Future of the Peruvian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 Released On 20th September 2014
Summary The Future of the Peruvian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Peruvian defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news. Key Findings Peruvian defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 5.93% between 2010 and 2014, and valued US$2.5 billion in 2014 The country’s total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$14.7billion The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 12.3% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 13.3% during 2010-2014 JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Over the forecast period, the country’s budget for homeland security is expected to be US$14.5 billion cumulatively The key areas of investment are expected to be transport helicopter, naval vessels, main battle tanks, submarines, and surveillance systems Synopsis This report offers detailed analysis of the Peruvian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: Peruvian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Peruvian defense industry during 2015–2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s spending patterns and modernization patterns Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Peruvian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of the buyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Peruvian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis
Reasons To Buy This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Peruvian defense industry market trends for the coming five years The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the country’s expected investment pattern during the forecast period Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector A deep qualitative analysis of the Peruvian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts
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Table of Contents JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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1 Introduction 1.1. What is this Report About? 1.2. Definitions 1.3. Summary Methodology 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence 2 Executive Summary 3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 3.1.1. Defense expenditure to reach US$3.4 billion by 2019 3.1.2. Threat of narco-terrorism, defense reforms and modernization, border disputes and peacekeeping operations to drive defense expenditure 3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to be 1.1% during the forecast period 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 3.2.1. Revenue expenditure accounts for the majority of the Peruvian defense budget 3.2.2. The majority of the Peruvian defense budget is allocated for army 3.2.3. Budget allocation for the Army to reach US$1.1 billion by 2019 3.2.4. Defense budget allocation for the Navy expected to increase 3.2.5. Air force budget to increase at a CAGR of 9.72% over 2015-2019 3.2.6. Other expenses expected to decrease during the forecast period 3.2.7. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period 3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.69% during the forecast period 3.3.2. Measures to prevent cocaine trafficking and organized crime to drive HLS expenditure 3.3.3. Peru considered at some risk of terrorist attack 3.3.4. Peru experiences low levels of terrorist activity 3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 3.4.1. Peruvian defense budget expected to register marginal growth in the forecast period 3.4.2. Perus military expenditure is limited compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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3.4.3. Peru allocates a low percentage of GDP to defense 3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 3.5.1. Transport Helicopter 3.5.2. Main Battle Tank 3.5.3. Submarine 3.5.4. Border Security 4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 4.1. Import Market Dynamics 4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities drives the countrys defense imports 4.1.2. Defense imports expected to increase during the forecast period 4.1.3. Russia to account for the majority of Perus defense imports during the forecast period 4.1.4. Aircraft and missiles are the most imported military hardware 5 Industry Dynamics 5.1. Five Forces Analysis 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium-high 5.1.3. Barriers to entry: medium 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to high 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to high 6 Market Entry Strategy 6.1. Market Regulation 6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry 6.1.2. Peru allows 100% FDI in defense industry 6.2. Market Entry Route 6.2.1. The countrys biennial defense exhibition provides an attractive entry route 6.2.2. Direct selling is the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs 6.3. Key Challenges 6.3.1. Small defense budget and limited technological capability limits the market entry of foreign companies 6.3.2. Lack of transparency hampers the growth of the Peruvian defense industry
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7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 7.2. Key Domestic Companies 7.2.1. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): overview 7.2.2. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): products and services 7.2.3. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.2.4. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): alliances 7.2.5. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): recent contract wins 7.2.6. The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME): overview 7.2.7. The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME): products and services 7.2.8. The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME): recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.2.9. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: overview 7.2.10. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: products and services 7.2.11. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 7.2.12. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: alliances 8 Business Environment and Country Risk 8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics 8.1.1. Total Rural Population 8.1.2. Total Urban Population 8.1.3. Number of Households 8.2. Economic Performance 8.2.1. GDP Per Capita 8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion) 8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billion) 8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billion) 8.2.5. Manufacturing Output (US$ billion) 8.2.6. Consumer Price Index 8.2.7. Wholesale Price Index 8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US$ (period average) 8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per EUR (period average) 8.2.10. Lending Rate (%) JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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8.2.11. Deposit Rate (%) 8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%) 8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion) 8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP) 8.2.15. Total Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion) 8.2.16. Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU) 8.2.17. Goods Exports as % of GDP 8.2.18. Goods Imports as % of GDP 8.2.19. Goods Balance as % of GDP 8.2.20. Services Imports as % of GDP 8.2.21. Services Exports as % of GDP 8.2.22. Services Balance as % of GDP 8.2.23. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion) 8.2.24. Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP 8.2.25. International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion) 8.2.26. External Debt as % of GDP 8.3. Energy and Utilities 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation 8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity 8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas 8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption 8.3.6. Crude Oil Proved Reserves 8.3.7. