 28.02.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.01.2013 28.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 19.06.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Holding Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 17.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 21.05.2013 12.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 10.05.2013 11.01.2013
08.07.2013
Origin Energy Ltd Origin Energy Limited is an integrated energy company. The Company focuses on gas and oil exploration and production, electricity and renewable power generation and energy retailing. Origin also invests in renewable energy technologies, including geothermal, wind, hydro and solar.
Price/Volume 16
20.0 M 18.0 M 16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M
14 12 10 8
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (02.04.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 03.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ORG AU EQUITY YTD Change ORG AU EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
06/2012 01/yy 13.80 9.84 2'483'079.00 12.66 -8.26% 28.66% 70.96% 1'098.0 13'900.22 5'879.00 0.0 1'364.0 368.00 21'322.22
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4 2 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 30.06.2008 8'275.0 2.25x 1'260.0 14.75x 517.0 27.32x
6
30.06.2009 30.06.2010 8'042.0 8'534.0 1.70x 1.99x 655.0 1'209.0 20.87x 14.06x 6'941.0 612.0 1.85x 21.43x Profitability
30.06.2011 10'344.0 2.14x 1'443.0 15.34x 186.0 80.56x
30.06.2012 12'935.0 1.56x 2'067.0 9.76x 980.0 13.47x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'067.00 1'453.00 11.23% 10.51% 2.49% 5.37% 5.62% 0.49% 13.7% 9.0% 7.6% 0.92 0.29 21.01% 44.90% 6.11 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
3.95 0.97 1'068.28 17.23 5.45% 11.26% 0.966 14 3.714 3'031'482 3'324'426 3'249'124 FY+2
06/13 Y 06/14 Y 14'511.8 14'891.0 1.50x 1.57x 2'209.8 2'394.3 9.65x 8.91x 769.4 846.7 17.93x 16.46x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
20.02.2013 BBB STABLE 31.03.2011 A-2 6.34 2.12 3.18 3.33 44.9% 28.9% 0.49 1.18 59.93 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
40.00
14'000.0
35.00
12'000.0
30.00
10'000.0
25.00
8'000.0
20.00
6'000.0
15.00
4'000.0
10.00
2'000.0
5.00 0.00 03.07.2009
0.0 03.01.2010
03.07.2010
03.01.2011
03.07.2011
03.01.2012
03.07.2012
03.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Origin Energy Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name NATIONAL AUSTRALIA B BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC NORGES BANK AMP LIFE LTD BOND STREET CUSTODIA AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATIO ARGO INVESTMENTS LTD QUEENSLAND INVESTMEN EASTSPRING INVESTMEN PERPETUAL TRUSTEE CO VANGUARD INVESTMENTS MACQUARIE GROUP INVIA CUSTODIAN PTY BT PORTFOLIO SERVICE NAVIGATOR AUSTRALIA BNP PARIBAS PUTNAM INVESTMENT MA FIL LIMITED FMR LLC
Firm Name Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley JPMorgan Macquarie Credit Suisse Commonwealth Bank EVA Dimensions RBC Capital Markets Goldman Sachs Shaw Stockbroking
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a
Analyst JOHN HIRJEE STUART BAKER JASON HARLEY STEED IAN MYLES SANDRA MCCULLAGH WILLIAM ALLOTT DOUG WALTERS PAUL A JOHNSTON ANDREW MCCUSKER VINCENT PISANI
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG ULT-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation hold Underwt/In-Line overweight outperform neutral overweight hold outperform neutral/neutral hold
Amt Held 50'870'668 11'302'292 11'137'063 9'417'340 8'813'495 7'919'254 7'202'045 6'689'947 6'365'263 6'022'949 5'854'160 5'750'794 5'000'332 3'759'261 3'015'651 2'950'639 2'934'059 2'290'085 2'088'909 2'025'044
% Out 4.63 1.03 1.01 0.86 0.8 0.72 0.66 0.61 0.58 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.46 0.34 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.21 0.19 0.18
Weighting
Change 3 1 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 3
M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (3'151'593) 36'356 453'163 1'017'011 134'049 (57'332) (42'425) 195'978 (16'283)
Target Price 14 11 14 15 14 14 #N/A N/A 15 14 14
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 14.09.2011 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 14.09.2012 22.08.2012 30.09.2012 31.08.2011 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 22.08.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.05.2013
Date 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Other Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 05.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 19.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 22.05.2013 30.04.2013 02.04.2013
08.07.2013
Encana Corp Encana Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. The Company operates in North America.
Price/Volume 25
14.0 M 12.0 M
20
10.0 M
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.10.2012) 52-Week Low (24.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ECA CN EQUITY YTD Change ECA CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 23.86 17.40 489'174.00 17.71 -25.86% 1.78% 2.79% 735.5 13'024.93 7'675.00 0.0 0.0 3'179.00 17'119.30
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
10
6.0 M 4.0 M
5
2.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 21'053.0 2.08x 13'938.0 3.14x 5'944.0 7.07x
15
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 11'114.0 8'870.0 2.50x 3.22x 6'028.0 5'521.0 4.60x 5.17x 1'862.0 1'170.0 7.01x 17.84x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 8'467.0 2.48x 5'175.0 4.06x 5.0 8.81x
31.12.2012 5'160.0 3.69x 2'236.0 8.52x (2'794.0) 76.00x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'236.00 280.00 5.43% -93.62% -15.68% -49.14% 0.21% 14.1% 32.8% -7.1% -54.1% 2.10 1.69 41.04% 144.95% 5.15 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 8'599.0 10.99x 5'430.0 3.63x 378.0 12.26x
03/yy 4'420.0 18.32x 1'450.0 13.16x (3'237.0) 0.00x
FY+1
4.77 1.20 734.68 11.08 -9.99% -7.94% 1.204 27 2.889 2'121'562 3'637'503 4'057'467 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 5'845.7 6'765.8 1'461.8 1'568.6 3.06x 2.77x 11.92x 10.99x 2'563.1 3'582.7 684.0 790.3 6.68x 4.78x 5.22x 4.73x 457.7 881.2 89.8 151.7 20.36x 13.57x 17.66x 15.57x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.01.2012 BBB NEG 4.28 -2.38 3.30 5.28 144.9% 59.2% 0.21 0.36 70.85 163.77 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
25'000.0
10.00
20'000.0
8.00
15'000.0
6.00
10'000.0 4.00
5'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Encana Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ROYAL BANK OF CANADA CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN IG INVESTMENT MANAGE MANNING & NAPIER ADV WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN POWER CORP OF CANADA JARISLOWSKY FRASER L INVESCO LTD INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA BMO FINANCIAL CORP HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP TD ASSET MANAGEMENT CIBC WORLD MARKETS I CONNOR CLARK & LUNN THE BANK OF NOVA SCO TORONTO DOMINION BAN BEUTEL GOODMAN & COM PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT IA CLARINGTON INVEST MACKAY SHIELDS LLC
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Cormark Securities Inc. Tudor Pickering & Co Alta Corp Capital Inc. Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Credit Suisse Canaccord Genuity Corp ISI Group FirstEnergy Capital Corp Societe Generale RBC Capital Markets Edward Jones Deutsche Bank Raymond James Scotia Capital National Bank Financial Macquarie TD Securities Veritas Investment Research Co Barclays CIBC World Markets Peters & Co Ltd Goldman Sachs Accountability Research Corp EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a n/a IG INVESTMENT MANAGE MANNING & NAPIER ADV WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a JARISLOWSKY FRASER L n/a INSTITUTIONAL CAPITA BMO FINANCIAL CORP HARRIS ASSOC LP TD ASSET MANAGEMENT CIBC WORLD MARKETS I CONNOR CLARK & LUNN THE BANK OF NOVA SCO TORONTO DOMINION BAN BEUTEL, GOODMAN & CO PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst RANDY J OLLENBERGER TODD KEPLER MATTHEW PORTILLO DIRK M LEVER BOB BRACKETT JASON FREW PHILIP R SKOLNICK JONATHAN WOLFF MICHAEL P DUNN JOHN HERRLIN GREG M PARDY LANNY PENDILL STEPHEN RICHARDSON KRISTOPHER ZACK MARK POLAK KYLE PRESTON CHRIS FELTIN MENNO HULSHOF SAM LA BELL THOMAS R DRISCOLL ANDREW POTTER JEFF MARTIN BRIAN SINGER MICHAEL RUGGIRELLO CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy hold outperform market perform neutral hold cautious market perform buy sector perform hold sell market perform sector perform sector perform neutral hold sell equalweight sector perform sector perform sell/attractive hold sell
Amt Held 47'113'556 27'032'803 22'535'210 22'429'720 20'679'728 20'066'988 19'896'767 18'769'802 17'594'744 16'739'210 16'149'247 11'816'412 11'176'674 10'515'194 10'308'174 9'923'789 8'111'412 7'098'902 6'809'234 5'417'750
% Out 6.41 3.68 3.06 3.05 2.81 2.73 2.71 2.55 2.39 2.28 2.2 1.61 1.52 1.43 1.4 1.35 1.1 0.97 0.93 0.74
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 2 3 5 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 1 3 1
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 1'294'930 (8'276'823) 584'547 3'640'670 (4'516'379) 3'643'365 (921'783) (361'066) 1'354'357 (1'367'006) (1'799'700) 49'216 (412'480) (2'838'257) 117'813 (157'325) 236'380 (506'400) (31'996) 247'100
Target Price 28 23 21 26 18 20 21 18 22 23 22 #N/A N/A 17 21 23 22 23 23 19 20 28 20 18 21 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 30.04.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Holding Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 13.06.2013 12.06.2013 12.06.2013 11.06.2013 11.06.2013 11.06.2013 11.06.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 23.04.2013 23.04.2013 04.04.2013 25.03.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Range Resources Corp Range Resources Corporation is an independent oil and gas company that explore, develops, and acquires oil and gas properties. The Company conducts operations primarily in the Southwestern, Appalachian and Gulf Coast regions of the United States.
Price/Volume 90
5.0 M 4.5 M 4.0 M 3.5 M 3.0 M 2.5 M 2.0 M 1.5 M 1.0 M .5 M .0 M
80 70 60 50 40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (15.03.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 23.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance RRC US EQUITY YTD Change RRC US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 83.15 56.50 434'658.00 79.99 -3.84% 41.58% 79.25% 163.1 13'044.18 2'878.19 0.0 0.0 0.25 15'980.49
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
20 10 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'303.0 5.47x 970.1 7.35x 351.0 15.28x
30
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 906.9 860.5 10.57x 10.63x 546.1 490.9 17.56x 18.64x (53.9) (239.3) 74.23x 95.48x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 1'228.4 9.73x 717.9 16.65x 58.0 83.91x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 1'408.6 9.29x 797.4 16.41x 13.0 92.16x 797.40 316.62 22.48% 1.78% -0.32% -0.89% 0.22% 40.3% 52.1% 18.5% 0.9% 0.72 0.37 42.77% 122.09% 11.27 55.10
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'253.3 36.07x 741.4 15.76x 41.3 64.97x
LTM 03/yy 1'473.4 38.07x 767.7 21.03x (20.8) 126.77x
FY+1
0.20 1.09 158.58 6.88 31.85% 27.45% 1.093 36 3.806 1'572'211 1'463'358 1'618'083 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 1'754.8 2'254.3 425.4 459.9 9.13x 7.18x 37.51x 34.91x 1'131.2 1'504.2 273.9 302.0 14.10x 10.60x 12.73x 11.85x 242.6 373.1 57.8 67.6 53.43x 36.53x 48.66x 44.49x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
29.05.2007 BB STABLE 4.72 -4.18 3.82 3.83 122.1% 55.0% 0.22 0.25 32.40 6.62 140.61 -71.44
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
1'600.0 1'400.0
20.00
1'200.0 1'000.0
15.00
800.0 10.00
600.0 400.0
5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
200.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Range Resources Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC MORGAN STANLEY FIRST MANHATTAN CO A WINSLOW CAPITAL MANA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP BLUE RIDGE CAPITAL L RS INVESTMENT MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL RUANE CUNNIFF & GOLD FMR LLC GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP WELLS FARGO MANNING & NAPIER ADV NORTHERN TRUST CORPO ING INVESTMENT MANAG
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Brean Capital LLC Jefferies Robert W. Baird & Co Stephens Inc KeyBanc Capital Markets Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co Macquarie ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Societe Generale Simmons & Company International Johnson Rice & Co RBC Capital Markets SunTrust Robinson Humphrey FBR Capital Markets Stifel Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays Credit Suisse Morgan Stanley Howard Weil Inc Ladenburg Thalmann & Co Cowen and Company Global Hunter Securities Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs BNP Paribas Equity Research JPMorgan EVA Dimensions S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO n/a FIRST MANHATTAN COMP WINSLOW CAPITAL MANA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN HARRIS ASSOC LP BLUE RIDGE CAPITAL L RS INVESTMENT MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL RUANE CUNNIFF & GOLD n/a n/a n/a MANNING & NAPIER ADV NORTHERN TRUST CORPO ING INVESTMENT MANAG
Analyst DAN MCSPIRIT BOB BRACKETT RAYMOND DEACON BIJU Z PERINCHERIL HSULIN PENG WILL GREEN JACK N AYDIN ANDREW COLEMAN MATTHEW PORTILLO JOSEPH MAGNER JONATHAN WOLFF DANIEL KATZENBERG BRIAN T VELIE BOB PARIJA DAVID W KISTLER RONALD E MILLS LEO P MARIANI NEAL DINGMANN REHAN RASHID MICHAEL S SCIALLA DAVID R TAMERON THOMAS R DRISCOLL MARK LEAR J EVAN CALIO PETER KISSEL MICHAEL SCHMITZ NICHOLAS P POPE CURTIS R TRIMBLE STEPHEN RICHARDSON BRIAN SINGER DANIEL BRAZILLER JOSEPH D ALLMAN CRAIG STERLING MICHAEL KAY
Source 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation outperform outperform buy hold outperform equalweight hold market perform hold outperform strong buy market perform add buy overweight overweight outperform neutral market perform hold market perform equalweight outperform Overwt/Attractive sector perform buy hold neutral hold neutral/attractive suspended coverage overweight sell sell
Amt Held 24'025'891 11'327'752 10'155'900 7'315'833 7'078'652 6'811'778 4'270'624 4'223'173 3'982'654 3'756'500 3'198'000 3'005'353 2'749'698 2'504'085 2'455'834 2'357'470 2'234'263 2'163'670 2'151'553 2'067'753
% Out 14.73 6.95 6.23 4.49 4.34 4.18 2.62 2.59 2.44 2.3 1.96 1.84 1.69 1.54 1.51 1.45 1.37 1.33 1.32 1.27
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 5 1 1
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 354'800 (18'774) 342'724 (61'225) 110'802 (179'428) (43'047) (582'691) (48'105) (2'600) (112'000) (765'372) 976'866 841'355 161'547 (255'020) 217'110 (95'880) 52'108 (41'479)
Target Price 84 90 104 81 88 87 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 69 91 91 #N/A N/A 88 92 94 #N/A N/A 88 60 75 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 65 91 85 73 90 #N/A N/A 89 83 96 #N/A N/A 87 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 07.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 11.06.2013 04.06.2013 03.06.2013 03.06.2013 23.05.2013 20.05.2013 14.05.2013 08.05.2013 29.04.2013 28.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 04.04.2013 27.03.2013 04.03.2013 16.01.2013 09.11.2012
08.07.2013
Inpex Corp INPEX CORPORATION is a holding company established through the reorganization of INPEX Corp and Teikoku Oil. The Company manages subsidiaries that explores, produces, and sells oil and natural gas.
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (15.03.2013) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 1605 JP EQUITY YTD Change 1605 JP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Price/Volume
03/2013 03/yy 542'000.00 398'000.00 11'713.00 446500 -17.62% 12.19% 35.07% 3.7 1'632'318.75 475'664.00 0.0 189'691.0 765'456.00 1'532'217.72
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
.1 M
500000
.1 M
400000
.0 M
300000
.0 M
200000
.0 M
100000
.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13 a-13 m-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.03.2009 1'076'164.0 1.48x 712'992.0 2.24x 145'062.0 11.09x
600000
31.03.2010 31.03.2011 840'427.0 943'080.0 1.93x 2.50x 508'780.0 590'747.0 3.19x 3.99x 107'210.0 128'699.0 15.06x 15.45x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.03.2012 1'186'731.0 1.53x 764'143.0 2.38x 194'000.0 10.52x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
LTM
FY+1
j-13
1.03 2.18 -0.03% -1.74% 1.029 17 4.529 14'412 21'933 23'131 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
31.03.2013 03/yy 03/yy 03/14 Y 03/15 Y 06/13 Q1 09/13 Q2 1'216'533.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### 313'000.0 314'000.0 1.42x 6.32x 5.19x 1.50x 1.58x 752'122.0 571'337.0 752'122.0 766'530.1 775'138.3 2.29x 0.00x 2.29x 2.00x 1.98x 182'961.0 194'000.0 182'961.0 153'429.5 160'132.1 9.98x 10.52x 9.98x 10.62x 10.42x 10.52x S&P Issuer Ratings 752'122.00 Long-Term Rating Date 01.10.2008 693'447.00 Long-Term Rating A 57.00% Long-Term Outlook STABLE 59.03% Short-Term Rating Date 01.10.2008 5.48% Short-Term Rating A-1 7.85% Credit Ratios 6.55% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 495.47 0.36% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 370.86 Net Debt/EBITDA -0.39 65.0% Total Debt/EBITDA 0.63 61.8% Reference 57.0% Total Debt/Equity 19.2% 15.0% Total Debt/Capital 15.1% Asset Turnover 0.36 2.67 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 2.51 2.09 Accounts receivable turnover-days 31.34 13.15% Inventory Days 11.72 19.17% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 30.42 11.64 Cash Conversion Cycle 12.65 31.13
Price/ Cash Flow
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
1'400'000.0
7.00
1'200'000.0
6.00
1'000'000.0
5.00
800'000.0
4.00
600'000.0
3.00
400'000.0
2.00
200'000.0
1.00 0.00 02.04.2010
0.0 02.10.2010
02.04.2011
02.10.2011
02.04.2012
02.10.2012
02.04.2013
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Inpex Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name MINISTER OF ECON TRA JAPAN PETROLEUM EXPL MITSUI OIL EXPLORATI JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC JP MORGAN MASTER TRUST BANK OF MITSUBISHI CORP JX HOLDINGS INC JP MORGAN CHASE BANK NORGES BANK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN ORBIS INVESTMENT MAN VANGUARD GROUP INC SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I OKAYAMA PAPER INDUST BLACKROCK BANK OF NEW YORK MEL T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA MARUBENI CORP GLG PARTNERS INVESTM
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Macquarie POLINA DIYACHKINA Mizuho Securities NORIMASA SHINYA Credit Suisse DAVID HEWITT Sanford C. Bernstein & Co NEIL BEVERIDGE JPMorgan SCOTT DARLING EVA Dimensions DOUG WALTERS Barclays KAZUHISA MORI SMBC Nikko Securities Inc HIDETOSHI SHIODA Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TAKAHIRO YANO Nomura SHIGEKI MATSUMOTO Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley SecuritieREIJI OGINO Okasan Securities SHINICHI YAMAZAKI Goldman Sachs HISAAKI YOKOO Morgan Stanley LALITA GUPTA Tachibana Securities HISAYUKI SHIMOKAWA
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File ULT-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File MF-AGG ULT-AGG Co File MF-AGG ULT-AGG Co File ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy outperform market perform suspended coverage buy overweight outperform outperform buy neutral neutral Buy/Neutral Overwt/In-Line Strong Outperform
Amt Held 692'307 267'233 164'760 147'118 132'323 124'985 114'500 109'527 105'150 89'988 80'778 58'062 58'026 55'145 55'000 49'983 32'562 28'479 23'223 22'740
% Out 18.94 7.31 4.51 4.02 3.62 3.42 3.13 3 2.88 2.46 2.21 1.59 1.59 1.51 1.5 1.37 0.89 0.78 0.64 0.62
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 3 #N/A N/A 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 5
M M M N M M M M M M M D M M M
Latest Chg 8'491 16'530 (22'357) (1'571) 1'494 1'540 1'405 646 (23'223) 3'593
Target Price 670'000 740'000 697'000 490'000 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 699'000 600'000 690'000 684'000 540'000 490'000 670'000 642'000 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 30.09.2012 30.09.2012 30.09.2012 30.09.2012 31.05.2013 30.09.2012 31.03.2013 30.09.2012 30.09.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 30.09.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2012 03.07.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2012 31.05.2013
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Government Corporation Corporation Bank Investment Advisor Bank Corporation Corporation Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor
Date 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 13.06.2013 12.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 30.05.2013 29.05.2013 28.05.2013 23.05.2013 21.05.2013 12.05.2013 23.04.2013 17.05.2012
08.07.2013
JX Holdings Inc JX Holdings, Inc. is a holding company which was established through the integration of Nippon Oil Corporation and Nippon Mining Holdings, Inc. Through subsidiaries, the company explores, produces, refines and distributes petroleum and petro chemical products. JX Holdings also provides non-ferrous metals and electronic materials.
