Case study - Performance of top Indian it cos

Page 1

Performance Analysis Top Indian IT Cos. Which Company delivered highest shareholder returns in 2020? What drives high P/E multiples for TCS?


Top Indian IT Companies – Overview

Market Cap (INR Cr)1

1,145,040

546,122

265,451

Market Cap (USD bn)1

156.6

74.7

36.3

Revenues (INR Cr)2

1,58,257

94,594

73,158

Revenues (USD bn)2

21.6

12.9

10.0

25.4%

23.6%

19.8%

ROCE (%) - 2020

48%

33%

27%

P/E Multiple, Times1

37.4

30.6

21.8

Average Operating margin - 2016-20 (%)

1. 2.

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As on 6th January 2020 TTM September 2020


Which Company has delivered highest returns in 2020?

Share Price (1st Jan 2020)

2,162

731

568

Share Price (31st Dec 2020)

2,863

1,256

946

Share Price Appreciation (%)

32%

72%

67%

Total TSR (%)

35%

76%

69%

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Drivers of TSR Revenue Growth (YoY) – USD Constant Currency, %

Operating Margin, %

Growth and margin improvement has led to higher TSR for Infosys and HCL

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Historical P/E Multiples

Why are TCS multiples higher than peers? Email: Support@skillfinlearning.com

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•

P/E multiples have increased for all Cos.

•

Historically, TCS has maintained higher multiples compared to Infosys and HCL


Historical performance Operating Margin, %

Revenue Growth, Constant Currency, %

Growth is similar for TCS and Infosys‌ HCL growth driven by acquisitions Email: Support@skillfinlearning.com

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TCS Commands higher margins ‌


Historical performance Return on Capital Employed, %

• Better operating performance vs peers drives higher multiples for TCS • Market expects TCS to maintain a similar performance gap vs peers … and return on capital employed Email: Support@skillfinlearning.com

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Summary

• Infosys and HCL has delivered high TSR in 2020 because of improved performance • TCS is valued at higher P/E multiple, due to its superior margins and ROCE vs peers • Multiples for all IT Companies have increased in 2020, driven by improved performance expectations

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