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW) 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability 8.4.1. Air Transport (freight) 8.4.2. Overall Construction 8.5. Minerals 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output 8.6. Technology 8.6.1. Patents Granted 8.7. Telecommunication 8.7.1. Telephone Lines 8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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9 Appendix 9.1. About SDI 9.2. Disclaimer List Of Tables Table 1: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Table 2: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Table 3: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Table 4: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Table 5: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2010-2014 Table 6: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2015-2019 Table 7: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014 Table 8: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019 Table 9: Peruvian Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2010-2014 Table 10: Peruvian Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2015-2019 Table 11: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Table 12: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Table 13: Peruvian Expenditure for Army (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Table 14: Peruvian Defense Expenditure for Army (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Table 15: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Table 16: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Table 17: Peruvian Expenditure for Navy (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Table 18: Peruvian Expenditure for Navy (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Table 19: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Table 20: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Table 21: Peruvian Expenditure for Air Force (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Table 22: Peruvian Expenditure for Air Force (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Table 23: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (US$ Billion), 20102014 Table 24: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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2019 Table 25: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (PEN Billion), 20102014 Table 26: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (PEN Billion), 20152019 Table 27: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014 Table 28: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019 Table 29: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010-2014 Table 30: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2019 Table 31: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Table 32: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Table 33: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014 Table 34: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019 Table 35: Defense Offset Regulations in Peru Table 36: Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA)- Products and Services Table 37: Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): Alliances Table 38: Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA) - Recent Contract Wins Table 39: The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME)- Product Focus Table 40: Desarrollos Industriales Casanave- Product Focus Table 41: Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: Alliances List Of Figures Figure 1: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 2: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 3: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 4: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 5: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2010-2014 Figure 6: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2015-2019 Figure 7:Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014 Figure 8: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019 JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Figure 9: Peruvian Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2010-2014 Figure 10: Peruvian Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2015-2019 Figure 11: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 12: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 13: Peruvian Expenditure for Army (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 14: Peruvian Defense Expenditure for Army (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 15: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 16: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 17: Peruvian Expenditure for Navy (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 18: Peruvian Expenditure for Navy (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 19: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 20: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 21: Peruvian Expenditure for Air Force (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 22: Peruvian Expenditure for Air Force (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 23: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 24: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 25: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 26: Peruvian Defense Budget Allocation for Other Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 27: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010-2014 Figure 28: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015-2019 Figure 29: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010-2014 Figure 30: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2019 Figure 31: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2010-2014 Figure 32: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2015-2019 Figure 33: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014 Figure 34: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014 Figure 35: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019 Figure 36: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019 Figure 37: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014 JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Figure 38: Peruvian Defense Import Trend, 2009-2013 (TIV values) Figure 39: Peruvian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009-2013 Figure 40: Peruvian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2009-2013 Figure 41: Industry Dynamics Porters Five Forces Analysis Figure 42: Peruvian Rural Population (In Millions), 2010-2019 Figure 43: Peruvian Urban Population (In Millions), 2010-2019 Figure 44: Peruvian Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017 Figure 45: Peruvian GDP Per Capita, 2008-2017 Figure 46: Peruvian GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2010-2019 Figure 47: Peruvian Exports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 20022011 Figure 48: Peruvian Imports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 20022011 Figure 49: Peruvian Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2002-2011 Figure 50: Peruvian Consumer Price Index, 2008-2017 Figure 51: Peruvian Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012 Figure 52: Local Currency Unit per US$, 2009-2018 Figure 53: Local Currency Unit per EUR, 2005-2014 Figure 54: Peruvian Lending Rate (%), 2002-2011 Figure 55: Peruvian Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012 Figure 56: Peruvian Real Interest Rate (%), 2003-2012 Figure 57: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies in Peru (US$ Billion), 2003-2012 Figure 58: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies in Peru (% of GDP), 2002-2011 Figure 59: Peruvian Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion), 2002-2011 Figure 60: Peruvian Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2002-2011 Figure 61: Peruvian Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 62: Peruvian Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 63: Peruvian Goods Balance as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 64: Peruvian Services Imports as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 65: Peruvian Services Exports as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 66: Peruvian Services Balance as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 67: Peruvian Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 20012010 Figure 68: Peruvian Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 69: Peruvian International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011 JSB Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
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Figure 70: Peruvian External Debt as % of GDP, 2001-2010 Figure 71: Peruvian Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011 Figure 72: Peruvian Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011 Figure 73: Peruvian Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010 Figure 74: Peruvian Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013 Figure 75: Peruvian Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 20032012 Figure 76: Peruvian Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Million Barrels), 2004-2013 Figure 77: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002-2011 Figure 78: Air Transport (Freight), Million ton-km, 2002-2011 Figure 79: Overall Construction (US$ Million), 2007-2016 Figure 80: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Billion), 2002-2011 Figure 81: Patents Granted, 2003-2012 Figure 82: Telephone Lines in Peru (in Millions), 2003-2012 Figure 83: Telephone Lines Penetration Rate in Peru (per 100 people), 2003-2012
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