Price/Volume 700
30.0 M
600
25.0 M
500
20.0 M
400
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (23.05.2013) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 5020 JP EQUITY YTD Change 5020 JP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.03.2010 -
10.0 M
200
5.0 M
100 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
Profitability
31.03.2011 9'634'396.0 0.38x 545'515.0 6.79x 311'736.0 4.47x
LTM-4Q 31.03.2012 10'723'889.0 0.34x 529'385.0 6.91x 170'595.0 7.48x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
FY+1
1.03 2'291.20 29.05% 2.52% 1.034 13 4.538 11'379'480 14'049'810 14'644'010 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
31.03.2013 03/yy 03/yy 03/14 Y 03/15 Y 06/13 Q1 09/13 Q2 11'219'474.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### 0.36x 1.32x 1.31x 0.32x 0.31x 434'706.0 529'385.0 434'706.0 443'890.5 512'663.4 9.26x 6.91x 9.26x 8.89x 7.70x 159'477.0 170'595.0 159'477.0 168'203.1 200'254.1 8.12x 7.48x 8.12x 7.21x 6.13x S&P Issuer Ratings 434'706.00 Long-Term Rating Date 251'467.00 Long-Term Rating 2.24% Long-Term Outlook 2.42% Short-Term Rating Date 2.28% Short-Term Rating 8.65% Credit Ratios 4.51% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 1.61% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA 7.0% Total Debt/EBITDA 3.9% Reference 2.2% Total Debt/Equity 1.4% Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover 1.13 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.47 Accounts receivable turnover-days 35.46% Inventory Days 132.80% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 8.49 Cash Conversion Cycle 5.94
Price/ Cash Flow
17.22 4.86 5.36 5.93 132.8% 52.6% 1.61 5.43 43.00 61.47 31.31 73.17
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
12'000'000.0
10.00
10'000'000.0
8.00
8'000'000.0
6.00
6'000'000.0
4.00
4'000'000.0
2.00
2'000'000.0
0.00 02.04.2010
s-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.03.2009
15.0 M
300
03/2013 03/yy 592.00 346.00 10'786'500.00 488 -17.57% 41.04% 60.98% 2'495.5 1'217'797.13 2'579'942.00 0.0 384'678.0 234'208.00 3'948'209.13
0.0 02.10.2010
02.04.2011
02.10.2011
02.04.2012
02.10.2012
02.04.2013
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
JX Holdings Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC MASTER TRUST BANK OF MITSUBISHI UFJ FINAN SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUS MIZUHO FINANCIAL GRO SUMITOMO MITSUI FINA STATE STREET CUSTODI MITSUBISHI CORP VANGUARD GROUP INC INPEX CORP GOVT OF SINGAPORE IN FIL LIMITED SOMPO JAPAN INSURANC TOKIO MARINE & NICHI BLACKROCK NOMURA NIKKO ASSET MANAGEME HARTFORD INVESTMENT MITSUI SUMITOMO INSU NORGES BANK
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Morgan Stanley LALITA GUPTA Macquarie POLINA DIYACHKINA Nomura SHIGEKI MATSUMOTO JPMorgan YUJI NISHIYAMA EVA Dimensions DOUG WALTERS SMBC Nikko Securities Inc HIDETOSHI SHIODA Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley SecuritieREIJI OGINO Okasan Securities SHINICHI YAMAZAKI Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TAKAHIRO YANO Mizuho Securities NORIMASA SHINYA
Source Co File Co File ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG Co File MF-AGG Co File ULT-AGG ULT-AGG Co File Co File ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG Co File MF-AGG
Recommendation Overwt/In-Line outperform buy overweight overweight underperform neutral buy outperform buy
Amt Held 236'675'000 168'175'000 144'138'650 114'318'460 69'641'400 65'398'360 51'895'000 48'615'792 34'192'413 33'265'000 32'117'000 29'796'402 26'849'980 26'253'456 25'215'162 23'907'361 22'161'980 19'319'879 17'091'839 17'057'749
% Out 9.48 6.74 5.78 4.58 2.79 2.62 2.08 1.95 1.37 1.33 1.29 1.19 1.08 1.05 1.01 0.96 0.89 0.77 0.68 0.68
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 5 1 3 5 5 5
M M M N U D M M M M
Latest Chg 7'738'000 19'085'000 47'144 (94'739'700) 1'580'900 360 (5'338'000) (208) 1'501'600 8'080'097 (1'666'700) (492'000) 2'160'827 187'700 (1'096'159) -
Target Price 700 660 620 600 #N/A N/A 400 550 700 630 620
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 30.09.2012 30.09.2012 08.04.2013 15.04.2013 11.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.09.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.09.2012 30.09.2012 26.03.2013 31.03.2012 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 15.04.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2012 31.12.2012
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type Bank Bank Holding Company Bank Bank Bank Other Corporation Investment Advisor Corporation Government Investment Advisor Insurance Company Insurance Company Investment Advisor Unclassified Unclassified Investment Advisor Insurance Company Government
Date 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 01.07.2013 17.06.2013 10.06.2013 04.06.2013 30.05.2013 21.05.2013 20.05.2013 17.05.2013
08.07.2013
Talisman Energy Inc Talisman Energy Inc. is an independent oil and gas producer. The Company has operations in North America, the North Sea, and Indonesia. Talisman is also conducting exploration in Southeast Asia, Algeria, Qatar, Colombia and Trinidad.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (07.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TLM CN EQUITY YTD Change TLM CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 14.70 10.62 219'946.00 12.22 -17.01% 15.07% 37.50% 1'034.6 12'642.27 4'442.00 191.0 0.0 721.00 16'399.82
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
40.0 M
14
35.0 M
12
30.0 M
10
25.0 M
8
20.0 M
6
15.0 M
4
10.0 M
2
5.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 5'336.9 6'982.0 3.65x 3.61x 2'490.1 3'801.0 7.82x 6.64x 384.8 945.0 26.25x 74.16x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 8'272.0 2.14x 5'077.0 3.49x 776.0 19.64x
31.12.2012 7'312.0 2.12x 3'514.0 4.41x 132.0 282.69x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
3'514.00 1'013.00 13.85% -2.38% -1.70% -3.82% 0.29% 29.2% 44.9% 8.2% 1.8% 0.87 0.78 20.32% 45.70% 5.11 30.26
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 8'273.0 9.09x 4'914.0 3.48x 1'393.0 33.04x
d-12
03/yy 6'322.0 10.59x 2'838.0 5.99x (372.0) 0.00x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
2.92 1.33 1'033.23 29.19 8.03% 9.87% 1.333 24 3.667 1'908'196 4'473'350 4'894'668 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 6'038.1 6'878.4 1'393.7 1'515.0 2.90x 2.59x 11.91x 11.05x 3'004.6 3'814.7 718.8 772.5 5.46x 4.30x 5.14x 4.83x 121.5 478.9 (18.5) 76.5 78.75x 28.58x 42.87x 32.61x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
25.06.2008 BBB STABLE 07.11.2011 A-2 6.90 -0.50 1.49 1.60 45.7% 31.0% 0.29 0.39 71.48 12.06 175.98 -92.60
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
10'000.0
8.00
9'000.0
7.00
8'000.0 7'000.0
6.00
6'000.0
5.00 4.00
5'000.0 4'000.0
3.00
3'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
1.00
1'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 8'851.9 1.74x 5'724.6 2.69x 3'318.8 5.27x
16
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Talisman Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FRANKLIN RESOURCES BLACKROCK CI INVESTMENTS INC JARISLOWSKY FRASER L ROYAL BANK OF CANADA NWQ INVESTMENT MANAG CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P LETKO BROSSEAU & ASS ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADV BEUTEL GOODMAN & COM BMO FINANCIAL CORP FMR LLC CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN TD ASSET MANAGEMENT IA CLARINGTON INVEST OMERS ADMINISTRATION SCHEER ROWLETT & ASS
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Cormark Securities Inc. Sanford C. Bernstein & Co FirstEnergy Capital Corp Credit Suisse Edward Jones Canaccord Genuity Corp Societe Generale Tudor Pickering & Co Peters & Co Ltd GMP Scotia Capital Goldman Sachs RBC Capital Markets Macquarie TD Securities Veritas Investment Research Co Barclays Deutsche Bank JPMorgan Global Hunter Securities Raymond James EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios JARISLOWSKY FRASER L n/a NWQ INVESTMENT MANAG CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P LETKO BROSSEAU & ASS ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADV BEUTEL, GOODMAN & CO BMO FINANCIAL CORP n/a CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN TD ASSET MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios OMERS ADMINISTRATION SCHEER ROWLETT & ASS
Analyst RANDY J OLLENBERGER TODD KEPLER BOB BRACKETT MICHAEL P DUNN JASON FREW LANNY PENDILL PHILIP R SKOLNICK JOHN HERRLIN MATTHEW PORTILLO JEFF MARTIN RYAN SAVAGE MARK POLAK BRIAN SINGER GREG M PARDY CHRIS FELTIN MENNO HULSHOF PAWEL RAJSZEL THOMAS R DRISCOLL STEPHEN RICHARDSON KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD JOHN MALONE RAFI KHOURI CRAIG STERLING
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation market perform buy outperform market perform outperform buy buy hold buy sector perform hold sector perform neutral/attractive outperform neutral hold buy equalweight hold neutral neutral Under Review hold
Amt Held 81'316'114 56'906'785 37'955'031 37'575'085 35'956'027 35'924'850 31'599'551 28'769'529 21'851'435 19'385'051 18'479'619 17'627'751 16'502'141 16'318'000 14'491'885 13'133'575 12'615'222 11'990'693 11'609'100 11'060'756
% Out 7.86 5.5 3.67 3.63 3.48 3.47 3.05 2.78 2.11 1.87 1.79 1.7 1.6 1.58 1.4 1.27 1.22 1.16 1.12 1.07
Weighting
Change
3 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 #N/A N/A 3
M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 10'768'293 (4'332'615) (1'872'039) 3'765'651 (1'793'734) 6'594'700 1'985'790 139'190 472'020 401'565 2'594'229 1'216'369 3'235'300 130'743 138'576 1'275'749 635'900 2'611'700 (62'800)
Target Price 15 16 15 14 16 #N/A N/A 17 13 17 13 12 14 13 14 14 14 14 13 14 13 13 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA) 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 13.06.2013 11.06.2013 04.06.2013 30.05.2013 08.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 23.04.2013 18.04.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
EQT Corp EQT Corporation is an integrated energy company with emphasis on Appalachian area natural-gas supply, transmission and distribution. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offer natural gas products to wholesale and retail customers.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.06.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance EQT US EQUITY YTD Change EQT US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 84.00 52.20 319'111.00 81.94 -2.38% 56.97% 87.23% 150.4 12'326.66 2'526.17 0.0 285.0 182.06 14'961.10
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.5 M
80
4.0 M
70
3.5 M
60
3.0 M
50
2.5 M
40
2.0 M
30
1.5 M
20
1.0 M
10
.5 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'269.8 1'374.4 6.07x 6.32x 552.9 740.8 13.94x 11.73x 156.9 227.7 36.51x 28.56x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 1'639.9 6.16x 997.7 10.13x 479.8 31.07x
31.12.2012 1'641.6 6.99x 969.6 11.84x 183.4 2460.68x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
969.65 470.53 28.66% 18.38% 2.40% 5.76% 5.52% 0.20% 41.2% 60.4% 29.5% 11.2% 1.49 0.68 28.54% 70.10% 9.97 19.06
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'678.9 23.07x 981.4 9.38x 429.5 23.31x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 1'750.3 26.14x 1'057.7 12.13x 211.6 90.99x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
FY+1
1.13 137.76 3.00 53.18% 39.05% 1.132 19 4.053 1'431'185 1'243'781 1'480'934 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 1'891.1 2'265.0 441.7 455.3 7.97x 6.62x 34.29x 33.32x 1'373.7 1'731.1 340.2 347.8 10.83x 8.59x 9.56x 8.95x 382.0 514.5 84.6 83.4 33.39x 25.50x 31.52x 28.62x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
25.02.2009 BBB STABLE 01.11.2011 A-2 4.84 -2.14 2.22 2.37 70.1% 39.4% 0.20 0.24 36.59 19.15 86.44 -28.68
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
1'800.0
14.00
1'600.0
12.00
1'400.0 1'200.0
10.00
1'000.0
8.00
800.0
6.00
600.0
4.00
400.0
2.00
200.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'576.5 3.78x 593.8 10.04x 255.6 16.37x
90
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
EQT Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC FMR LLC STATE STREET WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS RS INVESTMENT MANAGE SOROS FUND MANAGEMEN SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I JP MORGAN POINTSTATE CAPITAL WESTWOOD MANAGEMENT JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INVESCO LTD CITADEL ADVISORS LLC NORGES BANK GERBER MURRY S
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Brean Capital LLC Edward Jones ISI Group US Capital Advisors Societe Generale SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Howard Weil Inc Deutsche Bank Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays JPMorgan RBC Capital Markets Ladenburg Thalmann & Co Stifel BNP Paribas Equity Research EVA Dimensions Spin-Off Research Tudor Pickering & Co
Portfolio Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS RS INVESTMENT MANAGE SOROS FUND MANAGEMEN n/a n/a POINTSTATE CAPITAL L WESTWOOD MANAGEMENT n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a CITADEL ADVISORS LLC NORGES BANK n/a
Analyst PHILLIP JUNGWIRTH RAYMOND DEACON BRIAN YOUNGBERG JONATHAN WOLFF REBECCA G FOLLOWILL BOB PARIJA NEAL DINGMANN HOLLY STEWART STEPHEN RICHARDSON GORDON DOUTHAT RICHARD GROSS JOSEPH D ALLMAN SCOTT HANOLD MICHAEL SCHMITZ AMIR ARIF DANIEL BRAZILLER CRAIG STERLING TEAM COVERAGE DAVID M HEIKKINEN
Source 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F Form 4
Recommendation outperform buy hold strong buy buy hold neutral sector outperform buy market perform overweight overweight outperform buy hold suspended coverage underweight hold suspended coverage
Amt Held 15'207'751 10'415'763 9'243'703 6'863'923 6'382'631 4'599'369 4'261'671 3'428'626 3'085'411 2'963'898 2'638'777 2'253'600 2'131'291 1'973'400 1'939'232 1'925'804 1'591'618 1'462'968 1'121'388 1'115'832
% Out 10.11 6.92 6.14 4.56 4.24 3.06 2.83 2.28 2.05 1.97 1.75 1.5 1.42 1.31 1.29 1.28 1.06 0.97 0.75 0.74
Weighting
Change
5 5 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 #N/A N/A 1 3 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 2'321'710 204'401 (1'636'849) 234'595 1'627'755 2'863'547 395'831 1'013'332 (126'020) (266'130) 561'700 (73'734) 1'422'800 46'730 92'776 134'994 46'243 (38'690)
Target Price 110 102 #N/A N/A 94 90 85 64 100 110 #N/A N/A 95 85 77 84 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 59 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 17.11.2011
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Government n/a
Date 07.07.2013 02.07.2013 26.06.2013 23.06.2013 18.06.2013 14.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 06.05.2013 29.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 27.03.2013 15.01.2013 26.10.2012 19.05.2010
08.07.2013
Santos Ltd Santos Limited explores for and produces natural gas, crude oil, condensate, naphtha and liquid petroleum gas. The Company conducts major onshore and offshore petroleum exploration activities at oil and gas fields in Australia (Cooper/Eromanga Basins), the United States (Gulf of Mexico), Indonesia and Papua New Guinea. The Company also transports crude oil by pipeline.
Price/Volume 16
8.0 M
10 8
12/2012 01/yy 13.54 10.04 5'459'929.00 13.41 -0.96% 33.57% 90.86% 967.6 12'975.64 3'704.00 0.0 (5.0) 2'151.00 14'523.64
6.0 M
6
4.0 M
4 2.0 M
2 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
12
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (11.03.2013) 52-Week Low (18.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 08.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance STO AU EQUITY YTD Change STO AU EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2008 2'761.8 3.69x 1'737.8 5.86x 1'650.1 5.45x
12.0 M
14
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'181.0 2'228.0 5.15x 4.64x 1'151.0 1'194.0 9.76x 8.66x 434.0 500.0 27.04x 21.99x Profitability
31.12.2011 2'721.0 4.22x 1'406.0 8.17x 753.0 14.43x
31.12.2012 3'220.0 3.79x 1'689.0 7.23x 519.0 20.40x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'689.00 916.00 28.45% 28.42% 3.16% 5.66% 4.16% 0.20% 35.1% 52.5% 28.4% 16.1% 2.49 1.91 21.74% 39.53% 9.66 6.92
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
2.24 1.19 967.36 4.46 28.50% 22.18% 1.194 15 4.200 4'542'060 4'006'772 3'615'789 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 3'507.8 3'915.3 4.95x 4.72x 1'882.4 2'184.3 7.72x 6.65x 583.2 659.6 22.39x 20.23x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
15.05.2013 BBB+ NEG 12.01.2011 A-2 8.57 -7.14 0.92 2.19 39.5% 28.3% 0.20 0.27 37.91 52.91 133.36 -42.54
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
3'500.0
10.00
3'000.0 2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0 6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Santos Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name EM INDUSTRIES INCORP VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK NORGES BANK T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATIO MORGAN STANLEY VANGUARD INVESTMENTS BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ARGO INVESTMENTS LTD MACQUARIE GROUP NEW JERSEY DIVISION DJERRIWARRH INVESTME CREDIT SUISSE ASSET DAIWA SB INVESTMENTS MILTON CORP LTD MELLON GLOBAL MANAGE CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P FMR LLC DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV
Firm Name Deutsche Bank Nomura Credit Suisse Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Macquarie EVA Dimensions Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Morgan Stanley Commonwealth Bank RBC Capital Markets Shaw Stockbroking CIMB
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a
Analyst JOHN HIRJEE RICHARD J JOHNSON PAUL MCTAGGART MARK WISEMAN BENJAMIN X. WILSON ADRIAN WOOD DOUG WALTERS NEIL BEVERIDGE STUART BAKER LUKE SMITH ANDREW WILLIAMS VINCENT PISANI MARK SAMTER
Source EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation buy suspended coverage neutral Buy/Neutral overweight outperform hold market perform Overwt/Attractive overweight underperform buy neutral
Amt Held 28'425'292 9'859'698 9'828'447 8'627'280 7'856'989 7'788'000 5'655'593 5'027'889 4'619'261 3'648'136 3'197'182 2'200'000 1'810'000 1'484'875 1'458'700 1'407'057 1'234'364 1'191'750 1'036'477 1'007'038
% Out 2.94 1.02 1.02 0.89 0.81 0.8 0.58 0.52 0.48 0.38 0.33 0.23 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.1
Weighting
Change
5 #N/A N/A 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 1 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M N M
Latest Chg 368'333 23'253 1'440'698 55'517 146'425 (726'475) (1'180'080) (2'172'657) (250'000) 8'575 26'367
Target Price 15 #N/A N/A 14 16 17 17 #N/A N/A 13 15 14 14 15 14
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 02.03.2012 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 29.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.09.2012 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA) 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor 29.04.2013 Investment Advisor 24.07.2012 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 29.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Date 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 25.06.2013 20.06.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 24.05.2013 01.05.2013 19.04.2013 19.04.2013 11.03.2013
08.07.2013
Ecopetrol SA Ecopetrol SA is an integrated oil company. The Company owns interests in oil producing fields in the central area, south, west and north of Colombia as well as refineries, ports for fuel exports and imports on both coasts and the transportation network of pipelines and polyducts throughout the Colombian territory.
Price/Volume 70
2.0 M 1.8 M 1.6 M 1.4 M 1.2 M 1.0 M .8 M .6 M .4 M .2 M .0 M
60 50 40
Valuation Analysis
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (06.02.2013) 52-Week Low (24.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance EC US EQUITY YTD Change EC US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 63.60 39.72 37'238.00 42.13 -33.87% 6.07% 9.04% 2'055.8 86'612.33 15'977'669.00 0.0 2'602'167.0 9'312'249.00 -
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Price/ Cash Flow
1.20 1.00
10 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 33'896'669.0 2.24x 14'155'420.0 5.36x 11'629'677.0 -
20
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 30'404'390.0 41'968'311.0 3.41x 4.08x 11'265'800.0 17'103'936.0 9.20x 10.01x 5'132'054.0 8'146'471.0 Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 65'967'514.0 2.71x 30'720'740.0 5.83x 15'452'334.0 -
LTM
FY+1
0.83 8.25 -19.74% -25.02% 0.831 14 2.714 490'300 520'881 607'046 FY+2
FQ+1
31.12.2012 03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 68'852'002.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### ######### 3.40x 10.34x 13.01x 2.82x 2.85x 12.17x 29'521'039.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### ######### 7.92x 7.00x 7.68x 14'778'947.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### ######### 0.00x 0.00x 12.18x 11.79x 11.81x S&P Issuer Ratings 29'521'039.00 Long-Term Rating Date 24'206'290.00 Long-Term Rating 35.16% Long-Term Outlook 32.43% Short-Term Rating Date 12.84% Short-Term Rating 27.04% Credit Ratios 22.25% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 0.62% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA 41.1% Total Debt/EBITDA 41.7% Reference 33.7% Total Debt/Equity 21.5% Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover 0.99 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.63 Accounts receivable turnover-days 14.03% Inventory Days 24.68% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 12.99 Cash Conversion Cycle 12.08
FQ+2 09/13 Q3 ######### ######### ######### 11.76x 24.04.2013 BBB STABLE 175.84 117.15 0.22 0.51 24.7% 19.2% 0.62 1.96 28.10 30.21 185.06 -18.85
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
80'000'000.0 70'000'000.0 60'000'000.0
0.80 0.60
50'000'000.0 40'000'000.0 30'000'000.0
0.40 0.20
20'000'000.0 10'000'000.0 0.0
0.00
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Ecopetrol SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name VANGUARD GROUP INC VONTOBEL ASSET MANAG SCHRODER INVESTMENT BLACKROCK FISHER INVESTMENTS I CREDIT SUISSE AG STATE STREET SCOUT INVESTMENT ADV FMR LLC UMB BANK N A VONTOBEL ASSET MANAG NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV HARDING LOEVNER LP FRANKLIN RESOURCES GLOBAL X MANAGEMENT ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO APG ALL PENSIONS GRO FRANK RUSSELL TRUST
Firm Name Goldman Sachs Larrain Vial Corredores de Bolsa JPMorgan EVA Dimensions Morgan Stanley Itau BBA Securities Grupo Santander Tudor Pickering & Co Deutsche Bank RBC Capital Markets Banco BTG Pactual SA Corredores Asociados
Portfolio Name VANGUARD GROUP INC VONTOBEL ASSET MANAG SCHRODER INVESTMENT n/a FISHER INVESTMENTS n/a n/a SCOUT INVESTMENT ADV n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO n/a HARDING LOEVNER LP n/a GLOBAL X MANAGEMENT n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO APG ALL PENSIONS GRO FRANK RUSSELL COMPAN
Analyst FELIPE MATTAR JOHANNA CASTRO CASTRO CAIO M CARVALHAL DOUG WALTERS BRUNO MONTANARI PAULA KOVARSKY CHRISTIAN AUDI ANISH KAPADIA MARCUS SEQUEIRA NATHAN PIPER GUSTAVO GATTASS SEBASTIAN GALLEGO
Source 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation neutral/neutral hold neutral overweight Underwt/No Rating underperform hold sell hold sector perform neutral buy
Amt Held 3'683'562 3'617'522 2'734'350 2'233'905 2'080'965 1'689'085 1'093'947 1'010'190 1'006'900 989'775 984'367 965'866 864'552 720'725 676'978 560'304 546'723 541'800 493'273 452'326
% Out 0.18 0.18 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02
Weighting
Change 3 3 3 5 1 1 3 1 3 3 3 5
N M U M M M D M M M U U
Latest Chg (16'094) (1'058'233) 69'800 (34'804) (1'073'454) 802'025 16'923 4'234 (115'420) 37'298 (268'830) 75'616 37'595 218'182 131'774 (6'380) (25'200) 137'543 20'501
Target Price 57 46 49 #N/A N/A 44 58 50 41 64 61 50 53
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Date 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 11.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 24.05.2013 15.05.2013 09.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 05.05.2013 23.04.2013
08.07.2013
Murphy Oil Corp Murphy Oil Corporation is a worldwide oil and gas exploration and production company with refining and marketing operations in the United States and the United Kingdom. The Company also has exploration and production activities in countries that include United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Malaysia, and Ecuador. Murphy Oil has retail operations as well in the United States.
Price/Volume 70
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
60 50 40
Valuation Analysis
30
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (10.06.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance MUR US EQUITY YTD Change MUR US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 66.28 46.35 315'753.00 62.08 -6.47% 33.93% 76.46% 191.0 11'855.65 2'245.25 0.0 0.0 1'062.92 13'030.36
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 27'360.6 0.31x 3'526.3 2.38x 1'740.0 5.14x
20
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 18'918.2 20'225.8 0.56x 0.70x 2'241.3 2'694.7 4.74x 5.26x 837.6 798.1 17.34x 18.25x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 27'582.4 0.38x 2'969.0 3.49x 872.7 11.58x
31.12.2012 28'616.3 0.44x 3'304.1 3.79x 970.9 9.63x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
3'304.11 1'928.53 6.74% 5.67% 6.37% 11.41% 9.87% 1.73% 9.3% 11.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.21 0.86 12.81% 25.11% 17.93 39.69
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 28'326.9 1.46x 3'121.7 3.23x 893.9 10.79x
03/yy 28'347.3 1.61x 3'333.4 4.00x 1'041.4 10.90x
FY+1
5.98 1.32 180.91 8.71 32.00% 5.30% 1.316 17 3.824 1'259'936 1'509'878 1'560'624 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 27'361.9 24'036.1 7'251.3 6'109.8 0.55x 0.63x 1.95x 2.38x 3'625.8 4'231.3 959.2 868.8 3.59x 3.07x 3.51x 3.46x 1'068.4 1'307.3 292.0 266.0 11.06x 9.46x 10.43x 10.08x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
28.02.2012 BBB STABLE 61.07 -6.85 0.35 0.75 25.1% 20.1% 1.73 2.33 20.35 9.20 39.51 -1.55
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00
35'000.0
5.00
30'000.0 25'000.0
4.00
20'000.0 3.00
15'000.0
2.00
10'000.0
1.00
5'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Murphy Oil Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FMR LLC SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN STATE STREET BANCORPSOUTH INC INVESCO LTD MURPHY ROBERT MADISO FRANKLIN RESOURCES AJO, LP HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAP LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT NORTHERN TRUST CORPO DEMING CLAIBORNE P THIRD POINT LLC BANK OF NEW YORK MEL PANAGORA ASSET MANAG ORBIS HOLDINGS LIMIT
Firm Name Barclays Oppenheimer & Co Howard Weil Inc Societe Generale Brean Capital LLC Cowen and Company RBC Capital Markets Spin-Off Research Raymond James JPMorgan Simmons & Company International Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a BANCORPSOUTH INC n/a n/a n/a AJO, LP HOTCHKIS AND WILEY LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a THIRD POINT LLC BANK OF NEW YORK MEL PANAGORA ASSET MANAG ORBIS HOLDINGS LIMIT
Analyst PAUL Y CHENG FADEL GHEIT BLAKE FERNANDEZ JOHN HERRLIN RAYMOND DEACON ASIT SEN LEO P MARIANI TEAM COVERAGE PAVEL MOLCHANOV KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD JEFFREY A DIETERT ROGER D READ PAUL SANKEY J EVAN CALIO ARJUN N MURTI CRAIG STERLING
Source 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG Form 4 ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F Form 4 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation equalweight outperform sector perform hold buy market perform outperform buy market perform neutral overweight outperform hold Equalwt/Attractive neutral/attractive buy
Amt Held 12'269'617 11'220'261 10'481'403 10'247'672 9'743'669 9'308'000 8'680'505 5'556'431 5'412'718 4'876'260 4'602'902 3'421'090 3'030'600 2'760'986 2'746'489 2'598'516 2'500'000 2'036'914 1'934'871 1'872'256
% Out 6.42 5.88 5.49 5.37 5.1 4.87 4.55 2.91 2.83 2.55 2.41 1.79 1.59 1.45 1.44 1.36 1.31 1.07 1.01 0.98
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 5
M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (2'035'428) 1'595'280 4'365'676 (795'622) 260'060 (1'000'000) 24'863 33'000 69'265 4'797 26'491 (247'100) (58'725) 838'050 23'242 30'000 (3'715'000) 12'027 1'253'971 (752'375)
Target Price 70 75 71 70 77 68 70 75 #N/A N/A 62 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 68 63 69 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Bank 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 01.02.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 10.05.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 18 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 21.06.2013 18.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 10.06.2013 07.06.2013 31.05.2013 24.05.2013 22.05.2013 16.05.2013 09.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 12.04.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Technip SA Technip SA designs and constructs industrial facilities. The Company designs and builds factories which produce and process petroleum products, natural gas, and chemicals, and generate electricity. Technip builds offshore facilities for the petroleum industry. The Company operates worldwide.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.10.2012) 52-Week Low (19.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TEC FP EQUITY YTD Change TEC FP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 92.36 74.74 253'962.00 80.98 -12.39% 8.35% 38.65% 113.0 9'154.02 2'106.10 0.0 13.2 2'289.30 9'259.02
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 6'456.0 6'081.9 0.54x 1.00x 831.0 765.9 4.21x 7.97x 170.4 417.6 30.88x 17.63x Profitability
2.0 M 1.5 M 1.0 M .5 M .0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 6'813.0 1.07x 883.5 8.22x 507.3 15.48x
31.12.2012 8'203.9 1.15x 1'016.6 9.29x 539.7 17.69x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'016.60 821.70 10.02% 9.12% 4.66% 14.12% 0.72% 18.9% 12.3% 9.8% 6.6% 0.97 0.66 18.19% 52.64% -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 7'142.1 4.04x 909.2 10.01x 515.2 18.11x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 8'454.4 4.30x 1'038.8 8.80x 543.7 16.82x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
1.06 98.41 1.64% -4.80% 1.060 30 4.267 455'585 428'270 426'000 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 9'432.9 10'665.8 2'336.4 2'468.2 0.94x 0.79x 4.10x 3.80x 1'177.0 1'419.3 293.0 326.2 7.86x 6.52x 7.54x 7.11x 651.6 812.3 163.9 186.4 15.03x 12.13x 13.89x 12.71x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.05.2010 BBB+ STABLE 15.11.2001 A-2 20.92 10.56 0.09 2.19 52.6% 34.4% 0.72 1.49 -46.85
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
200.00
9'000.0
180.00
8'000.0
160.00
7'000.0
140.00
6'000.0
120.00
5'000.0
100.00
4'000.0
80.00
3'000.0
60.00
2'000.0
40.00
1'000.0
20.00 0.00 01.01.2010
2.5 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 7'481.4 0.09x 808.0 0.86x 448.0 5.11x
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Technip SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN BLACKROCK CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET BNP PARIBAS INV PART AMUNDI NORGES BANK INVESTME OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC IFP ENERGIES NOUVELL TECHNIP SA CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MAN ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN VANGUARD GROUP INC NATIXIS AXA ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE AMUNDI FMR LLC SKAGEN AS
Firm Name DNB Markets Raymond James AlphaValue BPI Natixis Nomura Oddo & Cie Fearnley Fonds CM - CIC Securities(ESN) RBC Capital Markets ABN Amro Bank N.V. Kepler Cheuvreux EVA Dimensions Morgan Stanley Day by Day Credit Suisse Societe Generale JPMorgan HSBC Macquarie Barclays Deutsche Bank S&P Capital IQ Main First Bank AG Exane BNP Paribas Liberum Capital Ltd Goldman Sachs RS Platou Markets Fox-Davies Capital
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst EIRIK RONOLD MATHISEN BERTRAND HODEE GAETAN DUPONT ALEXANDRE LEROY ALAIN PARENT CHRISTYAN MALEK JEAN-FRANCOIS GRANJON TRULS OLSEN JEAN-LUC ROMAIN KATHERINE TONKS MARK VAN DER GEEST GEOFFROY STERN DOUG WALTERS ROBERT PULLEYN VALERIE GASTALDY DAVID J THOMAS GUILLAUME DELABY ANDREW DOBBING PHILLIP LINDSAY DAVID FARRELL MICK PICKUP SEBASTIAN YOSHIDA CHRISTINE TISCARENO BERND POMREHN ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS ANDREW WHITTOCK HENRY TARR GORAN ANDREASSEN PAUL SINGER
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG Co File ULT-AGG Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File ULT-AGG MF-AGG Co File ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy outperform reduce buy buy neutral buy accumulate buy outperform hold buy underweight Overwt/In-Line hold outperform buy overweight overweight outperform overweight buy buy outperform neutral hold neutral/neutral buy hold
Amt Held 13'856'250 7'475'677 5'929'398 3'912'849 3'695'224 3'397'847 3'219'635 2'830'917 2'357'211 2'350'626 2'058'959 1'944'940 1'688'544 1'619'347 1'113'111 977'558 706'308 603'839 567'110 530'720
% Out 12.26 6.61 5.25 3.46 3.27 3.01 2.85 2.5 2.09 2.08 1.82 1.72 1.49 1.43 0.98 0.86 0.62 0.53 0.5 0.47
Weighting
Change 5 5 2 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 3 5 1 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 3
M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 2'968'000 (109'930) (16'898) (6'642) 602'821 (272'917) 27'152 (9'691) 124'791 (6'324) -
Target Price 100 96 82 99 99 90 93 93 98 105 87 107 #N/A N/A 104 #N/A N/A 100 92 114 106 92 113 100 96 100 93 76 86 100 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.05.2013 31.03.2013 28.03.2013 28.02.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Corporation Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 30.05.2013 06.05.2013 30.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 27.03.2013 22.02.2013 02.08.2011
08.07.2013
Chesapeake Energy Corp Chesapeake Energy Corporation produces oil and natural gas. The Company's operations are focused on discovering, developing and acquiring conventional and unconventional natural gas reserves onshore in the United States.
