Bay Area Market Update | Q4 2017

Page 1

Q4 | 2017

Bay Area

Market Update

CLARENDON HEIGHTS

Contemporary Home with Panoramic Views Last Asking $3,575,000


Bay Area Market Update 05 A Message from Jeff Gibson 06 Featured Properties


San Francisco

Marin County

The Peninsula

10 Market Snapshot

36 Market Snapshot

56 Market Snapshot

12 District 1

38 Belvedere

58 Atherton

14 District 4

40 Kentfield

60 Burlingame

16 District 5

42 Mill Valley

62 Hillsborough

18 District 6

44 Ross

64 Los Altos Hills

20 District 7

46 San Rafael

66 Menlo Park

24 District 8

48 Sausalito

68 Woodside

28 District 9

50 Tiburon

70 Extraordinary Results

32 Extraordinary Results

52 Extraordinary Results


CLARENDON HEIGHTS

Pivot House $3,400,000


a message from

Jeffrey Gibson

San Francisco Brokerage Manager The fourth quarter of 2017 closed another year of steady appreciation for Bay Area housing markets. Driven by seemingly insatiable demand and limited supply, according to the San Francisco Multiple Listing Service, single-family home sales in San Francisco rose 7% over the year prior to a median price of $1.42 million. Listings in virtually every district spent fewer days on the market, with some areas accelerating by almost 40% in Q4 compared to last year. Sotheby’s International Realty continued to lead the Bay Area market not only in the sale of fine homes, but in providing outstanding service to our clients. While we are the brokerage of reference for luxury real estate, we believe that luxury is an experience, not a price point. Our independent agents work tirelessly on behalf of every client, combining their outstanding expertise in local neighborhoods with the power of the Sotheby’s International Realty global network extending to 21,000 offices in 69 countries. This combination can produce record results, like our recent sale of a Pacific Heights mansion listed at $40 million which was the most valuable home ever sold in San Francisco. But, our success extends to every corner of the market, giving us the highest volume of condo sales in the City as well as the highest average price for single-family homes in 2017 according to MLS data. As we move into 2018, the Dow stands above 25,000 in one of the longest bull markets of recent decades, while financing remains affordable by historical standards. The new tax bill passed in December, ongoing changes to net neutrality and other issues central to California’s economy will also play a role in our rapidly evolving marketplace. In this dynamic environment, our core focus on exceptional service is more relevant than ever. If Sotheby’s International Realty may be of service to you in the sale or purchase of property in the Bay Area or around the world, please contact me at 415.296.2200 so I may personally introduce you to a local expert.

SAN FRANCISCO BROKERAGE

Jeffrey Gibson, Senior Vice President & Brokerage Manager 117 Greenwich Street | San Francisco, CA 94111 | 415.901.1700 sothebyshomes.com/sanfrancisco *Source: San Francisco Multiple Listing Service (SFMLS), for 12 months ending 12/31/17 for the entire Bay Area. Data: SFAR and Infosparks, SF county, 1/1-12/31/17. All data within this document is pulled from the San Francisco MLS. Sotheby’s International Realty and the Sotheby’s International Realty logo are registered (or unregistered) service marks used with permission. Operated by Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. If your property is listed with a real estate broker, please disregard. It is not our intention to solicit the offerings of other real estate brokers. We are happy to work with them and cooperate fully. Real estate agents affiliated with Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. are independent contractor sales associates and are not employees of Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. SIR CalBRE#: 899496


BAY AREA

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MARINA

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RUSSIAN HILL

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Offered at $3,950,000 sothebyshomes.com/0088920 ALAMO SQUARE

