Future of the Malaysian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 Released On 1th July 2014
Summary The Future of the Malaysian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Malaysian defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news. Key Findings The Malaysian defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 7.43% between 2010 and 2014, and valued US$4.90 billion in 2014. JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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The country’s total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$28.9 billion. The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 20.2% over the forecast period against an average share of 19.7% during 2010-2014. Over the forecast period, the country’s budget for homeland security is expected to be US$26.1 billion cumulatively. The key areas of investment are expected to be multi-role aircraft, naval vessels, armored vehicles, and surveillance and monitoring systems. Synopsis This report offers a detailed analysis of the Malaysian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: Malaysian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Malaysian defense industry during 2015–2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the spending patterns and modernization patterns of the country Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Malaysian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Malaysian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis. Reasons To Buy This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Malaysian defense industry market trends for the coming five years. The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements which are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period. Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector. A deep qualitative analysis of the Malaysian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, latest industry contracts etc.
Table Of Contents 1 Introduction 1.1. What is this Report About? 1.2. Definitions 1.3. Summary Methodology 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence (www.strategicdefenceintelligence.com) 2 Summary 3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 3.1.1. The Malaysian defense budget is expected to reach US$6.5 billion by 2019, at a CAGR of 6.07% 3.1.2. Modernization of the armed forces, participation in UN peacekeeping operations, and territorial disputes are the major drivers of the Malaysian defense industry 3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP will remain at an average of 1.4% over the forecast period 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation is expected to increase over the forecast period 3.2.2. The Malaysian MoD is to increase capital expenditure at a CAGR of 7.10% over the forecast period 3.2.3. Revenue expenditure set to increase over the forecast period 3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 3.3.1. Malaysian homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.72% over the forecast period 3.3.2. The homeland security expenditure in Malaysia is mainly driven by border security and rising criminal activities 3.3.3. Malaysia is at a “some risk” of terrorism 3.3.4. Malaysia has a terrorism index score of “0.5” 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 3.4.1. Malaysian defense expenditure is expected to increase over the forecast period JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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3.4.2. Malaysian defense expenditure is relatively smaller than other Asian countries 3.4.3. The Malaysian defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to decline over the forecast period 3.4.4. Iraq, Pakistan, and Afghanistan are the most terror-prone countries 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 3.5.1. Multi-Role Aircraft 3.5.2. Corvettes 3.5.3. Armored Personnel Carrier (APC) 3.5.4. Cyber Defense 4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 4.1. Import Market Dynamics 4.1.1. Malaysian defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period 4.1.2. Germany, Russia, and France to remain the key arms suppliers to Malaysia 4.1.3. Ships, aircraft, and missiles are the key imports for Malaysia 4.2. Export Market Dynamics 4.2.1. No defense exports for Malaysia 5 Industry Dynamics 5.1. Five Forces Analysis 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: medium to high 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high 6 Market Entry Strategy 6.1. Market Regulation 6.1.1. The Malaysian defense industry is largely driven by the government’s offset policy 6.2. Market Entry Route 6.2.1. Entry through technology transfer program 6.2.2. Entry through partnerships with domestic defense companies 6.2.3. Defense exhibitions can be used as a direct entry route into the Malaysian defense industry 6.3. Key Challenges 6.3.1. Negligible defense exports pose a challenge for domestic defense companies 6.3.2. Limited defense budget discourages investors from market entry 6.3.3. Corruption and a lack of transparency impede the growth of Malaysia’s defense industry 6.3.4. Malaysia’s new economic policy (NEP) limits the entry of foreign investors 7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 7.2. Key Foreign Companies 7.2.1. AgustaWestland Malaysia Sdn Bhd: Overview JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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7.2.2. Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd: Products and services 7.2.3. Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.2.4. Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd: alliances 7.2.5. Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd: recent contract wins 7.2.6. Sukhoi: Overview 7.2.7. Sukhoi: Products and services 7.2.8. Sukhoi: recent contract wins 7.2.9. Denel Land Systems: Overview 7.2.10. Denel Land Systems: Products and services 7.2.11. Denel Land Systems: recent contract wins 7.3. Key Public Sector Companies 7.3.1. SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd: overview 7.3.2. SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd: products and services 7.3.3. SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.3.4. SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd: Alliances 7.3.5. SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd: recent contract wins 7.3.6. SME Aerospace Sdn Bhd: Overview 7.3.7. SME Aerospace Sdn Bhd: Products and services 7.3.8. SME Aerospace Sdn Bhd: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.3.9. SME Aerospace Sdn Bhd: Recent contract wins JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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7.3.10. AIROD Sdn Bhd: Overview 7.3.11. AIROD Sdn Bhd: Products and services 7.3.12. AIROD Sdn Bhd: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.3.13. AIROD Sdn Bhd: Alliances 7.3.14. AIROD Sdn Bhd: Recent contract wins 7.4. Key Private Sector Companies 7.4.1. Boustead Naval Shipyard: Overview 7.4.2. Boustead Naval Shipyard: Products and services 7.4.3. Boustead Naval Shipyard: Recent contract wins 7.4.4. Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd: Overview 7.4.5. Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd: Products and services 7.4.6. Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.4.7. Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd: Alliances 7.4.8. Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd: Recent contract wins 7.4.9. DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd: Overview 7.4.10. DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd: Products and services 7.4.11. DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.4.12. DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd: Alliances 7.4.13. DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd: Recent contract wins JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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7.4.14. Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd: overview 7.4.15. Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd: products and services 7.4.16. Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.4.17. Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd: alliances 7.4.18. Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd: recent contract wins 7.4.19. D’ Aquarian Sdn Bhd: Overview 7.4.20. D’Aquarian Sdn Bhd: Products and services 7.4.21. D’Aquarian Sdn Bhd: Recent contract wins 8 Business Environment and Country Risk 8.1. Demographics 8.1.1. Total Rural population 8.1.2. Total urban population 8.1.3. Number of households 8.2. Economic Performance 8.2.1. GDP per capita at constant prices 8.2.2. GDP at current prices (US$) 8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current US$ billion) 8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current US$ billion) 8.2.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ billion) 8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion) JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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8.2.7. Consumer price index 8.2.8. Wholesale price index 8.2.9. LCU per EUR (period average) 8.2.10. LCU per US$ (period average) 8.2.11. Lending Rate (%) 8.2.12. Deposit rate (%) 8.2.13.Real interest rate (%) 8.2.14. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion) 8.2.15. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP) 8.2.16. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion) 8.2.17. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU) 8.2.18. Central government debt (LCU billion) 8.2.19. Central government debt as a percentage of GDP (LCU) 8.2.20. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP 8.2.21. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP 8.2.22. Goods balance as a percentage of GDP 8.2.23. Services imports as a percentage of GDP 8.2.24. Service exports as a percentage of GDP 8.2.25. Services balance as a percentage of GDP 8.2.26. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion) JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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8.2.27. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP 8.2.28. International reserves, including gold (US$ billion) 8.3. Energy and utilities 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh) 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion kWh) 8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million kW) 8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet) 8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day) 8.3.6. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels) 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability 8.4.1. Rail lines (total route-km) 8.4.2. Air transport, freight (million ton-km) 8.4.3. Overall construction (US$ million) 8.5. Technology 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn) 8.5.2. Patents Granted 8.6. Telecommunication 8.6.1. Telephone lines (in mn) 8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people) 9 Appendix JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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9.1. About SDI 9.2. Disclaimer List of Tables Table 1: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Table 2: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Table 3: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Table 4: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Table 5: Malaysian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure and Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2010-2014 Table 6: Malaysian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2015-2019 Table 7: Malaysian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014 Table 8: Malaysian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019 Table 9: Malaysian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014 Table 10: Malaysian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019 Table 11: Malaysian Capital Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Table 12: Malaysian Capital Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Table 13: Malaysian Defense Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2010–2014 Table 14: Malaysian Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019 Table 15: Malaysian Revenue Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Table 16: Malaysian Revenue Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Table 17: Malaysian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010–2014 Table 18: Malaysian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015–2019 Table 19: Malaysian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014 Table 20: Malaysian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019 Table 21: Malaysian Homeland Security Budget (MYR Billion), 2010–2014 JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Table 22: Malaysian Homeland Security Budget (MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Table 23: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019 Table 24: SDI Terrorism Index Table 25: Malaysian Defense Offset Regulations Table 26: Market Entry by Key Foreign Companies Table 27: Malaysian Defense Industry Capability Table 28: Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 29: Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd – Alliances Table 30: Agusta Westland Malaysia Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 31: Sukhoi – Product Focus Table 32: Sukhoi – Recent Contract Wins Table 33: Denel Land Systems – Product Focus Table 34: Denel Land Systems – Recent Contract Wins Table 35: SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 36: SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd – Alliances Table 37: SME Ordnance Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 38: SME Aerospace Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 39: SME