Price/Volume 25
80.0 M 70.0 M
20
60.0 M 50.0 M
15
40.0 M
Valuation Analysis
10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (15.03.2013) 52-Week Low (31.12.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 01.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CHK US EQUITY YTD Change CHK US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 22.97 16.23 1'846'423.00 21.17 -8.05% 30.44% 71.37% 666.5 14'108.98 12'620.00 3'062.0 2'327.0 287.00 32'900.98
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
20.0 M 10.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 10'832.0 2.07x 5'634.0 3.98x 604.0 4.59x
30.0 M
5
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 7'702.0 9'366.0 3.91x 3.48x 3'872.0 4'303.0 7.78x 7.57x (5'830.0) 1'774.0 9.29x 8.97x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 11'635.0 2.52x 4'453.0 6.60x 1'742.0 7.83x
31.12.2012 12'316.0 2.34x 4'505.0 6.38x (769.0) 37.50x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
4'505.00 1'694.00 13.75% -7.91% -1.55% -6.54% 0.30% 61.3% 36.3% 14.1% -6.2% 0.47 0.40 30.33% 100.90% 5.35 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 12'441.0 10.20x 4'909.0 6.81x 1'876.0 10.30x
03/yy 13'322.0 9.48x 4'832.0 6.71x (682.0) 25.32x
FY+1
1.24 1.40 595.32 72.40 7.61% 28.59% 1.398 34 3.265 8'296'091 12'102'490 11'345'414 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 11'962.0 12'295.0 2'923.9 2'881.1 2.97x 2.98x 11.97x 12.05x 5'086.5 5'885.8 1'301.5 1'313.9 6.46x 5.58x 6.08x 5.95x 1'042.9 1'440.5 282.6 278.3 14.14x 10.54x 13.20x 12.97x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.05.2012 BBNEG 11.12.2007 NR 4.26 -9.68 2.78 2.78 100.9% 41.4% 0.30 0.34 68.19 176.43 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
6.00
14'000.0
5.00
12'000.0 10'000.0
4.00
8'000.0 3.00
6'000.0
2.00
4'000.0
1.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Chesapeake Energy Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M ICAHN ASSOCIATES COR ICAHN ASSOCIATES COR BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET FRANKLIN RESOURCES BANK OF AMERICA CORP WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MA BRANDES INVESTMENT P OLDFIELD PARTNERS LL CREDIT SUISSE AG NORTHERN TRUST CORPO POWER CORP OF CANADA JP MORGAN DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV BANK OF NEW YORK MEL CORTLAND ADVISERS LL NORGES BANK
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Wunderlich Securities Brean Capital LLC Howard Weil Inc Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Raymond James Johnson Rice & Co Macquarie Sterne, Agee & Leach Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Global Hunter Securities Jefferies Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Susquehanna Financial Group Argus Research Corp ISI Group Oppenheimer & Co Simmons & Company International Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs Tudor Pickering & Co FBR Capital Markets JPMorgan Barclays Credit Suisse SunTrust Robinson Humphrey RBC Capital Markets Ladenburg Thalmann & Co Stifel Alembic Global Advisors CRT Capital Group EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M ICAHN ASSOCIATES COR n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a BANK OF AMERICA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MA BRANDES INVESTMENT P OLDFIELD PARTNERS LL n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL CORTLAND ADVISERS LL NORGES BANK
Analyst DAN MCSPIRIT JASON A WANGLER RAYMOND DEACON PETER KISSEL BOB BRACKETT JOHN FREEMAN CHARLES MEADE JOSEPH MAGNER TIM A REZVAN DAVID R TAMERON MICHAEL KELLY BIJU Z PERINCHERIL BRIAN T VELIE DUANE GRUBERT JONATHAN GELCIUS JONATHAN WOLFF FADEL GHEIT DAVID W KISTLER STEPHEN RICHARDSON BRIAN SINGER MATTHEW PORTILLO REHAN RASHID JOSEPH D ALLMAN JEFFREY W ROBERTSON ARUN JAYARAM NEAL DINGMANN SCOTT HANOLD MICHAEL SCHMITZ AMIR ARIF JAMES J SULLIVAN DAVID EPSTEIN CRAIG STERLING
Source 13F 13F Research ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation market perform buy hold sector outperform market perform market perform equalweight neutral underperform market perform buy buy add Positive hold cautious outperform neutral hold neutral/attractive trim market perform neutral equalweight neutral neutral sector perform neutral buy neutral not rated underweight
Amt Held 89'428'818 59'698'689 59'698'689 30'204'965 26'435'316 24'249'027 22'636'667 18'010'456 16'910'888 13'373'700 12'049'061 11'776'611 7'727'733 7'441'807 7'093'161 6'551'741 6'453'883 6'038'383 4'868'900 4'503'302
% Out 13.42 8.96 8.96 4.53 3.97 3.64 3.4 2.7 2.54 2.01 1.81 1.77 1.16 1.12 1.06 0.98 0.97 0.91 0.73 0.68
Weighting
Change
3 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 1 3 5 5 4 4 3 2 5 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 #N/A N/A 1
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 3'947'487 1'102'822 779'095 (630'068) (2'770'565) 1'934'177 (6'870'145) 13'373'700 (691'831) 2'636'211 5'186'833 191'384 2'035'279 3'662'140 208'690 (756'116) -
Target Price 22 30 #N/A N/A 23 23 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 19 20 #N/A N/A 27 26 24 26 #N/A N/A 15 24 18 24 26 20 25 20 23 22 19 21 20 25 19 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Holding Company 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government
Date Not Provided 18 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 18 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 23.06.2013 21.06.2013 11.06.2013 04.06.2013 30.05.2013 28.05.2013 23.05.2013 15.05.2013 07.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 16.04.2013 18.03.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
Imperial Oil Ltd Imperial Oil Ltd. produces and refines natural gas and petroleum products and manufactures petrochemicals. The Company's oil and gas operations are concentrated in Canada.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (23.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance IMO CN EQUITY YTD Change IMO CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 48.32 38.58 101'293.00 41.64 -13.82% 7.93% 27.52% 847.6 35'294.02 1'647.00 0.0 0.0 482.00 38'899.02
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 29'928.0 1.12x 5'665.0 5.89x 3'878.0 9.92x
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 20'024.0 23'630.0 1.70x 1.48x 2'880.0 3'562.0 11.84x 9.80x 1'579.0 2'210.0 22.59x 16.23x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 29'154.0 1.32x 4'933.0 7.80x 3'371.0 12.04x
31.12.2012 29'715.0 1.26x 5'618.0 6.66x 3'766.0 9.85x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'618.00 4'857.00 16.35% 16.80% 11.90% 22.79% 1.01% 20.3% 17.7% 15.2% 12.7% 0.69 0.42 5.61% 10.06% 13.80 17.10
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 29'795.0 4.97x 5'216.0 7.40x 3'605.0 11.11x
03/yy 30'210.0 5.03x 5'355.0 7.25x 3'549.0 10.10x
FY+1
1.15 1.07 257.43 11.46 -1.60% -1.99% 1.072 16 3.500 1'301'541 1'169'974 1'162'816 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 34'033.4 36'239.2 8'698.0 9'143.7 1.20x 1.14x 4.58x 4.33x 5'419.6 5'973.8 1'298.0 1'300.0 7.18x 6.51x 7.33x 7.39x 3'440.0 3'754.1 813.3 813.0 10.12x 9.44x 9.80x 9.67x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
29.07.2002 AAA STABLE 24.07.1989 A-1+ 0.67 0.73 10.1% 9.1% 1.01 1.28 26.45 21.35 67.86 -23.31
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
35'000.0 30'000.0
20.00
25'000.0 15.00
20'000.0 15'000.0
10.00
10'000.0 5.00
0.00 01.01.2010
5'000.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Imperial Oil Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name EXXON MOBIL CORP ROYAL BANK OF CANADA ARTISAN PARTNERS HOL FMR LLC TD ASSET MANAGEMENT MANUFACTURERS LIFE I BMO FINANCIAL CORP AMERICAN CENTURY COM WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BLACKROCK JARISLOWSKY FRASER L TORONTO DOMINION BAN HARDING LOEVNER LP CIBC WORLD MARKETS I CI INVESTMENTS INC GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU NORGES BANK MANULIFE ASSET MANAG TROY ASSET MANAGEMEN POWER CORP OF CANADA
Firm Name Barclays BMO Capital Markets Alta Corp Capital Inc. Credit Suisse Canaccord Genuity Corp FirstEnergy Capital Corp Edward Jones RBC Capital Markets Scotia Capital TD Securities Peters & Co Ltd EVA Dimensions Macquarie Raymond James Veritas Investment Research Co
Portfolio Name n/a n/a ARTISAN PARTNERS LP n/a TD ASSET MANAGEMENT MANUFACTURERS LIFE I BMO FINANCIAL CORP AMERICAN CENTURY COM WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a JARISLOWSKY FRASER L TORONTO DOMINION BAN HARDING LOEVNER LP CIBC WORLD MARKETS I Multiple Portfolios GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU NORGES BANK Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst PAUL Y CHENG RANDY J OLLENBERGER CHRIS COX JASON FREW PHILIP R SKOLNICK MICHAEL P DUNN LANNY PENDILL GREG M PARDY MARK POLAK MENNO HULSHOF JEFF MARTIN DOUG WALTERS CHRIS FELTIN JUSTIN BOUCHARD SAM LA BELL
Source PROXY ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation overweight market perform sector perform neutral hold market perform hold sector perform sector underperform buy sector perform buy neutral outperform buy
Amt Held 589'928'303 13'772'209 11'961'374 8'136'438 7'430'713 6'470'706 5'458'213 5'119'739 5'040'932 4'995'609 3'931'294 3'885'169 3'747'128 3'608'142 3'118'769 2'830'184 2'772'908 2'633'732 2'623'100 2'327'824
% Out 69.6 1.62 1.41 0.96 0.88 0.76 0.64 0.6 0.59 0.59 0.46 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.37 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.27
Weighting
Change 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 5 3 5 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (1'071'936) 11'961'374 3'804'316 (102'817) (9'185) 253'484 1'001'844 (692'870) 153'491 (4'698'198) (71'614) 389'737 30'281 326'731 149'167 (231'198) 276'800 9'800
Target Price 55 47 43 50 47 49 #N/A N/A 48 46 51 45 #N/A N/A 47 48 49
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 13.02.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 28.02.2013 28.12.2012 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Insurance Company Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Holding Company
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 25.06.2013 19.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 13.06.2013 12.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 26.04.2013 26.04.2013
08.07.2013
Tenaris SA Tenaris S.A. manufactures seamless steel pipe products on a global basis. The Company also provides pipe handling, stocking, and distribution services to the oil and gas, energy, and mechanical industries. In addition, Tenaris supplies welded steel pipes for gas pipelines in South America.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (03.07.2013) 52-Week Low (08.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 01.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TEN IM EQUITY YTD Change TEN IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 17.78 13.80 1'228'782.00 16.88 -5.01% 22.32% 70.10% 1'180.5 19'927.46 1'744.19 0.0 172.3 1'472.87 25'686.36
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
9.0 M
16
8.0 M
14
7.0 M
12
6.0 M
10
5.0 M
8
4.0 M
6
3.0 M
4
2.0 M
2
1.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 12'131.8 1.16x 3'560.8 3.94x 2'124.8 7.06x
18
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 8'149.3 7'711.6 3.15x 3.77x 2'318.5 2'080.4 11.08x 13.99x 1'161.6 1'127.4 21.37x 25.49x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 9'972.5 2.23x 2'449.1 9.06x 1'331.2 16.38x
31.12.2012 10'834.0 2.29x 2'924.3 8.47x 1'699.0 14.31x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'924.26 2'356.61 21.75% 20.70% 10.52% 14.79% 12.98% 0.68% 38.7% 27.1% 21.5% 15.7% 2.47 1.25 10.93% 15.32% 5.40 2.32
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 10'265.9 8.60x 2'582.6 8.88x 1'455.6 15.38x
03/yy 10'895.0 8.69x 2'947.2 8.15x 1'680.0 14.28x
FY+1
0.85 463.52 22.22% 9.86% 0.847 11 2.364 3'111'318 1'951'069 2'057'882 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 11'105.3 11'871.3 2'783.0 2'736.0 2.26x 2.06x 2'908.3 3'161.8 717.0 754.0 8.83x 8.13x 1'733.1 1'911.9 14.91x 13.56x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
52.68 38.46 -0.04 0.55 15.3% 13.1% 0.68 2.51 67.57 157.53 47.07 178.86
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
50.00
14'000.0
45.00
12'000.0
40.00 35.00
10'000.0
30.00
8'000.0
25.00
6'000.0
20.00
4'000.0
15.00 10.00
2'000.0
5.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Tenaris SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SAN FAUSTIN NV ABERDEEN BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC COMGEST S A AMUNDI HINOJOSA GUILLERMO VOGEL GUILLERMO ARCA SGR SPA FIDEURAM GESTIONS SA UNION INVESTMENT GMB STATE STREET CREDIT SUISSE ASSET CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P DNB NOR ASSET MANAGE TD ASSET MANAGEMENT WADDELL & REED FINAN FMR LLC AMUNDI INTERFUND ADVISORY C
Firm Name Banca Akros(ESN) Exane BNP Paribas AlphaValue Natixis Kepler Cheuvreux EVA Dimensions Credit Suisse Mediobanca SpA Equita SIM SpA Goldman Sachs Banca IMI Simmons & Company International
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios MAGELLAN Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst FRANCESCO SALA RAPHAEL VEVERKA FABRICE FARIGOULE JULIEN LAURENT GEOFFROY STERN DOUG WALTERS MICHAEL SHILLAKER ANDREA SCAURI ROBERTO LETIZIA HENRY TARR BRUNO PERMUTTI STEPHEN WILLIAMS
Source 20F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-PART MF-AGG 20F 20F MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation reduce neutral reduce neutral reduce overweight underperform underperform hold Sell/Neutral hold overweight
Amt Held 713'605'187 59'184'400 6'357'904 4'574'741 3'874'938 2'704'540 1'915'446 1'325'446 1'256'452 920'914 735'000 640'059 635'328 582'661 548'697 504'066 484'410 467'843 444'886 412'739
% Out 60.45 5.01 0.54 0.39 0.33 0.23 0.16 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03
Weighting
Change 2 3 2 3 2 5 1 1 3 1 3 5
M M M M M M M M M M M U
Latest Chg 28'832 312'395 3'874'938 1'920'925 18'028 13'000 20'000 (5'429) (15'375) (31'904) (274'960) 5'149 58'379 55'000
Target Price 16 17 16 15 16 #N/A N/A 15 14 16 15 16 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2012 31.03.2012 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 28.02.2013 30.04.2008 31.03.2012 28.03.2013 01.07.2013 28.09.2012 05.07.2013 29.04.2013 31.12.2012 27.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 28.02.2013 01.07.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided 6 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Other Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor n/a n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 02.07.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 24.05.2013 17.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 30.04.2013 13.01.2010
08.07.2013
Noble Corp Noble Corporation provides diversified services for the oil and gas industry. The Company provides contract drilling services with its fleet of offshore drilling units located in markets worldwide. Noble also provides labor contract drilling services, well site and project management services, and engineering services.
Price/Volume 45
12.0 M
40
10.0 M
35 30
8.0 M
25
12/2012 03/yy 42.34 31.98 390'698.00 39.24 -7.44% 22.70% 63.90% 253.3 9'938.47 4'634.38 0.0 765.1 282.09 15'350.91
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'640.8 2'807.2 2.93x 4.25x 2'449.9 1'455.9 4.36x 8.20x 1'678.6 773.4 6.28x 11.84x Profitability
2.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'695.8 4.52x 1'127.9 10.80x 370.9 21.43x
31.12.2012 3'547.0 3.93x 1'529.6 9.11x 522.3 17.24x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'529.55 770.93 21.73% 19.83% 3.84% 7.14% 5.29% 0.26% 24.6% 44.3% 23.0% 14.7% 0.84 0.66 31.73% 60.01% 4.57 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 2'914.6 18.02x 1'219.5 11.83x 436.6 22.99x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 3'720.3 15.17x 1'649.0 9.16x 552.2 17.83x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
1.35 1.30 251.57 4.92 20.09% 13.46% 1.299 43 4.256 2'017'144 2'489'039 3'234'598 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 4'288.1 5'344.3 1'016.4 1'091.0 3.85x 3.10x 15.56x 14.81x 1'947.7 2'661.6 438.8 496.3 7.87x 5.76x 7.09x 6.51x 722.4 1'163.6 147.6 186.4 14.04x 8.64x 12.02x 10.31x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
08.12.2011 BBB+ STABLE 19.09.2012 A-2 6.90 -1.18 2.81 2.94 60.0% 35.3% 0.26 0.29 79.79 46.55 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
16.00
4'000.0
14.00
3'500.0
12.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 01.01.2010
4.0 M
10
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'446.5 1.80x 2'238.6 2.77x 1'561.0 3.82x
6.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.05.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 26.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance NE US EQUITY YTD Change NE US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Noble Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FIR TREE INCORPORATE FRANKLIN RESOURCES FMR LLC WENTWORTH HAUSER AND BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADV NORTHERN TRUST CORPO UBS T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNE FIR TREE INCORPORATE SANDERS CAPITAL LLC VALINOR MANAGEMENT L VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C WELLS FARGO INVESCO LTD POWER CORP OF CANADA OMERS ADMINISTRATION
Firm Name Fearnley Fonds RBC Capital Markets JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group Johnson Rice & Co Cowen and Company Barclays Iberia Capital Partners LLC Susquehanna Financial Group DNB Markets Swedbank First Securities Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Guggenheim Securities LLC Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Howard Weil Inc Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Stephens Inc Raymond James Global Hunter Securities Credit Suisse FBR Capital Markets Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Societe Generale Macquarie Deutsche Bank Nordea Equity Research Argus Research Corp Ameriprise Advisor Services, Inc Spin-Off Research RS Platou Markets S&P Capital IQ Tudor Pickering & Co Pareto Securities EVA Dimensions Arctic Securities ASA
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a WENTWORTH HAUSER AND n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADV NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNE FIR TREE INCORPORATE SANDERS CAPITAL LLC VALINOR MANAGEMENT L n/a n/a n/a n/a OMERS ADMINISTRATION
Analyst TRULS OLSEN KURT HALLEAD J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY DAVID C SMITH J B LOWE JAMES C WEST TREY STOLZ CHARLES P MINERVINO MARTIN HUSEBY KARLSEN BJORN THORESEN MATTHEW D CONLAN DARREN GACICIA HAITHUM NOKTA DAVID T WILSON LUKE M LEMOINE JOHN KELLER J MARSHALL ADKINS RYAN FITZGIBBON GREGORY LEWIS MEGAN REPINE OLE SLORER WAQAR SYED EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO NIGEL BROWNE MICHAEL W URBAN DAVID BHATTI JONATHAN GELCIUS LEZE THAQI TEAM COVERAGE ANDERS BERGLAND STEWART GLICKMAN BYRON POPE FRANK HARESTAD CRAIG STERLING KRISTOFFER RIIS IDEN
Source 13G ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation reduce outperform neutral outperform outperform hold strong buy overweight outperform overweight outperform Positive hold neutral outperform buy market perform sector outperform add equalweight outperform buy outperform outperform Overwt/In-Line neutral/attractive buy outperform buy hold buy buy buy buy hold accumulate hold sell hold
Amt Held 21'000'000 17'498'165 13'155'482 13'045'131 11'726'064 11'243'450 9'097'293 6'717'548 5'594'039 5'272'376 4'946'587 4'655'473 4'641'000 4'459'596 4'103'361 3'814'414 2'930'944 2'886'024 2'759'000 2'590'000
% Out 8.29 6.91 5.19 5.15 4.63 4.44 3.59 2.65 2.21 2.08 1.95 1.84 1.83 1.76 1.62 1.51 1.16 1.14 1.09 1.02
Weighting
Change 2 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 5 5 3 5 4 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 4 3 1 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M D
Latest Chg 16'359'000 1'107'010 (1'567'645) (1'771'671) (604'694) 325'446 (679'869) 36'019 185'057 797'437 681'010 (236'651) 4'641'000 277'063 177'565 230'024 1'960'465 (110'823) (1'046'000) 188'050
Target Price 41 40 43 52 45 41 45 #N/A N/A 48 57 50 44 40 44 #N/A N/A 48 42 45 51 42 52 56 55 50 50 49 45 43 42 39 50 #N/A N/A 40 44 41 #N/A N/A 41 #N/A N/A 40
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 10.04.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 30.04.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Holding Company Pension Fund (ERISA)
Date 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 11.06.2013 11.06.2013 09.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 30.05.2013 23.05.2013 07.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 30.04.2013 19.04.2013 19.04.2013 19.04.2013 15.04.2013 15.02.2013 04.02.2013 25.01.2013 15.01.2013 19.10.2012
08.07.2013
Canadian Oil Sands Ltd Canadian Oil Sands Ltd. is an oil and and gas exploration and production company. The Company is focused on the Syncrude Project, and runs the day-to-day operations involving mining and upgrading bitumen from the Athabasca oil sands.
Price/Volume 25
18.0 M 16.0 M
20
14.0 M 12.0 M
15
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (17.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance COS CN EQUITY YTD Change COS CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 22.34 18.62 290'280.00 20.55 -7.97% 10.37% 46.77% 484.6 9'957.73 1'794.00 0.0 0.0 1'553.00 10'318.73
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M
5
2.0 M 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 4'543.0 2.45x 2'101.0 5.31x 1'523.0 5.89x
10.0 M
10
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'779.0 3'460.0 5.59x 4.04x 885.0 1'351.0 17.55x 10.34x 432.0 1'189.0 45.32x 11.11x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 4'182.0 2.80x 1'980.0 5.90x 1'144.0 9.73x
31.12.2012 3'905.0 2.57x 1'716.0 5.84x 981.0 10.14x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'716.00 1'313.00 33.62% 33.27% 8.48% 18.76% 13.96% 0.39% 42.3% 42.1% 30.9% 25.1% 1.80 1.67 17.64% 39.73% 12.01 15.55
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 4'077.0 11.38x 1'974.0 5.22x 1'138.0 8.80x
LTM 03/yy 3'842.0 10.62x 1'617.0 6.50x 837.0 11.90x
FY+1
6.81 1.32 482.66 13.06 11.54% 5.35% 1.324 18 2.889 1'613'895 2'755'055 2'821'679 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 3'760.3 3'855.4 952.3 886.3 2.97x 3.00x 11.47x 12.62x 1'742.6 1'913.4 468.3 397.3 5.92x 5.39x 5.84x 5.88x 938.6 1'028.0 245.0 197.0 11.05x 10.91x 10.37x 10.19x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
19.12.2006 BBB STABLE 16.34 6.00 0.22 1.13 39.7% 28.4% 0.39 0.50 30.40 23.48 84.10 -24.68
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
5'000.0 4'500.0 4'000.0
20.00
3'500.0 15.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0 2'000.0 1'500.0 1'000.0
5.00
500.0 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Canadian Oil Sands Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FRANKLIN RESOURCES TD ASSET MANAGEMENT BLACKROCK DEUTSCHE BANK AG VANGUARD GROUP INC IA CLARINGTON INVEST NORGES BANK THORNBURG INVESTMENT ROYAL BANK OF CANADA MD MANAGEMENT LTD DWS INVESTMENT SA STATE STREET NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC COUTU MARCEL R POWER CORP OF CANADA IG INVESTMENT MANAGE SCHRODER INVESTMENT UBS INSTITUTIONAL FU CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CLARINGTON CAPITAL M
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Canaccord Genuity Corp National Bank Financial Alta Corp Capital Inc. Credit Suisse FirstEnergy Capital Corp Macquarie GMP Global Hunter Securities EVA Dimensions Barclays Scotia Capital RBC Capital Markets Raymond James Peters & Co Ltd TD Securities Veritas Investment Research Co
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst RANDY J OLLENBERGER PHILIP R SKOLNICK KYLE PRESTON CHRIS COX JASON FREW MICHAEL P DUNN CHRIS FELTIN RYAN SAVAGE SAMEER UPLENCHWAR DOUG WALTERS THOMAS R DRISCOLL MARK POLAK GREG M PARDY JUSTIN BOUCHARD JEFF MARTIN MENNO HULSHOF SAM LA BELL
Source ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG SEDI ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation market perform hold sector perform sector perform underperform market perform neutral hold neutral overweight equalweight sector perform sector perform market perform sector underperform hold buy
Amt Held 29'212'700 25'672'452 10'962'910 9'411'927 5'920'648 4'547'940 3'420'274 3'282'400 3'264'622 2'928'400 2'861'670 2'310'692 1'600'000 1'339'858 1'253'774 1'143'800 1'045'134 1'005'000 986'105 930'045
% Out 6.03 5.3 2.26 1.94 1.22 0.94 0.71 0.68 0.67 0.6 0.59 0.48 0.33 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.21 0.2 0.19
Weighting
Change 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 1 3 5
M M M M M M M M N M M M M U M M M
Latest Chg (750'800) 555'256 800'000 292'630 (166'500) (69'540) 50'827 (5'100) (75'000) 11'500 48'966 500 (77'287) (45'000)
Target Price 23 21 21 20 20 22 22 19 23 #N/A N/A 21 22 21 19 18 22 21
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 03.07.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 30.04.2013 28.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 05.07.2013 30.04.2013 20.06.2012 28.02.2013 28.02.2013 31.03.2013 28.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Holding Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 28.06.2013 21.06.2013 13.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 28.05.2013 08.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013
08.07.2013
Oil Search Ltd Oil Search Limited explores for and produces gas and oil through operations in Papua New Guinea. The Company's activities are located in the Papuan Highlands which include the Kutubu, Hides, and Gobe oil and gas projects.