Offered at $3,395,000 sothebyshomes.com/0088717 SAN RAFAEL

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San Francisco featured neighborhoods

district 1

jordan park, lake, laurel heights, richmond, sea cliff

district 4

balboa terrace, diamond heights, west portal

district 5

clarendon heights, dolores heights, noe valley

district 6

alamo square, hayes valley, lower pac hgts, nopa

district 7

marina, cow hollow, pacific heights, presidio heights

district 8

financial dist, russian hill, nob hill, telegraph hill

district 9

bernal heights, south beach, soma, yerba buena


San Francisco

Market Snapshot | by District

Price Ratio by District

{Average Final Sale vs. Original List}

7 1

6 4

3 -20%

9

5

2

-25%

8

-15%

10 -10%

-5%

0%

+5%

+10%

+15%

+20%

+25%


Q4 2017 Highlights San Francisco

Median Sale Price

{Single Family Homes vs. Condos}

$1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000

Single Family

$600,000

Condos

$400,000 $200,000 $-

2013

Median Sale Price

2014

2015

2016

2017

Highlight Median by district SFH {Districts vs. San Francisco Overall}

$6,000,000

District 1 $5,000,000

District 4

$4,000,000

District 5 District 6

$3,000,000

District 7 District 8

$2,000,000

District 9

$1,000,000

San Francisco

$-

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Q4 Highlights

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 1

Jordan Park Lake Laurel Heights Lone Mountain Outer Richmond Central Richmond Inner Richmond Sea Cliff

4

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

24

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

48

Total Units Sold

1.9m

$

Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


District Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

4%

-14%

15%

-

-34%

2017

$1,695,000

48

996

14%

22

2016

$1,637,000

56

863

8%

33

2015

$1,395,000

43

839

8%

36

2014

$1,399,000

61

785

10%

29

2013

$1,195,000

57

645

10%

33

single family homes

1

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos $2,250,000 $2,000,000 $1,750,000 $1,500,000 $1,250,000 $1,000,000 $750,000 $500,000 $250,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

10%

24%

5%

-

-7%

2017

$1,094,000

46

842

4%

33

2016

$995,000

37

805

12%

35

2015

$945,000

49

761

14%

36

2014

$1,148,000

39

730

0%

36

2013

$849,000

35

691

5%

41

condominiums {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

District 1

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


District Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

15%

-2%

11%

-

-32%

2017

$1,385,000

85

914

16%

20

2016

$1,200,000

87

820

14%

29

2015

$1,297,000

106

767

9%

24

2014

$1,095,000

97

735

14%

24

2013

$949,000

96

615

11%

36

single family homes {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

District 4 SFH vs Condos Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos $1,800,000 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

9%

86%

-6%

-

-18%

2017

$650,000

13

811

12%

42

2016

$599,000

7

865

0%

52

2015

$628,000

10

701

9%

28

2014

$589,475

16

638

-3%

35

2013

$465,000

15

531

4%

52

condominiums {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

San Francisco Q4 Market Update / District 4

4


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 4

Balboa Terrace Diamond Heights Forest Hill Forest Hill Extension Forest Knolls Ingleside Terrace Midtown Terrace Miraloma Park Monterey Heights Mt Davidson Manor Sherwood Forest St. Francis Wood Sunnyside West Portal Westwood Highlands Westwood Park

17

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Single Family Homes}

86

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

98

Total Units Sold

1.6m

$

Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 5

Ashbury Heights Buena Vista Clarendon Heights Corona Heights Cole Valley Castro Dolores Heights Duboce Triangle Eureka Valley Glen Park Haight Ashbury Noe Valley Twin Peaks Mission Dolores

16

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

13

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

217 Total Units Sold

2.3m

$

Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


District Q4

single family homes

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

13%

-10%

12%

-

-24%

5

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change 2017

$2,300,000 95

1147

15%

27

2016

$2,030,000 105

1022

7%

35

2015

$1,895,000

81

1011

6%

25

2014

$1,781,000

94

937

12%

26

2013

$1,662,500

94

860

8%

33

Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos District 5 SFH vs Condos $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