Aerospace Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 40: AIROD Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 41: AIROD Sdn Bhd – Alliances Table 42: AIROD Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 43: Boustead Naval Shipyard – Product Focus Table 44: Boustead Naval Shipyard – Recent Contract Wins Table 45: Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 46: Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd – Alliances Table 47: Sapura Thales Electronics Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 48: DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 49: DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd – Alliances Table 50: DRB Hicom Defence Technologies Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 51: Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd – Product Focus JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Table 52: Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd – Alliances Table 53: Labuan Shipyard & Engineering Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins Table 54: D’Aquarian Sdn Bhd – Product Focus Table 55: D’Aquarian Sdn Bhd – Recent Contract Wins List of Figures Figure 2: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 3: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Figure 4: Malaysian Defense Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Figure 5: Malaysian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure and Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2010-2014 Figure 6: Malaysian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2015-2019 Figure 7:Malaysian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014 Figure 8: Malaysian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019 Figure 9: Malaysian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014 Figure 10: Malaysian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019 Figure 11: Malaysian Capital Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Figure 12: Malaysian Capital Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Figure 13: Malaysian Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014 Figure 14: Malaysian Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019 Figure 15: Malaysian Revenue Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Figure 16: Malaysian Revenue Expenditure (in MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Figure 17: Malaysian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010–2014 Figure 18: Malaysian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015–2019 Figure 19: Malaysian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010-2014 Figure 20: Malaysian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015-2019 Figure 21: Malaysian Homeland Security Budget (MYR Billion), 2010–2014 Figure 22: Malaysian Homeland Security Budget (MYR Billion), 2015–2019 Figure 23: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014 Figure 24: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014 Figure 25: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019 Figure 26: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Billion), 2014 and 2019 Figure 27: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014 Figure 28: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024 Figure 29: Corvettes Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024 Figure 30: Armored Personnel Carrier Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024 Figure 31: Cyber Defense Market Size (US$ Million), 2014–2024 Figure 32: Malaysian Defense Import Trend, 2009–2013 (TIV values) Figure 33: Malaysian Defense Import by Country, 2009–2013 (TIV values) Figure 34: Malaysia Defense Imports by Category (%), 2009–2013 Figure 35: Industry Dynamics – Porter’s Five Forces Analysis Figure 36: Malaysia Rural population (In million), 2010–2019 Figure 37: Malaysia Urban population (In million), 2010–2019 Figure 38: Malaysia - Number of Households (Million), 2008–2017 Figure 39: Malaysian GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2010–2019 Figure 40: Malaysia - GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2010–2019 Figure 41: Malaysian Exports of goods and services (US$ Billion), 2003–2012 Figure 42: Malaysian Imports of goods and services (US$ Billion), 2003–2012 Figure 43: Malaysian Gross national disposable income (US$ billion), 2003-2012 Figure 44: Malaysian Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2004–2012 Figure 45: Malaysian Consumer price index, 2010–2019 Figure 46: Malaysian Wholesale price index, 2002–2011 Figure 47: Malaysia LCU per EUR (period average), 2010–2019 Figure 48: Malaysia LCU per US$, 2010–2019 Figure 49: Malaysian Lending Rate (%), 2003-2012 Figure 50: Malaysian Deposit rate (%), 2003-2012 Figure 51: Malaysian Real interest rate (%), 2003–2012 Figure 52: Malaysian market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion), 2003– 2012 Figure 53: Malaysian market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2002– 2011 Figure 54: Malaysian Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion), 2003– 2011 Figure 55: Malaysian Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2002– 2011 Figure 56: Malaysian - Central government debt (LCU billion), 2003–2011 JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Figure 57: Malaysian Central government debt as % of GDP (LCU), 2003–2011 Figure 58: Malaysia - Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2002–2011 Figure 59: Malaysia - Goods imports as a % of GDP (%), 2002–2011 Figure 60: Malaysian Goods balance as a % of GDP (%), 2002–2011 Figure 61: Malaysian Services imports as a % of GDP (%), 2002–2011 Figure 62: Malaysia Service exports as a % of GDP (%), 2002–2011 Figure 63: Malaysia - Services balance as a % of GDP (%), 2002–2011 Figure 64: Malaysia - Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2002–2011 Figure 65: Malaysian Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002-2011 Figure 66: Malaysian International reserves, including gold (US$ billion), 2002-2011 Figure 67: Malaysia - Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011 Figure 68: Malaysian Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011 Figure 69: Malaysian Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001–2010 Figure 70: Malaysian Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004– 2013 Figure 71: Malaysian Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003–2012 Figure 72: Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004–2013 Figure 73: Malaysian Rail lines (total route-km), 2003–2011 Figure 74: Malaysian Air transport, freight (million ton-km), 2002–2011 Figure 75: Malaysia - Overall construction (US$ million), 2007-2016 Figure 76: Malaysian Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn), 2003–2012 Figure 77: Malaysian Patents Granted, 2003–2012 Figure 78: Malaysian Telephone lines, 2003–2012 Figure 79: Malaysian Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003–2012
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