Price/Volume 9
16.0 M
8
14.0 M
7
12.0 M
6
10.0 M
5
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (29.05.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 20.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance OSH AU EQUITY YTD Change OSH AU EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 8.46 6.31 2'831'709.00 7.95 -6.03% 25.99% 77.21% 1'340.0 10'653.15 2'866.05 0.0 0.0 488.27 12'102.71
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
6.0 M
3 2
4.0 M
1
2.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 814.3 3.85x 572.7 5.47x 313.4 11.71x
8.0 M
4
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 512.2 583.6 11.45x 15.63x 281.7 338.4 20.81x 26.95x 133.7 185.6 47.73x 50.72x Profitability
31.12.2011 732.9 12.54x 526.1 17.47x 202.5 41.75x
31.12.2012 724.6 16.69x 381.8 31.67x 175.8 55.06x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
381.81 332.35 45.87% 47.97% 2.75% 5.65% 3.29% 0.11% 71.0% 52.7% 45.9% 24.3% 1.90 1.24 40.35% 89.33% 9.50 2.48
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
0.55 1.12 1'138.80 11.63 19.62% 13.69% 1.125 17 4.529 4'254'442 6'185'226 5'575'677 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 698.7 1'081.2 19.79x 13.17x 408.6 729.3 29.62x 16.60x 158.8 326.1 62.03x 32.69x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
85.53 54.85 6.23 7.51 89.3% 47.2% 0.11 0.14 38.55 147.33 570.90 -385.02
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
60.00
900.0 800.0
50.00
700.0 600.0
40.00
500.0 30.00
400.0 300.0
20.00
200.0 10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
100.0 0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Oil Search Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name INDEPENDENT PUBLIC B CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN COMMONWEALTH BANK OF NATIONAL AUSTRALIA B RS INVESTMENT MANAGE AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATIO NORGES BANK BLACKROCK WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP VANGUARD GROUP INC FIL LIMITED VANGUARD INVESTMENTS MACQUARIE GROUP BANK OF NEW YORK MEL DJERRIWARRH INVESTME JP MORGAN SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I JENNISON ASSOCIATES JOHN HANCOCK INVESTM BOTTEN PETER ROBERT
Firm Name Deutsche Bank Nomura Octa Phillip Securities Ltd Credit Suisse Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Macquarie Canaccord Genuity Corp Morgan Stanley RBC Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BBY Limited Commonwealth Bank CIMB
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst JOHN HIRJEE RICHARD J JOHNSON LAWRENCE GRECH PAUL MCTAGGART MARK WISEMAN BENJAMIN X. WILSON ADRIAN WOOD PHILIPP M-O KIN STUART BAKER ANDREW WILLIAMS DOUG WALTERS NEIL BEVERIDGE SCOTT ASHTON LUKE SMITH MARK SAMTER
Source Co File ULT-AGG EXCH ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG 13F MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH
Recommendation buy suspended coverage buy outperform Buy/Neutral neutral outperform buy Overwt/Attractive outperform sell outperform strong buy overweight outperform
Amt Held 196'604'177 139'071'016 97'543'667 49'109'365 23'848'876 15'246'000 11'857'010 8'276'920 8'195'742 6'337'712 6'191'840 5'823'203 5'664'238 5'065'500 4'987'000 4'231'941 3'618'926 3'567'701 2'960'699 2'192'082
% Out 14.67 10.38 7.28 3.66 1.78 1.14 0.88 0.62 0.61 0.47 0.46 0.43 0.42 0.38 0.37 0.32 0.27 0.27 0.22 0.16
Weighting
Change
5 #N/A N/A 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 5
M M M M M M M N M M M M N M M
Latest Chg (13'472'089) 17'603'610 (28'984'641) 4'615'134 (29'785) 127'440 1'073'255 (257'458) 169'872 (185'534) 12'763 115'280 (254'945)
Target Price 9 #N/A N/A 9 9 10 9 10 9 8 10 #N/A N/A 9 10 9 9
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 28.02.2013 08.04.2013 20.05.2013 14.09.2012 31.03.2013 29.06.2012 31.12.2012 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 30.09.2012 31.08.2011 31.01.2013 30.06.2011 28.02.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 24.05.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month
Inst Type Other Investment Advisor Bank Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a
Date 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 28.06.2013 26.06.2013 25.06.2013 20.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 23.05.2013 23.04.2013 11.03.2013
08.07.2013
ARC Resources Ltd ARC Resources Ltd. explores for oil and natural gas. The Company operates in western Canada.
Price/Volume 35
6.0 M
30
5.0 M
25
4.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (04.06.2013) 52-Week Low (10.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ARX CN EQUITY YTD Change ARX CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
2.0 M
10
1.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'398.7 3.76x 1'045.0 5.03x 533.0 8.04x
3.0 M
15
12/2012 03/yy 28.90 21.50 182'641.00 27.46 -4.84% 27.72% 78.65% 311.1 8'542.42 787.40 0.0 0.0 196.30 9'255.92
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 830.4 1'020.9 6.74x 7.86x 523.0 624.3 10.71x 12.85x 222.8 212.2 20.77x 31.76x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 1'218.9 6.57x 794.0 10.09x 287.0 32.60x
31.12.2012 1'193.7 6.82x 718.3 11.33x 139.2 52.00x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
718.30 147.20 12.33% 15.78% 2.65% 4.45% 0.22% 21.5% 60.2% 12.9% 11.7% 1.08 0.97 13.99% 23.18% 7.56 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'248.5 24.40x 807.5 9.31x 262.8 23.13x
LTM 03/yy 1'215.1 26.87x 731.4 12.36x 145.2 62.42x
FY+1
4.37 1.04 308.94 6.98 30.52% 14.93% 1.045 19 3.947 632'061 1'107'851 1'042'700 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 1'576.3 1'869.8 389.3 407.0 6.06x 5.18x 24.17x 23.37x 923.5 1'085.8 225.0 232.0 10.02x 8.53x 9.65x 9.37x 233.4 325.6 54.6 48.9 39.23x 29.47x 36.61x 35.52x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.86 1.70 0.98 1.10 23.2% 18.8% 0.22 0.26 48.29 120.40 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
14.00
1'600.0
12.00
1'400.0 1'200.0
10.00
1'000.0 8.00
800.0 6.00
600.0
4.00
400.0
2.00
200.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
ARC Resources Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ROYAL BANK OF CANADA RS INVESTMENT MANAGE CI INVESTMENTS INC BLACKROCK FMR LLC BMO INVESTMENTS INC POWER CORP OF CANADA TD ASSET MANAGEMENT GUARDIAN CAPITAL INC MD MANAGEMENT LTD NORGES BANK IG INVESTMENT MANAGE FRANKLIN RESOURCES VANGUARD GROUP INC AGF INVESTMENTS INC NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA MIDDLEFIELD SECURITI MCLEAN BUDDEN LTD CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets BMO Capital Markets Alta Corp Capital Inc. Credit Suisse TD Securities Canaccord Genuity Corp EVA Dimensions National Bank Financial CIBC World Markets Scotia Capital FirstEnergy Capital Corp Raymond James Macquarie Stifel Peters & Co Ltd Salman Partners Veritas Investment Research Co Barclays
Portfolio Name n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst MICHAEL HARVEY GORDON TAIT DIRK M LEVER JASON FREW TRAVIS WOOD STEVE TOTH DOUG WALTERS KYLE PRESTON JEREMY KALIEL PATRICK BRYDEN KATRINA L KARKKAINEN KRISTOPHER ZACK CRISTINA LOPEZ KURT B MOLNAR JEFF MARTIN GORDON CURRIE SAM LA BELL GRANT HOFER
Source ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform outperform sector perform outperform hold buy sell outperform sector outperform sector outperform outperform market perform neutral hold sector outperform hold buy equalweight
Amt Held 19'549'208 6'242'790 6'099'577 5'749'012 5'045'698 4'451'734 4'154'139 4'080'434 2'738'500 2'315'700 2'140'742 2'068'277 2'013'700 1'792'718 1'451'362 1'365'500 1'297'081 1'285'000 1'225'170 1'061'056
% Out 6.28 2.01 1.96 1.85 1.62 1.43 1.34 1.31 0.88 0.74 0.69 0.66 0.65 0.58 0.47 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.34
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 5 3 5 1 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 3 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (211'809) 430'370 758'060 (2'439) 771'988 1'300 45'772 1'083'906 85'000 15'900 24'961 (59'340) 141'480 (96'700) 222'605 (410'000) (201'860) 1'248
Target Price 30 29 30 30 28 30 #N/A N/A 30 29 30 33 26 30 #N/A N/A 32 27 29 28
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 28.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 03.07.2013 31.05.2013 05.07.2013 28.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.01.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 28.02.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 28.03.2013 30.04.2013 28.02.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 31.12.2012
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Holding Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 04.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 06.06.2013 16.05.2013 12.05.2013 08.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013
08.07.2013
Husky Energy Inc Husky Energy Inc. is involved in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in Canada and in international areas. The Company also conducts upgrading operations, pipeline operations, commodity trading, and energy infrastructure projects. In addition, Husky manufactures and markets refined products and operates a retail network.
Price/Volume 35
8.0 M
30
7.0 M 6.0 M
25
5.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.01.2013) 52-Week Low (24.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance HSE CN EQUITY YTD Change HSE CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 32.35 24.52 146'748.00 27.78 -14.11% 13.30% 40.00% 983.1 27'311.35 3'918.00 291.0 0.0 2'025.00 29'686.35
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
3.0 M
10
2.0 M
5
1.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 15'074.0 17'107.0 1.88x 1.61x 3'943.0 3'504.0 7.20x 7.87x 1'416.0 947.0 20.19x 25.29x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 21'957.0 1.16x 5'873.0 4.34x 2'224.0 10.32x
31.12.2012 22'435.0 1.38x 5'549.0 5.60x 2'022.0 14.27x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'549.00 2'969.00 13.23% 12.64% 5.71% 10.52% 9.22% 0.65% 76.9% 24.9% 13.1% 9.0% 1.78 1.09 11.15% 20.76% 19.05 2.80
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 22'908.0 4.48x 5'909.0 4.48x 2'189.0 11.08x
d-12
03/yy 22'273.0 5.25x 5'546.0 5.60x 1'966.0 14.73x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
FY+1
4.32 1.07 298.40 27.07 13.21% -3.66% 1.074 18 3.333 1'216'318 1'626'488 1'519'918 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 21'977.1 22'657.9 5'956.3 5'420.8 1.37x 1.33x 5.02x 5.55x 5'854.5 6'624.3 1'487.0 1'444.5 5.07x 4.48x 4.96x 4.84x 2'141.2 2'533.8 530.3 562.3 12.88x 11.52x 12.55x 12.06x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.07.2006 BBB+ STABLE 13.44 2.05 0.38 0.72 20.8% 17.0% 0.65 0.83 19.16 130.43 204.34 146.34
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
30'000.0
10.00
25'000.0
8.00
20'000.0
6.00
15'000.0
4.00
10'000.0
2.00
5'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 24'701.0 1.10x 6'744.0 4.04x 3'751.0 6.19x
4.0 M
15
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Husky Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name KA-SHING LI HUTCHISON WHAMPOA LT IG INVESTMENT MANAGE CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN ROYAL BANK OF CANADA BLACKROCK BANK OF NEW YORK MEL THORNBURG INVESTMENT IA CLARINGTON INVEST NORGES BANK VANGUARD GROUP INC FRANKLIN RESOURCES TD ASSET MANAGEMENT MD MANAGEMENT LTD PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL NATCAN INVESTMENT MA CI INVESTMENTS INC CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA TAUBE HODSON STONEX MANULIFE ASSET MANAG
Firm Name Barclays BMO Capital Markets Alta Corp Capital Inc. Credit Suisse Edward Jones Canaccord Genuity Corp FirstEnergy Capital Corp TD Securities EVA Dimensions Macquarie Goldman Sachs JPMorgan RBC Capital Markets Raymond James Scotia Capital Veritas Investment Research Co Peters & Co Ltd
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst PAUL Y CHENG RANDY J OLLENBERGER CHRIS COX JASON FREW LANNY PENDILL PHILIP R SKOLNICK MICHAEL P DUNN MENNO HULSHOF DOUG WALTERS CHRIS FELTIN ARJUN N MURTI KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD GREG M PARDY JUSTIN BOUCHARD MARK POLAK SAM LA BELL JEFF MARTIN
Source SEDI ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation overweight market perform outperform neutral hold hold market perform hold buy neutral sell/attractive neutral sector perform market perform sector perform buy sector perform
Amt Held 349'869'015 334'141'932 23'381'052 19'047'150 16'733'190 6'614'076 3'824'000 3'198'500 2'825'900 2'266'674 2'136'626 2'000'430 1'669'757 1'361'400 1'270'300 1'074'465 956'050 829'538 732'494 698'998
% Out 35.59 33.99 2.38 1.94 1.7 0.67 0.39 0.33 0.29 0.23 0.22 0.2 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.07 0.07
Weighting
Change 5 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 1 3 3 3 3 5 3
M M U M M M U M M M M M M M M U M
Latest Chg 4'227'003 4'036'993 1'700 (1'471'200) (1'236'524) (6'255) 5'657 (748'400) 140'500 (588'600) (42'651) (637'500) 740'545 (122'000) 205'900 (70'787) (1'874'077)
Target Price 40 33 34 32 #N/A N/A 34 32 30 #N/A N/A 34 27 32 34 30 35 32 32
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 06.07.2012 06.07.2012 28.02.2013 31.03.2013 28.03.2013 03.07.2013 05.07.2013 30.04.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 28.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.03.2012 28.02.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month
Inst Type n/a Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 21.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 02.06.2013 09.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 08.05.2013 07.05.2013
08.07.2013
Tesoro Corp Tesoro Corporation refines and markets petroleum products, and provides transporting services. The Company operates refineries, as well as a network of retail and refueling stations in the western United States. Tesoro also markets gasoline and diesel fuel to independent marketers and commercial end users.
Price/Volume 70
16.0 M
60
14.0 M 12.0 M
50
10.0 M
40
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (20.05.2013) 52-Week Low (09.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance TSO US EQUITY YTD Change TSO US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 65.75 25.22 852'388.00 52.71 -20.05% 109.00% 64.30% 135.8 7'158.82 1'590.00 0.0 486.0 1'639.00 7'660.82
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
6.0 M
20
4.0 M
10
2.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 16'589.0 20'253.0 0.20x 0.20x 443.0 561.0 7.52x 7.13x (140.0) (29.0) Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 29'927.0 0.15x 1'564.0 2.80x 546.0 5.22x
31.12.2012 32'484.0 0.20x 2'118.0 3.08x 743.0 5.51x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'118.00 1'673.00 5.15% 3.73% 7.32% 19.59% 14.71% 3.11% 10.9% 6.6% 5.2% 2.3% 1.61 0.99 14.86% 37.40% 24.28 17.99
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
LTM
03/yy 31'411.0 0.56x 1'482.0 3.40x 495.0 6.76x
03/yy 33'149.0 0.77x 2'181.0 3.90x 780.0 7.09x
FY+1
0.89 1.32 135.17 6.59 106.22% 20.49% 1.321 21 4.333 2'773'640 3'234'493 3'722'710 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 32'604.7 32'558.1 7'645.0 9'150.0 0.24x 0.22x 1.13x 0.97x 1'937.2 2'339.8 518.4 695.1 3.93x 3.25x 3.56x 3.30x 778.2 943.0 223.3 295.5 9.77x 7.69x 8.88x 7.93x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
21.07.2004 BB+ STABLE 11.12.2007 NR 11.57 8.68 -0.17 0.73 37.4% 25.1% 3.11 6.32 15.03 20.29 30.49 6.42
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00
35'000.0
16.00
30'000.0
14.00
25'000.0
12.00 10.00
20'000.0
8.00
15'000.0
6.00
10'000.0
4.00
5'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 28'031.0 0.12x 914.0 3.73x 278.0 7.93x
8.0 M
30
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Tesoro Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK STATE STREET WESTFIELD CAPITAL MG GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP ACADIAN ASSET MANAGE FMR LLC DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BMO FINANCIAL CORP JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ODEY ASSET MANAGEMEN LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C DISCOVERY CAPITAL MA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO DEUTSCHE BANK AG AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL STEADFAST CAPITAL MG
Firm Name Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Barclays JPMorgan Raymond James Cowen and Company Goldman Sachs Oppenheimer & Co ISI Group Howard Weil Inc Tudor Pickering & Co Simmons & Company International Macquarie Morgan Stanley Imperial Capital LLC Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Johnson Rice & Co EVA Dimensions Knight
Portfolio Name VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a WESTFIELD CAPITAL MA n/a ACADIAN ASSET MANAGE n/a n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BMO FINANCIAL CORP n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL ODEY ASSET MGMT GROU LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a DISCOVERY CAPITAL MA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL STEADFAST CAPITAL MG
Analyst ROGER D READ PAUL Y CHENG KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD CORY J GARCIA SAM MARGOLIN ARJUN N MURTI FADEL GHEIT DOUGLAS T TERRESON BLAKE FERNANDEZ ROBERT KESSLER JEFFREY A DIETERT CHI CHOW J EVAN CALIO ANN L KOHLER EDWARD WESTLAKE PAUL SANKEY DANIEL BURKE CRAIG STERLING TEAM COVERAGE
Source 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation outperform overweight overweight market perform outperform neutral/attractive outperform neutral sector outperform buy overweight outperform Equalwt/Attractive outperform outperform hold equalweight buy buy
Amt Held 9'464'050 8'389'004 7'049'700 4'999'364 4'216'185 3'926'974 3'382'556 3'058'922 3'053'750 2'644'867 2'634'794 2'592'699 2'247'416 1'809'560 1'764'019 1'637'100 1'472'701 1'423'903 1'315'578 1'282'849
% Out 6.97 6.18 5.19 3.68 3.1 2.89 2.49 2.25 2.25 1.95 1.94 1.91 1.65 1.33 1.3 1.21 1.08 1.05 0.97 0.94
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U N
Latest Chg 160'578 1'733'916 51'346 (1'111'565) 1'739'538 (94'678) (5'617'542) (28'651) (3'802'517) (798'376) 1'285'000 307'916 1'553'316 (204'900) (17'181) 1'022'200 19'060 (276'893) (730'197) 1'282'849
Target Price #N/A N/A 120 65 #N/A N/A 65 66 75 58 56 71 #N/A N/A 81 65 69 74 55 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 31
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 18 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 12.06.2013 11.06.2013 10.06.2013 03.06.2013 20.05.2013 13.05.2013 16.04.2013 07.02.2013 07.02.2013 10.05.2012
08.07.2013
Helmerich & Payne Inc Helmerich & Payne, Inc. provides contract drilling of oil and gas wells in the Gulf of Mexico and South America. The Company operates land rigs and platform rigs.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.02.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance HP US EQUITY YTD Change HP US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
09/2012 03/yy 69.38 41.82 254'344.00 65.88 -5.04% 57.53% 85.85% 106.4 7'010.58 235.00 0.0 0.0 96.10 7'072.58
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
70
3.5 M
60
3.0 M
50
2.5 M
40
2.0 M
30
1.5 M
20
1.0 M
10
.5 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 30.09.2008 2'036.5 2.46x 891.0 5.62x 461.7 10.64x
80
30.09.2009 30.09.2010 1'843.7 1'875.2 2.49x 2.44x 830.5 709.5 5.52x 6.45x 353.5 156.3 11.22x 15.39x Profitability
LTM-4Q 30.09.2011 2'543.9 1.70x 1'004.1 4.32x 434.2 10.40x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
30.09.2012 3'151.8 1.64x 1'277.9 4.05x 581.0 9.23x 1'277.93 890.38 28.25% 28.64% 10.79% 15.89% 14.87% 0.58% 44.5% 40.7% 27.9% 18.4% 2.35 1.88 4.11% 6.13% 5.98 29.89
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 2'847.4 8.27x 1'128.8 5.16x 505.3 11.99x
LTM 03/yy 3'332.1 6.73x 1'357.6 4.80x 617.7 11.06x
FY+1
0.67 1.54 101.21 7.21 50.88% 18.18% 1.535 26 4.077 976'548 1'160'437 1'240'067 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
09/13 Y 09/14 Y 06/13 Q3 09/13 Q4 3'387.0 3'564.4 843.0 859.9 2.04x 1.86x 8.21x 7.99x 1'371.4 1'427.1 339.6 344.0 5.16x 4.95x 5.15x 5.09x 591.6 603.9 145.6 145.4 12.04x 11.73x 12.24x 12.13x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
59.29 8.36 0.05 0.17 6.1% 5.8% 0.58 0.78 61.04 12.21 16.16 49.55
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
3'500.0
10.00
3'000.0 2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0 6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 02.10.2009
0.0 02.04.2010
02.10.2010
02.04.2011
02.10.2011
02.04.2012
02.10.2012
02.04.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Helmerich & Payne Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name STATE FARM MUTUAL AU STATE FARM MUTUAL AU VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK STATE STREET ROYCE AND ASSOCIATES HELMERICH HANS C BAMCO INC BMO FINANCIAL CORP HELMERICH III WALTER JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT FMR LLC ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN IMPALA ASSET MANAGEM NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INVESTEC ASSET MANAG WELLS FARGO WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP FINDLAY PARK PARTNER
Firm Name Goldman Sachs Credit Suisse Howard Weil Inc Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies Susquehanna Financial Group ISI Group Cowen and Company Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Global Hunter Securities Stephens Inc Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Guggenheim Securities LLC Barclays Morgan Stanley RBC Capital Markets Macquarie Johnson Rice & Co Argus Research Corp Tudor Pickering & Co EVA Dimensions
Portfolio Name STATE FARM MUTUAL AU STATE FARM MUTUAL AU VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a ROYCE & ASSOCIATES L n/a BAMCO INC BMO FINANCIAL CORP n/a n/a LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a n/a IMPALA ASSET MANAGEM NORTHERN TRUST CORPO INVESTEC ASSET MANAG n/a WILLIAM BLAIR & COMP FINDLAY PARK PARTNER
Analyst WAQAR SYED JAMES WICKLUND DAVID T WILSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER CHARLES P MINERVINO JUDSON E BAILEY JAMES D CRANDELL JEFFREY SPITTEL LUKE M LEMOINE BRIAN UHLMER JOHN KELLER THOMAS PATRICK CURRAN MICHAEL K LAMOTTE JAMES C WEST OLE SLORER KURT HALLEAD NIGEL BROWNE DANIEL BURKE JONATHAN GELCIUS BYRON POPE CRAIG STERLING
Source Sch-D 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F Form 4 13F 13F Form 4 ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation neutral/attractive neutral sector outperform market perform outperform buy neutral neutral outperform outperform neutral neutral overweight outperform buy equalweight Underwt/In-Line outperform neutral overweight buy buy buy
Amt Held 8'284'218 8'257'200 7'814'570 5'893'744 4'743'852 3'307'034 2'762'247 2'333'237 2'280'978 2'099'915 2'014'881 1'949'200 1'881'623 1'581'602 1'494'271 1'477'808 1'463'808 1'396'426 1'347'863 1'315'115
% Out 7.78 7.76 7.34 5.54 4.46 3.11 2.6 2.19 2.14 1.97 1.89 1.83 1.77 1.49 1.4 1.39 1.38 1.31 1.27 1.24
Weighting
Change 3 3 5 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 1 5 3 5 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 790 121'751 144'018 18'113 (245'198) (50'000) (29'236) 2'169'925 (1'285) 231'937 1'918'300 (69'719) (1'705'190) (433'769) 114'860 22'128 37'325 32'804 328'500
Target Price 68 64 74 67 75 74 66 #N/A N/A 71 78 71 66 79 #N/A N/A 80 73 59 72 68 #N/A N/A 75 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Insurance Company 31.03.2013 Insurance Company 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 27.03.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 09.12.2011 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 24.06.2013 20.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 30.05.2013 23.05.2013 13.05.2013 01.05.2013 30.04.2013 04.02.2013 15.01.2013
08.07.2013
OMV AG OMV AG explores for and refines crude oil and natural gas. The Company sells refined products through gas stations and distributors. The Company also manufactures plastics such as polyolefins and technical plastics. Customers are in the automotive, electrical, and construction industries.