9%

13%

7%

-

-16%

2017

$1,372,500

122

1062

15%

28

2016

$1,259,750

108

988

7%

33

2015

$1,230,000

121

989

17%

30

2014

$1,100,000

100

808

10%

35

2013

$1,072,000

125

841

19%

37

condominiums {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

District 5

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


District Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

11%

-21%

-4%

-

-10%

2017

$2,601,000

11

994

18%

24

2016

$2,337,500

14

1031

17%

27

2015

$2,250,000 10

915

17%

31

2014

$2,195,000

15

927

10%

27

2013

$1,550,000

13

863

0%

26

single family homes {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos

District 6 SFH vs Condos

$3,000,000 $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

16%

-30%

3%

-

-10%

2017

$1,225,000

69

1003

4%

35

2016

$1,057,000

98

970

6%

39

2015

$1,175,000

77

933

12%

33

2014

$1,005,000

89

812

12%

48

2013

$749,000

103

775

9%

30

condominiums {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

San Francisco Q4 Market Update / District 6

6


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 6

Alamo Square Hayes Valley Western Addition Lower Pacific Heights Anza Vista North Panhandle (NoPa)

16

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

-30

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

80

Total Units Sold

2.6m

$

Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 7

The Marina Cow Hollow Pacific Heights Presidio Heights

8

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Single Family Homes}

15

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Single Family Homes}

110 Total Units Sold

5

$ m Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


District Q4

single family homes

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-8%

15%

-10%

-

-24%

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change 2017

$4,995,000 31

1393

2%

35

2016

$5,400,000 27

1545

-2%

46

2015

$4,225,000

26

1445

-2%

34

2014

$3,800,000 38

1214

-3%

39

2013

$3,812,500

1173

16%

41

40

7

Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos

District 7 SFH vs Condos

$6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-2%

-14%

9%

-

-32%

2017

$1,500,000

79

1207

0%

24

2016

$1,535,000

92

1105

8%

35

2015

$1,502,500

66

1171

12%

25

2014

$1,349,000

87

1027

5%

32

2013

$1,200,000

89

896

0%

40

condominiums {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

District 7

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


district 7

Neighborhood Highlights Cow Hollow

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Cow Hollow

-4

$2,500,000 $2,250,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$2,000,000

26

$1,750,000 $1,500,000 $1,250,000

Average DOM

$1,000,000 $750,000

$

$500,000

2013 2013

%

2014 2014

2015 2015

2016 2016

2017 2017

1,098

$/Square Foot

Marina

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Marina

-4

%

$1,750,000 $1,500,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,250,000

25

$1,000,000 $750,000

Average DOM

$500,000 $250,000

$

$0

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

1,202

$/Square Foot


District

7

Pacific Heights

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Pacific Heights

-5

$1,750,000 $1,500,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,250,000

22

$1,000,000 $750,000

Average DOM

$500,000 $250,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

1,236

$/Square Foot

Presidio Heights

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Presidio Heights

-6

$2,500,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$2,000,000

32

$1,500,000 $1,000,000

Average DOM

$500,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

District 7 Neighborhood Highlights

1,102

$/Square Foot

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


District Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-45%

0%

-30%

-

-37%

2017

$2,798,750

6

1002

-7%

50

2016

$5,066,500

6

1431

-1%

79

2015

$5,600,000

5

1815

12%

58

2014

$2,050,000 5

953

-7%

36

2013

$2,500,000 7

1476

-4%

78

single family homes {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

District 8 SFH vs Condos Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos $7,000,000 $6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

20%

2%

5%

2017

$1,152,500

134

1163

1%

42

2016

$960,000

132

1105

1%

38

2015

$993,000

124

1101

2%

36

2014

$870,000

126

1030

9%

48

2013

$770,500

142

957

5%

47

condominiums

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change

San Francisco Q4 Market Update / District 8

10%

8


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 8

Civic Center Downtown Financial District North Beach Russian Hill Nob Hill Telegraph Hill Tenderloin North Waterfront

20

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

2

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

140 Total Units Sold

2.8m

$

Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


district 8

Neighborhood Highlights Financial District

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Financial District

$2,500,000

-6

$2,000,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,500,000

32

$1,000,000

%

Average DOM

$500,000

$

$0

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

1,102

$/Square Foot

Nob Hill

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Nob Hill

-1

$1,400,000 $1,200,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,000,000

47

$800,000 $600,000

Average DOM

$400,000 $200,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

1,187

$/Square Foot


District

8

North Waterfront

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

N. Waterfront

3

$1,200,000 $1,000,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$800,000

39

$600,000 $400,000

Average DOM

$200,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

962

$/Square Foot

Russian Hill

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Russian Hill

-8

$1,600,000 $1,400,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,200,000

40

$1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000

Average DOM

$400,000 $200,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

District 8 Neighborhood Highlights

1,340

$/Square Foot

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

DISTRICT 9

Civic Center Downtown Financial District North Beach Russian Hill Nob Hill Telegraph Hill Tenderloin North Waterfront

16

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016, Condominiums}

41

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016, Single Family Homes}

376 Total Units Sold

1.6m

$

Median Sale Price {Single Family Homes}


District Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

15%

13%

8%

-

-36%

2017

$1,625,000

69

1004

16%

20

2016

$1,410,000

61

928

9%

32

2015

$1,321,250

74

916

11%

24

2014

$1,265,000

67

822

27%

26

2013

$1,150,000

71

731

21%

27

single family homes

9

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change

District 9 SFH vs Condos Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes vs. Condos $1,800,000 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0

2013

2014

2015

Single Family Homes

Q4

2016

2017

Condos

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

16%

41%

0%

2017

$1,099,000

307

1041

0%

39

2016

$950,000

217

1040

2%

49

2015

$1,100,000

264

1068

10%

35

2014

$940,000

269

931

5%

37

2013

$812,500

310

874

4%

40

condominiums

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change

-21%

District 9

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


district 9

Neighborhood Highlights Bernal Heights

{Median Sale Price | Single Family Homes over Five Years}

Bernal Heights

-8

%

$1,750,000 $1,500,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,250,000

34

$1,000,000 $750,000

Average DOM

$500,000 $250,000

$

$0

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

972

$/Square Foot

Inner Mission

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

Inner Mission

-2

$1,200,000 $1,000,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$800,000

32

$600,000 $400,000

Average DOM

$200,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

994

$/Square Foot


District

9

SoMa

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

SoMa

-8

$1,200,000 $1,000,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$800,000

51

$600,000

Average DOM

$400,000 $200,000

$

$0

2013

%

2014

2015

2016

2017

934

$/Square Foot

South Beach

{Median Sale Price | Condominiums over Five Years}

South Beach

-1

%

$1,400,000 $1,200,000

Final Sale vs. Original List

$1,000,000

40

$800,000 $600,000 $400,000

Average DOM

$200,000

$

$0

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

District 9 Neighborhood Highlights

1,140

$/Square Foot

/ San Francisco Q4 Market Update


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PRESIDIO HEIGHTS

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Eureka Valley View Home Last Asking $6,200,000 RUSSIAN HILL

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Marin County market snapshot belvedere kentfield mill valley ross san rafael sausalito tiburon


Marin County Market Snapshot

Median vs Units sold $1,400,000

560

$1,200,000

$5M and Up

Up to $1M

540

$1,000,000 520

$3M - $5M

$800,000 500 $600,000 480 $400,000

$1M - $3M

460

$200,000 $-

440

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Sales Volume by Price Category 17% 62 % 16 % 5%