Price/Volume 45
1.2 M
40
1.0 M
35 30
.8 M
25
12/2012 03/yy 39.69 22.90 112'613.00 35.69 -10.10% 55.85% 75.64% 327.3 11'680.36 5'440.71 0.0 2'627.5 1'704.47 16'657.78
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15
.4 M
10
.2 M
5 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 17'917.3 23'323.4 0.82x 0.72x 2'842.2 3'961.3 5.14x 4.22x 571.7 920.6 16.07x 10.10x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 34'053.2 0.44x 4'311.7 3.46x 1'079.0 6.83x
31.12.2012 42'649.2 0.36x 5'263.7 2.90x 1'363.4 6.54x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
5'263.70 3'227.89 7.57% 6.70% 5.51% 14.06% 1.40% 12.5% 12.7% 8.0% 3.2% 1.30 0.76 17.83% 45.71% 10.13 13.97
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 36'350.0 1.69x 4'523.9 3.41x 1'165.9 7.40x
d-12
03/yy 43'057.8 1.43x 5'489.4 2.88x 1'697.4 6.38x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.95 50.88% 34.61% 0.955 26 3.000 230'275 304'728 313'847 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 39'409.5 38'780.6 9'755.5 10'499.0 0.43x 0.43x 1.65x 1.52x 4'912.9 4'867.3 1'338.0 1'415.0 3.39x 3.42x 3.06x 3.05x 1'458.4 1'489.6 334.0 377.0 8.01x 8.01x 8.15x 8.13x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
11.58 6.12 0.40 0.99 45.7% 27.2% 1.40 3.03 36.03 26.12 43.00 24.93
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
5.00
45'000.0
4.50
40'000.0
4.00
35'000.0
3.50
30'000.0
3.00
25'000.0
2.50
20'000.0
2.00
15'000.0
1.50
10'000.0
1.00
5'000.0
0.50 0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 25'542.6 0.43x 3'786.1 2.93x 1'374.4 4.07x
.6 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (23.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance OMV AV EQUITY YTD Change OMV AV EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
OMV AG Holdings By:
All
Holder Name OESTERR INDUSTRIEHOL INTERNATIONAL PETROL FIRST EAGLE INVESTME NORGES BANK BLACKROCK SKAGEN AS VANGUARD GROUP INC RINGTURM KAG ING OFE RAIFFEISEN KAPITALAN OMV AG FRANKLIN RESOURCES SPARINVEST LEGG MASON TFI SA PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE SCHRODER INVESTMENT STATE STREET BZ WBK TOWARZYSTWO F ERSTE SPARINVEST KAG
Firm Name Raymond James Natixis AlphaValue Barclays Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs Societe Generale HSBC Erste Group Concorde Securities Rt EVA Dimensions Macquarie Canaccord Genuity Corp Raiffeisenbank AG Credit Suisse JPMorgan Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg Nomura Jefferies Morgan Stanley Kepler Cheuvreux KBC Securities Wood & Company
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst BERTRAND HODEE ANNE PUMIR ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER LYDIA RAINFORTH MARK BLOOMFIELD HENRY MORRIS MEHDI ENNEBATI PAUL SPEDDING TAMAS PLETSER ATTILA VAGO DOUG WALTERS MARC B KOFLER GORDON GRAY OLEG GALBUR THOMAS YOICHI ADOLFF NITIN SHARMA JENS MUENSTERMANN MATTHEW LOFTING BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN HAYTHEM RASHED THOMAS NEUHOLD PETER CSASZAR BRAM BURING
Source Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG Research ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation underperform buy sell underweight hold Sell/Cautious hold neutral buy equalweight buy neutral sell hold underperform neutral hold neutral hold Equalwt/In-Line hold buy buy
Amt Held 103'090'902 81'490'904 6'069'175 3'086'036 2'165'880 2'142'000 1'737'669 1'600'000 1'248'838 1'089'093 981'818 888'367 877'302 742'823 719'897 698'625 586'962 563'728 472'285 452'805
% Out 31.5 24.9 1.85 0.94 0.66 0.65 0.53 0.49 0.38 0.33 0.3 0.27 0.27 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.14
Weighting
Change 1 5 1 1 3 1 3 3 5 3 5 3 1 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (150) 56'973 (210'000) (27'911) 400 (49'434) (10'000) 73'897 29'134 131'948 19'043 (99'186) 23'456
Target Price 26 46 31 31 33 33 43 38 43 37 #N/A N/A 27 26 39 31 32 36 31 28 29 31 34 34
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.12.2012 Other 31.12.2012 Government 30.04.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.12.2012 Government 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA) 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Corporation 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month
Date 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 24.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 27.05.2013 20.05.2013 15.05.2013 14.05.2013 18.04.2013 22.03.2013 22.02.2013 21.02.2013 30.01.2013 13.08.2012
08.07.2013
Denbury Resources Inc Denbury Resources Inc. produces petroleum products. The Company acquires, develops, operates, and explores oil and gas properties. Denbury Resources markets its services to customers in the Gulf Coast region of the United States.
Price/Volume 25
18.0 M 16.0 M
20
14.0 M 12.0 M
15
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (21.05.2013) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DNR US EQUITY YTD Change DNR US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 19.65 13.31 1'212'672.00 17.63 -10.53% 32.46% 66.09% 373.2 6'578.89 3'141.43 0.0 0.0 98.51 9'813.16
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'026.9 1'812.5 5.03x 5.29x 537.5 1'048.6 9.60x 9.15x (75.2) 271.7 21.00x 31.58x Profitability
6.0 M 4.0 M
5
2.0 M 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'294.2 3.68x 1'473.5 5.73x 573.3 10.64x
31.12.2012 2'436.3 3.75x 1'532.4 5.96x 525.4 11.31x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'532.40 1'024.86 42.07% 35.17% 4.61% 9.92% 0.22% 50.1% 62.0% 41.0% 21.6% 2.50 0.29 28.20% 61.42% 19.60 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 2'428.2 14.53x 1'578.0 6.20x 701.0 11.78x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 2'376.2 15.79x 1'473.7 6.92x 499.5 13.90x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
1.67 363.93 14.59 20.34% 8.83% 1.673 22 4.636 4'341'254 4'204'325 4'592'972 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'484.8 2'581.0 633.2 634.2 3.82x 3.62x 14.85x 14.82x 1'470.7 1'514.8 372.8 371.9 6.66x 6.46x 6.65x 6.70x 496.0 460.7 129.6 124.6 13.54x 14.12x 13.81x 14.32x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
04.11.2005 BB STABLE 2.19 2.24 61.4% 38.0% 0.22 0.28 18.62 163.25 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0
8.00
2'000.0
6.00
1'500.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
0.00 01.01.2010
8.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'303.3 2.72x 867.4 4.09x 388.4 7.09x
10.0 M
10
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Denbury Resources Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK RS INVESTMENT MANAGE STATE STREET WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN FMR LLC JENNISON ASSOCIATES NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC PUBLIC SECTOR PENSIO TIAA CREF INVESTMENT TIMESSQUARE CAPITAL WASATCH ADVISORS INC WESTFIELD CAPITAL MG NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL OSLO ASSET MANAGEMEN OMEGA ADVISORS MUNDER CAPITAL MANAG GREENE RONALD G
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Sterne, Agee & Leach Robert W. Baird & Co Raymond James Susquehanna Financial Group Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Simmons & Company International KeyBanc Capital Markets Credit Suisse SunTrust Robinson Humphrey EVA Dimensions Barclays RBC Capital Markets Ladenburg Thalmann & Co Wunderlich Securities Johnson Rice & Co Stifel Cowen and Company JPMorgan S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a RS INVESTMENT MANAGE n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO PUBLIC SECTOR PENSIO TIAA-CREF INVESTMENT TIMESSQUARE CAPITAL WASATCH ADVISORS INC WESTFIELD CAPITAL MA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BANK OF NEW YORK MEL OSLO ASSET MANAGEMEN OMEGA ADVISORS INC MUNDER CAPITAL MANAG n/a
Analyst PHILLIP JUNGWIRTH TIM A REZVAN HSULIN PENG ANDREW COLEMAN DUANE GRUBERT RICHARD TULLIS PEARCE W HAMMOND DAVID DECKELBAUM ARUN JAYARAM RYAN OATMAN CRAIG STERLING JEFFREY W ROBERTSON SCOTT HANOLD NOEL A PARKS JASON A WANGLER MICHAEL GLICK MICHAEL S SCIALLA NICHOLAS P POPE JOSEPH D ALLMAN MICHAEL KAY
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F Form 4
Recommendation market perform buy outperform outperform Positive add overweight buy outperform buy overweight overweight outperform buy buy overweight buy buy overweight buy
Amt Held 52'674'100 24'023'242 21'941'128 20'327'279 18'100'493 16'489'383 15'111'161 14'616'186 13'014'245 11'953'243 10'332'113 6'772'116 5'362'065 4'942'998 4'924'734 4'818'318 4'287'874 4'200'227 3'779'390 3'695'061
% Out 14.12 6.44 5.88 5.45 4.85 4.42 4.05 3.92 3.49 3.2 2.77 1.81 1.44 1.32 1.32 1.29 1.15 1.13 1.01 0.99
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
M M M M M M M M U M D M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (80'000) 1'028'738 (59'246) 608'140 (570'462) (687'293) 2'390'727 703'305 39'221 (5'100) 31'873 10'500 (523'775) 28'267 47'917 (163'000) 35'500 (124'928) 1'227
Target Price 18 22 22 24 23 22 27 23 24 25 #N/A N/A 21 23 29 24 #N/A N/A 25 22 27 20
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2013 n/a
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 18 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided
Date 07.07.2013 03.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 18.06.2013 11.06.2013 05.06.2013 29.05.2013 24.05.2013 21.05.2013 16.05.2013 06.05.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 09.10.2012 20.09.2012
08.07.2013
CONSOL Energy Inc CONSOL Energy Inc. is a diversified fuel producer in the Eastern, U.S.. The Company owns and operates mining complexes in serveral states that contain coal reserves. CONSOL also explores, develops and produces natural gas, including methane and shale beds.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.10.2012) 52-Week Low (05.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 22.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CNX US EQUITY YTD Change CNX US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 37.39 26.25 843'393.00 27.53 -26.77% 4.88% 2.33% 228.6 6'294.16 3'213.14 0.0 (0.0) 21.88 9'454.69
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
35
7.0 M
30
6.0 M
25
5.0 M
20
4.0 M
15
3.0 M
10
2.0 M
5
1.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 4'486.3 1.40x 929.5 6.76x 442.5 13.61x
40
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 4'508.7 5'138.5 2.25x 2.82x 1'143.3 1'208.5 8.86x 11.98x 539.7 346.8 17.12x 25.33x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 5'963.6 1.87x 1'647.9 6.77x 632.5 11.90x
31.12.2012 5'020.6 2.09x 930.4 11.30x 388.5 14.07x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
930.41 307.63 6.13% 9.90% 2.30% 7.48% 6.43% 0.39% 9.1% 16.9% 4.1% 7.7% 1.11 0.32 25.36% 81.27% 8.21 18.16
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 5'895.3 7.93x 1'483.6 7.19x 537.5 12.78x
LTM 03/yy 4'902.6 8.37x 830.9 13.06x 289.7 18.45x
FY+1
1.82 1.39 227.13 11.04 -10.03% -13.94% 1.389 26 4.615 2'359'109 2'409'294 2'360'565 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 4'980.6 5'726.2 1'197.5 1'227.6 1.89x 1.68x 8.19x 7.65x 1'123.6 1'520.3 259.5 274.5 8.37x 6.18x 7.91x 7.27x 194.6 466.2 34.5 45.4 33.70x 14.53x 26.86x 21.39x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
30.11.2011 BB STABLE 06.11.2003 NR 3.60 -2.50 3.80 3.83 81.3% 44.8% 0.39 0.50 44.45 20.10 38.04 22.86
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
12.00
7'000.0
10.00
6'000.0 5'000.0
8.00
4'000.0 6.00
3'000.0
4.00
2'000.0
2.00
1'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
CONSOL Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FRANKLIN RESOURCES BLACKROCK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET LAZARD ASSET MANAGEM BANK OF NEW YORK MEL SASCO CAPITAL INCORP VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C JENNISON ASSOCIATES SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS GAMCO NORTHERN TRUST CORPO WESTWOOD MANAGEMENT WESTFIELD CAPITAL MG PASSPORT CAPITAL LLC FRANK RUSSELL TRUST
Firm Name Nomura Jefferies Raymond James Barclays Stifel JPMorgan Davenport & Co Iberia Capital Partners LLC Howard Weil Inc Cowen and Company Sterne, Agee & Leach Deutsche Bank FBR Capital Markets BB&T Capital Markets Tudor Pickering & Co Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Brean Capital LLC Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley BMO Capital Markets Simmons & Company International EVA Dimensions Johnson Rice & Co
Portfolio Name SOUTHEASTERN ASSET M WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA n/a n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL SASCO CAPITAL INCORP n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES SAC CAPITAL ADVISORS n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO WESTWOOD MANAGEMENT WESTFIELD CAPITAL MA PASSPORT CAPITAL LLC FRANK RUSSELL COMPAN
Analyst CURTIS WOODWORTH PETER D WARD JAMES M ROLLYSON DAVID GAGLIANO PAUL FORWARD JOHN BRIDGES J CHRISTOPHER HABERLIN DAVID E BEARD HOLLY STEWART DANIEL W SCOTT MICHAEL S DUDAS DAVID S MARTIN MITESH B THAKKAR MARK A LEVIN BRANDON BLOSSMAN JEREMY SUSSMAN LUCAS PIPES BRIAN SINGER EVAN L KURTZ MEREDITH H BANDY CALEB DORFMAN CRAIG STERLING WILLIAM BURNS
Source 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation buy buy outperform overweight buy overweight buy outperform sector outperform outperform buy buy outperform hold buy outperform buy neutral/neutral Overwt/In-Line outperform overweight hold suspended coverage
Amt Held 24'488'141 19'332'041 19'124'154 18'098'226 15'813'436 15'313'202 14'361'266 10'393'823 6'940'497 4'753'467 4'203'526 4'111'653 3'786'436 3'240'916 3'123'371 2'964'530 2'339'431 1'934'505 1'750'499 1'704'358
% Out 10.71 8.46 8.36 7.92 6.92 6.7 6.28 4.55 3.04 2.08 1.84 1.8 1.66 1.42 1.37 1.3 1.02 0.85 0.77 0.75
Weighting
Change
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M U M M M M
Latest Chg (511'600) (4'337'431) (3'725'893) 354'577 177'881 670'039 (397'278) 1'943'344 (352'424) (108'550) 39'709 548'043 1'696'914 75'002 127'810 1'177'489 1'114'455 265'699 592'219
Target Price 42 46 40 40 43 48 40 40 39 41 60 40 40 #N/A N/A 46 46 46 37 44 40 39 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 05.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 24.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 13.06.2013 04.06.2013 04.06.2013 04.06.2013 29.05.2013 07.05.2013 02.05.2013 25.04.2013 10.04.2013 15.01.2013 04.01.2013
08.07.2013
Penn West Petroleum Ltd Penn West Petroleum Ltd. explores for oil and natural gas. The Company primarily operates in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (19.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PWT CN EQUITY YTD Change PWT CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 16.15 8.82 590'377.00 11.13 -31.21% 26.19% 29.06% 485.0 5'398.13 2'690.00 0.0 0.0 8'360.13
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
16.0 M
14
14.0 M
12
12.0 M
10
10.0 M
8
8.0 M
6
6.0 M
4
4.0 M
2
2.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'364.0 2'489.0 4.79x 5.51x 1'183.0 1'163.0 9.56x 11.79x (144.0) 1'110.0 9.61x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'943.0 4.33x 1'592.0 8.00x 638.0 14.85x
31.12.2012 2'640.0 2.98x 1'359.0 5.79x 174.0 -
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'359.00 -166.00 -6.29% 8.98% 0.12% 0.20% 1.10% 0.16% 2.5% 51.0% -8.9% 6.6% 0.78 0.40 18.56% 30.31% 5.42 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 3'028.0 16.26x 1'705.0 7.40x 406.0 25.64x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 2'489.0 14.81x 1'270.0 6.48x 18.0 0.00x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
9.70 1.43 455.45 18.78 -10.56% 8.12% 1.431 23 3.174 2'154'477 2'920'103 2'950'334 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'682.4 2'854.5 661.3 705.2 3.16x 2.99x 12.97x 12.16x 1'253.9 1'488.4 300.3 341.0 6.67x 5.61x 6.21x 5.89x (67.7) 102.3 (13.2) 7.2 70.38x 114.74x 59.47x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
6.83 -1.97 2.33 2.33 30.3% 23.3% 0.16 0.21 67.38 159.76 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
4'500.0
9.00
4'000.0
8.00
3'500.0
7.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'500.0
5.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'500.0
3.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 4'049.0 2.32x 2'992.0 3.14x 1'221.0 4.21x
16
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Penn West Petroleum Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name FIRST EAGLE INVESTME CHINA INVESTMENT COR ROYAL BANK OF CANADA BMO FINANCIAL CORP TD ASSET MANAGEMENT WEST FACE CAPITAL IN CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN CI INVESTMENTS INC EDGE ASSET MANAGEMEN FMR LLC MANUFACTURERS LIFE I NORGES BANK DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLL CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN MARKIN ALLAN P SCHEER ROWLETT & ASS PCJ INVESTMENT COUNS PUBLIC SECTOR PENSIO
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets BMO Capital Markets Dundee Securities Corp Cormark Securities Inc. National Bank Financial Alta Corp Capital Inc. TD Securities Credit Suisse CIBC World Markets Salman Partners FirstEnergy Capital Corp Macquarie Stifel Peters & Co Ltd Scotia Capital Desjardins Securities EVA Dimensions Deutsche Bank Veritas Investment Research Co Accountability Research Corp Barclays JPMorgan
Portfolio Name FIRST EAGLE INVESTME n/a n/a BMO FINANCIAL CORP TD ASSET MANAGEMENT WEST FACE CAPITAL IN CIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN Multiple Portfolios EDGE ASSET MANAGEMEN n/a MANUFACTURERS LIFE I NORGES BANK DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLL n/a n/a SCHEER ROWLETT & ASS PCJ INVESTMENT COUNS PUBLIC SECTOR PENSIO
Analyst GREG M PARDY GORDON TAIT BRIAN KRISTJANSEN JONATHAN FLEMING KYLE PRESTON DIRK M LEVER TRAVIS WOOD JASON FREW JEREMY KALIEL GORDON CURRIE KATRINA L KARKKAINEN CRISTINA LOPEZ MICHAEL A ZUK ADAM R TWA PATRICK BRYDEN ALLAN G STEPA DOUG WALTERS STEPHEN RICHARDSON SAM LA BELL MICHAEL RUGGIRELLO GRANT HOFER KATHERINE LUCAS MINYARD
Source 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F MF-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG SEDI 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation sector perform market perform sell buy sector perform outperform hold underperform sector perform hold market perform neutral hold sector underperform sector perform buy overweight hold buy buy underweight overweight
Amt Held 36'465'302 24'054'154 18'572'169 10'134'418 8'761'993 8'000'000 7'789'648 6'977'459 6'128'954 5'800'000 5'399'829 4'026'219 3'619'954 3'597'390 3'518'967 3'217'000 3'105'400 2'922'703 2'750'100 2'238'239
% Out 7.52 4.96 3.83 2.09 1.81 1.65 1.61 1.44 1.26 1.2 1.11 0.83 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.66 0.64 0.6 0.57 0.46
Weighting
Change 3 3 1 5 3 5 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 5 5 3 5 5 1 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 3'127'179 349'720 935'354 188'251 337'165 5'000'000 (1'005'214) 189'027 (109'624) 770'984 (2'581'686) 2'631'070 784'967 (3'092'900) 411'200 112'510 38'300 58'300
Target Price 13 12 10 13 13 15 12 10 11 11 13 10 #N/A N/A 8 14 17 #N/A N/A 13 11 15 9 15
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Insurance Company 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.06.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month
Date 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 28.06.2013 11.06.2013 11.06.2013 07.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 06.06.2013 05.06.2013 05.06.2013 05.06.2013 05.06.2013 02.05.2013
08.07.2013
QEP Resources Inc QEP Resources Inc. is an independent natural gas and oil exploration and production company. The Company's operations are focused in the Rocky Mountain and Midcontinent regions of the United States. QEP also gathers, compresses, treats, and processes natural gas.