Median Sale Price vs. Total Units Sold

Up to $1 Million

Median Sale Price

$1 Million to $3 Million

Total Units Sold

$3 Million to $5 Million Over $5 Million


Q4 2017 Highlights

Marin County

4.0% $5M and Up

Total Units

2.0%

$3M - $5M

0.0% Up to $1M

-2.0%

-4.0% $1M - $3M

-6.0%

Final Sale vs. Original List 1% -1% 2% -1 % -1 % -1 % -1 %

San Rafael Tiburon Belvedere Mill Valley Kentfield

Sausalito

Ross

Kentfield

Mill Valley

Belvedere

Tiburon

San Rafael

-8.0%

Total Units Sold by Price Category 347 345 32 18

Under $1 Million $1 Million to $3 Million $3 Million to $5 Million Over $5 Million

Ross Sausalito Q4 Highlights

/ Marin County Q4 Market Update


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

belvedere

-22

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

17

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

7

Units Sold

2.8m

$

Median Sale Price


Belvedere Single Family Homes Sales

units sold - Area Page Sales Volume Total Volume - Area Page by Price Category

$1M - $3M

$5M and up

Total Units Sold by Price Category

$5M and up $1M - $3M

$3M $5M

$3M $5M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-22%

17%

-16%

-

-31%

2017

$2,775,000

7

$1,149

-6%

106

2016

$3,550,000

6

$1,361

-5%

154

2015

$3,400,000 9

$1,272

-3%

79

2014

$3,775,000

$1,280

-4%

157

2013

$2,292,000 3

$999

-3%

135

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

6

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $4,000,000

10

$3,500,000

9 8

$3,000,000

7

$2,500,000

6

$2,000,000

5

$1,500,000

4 3

$1,000,000

2

$500,000

1

$-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

Belvedere

/ Marin County Q4 Market Update


Kentfield Single Family Homes Sales

units sold - Area Page Sales Volume Total Volume - Area Page

Up to $1M

Total Units Sold by Price Category

by Price Category Up to $1M

$5M and up

$5M and up

$5M and up

$5M and up

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

$3M - $5M

$3M - $5M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

25%

-41%

12%

-

-22%

2017

$2,772,500

10

$1,009

-1%

134

2016

$2,225,000

17

$897

-2%

172

2015

$2,070,000

16

$782

-2%

156

2014

$1,850,000

15

$683

-1%

100

2013

$1,800,000

18

$791

-5%

102

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $3,000,000

20 18

$2,500,000

16 14

$2,000,000

12 $1,500,000

10 8

$1,000,000

6 4

$500,000

2 $-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price Marin County Q4 Market Update / Kentfield

2015

2016

Total Units Sold

2017


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

kentfield

25

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

-41

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

10 Units Sold

2.8m

$

Median Sale Price


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

mill valley

-1

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

19

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

69 Units Sold

1.5m

$

Median Sale Price


units sold - Area Page Sales Volume Total Volume - Area Page

Mill Valley

Single Family Homes Sales

by Price Category

Total Units Sold by Price Category

$5M and up Up to $1M

$3M - $5M $5M and up Up to $1M

$3M - $5M

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

1%

19%

0%

-

-9%

2017

$1,469,000

69

$784

2%

82

2016

$1,455,000

58

$786

1%

89

2015

$1,488,000

79

$794

2%

82

2014

$1,316,500

72

$754

2%

85

2013

$1,180,000

91

$685

1%

79

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $1,600,000

100

$1,400,000

90 80

$1,200,000

70

$1,000,000

60

$800,000

50

$600,000

40 30

$400,000

20

$200,000

10

$-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

Mill Valley

/ Marin County Q4 Market Update


Ross

Single Family Homes Sales

units sold - Area Page Sales Volume Total Volume - Area Page by Price Category

$5M and up Up to $1M

Up to $1M

Total Units Sold by Price Category

$5M and up

$3M - $5M $3M - $5M

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-19%

13%

-9%

-

14%

2017

$2,225,000

9

$899

-1%

96

2016

$2,737,500

8

$991

2%

84

2015

$4,275,000

8

$1,135

-2%

110

2014

$3,000,000 13

$1,005

-1%

112

2013

$2,725,000

$1,284

-4%

164

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

9

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $4,500,000

14

$4,000,000

12

$3,500,000 10

$3,000,000 $2,500,000

8

$2,000,000

6

$1,500,000

4

$1,000,000 2

$500,000 $-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price Marin County Q4 Market Update / Ross