Price/Volume 35
10.0 M 9.0 M 8.0 M 7.0 M 6.0 M 5.0 M 4.0 M 3.0 M 2.0 M 1.0 M .0 M
30 25 20
Valuation Analysis
15
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.09.2012) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance QEP US EQUITY YTD Change QEP US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 33.50 25.99 440'846.00 29.52 -11.97% 13.58% 44.07% 179.3 5'291.89 3'206.90 0.0 47.7 8'706.19
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
5 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 2'530.1 1'441.2 585.5 -
10
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'972.5 2'300.6 3.47x 1'145.8 1'191.1 6.70x 293.5 326.2 19.92x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 3'159.2 2.19x 1'271.3 5.44x 267.2 12.78x
31.12.2012 2'349.8 3.68x 771.6 11.22x 128.3 2520.82x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
771.60 -133.30 -5.67% 8.45% -0.37% -0.94% 0.29% 11.8% 34.5% -4.8% 5.5% 0.85 0.51 35.21% 98.19% 6.64 40.97
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 3'144.5 9.39x 1'191.3 6.00x 349.2 15.60x
LTM 03/yy 2'443.1 13.81x 842.1 10.83x (31.2) 0.00x
FY+1
0.27 1.47 177.69 6.58 1.88% -2.34% 1.474 21 4.381 1'092'695 1'397'854 1'810'647 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'891.5 3'224.1 705.8 730.7 2.99x 2.70x 12.09x 11.61x 1'600.5 1'786.9 393.4 413.6 5.45x 4.88x 5.24x 5.11x 262.2 323.0 62.8 73.5 19.69x 16.67x 17.96x 17.26x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
02.07.2010 BB+ STABLE 6.11 -16.06 4.00 4.00 98.2% 49.2% 0.29 0.33 54.96 8.91 74.35 -32.93
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
8.00
3'500.0
7.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'500.0
5.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'500.0
3.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
QEP Resources Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC INVESCO LTD STATE STREET JANA PARTNERS LLC JP MORGAN PERKINS INVESTMENT M WELLS FARGO T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I SUNTRUST BANKS INC NORTHERN TRUST CORPO OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC RS INVESTMENT MANAGE WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGE ATLANTA CAPITAL MANA NATIONAL RURAL ELECT DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Guggenheim Securities LLC Sterne, Agee & Leach Jefferies Robert W. Baird & Co Stephens Inc Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co Susquehanna Financial Group Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Iberia Capital Partners LLC Societe Generale Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Howard Weil Inc Goldman Sachs Barclays Deutsche Bank JPMorgan EVA Dimensions S&P Capital IQ
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a JANA PARTNERS LLC n/a PERKINS INVESTMENT M n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO OPPENHEIMER FUNDS IN RS INVESTMENT MANAGE WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGE ATLANTA CAPITAL MANA NATIONAL RURAL ELECT n/a
Analyst DAN MCSPIRIT ROBERT CORDRAY TIM A REZVAN SUBASH CHANDRA HSULIN PENG BEN WYATT ANDREW COLEMAN MATTHEW PORTILLO DUANE GRUBERT BRIAN T VELIE ELI KANTOR BOB PARIJA DAVID R TAMERON BRIAN CORALES BRIAN SINGER THOMAS R DRISCOLL STEPHEN RICHARDSON JOSEPH D ALLMAN CRAIG STERLING MICHAEL KAY
Source ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy buy hold outperform overweight outperform buy neutral add outperform buy outperform sector outperform neutral/attractive overweight buy neutral underweight buy
Amt Held 14'959'381 11'323'444 9'733'371 7'706'975 7'458'253 5'794'668 5'029'272 5'026'080 4'477'832 2'994'355 2'930'149 2'915'607 2'382'629 2'284'268 2'046'280 1'949'963 1'640'479 1'623'125 1'612'100 1'560'711
% Out 8.34 6.32 5.43 4.3 4.16 3.23 2.81 2.8 2.5 1.67 1.63 1.63 1.33 1.27 1.14 1.09 0.92 0.91 0.9 0.87
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3 1 5
M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (770'931) 551'451 363'311 156'929 (1'358'439) 1'328'888 381'665 318'015 (1'117'990) 281'182 (156'328) 161'940 (181'082) 28'564 877'200 (1'980'426) 101'135 (2'674) 228'083
Target Price 35 45 36 31 37 38 38 46 33 39 35 36 #N/A N/A 43 35 36 37 38 #N/A N/A 40
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA) 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 14.06.2013 04.06.2013 10.05.2013 06.05.2013 02.05.2013 01.05.2013 12.02.2013 15.01.2013 24.10.2012
08.07.2013
Subsea 7 SA Subsea 7 SA offers oilfield services. The Company designs, fabricates, builds and installs equipment for the offshore oil industry. Subsea 7 builds flexible flowlines, risers, umbilicals and other equipment. The Company operates in the Gulf of Mexico, the Asia Pacific region, the North Sea and the Mediterranean, and offshore Africa, the Middle East, and South America.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.09.2012) 52-Week Low (27.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 05.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SUBC NO EQUITY YTD Change SUBC NO EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 142.38 96.76 1'167'130.00 107.5 -24.50% 11.10% 23.54% 351.8 37'817.82 1'535.40 0.0 43.8 1'287.90 6'377.84
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
16.0 M
140
14.0 M
120
12.0 M
100
10.0 M
80
8.0 M
60
6.0 M
40
4.0 M
20
2.0 M
0 j-12
30.11.2009 30.11.2010 2'208.8 2'369.0 1.01x 1.55x 420.3 479.1 5.29x 7.69x 245.0 265.4 10.92x 17.08x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 5'476.5 1.17x 870.8 7.39x 423.7 14.74x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
31.12.2012 6'296.6 1.29x 1'049.6 7.75x 830.4 13.42x 1'049.60 721.90 11.46% 16.97% 8.82% 14.33% 12.87% 0.64% 17.4% 16.5% 11.2% 13.2% 1.33 0.83 14.63% 24.28% 6.71 80.67
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
03/yy 5'642.7 5.74x 935.8 10.10x 475.6 20.37x
LTM 03/yy 6'305.7 4.90x 1'041.2 7.70x 872.2 9.90x
FY+1
1.26 262.22 -5.06% -15.77% 1.260 33 4.273 1'737'904 1'830'328 1'506'686 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 6'641.4 7'291.7 1'663.5 1'828.1 1.01x 0.89x 4.01x 3.77x 974.3 1'480.7 181.4 346.5 6.55x 4.31x 5.51x 4.71x 403.8 703.7 31.5 163.2 18.10x 9.19x 14.18x 10.41x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
23.43 7.61 0.18 1.33 24.3% 19.4% 0.64 1.75 54.43 4.52 104.87 -35.67
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
18.00
7'000.0
16.00
6'000.0
14.00
5'000.0
12.00 10.00
4'000.0
8.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00 0.00 04.12.2009
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 30.11.2008 2'522.4 0.36x 513.8 1.76x 301.4 3.34x
160
0.0 04.06.2010
04.12.2010
04.06.2011
04.12.2011
04.06.2012
04.12.2012
04.06.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Subsea 7 SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SIEM INDUSTRIES INC STATE STREET GOVERNMENT PENSION F JP MORGAN CHASE BANK CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN DNB NOR ASSET MANAGE T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE ODIN FORVALTNING AS THREADNEEDLE INVESTM DANSKE CAPITAL NORGE VANGUARD GROUP INC STOREBRAND FUND MANA NORDEA FONDENE AS DEUTSCHE BANK AG BG MASTER FUND PLC BLACKROCK NORDEA FONDER AB/SWE FMR LLC NORDEA INV MANAGEMEN
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets Fearnley Fonds ABN Amro Bank N.V. Morgan Stanley Swedbank First Securities HSBC Carnegie Nomura Deutsche Bank Pareto Securities Societe Generale Goldman Sachs Credit Suisse SEB Enskilda Nordea Equity Research Natixis DNB Markets Barclays Danske Markets ABG Sundal Collier JPMorgan Exane BNP Paribas RS Platou Markets Kepler Cheuvreux EVA Dimensions Fondsfinans AS S&P Capital IQ SpareBank 1 Markets AS Handelsbanken Arctic Securities ASA
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst KATHERINE TONKS TRULS OLSEN MARK VAN DER GEEST ROBERT PULLEYN EIVIND TONNESSEN PHILLIP LINDSAY FREDERIK H LUNDE CHRISTYAN MALEK SEBASTIAN YOSHIDA KRISTIAN DIESEN GUILLAUME DELABY HENRY TARR DAVID J THOMAS TERJE FATNES ANNE SCHULT ULRIKSEN ALAIN PARENT EIRIK RONOLD MATHISEN MICK PICKUP JO HENRIK ERIKSEN HAAKON AMUNDSEN ANDREW DOBBING ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS GORAN ANDREASSEN GEOFFROY STERN DOUG WALTERS PETTER NARVESTAD CHRISTINE TISCARENO ERIK TONNE DANIEL RAVIK KJETIL GARSTAD
Source 13D ULT-AGG 20F 20F ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG Short ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation sector perform buy buy Equalwt/In-Line strong buy overweight hold buy hold buy hold Buy/Neutral neutral buy buy buy buy overweight buy hold overweight neutral buy buy hold buy hold buy buy hold
Amt Held % Out 69'681'932 19.81 32'040'856 9.11 19'570'200 5.56 17'360'683 4.93 13'430'000 3.82 7'861'861 2.23 6'944'241 1.97 4'476'696 1.27 3'591'184 1.02 3'417'246 0.97 3'409'130 0.97 2'998'805 0.85 2'826'275 0.8 2'502'412 0.71 2'210'294 0.63 (2'110'762) -0.6 1'998'527 0.57 1'921'843 0.55 1'678'424 0.48 1'569'739 0.45
Weighting
Change 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M D M D M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg (4'309) 7'232'000 10'552 (103'153) 1'927 2'491 (307'126) 692'300 (10'458) (230'051) 84'966 (30'002) (35'179) (1'818'022) 161'986 (163'218) 102'497
Target Price 120 155 134 135 140 150 #N/A N/A 165 140 170 117 146 124 162 132 119 157 180 160 119 170 104 162 170 #N/A N/A 180 136 180 185 145
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 12.01.2011 05.07.2013 29.01.2010 29.01.2010 31.12.2010 27.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.05.2013 28.02.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 30.06.2013 27.03.2013 31.05.2013 30.05.2013 03.07.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013 31.05.2013
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 6 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 21.05.2013 21.05.2013 20.05.2013 16.05.2013 16.05.2013
08.07.2013
Nabors Industries Ltd Nabors Industries Ltd, is a land drilling contractor, and also performs well servicing and workovers. The Company conducts oil, gas, and geothermal land drilling operations. Nabors' well-site services include oilfield management, well logging, and other support services.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.02.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 29.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance NBR US EQUITY YTD Change NBR US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 18.24 12.75 1'303'298.00 16.17 -11.24% 26.80% 62.28% 294.6 4'763.98 4'379.70 69.2 12.2 778.20 8'533.76
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'683.4 4'134.5 2.47x 2.52x 1'256.8 1'427.8 7.23x 7.30x (85.5) 94.7 21.68x Profitability
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 6'060.4 1.51x 1'842.4 4.97x 243.7 10.64x
31.12.2012 6'989.6 1.13x 1'976.5 3.99x 164.0 37.87x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'976.50 918.17 13.14% 3.89% 1.00% 2.19% 0.52% 20.8% 27.4% 11.1% 2.3% 2.77 1.91 34.61% 73.67% 4.24 20.09
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 6'577.2 5.61x 1'978.2 4.77x 294.9 10.43x
LTM 03/yy 6'677.8 4.96x 1'827.2 4.68x 129.1 27.36x
FY+1
1.92 277.38 10.49 16.15% 12.45% 1.918 28 3.750 3'316'133 3'546'658 4'052'501 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 6'355.8 6'828.4 1'531.5 1'645.7 1.33x 1.19x 5.59x 5.19x 1'719.6 1'938.8 384.8 435.1 4.95x 4.39x 4.81x 4.62x 291.4 433.8 42.9 77.1 16.58x 11.64x 14.86x 13.35x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
11.04.2013 BBB STABLE 11.04.2013 A-2 7.29 1.69 2.02 2.40 73.7% 42.1% 0.52 0.77 86.14 18.17 42.11 52.27
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
8'000.0
8.00
7'000.0
7.00
6'000.0
6.00
5'000.0
5.00
4'000.0
4.00
3'000.0
3.00
2'000.0
2.00
1'000.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
20.0 M 18.0 M 16.0 M 14.0 M 12.0 M 10.0 M 8.0 M 6.0 M 4.0 M 2.0 M .0 M
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 5'511.9 1.21x 1'921.6 3.46x 475.7 4.45x
20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 j-12
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Nabors Industries Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name PAMPLONA CAPITAL MAN WENTWORTH HAUSER AND VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK STATE STREET SASCO CAPITAL INCORP ISENBERG EUGENE M PETRELLO ANTHONY G LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT SPRUCEGROVE INVESTME NORTHERN TRUST CORPO WELLS FARGO AQR CAPITAL MANAGEME PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL TCW GROUP INC EARNEST PARTNERS LLC DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV BANK OF NEW YORK MEL PUTNAM INVESTMENT MA NORDEA INV MANAGEMEN
Firm Name Credit Suisse Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies Susquehanna Financial Group ISI Group Cowen and Company Argus Research Corp Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Johnson Rice & Co Guggenheim Securities LLC Macquarie Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Goldman Sachs Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Barclays Global Hunter Securities RBC Capital Markets Howard Weil Inc Raymond James S&P Capital IQ FBR Capital Markets EVA Dimensions Tudor Pickering & Co Oracle Investment Research
Portfolio Name n/a WENTWORTH HAUSER AND VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a SASCO CAPITAL INCORP n/a n/a LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT SPRUCEGROVE INVESTME NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a AQR CAPITAL MANAGEME n/a TCW GROUP INCORPORAT EARNEST PARTNERS LLC n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL PUTNAM INVESTMENT MA NORDEA INVESTMENT MA
Analyst JAMES WICKLUND SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER CHARLES P MINERVINO JUDSON E BAILEY JAMES D CRANDELL JONATHAN GELCIUS MICHAEL W URBAN OLE SLORER DANIEL BURKE MICHAEL K LAMOTTE NIGEL BROWNE THOMAS PATRICK CURRAN WAQAR SYED LUKE M LEMOINE JAMES C WEST BRIAN UHLMER KURT HALLEAD DAVID T WILSON J MARSHALL ADKINS TANJILA SHAFI MEGAN REPINE CRAIG STERLING BYRON POPE LAURENCE BALTER
Source 13D 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F Form 4 Form 4 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation underperform outperform outperform hold Positive neutral outperform hold buy Equalwt/In-Line overweight neutral neutral market perform buy/attractive add equalweight neutral sector perform sector perform market perform buy market perform overweight accumulate buy
Amt Held 25'602'322 18'187'454 17'668'425 15'929'903 14'735'523 12'159'957 8'082'484 6'293'222 4'781'172 4'703'200 4'486'586 4'112'261 3'920'250 3'892'058 3'833'115 3'831'915 3'706'378 3'449'399 3'256'695 2'732'000
% Out 8.69 6.17 6 5.41 5 4.13 2.74 2.14 1.62 1.6 1.52 1.4 1.33 1.32 1.3 1.3 1.26 1.17 1.11 0.93
Weighting
Change 1 5 5 3 4 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 5 4 5
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M
Latest Chg (2'404'979) 596'269 78'486 264'436 1'289'400 500'473 (363'700) (43'400) 246'512 3'563'462 835'650 1'040'508 401'741 405'090 232'116 323'095 1'233'550 (138'154)
Target Price 12 19 20 14 18 #N/A N/A 20 #N/A N/A 24 18 #N/A N/A 17 16 #N/A N/A 22 19 16 18 18 18 #N/A N/A 19 18 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 17
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 05.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 20.01.2012 n/a 07.03.2013 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 24.06.2013 03.06.2013 30.05.2013 30.05.2013 22.05.2013 14.05.2013 13.05.2013 09.05.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 24.04.2013 16.04.2013 20.02.2013 04.02.2013 03.05.2012
08.07.2013
AMEC PLC AMEC PLC provides consulting, engineering and project management services to the world's energy, power and process industries. The Company project manages the delivery of major industrial and infrastructure projects, such as power networks, and supplies engineering, procurement and construction management services in the energy and mining industries.
Price/Volume 1200
3.5 M 3.0 M 2.5 M
600
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (25.09.2012) 52-Week Low (22.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 01.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance AMEC LN EQUITY YTD Change AMEC LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 1'174.00 961.00 319'573.00 1035 -11.84% 7.70% 29.11% 297.4 3'078.13 176.00 0.0 4.0 275.00 2'983.13
2.0 M
400
1.5 M 1.0 M
200
.5 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
800
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2008 2'606.4 0.35x 209.8 4.31x 199.7 7.64x
4.5 M
1000
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'539.1 2'951.0 0.76x 1.07x 155.6 238.0 12.45x 13.23x 171.7 231.0 16.64x 15.75x Profitability
31.12.2011 3'261.0 0.78x 281.0 9.06x 232.0 14.34x
31.12.2012 4'158.0 0.72x 363.0 8.25x 216.0 14.97x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
363.00 308.00 7.41% 6.33% 8.69% 17.62% 16.97% 1.67% 12.8% 8.7% 7.4% 5.2% 1.13 1.05 6.99% 16.31% 4.89 906.25
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
3.53 1.12 294.86 5.00% 5.66% 1.123 20 3.700 767'848 940'549 935'310 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 4'228.0 4'507.7 0.69x 0.63x 367.5 408.7 8.12x 7.30x 253.9 285.5 11.91x 10.63x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
45.38 43.00 -0.27 0.48 16.3% 14.0% 1.67 106.62 74.78 0.40 54.27 20.91
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
25.00
5'000.0 4'500.0 4'000.0
20.00
3'500.0 15.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'500.0 2'000.0 1'500.0 1'000.0
5.00
500.0 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
AMEC PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK FIL LIMITED MONDRIAN INVESTMENT ABERDEEN LEGAL & GENERAL SCOTTISH WIDOWS THREADNEEDLE ASSET M NORGES BANK INVESTME SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I NORGES BANK AVIVA INVESTORS INVESTEC WEALTH & IN VANGUARD GROUP INC AMEC PLC ESOP JUPITER ASSET MANAGE PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN RATHBONE UNIT TRUST UBS SCHRODER INVESTMENT
Firm Name Nomura EVA Dimensions S&P Capital IQ Oriel Securities Ltd Morgan Stanley Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Exane BNP Paribas Societe Generale RBC Capital Markets Goldman Sachs Liberum Capital Ltd HSBC Barclays Investec JPMorgan Arden Partners Ltd Shore Capital Stockbrokers Fox-Davies Capital
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst CHRISTYAN MALEK DOUG WALTERS CHRISTINE TISCARENO DAVID ROUND ROBERT PULLEYN DAVID J THOMAS SEBASTIAN YOSHIDA ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS GUILLAUME DELABY KATHERINE TONKS HENRY TARR ANDREW WHITTOCK PHILLIP LINDSAY MICK PICKUP KEITH ADAM MORRIS ANDREW DOBBING BEN THEFAUT JON BELL PAUL SINGER
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG RNS-MAJ ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG MF-AGG REG REG MF-AGG REG MF-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG ULT-AGG REG
Recommendation buy underweight buy hold Underwt/In-Line outperform buy underperform buy sector perform Buy/Neutral hold overweight underweight buy neutral buy buy hold
Amt Held 33'121'639 23'358'550 15'309'947 13'998'411 11'764'506 9'285'047 8'904'543 7'311'080 7'284'798 6'284'363 6'010'842 5'944'436 5'547'715 5'121'984 5'107'488 4'714'375 4'361'613 4'144'269 4'047'787 3'762'080
% Out 11.14 7.85 5.15 4.71 3.96 3.12 2.99 2.46 2.45 2.11 2.02 2 1.87 1.72 1.72 1.59 1.47 1.39 1.36 1.26
Weighting
Change 5 1 5 3 1 5 5 1 5 3 5 3 5 1 5 3 5 5 3
M D M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 2'534'525 712'410 (633'229) (275'297) 805'591 785'057 386'809 1'165'752 (3'243'708) (60'698) (1'225'956) 1'314'914 189'879 (1'058'265) (6'027'168)
Target Price 1'300 #N/A N/A 1'300 #N/A N/A 1'100 1'250 1'250 1'110 1'320 1'150 1'244 1'135 1'200 1'350 1'300 1'301 1'395 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Government 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Government 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 02.07.2013 24.06.2013 12.06.2013 11.06.2013 30.05.2013 21.05.2013 22.04.2013 22.04.2013 15.04.2013 04.04.2013 27.03.2013 15.03.2013 15.02.2013 15.02.2013 14.02.2013 08.02.2013 01.11.2012 01.12.2011 20.06.2011
08.07.2013
Petrofac Ltd Petrofac Limited is an international provider of facilities solutions to the oil and gas production and processing industry. The Company's solutions include designing and building oil and gas facilities, operating and managing facilities, and training personnel.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (25.01.2013) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 07.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance PFC LN EQUITY YTD Change PFC LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 1'752.00 1'160.00 308'617.00 1257 -28.31% 8.36% 13.01% 345.9 4'348.12 349.00 0.0 1.0 699.00 6'146.66
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.5 M
1600
4.0 M
1400
3.5 M
1200
3.0 M
1000
2.5 M
800
2.0 M
600
1.5 M
400
1.0 M
200
.5 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'329.5 0.34x 420.9 2.69x 265.0 6.46x
1800
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'655.4 4'354.2 1.20x 1.69x 550.2 637.7 7.94x 11.56x 353.6 557.8 16.07x 15.03x Profitability
31.12.2011 5'801.0 1.05x 765.0 7.95x 540.0 14.03x
31.12.2012 6'324.0 1.36x 865.0 9.97x 632.0 14.18x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
865.00 735.00 11.62% 12.10% 12.36% 47.50% 41.03% 1.24% 17.1% 13.7% 11.6% 10.0% 1.03 0.59 6.55% 22.53% 6.03 8.03
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
3.41 1.21 246.81 -8.87% -20.84% 1.212 24 3.833 711'147 971'953 1'102'369 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 6'456.6 7'221.3 1.03x 0.93x 1'016.2 1'212.4 6.05x 5.07x 655.6 769.4 9.87x 8.44x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
17.05.2013 BBB+ STABLE 17.05.2013 A-2 173.00 93.60 -0.40 0.40 22.5% 18.4% 1.24 8.44 60.65 45.58 85.63 20.59
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
80.00
7'000.0
70.00
6'000.0
60.00
5'000.0
50.00
4'000.0
40.00
3'000.0
30.00
2'000.0
20.00
1'000.0
10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Petrofac Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ASFARI AYMAN SEMAAN MAROUN LANSDOWNE PARTNERS VANGUARD GROUP INC NORGES BANK BLACKROCK JP MORGAN ROBERTS KEITH STEPHE ROYAL LONDON ASSET M HSBC INVESTMENT FUND AKO CAPITAL LLP PUTNAM INVESTMENT MA OYSTER ASSET MANAGEM ROYAL BANK OF CANADA GLG PARTNERS LP CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P FMR LLC STATE STREET BESSEMER GROUP INCOR CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MAN
Firm Name Nomura Day by Day Deutsche Bank Natixis S&P Capital IQ Liberum Capital Ltd RBC Capital Markets Societe Generale Numis Securities Ltd Exane BNP Paribas Investec Goldman Sachs JPMorgan ABN Amro Bank N.V. Oriel Securities Ltd Macquarie Credit Suisse EVA Dimensions Morgan Stanley Barclays HSBC VSA Capital Ltd Fox-Davies Capital
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst CHRISTYAN MALEK VALERIE GASTALDY SEBASTIAN YOSHIDA ALAIN PARENT CHRISTINE TISCARENO ANDREW WHITTOCK KATHERINE TONKS GUILLAUME DELABY SANJEEV BAHL ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS KEITH ADAM MORRIS HENRY TARR ANDREW DOBBING MARK VAN DER GEEST DAVID ROUND MARK WILSON DAVID J THOMAS DOUG WALTERS ROBERT PULLEYN MICK PICKUP PHILLIP LINDSAY DOUGIE YOUNGSON PAUL SINGER
Source RNS-DIR RNS-DIR Short MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG RNS-DIR MF-AGG MF-AGG Short MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG Short MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation buy hold hold buy strong buy buy sector perform buy hold neutral buy neutral/neutral overweight buy hold underperform outperform hold Overwt/In-Line underweight underweight not rated buy
Amt Held % Out 62'950'678 18.2 28'288'813 8.18 (6'398'993) -1.85 4'165'342 1.2 4'138'407 1.2 2'487'410 0.72 2'377'396 0.69 2'120'000 0.61 1'885'715 0.55 1'841'893 0.53 (1'798'636) -0.52 1'690'909 0.49 1'689'634 0.49 1'682'742 0.49 (1'660'279) -0.48 1'622'551 0.47 1'500'245 0.43 1'471'712 0.43 1'405'000 0.41 1'381'320 0.4
Weighting 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 3 5 5 3 1 5 3 5 1 1 #N/A N/A 5
Change M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 49'843 70'949 415'070 (36'538) (571'547) (75'669) 69'000 9'351 569'406 (167'166) 150'224 345'892 (287'600) (6'589) 273'000 6'380
Target Price 1'740 #N/A N/A 1'450 1'500 2'200 1'550 1'600 1'580 1'350 1'600 1'500 1'545 2'215 1'650 #N/A N/A 1'130 1'950 #N/A N/A 1'700 1'800 1'275 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 16.05.2013 n/a 16.05.2013 n/a 06.06.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.12.2012 Government 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 21.03.2011 n/a 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 21.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 31.01.2013 Bank 21.02.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.01.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Date 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 30.05.2013 28.05.2013 17.05.2013 05.12.2012 06.03.2012
08.07.2013
Saipem SpA Saipem S.p.A. offers construction and offshore and onshore drilling services. The Company installs sub-sea pipelines, installs fixed platforms, manages complete onshore construction projects, and drills for oil mainly in Italy, Algeria, Nigeria, and the Arabian peninsula.
Price/Volume 45
60.0 M
40
50.0 M
35 30
40.0 M
25
12/2012 03/yy 40.12 12.13 2'676'758.00 14.29 -64.36% 17.81% 7.07% 441.3 6'309.12 5'683.00 0.0 148.0 1'325.00 11'273.12
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
15
20.0 M
10
10.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 10'094.0 0.74x 1'437.0 5.19x 914.0 5.63x
30.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (17.09.2012) 52-Week Low (25.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance SPM IM EQUITY YTD Change SPM IM EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 10'292.0 11'160.0 1.31x 1.75x 1'601.0 1'833.0 8.42x 10.64x 732.0 844.0 14.35x 19.09x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 12'593.0 1.41x 2'101.0 8.46x 921.0 15.64x
31.12.2012 13'369.0 1.30x 2'182.0 7.97x 902.0 14.29x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
2'182.00 1'481.00 11.08% 10.09% 7.91% 15.00% 1.35% 15.1% 9.8% 6.7% 1.03 0.51 33.05% 105.14% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM
03/yy 12'771.0 4.08x 2'150.0 0.00x 939.0 18.09x
03/yy 13'326.0 5.51x 2'018.0 7.71x 781.0 13.51x
FY+1
0.95 249.65 -57.37% -49.69% 0.954 28 2.821 5'838'533 5'256'986 4'071'549 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 13'311.2 13'244.3 3'288.8 3'387.8 0.87x 0.81x 3.92x 3.73x 774.0 1'753.9 (348.5) 379.0 14.56x 6.43x 12.96x 6.70x (329.8) 546.1 (638.0) 96.5 11.60x 16.95x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.59 8.43 2.40 2.40 105.1% 50.6% 1.35 1.61 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
70.00
16'000.0
60.00
14'000.0 12'000.0
50.00
10'000.0 40.00
8'000.0 30.00
6'000.0
20.00
4'000.0
10.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Saipem SpA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ENI SPA FIL LIMITED THORNBURG INVESTMENT FMR LLC NORGES BANK ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC MFS INSTITUTIONAL AD DEUTSCHE BANK AG MFS FINANCIAL SERVIC SAIPEM SPA T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FIDEURAM GESTIONS SA MFS INVESTMENT MGMT MFS INTERNATIONAL UK UNION INVESTMENT GMB SCHRODER INVESTMENT SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I
Firm Name Societe Generale AlphaValue Mediobanca SpA Deutsche Bank ICBPI ABN Amro Bank N.V. JPMorgan Nomura Banca Akros(ESN) Exane BNP Paribas Day by Day S&P Capital IQ Kepler Cheuvreux EVA Dimensions Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs RBC Capital Markets Banca IMI Credit Suisse HSBC Macquarie Equita SIM SpA Natixis Liberum Capital Ltd Barclays
Portfolio Name n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst GUILLAUME DELABY ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER ANDREA SCAURI SEBASTIAN YOSHIDA LUCA ARENA MARK VAN DER GEEST ANDREW DOBBING CHRISTYAN MALEK DARIO MICHI ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS VALERIE GASTALDY JAWAHAR HINGORANI GEOFFROY STERN DOUG WALTERS ROBERT PULLEYN HENRY TARR KATHERINE TONKS ROBERTO RANIERI DAVID J THOMAS PHILLIP LINDSAY DAVID FARRELL LUIGI DE BELLIS ANNE PUMIR ANDREW WHITTOCK MICK PICKUP
Source Research ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG Research ULT-AGG Research Co File MF-AGG MF-AGG Research Research MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation hold add neutral hold sell hold neutral neutral hold underperform hold hold hold hold Overwt/In-Line neutral/neutral sector perform reduce underperform overweight underperform hold reduce hold equalweight
Amt Held 189'447'556 11'463'775 9'952'466 8'513'747 8'116'332 5'902'329 5'289'142 4'152'257 2'968'077 2'590'416 2'386'001 2'255'030 1'996'482 1'797'242 1'489'877 1'204'742 992'919 948'419 927'902 892'545
% Out 42.93 2.6 2.26 1.93 1.84 1.34 1.2 0.94 0.67 0.59 0.54 0.51 0.45 0.41 0.34 0.27 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.2
Weighting
Change 3 4 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 2 1 5 1 3 2 3 3
M M M M M M M M M M M D M U M D M M M M M M D M M
Latest Chg (348'075) 557'626 (115'514) 64'953 458'786 63'936 (42'200) 382'317 821'766 412'019 (591'808) (348)
Target Price 16 15 17 19 14 21 20 18 16 14 #N/A N/A 18 16 #N/A N/A 20 17 18 16 16 20 15 19 13 20 20
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 06.02.2013 31.12.2012 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 06.02.2013 31.05.2013 06.02.2013 31.12.2012 31.03.2013 01.07.2013 06.02.2013 06.02.2013 28.09.2012 28.03.2013 31.05.2013
Date 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Corporation Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 08.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013 17.06.2013
08.07.2013
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. is a global offshore oil and gas drilling contractor. The Company is a deep water driller that serves markets that include the deep water, harsh environment, conventional semisubmersible and jack-up markets.
Price/Volume 80
4.5 M
70
4.0 M
60
3.5 M 3.0 M
50
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (15.02.2013) 52-Week Low (09.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 25.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance DO US EQUITY YTD Change DO US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 75.25 55.82 188'720.00 69.83 -7.28% 25.11% 69.12% 139.0 9'708.85 1'496.07 0.0 0.0 1'485.59 9'746.70
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'631.3 3'323.0 3.97x 2.92x 2'251.5 1'774.0 6.40x 5.48x 1'376.2 955.5 9.94x 9.97x Profitability
1.5 M
20
1.0 M
10
.5 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 3'322.4 2.39x 1'649.3 4.82x 962.5 8.01x
31.12.2012 2'986.5 3.17x 1'336.9 7.08x 720.5 13.34x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'336.88 943.97 31.61% 30.74% 9.95% 15.75% 12.36% 0.41% 33.7% 44.2% 31.1% 24.1% 4.39 4.09 20.68% 32.69% 5.56 70.20
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 3'284.7 10.83x 1'574.0 5.96x 897.1 10.56x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 2'947.6 12.45x 1'303.6 7.45x 711.3 13.53x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
FY+1
5.01 1.11 68.90 6.95 24.59% 5.24% 1.114 39 3.282 788'226 841'112 919'295 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 3'048.2 3'934.1 766.1 753.1 3.65x 2.97x 13.53x 14.04x 1'278.0 1'934.6 345.8 293.8 7.61x 5.03x 7.06x 6.50x 643.4 1'016.6 172.6 137.2 15.19x 9.62x 14.63x 13.27x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
27.07.2004 ASTABLE 15.94 7.57 0.03 1.15 32.7% 24.6% 0.41 0.62 65.68 5.20 15.10 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
9.00
4'000.0
8.00
3'500.0
7.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'500.0
5.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'500.0
3.00
1'000.0
2.00
500.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
2.0 M
30
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'544.1 2.25x 2'233.0 3.56x 1'310.5 6.14x
2.5 M
40
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name LOEWS CORPORATION LOEWS CORPORATION T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN STATE STREET VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO EPOCH INVESTMENT PAR PPM AMERICA INC SCHAFER CULLEN CAPIT FMR LLC BANK OF NEW YORK MEL WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL BANK OF AMERICA CORP NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BURGUNDY ASSET MANAG
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets Fearnley Fonds Iberia Capital Partners LLC JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group Johnson Rice & Co Cowen and Company Barclays Guggenheim Securities LLC Stephens Inc Deutsche Bank Credit Suisse Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Raymond James Susquehanna Financial Group Global Hunter Securities Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Swedbank First Securities Wells Fargo Securities, LLC FBR Capital Markets Morgan Stanley Howard Weil Inc Goldman Sachs Macquarie Williams Financial Group EVA Dimensions Nordea Equity Research DNB Markets RS Platou Markets Tudor Pickering & Co Arctic Securities ASA S&P Capital IQ Pareto Securities
Portfolio Name LOEWS CORPORATION n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a RENAISSANCE TECHNOLO EPOCH INVESTMENT PAR PPM AMERICA INC SCHAFER CULLEN CAPIT n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL BANK OF AMERICA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO BURGUNDY ASSET MANAG
Analyst KURT HALLEAD TRULS OLSEN TREY STOLZ J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY DAVID C SMITH J B LOWE JAMES C WEST DARREN GACICIA JOHN KELLER MICHAEL W URBAN GREGORY LEWIS LUKE M LEMOINE J MARSHALL ADKINS CHARLES P MINERVINO RYAN FITZGIBBON HAITHUM NOKTA BJORN THORESEN MATTHEW D CONLAN MEGAN REPINE OLE SLORER DAVID T WILSON WAQAR SYED NIGEL BROWNE MATTHEW BEEBY CRAIG STERLING DAVID BHATTI MARTIN HUSEBY KARLSEN ANDERS BERGLAND BYRON POPE KRISTOFFER RIIS IDEN STEWART GLICKMAN FRANK HARESTAD
Source 13F Research 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation sector perform reduce outperform overweight market perform underperform hold neutral equalweight market perform underweight neutral equalweight hold neutral add market perform neutral neutral market perform neutral outperform market perform Equalwt/In-Line sector outperform neutral/attractive neutral buy hold hold hold buy accumulate hold hold hold
Amt Held 70'104'620 70'104'620 5'460'196 4'447'829 4'073'759 3'925'350 3'264'141 3'255'926 2'513'749 2'459'800 2'208'480 1'511'200 1'459'956 1'411'508 1'338'885 1'321'865 1'320'200 1'161'353 905'885 883'821
% Out 50.42 50.42 3.93 3.2 2.93 2.82 2.35 2.34 1.81 1.77 1.59 1.09 1.05 1.02 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.84 0.65 0.64
Weighting
Change 3 2 5 5 3 1 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 4 3 3 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M D D M U M D D M
Latest Chg (197'095) 202'839 140'634 (144'106) (350'000) (6'696) 54'965 931'800 97'364 203'300 1'459'956 (258'432) 168'934 (510'316) 618'994 40'254 32'544 36'050
Target Price 76 #N/A N/A 92 79 75 58 74 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 78 82 73 75 68 77 78 #N/A N/A 75 75 73 76 #N/A N/A 74 85 83 85 76 87 #N/A N/A 74 71 80 #N/A N/A 80 73 73
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Corporation 31.03.2013 Corporation 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 6 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month
Date 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 11.06.2013 05.06.2013 30.05.2013 29.05.2013 23.05.2013 22.05.2013 22.05.2013 04.05.2013 29.04.2013 24.04.2013 15.04.2013 04.02.2013 18.10.2012 21.08.2012 31.01.2012
08.07.2013
TonenGeneral Sekiyu KK TonenGeneral Sekiyu K.K., imports, transports, refines, and markets crude oil, oil products, and petrochemicals.