2015

2016

Total Units Sold

2017


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

ross

-19

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

13

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

9

Units Sold

2.2m

$

Median Sale Price


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

san rafael

13

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

-4

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

109 Units Sold

1.1m

$

Median Sale Price


San Rafael Single Family Homes Sales

units sold - Area Page Sales Volume Total Volume - Area Page

Total Units Sold by Price Category

by Price Category

$3M - $5M

$5M and up

$3M - $5M $5M and up

Up to $1M

Up to $1M $1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

13%

-4%

13%

-

-12%

2017

$1,110,000

109

$612

2%

70

2016

$982,500

114

$540

0%

80

2015

$1,050,000

113

$520

0%

79

2014

$899,500

118

$440

-1%

85

2013

$827,500

122

$462

-1%

78

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $1,200,000

250

$1,000,000

200

$800,000

150

$600,000 100

$400,000

50

$200,000

0

$-

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

San Rafael

/ Marin County Q4 Market Update


Sausalito Single Family Homes Sales

units sold - Area Page Sales Volume

- Area Page Total Volume by Price Category

$5M and up

Total Units Sold by Price Category

$5M and up

Up to $1M

$3M - $5M

$3M - $5M

Up to $1M

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-12%

8%

6%

-

-35%

2017

$1,757,000

13

$935

4%

82

2016

$2,000,000 12

$880

-3%

127

2015

$1,912,500

16

$873

4%

86

2014

$1,392,500

18

$751

-1%

116

2013

$1,300,000

21

$731

0%

93

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold

$2,500,000

25

$2,000,000

20

$1,500,000

15

$1,000,000

10

$500,000

5

$-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price Marin County Q4 Market Update / Sausalito

2015

2016

Total Units Sold

2017


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

sausalito

-12

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

8

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

13 Units Sold

1.7m

$

Median Sale Price


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

tiburon

11

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

69

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

27 Units Sold

2.6m

$

Median Sale Price


Tiburon Single Family Homes Sales

units sold - Area Page Sales Volume Total Volume - Area Page by Price Category

Up to $1M

Total Units Sold $5M and up Up to $1M by Price Category

$1M - $3M

$5M and up

$3M - $5M $1M - $3M

$3M - $5M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

11%

69%

11%

-

-24%

2017

$2,595,000

27

$973

-1%

82

2016

$2,340,000 16

$877

-5%

108

2015

$2,750,000

31

$979

-3%

111

2014

$2,385,500

34

$937

-3%

114

2013

$1,865,000

24

$724

-3%

97

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold

$3,000,000

40 35

$2,500,000

30 $2,000,000

25

$1,500,000

20 15

$1,000,000

10 $500,000

5

$-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

Tiburon

/ Marin County Q4 Market Update


MARIN COUNTY

Extraordinary Results We celebrate the notable success of our associates and clients

SAUSALITO

William Callister Masterpiece Last Asking $3,595,000


KENTFIELD

Architecturally Stunning Home Last Asking $2,350,000 ROSS

Indoor/Outdoor Living Last Asking $2,199,000 CORTE MADERA

Iconic Madera Gardens Gem Last Asking $1,750,000 SAN ANSELMO

California Bungalow with Old-School Charm Last Asking $1,799,000 *in order from left to right, top to bottom

sothebyshomes.com/sanfrancisco


sophisticated hillsborough estate | sothebyshomes.com/0088698


The Peninsula market snapshot atherton burlingame hillsborough los altos hills menlo park woodside


The Peninsula

Market Snapshot

ASP vs Units sold

Volume $5M and Up

$1,800,000

Up to $1M

1400

$1,600,000

1200

$1,400,000 1000 $1,200,000

$3M - $5M $1M - $3M

$1,000,000

800

$800,000

600

$600,000 400 $400,000 200

$200,000 $-

0

2013

Sales Volume by Price Category 6% 54 % 25 % 15 %

2014

Median Sale Price

$1 Million to $3 Million

Total Units Sold

Over $5 Million

2016

Median Sale Price vs. Total Units Sold

Under $1 Million

$3 Million to $5 Million

2015

2017


Q4 2017 Highlights

The Peninsula

$5M and Up

Total Units

10.0%

Up to $1M

8.0%

$3M - $5M 6.0%

4.0%

2.0%

0.0%

-2.0%

$1M - $3M -4.0%

Final Sale vs. Original List 1% 8% 2% 5% 7% -4 %

Atherton Burlingame Hillsborough Los Altos Hills

Woodside

Menlo Park

Los Altos Hills

Hillsborough

Burlingame

Atherton

-6.0%

Total Units Sold by Price Category 149 617 142 39

Under $1 Million $1 Million to $3 Million $3 Million to $5 Million Over $5 Million

Menlo Park Woodside

Q4 Highlights

/ The Peninsula Q4 Market Update


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

atherton

-26

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

-15

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

15 Units Sold

4.5m

$

Median Sale Price


Atherton Single Family Homes Sales

Up to $1M

Sales Volume - Area Page Total by Volume Price Category

Total Units Sold by Price Category

Up to $1M

units sold - Area Page $1M $3M

$1M - $3M

$3M - $5M

$5M and up

$5M and up

$3M - $5M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

19%

-14%

17%

-

-39%

2017

$1,701,000

947

$1,053

7%

20

2016

$1,425,000

1097

$903

1%

32

2015

$1,360,000

1153

$849

3%

28

2014

$1,244,500

1084

$792

3%

27

2013

$1,100,000

1257

$696

2%

33

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold

$7,000,000

30

$6,000,000

25

$5,000,000

20

$4,000,000 15 $3,000,000 10

$2,000,000

5

$1,000,000 $-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

Atherton

/ The Peninsula Q4 Market Update


Burlingame

Single Family Home Sales

Up to $1M

Salessold Volume Units Sold - Area PagebyTotal Totalunits Volume - Area Page by Price Category Price Category Up to $1M

$5M and up

$5M and up

$3M $5M

$3M - $5M

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-1%

-17%

23%

-

-19%

2017

$2,087,500

24

$1,130

8%

15

2016

$2,100,000

29

$916

3%

18

2015

$2,100,000

33

$900

6%

16

2014

$1,727,500

36

$824

7%

21

2013

$1,535,000

51

$762

2%

16

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $2,500,000

60 50

$2,000,000

40 $1,500,000 30 $1,000,000 20 $500,000

10

$-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price The Peninsula Q4 Market Update / Burlingame

2015

2016

Total Units Sold

2017


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

burlingame

-1

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

-17

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

24 Units Sold

2.1m

$

Median Sale Price


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

hillsborough

-9

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

-4

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

22 Units Sold

3.5m

$

Median Sale Price


Hillsborough Single Family Homes Sales

Up to $1M

Salessold Volume - Area PageTotal Units Sold - Area Totalunits Volume Page by Price Category Upby to Price $1M Category

$5M and up

$5M and up

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

$3M - $5M

$3M - $5M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

-9%

-4%

-2%

-

-51%

2017

$3,475,000

22

$1,049

2%

26

2016

$3,800,000 23

$1,067

-5%

52

2015

$4,547,500

18

$940

-2%

46

2014

$3,460,000

25

$922

-4%

96

2013

$3,150,000

41

$759

-3%

84

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold

$5,000,000

45

$4,500,000

40

$4,000,000

35

$3,500,000

30

$3,000,000

25

$2,500,000

20

$2,000,000

15

$1,500,000

10

$1,000,000

5

$500,000 $-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

Hillsborough

/ The Peninsula Q4 Market Update


Los Altos Hills Single Family Home Sales

Up to $1M

Salessold Volume - Area PageTotal Units Sold Totalunits Volume - Area Page by Price Category Upby toPrice $1M Category $5M and up $5M and up