Price/Volume 1200
4.5 M 4.0 M
1000
3.5 M
800
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.05.2013) 52-Week Low (03.08.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance 5012 JP EQUITY YTD Change 5012 JP EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 1'099.00 616.00 839'000.00 963 -12.37% 56.33% 74.12% 565.2 544'270.25 333'575.00 0.0 821.0 13'369.00 882'505.27
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
2.5 M 2.0 M
400
1.5 M 1.0 M
200
.5 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 3'272'429.0 0.18x 151'195.0 3.83x 79'285.0 6.38x
3.0 M
600
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 2'111'753.0 2'398'718.0 0.25x 0.23x (3'327.0) 61'662.0 8.99x (21'718.0) 42'873.0 11.69x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'677'115.0 0.20x 243'184.0 2.21x 132'779.0 3.57x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
LTM
FY+1
0.72 362.75 44.52% 31.71% 0.725 9 2.778 1'017'600 1'770'900 1'659'825 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
31.12.2012 03/yy 03/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'804'929.0 ######### ######### ######### ######### 0.21x 0.81x 0.85x 0.27x 64'196.0 82'104.0 80'351.0 90'492.5 84'347.6 9.24x 6.02x 8.40x 9.75x 10.46x 54'770.0 43'820.0 55'440.0 32'635.0 23'487.1 6.10x 9.81x 5.40x 11.05x 15.74x S&P Issuer Ratings 64'196.00 Long-Term Rating Date 11.05.2005 27'298.00 Long-Term Rating NR 0.97% Long-Term Outlook 1.38% Short-Term Rating Date 4.27% Short-Term Rating 16.32% Credit Ratios - EBITDA/Interest Exp. 28.36 2.22% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 22.54 Net Debt/EBITDA 4.20 3.3% Total Debt/EBITDA 4.86 2.8% Reference 1.4% Total Debt/Equity 116.0% 2.0% Total Debt/Capital 53.6% Asset Turnover 2.22 0.95 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 13.80 0.35 Accounts receivable turnover-days 43.82 24.08% Inventory Days 53.88 116.00% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 39.07 8.33 Cash Conversion Cycle 53.26 6.77
Price/ Cash Flow
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
80.00
3'500'000.0
70.00
3'000'000.0
60.00
2'500'000.0
50.00
2'000'000.0
40.00
1'500'000.0
30.00
1'000'000.0
20.00
500'000.0
10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
TonenGeneral Sekiyu KK Holdings By:
All
Holder Name TONENGENERAL SEKIYU EXXON MOBILE BAY LTD JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVIC MASTER TRUST BANK OF KOCHI SHINKIN BANK BLACKROCK BARCLAYS CAPITAL SEC STATE STREET CUSTODI NIPPON LIFE INSURANC STATE STREET VANGUARD GROUP INC NOMURA MITSUBISHI UFJ FINAN NORGES BANK TD ASSET MANAGEMENT SEB SAN-AI OIL CO LTD NIKKO ASSET MANAGEME DAIWA SECURITIES GRO SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUS
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a
Analyst
Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. TAKAHIRO YANO JPMorgan YUJI NISHIYAMA EVA Dimensions DOUG WALTERS Mizuho Securities NORIMASA SHINYA Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley SecuritieREIJI OGINO SMBC Nikko Securities Inc HIDETOSHI SHIODA
Source Co File Co File Co File Co File Co File ULT-AGG Co File ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG Co File ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG
Recommendation neutral neutral underweight neutral neutral outperform
Amt Held 200'628'000 80'000'000 16'815'000 9'724'000 8'509'000 6'844'000 6'000'000 5'558'000 4'223'000 3'354'956 2'890'148 2'608'410 2'204'000 2'086'214 2'055'200 1'721'100 1'222'000 886'000 772'000 521'000
% Out 35.5 14.15 2.98 1.72 1.51 1.21 1.06 0.98 0.75 0.59 0.51 0.46 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.3 0.22 0.16 0.14 0.09
Latest Chg
Weighting
Change
Target Price
3 3 1 3 3 5
N N M M D M
34 5'487'000 (483'000) 20'000 (374'000) 340'000 146'000 98'144 (3'000) 766'000 20'000 (238'000) (42'000)
950 1'000 #N/A N/A 950 950 1'000
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 03.07.2013 31.12.2012 31.12.2012 20.02.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 28.06.2013 30.04.2013 31.12.2012 30.04.2013 28.03.2013 31.03.2012 05.07.2013 30.04.2013 01.04.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month
Inst Type Corporation Corporation Bank Bank Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Other Insurance Company Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Unclassified Holding Company Government Investment Advisor Unclassified Corporation Unclassified Holding Company Bank
Date 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 28.05.2013 28.05.2013 14.03.2013
08.07.2013
Rowan Cos Plc Rowan Companies plc provides international and domestic contract drilling services. The Company also owns and operates a manufacturing division that produces equipment for the drilling, mining and timber industries.
Price/Volume 40
5.0 M 4.5 M 4.0 M 3.5 M 3.0 M 2.5 M 2.0 M 1.5 M 1.0 M .5 M .0 M
35 30 25 20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (18.09.2012) 52-Week Low (28.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance RDC US EQUITY YTD Change RDC US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 39.40 30.05 361'635.00 35.52 -10.00% 18.20% 48.98% 124.2 4'411.56 2'009.60 0.0 0.0 1'024.01 5'401.98
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10 5 0 j-12
a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data
Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 2'212.7 0.90x 731.7 2.73x 427.6 3.97x
15
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'770.2 1'017.7 1.58x 5.07x 666.7 570.5 4.18x 9.04x 367.5 280.0 7.59x 15.50x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 939.2 4.73x 363.9 12.21x 736.8 25.96x
31.12.2012 1'392.6 3.50x 540.7 9.01x 180.6 16.00x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
540.72 292.82 21.03% 13.07% 2.78% 4.43% 0.20% 28.2% 39.1% 21.6% 13.0% 5.28 4.92 26.10% 44.35% 3.66 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'066.8 17.56x 405.7 12.00x 754.3 23.09x
LTM 03/yy 1'453.4 13.99x 567.8 9.48x 199.2 17.43x
FY+1
0.00 1.36 123.12 3.00 8.59% 13.59% 1.356 40 3.975 792'133 975'032 1'045'879 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 1'555.3 1'942.9 395.8 386.4 3.92x 3.45x 13.87x 14.66x 626.3 892.6 155.6 163.3 8.63x 6.06x 8.38x 7.82x 273.1 459.2 67.8 74.9 16.25x 9.66x 16.07x 14.59x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
6.43 -1.72 1.74 3.54 44.3% 30.7% 0.20 0.25 99.84 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
120.00
2'500.0
100.00
2'000.0
80.00
1'500.0
60.00
1'000.0 40.00
500.0
20.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Rowan Cos Plc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK VANGUARD GROUP INC FIRST PACIFIC ADVISO STATE STREET FRANKLIN RESOURCES NEUBERGER BERMAN LLC SASCO CAPITAL INCORP FMR LLC DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV JENNISON ASSOCIATES ING INVESTMENT MANAG CITADEL ADVISORS LLC COLUMBIA WANGER ASSE WESTFIELD CAPITAL MG NORTHERN TRUST CORPO GAMCO TIMESSQUARE CAPITAL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL PINNACLE ASSOCIATES QVT FINANCIAL LP
Firm Name Fearnley Fonds RBC Capital Markets JPMorgan Sanford C. Bernstein & Co BMO Capital Markets Jefferies ISI Group Societe Generale Johnson Rice & Co Cowen and Company Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Guggenheim Securities LLC Susquehanna Financial Group Iberia Capital Partners LLC Swedbank First Securities Credit Suisse Howard Weil Inc Stephens Inc Barclays Global Hunter Securities Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs Macquarie FBR Capital Markets Williams Financial Group Deutsche Bank Raymond James Nordea Equity Research RS Platou Markets EVA Dimensions Tudor Pickering & Co DNB Markets S&P Capital IQ Pareto Securities Arctic Securities ASA
Portfolio Name n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC FIRST PACIFIC ADVISO n/a n/a NEUBERGER BERMAN GRO SASCO CAPITAL INCORP n/a n/a JENNISON ASSOCIATES ING INVESTMENT MANAG CITADEL ADVISORS LLC COLUMBIA WANGER ASSE WESTFIELD CAPITAL MA NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a TIMESSQUARE CAPITAL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL PINNACLE ASSOCIATES QVT FINANCIAL LP
Analyst TRULS OLSEN KURT HALLEAD J DAVID ANDERSON SCOTT GRUBER ALAN D LAWS BRAD HANDLER JUDSON E BAILEY EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO DAVID C SMITH J B LOWE LUKE M LEMOINE DARREN GACICIA CHARLES P MINERVINO TREY STOLZ BJORN THORESEN GREGORY LEWIS DAVID T WILSON JOHN KELLER JAMES C WEST BRIAN UHLMER HAITHUM NOKTA MATTHEW D CONLAN OLE SLORER WAQAR SYED NIGEL BROWNE MEGAN REPINE MATTHEW BEEBY MICHAEL W URBAN J MARSHALL ADKINS DAVID BHATTI ANDERS BERGLAND CRAIG STERLING BYRON POPE MARTIN HUSEBY KARLSEN STEWART GLICKMAN FRANK HARESTAD KRISTOFFER RIIS IDEN
Source ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation buy sector perform neutral market perform market perform buy neutral hold overweight market perform add neutral neutral outperform buy outperform sector outperform equalweight overweight neutral outperform outperform Equalwt/In-Line neutral/attractive outperform market perform buy hold market perform buy buy underweight hold buy buy buy hold
Amt Held 10'041'135 7'834'069 7'229'876 6'346'236 5'091'005 4'899'799 4'749'670 4'347'107 2'623'209 2'376'253 2'094'540 2'085'914 2'051'747 1'864'730 1'581'260 1'454'400 1'416'000 1'304'397 1'199'940 1'121'854
% Out 8.08 6.31 5.82 5.11 4.1 3.95 3.82 3.5 2.11 1.91 1.69 1.68 1.65 1.5 1.27 1.17 1.14 1.05 0.97 0.9
Weighting
Change 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 3 4 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 3 3 5 3 5 3 3 5 5 1 3 5 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M U M M M M D
Latest Chg 369'617 (49'400) (35'073) 3'450 1'194'435 (43'450) (864'505) (11'262) (88'621) (111'623) 1'099'516 736'493 224'185 38'679 (19'000) 253'400 51'280 (20'465) -
Target Price 43 38 34 37 38 39 #N/A N/A 36 #N/A N/A 37 38 36 37 42 42 45 44 38 40 31 38 #N/A N/A 42 39 40 35 41 32 #N/A N/A 50 42 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 40 38 47 38
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
Date Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 6 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided
Date 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 24.06.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 20.06.2013 11.06.2013 30.05.2013 23.05.2013 22.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 18.04.2013 15.04.2013 05.03.2013 04.02.2013 08.01.2013 19.11.2012 01.11.2012 01.11.2011
08.07.2013
Peabody Energy Corp Peabody Energy Corporation mines and markets predominantly low sulfur coal, primarily for use by electric utilities. The Company also trades coal and emission allowances. Peabody owns and operates mines in Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Wyoming, Illinois, Indiana, and Australia. The Company also a minority interest in a Venezuelan mine through a joint venture.
Price/Volume 35
40.0 M
30
35.0 M 30.0 M
25
25.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (02.11.2012) 52-Week Low (05.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 03.05.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance BTU US EQUITY YTD Change BTU US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 29.84 14.34 3'322'097.00 15.2 -49.40% 6.00% 2.00% 269.6 4'098.36 6'252.90 0.0 33.9 558.80 9'650.66
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 6'012.4 6'739.9 2.31x 2.79x 1'336.0 1'810.4 10.40x 10.37x 448.2 774.0 28.50x 21.08x Profitability
10.0 M
5
5.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 7'895.9 1.88x 2'150.1 6.91x 957.7 11.31x
31.12.2012 8'077.5 1.59x 1'876.0 6.86x (585.7) -
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'876.00 1'212.60 15.01% -2.58% -4.82% -14.76% 0.48% 18.3% 20.6% 11.8% -7.3% 1.54 0.77 39.55% 127.48% 11.10 12.27
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 8'211.6 6.83x 2'221.5 6.15x 954.0 10.45x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 7'821.9 6.18x 1'612.6 6.98x (781.8) 0.00x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
2.24 1.66 268.16 16.64 -37.95% -42.45% 1.659 26 4.038 5'846'555 7'940'182 8'024'423 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 7'406.2 8'233.2 1'831.2 1'888.3 1.31x 1.13x 5.21x 5.10x 1'158.0 1'545.5 284.1 300.6 8.33x 6.24x 7.35x 6.70x 2.4 293.1 (4.3) 11.3 14.86x 75.62x 33.26x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
15.09.2008 BB+ STABLE 4.63 1.51 3.42 3.81 127.5% 55.9% 0.48 0.66 32.90 29.74 81.81 29.91
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
20.00
9'000.0
18.00
8'000.0
16.00
7'000.0
14.00
6'000.0
12.00
5'000.0
10.00
4'000.0
8.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'000.0
2.00 0.00 01.01.2010
15.0 M
10
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'561.0 1.28x 1'725.8 4.87x 952.9 7.15x
20.0 M
15
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Peabody Energy Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name BLACKROCK FMR LLC VANGUARD GROUP INC STATE STREET SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL DEUTSCHE BANK AG BARCLAYS PLC BANK OF NEW YORK MEL MORGAN STANLEY WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO PACIFIC HEIGHTS ASSE UBS JP MORGAN FRANKLIN RESOURCES PERRY CORP GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA TRADEWINDS GLOBAL IN BALYASNY ASSET MANAG
Firm Name Nomura Jefferies Raymond James Simmons & Company International Barclays Stifel Iberia Capital Partners LLC JPMorgan Davenport & Co FBR Capital Markets Cowen and Company Howard Weil Inc Tudor Pickering & Co Sterne, Agee & Leach Brean Capital LLC BB&T Capital Markets Clarkson Capital Markets LLC Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs BMO Capital Markets Morgan Stanley EVA Dimensions Johnson Rice & Co
Portfolio Name n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL n/a n/a BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN NORTHERN TRUST CORPO PACIFIC HEIGHTS ASSE n/a n/a n/a PERRY CORPORATION n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA TRADEWINDS GLOBAL IN BALYASNY ASSET MANAG
Analyst CURTIS WOODWORTH PETER D WARD JAMES M ROLLYSON CALEB DORFMAN DAVID GAGLIANO PAUL FORWARD DAVID E BEARD JOHN BRIDGES J CHRISTOPHER HABERLIN MITESH B THAKKAR DANIEL W SCOTT HOLLY STEWART BRANDON BLOSSMAN MICHAEL S DUDAS LUCAS PIPES MARK A LEVIN JEREMY SUSSMAN DAVID S MARTIN BRIAN SINGER MEREDITH H BANDY EVAN L KURTZ CRAIG STERLING WILLIAM BURNS
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation neutral buy market perform overweight overweight buy outperform overweight buy outperform market perform sector outperform accumulate buy hold buy market perform buy neutral/neutral market perform Equalwt/In-Line overweight suspended coverage
Amt Held 19'885'091 16'899'720 16'749'373 12'590'022 5'177'543 5'092'372 5'068'508 3'865'087 3'762'237 3'635'534 3'616'442 3'535'000 3'360'742 3'349'140 3'202'980 3'161'000 3'126'129 2'545'442 2'462'199 2'379'249
% Out 7.37 6.27 6.21 4.67 1.92 1.89 1.88 1.43 1.4 1.35 1.34 1.31 1.25 1.24 1.19 1.17 1.16 0.94 0.91 0.88
Weighting
Change
3 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 4 5 3 5 3 5 3 3 3 5 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M M M M M M D M M M N M M M M M M
Latest Chg (3'860'999) 3'076'526 910'215 (300'498) 435'652 3'583'121 4'395'832 218'780 2'582'182 (9'208'359) 86'089 15'000 792'588 (7'408'618) 76'441 3'161'000 67'129 (60'990) 730'728 (89'491)
Target Price 16 40 #N/A N/A 22 35 30 30 29 21 24 20 27 29 35 #N/A N/A 30 21 26 22 20 17 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Hedge Fund Manager
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 6 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Date 05.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 26.06.2013 25.06.2013 24.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 17.06.2013 07.06.2013 04.06.2013 04.06.2013 10.05.2013 07.05.2013 24.04.2013 18.04.2013 15.01.2013 04.01.2013
08.07.2013
WorleyParsons Ltd WorleyParsons Limited provides professional services through alliance and integrated service contracts to the energy, resource and complex process industries. The Company provides its services to industrial sectors such as oil and gas refining, petrochemicals and chemicals, minerals and metals, power and water and industrial and infrastructure.
Price/Volume 30
7.0 M 6.0 M
20
5.0 M
15
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.09.2012) 52-Week Low (13.06.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 02.07.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance WOR AU EQUITY YTD Change WOR AU EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
06/2012 01/yy 28.40 18.61 692'150.00 20.18 -28.94% 8.44% 15.73% 243.2 4'907.47 736.80 0.0 22.5 195.90 5'444.47
30.06.2008 4'607.1 2.12x 542.3 18.05x 343.9 26.57x
4.0 M 3.0 M
10
2.0 M 5 0 j-12
1.0 M .0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
8.0 M
25
30.06.2009 30.06.2010 5'794.7 5'059.7 1.09x 1.21x 641.8 460.0 9.86x 13.26x 390.5 291.1 14.78x 18.74x Profitability
30.06.2011 5'605.1 1.33x 532.1 14.04x 364.2 19.04x
30.06.2012 7'389.5 0.91x 601.4 11.19x 353.2 17.47x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
601.40 498.40 6.74% 6.68% 8.38% 18.50% 14.81% 2.00% 7.0% 5.8% 4.8% 1.50 0.74 16.78% 37.64% 10.29 -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q
LTM
01/yy
01/yy -
FY+1 -
4.58 1.04 212.58 5.23 -16.37% -12.26% 1.038 16 3.875 1'010'408 1'211'308 1'303'553 FY+2
06/13 Y 06/14 Y 8'312.2 8'743.4 0.66x 0.62x 630.8 681.7 8.63x 7.99x 332.1 363.4 14.92x 13.64x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
11.77 10.61 0.85 1.58 37.6% 27.1% 2.00 68.06 35.57 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
35.00
8'000.0
30.00
7'000.0 6'000.0
25.00
5'000.0 20.00
4'000.0 15.00
3'000.0
10.00
2'000.0
5.00
1'000.0
0.00 03.07.2009
0.0 03.01.2010
03.07.2010
03.01.2011
03.07.2011
03.01.2012
03.07.2012
03.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
WorleyParsons Ltd Holdings By:
All
Holder Name WILACI PTY LTD COMMONWEALTH BANK OF INVESCO LTD BANK OF NEW YORK MEL GRILL JOHN MICHAEL VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK MORGAN STANLEY VERITAS ASSET MANAGE NORGES BANK JUHA PTY LTD HAJU PTY LTD BENKE LARRY MAX VANGUARD INVESTMENTS EVENROSE PTY LTD JOHALIUS PTY LTD AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL GREEN JOHN M MAJLIS PTY LTD T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA
Firm Name Credit Suisse Macquarie EVA Dimensions Commonwealth Bank Shaw Stockbroking Morgan Stanley Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs JPMorgan CIMB Moelis & Company Paterson Securities
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios
Analyst EMMA ALCOCK JOHN PURTELL DOUG WALTERS BEN BROWNETTE DANNY YOUNIS NICHOLAS ROBISON CRAIG WONGPAN NATHAN REILLY ANTHONY PASSE-DE SILVA MARK SAMTER SIMON FITZGERALD GEORGE GALANOPOULOS
Source EXCH EXCH ULT-AGG MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG EXCH EXCH EXCH MF-AGG EXCH EXCH MF-AGG Co File EXCH MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform outperform hold overweight hold Overwt/Cautious hold buy/attractive underweight outperform hold buy
Amt Held 16'891'039 11'730'163 4'817'719 3'959'345 3'932'055 2'210'016 2'112'451 1'913'444 1'837'962 1'673'192 1'500'000 1'500'000 1'133'383 1'089'858 1'053'136 1'053'136 908'553 891'869 609'376 582'143
% Out 6.95 4.82 1.98 1.63 1.62 0.91 0.87 0.79 0.76 0.69 0.62 0.62 0.47 0.45 0.43 0.43 0.37 0.37 0.25 0.24
Weighting
Change 5 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 1 5 3 5
M M M M D M U M M M U U
Latest Chg (400'860) 2'451 576'930 75'822 1'903 33'570 3'188 23'386 (171'313) (6'661)
Target Price 23 25 #N/A N/A 23 22 22 19 23 19 26 21 28
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 01.03.2013 29.03.2012 05.07.2013 05.07.2013 01.03.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 30.09.2012 31.12.2012 01.03.2013 01.03.2013 02.10.2012 30.09.2012 09.02.2011 01.03.2013 31.05.2013 29.08.2012 20.05.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month
Inst Type Unclassified Bank Investment Advisor Investment Advisor n/a Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Government Other Other n/a Investment Advisor Unclassified Other Investment Advisor n/a Other Investment Advisor
Date 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 06.06.2013 04.06.2013 20.05.2013 19.05.2013 17.05.2013 17.05.2013 17.05.2013 17.05.2013 17.05.2013 11.12.2012
08.07.2013
WPX Energy Inc WPX Energy Inc. is an independent natural gas and oil exploration and production company. The Company is focused on its natural gas reserve base and related NGLs in the Piceance Basin of the Rocky Mountain region, the Bakken Shale oil play in North Dakota, and the Marcellus Shale natural gas play in Pennsylvania.
Price/Volume 25
8.0 M 7.0 M
20
6.0 M 5.0 M
15
4.0 M
Valuation Analysis
10
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (22.05.2013) 52-Week Low (28.02.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 30.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance WPX US EQUITY YTD Change WPX US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 21.12 14.03 650'792.00 19.33 -8.45% 37.78% 69.30% 200.2 3'870.42 1'508.00 0.0 103.0 153.00 5'453.42
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 3'700.0 4'034.0 1'260.0 1'226.0 140.0 (1'291.0) Profitability
0 j-12
1.0 M .0 M a-12
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 3'882.0 1.20x 1'176.0 3.95x (302.0) 42.11x
31.12.2012 3'189.0 1.39x 918.0 4.82x (223.0) -
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
918.00 -55.00 -1.72% -10.79% -3.01% -5.49% 0.30% 41.5% 25.8% -7.5% -7.0% 1.06 0.82 15.95% 28.63% 7.05 32.24
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'880.0 5.03x 554.0 0.00x (381.0) 0.00x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 2'910.0 6.28x 751.0 6.38x (296.0) 0.00x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.00 198.71 13.53 23.59% 29.91% 12 3.250 2'159'628 2'368'377 2'728'839 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 3'062.7 3'561.7 770.7 812.0 1.80x 1.59x 7.07x 6.75x 905.5 1'138.8 214.7 226.3 6.00x 4.77x 5.89x 5.67x (142.3) (21.4) (32.0) (24.2) S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
07.11.2011 BB+ STABLE 9.00 -5.91 1.97 2.12 28.6% 21.9% 0.30 0.35 51.74 11.32 103.95 -50.95
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
7'000.0
6.00
6'000.0
5.00
5'000.0
4.00
4'000.0
3.00
3'000.0
2.00
2'000.0
1.00
1'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
2.0 M
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 6'226.0 2'071.0 728.0 -
3.0 M
5
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
WPX Energy Inc Holdings By:
All
Holder Name T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA FRANKLIN RESOURCES TACONIC CAPITAL ADVI VANGUARD GROUP INC SHAPIRO CAPITAL MANA BLACKROCK DONALD SMITH & CO IN STATE STREET WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SCOUT INVESTMENT ADV HORIZON KINETICS LEVIN CAPITAL STRATE FMR LLC POWER CORP OF CANADA MILLENNIUM MANAGEMEN RIVER ROAD ASSET MAN STEADFAST CAPITAL MG BRENNER WEST CAPITAL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Tudor Pickering & Co Robert W. Baird & Co Susquehanna Financial Group Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Barclays EVA Dimensions Deutsche Bank Howard Weil Inc Cowen and Company BNP Paribas Equity Research JPMorgan Spin-Off Research
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a VANGUARD GROUP INC SHAPIRO CAPITAL MANA n/a DONALD SMITH & CO IN n/a WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN SCOUT INVESTMENT ADV n/a LEVIN CAPITAL STRATE n/a n/a MILLENNIUM MANAGEMEN RIVER ROAD ASSET MAN STEADFAST CAPITAL MG BRENNER WEST CAPITAL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL NORTHERN TRUST CORPO
Analyst PHILLIP JUNGWIRTH MATTHEW PORTILLO HSULIN PENG DUANE GRUBERT BRIAN T VELIE THOMAS R DRISCOLL CRAIG STERLING STEPHEN RICHARDSON BRIAN CORALES NICHOLAS P POPE DANIEL BRAZILLER JOSEPH D ALLMAN TEAM COVERAGE
Source 13G ULT-AGG 13D 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F
Recommendation market perform hold neutral neutral add equalweight hold hold sector perform buy suspended coverage neutral neutral
Amt Held 20'495'469 13'538'010 12'800'000 12'211'845 9'953'871 9'633'551 8'627'243 8'194'883 6'180'992 5'740'192 5'524'558 4'130'696 3'925'427 3'507'933 2'981'532 2'790'685 2'519'232 2'311'265 2'158'596 2'135'348
% Out 10.24 6.76 6.39 6.1 4.97 4.81 4.31 4.09 3.09 2.87 2.76 2.06 1.96 1.75 1.49 1.39 1.26 1.15 1.08 1.07
Weighting
Change
3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 5 #N/A N/A 3 3
M M M M M M D M M M M M D
Latest Chg 1'197'800 (1'135'363) 2'900'000 408'529 1'242'372 452'306 1'745'471 56'686 (3'534'998) 2'532'054 2'511'583 344'299 (625'832) (2'278'600) 2'592'101 2'381'172 2'519'232 (1'010'649) (1'099'014) 88'075
Target Price 18 19 21 18 26 15 #N/A N/A 20 20 20 #N/A N/A 16 16
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 17.05.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Holding Company Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Hedge Fund Manager Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 01.07.2013 27.06.2013 18.06.2013 03.05.2013 03.05.2013 02.05.2013 02.05.2013 19.04.2013 27.03.2013 29.01.2013 02.11.2012
08.07.2013
Newfield Exploration Co Newfield Exploration Company is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. The Company's domestic areas of operation include the Mid-Continent, the Rocky Mountains and onshore Texas. Newfield has international operations in Malaysia and China.
Price/Volume 40
25.0 M
35
20.0 M
30 25
Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (14.09.2012) 52-Week Low (22.04.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 22.04.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance NFX US EQUITY YTD Change NFX US EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 35.65 19.57 311'719.00 24.892 -30.29% 27.19% 30.72% 135.4 3'371.53 3'045.00 0.0 0.0 88.00 6'372.53
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
10.0 M
15 10
5.0 M
5 0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'968.0 2.44x 1'401.0 3.42x (373.0) 6.11x
15.0 M
20
Valuation Analysis
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'338.0 1'883.0 6.26x 6.34x 864.0 1'265.0 9.69x 9.44x (542.0) 523.0 9.31x 15.97x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'471.0 3.24x 1'503.0 5.33x 539.0 9.47x
31.12.2012 2'567.0 2.56x 1'476.0 4.46x (1'184.0) -
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
1'476.00 521.00 20.30% -38.49% -15.42% -38.34% 0.30% 29.4% 55.9% 18.5% -46.1% 0.90 0.56 38.49% 109.53% 5.71 16.70
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 2'604.0 13.77x 1'582.0 4.78x 672.0 8.93x
LTM 03/yy 2'540.0 10.56x 1'420.0 4.25x (1'308.0) 0.00x
FY+1
0.00 1.51 133.32 7.56 -14.90% -7.05% 1.512 24 3.833 1'312'723 2'139'058 2'586'453 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 2'550.7 2'517.3 628.5 633.6 2.43x 2.67x 10.35x 10.48x 1'480.9 1'551.3 350.6 354.6 4.29x 4.10x 4.66x 4.77x 208.1 322.7 52.9 52.0 15.05x 10.48x 13.98x 12.24x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
07.07.2010 BBBNEG 7.20 -1.53 2.11 2.14 109.5% 52.3% 0.30 0.34 63.88 21.86 12.92 65.79
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
7.00
3'000.0
6.00
2'500.0
5.00
2'000.0
4.00
1'500.0 3.00
1'000.0 2.00
500.0
1.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Newfield Exploration Co Holdings By:
All
Holder Name VANGUARD GROUP INC BLACKROCK WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP STATE STREET T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA JENNISON ASSOCIATES HERNDON CAPITAL MANA SOUTHERNSUN ASSET MA CORTLAND ADVISERS LL VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME OSLO ASSET MANAGEMEN FIRST PACIFIC ADVISO INVESCO LTD LEGG MASON INC FMR LLC NORTHERN TRUST CORPO WELLS FARGO EARNEST PARTNERS LLC
Firm Name BMO Capital Markets Jefferies Raymond James Tudor Pickering & Co FBR Capital Markets ISI Group Capital One Southcoast, Inc. Stifel Howard Weil Inc Societe Generale Simmons & Company International Macquarie Wells Fargo Securities, LLC KeyBanc Capital Markets Deutsche Bank JPMorgan Barrington Research Barclays KLR Group RBC Capital Markets BNP Paribas Equity Research Goldman Sachs EVA Dimensions Johnson Rice & Co
Portfolio Name VANGUARD GROUP INC n/a n/a HARRIS ASSOC LP n/a T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA JENNISON ASSOCIATES HERNDON CAPITAL MANA SOUTHERNSUN ASSET MA CORTLAND ADVISERS LL n/a CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME OSLO ASSET MANAGEMEN FIRST PACIFIC ADVISO n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a NORTHERN TRUST CORPO n/a EARNEST PARTNERS LLC
Analyst DAN MCSPIRIT SUBASH CHANDRA ANDREW COLEMAN MATTHEW PORTILLO REHAN RASHID JONATHAN WOLFF RICHARD TULLIS AMIR ARIF PETER KISSEL JOHN HERRLIN DAVID W KISTLER JOSEPH MAGNER DAVID R TAMERON JACK N AYDIN STEPHEN RICHARDSON JOSEPH D ALLMAN RUDOLF A HOKANSON THOMAS R DRISCOLL GAIL A NICHOLSON LEO P MARIANI DANIEL BRAZILLER BRIAN SINGER CRAIG STERLING KENNETH CARROLL
Source 13F ULT-AGG 13G 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG 13F ULT-AGG 13F
Recommendation market perform buy market perform buy outperform neutral add buy sector outperform buy neutral neutral market perform hold hold overweight outperform overweight accumulate outperform suspended coverage neutral/attractive underweight suspended coverage
Amt Held 8'429'771 7'472'288 7'339'038 7'082'738 6'001'594 4'900'995 3'926'777 3'834'811 3'604'128 3'300'000 3'226'184 3'186'508 2'587'100 2'524'300 2'410'894 2'279'796 2'110'678 2'074'377 2'046'889 2'017'825
% Out 6.22 5.52 5.42 5.23 4.43 3.62 2.9 2.83 2.66 2.44 2.38 2.35 1.91 1.86 1.78 1.68 1.56 1.53 1.51 1.49
Weighting
Change
3 5 3 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 4 5 #N/A N/A 3 1 #N/A N/A
M M M M M M M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M
Latest Chg 441'401 311'699 (1'435'062) 354'500 (102'855) (2'918'827) 159'138 2'167'102 1'456'404 (46'354) 157'073 89'900 639'457 8'766 638'774 199'629 (112'404) (13'123)
Target Price 23 32 #N/A N/A 48 35 #N/A N/A 41 #N/A N/A 41 35 43 28 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A 27 29 41 29 38 30 #N/A N/A 28 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt 31.03.2013 03.07.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 05.07.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 31.03.2013 30.04.2013 31.03.2013
Date Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided
Inst Type Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor Investment Advisor
Date 07.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 25.06.2013 23.06.2013 18.06.2013 18.06.2013 17.06.2013 13.06.2013 11.06.2013 06.06.2013 29.05.2013 23.05.2013 19.05.2013 02.05.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 25.04.2013 24.04.2013 27.03.2013 21.02.2013 21.02.2013 09.11.2012
08.07.2013
Galp Energia SGPS SA Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. is an integrated energy company with diversified activities Worldwide. The Company is focused in the prolific South Atlantic area, including Brazil's pre-salt Santos basin and the Angolan offshore, and in the world class Rovuma basin in Mozambique. Downstream activities are centred in Iberia and comprise the Refining & Marketing and the Gas & Power businesses.
Price/Volume 14
12.0 M
12
10.0 M
10
8.0 M
8
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (19.10.2012) 52-Week Low (25.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 31.03.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance GALP PL EQUITY YTD Change GALP PL EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
4.0 M
4
2.0 M
2 0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 12'008.3 14'063.7 1.00x 1.05x 766.3 969.9 15.62x 15.22x 347.3 441.4 28.76x 27.06x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 16'803.9 0.77x 1'045.6 12.43x 432.7 21.88x
31.12.2012 18'507.0 0.69x 968.3 13.16x 343.3 28.68x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
968.29 541.82 2.93% 3.03% 1.61% 4.19% 1.25% 4.6% 2.2% 1.9% 1.67 0.90 25.76% 66.34% 13.02 -
Price/ Cash Flow
s-12
o-12
n-12
LTM
03/yy 17'803.9 3.19x 1'047.6 11.74x 413.7 24.68x
d-12
03/yy 18'183.0 2.75x 838.0 15.95x 233.0 42.14x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
FY+1
0.94 310.91 14.30% -0.29% 0.938 30 4.467 1'510'821 1'572'161 1'451'063 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 19'058.7 21'579.3 3'402.0 3'553.3 0.68x 0.62x 3.81x 3.74x 1'194.4 1'422.0 291.3 340.0 10.78x 9.05x 9.53x 8.77x 363.2 432.1 94.0 102.5 25.58x 22.42x 23.46x 21.79x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
3.99 0.68 2.23 4.90 66.3% 34.8% 1.25 4.07 28.04 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
45.00
20'000.0
40.00
18'000.0
35.00
16'000.0 14'000.0
30.00
12'000.0
25.00 20.00
10'000.0 8'000.0
15.00
6'000.0
10.00
4'000.0
5.00
2'000.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 15'085.8 0.52x 407.0 19.26x 117.0 51.29x
6.0 M
6
12/2012 03/yy 13.29 9.99 723'851.00 11.615 -12.76% 16.25% 47.02% 829.3 9'631.75 3'582.92 0.0 1'304.8 1'894.07 12'863.75
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Galp Energia SGPS SA Holdings By:
All
Holder Name AMORIM ENERGIA ENI SPA PARPUBLICA - PARTICI FRANKLIN RESOURCES TEMPLETON GLOBAL ADV JP MORGAN SECURITIES VANGUARD GROUP INC CAIXA GERAL DE DEPOS NORGES BANK SCHRODER INVESTMENT LBPAM ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE HARTFORD INVESTMENTS ING INTERNATIONAL AD NEW JERSEY DIVISION BLACKROCK DELTA LLOYD FUND MAN INVESCO LTD MASON STREET ADVISOR HARTFORD INVESTMENT
Firm Name
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co OSWALD CLINT NMAS 1 Agencia de Valores FERNANDO LAFUENTE Exane BNP Paribas ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS Credit Suisse THOMAS YOICHI ADOLFF Equita SIM SpA MASSIMO BONISOLI Nomura MATTHEW LOFTING AlphaValue ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER Morgan Stanley HAYTHEM RASHED Espirito Santo Investment Bank Research FILIPE ROSA Barclays LYDIA RAINFORTH BPI BRUNO ALMEIDA DA SILVA Deutsche Bank MARK BLOOMFIELD Societe Generale MEHDI ENNEBATI Grupo Santander JASON KENNEY Caixa Banco de Investimento(ESN) CARLOS JESUS BBVA LUIS DE TOLEDO EVA Dimensions DOUG WALTERS Macquarie MARC B KOFLER Tudor Pickering & Co ANISH KAPADIA Canaccord Genuity Corp GORDON GRAY Investec NEILL MORTON BCP Investimento VANDA MESQUITA JPMorgan NITIN SHARMA Banco de Investimento Global SA JOAO LAMPREIA Jefferies BRENDAN MICHAEL WARN Goldman Sachs HENRY MORRIS Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY
Source EXCH EXCH Research ULT-AGG EXCH EXCH MF-AGG EXCH MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG MF-AGG MF-AGG
Recommendation outperform buy outperform outperform hold buy sell Overwt/In-Line buy overweight buy buy buy buy buy outperform sell outperform buy buy hold buy overweight buy buy Buy/Cautious hold
Amt Held 317'934'637 135'497'095 58'079'514 20'598'627 16'870'865 11'928'253 8'863'512 6'590'294 6'100'641 4'359'559 3'685'941 3'558'068 2'385'000 2'053'695 2'000'000 1'985'522 1'854'715 1'689'488 1'618'820 1'600'982
% Out 38.34 16.34 7 2.48 2.03 1.44 1.07 0.79 0.74 0.53 0.44 0.43 0.29 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.2 0.2 0.19
Weighting
Change 5 5 5 5 3 5 1 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 3
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M N M M M M M D
Latest Chg (4'810'350) 1'112'147 (1'232'701) 3'444'941 (323'223) 315'000 676'641 6'284 526'224 492'770 9'999
Target Price 19 14 17 15 12 15 10 17 17 16 17 15 14 15 17 19 #N/A N/A 16 17 15 13 16 16 15 15 15 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.05.2013 Other 31.05.2013 Corporation 22.01.2013 Other 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 12.04.2013 Investment Advisor 24.09.2012 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 26.11.2012 Government 31.12.2012 Government 28.03.2013 Investment Advisor 28.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor 30.06.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA) 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 6 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 6 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 03.07.2013 02.07.2013 01.07.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 26.06.2013 10.06.2013 06.06.2013 03.06.2013 31.05.2013 30.05.2013 13.05.2013 24.04.2013 16.04.2013 15.04.2013 11.04.2013 20.03.2013 19.03.2013
08.07.2013
Enerplus Corp Enerplus Corp. is an oil and gas exploration and production company that owns a large, diversified portfolio of income generating crude oil and natural gas properties. The Company invests in mature crude oil and natural gas producing properties located primarily in western Canada with predictable production profiles.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (28.05.2013) 52-Week Low (16.11.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance ERF CN EQUITY YTD Change ERF CN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 03/yy 16.95 11.53 262'397.00 15.89 -6.43% 37.81% 73.43% 200.0 3'229.15 1'069.57 0.0 0.0 5.20 4'354.91
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
9.0 M
16
8.0 M
14
7.0 M
12
6.0 M
10
5.0 M
8
4.0 M
6
3.0 M
4
2.0 M
2
1.0 M
0 j-12
31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'051.7 1'103.7 4.54x 5.57x 609.8 688.0 7.83x 8.94x 89.1 (179.3) 83.48x 37.86x Profitability
LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 1'118.5 4.99x 722.2 7.73x 109.4 31.14x
31.12.2012 1'096.7 3.31x 656.7 5.52x (155.7) 27.45x
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
656.65 145.90 13.30% -19.78% -2.25% -3.91% 0.19% 21.9% 48.1% 0.5% -14.2% 0.63 0.44 19.76% 35.07% 7.92 -
Price/ Cash Flow
03/yy 1'131.5 19.64x 719.7 7.35x 46.1 31.03x
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
LTM 03/yy 1'090.0 14.49x 524.8 7.79x (127.2) 36.20x
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13
m-13
j-13
FY+1
8.50 1.36 198.41 7.00 29.40% 28.73% 1.360 18 4.000 572'003 718'093 851'619 FY+2
FQ+1
FQ+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3 1'519.0 1'624.4 362.5 376.0 2.94x 2.83x 12.03x 11.55x 781.8 857.8 197.0 204.5 5.57x 5.08x 5.33x 5.20x 147.4 201.5 45.5 45.0 19.79x 14.71x 15.10x 14.80x S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
9.36 -5.61 2.15 2.17 35.1% 26.0% 0.19 0.21 46.11 132.26 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
10.00
2'000.0
9.00
1'800.0
8.00
1'600.0
7.00
1'400.0
6.00
1'200.0
5.00 4.00
1'000.0 800.0
3.00
600.0
2.00
400.0
1.00
200.0
0.00 01.01.2010
.0 M a-12
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'901.9 2.43x 1'476.0 3.13x 888.9 4.15x
18
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Enerplus Corp Holdings By:
All
Holder Name ROYAL BANK OF CANADA BMO FINANCIAL CORP CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN IG INVESTMENT MANAGE INTACT INVESTMENT MA GUGGENHEIM NORGES BANK GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU UBS TD ASSET MANAGEMENT AGF INVESTMENTS INC VANGUARD GROUP INC SCOTIA CAPITAL INC MORGAN STANLEY WOITAS CLAYTON H PUBLIC SECTOR PENSIO MIDDLEFIELD SECURITI THE BANK OF NOVA SCO ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN
Firm Name RBC Capital Markets Scotia Capital BMO Capital Markets Accountability Research Corp Alta Corp Capital Inc. FirstEnergy Capital Corp TD Securities Credit Suisse Macquarie Barclays CIBC World Markets Peters & Co Ltd National Bank Financial Raymond James EVA Dimensions Salman Partners Veritas Investment Research Co
Portfolio Name n/a BMO FINANCIAL CORP CIBC WORLD MARKETS I TORONTO DOMINION BAN IG INVESTMENT MANAGE INTACT INVESTEMENT M n/a NORGES BANK GREAT WEST LIFE ASSU n/a TD ASSET MANAGEMENT AGF INVESTMENTS INC Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a PUBLIC SECTOR PENSIO Multiple Portfolios THE BANK OF NOVA SCO ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN
Analyst GREG M PARDY PATRICK BRYDEN GORDON TAIT MICHAEL RUGGIRELLO DIRK M LEVER KATRINA L KARKKAINEN AARON BILKOSKI JASON FREW CRISTINA LOPEZ GRANT HOFER JEREMY KALIEL ADAM R TWA KYLE PRESTON KRISTOPHER ZACK DOUG WALTERS GORDON CURRIE SAM LA BELL
Source ULT-AGG 13F 13F 13F 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F ULT-AGG 13F 13F MF-AGG MF-AGG ULT-AGG SEDI 13F MF-AGG 13F 13F
Recommendation sector perform sector outperform market perform hold sector perform outperform buy outperform outperform overweight sector perform sector perform outperform outperform sell buy buy
Amt Held 7'037'592 4'566'049 2'924'670 2'503'795 2'411'995 2'023'203 1'725'998 1'557'823 1'501'397 1'266'413 1'264'536 1'151'657 1'136'186 1'113'573 1'047'636 1'022'487 924'821 795'000 739'200 673'597
% Out 3.52 2.28 1.46 1.25 1.21 1.01 0.86 0.78 0.75 0.63 0.63 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.52 0.51 0.46 0.4 0.37 0.34
Weighting
Change 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 5 5 1 5 5
M U M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
Latest Chg 641'584 284'553 12'382 (206'746) 205'930 (1'232'000) 291'381 43'805 46'371 (169'386) 812'900 92'200 (14) (220'859) (200'000) 25'914 (25'000) 58'262 25'304
Target Price 18 18 17 16 20 20 19 17 19 17 16 17 20 17 #N/A N/A 17 22
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.03.2013 Bank 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.12.2012 Government 31.03.2013 Insurance Company 31.03.2013 Unclassified 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 25.04.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 10.01.2012 n/a 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor 31.03.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA)
Date 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 08.07.2013 08.07.2013 07.07.2013 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 02.07.2013 02.07.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 28.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 27.06.2013 17.06.2013 06.06.2013 13.05.2013 13.05.2013
08.07.2013
Cairn Energy PLC Cairn Energy PLC is oil and gas exploration and development company. The Company operates in North West Europe, North Atlantic, Mediterranean, and South Asia.
Price/Volume
Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (12.04.2013) 52-Week Low (03.07.2013) Daily Volume Current Price (7/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 28.06.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance CNE LN EQUITY YTD Change CNE LN EQUITY YTD % CHANGE
12/2012 01/yy 309.60 250.70 1'048'677.00 266.4 -14.05% 6.26% 18.00% 603.3 1'607.10 29.60 0.0 0.0 1'588.60 841.85
Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E
7.0 M
300
6.0 M
250
5.0 M
200
4.0 M
150
3.0 M
100
2.0 M
50
1.0 M
0 j-12
.0 M a-12
s-12
o-12
n-12
d-12
j-13
f-13 m-13
a-13 m-13
j-13
Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month
Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 299.3 12.26x 111.9 32.80x 348.8 10.93x
350
31.12.2009
31.12.2010
11.3 687.86x 19.0 Profitability
31.12.2011
(108.9) 794.3 -
31.12.2012
(984.9) 4'101.1 -
EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover
LTM
01/yy
01/yy
(237.8) 72.6 38.64x -237.80 -241.30 1.24% 1.38% 11.32 10.42 0.68% 0.81% -
Price/ Cash Flow
LTM-4Q -
FY+1 -
0.00 1.24 577.51 -3.86% 0.60% 1.239 30 4.067 860'472 1'640'017 1'949'420 FY+2
12/13 Y 12/14 Y 1.5 1.0 712.97x 1611.85x (100.0) (111.3) (89.9) (105.6) S&P Issuer Ratings
Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle
FQ+1
FQ+2
-
-
-182.92 -182.92 -0.12 0.8% 0.8% 164.80 -
Sales/Revenue/Turnover
80.00
350.0
70.00
300.0
60.00
250.0
50.00
200.0
40.00
150.0
30.00
100.0
20.00
50.0
10.00 0.00 01.01.2010
0.0 01.07.2010
01.01.2011
01.07.2011
01.01.2012
01.07.2012
01.01.2013
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
08.07.2013
Cairn Energy PLC Holdings By:
All
Holder Name SUN LIFE FINANCIAL I FRANKLIN RESOURCES BLACKROCK A ROTHSCHILD FOUNDAT The Bat Hanadiv Foun AVIVA INVESTORS SCOTTISH WIDOWS LEGAL & GENERAL BANK OF NEW YORK MEL SCHRODER INVESTMENT CAPITAL GROUP INTERN NORGES BANK INVESTME GOVT OF SINGAPORE IN ACADIAN ASSET MANAGE HSBC Investment Fund CREDIT SUISSE AG STATE STREET APG ALGEMENE PENSIOE OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC
Firm Name Finncap Tudor Pickering & Co AlphaValue Jefferies FirstEnergy Capital Corp Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Merrion Stockbrokers JPMorgan Societe Generale Goldman Sachs GMP Barclays Investec Exane BNP Paribas Deutsche Bank Morgan Stanley Oriel Securities Ltd RBC Capital Markets Numis Securities Ltd HSBC Macquarie Nomura Day by Day Liberum Capital Ltd Canaccord Genuity Corp N+1 Singer Ltd Davy S&P Capital IQ Arden Partners Ltd
Portfolio Name n/a n/a n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios n/a n/a Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios Multiple Portfolios
Analyst WILLIAM ARNSTEIN ANISH KAPADIA ALEXANDRE ANDLAUER LAURA LOPPACHER STEPHANE FOUCAUD OSWALD CLINT MUNA MULEYA JAMES THOMPSON DAVID MIRZAI RUTH BROOKER TEAM COVERAGE ALESSANDRO POZZI JERRY HO ALEJANDRO DEMICHELIS PHIL CORBETT JAMIE MADDOCK RICHARD GRIFFITH NATHAN PIPER SANJEEV BAHL PETER HITCHENS MARK WILSON TOM ROBINSON VALERIE GASTALDY ANDREW WHITTOCK THOMAS MARTIN SIMON HAWKINS JOB LANGBROEK CHRISTINE TISCARENO DANIEL SLATER
Source ULT-AGG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG RNS-MAJ REG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG REG Co File REG ULT-AGG REG REG ULT-AGG ULT-AGG REG MF-AGG REG
Recommendation buy hold reduce buy outperform market perform neutral neutral hold neutral/attractive buy equalweight hold neutral buy Overwt/Attractive add outperform buy overweight outperform buy hold buy hold buy outperform buy neutral
Amt Held 50'818'374 47'425'431 39'804'509 28'920'203 26'030'203 24'642'111 23'301'633 22'960'303 16'558'954 15'977'552 14'751'661 14'005'695 13'673'200 13'584'098 12'630'724 11'788'837 9'924'149 8'498'861 8'046'068 7'792'935
% Out 8.42 7.86 6.6 4.79 4.31 4.08 3.86 3.81 2.74 2.65 2.45 2.32 2.27 2.25 2.09 1.95 1.65 1.41 1.33 1.29
Weighting
Change 5 3 2 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 3
M M M M M M N M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M D M U M M
Latest Chg 2'153'581 17'173'501 2'443'483 (153'203) (1'107'086) (1'195'380) (1'942'309) (326'800) (3'485'322) (16'584'354) 3'170'694 (54'340) 2'986'350 4'713'733
Target Price 315 370 264 385 330 330 329 340 300 390 400 355 310 323 370 365 #N/A N/A 440 433 330 361 400 #N/A N/A 360 330 390 #N/A N/A 1'015 #N/A N/A
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
File Dt Inst Type 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 03.07.2013 Investment Advisor 10.05.2012 Other 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 23.03.2012 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Government 01.05.2013 Government 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Unclassified 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Pension Fund (ERISA) 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor 01.05.2013 Investment Advisor
Date 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided 6 month 12 month 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided Not Provided 12 month Not Provided 12 month Not Provided
Date 05.07.2013 04.07.2013 04.07.2013 21.06.2013 21.06.2013 19.06.2013 19.06.2013 13.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 07.06.2013 03.06.2013 21.05.2013 17.05.2013 07.05.2013 07.05.2013 01.05.2013 01.05.2013 02.04.2013 26.03.2013 22.03.2013 21.03.2013 20.03.2013 18.03.2013 24.10.2012 10.10.2012 20.10.2011 29.09.2010