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

$3M - $5M

$3M - $5M

Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

18%

29%

16%

-

-40%

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change 2017

$3,400,000 80

$1,293

5%

25

2016

$2,874,000

$1,111

-1%

42

2015

$2,650,000 65

$1,054

2%

25

2014

$2,703,000

85

$989

1%

22

2013

$2,350,000 77

$953

7%

32

62

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold

$4,000,000

90

$3,500,000

80 70

$3,000,000

60

$2,500,000

50

$2,000,000

40

$1,500,000

30

$1,000,000

20

$500,000

10

$-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price The Peninsula Q4 Market Update / Los Altos Hills

2015

2016

Total Units Sold

2017


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

los altos hills

18

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

29

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

80 Units Sold

3.4m

$

Median Sale Price


at a glance {Q4| 2017}

menlo park

23

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

-11

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

58 Units Sold

2.3m

$

Median Sale Price


Menlo Park Single Family Homes Sales

sold - Area Page Totalunits Volume - Area Page by Price Category by Price Category Sales Volume

Total Units Sold

$5M and up Up to $1M

Up to $1M $5M and up

$3M - $5M

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M

$3M - $5M

Q4

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

23%

-11%

20%

-

-53%

{2017 vs. 2016}

Change 2017

$2,362,500 58

$1,304

7%

18

2016

$1,925,000

65

$1,087

-1%

37

2015

$1,800,000

65

$1,013

1%

28

2014

$1,997,500

68

$973

3%

23

2013

$1,705,000

58

$917

5%

22

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold

$2,500,000

70 68

$2,000,000

66 64

$1,500,000

62 60

$1,000,000

58 56

$500,000

54 $-

52

2013

2014

Median Selling Price

2015

2016

2017

Total Units Sold

Menlo Park

/ The Peninsula Q4 Market Update


Woodside Single Family Home Sales

sold- Area - Area Page Totalunits Volume Page by Price Category by Price Category Sales Volume

Total Units Sold

$5M and up

Up to $1M

Up to $1M

$5M and up

$3M - $5M

$1M - $3M

$1M - $3M $3M - $5M

Median Sale Price

Total Units Sold

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

Final Sale vs. Original List

Average Days on Market

12%

33%

31%

-

-10%

2017

$2,725,000

16

$1,053

-4%

62

2016

$2,422,500

12

$802

-6%

69

2015

$2,950,000 20

$1,059

0%

47

2014

$2,085,000 19

$921

-1%

80

2013

$2,525,000

$740

-7%

73

Q4 {2017 vs. 2016}

Change

22

Median Sale Price | Total Units Sold $3,500,000

25

$3,000,000

20

$2,500,000 15

$2,000,000 $1,500,000

10

$1,000,000 5

$500,000 $-

0

2013

2014

Median Selling Price The Peninsula Q4 Market Update / Woodside

2015

2016

Total Units Sold

2017


at a glance {Q4 | 2017}

woodside

12

%

Change in Median Sale Price {2017 vs. 2016}

33

%

Change in Units Sold {2017 vs. 2016}

16 Units Sold

2.7m

$

Median Sale Price


THE PENINSULA

Extraordinary Results We celebrate the notable success of our associates and clients

WOODSIDE

Central Woodside Estate Last Asking $10,600,000


SARATOGA

New Contemporary Home Last Asking $3,995,000 ATHERTON

Spacious Lloyden Park Home Last Asking $2,650,000 MENLO PARK

Charming Spanish Revival Last Asking $2,600,000 SAN MATEO

Serene San Mateo Townhome Last Asking $1,371,000 *in order from left to right, top to bottom

sothebyshomes.com/sanfrancisco


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